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The impact of climate change on the

hydrological cycle. Water security

Dr. Felipe Arreguín


National Autonomous University of Mexico
Regional Centre for Water Security-UNESCO
México
Talk outline

1.- Impact of climate change on the


hydrological cycle. Mexico case.
2.- Water-related challenges.
3.- Water security
4.- What are we doing. Mexico case.
5.-Knowledge and technology.
6.- Proposal.

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


July 2019
2.32

Eighteen of the 19 warmest years all have occurred since 2001, with the exception of 1998.
The year 2016 ranks as the warmest on record.

July 2019, the warmest month on record for the globe!!!


Climate
change

World Economic Forum


Impacts on the hydrological cycle

Elevation of the sea level More intense and frequent severe storms

Reduction or loss of perennial ice, or Droughts more severe and long-lasting


periodic snow with respect to current thresholds

More frequent and intense heat Increasing destructiveness of tropical


waves cyclones

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


Mexico vulnerable by its geographical location

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


Historical paths of hurricanes

HURACANES
Atlántico desde 1851
Pacífico desde 1949

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


Water

World Economic Forum


Water-related challenges. UN

•2.1 billion people lack access to safely managed drinking water


services.

•4.5 billion people lack safely managed sanitation services.

•80% of wastewater flows back into the ecosystem without being


treated or reused.

•340,000 children under five die every year from diarrhoeal


diseases.

•Water scarcity already affects four out of every 10 people.


38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.
Water-related challenges. UN

•90% of all natural disasters are water-related.

•Around two-thirds of the world’s transboundary rivers do not


have a cooperative management framework.

•Agriculture accounts for 70% of global water withdrawal.

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


Energy
and
water

World Economic Forum


Water-energy challenges. UN

•2.5 billion people have unreliable or no access to electricity

•Energy and electricity consumption will increase over the


next 25 years in all world regions

•By 2035, energy consumption will increase by 50%, and the


increase the energy sector's water consumption by 85%

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


Agriculture
and water

World Economic Forum


Water-agriculture challenges. UN

•The world population will grow from to 8.3 billion in 2030 and to
9.1 billion in 2050. The main challenge facing is making 70% more
food available on the plate.

•Roughly 30% of the food produced worldwide – about 1.3 billion


tons - is lost or wasted every year.

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


Water-agriculture challenges. UN

•Producing 1 kilo of beef used some 15,000 litres. This dietary


shift is the greatest to impact on water consumption over the
past 30 years.

•Agriculture contributes to climate change through its share of


greenhouse gases emissions.

•South Asia and Southern Africa will be the most vulnerable


regions to climate change-related food shortages by 2030.

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


Water
security

World Economic Forum


Additionally…

263 transboundary lake and river basins cover


almost half the Earth’s surface.

145 States have territory in these basins, and 30


countries lie entirely within them.

There are approximately 300 transboundary


aquifers, serve the 2 billion people who depend
on groundwater.
38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.
38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.
38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.
38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.
38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.
38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.
38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.
National Program Against Drought

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


National Program Against Floods

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


International Water Treaty Mexico, United States

ESTADOS UNIDOS

MEXICO
38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.
38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.
38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.
ICTWorks

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


Water security

The ability of populations to safeguard, at basin level, access


sustainable water in adequate amounts, and with appropriate
quality for sustain the health of people and ecosystems and
promoting the means of life, human well-being and socio-economic
development, as well as for ensure the effective protection of lives
and property during water disasters, such as floods, landslides,
land subsidence, and droughts.

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


Center for Global Water Security
(Proposal)

Motivate the action - focus the dialogue on public policies, models and
practices and initiatives of civil society towards the Water security and
ODS; and

Serve as mediator of the financing and the execution - promoting


efforts to mobilize financial resources and investment to increase, for
ODS water, even through new strategies of funding and implementation.

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


Centro Regional de Seguridad Hídrica, UNESCO

Regional Centre for Water Safety, UNESCO


¡We must understand
that our planet works
very differently than it
has for the last 50
years.

And we don't have


another!

38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.


¡Thank you!
Dr. Felipe Arreguín
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Regional Centre for Water Security-UNESCO
México
38th IARH. Wold Congress. Felipe Arreguín. UNAM. México.

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