Professional Documents
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REAL ESTATE
R E S I D E N T I A L A N D O F F I C E M A R K E T - J U LY - D E C E M B E R 2 0 2 1
2 I N DI A REAL ESTATE
Mumbai HO
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
Paville House, Near Twin Towers,
Off. Veer Savarkar Marg, Prabhadevi,
Mumbai 400 025, India
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Bengaluru
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
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#148 Infantry Road,
Bengaluru 560001, India
Tel: 080 40732600 / 22385515
Pune
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
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Magarpatta City, Hadapsar,
Pune 411 013, India
Tel: 020 67491500 / 30188500;
Chennai
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
1st Floor, Centre block, Sunny Side,
8/ 17, Shafee Mohammed Road,
Nungambakkam, Chennai 600 006, India
Tel: 04 4 4296 9000
Gurgaon
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
Office Address: 1505-1508, 15th Floor, Tower B,
Signature Towers South City 1,
Gurgaon 122 001, India
Tel: 0124 4782700;
Hyderabad
Western Dallas Centre, 5th floor, Office #3,
Hyderabad Knowledge City,
Survey No. 83/ 1, Raidurg, Serilingampally Mandal,
Ranga Reddy District, Telangana
Hyderabad - 500 032, India
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Kolkata
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Ahmedabad
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Vastrapur, Ahmedabad – 380015
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www.knightfrank.co.in/research
3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE
WARLI PAINTING -
THE HISTORY OF A TRIBAL ART FORM
India has a rich tradition of folk arts the custodians of which are the many tribes that live in the
interiors of various states. Warli art is a beautiful folk art of Maharashtra, traditionally created
by the tribal womens. Tribals are the Warli and Malkhar koli tribes found on the northern
outskirts of Mumbai, in Western India. This art was first explored in the early seventies &
from then it was named as “Warli art”. Tribal people express themselves in vivid styles
through paintings which they execute on the walls of their house. This was the only means
of transmitting folklore to a populace not acquainted with the written word. Warli paintings
were mainly done by the women folk. The most important aspect of the painting is that it does
not depicts mythological characters or images of deities, but depict social life. Pictures of
human beings and animals, along with scenes from daily life are created in a loose rhythmic
pattern. Warli paintings are painted white on mud walls. The paintings are beautifully executed
and resembles pre-historic cave paintings in execution and usually depict scenes of human
figures engaged in activities like hunting, dancing, sowing and harvesting.
4 I N DI A REAL ESTATE
CONTENT
ALL INDIA AHMEDABAD BENGALURU
FOREWORD
S H I S H I R B A I JA L
C H A I R M A N A N D M A N AG I N G D I R E CTO R
K N I G H T F R A N K ( I N D I A ) P V T. LT D.
This time last year, India had just started to come out of the first Having said that, the IT sector has been actively hiring in the
wave of COVID-19, and sections of the Indian business were past year. And we are certain that this will create a requirement
beginning to revive. However, even before this revival could for additional office space in the new year. The incremental
settle, India was hit by the far deadlier Delta variant. The second office space take up expected from the hiring by just the top 5 IT
wave set back the growth momentum yet again with a greater companies in India is estimated to be at around 12 mn sq ft.
number of casualties being recorded. From an economic
To conclude, I would like to add that before the pandemic, we
perspective, this weakened the sentiments.
had noticed a divergent trend in office leasing and residential
Interestingly however, the real estate sector witnessed an sales over the last decade or so. Whilst office leasing had grown
unexpected fallout of the pandemic, a paradigm shift in the year after year, residential sales had declined over time.
attitude of end users for residential properties. The residential
After a long time, we feel that both these important sectors will
sector saw growth after consistent slowdowns over 7 years.
start showing simultaneous growth in the coming year. The only
Sales volumes grew substantially over the last 5 quarters, mostly
thing that casts a shadow of doubt on this revival is a possible
because of the change in viewpoint of the end users, who
third wave.
perhaps due to the uncertainty caused by the pandemic, started
gravitating towards the security of home ownership. With warm wishes for a bright 2022, I present to you the 16th
edition of Knight Frank India’s flagship half yearly report –
Ownership of home does provide a strong sense of stability.
‘India Real Estate 2021’. This report attempts to capture the
The growth in sales was of course, aided by the decadal low
developments in office and residential through the last year and
home loan interest regime, falling house prices, as well as
I hope that this endeavor enriches your engagement with the
demand stimulant measures undertaken by some of the State
India property market.
Governments. The resurgence started with Mumbai and Pune
soon after the rebate on stamp duty was introduced in Q3 2020. Stay safe and stay healthy.
HAS THE
REAL ESTATE
RA JA N I S I N HA
CHIEF ECONOMIST &
N AT I O N A L D I R E C T O R
RESEARCH
CYCLE TURNED?
India’s real estate sector, specifically the residential segment, has shown quick recovery from the pandemic
induced crisis. A number of factors like low interest rates, fall in house prices and state governments’ stimulus, have
supported the housing market revival in 2021. The key question now is whether the housing market bounce back will
sustain in 2022. It is critical to assess if, after almost a decade of slowdown, the real estate cycle has indeed turned.
7 I NDI A REAL ESTATE
While initially, the pandemic posed a severe setback for the real estate The speculators and investors have been missing from the Indian real
sector, the quick bounce-back took everyone by surprise. In fact, the estate market as this asset class has shown poor returns in the last few
pandemic turned into a strong factor supporting housing demand. years. As far as the interest rate is concerned, it is expected to start
Not just in India, there has been a worldwide surge in housing demand inching up given the inflationary concerns. This would have an impact
during the pandemic. The surge in housing demand was supported on overall housing affordability. The interest rate hike too is likely to
by low interest rates everywhere. During the pandemic, people felt the be gradual given the growth uncertainties of the economy. Hence, a
need for bigger and better houses. As a result, in spite of uncertain gradual increase in prices and interest rates in the next few months
times, households chose to channelize their savings to create a real may not destabilize the housing growth momentum.
estate asset. Globally, the housing boom has been accompanied by
A fairly critical aspect in this turnaround story will be the household
a sharp rise in housing prices, resulting in fears of the forming of a
income, which in turn will depend not just on overall economic growth
housing bubble. In India, however, the housing sales surge has not
but also on the quality of growth. While India’s economy is projected
been accompanied by rising prices so far. Housing prices in India,
to grow by around 8% in FY 2023, there could be lot of hiccups with
having fallen in the last few years, stabilized in the last few months.
further waves of COVID remaining a concern. A strong hiring trend
So, while there is the fear of a house price bubble burst globally, such
has been seen in India’s IT sector and that should support household
concerns are not visible in India as yet.
income. The unorganized sector and the MSME segment, on the other
In many countries, like China for example, the housing sector is hand, have been hit hard by the pandemic and need to bounce back. A
struggling with the high leverage taken by many of the players. The large part of India’s housing story is led by affordable housing and for
recent default by Chinese real estate behemoths like Evergrande and this category to do well, it is critical for the income at the bottom of the
Kaisa has highlighted this concern. In India on the contrary, there has pyramid to grow.
been a cleanup of balance sheets of the real estate players in the past
Will India’s real estate sector rise like a phoenix from the ashes? It
few years, with many of them deleveraging. For the top 10 real estate
may be early to pronounce a final verdict on this given that pandemic
developers, the debt to equity ratio has fallen from 1.40 in 2016 to 1.17
related risks for the sector as well as the economy still persist. The
in 2021. The slowdown in the sector in the last few years has resulted
important aspect is that stakeholders of the sector like buyers, sellers
in only players with better financial health surviving. Structural reforms
and financial institutions have learnt their lessons from excesses of
like RERA and GST in recent years, have led to consolidation and
the past. Hopefully, they will be cautious this time around and that
formalization of the sector.
should help sustain the turnaround, provided overall economic growth
Funding remains a challenge for the real estate sector, especially for momentum is maintained.
the smaller players. Banks have become cautious in the pandemic
period resulting in the falling of outstanding bank credit to the
commercial real estate sector by 0.3% in the current year compared to
the previous year. In FY 2020, bank credit to the commercial real estate
sector grew by a strong 29% before petering down in subsequent
months. The other critical issue in the sector was that of large unsold
inventory. While it fell from a peak of 7 lakh units (for Top 8 cities) in
2014, unsold inventory still remains high at around 4.4 lakh units. The
government has set up the SWAMIH fund to help in funding stuck
projects in the affordable housing segment. While the fund has helped,
it is a time-consuming process with its own set of challenges.
Now, the critical questions are whether housing prices and interest
rates will start rising in the next year, and if that will result in the fading
out of the housing growth momentum. With raw material prices, land
and labour costs increasing, housing prices are expected to increase
going forward. The strong demand will enable the developers to pass
on the increase in construction cost. However, the price increase is
likely to be gradual and not as sharp as that being witnessed in many
of the other countries. The housing sales boom in India has so far been
led by end-user demand, hence the price rise is likely to be marginal.
8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A
ALL
INDIA
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A
R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
A L L IN D I A M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
2 3 2 ,3 8 2 58% 1 29,1 4 4 50% 70 ,1 77 19 %
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
2 3 2 ,9 0 3 51 % 1 3 3 ,487 41 % 6 9,477 9%
( hous i n g u n i ts )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021
10.0 16.4
(housing units) Change (YoY)
1,60,000
1,41,341
1,35,016
1,33,487
1,40,000
1,29,285
1,29,144
1,18,040
1,26,865
1,26,616
1,24,288
1,20,755
1,17,200
1,16,576
1,12,150
1,11,175
1,20,000
1,09,159
1,07,316
1,07,120
1,03,238
99,416
94,997
91,739
1,00,000
89,509
86,139
No. of units
80,000
68,702
62,738
60,489
59,538
60,000
40,832
40,000
20,000
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
11 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A
• The COVID-19 pandemic has dictated market movements since from 35% to 37% and 20% to 21% respectively, during the same
the beginning of 2020. The first wave of infections that struck the reference period.
country in Q2 2020 caused a near shutdown in business activity
• The significant increase in sales activity also stemmed the fall
and a consequent crash in residential market volumes during the
in residential prices seen in 2020. Price levels in seven of the
period. The gradual resumption of economic activity and increasing
eight markets under review were observed to remain at the same
availability of the vaccine sparked market traction in the second
level or record marginal growth in H2 2021 on a YoY basis. While
half of 2020 and this momentum carried over to 2021. The second
developers offered flexible payment schemes to push sales across
wave of infections in Q2 2021 again curtailed homebuyer and
markets, the incidence of direct discounts reduced dramatically
development activity alike as was seen during the first wave.
during H2 2021.
