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Executive Summary
1. Movements of monetary indicators
Growth of broad money Broad money (M2) recorded a 8.30 percent growth (y-o-y) at the end of October 2022 as
(M2) decelerated while compared with 10.75 percent growth at the end of the same month of the previous year
growth of credit to the
private sector accelerated in because of the negative growth of 13.46 percent in net foreign assets (NFA) of the banking
October 2022 than that of system. On the other hand, private sector credit growth surged to 13.91 percent (y-o-y) in
the same month of the
preceding year. October 2022 compared with 9.44 percent growth at the end of the same month of the
preceding year.
Reserve money growth was Reserve money registerd a 4.85 percent growth (y-o-y) at the end of October 2022
lower in October 2022 than
compared to 10.65 percent growth at the end of October 2021; due to a decrease of net
that of October 2021.
foreign asset (NFA) by 13.72 percent at the end of October 2022, while it had increased
by 11.23 percent at the end of the same month of the preceding year.
2. Financial sector prices
Weighted average call The weighted average call money rate in the inter-bank money market soared up to 5.80
money rate in the
inter-bank money market percent in November, 2022 from 4.88 percent in June 2022, indicating waning of excess
soared to 5.80 percent in reserves in the banking system.
November, 2022.
The spread between the weighted average interest rate on advances and deposits of all
Weighted average interest
rate spread of all banks and banks and NBFIs slightly narrowed to 3.02 percent and 1.59 percent respectively in
NBFIs narrowed in October
October 2022 from 3.03 percent and 1.63 percent of September 2022.
2022
3. Public finance
NBR tax revenue collection NBR tax revenue collection during July-September of FY23 increased by BDT 9100.94
augmented notably during crore or 15.68 percent to BDT 67124.45 crore against the collection of BDT 58023.51
July-September of FY23
crore during the corresponding period of FY22. However, this amount of collection during
July-September of FY22 was 18.14 percent of the target set for FY23 (Budget for FY23).
Banking sources have been Among the three sources (banking system, non-bank and foreign) of government deficit
the main component of financing, the largest share was from the banking sources during July-October of FY23.
Government deficit
financing during July- Domestic debt to GDP ratio narrowed to 16.05 percent in October of FY23 from 17.38
October of FY23 percent in June of FY22.
4. Inflation scenario and index of industrial production
Headline inflation rate The point-to-point headline inflation inched down to 8.85 percent in November 2022 from
(point to point) inched down 8.91 percent in October 2022 while twelve month average headline inflation was pulled up
in November 2022 while 12-
month average inflation to 7.48 percent in November 2022 from 7.23 percent in October 2022.
edged up
1
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
The average general index The general index of industrial production (medium & large scale manufacturing) rose to
of industrial production rose
significantly during July-
502.37 during July-August of FY23 with a 12.79 percent growth from the average index
August, 2022 of 445.39 during July-August of FY22.
Receipts of total foreign aid Total foreign aid receipts lowered by USD 657.44 million or 25.02 percent during July-
and net foreign aid decreased
October of FY23 to USD 1970.61 million compared to the level of July-October of FY22.
during July-October of FY23
Net foreign aid also lowered by USD 658.40 million or 31.69 percent during July-October
of FY23 compared to the period under review.
Deficit in current account balance widened to USD 4501 million during July-October,
Current account balance and
overall balance recorded a FY23 from USD 3834 million during July-October, FY22. In addition, overall balance
higher deficit during July-
October of FY23 recorded a deficit of USD 4872 million during July-October, FY23 against deficit of
USD 1339 which is USD 3533 million higher than the same period of previous year.
Note: The information furnished in the executive summary and the subsequent pages are provisional and subject to revision.
2
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
1. Money and credit developments
(BDT in crore)
October, July-October, July-October,
Particulars June, 2021 October, 2021R June, 2022R
2022P FY23 FY22
1 2 3 4 5 6=(5-4) 7=(3-2)
A. Net Foreign Assets of 382337.50 376864.70 364298.80 326134.40 -38164.40 -5472.80
the banking system (+28.59) (+11.85) (-4.72) (-13.46) (-568.27) (-79.53)
B. Net Domestic Assets 1178557.80 1217595.70 1343823.40 1400634.80 56811.40 39037.90
of the banking system (+9.49) (+10.41) (+14.02) (+15.03) (+96.20) (-19.19)
a) Domestic credit 1439899.00 1482105.40 1671749.00 1733085.90 61336.90 42206.40
(+10.11) (+10.94) (+16.10) (+16.93) (+92.52) (-50.80)
Public sector 251043.70 262568.60 320513.40 343937.50 23424.10 11524.90
(+19.34) (+18.45) (+27.67) (+30.99) (+76.70) (-74.26)
Government (net) 221025.90 230981.50 283314.50 305145.30 21830.80 9955.60
(+22.01) (+20.55) (+28.18) (+32.11) (+46.65) (-75.16)
Other Public 30017.80 31587.10 37198.90 38792.20 1593.30 1569.30
(+2.75) (+5.10) (+23.92) (+22.81) (+576.80) (-34.71)
Private sector 1188855.30 1219536.80 1351235.60 1389148.40 37912.80 30681.50
(+8.35) (+9.44) (+13.66) (+13.91) (+103.07) (+25.60)
b) Other items (net) -261341.20 -264509.70 -327925.60 -332451.10 -4525.50 -3168.50
Broad money (A+B) 1560895.30 1594460.40 1708122.20 1726769.20 18647.00 33565.10
(+13.62) (+10.75) (+9.43) (+8.30) (-85.56) (-55.26)
A. Currency outside 209517.70 205895.20 236448.90 236114.20 -334.70 -3622.50
banks (+9.06) (+9.49) (+12.85) (+14.68) (+35.58) (+113.48)
B. Deposits of the 1351377.60 1388565.20 1471673.30 1490655.00 18981.70 37187.60
banking system (+14.37) (+10.94) (+8.90) (+7.35) (-118.68) (-63.21)
a) Demand deposits 166311.00 159364.70 189455.80 178923.80 -10532.00 -6946.30
(+22.15) (+18.42) (+13.92) (+12.27) (-155.64) (-354.91)
b) Time deposits 1185066.60 1229200.50 1282217.50 1311731.20 29513.70 44133.90
(+13.35) (+10.04) (+8.20) (+6.71) (-48.28) (-51.85)
Source: Statistics Department, BB.
