Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Heterodox Economics
Towards an Integrated
Paradigm in Heterodox
Economics
Alternative Approaches to the
Current Eco-Social Crises
Edited by
Julien-François Gerber
Harvard University, United States
and
Rolf Steppacher
The Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva
© Julien-François Gerber and Rolf Steppacher 2012
Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2012 ISBN 978-0-230-30358-4
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10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12
To K. William Kapp
Contents
List of Illustrations x
Acknowledgments xi
Introduction 1
Julien-François Gerber and Rolf Steppacher
The aim of the book: a contribution towards the
integration of heterodox thinking 5
The foundation of ecological and critical
institutional economics 7
The need for integration in heterodox economics:
the relevance of K.W. Kapp 10
Some key integrative concepts: summary of the chapters 13
vii
viii Contents
References 208
Index 229
Illustrations
Tables
Figures
x
Acknowledgments
We express our deep gratitude to the contributors of this book who have
shared with us their knowledge, insights, and visions of new perspec-
tives in economics and encouraged the production of this book. Most
of them participated in two conferences at the Graduate Institute of
International and Development Studies (IHEID) in Geneva in December
2009 and March 2010, the title of which was Mastering Financial
Crisis, Peak Oil and Poverty – Towards a New Paradigm of Sustainable
Development based on the Integration of Ecological, Institutional and
Evolutionary Economics, informally called the Kapp Lecture Series in
Heterodox Economics.
The original idea of inviting prominent lecturers of heterodox
economics to the newly designed institute – a merger of the earlier
Graduate Institute of International Relations and the Graduate Institute
of Development Studies – came from its director, Philippe Burrin, and
vice-director, Michel Carton. We are very thankful to both of them for
actively supporting the conferences. The K.W. & L.L. Kapp Foundation
for the Integration and Humanization of the Social Sciences (Basel),
with its president Hermann Graf Hatzfeldt, contributed generously to
the costs of the conference for which we are very grateful.
We are grateful to our colleagues Jacques Grinevald and Pascal van
Griethuysen at the Geneva Institute for sharing with us over decades
(in the case of R.S.) the interest in heterodox economics and its poten-
tial for integration. Together with our assistant at that time, Florence
Nuoffer, they enthusiastically supported both conferences and the book.
Our gratitude extends also to the large number of students in develop-
ment studies from all over the globe, who – coming from extremely
diverse ecological and social contexts – never stopped addressing criti-
cal questions about economics, pushing us continuously to search for
alternatives to conventional wisdom. The Department of Economics at
Harvard University provided the necessary liberty of research to one
of us (J.-F.G.), especially through Stephen Marglin who offered support
as well as stimulating discussions. José Manuel Naredo is also warmly
acknowledged for his encouraging comments during the final phase of
the publishing process.
To bring content into good form is always a lot of work and we are very
thankful to those who have helped us in this process. Marc Galvin from
xi
xii Acknowledgments
IHEID Press advised us eagerly and wisely during the early stage of the
publication progress. The entire team at Palgrave Macmillan supported
us continually and effectively. In particular, we wish to thank Ellie
Shillito and Taiba Batool of Palgrave Macmillan, and Vidhya Jayaprakash
of Newgen Knowledge Works. Thanks are also due to Harumi Lambert-
Akiyama, Opeyemi Akanbi, and Simone Steppacher who offered pre-
cious assistance in reviewing chapters or correspondence.
The editors of this book are also thankful to the following organiza-
tions for permission to reproduce the following figures and epigraphs:
Earthscan (Taylor & Francis Group) for Figure 3.1 in Chapter 3; Routledge
UK (Taylor & Francis Group) for all other figures in Chapter 3; the
K.W. & L.L. Kapp Foundation (Basel, Switzerland) for the epigraph of
K.William Kapp in Chapter 7; the Harvard Management Company, Inc.
(through Gary F. Snerson) for the epigraph by Joseph A. Schumpeter in
Chapter 10.
Contributors
xiii
xiv Notes on Contributors
1
2 Julien-François Gerber and Rolf Steppacher
‘sovereign consumer’. From the point of view of his political values that
he made explicit, he sided with the ‘common man’, a concept broader
than Marx’s ‘proletariat’.
From 1870 onwards, neoclassical economics followed a totally dif-
ferent path, with its marginalist approach initiated by Stanley Jevons,
Carl Menger and Léon Walras. This current remained closely tied to
the equilibrium model and developed the theory of perfect competition,
even if physics went beyond the mechanical model and even if oligopo-
listic markets became a dominant feature of the economic system.3 The
paradigmatic four pillars of classical economics mentioned earlier were
in a way reinforced and strongly centered on methodological individual-
ism. Neoclassical economics has become – until today – the dominant
paradigm in economics around the world. Since Veblen’s time, how-
ever, neoclassical economics has taken on board several aspects of the
various critiques, notably elements from John Maynard Keynes. It has
also tried to be more empirical, sometimes resorting to experimenta-
tion. Yet, all these partial revisions did not convince many heterodox
economists.
What does ‘heterodox’ mean? With respect to conventional econom-
ics it is possible to be heterodox (or critical) along the four basic lines
already discussed above. First, mainstream economics can be chal-
lenged according to the changes that occurred in the natural sciences
and that have generated new knowledge. This is, for instance, the depar-
ture point of Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen’s critique (1966; 1971). The
implications of the entropy law for understanding the material aspects
of economic processes brought him to radically question the very foun-
dations of neoclassical economics. He blamed the latter for remaining
rooted in mechanical analogies that include the idea that economic
processes operate in closed systems. According to him, neoclassical eco-
nomics is in contradiction with much of the knowledge developed by
the natural sciences, especially in thermodynamics and ecology. In so
doing, he paved the way for the development of ecological economics, as
we shall see below.
Second, the dominant paradigm can also be criticized from the per-
spective of changes in philosophical conceptions and, particularly, in
the light of the new insights coming from other social sciences. Several
heterodox economists, such as Karl Polanyi (1944), have questioned neo-
classical economics’ scientific ambitions, especially its universalistic and
a-historical conception of the economy manifesting itself in all sorts of
projections. These ambitions are also expressed in a mathematical for-
malization ever more abstract and disconnected from real sociocultural
4 Julien-François Gerber and Rolf Steppacher
The time has come for institutionalists [and all heterodox econo-
mists] in developed and underdeveloped countries to unite and to
become more assertive ... . They need not shout or become strident
in their arguments, but they should not mumble. (K. William Kapp,
1968, 18)
(exit) – and economic processes are seen as entropic and thus irrevers-
ible. It is in this sense that ecological economics has been compared to
Aristotle’s ‘oikonomia’8 and to ‘human ecology’ (Martínez-Alier, 1987;
Krall and Gowdy, in Chapter 6). The central applied concept of ecologi-
cal economics is sustainability, which is approached both qualitatively
and empirically, with particular attention to spatial scales ranging from
local to global. It emphasizes the incommensurability of values (i.e.,
different value systems cannot be expressed in the same units), and
it champions multi-criteria valuation methods (instead of cost-benefit
analyses) based on explicit value premises and on different socioeco-
nomic and biophysical indicators such as the energy return on invest-
ment (EROI), the ecological footprint, the human appropriation of net
primary production (HANPP) and so on (Munda, 1995; Martínez-Alier
et al., 1998).
Quite the contrary, neoclassical environmental economics usually
regards ‘sustainable development’ as being synonymous with ‘green
growth’, measured in monetary indicators and studied with general
models that avoid reference to historical and spatial aspects (Daly,
1996; Ayres, 1998). In addition, ecological economics generally assumes
a longer time horizon than environmental economics and pays more
attention to cause–effect chains, interactions and feedback between nat-
ural and socioeconomic systems (van den Bergh, 2001). In this respect
the concept of ‘co-evolution’ is relevant, reflecting a mutual influence
of economic and environmental systems (Gowdy, 1994; Norgaard,
1994). Ecological economics views such systems, including markets, as
adaptive and coincidental rather than optimal in the neoclassical sense.
