You are on page 1of 104

INDIA

REAL ESTATE
R E S I D E N T I A L A N D O F F I C E M A R K E T - J U LY - D E C E M B E R 2 0 2 1
2 I N DI A REAL ESTATE

Mumbai HO
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
Paville House, Near Twin Towers,
Off. Veer Savarkar Marg, Prabhadevi,
Mumbai 400 025, India
Tel: 022 6745 0101 / 4928 0101;

Bengaluru
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
204 & 205, 2nd Floor, Embassy Square,
#148 Infantry Road,
Bengaluru 560001, India
Tel: 080 40732600 / 22385515

Pune
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
Unit No.701, Level 7, Pentagon Towers P4,
Magarpatta City, Hadapsar,
Pune 411 013, India
Tel: 020 67491500 / 30188500;

Chennai
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
1st Floor, Centre block, Sunny Side,
8/ 17, Shafee Mohammed Road,
Nungambakkam, Chennai 600 006, India
Tel: 04 4 4296 9000

Gurgaon
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
Office Address: 1505-1508, 15th Floor, Tower B,
Signature Towers South City 1,
Gurgaon 122 001, India
Tel: 0124 4782700;

Hyderabad
Western Dallas Centre, 5th floor, Office #3,
Hyderabad Knowledge City,
Survey No. 83/ 1, Raidurg, Serilingampally Mandal,
Ranga Reddy District, Telangana
Hyderabad - 500 032, India
Tel: 040 4 455 4141

Kolkata
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
PS Srijan Corporate Park
Unit Number – 1202A, 12th Floor,
Block – EP & GP, Plot Number - GP 2,
Sector – V, Salt Lake, Kolkata 700 091, India
Tel: 033 66521000

Ahmedabad
Knight Frank (India) Pvt. Ltd.
Unit Nos. 407 & 408, Block ‘C’, The First,
B/H Keshav Baugh Party Plot,
Vastrapur, Ahmedabad – 380015
Tel: 079 48940259/ 40380259

www.knightfrank.co.in/research
3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE

WARLI PAINTING -
THE HISTORY OF A TRIBAL ART FORM
India has a rich tradition of folk arts the custodians of which are the many tribes that live in the
interiors of various states. Warli art is a beautiful folk art of Maharashtra, traditionally created
by the tribal womens. Tribals are the Warli and Malkhar koli tribes found on the northern
outskirts of Mumbai, in Western India. This art was first explored in the early seventies &
from then it was named as “Warli art”. Tribal people express themselves in vivid styles
through paintings which they execute on the walls of their house. This was the only means
of transmitting folklore to a populace not acquainted with the written word. Warli paintings
were mainly done by the women folk. The most important aspect of the painting is that it does
not depicts mythological characters or images of deities, but depict social life. Pictures of
human beings and animals, along with scenes from daily life are created in a loose rhythmic
pattern. Warli paintings are painted white on mud walls. The paintings are beautifully executed
and resembles pre-historic cave paintings in execution and usually depict scenes of human
figures engaged in activities like hunting, dancing, sowing and harvesting.
4 I N DI A REAL ESTATE

CONTENT
ALL INDIA AHMEDABAD BENGALURU

PAGE NO.......................... 08 PAGE NO.......................... 20 PAGE NO.......................... 30

CHENNAI HYDERABAD KOLKATA

PAGE NO.......................... 40 PAGE NO.......................... 50 PAGE NO.......................... 60

MUMBAI NCR PUNE

PAGE NO.......................... 70 PAGE NO.......................... 80 PAGE NO.......................... 92

Your partners in property.


www.k n igh tf ran k .co.in /res earch
5 I NDI A REAL ESTATE

FOREWORD

S H I S H I R B A I JA L
C H A I R M A N A N D M A N AG I N G D I R E CTO R
K N I G H T F R A N K ( I N D I A ) P V T. LT D.

This time last year, India had just started to come out of the first Having said that, the IT sector has been actively hiring in the
wave of COVID-19, and sections of the Indian business were past year. And we are certain that this will create a requirement
beginning to revive. However, even before this revival could for additional office space in the new year. The incremental
settle, India was hit by the far deadlier Delta variant. The second office space take up expected from the hiring by just the top 5 IT
wave set back the growth momentum yet again with a greater companies in India is estimated to be at around 12 mn sq ft.
number of casualties being recorded. From an economic
To conclude, I would like to add that before the pandemic, we
perspective, this weakened the sentiments.
had noticed a divergent trend in office leasing and residential
Interestingly however, the real estate sector witnessed an sales over the last decade or so. Whilst office leasing had grown
unexpected fallout of the pandemic, a paradigm shift in the year after year, residential sales had declined over time.
attitude of end users for residential properties. The residential
After a long time, we feel that both these important sectors will
sector saw growth after consistent slowdowns over 7 years.
start showing simultaneous growth in the coming year. The only
Sales volumes grew substantially over the last 5 quarters, mostly
thing that casts a shadow of doubt on this revival is a possible
because of the change in viewpoint of the end users, who
third wave.
perhaps due to the uncertainty caused by the pandemic, started
gravitating towards the security of home ownership. With warm wishes for a bright 2022, I present to you the 16th
edition of Knight Frank India’s flagship half yearly report –
Ownership of home does provide a strong sense of stability.
‘India Real Estate 2021’. This report attempts to capture the
The growth in sales was of course, aided by the decadal low
developments in office and residential through the last year and
home loan interest regime, falling house prices, as well as
I hope that this endeavor enriches your engagement with the
demand stimulant measures undertaken by some of the State
India property market.
Governments. The resurgence started with Mumbai and Pune
soon after the rebate on stamp duty was introduced in Q3 2020. Stay safe and stay healthy.

However, after the demand started to pick up, the momentum


continued even without the sops. And this phenomenon has now
spread across all our major markets.

Whilst the residential segment witnessed strong growth, the


office sector was a mixed bag. The challenge to office space
came mostly from the Information Technology and Services
sectors where the complete return to office has still not been
achieved.
6 I N DI A REAL ESTATE

HAS THE
REAL ESTATE
RA JA N I S I N HA
CHIEF ECONOMIST &
N AT I O N A L D I R E C T O R
RESEARCH

CYCLE TURNED?

India’s real estate sector, specifically the residential segment, has shown quick recovery from the pandemic
induced crisis. A number of factors like low interest rates, fall in house prices and state governments’ stimulus, have
supported the housing market revival in 2021. The key question now is whether the housing market bounce back will
sustain in 2022. It is critical to assess if, after almost a decade of slowdown, the real estate cycle has indeed turned.
7 I NDI A REAL ESTATE

While initially, the pandemic posed a severe setback for the real estate The speculators and investors have been missing from the Indian real
sector, the quick bounce-back took everyone by surprise. In fact, the estate market as this asset class has shown poor returns in the last few
pandemic turned into a strong factor supporting housing demand. years. As far as the interest rate is concerned, it is expected to start
Not just in India, there has been a worldwide surge in housing demand inching up given the inflationary concerns. This would have an impact
during the pandemic. The surge in housing demand was supported on overall housing affordability. The interest rate hike too is likely to
by low interest rates everywhere. During the pandemic, people felt the be gradual given the growth uncertainties of the economy. Hence, a
need for bigger and better houses. As a result, in spite of uncertain gradual increase in prices and interest rates in the next few months
times, households chose to channelize their savings to create a real may not destabilize the housing growth momentum.
estate asset. Globally, the housing boom has been accompanied by
A fairly critical aspect in this turnaround story will be the household
a sharp rise in housing prices, resulting in fears of the forming of a
income, which in turn will depend not just on overall economic growth
housing bubble. In India, however, the housing sales surge has not
but also on the quality of growth. While India’s economy is projected
been accompanied by rising prices so far. Housing prices in India,
to grow by around 8% in FY 2023, there could be lot of hiccups with
having fallen in the last few years, stabilized in the last few months.
further waves of COVID remaining a concern. A strong hiring trend
So, while there is the fear of a house price bubble burst globally, such
has been seen in India’s IT sector and that should support household
concerns are not visible in India as yet.
income. The unorganized sector and the MSME segment, on the other
In many countries, like China for example, the housing sector is hand, have been hit hard by the pandemic and need to bounce back. A
struggling with the high leverage taken by many of the players. The large part of India’s housing story is led by affordable housing and for
recent default by Chinese real estate behemoths like Evergrande and this category to do well, it is critical for the income at the bottom of the
Kaisa has highlighted this concern. In India on the contrary, there has pyramid to grow.
been a cleanup of balance sheets of the real estate players in the past
Will India’s real estate sector rise like a phoenix from the ashes? It
few years, with many of them deleveraging. For the top 10 real estate
may be early to pronounce a final verdict on this given that pandemic
developers, the debt to equity ratio has fallen from 1.40 in 2016 to 1.17
related risks for the sector as well as the economy still persist. The
in 2021. The slowdown in the sector in the last few years has resulted
important aspect is that stakeholders of the sector like buyers, sellers
in only players with better financial health surviving. Structural reforms
and financial institutions have learnt their lessons from excesses of
like RERA and GST in recent years, have led to consolidation and
the past. Hopefully, they will be cautious this time around and that
formalization of the sector.
should help sustain the turnaround, provided overall economic growth
Funding remains a challenge for the real estate sector, especially for momentum is maintained.
the smaller players. Banks have become cautious in the pandemic
period resulting in the falling of outstanding bank credit to the
commercial real estate sector by 0.3% in the current year compared to
the previous year. In FY 2020, bank credit to the commercial real estate
sector grew by a strong 29% before petering down in subsequent
months. The other critical issue in the sector was that of large unsold
inventory. While it fell from a peak of 7 lakh units (for Top 8 cities) in
2014, unsold inventory still remains high at around 4.4 lakh units. The
government has set up the SWAMIH fund to help in funding stuck
projects in the affordable housing segment. While the fund has helped,
it is a time-consuming process with its own set of challenges.

Now, the critical questions are whether housing prices and interest
rates will start rising in the next year, and if that will result in the fading
out of the housing growth momentum. With raw material prices, land
and labour costs increasing, housing prices are expected to increase
going forward. The strong demand will enable the developers to pass
on the increase in construction cost. However, the price increase is
likely to be gradual and not as sharp as that being witnessed in many
of the other countries. The housing sales boom in India has so far been
led by end-user demand, hence the price rise is likely to be marginal.
8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

ALL
INDIA
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
A L L IN D I A M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
2 3 2 ,3 8 2 58% 1 29,1 4 4 50% 70 ,1 77 19 %
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
2 3 2 ,9 0 3 51 % 1 3 3 ,487 41 % 6 9,477 9%
( hous i n g u n i ts )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021

10.0 16.4
(housing units) Change (YoY)

437,237 0% (in quarters) (in quarters)


1 0 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

L AUNC H ES A N D SAL ES TREND LAUNCHES SALES

1,60,000
1,41,341

1,35,016

1,33,487
1,40,000

1,29,285

1,29,144
1,18,040
1,26,865
1,26,616

1,24,288
1,20,755
1,17,200

1,16,576
1,12,150
1,11,175
1,20,000
1,09,159

1,07,316
1,07,120

1,03,238
99,416
94,997
91,739

1,00,000
89,509

86,139
No. of units

80,000
68,702

62,738

60,489
59,538

60,000
40,832

40,000

20,000

0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
11 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

• The COVID-19 pandemic has dictated market movements since from 35% to 37% and 20% to 21% respectively, during the same
the beginning of 2020. The first wave of infections that struck the reference period.
country in Q2 2020 caused a near shutdown in business activity
• The significant increase in sales activity also stemmed the fall
and a consequent crash in residential market volumes during the
in residential prices seen in 2020. Price levels in seven of the
period. The gradual resumption of economic activity and increasing
eight markets under review were observed to remain at the same
availability of the vaccine sparked market traction in the second
level or record marginal growth in H2 2021 on a YoY basis. While
half of 2020 and this momentum carried over to 2021. The second
developers offered flexible payment schemes to push sales across
wave of infections in Q2 2021 again curtailed homebuyer and
markets, the incidence of direct discounts reduced dramatically
development activity alike as was seen during the first wave.
during H2 2021.
• However, the pandemic’s ultimate impact on the real estate market
• With increased launches in line with the pick-up in sales, the
has been quite paradoxical as it has reignited the need for personal
unsold inventory level by the end of 2021 remained steady at 0.44
space and housing in the homebuyer’s mind. With the second
mn units, at around the same level as seen at the end of 2020.
wave having run its course by the end of Q2 2021, an improving
The quarters-to-sell (QTS) level was also similarly steady at 10.0
economic/business environment, increased understanding of
quarters in H2 2021, as compared to 10.1 quarters in H2 2020.
the pandemic and focus on vaccinations had already helped the
QTS shows the number of quarters required to exhaust the unsold
residential market stage a smart recovery in Q3 2021 and the fourth
inventory and is calculated by dividing the existing unsold inventory
quarter held the promise of a sustained recovery.
by average sales of the eight trailing quarters from the analysis
• Market traction did not disappoint in Q4 2021 despite concerns period to avoid seasonal volatility.
of the Omicron variant which ultimately had very little impact on
• The residential market turned a corner in 2021 with sales
the residential market, if at all. In terms of half-yearly sales, H2
momentum consistently improving over the year. Homebuyer
2021 posted the highest sales volume since H1 2016. Low interest
sentiments were not dented by concerns over the Omicron variant
rates, improving affordability, high savings rate during 2020 and a
arising late in Q4 2021. The industry continues to consolidate
resurging interest in home ownership due to the space constraints
with residential developments steadily shifting into the hands of
imposed by the pandemic, have been the primary drivers of this
stronger developers who have been able to weather the economic
revival in demand.
storm created by the pandemic. While ready inventory remains a
• Developers were quick to realise this seismic shift in sentiment strong preference for homebuyers, established developers with a
and launched almost 0.13 mn units in H2 2021, a six year high in robust execution record are increasingly finding a market for their
the annual volume of units launched and 50% higher than H2 under-construction inventory.
2020. It is noteworthy that these higher launch volumes occurred
despite a significant rise in the cost of input material such as
cement and steel. The labour scarcity prevailing in H1 2021 was also
alleviated to a large extent with developers committing to facilitate
accommodation on-site.

• Mumbai and Pune accounted for 41% of the sales during H2 2021
even as the Maharashtra stamp duty cut window, credited for
boosting sales volumes in these two markets, closed in March
2021.

• Sales in Bengaluru and Hyderabad rose the most during H2


2021 at 104% and 135% YoY respectively. Homebuyers in these
Information Technology sector dominated markets were relatively
less impacted by pandemic induced disruptions and were well
poised to take the plunge in H2 2021. Incidentally, Hyderabad also
saw high growth in launches at 126%.

• Annual sales in the <INR 5 mn ticket size price segment reduced


from 45% in 2020 to 42% in 2021. Conversely, the share of annual
sales in the INR 5-10 mn and >10 mn ticket-size categories grew
12 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

K N IGH T FRA N K AFFORDABILITY INDE X


Affordability has improved over the years across all markets with income growing and housing prices correcting. The Knight Frank Affordability
Index, that tracks the EMI (Equated Monthly Instalment) to income ratio for households, improved further in 2021 across all cities. In fact,
affordability has improved dramatically since 2015 as the combined impact of slowing price growth and falling interest rates was much greater in
this period. The home loan interest rate is at a decadal low, aiding housing affordability. For instance, in Ahmedabad, the affordability index has
improved to 20% in 2020 from 46% in 2010. This implies that on an average a household in Ahmedabad needs to spend 20% of its income to
pay EMI for housing loan. Mumbai remains the most expensive market, but even in Mumbai the affordability has improved significantly, with the
affordability index reducing from 93% in 2010 to 53% in 2021. Mumbai is the only market with an EMI to income ratio above 50%, a level beyond
which banks rarely underwrite a mortgage. Ahmedabad is India’s most affordable market today followed by Pune and Chennai, with affordability ratio
at 24% and 25% respectively for both the cities. For NCR, the affordability index has fallen from 53% in 2010 to 28% in 2021, while for Bengaluru,
the affordability index has fallen from 48% in 2010 to 26% in 2021.

A F F O RDA BI L I T Y M AT RIX

CITY 2010 2020 2021


MUMBAI 93% 60% 53%

NCR 53% 38% 28 %

BENGALURU 48% 28% 26 %

PUNE 39% 26% 24 %

CHENNAI 51 % 26% 25 %

HYDE RABAD 47 % 31% 29%

KOLKATA 45% 29% 25 %


• N ote : Ci ty-wi d e ave ra ge afford a b i l i ty stati sti cs ca n n ot h i gh l i gh t d i sp a r i ti es i n h o u s i n g c osts w i t h i n
su b - m a r kets or a cross th e i n com e sp e ctr u m .
AHMEDABAD 46% 23% 20 %
• S ou rce : MOS P I , Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

ME TH O D O LO GY
The Knight Frank Affordability Index indicates the proportion of income that a household requires, to fund the monthly instalment (EMI) of a housing
unit in a particular city. So, a Knight Frank Affordability index level of 40% for a city implies that on an average, households in that city need to spend
40% of their income to fund the EMI of housing loan for that unit. An EMI/ Income ratio over 50% is considered unaffordable as it is the limit beyond
which banks rarely underwrite a mortgage

AS S U M P T I O N S
• EMI, housing unit size and price/ sq ft represent city-level averages.

• EMI:

Loan Tenure – 20 years


Loan to Value – 80%
Home loan interest rate - Average home loan rates of the State Bank of India (SBI)

• Area of housing unit: House size is fixed for each city across the years, but varies within different cities taking into account the average size
preference for each city.