Note:- Figures in the parenthesis indicate percentage changes (y-o-y). P = provisional, R = Revised.
a. Broad Money b. Domestic Credit
Broad money (M2) recorded a 8.30 Domestic credit recorded an increase of 16.93 percent
percent growth (y-o-y) at the end of (y-o-y) at the end of October 2022.
October 2022 against the program growth Of the sources of domestic credit, the public sector credit
of 10.00 percent for the December 2022. and private sector credit grew by 30.99 percent and 13.91
Of the sources of broad money, net percent (y-o-y) respectively at the end of October 2022.
foreign assets (NFA) decreased sharply by Other way round, the flow of public sector credit and
13.46 percent while net domestic assets private sector credit during July-October, FY23 increased
(NDA) increased by 15.03 percent (y-o- by BDT 11899.20 crore and BDT 7231.30 crore
y). respectively compared to the same period of the previous
The negative growth of NFA was the only year.
contributing factor to the lower growth of As a result, the flow of domestic credit during July-
broad money in October 2022. October, FY23 recorded a increase of BDT 19130.50
crore.
Growth rates of broad Money Growth rate of domestic credit
20 Growth (year-on-year)
rates of broad Money 20 Growth rate of domestic credit
20 20 (year-on-year)
(year-on-year) (year-on-year)
15 15 16.93
15 10.75 15
10.75 16.93
Percent
Percent
10 10
10.94
Percent
Percent
10 10
8.30 10.94
5 5
5 8.30 FY22 FY23 5 FY22 FY23
0 FY22 FY23 0 FY22 FY23
Nov
May
Jul.Jul.
Mar
JunJun
SepSep
FebFeb
Aug.
OctOct
Dec
JanJan
Apr
0
Nov
May
Jul.Jul.
Mar
JunJun
SepSep
FebFeb
Dec
Aug.
OctOct
JanJan
Apr
0
Nov
May
Mar
Dec
Aug.
Apr
Nov
May
Mar
Dec
Aug.
Apr
3
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
2. Reserve money developments
(BDT in crore)
October, October, July-October, July-October,
Particulars June, 2021 R June, 2022R P
2021 2022 FY23 FY22
1 2 3 4 5 6=(5-4) 7=(3-2)
A. Net Foreign Assets of 366917.30 358585.90 347757.70 309398.30 -38359.40 -8331.40
Bangladesh Bank (+28.27) (+11.23) (-5.22) (-13.72) (-338.98) (-77.82)
B. Net Domestic Assets of -18845.50 -38627.75 -595.70 26078.30 26674.00 -19782.25
Bangladesh Bank (-1109.98) (-16.31) (+96.84) (+167.51) (+468.08) (+73.38)
Claims on Govt.(net) 17285.50 8393.70 54930.00 83478.70 28548.70 -8891.80
Claims on other public 3218.10 3298.40 3435.60 3631.70 196.10 80.30
(+26.11) (+13.27) (+6.76) (+10.10) (+84.52) (+2.85)
Claims on DMBs 18952.30 17495.80 16073.90 23915.70 7841.80 -1456.50
(+37.69) (+56.45) (-15.19) (+36.69) (+8785.93) (-48.84)
Other items (net) -58301.40 -67815.65 -75035.20 -84947.80 -9912.60 -9514.25
Reserve money (A+B) 348071.80 319958.15 347162.00 335476.60 -11685.40 -28113.65
(+22.35) (+10.65) (-0.26) (+4.85) (-250.80) (-80.09)
A. Currency in circulation 226888.30 225727.65 256182.70 258073.20 1890.50 -1160.65
(+9.03) (+10.76) (+12.91) (+14.33) (-56.10) (+15.74)
i) Currency outside banks 209517.70 205895.20 236448.90 236114.20 -334.70 -3622.50
(+9.06) (+9.49) (+12.85) (+14.68) (-68.18) (-7.12)
ii) Cash in tills 17370.60 19832.45 19733.80 21959.00 2225.20 2461.85
(+8.70) (+25.91) (+13.60) (+10.72) (+71.47) (+172.28)
B. Deposits held with BB 121183.50 94230.50 90979.30 77403.40 -13575.90 -26953.00
(+58.64) (+10.39) (-24.92) (-17.86) (+39.83) (-93.59)
Of which: Excess reserves
63854.22 34406.84 28302.58 12743.71 -15558.87 -29447.38
(+146.20) (+6.81) (-55.68) (-62.96) (+38.19) (-90.17)
Money multiplier 4.48 4.98 4.92 5.15 NA NA
Source: Statistics Department, BB.