Accordingly, ecological economics inherently entails an evolutionary
dimension, taking the view that markets cannot sufficiently meet the
needs of the poor nor produce the ‘optimal’ technologies and produc-
tion activities necessary from a long-term, ecologically sound perspec-
tive (Kallis and Norgaard, 2010). In short, ecological economics frees us
from mechanical illusions about the relationship between the economy
and nature (Georgescu-Roegen, 1976c).
Unlike neoclassical economics (including its neo-institutional vari-
ant), which emphasizes the role of quasi-autonomous individuals, criti-
cal institutional economics highlights the prominent role of institutions
in shaping behaviors, interests and values (Hodgson, 1988; Bromley,
2006). This tradition sees the economy as a social construct with all of
its history and variety (as opposed to a deducted structure based on a
set of axioms) determining how people and societies organize to secure
their socioeconomic reproduction (Polanyi, 1944). For neoclassical
Introduction 9
economics, institutions are the ‘rules of the game’ in a society, that is,
the external constraints on individuals while the latter continue to be
seen as autonomous, strategic, and utility-maximizing agents. In con-
trast, critical institutionalism regards institutions as forming individual
behavior, in both empowering and restricting it and in defining rights
and duties, privileges and non-rights for actors.9 Along this line, from
Veblen to today, as expressed by Richard Scott (1995, 34), ‘Institutions
consist of cognitive, normative, and regulative structures and activities
that provide stability and meaning to social behaviour. Institutions are
transported by various carriers – cultures, structures, and routines – and
they operate at multiple levels of jurisdiction’.
Critical institutional economics offers a particular bio-psycho-cul-
tural image of human beings based on early dependence, fundamental
openness, and therefore on the unavoidable need of enculturation shap-
ing individuals (including economists) according to the specific cultural
pattern in which they are born – and of which much remains uncon-
scious (Kapp, 1961). Such an image is less easily put into a formal model
than is Homo economicus but it is much more realistic and is consistent
with the empirical findings of other social sciences. Some of the meth-
odological starting points of critical institutional economics are that it
is ‘normal’ that economic processes occur within multiple social asym-
metries (Weber, 1925; Kapp, [1950] 1978) and that there are processes of
circular causation between economic and non-economic factors with
frequent cumulative effects, including growing inequalities (Veblen,
1898; Myrdal, 1944; Steppacher, 1976; Berger, 2009). Also emphasiz-
ing the relative stability of institutions versus often rapid technologi-
cal change, critical institutional economics has, since Veblen, taken an
evolutionary approach in economics, rejecting the mechanical analogy
and stable equilibrium. This evolutionary perspective studies how and
why novelty, selection, retention and path dependencies generate trans-
formation processes in the economy, and how these processes influence
socioecological conditions and, thereby, the next sequence of transfor-
mations (see Hodgson, 1993; Witt, 2003; Dopfer and Potts, 2007). It also
implies a non-teleological perspective on the future, leaving evolution
or involution open to constructive and destructive orientations.
Working as an economist in the combined tradition of critical insti-
tutional and ecological economics resembles – to use an analogy,
although one that has its limits –adopting the perspective of a tropical
gardener rather than that of an agronomist working with monoculture
fields. It means considering the different layers (or strata) of production
(trees, bushes and seasonal plants) as a joint production dependent on
10 Julien-François Gerber and Rolf Steppacher
Most chapters of this book provide an overview of the latest work of the
contributors. It is possible to extract from each one of these texts one
(or several) concepts regarded as key integrative points between ecological
and critical institutional economics. In Chapter 1, Clive Spash shows
that Kapp (1961) identified and criticized five existing major integrative
approaches in economics: interdisciplinarity, historical method, use
of analogies, unity of science, and dialectical materialism. Instead of
adopting any one of them, Kapp developed his own strategy towards a
greater unity of sciences built around general integrative concepts like
his bio-cultural concept of human beings and an anthropology-ori-
ented notion of society. Spash argues that ‘social ecological economics’
has much to gain from Kapp’s approach. In the same intellectual tradi-
tion, we suggest a series of more specific integrative concepts that help
the building of a ‘science of man in society’. These concepts are the fol-
lowing: social metabolism (Chapters 2 and 3), value pluralism (Chapter
4), virtual, real and real-real levels of economic analysis (Chapters 4
and 5), property/possession (Chapter 5), ecological and economic
funds/services and stocks/flows (Chapter 6), co-evolution (Chapter 7),
sustainable community (Chapter 8), algorithmic/experiential knowl-
edge (Chapter 8), and the notion of a steady-state economy (Chapter
9). Together with a brief summary of the chapters, a concise descrip-
tion is offered of each one of these integrative concepts, in a general
and accessible way, relying on the work of the corresponding author,
but leaving aside technical details and internal divergences peculiar
to any scientific community. This section can therefore be seen as a
kind of toolkit intended for anyone – especially students – interested
14 Julien-François Gerber and Rolf Steppacher
Social metabolism
Focusing on the US economy and arguing that it is far from equilib-
rium and far from optimal, Robert Ayres starts Chapter 2 with a critical
appraisal of neoclassical economics. For him, one of its key limitations
is its lack of understanding of the nature and significance of energy for
the economy. He argues that in industrialized countries energy serv-
ices in the form of useful work represent one of the three major fac-
tors of production – along with capital and labor (see also Ayres and
Warr, 2009; Ayres and Ayres, 2010). In Chapter 3, Mario Giampietro
and Kozo Mayumi expand this idea and insist that in order to be clear
on sustainability issues it is a precondition to rely on social metabolic
analyses. They call for an urgent return to reality-checks, moving away
from the abstract assumptions of neoclassical economics. In particu-
lar, they argue that the phenomenon of peak oil has been severely
underestimated.
Both chapters can be linked to the integrative concept of ‘social
metabolism’. The latter allows creating new quantitative models high-
lighting both external and internal constraints on socioeconomic
development. The concept has a long history in the social sciences,
starting with Marx, who sought to express the material exchange rela-
tion between humans and nature (Foster, 2000). It was later expanded
by many authors, including Howard Odum (1971), Nicholas Georgescu-
Roegen (1971), Vaclav Smil (1987) and Marina Fischer-Kowalski and
Helga Weisz (1999). The concept of metabolism corresponds to all the
energy and material transformations that are taking place in an open,
living system. It can be divided into catabolism (the processes making
energy and materials available to the rest of the metabolism) and anab-
olism (the processes using the available energy and materials to build
the components). These complex sets of processes produce the func-
tional structure of a given economy (growth), ensure its reproduction,
maintain and repair its parts, and present a specific dynamic within a
given context. All of them are carried out in a situation of permanent
Introduction 17
Value pluralism
Economic growth requires more materials and energy, undermining
the environment in ever more regions of the planet, and thereby the
conditions of existence of local populations – who complain accord-
ingly. Linking ecological and poverty issues, Joan Martínez-Alier shows
in Chapter 4 how the growth dynamics of capitalism generate eco-
logically unequal exchange and give rise to what he calls ecological
distribution conflicts that are today as significant as the more classic
struggles between capital and labor. He argues that the political dimen-
sion of social metabolism can be fruitfully studied by linking insights
from ecological economics, political ecology and environmental his-
tory. Indeed, there are many links to be better understood between
each society’s metabolic profile and social conflicts at different scales.
However, these conflicts do not uniquely result from metabolic pat-
terns per se, as if such patterns were disconnected from the rest of
society. Firstly, protests are also directed against an institutional config-
uration that defines the room for manoeuvre of companies and there-
fore of a particular economic metabolism. Secondly, these conflicts are
expressed as a struggle over valuation, a crucial issue in any search for
an integrated paradigm in economics. How are such conflicts to be
dealt with? The approach of standard economics (even when labeled
18 Julien-François Gerber and Rolf Steppacher
Evolution
Evolution – including in it its co-evolutionary variant – represents a
key integrative framework for understanding changes in complex eco-
nomic, social, and ecological systems. It is a foundational notion for
several heterodox currents, including institutional, ecological and
Marxian economics. An evolutionary perspective aims at explaining
how and why novelty is generated, and how and why some elements
are retained and passed on while others are not. According to Geoffrey
Hodgson, in any system in which variation, inheritance and selection
are present, Darwinian evolution occurs. However, this does not mean
that biological and economic evolutions are similar in other respects.
