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18 April 2022
Abstract
Previous empirical study excludes hidden ownership structure into their study. Consequently, their ownership
calculation could give biased results. This study develops a novel methodology to trace hidden ownership of each firm
to its controlling owners and investigate the effects of hidden ownership on firm performance. The results show the
existence of hidden ownership in Thai firms. We found the presence of hidden ownership is positively related to firm
performance. Firms with hidden ownership have higher proportion of foreign shareholders, who are more likely to be
institutional investors. Presence of institutional investors might lead to better governance, active monitoring, and result
in stronger firm performance. The results dispel traditional hypothesis of wealth expropriation from minority
shareholders to ultimate owner. In addition, the results provide new avenues of focus for further studies on the motive
of hidden ownership that may include price manipulation, foreign quota reserve and tax management.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this working paper are those of the author(s) and
do not necessarily represent the Stock Exchange of Thailand. SET Research
Scholarship Papers are research in progress by the author(s) and are published to
elicit comments and stimulate discussion.
www.set.or.th/setresearch
SET Research Scholarship 2021-2022, The Stock Exchange of Thailand
Content
Page
Chapter 1 Introduction 2
Motivation 2
Problem statement 3
Research objective 3
Significant of research 4
Chapter 2 Literature Review 5
Separation of ownership and control around the world 5
Ownership structure and firm performance 8
Hypotheses 9
Chapter 3 Methodology 10
Data 10
Approach to identify hidden ownership 12
Methodology to investigate the effects of hidden ownership 14
on firm performance
Chapter 4 Empirical Results 15
Descriptive statistical analysis 15
Hypothesis testing 19
Chapter 5 Discussion and Implication 23
The existence of hidden ownership 23
The effects of hidden ownership and corporate governance 23
Further studies on the motive of hidden ownership 24
Chapter 6 Conclusion 26
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Table
1. Distribution of firms (IPO) by calendar year 11
2. Distribution of firms (IPO) by Industry 11
3. Designated model specifications 14
4. Distribution of firm by industry 16
5. Summary Statistics of firm with hidden ownership 17
6. Summary Statistics of firm without hidden ownership 18
7. The effect of hidden ownership and firm performance (ROA) 20
8. The effect of hidden ownership and firm performance (ROE) 21
The effect of hidden ownership and firm performance
9. 22
(Tobin’sQ)
10. Percentage of shares held by foreign Investors 23
Figure
1. Show illustration step to identify shareholder relation 12
2. Price movement after IPO 24
Appendix
1. Variable definitions 28
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Chapter1 Introduction
Motivation:
For decade, the issue of the separation of ownership and control has
been discussed for numerous years. In corporate governance prospective, agency
problem exists when a separation of ownership and management is occurred.
Recently, many empirical literatures showed the new type of agency problem in
another aspect which come from the conflict of interest between majority and
minority shareholders. Especially when firms have ownership concentration
(Dennis and McConnell, 2003). On the other hand, concentrated ownership le ad
to another agency problem between minority and ultimate shareholders (or
controlling shareholder) because concentrated ownership is associated with
potential costs as the ultimate owner may have incentives and power to extract
private benefits of control. The ultimate owner controls composition of the board
of directors and influences the corporation’s activities. Controlling shareholders
may endeavor manage company assets or company activities for their own
interests whereas minor shareholders and other stakeholders must bear the costs
(Shleifer and Vishny, 1 9 9 7 and La Porta et al., 1 9 9 9 ) . The transfer of corporate
resources by ultimate shareholders takes many forms, including consumption
benefits, excessive compensations, stealing investment opportuniti es and
ineffective investments (Johnson et al., 2 0 0 0 ) . In addition, private benefit of
control includes amenity potential (Demsetz and Lehn, 1 9 8 5 and Gompers et al.,
2 0 1 0 ) , tunneling (Bertrand et al., 2 0 0 2 ) and insider trading (Anderson et al.,
2012). This expropriation problem is more pronounc where ultimate shareholders
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are also in management teams and in the countries where the legal protection and
enforcement of laws are poor (La Porta et al., 1999 and Bebchuk et al.,1999)
Problem statement:
The transparency of ownership and control is extremely important in
corporate governance. Investors need transparency of ownership and control to
accurately estimate expropriation risks, which involves in appropriate anticipation
of potential conflicts associated with the ultimate owners’ transactions (Chernykh,
2 0 0 8 ) . The hidden ownership usually obscures conflict of interest and allows
ultimate owners to engage in self-dealing benefits. In particular, the hidden
ownership can eventually cause discrepancy between control and cash flow rights,
revealing motivation of ultimate owners and the business group affiliation. Then,
it is inevitable that questions can arise regarding how the hidden ownership is
initiated, causing detrimental effects in te rm of firm value and corporate
governance. Specifically, on timing of IPO, when private firms make transitions to
go public, the significant decreasing in ownership may associated with agency
problem. Reasonably, the ultimate owners still want to remain po wer to control the
firm. They are likely to hide themselves via nominees or offshore companies. In
addition, the high degree of information asymmetry allows the ultimate owners
engage in and act upon their desires (Kenneth el at., 2004). Thus, the motivation
of ultimate owners will be questionable and remarkably interesting to investigate
the behavior of IPO firm toward hidden ownership patterns.