• Housing Price: Median housing price for that city


1 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

A L L I N D I A T I C KE T S I ZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SA LES I NDI A AFFORDABLE MARKET ACT I VI T Y


DUR IN G H 2 2 0 2 0 AND H2 2 02 1 ( UP TO I NR 5 MI LLI ON SEGMENT )
70,000
H2 2020 H2 2021

21 23
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn>
60,000

50,000

40,000

36 35
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn

30,000

20,000

43 42
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn
10,000

0
H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

R ESID E N T I A L L AU N CHES AND SALES

LAUNCHES SALES
CITY
H2 2021 (YOY CHANGE) 2021 (YOY CHANGE) H2 2021 (YOY CHANGE) 2021 (YOY CHANGE)

MUMBAI 3 4,1 51 (27 % ) 70 ,0 23 (3 9%) 3 4,3 8 2 (1 4%) 6 2 , 9 89 (29 % )

NCR 1 7,6 4 2 (1 1 0 % ) 20 ,5 8 5 (1 1 0 %) 23 ,5 99 (49%) 3 5, 073 (65% )

BENGALURU 1 7,2 1 8 (8 9 % ) 3 0 ,6 0 7 (5 4%) 23 ,21 8 (1 0 4%) 3 8, 030 (61% )

PUNE 2 0,0 1 2 (-7 % ) 40 ,48 9 (1 6 %) 1 9,74 4 (1 7%) 3 7, 218 (38% )

CHENNAI 7,3 6 0 (9 8 % ) 1 2,78 3 (77%) 6 ,20 6 (9%) 1 1, 9 58 (38% )

HYDERABAD 1 9 ,0 24 (1 2 6 % ) 3 5 ,73 6 (1 79%) 1 2,3 4 4 (1 3 5 %) 24, 318 (142% )

KO L KATA 5 ,3 1 5 (6 2 % ) 7,51 0 (8 1 %) 9,290 (5 5 %) 1 4,405 (62% )

AHMEDABAD 8 ,4 22 (7 7 % ) 1 4,6 48 (99%) 4,70 3 (1 8 %) 8, 9 11 (37% )

ALL INDIA 1 2 9 ,1 4 4 (5 0% ) 23 2,3 8 2 (5 8 %) 1 3 3 ,487 (41 %) 232, 9 03 (51% )

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


14 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

R ES I D E N T I A L M ARKET HEALTH IN H2 2 02 1

UNSOLD INVENTORY (YOY


CITY QTS
CHANGE)

MUMBAI 1 5 3 ,9 5 0 (5 % ) 1 1 .0

NCR 9 6 ,1 8 6 (-1 3 % ) 1 3 .7

BENGALURU 6 7,3 41 (-1 0% ) 8 .7

PUNE 5 0,8 1 2 (7 % ) 6 .3

CHENNAI 1 2 ,8 5 4 (5 % ) 5 .0

HYDERABAD 1 8 ,5 9 8 (1 5 9 % ) 4.3

KO L KATA 2 1 ,2 6 5 (-24 % ) 7.3

AHMEDABAD 1 6 ,2 3 1 (5 5 % ) 8 .4

ALL INDIA 4 3 7,2 3 7 (0% ) 1 0 .0

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

R ES I D E N T I A L P RI C E M OVE M E NT

CITY H2 2021 IN INR/SQ M (INR/SQ FT) 12 MONTH CHANGE 6 MONTH CHANGE

MUMBAI 74,1 1 0 (6 ,8 8 5 ) 1% 2%

NCR 45 ,241 (4,20 3 ) -1% 1%

BENGALURU 5 5 ,43 5 (5 ,1 5 0 ) 4% 4%

PUNE 43 ,0 5 6 (4,0 0 0 ) 0% 0%

CHENNAI 43 ,5 94 (4,0 5 0 ) 7% 0%

HYDERABAD 5 0 ,8 0 6 (4,720 ) 5% 0%

KO L KATA 3 4,6 0 6 (3 ,21 5 ) 0% 0%

AHMEDABAD 3 0 ,1 3 9 (2,8 0 0 ) 0% 0%

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch


15 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

OFF I C E M A RK ET
IN DIA M A RKE T S U M M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
3 .6 0 (3 8 .7) 9% 2.20 (23 .7) 38% 1 .1 0 (1 1 .8 ) 0%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transa ct i o n s
3 .5 4 (3 8 .1 ) -3 % 2.40 (25 .9) 1 7% 1 .24 (1 3 .3 ) 6%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )

Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t )


S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Stock 2021
Vacancy % 2021
mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY)

77.10 5% 17.2%
(830.1) 177 basis points increase
1 6 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

IN DIA O FFI C E M ARKET ACTIVITY COMPLETIONS TRANSACTIONS

4.0

3.48
3.5

3.08
3.0

2.55
2.40

2.40
2.5
2.23

2.22

2.20
2.18
Mn sq m

2.09

2.06
2.02
1.99

1.95
1.94

1.90
1.87

2.0
1.81
1.75

1.71
1.70

1.60

1.59
1.54

1.5 1.39
1.28

1.14
1.04

1.0

0.5

0.0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
17 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

• 2021 began on a positive note with the first quarter of the year and Mumbai accounted for 62% of the new completions with
showing encouraging signs of recovery and growth, but the much Bengaluru seeing the most space delivered at 0.6 mn sq m (6.8 mn
more intense second wave of the pandemic curtailed market sq ft).
traction in Q2 2021. However, improving economic fundamentals
• There was a dip in rentals on a YoY basis across most markets in
and business environment coupled with a better understanding of
2021. However, rental levels across markets were observed to be
the pandemic encouraged corporate India to gradually return to
stabilizing towards the end of the year.
office in the second half of the year. 2.4 mn sq m (25.9 mn sq ft) of
office space was transacted during H2 2021 compared to 1.14 mn • Despite the uncertainty regarding the Omicron variant of the

sq m (12.3 mn sq ft) in H1 2021. pandemic, transaction volumes in H2 2021 have shown a


reassuring growth over the same period last year. The active
• While annual transacted volumes in 2021 almost equaled 2020
adoption of managed office premises by large enterprises
levels (-3% YoY), they could have comfortably crossed the same
is expected to continue as employee health considerations
but for the uncertainty caused by the emergence of the Omicron
will necessitate a high level of flexibility in their workspace
variant towards the end of the year.
considerations, especially as the pandemic runs its course.
• Six of the eight markets under our coverage saw transaction As things stand now, more than 60% of the country’s eligible
volumes grow in YoY terms during H2 2021. Transaction volumes population is already fully vaccinated and over 90% have received
in NCR and Pune grew the most at 56% and 58% YoY respectively their first dose. Further, our vastly increased understanding of
during the period. Bengaluru with 0.8 mn sq m (8.7 mn sq ft) the pandemic should help avoid a panic situation in the market
constituted 33% of the area transacted during the year and it is as was seen in 2020. Going forward, the progress in employee
also the highest volume transacted in the city during a half-yearly vaccinations and the speed at which clarity is achieved on the
period. virulence of the latest variant will determine how quickly corporates
return to office in force.
• The Information Technology sector accounted for 27% of the space
transacted during H2 2021 compared to 41% in H2 2020. However,
given the substantial hiring that has occurred in the sector during
the year and its professed need to return to office, it is a matter
of time before its share in transactions reverts to its longer-term I NDI A OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
average. Approximately 0.26 mn employees have been hired by the
20%
top five IT companies in India during the April 2020 to September
2021 period, which is estimated to create an incremental demand

1 7.2%
1 6 .7%

18%

1 6 .6 %
of 1.08 mn sq m (11.7 mn sq ft).

1 5 .4%
1 5 .6 %
15 .1 %

• The share of transactions in the co-working/managed workspace 16%


14.2%
13.4%

sector was the highest amongst all sectors during Q4 2021 as


13.1%
12.6 %
13 .0%
1 2.9 %
1 2.4%

the need for flexibility and a hybrid working environment has been 14%
11. 6%

a growing phenomenon. While the IT sector deferred its leasing


activity, it was the primary driver for the spike in the co-working/ 12%

managed office sector’s transactions during the Omicron


influenced quarter. The share of the sector in total transactions 10%

increased to 29% in Q4 2021 from 11% in Q4 2020. Gathering


8%
momentum in every successive quarter of 2021, 84,000 seats
were taken up in managed office premises in 2021. The co-working
6%
player’s positioning as experts in the domain of workspace
delivery continues to strengthen even as this sector goes through
4%
a consolidation phase that will see the weaker players eventually
getting pushed out of the market.
2%
• With labour shortages and other supply chain bottlenecks having
been overcome to a large extent in H2 2021, office completions 0%
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
also picked up significantly with 2.2 mn sq m (23.7 mn sq ft) getting
delivered during the period, a 38% growth YoY. Bengaluru, Pune S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
1 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

S E CTO R- W I S E T RA N SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 MARKET-W I SE RENTAL MOVEMENT


AND H2 2021
RENTAL VALUE RANGE IN H2
12 MONTH 6 MONTH
H2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1 CITY 2021 IN INR/SQ M/MONTH
CHANGE CHANGE
(INR/SQ FT/MONTH)
16% B FS I 16% MUMBAI 1 1 5 2 (1 0 7) -8 % -2%

NCR 8 8 4 (8 2.1 ) 0% 1%
41% I nfo rm at i o n Tec hno l o g y 27 %

BENGALURU 78 6 (73 ) -9% 1%


16% M a nufa ct uri ng 21%
PUNE 721 (6 7) - 4% 2%

10% C o -wo rk i ng 18% AHMEDABAD 43 3 (40 .3 ) -2% 0%

CHENNAI 6 27 (5 8 .3 ) -3 % -3%
18% Ot her S erv i c es 19%
HYDERABAD 6 6 1 (6 1 .4) 0% 0%

KOLKATA 3 75 (3 4.8 ) -3 % 0%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
N ote : B FS I includes B FSI support services
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

OF F IC E T RA N SACT I O NS & COM PLETIONS

OFFICE TRANSACTIONS OFFICE SPACE COMPLETIONS


CITY H2 2021 IN MN SQ M 2021 IN MN SQ M H2 2021 IN MN SQ M 2021 IN MN SQ M
(MN SQ FT) (YOY CHANGE) (MN SQ FT) (YOY CHANGE) (MN SQ FT) (YOY CHANGE) (MN SQ FT) (YOY CHANGE)

MUMBAI 0 .2 (2 .1 ) (1 % ) 0 .3 5 (3 .8 ) (-3 7%) 0 .3 4 (3 .7) (1 23 %) 0 .46 (5) (-6% )

NCR 0.3 7 (4 ) (5 6 % ) 0 .6 (6 .4) (3 8 %) 0 .2 (2.1 ) (0 %) 0 .48 (5.1) (76% )

BENGALURU 0.8 (8 .7 ) (1 5 % ) 1 .1 4 (1 2.2) (-1 %) 0 .6 3 (6 .8 ) (25 %) 1 .1 1 (11. 9 ) (27% )

PUNE 0.2 5 (2 .7 ) (5 8 % ) 0 .3 6 (3 .8 ) (3 %) 0 .4 (4.3 ) (75 4%) 0 .67 (7. 2) (9 21% )

AHMEDABAD 0 .0 7 (0 .7 ) (-1 0% ) 0 .1 1 (1 .1 ) (-1 2%) 0 .1 3 (1 .4) (- 4 4%) 0 .23 (2. 5) (-51% )

CHENNAI 0.2 5 (2 .7 ) (-1 5 % ) 0 .3 6 (3 .9) (-1 4%) 0 .0 9 (0 .9) (1 3 5 9%) 0 .1 6 (1. 8) (- 47% )

HYDERABAD 0 .41 (4.4 ) (1 6 % ) 0 .5 6 (6 ) (0 %) 0 .3 6 (3 .8 ) (-21 %) 0 .43 (4. 6) (- 47% )

KO L KATA 0 .0 5 (0 .6 ) (24 % ) 0 .0 8 (0 .8 ) (-1 2%) 0 .0 6 (0 .6 ) (0 %) 0 .0 6 (0. 6) (610% )

TOTAL 2 .4 (2 5 .9) (1 7 % ) 3. 5 4 ( 38.1) ( -3%) 2 . 2 ( 2 3.7 ) ( 38%) 3. 6 (38 .7) (9 %)

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch


1 9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A LL I ND I A

MA R K E T-W I S E RE N TAL M OVEM E NT

RENTAL VALUE RANGE IN H2 2021 IN INR/SQ M/MONTH


CITY 12 MONTH CHANGE 6 MONTH CHANGE
(INR/SQ FT/MONTH)

MUMBAI 1 1 5 2 (1 0 7) -8 % -2%

NCR 8 8 4 (8 2.1 ) 0% 1%

BENGALURU 78 6 (73 ) -9% 1%

PUNE 721 (6 7) - 4% 2%

AHMEDABAD 43 3 (40 .3 ) -2% 0%

CHENNAI 6 27 (5 8 .3 ) -3 % -3%

HYDERABAD 6 6 1 (6 1 .4) 0% 0%

KO L KATA 3 75 (3 4.8 ) -3 % 0%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


2 0 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D

AHMEDABAD
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
2 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D

R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
A H ME DABAD M ARKET SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
1 4,6 48 99% 8 ,422 77% 4,1 6 5 -2%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
8 ,9 1 1 3 7% 4,70 3 18% 3 ,0 96 9 3%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r ic e in I N R /s q m I N R 3 1 ,1 3 9
0% - - - 0%
(INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 2 ,8 0 0 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021

8.4 8.8
(housing units) Change (YoY)

16,231 55% (in quarters) (in quarters)


22 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D

L AUNC H ES A N D SAL ES TREND LAUNCHES SALES

10,000
9,075

8,809
8,556

9,000

8,501

8,422
8,212
8,087

8,101

8,089
8,062

7,941

7,800
7,751

8,000
7,491

7,400

7,000

6,226
6,000
5,200
No. of units

4,745
5,000

4,208
4,000 3,986
3,398

2,943
2916

2,844

2,627

3,000
2,520
1,874

2,000
1323

1,000

0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
2 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D

• The resumption of business activity and increasing availability of low at 8.8 quarters, a steady fall from the 12.3 quarters in 2019
the vaccine spurred market traction in the second half of 2021. and 10.1 quarters in 2020, signifying the increasing rate at which
Demand had improved steadily since H2 2020 and culminated ready inventory is getting consumed in the market. Also, the
in the quarterly sales hitting an eight quarter high in Q4 2021 at limited price discount for under construction property still does not
3,096 units, a 10% growth compared to Q4 2020. While the second warrant undertaking development execution risks unless it is with
wave was far more intense in terms of the spread of infections, it established developers in highly sought-after locations.
was perceived as more of a speed bump by homebuyers with a
• While the growth in sales has been encouraging, the fall in prices
reignited need for housing with larger spaces and better amenities.
was stemmed in H2 2021 with the market maintaining the same
• Sales grew by a strong 37% YoY to 8,911 units in 2021 as price level seen a year ago. Ahmedabad is the cheapest residential
sentiments improved over the year. Gauging the changing mood of market among the eight under review and also has the most
the market, developers upped the ante and launched 14,648 units favourable affordability index level (EMI/household income ratio)
in 2021, a 99% YoY growth and the highest annual tally in the past of 20%. This means that a typical household in the city will need to
four years. spend 20% of its income to pay the EMI for a housing loan.

• Homebuyers were willing to scout for buying opportunities in the • Unsold inventory has risen 55% YoY at the end of H2 2021 but at
outskirts for properties that would afford them a significant lifestyle 16,231 units, it is still less than half of what the market carried in
upgrade. Over the course of the year, plotted developments in 2016. The increasing market depth seen in 2021 is an encouraging
gated communities found favour with homebuyers and even sign and improving sentiments along with the very favourable
investors looking to achieve just that. affordability scenario should support market volumes going
forward.
• There has been a gradual decrease in the share of sales with ticket
sizes < INR 5 mn since 2018. The share of sales in this category
has shrunk from 76% in H1 2018 to 69% in H2 2021. The shift in
demand to the INR 5-10 mn ticket size has been significant over
the past few years, from 15% in H1 2018 to 23% in H2 2021. This
trend has been observed across locations due to the need for
upgrading the family’s primary residence and to accommodate
work and study from home requirements.

• Ready inventory has been the homebuyer’s preference due to


sufficient availability. The average age of inventory is at a six year

MICRO - M A RKE T C L ASSIF ICATION

MICR O MA RKET LO CAT I O N S

Central Paldi, Vasna, Navrangpura, Maninagar, Dudheshwar, Ambawadi

East Naroda, Vastral, Nikol, Kathwada Road, Odhav

North Gota, New Ranip, Tragad, Chandkheda, Motera

South Narol, Vatva, Vinzol, Hathijan

West SG Highway, Prahlad Nagar, Bopal, Thaltej, Science City Road

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


24 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D

MICRO - M A RKE T S P LIT OF NEW LAUNCHES IN H2 2 0 20 AND H2 2021

12%
18%
2 8%
30%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
16% 03%
 Cen tral 12% 18%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021  East 1 6% 3%
 North 36% 41%

07% 10%  Sou th 7% 10%


 West 30% 28%
41%
36%

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

MIC RO -M ARKE T S P LIT OF SALES IN H2 2 02 0 AND H2 2021

14%
18%
24%
30%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
03%
 Cen tral 14% 18%
20%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021  East 20% 3%
08%  North 34% 38%
 Sou th 8% 11%
11%
38%  West 24% 30%

34%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

A H ME DABAD T I C KE T SIZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m

DUR IN G H 2 2 0 2 0 AND H2 2 02 1
31,500
H2 2020 H2 2021
31,000

9 8
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn> 30,500

30,000

29,500

22 23
29,000
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
28,500

28,000

27,500

69 69
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn 27,000

26,500
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch


2 5 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D

R ESI D E N T I AL P RI C E M OVE M E NT IN SE LE CT LOCATI ONS


P RICE RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN
MICR O M A R K ET LO CATI O N 12 M O NT H CH ANGE 6 MONTH CHANGE
INR/ SQ M ( INR/ SQ FT )

A M BAVA DI 6 3 ,5 0 0 -6 8 ,90 0 (5 ,90 0 -6 ,40 0 ) 1% 0%


CENT R AL
N AV R A N GA PU R 5 3 ,8 0 0 -6 4,6 0 0 (5 ,0 0 0 -6 ,0 0 0 ) -2% -1%

N I KOL 1 6 ,1 0 0 -3 0 ,70 0 (1 ,5 0 0 -2,8 5 0 ) 2% 1%


EAST
VAST R A L 1 9,40 0 -26 ,90 0 (1 ,8 0 0 -2,5 0 0 ) 1% 1%

C HA N DKHE DA 25 ,8 0 0 -3 6 ,6 0 0 (2,40 0 -3 ,40 0 ) 2% 1%


NORT H
M OT E R A 3 2,3 0 0 - 45 ,20 0 (3 ,0 0 0 - 4,20 0 ) 1% 0%

AS LA L I C I R C L E 1 2,90 0 -1 6 ,1 0 0 (1 ,20 0 -1 ,5 0 0 ) -1% 0%


SOUT H
VATWA 1 0 ,8 0 0 -21 ,5 0 0 (1 ,0 0 0 -2,0 0 0 ) -2% -1%

B OPA L 3 4,40 0 -3 6 ,6 0 0 (3 ,20 0 -3 ,40 0 ) 2% 0%


W EST
PR A HLA D N AGA R 5 9,20 0 -6 1 ,3 0 0 (5 ,5 0 0 -5 ,70 0 ) 2% 0%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MIC RO - M A RKE T H E ALTH

UN S O L D I N V E N TO RY Q UART ERS-TO -SELL AGE O F INVENTORY


MICR O -M A R K ET
(H O US I N G UN I TS ) (YOY CH ANGE) ( QTS) ( IN Q UARTERS)

CENT R AL 2 ,7 1 8 (3 9 %) 9.5 1 1.40

EAST 1 ,8 1 0 (1 3 % ) 6 .6 1 6. 80

NORT H 3 ,00 8 (1 2 9%) 4.5 1 6. 20

SOUT H 3 ,06 8 (5 2%) 1 7.6 1 5. 70

W EST 5 ,6 2 6 (5 6%) 1 0 .8 1 6. 9 7

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


2 6 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D

OFF I C E M ARK ET
A H ME DA BAD M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Co mplet io n s
0 .2 3 (2.5 ) -51 % 0 .1 3 (1 .4) - 4 4% 0 .0 3 (0 .3 ) -7 1%
mn sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transact io n s
0 .1 0 (1.1 ) -1 2% 0 .0 7 (0 .7) -1 0 .5 % 0 .0 4 (0 .4) - 4 4%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Averag e t ra n sa cte d re n t i n I N R /s q m /m o nt h
4 3 3 (4 0.3 ) -2.0 % - - - 0%
(INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Stock 2021 Vacancy % 2021


mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY)

3.16(34.0) 8% 45.9%
74 basis points increase
27 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D

A H ME DA BAD O FFI C E M ARKE T ACTIVITY COMPLETIONS TRANSACTIONS

0.30

0.25

0.24
0.25

0.23
0.21

0.21
0.20
0.20
Mn sq m

0.15

0.13
0.10

0.10

0.10
0.09

0.10
0.08

0.08
0.07

0.07
0.07
0.06

0.06

0.06
0.05

0.05
0.05
0.05

0.04
0.04

0.05
0.03

0.03
0.02

0.00
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
2 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D

• The Ahmedabad office market was adversely impacted by the • While transaction momentum picked up towards the end of the
turbulence caused by the second wave of the pandemic during H1 year, the market still faces significant challenges, especially with
2021. While transaction volumes have recovered since then in H2 concerns of a third wave weighing down on corporate expansion
2021, the 0.07 mn sq m (0.7 mn sq ft) transacted during this period plans. The high vacancy level continues to put pressure on rent
are 10.5% lower in YoY terms. growth. The rate at which new office spaces have been coming
online will need to continue to reduce, or the market will be hard
• Office completion levels fell by 44% in H2 2021 to 0.13 mn sq
pressed to maintain equilibrium.
m (1.4 mn sq ft). Incidentally, 2021 marked the first time that the
Ahmedabad market saw a de-growth in annual completions since
2015. This has helped stabilize the extremely high vacancy level at AHMEDABAD OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
45.9%. At 70 basis points higher (bps) YoY, the rise in the vacancy
50%

4 5. 9 %
level is still much below the 180 basis points seen cumulatively by

4 5. 8%
4 5. 2 %
the eight cities under our review.
45%

41 . 7 %
• Market momentum increased towards the end of the year with Q4
2021 transaction volumes rising 37% compared to the preceding

3 5. 9 %
quarter. However, news of the Omicron variant caused deferment of 40%

3 4.0 %
many deals to the subsequent quarter.
35%
• CBD West continued to attract occupier interest due to the growing
infrastructure and new office space development occurring

26 .4%
here in recent times. 58% of the volume transacted during H2 30%
2021 occurred in CBD West locations on Bopal-Ambli Road,

24.6 %
23 .7%
Keshavbaug, SG Highway and Shyamal Cross Road. 22.2%
25%
• A lease of 0.01 mn sq m (0.14 mn sq ft) inked by HDFC Bank
20 .1 %

1 9.6 %

at Himalaya Business Center, RTO in the CBD was the largest


20%
transaction during H2 2021. This lease constituted almost the
entire area accounted for by the CBD during H2 2021. Limited
investment activity was observed during the period with about 15%

0.004 mn sq m (0.04 mn sq ft) being committed to by investors.