• However, the pandemic’s ultimate impact on the real estate market
• With increased launches in line with the pick-up in sales, the
has been quite paradoxical as it has reignited the need for personal
unsold inventory level by the end of 2021 remained steady at 0.44
space and housing in the homebuyer’s mind. With the second
mn units, at around the same level as seen at the end of 2020.
wave having run its course by the end of Q2 2021, an improving
The quarters-to-sell (QTS) level was also similarly steady at 10.0
economic/business environment, increased understanding of
quarters in H2 2021, as compared to 10.1 quarters in H2 2020.
the pandemic and focus on vaccinations had already helped the
QTS shows the number of quarters required to exhaust the unsold
residential market stage a smart recovery in Q3 2021 and the fourth
inventory and is calculated by dividing the existing unsold inventory
quarter held the promise of a sustained recovery.
by average sales of the eight trailing quarters from the analysis
• Market traction did not disappoint in Q4 2021 despite concerns period to avoid seasonal volatility.
of the Omicron variant which ultimately had very little impact on
• The residential market turned a corner in 2021 with sales
the residential market, if at all. In terms of half-yearly sales, H2
momentum consistently improving over the year. Homebuyer
2021 posted the highest sales volume since H1 2016. Low interest
sentiments were not dented by concerns over the Omicron variant
rates, improving affordability, high savings rate during 2020 and a
arising late in Q4 2021. The industry continues to consolidate
resurging interest in home ownership due to the space constraints
with residential developments steadily shifting into the hands of
imposed by the pandemic, have been the primary drivers of this
stronger developers who have been able to weather the economic
revival in demand.
storm created by the pandemic. While ready inventory remains a
• Developers were quick to realise this seismic shift in sentiment strong preference for homebuyers, established developers with a
and launched almost 0.13 mn units in H2 2021, a six year high in robust execution record are increasingly finding a market for their
the annual volume of units launched and 50% higher than H2 under-construction inventory.
2020. It is noteworthy that these higher launch volumes occurred
despite a significant rise in the cost of input material such as
cement and steel. The labour scarcity prevailing in H1 2021 was also
alleviated to a large extent with developers committing to facilitate
accommodation on-site.
• Mumbai and Pune accounted for 41% of the sales during H2 2021
even as the Maharashtra stamp duty cut window, credited for
boosting sales volumes in these two markets, closed in March
2021.
A F F O RDA BI L I T Y M AT RIX
CHENNAI 51 % 26% 25 %
ME TH O D O LO GY
The Knight Frank Affordability Index indicates the proportion of income that a household requires, to fund the monthly instalment (EMI) of a housing
unit in a particular city. So, a Knight Frank Affordability index level of 40% for a city implies that on an average, households in that city need to spend
40% of their income to fund the EMI of housing loan for that unit. An EMI/ Income ratio over 50% is considered unaffordable as it is the limit beyond
which banks rarely underwrite a mortgage
AS S U M P T I O N S
• EMI, housing unit size and price/ sq ft represent city-level averages.
• EMI:
• Area of housing unit: House size is fixed for each city across the years, but varies within different cities taking into account the average size
preference for each city.
21 23
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn>
60,000
50,000
40,000
36 35
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
30,000
20,000
43 42
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn
10,000
0
H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
LAUNCHES SALES
CITY
H2 2021 (YOY CHANGE) 2021 (YOY CHANGE) H2 2021 (YOY CHANGE) 2021 (YOY CHANGE)
R ES I D E N T I A L M ARKET HEALTH IN H2 2 02 1
MUMBAI 1 5 3 ,9 5 0 (5 % ) 1 1 .0
NCR 9 6 ,1 8 6 (-1 3 % ) 1 3 .7
PUNE 5 0,8 1 2 (7 % ) 6 .3
CHENNAI 1 2 ,8 5 4 (5 % ) 5 .0
HYDERABAD 1 8 ,5 9 8 (1 5 9 % ) 4.3
AHMEDABAD 1 6 ,2 3 1 (5 5 % ) 8 .4
R ES I D E N T I A L P RI C E M OVE M E NT
MUMBAI 74,1 1 0 (6 ,8 8 5 ) 1% 2%
BENGALURU 5 5 ,43 5 (5 ,1 5 0 ) 4% 4%
PUNE 43 ,0 5 6 (4,0 0 0 ) 0% 0%
CHENNAI 43 ,5 94 (4,0 5 0 ) 7% 0%
HYDERABAD 5 0 ,8 0 6 (4,720 ) 5% 0%
AHMEDABAD 3 0 ,1 3 9 (2,8 0 0 ) 0% 0%
OFF I C E M A RK ET
IN DIA M A RKE T S U M M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
3 .6 0 (3 8 .7) 9% 2.20 (23 .7) 38% 1 .1 0 (1 1 .8 ) 0%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transa ct i o n s
3 .5 4 (3 8 .1 ) -3 % 2.40 (25 .9) 1 7% 1 .24 (1 3 .3 ) 6%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Stock 2021
Vacancy % 2021
mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY)
77.10 5% 17.2%
(830.1) 177 basis points increase
1 6 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A
4.0
3.48
3.5
3.08
3.0
2.55
2.40
2.40
2.5
2.23
2.22
2.20
2.18
Mn sq m
2.09
2.06
2.02
1.99
1.95
1.94
1.90
1.87
2.0
1.81
1.75
1.71
1.70
1.60
1.59
1.54
1.5 1.39
1.28
1.14
1.04
1.0
0.5
0.0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
17 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A
• 2021 began on a positive note with the first quarter of the year and Mumbai accounted for 62% of the new completions with
showing encouraging signs of recovery and growth, but the much Bengaluru seeing the most space delivered at 0.6 mn sq m (6.8 mn
more intense second wave of the pandemic curtailed market sq ft).
traction in Q2 2021. However, improving economic fundamentals
• There was a dip in rentals on a YoY basis across most markets in
and business environment coupled with a better understanding of
2021. However, rental levels across markets were observed to be
the pandemic encouraged corporate India to gradually return to
stabilizing towards the end of the year.
office in the second half of the year. 2.4 mn sq m (25.9 mn sq ft) of
office space was transacted during H2 2021 compared to 1.14 mn • Despite the uncertainty regarding the Omicron variant of the
1 7.2%
1 6 .7%
18%
1 6 .6 %
of 1.08 mn sq m (11.7 mn sq ft).
1 5 .4%
1 5 .6 %
15 .1 %
the need for flexibility and a hybrid working environment has been 14%
11. 6%
NCR 8 8 4 (8 2.1 ) 0% 1%
41% I nfo rm at i o n Tec hno l o g y 27 %
CHENNAI 6 27 (5 8 .3 ) -3 % -3%
18% Ot her S erv i c es 19%
HYDERABAD 6 6 1 (6 1 .4) 0% 0%
KOLKATA 3 75 (3 4.8 ) -3 % 0%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
N ote : B FS I includes B FSI support services
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
CHENNAI 0.2 5 (2 .7 ) (-1 5 % ) 0 .3 6 (3 .9) (-1 4%) 0 .0 9 (0 .9) (1 3 5 9%) 0 .1 6 (1. 8) (- 47% )
MUMBAI 1 1 5 2 (1 0 7) -8 % -2%
NCR 8 8 4 (8 2.1 ) 0% 1%
PUNE 721 (6 7) - 4% 2%
CHENNAI 6 27 (5 8 .3 ) -3 % -3%
HYDERABAD 6 6 1 (6 1 .4) 0% 0%
KO L KATA 3 75 (3 4.8 ) -3 % 0%
AHMEDABAD
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
2 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D
R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
A H ME DABAD M ARKET SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
1 4,6 48 99% 8 ,422 77% 4,1 6 5 -2%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
8 ,9 1 1 3 7% 4,70 3 18% 3 ,0 96 9 3%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r ic e in I N R /s q m I N R 3 1 ,1 3 9
0% - - - 0%
(INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 2 ,8 0 0 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021
8.4 8.8
(housing units) Change (YoY)
10,000
9,075
8,809
8,556
9,000
8,501
8,422
8,212
8,087
8,101
8,089
8,062
7,941
7,800
7,751
8,000
7,491
7,400
7,000
6,226
6,000
5,200
No. of units
4,745
5,000
4,208
4,000 3,986
3,398
2,943
2916
2,844
2,627
3,000
2,520
1,874
2,000
1323
1,000
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
2 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D
• The resumption of business activity and increasing availability of low at 8.8 quarters, a steady fall from the 12.3 quarters in 2019
the vaccine spurred market traction in the second half of 2021. and 10.1 quarters in 2020, signifying the increasing rate at which
Demand had improved steadily since H2 2020 and culminated ready inventory is getting consumed in the market. Also, the
in the quarterly sales hitting an eight quarter high in Q4 2021 at limited price discount for under construction property still does not
3,096 units, a 10% growth compared to Q4 2020. While the second warrant undertaking development execution risks unless it is with
wave was far more intense in terms of the spread of infections, it established developers in highly sought-after locations.
was perceived as more of a speed bump by homebuyers with a
• While the growth in sales has been encouraging, the fall in prices
reignited need for housing with larger spaces and better amenities.
was stemmed in H2 2021 with the market maintaining the same
• Sales grew by a strong 37% YoY to 8,911 units in 2021 as price level seen a year ago. Ahmedabad is the cheapest residential
sentiments improved over the year. Gauging the changing mood of market among the eight under review and also has the most
the market, developers upped the ante and launched 14,648 units favourable affordability index level (EMI/household income ratio)
in 2021, a 99% YoY growth and the highest annual tally in the past of 20%. This means that a typical household in the city will need to
four years. spend 20% of its income to pay the EMI for a housing loan.
• Homebuyers were willing to scout for buying opportunities in the • Unsold inventory has risen 55% YoY at the end of H2 2021 but at
outskirts for properties that would afford them a significant lifestyle 16,231 units, it is still less than half of what the market carried in
upgrade. Over the course of the year, plotted developments in 2016. The increasing market depth seen in 2021 is an encouraging
gated communities found favour with homebuyers and even sign and improving sentiments along with the very favourable
investors looking to achieve just that. affordability scenario should support market volumes going
forward.
• There has been a gradual decrease in the share of sales with ticket
sizes < INR 5 mn since 2018. The share of sales in this category
has shrunk from 76% in H1 2018 to 69% in H2 2021. The shift in
demand to the INR 5-10 mn ticket size has been significant over
the past few years, from 15% in H1 2018 to 23% in H2 2021. This
trend has been observed across locations due to the need for
upgrading the family’s primary residence and to accommodate
work and study from home requirements.
