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Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al.

Bank Risk Control and Shareholder


Value Creation: The Case of Ghana

Lord Mensah Abstract


University of Ghana Business School This paper examines bank risk factors that determined
Legon, Accra Ghana shareholder value in the Ghanaian banking industry
between the years 2007 and 2015. The system-
generalized method of moment is used to estimate
Francis A. Ayernor a dynamic panel model, with shareholder value as a
University of Ghana Business School linear function of bank specific risk factors, industry
Legon, Accra Ghana specific and macroeconomic variables. Lags of
risk factors were used as bank specific variables.
Surprisingly, the results indicate that shareholder
Godfred A. Bokpin value has a positive relationship with credit risk.
University of Ghana Business School Therefore, banks could mitigate this risk by
Legon, Accra Ghana
increasing their loan portfolio, and making provisions
to commensurate with expected losses in order to
make their residual claimants (shareholders) happy.
Eric Ofosu-Hene In addition, shareholder value is negatively impacted
University of Ghana Business School by capital risk, interest-rate risk and operational risk.
Legon, Accra Ghana

Keywords: shareholder value, credit risk, interest


rate risk, capital risk, liquidity risk,EVA,

African Journal of Management Research (AJMR)


3 Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al.

Introduction do well, if not better, to handle it them-


selves.
Banks, by the extension of their activities,
are exposed to a myriad of risks which can
threaten their survival. As a result, banks
have been described as being in the busi- If the core business of banks is to manage
ness of managing risk. Risk management risk in order to increase shareholder value,
comes with a cost which necessitates that then identifying which risk factors (e.g.
banks exercise only those risk manage- credit risk, capital risk, market risk, in-
ment practices that increase shareholder terest-rate risk, liquidity risk and opera-
value ( Fatemi & Luft, 2002; Fatemi & tional risk) are most likely to create wealth
Fooladi, 2006). With increasing compe- for shareholders will lead to sustaining a
tition in the Ghanaian banking industry, sound and profitable banking industry.
globalization and influx of foreign banks, Though risk and its attendant effect on
it is more important for banks in Ghana to banking operations and survival have tak-
take action towards the shareholder’s in- en centre stage in banking, especially after
terest since higher shareholder value crea- the 2007-2009 financial turmoil, there
tion may ease access to equity capital. seems to be limited literature on the risk
exposures of banks in Ghana.
An increase in shareholder value also in-
creases the confidence of existing share- Furthermore , the established literature on
holders (Arif & Afzal, 2012).The need for factors that influence bank performance
value creation for shareholders calls for generally do not focus on shareholder val-
banks to aim at increasing net operating ue creation metrics as their performance
profit after tax (NOPAT) and reducing indicators. In Ghana for instance, virtually
cost. The difference between the NOPAT all research on the performance of banks
and the cost of capital is represented by tend to focus on ROE or ROA. This study
the new and more reliable measure of seeks to fill this gap by linking bank spe-
shareholder value, Economic Value Added cific measures of risk to shareholder val-
(EVA). Banks, being financial intermedi- ue, focusing on Shareholder Value Ratio
aries, are the centre of a country’s financial (SVR) which is computed using EVA.
system, especially in countries where cap- Evidence of which risk-taking behavior
ital markets are underdeveloped (Zhang, of banks affects shareholder value would
Jiang, Quc &Wang, 2013). inform banks, regulators and other stake-
holders in Ghana as to which risk expo-
There is a huge body of literature on the sures should be at the top of the priority
determinants of bank performance which list and how to manage such risk expo-
consider a wide range of bank-specific, in- sures.
dustry specific and macroeconomic drivers
of bank performance. This was prompted On the hind side, the paper also tests the
by the recent financial crisis with the in- theoretical and empirical reasoning of risk
dication that there were corporate practice management as a lever for shareholder
contradictions and weak financial risk value maximization in a different environ-
management. If risk management is not ment where the banking sector dominates
active within the bank, shareholders could the financial system. Risk management

African Journal of Management Research (AJMR)


Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al. 4

and shareholder value nexus has been con- sents the empirical results. Section V con-
firmed on the European markets by Fior- cludes the paper.
delisi and Molyneux (2010) between 1998
and 2005. Different results have also been
found in the literature on the risk manage- Literature Review
ment and shareholder value relationship The shareholder value maximization hy-
using data from different countries. pothesis states that firms should engage in
However, in most of these countries, the risk management activities only if it cre-
financial market seem to dominate the fi- ates value for the firm and also its share-
nancial system. This research focuses on holders. Banks have been described as be-
Ghana because, according to the Banking ing in the business of managing risk. Risk
Survey report (2010) by Price waterhouse management generally encompasses the
coopers (PWC), banks in Ghana are seri- process of identifying risks to the bank,
ously managing their exposure to risk that measuring exposures to those risks (where
may come from the complexities of their possible), ensuring that an effective capital
business. But the question that comes to planning and monitoring programme is in
the researcher's mind is which risk should place.
be prioritize by banks since placing too Monitoring risk exposures and corre-
much emphasis on all the risk components sponding capital needs an on-going ba-
of banks may come with higher cost. This sis, taking steps to control or mitigate
research is poised to investigate the value risk exposures and reporting to senior
created for shareholders as a result of the management and the board on the bank’s
rigorous risk management practices being risk exposures and capital positions (Ba-
adopted by Ghanaian banks. sel Committee on Banking Supervision
We also undertake this research in Ghana (BCBS), 2011). Resti & Sironi (2007, pp.
because its banking sector dominates the xxii) indicate that “banks must be able
financial system, and their survival and to identify, measure, control and above
what they return to the shareholder is vi- all price all the risks taken aboard, more
tal to the economy. We believe our results or less consciously, in and off its balance
add to existing literature in this area be- sheet”. Banks are exposed to several risks
cause the research is conducted in an envi- but the main risk factors stipulated in the
ronment where the banking sector domi- Basel Accords are credit risk, capital risk,
nates the financial system, unlike earlier liquidity risk, market risk, interest rate
papers, where in their environment, other risk and operational risk.
components of the financial system are Credit risk is the most important risk that
well pronounced. banks are exposed to because of their oper-
The organisation of the paper is as follows: ations. Resti & Sironi (2007) define credit
Section II discusses the existing literature risk as the possibility that an unexpected
of risk factors that impact bank perfor- change in counterparty’s creditworthiness
mance. Section III describes the data and may generate an unexpected change in
model specification while section IV pre- market value. Credit risk comprise the fol-
lowing main risks; default risk, migration

African Journal of Management Research (AJMR)


5 Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al.

risk, spread risk, recovery risk, pre-settle- cial crisis, inefficiency in the allocation of
ment risk and substitution risk. Fatemi & liquidity cost highlighted how inefficient
Fooladi (2006) argue that the increasing banks were in managing their liquidity
variety in the types of counterparties and exposure. Focusing on European banks,
the ever-expanding variety in the forms Fiordelisi & Molyneux (2010a) and Ci-
of obligations have meant that credit risk pollini & Fiordelisi (2012), find a nega-
management has jumped to the forefront tive and significant relationship between
of risk management activities carried out liquidity risk and bank performance. On
by firms in the financial services industry. the other hand, Brissimis et al. (2008)
Therefore, an increase in the value of the posits that increased liquid assets seem
provision for loan losses relative to total to reduce bank performance, hence bank
loans is an indication that the bank’s as- capital may have a strategic role in cases
sets are becoming more difficult to collect of liquidity shortages and increased credit
(Tsorhe et al., 2011). risk.
Applying the probit model, Samad (2012) Capital, which is the shareholders’ funds,
finds that three measures of credit risk, plays a pivotal role in almost every aspect
namely credit loss provision to net charge of banking. Capital needs to be appro-
off, loan loss allowance to non-current priately allocated to various bank busi-
loans and non-current loans to loans, pre- ness units to maximize its rate of return
dict 80.17 percent of US bank failure. (Resti & Sironi, 2007). Highly capitalized
Empirical literature is mixed on the effect banks are better able to withstand nega-
of credit risk on the performance of banks. tive shocks. As a result, the introduction
For instance, Berger & De Young (1997), of the Basel III Accord by the BCBS af-
Altunbas et al. (2000), Brissimis et al. ter the financial crisis proposes new cap-
(2008), Anthansoglou et al. (2008), Alp- ital requirements for banks. The capital
er & Anbar (2011), Nawaz et al. (2012), requirement and capital buffer requires
Zhang et al. (2013) find a negative rela- banks to hold relatively higher amounts
tionship with bank performance. On the of capital than under Basel II. Empirical
other hand, Fiordelisi & Molyneux (2010a) studies that have examined the impact of
find a positive relationship between credit capital risk on bank performance include
risk and bank performance. Altunbas et al. (2007), Brissimis et al.
(2008), Fiordelisi et al. (2011) and Zhang
Liquidity risk has recently garnered at- et al. (2013). Mester (1996), Altunbas et
tention from researchers, regulators, and al. (2000), Brissimis et al. (2008) find a
financial institutions after the 2007-2009 negative impact on performance. In con-
financial turmoil (Arif & Anees, 2012). trast, Altunbas et al. (2007) find a positive
The difficulties experienced by some relationship.
banks during this financial crisis have
been attributed to lapses in liquidity risk Market risk is the risk that a financial in-
management. A bank may lose the confi- strument’s value will fluctuate as a result
dence of its depositors if the bank is not of changes in market price, regardless of
able to meet its obligation of providing whether these changes are caused by fac-
funds when demanded. During the finan- tors typical for individual instruments or