• The PBD accounted for 22% of the space transacted during H2 10%

2021. The second largest deal during this period was a 0.01 mn sq
m (0.12 mn sq ft) lease signed by IT company Arrow Electronics at 5%
Ognaj in the PBD.

• Rental levels were under pressure due to subdued activity during 0%


the period, with the average rents dropping 2% YoY in H2 2021. H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
• The HDFC Bank deal resulted in the BFSI sector’s share of
transactions being the highest in H2 2021. Besides the BFSI
sector, the managed offices/co-working sector also gained market
share during H2 2021. Occupiers’ preference to defer longer term BUSI NESS DI ST RI CT CLASSI FI CAT I ON
commitments in favor of more flexible office space arrangements
pushed up the share of the co-working/managed offices sector BU SINESS DIST RICT M ICRO M ARKETS
to 17% during the period. This is only topped by the sector’s 27% Bodakdev, Keshav Baug, Prahladnagar, Satellite,
share during H1 2021. CBD West
SG Highway, Thaltej

• While Information Technology (IT) companies were the largest PBD Gandhinagar, GIFT City
takers of managed office spaces, an increasing number of
CBD Ashram Road, Ellis Bridge, Paldi
occupiers from the manufacturing and Other Services sectors were
also observed to be taking up co-working spaces during H2 2021.
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
2 9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE A H ME DA BA D

B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2020 AND H2 2021

01%
2 1%
22 % M I CR O- M A R K ET H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1

33%  CB D 1% 21%
 CB D WEST 33% 58%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021
 PB D 66% 22%
66%

5 8%

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI ZE T REND Average deal size in sq m

H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1 3500

34% B FS I 38%
2800
45% I nfo rm at i o n Tec hno l o g y 31%
sq m

15% M a nufa ct uri ng 09% 2100

02 % C o -wo rk i ng 17 %
1400
05% Ot her S erv i c es 06%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


700
N ote : B FS I includes B FS I support services

0
H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021

B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT- WISE RE NTAL M OVE M E NT


R E N TA L VALU E RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN 12-M O NT H 6-MONTH
I N R / S Q M/ M O NT H ( INR/ SQ FT/ M O NT H ) CH ANGE CHANGE

CBD 48 8 - 45 2 (3 6 - 42) -2% -1%

CBD West 420 -5 3 8 (3 9-5 0 ) -3 % -1%

P BD 3 23 - 43 1 (3 0 - 40 ) - 4% -2%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


3 0 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U

BENGALURU
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
3 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U

R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
B E N GALU RU M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
3 0,6 0 7 5 4% 1 7,21 8 8 9% 8 ,421 9 1%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
3 8 ,0 3 0 61% 23 ,21 8 1 0 4% 1 1 ,8 8 1 83%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r ic e in I N R /s q m I N R 5 5 ,43 5
4.4% - - - 4. 0%
(INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 5 ,15 0 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021

8.7 15.9
(housing units) Change (YoY)

67,341 -10% (in quarters) (in quarters)


3 2 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U

L AUNC H ES A N D SAL ES TREND LAUNCHES SALES

30000

28,225
27,848

26,220

25,803
24,281
24,190

25000

23,218
22,234
21,400

21,210

20,894
20,309

19,851
20000
17,973

17,218
15,556
No. of units

14,812
14,026

13,389
13,336
13,395

15000
12,878

12,177
11,826

11,402
10,806

9,123
8,384

10000

5000

0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
3 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U

• Q1 2021 was a strong period for the Bengaluru residential market • With sales level ahead of launches in each successive year since
and the COVID-19 second wave in Q2 2021 was expected to serve 2015, unsold inventory has fallen to its lowest level in the last 10
only as a temporary blip. Expectedly so, coming out of the second years. The quarters-to-sell (QTS) stands at a healthy 9 quarters for
wave and with rapidly scaling up of vaccination drives, Q3 and Q4 the market raising expectations of a continuing strong momentum
recorded sales growth of 131% and 83% YoY respectively. in 2022.

• Omicron related developments towards the end of Q4 2021 did not • With improved demand supply dynamics in the market and a
have any material influence on home buyer decision making and positive homebuyer outlook, the average price level increased by
accordingly, sales momentum across segments remained strong 4.4% YoY during Q4 2021. Although the price increase was broad
during the period. based across ready and under construction properties, it was more
prominent in new project launches.
• Thus, on the back of a strong second half performance, Bengaluru
residential market witnessed a 61% YoY jump in sales in 2021. With
housing sales of 38,030 units in 2021, the city ranked as the 2nd
largest market in the country next only to Mumbai.

• Launches improved by 54% YoY to 30,607 units in 2021 as


developers launched new projects, buoyed by strong end user
demand and reducing inventory position. In H2 2021, launches
improved 89% YoY to 17,218 units.

• South Bengaluru remained the largest market accounting for


38% sales followed by North at 30% and East at 26% in H2 2021.
However, North Bengaluru recorded the fastest sales growth of
134% YoY during H2 2021. South and East micro-markets saw
growth of 127% and 59% respectively.

• Mid and high-end ticket size segments (INR 5 mn and above) saw
their share rising from 65% in H2 2020 to 68% in H2 2021 as
consumers preferred bigger apartments and better projects to
accommodate increased space and lifestyle requirements.

MICRO - M A RKE T C L ASSIF ICATION


MICR O MA RKET LO CAT I O N S

Central MG Road, Lavelle Road, Langford Town, Vittal Mallya Road, Richmond Road

East Whitefield, Old Airport Road, Old Madras Road, KR Puram, Marathahalli

West Malleshwaram, Rajajinagar, Yeswanthpur, Tumkur Road, Vijayanagar

North Hebbal, Bellary Road, Hennur, Jakkur, Yelahanka, Banaswadi

South Koramangala, Sarjapur Road, Jayanagar, JP Nagar, HSR Layout, Kanakapura Road, Bannerghatta Road

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


3 4 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U

MICRO - M A RKE T S P LIT OF NEW LAUNCHES IN H2 2 0 20 AND H2 2021


0% 0%
5%
5%
2 0%
33% M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
 Cen tral 0% 0%
 East 33% 20%
41 % H2 2 02 0 H2 2021
 North 21% 28%
47 %
2 8%  Sou th 41% 47%
 West 5% 5%

21%

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

MIC RO -M ARKE T S P LIT OF SALES IN H2 2 02 0 AND H2 2021


0% 0%
6%
7%
2 6%
33% M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
 Cen tral 0% 0%
3 4% H2 2 02 0 H2 2021  East 33% 26%
38%  North 26% 30%
 Sou th 34% 38%
 West 7% 6%
30%

26%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

B E N GALU RU T I C KE T SIZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m

DUR IN G H 2 2 0 2 0 AND H2 2 02 1
56,000
H2 2020 H2 2021
55,000

18 21
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn> 54,000

53,000

52,000

48 47
51,000
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
50,000

49,000

48,000

35 32
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn 47,000

46,000
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch


3 5 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U

R ESI D E N T I AL P RI C E M OVE M E NT IN SE LE CT LOCATI ONS


P RICE RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN
MICR O M A R K ET LO CATI O N 12 M O NT H CH ANGE 6 MONTH CHANGE
INR/ SQ M ( INR/ SQ FT )

LA N G FOR D TOW N 1 ,6 1 ,46 0 -2,3 6 ,8 0 8 (1 5 ,0 0 0 -22,0 0 0 ) 1% 3%


CENT R AL
LAV E L L E R OA D 2,26 ,0 4 4 -3 ,22,920 (21 ,0 0 0 - 3 0 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 1%

K R PU R A M 40 ,90 3 -6 9,96 6 (3 ,8 0 0 -6 ,5 0 0 ) 0% 1%
EAST
W HI T E FI E L D 48 ,43 8 -8 6 ,1 1 2 (4,5 0 0 -8 ,0 0 0 ) 1% 4%

MA R AT HA HA L L I 45 ,20 9-75 ,3 48 (4,20 0 -7,0 0 0 ) 0% 1%

HE B BA L 5 9,20 2-1 ,0 7,6 40 (5 ,5 0 0 -1 0 ,0 0 0 ) 1% 3%

Y E LA HA N KA 43 ,0 5 6 -8 0 ,73 0 (4,0 0 0 -7,5 0 0 ) 3% 3%


NORT H
T HA N I SA N DR A 43 ,0 5 6 -8 6 ,1 1 2 (4,0 0 0 -8 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 0%

HE N N U R 43 ,0 5 6 -8 6 ,1 1 2 (4,0 0 0 -8 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 1%

SA R JA PU R R OA D 43 ,0 5 6 -8 6 ,1 1 2 (4,0 0 0 -8 ,0 0 0 ) 3% 5%

KA N A K PU R A R OA D 43 ,0 5 6 -7 1 ,0 42 (4,0 0 0 -6 ,6 0 0 ) -1% 0%
SOUT H
E L ECT R ON I C C I TY 3 7,6 74 -6 4,5 8 4 (3 ,5 0 0 -6 ,0 0 0 ) 3% 5%

BA N N E R G HAT TA R OA D 3 7,6 74 -75 ,3 48 (3 ,5 0 0 -7,0 0 0 ) -1% 1%

Y ES HWA N T PU R 6 4,5 8 4 -1 ,0 7,6 40 (6 ,0 0 0 -1 0 ,0 0 0 ) -1% 0%

MA L L ESWA R A M 8 6 ,1 1 2-1 ,5 0 ,6 96 (8 ,0 0 0 -1 4,0 0 0 ) -2% 4%


W EST
R AJAJ I N AGA R 75 ,3 48 -1 ,6 1 ,46 0 (7,0 0 0 -1 5 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 2%

T U M KU R R OA D 3 2,292-6 4,5 8 4 (3 ,0 0 0 -6 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 1%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MIC RO - M A RKE T H E ALTH

UN S O L D I N V E N TO RY Q UA RTERS-TO -SELL
MICR O -M A R K ET
( H O US I N G UN I TS ) (YOY C H A N G E ) ( QTS)

CENT R AL 1 41 (-3 6 % ) 6.4

EAST 1 3 9 2 9 (-1 8 % ) 6.1

NORT H 1 5 3 8 3 (-9 % ) 8 .0

SOUT H 3 1 6 9 1 (-4 % ) 1 0 .7

W EST 6 1 9 7 (-1 7 % ) 1 1 .7

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


3 6 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U

OFF I C E M ARK ET
B E N GA LU RU M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
1 .1 1 (1 1 .94) 27 % 0 .6 3 (6 .8 ) 25 % 0 .25 (2.7) -32%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transa ct i o n s
1 .1 4 (1 2 . 23 ) -1% 0 .8 0 (8 .7) 15% 0 .41 (4.4) 3%
mn sq m ( mn s q f t )
Average t ra n sa cte d re n t in I N R /s q m /m o nt h
78 6 (73 ) -9% - - - 1%
( INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Stock 2021 Vacancy % 2021


mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY)

17.3 (186.1) 7% 13%


370 basis points increase
3 7 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U

B E NGALU RU O FFI C E M ARKE T ACTIVITY COMPLETIONS TRANSACTIONS

0.90

0.85

0.80
0.78
0.77
0.80

0.71
0.75

0.70
0.65
0.70

0.64

0.63
0.65 0.61
0.57
0.56

0.56

0.55

0.60
0.54

0.55

0.50
0.49

0.48
0.46

0.50

0.44
Mn sq m

0.42

0.40

0.45
0.37

0.37
0.36

0.40
0.34

0.34
0.33

0.33
0.35

0.30

0.25

0.20

0.15

0.10

0.05

0.00
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
3 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U

• Accounting for a decadal high share of 32% in 2021, Bengaluru


maintained its supremacy in India office transactions despite the BENGALURU OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
headwinds of pandemic and recent Omicron worries that delayed 14%

1 3 . 0%
return to office.
13%
• A strong second half ensured that Bengaluru recorded 12.23 mn

11.3%
sq ft of office transactions in 2021, around the same as the level 12%
of 2020.
11%
• Recovering from the initial pandemic hiccups, construction

9.3%
activity across projects is back to normal levels. Strong 10%
completions of 11.9 mn sq ft – second highest level in a decade –
has been delivered in 2021 marking an increase of 26.7% YoY. 9%

8%

6. 5%
• The need for flexibility in workspace strategy, a key feature 8%

8%
associated with co-working spaces, has ensured that this

7%
occupier group accounted for 19% of transactions in 2021 – a 7%
significant jump over the 12% share during 2020. In Q4 2021

4.8 %
6%

6%
particularly, co-working operators took up 42% of space, buoyed
by the strong interest shown by their enterprise clients.
5%

4.3 %
4.1 %
3 .7%
• ORR continues to be the dominant market with 39% transaction

3 .5 %
4%
share followed by PBD North, PBD East and SBD at 17%, 15% and

3 .0 %
15% respectively during H2 2021. With increased deal activity
3%
in Hebbal, Yelahanka and Thanisandra Road, the PBD North
business district has seen its share increasing meaningfully 2%
compared to past periods.
1%
• Increased supply over the last year translated into a rise in the
vacancy level over a 12-month period. However, with the sharp 0%
rise in office transaction level in Q4 2021, the vacancy level has H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
moderated in the last 3 months from 13.2% to 13.0%.

• Office rents recorded a 9% YoY decline over a 12-month period. BUSI NESS DI ST RI CT CLASSI FI CAT I ON
However, over the last 6 months, they reflected stability. Average
transacted rent level reflects 1% YoY increase in the most recent BU SINESS DIST RICT M ICRO M ARKETS
3-month and 6-month periods.
MG Road, Residency Road,
Central Business District (CBD)
• The Information Technology sector, which is the main driver Cunningham Road, Lavelle Road,
and off CBD
for the Bengaluru office market taking up 39% transactions Richmond Road, Infantry Road
share throughout the year, continues to enjoy robust business Suburban Business District Indiranagar, Koramangala, Airport
momentum. Preparing for manpower and infrastructure (SBD) Road, Old Madras Road
capabilities to secure global IT projects, the Indian IT sector Peripheral Business District
Whitefield
made record hiring amid the pandemic, and this will serve as (PBD) East
dry powder for office demand when the Omicron uncertainty Peripheral Business District
Electronic City, Bannerghatta Road
subsides. (PBD) South
Peripheral Business District Thanisandra, Yelahanka,
(PBD) North Devanahalli
Hebbal ORR, Marathahalli ORR,
Outer Ring Road (ORR)
Sarjapur Road ORR
Peripheral Business District Vijaynagar, Tumkur Road, Mysore
(PBD) West Road
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
3 9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE B E NGA LU R U

B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2020 AND H2 2021

1% 1% 8%
1% 13% 17 %
25 % M I CR O- M A R K ET H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1
15 %
 CB D & O f f CB D 1% 8%
5%
 SB D 1 3% 15%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021
 ORR 49 % 39 %

15 %  PB D East 11% 15%


11%
 PB D Sou th 25% 5%
4 9%
39%  PB D North 0% 17%
 PB D West 1% 1%

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI Z E T REND Averag e d eal s i ze i n s q m

H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1 10,000

04% 05 %
8,000

42 % 46%
sq m

6,000

2 5% 11%
4,000
06% 24%

2,000
22% 15 %

0
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
N ote : B FS I includes B FS I support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT- WISE RE NTAL M OVE M E NT


R E N TA L VALU E RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN 12-M O NT H 6-MONTH
I N R / S Q M/ M O NT H ( INR/ SQ FT/ M O NT H ) CH ANGE CHANGE
CBD & O f f- CBD 6 46 - 1 ,722 (6 0 - 1 6 0 ) -5 % 1%

SB D 646 - 1 ,3 99 (6 0 -1 3 0 ) -6 % 3%

P BD Ea st 43 1 - 75 3 (40 - 70 ) -9% 1%

P BD So u t h 3 77 - 70 0 (3 5 - 6 5 ) -5 % 1%

P BD No rt h 43 1 - 75 3 (40 - 70 ) -9% 0%

ORR 6 46 - 1 ,1 8 4 (6 0 - 1 1 0 ) -5 % 1%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
4 0 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I

CHENNAI
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
41 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I

R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
CH E NN A I M A RKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
1 2 ,783 77% 7,3 6 0 98 % 3 ,5 6 6 -6%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
1 1 ,9 58 38% 6 ,20 6 9% 2,75 8 -28%
( hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r i c e i n I N R /s q m I N R 4 3 ,5 94
6 .7% - - - 0%
( INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 4,05 0 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021

5.1 14.3
(housing units) Change (YoY)

13,016 7% (in quarters) (in quarters)


4 2 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I

L AUNC H ES A N D SAL ES TREND LAUNCHES SALES

10000
9102
9,091

8,979
8,850
8,792

8,585
9000
8,450

7,980
7,762
7,737

8000

7,401

7,360
6,670

6,523

7000

6,206
6,035
5,855

5,815

5,751
5,673
6000

5,424
No. of units

4,800

5000
3,850

3,780

3,714
3,520

4000
3,200

2,981

3000

2000

1000

0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
4 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I

• The Chennai residential market has been on a steady path to • While the growth in sales has been encouraging in H2 2021, this
recovery with sales momentum gradually increasing since H2 has also been accompanied by price growth of 7% YoY. Some of
2020 to culminate in 6206 units sold in H2 2021, a 9% growth in this increase may be attributed to a base effect because of the
YoY terms. The number of homebuyer enquiries and conversions significant price drop during H2 2020. Regardless, this recovery in
have been rising steadily through 2021 as well, reflecting the price is an encouraging sign and can be viewed as an indicator of
improvement in sentiment. the market on its way to recovery.

• This improvement in sentiment has caused developers to increase • Residential demand is largely focused on the ready-to-move-in
supply. As developers gauged the changing mood of the market, properties and has caused the average age of inventory in Chennai
7,360 units were launched in H2 2021 which translated into a 98% to reduce to 14.3 quarters in H2 2021 from 15.5 quarters in the
YoY growth in supply levels. Appaswami Real Estates, Mahindra year ago period. The unsold inventory and QTS have increased
Lifespaces, Lancor Holdings and Sobha Homes were among marginally in YoY terms during H2 2021 but given the fast-
the prominent developers active in the market during H2 2021. improving sentiments and recent price recovery, market volumes
Locations such as Kottivakkam, Perumbakkam, Kolapakkam and are expected to pick up in the near to medium term.
Keelakatalai saw increased development activity during the period.

• Sales were concentrated in the south and west micro-markets,


and together accounted for 91% of the total sales during the
period. The south micro-market locations along the OMR and GST
Roads continue to garner most homebuyer interest at 51%, while
the more affordable locations such as Porur, Valasaravakkam and
Poonamalle toward the west account for 34%.

• There has been a gradual decrease in the share of sales of ticket


sizes < INR 5 mn since 2018. The share of sales in this category
has shrunk from 54% in H1 2018 to 33% in H2 2021. The shift in
demand to ticket sizes over INR 5 mn has been significant over the
past few years and more pronounced since COVID-19 impacted
homebuyer preferences. This trend has been observed across
locations due to the need for upgrading the family’s primary
residence and to accommodate work and study from home
requirements.

• The share of projects with ticket sizes of > INR 10 million increased
to 23% of the total sales in H2 2021, from 18% in H2 2020.
Homebuyers have become increasingly amenable to explore
properties in peripheral locations that were otherwise off their
radar, to acquire larger spaces with better amenities to improve the
general quality of life.

