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Extended Essay Final
Extended Essay Final
Research questions:
Which Method/s of Genetic Engineering Mosquitos Would be Best Suited to Reducing the
Cases of Mosquito Borne Diseases Across the Globe?
Global issue: High Death Count Worldwide Caused by Mosquito Borne Diseases
Local manifestation: Implementation of each method based on cost and their effect on the
surrounding environment
1
Table of Contents
I-Introduction:...................................................................................................................3
II-Method of Collecting Data:............................................................................................5
III-Analysis.......................................................................................................................6
Method 1: Sterile insect technique (SIT)....................................................................................6
Method 2: Use of Genetically Modified Asaia Bacteria:............................................................9
Method 3: Use of Wolbachia Infection.....................................................................................13
VI-Discussion..................................................................................................................16
Discussing cost-effectiveness.....................................................................................................16
The Sterile Insect Technique........................................................................................................................17
Paratransgenesis Using Asaia Bacteria.........................................................................................................18
Wolbachia.....................................................................................................................................................18
Advantages and Disadvantages of Each Methods’ Costs.........................................................19
Discussing the Environmental Impact......................................................................................20
The Sterile Insect Technique........................................................................................................................20
Paratransgenesis Using Asaia Bacteria.........................................................................................................20
Wolbachia.....................................................................................................................................................21
Summary of Each Methods Impact on the Surrounding Ecosystem.......................................21
V-Conclusion...................................................................................................................22
VI-Evaluation..................................................................................................................23
Bibliography....................................................................................................................25
2
I-Introduction:
Mosquito borne diseases pose a huge threat in our world today. These diseases include
malaria, zika virus, yellow fever, chikungunya, dengue, and more; most of which are spread
by mosquitoes of the Anopheles or Aedes genus, specifically Aedes. Aegypti (Centre for
transmission, such as bed nets, insecticides, and mosquito traps are not very effective and in
2018, approximately 830, 000 people died from mosquito borne diseases, mainly due to
malaria, zika virus and dengue. (WHO, 2022). Although there is an anti-malarial drug, which
kills the malaria parasite and prevents it from multiplying, it is becoming less effective as
prohibition proteins in the parasite prevent the drug from working (WHO, 2022).
Additionally, because mosquito borne diseases are generally found in less developed
countries, many people cannot afford these drugs or do not have access to them (Joy, 2018).
A study by Mara Ipa found that in Indonesia, over 20% of adults diagnosed with malaria, are
unable to receive anti-malarial drugs for treatment (Ipa, 2021). To tackle these diseases, more
complex methods involving genetic modification are needed, such as the sterile insect
technique (SIT), paratransgenesis using asaia, and the introduction of a Wolbachia infection.
SIT is a technique where many sterilized insects (by means of genetic modification) are
released into the wild to mate with the wild type mosquitoes without producing offspring
modifying bacteria from the mosquito to release proteins that inhibit the survival of
Plasmodium, before reintroducing them to the mosquito (Ratcliff, 2022). Lastly, Wolbachia
in infected mosquitos competes for resources with the disease-causing parasites, limiting the
mosquito from hosting them and thus reducing transmission. (WHO, 2022)
This essay will focus on each of the different methods and the research surrounding each one.
After the methods are analysed individually, they will be evaluated in terms of their cost and
3
how much they damage the ecosystem. Finally, the methods will be compared and contrasted
4
II-Method of Collecting Data:
1-The credited organizations below are used to obtain current and reliable published data:
Research papers were from databases including Google Scholar, PubMed, Research Gate,
WHO databases were used for information on health and development research.
2-This essay used secondary published data. Elements such as the price of each method, the
effects on the environment and the effects on the mosquitoes themselves were all considered
3-The diseases focused on throughout this essay are malaria, zika, dengue fever, west Nile
fever and chikungunya as they cause the most deaths. Research about methods used to reduce
4-All data used for this essay was published in the last ten years.