African Journal of Management Research (AJMR)


Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al. 6

their issuer (counterparty), or by factors operational risk will often be greater than
pertaining to all the instruments traded the charge for market risk.
on the market (Milanova, 2010). Most of
the aforementioned studies looked at the Despite the clear importance of risk on
impact of risk factors on bank performance bank performance, there seem to be nos-
and considered just a few risk factors as tudies that use SVR as a measure of perfor-
bank-specific drivers of performance; mance in Ghana. This paper, thus, seeks to
Fiordelisi & Molyneux (2010a), however, contribute in closing these gaps.
included the operational and market risk
of both listed and unlisted banks.
Data and Methodology
Their results depict a negative relation- This paper relies on data obtained from
ship between shareholder value ratio and the Banking Supervisory Department
market risk. Though interest rate risk and and Research Department of the Bank
foreign exchange risk can be subsumed of Ghana. Data spanning 2007 to 2015
under market risk (Resti & Sironi, 2007), for each bank was obtained from their
some studies deal with the effect market financial statements. Out of 26 licensed
risk, interest rate risk and foreign ex- banks, 25 were included in the analysis as
change risk have on performance of listed a result of limited data on a new entrant
banks (Sukcharoensin, 2013). Operational bank. Both listed and non-listed banks
risk has also become an area of growing were considered. Monthly stock prices
concern in banking. The increase in the of 6 listed banks, monthly returns of the
sophistication and complexity of banking Ghana Stock Exchange All Share Index
practices has raised both regulatory and (GSE-ASI), and the 91-day Treasury Bill
industry awareness of the need for an ef- Rates were obtained from the Ghana Stock
fective operational risk management and Exchange (GSE). Data on GDP per capita
measurement system (Moscadelli, 2004). was obtained from the World Bank Da-
The Basel II Accord defines operational tabase.
risk as the risk of loss resulting from inad- The relationship between bank risk ex-
equate or failed internal processes, people posures and shareholder value was tested
and systems or from external events. This following the approach of Fiordelisi &
definition includes legal risk but excludes Molyneux (2010a).The model stipulates
strategic and reputational risk (BCBS, a linear relationship between shareholder
2006). In their analysis of the implication value measured as SVR and various bank
of the Advanced Measurement Method idiosyncratic risk measures, macro-level
measure of operational risk, Chapelle et al. risk measures and macroeconomic varia-
(2008) find that an effective management bles. Specifically, we estimated a panel re-
of operational risk can save banks a sub- gression model below, where i represents
stantial amount of money. de Fontnouvelle the cross section of banks in Ghana, and
et al. (2003) confirms this by concluding takes on values. The subscript t denotes
that operational losses are an important the time dimension? is the unobserved
source of risk for large, international ac- bank specific effect.
tive banks, and that the capital charge for

African Journal of Management Research (AJMR)


7 Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al.