MICRO - M A RKE T C L ASSIF ICATION

MICR O MA RKET LO CAT I O N S

Central Chennai T. Nagar, Alandur, Nungambakkam, Kodambakkam, Kilpauk

West Chennai Porur, Ambattur, Mogappair, Iyyappanthangal, Sriperumbudur

South Chennai Perumbakkam, Chrompet, Sholinganallur, Guduvancheri, Kelambakkam

North Chennai Tondiarpet, Kolathur, Madhavaram, Perambur

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


4 4 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I

MICRO - M A RKE T S P LIT OF NEW LAUNCHES IN H2 2 0 20 AND H2 2021

0 8% 02 %
03%
0 5%

38% M I CR O- M A R K ET H 2 202 0 H2 2 02 1
45 %  Cen tral 0 8% 02%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021 4 9%
 North 0 5% 03%
 Sou th 49% 49 %
 West 3 8% 45%
4 9%

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

MIC RO -M ARKE T S P LIT OF SALES IN H2 2 02 0 AND H2 2021

06% 05 %
04% 03%

3 4% 34 %
M I CR O- M A R K ET H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1

 Cen tral 0 6% 05%


H2 2 02 0 H2 2021
 North 0 4% 03%
 Sou th 5 6% 57%
157 %
 West 3 4% 34%
56 %

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

CH E N N A I T I C KE T S I ZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES DURI NG AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m

H 2 20 2 0 AN D H 2 2 02 1
60,000
H2 2020 H2 2021 55,000

18 23
50,000
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn>
45,000
40,000
35,000

42 44
30,000
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
25,000
20,000
15,000

40 33
10,000
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn
5,000
0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch


4 5 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I

R ESI D E N T I AL P RI C E M OVE M E NT IN SE LE CT LOCATI ONS


P RICE RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN
MICR O M A R K ET LO CATI O N 12 M O NT H CH ANGE 6 MONTH CHANGE
INR/ SQ M ( INR/ SQ FT )

A N N A N AGA R 1 1 0 ,8 0 0 –1 25 ,0 0 0 (1 0 ,20 0 –1 1 ,6 0 0 ) 7% 1%
CENT R AL
K I L PAU K 1 51 ,0 0 0 –1 6 7,0 0 0 (1 4,0 0 0 –1 5 ,5 0 0 ) 6% 2%

KOLAT HU R 4 4,0 0 0 –5 8 ,1 0 0 (4,1 0 0 –5 ,40 0 ) 4% 2%


NORT H
PE R A MB U R 6 1 ,40 0 –70 ,0 0 0 (5 ,70 0 – 6 ,5 0 0 ) 6% 1%

PE R U M BA K KA M 43 ,0 0 0 – 48 ,40 0 (4,0 0 0 – 4,5 0 0 ) 8% 0%


SOUT H
K E LA MBA KKA M 3 4,40 0 – 42,0 0 0 (3 ,20 0 – 3 ,90 0 ) 9% 1%

POR U R 5 4,90 0 – 6 1 ,40 0 (5 ,1 0 0 –5 ,70 0 ) 8% 1%


W EST
MOGA PPA I R 6 4,6 0 0 –72,1 0 0 (6 ,0 0 0 – 6 ,70 0 ) 7% 0%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MIC RO - M A RKE T H E ALTH

UN S O L D I N V E N TO RY Q UART ERS-TO -SELL AGE O F INVENTORY


MICR O -M A R K ET
(H O US I N G UN I TS ) (YOY CH ANGE) ( QTS) ( IN Q UARTERS)

CENT R AL 4 2 3 (-51 % ) 3 .1 1 1 .40

NORT H 41 1 (-3 2 %) 4.8 1 6. 80

SOUT H 6 ,0 27 (-1 4%) 4.1 1 6. 20

W EST 5 ,9 9 3 (6 0%) 6 .6 1 5. 70

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


4 6 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I

OFF I C E M ARK ET
CH E NN AI M A RKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
0 .1 6 (1 .8 ) - 47 % 0 .0 9 (0 .9) 1 ,3 5 9% 0 .0 7 (0 .7) -
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transact io n s
0 .4 0 (3.9) -1 4% 0 .25 (2.7) -1 5 % 0 .1 0 (1 .1 ) -55%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Average t ra n sa cte d re n t in I N R /s q m /m o nt h
6 27 (5 8 .3 ) -2.7% - - - 0%
( INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Stock 2021 Vacancy % 2021


mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY)

7.25 (78.0) 2% 13%


126 basis points increase
47 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I

C H E N N AI O FFI C E M A RKE T ACTIVITY COMPLETIONS TRANSACTIONS

0.35

0.31

0.30
0.30
0.29
0.29

0.30

0.25
0.24

0.25

0.20
0.18
0.18

0.18

0.17
Mn sq m

0.16

0.14

0.15
0.12
0.11

0.11
0.11
0.10
0.09

0.09

0.10
0.08
0.16
0.07

0.05
0.03
0.03

0.02

0.01
0.01

0.00
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
4 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I

• The Chennai office market has recovered well from the second
wave in H1 2021 with transaction volumes in H2 2021 bouncing CHENNAI OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
back 123% since then. Similarly, the average transaction size has

22 . 50%
24%
also risen 81% during the same period.

• Transaction levels, however, remained subdued in YoY terms, 22%


dipping 15% to 0.25 mn sq m (2.7 mn sq ft) in H2 2021.

1 9 . 3 0%
• The 0.16 mn sq m (1.8 mn sq ft) of office spaces delivered in 2021 20%

1 6. 80%
were 47% lower YoY. Gateway Office Parks and Urban Square
18%
delivered on the Old Mahabalipuram Road (OMR) constituted 65%
of the 0.09 mn sq m (0.9 mn sq ft) space completed during H2
16%
2021. They were also two of the largest projects delivered during

1 2.4 0%

1 3 . 00%
the period.

1 2. 70%
14%

1 2. 20%
1 1 . 70%
• The manufacturing sector was the most active during H2 2021

1 1 . 00%

1 1 . 00%
1 0. 60%
accounting for 0.10 mn sq m (1.1 mn sq ft) or 44% of the total area

1 0 .20%

1 0 .2 0%
12%
transacted during the period. The top three leases of H2 2021 were

8 .8 0 %
signed by manufacturing companies and constituted a substantial 10%
30% of the total area transacted.

• The Information Technology sector accounted for 0.05 mn sq 8%

m (0.5 mn sq ft) or 20% of the space transacted during H2 2021


compared to 64% in H2 2020. However, given the substantial 6%

hiring that has occurred in the sector during the year, it is a matter
of time before its share in transactions reverts to its longer-term 4%

average of over 50%.


2%
• The increasing need for flexibility has boosted demand for
managed office spaces over the course of 2021. While the IT sector
0%
deferred its leasing activity, it was the primary driver for the rise H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
in the co-working/managed office sector’s transactions during S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

the year. The 0.03 mn sq m (0.30 mn sq ft) taken up by the sector


during H2 2021 translates to a share of 11%, the highest since H1
2019.

• 36% of the space transacted in H2 2021 took place in the SBD BUSI NESS DI ST RI CT CLASSI FI CAT I ON
OMR at locations such as Perungudi, Kandanchavadi and Taramani.
RMZ Millenia and Varalakshmi Tech Park accounted for 65% of the BU SINESS DIST RICT M ICRO M ARKETS
transactions in the SBD OMR due to two leases signed by Trimble Central Business District Anna Salai, RK Salai, Nungambakkam,
and Saipem during H2 2021. The SBD at 33% remained close (CBD and off CBD) Greams Road, Egmore, T Nagar
behind the SBD OMR in terms of share of transactions. 58% of the Suburban Business District Mount – Poonamallee Road, Porur,
transactions in the SBD occurred in Guindy and Manapakkam. (SBD) Guindy, Nandambakkam
• While rents have dipped 3% YoY in 2021, they have stabilized over SBD – Old Mahabalipuram
Perungudi, Taramani
the past six months with Q3 and Q4 2021 showing no change in Road (OMR)
rental levels. The vacancy level is at a healthy 13%, in line with those Peripheral Business
existing with other prominent southern markets of Bengaluru and District (PBD) – OMR and OMR beyond Perungudi Toll Plaza,
Hyderabad. Grand Southern Trunk GST Road
Road (GST)

PBD – Ambattur Ambattur

S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch


4 9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE C H E NNA I

B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2020 AND H2 2021

06% 10%
16 % 19%
16% M I CR O- M A R K ET H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1

 CB D 06% 10%
02%  SB D 15% 33%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021 33%
 PB D Am b attu r 02% 03%
 SB D O MR 61% 36%
 PB D O MR & GST 16% 19 %
36%
6 1%
03%

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI ZE T REND Average deal size in sq m

H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1 5,000

4,500
15% 12%
4,000

64% 20% 3,500


sq m

3,000
03% 39% 2,500

2,000
02 % 11%
1,500

1,000
17% 17 %
500

0
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
N ote : B FS I includes B FS I support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

B US IN ES S D I ST RI CT- WISE RE NTAL M OVE M E NT


R E N TA L VALU E RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN 12-M O NT H 6-MONTH
I N R / S Q M / M O NT H ( INR/ SQ FT/ M O NT H ) CH ANGE CHANGE

CBD 70 0 –1 ,0 23 (6 5 –95 ) -1% 1%

SB D 5 92– 8 6 1 (5 5 – 8 0 ) -3 % 2%

SB D OM R 5 8 1 –98 0 (5 4 –91 ) -2% 1%

P BD OM R a n d G ST R o a d 28 0 – 43 0 (26 – 40 ) - 4% 2%

P BD A mb att u r 3 0 1 – 3 77 (28 – 3 5 ) -3 % 1%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
5 0 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D

HYDERABAD
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
51 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D

R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
H Y DE RABAD M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
3 5 ,736 1 79% 1 9,20 4 1 26 % 9,76 8 36%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
24,3 1 8 1 42.% 1 2,3 4 4 135% 6 ,3 57 74%
( hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r i c e i n I N R /s q m I N R 5 0,8 0 6
4.7% - - - 0%
( INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 4,720 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021

4.3 7.6
(housing units) Change (YoY)

18,598 159% (in quarters) (in quarters)


5 2 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D

L AUNC H ES A N D SAL ES TREND LAUNCHES SALES

19,024
20,000

18,000

16,712
16,000

14,000

12,344
11,974
12,000
No. of units

10,000

8,404
8,334
8,313

8,065
7,901

7,933
7,780

7,700

7,289

7,278
7,123

8,000
6,342
5,900
5,740

5,700
5,457

5,430

5,260

6,000
4,782
4,422
3,706

4,000
2,571

1,698
940

2,000

0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i ght Frank R esearch
5 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D

• Hyderabad was the best performing residential market in 2021 • Conversely, the >INR 10 mn segment experienced an increase in
with sales growing by a resounding 142% YoY to 24,312 units in traction with its share of sales increasing from 19% in H1 2018 to
2021, the highest in recorded history since 2011. Even in half-yearly 30% currently. The demand shift to ticket sizes upwards of INR
terms, sales in H2 2021 grew by 135% YoY. While low interest rates, 5 mn has been significant, a trend prevalent across locations
higher savings rates and high affordability were primarily driving the due to the need for upgrading the family’s primary residence to
market, also at play was the fact that Hyderabad’s homebuyer base accommodate work and study from home requirements.
is composed of a substantial Information Technology (IT) workforce
• Hyderabad is the only market among the eight under review that
which has been largely unaffected by the pandemic influenced
has not seen a single year of price decline since H1 2013. The
disruptions. In fact, the pandemic has actually reignited residential
fact that it was also the only market that saw no YoY change in
demand by curtailing personal mobility and space for the better
price levels at the end of 2020 despite the pandemic induced
part of the past two years, motivating the masses to look for more
disruptions, depicts the underlying strength of its residential
spacious and comfortable residential accommodation.
market. While no longer among the cheapest markets in the
• Developers were quick to capitalize on this shift in sentiment country, it remains an attractive destination for the end-user and
by launching 19,024 units in H2 2021 which translated into a as seen more recently, for investors as well. Residential prices
growth of 126% YoY. 64% of these units were launched in West increased by 5% YoY in H2 2021.
Hyderabad with Cybercity Builders & Developers, Shanta Shriram
• Residential demand is firmly entrenched in the ready-to-move-
Constructions and SNR Constructions featuring prominently
in properties and has caused the average age of inventory in
among developers active in West Hyderabad. Locations such as
Hyderabad to reduce from 11.5 quarters in H2 2020 to 7.6 quarters
Kokapet, Peerancheru, Gopanapalle and Nalagandla saw most of
in H2 2021. Recent trends suggest an increase in demand in
the development activity.
under-construction properties of established developers as well.
• West Hyderabad also accounted for a similarly high 60% of the While worries on overbuilding and consequent overburdening
total sales during H2 2021 with homebuyers preferring to be close the infrastructure exist due to the relaxation in FSI restrictions,
to the office hubs of HITEC City, Gachibowli and Nanakramguda in sentiments in the residential market remain buoyant for the near to
the commercial core of the city. medium term.

• The mid segment of INR 5-10 mn has always constituted the bulk of
sales and accounted for 48% in H2 2021 as well. Up from 46% in
H2 2020, this segment’s share has remained in the range of 46%
to 52% since H1 2018. The shares in both <INR 5 mn and >INR 10
mn segments’ shares had fallen marginally in H2 2020.

• While the shares seem stable on a YoY basis, longer term trends
suggest a gradual fall in the share of the <INR 5 mn segment from
29% in H1 2018 to the 23% in H2 2021.

MICRO - M A RKE T C L ASSIF ICATION

MICR O MA RKET LO CAT I O N S

HMR – Central Begumpet, Banjara Hills, Jubilee Hills, Panjagutta, Somajiguda

HMR – West Kukatpally, Madhapur, Kondapur, Gachibowli, Raidurgam, Kokapet

HMR – East Uppal, Malkajgiri, LB Nagar

HMR – North Kompally, Medchal, Alwal, Quthbullanpur

HMR – South Rajendra Nagar, Shamshabad

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


5 4 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D

MICRO - M A RKE T S P LIT OF NEW LAUNCHES IN H2 2 0 20 AND H2 2021

04% 01% 05 %
10%
1 9%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021

16%  Cen tral 04% 05%

H2 2 02 0 02% H2 2021  East 01% 10%


 North 19 % 16%
64 %
74%  Sou th 02% 05%
05 %
 West 74% 64%

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

MIC RO -M ARKE T S P LIT OF SALES IN H2 2 02 0 AND H2 2021

07% 07 %

11% 09%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
 Cen tral 07% 07%
 East 11% 09 %
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021 18%
17%  North 1 7% 18%
60%
60%
 Sou th 0 5% 05%
 West 6 0% 60%
05% 05 %

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

H Y DE RABAD T I C KE T SIZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m

DUR IN G H 2 2 0 2 0 AND H2 2 02 1
60,000
H2 2020 H2 2021

31 30
50,000
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn>

40,000
INR per sq m

46 48
30,000
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn

20,000

24 23
10,000
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn

0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch


5 5 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D

R ESI D E N T I AL P RI C E M OVE M E NT IN SE LE CT LOCATI ONS


P RICE RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN
MICR O M A R K ET LO CATI O N 12 M O NT H CH ANGE 6 MONTH CHANGE
INR/ SQ M ( INR/ SQ FT )

BA N JA R A HI L LS 1 0 8 ,7 1 6 -1 1 2,6 3 4 (1 0 ,20 0 -1 0 ,6 0 0 ) 6% 4%
CENT R AL
J U B I L E E HI L LS 1 1 8 ,296 -1 1 9,3 73 (1 0 ,990 -1 1 ,0 90 ) 7% 7%

L B N AGA R 4 4,1 3 2- 48 ,0 0 7 (4,1 0 0 - 4,46 0 ) 3% 2%


EAST
N AC HA R A M 40 ,451 - 42,93 8 (3 ,578 -3 ,98 9) 4% 2%

KOMPA L LY 3 5 ,6 5 0 -3 5 ,790 (3 ,3 1 2-3 3 25 ) 5% 4%


NORT H
SA I N I K PU R I 29,0 6 3 -29,999 (2,70 0 -2,787) 4% 3%

R aj endra N ag ar 51 ,990 -5 3 ,5 8 3 (4,8 3 0 - 4,978 ) 3% 2%


SOUT H
B a ndl ag uda 42,8 1 9- 45 ,575 (3 ,978 - 4,23 4) 5% 3%

KOKA PET 5 2,1 73 -5 5 8 5 4 (4,8 47-5 ,1 8 9) 6% 5%


W EST
MA N I KON DA 47,25 4 - 48 ,26 6 (4,3 90 - 4 48 4) 5% 3%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MIC RO - M A RKE T H E ALTH

U NSO LD INVENTO RY Q UART ERS-TO-SELL


MICR O -M A R K ET
( H O U SING U NITS) ( YOY CH ANGE) ( QTS)

CENT R AL 6 92 (1 %) 2. 2

EAST 1 ,6 43 (1 3 5 %) 4.2

NORT H 2,8 92 (277%) 3. 8

SOUT H 1 ,23 0 (3 4%) 5. 7

West 1 2,1 41 (1 95 %) 4.6

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


5 6 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D

OFF I C E M ARK ET
H Y DE RA BAD M ARKE T SUM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
0 .4 3 (4.6 ) - 47 % 0 .3 6 (3 .8 ) -21 % 0 .1 5 (1 .6 ) 25%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transa ct io n s
0 .6 0 (6.0 ) 0% 0 .41 (4.4) 16% 0 .21 (2.3 ) -31%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Average t ra n sa cte d re n t in I N R /s q m /m o nt h
6 6 1 (6 1 .4) 0 .5 % - - - 0. 5%
( INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Stock 2021 Vacancy % 2021


mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY)

8.22 (88.5) 5% 12.2%


279 basis points increase
57 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D

H Y DERABAD O FFI C E M ARKE T ACTIVITY COMPLETIONS TRANSACTIONS

0.9

0.83
0.8

0.7

0.64
0.6

0.5

0.45
Mn sq m

0.41
0.40

0.37

0.36
0.36

0.4

0.35
0.35
0.33

0.31
0.30
0.29

0.26

0.3
0.25
0.22

0.22
0.22

0.20

0.20
0.19

0.16

0.2
0.15
0.14
0.14

0.12

0.1
0.07

0.0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
5 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D

• 2021 has been a year of stabilization for the Hyderabad office


market with transaction volumes matching the previous year’s
HYDERABAD OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
annual total at 0.56 mn sq m (6.0 mn sq ft). Traditionally anchored 14%
by the Information Technology (IT) sector, the market has nurtured

12.2%
12.3%
a diverse tenant base that has supported demand during H2 2021
in a challenging environment where the IT sector deferred its
12%
expansion plans.

• Annual office completions have fallen 47% YoY to 0.43 mn sq m

9 .4 %
(4.6 mn sq ft). The limited supply has however helped keep the
10%

8. 9 %
vacancy level at 12.2% at the end of 2021.

8. 2 %
• The manufacturing sector was the mainstay of the market during
H2 2021 accounting for 35% of the space transacted during the

7. 6%

7. 0%
7.4 %
8%

6. 5%

7.1 %
period. This was primarily due to a 1.5 mn sq ft lease signed by

6. 8%
computer hardware major Qualcomm in Raheja Commerzone at

5. 9 %
Raidurg. This is a very encouraging sign for the Hyderabad market

5 .1 %
5 .2%
as the city continues to successfully attract the largest hardware 6%

manufacturers operating in the country such as Dell, Intel and


Hewlett Packard.

• While the IT sector players deferred their expansion plans and 4%

accounted for an 18% share in transactions during H2 2021, it was


instrumental in pushing up the volumes generated by managed
office/co-working players during the period. Following its robust 2%
performance in H1 2021, the co-working sector maintained its
momentum and accounted for 21% of the space taken up during
H2 2021. Smartworks and Tablespace were the most active players
0%
among the co-working pack during the period. An estimated 9,600 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
seats were taken up within such managed office premises by S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
enterprises during H2 2021.