Note:- Figures in the parenthesis indicate percentage changes (y-o-y). P = provisional, R = Revised.
10
(NFA) of Bangladesh Bank decreased by BDT 10.65
49187.60 crore or 13.72 percent (y-o-y) ,while net 5 4.85
Dec
Nov
Apr
Jul.
Jan
Mar
Jun
Sep
Feb
Aug.
Despite the decrease in NFA reserve money recorded an increase as NDA increased significantly.
Money multiplier rose to 5.15 at the end of October 2022 from 4.92 at the end of June 2022, resulting
from a decrease of reserve deposit ratio. However, the rise of currency deposit ratio had offset the rise of
multiplier to some extent.
4
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Total liquid assets of scheduled banks declined Excess liquid assets (excess of SLR): bank group-
wise*
5.92 percent to BDT 415535.19 crore in 2500
1500
scheduled banks at the end of October, 2022 1000
were BDT 245979.47 crore.
500
Jan'22
Jun'22
Mar'22
Jul'21
Jul'22
Sep'21
Sep'22
Oct'21
Nov'21
May'22
Oct'22
Aug'21
Aug'22
Dec'21
Apr'22
Feb'22
5
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Advance Deposit Ratio (ADR) of the banking system remained well below the allowable limit1 set
by BB up to end of September 2022.
Maintained Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) of the banking sector remained above the minimum
requirement of 100 percent at end of September 20222, indicating banks had high-quality liquid
asset that would cover the banks net cash flows for a minimum of 30 days.
Additionally, at the end of September 2022 the minimum regulatory requirement of holding Net
Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR)3 was also satisfactorily maintained, it rose to 110.18 percent from
109.10 percent of end of the previous quarter.
1
Banks were instructed in September 2019 to maintain their ADR within maximum 85 (81.5 percent + 3.5 percent of special
consideration) percent for conventional banks and 90 (89.0 percent + 1.0 percent of special consideration) percent for Islamic
Shari’ah based banks respectively according to DOS circular no.05 dated 17 September 2019.
2
LCR measures a bank’s need for liquid assets in a stressed environment over the next 30 calendar days: minimum
requirement for LCR is greater or equal to 100 percent.
3
NSFR measures a bank’s need for liquid assets in a stressed environment over one year period: minimum requirement for
NSFR is greater than 100 percent.
6
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
The weighted average yields on 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day treasury bills rose to 6.18 percent,
6.58 percent and 6.93 percent respectively in November of FY23 compared to the previous month.
The weighted average yields on 2-Year, 5-Year, 10-Year, 15-Year and 20-Year BGTB reached
7.49 percent, 7.81 percent, 8.25 percent, 8.67 percent and 8.72 percent respectively in November of
FY23.
According to MPD Circular No. 03, dated 29th September, 2022 Bangladesh Bank has re-fixed
Repo rate at 5.75 percent to be effective from 02.10.2022; with a 25 basis points increase from the
existing Repo rate of 5.50 percent.
The weighted average call money rate in November of FY23 in the inter-bank money market
reached 5.80 percent which is 05 basis points higher than the existing level of Repo rate; indicating
continued higher demand for liquidity in the money market.
5.0
4.0 3.0
3.0
2.0
2.0 91-day 182-day 364-day Repo Reverse-Repo Call money rate
1.0 1.0
0.0 0.0
Oct.22
Jun.22
Jan.22
Jul.22
Apr.22
Feb.22
Sep.22
Nov.21
Nov.22
Jun.22
Jan.22
Jul.22
Sep.22
Oct.22
Nov.21
Nov.22
Apr.22
Feb.22
Dec.21
Mar.22
May.22
Aug.22
Mar.22
May.22
Aug.22
Dec.21
7
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Spread
Spread
Spread
Spread
Spread
Spread
on on on on on on on on on
deposits advances advances advances advances advances advances deposits advances
FY22
July 4.10 7.30 3.20 7.15 3.05 7.33 3.23 7.33 3.23 7.17 3.07 7.63 3.53 7.70 11.11 3.41
August 4.05 7.24 3.19 7.14 3.09 7.27 3.22 7.28 3.23 7.07 3.02 7.59 3.54 7.62 10.98 3.36
September 4.08 7.24 3.16 7.15 3.07 7.25 3.17 7.27 3.19 7.05 2.97 7.61 3.53 7.51 10.83 3.32
October 4.01 7.15 3.14 7.13 3.12 7.15 3.14 7.25 3.24 6.96 2.95 7.61 3.60 7.55 10.73 3.18
November 3.99 7.15 3.16 7.15 3.16 7.15 3.16 7.16 3.17 6.96 2.97 7.68 3.69 7.52 10.64 3.12
December 3.99 7.16 3.17 7.16 3.17 7.18 3.19 7.23 3.24 6.99 3.00 7.77 3.78 7.62 10.43 2.81
January 4.01 7.12 3.11 7.09 3.08 7.14 3.13 7.22 3.21 6.93 2.92 7.70 3.69 7.55 10.59 3.04
February 4.02 7.10 3.08 7.09 3.07 7.11 3.09 7.22 3.20 6.92 2.90 7.63 3.61 7.35 10.37 3.02
March 4.01 7.11 3.10 7.07 3.06 7.11 3.10 7.23 3.22 6.91 2.90 7.61 3.60 7.36 10.22 2.86
April 4.02 7.09 3.07 7.07 3.05 7.10 3.08 7.26 3.24 6.92 2.90 7.63 3.61 7.41 10.09 2.68
May 4.02 7.08 3.06 7.09 3.07 7.08 3.06 7.25 3.23 6.91 2.89 7.65 3.63 7.45 10.05 2.60
June 3.97 7.09 3.12 7.05 3.08 7.10 3.13 7.26 3.29 6.92 2.95 7.60 3.63 7.49 9.85 2.36
FY23
July 4.04 7.09 3.05 7.00 2.96 7.11 3.07 7.27 3.23 6.94 2.90 7.65 3.61 7.46 9.29 1.83
August 4.07 7.11 3.04 7.01 2.94 7.14 3.07 7.32 3.25 6.97 2.90 7.65 3.58 7.44 9.20 1.76
September 4.09 7.12 3.03 7.00 2.91 7.15 3.06 7.37 3.28 7.01 2.92 7.66 3.57 7.48 9.11 1.63
October 4.13 7.15 3.02 7.01 2.88 7.18 3.05 7.37 3.24 7.00 2.87 7.70 3.57 7.49 9.08 1.59
Source: Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank.
