Professional Documents
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Introductive Seminar
DESIGN FOR CLIMATE RESILIENCE
| Architectural technology & Water Engineering |
A.A. 2022 – 2023
TEAM 11
Fathween Siraj Rahman s307935
Ala Salari s314630
Namitha Mariam Cherian s314186
Professors Kishi Davies s313969
Giordano Roberto, Boano Fulvio
Ivan Karnitckii s314869
Tutors
Munoz Veloza Monica Alexandra, Matteo Pesce Prudhvi Raj Burlagadda s314068
PRESENT & EXPECTED FUTURE
CONDITIONS
TEMPERATURE
STUDY
CLIMATE ACTION
TRACKER & 𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑜2
EMISSIONS
IMPACTS OF
CLIMATE CHANGE
Future Scenarios of Irradiance and Temperature -
COLOMBIA
Colombia is a country with an estimated average monthly solar
radiation between 3.0 kWh/m2 and 5.0 kWh/m2, and in comparison
Three cities were identified for study of Direct normal irradiance and Net radiation on
the basis of location and terrain (coastal, mountainous and main capital city).
BUCARAMANGA 3.6 kWh/m2/day : 150.12 W/m2 0.654 * 150.12 -20.3 = 77.87 W/m2
1314 kWh/m2/year : 144.54 W/m2 0.654 * 144.54 -20.3 = 74.23 W/m2
BOGOTA 3.2 kWh/m2/day : 133.44 W/m2 0.654 * 133.44 -20.3 = 66.96 W/m2
1168 kWh/m2/year : 128.48 W/m2 0.654 * 128.48 -20.3 = 63.72 W/m2
The values suggest that city of Cartagena have a higher DNI and net radiation, followed
by Bucaramanga and Bogota. Colombia having an increased vulnerability to climate
change, the values have important applications which could be used to optimise solar
energy generation and climate resilient modelling.
Temperature Study – COLOMBIA CARTAGENA
1851 2020
-0.59 ± 0.55 Mean rate of change in climate stripes +1.32 ± 0.13 °C
BOGOTA BUCARAMANGA
Projected Mean Temperature - COLOMBIA
Across all emissions scenarios, temperatures are projected to continue to rise in Colombia, through the end of the
century. Under a high-emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), average temperatures are projected to rise rapidly after the
2040s. Rising temperatures and extreme heat conditions will result in significant implications for human and animal
Terittorial:89 MT CO2
COLOMBIA
CLIMATE ACTION TRACKER - Highly insufficient
Colombia’s emissions from land use are more than 20% of the country’s total emissions and reducing emissions from deforestation is a vital part of
Energy efficiency: To optimize the dispatch of electrical energy, to promote increased efficiency in plants that
allow cost-effectively reducing GHG emissions, without affecting the conditions of the electricity market. Promotion of
self-generation of energy through alternative sources, reduce the difference in electricity consumption between peak
and off-peak hours, manage the generation of electricity in off-peak hours from non-polluting sources and promote the
future implementation of technologies such as smart grids and dynamic rates
Fugitive Emissions
Sustainable construction: This strategic line is focused on the definition of guidelines for the design and construction
of sustainable buildings, achieving reductions in energy consumption, which allows reducing GHG linked to the
development of housing and other buildings.
Commercial Forest Plan: contemplates that the goal for 2030 is for Colombia to comply with the first five-year period
of sustainable management of 1,500,000 hectares of forest plantations for commercial purposes to obtain wood in
three strategic development regions for forest plantations for commercial purposes.
Promotion of energy management and energy efficiency projects in the industry sector: Identification,
structuring, and implementation of projects on good operating practices and implementation of improvements in energy
processes and use of energy sources with a lower emission factor with an impact of up to 15% in the reduction of
energy and/or emissions.
Implementation of technologies to reduce N2O emissions in the production of raw materials for fertilizers
Electric Mobility: It is intended to create a regulatory and financial environment that allows accelerating the transition to electric mobility, designing and
implementing policies; establishing regulatory and technical standards for the commercialization and operation of electric vehicles
Intersectoral reduction of deforestation: Reduction of emissions due to a decrease in the rate of deforestation (change in forest area) concerning an
estimated trend projection of this from the methodological reproduction of the Reference Level of Forest Emissions of Colombia taken to 2030. The stated goal
contemplates a reduction of emissions from deforestation considering a rate of 50,000 hectares/year in 2030.
Adaptation Strategies National Climate Change Adaptation Plan (NAP)
As per the EM - DAT database, from 1900 - 2022, due to the extreme climatic events Colombia faced 110 floods, 15
storms and 5 drought years which declares that there are serious impacts on the hydrological cycle due to climate change.
Vulnerability and Projected changes
Central and South America (CSA) are highly exposed, vulnerable and strongly impacted by climate change, a situation
amplified by inequality, poverty, population growth and high population density, land use change particularly deforestation with
the consequent biodiversity loss, soil degradation, and high dependence of national and local economies on natural resources
Fig 7. Severe flooding Scenarios (SLR + heavy rains) projected to the year 2040. Fig 8. Threat of coastal erosion in the Cartagena de Indias district.
Sea Level Rise
A governmental body in
Colombia has estimated that 17
000 hectares of its land could be
reclaimed by the sea by 2040.
This puts its major coastal cities,
Barranquilla, Cartagena, and
Santa Marta, at risk of severe
flooding. This could cause
structural damage, freshwater
shortages, agriculture damage,
and loss of tourism.
URBAN HEAT
ISLAND
POPULATION
GROWTH & CO2
EMISSIONS
URBAN
GREENING
FACTOR
URBAN HEAT ISLAND EFFECT
-The hottest neighborhoods are those located in the center of the city ( La
Candelaria , El Chagualo, San Benito, among others) and in the northern
part of the Medellín river (La Toscana, Boyacá-Las Brisas , Moravia , Santa
Cruz ).