• The SBD dominated interest during H2 2021 as an overwhelming


92% of the space transacted during the period was in this business
district. HITEC City continues to be the nerve center of the
Hyderabad office market with 52% of the office space transacted
being located here. 74% of the leases signed during H2 2021
occurred in four SBD properties of Raheja Commerzone, Divyasree,
Raheja Mindspace and Phoenix Avance Hub. BUSI NESS DI ST RI CT CLASSI FI CAT I ON
• Rents grew marginally by 0.5% YoY in 2021. Q4 2021 was the
BU SINESS DIST RICT M ICRO M ARKETS
strongest quarter in terms of transactions with 0.21 mn sq m (2.3
Banjara Hills, Jubilee Hills, Begumpet,
mn sq ft) transacted during the year despite some momentum Central Business District
Ameerpet, Somajiguda, Himayat
being lost towards the end of the quarter due to the emergence of (CBD and off CBD)
Nagar, Raj Bhavan Road, Punjagutta
the Omicron variant. Many IT sector players who had announced
Suburban Business District HITEC City, Kondapur, Manikonda,
their return to office, deferred their plans to the subsequent quarter.
(SBD) Kukatpally, Raidurg
However, given the substantial hiring that has occurred in the
Peripheral Business Gachibowli, Kokapet, Madinaguda,
sector since the onset of the pandemic, it is a matter of time before
District (PBD) West Nanakramguda, Serilingampally
its share in transactions reverts to its longer-term average.
Peripheral Business
Uppal, Pocharam
District (PBD) East

S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch


5 9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE H YD E R A BA D

B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2020 AND H2 2021

01% 01% 07 %

30% M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021


 CB D 0 1% 01%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021  PB D East 0 0% 00%
 PB D West 3 0% 07%
70 %
 SB D 70% 9 2%

92 %

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI ZE T REND Averag e d eal s i ze i n s q m

H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1 18,000

16,000
30% B FS I 23%
14,000

50% I nfo rm at i o n Tec hno l o g y 18% 12,000


sq m

10,000
08% Manufa ct uri ng 35 %
8,000

6,000
09% C o -wo rk i ng 21%
4,000

03% Ot her S erv i c es 04% 2,000

0
H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch
N ote : B FS I includes B FS I support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

B US IN ES S D I ST RI CT- WISE RE NTAL M OVE M E NT


R E N TA L VALU E RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN 12-M O NT H 6-MONTH
I N R / S Q M / M O NT H ( INR/ SQ FT/ M O NT H ) CH ANGE CHANGE

CBD a n d O f f- CBD 5 92-6 46 (5 5 -6 0 ) -2% 1%

SB D 73 2-78 6 (6 8 -73 ) 0% 1%

P BD West 5 92-6 46 (5 5 -6 0 ) -1% 0%

P BD Ea st 3 23 -3 77 (3 0 -3 5 ) -2% 1%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


6 0 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA

KOLKATA
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
6 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA

R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
KOL KATA M ARKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
7,51 0 81% 5 ,3 1 5 6 2% 2,1 87 -30%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
1 4,4 0 5 6 2% 9,290 55% 2,429 -65%
( hous in g u n its )
Averag e P r ic e in I N R /s q m I N R 3 4, 6 0 6
0% - - - 0%
(INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 3 ,2 1 5 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021

7.3 16.6
(housing units) Change (YoY)

21,265 -24% (in quarters) (in quarters)


6 2 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA

L AUNC H ES A N D SAL ES TREND LAUNCHES SALES

14,000
12,073

11,891
11,448

12,000
10,680

10,339

9,764

9,290
10,000
9,170

9,093

8,109
7,308

8,000

6,678
6,591
No. of units

6,393
6,176

6,140
6,038

5,975
5,622

5,315
6,000

5,115
5,027
4,588

3,290

4,000
2,937

2,195

2,000
858
627

0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
6 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA

• In 2021, 14,405 units were sold in Kolkata’s primary residential • In H2 2021, the share of projects with ticket sizes of INR 5-10
market largely due to a strong performance in H2 2021. A 2% million increased from 19% in H2 2020 to 25% of H2 2021’s total
government rebate on stamp duty for property registration of all sales. The pandemic has induced a structural shift in homebuyer
documents (except the documents of amalgamation of contiguous preference for spacious accommodation and both the mid-end
land) played a crucial role in the rejuvenation of the residential and high-end segments continue to benefit from the same.
market. Demand stimulation measures in the form of historically
• Residential products in > INR 10 million category witnessed a
low home loan interest rates and the festive vibe improved the
decline in its share to 11% of the sales volume of H2 2021. Due
homebuying appetite of consumers in the latter half of the year.
to a lull in sales volume in Q4 2021, the share of this category
Despite the fatal second wave earlier in 2021 and the fear of a third
declined. However, as prospective homebuyers become aware of
wave of the pandemic, residential sales for the calendar year 2021
the extension of the stamp duty cut window, they are likely to take
recorded a 62% YoY growth over 2020.
a decisive step forward for property purchases. With developers
• The West Bengal State Government’s decision to introduce a 2% citing high input costs and intent to review selling prices, end-users
rebate on stamp duty was implemented on 9th July 2021 and it across all segments are likely to take homebuying decisions while
was to remain till 30th October 2021. However, it was extended the rebate lasts.
thereafter to 31st January 2022. This move was instrumental in the
• While sales growth has remained strong, average residential prices
creation of new demand from prospective homebuyers, due to
remained steady in 2021. However, going forward, residential prices
which the H2 2021 performance far outpaced H1 2021 absorption
may see upward revision due to increasing input costs being borne
rates. 64% of the total primary market sales of 2021 in Kolkata were
by the developers.
achieved in H2 2021 alone, leading to a fast-paced recovery in the
real estate market. • A strong sales volume in H2 2021 contributed to a sharp decline
in unsold inventory which stood at 21,265 units, a 24% decline
• Unlike 2020, when new residential launches had tanked to its
on YoY basis. The upward momentum in sales velocity post the
lowest in the past 11 years, there was significant improvement on
introduction of stamp duty cut and an enabling homebuying
this parameter in 2021. 7,510 new residential units were launched in
environment are the primary reasons behind such a sharp fall in
Kolkata in 2021, an 81% YOY growth due to the base effect.
unsold inventory. Many developers in Kolkata are reporting good
• In line with past trends, the share of ticket sizes < INR 5 million sales growth leading to a substantial reduction in ready to move in
continued to dominate the overall sales volume. In H2 2021, this projects.
category comprised 64% of Kolkata’s overall sales. South Kolkata
• The continuous reduction in Kolkata’s unsold inventory has also led
locations such as Joka and Diamond Harbour Road continue
the quarters-to-sell (QTS) for the city to inch down from 11.2 in H2
to remain popular among homebuyers. Ongoing infrastructure
2020 to 7.3 in H2 2021.
development projects such as widening of Diamond Harbour
Road and Joka-BBD Bagh metro are key drivers behind the strong
end-user demand for these belts. The pandemic has also induced
demand for gated communities in the affordable to mid-segment
ticket sizes of up to INR 5 million. North Kolkata peripherals such as
Madhyamgram and locations near Dum Dum are also faring well.

MICRO - M A RKE T C L ASSIF ICATION


MICR O MA RKET LO CAT I O N S

Central Park Street, Rawdon Street, AJC Bose Road, Minto Park, Elgin Road
East Kankurgachi, Beliaghata, Salt Lake, Narkeldanga, Keshtopur, EM Bypass (eastern parts)
North Baguiati, Ultadanga, Jessore Road, Shyambazar, Lake Town, BT Road, VIP Road
Rajarhat Rajarhat New Town
West Howrah, Rishra, Hooghly, Uttarpara, Chandan Nagar, Rajpur, Kona Expressway

South Ballygunge, Alipore, Tollygunge, Narendrapur, Behala, Garia, Maheshtala, EM Bypass (southern parts)
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
6 4 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA

MIC RO -M ARKE T S P LIT OF NEW LAUNCHES IN H2 2 0 20 AND H2 2021

9% 01%
12% 13% 09%

M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021


07%
 Cen tral 0% 1%
 East 13% 9%
31%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021  North 45% 33%
33%
23 %  R ajar h at 2 3% 17%
 Sou th 7% 31%
4 5%
 West 12% 9%

17 %

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MICRO - M A RKE T S P LIT OF SALES IN H2 2 02 0 AND H2 2021

01% 04% 01% 07 %


12% 11%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
20%
 Cen tral 1% 1%
27 %  East 4% 7%

H2 2 02 0 H2 2021  North 20% 27%


36%  R ajar h at 21% 18%
42%
 Sou th 42% 36%
21%  West 12% 11%

18%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

KOL KATA T I C KE T S I ZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES DURI NG AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m

H 2 20 2 0 AN D H 2 2 02 1
45,000
H2 2020 H2 2021

31 11
41,000
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn>

37,000

19 25
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
33,000

29,000

50 64
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn

25,000
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
6 5 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA

R ESI D E N T I AL P RI C E M OVE M E NT IN SE LE CT LOCATI ONS


P RICE RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN
MICR O M A R K ET LO CATI O N 12 M O NT H CH ANGE 6 MONTH CHANGE
INR/ SQ M ( INR/ SQ FT )

PA R K ST R E ET 1 3 0 ,24 4 -21 5 ,278 (1 2,1 0 0 -20 ,0 0 0 ) 1% 0%


CENT R AL
R AW DON ST R E ET 1 0 7,6 3 9-20 9,8 96 (1 0 ,0 0 0 -1 9,5 0 0 ) 0% 0%

KA N KU R GAC HI 5 5 ,972-91 ,493 (5 ,20 0 -8 ,5 0 0 ) -1% 0%


EAST
SA LT LA KE 51 ,6 6 7-8 1 ,8 0 6 (4,8 0 0 -7,6 0 0 ) 0% 0%

MA DHYA MG R A M 27,4 48 -3 4,98 3 (2,5 5 0 -3 ,25 0 ) 1% 0%

NORT H BT R OA D 3 2,292- 43 ,0 5 6 (3 ,0 0 0 - 4,0 0 0 ) 0% 0%

J ES S OR E R OA D 3 7,6 74 -57,0 49 (3 ,5 0 0 -5 ,3 0 0 ) -1% 0%

RAJAR H AT R AJA R HAT N EW TOW N 3 7,6 74 -74,27 1 (3 ,5 0 0 -6 ,90 0 ) 0% 0%

BA L LYG U N G E 87,1 8 8 -20 4,51 4 (8 ,1 0 0 -1 9,0 0 0 ) 0% 0%

TOL LYG U N G E 5 5 ,972-1 5 0 ,6 95 (5 ,20 0 -1 4,0 0 0 ) 0% 0%


SOUT H
B E HA LA 3 4,4 45 - 49,51 4 (3 ,20 0 - 4,6 0 0 ) 0% 0%

N A R E N DR A PU R 27,6 6 3 - 48 ,43 8 (2,570 - 4,5 0 0 ) 0% 0%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MIC RO -M ARKE T H E ALTH

U NSO LD INVENTO RY Q UART ERS-TO -SE LL


MICR O -M A R K ET
( H O U SING U NITS) ( YOY CH ANGE) ( QTS)

CENT R AL 1 0 4 (- 6 1 %) 2.7

EAST 1 ,451 (-24%) 8 .0

NORT H 5 ,1 3 8 (-22%) 7.2

RAJAR H AT 6 ,28 4 (-1 6 %) 1 1 .7

SOUT H 6 ,0 43 (-3 1 ) 5 .5

W EST 2,245 (-3 1 %) 6 .6

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


6 6 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA

OFF I C E M ARK ET
KOL KATA M ARKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
0 .0 6 (0.6 ) 5 42% 0 .0 6 (0 .6 ) - 0 .0 -
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transa ct io n s
0 .0 7 (0 .8 ) -1 2% 0 .0 5 (0 .5 ) 23 % 0 .0 4 (0 .4) 234%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Average t ra n sa cte d re n t i n I N R /s q m /m o nt h
3 74.6 (3 4.8 ) -3 % - - - 0%
( INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) |2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Stock 2021 Vacancy % 2021


mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY)

3.0(32.3) 2% 43%
142 basis points increase
6 7 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA

KOL KATA O FFI C E M ARKET ACTIVITY COMPLETIONS TRANSACTIONS

0.6

0.56
0.5

0.4
Mn sq m

0.28

0.3
0.21

0.2
0.11

0.07

0.06
0.06
0.08

0.05

0.05
0.04

0.04

0.04
0.05

0.05

0.1

0.03
0.04

0.02
0.02

0.03

0.03
0.02

0.01

0.01
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00
0.0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

• Kolkata’s office real estate market continued to remain muted in • In terms of office space consumption, the share of some sectors
the aftermath of the COVID-19 outbreak. The city clocked in total has seen a sizeable revision during H2 2021. The IT sector, which
office space transaction volume of 0.07 mn sq m (0.8 mn sq ft) had accounted for 43% of Kolkata’s transaction volume in H2
in 2021, a 12% YoY decline over 2020. This was despite a strong 2020, has shrunk to 23% in H2 2021. This is due to the continuation
demand bounceback in H2 2021 with Q4 2021 witnessing the of a hybrid work model and preference for co-working spaces
highest transaction volume of the four quarters of 2021 and an 81% as the IT sector occupiers continue to tread cautiously with
QoQ growth over Q3 2021. establishing office space footprint as the pandemic continues to
evolve. Co-working, which did not have any share in H2 2020’s
• In H2 2021, leasing of office spaces witnessed a 24% YoY growth
transaction volume, has emerged stronger from the pandemic
but remained behind the volume noted in the pre-pandemic period.
influence with a 17% share in transactions in H2 2021.
This was mainly because of cautious leasing by the Information
Technology (IT) sector occupiers which had been the predominant • The pandemic induced demand for flex spaces has helped the
sector leasing office spaces before the pandemic. co-working sector gain a strong foothold in Kolkata, which was
previously dominated by occupier preference for traditional office
6 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA

formats. In 2021, 0.01 mn sq m (0.1 mn sq ft) of area was transacted


by the co-working sector in the city’s gross transaction volume KOLKATA OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
representing an 89% YoY growth. 50%

• The Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) sector

4 3 . 0%
4 3 . 0%
41 . 0%

41 . 8%
41 . 7 %
witnessed a growth in its percentage share from 1% in H2 2020 to
9% in H2 2021.
40%
• In terms of business districts, the office space demand in H2 2021

3 4. 5%
3 2 . 0%
3 3 . 0%
32.7%
largely remained concentrated in Peripheral Business District-I

31.3%
3 1 .4 %

3 0. 5%
31.3%
(Salt Lake City) and Peripheral Business District-II (Rajarhat New

24. 9 %
Town). Competitive rents in these peripheral micro-markets helped 30%
them garner 70% and 16% share in the city’s leasing respectively.
Secondary Business District-2 (Rashbehari Connector) and Central
Business District (CBD) & Off CBD locations comprised 11% and
3% of the transaction volume. 20%

• In 2021, Kolkata noted completion of 0.06 mn sq m (0.6 mn sq ft) of


new office spaces, all of which became available in H2 2021. This
new supply came on the block in Newtown, Rajarhat and Salt Lake
10%
Sector V – the two most prominent commercial hubs in Kolkata.
Due to minimal completions in 2020, this represents a 542% YoY
growth.

• Though completion of new office spaces have remained limited 0%


H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
in Kolkata in the past three years, periods of large supply infusion S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

intermittently have led to a gradual increase in vacancy level


from 32% in 2019 to 43% in 2021. Coupled with a decline in the BUSI NESS DI ST RI CT CLASSI FI CAT I ON
transaction volume over 2020, vacancy at the end of December
2021 increased, being 142 basis points higher than a year ago. BU SINESS DIST RICT M ICRO M ARKETS
Kolkata’s office space vacancy also happens to be the second Park Street, Camac Street, Theatre
highest amongst the vacancies recorded in India’s top eight Road, AJC Bose Road, Elgin Road,
markets. Rabindra Sadan, Esplanade, Lenin
Sarani, S N Banerjee Road, Central
• Due to addition of new supply and the high vacancy of 43% in Avenue, Dalhousie Square, Mangoe
Central Business District Lane, Brabourne Road, Chandni
2021, rents have corrected by 3% YoY. In a pandemic influenced
(CBD) and off CBD Chowk, Rawdon Street, Loudon
backdrop coupled with increasing vacancy, rents may not see Street, Lee Road, Lord Sinha Road,
an upward revision soon. In both PBD-I (Salt Lake City) and Hastings, Hare Street, Kiran Shankar
PBD-2 (Rajarhat New Town), rents corrected by 3% YoY. Other Ray Road, Upper Wood Street,
Hungerford Street, Circus Avenue,
business districts such as CBD & Off CBD and SBD-2 (Rashbehari
Syed Amir Ali Avenue, Chowringhee
Connector) also witnessed a rental correction compared to 2020,
Suburban Business District
due to the prevalence of low occupier demand. Topsia, JBS Haldane Avenue, EM
(SBD-1)
Bypass-Park Circus Connector
Park Circus Connector
• In H2 2021, the average deal size in Kolkata’s office market
EM Bypass-Rashbehari Connector,
increased by 32% YoY to 1,763 sq m (18,972 sq ft) compared to
Suburban Business District Anandapur Main Road, Rajdanga,
1,338 sq m (14,400 sq ft) in H2 2020. Compared to H1 2021, this is a (SBD-2) South Ballygunge, Ashutosh
significant recovery as the deal size had shrunk to 725 sq m (7,801 Rashbehari Connector Mukherjee Road, Gariahat, Hazra,
sq ft) in this period due to the onslaught of the second wave of the Chetla, Jessore Road, Nagerbazar

pandemic in Q2 2021. Peripheral Business District


(PBD-1) Salt Lake Sector V
Salt Lake City
Peripheral Business District
Rajarhat New Town, BT Road, Bantala
(PBD-2) Rajarhat New Town
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
6 9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE KOLKATA

B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2020 AND H2 2021

03%
04%
11%

M I CR O- M A R K ET H2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1

16%  PB D-1 Salt Lake City 48% 70 %


48 %
H2 2 02 0 4 8% H2 2021 PDB -2 R ajar h at New
 48% 16%
Town
SB D-2 R ASH B EH AR I
70%  04% 11%
CO NNECTO R
 CB D & of f CB D - 03%

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI Z E T REND Averag e d eal s i ze i n s q m

H2 2020 H2 2 02 1 2,500

01% 09%
2,000

43% 21%
1,500

03% 05 %
1,000

0% 17 %
500

53% 48%
0
H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
N ote : B FS I includes B FS I support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

B US I N ES S D I ST RI CT- WISE RE NTAL M OVE M E NT


R E N TA L VALU E RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN 12-M O NT H 6-MONTH
I N R / S Q M / M O NT H ( INR/ SQ FT/ M O NT H ) CH ANGE CHANGE
CBD & O f f CBD 70 0 –1 ,0 23 (6 5 –95 ) -6 % 0%

SB D-I ( P a r k Circ u s Co n n e cto r) 5 3 8 –75 3 (5 0 –70 ) 0% 0%

SB D-II ( R a s h b e h a r i Co n n e cto r) 5 3 8 –91 5 (5 0 – 8 5 ) -1 0 % 0%

P BD-I ( Sa l t La ke City) 3 1 2–51 7 (29- 48 ) -3 % 0%

P BD-II ( R a j a r h at N ew Tow n ) 25 8 – 45 2 (24 - 42) -3 % 0%


S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
70 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I

MUMBAI
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
7 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I

R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
MU MB AI M A RKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
70 ,0 23 3 9% 3 4,1 51 27 % 22,0 1 5 81%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
6 2 ,9 89 29% 3 4,3 8 2 1 4% 1 8 ,4 40 16%
( hous in g u n its )
Averag e P r ic e in I N R /s q m I N R 74,1 1 0
1% - - - 2%
(INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 6 ,8 8 5 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021

11 16.1
(housing units) Change (YoY)

1,53,950 5% (in quarters) (in quarters)


72 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I

L AUNC H ES A N D SAL ES TREND LAUNCHES SALES

50,000

43,822
45,000

38,389
40,000

35,988

35,872
35,974
34,971

34,151
34,135

33,731

34,382
32,412
35,000
32,077

31,481
30,179

30,042
28,446

28,607
27,212
30,000

26,904
No. of units

25,403
24,450

25,000 23,399
20,776
18,887

18,646

20,000
15,763

15,000
9,740

7,490

10,000

5,000

0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
73 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I

• In the last 12-15 months, government incentives such as stamp • With work from home in the backdrop, affordable locations that
duty waivers and reduction of home loan interest rates along with are further from the city center but well connected to office/
developers quickly adapting to the changing market sentiments employment hubs, have emerged as preferred locations. Peripheral
and orienting their product, has accelerated sales as well as central suburbs, due to its locational advantage, received the
launches in the Mumbai residential market. maximum traction in sales as well as launches in 2020 & 2021.
Peripheral central suburbs contributed 27% and 30% of total
• MMR has been a major benefactor to all India sales as well as
launch volumes during H2 2020 and H2 2021 respectively. It also
launches since 2016. The Mumbai residential market contributed
witnessed the highest sales volume and contributed 28% and 22%
30% of launches and 27% of sales volume on an all- India level
of total sales during H2 2020 and H2 2021 respectively.
during 2021. The launches noted a surge of 27% YoY during H2
2021, 64% of these were in Q4 2021. Monetizing on pent up • Micro markets like Thane saw a reduction in their share of launches
demand during the festival season and due to changing consumer from H2 2020 to H1 2020. Thane contributed 17% of launches in H1
perspective on home ownership, developers aligned their launch 2020, but this share reduced to 7% in H2 2021.
timing in accordance with consumer needs while unveiling new
• The Western suburbs micro market saw a spike in launches
projects.
contributing 22% of the launch volume during H2 2021.
• The sales momentum also grew strongly with a rise of 14% YoY
• Houses in the price range of <5 mn remained a preferred choice
during H2 2021. Developers introduced competitive schemes to
bagging a sales share of 51% in H2 2021. 5-10mn and above 10 Mn
maintain the momentum post discontinuation of stamp duty waiver.
contributes to 23% and 26% respectively of the total sale volume
Although a minor dip in sales was noted in H1 2021 due to the
of H2 2021.
second wave, the impetus picked up again growing unhindered in
H2 2021. Developers were compromising on profit margins even • After a continued trend of price correction until H1 2021, the

with rising material costs, by offering indirect discounts and flexible average price level has now seen a marginal 1% rise YoY in 2021.

payment plans in the festival season. Going forward, however, The unsold inventory rose by 5% YoY. This rise can be attributed to

developers are expected to move away from such offers. In the the influx of supply in the same period.

new light of the Omicron variant, RBI has continued to maintain


an accommodative stance holding the reverse repo rate at 3.35%
which has come as a relief to home buyers.