*WAIR = Weighted Average Interest Rate.# Revised.
The spread between the weighted average interest rate on advances and deposits of all banks and
NBFIs slightly narrowed to 3.02 percent and 1.59 percent respectively in October of FY23 from
the previous month.
The weighted average interest rate on deposits of all banks and NBFIs inched up 4.13 percent and
7.49 percent in October of FY23 compared to the previous month.
5.00 Interest rate spreaed of banks and NBFIs Sector-wise break down of interest rate
3.9 spread of banks
4.00 3.7
3.57
3.02 3.5
3.00
3.3 3.24
Percent
Percent
2.00 3.1
2.9 2.88
1.00 1.59 SME Agriculture 2.87
Banks NBFIs 2.7
Large Industry Service
0.00 2.5
Feb'22
Sep'22
Jan'22
Mar'22
Jul'22
Nov'21
Jun'22
Oct'21
Dec'21
April'22
Oct'22
May'22
Aug'22
Jan'22
Feb'22
Mar'22
Jul'22
Sep'22
Nov'21
Jun'22
Apr'22
Oct'21
Dec'21
Oct'22
May'22
Aug'22
8
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
5. Capital market developments
Annual capital market developments in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE)
Outstanding (BDT in crore )
Enlisted issues DSE Broad
Stock (End of Issued Capital Market Turnover during
(In number) Index (DSEX)
Calender Year) and Debentures Capitalisation the year
2018 578.00 124293.70 387295.30 133363.82 5385.64
2019 587.00 129481.20 339551.10 113840.28 4452.93
2020 597.00 137527.90 448230.10 134981.23 5402.07
2021 617.00 146369.50 542196.40 353978.62 6756.66
7200
Pharmaceuti 6000
cals & 5200
Chemicals 4000
19.2% 3200
Miscellaneous
13.8% Textile 2000 1200
Engineering 5.1%
Telecommuni 14.9% 0 -800
Jan'22
Jun'22
Mar'22
Oct.'22
Jul'22
Sep'22
Oct'21
May'22
Nov'21
Aug'22
Dec'21
Feb'22
Apr'22
FY23P FY22R
July 2692.53 4683.66 4656.93 5785.04 17818.16 541.44 18359.60 1933.39 6766.74 4157.34 1932.74 14790.21 217.21 15007.42
August 3330.91 9848.46 5544.96 3748.03 22472.36 615.21 23087.57 2556.05 8175.43 4367.46 3211.65 18310.59 418.54 18729.13
September 3026.84 9910.35 9606.29 4290.45 26833.93 603.13 27437.06 3230.75 9082.93 9059.80 3549.23 24922.71 215.60 25138.31
July-September 9050.28 24442.47 19808.18 13823.52 67124.45 1759.78 68884.23 7720.19 24025.10 17584.60 8693.62 58023.51 851.35 58874.86
(+15.68) (+106.71) (+17.00) (+16.07) (-4.89) (+15.70)
Source: National Board of Revenue and Office of the Controller General of Accounts, Bangladesh. P=Provisional, R=Revised
Note:- Figures in the parenthesis indicate percentage changes over the corresponding period of the preceding year.
1/Before FY22 Non-NBR tax revenue included narcotics & liquor duty, taxes on vehicles, road tax, land revenue and stamp duty(non judicial). According to iBAS++ from FY22 onwards Non-NBR tax revenue
includes taxes on financial and capital transactions, narcotic and liquor duty, taxes on use of goods and on permission to use goods or perform activities and stamp duty.
*Others include supplementary tax (local+import), Export, Excise duty, Turnover tax and Travel tax.
10
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
NBR tax revenue collection grew 15.96 percent (y-o-y) in FY22 and stood at BDT 301347.23 crore.
This NBR tax revenue collection for FY22 was 91.32 percent of the target set at the revised budget for FY22.
Total tax revenue (NBR and Non-NBR) during FY22 stood at BDT 308338.15 crore which was higher by 16.44percent (y-o-y).
NBR tax revenue collection during July-September of FY23 stood at BDT 67124.45 crore which was higher by 15.68 percent (y-o-y).
It was 18.14 percent of the target set for FY23 (Target for NBR tax revenue collection has been set at BDT 3,70,000.00 crore in the
budget for FY23).
Total tax revenue (NBR and Non-NBR) during July-September of FY23 grew (y-o-y) by 17.00 percent and stood at BDT 68884.23
crore.
Non-NBR Tax revenue stood 2.55 percent of the total tax revenue.
