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NURSING RESEARCH,

STEP BY STEP By Courtney Keeler, PhD, and Alexa Colgrove Curtis, PhD, MPH, FNP, PMHNP
A series coordinated by the Heilbrunn Family Center for Research Nursing at Rockefeller University

Case–Control Studies
Appropriate uses of and approaches to this form of
observational design.

Editor’s note: This is the eighth article in a series on clinical research by nurses. The series is designed to
give nurses the knowledge and skills they need to participate in research, step by step. Each column will
present the concepts that underpin evidence-based practice—from research design to data interpreta-
tion. The articles will be accompanied by a podcast offering more insight and context from the authors. To
see all the articles in the series, go to https://links.lww.com/AJN/A204.

L
ike cohort studies, case–control studies con- ies begin with an exposure and track subsequent
nect a health outcome with a specific expo- outcome manifestations.1, 2 This process can be
sure, allowing researchers to compare the either prospective (tracking future outcome mani-
association between the two. Here, we compare festations) or retrospective (reflecting on past expe-
cohort and case–control studies, discuss the selec- rience). Unlike cohort studies, case–control studies
tion of cases and controls, describe how one might begin with a specific disease or other health out-
evaluate whether an association exists between come and retrospectively track exposure. (Figure 1
them, and outline potential sources of bias. We details this distinction in study design.) More specif-
end by discussing when a case–control study might ically, case–control studies begin with two groups:
be appropriate. those with a specific disease or health outcome
(cases) and those without the specific disease or
COHORT VS. CASE–CONTROL STUDIES health outcome (controls). Next, researchers com-
Both case–control and cohort studies compare a pare exposure between those with and those with-
given exposure with a specific health outcome. Like out the disease or health outcome. In summary, in a
cohort studies, case–control studies are observa- cohort study one compares rates of disease, in a
tional, meaning that exposure is “observed” rather case–control study one compares rates of exposure.
than assigned by the researcher. For instance, sup- Let’s consider an example. As part of a larger
pose a researcher is interested in exploring the rela- cohort study, D’Souza and colleagues used a case–
tionship between smoking status and heart disease. control framework to investigate the association
In an observational study, the researcher would between human papillomavirus (HPV) and the patho-
“observe” smoking status within a sample, rather genesis of oropharyngeal squamous-cell carcinoma.3
than assign participants to smoking and nonsmok- The investigators recruited 300 participants: 100
ing groups. Indeed, this example highlights the patients with a newly confirmed diagnosis of oropha-
necessity of an observational study design in some ryngeal squamous-cell carcinoma and 200 controls.
contexts, since a researcher cannot ethically assign The control group met four important criteria; con-
subjects to dangerous exposure groups like smoking. trols had no history of cancer (1) and were treated for
As with all observational study designs, causal- benign conditions (2) in the same clinic as the cases (3)
ity is difficult to establish in case–control and cohort during the same time frame (4). The research team
studies. Instead, in interpreting study findings, the then assessed the presence of HPV in each group, col-
researcher assesses whether an association exists lecting specimens from the cases before treatment and
between an exposure and a given health outcome. The from the controls at enrollment.3
researcher cannot determine cause and effect because,
unlike in an experimental study such as a randomized CASE–CONTROL STUDIES
controlled trial, exposure is not randomly assigned, Identifying cases. Case–control studies begin
and subsequent health outcomes are not tracked. with the identification of cases. To identify cases,
In determining whether any association exists researchers need to create a working definition of
between an exposure and an outcome, cohort stud- the disease or health outcome of interest. They can

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NURSING RESEARCH,
STEP BY STEP