• Mumbai is one of the only two cities that has recorded a YoY drop
in sales during Q4 2021 with a dip of 18%. However, the 18% drop
comes on the back of record-high sales in Q4 2020 as a result of
the pent-up demand with additional respite in the form of a stamp
duty cut during the base period.

MICRO - M A RKE T C L ASSIF ICATION


MICR O MA RKET LO CAT I O N S

Central Mumbai Dadar, Lower Parel, Mahalaxmi, Worli, Prabhadevi


Central Suburbs Sion, Chembur, Wadala, Kurla, Ghatkopar, Vikhroli, Bhandup, Mulund
Navi Mumbai Vashi, Nerul, Belapur, Kharghar, Airoli, Panvel, Ulwe, Sanpada
Peripheral Central Suburbs Kalyan, Kalwa, Dombivli, Ambernath, Bhiwandi, Mumbra, Karjat

Peripheral Western Suburbs Vasai, Virar, Boisar, Palghar, Bhayandar, Nalasopara

South Mumbai Malabar Hill, Napean Sea Road, Walkeshwar, Altamount Road, Colaba

Thane Naupada, Ghodbunder Road, Pokhran Road, Majiwada, Khopat, Panchpakhadi

Western Suburbs Bandra, Andheri, Goregaon, Kandivali, Borivali, Santacruz, Vile Parle

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


74 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I

MIC RO -M ARKE T S P LIT OF NEW LAUNCHES IN H2 2 0 20 AND H2 2021

02% 05 % M ICRO -M ARKET H2 2020 H2 2021


11% 14%  Cen tral Mu m b ai 02% 05%
22 % 13%
 Cen tral Su b u r b s 14% 13%
17 %  Nav i Mu m b ai 11% 12%
11%
12 % Per ip h eral Cen tral
H2 2 02 0 07% H2 2021  27% 30%
Su b u r b s
0 1% 0 1% Per ip h eral Wester n
 17% 10%
Su b u r b s
10%
17 %  Sou th Mu m b ai 1% 1%
27%
30%  T h an e 17% 7%
 Wester n Su b u r b s 11% 22%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MICRO - M A RKE T S P LIT OF SALES IN H2 2 02 0 AND H2 2021

M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021


02% 10% 02 %
15 % 15 % 14 %  Cen tral Mu m b ai 02% 02%
 Cen tral Su b u r b s 10% 14%
0 8%
 Nav i Mu m b ai 08% 14%
13 % 14% 14 % Per ip h eral Cen tral
 28% 22%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021 Su b u r b s
0 1% 01% Per ip h eral Wester n
 23% 18%
2 8% Su b u r b s
 Sou th Mu m b ai 1% 1%
23 % 18%
22 %  T h an e 13% 14%
 Wester n Su b u r b s 15% 15%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MU M BAI T I C KE T S I ZE SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES DURI NG AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m

H 2 20 2 0 AN D H 2 2 02 1
80,000
H2 2020 H2 2021
78,900

23 26
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn> 77,800

76,700

75,600

34 23
74,500
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
73,400

72,300

71,200

43 51
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn 70,100

69,000
H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021

S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch


S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
7 5 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I

R ESI D E N T I AL P RI C E M OVE M E NT IN SE LE CT LOCATI ONS


P RICE RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN
MICR O M A R K ET LO CATI O N 12 M O NT H CH ANGE 6 MONTH CHANGE
INR/ SQ M ( INR/ SQ FT )

CENT R AL M U M BAI LOW E R PA R E L 26 9,1 0 0 – 3 87,5 0 4 (25 ,0 0 0 – 3 6 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 1%

WOR L I 3 3 3 ,6 8 4 –5 92,0 20 (3 1 ,0 0 0 –5 5 ,0 0 0 ) 1% 2%

G HAT KOPA R 1 29,1 6 8 – 23 6 ,8 0 8 (1 2,0 0 0 – 22,0 0 0 ) 3% 2%

CENT R AL SU BU R BS M U LU N D 1 1 5 ,1 74 –1 5 0 ,6 96 (1 0 ,70 0 –1 4,0 0 0 ) -2% 2%

POWA I 1 5 6 ,0 78 – 21 5 ,28 0 (1 4,5 0 0 – 20 ,0 0 0 ) 2% 2%

PA N V E L 43 0 ,5 6 0 – 6 45 ,8 40 (40 ,0 0 0 – 6 0 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 2%

NAVI M U M BAI K HA R G HA R 29,0 6 3 – 3 7,6 74 (2,70 0 – 3 ,5 0 0 ) 0% 2%

VAS HI 48 ,43 8 – 6 4,5 8 4 (4,5 0 0 – 6 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 1%

BA DLA PU R 40 ,90 3 – 6 9,96 6 (3 ,8 0 0 – 6 ,5 0 0 ) 2% 2%


PERIPH E R AL CE N TR AL SU BU R B S
DOMB I VA L I 72,1 1 9–96 ,876 (6 ,70 0 –9,0 0 0 ) 1% 2%

M I R A R OA D 1 0 7,6 40 –1 6 1 ,46 0 (1 0 ,0 0 0 –1 5 ,0 0 0 ) 2% 2%
PERIPH E R AL W ESTE R N SU B U R B S
VIRAR 5 9,20 2–78 ,577 (5 ,5 0 0 –7,3 0 0 ) 1% 2%

SOUT H M U M BAI TA R DEO 47,3 6 2–5 9,20 2 (4,40 0 –5 ,5 0 0 ) 1% 2%

G HODB U N DE R R OA D 6 4,5 8 4 –1 0 7,6 40 (6 ,0 0 0 –1 0 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 2%


T H ANE
N AU PA DA 1 5 0 ,6 96 –1 93 ,75 2(1 4,0 0 0 –1 8 ,0 0 0 ) -1% 3%

A N DHE R I 1 6 1 ,46 0 – 23 6 ,8 0 8 (1 5 ,0 0 0 – 22,0 0 0 ) -2% 2%

BA N DR A (W ) 43 0 ,5 6 0 – 6 45 ,8 40 (40 ,0 0 0 – 6 0 ,0 0 0 ) 2% 2%

WEST E R N SU BU R BS B OR I VA L I 1 1 8 ,40 4 –1 6 1 ,46 0 (1 1 ,0 0 0 –1 5 ,0 0 0 ) 2% 2%

DA HI SA R 96 ,876 –1 1 8 ,40 4 (9,0 0 0 –1 1 ,0 0 0 ) 0% 2%

G OR EGAON 1 3 9,93 2–1 6 1 ,46 0 (1 3 ,0 0 0 –1 5 ,0 0 0 ) 1% 2%


S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MIC RO -M ARKE T H E ALTH


U NSO LD INVENTO RY Q UART ERS-TO -SE LL
MICR O -M A R K ET
( H O U SING U NITS) ( YOY CH ANGE) ( QTS)

CENT R AL M U M BAI 7,3 5 9 (1 3 %) 3 1 .2

CENT R AL SU BU R BS 3 1 ,3 8 5 (4%) 20 .3

NAVI MU M BAI 27,6 0 1 (2%) 1 6 .7

P ERIPH E R AL CE N TR AL SU BU R B S 1 6 ,95 9 (28 %) 4.7

PERIPH E R AL W ESTE R N SU B U R B S 1 6 ,51 4 (- 6 %) 5 .9

SOUT H M U M BAI 2,3 3 7 (1 0 %) 20 .8

T hane 24,275 (-5 %) 1 3 .3

Wester n Su b u r b s 27,5 20 (1 1 %) 1 2.7


S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
76 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I

OFF I C E M ARK ET
MU MB A I M A RKE T S UM M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
0 .4 6 (5 .0 ) -5 .9% 0 .3 4 (3 .7) 1 23 % 0 .3 3 (3 .6 ) 2267%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transact io n s
0 .3 5 (3.8 ) -3 6 .8 % 0 .20 (2.1 ) 1% 0 .0 9 (1 .0 ) -14%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Averag e t ra n sa cte d re n t i n I N R /s q m /m o nt h
1 1 51 .7 5 (1 0 7) -7.6 % - - - 1%
(INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Stock 2021
mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY) Vacancy % 2021

14.52(156.3) 3% 20.9%
110 Basis points increase
7 7 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I

MUM BAI O FFI C E M A RKE T ACTIVITY COMPLETIONS TRANSACTIONS

0.8

0.7 0.71

0.6

0.47

0.47
0.46
0.46

0.5
0.43
Mn sq m

0.41

0.41

0.36
0.4
0.35

0.34
0.34
0.32

0.32
0.30

0.29

0.27
0.26

0.3
0.23
0.21

0.20

0.20
0.20
0.18

0.2
0.15

0.15
0.12
0.09

0.1

0.0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
78 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I

• The MMR office market is showing a renewed optimism as


leasing volume and new project completions are picking up MUMBAI OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
momentum in H2 2021. Despite the temporary pause due to the
25%
second wave of COVID -19 in the Q2 2021, businesses are now
stabilizing, construction sites are fully operational, developers

22 %

22 %
22 %
22 %

21%
are restructuring their business plans to accommodate the new

21%
2 0%

2 0%

2 0%
2 0%
2 0%

2 0%
normalcy and the recovery is looking good.
20%

1 8%
1 8%
• Leasing activity in MMR during H2 2021 witnessed a small rebound
compared to the H2 2020 transacted volume with a minimal rise of
1% YoY.
15%
• The supply of office spaces grew substantially by 123% YoY during
H2 2021. This jump in supply comes on the low base of 4 subdued
quarters with developers moving cautiously while assessing the
market sentiments. Occupiers are in the wait and watch mode and
10%
many have deferred their office resumption plans by 2-3 months.
Developers are expecting a positive response from occupiers for
space take-up, as they move into the next year.

• The rental values have dropped by 8% YoY during 2021. However, 5%


a marginal rise of 1% QoQ in noted in rentals by the end of the year,
despite Omicron scare persisting in the market. In BKC and Powai
where rental values have remained unchanged due to the limited
supply of Grade A spaces and rising demand for the same. 0%
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
• Vacancy level has risen moderately from 20% in H2 2020 to 21%
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
in H2 2021. The increase in vacancy can be attributed to the supply
infusion in the market in Q4 2021.

• In H2 2020, SBD West saw substantial transactions which


contributed to almost half the market share i.e., 43%. In contrast,
H2 2021 logged the maximum share of office transaction in the
PBD micro market amounting to 34%. However, SBD Central and BUSI NESS DI ST RI CT CLASSI FI CAT I ON
SBD West remain key contributors of transaction volumes with
BU SINESS DIST RICT M ICRO M ARKETS
shares of 28% and 25% respectively.
Nariman Point, Cuffe Parade, Ballard
CBD & Off CBD
• Leasing activity in BKC & Off BKC markets which are dominated by Estate, Fort, Mahalaxmi, Worli
Grade A office spaces, witnessed a drop in share from 16% in H2
Bandra Kurla Complex & Off-
2020 to 10% in H2 2021. Limited leasing transaction has occurred BKC, Bandra (E), Kalina and
Bandra Kurla Complex (BKC
Kalanagar
in the CBD and Off CBD area. & Off-BKC)

• The Other Services industry and BSFI have contributed to more


Central Mumbai Parel, Lower Parel, Dadar, Prabhadevi
than half of the leasing volume in H2 2021 i.e. 36% and 33%
respectively. The share of both sectors has seen a jump from Andheri, Jogeshwari, Goregoan,
SBD West
H2 2020 where Other Services contributed 21% and BSFI 23% Malad

respectively. The highest number of deals was inked in Other Kurla, Ghatkopar, Vikhroli,
SBD Central Kanjurmarg, Powai, Bhandup,
Services sector followed by BFSI and Manufacturing. The space
Chembur
take-up from the Other Services sector was led by companies in
Thane, Airoli, Vashi, Ghansoli, Rabale,
logistic, retail, healthcare and consulting segments. PBD
Belapur

S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch


79 I NDI A REAL ESTATE MU MBA I

B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2020 AND H2 2021

01% 01% 10%


07 %
16% 03%
25% M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
3 00%2 %
04%  B KC & O f f-B KC 16% 10%
 CB D & O f f-CB D 02% 00%
43 % H2 2021
H2 2 02 0  Cen tral Mu m b ai 04% 03%
12% 34 %
70 %  PB D 12% 34%
 SB D Cen tral 2 3% 28%

2 8%  SB D West 43% 25%


92 %
23%

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI ZE T REND Averag e d eal s i ze i n s q m

H2 2020 H2 2 02 1 4,500

4,000
2 3% B FS I 33%
3,500

13% I nfo rm at i o n Tec hno l o g y 04% 3,000


sq m

2,500
2 5% M a nufa ct uri ng 22%
2,000

1,500
18% C o -wo rk i ng 05 %
1,000
2 1% Ot her S erv i c es 36% 500

0
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
N ote : B FS I includes B FSI support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

B US IN ES S D I ST RI CT- WISE RE NTAL M OVE M E NT


R E N TA L VALU E RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN 12-M O NT H 6-MONTH
I N R / S Q M / M O NT H ( INR/ SQ FT/ M O NT H ) CH ANGE CHANGE
BKC & O f f- BKC 1 ,6 1 5 -3 ,229 (1 5 0 -3 0 0 ) - 4% -

CBD & O f f- CBD 1 ,45 3 -2,422 (1 3 5 -225 ) -9% -3%

Central M u mb a i 1 ,6 1 5 -2,1 5 3 (1 5 0 -20 0 ) -1 0 % - 4%

P BD 48 4 -8 6 1 (45 -8 0 ) -1 1 % - 4%

SB D C e n t ra l 8 0 7-1 ,6 1 5 (75 -1 5 0 ) -6 % 0%

SB D West 8 0 7-1 ,3 46 (75 -1 25 ) -8 % -2%


S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
8 0 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

NCR
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
National
Capital Region
8 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
NCR M A RKE T S U M M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
2 0 ,5 85 110% 1 7,6 42 110% 8 ,6 5 9 - 4%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
3 5 ,073 65% 23 ,5 99 49% 1 4,498 59 %
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r i c e i n I N R /s q m I N R 4 5 ,241
-1% - - - 1%
( INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 4,20 3 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021

13.7 22.6
(housing units) Change (YoY)

96,186 -13% (in quarters) (in quarters)


8 2 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

TABLE : 1
LAUNCHES SALES
L AUNC H ES A N D SAL ES TREND

40,000
34,000

35,000
29,458

30,000
25,000

23,800

23,599
23,092

22,976
25,000
22,596
No. of units

20,465

19,852
18,047

20,000

17,642
17,462

17,188
16,913

15,788
15,059

15,000
11,474
9,273

9,123

8,402
7,846

10,000
6,926

6,696

5,446
4,800

2,943

5,000
1,422

0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
8 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

• In 2021, National Capital Region’s (NCR) residential market back on the radar of homebuyers for purchasing bigger spaces as
witnessed huge pent-up demand being unleashed into the shorter commute time to workplace is not a prime consideration
residential market. The trend of end-user appetite for bigger homes since the pandemic outbreak.
continued in 2021 as buyers took advantage of a low mortgage
• Compared to 2020, when new unit launches had nosedived, 2021
regime to buy homes. The pandemic has also made people realize
saw increased activity on this front. 2021 saw 20,585 new units
that prices have bottomed out, hence they did not postpone their
being launched in NCR. This represents 90% of 2019’s launches
homebuying decisions. The devastating second wave of COVID-19
which were pegged at 22,905 units. Whilst new launches are yet
in the first half of the year further reaffirmed the importance of
to match pre-pandemic levels, return of high sales volume during
home ownership from a safety and security perspective. Led by the
2021 has reinstated developer confidence to launch new products
demand surge, 35,073 units were sold in NCR’s primary market.
to meet different usability requirements of end-users. Developing
Residential sales recorded a 65% YoY growth compared to 2020.
sectors of New Gurugram, Noida and Greater Noida remained the
• The first half of 2021 saw a bleak second quarter on both demand favored locations for new launches during 2021.
and supply fronts due to a stringent lockdown during the second
• Average residential prices have largely bottomed out in NCR. In the
wave. However, with strong economic recovery and resilience in
wake of a strong demand momentum, average residential prices in
the real estate sector, the second half of 2021 posted a strong
NCR started witnessing a marginal uptick of 1% QOQ in Q4 2021.
comeback. In H2 2021, two-thirds of the entire year’s sales volume
With a strong underlying trend in NCR’s residential realty, if the
was recorded, once the dust settled on the havoc created by the
demand surge is sustained, developers may start revising prices
second wave.
upwards to meet the burden of rising cost cycles.
• In the past one year, there has been a gradual, yet notable
• High sales velocity in 2021 has helped reduce unsold inventory
decrease in the share of products with ticket sizes < INR 5 mn.
burden by 13% YOY which is a breather for developers in NCR and
The share of this category has shrunk from 42% in H2 2020’s
indicative of post-pandemic recovery. Due to the stress in NCR’s
sales volume to 27% in H2 2021. The demand shift to ticket sizes
real estate market in the past, many developers are no longer
upwards of INR 5 mn has been significant, a trend prevalent
active and the market consolidation has only gathered pace during
across locations due to the need for upgrading the family’s
COVID-19 with few strong market leaders operational now.
primary residence to accommodate work and study from home
requirements.

• The share of projects with ticket sizes > INR 10 million increased
from 31% in H2 2020 to 37% of the total sales in H2 2021.
Simultaneously, well developed suburbs and peripherals came

MIC RO -M ARKE T S P LIT OF NEW LAUNCHES IN H2 2 0 20 AND H2 2021

8%
18%
3%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
21% 6% 51%
 Gu r u gram 45% 51%

H2 2021  Greater Noid a 23% 18%


H2 2 02 0
4 5%  Gh az iab ad 21% 7%
23 % 7%  Far id ab ad 3% 6%
 Noid a 8% 18%

18%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


8 4 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

Gurugram an enabling environment for Greater Noida.