12%
18%
2 8%
30%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
16% 03%
Cen tral 12% 18%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021 East 1 6% 3%
North 36% 41%
14%
18%
24%
30%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
03%
Cen tral 14% 18%
20%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021 East 20% 3%
08% North 34% 38%
Sou th 8% 11%
11%
38% West 24% 30%
34%
A H ME DABAD T I C KE T SIZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m
DUR IN G H 2 2 0 2 0 AND H2 2 02 1
31,500
H2 2020 H2 2021
31,000
9 8
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn> 30,500
30,000
29,500
22 23
29,000
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
28,500
28,000
27,500
69 69
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn 27,000
26,500
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
EAST 1 ,8 1 0 (1 3 % ) 6 .6 1 6. 80
W EST 5 ,6 2 6 (5 6%) 1 0 .8 1 6. 9 7
OFF I C E M ARK ET
A H ME DA BAD M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Co mplet io n s
0 .2 3 (2.5 ) -51 % 0 .1 3 (1 .4) - 4 4% 0 .0 3 (0 .3 ) -7 1%
mn sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transact io n s
0 .1 0 (1.1 ) -1 2% 0 .0 7 (0 .7) -1 0 .5 % 0 .0 4 (0 .4) - 4 4%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Averag e t ra n sa cte d re n t i n I N R /s q m /m o nt h
4 3 3 (4 0.3 ) -2.0 % - - - 0%
(INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
3.16(34.0) 8% 45.9%
74 basis points increase
27 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D
0.30
0.25
0.24
0.25
0.23
0.21
0.21
0.20
0.20
Mn sq m
0.15
0.13
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.09
0.10
0.08
0.08
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.04
0.04
0.05
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.00
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
2 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D
• The Ahmedabad office market was adversely impacted by the • While transaction momentum picked up towards the end of the
turbulence caused by the second wave of the pandemic during H1 year, the market still faces significant challenges, especially with
2021. While transaction volumes have recovered since then in H2 concerns of a third wave weighing down on corporate expansion
2021, the 0.07 mn sq m (0.7 mn sq ft) transacted during this period plans. The high vacancy level continues to put pressure on rent
are 10.5% lower in YoY terms. growth. The rate at which new office spaces have been coming
online will need to continue to reduce, or the market will be hard
• Office completion levels fell by 44% in H2 2021 to 0.13 mn sq
pressed to maintain equilibrium.
m (1.4 mn sq ft). Incidentally, 2021 marked the first time that the
Ahmedabad market saw a de-growth in annual completions since
2015. This has helped stabilize the extremely high vacancy level at AHMEDABAD OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
45.9%. At 70 basis points higher (bps) YoY, the rise in the vacancy
50%
4 5. 9 %
level is still much below the 180 basis points seen cumulatively by
4 5. 8%
4 5. 2 %
the eight cities under our review.
45%
41 . 7 %
• Market momentum increased towards the end of the year with Q4
2021 transaction volumes rising 37% compared to the preceding
3 5. 9 %
quarter. However, news of the Omicron variant caused deferment of 40%
3 4.0 %
many deals to the subsequent quarter.
35%
• CBD West continued to attract occupier interest due to the growing
infrastructure and new office space development occurring
26 .4%
here in recent times. 58% of the volume transacted during H2 30%
2021 occurred in CBD West locations on Bopal-Ambli Road,
24.6 %
23 .7%
Keshavbaug, SG Highway and Shyamal Cross Road. 22.2%
25%
• A lease of 0.01 mn sq m (0.14 mn sq ft) inked by HDFC Bank
20 .1 %
1 9.6 %
• The PBD accounted for 22% of the space transacted during H2 10%
2021. The second largest deal during this period was a 0.01 mn sq
m (0.12 mn sq ft) lease signed by IT company Arrow Electronics at 5%
Ognaj in the PBD.
• While Information Technology (IT) companies were the largest PBD Gandhinagar, GIFT City
takers of managed office spaces, an increasing number of
CBD Ashram Road, Ellis Bridge, Paldi
occupiers from the manufacturing and Other Services sectors were
also observed to be taking up co-working spaces during H2 2021.
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
2 9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D
01%
2 1%
22 % M I CR O- M A R K ET H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1
33% CB D 1% 21%
CB D WEST 33% 58%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021
PB D 66% 22%
66%
5 8%
SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI ZE T REND Average deal size in sq m
H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1 3500
34% B FS I 38%
2800
45% I nfo rm at i o n Tec hno l o g y 31%
sq m
02 % C o -wo rk i ng 17 %
1400
05% Ot her S erv i c es 06%
0
H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
P BD 3 23 - 43 1 (3 0 - 40 ) - 4% -2%
BENGALURU
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
3 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U
R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
B E N GALU RU M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
3 0,6 0 7 5 4% 1 7,21 8 8 9% 8 ,421 9 1%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
3 8 ,0 3 0 61% 23 ,21 8 1 0 4% 1 1 ,8 8 1 83%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r ic e in I N R /s q m I N R 5 5 ,43 5
4.4% - - - 4. 0%
(INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 5 ,15 0 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021
8.7 15.9
(housing units) Change (YoY)
30000
28,225
27,848
26,220
25,803
24,281
24,190
25000
23,218
22,234
21,400
21,210
20,894
20,309
19,851
20000
17,973
17,218
15,556
No. of units
14,812
14,026
13,389
13,336
13,395
15000
12,878
12,177
11,826
11,402
10,806
9,123
8,384
10000
5000
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
3 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U
• Q1 2021 was a strong period for the Bengaluru residential market • With sales level ahead of launches in each successive year since
and the COVID-19 second wave in Q2 2021 was expected to serve 2015, unsold inventory has fallen to its lowest level in the last 10
only as a temporary blip. Expectedly so, coming out of the second years. The quarters-to-sell (QTS) stands at a healthy 9 quarters for
wave and with rapidly scaling up of vaccination drives, Q3 and Q4 the market raising expectations of a continuing strong momentum
recorded sales growth of 131% and 83% YoY respectively. in 2022.
• Omicron related developments towards the end of Q4 2021 did not • With improved demand supply dynamics in the market and a
have any material influence on home buyer decision making and positive homebuyer outlook, the average price level increased by
accordingly, sales momentum across segments remained strong 4.4% YoY during Q4 2021. Although the price increase was broad
during the period. based across ready and under construction properties, it was more
prominent in new project launches.
• Thus, on the back of a strong second half performance, Bengaluru
residential market witnessed a 61% YoY jump in sales in 2021. With
housing sales of 38,030 units in 2021, the city ranked as the 2nd
largest market in the country next only to Mumbai.
• Mid and high-end ticket size segments (INR 5 mn and above) saw
their share rising from 65% in H2 2020 to 68% in H2 2021 as
consumers preferred bigger apartments and better projects to
accommodate increased space and lifestyle requirements.
Central MG Road, Lavelle Road, Langford Town, Vittal Mallya Road, Richmond Road
East Whitefield, Old Airport Road, Old Madras Road, KR Puram, Marathahalli
South Koramangala, Sarjapur Road, Jayanagar, JP Nagar, HSR Layout, Kanakapura Road, Bannerghatta Road
21%
26%
B E N GALU RU T I C KE T SIZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m
DUR IN G H 2 2 0 2 0 AND H2 2 02 1
56,000
H2 2020 H2 2021
55,000
18 21
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn> 54,000
53,000
52,000
48 47
51,000
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
50,000
49,000
48,000
35 32
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn 47,000
46,000
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
K R PU R A M 40 ,90 3 -6 9,96 6 (3 ,8 0 0 -6 ,5 0 0 ) 0% 1%
EAST
W HI T E FI E L D 48 ,43 8 -8 6 ,1 1 2 (4,5 0 0 -8 ,0 0 0 ) 1% 4%
HE N N U R 43 ,0 5 6 -8 6 ,1 1 2 (4,0 0 0 -8 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 1%
SA R JA PU R R OA D 43 ,0 5 6 -8 6 ,1 1 2 (4,0 0 0 -8 ,0 0 0 ) 3% 5%
KA N A K PU R A R OA D 43 ,0 5 6 -7 1 ,0 42 (4,0 0 0 -6 ,6 0 0 ) -1% 0%
SOUT H
E L ECT R ON I C C I TY 3 7,6 74 -6 4,5 8 4 (3 ,5 0 0 -6 ,0 0 0 ) 3% 5%
T U M KU R R OA D 3 2,292-6 4,5 8 4 (3 ,0 0 0 -6 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 1%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
UN S O L D I N V E N TO RY Q UA RTERS-TO -SELL
MICR O -M A R K ET
( H O US I N G UN I TS ) (YOY C H A N G E ) ( QTS)
NORT H 1 5 3 8 3 (-9 % ) 8 .0
SOUT H 3 1 6 9 1 (-4 % ) 1 0 .7
W EST 6 1 9 7 (-1 7 % ) 1 1 .7
OFF I C E M ARK ET
B E N GA LU RU M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
1 .1 1 (1 1 .94) 27 % 0 .6 3 (6 .8 ) 25 % 0 .25 (2.7) -32%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transa ct i o n s
1 .1 4 (1 2 . 23 ) -1% 0 .8 0 (8 .7) 15% 0 .41 (4.4) 3%
mn sq m ( mn s q f t )
Average t ra n sa cte d re n t in I N R /s q m /m o nt h
78 6 (73 ) -9% - - - 1%
( INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
0.90
0.85
0.80
0.78
0.77
0.80
0.71
0.75
0.70
0.65
0.70
0.64
0.63
0.65 0.61
0.57
0.56
0.56
0.55
0.60
0.54
0.55
0.50
0.49
0.48
0.46
0.50
0.44
Mn sq m
0.42
0.40
0.45
0.37
0.37
0.36
0.40
0.34
0.34
0.33
0.33
0.35
0.30
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
3 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U
1 3 . 0%
return to office.
13%
• A strong second half ensured that Bengaluru recorded 12.23 mn
11.3%
sq ft of office transactions in 2021, around the same as the level 12%
of 2020.
11%
• Recovering from the initial pandemic hiccups, construction
9.3%
activity across projects is back to normal levels. Strong 10%
completions of 11.9 mn sq ft – second highest level in a decade –
has been delivered in 2021 marking an increase of 26.7% YoY. 9%
8%
6. 5%
• The need for flexibility in workspace strategy, a key feature 8%
8%
associated with co-working spaces, has ensured that this
7%
occupier group accounted for 19% of transactions in 2021 – a 7%
significant jump over the 12% share during 2020. In Q4 2021
4.8 %
6%
6%
particularly, co-working operators took up 42% of space, buoyed
by the strong interest shown by their enterprise clients.
5%
4.3 %
4.1 %
3 .7%
• ORR continues to be the dominant market with 39% transaction
3 .5 %
4%
share followed by PBD North, PBD East and SBD at 17%, 15% and
3 .0 %
15% respectively during H2 2021. With increased deal activity
3%
in Hebbal, Yelahanka and Thanisandra Road, the PBD North
business district has seen its share increasing meaningfully 2%
compared to past periods.
1%
• Increased supply over the last year translated into a rise in the
vacancy level over a 12-month period. However, with the sharp 0%
rise in office transaction level in Q4 2021, the vacancy level has H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
moderated in the last 3 months from 13.2% to 13.0%.
• Office rents recorded a 9% YoY decline over a 12-month period. BUSI NESS DI ST RI CT CLASSI FI CAT I ON
However, over the last 6 months, they reflected stability. Average
transacted rent level reflects 1% YoY increase in the most recent BU SINESS DIST RICT M ICRO M ARKETS
3-month and 6-month periods.