5
III-Analysis
Different uses of genetic modification to reduce mosquito borne diseases will be investigated to
determine its effectiveness and worldwide applicability and answer the research question. Finally, the
methods will be compared to conclude which one or combination of methods would be best at
By releasing sterile male mosquitoes into the environment, the population of mosquitoes and the cases
of disease spread by them reduces (Wang, 2021). The SIT uses CRISPR/Cas-9 gene editing
technology, which permits scientists to remove the b2-tublin gene from male mosquitos, resulting in
infertile males.
This method has been used in the US, Malaysia, Brazil, and other parts of Latin America. It has also
been used for other insects and has proven to be effective (WHO, 2020). However, this is a temporary
solution as when the sterile mosquitoes are not released anymore, the population will eventually
rebound. This was demonstrated in a simulation where researchers used mathematical models based
on supplementary information from other sources and research projects to show the effect of SIT on
6
Legend:
Figure 1: Graph Showing the Impact of the SIT on the Population size of mosquitos.
The solid green, black and red lines represent the populations of the wild type mosquitoes (male,
female, and larvae) and the blue line represents the population of the sterile males, which are released
weekly (explaining why their population fluctuates as time goes on). Whereas the dashed lines
represent the populations of the wild type mosquitoes if SIT had not been implemented. From the
graph, when the sterile mosquitoes are released the population of all three wild populations begin to
decrease steadily until the releases stop on day 240 of the simulation. Once this occurs, the
populations of wild mosquitoes begin to recover, eventually returning to normal. This simulation
shows clearly that populations of mosquitoes and their larvae will decrease as soon as the sterile male
mosquitoes are being released, then rebound when the release stops, increasing the spread of mosquito
borne diseases and making this method less suitable for reducing cases of these diseases across the
globe.
This technique was applied in real life in another study (Kyrou, 2018). In this study, researchers
modified A. gambiae mosquitoes to carry the dsxFCRISPR allele using CRISPR/Cas-9 technology (which
reduces the fertility of the mosquitoes). The modified mosquitoes were then crossbred to produce the
heterozygous offspring used for the trial. This trial had an initial modified allele frequency of 12.5%.
7
The mosquitoes were then allowed to breed and lay eggs, of which 650 were randomly selected to
continue the next generation. In each generation, the larvae were analysed and screened for the
presence of the dsxFCRISPRh allele and its frequency. The data below shows the results of this trial.
(Kyrou,2018)
Figure 2: Dynamics of the spread of dsxFCRISPRh allele and effect on population reproductive capacity.
As seen in graph A, the frequency of the gene reached 100% in generation 7 (blue) and 11 (red).
These results match the model and most of the simulation predictions which also reach 100% in a
However, in graph A, a dip in the red line is observed but not the blue line. Additionally, in both
graphs, the mosquitoes in the second cage reached the maximum (graph A) and minimum (graph B)
8
of the graph before the mosquitoes in the red cage. However, the reasoning for both these occurrences
was not explained in the study. It can also be observed that as the gene frequency increased
throughout the generations, the egg output decreased, eventually reaching zero, causing the population
of the mosquitoes to decline as older mosquitoes die. The consequences of this are explained later in
this essay.
Although this method is used in some areas today, it is very carefully monitored to prevent a
population collapse, which isn’t very practical, reducing its suitability for worldwide application.
(WHO, 2022)
The process of paratransgenesis is explained using Figure 3 and the paragraph below it.