• In line with H2 2020, Gurugram not only retained the lion’s share • Demand for homebuying improved in Noida during H2 2021. From
in new launches in H2 2021, but also witnessed an increase in the a 13% share in H2 2020, this market’s share rose to 19% in H2
same to account for more than half (51%) of NCR’s total launches. 2021. Preference for gated communities and individual spaces has
A superb response to high-end and luxury products in addition helped in demand stimulation after the pandemic. Government
to mid-end has helped Gurugram dominate the new launches announcements for upgrading physical and transport infrastructure
landscape. Developers are targeting both the main Gurugram such as Noida International Airport and connecting the Noida
locations as well as developing residential sectors for new projects. Metro line with Greater Noida has also boosted homebuyer
Also, with some major infrastructure projects such as Dwarka confidence.
Expressway finally expected to be completed in 2022 after a long
• Greater Noida’s share in the overall sales declined to 29% in H2
wait, some residential locations near Pataudi Road and towards
2021. Greater Noida has witnessed traction in the past few months
Manesar have become promising yet again.
for ready to move in homes, but non-delivery of promised homes
• A flurry of new launches was witnessed in New Gurugram where to homebuyers continues to mar its reputation as trust amongst
end-user interest has been increasing due to its development and homebuyers is yet to come back.
connectivity via three national highways. Sectors 81, 89, 92 and 108
New Delhi
witnessed new launches from prominent developers. Gold Course
Extension Road, Sohna Road and DLF Phase II also witnessed new • The uptake of New Delhi’s luxury bungalows by the wealthy during

launches. the pandemic has led some developers to test the waters by
introducing new inventory in the primary market in Central Delhi in
• In H2 2021, Gurugram emerged as NCR’s leading residential
2022. New launches in this segment are expected to come up by
market with a 33% share in the overall sales pie. Gurugram’s charm
way of small sized developments on existing land parcels in the
for end-users continues due to ample availability of luxury, blended
heart of New Delhi in locations such as Hailey Road.
and compact luxury products, apart from plotted developments.
As a dominant luxury market in NCR after Delhi, Gurugram has
seen a significant jump in sales of luxury products in locations
such as Golf Course Road, Golf Course Extension Road, Sohna
Road, DLF Phase V and New Gurugram. Gurugram developers’
well strategized move of introduction of builder floors and time to
market has helped in high absorption rates in H2 2021.

• The announcement of fast-tracking the completion of Dwarka


Expressway, also known as the Northern Peripheral Road (NPR) in
2022 has acted as a demand catalyst for mid-end and affordable
ticket sizes in residential segment along this belt.

Noida and Greater Noida

• In H2 2021, Noida’s share in new launches increased to 18% of


the overall pie. Due to the improving market health, few large
developers have launched additional phases in mid-end and luxury
apartment projects in locations near the Tech Zone, which is a
promising commercial hub with developing social infrastructure.

• However, the share of new launches in Greater Noida declined from


23% in H2 2020 to 18% in H2 2021. Due to past legacy issues and
oversupply, developers remain prudent of taking position in Greater
Noida. The announcement of the upcoming Noida International
Airport, Uttar Pradesh government’s land acquisition for the project
underway and demand stimulation due to the pandemic is creating
8 5 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

MIC RO -M ARKE T S P LIT OF SALES IN H2 2 02 0 AND H2 2021

1% 1% 1% 2 %
13 %
1 5% 19% 16%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
 Delh i 01% 01%
 Far id ab ad 01% 02%
H 2 2 02 0 H2 2021  Gh az iab ad 1 5% 16%
30%
 Greater Noid a 40% 29 %

33% 2 9%  Gu r u gram 30% 33%


40%  Noid a 13% 19 %

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

NCR T I C KE T S I Z E S PLIT COM PARISON OF SALES DURI NG H1 AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m
2020 AN D H 1 2 0 2 1
55,000
H2 2020 H2 2021

31 37
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn> 50,000

45,000

27 36
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn
40,000

35,000

42 27
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn

30,000
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

• The structural shift in homebuying only got more prominent in H2 • In H2 2021, the average residential prices in NCR declined by 1%
2021 with a stark difference in ticket size preferences compared to YOY over H2 2020. With the pandemic trajectory influencing sales
H2 2020. In sharp contrast to H2 2020, the share of projects in INR velocity, developers have been wary of increasing prices despite a
5-10 mn increased from 27% to 36% in H2 2021. Percentage share heavy burden of rising costs of steel and cement. With the buoyancy
of ticket sizes of > INR 10 mn also rose from 31% to 37% during the coming back in sales volume, Q4 2021 saw a marginal 1% QOQ
same period. uptick in average residential prices. Going forward, we can expect
residential prices to inch up as the demand fundamentals remains
• Compared to H2 2020, the share of products in < INR 5 million
strong.
ticket size has shrunk from 42% of the NCR sales volume to 27%
in H1 2021. While the fundamentals of affordable housing remain
sound, end-users with up to INR 5 mn budget have been diverting
their funds towards plotted schemes from a future standpoint.
8 6 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

R ES ID E N T I AL P RI C E M OVE M E NT IN SE LE CT LOCATIONS
P RICE RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN
MICR O M A R K ET LO CATI O N 12 M O NT H CH ANGE 6 MONTH CHANGE
INR/ SQ M ( INR/ SQ FT )

DWA R KA 6 4,5 8 4 –96 ,876 (6 ,0 0 0 –9,0 0 0 ) -2% -2%


DELH I
G R EAT E R KA I LAS H -I I 23 6 ,8 0 8 – 3 8 9,6 57(22,0 0 0 – 3 6 ,20 0 ) 0% 0%

S ECTOR 8 2 3 2,292– 3 7,6 74 (3 ,0 0 0 – 3 ,5 0 0 ) -1% -1%


FARIDABAD
S ECTOR 8 8 3 3 ,3 6 8 – 3 6 ,5 97 (3 ,1 0 0 – 3 ,40 0 ) 0% 0%

N H-24 BY PAS S 3 0 ,6 5 6 – 3 1 ,8 0 8 (2,8 48 – 2,95 5 ) 0% 0%


GH AZ IABAD
R AJ N AGA R EXT E N S I ON 3 1 ,21 6 – 3 5 ,8 1 2 (2,90 0 – 3 ,3 27) 0% 0%

S ECTOR 1 3 1 ,21 6 – 3 5 ,8 1 2 (2,90 0 – 3 ,3 27) 0% 0%


GREATE R N O I DA
OM I C R ON 1 3 3 ,5 3 0 – 3 8 ,75 0 (3 ,1 1 5 – 3 ,6 0 0 ) -1% -1%

S ECTOR 7 7 5 4,8 96 – 6 4,423 (5 ,1 0 0 –5 ,98 5 ) 0% 0%


GURUG R AM
S ECTOR 8 1 5 3 ,8 20 – 6 1 ,6 1 3 (5 ,3 0 0 –5 ,724) 0% 0%

S ECTOR 78 49,40 7–5 8 ,23 3 (4,5 90 –5 ,41 0 ) 0% 0%


NOIDA
S ECTOR 1 4 3 4 4,757–5 0 ,5 91 (4,1 5 8 – 4,70 0 ) -1% -1%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MICRO - M A RKE T H E ALTH

UN S O L D I N V E N TO RY Q UA RTERS-TO -SELL • At the end of H2 2021, NCR’s unsold inventory stood at 96,186 units
MICR O -M A R K ET
(H O US I N G UN I TS ) (YOY C H A N G E ) ( QTS) representing a 13% YOY decline. Sustenance of a healthy demand
momentum and the pandemic giving the much-needed push for
DELH I 1 ,2 6 6 (-2 0% ) 1 8 .9 homebuying are the key demand drivers for the unsold inventory
downtrend to continue.
FARIDABAD 2 ,9 5 2 (1 9 % ) 26 .9
• Due to the decline in unsold inventory, the quarters-to-sell (QTS)
GH AZ IABAD 1 7,6 6 6 (-1 8 % ) 1 5 .6 also inched down from 13.8 in H2 2020 to 13.7 at the end of H2
2021. QTS is the number of quarters required to exhaust the
GREAT E R N O I DA 3 7,22 0 (-1 5 % ) 1 5 .8
existing unsold inventory in the market. The existing unsold

GURUG R AM 22 ,1 5 3 (-7 % ) 1 0 .1 inventory is divided by the average sales velocity of the preceding
eight quarters to arrive at the QTS number for the current quarter.
NOIDA 1 4,9 2 9 (-1 3 % ) 1 2.8 The QTS of NCR reduced only marginally as new launches kept
pace in tandem during H2 2021.
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
87 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

OFF I C E M A RK ET
NCR M ARKE T S U M M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Compl et i o n s
0 .5 (5 .1 ) 76 % 0 .2 (2.1 ) 0% 0 .1 (1 .1 ) 1%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transact io n s
0 .6 (6.4) 38% 0 .4 (4.0 ) 56% 0 .2 (2.0 ) 2%
m n sq m ( mn s q f t )
Averag e t ra n sa cte d re n t in I N R /s q m /m o nt h
8 8 3 .7 (82.1 ) 0% - - - 0%
(INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s , “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Stock 2021
mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY) Vacancy % 2021

16.2(174.0) 3% 15.5%
80 basis points decrease
8 8 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

N CR O FFI C E M ARKE T ACTIVITY COMPLETIONS TRANSACTIONS

0.7

0.59
0.6
0.56

0.55
0.51

0.5

0.45
Mn sq m

0.37
0.37

0.4
0.35
0.35
0.34

0.34

0.33

0.33
0.32
0.30

0.30

0.30
0.3
0.26

0.24
0.21

0.20

0.20
0.19

0.19
0.17

0.17

0.2
0.08

0.1
0.05

0.0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
8 9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

• 2021 has been the year of resilience and resurgence for NCR’s seat take-up has benefitted the business model of co-working
office market. The annual transaction volume of 0.6 mn sq m (6.4 operators due to continuation of a hybrid work model, a trend that
mn sq ft) not only surpassed the low recorded in 2020 but brought is here to stay.
leasing volume back to near pre-pandemic levels. On a YoY basis,
• In 2021, average transacted rents in NCR remained at par with
2021’s transaction volume represents a 38% growth over 2020.
2020. Improved leasing volume in H2 2021 prevented a rental
The outbreak of a second wave of COVID- 19 curtailed the YoY
decline despite the slowdown in decision making at occupiers’
growth to 38% as leasing volume reduced during Q2 2021, despite
end during the second wave-impacted quarter. With occupier
strong occupier demand in both the quarters of H2 2021.
demand bouncing back, rent growth in 2022 can be expected, if
• In H2 2021, occupiers steered ahead cautiously with managing the Omicron virus variant spread does not hamper this recovery in
office space footprint in the midst of the pandemic. In this period, the making.
leasing growth of 56% YoY was recorded as the share of sectors
GURUGRAM
such as co-working, manufacturing, learning and education,
e-commerce and healthcare increased in the overall volume over • During H2 2021, 0.2 mn sq m (2.6 mn sq ft) of office spaces were

the past one year. Going forward, bulk hiring by companies in some leased in Gurugram. Whilst Gurugram dominated NCR’s gross

sectors such as Information Technology (IT) will influence demand leasing volume in H2 2020, its share rose from 45% during this

for large format quality spaces while office space demand from a period to 64% in H2 2021. Due to the pandemic influence in H2

diverse pool of sectors will continue to prevail. 2020, the office space traction had reduced here, much like the
other markets. However, occupiers returned to the millennium city
• In 2021, NCR witnessed completion of 0.5 mn sq m (5.1 mn sq ft)
in no time as the economy reopened and moved towards growth.
of office spaces, a 76% YoY growth over 2020. Due to the first
wave of the pandemic and the abrupt lockdown in early 2020 when • Due to a lower rental threshold, Golf Course Extension Road

the pandemic had just arrived in India, many office buildings in garnered a 26% share in Gurugram’s overall leasing in H2 2021.

NCR remained physically complete but awaiting the occupancy DLF Cybercity (18%), Udyog Vihar (11%) and MG Road (11%) also

certificate (OC). With better preparedness to manage lockdowns witnessed stable occupier demand in this period with a double-

and economic recovery in 2021, sizeable completions in NCR’s digit share in the city’s leasing volume.

office sector were noted, especially in H2 2021, though they remain


below pre-pandemic levels. NCR OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
• NCR’s office space completions remained at 80% of the total 25%
transaction volume recorded in this calendar year. The market is in
21 .5 %
20 .6 %

a recovery mode with pent-up demand for office spaces coming to


20 .7%

the fore from different sectors. Occupiers are moving ahead with
18. 9%

decision making as they come up with office space strategies to 20%


17.7%

adopt on the ground for future. Consequently, NCR’s office space


17. 2%
16 .8 %

16 .8 %
16. 5%

16. 5%
16. 3%
16. 3%
16.1 %

vacancy reduced by 80 basis points to 15.5% at the end of 2021.

• Of the total office spaces transacted in H2 2021, Gurugram 15 .5%


15%
comprised a 64% share. This was followed by Noida (27%) and
Secondary Business District of Delhi (SBD Delhi) at 7%, Central
Business District of Delhi (CBD Delhi) at 1% and Faridabad at 1%.
Gurugram has re-emerged as NCR’s market leader for office space
10%
consumption garnering the highest percentage share in leasing
volume. Gurugram, along with Noida, remain preferred destinations
for occupiers with well developed micro-markets and infrastructure
development. 5%
• The pandemic has aided the co-working sector’s growth in
NCR. Strong demand bounceback for flex spaces has prompted
co-working operators to expand their footprint so they can offer
more spaces to their clients. In 2021, office space leasing by the 0%
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
co-working sector posted a 29% YoY growth over 2020. Large S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
9 0 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT CLASSIF ICATION
B USINES S D IST R ICT M I C R O M A R KETS

CBD Delhi Connaught Place, Barakhamba Road, Kasturba Gandhi Marg and Minto Road

SBD Delhi Nehru Place, Saket, Jasola, Bhikaji Cama Place, Mohan Cooperative, Okhla and Aerocity

Gurugram Zone A M G Road, NH-8, Golf Course Road and Golf Course Extension Road

Gurugram Zone B DLF CyberCity, Sohna Road, Udyog Vihar and Gwal Pahari

Gurugram Zone C Manesar

Noida Sectors 16, 18, 62, 63 and the Noida-Greater Noida Expressway

Faridabad Sector Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Tech Zone

S ource: Knight Frank R esearch

B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2020 AND H2 2021

20%1 %
10 % 7 % 1% 01%
1% 07 %

30% M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021

27 %  Gu r u gram 45% 64%


45%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021  Noid a 43% 27%
 SB D Delh i 1 0% 7%
70 %
43 % 64 %  CB D Delh i 2% 1%
 Far id ab ad 0% 1%
92 %

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

• The implementation of Haryana State Employment of Local • Noida’s prime office micro markets of Sectors 16, 18, 62, 125 and
Candidates Act, 2020, with commencement date of January 15th, the Noida-Greater Noida Expressway remained occupier favorites
2022 approaching, may impact entry level hiring by private sector in H2 2021. Companies across sectors such as IT, co-working,
companies in the short term. Its reservation requirements for 75% learning and education leased spaces in Noida in the current half
local candidates for posts where the gross monthly salary does yearly period. Noida’s competitive rents and quality office assets
not exceed INR 30,000 per month may be a cause of concern for offer occupiers a great location option. Coupled with proximity to
future hiring, especially in the IT sector. However, it is unlikely to south and central Delhi and ease of connectivity, occupiers prefer
cause any relocations from Gurugram due to the vast talent pool to be situated here.
domiciled here.
NCR sector-wise transaction split analysis
NOIDA
• In H2 2021, the Other Services sector accounted for 41% of the
• At 0.10 mn sq m (1.1 mn sq ft), Noida maintained its leasing at par total leasing and largely comprised space take-up by companies
with H2 2020. However, its share in NCR’S H2 2021 declined from in segments like learning and education, healthcare and other
43% in H2 2020 to 27% in H2 2021. This is only because NCR’s diversified business conglomerates. The Other Services sector
overall leasing has grown by 56% YoY in this period, due to which which accounted for 20% of NCR’s total leasing in H2 2020 has
Noida’s share appears reduced, despite there being no change in significantly increased mainly on the back of numerous small and
square footage leased in this market. mid-sized deals. The manufacturing sector’s share also increased
9 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE NC R

significantly from 11% in H2 2020 to 21% in H2 2021.


SE CTO R- W I S E T RA N SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 • The Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) sector
A ND H 2 2 0 2 1 constituted 7% of the total leasing in H2 2021. The share of this
sector has reduced from 13% in H2 2020.
H2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1
• In H2 2021, the IT sector accounted for 19% of the total office
spaces leased compared to 44% of the total transactions in
13% 07 % H2 2020. Despite record hiring by major IT giants and return of
normalcy, many IT players are still continuing in a hybrid work mode
and leasing traditional office formats cautiously. Additionally, some
44% 19% of the IT sector’s demand has also shifted to co-working spaces
due to a change in real estate strategies because of the pandemic.
Office spaces leased by the IT sector occupiers were mostly
11% 21% located in Gurugram, followed by Noida.

• In terms of percentage share, co-working sector remained at par


with H2 2020. However, the pandemic influenced the co-working
12 % 12%
sector’s growth in NCR as there has been a strong demand bounce
back for flex spaces. In 2021, office space leasing by the co-
working sector posted a 29% YoY growth over the 2020 volume.
2 0% 41%
• From 2,301 sq m (24,765 sq ft) in H2 2020, the average deal size
has expanded by 39% YoY to 3,190 sq m (34,337 sq ft) in H2 2021.
This is primarily due to the return of some large sized deals as the
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
demand for office spaces rebounded in H2 2021. Occupiers in
N ote : B FS I includes B FSI support services
healthtech, manufacturing, co-working and e-commerce took up
spaces above 9,290 sq m (100,000 sq ft) across Gurugram and
AVE R AG E D E AL S I Z E TRE ND Ave ra ge d e a l si ze i n sq m
Noida which contributed to the expansion in average deal size
5,000 during the review period.

4,000

BUSI NESS DI ST RI CT-W I SE RENTAL MOVEMEN T


3,000
RENTAL VALU E RANGE IN H 2
12-MONTH 6-MONTH
2 02 1 IN INR/ SQ M / M O NT H
CHANGE CHANGE
( INR/ SQ FT/ M O NT H )
CB D Delh i 2,3 47– 3 ,76 7 (21 8 – 3 5 0 ) 0% 0%
2,000
SB D Delh i 91 5 – 2,1 5 3 (8 5 – 20 0 ) 0% 0%

Gu r u gram Zon e A 1 ,1 3 0 –1 ,722 (1 0 5 –1 6 0 ) 0% 0%

1,000 Gu r u gram Zon e B 8 8 3 –1 ,45 3 (8 2–1 3 5 ) 0% 0%

Gu r u gram Zon e C 26 9– 3 77 (25 – 3 5 ) 0% 0%

Noid a 5 3 8 – 8 29 (5 0 –77) 0% 0%
0 Far id ab ad 48 4 –5 92 (45 –5 5 ) 0% 0%
H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
9 2 I N DI A REAL ESTATE PU NE

PUNE
RESIDENTIAL AND OFFICE MARKET
9 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE PU NE

R ES I D E NTI A L M A RK ET
P UNE M ARKE T S U M M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A MET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Launch es
4 0 ,4 89 16% 20 ,0 1 2 -7% 1 1 ,3 97 32%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Sales
3 7,2 18 38% 1 9,74 4 1 7% 1 0 ,1 79 6%
(hous i n g u n i ts )
Averag e P r ic e in I N R /s q m I N R 4 3 ,0 5 6
0% - - - 0%
(INR/ s q f t ) ( E n d of p e r io d ) (I N R 4,0 0 0 )
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squ a re fe et ( s q f t )
S o u rce: Knight Frank R esearch

Age of unsold
Unsold inventory 2021 Quarters to sell 2021 inventory 2021

6.3 12.7
(housing units) Change (YoY)

50,812 7% (in quarters) (in quarters)


9 4 I N DI A REAL ESTATE PU NE

L AUNC H ES A N D SAL ES TREND LAUNCHES SALES

25,000

23,264
21,396

21,557
22,500
20,740

20,477

20,012
19,744
20,000

18,584
18,135

17,474
16,486

17,364
17,070

16,870
16,800

6,591
16,451

17,500
15,688
15,524

15,445
18,584

15,000

13,435
12,762
No. of units

11,300

12,500
10,049
8,713

10,000
4,800

7,500
14,100

5,000

2,500

0
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
9 5 I NDI A REAL ESTATE PU NE

• The Pune market has witnessed a marginal drop of 7% YoY in


new launches during H2 2021. This drop has come on the back of
good performance in H2 2020 primarily due to state government
intervention in the form of stamp duty cut that propelled launches
in Q4 2020.

• The Pune residential market witnessed a 17% YoY rise in sales


during H2 2021. Flexible schemes offered by developers, low home
loan rates and consumers’ need for larger spaces contributed to
the healthy market sentiment.

• The price levels are maintained and remain unchanged in H2 2021.


Basis market feedback, as we move towards normalcy, developers
may mull over price rise to preserve profit margins and account for
the rise in raw material prices.