MG Road, Residency Road,
Central Business District (CBD)
• The Information Technology sector, which is the main driver Cunningham Road, Lavelle Road,
and off CBD
for the Bengaluru office market taking up 39% transactions Richmond Road, Infantry Road
share throughout the year, continues to enjoy robust business Suburban Business District Indiranagar, Koramangala, Airport
momentum. Preparing for manpower and infrastructure (SBD) Road, Old Madras Road
capabilities to secure global IT projects, the Indian IT sector Peripheral Business District
Whitefield
made record hiring amid the pandemic, and this will serve as (PBD) East
dry powder for office demand when the Omicron uncertainty Peripheral Business District
Electronic City, Bannerghatta Road
subsides. (PBD) South
Peripheral Business District Thanisandra, Yelahanka,
(PBD) North Devanahalli
Hebbal ORR, Marathahalli ORR,
Outer Ring Road (ORR)
Sarjapur Road ORR
Peripheral Business District Vijaynagar, Tumkur Road, Mysore
(PBD) West Road
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
3 9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U
1% 1% 8%
1% 13% 17 %
25 % M I CR O- M A R K ET H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1
15 %
CB D & O f f CB D 1% 8%
5%
SB D 1 3% 15%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021
ORR 49 % 39 %
SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI Z E T REND Averag e d eal s i ze i n s q m
H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1 10,000
04% 05 %
8,000
42 % 46%
sq m
6,000
2 5% 11%
4,000
06% 24%
2,000
22% 15 %
0
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
N ote : B FS I includes B FS I support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
SB D 646 - 1 ,3 99 (6 0 -1 3 0 ) -6 % 3%
P BD Ea st 43 1 - 75 3 (40 - 70 ) -9% 1%
P BD So u t h 3 77 - 70 0 (3 5 - 6 5 ) -5 % 1%
P BD No rt h 43 1 - 75 3 (40 - 70 ) -9% 0%
ORR 6 46 - 1 ,1 8 4 (6 0 - 1 1 0 ) -5 % 1%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
4 0 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I
CHENNAI
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
41 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I
R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
CH E NN A I M A RKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
1 2 ,783 77% 7,3 6 0 98 % 3 ,5 6 6 -6%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
1 1 ,9 58 38% 6 ,20 6 9% 2,75 8 -28%
( hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r i c e i n I N R /s q m I N R 4 3 ,5 94
6 .7% - - - 0%
( INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 4,05 0 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021
5.1 14.3
(housing units) Change (YoY)
10000
9102
9,091
8,979
8,850
8,792
8,585
9000
8,450
7,980
7,762
7,737
8000
7,401
7,360
6,670
6,523
7000
6,206
6,035
5,855
5,815
5,751
5,673
6000
5,424
No. of units
4,800
5000
3,850
3,780
3,714
3,520
4000
3,200
2,981
3000
2000
1000
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
4 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I
• The Chennai residential market has been on a steady path to • While the growth in sales has been encouraging in H2 2021, this
recovery with sales momentum gradually increasing since H2 has also been accompanied by price growth of 7% YoY. Some of
2020 to culminate in 6206 units sold in H2 2021, a 9% growth in this increase may be attributed to a base effect because of the
YoY terms. The number of homebuyer enquiries and conversions significant price drop during H2 2020. Regardless, this recovery in
have been rising steadily through 2021 as well, reflecting the price is an encouraging sign and can be viewed as an indicator of
improvement in sentiment. the market on its way to recovery.
• This improvement in sentiment has caused developers to increase • Residential demand is largely focused on the ready-to-move-in
supply. As developers gauged the changing mood of the market, properties and has caused the average age of inventory in Chennai
7,360 units were launched in H2 2021 which translated into a 98% to reduce to 14.3 quarters in H2 2021 from 15.5 quarters in the
YoY growth in supply levels. Appaswami Real Estates, Mahindra year ago period. The unsold inventory and QTS have increased
Lifespaces, Lancor Holdings and Sobha Homes were among marginally in YoY terms during H2 2021 but given the fast-
the prominent developers active in the market during H2 2021. improving sentiments and recent price recovery, market volumes
Locations such as Kottivakkam, Perumbakkam, Kolapakkam and are expected to pick up in the near to medium term.
Keelakatalai saw increased development activity during the period.
• The share of projects with ticket sizes of > INR 10 million increased
to 23% of the total sales in H2 2021, from 18% in H2 2020.
Homebuyers have become increasingly amenable to explore
properties in peripheral locations that were otherwise off their
radar, to acquire larger spaces with better amenities to improve the
general quality of life.
0 8% 02 %
03%
0 5%
38% M I CR O- M A R K ET H 2 202 0 H2 2 02 1
45 % Cen tral 0 8% 02%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021 4 9%
North 0 5% 03%
Sou th 49% 49 %
West 3 8% 45%
4 9%
06% 05 %
04% 03%
3 4% 34 %
M I CR O- M A R K ET H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1
CH E N N A I T I C KE T S I ZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES DURI NG AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m
H 2 20 2 0 AN D H 2 2 02 1
60,000
H2 2020 H2 2021 55,000
18 23
50,000
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn>
45,000
40,000
35,000
42 44
30,000
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
25,000
20,000
15,000
40 33
10,000
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn
5,000
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
A N N A N AGA R 1 1 0 ,8 0 0 –1 25 ,0 0 0 (1 0 ,20 0 –1 1 ,6 0 0 ) 7% 1%
CENT R AL
K I L PAU K 1 51 ,0 0 0 –1 6 7,0 0 0 (1 4,0 0 0 –1 5 ,5 0 0 ) 6% 2%
W EST 5 ,9 9 3 (6 0%) 6 .6 1 5. 70
OFF I C E M ARK ET
CH E NN AI M A RKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
0 .1 6 (1 .8 ) - 47 % 0 .0 9 (0 .9) 1 ,3 5 9% 0 .0 7 (0 .7) -
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transact io n s
0 .4 0 (3.9) -1 4% 0 .25 (2.7) -1 5 % 0 .1 0 (1 .1 ) -55%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Average t ra n sa cte d re n t in I N R /s q m /m o nt h
6 27 (5 8 .3 ) -2.7% - - - 0%
( INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
0.35
0.31
0.30
0.30
0.29
0.29
0.30
0.25
0.24
0.25
0.20
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.17
Mn sq m
0.16
0.14
0.15
0.12
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.10
0.09
0.09
0.10
0.08
0.16
0.07
0.05
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.00
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
4 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I
• The Chennai office market has recovered well from the second
wave in H1 2021 with transaction volumes in H2 2021 bouncing CHENNAI OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
back 123% since then. Similarly, the average transaction size has
22 . 50%
24%
also risen 81% during the same period.
1 9 . 3 0%
• The 0.16 mn sq m (1.8 mn sq ft) of office spaces delivered in 2021 20%
1 6. 80%
were 47% lower YoY. Gateway Office Parks and Urban Square
18%
delivered on the Old Mahabalipuram Road (OMR) constituted 65%
of the 0.09 mn sq m (0.9 mn sq ft) space completed during H2
16%
2021. They were also two of the largest projects delivered during
1 2.4 0%
1 3 . 00%
the period.
1 2. 70%
14%
1 2. 20%
1 1 . 70%
• The manufacturing sector was the most active during H2 2021
1 1 . 00%
1 1 . 00%
1 0. 60%
accounting for 0.10 mn sq m (1.1 mn sq ft) or 44% of the total area
1 0 .20%
1 0 .2 0%
12%
transacted during the period. The top three leases of H2 2021 were
8 .8 0 %
signed by manufacturing companies and constituted a substantial 10%
30% of the total area transacted.
hiring that has occurred in the sector during the year, it is a matter
of time before its share in transactions reverts to its longer-term 4%
• 36% of the space transacted in H2 2021 took place in the SBD BUSI NESS DI ST RI CT CLASSI FI CAT I ON
OMR at locations such as Perungudi, Kandanchavadi and Taramani.
RMZ Millenia and Varalakshmi Tech Park accounted for 65% of the BU SINESS DIST RICT M ICRO M ARKETS
transactions in the SBD OMR due to two leases signed by Trimble Central Business District Anna Salai, RK Salai, Nungambakkam,
and Saipem during H2 2021. The SBD at 33% remained close (CBD and off CBD) Greams Road, Egmore, T Nagar
behind the SBD OMR in terms of share of transactions. 58% of the Suburban Business District Mount – Poonamallee Road, Porur,
transactions in the SBD occurred in Guindy and Manapakkam. (SBD) Guindy, Nandambakkam
• While rents have dipped 3% YoY in 2021, they have stabilized over SBD – Old Mahabalipuram
Perungudi, Taramani
the past six months with Q3 and Q4 2021 showing no change in Road (OMR)
rental levels. The vacancy level is at a healthy 13%, in line with those Peripheral Business
existing with other prominent southern markets of Bengaluru and District (PBD) – OMR and OMR beyond Perungudi Toll Plaza,
Hyderabad. Grand Southern Trunk GST Road
Road (GST)
06% 10%
16 % 19%
16% M I CR O- M A R K ET H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1
CB D 06% 10%
02% SB D 15% 33%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021 33%
PB D Am b attu r 02% 03%
SB D O MR 61% 36%
PB D O MR & GST 16% 19 %
36%
6 1%
03%
SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI ZE T REND Average deal size in sq m
H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1 5,000
4,500
15% 12%
4,000
3,000
03% 39% 2,500
2,000
02 % 11%
1,500
1,000
17% 17 %
500
0
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
N ote : B FS I includes B FS I support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
SB D 5 92– 8 6 1 (5 5 – 8 0 ) -3 % 2%
P BD OM R a n d G ST R o a d 28 0 – 43 0 (26 – 40 ) - 4% 2%
P BD A mb att u r 3 0 1 – 3 77 (28 – 3 5 ) -3 % 1%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
5 0 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D
HYDERABAD
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
51 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D
R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
H Y DE RABAD M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
3 5 ,736 1 79% 1 9,20 4 1 26 % 9,76 8 36%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
24,3 1 8 1 42.% 1 2,3 4 4 135% 6 ,3 57 74%
( hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r i c e i n I N R /s q m I N R 5 0,8 0 6
4.7% - - - 0%
( INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 4,720 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021
4.3 7.6
(housing units) Change (YoY)
19,024
20,000
18,000
16,712
16,000
14,000
12,344
11,974
12,000
No. of units
10,000
8,404
8,334
8,313
8,065
7,901
7,933
7,780
7,700
7,289
7,278
7,123
8,000
6,342
5,900
5,740
5,700
5,457
5,430
5,260
6,000
4,782
4,422
3,706
4,000
2,571
1,698
940
2,000
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i ght Frank R esearch
5 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D
• Hyderabad was the best performing residential market in 2021 • Conversely, the >INR 10 mn segment experienced an increase in
with sales growing by a resounding 142% YoY to 24,312 units in traction with its share of sales increasing from 19% in H1 2018 to
2021, the highest in recorded history since 2011. Even in half-yearly 30% currently. The demand shift to ticket sizes upwards of INR
terms, sales in H2 2021 grew by 135% YoY. While low interest rates, 5 mn has been significant, a trend prevalent across locations
higher savings rates and high affordability were primarily driving the due to the need for upgrading the family’s primary residence to
market, also at play was the fact that Hyderabad’s homebuyer base accommodate work and study from home requirements.
is composed of a substantial Information Technology (IT) workforce
• Hyderabad is the only market among the eight under review that
which has been largely unaffected by the pandemic influenced
has not seen a single year of price decline since H1 2013. The
disruptions. In fact, the pandemic has actually reignited residential
fact that it was also the only market that saw no YoY change in
demand by curtailing personal mobility and space for the better
price levels at the end of 2020 despite the pandemic induced
part of the past two years, motivating the masses to look for more
disruptions, depicts the underlying strength of its residential
spacious and comfortable residential accommodation.
market. While no longer among the cheapest markets in the
• Developers were quick to capitalize on this shift in sentiment country, it remains an attractive destination for the end-user and
by launching 19,024 units in H2 2021 which translated into a as seen more recently, for investors as well. Residential prices
growth of 126% YoY. 64% of these units were launched in West increased by 5% YoY in H2 2021.