We lag the explanatory variables since risk some of the bank’s assets. We included the
factors may take time to influence share- lag of SVR to look at the effect of past per-
holder value. This is because some actions formance in terms of shareholder value on
taken by banks to increase shareholder subsequent year’s performance. As stated
value may take time to pay off. For in- by Fiordelisi & Molyneux (2010a), a rel-
stance, when the borrower of a loan which atively large number of lags are required
matures in a year’s time defaults, this af- to determine how quickly banks' actions
fects the NOPAT of the bank at the end pay off. However, as a result of the limited
of the year. Though this does not happen sample size and the relatively short time
immediately, the effect of changes in mar- span, we settled on just one lag. Moreo-
ket risk such as a decline in exchange rates ver, the AIC and BIC results favour these
could immediately reduce the value of lags.

. (1)

In the model above, Credit Risk (CRED) LB to capture whether a bank is listed on
is measured as the ratio of annual loan loss the GSE or not, FB represents an indige-
provision to total loans of the bank. Cap- nous or foreign bank, and FC represents
ital Risk (CAP)is the ratio of total equity financial crisis or post-financial crisis.
to total assets. Liquidity Risk (LIQ)is cal-
culated as the ratio of total loans to total The dependent variable, bank sharehold-
deposits. Market Risk (MARK) is calcu- er value ratio (SVR), is calculated as the
lated as the ratio of the total amount of ratio of the difference between the bank’s
security investments and total assets. In- NOPAT and the capital charge to the cap-
terest-Rate Risk (INT)is calculated using ital invested in the period t-1. Thus,
the gap ratio, which is given by the ratio
of interest rate sensitive assets to interest
rate sensitive liabilities. The capital charge EVA NOPATi ,t ki ,t 1CoEi ,t
SVRi ,t 1
requirement under Basel II was used to ki , t 1 ki ,t 1
represent Operational Risk (OP). Gross
Domestic Product per capita (GDPP)
and bank concentration represented by is the Net Operating Prof-
Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI)was it After Tax adjusted to reflect training
added as control variables since the macro expenses and Operating Lease Expenses.
environment in which the bank is oper- Training expenses are expenses which aim
ating may have an effect on shareholder to spawn future growth, hence they repre-
value. The GDPP data was obtained from sent intangible investments and should be
the World Bank’s World Development included in the bank’s income statement
indicators database. HHI was calculated (Fiordelisi & Molyneux, 2008). Operat-
focusing on bank deposits. Finally, we in- ing leases are disguised financial expenses
troduce dummy variables in the model; since companies acquire a productive asset

African Journal of Management Research (AJMR)


Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al. 8

and therefore, finance their future produc- makes the endogenous variables predeter-
tion by paying periodic rent (i.e. operat- mined and therefore, not correlated with
ing leases expenses). In the same way, the the error term. Second, time-invariant
operating expenses were added to NOPAT characteristics may be correlated with the
to correct the distortions of accounting explanatory variables. To cope with this
operating profits? is previous year’s capi- problem, the system GMM uses first dif-
tal invested and finally the? is the cost of ference to transform the equation. Third,
equity capital invested and is determined the presence of lagged dependent variable
by using the capital asset pricing model creates the problem of autocorrelation.
(CAPM) as was done by Mensah & Frim- The system GMM corrects this by instru-
pong (2013). menting with the past levels of the first
differenced lagged dependent variable.
We estimate the model in equation (1) Finally, the panel dataset has a short time
above using the system Generalized Meth- dimension (7 years) and relatively large
od of Moments (GMM). From a method- bank dimension (25 banks). The effect of
ology viewpoint, models used in the lit- time-invariant characteristics of a panel
erature to determine the drivers of bank data that has a large time dimension dies
performance are usually OLS, fixed effect off with time. Consequently, the correla-
and random effect models. The nature of tion of the lagged dependent variable with
the dataset requires the use of the system the error term will be insignificant. The
Generalized Method of Moments’ estima- Arellano & Bover (1995) and Arellano &
tor developed by Arellano & Bover (1995) Bond (1991) estimator is designed to han-
and Blundell & Bond (1998). The reason dle small-time dimension and large obser-
for using the system GMM is that some vation panels. The diagnostic tests such
of the explanatory variables in equation as Arellano-Bond test for zero autocorre-
1are likely to be endogenous. To solve lation in the first difference of the error
this problem, the system GMM uses the terms and Sargan test of over identifying
lagged levels of endogenous regressors in restriction is conducted to ensure consist-
addition to the exogenous variables. This ency of the system GMM.