At the more concrete level of analysis, socioeconomic explanations
that invoke only the three Darwinian principles are usually incomplete
Introduction 21
Steady-state economy
The concept of a steady-state can be found in several schools of econom-
ics. John Stuart Mill did not share the pessimistic vision of Smith and
Malthus regarding the ‘stationary state’ of a given economy and was
convinced that humans would ‘be content to be stationary, long before
Introduction 23
necessity compels them to it’ (Mill, [1848] 1866, 454). Marx also envis-
aged, beyond capitalism, a possible state of equilibrium (see Kerschner,
2010) and Keynes (1936, 220) described a future ‘quasi-stationary com-
munity’ characterized inter alia by a stable population, the absence
of wars and full employment. These views are of course diametrically
opposed to neoclassical economics which continues to proclaim that
unlimited economic growth is possible and that it is the main remedy to
the world’s problems.13 Against these views, Herman Daly’s concept of a
steady-state economy – the background notion of Chapter 9 – is inspired
by among others, Georgescu-Roegen’s flow-fund model and his ther-
modynamic critique of growth (see also Jackson, 2010). Daly (1977, 16)
described a steady-state economy as ‘an economy with constant stocks
of people and artefacts, maintained at some desired, sufficient levels by
low rates of maintenance “throughput”, that is, by the lowest feasible
flows of matter and energy from the first stage of production (depletion
of low entropy materials from the environment) to the last stage of con-
sumption (pollution of the environment with high entropy wastes and
exotic materials)’. According to Daly, such a steady-state economy would
eliminate the recurrent financial crises, improve distributional issues,
and address peak oil and climate change. For this purpose, he offers here
ten specific policy proposals for moving towards such an economy.
In recent years, the concepts of ‘sustainable degrowth’ (décroissance in
French) has found a revival in France, Italy, Spain and other countries
as a social movement as well as in the academic literature (see Martínez-
Alier, 2009a; Martínez-Alier et al., 2010; Latouche, 2010; Bonaiuti,
2011; Kallis, 2011). Degrowth supporters have often failed to question
the end-point of ‘degrowth’. Instead, their argument focuses on the
fact that rich industrialized countries have already surpassed sustain-
able limits and that some form of selective and voluntary degrowth is
therefore indispensable. Even though it is difficult not to agree with
this, there is no reason for rejecting the long-term objective of a global
steady-state economy, at some mutually agreed upon sustainable level
of throughput. In order to reach it, some degrowth would need to occur
in the North while the South would grow some more. Degrowth and
steady-state are in fact complementary notions (Kerschner, 2010).
He argues that the reasons for the enthusiastic support of globalized cap-
italism are found in the realm of ideas and not in the realm of data, and
that this is why its specific performances are always beyond discussion.
Bromley reminds us that capitalism is a system characterized by enor-
mous social inequalities. Paying more to those at the bottom of the
income scale is a ‘bad idea’ because it would make firms less competi-
tive; and paying less to those at the very top is also a ‘bad idea’ for the
same reason. In such system, therefore, incomes at the bottom always
tend to be the smallest possible, while those at the top always tend to
be the greatest. In addition, Bromley notes that the popular connection
between markets and freedom is much too simple: ‘As long as I must
sell or rent my labor power in order to acquire money with which to
eat, I am not free’. What is more, democracies cannot survive if they are
understood only in terms of the affirmation of the rights of individuals.
At the core of a true democracy must be found the correlated concept of
the duties – obligations – of all individuals. Finally, capitalism is charac-
terized by a political culture deeply rooted in ‘possessive individualism’
with all its deleterious consequences.
Implicitly bridging a gap between critical institutionalism and eco-
logical economics, Bromley says that contemporary capitalism blinds us
to its inequities and socioecological absurdities as we are being ‘crafted’
by its own institutional set-up. Capitalism does not aim at allocating
resources in a sustainable way or at maximizing social welfare. ‘Rather,
the privilege and honor of system design rests with those who have
controlled the dominant income and wealth positions in society.’ In
this context, the shortcomings of neoclassical economics may appear
as secondary compared to the general political commitment to global
capitalism. In fact, it turns out that ‘much mainstream economics is
nothing but apologetics for the reigning political Zeitgeist’.
Notes
1. In fact, Smith mentioned not only the positive aspects of the division of
labor; he also powerfully stressed the risk that ordinary workers doing repeti-
tive tasks would become ‘as stupid and ignorant as it is possible for a human
creature to become’ (Smith, [1776] 1937, 734).
2. Also called ‘classical’, ‘original’, ‘old’ or ‘American’ institutionalism.
3. Part of Walras’s preconceptions has explicitly been to prove that free compe-
tition generates a maximum of utility (Walras, 1898).
4. Joseph Schumpeter and John Maynard Keynes were certainly prime examples
of this, although their work did not provoke a paradigm shift in the sense
defined here (on the limits of Keynes’ critique, see Naredo, 2003, 339–49).
Introduction 25
Introduction
26
Towards the Integration of Knowledge 27
Approaches to integration
Analogy
Drawing analogies from other areas of knowledge has been important
in the synthesis of information. Historically, this has resulted in trans-
ferring concepts, methods and modes of thinking across disciplines.
Such use of analogies is particularly important when developing a
new area of research, such as ecological economics. As Kapp (1961, 51)
explains:
Thus, while there may be some potential for learning from ecological
analogies there is also much danger when they become dominant to
the neglect of the subject to hand, which is humanity in a human soci-
ety. For instance, the move towards evolutionary analogy runs the risk
of equating human behavior to some selfish genetic determinism or
seeing human systems as purely cyclical systems subject to biophysical
laws and nothing more. Where then is human volition? Neither physics
nor biology nor ecology will provide an explanation of human society.
Unity of science
The unification of science by logic and methodology was promoted
by the left wing of the Vienna Circle in their search for a logical and
empirical approach to understanding the world.1 This was pursued in
two distinct but connected ways. One was an analytical search for a
pure language by which scientific knowledge could be created free from
metaphysics, pursued by Rudolp Carnap. The other was Otto Neurath’s
idea of a more broadly conceived meta-theory of science that included
history and sociology of science and actively sought a place for social sci-
ence in the unified approach (O’Neill and Uebel, 2004, 78–9). Neurath
and Carnap edited The Encyclopaedia of Unified Science with Charles
Morris. Borrowing from Creath (2011) their respective positions can be
summarized as follows. Carnap’s call for unity of the language of sci-
ence is most simply understood as requiring that the various claims of
34 Clive L. Spash
Interdisciplinarity
Interdisciplinarity is something which requires skill and training
to achieve. Unfortunately, such training is rare, and the common
approach is to combine a set of disciplinary representatives to work on
a project who then proceed to talk past one another. This is more cor-
rectly termed a multidisciplinary approach and, in effect, is what we
find when unreconstituted mathematical models from ecology and
economics are linked together. Such multidisciplinarity never accepts
that different disciplines cannot be bound together in a report, and in
the literal sense this is correct, but unfortunately the report just lacks
any meaning beyond its separate perspectives. As there is no real inter-
action, there is no real potential for conflict, nor much hope of learning
something new. This approach is prevalent in ecological economics.
In addition, there is much reference to transdisciplinarity, although
not that much evidence of it being put into practice. The basic transdis-
ciplinary claim seems to be that, as well as interdisciplinary integration,
there should be some engagement with the lay public. The following
definition was given in the journal, Ecological Economics, after the
authors noted the lack of precision and understanding relating to the
term: ‘Transdisciplinarity means to reach out beyond science and to
include aspects of practical contexts and values or normative judgments
(sustainability, good-practice), as well as to feedback results into prac-
tical actions (politics, management)’ (Baumgartner et al., 2008, 387).