Hyderabad with Cybercity Builders & Developers, Shanta Shriram
• Residential demand is firmly entrenched in the ready-to-move-
Constructions and SNR Constructions featuring prominently
in properties and has caused the average age of inventory in
among developers active in West Hyderabad. Locations such as
Hyderabad to reduce from 11.5 quarters in H2 2020 to 7.6 quarters
Kokapet, Peerancheru, Gopanapalle and Nalagandla saw most of
in H2 2021. Recent trends suggest an increase in demand in
the development activity.
under-construction properties of established developers as well.
• West Hyderabad also accounted for a similarly high 60% of the While worries on overbuilding and consequent overburdening
total sales during H2 2021 with homebuyers preferring to be close the infrastructure exist due to the relaxation in FSI restrictions,
to the office hubs of HITEC City, Gachibowli and Nanakramguda in sentiments in the residential market remain buoyant for the near to
the commercial core of the city. medium term.
• The mid segment of INR 5-10 mn has always constituted the bulk of
sales and accounted for 48% in H2 2021 as well. Up from 46% in
H2 2020, this segment’s share has remained in the range of 46%
to 52% since H1 2018. The shares in both <INR 5 mn and >INR 10
mn segments’ shares had fallen marginally in H2 2020.
• While the shares seem stable on a YoY basis, longer term trends
suggest a gradual fall in the share of the <INR 5 mn segment from
29% in H1 2018 to the 23% in H2 2021.
04% 01% 05 %
10%
1 9%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
07% 07 %
11% 09%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
Cen tral 07% 07%
East 11% 09 %
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021 18%
17% North 1 7% 18%
60%
60%
Sou th 0 5% 05%
West 6 0% 60%
05% 05 %
H Y DE RABAD T I C KE T SIZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m
DUR IN G H 2 2 0 2 0 AND H2 2 02 1
60,000
H2 2020 H2 2021
31 30
50,000
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn>
40,000
INR per sq m
46 48
30,000
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
20,000
24 23
10,000
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
BA N JA R A HI L LS 1 0 8 ,7 1 6 -1 1 2,6 3 4 (1 0 ,20 0 -1 0 ,6 0 0 ) 6% 4%
CENT R AL
J U B I L E E HI L LS 1 1 8 ,296 -1 1 9,3 73 (1 0 ,990 -1 1 ,0 90 ) 7% 7%
CENT R AL 6 92 (1 %) 2. 2
EAST 1 ,6 43 (1 3 5 %) 4.2
OFF I C E M ARK ET
H Y DE RA BAD M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
0 .4 3 (4.6 ) - 47 % 0 .3 6 (3 .8 ) -21 % 0 .1 5 (1 .6 ) 25%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transa ct io n s
0 .6 0 (6.0 ) 0% 0 .41 (4.4) 16% 0 .21 (2.3 ) -31%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Average t ra n sa cte d re n t in I N R /s q m /m o nt h
6 6 1 (6 1 .4) 0 .5 % - - - 0. 5%
( INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
0.9
0.83
0.8
0.7
0.64
0.6
0.5
0.45
Mn sq m
0.41
0.40
0.37
0.36
0.36
0.4
0.35
0.35
0.33
0.31
0.30
0.29
0.26
0.3
0.25
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.20
0.20
0.19
0.16
0.2
0.15
0.14
0.14
0.12
0.1
0.07
0.0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
5 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D
12.2%
12.3%
a diverse tenant base that has supported demand during H2 2021
in a challenging environment where the IT sector deferred its
12%
expansion plans.
9 .4 %
(4.6 mn sq ft). The limited supply has however helped keep the
10%
8. 9 %
vacancy level at 12.2% at the end of 2021.
8. 2 %
• The manufacturing sector was the mainstay of the market during
H2 2021 accounting for 35% of the space transacted during the
7. 6%
7. 0%
7.4 %
8%
6. 5%
7.1 %
period. This was primarily due to a 1.5 mn sq ft lease signed by
6. 8%
computer hardware major Qualcomm in Raheja Commerzone at
5. 9 %
Raidurg. This is a very encouraging sign for the Hyderabad market
5 .1 %
5 .2%
as the city continues to successfully attract the largest hardware 6%
01% 01% 07 %
92 %
SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI ZE T REND Averag e d eal s i ze i n s q m
H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1 18,000
16,000
30% B FS I 23%
14,000
10,000
08% Manufa ct uri ng 35 %
8,000
6,000
09% C o -wo rk i ng 21%
4,000
0
H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch
N ote : B FS I includes B FS I support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
SB D 73 2-78 6 (6 8 -73 ) 0% 1%
P BD Ea st 3 23 -3 77 (3 0 -3 5 ) -2% 1%
KOLKATA
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
6 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA
R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
KOL KATA M ARKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
7,51 0 81% 5 ,3 1 5 6 2% 2,1 87 -30%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
1 4,4 0 5 6 2% 9,290 55% 2,429 -65%
( hous in g u n its )
Averag e P r ic e in I N R /s q m I N R 3 4, 6 0 6
0% - - - 0%
(INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 3 ,2 1 5 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021
7.3 16.6
(housing units) Change (YoY)
14,000
12,073
11,891
11,448
12,000
10,680
10,339
9,764
9,290
10,000
9,170
9,093
8,109
7,308
8,000
6,678
6,591
No. of units
6,393
6,176
6,140
6,038
5,975
5,622
5,315
6,000
5,115
5,027
4,588
3,290
4,000
2,937
2,195
2,000
858
627
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
6 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA
• In 2021, 14,405 units were sold in Kolkata’s primary residential • In H2 2021, the share of projects with ticket sizes of INR 5-10
market largely due to a strong performance in H2 2021. A 2% million increased from 19% in H2 2020 to 25% of H2 2021’s total
government rebate on stamp duty for property registration of all sales. The pandemic has induced a structural shift in homebuyer
documents (except the documents of amalgamation of contiguous preference for spacious accommodation and both the mid-end
land) played a crucial role in the rejuvenation of the residential and high-end segments continue to benefit from the same.
market. Demand stimulation measures in the form of historically
• Residential products in > INR 10 million category witnessed a
low home loan interest rates and the festive vibe improved the
decline in its share to 11% of the sales volume of H2 2021. Due
homebuying appetite of consumers in the latter half of the year.
to a lull in sales volume in Q4 2021, the share of this category
Despite the fatal second wave earlier in 2021 and the fear of a third
declined. However, as prospective homebuyers become aware of
wave of the pandemic, residential sales for the calendar year 2021
the extension of the stamp duty cut window, they are likely to take
recorded a 62% YoY growth over 2020.
a decisive step forward for property purchases. With developers
• The West Bengal State Government’s decision to introduce a 2% citing high input costs and intent to review selling prices, end-users
rebate on stamp duty was implemented on 9th July 2021 and it across all segments are likely to take homebuying decisions while
was to remain till 30th October 2021. However, it was extended the rebate lasts.
thereafter to 31st January 2022. This move was instrumental in the
• While sales growth has remained strong, average residential prices
creation of new demand from prospective homebuyers, due to
remained steady in 2021. However, going forward, residential prices
which the H2 2021 performance far outpaced H1 2021 absorption
may see upward revision due to increasing input costs being borne
rates. 64% of the total primary market sales of 2021 in Kolkata were
by the developers.
achieved in H2 2021 alone, leading to a fast-paced recovery in the
real estate market. • A strong sales volume in H2 2021 contributed to a sharp decline
in unsold inventory which stood at 21,265 units, a 24% decline
• Unlike 2020, when new residential launches had tanked to its
on YoY basis. The upward momentum in sales velocity post the
lowest in the past 11 years, there was significant improvement on
introduction of stamp duty cut and an enabling homebuying
this parameter in 2021. 7,510 new residential units were launched in
environment are the primary reasons behind such a sharp fall in
Kolkata in 2021, an 81% YOY growth due to the base effect.
unsold inventory. Many developers in Kolkata are reporting good
• In line with past trends, the share of ticket sizes < INR 5 million sales growth leading to a substantial reduction in ready to move in
continued to dominate the overall sales volume. In H2 2021, this projects.
category comprised 64% of Kolkata’s overall sales. South Kolkata
• The continuous reduction in Kolkata’s unsold inventory has also led
locations such as Joka and Diamond Harbour Road continue
the quarters-to-sell (QTS) for the city to inch down from 11.2 in H2
to remain popular among homebuyers. Ongoing infrastructure
2020 to 7.3 in H2 2021.
development projects such as widening of Diamond Harbour
Road and Joka-BBD Bagh metro are key drivers behind the strong
end-user demand for these belts. The pandemic has also induced
demand for gated communities in the affordable to mid-segment
ticket sizes of up to INR 5 million. North Kolkata peripherals such as
Madhyamgram and locations near Dum Dum are also faring well.