-According to a recent study, each inhabitant has only to 3.6 square meters
of public space like: parks, squares and green areas.
As climate change drives rising temperatures globally, Medellin has took potential adaptations and strategic approaches and due to these
Strategic approaches, the change in Global surface Urban Heat Island can be noticed across Medellin.
CASE STUDY: GREEN CORRIDORS PROJECT
Urban Water
Classified as an upper-middle-income country, Colombia had an estimated PPP adjusted GDP per capita of $15,922 in 2021. Following a GDP
contraction of 6.8% in 2020, the economy is set to have grown by 7.6% in 2021, leaving output 0.3% above 2019 levels.
62.5 th
53.57 th
46.55 th
42.47 th
18.69 th
14.14 th
6.12 th
Global Employment Rate
Population of Colombia VS World
Over the next 15 years, that Colombia will see a modest improvement in its
ranking in the World Economic League Table, rising from 44th place in 2021
to 40th place in 2036.
c
Global Fluctuation
Growth in GDP
538/284 = 1.89
Cartagena has one of the highest informality rates in Colombia.
In 2017, it was 55.3% of the total employed people. Future projection of GDP per capita in 2025
In 2021, 55% of the population lived in poverty, and 5.9% in 1.89 * 18.69 = 35.3241
extreme poverty.
GDP Per Capita And Co2 Emissions
Population of Colombia VS World
Water channel
Commercial shop
Mid – rise building
Site features:
• Unused patches of public land
Residential buildings • Sparse vegetation and barren soil
Low - rise 0 10 20 50
• Polluted water basin channel
PROPOSED STUDY SITE - CARTAGENA with sloping edges
0 5 10 25
02 03 04
Management of storm-water runoff Implementation of rain gardens Bioswales – Bio retention systems
Passive water capture Treat polluted stormwater, Reduce peak flow, improve water quality, self-irrigating, ,
reconnect communities with natural water cycle
TARGET
Positive impacts on micro climate – evapotranspiration
0.15 UGF 0.7 results in cooling of the nearby atmosphere
NATURE- BASED
SOLUTIONS
SUSTAINABLE
DRAINAGE
SYSTEMS
RAIN GARDEN
DESIGN
INTERVENTIONS
Sustainable Drainage Systems – Watershed area selection
Cartagena
Watershed area:
20 hectares
RAIN GARDEN
Sizing a City Rain Garden
Cartagena
RAIN GARDEN
Green design EXISTING SITE 1
interventions/solutions
Building an extensive network
of rain gardens, pavement
details, wetlands, and other
infrastructure to capture
stormwater from
overwhelming sewers and
polluting waterways is a
requirement as analyzed in
the previous sections with an
increase in flooding scenarios
NATURE-BASED SOLUTIONS
in Colombia. For the same
PROPOSED SITE 1
area considered in the
analysis of Urban Greening
Factor (Section 2.3), some
design schemes to transform
the greening quality of the city
are visualized for some of the
identified SuDS areas
Green design
interventions/solutions
NATURE-BASED SOLUTIONS
it into the channel using drainpipes. EXISTING SITE 2
PROPOSED SITE 2
Recalculating the Urban Greening Factor
Cartagena
Urban Greening Factor Calculator
Area
Surface Cover Type Factor Contribution Notes
(m²)
Semi-natural vegetation (e.g. trees, woodland, species-rich
1 2086 2086
grassland) maintained or established on site.
Wetland or open water (semi-natural; not chlorinated) maintained or 1 321.24 321.24
established on site.
Intensive green roof or vegetation over structure. Substrate
0.8 0 0
minimum settled depth of 150mm.
Standard trees planted in connected tree pits with a minimum soil
volume equivalent to at least two thirds of the projected canopy area 0.8 2655.87 2124.696
of the mature tree.
Extensive green roof with substrate of minimum settled depth of
SOLUTIONS
0.7 0 0
80mm (or 60mm beneath vegetation blanket)
Rain gardens and other vegetated sustainable drainage elements. 0.7 593.72 415.604
Hedges (line of mature shrubs one or two shrubs wide). 0.6 104.24 62.544
FACTOR
Standard trees planted in pits with soil volumes less than two thirds
0.6 0 0
of the projected canopy area of the mature tree.
NATURE-BASED
Green wall –modular system or climbers rooted in soil. 0.6 0 0
URBAN GREENING
Amenity grassland (species-poor, regularly mown lawn). 0.4 40.24 16.096
The value of UGF has been increased from 0.15 to 0.502 with the proposed nature- based solutions in the public areas. Quality
greening interventions like retrofitting public buildings with green roofs (extensive & intensive), green walls, rain gardens etc would
improve the urban sustainable-development issues, especially related to climate change, drainage issues and biodiversity loss.
REFRENCES
A. Links:
https://worldpopulationreview.com/world-cities/medellin-population
https://www.urbangreenup.eu/cities/followers/medellin.kl
https://urbanresiliencehub.org/medellins-ongoing-history-of-resilience/
https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B5_%D1%85%D0%BE%D0%B7%D1%8F%D0
%B9%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%BE_%D0%A2%D0%B0%D1%88%D0%BA%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B0
B. Links:
https://population.un.org/wpp/Graphs/
https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/datasets/WEO
https://cebr.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/WELT-2022.pdf
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/co2-emissions-vs-gdp?yScale=log
Colombia Population 2022 (Live) (worldpopulationreview.com)
https://www.ceicdata.com/en/colombia/population-household-survey/population-cartagena