Table 1: Descriptive Statistics of Variables used in the Analysis over the period
2007-2015
Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max
SVRi,t 167 0.281979 0.307795 -0.56894 1.872704
CREDi,t-1 142 0.025614 0.024151 0 0.113858
CAPi,t-1 142 0.164694 0.137124 0.030405 0.870443
LIQi,t-1 142 0.760097 0.356851 0.056506 2.071362
MARKi,t 167 0.243334 0.134341 0 0.770332
INTi,t 167 1.30881 0.7093 0.432418 7.283841
ln(OPi,t-1) 142 15.41953 1.260294 11.60084 17.77238
HHIt 9 739.352 93.27159 651.4492 925.3105
GDPPt 9 784.8436 761.66 10.83452 4667.551

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9 Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al.

Empirical Results are made available for loan loss provision


(proxy for credit risk).The minimum cred-
Table 1 displays the descriptive statistics it risk is zero, which means there was a
of the variables used in the analysis. On period where banks were not making pro-
average, banks in Ghana created value and visions for bad debts;possibly these were
profit for shareholders in the period of new entrant banks. FB is a dummy var-
our sample as the mean shareholder value iable which represents bank ownership
ratio is considerably positive. The share- with 0 being an indigenous bank and 1
holder value ratio ranges between -0.56 representing a foreign bank. As well, LB
percent and 1.87percent. Turning to the is a dummy variable with 0 representing a
risk taking variables, the financing ratio listed bank while 1 represents a non-listed
which serves as a proxy for liquidity risk bank whereas for FC, 0 represents post fi-
indicates that on average, loans amount to nancial crisis and 1 represent thefinancial
76 percent of total deposits. On average, crisis period (2007-2008). HHI represents
approximately 2.6 percent of total loans bank concentration.

Variable SVRi,t CRED CAP LIQ MARK INT Ln(OP )


SVR 1

CRED 0.0951 1
CAP 0.2973*** 0.0321 1
LIQ 0.1077 0.0555 0.0191 1
MARK 0.0764 0.2219*** 0.387*** 0.3245*** 1
INT 0.1281* 0.1493* 0.3627*** 0.0636 0.4239*** 1
ln(OP ) 0.1583* 0.0125 0.5255*** 0.0518 0.0537 0.0467 1
The symbols *, **, *** represent significance at 10%, 5%, and 1% respectively.

In Table 2 above, most of the independent Fiordelisi & Molyneux (2010a) who also
variables considered show statistical sig- proxied credit risk by its lags. Studies that
nificance correlations with the shareholder found a negative relationship looked at the
value measure (SVR).Table 3 reports the immediate effect of credit risk on perfor-
empirical results obtained from the esti- mance.
mated model. It includes the coefficients
and standard errors of the explanatory We proxied credit risk by the ratio of
variables considered in the analysis. We loan loss provisions to total loans and
find a positive relationship between cred- used the first lag. The argument is that a
it risk and shareholder value ratio which bank would make huge provisions for bad
is in contrast to the negative relationship loans if it expects to have a high level of
established in the literature. However, defaults. A bank would therefore have a
this is consistent with results obtained by large portfolio of loans and borrowers so as

African Journal of Management Research (AJMR)


Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al. 10

to minimize the effect of defaults. Thus, the provisions are used to smooth profits
the bank is taking on high risk and ex- and, therefore, minimize or completely
pects to have higher income which in turn remove the effect of credit risk on share-
leads to higher shareholder value. This holders’ value. The positive relationship
could explain the positive relationship be- also means the prior credit risk provision
tween credit risk and shareholder value. of a bank will have a positive impact on
Even if borrowers default, since the bank shareholder value in the ensuing year.
made provisions for these expected losses,

Table 3: Relationship between Shareholder Value and its Determinants

Variable Coef. Std. Err. Z

SVR 0.3207*** 0.0419 7.65


CRED 3.9602*** 0.7379 5.37
CAP 1.3512 **** 0.2479 5.45
INT 0.0879 **** 0.0383 2.34
Ln(OP ) 0.04526** 0.0199 2.27
LB 0.3559 0.3144 1.13
FB 0.4823** 0.1983 2.43
FC 0.1033 0.0829 1.25
HHI 0.0010* 0.0005 2.00
GDPP 0.0004*** 0.0001 4.24
Test p value
Sargan Test 0.3447
AB test AR(1) 0.0529
AB test AR(2) 0.6205
Wald 2 0
Doornik Hansen 0.5111
The symbols *,**,*** represent significance at 10%, 5%, and 1% respectively

At 1% significance level, capital risk by Brissimis et al. (2008). The negative


at time t-1 has a negative influence on impact of capital risk on shareholder val-
the value created for shareholders in the ue indicates that banks with low capital
Ghanaian banking industry. This con- risk fair better in terms of value created
forms to results found in the literature for shareholders. The higher the ratio of

African Journal of Management Research (AJMR)


11 Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al.

equity to total asset of banks, the higher is in accordance with the findings of Anth-
its exposure to capital risk, and this badly asoglou et al. (2008). This positive effect
affects value created for the bank’s equity suggests that an increase in shareholder
holders. A bank’s exposure to capital risk value in a particular year would positively
can be reduced by minimizing this ratio. influence the value created for sharehold-
ers in the subsequent year. The positive
Surprisingly, the results from the Table relationship also suggests that an increase
indicate that liquidity risk at time t-1 in the value created for shareholders could
has an insignificant effect on sharehold- lead to access to more funds, which leads
er value. Since we used the first lag, it is to increase value created in the subsequent
possible that banks in Ghana are able to year.
handle their liquidity risk exposures such
that their impact is eliminated in the en- Finally, with regards to the control vari-
suing year. ables used, FB, HHI and GDP per Cap-
ital have a significant positive impact on
The results indicate a negative relationship shareholder value in the Ghanaian banking
between interest rate risk and sharehold- industry. Results indicate that an increase
er value ratio. This comes as no surprise, in concentration of banks in the country
since a major concern in the Ghanaian causes an increase in shareholder value.
banking industry is banks’ exposure to Moreover, foreign banks tend to create
changes in interest rates. Managing these relatively higher value for their sharehold-
risks requires banks' efforts to reduce the ers than do indigenous banks. There was
amount of their interest bearing assets or also no significant relationship between
increase their non-interest bearing assets LB and shareholder value, which is in
or both. In contrast to previous studies accordance with the finding of Fiordelisi
(Sukcharoensin, 2013) that find a signifi- & Molyneux (2010a). Whether a bank is
cant relationship between bank sharehold- listed or not does not have any influence
er value and market risk, we find an insig- on shareholder value. This is true in the
nificant relationship. sense that listed banks on the GSE seem
In the literature, operational risk has a to be dormant in terms of the returns they
negative impact on bank performance yield for shareholders. Moreover, returns
and reputation (e.g. Gillet et al., 2009). on the GSE have been stable and the trade
Our estimated model also indicates a off between risk and return does not apply
significant negative relationship between to the GSE. Though financial institutions
the first lag of operational risk and have been encouraged to list on the Ex-
shareholder value. Any operational risk change, our findings show that doing so
exposures of Ghanaian banks reduce the would not have any significant effect on
value created for shareholders at least in value created for shareholders. FC has an
the first year. insignificant effect on bank performance
which confirms the assertion the financial
In addition, we find the first lag of share- crisis had no effect on the Ghanaian bank-
holder value ratio to be significant at one ing industry.
percent, which endorses the use of the sys-
tem generalized method of moments. This