(1)
(3)
(4)
(2)
(Ratcliff, 2022)
Paratransgenesis begins with the microorganism selection from the mosquito, which in this case is the
already existing Asaia bacteria (1). CRISPR/Cas-9 gene editing technology to cut out and replace a
section of genomic or plasmid DNA to create a transgenic bacterium (2). The bacteria are then
reinserted into the mosquito (3) where the modified gene is expressed to either release peptides that
interrupt the parasite transmission or dsRNA which silences the expression of the target gene from the
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parasite (4), preventing it from navigating the mosquitos’ body and accessing nutrients. In both cases,
the parasite development is blocked. The Asaia can be transmitted horizontally (through mating) and
vertically (through smearing of bacteria on eggs), which makes it appealing to spread the parasite
The ability for Asaia to spread across a population was tested in a semi-field study where mosquitoes
were kept in large cages (A, B, C), of 200 male and 200 female Anopheles Gambiae mosquitos, that
simulated their natural environments. Twenty paratransgenic mosquitoes were introduced into cage A,
thirty-five were introduced into cage B, and none were introduced to Cage C. The spread of the
bacteria was then monitored over the course of 20 days, showing the results below. (Mancini, 2016)
Figure 4: Graph Showing the horizontal transmission of the Asaiagfp across a mosquito population
(Mancini, 2016)
As shown in the graph, as the days go on, horizontal transmission increases, and so does the
percentage of mosquito midguts where the modified Asaia gfp is found. There is a quicker and higher
increase in Cage B where thirty-five modified mosquitoes were released and the maximum percentage
of guts with Asaiagfp is on average 81% (for males and females, after 20 days). However, the Asaia gfp
still managed to spread relatively quickly in cage A, reaching an average of 64% guts with Asaia gfp for
males and females, after 20 days. The control (Cage C) saw no spread as no modified bacteria were
10
released there. The females in Cage A and Cage B always seem to have higher Asaia gfp percentages,
however the reasoning for this is not explained in the report. The increase of Asaia gfp as the days went
on shows that horizontal transmission is a good method to spread the bacteria across a population
(Mancini, 2016).
Another test was done, in the same conditions to check vertical transmission after twenty days,
Figure 5: Graph showing the vertical transmission of Asaiagfp across a mosquito population
(Mancini, 2016)
Again, it is evident that the bacteria are vertically transmitted. However only about 40-50% of the
larvae inherited the bacteria from their parents who all hosted the bacteria. Of the newly emerged
larvae, 75% of the females born inherited the bacteria, whereas only about 45% of the males inherited
it. This isn’t as promising and could affect how this method is applied in an environment that isn’t a
11
Another report which comments on an experiment indicates that this method works very well to kill
the Plasmodium parasite in mosquitoes (Nicholas J. Bongio, 2015). In the experiment the Asaia’s
siderophore receptor gene (siderophores are small compounds secreted by microorganisms) was fused
with scorpine, an anti-malarial peptide isolated from scorpion venom, or anti-Pbs21 scFv-Shiva1, an
immunotoxin, such that the Asaia would secrete these fusion proteins and their toxins would interact
with the membrane of the Plasmodium parasite, causing bacterial lysis. Both these strains of Asaia
were fed to mosquitoes which carried the malaria parasite Plasmodium berghei. After two weeks, the
mosquitoes were dissected and the number of oocysts (a cyst containing a zygote formed by the
Plasmodium parasite) in the mosquitoes’ midguts were counted. The results are shown in Figure 6.
Figure 6: Graph Showing the effect of different types of chemicals released by the Asaia on the number of
oocysts per midgut observed after 2 weeks. Black line in between dot clusters represents the median oocysts
per midgut for each chemical.
(Nicholas J. Bongio, 2015)
12
As seen in the graph scorpine is most effective at reducing the oocysts and preventing the
Plasmodium from reproducing and thus being transmitted to humans as it has the lowest mean
number of oocysts per midgut. The P value is also very low, which supports the experiment’s validity.