• The micro markets in South and East dominate Pune residential


launches during H2 2021 with a share of 38% and 25%
respectively. The West market has contracted to 21% market
share in H2 2021 from 43% in H2 2020. Central Pune has seen
some movement in terms of launches, contributing 7% of the
market share in H2 2021. The North market has seen a minor dip in
contribution to 9% in H2 2021 from 17% in H2 2020.

• The South and East markets also steered the sale volumes during
H2 2021 contributing 38% and 24% respectively to total sales. The
West market shriveled to 22% in H2 2021 though it held a strong
position with a market share of 35% in H2 2020. Even with current
improved sentiments, homebuyers are vigilant and continue to
prefer reputed developers and ready to move apartments.

• Developers are relying on the positive consumer sentiments of


buyers focused on large format housing with an ability to absorb
minor price hikes. In H2 2020, the focus had remained on <5mn
category contributing 49% of the total sale volume. However in H2
2021, the share of this price category in total sales increased to
52% .

• Q4 2021 recorded unsold inventory of 50,812 units amounting to


12% of the total unsold inventory pan India. The quarters-to-sell
(QTS) remained healthy at 6.3 in H2 2021.

MICRO - M A RKE T C L ASSIF ICATION


MICR O MA RKET LO CAT I O N S

Central Koregaon Park, Boat Club Road, Erandwane, Deccan, Kothrud, Model Colony
East Viman Nagar, Kharadi, Wagholi, Hadapsar, Dhanori
West Aundh, Baner, Wakad, Hinjewadi, Bavdhan, Pashan
North Pimpri, Chinchwad, Moshi, Chikhali, Chakan, Talegaon
South Kondhwa, Ambegaon, Undri, Dhayari, Warje, Sinhgad Road

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


9 6 I N DI A REAL ESTATE PU NE

MIC RO -M ARKE T S P LIT OF NEW LAUNCHES IN H2 2 0 20 AND H2 2021

01% 07 %
15 %
24%
M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
38%
25%  Cen tral 01% 07%
17 %  East 24% 25%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021
 West 43% 21%
 North 17% 09 %
 Sou th 15% 38%

43% 09% 2 1%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MICRO - M A RKE T S P LIT OF SALES IN H2 2 02 0 AND H2 2021

02% 03%
18 %

2 8% 24 %
38% M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021
 Cen tral 02% 03%

17 % H2 2 02 0 H2 2021  East 28% 24%


 West 35% 22%
 North 17% 13%
22 %  Sou th 1 8% 38%
35% 13%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

P UNE T I C KE T S I Z E SPLIT COM PARISON OF SALES DURI NG H2 AVERAGE RESI DENT I AL PRI CE MOVEMENT I N R p er s q m
2020 AN D H 2 2 0 2 1
49,000
H2 2020 H2 2021
48,000

8 8
% INR 10mn> % INR 10mn>
47,000

46,000

45,000

43 40
% INR 5-10mn % INR 5-10mn 44,000

43,000

42,000

49 52
% <INR 5mn % <INR 5mn 41,000

40,000
H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021

S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch


S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
9 7 I NDI A REAL ESTATE PU NE

R ESI D E N T I AL P RI C E M OVE M E NT IN SE LE CT LOCATI ONS


P RICE RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN
MICR O M A R K ET LO CATI O N 12 M O NT H CH ANGE 6 MONTH CHANGE
INR/ SQ M ( INR/ SQ FT )

KOR EGAON PA R K 1 3 9,93 2–1 8 2,98 8 (1 3 ,0 0 0 - 1 7,0 0 0 ) -2% 0%

KOT HR U D 8 0 ,73 0 –1 3 9,93 2 (7,5 0 0 - 1 3 ,0 0 0 ) -2% 0%


CENT R AL
E R A N DWA N E 1 45 ,3 1 4 –1 93 ,75 2 (1 3 ,5 0 0 - 1 8 ,0 0 0 ) -3 % 0%

B OAT C LU B R OA D 1 5 6 ,0 78 – 20 9,8 98 (1 4,5 0 0 - 1 9,5 0 0 ) -2% 0%

KHA R A DI 57,0 49– 6 7,8 1 3 (5 ,3 0 0 - 6 ,3 0 0 ) -1% 0%

WAG HOL I 3 7,6 74 – 49,51 4 (3 ,5 0 0 - 4,6 0 0 ) 0% 0%


EAST
DHA N OR I 41 ,98 0 –51 ,6 6 7 (3 ,90 0 - 4,8 0 0 ) -1% 0%

HA DA PSA R 49,51 4 – 6 4,5 8 4 (4,6 0 0 - 6 ,0 0 0 ) -3 % 0%

AU N DH 8 3 ,95 9–1 0 2,25 8 (7,8 0 0 - 9,5 0 0 ) -2% 0%

BA N E R 6 0 ,278 – 8 6 ,1 1 2 (5 ,6 0 0 - 8 ,0 0 0 ) -2% -1%


W EST
HI N J EWA DI 51 ,6 6 7– 6 3 ,5 0 8 (4,8 0 0 - 5 ,90 0 ) -3 % -1%

WA KA D 5 8 ,1 26 – 6 6 ,73 7 (5 ,40 0 - 6 ,20 0 ) -1% 0%

MOS HI 3 9,8 27– 46 ,28 5 (3 ,70 0 - 4,3 0 0 ) -3 % 0%

NORT H C HI K HA L I 3 7,6 74 – 4 4,1 3 2 (3 ,5 0 0 - 4,1 0 0 ) -3 % 0%

C HA KA N 3 2,292– 3 6 ,5 98 (3 ,0 0 0 - 3 ,40 0 ) -3 % 0%

A M B EGAON 47,3 6 2–5 9,20 2 (4,40 0 - 5 ,5 0 0 ) -2% -1%

SOUT H U N DR I 41 ,98 0 –51 ,6 6 7 (3 ,90 0 - 4,8 0 0 ) -1% 0%

KON DHWA 49,51 4 – 6 1 ,3 5 5 (4,6 0 0 - 5 ,70 0 ) -2% 0%

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch

MIC RO -M ARKE T H E ALTH

U NSO LD INVENTO RY Q UART ERS-TO -SE LL


MICR O -M A R K ET
( H O U SING U NITS) ( YOY CH ANGE) ( QTS)

CENT R AL 2,297(8 0 %) 1 5 .3

EAST 1 4742 (1 2%) 7.4

W EST 1 7,0 0 4 (9%) 6.4

NORT H 9,51 2 (-4%) 7.0

SOUT H 7,3 1 7 (-4%) 3 .9

P UNE CI TY 5 0 ,1 45 (7%) 6 .3

S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch


9 8 I N DI A REAL ESTATE PU NE

OFF I C E M ARK ET
P UNE M ARKE T S U M M ARY
2 02 1 H 2 2 02 1 Q4 2021
PAR A M ET E R 2021 H 2 2 02 1 Q 4 2 02 1
CH ANGE ( YOY) CH ANGE ( YOY) CHANGE (QOQ)
Co mpl et i o n s
0.6 7 (7.2) 921 % 0 .40 (4.3 ) 75 4% 0 .1 7 (1 .9) -25%
mn sq m ( mn s q f t )
Transa ct io n s
0 .3 6 (3 .8 ) 3% 0 .25 (2.7) 58% 0 .1 5 (1 .7) 72%
mn sq m ( mn s q f t )
Averag e t ra n sa cte d re n t i n I N R /s q m /m o nt h
72 1 .1 8 ( 6 7) - 4% - - - 3%
(INR/s q f t/mo n t h ) ( E n d of peri o d)
Note : 1 s q uare metre (sq m) = 10 .76 4 squa re fe et ( s q f t ) | 2 . In c a s e of Co mp let io n s a n d Tra n sa ct io n s, “- “ for Ch a n ge d e n otes b a se p e r i od or cu r re n t p e r i od a s ze ro.
S o u rce: Kn ight Frank R esearch

Stock 2021
mn sq m (mn sq ft) Change (YoY) Vacancy % 2021

7.5(80.9) 10% 10.5%


457 Basis points increase
9 9 I NDI A REAL ESTATE PU NE

P U NE O FFI C E M A RKET ACTIVITY COMPLETIONS TRANSACTIONS

0.45

0.40
0.39
0.40

0.36

0.35
0.35
0.31

0.30

0.27

0.25
0.25
Mn sq m

0.25

0.25

0.25 0.24
0.22
0.20

0.19
0.19

0.20
0.17

0.16
0.16

0.16
0.14
0.14

0.15
0.12
0.11

0.11

0.11

0.10
0.05
0.03

0.05
0.02

0.00
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Kn i g h t Frank R esearch
1 0 0 I N DI A REAL ESTATE PU NE

• Despite the COVID-19 sting in 2020, Pune office market has grown
robustly in 2021 on account of the pent-up demand. We have seen PUNE OFFI CE MARKET VACANCY
recovery in the office market with some hindrances in Q2 2021 due
16%
to the severity of the second wave of the pandemic. The market has

1 5%
subsequently rebounded strongly with strong leasing and supply
infusion in H2 2021. 14%

• The Pune office market reported a 58% YoY growth in property

11%
leasing in H2 2021. A total volume of 3.8 mn sq ft of office space 12%
was transacted in 2021, of which 70% was transacted in H2 2021.

1 0%
Compared to H2 2020, the average deal size increased by 11% YoY

9%
10%

9%
to 5452 sq m in H2 2021.

8%
• Pune’s office market expanded by 7.2 mn sq ft with new

8%
8%
completions in 2021, of which 60% was added in H2 2021. A

6%
7%
massive 754% YoY growth in new construction is noted during H2

6%
6%

5%
2021. The growth in new construction also comes from a low base 6%

5%
of 2020, when major under-construction activities were stalled.

4%
• The vacancy level had stayed in single digit since 2016 due to 4%
limited supply. However, H2 2021 records a vacancy of 10% which
is primarily due the substantially augmented supply in the same
2%
period. Developers will be mindful going forward and the focus will
remain on active leasing. Rental values fell by 4% YoY during Q4
2021, although a marginal rent increase of 3% QoQ was observed 0%
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
in the last quarter.
S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch
• SBD West clocked a share of just 7% in H2 2021 whereas it had
witnessed the most transaction in H1 2020 clocking a share
of 44%. This dip can be attributed to deferred expansion by IT
occupiers. On the other hand, CBD & off CBD and PBD West, which
had a low share contribution in H2 2020, noted strong transaction
volumes accounting for 25% and 21% share respectively.

• Despite recording limited transaction in operator deals, co-working


spaces saw a huge seat take up in H2 2021. Co-working operator BUSI NESS DI ST RI CT CLASSI FI CAT I ON
deals accounted for a share of 18% of the total transacted volume
BU SINESS DIST RICT M ICRO M ARKETS
in H2 2021 as against 38% in H2 2020. However, co-working
Bund Garden Road, S B Road, Camp,
spaces remained a priority in H2 2021 with seat take-up of over
CBD and off-CBD Deccan, University Road, Shankar
13000 seats. Cumulatively, 2021 noted a seat take up of over 19000
Sheth Road
seats.
Kalyani Nagar, Yerwada, Nagar Road,
• BFSI sector emerged as the highest performer in leasing activity, SBD East
Hadapsar
with a share of 35% against a share of 10% in H2 2020. This rise
can be attributed to 2 sizeable deals inked in H2 2021. The share
PBD East Kharadi, Phursungi
of Other Services shrank to 12% in H2 2021 from 23% in H1 2020.
Other Services includes sectors like consultancy, engineering, Wakdewadi, Aundh, Baner, Kothrud,
SBD West
service and energy. Balewadi

PBD West Hinjewadi, Bavdhan, Wakad

S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch


10 1 I NDI A REAL ESTATE PU NE

B U S IN ES S D I ST RI CT WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2020 AND H2 2021

001 %1 % 07 % 01% 07 %
05 %
25%
3300%% M ICRO -M ARKET H 2 2020 H2 2021

1 7%  CB D & O f f-CB D 01% 25%


44%  PB D East 30% 25%
H2 2 02 0 H2 2021
 PB D West 03% 21%
70 %  SB D East 22% 17%
03%
 SB D North 00% 05%
25%
92
2 1%%  SB D West 4 4% 07%
22%

S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch

SE CTO R-W I S E T RAN SACTIONS SPLIT IN H2 2 02 0 A ND H2 2021 AVERAGE DEAL SI ZE T REND Averag e d eal s i ze i n s q m

H 2 2 02 0 H2 2 02 1 6,000

10% 35 %
5,000

12 % 16% 4,000

17% 19% 3,000

38% 18% 2,000

1,000
2 3% 12%

0
H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
S o u rc e : Knight Frank R esearch
N ote : B FS I includes B FS I support services S ou rce: Kn i gh t Fra n k Rese a rch

B US IN ES S D I ST RI CT- WISE RE NTAL M OVE M E NT


R E N TA L VALU E RANGE IN H 2 2 02 1 IN 12-M O NT H 6-MONTH
I N R / S Q M / M O NT H ( INR/ SQ FT/ M O NT H ) CH ANGE CHANGE
CBD & O f f- CBD 8 0 7-1 ,23 8 (75 -1 1 5 ) 0% 4%

SB D Ea st 6 46 -1 ,23 8 (6 0 -1 1 5 ) 0% 0%

SB D West 6 46 -1 ,0 23 (6 0 -95 ) -7% 5%

P BD Ea st 6 46 -1 ,0 23 (6 0 -95 ) -7% 2%

P BD West 48 4 -6 70 (45 -6 5 ) -8 % 0%
S o u rc e : Kn ight Frank R esearch
10 2 I N DI A REAL ESTATE

ABOUT
Knight Frank India

Mumbai Ahmedabad Bengaluru Chennai Hyderabad Kolkata NCR Pune

Our mission L o c a l ly e x p e r t, g l o b a l ly c o n n e c t e d

At Knight Frank we Our teams are locally expert, yet globally


‘Connect people & property, perfectly’. IN INDIA connected. Our multi-market clients are managed
Our Globally competent teams facilitate centrally from our various hubs across the world.
this for our business clients, offering a broad since 1995 We can help you gain access and entry to new
menu of consulting and transactional services. markets, create a working environment which
The integration of these services enable us enhances productivity, attracts and retains talent,
to understand the critical success factors whilst also managing your portfolio
costs effectively.

for your business.

c o n tac t

8 1,400+ Knight Frank India


Headquarters
Offices people Paville House, Near Twin Towers
Off Veer Savarkar Marg
Prabhadevi
Mumbai 400 025
1 0 3 I NDI A REAL ESTATE

KEY CONTACTS

A D V I S O R Y, R E T A I L & H O S P I T A L I T Y
Gulam Zia
S e n i o r E x e c u t i v e D i r e c t o r - R e s e a r c h , A d v i s o r y,
Infrastructure & Valuation - Advisory Services
gulam.zia@in.knightfrank.com

Rajeev Vijay
Executive Director - Government & Infrastructure Advisory
Advisory Services
r ajeev.vijay@in.k night f r ank .com

Saurabh Mehrotra
Executive Director - Valuation & Advisory
Advisory Services
saurabh.mehrotra@in.knightfrank.com
-----------------------------------------

CA PI TA L M A RK E T S
Sharad Agrawal
Executive Director - Capital Markets AHMEDABAD
sharad.agrawal@in.knightfrank.com Balbirsingh Khalsa
----------------------------------------- Branch Director
balbirsingh.khalsa@in.knightfrank.com
FACILITIES & ASSET MANAGEMENT SERVICES -----------------------------------------
Sathish Rajendren
REPORT AUTHORS Executive Director - Facilities & Asset Management Services BENGALURU
sathish.rajendren@in.knightfrank.com Shantanu Mazumder
Rajani Sinha ----------------------------------------- Executive Director - Bengaluru
shantanu.mazumder@in.knightfrank.com
Chief Economist & National Director - Research
INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS SERVICES -----------------------------------------
rajani.sinha@in.knightfrank.com
Balbirsingh Khalsa
Vive k Rathi Executive Director - Industrial & Logistics CHENNAI
balbirsingh.khalsa@in.knightfrank.com Srinivas Ankipatti
Dire cto r - Res e a rc h
S e n i o r D i r e c t o r - Ta m i l N a d u & K e r a l a
vive k.rat h i@in .kn ig h tf ra n k.c o m
P i n k e s h Te c k w a n i srinivas.ankipatti@in.knightfrank.com
Ya s hwin Ba nge ra -----------------------------------------
National Director - Industrial & Logistics
Vic e P res id e n t - Res e a rc h
pinkesh.teckwanii@in.knightfrank.com
ya s hw in .b a n g e ra @in .kn ig h tf ra n k.c o m
----------------------------------------- HYDERABAD
Divya Aga rwa l Samson Arthur
Vic e P res id e n t - Res e a rc h Senior Branch Director
OCCUPIER SERVICES
d ivya .a g a rwa l@in .kn ig h tf ra n k.c o m samson.arthur@in.knightfrank.com
Viral Desai
Ga ura s hi Sawa nt E x e c u t i v e D i r e c t o r - Tr a n s a c t i o n s - O c c u p i e r S e r v i c e s -----------------------------------------
Co n s u lta n t - Res e a rc h viral.desai@in.knightfrank.com
g a u ra s h i.sawa n t @in .kn ig h tf ra n k.c o m ----------------------------------------- KOL K ATA
Swapan Dutta
--------------------------------------
PROJECT MANAGEMENT Senior Branch Director
Deben Moza swapan.dutta@in.knightfrank.com
ARTIST Executive Director - Head of Project Management Services -----------------------------------------
deben.moza@in.knightfrank.com
Sa njay Ja dhav ----------------------------------------- NCR
sa n 6556@re d if f ma il.c o m Mudassir Zaidi
-------------------------------------- RESEARCH Executive Director - North
Rajani Sinha m u d a s s i r. z a i d i @ i n . k n i g h t f r a n k . c o m

GRAPHICS & DESIGN Chief Economist & National Director - Research -----------------------------------------
rajani.sinha@in.knightfrank.com
PUNE
Ma he ndra Dha nawa de Vivek Rathi Paramvir Singh Paul
Ma n a g e r - Gra p h ics & Des ig n Director - Research Branch Director
ma h e n d ra .d h a n awa d e @in .kn ig h tf ra n k.c o m vivek.rathi@in.knightfrank.com paramvirsingh.paul@in.knightfrank.com
-------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------- -----------------------------------------
We like questions, if you’ve got one about our research, or would like some
RENTAL REAL ESTATE IN INDIA

property advice, we would love to hear from you.


2021: A NEW ERA FOR
INDIA REAL ESTATE

SENTIMENT INDEX
JAN-JUN 2021

CO-WORKING
REAL ESTATE

RESEARCH
RAJANI SINHA
Chief Economist & National Director - Research
#WORK FROM HYDERABAD

rajani.sinha@in.knightfrank.com
MARKET REPORT 2021
INDIA WAREHOUSING

WORK FROM HOME

C O R P O R AT E - M A R K E T I N G & P U B L I C R E L AT I O N S
INVESTMENTS IN

P I YA L I D A S G U P TA
REAL ESTATE

Director - Corporate - Marketing & Public Relations


piyali.dasgupta@in.knightfrank.com

The statements, information, data and opinions expressed or provided herein are provided on “as is, where is” basis and concerned parties
Knight Frank Research Reports clients are required to carry out their own due diligence as may be required before signing any binding document. Knight Frank (India)
are available to download at Private Limited (KFIPL) makes no warranties, expressed or implied, and hereby disclaims and negates all other warranties, including without
limitation, implied warranties or conditions of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or non-infringement of intellectual property
knightfrank.com/research or other violation of rights including any third party rights. Further, KFIPL does not warrant or make any representations concerning the
accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the statements, information and opinions as specified herein. The statements, information
and opinions expressed or provided in this presentation / document by KFIPL are intended to be a guide with respect to the purpose for
which they are intended, but in no way shall serve as a guide with regards to validating title, due diligence (technical and financial), or any
other areas specifically not included in the presentation. Neither KFIPL nor any of its personnel involved accept any contractual, tortuous or
other form of liability for any consequences, loss or damages which may arise as a result of any person acting upon or using the statements,
information, data or opinions in the publication, in part or full. The information herein shall be strictly confidential to the addressee, and is
not to be the subject of communication or reproduction wholly or in part. The document / presentation is based on our understanding of the
requirement, applicable current real estate market conditions and the regulatory environment that currently exists. Please note: Any change
in any one of the parameter stated above could impact the information in the document/presentation. In case of any dispute, KFIPL shall
have the right to clarify.

You might also like