Central Park Street, Rawdon Street, AJC Bose Road, Minto Park, Elgin Road
East Kankurgachi, Beliaghata, Salt Lake, Narkeldanga, Keshtopur, EM Bypass (eastern parts)
North Baguiati, Ultadanga, Jessore Road, Shyambazar, Lake Town, BT Road, VIP Road
Rajarhat Rajarhat New Town
West Howrah, Rishra, Hooghly, Uttarpara, Chandan Nagar, Rajpur, Kona Expressway
South Ballygunge, Alipore, Tollygunge, Narendrapur, Behala, Garia, Maheshtala, EM Bypass (southern parts)
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
6 4 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA
9% 01%
12% 13% 09%
17 %
18%
KOL KATA T I C KE T S I ZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES DURI NG AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m
H 2 20 2 0 AN D H 2 2 02 1
45,000
H2 2020 H2 2021
31 11
41,000
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn>
37,000
19 25
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
33,000
29,000
50 64
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn
25,000
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
6 5 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA
CENT R AL 1 0 4 (- 6 1 %) 2.7
SOUT H 6 ,0 43 (-3 1 ) 5 .5
OFF I C E M ARK ET
KOL KATA M ARKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
0 .0 6 (0.6 ) 5 42% 0 .0 6 (0 .6 ) - 0 .0 -
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transa ct io n s
0 .0 7 (0 .8 ) -1 2% 0 .0 5 (0 .5 ) 23 % 0 .0 4 (0 .4) 234%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Average t ra n sa cte d re n t i n I N R /s q m /m o nt h
3 74.6 (3 4.8 ) -3 % - - - 0%
( INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) |2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
3.0(32.3) 2% 43%
142 basis points increase
6 7 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA
0.6
0.56
0.5
0.4
Mn sq m
0.28
0.3
0.21
0.2
0.11
0.07
0.06
0.06
0.08
0.05
0.05
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.05
0.05
0.1
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch
• Kolkata’s office real estate market continued to remain muted in • In terms of office space consumption, the share of some sectors
the aftermath of the COVID-19 outbreak. The city clocked in total has seen a sizeable revision during H2 2021. The IT sector, which
office space transaction volume of 0.07 mn sq m (0.8 mn sq ft) had accounted for 43% of Kolkata’s transaction volume in H2
in 2021, a 12% YoY decline over 2020. This was despite a strong 2020, has shrunk to 23% in H2 2021. This is due to the continuation
demand bounceback in H2 2021 with Q4 2021 witnessing the of a hybrid work model and preference for co-working spaces
highest transaction volume of the four quarters of 2021 and an 81% as the IT sector occupiers continue to tread cautiously with
QoQ growth over Q3 2021. establishing office space footprint as the pandemic continues to
evolve. Co-working, which did not have any share in H2 2020’s
• In H2 2021, leasing of office spaces witnessed a 24% YoY growth
transaction volume, has emerged stronger from the pandemic
but remained behind the volume noted in the pre-pandemic period.
influence with a 17% share in transactions in H2 2021.
This was mainly because of cautious leasing by the Information
Technology (IT) sector occupiers which had been the predominant • The pandemic induced demand for flex spaces has helped the
sector leasing office spaces before the pandemic. co-working sector gain a strong foothold in Kolkata, which was
previously dominated by occupier preference for traditional office
6 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA
4 3 . 0%
4 3 . 0%
41 . 0%
41 . 8%
41 . 7 %
witnessed a growth in its percentage share from 1% in H2 2020 to
9% in H2 2021.
40%
• In terms of business districts, the office space demand in H2 2021
3 4. 5%
3 2 . 0%
3 3 . 0%
32.7%
largely remained concentrated in Peripheral Business District-I
31.3%
3 1 .4 %
3 0. 5%
31.3%
(Salt Lake City) and Peripheral Business District-II (Rajarhat New
24. 9 %
Town). Competitive rents in these peripheral micro-markets helped 30%
them garner 70% and 16% share in the city’s leasing respectively.
Secondary Business District-2 (Rashbehari Connector) and Central
Business District (CBD) & Off CBD locations comprised 11% and
3% of the transaction volume. 20%
03%
04%
11%
M I CR O- M A R K ET H2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1
SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI Z E T REND Averag e d eal s i ze i n s q m
H2 2020 H2 2 02 1 2,500
01% 09%
2,000
43% 21%
1,500
03% 05 %
1,000
0% 17 %
500
53% 48%
0
H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
N ote : B FS I includes B FS I support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
MUMBAI
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
7 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I
R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
MU MB AI M A RKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
70 ,0 23 3 9% 3 4,1 51 27 % 22,0 1 5 81%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
6 2 ,9 89 29% 3 4,3 8 2 1 4% 1 8 ,4 40 16%
( hous in g u n its )
Averag e P r ic e in I N R /s q m I N R 74,1 1 0
1% - - - 2%
(INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 6 ,8 8 5 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021
11 16.1
(housing units) Change (YoY)
50,000
43,822
45,000
38,389
40,000
35,988
35,872
35,974
34,971
34,151
34,135
33,731
34,382
32,412
35,000
32,077
31,481
30,179
30,042
28,446
28,607
27,212
30,000
26,904
No. of units
25,403
24,450
25,000 23,399
20,776
18,887
18,646
20,000
15,763
15,000
9,740
7,490
10,000
5,000
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
73 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I
• In the last 12-15 months, government incentives such as stamp • With work from home in the backdrop, affordable locations that
duty waivers and reduction of home loan interest rates along with are further from the city center but well connected to office/
developers quickly adapting to the changing market sentiments employment hubs, have emerged as preferred locations. Peripheral
and orienting their product, has accelerated sales as well as central suburbs, due to its locational advantage, received the
launches in the Mumbai residential market. maximum traction in sales as well as launches in 2020 & 2021.
Peripheral central suburbs contributed 27% and 30% of total
• MMR has been a major benefactor to all India sales as well as
launch volumes during H2 2020 and H2 2021 respectively. It also
launches since 2016. The Mumbai residential market contributed
witnessed the highest sales volume and contributed 28% and 22%
30% of launches and 27% of sales volume on an all- India level
of total sales during H2 2020 and H2 2021 respectively.
during 2021. The launches noted a surge of 27% YoY during H2
2021, 64% of these were in Q4 2021. Monetizing on pent up • Micro markets like Thane saw a reduction in their share of launches
demand during the festival season and due to changing consumer from H2 2020 to H1 2020. Thane contributed 17% of launches in H1
perspective on home ownership, developers aligned their launch 2020, but this share reduced to 7% in H2 2021.
timing in accordance with consumer needs while unveiling new
• The Western suburbs micro market saw a spike in launches
projects.
contributing 22% of the launch volume during H2 2021.
• The sales momentum also grew strongly with a rise of 14% YoY
• Houses in the price range of <5 mn remained a preferred choice
during H2 2021. Developers introduced competitive schemes to
bagging a sales share of 51% in H2 2021. 5-10mn and above 10 Mn
maintain the momentum post discontinuation of stamp duty waiver.
contributes to 23% and 26% respectively of the total sale volume
Although a minor dip in sales was noted in H1 2021 due to the
of H2 2021.
second wave, the impetus picked up again growing unhindered in
H2 2021. Developers were compromising on profit margins even • After a continued trend of price correction until H1 2021, the
with rising material costs, by offering indirect discounts and flexible average price level has now seen a marginal 1% rise YoY in 2021.
payment plans in the festival season. Going forward, however, The unsold inventory rose by 5% YoY. This rise can be attributed to
developers are expected to move away from such offers. In the the influx of supply in the same period.
• Mumbai is one of the only two cities that has recorded a YoY drop
in sales during Q4 2021 with a dip of 18%. However, the 18% drop
comes on the back of record-high sales in Q4 2020 as a result of
the pent-up demand with additional respite in the form of a stamp
duty cut during the base period.
South Mumbai Malabar Hill, Napean Sea Road, Walkeshwar, Altamount Road, Colaba
Western Suburbs Bandra, Andheri, Goregaon, Kandivali, Borivali, Santacruz, Vile Parle
MU M BAI T I C KE T S I ZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES DURI NG AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m
H 2 20 2 0 AN D H 2 2 02 1
80,000
H2 2020 H2 2021
78,900
23 26
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn> 77,800
76,700
75,600
34 23
74,500
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
73,400
72,300
71,200
43 51
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn 70,100
69,000
H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
WOR L I 3 3 3 ,6 8 4 –5 92,0 20 (3 1 ,0 0 0 –5 5 ,0 0 0 ) 1% 2%
PA N V E L 43 0 ,5 6 0 – 6 45 ,8 40 (40 ,0 0 0 – 6 0 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 2%
M I R A R OA D 1 0 7,6 40 –1 6 1 ,46 0 (1 0 ,0 0 0 –1 5 ,0 0 0 ) 2% 2%
PERIPH E R AL W ESTE R N SU B U R B S
VIRAR 5 9,20 2–78 ,577 (5 ,5 0 0 –7,3 0 0 ) 1% 2%
BA N DR A (W ) 43 0 ,5 6 0 – 6 45 ,8 40 (40 ,0 0 0 – 6 0 ,0 0 0 ) 2% 2%
CENT R AL SU BU R BS 3 1 ,3 8 5 (4%) 20 .3
OFF I C E M ARK ET
MU MB A I M A RKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
0 .4 6 (5 .0 ) -5 .9% 0 .3 4 (3 .7) 1 23 % 0 .3 3 (3 .6 ) 2267%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transact io n s
0 .3 5 (3.8 ) -3 6 .8 % 0 .20 (2.1 ) 1% 0 .0 9 (1 .0 ) -14%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Averag e t ra n sa cte d re n t i n I N R /s q m /m o nt h
1 1 51 .7 5 (1 0 7) -7.6 % - - - 1%
(INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
Stock 2021
mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY) Vacancy % 2021
14.52(156.3) 3% 20.9%
110 Basis points increase
7 7 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I
0.8
0.7 0.71
0.6
0.47
0.47
0.46
0.46
0.5
0.43
Mn sq m
0.41
0.41
0.36
0.4
0.35
0.34
0.34
0.32
0.32
0.30
0.29
0.27
0.26
0.3
0.23
0.21
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.18
0.2
0.15
0.15
0.12
0.09
0.1
0.0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
78 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I
22 %
22 %
22 %
22 %
21%
are restructuring their business plans to accommodate the new
21%
2 0%
2 0%
2 0%
2 0%
2 0%
2 0%
normalcy and the recovery is looking good.
20%
1 8%
1 8%
• Leasing activity in MMR during H2 2021 witnessed a small rebound
compared to the H2 2020 transacted volume with a minimal rise of
1% YoY.
15%
• The supply of office spaces grew substantially by 123% YoY during
H2 2021. This jump in supply comes on the low base of 4 subdued
quarters with developers moving cautiously while assessing the
market sentiments. Occupiers are in the wait and watch mode and
10%
many have deferred their office resumption plans by 2-3 months.