Research objective:
For previous empirical studies, most studies ignored or excluded offshore
holdings shareholders from their empirical tests. Hence, the method to aggregation
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of ultimate owners will be questionable and this exclusion will lead to the objective
of this study as
1. This study attempts to develop a novel methodology to trace the
hidden ownership of each firm to its ultimate owner .
2. Investigate the effects of hidden ownership on firm performance .
Since Many puzzles exist in previous empirical study of ownership structure
and corporate governance. Because of most studies ignored or excluded offshore
holdings shareholders from their empirical tests. Consequently, their ownership
calculation could give some biased results. The result of this study may help to
revealing shareholder structure and revolutionize traditional belief on ownership
structure and corporate governance. For agency problem,
Significant of research:
The result of this study may provide new insights into hidden ownership
puzzles and make significant contributions to current corporate governance
literature such as (1 ) This study will be one of the pioneering papers to provide
an innovative methodology to trace hidden control chains, which can improve
understanding of ownership control patterns. ( 2 ) This study will document the
existence of hidden ownership structure and revolutionize traditional belief on
ownership structure and corporate governance . (3) The findings of this study may
suggest the necessity for regulators to re -visit rules or regulations that are higher
of standard for disclosure and transparency requirements to protect minority
shareholders.
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are analyzed with statistical tools, which will further be discussed and interpreted
for the implication in chapter 5. Finally, I summarize the study and make a
conclusion in chapter 6.
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Chapter3 Methodology
Data:
To study hidden ownership structure more preciously. I focus attention
on Thailand which is a country in emerging market. Thailand provides several
advantages for examine the pattern of ownership structure. First, most companies
controlled by family shareholders which will be associated with conflicts of interest
between ultimate shareholders and minority shareholders. Second, the problem of
agency problem may be exacerbated because of ineffective governance
mechanism and poorly developed market for corporate control in emerging market.
Third, detailed data are available and accessible. These advantages increase our
confidence in the reliability of the data.
I focus firms on timing of IPO (private firm go public). Because I avoid
confounding effect on ownership structure and enhance accuracy of hidden
ownership tracing. The sample period includes all IPO firms, listed during 2011-
2015. I restrict data period to 2011 due to data limitation and I will access firm
performance for 3-years period to avoid the confounding effects of a market-wide
shock from covid19 situation. Thus, I require firm go public before 2016. The
sample excludes banks and other financial firms because there are ownership
restrictions imposed on bank and financial institutions by Bank of T hailand. Firm
performance data will be obtained from Datastream. Detail of ownership structure
will be obtained from DBD database provided by ministry of commerce, department
of business development and BOL database provided by Business Online Ltd.
Additional data such as board members, director election, company’s affiliates as
well as family relationships among board members will be manual collected from
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multiple sources such as SETSMART, company files (form 56 -1) and annual
general meeting report.
During the years 2011 to 2015, 49 Thai firms went public. Table 1 and
table 2 show descriptive statistics of IPO firms during 2011 -2015.
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I restrict the analysis to the sample of 49 firms for which I have complete
data. Thus, I have data covered most of the Thai firms that went public during this
time period.
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capacity. When the total size of items exceeds the capacity, you must choose a
subset of the items of maximum total value that will fit in the container. This kind
of problem usually arises in resource allocation with time constraint or fixed
budget. Compared to identification process, our problem is special case of
knapsack problem which values and sizes are equal. The goal of this problem is
to find combination of shareholders that sum of total shares equal to votes. After
all, there are several ways to solve knapsack problems. One of the most efficient
is based on dynamic programming. Unfortunately, when items and values are big.