Figure 1. Comparison of Cohort and Case–Control Study Designs

Design of a Cohort Study Design of a Case–Control Study

POPULATION POPULATION

NOT NO
EXPOSED EXPOSED DISEASE
DISEASE

DISEASE DISEASE COMPARE EXPOSED EXPOSED COMPARE


RATES OF RATES OF
NO NO DISEASE NOT NOT EXPOSURE
DISEASE DISEASE EXPOSED EXPOSED

rely on specific diagnostic criteria or use validated who manifest target outcomes (cases). In case–
survey instruments to assess the presence of disease control studies, controls must meet two important
or other health outcome. Before the study begins requirements. First, controls must be drawn from
(or a priori), researchers need to identify who will the same “at-risk” target population as cases, ensur-
and will not be included in the study sample, estab- ing that both cases and controls are exposed to sim-
lishing inclusion and exclusion criteria. Importantly, ilar observable and unobservable factors that influ-
researchers will need to ensure that cases are drawn ence the association of interest.5 Second, exposure
from the target population of interest, so the study status must not influence their selection. Further,
findings are generalizable to this group. that exposure should ideally be measured with com-
For instance, a researcher may be interested in parable precision across case and control groups.
understanding what exposures predisposed clini- Consider a researcher exploring the relationship
cal nurses toward severe cases of COVID-19 during between cigarette smoking and stroke among women
the pandemic, such as length of a typical shift; type ages 18 and older. The researcher should ensure that
of personal protective equipment used; clinical unit; both cases (those who experienced a stroke) and con-
or underlying health characteristics such as age, body trols (those who did not experience a stroke) were
mass index, or presence of pulmonary disease. Like drawn from the same at-risk population. Addition-
many health outcomes, COVID-19 severity could ally, in assessing smoking behaviors, the researcher
be measured in several ways, including by hospital- should gauge exposure with equal accuracy. Admit-
ization, duration of disease, and oxygen utilization, tedly, in this example, it would be difficult to collect
among other factors. Suppose the researcher defines equally accurate information from cases and controls
severe cases of COVID-19 as those requiring hospital- if case patients were unable to self-report smoking
ization with use of oxygen. With this case definition status. In this case, because the researcher might need
in mind, the researcher can select participants who to rely on secondary accounts from a partner, rela-
were hospitalized with COVID-19 over a fixed period tive, friend, or if available, medical records, the sec-
(such as March 1 through December 31, 2020). ond criterion would be hard to meet.
In a related example, Cai and colleagues investi- Identifying populations from which to draw con-
gated the association between frontline medical trols. A researcher has several options when select-
work in China during the pandemic and mental ing controls: population-based controls and hospi-
health outcomes.4 Medical workers were defined as tal- or clinic-based controls.1, 2 In some cases,
“physicians, nurses, and other healthcare workers researchers utilize both options (that is, they have
[such as] medical technicians, respiratory therapists, two control populations).
or emergency room attendants.” Cases were identi- Researchers seek to minimize the influence of con-
fied based on responses to a series of questionnaires founders by optimizing the matching of cases with
sent to individuals working in hospitals in China controls. When selecting controls, the researcher tries
between February 11 and 26, 2020, who met the to mirror cases in as many observable dimensions as
above definition of a “medical worker.” possible (for example, age, weight, or gender). One
Identifying controls. Criteria for selecting con- way to accomplish this is through individual or fre-
trols. Controls provide a comparison with those quency matching with population- and clinical-based