Developers are expecting a positive response from occupiers for
space take-up, as they move into the next year.
respectively. The highest number of deals was inked in Other Kurla, Ghatkopar, Vikhroli,
SBD Central Kanjurmarg, Powai, Bhandup,
Services sector followed by BFSI and Manufacturing. The space
Chembur
take-up from the Other Services sector was led by companies in
Thane, Airoli, Vashi, Ghansoli, Rabale,
logistic, retail, healthcare and consulting segments. PBD
Belapur
SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI ZE T REND Averag e d eal s i ze i n s q m
H2 2020 H2 2 02 1 4,500
4,000
2 3% B FS I 33%
3,500
2,500
2 5% M a nufa ct uri ng 22%
2,000
1,500
18% C o -wo rk i ng 05 %
1,000
2 1% Ot her S erv i c es 36% 500
0
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
N ote : B FS I includes B FSI support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
P BD 48 4 -8 6 1 (45 -8 0 ) -1 1 % - 4%
SB D C e n t ra l 8 0 7-1 ,6 1 5 (75 -1 5 0 ) -6 % 0%
NCR
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
National
Capital Region
8 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R
R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
NCR M A RKE T S U M M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
2 0 ,5 85 110% 1 7,6 42 110% 8 ,6 5 9 - 4%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
3 5 ,073 65% 23 ,5 99 49% 1 4,498 59 %
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r i c e i n I N R /s q m I N R 4 5 ,241
-1% - - - 1%
( INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 4,20 3 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021
13.7 22.6
(housing units) Change (YoY)
TABLE : 1
LAUNCHES SALES
L AUNC H ES A N D SAL ES TREND
40,000
34,000
35,000
29,458
30,000
25,000
23,800
23,599
23,092
22,976
25,000
22,596
No. of units
20,465
19,852
18,047
20,000
17,642
17,462
17,188
16,913
15,788
15,059
15,000
11,474
9,273
9,123
8,402
7,846
10,000
6,926
6,696
5,446
4,800
2,943
5,000
1,422
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
8 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R
• In 2021, National Capital Region’s (NCR) residential market back on the radar of homebuyers for purchasing bigger spaces as
witnessed huge pent-up demand being unleashed into the shorter commute time to workplace is not a prime consideration
residential market. The trend of end-user appetite for bigger homes since the pandemic outbreak.
continued in 2021 as buyers took advantage of a low mortgage
• Compared to 2020, when new unit launches had nosedived, 2021
regime to buy homes. The pandemic has also made people realize
saw increased activity on this front. 2021 saw 20,585 new units
that prices have bottomed out, hence they did not postpone their
being launched in NCR. This represents 90% of 2019’s launches
homebuying decisions. The devastating second wave of COVID-19
which were pegged at 22,905 units. Whilst new launches are yet
in the first half of the year further reaffirmed the importance of
to match pre-pandemic levels, return of high sales volume during
home ownership from a safety and security perspective. Led by the
2021 has reinstated developer confidence to launch new products
demand surge, 35,073 units were sold in NCR’s primary market.
to meet different usability requirements of end-users. Developing
Residential sales recorded a 65% YoY growth compared to 2020.
sectors of New Gurugram, Noida and Greater Noida remained the
• The first half of 2021 saw a bleak second quarter on both demand favored locations for new launches during 2021.
and supply fronts due to a stringent lockdown during the second
• Average residential prices have largely bottomed out in NCR. In the
wave. However, with strong economic recovery and resilience in
wake of a strong demand momentum, average residential prices in
the real estate sector, the second half of 2021 posted a strong
NCR started witnessing a marginal uptick of 1% QOQ in Q4 2021.
comeback. In H2 2021, two-thirds of the entire year’s sales volume
With a strong underlying trend in NCR’s residential realty, if the
was recorded, once the dust settled on the havoc created by the
demand surge is sustained, developers may start revising prices
second wave.
upwards to meet the burden of rising cost cycles.
• In the past one year, there has been a gradual, yet notable
• High sales velocity in 2021 has helped reduce unsold inventory
decrease in the share of products with ticket sizes < INR 5 mn.
burden by 13% YOY which is a breather for developers in NCR and
The share of this category has shrunk from 42% in H2 2020’s
indicative of post-pandemic recovery. Due to the stress in NCR’s
sales volume to 27% in H2 2021. The demand shift to ticket sizes
real estate market in the past, many developers are no longer
upwards of INR 5 mn has been significant, a trend prevalent
active and the market consolidation has only gathered pace during
across locations due to the need for upgrading the family’s
COVID-19 with few strong market leaders operational now.
primary residence to accommodate work and study from home
requirements.
• The share of projects with ticket sizes > INR 10 million increased
from 31% in H2 2020 to 37% of the total sales in H2 2021.
Simultaneously, well developed suburbs and peripherals came
8%
18%
3%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
21% 6% 51%
Gu r u gram 45% 51%
18%
• In line with H2 2020, Gurugram not only retained the lion’s share • Demand for homebuying improved in Noida during H2 2021. From
in new launches in H2 2021, but also witnessed an increase in the a 13% share in H2 2020, this market’s share rose to 19% in H2
same to account for more than half (51%) of NCR’s total launches. 2021. Preference for gated communities and individual spaces has
A superb response to high-end and luxury products in addition helped in demand stimulation after the pandemic. Government
to mid-end has helped Gurugram dominate the new launches announcements for upgrading physical and transport infrastructure
landscape. Developers are targeting both the main Gurugram such as Noida International Airport and connecting the Noida
locations as well as developing residential sectors for new projects. Metro line with Greater Noida has also boosted homebuyer
Also, with some major infrastructure projects such as Dwarka confidence.
Expressway finally expected to be completed in 2022 after a long
• Greater Noida’s share in the overall sales declined to 29% in H2
wait, some residential locations near Pataudi Road and towards
2021. Greater Noida has witnessed traction in the past few months
Manesar have become promising yet again.
for ready to move in homes, but non-delivery of promised homes
• A flurry of new launches was witnessed in New Gurugram where to homebuyers continues to mar its reputation as trust amongst
end-user interest has been increasing due to its development and homebuyers is yet to come back.
connectivity via three national highways. Sectors 81, 89, 92 and 108
New Delhi
witnessed new launches from prominent developers. Gold Course
Extension Road, Sohna Road and DLF Phase II also witnessed new • The uptake of New Delhi’s luxury bungalows by the wealthy during
launches. the pandemic has led some developers to test the waters by
introducing new inventory in the primary market in Central Delhi in
• In H2 2021, Gurugram emerged as NCR’s leading residential
2022. New launches in this segment are expected to come up by
market with a 33% share in the overall sales pie. Gurugram’s charm
way of small sized developments on existing land parcels in the
for end-users continues due to ample availability of luxury, blended
heart of New Delhi in locations such as Hailey Road.
and compact luxury products, apart from plotted developments.
As a dominant luxury market in NCR after Delhi, Gurugram has
seen a significant jump in sales of luxury products in locations
such as Golf Course Road, Golf Course Extension Road, Sohna
Road, DLF Phase V and New Gurugram. Gurugram developers’
well strategized move of introduction of builder floors and time to
market has helped in high absorption rates in H2 2021.
1% 1% 1% 2 %
13 %
1 5% 19% 16%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
Delh i 01% 01%
Far id ab ad 01% 02%
H 2 2 02 0 H2 2021 Gh az iab ad 1 5% 16%
30%
Greater Noid a 40% 29 %
NCR T I C KE T S I Z E S PLIT COM PARISON OF SALES DURI NG H1 AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m
2020 AN D H 1 2 0 2 1
55,000
H2 2020 H2 2021
31 37
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn> 50,000
45,000
27 36
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
40,000
35,000
42 27
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn
30,000
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
• The structural shift in homebuying only got more prominent in H2 • In H2 2021, the average residential prices in NCR declined by 1%
2021 with a stark difference in ticket size preferences compared to YOY over H2 2020. With the pandemic trajectory influencing sales
H2 2020. In sharp contrast to H2 2020, the share of projects in INR velocity, developers have been wary of increasing prices despite a
5-10 mn increased from 27% to 36% in H2 2021. Percentage share heavy burden of rising costs of steel and cement. With the buoyancy
of ticket sizes of > INR 10 mn also rose from 31% to 37% during the coming back in sales volume, Q4 2021 saw a marginal 1% QOQ
same period. uptick in average residential prices. Going forward, we can expect
residential prices to inch up as the demand fundamentals remains
• Compared to H2 2020, the share of products in < INR 5 million
strong.
ticket size has shrunk from 42% of the NCR sales volume to 27%
in H1 2021. While the fundamentals of affordable housing remain
sound, end-users with up to INR 5 mn budget have been diverting
their funds towards plotted schemes from a future standpoint.
8 6 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R
R ES ID E N T I AL P RI C E M OVE M E NT IN SE LE CT LOCATIONS
P RICE RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN
MICR O M A R K ET LO CATI O N 12 M O NT H CH ANGE 6 MONTH CHANGE
INR/ SQ M ( INR/ SQ FT )
UN S O L D I N V E N TO RY Q UA RTERS-TO -SELL • At the end of H2 2021, NCR’s unsold inventory stood at 96,186 units
MICR O -M A R K ET
(H O US I N G UN I TS ) (YOY C H A N G E ) ( QTS) representing a 13% YOY decline. Sustenance of a healthy demand
momentum and the pandemic giving the much-needed push for
DELH I 1 ,2 6 6 (-2 0% ) 1 8 .9 homebuying are the key demand drivers for the unsold inventory
downtrend to continue.
FARIDABAD 2 ,9 5 2 (1 9 % ) 26 .9
• Due to the decline in unsold inventory, the quarters-to-sell (QTS)
GH AZ IABAD 1 7,6 6 6 (-1 8 % ) 1 5 .6 also inched down from 13.8 in H2 2020 to 13.7 at the end of H2
2021. QTS is the number of quarters required to exhaust the
GREAT E R N O I DA 3 7,22 0 (-1 5 % ) 1 5 .8
existing unsold inventory in the market. The existing unsold
GURUG R AM 22 ,1 5 3 (-7 % ) 1 0 .1 inventory is divided by the average sales velocity of the preceding
eight quarters to arrive at the QTS number for the current quarter.
NOIDA 1 4,9 2 9 (-1 3 % ) 1 2.8 The QTS of NCR reduced only marginally as new launches kept
pace in tandem during H2 2021.
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
87 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R
OFF I C E M A RK ET
NCR M ARKE T S U M M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
0 .5 (5 .1 ) 76 % 0 .2 (2.1 ) 0% 0 .1 (1 .1 ) 1%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transact io n s
0 .6 (6.4) 38% 0 .4 (4.0 ) 56% 0 .2 (2.0 ) 2%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Averag e t ra n sa cte d re n t in I N R /s q m /m o nt h
8 8 3 .7 (82.1 ) 0% - - - 0%
(INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s , “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
Stock 2021
mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY) Vacancy % 2021
16.2(174.0) 3% 15.5%
80 basis points decrease
8 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R
0.7
0.59
0.6
0.56
0.55
0.51
0.5
0.45
Mn sq m
0.37
0.37
0.4
0.35
0.35
0.34
0.34
0.33
0.33
0.32
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.3
0.26
0.24
0.21
0.20
0.20
0.19
0.19
0.17
0.17
0.2
0.08
0.1
0.05
0.0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
8 9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R
• 2021 has been the year of resilience and resurgence for NCR’s seat take-up has benefitted the business model of co-working
office market. The annual transaction volume of 0.6 mn sq m (6.4 operators due to continuation of a hybrid work model, a trend that
mn sq ft) not only surpassed the low recorded in 2020 but brought is here to stay.
leasing volume back to near pre-pandemic levels. On a YoY basis,
• In 2021, average transacted rents in NCR remained at par with
2021’s transaction volume represents a 38% growth over 2020.