There is no pseudo-polynomial algorithm to solve it. That is the reason why most
of the solver algorithm is based on branch and bound search.
As illustration in figure 1, for more detail, there are three steps to identify
offshore holdings relation to the ultimate owners
1. Identify list of shareholder and number of shares for each shareholder.
For example, there are 10,000 shareholders with 100,000,000 shares in total.
2. Use information from annual general meeting vote. Find the total
number of vote (shares) who support or withhold vote. For example, there are
50,000,000 shares who voted to support on conflict agenda. Find the combination
of shareholders who have shares sum up to 50,000,000 shares.
3. Repeat the iterative process to generate a sequence of outcomes.
Hence, we can calculate probability for each shareholder. At this point, I will know
who is supporter and who is not. I can apply probability to trace the relation for
each shareholder and identify hidden ownership structure of company.
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This chapter discusses about the results from data analysis including
the descriptive analysis of IPO firms and the hypothesis testing.
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Hypothesis Testing:
On Table 7-9, the estimated coefficients on hidden ownership dummy is very
strong and significant positive relation with ROA, ROE and Tobin’s Q, at the 5% levels,
respectively. Regarding the relation between level of hidden ownership ratio is weaker
and significant positive relation with ROA, at the 10% levels. However, no significant
relation with ROE and Tobin’s Q. And adjusted ultimate ownership by including hidden
owner is not related with any firm performance variable.
These result indicate that the firm’s performance is affected by the presence
of hidden ownership. In fact, the evidence shows that firms with hidden ownership
outperform firms without hidden ownership. The result are not consistent with the
hypothesis that there are negative association of hidden ownership and firm’s
performance (ROA, ROE and Tobin’s Q) due to wealth expropriation from minority
shareholders to ultimate owner. Thereby, the presence of hidden ownership is not
harmful firm value since hidden owner doesn’t expropriate wealth from minority
shareholders.
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This study presents the novel methodology to trace the hidden ownership of each
firm to its ultimate owners. The results reveal and affirm the existence of hidden
ownership in Thai firms. The ultimate owners split the controlling shares and registered
in a foreign offshore center with unobservable affiliation. This mechanism allows owner
to be hidden without formal violation of disclosure requirements .
This study investigates the effects of hidden ownership on firm performance . The
results dispel traditional hypothesis of wealth expropriation from minority shareholders
to ultimate owner. The presence of hidden ownership is positively related to firm
performance. In addition, I conduct univariate analysis in table 10. Firms with hidden
ownership have higher proportion of foreign shareholders , who are more likely to be
institutional investors. Presence of institutional investors might lead to better
governance, active monitoring, and result in stronger firm performance.
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3. Tax Management
Another possible motivation for hidden ownership is tax management
incentives. The capital tax scheme could explain the possible reason company owners
choose to have hidden ownership via foreign offshore companies. Companies registered
in Thailand must report capital gain as income and pay corporate tax, while withholding
tax for foreign company is less than corporate tax. Hence, this tax benefit could possibly
incentivize owners to have hidden ownership via foreign offshore companies opposed
to registered onshore companies.
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Chapter6 Conclusion
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Appendix
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Variables Definition
Tobin’s q The ratio between the market value and replacement
value of the same physical asset calculated by dividing
the sum of equity market value and liabilities book
value by the sum of equity book value and liabilities
book value.
ROE The ratio of net income before extraordinary item
scaled by book equity, defined as common equity plus
deferred tax.
ROA The ratio of net income before extraordinary item
scaled by total assets.
Hidden ownership dummy Equals 1 if the firm has hidden ownership on offshore
holdings. Equal 0 for otherwise.
Level of hidden ownership Percentage of hidden ownership.
Ultimate ownership Percentage of ultimate owners including hidden
ownership portion.
adjusted
Firm age Number of years of incorporation of the firm.
Firm size Log transformation of firm’s asset in Thai baht (THB).
Leverage Financial leverage proxied by total debt scaled by total
equity.
Board size Total number of directors on board.
Independent directors Percentage of independent directors on management
board.
Industry dummy Equals 1 if the firm is in the relative industry. Equal 0
for otherwise.
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