Despite this, none of the toxins reach zero oocysts, meaning the plasmodium is still able to
survive/reproduce within the mosquito in both cases. This reduces its applicability as a method of
Wolbachia is an intracellular bacterium which can infect most arthropods. It can be passed down
when females lay eggs. When a mosquito is infected, Wolbachia competes with some types of
pathogens including those that cause malaria, dengue, zika virus and west Nile virus for fatty acids,
upregulate the mosquitos’ immune responses or interact with the pathogen itself to limit its ability to
13
Field trials by Peter A Ryan and colleagues in 2019 studied the impact of spreading a Wolbachia
infection in a population of Aedes Aegypti mosquitoes in northern Australia on Dengue cases. They
released 1,000 female mosquitoes infected with fluorescent Wolbachia in each of the 62 regions and
tracked the infection rate and dengue cases for 100 weeks.
Figure 7: Graph showing the impact of spreading a Wolbachia infection in a population of Aedes Aegypti mosquitoes in
northern Australia on % Ae. Aegypti infected (Graph A) and the number of areas with reported dengue cases during and
after release (Graph B). Grey boxes in graph A represent the interquartile range
(Ryan, 2019).
Graph A shows a sharp spike in the percentage of infected mosquitoes after the initial release of
Wolbachia. This is partly due to the continued release over the next 15 weeks, however even after the
releases stop, there is a steady increase until infection percentage reaches 100% at 60 weeks,
continuing to fluctuate until it steadies at 68 weeks. The interquartile range stays relatively small,
however there is a sharp increase at approximately 86 weeks. Graph B shows an immediate steady
decline in regions with dengue cases after the releases. This plateaus at 50 weeks, however, the cases
never reach zero, suggesting that this method is not 100% effective. (Ryan, 2019)
14
A second semi field study done by several researchers uses Wolbachia infected mosquitoes. (Liu,
2022). The researchers transinfected 200 female Aedes. Aegypti mosquitos with the Wolbachia strain.
They were also infected with four different strains of dengue, (DENV 1-4) and left to incubate for 7
and 14 days. After, they were dissected to check how much the dengue was able to replicate. The
results are summarised in the Figure 9, showing the plaque forming unit (PFU/ml) to represent the
number of viral particles capable of forming plaque within one millilitre. The two values (e.g., 2.9 x
104 and 177) for each region of the body (Midgut, Saliva Glands, Saliva) and strain of dengue
represent the PFU/ml for the Wildtype controls (upper value) and the Wolbachia mosquitoes (lower
Figure 8: Table Showing the impact of wALB Wolbachia on the number of viral particles capable of forming
plaque in 1ml (PFU/ml), 7 and 14 days after infection. PBM: Post Blood Meal (7PBM = 7 days Post Blood
Meal)
(Liu, 2022).
The wAlB Wolbachia strain was very effective in reducing the replication of the dengue as the
PFU/ml for all body areas decreased significantly from the wild type mosquitoes to the modified
mosquitoes. This is evident as the difference in the upper and lower values of PFU/ml for each body
area and strain of dengue is very high. (e.g., from 1.9 x 10 4 PFU’s/ml in the saliva glands of wild
mosquitos after 7 days, versus the 69 PFU’s/ml in the saliva glands of wAlbB-Tw mosquitos in the
same amount of time). This difference was most significant in the Midguts and Saliva Glands which
had much higher PFU’s/ml in the wild type mosquitoes than the saliva. The data also shows how
depending on the dengue strain, the results of Wolbachia intervention can vary, as DENV-1 and
15
DENV-2 are most affected by the Wolbachia and have lower PFU’s/ml than DENV-3 and DENV-4,
which may be more resilient strains. However even though the Wolbachia reduces the replication of
dengue significantly, it is not 100% effective as the dengue is still present, meaning the dengue can
still be transmitted and infect more people. This reduces its appeal for application in the real world.
(Liu W. L, 2022)
VI-Discussion
Discussing cost-effectiveness
Mosquito borne diseases are most commonly found in the regions of Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin
America, The Caribbean, South/Southeast Asia, and Australia. (Centre for Disease Control and
Prevention, 2020). Many countries in these areas are not very economically developed, and have
GDP per capita demonstrates a country’s prosperity and wealth, thus it can be used to determine
approximately how readily the country can invest in these methods for the prevention of mosquito
borne diseases.