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controls. In individual matching, each case subject effect or the statistical significance of the relation-
is matched with a control subject with similar char- ship. Researchers can calculate the disease odds
acteristics. In frequency matching, the proportion of ratio (defined as the odds of being a case among
potential confounding factors is matched within each the exposed divided by the odds of being a case
comparison group. among the unexposed) or the exposure odds ratio
Population-based controls are selected from the (defined as the odds of being exposed among the
target population. Researchers can use school ros- cases divided by the odds of being exposed among
ters, selective service lists, random digit dialing, voter the controls).1 While the disease odds ratio and the
registration lists, or similar resources for recruiting. exposure odds ratio are conceptually distinct, they
While in theory all members of this population have are mathematically equivalent; both can be calcu-
an equal probability of being selected for the sample, lated as follows1:
this outcome is unlikely in practice. Although this
scheme works best with a well-defined target popula- Odds ratio = Number of exposed cases × Number of unexposed controls
tion, even then, recruiting population-based controls        Number of unexposed cases × Number of exposed controls
can be difficult and time consuming.1
Suppose a researcher is exploring the relationship Odds ratios less than 1 indicate a negative associ-
between obesity and severe pneumonia (defined as ation between exposure and a given health outcome,
pneumonia requiring hospitalization). The research- odds ratios equal to 1 suggest no association, and odds
ers might use random digit dialing within the hos- ratios greater than 1 suggest a positive association.
pital catchment area, inquiring about individuals’ Consider Table 1, which provides data relating
weight, height, and previous experience with pneu- to a hypothetical disease and exposure. Looking at
monia. If the literature suggests that age may be a the table, we can state the following:
confounding factor in the association of obesity and • number of exposed cases = 60
pneumonia, cases and controls could be matched • number of unexposed controls = 50
by age or age range through individual or frequency • number of unexposed cases = 40
matching. The researcher could also address con- • number of exposed controls = 50
founding by limiting the sample to those within a Using the above equation, we can calculate the
narrow age range, say ages 50 to 65. odds ratio as follows:
Hospital- or clinic-based controls represent both
an alternative and a complement to population- Odds ratio = (60 × 50) / (40 × 50)
based controls. Here, researchers can select controls = 3,000 / 2,000
from the hospital or clinic, typically patients admit- = 1.5
ted or being treated for diseases or health outcomes
other than the one of interest in the study2; the ill- Given that the odds ratio is greater than 1, the
ness of hospital- or clinic-based controls should also data in this example indicate that disease and expo-
be unrelated to the exposure explored in the study. sure are positively associated. Suppose these data
While hospital- and clinic-based controls are often were collected during the COVID-19 pandemic.
less costly than population-based controls, they Further suppose that the health outcome explored
are also less generalizable to the target population was “depression” as assessed using the 10-item Kes-
and far from random.1 Regarding our example of sler Psychological Distress Scale and exposure was
the relationship between obesity and severe pneu- defined as “frontline medical work.” In interpreting
monia, ideally control patients should be admitted the odds ratio of 1.5, one might infer that frontline
with conditions that are independent of exposure— medical work during the pandemic was associated
in this case, obesity. with increased risk of depression.
Is the health outcome of interest related to
exposure? As Gordis notes, “We anticipate that if
the exposure . . . is in fact related to the disease . . . , Table 1. Two-by-Two Table of Hypothetical Disease and Exposure
the prevalence of history of exposure among the Status
cases . . . will be greater than that among the con-
Disease No Disease
trols.”2 Similarly, if a negative association exists,
(Cases) (Controls) Total
one might expect the opposite to be true—namely,
that the incidence of exposure will be lower among Exposed 60 50 110
the cases than the controls. Beyond this compar- Unexposed 40 50 90
ison of raw incidence values, the researcher will
likely want to address the relative magnitude of the Total 100 100 200

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NURSING RESEARCH,
STEP BY STEP

