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2/9/23, 6:14 PM Case 6 (forster's market).

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26642235_case_6_sulotions__2.xlsx

case 6 (forster's market).

CaseStudy
NOTE: Enter Inputs in Yellow-Shaded Cells.
Revenue per unit of output (first 14,400 lbs): $7.00
Revenue per unit of output (after 14,400 lbs): $2.90
Variable Cost
Max.
Capacity Option Fixed Cost Per Unit of
Output
Output
No Roaster $0.00 $3.00 14,400
Buy Roaster $35,000.00 $1.60 40,000
Demand
Demand Scenario Level Probability
(pounds)
Low 18,000 33%
Medium 25,000 33%
High 35,000 33%
Total: 100%
*** Break-Even and Indifference Points ***
Indifference
Break-Even Point
Point
No Roaster 0 ---
Buy Roaster 6,482 25,000
*** Results for Different Capacity/Demand Combinations ***
Expected
Low Medium High
Value
No Roaster $57,600.00 $57,600.00 $57,600.00 $57,600.00
Buy Roaster $47,440.00 $56,540.00 $69,540.00 $57,840.00
Question 1.)
The two capacity options that Robbie needs to consider are buying vs. not buying a coffee roaster. The
costs of not buying a roaster are $0.00 (Fixed) and $3.00 (Variable) while the costs of buying a roaster are
$35,000 (Fixed) and $1.60 (Variable). The indifference point for the two options is 25,000 pounds of coffee.
Since the indifference point is higher than the 14,400 that Robbie will use internally, the implication is that
he will need to sell coffee externally if he buys the roaster.

Demand Level Probability Profit


18,000 33% $47,440
Expected
Demand Level Probability
Value
25,000 33% $56,540
Yes
Demand Level Probability Profit
EV = 35,000 33% $69,540
$57,840
Demand
No Probability Profit
Level
25,000 100% $57,600
EV =
$57,600
Question 2.)
The demand scenarios do not make a difference in the expected profit if Forster's does not invest in the
roaster since all of the demand scenarios are greater than the 14,400 maximum that Forster's will sell in-
house.
Question 3.)
The decision tree reflects the total expected values for each of the two capacity options.
Question 4.)

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2/9/23, 6:14 PM Case 6 (forster's market). | Marketing homework help
The worst possible financial outcome for Forster's is that they decide to invest in the roaster and the
demand is low. The best possible financial outcome is if they invest in the roaster and the demand is high.
Other factors that Robbie should consider are that the difference between the expected value of buying vs.
not buying the roaster are only $240 for the year and buying a roaster ties up $35,000 of capital. Also, if
selling coffee is the core competency of the company, then roasting coffee would be a significant strategic
realignment.

Buy Roaster?

Demand Outcome

Demand Outcome

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