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Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al. 12

In order to judge the adequacy of our mod- holder value and results are consistent
el, we report the Sargan test of over iden- with the literature.
tification restrictions in Table 3. The null
hypothesis of the test is that over iden- Results show a positive relationship be-
tifying restrictions are valid. This tests tween credit risk and shareholder value.
whether the instrumental variables are not This is quite novel because literature has
correlated with the residuals. We fail to it that the relationship between credit
reject the null hypothesis since the p-value risk and performance is negative. An ex-
is 0.2595 and conclude that the over iden- planation to this result is that Ghanaian
tifying restrictions are valid. Failure to re- banks have a large portfolio of loans and
ject the null hypothesis of the Sargan test profits—and for that matter, shareholder
supports the use of the system GMM esti- value—is enhanced to compensate for the
mator. Similarly, we test for zero autocor- higher level of risk taken in giving cred-
relation in the first-differenced errors. The it. A further explanation could be that
GMM assumption is that the first differ- Ghanaian banks make provisions that are
ence errors should not be serially correlat- commensurate with possible loan losses
ed. The hypothesis of the Arellano-Bond hence, in the event of default, loan loss
test for zero autocorrelation is that the provisions are used to smoothen profits.
differenced errors term is not first order We also find a negative relationship be-
or second order serially correlated. Again, tween capital risk and shareholder value.
we fail to reject the null hypothesis of no The equity to asset ratio (capital risk) de-
first order and second order, which sup- clined over the period considered in this
ports the model specification. The Wald analysis, supporting the conventional
has a p-value of 0.000 which indicates risk-return hypothesis that lower capital
the model’s goodness of fit. risk exposure has the tendency to increase
We also performed the Doornik-Hansen shareholder value. Highly capitalised
test for multivariate normality. We fail to Ghanaian banks must make use of surplus
reject the null hypothesis of multivariate capital to create value for their sharehold-
normality of the data and conclude that ers. Consequently, increasing shareholder
the residuals are normally distributed. value will ultimately build investor con-
fidence and attract prospective investors.
Thirdly, we find that liquidity risk has a
Conclusion and Recommendation negative but an insignificant impact on
shareholder value. Since we used the first
This study investigates the relationship lag of liquidity risk, it is possible that
between shareholder value and risk fac- banks in Ghana are able to handle their li-
tors of 25 listed and non-listed Ghana- quidity risk exposures such that its impact
ian banks using data spanning the period is eliminated in the ensuing year.
2007 to 2015. The GMM dynamic panel
model was used to determine the drivers In addition, we find that operational risk
of shareholder value measured by Share- has a negative effect on shareholder val-
holder Value Ratio. As expected, most of ue. That is, operational risk exposures of
the risk factors considered were found to Ghanaian banks reduce the value created
be statistically significant drivers of share- for shareholders at least in the first year.

African Journal of Management Research (AJMR)


13 Bank Risk Control and Shareholder Value Creation Mensah et al.

Nonetheless, over the period considered, it, capital, interest rate and operational
there has not been any major report or an- risks have an impact on shareholder val-
nouncement of operational failure in the ue in the subsequent year and should be
banking industry. This could mean that at the top of Ghanaian banks’ risk-man-
the capital charge requirement stipulated agement priority list. We postulate that
in the Basel II Accord is possibly good at to increase shareholder value, banks in
mitigating the operational risk exposure Ghana can accept the risk by approving
of banks. Similarly, interest risk has, at more loans while making provisions that
5% significant level, a negative impact on are commensurate with credit risk. Banks
shareholder value of Ghanaian banks. in Ghana can increase shareholder value
by reducing the ratio of equity to total as-
We recommend that banks should concen- sets (capital risk). It is recommended that
trate on bank specific risk rather than the banks focus on reducing interest sensitive
macro risk in order to increase shareholder liabilities so as to absorb the impact of in-
value in the Ghanaian banking industry. terest rate risk on shareholder value.
Specifically, the analysis reveals that cred-

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