Now, this requires supporting a fact-value dichotomy, which I person-
ally reject for the social sciences as do others (Collier, 1998; Norton,
2003). More importantly, in the current context, this seems to rather
confuse methodology with method. Indeed, Baumgartner et al. note the
similarity to the recommended practice in post-normal science. Now,
that practice is aimed at addressing strong uncertainty in the context
of science–policy interactions and arises from a critique of normal sci-
ence. The blanket requirement for public engagement in all ecological
36 Clive L. Spash
economics research seems excessive and loses the reflection upon con-
textual need. Interdisciplinary research with the option of applying
methods (such as public participation) would be adequate and avoid
the loss and contentious claims falling under the unclear heading of
transdisciplinarity.
Another attempt at providing some substance to the idea of trans-
disciplinarity is that of Max-Neef (2005). He argues for a much more
metaphysical philosophical basis for the term and relates this to a hier-
archical structure of disciplinary knowledge and reality. His key concern
is to challenge the boundaries of knowledge set by modern Western
thought and open up the potential for ‘a logic capable of harmoniz-
ing reason with intuition and feeling’. However, the abstract reasoning
about a metaphysical unity leaves few straightforward messages in terms
of how to reach such an enlightened position. In contrast his diagram-
matic exposition offers a complex pyramid of disciplinary interactions
with highly contestable premises. For current purposes of seeking inte-
gration it does not appear that transdisciplinarity, as defined in these
attempts, offers much help or much that adds to interdisciplinarity.
Thus, we are left with interdisciplinary endeavor. This requires engag-
ing with different disciplines at a sufficient level to gain insight and
understanding of the potential interconnections, differing perspectives
and potential for synthesis. This may be undertaken by a group in which
disciplinary interactions and explanations regarding an object of study
or a problem lead to new, combined perspective or understanding. At
an individual level this might be simply training in one discipline and
then another, but with the proviso of integrating that combined knowl-
edge. As Kapp (1961, 51) noted, this can result in clarifying bounda-
ries and revealing limits to integration and realizing the potential for
no connection being possible, for example, due to different levels of
abstraction in concepts and/or different methods in addressing prob-
lems. Serious revision of former positions and beliefs on behalf of the
researcher must be accepted and openly embraced. Integration of social
inquiry requires adopting an integrative frame of mind and the impact
on individual psychology may relate to some of what Max-Neef dis-
cusses. The challenge of serious interdisciplinary research is certainly,
and foremost, a personal one.
Despite describing the potential of interdisciplinarity in positive
terms, Kapp was skeptical of how it would operate in practice. Actually,
there is no real questioning of the need for an interdisciplinary
approach; rather, the problem is how to make it effective and opera-
tional in achieving integration.
Towards the Integration of Knowledge 37
The requirement, then, is for means to aid the process. This is where
Kapp proposed the importance of finding integrating concepts.
still this should not distract from the content. The second conceptual
framework is ‘culture’, to cover the socioinstitutional aspects. Kapp was
aware of and warned against the danger of reducing this to a dichotomy
of the individual and society (or, say, actor/structure), and emphasized
the reality of interaction and fusion between the two. In recommend-
ing research on human nature and culture, Kapp warns against gener-
alizing from experimental research and prefers contextual study, but
also rejects cultural relativism. He explains in detail the importance of
culture in human development, but does not reject the ability to gener-
alize as to human nature, motivation and psychology.
Kapp believed the new focus on human nature and sociocultural
frameworks of knowledge would have far-reaching effects on research
in the social sciences. In particular, he explained this in terms of four
aspects: (a) orientation towards social context; (b) preoccupation with
social structure, social dynamics and cumulative causation; (c) accept-
ance of social indeterminacy and incomplete predictability; and (d) the
importance of real types and substantive analysis. In discussing these
aspects he raised issues such as non-linearities, emergent properties,
total systems analysis and uncertainty in knowledge formation. He
is against formalism and in favor of empirical testing and the role of
critique. He criticizes the focus on the logical implications of means–
ends relationships and rational choice.4 Instead, he recommends deal-
ing with actual problems of human behavior, human needs and social
processes (Kapp, 1961, 198). That is, the focus of our effort should be
on the problem of human interaction with, and dependence on, both
natural and cultural structures.
In rejecting a narrow disciplinary approach, the idea of specializa-
tion is not dismissed. Instead, a problem focus is recommended in
which different specialization can be brought together as needed by
the specific nature of the problem being addressed. Kapp regards the
most progressive disciplines investigating social structures and insti-
tutional interdependences as cultural anthropology, social psychology
and perhaps sociology (Kapp, 1961, 202). Yet, he recommends that the
social scientist who has decided to specialize in a particular problem
area ignores all traditional boundaries and masters the ideas and meth-
ods that happen to be most relevant (Kapp, 1961, 206). Such an inter-
disciplinary and integrative approach clearly requires a change in the
training of individuals and taking specialization in integrative studies
far more seriously than is evident today. There is also likely to be strong
resistance from traditional disciplines, and Kapp (1961) recognized the
potential for ongoing academic imperialism.
40 Clive L. Spash
So far I have outlined the arguments for integration and how that inte-
gration might proceed. In this section I return to reflecting upon the
state of play in ecological economics. Some mention has been made
of the attempts to integrate knowledge using analogies from systems
ecology and evolutionary biology. In addition, I outlined the tendency
to link ecology and economics in a multidisciplinary mode so no real
although no real integration occurs. Then there was mention of the
more pragmatic approach, which shows little concern for theory and
mainly focuses upon how messages from the natural sciences can best
be communicated to those holding political power. In order to explain
these disparate elements, I will refer to three groupings or camps: New
Resource Economists, New Environmental Pragmatists (Spash, 2009)
and Social Ecological Economists (Spash, 2011a), see figure 1.1.5 Note,
the size of the areas in this and the next diagram is not to be taken as
indicative of anything.
Interdisciplinary
Big Tent
New Resource
Economists New Environmental
Pragmatists
e.g., Ecological
Multidisciplinary Modernisation
Transdisciplinary
Figure 1.1 Ecological economics conceptualized as three camps and a ‘big tent’
Towards the Integration of Knowledge 41
New Resource Economists are those who basically accept most of the
doctrines of mainstream neoclassical economics. They do not want
any fundamental changes but are concerned that the formal models
be adjusted to take into account environmental issues such as eco-
system sustainability and resilience. Some ecologists/natural scien-
tists are happy to cooperate with this orthodox grouping and have no
interest in a more radical revision of economics or integration with
the broader social sciences. The lack of engagement by ecologists with
respect to fundamental messages outside mainstream economics has
a variety of explanations. There are some who agree with the self-
regulating market ideology and view the world as all about compe-
tition (whether in the market place or natural environment). Some,
such as wildlife and population ecologists, find the basic methodol-
ogy of optimization and formalism compatible with their approach
to ecology and so adopt a unity of method approach. A third, more
epistemological, driver is the belief that social sciences are merely a
means for conveying the natural scientists’ message which contains
an objective truth.
This last position can easily lead into pragmatism. Indeed, a few ecol-
ogists, claiming to have placed economic values on the environment,
have been known to acknowledge their lack of economic training as if
to signify that ‘anyone can do this stuff’. Social and economic research
is then regarded by such individuals as important because politicians
and the press listen, not because it is an important subject in itself
with its own contribution to make to knowledge and understanding.
These positions explain some, but not all, of those found in the New
Environmental Pragmatist camp.