100 20
percent
16.07
percent
15
50 15.68
10
0
5 FY 22 FY 23
-50
0
Jul-22
Oct-21
Jan-22
Jun-22
Sep-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Apr-22
Sep-22
Nov-21
Mar-22
Aug-22
May-22
May
Jul.
Jan.
Oct.
Sep.
Feb.
Apr.
Jun.
Dec.
Mar.
Aug.
Nov.
11
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
12
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
-40.39
-40
Percent
-80
FY 23 FY 22
-106.78
-120
Jun.
Jul.
Jan.
Mar.
Nov.
Apr.
Feb.
Sep.
Aug.
Oct.
Dec.
May.
Total sale of National Savings Certificates (NSCs) during July-October of FY23 amounted to BDT 28044.52 crore which was 20.62 percent
lower compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year; whereas, principal repayment was 10.28 percent higher.
The net sale of NSCs during July-October of FY23 decreased 106.78 percent (y-o-y); falling acutely short from the target set for the entire
fiscal year.
Downward adjustment of interest rates, along with various prerequisites for the purchase of NSCs and lower inflows of remittances might have
Outstanding amount of NSCs stood at BDT 363377.54 crore at the end of October 2022, which was higher by 2.82 percent compared to the
13
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
(BDT in crore)
Total
Net borrowing of Net non-bank
Total Net foreign Total financing as Outstanding Outstanding domestic
the Govt. from borrowing of the
FY domestic financing 3/ financing % of GDP@ Domestic debt debt as % of GDP@
the banking Govt. from the
financing at current (end period) at current market price
system 1/ public 2/
market price
1 2 3 4=(2+3) 5 6=(4+5) 7 8 9
FY19 18269.30 53928.68 72197.98 42084.37 114282.35 3.87 428262.35 14.51
FY20 66907.60 22986.27 89893.87 50999.13 140893.00 4.44 518156.22 16.34
FY21 39790.00 44280.64 84070.64 47402.71 131473.35 3.72 602226.86 17.06
FY22 61940.50 26934.23 88874.73 73197.27 162072.00 4.08 691101.59 17.38
July-October of FY22 9255.50 9730.92 18986.42 17690.48 36676.91 0.69 621213.28 15.51
July-October of FY23 20509.30 2749.41 23258.71 14816.84 38075.55 0.86 714360.30 16.05
Source: Bangladesh Bank, Ministry of Finance & Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS). 1/: Excludes interest. 2/: Includes treasury bills & bonds (both
in face value, Bangladesh Government Investment Sukuk included since December 2020) held by the non-bank financial institutions through secondary
auctions, Net sale (NSCs) and excludes P.Bonds/income tax Bonds. 3/: Total foreign aid disbursement less amortization payment (converted using
cummulative exchange rate of the corresponding period) , @: nominal GDP (base 2015-16=100) has been used.
Net borrowing of the government from the banking system increased by 121.59 percent (y-o-y), however net non-bank borrowing of the
government from the public decreased by 71.75 percent (y-o-y); as a result total domestic financing increased by 22.50 percent (y-o-y).
Net foreign financing during the period under review decreased by 16.24 percent (y-o-y).
Hence, total deficit financing of the government stood lower (y-o-y) at BDT 38075.55 crore during July-October of FY23.
14
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Domestic financing and foreign financing stood at 61.01 percent and 38.91 percent of total deficit financing during the period under review.
Target for government’s borrowing from the banking system (net), non-banking system (net) and foreign sources (net) in the budget FY23
has been set at BDT 106334.00 crore, 40001.00 crore and 95458.00 crore respectively.
Total deficit financing during July-October of FY23 stood at 0.86 percent of GDP while it was projected to be 5.40 percent of GDP for the
whole year (FY23), according to the budget of FY23.
15
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Jan'22
Jul'22
Oct'22
Apr'22
Jun'22
Dec'21
Feb'22
Sep'22
Mar'22
Nov'21
May'22
Aug'22
Nov'22
October 2022.
Among the components of non-food inflation, medical care and health expenses recorded 19.61 percent
(y-o-y) and transport and communication had 10.93 percent (y-o-y) inflation in November, 2022.
Inflation in the gross rent, fuel and lighting sector had been waning since its peak in August 2022;
which resulted in decreased inflation in the transport and communication sector in November, 2022.
Twelve month average headline inflation rose to 7.48 percent in November 2022 from 7.23 percent in
October 2022, which was 1.88 percentage point higher than the target of 5.60 percent for FY23.
Rising prices in the international markets following the demand-supply mismatch fueled by Russia-
Ukraine war, major sanctions imposed on Russia, and other geo-political and economic circumstances
induced supply disruption along with depreciation of Taka might be the major factors for the increasing
inflation since the ignition of recovery from COVID-19.
16
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
8. Industrial production
a) Quantum index of medium and large-scale manufacturing industry
(Base: FY2005-06 = 100)
Monthly Index Monthly Average Index Percentage change
10.0
(y-o-y). FY23 FY22
3.33
0.0
The industrial sector contributed 35.47 percent
-10.0
May
(FY22) to GDP; where manufacturing industry
Jul
Aug
Nov
Dec
Oct
Jan
Apr
Mar
Jun
Sep
Feb
had 22.96 percent contribution.
The general index of small scale manufacturing 1000 Quantum index of small scale
industry increased by 20.98 percent to 880.44 manufacturing industries
800 880.44
during the last quarter of FY22 (April-June, 2022)
750.68
727.76
The index had the steepest incline in the fourth FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
quarter of FY22 since the recovery from the
Covid-19 pandemic in the first quarter of FY21.
