x No. Mubanmr aot ee sa 5) J LE ay = sxe 250 DY Taek oy aie: BES 84 +6 484 at er SUB ULAsS 13 335 Lay BOS 3st ee Th ged ~ 2030 ) Zn - poze 22 ere Co SSeS >& 44b- [5,2 (ezy RG a) oars Aas ge [o> 4e0 iF S30 = ST 400 esas ler ga) eee eS C (548)") (5 484 = = Breas. ene 2 ) 7 : = v2 oraaass: = very strong cowetouyon = = re Covaatss)” a) 77 = oad fe aaa = ‘ — => S — = Scanned with CamScannerMuwuinmgd Way ‘ ae x) Reowessian Equohon * aff © HEaee — Ent? = Fay 2 a 2) (22) Jy Ce” n 365 23 - C54s)(5484) Y us 2 \2 v au qte -— —— eg ¥) 94:9 of the total variation explained by total yanedoh in batch size a. > loro in divert lobour & cost Cy) @ 287 Taf, se aoe eager ier 42. ) 2 Ub-4S" = a+br 6767 = 1S + wee ye iz 2 iy) peed ~ as > com Cat)’ Be PR Sy OR BP OR Ry ey eR ee) eb | Scanned with CamScannerI + Queron 2 4) teasonal tampenerts happens within 4 day a eek a mensh , 4 yer ant So derth but ey site| Components happens 2 ver spe ! tns pect fred geted oF tote juswatty oe Neng xt nen) = ve ch a ie ‘ Ley Scanned with CamScanner~Not sas Mutawma) Wary es c Coturan) [cotoman Jeaumn 2 |eotumn 4 [column © column & Yeor | Quaviev | Production | Moving Centered ie tee fi Ts ed Augrag © C1) fi ; ; ; 2 9-68 isan - a 2 aty§ 1) £ 3 260 : } 2a" aS 54 ° seer 7008 | [ i 4 35 2 964-5 |) bb-aS ee (oe BOT + 2004 \ 200 = >ey “2601'S FENG f [Conn voor 244 240) z Dab en 256-5 as-4r I | -96"" t 3 40... 250 ats” LL ase I % 230, 267-25 25° 8S . YE 6S 3 1 16 226 74:3 reo |. + plon\t j 4 { Loy: i 2 2d off 2 Ihe or ie ae 249° : 3 | B10 1 | 4! 340 1 — | | + 7 4 / Scanned with CamScannerfe Nawraromad — Watoy Date we eight TINE: Adyusiment = vequived total Acual total of Ahe quavtens ” | uovtev { = 5 Tous as-al asaAs 1326 °83 2ol0 19-34 | abs 7 za Tora 156-52 | 1al-96 184-34 35404 puewage- |. 741 a qr VF De SD. KAjusimend | roe our Vrone one COS Nek yaar HOt \ AVSUSTMENT = Fou: Seasonat thdex - AVeVaQE % aad jugdment ee fist Quavtey = 6s ee % end = 159-5 " WANA ¥ YrOND. = tay > Second CQuavtev Thi Quayrw > 164-34 * oud = 9b Fyawth Quovivy 2 247-04 % 1-0N2 = >S4-4>~ ETE EPPS EYE Ye Scanned with CamScannerNo: tawhatnmad Wade Date: a ii) Hweease ot forecast prduchon = Tverd) » CD index é too ot 1 Yeay Buortev | Seaswenr Index | Tend (1) eoece sr a) oo) | wf 20%" 3. Var4b: Jasy trend - eek dvend not a s0-s — 2tF e-l = 2:18 = lost avehd + no stop ahead + avery increase Ayrecast ee 2 as + IS KX 2 TER 2 so 4 qoecasim Glaay neces Say UeUAT ee i i 100 > o2y 44 (eM 0d) = RM bIT44 fe Scanned with CamScanner yyizai Alaa plain wliale Blalene Mihannes iy te Ghestion B @ = @ iy) 2 > 89 70 7 21D. Pg ‘ 3 a ye AS s iF SE ing =e. 30 Pee - ; t iz ix) st Wo =o Ce UE x 10u e Bye i 12 ze oo = + 1 = Be & WW) py = Zi Pe Bee 4 40 & Berea & 2 Case SH 1SODC 284 984 127 & Go 1464 307C 964 244 1) = es ——_ eee ee ag sou Se Scanned with CamScanner. ns . Mutaamad “aay iv) _weineted Quankhy trber (aggregate) == Le Zwaan 1 + =— Wo = = (95x28) FC 5x20) + (130.412) = arid | = (peoeeseeGiogs ee pa | 2 2b SF i| Name of this index > Laspeyres “ PRce Wnd ex: 1 Up (PN ft Scanned with CamScanner