Neither New Resource Economists nor the core of New Environmental
Pragmatists have any expectation of changing the underlying approach
or of disturbing disciplinary boundaries. Much that has been placed
under a title of ecological economics coming from economic–ecological
modeling goes along this route. This seems perfect for those who believe
their own discipline supplies the most important knowledge and all
that is required is to get the message across to the ‘other-side’. Simple
link variables can be constructed so the output of one model feeds some
basic information across the disciplinary divide.
Yet, there are some who are basically pragmatic but do recognize
the need for fundamental reform; they then cross over into Social
Ecological Economics. For example, the work on ecological footprints
can be seen as having roots going back to the physical accounting
and energy work of ecological utopians, which forms the prehistory
42 Clive L. Spash
Social Ecological
Economists New Environmental
Pragmatists
New Resource
Economists
Other Disciplines
Orthodox Economics
Conclusions
Notes
1. For more detail on the Vienna Circle see Uebel (2011).
2. Neurath was concerned to remove metaphysics for political reasons. That was
to move to a value-free social science to avoid the absolutist and totalitarian
enthusiasm in Germanic (and other) society. Among the problems, O’Neill
and Uebel (2008, 390) note: ‘There is a difference between rejecting moralis-
ing criticisms on the one hand and the attempt to eliminate any evaluative
vocabulary from the social sciences on the other’.
3. In this regard, Kapp references F.S.C. Northrop, ‘The Problem of Integrating
Knowledge and the Method of its Solution’, Proceeding of the Stillwater
Conference (Foundation for Integrated Education, 1950).
4. A means–ends framing and focus is something prevalent in economics since
Robbins, but also has appeared in ecological economics (see Daly and Farley,
2004).
5. These categories are part of ongoing work which, at the time of writing,
involves papers under submission to leading economics journals. Space
restrictions preclude a full exposition here.
2
The Fog of Economics
Robert U. Ayres
47
48 Robert U. Ayres
Worse, the US trade deficit is now huge and still growing as manu-
facturing has continued to move out of the United States. This deficit
is financed by (mostly) Asian purchases of US government bonds and
private assets. Long-term entitlements, such as Medicaid, Medicare and
Social Security are underfunded. (The idea that retirees are only receiv-
ing health benefits already paid for is wrong; current retirees will – on
average – receive several times more from Medicare than they have actu-
ally contributed.) The foreign investment in US government securities
was based largely on the perception of US financial stability and com-
paratively rapid economic growth. It allowed the US Federal Reserve
Bank to keep interest rates artificially low and thus to keep domestic
economic activity – much of it tied to imports – artificially high.
Most economists twenty years ago, or even five years ago, predicted
none of this. Nor does the standard economics paradigm suggest any
coherent program to resolve the global trade and financial imbalances.
The Keynesian solution – to grow the economy fast enough to bring
the debt (as a fraction of GDP) under control, while freezing spend-
ing levels – is not feasible if the economy is not growing, or not grow-
ing fast enough. The so-called ‘Washington consensus’, adopted by the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) some years ago for application to
developing countries, prescribes draconian cuts in spending to bal-
ance the government budget in exchange for bridge loans. But some
countries, including Greece and Ireland, have already run up debts that
can only be repaid out of revenues from totally unrealistic growth divi-
dends. In short, default seems inevitable.
It is suggested in some quarters that the answer must be for the bank
lenders, who were eager for the business, to share the pain when loans
have to be written off. Why should the bankers who made the unrepay-
able loans (and sold the bonds to insurance companies and pension
funds) be repaid in full by governments (i.e., taxpayers)? The bankers
say that for them to write off debt capital would wreck the entire finan-
cial system – as it nearly did in 2008. Fatalists increasingly suggest (in
whispers) that no cure is possible other than to print money and inflate
away the debt burden and start again. But inflation unfairly favors
existing borrowers at the expense of lenders – who then stop lend-
ing. Hyperinflation, such as Germany experienced in the early 1920s,
destroys fixed-interest financial assets (bonds) and impoverishes sala-
ried workers, small savers, merchants and small lenders (savings banks),
while leaving borrowers, landowners and resource-owners untouched.
European economic history records a depressingly large number of
The Fog of Economics 51
both the political process and the regulatory process. They are also the
people who have created the economic mess we are now facing.
The present reality is that – if nothing changes at the political level –
jobless recovery, if not renewed recession, is around the corner. The
United States is consuming far more of every resource, including energy,
than it really needs, and doing it much less efficiently than it could (or
than Europe or Japan). In short, the US economy is not only far from equi-
librium and far from optimal, it is even less sound (fundamentally) than the
economies of Europe and Japan, and much less so than the growing economy
of China. And nobody in the government, the halls of academe or in the
‘chattering classes’ is talking about this problem.
20
US GDP
15
10
SOLOW RESIDUAL
(TFP)
5
Cobb-Douglas
Figure 2.1 US gross domestic product (GDP) from 1900 to 2000; actual versus
3-factor Cobb-Douglas function
58 Robert U. Ayres
For the past hundred years or more TFP has increased at a relatively
steady and predictable rate each year, on average. Since 1986, some econ-
omists have sought to ‘endogenize’ the theory. One scheme was to relax
the usual condition of constant returns to scale (Romer, 1986; 1987).
Other schemes have tried to explain the growth of TFP, in terms of other
economic variables, usually ‘knowledge’ or ‘human capital’. So far, none
has succeeded particularly well, partly because there is no generally
accepted way to measure such variables, and partly for another reason
that I will explain shortly. Nevertheless, the assumption of continued
economic growth along the historical trajectory is almost universally
used in long-term forecasts. It is commonplace for conservative econo-
mists to say ‘our grand-children will be a lot richer than we are’, usually
to justify not spending money now on repairing environmental dam-
age, which the grandchildren will presumably find more affordable.
The other reason all attempts to endogenize the theory of growth
up to now have failed is quite simple. In the standard (Solow) model
of economic growth, energy plays no role or a minimal one. If energy
is treated as a factor of growth, in the usual formulation (a production
function) it must be included with the other two, more familiar, fac-
tors of growth, namely capital and labor. There is a theorem (taught in
standard textbooks) derived from the so-called ‘equilibrium conditions’,
which are mathematical conditions for maximizing profits or minimiz-
ing costs, in equilibrium (Mankiw, 1997). This theorem says (in words)
that the relative importance or ‘weight’ of each of the two or three (or
any number of) factors in terms of explaining past growth must be pro-
portional to its ‘cost share’ – or share of payments – in the GDP.2
It is a ‘stylized fact’ that labor costs typically accounted for about 70
percent of the US GDP and capital costs accounted for about 25 percent,
leaving around 5 percent for energy (until recently). This neat division
is a consequence of the fact that all monetary incomes are defined as
being either wages and salaries (for labor) or dividends, interest, royal-
ties or rents from capital. So where does energy enter the picture? If one
imagines that energy is a kind of capital, providing services analogous
to other capital services, then the payments to energy roughly coincide
with the payments to extractive industries (coal, oil, gas) plus payments
for hydroelectric power, nuclear power and so on. Agriculture and for-
estry should also be counted here, since they provide materials that
embody energy (food, feed, fuel-wood, etc.). The exact definitions do
not matter a lot, because however one defines this ‘energy sector’, it
only accounts for 5 percent or so of the costs in an Organisation for
Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) country. At least that
The Fog of Economics 59
was true when oil prices were around $35 per barrel. It follows that –
according to the cost share theorem – a 10 percent increase in energy
cost to the economy would only increase GDP by .5 of 1 percent, which
is fairly negligible. It implies that energy can be neglected in relation to
capital and labor. The trouble is that neglecting energy in this way results in
a theory of growth in which most of the growth is unexplained.
It happens, however, that the cost share theorem in question, in its
standard form, does not apply to the real economic system. The rea-
son is that the mathematical derivation assumes that capital, labor and
energy are all freely substitutable for each other, whereas in reality they
are not. To say it another way, the proof of the theorem demands that
any given level of output can be achieved with capital alone (no labor,
no energy) or with labor alone (no capital, no energy) or with energy
alone, and so forth. Obviously, these combinations are not possible:
capital, labor and energy (as fuels or electric power) must be combined
in certain proportions – by design – and only small substitutions are
possible in the short run, around this natural combination.