17
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
9. Food Situations
(In lac metric ton)
FY14 358.81 356.56 320.90 8.56 21.37 29.93 14.34 22.20 11.53
FY15 360.50 360.58 324.52 3.34 49.40 52.74 16.76 18.38 12.86
FY16 364.24 360.03 324.03 3.34 42.06 45.40 12.32 20.64 8.56
FY17 365.91 351.16 316.04 3.93 54.30 58.23 16.14 22.42 3.79
FY18 372.97 373.76 336.38 13.91 83.83 97.74 15.35 21.17 13.15
FY19 373.12 374.08 336.67 5.44 52.90 58.34 24.15 25.94 16.74
FY20 399.69 376.32 338.69 4.36 60.02 64.38 18.71 27.77 11.20
FY21 395.53 386.93 348.24 10.52 56.50 67.02 15.53 32.63 14.48
1
FY22 407.08 391.24 352.12 12.29 37.70 49.99 20.20 30.77 16.07
T 427.32 ---- ---- 16.52 ---- 16.52 16.53 31.20 ----
FY23
Production target (Aus, Aman, Boro and wheat) for FY22 was set at 407.08 lac metric tons.
Total food production for FY22 stood at 391.24 lac metric tons.
Import and distribution of rice and wheat during July-October of FY23 decreased by 9.73 lac
metric tons (y-o-y) and 1.56 lac metric tons (y-o-y) respectively.
Procurement of rice (Boro) during July-October of FY23 increased by 1.00 lac metric tons (y-o-y).
Outstanding stock of food grains also remained stable at 15.62 lac metric tons at the end of October
of FY23.
Food Production Public Domestic Procurement, Imports and
(Target and Actual) Stock of Food Grains
Production Target July-October, FY22 30
550
Lac metric ton
July-October, FY23 25
450 17.68
15.40 15.62 20
427.32
350 391.24 15
7.95
5.92 6.92 10
250
5
150 0
FY15
FY16
FY14
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
18
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Bank Disbursed a total of BDT 9469.34 crore of which BDT 7820.59 was for agriculture credit
and BDT 1648.75 crore was for non-farm rural credit during July-October of FY23.
Disbursement of agricultural credit during July-October of FY23 grew by nearly 27 percent
(y-o-y) while that of non-farm rural credit droped by 5.49 percent (y-o-y) during the same period.
Both the recovery of agriculture credit and non-farm rural credit during July-October of FY22 was
higher by 32.77 percent (y-o-y) and 10.53 perccent (y-o-y) respectively.
BDT in crore
2000 600
2109.45
1500 548.3513
400
1000
200
500 FY23 FY22 FY23 FY22
0 0
May
Jun.
Sep.
Feb.
Nov.
Mar.
Jul.
Jan.
Oct.
Dec.
Apr.
Aug.
May
Jun.
Sep.
Dec
Feb.
Mar.
Nov.
Jul.
Jan.
Apr.
Oct.
Aug.
Overdue of agriculture and non-farm rural credit as percentage of total outstanding improved
and stood lower (y-o-y) at 15.24 in October of FY23.
Outstanding agriculture and non-farm rural credit registered nearly 9 percent growth
(y-o-y) in October of FY23.
19
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Overdue Outstanding
End Period
LSI MSI SSCI Total LSI MSI SSCI Total
June, 2021 41168.01 10714.80 3955.88 55838.69 252473.59 41548.89 21271.69 315294.17
June, 2022 34851.82 11738.42 4338.28 50928.52 246669.08 49664.12 24077.02 320410.22
Source: SME & Special Programmes Department, Bangladesh Bank.
Note:- Figures in brackets indicate changes over the same period of the previous year.
LSI=Large Scale Industries, MSI=Medium Scale Industries, SSCI= Small Scale & Cottage Industries.
Disbursement of total industrial term loans during April-June of FY22 increased 10.21 percent as
compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year.
Recovery of industrial term loans also increased by 14.24 percent during April-June of FY22 against the
same period of the previous fiscal year.
Outstanding amount of industrial term loans at the end of June, 2022 stood higher (y-o-y) at BDT
320410.22 crore.
Overdue of industrial term loans at the end of June, 2022 was BDT 50928.52 crore, which was 15.89
percent of the outstanding amount.
20
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
The share of outstanding CMSME loans to total CMSME loans from different categories of financial
institutions as of end June of FY22 is shown in the pie diagram above.
21
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
12. Export
a. Annual exports
(USD in million)
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21R FY22 R
34655.90 36668.17 40535.04 33674.12 38758.31 52082.66
(+1.16) (+5.81) (+10.55) (-16.93) (+15.10) (+34.38)
Source : Export Promotion Bureau (EPB), Bangladesh.
b. Monthly exports
(USD in million)
P R
Month FY23 FY22
July 3984.81 3473.43
August 4607.00 3383.07
September 3905.07 4165.45
October 4356.62 4727.53
November 5092.56 4041.39
July-November 21946.06 19790.87
(+10.89) (+22.62)
Export target is set at USD 58000.00 million for FY23.
Source : Export Promotion Bureau (EPB), Bangladesh.
R=Revised data; P=Provisional. Strategic Target during
July-November, 2022 is USD 21770.00 million.
Note:- Figures in brack ets indicate percentage changes
over the corresponding period of the preceding year.
Total commodity export grew by 10.89 percent (y-o-y) during July-November, FY23.
However, commodities export in November of FY23 increased by 26.01 percent (y-o-y).