While the odds ratio provides some indication Broader consideration of confounders. Con-
of the relative magnitude of the effect, the above founding variables distort the observed association
calculation provides no information on statistical sig- between the exposure and the outcome of inter-
nificance. More sophisticated statistical methodology est. To the extent possible, researchers should con-
should be considered in assessing whether an asso- trol for all known confounders. For instance, in
ciation exists (however, such approaches are beyond the example of placental abruption, suppose the
the scope of this article). Researchers should consult researchers are exploring the relationship between
biostatisticians or other experts in developing their that event and workplace stress. They believe that
evaluation strategy. For instance, in the above exam- age is correlated with both workplace stress and the
ple, the researcher should interpret the odds ratio likelihood of placental abruption. To the extent that
with caution and not assume a positive association age remains unaddressed in the study design, it will
between frontline medical work during the pandemic confound (or distort) the researchers’ findings. One
and increased risk of depression without incorporat- solution might be for the researchers to stratify the
ing additional controls and statistical analysis. study sample into age groups, such as less than 35
Sources of bias. In designing a study, researchers and 35 and older (by definition, a “geriatric preg-
want to ensure the external and internal validity of nancy” occurs among women 35 and older). More
their work. Bias limits the validity of study results. broadly, the matching process will help control for
Selection bias limits the external validity of the confounding variables, as discussed above.
study by limiting the researcher’s ability to general-
ize findings to the target population of interest. WHEN IS A CASE–CONTROL STUDY APPROPRIATE?
Selection bias occurs when the population of Case–control studies allow researchers to investi-
interest is systematically different from the target gate a range of exposures and can be a useful start-
population.6 If the study participants are not rep- ing point in analyzing an association between expo-
resentative of the target population, then research- sure and health outcomes or when limited evidence
ers will not be able to generalize their findings back on the association is available. For instance, Park
to the target population. Returning to the exam- and colleagues argued that the limited literature
ple of severe pneumonia and obesity, suppose the regarding medication use and falls among nursing
researcher selected cases and controls from adults home residents in Japan made it important to con-
admitted to the ICU. Further suppose that both duct their case–control study on the topic.7 While
cases and controls had a disproportionately higher their findings may not be generalizable to all nurs-
number of comorbidities relative to the general adult ing home residents, they provided initial evidence
population. As a result, the researcher might find it linking medication use and patient falls in Japan.
difficult to generalize the findings of an association Case–control studies are also useful when a health
between severe pneumonia and obesity to a popula- event is rare, a disease has a long latent period, or a
tion of adults without numerous comorbidities. population is difficult to follow.1 For example, given
Information bias poses a simple question: are the relative rarity of the events under investigation,
you measuring what you think you are measur- Wiebe used a case–control study design to explore
ing? Information bias results from the systematic whether having a gun in the home was associated
mismeasurement or misreporting of data6 and its with the incidence of suicide and homicide.8 Wiebe
presence can limit the internal validity of the study. concluded that having a gun in the home was indeed
While information bias can take many forms, its a risk factor for both outcomes.
major sources in case–control studies concern lim- Finally, compared with other study designs,
itations in recall (that is, participants may not case–control studies are relatively inexpensive, in
remember or may misremember an event).2 In the terms of both finances and time. For Hansen and
extreme, recall/rumination bias—systematic misre- Stevens, a case–control study offered a convenient
porting or differences in other recollections within opportunity to explore the association of nursing
or across groups—may be present. Discrepan- night shift work and the incidence of breast can-
cies in recall across groups is referred to as differ- cer within the context of an ongoing cohort study
ential recall.2 Suppose a research team is interested (this is referred to as a nested case–control study).9
in exploring exposures related to placental abrup- Table 2 provides an expanded discussion of these
tion. Women who have experienced a placental study examples.7-10
abruption (cases) are far more likely to be aware At the opposite end of the spectrum, Lewallen
of potential exposures that may have triggered this and Courtright catalog some of the disadvantages
adverse health event than women who had a rela- of case–control study designs, including the retro-
tively standard pregnancy (controls). spective nature of the data, the potential for bias,

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Table 2. Case–Control Study Examples