The mathematical implication of this basic fact about the economy is
that output elasticities need not be equal to cost shares, as macroecono-
mists have assumed for the past half century or more. In fact, when one
does all the calculations, using real data, it turns out that energy from
external sources now contributes several times more to output than its
cost share, whereas labor contributes correspondingly less (Kümmel et
al., 2010). (This implies, among other things, that energy is seriously
underpriced in the market, whereas labor is considerably overpriced, a
message most people understandably do not want to hear.)
This neglect of energy contradicts economic intuition in several ways.
Economic history suggests that increasing natural resource (energy)
input flows at ever-lower costs was, indeed, a major engine of past
growth. The declining costs of mechanical or electrical power (physical
work per unit of time) in relation to the rising wages of labor over the
decades have induced ever-increasing substitution of machines, mostly
consuming fossil hydrocarbon fuels, for human and animal muscles.
Moreover, declining costs induced rising demand for manufactured
goods (i.e., economic growth). Hence long-term replacement of muscle
work by mechanical, electrical and thermal work has been a key driver
of economic growth, especially since the industrial revolution. Most
people, other than economists, would agree with this assessment almost
without thinking. Economists mostly disagree because they have been
taught that the relative importance of the factors must be equal to their
respective ‘cost shares’ according to the theorem mentioned above.
60 Robert U. Ayres
US GDP (1900 = 1)
25
GDP estimate LINEX
15
10
PRE-WARE COBB DOUGLAS POST-WAR COBB DOUGLAS
alpha = 0.37 alpha = 0.51
beta = 0.44 beta = 0.34
5 gamma = 0.19 gamma = 0.15
0
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Year
Figure 2.2 Empirical and estimated US GDP from 1900 to 2000, excluding
1941–8 (source for empirical GDP: Timmer et al., 2005)
50
GDP estimate LINEX
40 GDP estimate Cobb-Douglas
Empirical GDP
30
20
PRE-WARE COBB DOUGLAS POST-WAR COBB DOUGLAS
alpha = 0.33 alpha = 0.78
beta = 0.31 beta = 0.03
10 gamma = 0.35 gamma = 0.25
0
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Year
Figure 2.3 Empirical and estimated Japan GDP from 1900 to 2000, excluding
1941–8 (source for empirical GDP: Timmer et al., 2005)
Notes
1. The phrase was attributed to Thomas Carlyle, allegedly inspired by the ‘dis-
mal’ conclusions of Thomas Malthus with regard to population.
2. There is a technical measure for relative importance, called ‘output elastic-
ity’. The output elasticity of each factor of production is the ratio of output
(GDP) increase (percent) obtained by increasing the input by 1 percent.
3
New Narratives for Sustainability:
The Red Pill for Economists
Mario Giampietro and Kozo Mayumi
64
New Narratives for Sustainability 65
8 550
5 350
4
250
3
150
2
1 Human population
50
Energy consumption
Years (A.D.) 200 500 800 1100 1400 1700 2000
of competition while eating only half the food calories they eat today
or producing only half the CO2 they produce today. In fact we know
that the metabolic rate of the body of a soccer player is determined by
the metabolic rate (and the relative size) of the various organs making
up a human being. That is, on average, within a human body 1.8 kg of
liver consumes 9.7 W/kg of energy, 1.4 kg of brain consumes 11.6 W/
kg of energy, 0.3 kg of heart consumes 21.3 W/kg, and 28 kg of muscles
consume a certain amount of food energy and emit a certain amount of
CO2. For this reason nobody would believe that a 50 percent cut in food
energy consumption by soccer players is possible, and nobody would
even think about such a policy, at least not for their favorite national
team.
However, many seem to take seriously the ambitious targets continu-
ously proposed and agreed upon at the various world conferences on
climate change (e.g., the last Earth summit in Copenhagen), that is,
reductions of 50, 70 and even 80 percent of the CO2 emissions of indus-
trialized countries, with a timeline of a few decades. Given the world-
wide public attention that these conferences draw, we may conclude
that there apparently is a generalized consensus on the idea that alter-
ing the metabolic pattern of complex socioeconomic systems is much
easier than altering the metabolic pattern of human organisms. We
66 Mario Giampietro and Kozo Mayumi
must also conclude that the most reputable economic advisors of the
most powerful governments keep sending their leaders to try to reach
agreements that are not even close to being feasible according to simple
biophysical realities, but that are defined purely on the basis of wishful
thinking.
Unfortunately, the analogy between the metabolism of the human
body and the metabolism of modern societies entails that these reduc-
tions are not possible. As illustrated in the case study presented below –
studying the metabolic pattern of EU14 countries in section 3 – the CO2
emissions of a country are directly related to its consumption of fossil
energy, which in turn is associated with the expression of key func-
tions required for its maintenance and reproduction. After acknowledg-
ing this point we are forced to realize that it is impossible to achieve
(Giampietro et al., 2011a; 2011b): (a) a dramatic reduction of the energy
consumption of modern societies without affecting negatively their
economic performance; (b) a smooth transition to alternative energy
sources in the short/medium terms.
In this chapter we argue that new narratives based on a sound recog-
nition of the biophysical constraints determining the option space of
societal must be adopted in order to fully understand the sustainability
predicament faced by humankind. Biased ideological statements and
unsound pseudoscientific assumptions about the unlimited power of
both ‘market’ and ‘human ingenuity’ will not help humankind to face
the daunting task of a quick and painless readjustment to new energy
and resource realities.
debt to the butcher. The butcher takes the $100 and runs down the
street to pay his debt to the pig farmer. The pig farmer then takes the
$100 and heads off to pay his debt to the supplier of feed and fuel.
The guy at the Farmer’s Co-op takes the $100 and runs to pay his
debt to the local prostitute, who has also been facing hard times and
has lately had to offer her “services” on credit. The hooker runs to
the hotel and pays off her debt with the $100 to the hotel proprietor,
paying for the rooms that she had rented when she brought clients to
that establishment. The hotel proprietor then lays the $100 bill back
on the counter so the rich traveller will not suspect anything. At that
moment the traveller from the East walks back down the stairs, after
inspecting the rooms. He picks up the $100 bill and states that the
rooms are not satisfactory. Pockets the money and walks out the door
and leaves town. No one earned anything. However the whole town
is now out of debt, and looks to the future with a lot of optimism.
This joke nicely exposes the risk of the current economic accounting
based on monetary flows, hiding the biophysical roots of the economic
process. For this reason it is useful to briefly trace back a series of his-
torical transitions in the functioning of the economic accounting that
led to such a situation.
Starting from mercantilist times, gold and silver were used as ‘money’
(from the Latin verb ‘monitorare’) to monitor the exchange of goods in
particular. Later on, printed money (fiat money) was also used. However,
the circulation of fiat money was coupled to a certain amount of gold
and silver reserves – according to a mandatory ratio between circulating
money and gold reserve. This situation lasted for a long period of time,
until the curve of the expansion of the world economy reached the
steeper part of exponential growth shown in figure 3.1. At that point,
it became inconvenient to maintain the gold standard because of the
dramatic increase in monetary flows associated with growing transac-
tions creating inflationary phases.
After printing a lot of paper money for the Vietnam War, President
Nixon had to declare the termination of the Bretton Woods agreement
on 15 August 1971 and abolished the mandatory requirement of a fixed
ratio between circulating money and gold reserves. In practical terms,
when looking at the mechanism making it possible to monitor ‘what is
going on’ in the economic process, this decision implied the following
transition:
private property has been much higher than the increase of GDP in this
community. The readers can immediately recognize that the magnitude
of monetary value that the financial market and the construction indus-
tries could create is not mapping on to any biophysical process. This is
confirmed by the fact that the share of the GDP of the construction sec-
tor is below 10 percent of the total GDP of the city of Madrid (data from
Madrid Economía, 2010).