2020. Improved leasing volume in H2 2021 prevented a rental
The outbreak of a second wave of COVID- 19 curtailed the YoY
decline despite the slowdown in decision making at occupiers’
growth to 38% as leasing volume reduced during Q2 2021, despite
end during the second wave-impacted quarter. With occupier
strong occupier demand in both the quarters of H2 2021.
demand bouncing back, rent growth in 2022 can be expected, if
• In H2 2021, occupiers steered ahead cautiously with managing the Omicron virus variant spread does not hamper this recovery in
office space footprint in the midst of the pandemic. In this period, the making.
leasing growth of 56% YoY was recorded as the share of sectors
GURUGRAM
such as co-working, manufacturing, learning and education,
e-commerce and healthcare increased in the overall volume over • During H2 2021, 0.2 mn sq m (2.6 mn sq ft) of office spaces were
the past one year. Going forward, bulk hiring by companies in some leased in Gurugram. Whilst Gurugram dominated NCR’s gross
sectors such as Information Technology (IT) will influence demand leasing volume in H2 2020, its share rose from 45% during this
for large format quality spaces while office space demand from a period to 64% in H2 2021. Due to the pandemic influence in H2
diverse pool of sectors will continue to prevail. 2020, the office space traction had reduced here, much like the
other markets. However, occupiers returned to the millennium city
• In 2021, NCR witnessed completion of 0.5 mn sq m (5.1 mn sq ft)
in no time as the economy reopened and moved towards growth.
of office spaces, a 76% YoY growth over 2020. Due to the first
wave of the pandemic and the abrupt lockdown in early 2020 when • Due to a lower rental threshold, Golf Course Extension Road
the pandemic had just arrived in India, many office buildings in garnered a 26% share in Gurugram’s overall leasing in H2 2021.
NCR remained physically complete but awaiting the occupancy DLF Cybercity (18%), Udyog Vihar (11%) and MG Road (11%) also
certificate (OC). With better preparedness to manage lockdowns witnessed stable occupier demand in this period with a double-
and economic recovery in 2021, sizeable completions in NCR’s digit share in the city’s leasing volume.
the fore from different sectors. Occupiers are moving ahead with
18. 9%
16 .8 %
16. 5%
16. 5%
16. 3%
16. 3%
16.1 %
B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT CLASSIF ICATION
B USINES S D IST R ICT M I C R O M A R KETS
CBD Delhi Connaught Place, Barakhamba Road, Kasturba Gandhi Marg and Minto Road
SBD Delhi Nehru Place, Saket, Jasola, Bhikaji Cama Place, Mohan Cooperative, Okhla and Aerocity
Gurugram Zone A M G Road, NH-8, Golf Course Road and Golf Course Extension Road
Gurugram Zone B DLF CyberCity, Sohna Road, Udyog Vihar and Gwal Pahari
Noida Sectors 16, 18, 62, 63 and the Noida-Greater Noida Expressway
20%1 %
10 % 7 % 1% 01%
1% 07 %
• The implementation of Haryana State Employment of Local • Noida’s prime office micro markets of Sectors 16, 18, 62, 125 and
Candidates Act, 2020, with commencement date of January 15th, the Noida-Greater Noida Expressway remained occupier favorites
2022 approaching, may impact entry level hiring by private sector in H2 2021. Companies across sectors such as IT, co-working,
companies in the short term. Its reservation requirements for 75% learning and education leased spaces in Noida in the current half
local candidates for posts where the gross monthly salary does yearly period. Noida’s competitive rents and quality office assets
not exceed INR 30,000 per month may be a cause of concern for offer occupiers a great location option. Coupled with proximity to
future hiring, especially in the IT sector. However, it is unlikely to south and central Delhi and ease of connectivity, occupiers prefer
cause any relocations from Gurugram due to the vast talent pool to be situated here.
domiciled here.
NCR sector-wise transaction split analysis
NOIDA
• In H2 2021, the Other Services sector accounted for 41% of the
• At 0.10 mn sq m (1.1 mn sq ft), Noida maintained its leasing at par total leasing and largely comprised space take-up by companies
with H2 2020. However, its share in NCR’S H2 2021 declined from in segments like learning and education, healthcare and other
43% in H2 2020 to 27% in H2 2021. This is only because NCR’s diversified business conglomerates. The Other Services sector
overall leasing has grown by 56% YoY in this period, due to which which accounted for 20% of NCR’s total leasing in H2 2020 has
Noida’s share appears reduced, despite there being no change in significantly increased mainly on the back of numerous small and
square footage leased in this market. mid-sized deals. The manufacturing sector’s share also increased
9 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R
4,000
Noid a 5 3 8 – 8 29 (5 0 –77) 0% 0%
0 Far id ab ad 48 4 –5 92 (45 –5 5 ) 0% 0%
H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
9 2 I N DI A REAL ESTATE PU NE
PUNE
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
9 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE PU NE
R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
P UNE M ARKE T S U M M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
4 0 ,4 89 16% 20 ,0 1 2 -7% 1 1 ,3 97 32%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
3 7,2 18 38% 1 9,74 4 1 7% 1 0 ,1 79 6%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r ic e in I N R /s q m I N R 4 3 ,0 5 6
0% - - - 0%
(INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 4,0 0 0 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch
Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021
6.3 12.7
(housing units) Change (YoY)
25,000
23,264
21,396
21,557
22,500
20,740
20,477
20,012
19,744
20,000
18,584
18,135
17,474
16,486
17,364
17,070
16,870
16,800
6,591
16,451
17,500
15,688
15,524
15,445
18,584
15,000
13,435
12,762
No. of units
11,300
12,500
10,049
8,713
10,000
4,800
7,500
14,100
5,000
2,500
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
9 5 I NDI A REAL ESTATE PU NE
• The South and East markets also steered the sale volumes during
H2 2021 contributing 38% and 24% respectively to total sales. The
West market shriveled to 22% in H2 2021 though it held a strong
position with a market share of 35% in H2 2020. Even with current
improved sentiments, homebuyers are vigilant and continue to
prefer reputed developers and ready to move apartments.
Central Koregaon Park, Boat Club Road, Erandwane, Deccan, Kothrud, Model Colony
East Viman Nagar, Kharadi, Wagholi, Hadapsar, Dhanori
West Aundh, Baner, Wakad, Hinjewadi, Bavdhan, Pashan
North Pimpri, Chinchwad, Moshi, Chikhali, Chakan, Talegaon
South Kondhwa, Ambegaon, Undri, Dhayari, Warje, Sinhgad Road
01% 07 %
15 %
24%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
38%
25% Cen tral 01% 07%
17 % East 24% 25%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021
West 43% 21%
North 17% 09 %
Sou th 15% 38%
43% 09% 2 1%
02% 03%
18 %
2 8% 24 %
38% M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
Cen tral 02% 03%
P UNE T I C KE T S I Z E SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES DURI NG H2 AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m
2020 AN D H 2 2 0 2 1
49,000
H2 2020 H2 2021
48,000
8 8
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn>
47,000
46,000
45,000
43 40
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn 44,000
43,000
42,000
49 52
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn 41,000
40,000
H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
C HA KA N 3 2,292– 3 6 ,5 98 (3 ,0 0 0 - 3 ,40 0 ) -3 % 0%
CENT R AL 2,297(8 0 %) 1 5 .3
P UNE CI TY 5 0 ,1 45 (7%) 6 .3
OFF I C E M ARK ET
P UNE M ARKE T S U M M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Co mpl et i o n s
0.6 7 (7.2) 921 % 0 .40 (4.3 ) 75 4% 0 .1 7 (1 .9) -25%
mn sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transa ct io n s
0 .3 6 (3 .8 ) 3% 0 .25 (2.7) 58% 0 .1 5 (1 .7) 72%
mn sq m ( mn s q f t )
Averag e t ra n sa cte d re n t i n I N R /s q m /m o nt h
72 1 .1 8 ( 6 7) - 4% - - - 3%
(INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Kn ight Frank R esearch
Stock 2021
mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY) Vacancy % 2021
0.45
0.40
0.39
0.40
0.36
0.35
0.35
0.31
0.30
0.27
0.25
0.25
Mn sq m
0.25
0.25
0.25 0.24
0.22
0.20
0.19
0.19
0.20
0.17
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.14
0.14
0.15
0.12
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.10
0.05
0.03
0.05
0.02
0.00
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
1 0 0 I N DI A REAL ESTATE PU NE
• Despite the COVID-19 sting in 2020, Pune office market has grown
robustly in 2021 on account of the pent-up demand. We have seen PUNE OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
recovery in the office market with some hindrances in Q2 2021 due
16%
to the severity of the second wave of the pandemic. The market has
1 5%
subsequently rebounded strongly with strong leasing and supply
infusion in H2 2021. 14%
11%
leasing in H2 2021. A total volume of 3.8 mn sq ft of office space 12%
was transacted in 2021, of which 70% was transacted in H2 2021.
1 0%
Compared to H2 2020, the average deal size increased by 11% YoY
9%
10%
9%
to 5452 sq m in H2 2021.
8%
• Pune’s office market expanded by 7.2 mn sq ft with new
8%
8%
completions in 2021, of which 60% was added in H2 2021. A
6%
7%
massive 754% YoY growth in new construction is noted during H2
6%
6%
5%
2021. The growth in new construction also comes from a low base 6%
5%
of 2020, when major under-construction activities were stalled.
4%
• The vacancy level had stayed in single digit since 2016 due to 4%
limited supply. However, H2 2021 records a vacancy of 10% which
is primarily due the substantially augmented supply in the same
2%
period. Developers will be mindful going forward and the focus will
remain on active leasing. Rental values fell by 4% YoY during Q4
2021, although a marginal rent increase of 3% QoQ was observed 0%
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
in the last quarter.
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
• SBD West clocked a share of just 7% in H2 2021 whereas it had
witnessed the most transaction in H1 2020 clocking a share
of 44%. This dip can be attributed to deferred expansion by IT
occupiers. On the other hand, CBD & off CBD and PBD West, which
had a low share contribution in H2 2020, noted strong transaction
volumes accounting for 25% and 21% share respectively.
001 %1 % 07 % 01% 07 %
05 %
25%
3300%% M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI ZE T REND Averag e d eal s i ze i n s q m
H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1 6,000
10% 35 %
5,000
12 % 16% 4,000
1,000
2 3% 12%
0
H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch
N ote : B FS I includes B FS I support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
SB D Ea st 6 46 -1 ,23 8 (6 0 -1 1 5 ) 0% 0%
P BD Ea st 6 46 -1 ,0 23 (6 0 -95 ) -7% 2%
P BD West 48 4 -6 70 (45 -6 5 ) -8 % 0%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
10 2 I N DI A REAL ESTATE
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RENTAL REAL ESTATE IN INDIA
SENTIMENT INDEX
JAN-JUN 2021
CO-WORKING
REAL ESTATE
RESEARCH
RAJANI SINHA
Chief Economist & National Director - Research
#WORK FROM HYDERABAD
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MARKET REPORT 2021
INDIA WAREHOUSING
C O R P O R AT E - M A R K E T I N G & P U B L I C R E L AT I O N S
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