16
Figure 10: Graph Showing the approximate GDP per capita values for each country in 2020
By looking at the map, it is evident that most of the regions/countries mentioned above, where
mosquito borne diseases are most prevalent, have a medium/low GDP per capita (represented by the
light colours in Figure 10). Thus, the methods used should be cost effective.
A cost effectiveness assessment done by multiple organisations including the World Health
Organisation and the International Atomic Energy Association compares SIT to previous methods
used to reduce mosquito-borne diseases. This calculation looks at costs of a combined SIT and
incompatible insect technique (IIT) which is like the sterile insect technique but uses Wolbachia to
render mosquitoes infertile rather than genetic modification. The HC males named by their
developers, Hydrocarbon Search Partners, were released periodically and the cost of their release was
17
The cost assessment is also based on how the cost of this method is predicted to change over the next
few years.
Unfortunately, because this method is so new, there is little relevant data on the economic effect this
Wolbachia
18
A report by PLOS Global Public Health looked at the economic impact of dengue in Singapore from
2010 to 2020 and how this value would change if Wolbachia was used to decrease transmission of
Figure 12: Table showing the estimated economic cost of dengue and the costs that could be averted at different levels of Wolbachia
efficacy
(Soh, 2021)
Sterile Insect Technique Trials are inexpensive, with an average total Method is not sustainable so long-term
cost of 13.55 USD per hectare per year costs will accumulate
after)
Asaia Bacteria
Wolbachia At minimum efficacy (40%), this method Even at maximum efficacy (90%), over
still saves 328 million USD over the last ten 250 million USD is spent due to dengue
years. This value increases as efficacy over the last 10 years, which is a lot.
increases.
19
The method is sustainable, so costs don’t
recur as frequently.
Figure 13: Table Showing the Advantages and Disadvantages of Each Methods' Costs
The use of SIT to control mosquito populations could be effective in reducing the spread of mosquito-
borne diseases, however, it could also have negative impacts on the environment. Mosquitoes and
their larvae serve as a food source for many other species and their decline could disrupt the food
chain. Additionally, mosquitoes are important pollinators and a decrease in their population could
20
A study found that in most species of bacteria in the Asaia genus, there is a gene called the pyrethroid
hydrolase gene that plays a crucial role in establishing a symbiotic relationship between the bacteria
and mosquitoes. (Commandatore, 2021). However, when paratransgenesis occurs, the DNA sequence
that releases proteins that interrupt the hosting of Plasmodium parasites also promotes the pyrethroid
hydrolase gene, leading to resistance to pyrethrin’s, which is a key ingredient in insecticides. This
causes a problem as around 38% of the world's land is used for agriculture and it is distributed mainly
in South and East Asia, Australia, and tropical areas of Latin and South America. (Food and
Agriculture Association of the United Nations, 2020). This is shown in Figure 14 below.
Figure 14: Map showing the distribution of agricultural land use in 2018. (Ritchie, 2020)
Wolbachia
According to research, it appears that Wolbachia has minimal impact on mosquitoes or their
ecosystem. The National Environment Agency has stated that Wolbachia is safe for humans, wildlife,
and plant life, as it is a naturally occurring bacterium found in over 60% of insect species and cannot
survive outside of an insect host. Additionally, humans and animals have had long-term exposure to
21
Summary of Each Methods Impact on the Surrounding Ecosystem
Sterile Insect Technique Decreased mosquito populations take away a food source from their predators, causing
their populations to decline as they die of starvation. This could start a ripple effect
Paratransgenesis Using Paratransgenesis contributes to insecticide resistance in mosquitos so they can infiltrate
Asaia Bacteria farms and spread diseases between plants, harm livestock (consistent blood-sucking
leads to loss of weight and health issues) and harm humans who run the farms. This
could lead to decreased food yield (contributing to food shortages) and poverty for
Wolbachia No known effects on surrounding animal or plant life. (Natural Environment Agency,
2022)
Figure 15: Table Showing the Impact of each Method on the Surrounding Ecosystem
V-Conclusion
The essay concludes by identifying the best method for reducing mosquito-borne diseases from the
research gathered. Each method has its own advantages and disadvantages. The SIT (Sterile Insect
Technique) and Wolbachia technique are well-researched and have been implemented in several
countries, while Paratransgenesis, which uses new technology, has not been trialled as much.