Article Sample and Time Frame Cases Controls Exposure


Hansen, This case–control study was Primary case of breast The authors used an Shift work
Stevens (2012)9 part of a larger cohort study of cancer as identified by incidence density
explored the nurses (a nested case–control the national Danish approach “to select The authors focus on
association study). Cancer Registry randomly four live any lifetime shift work
between shift breast cancer–free (≥ 1 year)
work and The data were drawn from controls per case
breast cancer interviews with “91,140 female from the restricted
risk among members of the Danish Nurses cohort, who were
Danish nurses. Association, covering over matched on year of
95% of nurses in Denmark.” birth . . . and inter-
viewed in the same
The study sample was lim- period as the cases.”
ited to those women “who
were alive on 1st July 2001, Richardson (2004)10
free of breast cancer, and born outlines the inci-
between 1933 and 1970.” dence density
The sample was therefore method in detail.
younger than 70 when the
interviews took place between
March 2002 and July 2005.
Park and col- The study sample was drawn Residents who experi- Age-, sex-, and Medication use
leagues (2019)7 from the records of 58 Japa- enced a fall. The authors facility-matched
explored the nese nursing homes. Only resi- defined a fall as “uninten- control group The authors defined
association dents ages 65+ were included tionally coming to rest medication use as fol-
between medi- in the study. Records were on the ground, floor, or lows: “usage periods were
cation use and drawn from January 1 to other lower level other calculated from the dis-
falls among December 31, 2012. than as a consequence pensing date, and study
Japanese nurs- of sudden onset of paral- participants were users of
ing home resi- ysis, epileptic seizure, or a medication when the
dents. overwhelming external index date fell within a
force.” dispensing episode.”
Wiebe (2003)8 Data were drawn from sev- Cases were drawn from Controls were drawn Presence of firearms in
explored the eral large, nationally repre- the 1993 National Mor- from the 1994 the home
association sentative U.S. secondary data tality Followback Survey National Health Inter-
between homi- sources. The study sample (NMFS), which drew on a view Survey (NHIS), Specifically, the 1993
cide, suicide, included adults ages 18+. The sample of 22,000+ death which included infor- NMFS asks: “At any time
and firearms in author conducted two case– certificates from 1993 mation on firearm during the last year
the home. control analyses, one relating (via the Current Mortalityownership. “Control of life, were there any
to homicide and one relating Sample). subjects were drawn firearms kept in or
to suicide. randomly without around [the decedent’s]
Using these data, the replacement from the home? Include those
author identified cases NHIS data and fre- kept in a garage, outdoor
based on the cause of quency matched to storage area, truck or car.”
death listed on the death the case subjects by
certificate (homicide in sex, race . . . , and age The 1994 NHIS asks: “Are
the first case–control group.” any firearms now kept in
study and suicide in the or around your home?
second). Include those kept in a
garage, outdoor storage
area, truck or car.”

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NURSING RESEARCH,
STEP BY STEP

the difficulty selecting strong controls, and potential REFERENCES


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MA: Jones and Bartlett Learning; 2020. p. 237-66.
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(COVID-19) outbreak in China: a case-control study.
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in nursing home residents in Japan. Aging Clin Exp Res
Courtney Keeler is an associate professor and Alexa Colgrove Curtis 2020;32(5):885-92.
is assistant dean of graduate nursing and director of the MPH–DNP 8. Wiebe DJ. Homicide and suicide risks associated with fire-
dual degree program, both at the University of San Francisco School arms in the home: a national case-control study. Ann Emerg
of Nursing and Health Professions. Contact author: Courtney Kee- Med 2003;41(6):771-82.
ler, ckeeler@usfca.edu. Bernadette Capili, PhD, NP-C, is the column 9. Hansen J, Stevens RG. Case-control study of shift-work and
coordinator: bcapili@rockefeller.edu. This manuscript was supported breast cancer risk in Danish nurses: impact of shift systems.
in part by grant No. UL1TR001866 from the National Institutes of Eur J Cancer 2012;48(11):1722-9.
Health’s National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences Clin- 10. Richardson DB. An incidence density sampling program for nested
ical and Translational Science Awards Program. The authors have case-control analyses. Occup Environ Med 2004;61(12):e59.
disclosed no potential conflicts of interest, financial or otherwise. A 11. Lewallen S, Courtright P. Epidemiology in practice: case-
podcast with the authors is available at www.ajnonline.com. control studies. Community Eye Health 1998;11(28):57-8.

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