Achievement during the first five months of FY23 was 0.81 percent higher than the strategic
target set for the period.
20
4000
Percent
4041.39
10 10.89
3000
0
2000
-10 FY22 FY23 FY22 FY23
1000
-20
0
May
Jun.
Sep.
Feb.
Nov.
Mar.
Jul.
Jan.
Oct.
Dec.
Apr.
Aug.
May
Jul.
Jan.
Oct.
Sep.
Feb.
Jun.
Dec.
Mar.
Apr.
Aug.
Nov.
22
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
The growth of export increased mainly due to increasing demand for readymade garments
products (knitwear and woven garments), which contributing the lion’s share (83.53%) of the
country’s export and increased by 15.61 percent (y-o-y) during July-November of FY23.
Among exports of all other products which increased during July-November of FY23 were plastic
products (+41.24%), and leather & leather products (+17.65%).
Whereas, there were decreases in exports of engineering products (-44.28%), frozen and live fish
(-27.39%), agricultural products (-22.92%), chemical products (-21.04%), jute and jute goods
(-11.00%) and home textiles (-7.98) during July-November of FY23 as compared to the same
period of the preceding fiscal year.
23
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
13. Imports
a. Custom-based import, import LCs settlement and LCs opening
(USD in million)
Custom based import (c&f) Import LCs settlement Import LCs opening
Month FY22R FY21 FY22* FY22*
July-June 89162.30 65594.70 83681.73 92234.69
(+35.93) (+19.73) (+46.15) (+37.59)
P R P# P#
Month FY23 FY22 FY23 FY23
July 6338.10 5141.10 7684.86 6242.85
August 7375.30 6587.60 7668.02 6286.65
September 7191.90 6991.70 7100.34 6051.42
July-September 20905.30 18720.40 22453.21 18580.92
(+11.67) (+47.56) (+31.59) (-8.57)
October 6654.70 7110.80 NA NA
July-October 27560.00 25831.20 NA NA
(+6.69) (+51.39)
Source: National Board of Revenue (NBR), Bangladesh and Foreign Exchange Operations Department
(FEOD) of Bangladesh Bank . NA=Not Available.
Note:- Figures in the parenthesis indicate percentage changes over the corresponding period of the preceding
year. P = Provisional; R= Revised; NA= Not Available. 2. Customs based c&f data incorporated in MEI since
February, 2015 onwards
*Data retrieved with
from Online the approval
Import of competent
Monitoring System onauthority.
14.07.2022; # Data retrieved from Online Import
Monitoring System on 23.10.2022
Custom based imports increased significantly by USD 1728.80 million or 6.69 percent (y-o-y) in July-
October, FY23. However this growth was far below the growth of July-October, FY22.
The lower growth might be the outcome of a number of initiatives taken by the central bank as
well as the government since April 2022, in order to restrain foreign currency expenditure.
The drastic fall of food grains import during July-October, 2022 helped reduce the growth of
custom based imports. However food stock at the end of October of FY23 was marginally above
the level October of FY22 at 15.62 lac metric ton.
Fresh opening of import LCs during July-September of FY23 decreased by 8.57 percent
compared to July-September FY22.
Settlement of imports LCs during July-September of FY23 grew by 31.59 percent compared to
July-September of FY22.
Cumulative movements of custom based Monthly movements of custom based
100 12000
imports imports
80 10000
FY23 FY22
in million USD
8000 7110.80
Percent
60 51.39
6000
40 6654.70
4000
20 2000
6.69
FY23 FY22
0 0
May
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Dec.
Jan.
Aug.
Nov.
Sep.
Mar.
Feb.
Dec.
Jan.
Aug.
Sep.
Mar.
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Nov.
Feb.
May.
24
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Item wise share of LCs opening during July-September of FY23 and July-September of FY22 are shown
in the following pie diagrams. Item-wise detailed data of fresh opening and settlement of import LCs
during July- September of FY23 and July- September of FY22 are also given in the appendix.
c. Projection of opening import LCs and probable liabilities against back to back LCs of
authorized dealer banks
(USD in million)
Probable liabilities of banks against
Month Opening of import LCs
back to back LCs
Nov'22 4480.43 990.87
Dec'22 4520.92 1018.09
Jan'23 4443.21 899.09
November, 2022-January, 2023 13444.56 2908.05
Source: Compiled by Monetary Policy Department (MPD), Bangladesh Bank on the basis of the statements of all authorized dealer
banks.
Projection of opening of import LCs and probable liabilities against back to back LCs are USD 13444.56
million and USD 2908.05 million respectively during November-January of FY23. The liability of back
to back LCs is 57.08 percent of foreign currency holdings (Nostro account net balance+Investment in
OBU+FC balances with Bangladesh Bank) of AD banks as on 30th November, 2022.
25
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
(USD in million)
R
FY20 FY21 FY22R
18205.01 24777.71 21031.68
(+10.87) (+36.10) (-15.12)
Month FY23P FY22R
July 2096.32 1871.49
August 2036.93 1810.10
September 1539.60 1726.71
October 1525.54 1646.87
November 1594.73 1553.70
July-November 8793.12 8608.87
(+2.14) (-20.98)
Source : Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank.
Note:- Figures in the parenthesis indicate percentage changes over the same
period of the previous year. P = Provisional; R = Revised.
Despite declining trends of workers’ remittances in the last couple of months, it increased in
November 2022 by USD 41.03 million or 2.64 percent compared to the same month of the
preceding year.