To understand why this virtual creation of money is possible it is
instructive to know a subtle yet important distinction between ‘prop-
erty’ and ‘possession’ as suggested by Steiger (2008). The distinction is
ingeniously created by the institutions enhancing the role of property
rights that can produce an incredible boost in the value of the stock of
assets – that is, virtual money – which can later on be converted into
the circulation of actual money.
Going back to our story, this massive use of the credit leverage has
transformed our economic systems into yet another mechanism of
monitoring of monetary flows:
of virtual money into the economy –at the very same moment in which
the ‘real economy’ – the actual production of goods and services – is
reducing its biophysical basis of wealth. To repeat, this loss of monitoring
ability is taking place at the very moment in which we would need the
maximum power of biophysical monitoring, instead of monetary moni-
toring, to guide an economy to better use scarce natural resources. On
the contrary, with the existing confusion, those economic systems that
can generate the largest amount of debts are considered the ones with the
‘best’ economic performance, typified by the joke given at the beginning
of this section. It is not by chance that the concept of ‘financial leverage’
has been invented and elaborated upon within developed economies.
To conclude this section we can indicate a fourth virtual mechanism
of monitoring that can be associated with the provocative label of ‘Ponzi
scheme economics’ (a term suggested to us by Jesus Ramos-Martin).
the metabolic pattern, which entails a major lock-in against the possi-
bility of generating quick changes away from existing levels of produc-
tion and consumption of goods and services.
stop investing its own labor in the exploitation and call immigrants to do
the job. In fact, when exploiting reservoir A, society could pay the wages
of this additional labor by using part of the increased flow of grain.
Here, we end our metaphor, hoping that we made our point: peak oil
is not about the fact that we will soon run out of fossil energy. The situ-
ation of reservoir B is already in a clear ‘peak grain’ state, but it will last
much more than reservoir A. Reservoir A has a much shorter lifespan
than reservoir B, however, it can provide to the exploiters the tempo-
rary option to grow and obtain a better standard of living (a higher
level of consumption per capita for a larger number of people, but only
temporarily).
The crucial implication of peak oil is that after having reached a max-
imum fossil energy extraction pace, it becomes impossible for the world
economy to increase further the pace of consumption of energy carri-
ers. For this reason, peak oil will have a tremendous impact by shatter-
ing the set of ideological axioms which have been used thus far in the
perception of development strategies.
For almost a century, Western society has been permeated by an uncon-
tested perception that there is a direct relation among technological
progress, level of consumption and economic and social development.
However, the hidden factor making possible all these changes – the con-
tinuous increase in the rate of fossil energy consumption – has never
been clearly acknowledged. In fact, energy was not included in the clas-
sical list of aggregate production factors in economics! – for example,
Cobb and Douglas (1928).
As illustrated by our analysis of the changes in the metabolic pattern
of modern societies (Giampietro and Mayumi, 2009; Giampietro et al.,
2011a; 2011b), the continuous economic growth experienced in the last
two centuries has been possible because of the intense exploitation of
stock-flow type of primary energy sources (figure 3.1). So far, within
this trend the exploitation of oil has never reached a peak – an exter-
nal constraint preventing additional increase in consumption. On the
other hand, internal constraints – that is, not having enough technical
capital, not having enough skilled laborers – were the limiting factors
to increased consumptions. As a matter of fact, also in recent times
(after the Kyoto Protocol, so to speak) the aggregate consumption of
exosomatic energy at the world level has kept growing, and this growth
has been based on an increasing consumption of fossil energy, as shown
in figure 3.2.
We believe that peak oil is something real and in fact is already here
(Campbell and Laherrère, 1998; Campbell, 2005) to the point that
76 Mario Giampietro and Kozo Mayumi
8. geotherm
6
9. sun, wind & other
5
4 2.
3.
3
4.
2
5.
1 6.
7.
0 8.9.
1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 2025
Year
Figure 3.2 So far the pace of consumption of fossil energy has always been
growing
(a)
Level n: WORLD Level n: WORLD
fossil energy
consumption fossil energy consumption p.c.
per capita
EMRSA
THA THA
population population
(b)
Barrels per person per year
5.5
4.5
3.5
3
19 5
19 7
19 9
19 0
73
19 5
19 7
19 9
19 1
19 3
19 5
87
19 9
19 1
93
19 5
97
20 9
20 1
20 3
20 5
20 7
09
6
6
6
7
7
7
7
8
8
8
8
9
9
0
0
0
0
19
19
19
19
19
Figure 3.3 After reaching a situation of peak oil, an increase in human popu-
lation entails reducing oil consumption per capita (after Ramos-Martin et al.,
2007; data based on BP, 2010b)
After reaching a situation of peak oil, the overall area (sum of the rec-
tangles referring to the various clusters of countries) must remain con-
stant. Any increase in the rate of oil consumption of a given country
above the world average must be offset by a corresponding decrease
in the rate of oil consumption in some other countries. In general we
can envision the possibility of a major reshuffling of socioeconomic
organization at the world level that will lead to alternative metabolic
patterns of energy, plausibly quite different from the ones expressed
so far, unless we discover some ‘unknown’ adequate primary energy
resource having the same quality and quantity as does oil.
Looking at the ‘winners and losers’ seeking for a larger share of the
produced oil, we can see from figure 3.4b that starting the year 2005
the OECD countries are losing the battle. Not only are they no longer
increasing their share of consumption, but they are not even able to
keep up their previous share.
(a)
Level n-1: clusters of countries Level n-1: clusters of countries
EMRSA
?
(b)
90
80 Trends in oil consumption
Million barrels per day
70
60
50 All Other
40
FSU* * Former Soviet Union
30 OECD
20
10
0
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
Figure 3.4 After reaching a situation of peak oil, an increase in oil consumption
of some countries must lead to a reduction in oil consumption of others (after
Ramos et al., 2007; data based on BP, 2010a)
New Narratives for Sustainability 79
The discussion above is the reason why the large expansion of eco-
nomic activity can be explained by an autocatalytic loop between: (a)
stock-flow exploitation, and (b) a continuous increase in indebtedness
of the economy. By making debt one can justify the use of more fossil
energy, and using more fossil energy makes it possible to make more
debt. In economic jargon, this interplay between fossil energy and debt
is given the misleading label of ‘leverage’.
As already stated we believe that we are close to peak oil situation
(http://www.aspousa.org/), that means that: (a) it is unreasonable to
expect that oil production will surpass the mark of 90/100 million bar-
rels per day at the global level; (b) it is reasonable to expect that after
the peak, the rate of production will slowly decrease in time due to the
progressive reduction of the quality of the reserves.
In 2008, the consumption of oil has been fluctuating around 85 mil-
lion barrels per day, which made the market very nervous about a pos-
sible future mismatch between demand and supply. This may explain
the increase in price in 2008 of more than $100 per barrel within just
a few months. So, even if we cannot exactly know when peak oil has
been or will be reached, we can safely say that we are close to the situa-
tion illustrated by the exploitation of reservoir B in the example given.
We may remain with oil in the ground for a long period because the
economic demand may drop dramatically when the oil will become
too expensive, but it is very unlikely that, at the world level, we will
experience major increases in the levels of consumption beyond those
experienced in the year 2008.
If this is true, then the narrative of an expanding pie (perpetual
growth) is no longer a valid one and therefore humankind, as a whole,
is getting into a situation which can be characterized as a ‘zero-sum
game’: if someone eats a larger share of the pie, someone else will have
to eat less – let alone dealing with the amount of pie already eaten
on credit, that will never be given back! In this situation, it becomes
increasingly difficult to find win–win solutions for a global economy.
Indeed, there is a potential and serious risk that a rapid expansion of
the market through uncontrolled globalization will increase the con-
nectedness of socioeconomic interactions to a point that will accelerate
conflicts over limiting resources.