Therefore, from a reliability perspective, the SIT and Wolbachia method are the most effective.
22
However, a disadvantage of the SIT method is that it is not sustainable as the population of
mosquitoes rebound as soon as the release of sterile mosquitoes is halted. On the other hand, both
Wolbachia and Paratransgenesis using Asaia use bacteria that can be transmitted between offspring
and spread in populations, making their effects longer lasting. This was demonstrated in an Australian
study in which the effects of Wolbachia continued up to 84 weeks after the release of the infection
stopped. However, another study found that traces of Wolbachia were still found after the infection
had been implemented, indicating that the mosquito could still spread the dengue, reducing the
sustainability of the method. Likewise, when Asaia was modified, it was found that although it greatly
reduced Plasmodium development, the mosquito could still carry and spread the disease. Additionally,
studies have shown that only 40-50% of offspring inherit the Asaia bacteria from their parents,
indicating that the method of using Asaia is more sustainable than SIT but less sustainable than using
Wolbachia. In terms of cost, both the SIT and Wolbachia methods show promise, but it is difficult to
compare the cost data as the report by WHO on SIT looks at the direct cost of implementing the
method, while the data for Wolbachia looks at how much cost could be avoided if the method is
applied. Despite this, the SIT method is less sustainable, which would result in higher long-term costs
than Wolbachia. There was no data found for Paratransgenesis, likely due to its recent development.
Furthermore, the ecological impact of the SIT and Paratransgenesis using Asaia is quite severe,
whereas Wolbachia has no known impacts. The SIT reduces mosquito populations, affecting the food
chain, and plants pollinated by mosquitoes, leading to a decrease in animal and plant populations. On
the other hand, Asaia, when modified expresses a gene which increases insecticide resistance in
mosquitoes, allowing them to spread into farmland, harming wildlife, humans, and potentially causing
detrimental damage to the economy. Due to its limited testing, a solution to this issue has not been
found yet, whereas for the SIT it is possible to still use it while closely monitoring the surrounding
environment.
Overall, while all these methods are promising, the Wolbachia method stands out the most. Although
it is not as trialled or cost effective as the SIT, it is the most sustainable and poses the least risk to the
surrounding ecosystem. It is also trialled enough to be approved and applied. However, in less
economically developed countries, the SIT could be used as a short-term solution while economic
23
growth continues, as it has low short-term costs. On the other hand, Paratransgenesis was eliminated
as it isn’t trialled nearly enough and still needs to forgo a lot of development before it can be safely
VI-Evaluation
It is important to evaluate the significance of sources and data when drawing conclusions for this
essay. It is assumed that these are the only methods that need to be considered to reduce mosquito-
borne diseases around the world. However, there may be other methods that were not considered in
this essay, which discredits the conclusion about the most suitable method.
Secondly, although there is data to support each argument, most of it is derived from cage trials and
simulations rather than real-world data. This reduces the validity of the data as although the cages
simulate the outside world as closely as possible by controlling many variables such as humidity, food
availability, etc. there are always factors that cannot be accounted for. Even though a certain method
may be successful in a caged trial, it may not fare so well outside a lab environment. This could affect
the conclusion.
As mentioned previously, all data was published within the last 10 years which increases the validity
of this essay.
This report also focused primarily on Biology and Geography, yet this question also involves subjects
like business, economics, politics and more, which should be studied further. Although the
conclusions drawn from this essay can support decisions made regarding mosquito borne diseases,
24
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