Workers’ remittances also increased during July-November of FY23 by USD 184.25 million or
2.14 percent (y-o-y) to USD 8793.12 million; oweing to various policy initiatives taken by BB and
Government of Bangladesh such as 2.5 percent cash incentive, easing the rules on the furnishing of
documents and depreciation of exchnage rate (BDT/USD) might have influenced this growth in
overseas remittances.
4000
Percent
20
2.14
3000 0
2000 1594.73
-20
-20.98
1553.70
1000 -40
0 -60
May
Dec.
Jan.
Aug.
Sep.
Mar.
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Nov.
Feb.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Jan.
Aug.
Nov.
Sep.
Dec.
Mar.
Feb.
26
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Gross foreign exchange reserves stood at USD 33.79 billion at the end of November, 2022
from USD 44.88 billion at the end of November, 2021.
The ACU liability as of end November, 2022 was USD 560.99 miliion.
The foreign exchange reserves (less ACU liability) in October, 2022 is sufficient to pay
import liability of four and a half (4.39) months, considering the average of the previous
12 months’ (November, 2021-October, 2022) commodity import.
(USD in million)
FX reserves of BB
A. Outstanding June, 2020 June, 2021 June, 2022
stock at the end Gross FX reserve
36037.03 46391.44 41826.73 50 9.0
of the year Reserve covers months of import (RHS)
(+10.15) (+28.73) (-9.84) 48
USD in billion
Month / P 45 7.5
FY23 FY22
Year 43
Months
July 39599.91 45842.20 40 6.0
B. Outstanding August 39055.88 48059.99 38
stock at the end September 36476.41 46199.80 35 4.5
of the month October 35808.73 46459.27 33
November 33789.62 44881.14 30 3.0
Jul.22
Jan.22
Oct.22
Apr.22
Jun.22
Dec.21
Feb.22
Sep.22
Mar.22
Nov.21
May.22
Aug.22
Nov.22
Source : Accounts & Budgeting Department, Bangladesh Bank .
Figues in parethesis indicate percentage changes over the same
period of the preceding year. P= Provisional.
(USD in million)
I
A. Outstanding June, 2020 June, 2021 June, 2022 FX balance held by CBs
7.00
stock at the end of 4584.88 5518.28 5205.90 6.40
the year (+9.39) (+20.36) (+5.66) 5.80
billion USD
Month / P 5.20
FY23 FY22
Year 4.60
July 4881.49 6007.35 4.00
3.40
B. Outstanding August 5018.67 5958.00
2.80
stock at the end of September 4904.99 5843.82 2.20
the month October 4505.60 5968.69
Jul.22
Jan.22
Apr.22
Jun.22
Sep.22
Oct.22
Dec.21
Feb.22
Mar.22
Nov.21
Aug.22
Nov.22
May.22
27
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
2628.05
USD in million
2077.45
After principal repayment, the net receipt of
1500
1970.61
1419.05
1000
also lower by 31.69 percent (y-o-y).
500
Grant as percentage of net foreign aid during
0
July-October of FY23 was 6.54 percent. Total Aid Net Aid
28
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
80.00
percent at the end of November 2022. However, the
60.00
interbank rate (excluding BB intervention rate) 40.00
BDT/USD
stood at BDT 103.27 per USD depreciating by 9.52 BDT/USD (Interbank Rate)*
20.00
1.05
To stabilize the market, Bangladesh Bank intervened
1.00
03-12-2021
24-01-2022
17-03-2022
08-05-2022
29-06-2022
20-08-2022
11-10-2022
02-12-2022
in the foreign exchange market with a total sale of
USD 6.37 billion up to November of FY23.
Indian Rupee (INR) experienced 3.25 percent Effective Exchange Rate Indices
130 (Base:2015-16=100) 3.00
114.12
113.77
depreciation against the US dollar at the end of
120 2.50
November 2022 as compared to their levels of end 110
2.00
92.40
June 2022. 100 92.23
1.50
90
As per the latest available data, graphical 1.00
1.24
80 NEER (LHS)
presentations of exchange rate of Bangladesh Taka 70 REER (LHS) 0.50
Relative Price Index (RPI) (RHS)
(BDT) vis-a-vis USD, Indian Rupee (INR) vis-a-vis 60 0.00
Mar-20
Mar-22
Dec-20
Aug-22
Jun-19
Sep-19
Dec-19
Mar-21
Oct-22
Jun-21
Sep-21
Dec-21
Sep-20
Jun-20
Jun-22
29
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
30
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Appendix
Break-up of fresh opening and settlement of import LCs
(USD in million )
Percentage changes in
July-September of FY23
July-September of FY23 July-September of FY22
over July-September of
FY22
Items Opening Settlement Opening Settlement Opening Settlement
A. Consumer goods 2588.00 1992.50 2475.07 1999.72 4.56 -0.36
Rice and wheat 1001.07 349.13 760.21 443.81 31.68 -21.33
Sugar and salt 116.49 194.42 242.54 155.69 -51.97 24.87
Milk food 74.18 90.79 52.84 86.69 40.38 4.73
Edible oil (refined) 829.77 768.31 307.83 245.65 169.56 212.77
All kinds of fruits 73.28 58.79 127.56 78.45 -42.56 -25.06
Pulses 63.97 62.45 45.55 63.80 40.45 -2.12
Onion 46.14 36.51 55.87 50.69 -17.43 -27.97
Spices 52.16 65.63 57.87 73.27 -9.87 -10.42
Second hand clothings 0.08 0.17 0.42 0.56 -80.98 -69.60
31
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (November, 2022)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
32