Productive Sector
800
700
500
France PS, 1992
Netherlands PS, 1992
400
Germany PS, 1992
Denmark PS, 1992
Greece PS, 1992 UK PS, 1992
300
Figure 3.5 Values of EMR and ELP for the Productive Sectors of EU14 countries
82 Mario Giampietro and Kozo Mayumi
● at the level n, the average values for whole countries are included in
the range of EMR SA: 10 – 40 MJ/h; and ELPSA (GDP/h): 1.1 – 3.5 €/h;
● at the level n-1, the average values for the HH sector are included in
the range of EMR HH: 2 – 8 MJ/h (the system of accounting does not
attribute any sectoral GDP to HH)
● at the level n-2, the average values for the PS sector are included in the
range of EMR PS: 130 – 1000 MJ/h; and ELPPS: 8 – 55 €/h;
● at the level n-2, the average values for the SG sector are included in
the range of EMR SG: 30 – 100 MJ/h; and ELPSG: 12 – 42 €/h;
● at the level n-3, the average values for the AG sector are included in
the range of EMR AG: 10 – 450 MJ/h; and ELPAG: 3 – 29 €/h.
GERMANY
1992–2005
Level n-2
300
whole
50
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Level n
Lin
SPAIN
1992–2005
Spain PS, 1992
whole
Level n
Continued
New Narratives for Sustainability 85
350
UK
1992–2005
UK PS, 1992
300
250
200
UK PW, 1992
150
whole
50
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Level n
Lin
350
Lin
IRELAND
1992–2005
!
300
Figure 3.6 The benchmark values of four countries typical of the metabolic
pattern (across levels) of EU14 countries
of sustainability. On the other hand, we are pretty sure that most peo-
ple in the Netherlands and Bangladesh, whether rich or poor, are wor-
ried about this event: they are likely to put climate change among their
most important environmental threats for fear of a future rise in sea
level.
A quick look at available information about these points seems to
confirm our strong belief: (a) Gallup polls (2009) conducted in 127
countries in 2007 and 2008 revealed that a third of the world popu-
lation had never heard of global warming; public awareness of global
warming tends to be high in developed countries and low in developing
countries; (b) a poll by the Pew Research Center (2009) on the effect of
the economic crisis on the perception of priorities over political issues
in the United States indicated that when facing a crisis the economy
and employment trump all other policy priorities: global warming
was ranked last in the list of 20 possible priorities; (c) the findings of a
Gallup poll (2010) ranked the perceived threats to the future well-being
of the United States as follows: terrorism, federal government debt, the
excessive size of the central government, illegal immigration, health-
care costs, unemployment, wars in Iraq/Afghanistan, the size and power
of large corporations, discrimination against minority groups and the
environment (including global warming). Starting from the year 2010
the category of ‘climate change’ had to be merged with another cat-
egory, ‘the environment’, in order to remain among the relevant issues;
(d) lasting a poll by the Rasmussen Reports (2011) about ‘questions of
importance of issues’, the category ‘climate change’ was dropped alto-
gether; it is not even included among the relevant issues to be ranked
any more.
Taking into consideration that people of different ages and back-
grounds living in different places on this planet do express a different
storytelling about priorities in relation to sustainability, how does one
decide which are the main preoccupations of humankind? For example,
even in developed countries, we believe that the majority of the read-
ers of this chapter, if younger than 30, will not receive a decent pen-
sion when reaching retirement age. Should these young people be more
worried about this fact or about the rise in sea level in 2100? Since our
personal opinion is fairly irrelevant, whose personal opinion should be
considered as relevant and how?
In relation to this point we want to make a special remark about the
narrative proposed by the economists: addressing the problem of cli-
mate change by calculating the right price of CO2 emissions in order
to generate optimizing policies. The acceptance of this narrative makes
90 Mario Giampietro and Kozo Mayumi
them a very valuable group of social actors in the discussions over sus-
tainability. In fact, accepting this narrative means agreeing that society
has a problem – excessive accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere – that
economists can solve. Such a solution can only be obtained by those
capable of calculating the ‘right’ price per ton of CO2. This economic
narrative is well known: since the market can solve any problem, what
we have to do is to rely on those experts capable of calculating the right
prices. However, to achieve this goal there are three pieces of infor-
mation which are absolutely necessary: (a) how much additional tons
of CO2 can be dumped into the atmosphere before generating serious
damage; (b) what would be a fair share of emissions to be allocated
to each of the countries affected by such a regulation. This decision
should be made after considering that they have different population
size, levels of economic development, histories, geographic and climatic
conditions; and (c) the anticipated negative effect on the economic per-
formances of the various countries of the world that a given level of
taxation on CO2 emissions would imply. Many scientists (economists
and non-economists) are pretty sure that none of these three pieces of
information is knowable, let alone known in substantive terms (Spash,
2010). However, this skepticism did not prevent the acceptance of this
modeling strategy as a valid policy option in the international arena for
the implementation of a regulatory scheme. Let us imagine that we had
a perfect climate treaty. ... Power is about being able to impose your favorite
narratives.
We believe that the obsessive-compulsive attitude toward climate
change prevents serious deliberation over the unsustainability of the
current pattern of economic growth. A well-known human strategy to
cope with stress is about transforming a complex phenomenon, requir-
ing reflexivity, into a simple technical problem, which can be fixed using
a ‘silver bullet’ solution (e.g., finding the right price of a ton of CO2).
Human beings tend to naturally experience anxiety when facing com-
plex and pressing problems, such as sustainability problems. Anxiety
typically follows from the fact that sustainability problems require
reflexivity in the process of decision making. Indeed, a real semiotic
process entails questioning the validity of our own identity within the
semiotic process and changing it if necessary. To deal with the anxiety
the problem invokes, human beings have developed defense mecha-
nisms (or coping strategies) that go from the total denial of the existence
of problems too complex to be handled, to the by-default assumption
that any type of problem can be handled by simple technological fixes
(Ravetz, 1971). In the latter strategy, the tension is conveniently shifted
New Narratives for Sustainability 91
Conclusion
At the beginning of the famous 1999 film The Matrix, the protagonist is
asked whether he is willing to take the ‘red pill’, capable of showing him
the painful truth of reality, or the ‘blue pill’, allowing him to remain
within the blissful simulation of reality that the establishment wants
him to see. Since then, the ‘red pill’ concept symbolizes the possibility
92 Mario Giampietro and Kozo Mayumi
Studying the wisdom of nature we can learn that for millions of years
natural ecosystems have developed wise strategies for coping with the
interaction of different communities sharing limited resources. The
natural solution is ‘niche differentiation’, that is, modulating wisely the
level of connectedness of interacting systems by generating heteroge-
neous metabolic patterns that avoid direct competition for common
resources. According to this wisdom, naïve strategies for a globalized
economy realized by imposing a common pattern of economic activi-
ties should be considered as a step in the wrong direction. Probably, the
world economy should learn from the wisdom of nature.
4
Social Metabolism, Environmental
Cost-Shifting and Valuation
Languages
Joan Martínez-Alier
Introduction
94
Social Metabolism and Languages of Valuation 95
and political ecology. Or, rather, one can go one step forward and draw
on the ‘activist knowledge’ of the environmental justice organizations
to compile inventories and statistics of conflicts on oil extraction, min-
ing or biomass, not forgetting, however, that while conflict often signals
injustice, many injustices do not immediately produce open conflicts.
Varieties of environmentalism
Activists in many countries understand and use the concept of the ‘envi-
ronmentalism of the poor’. Thus, in India (which is its cradle), Sunita
100 Joan Martínez-Alier
The year 2010 was a loud year for the environment. High profile
projects – from Vedanta to Posco and Navi Mumbai airport and now
Lavasa – hit the headlines for non-compliance with environmental
regulations. While 2009 was the 25th anniversary of the Bhopal gas
tragedy, it was only last year that we were all outraged by the disaster.
The realisation of how every institution – the judiciary, Parliament
and government – had miserably failed to provide justice to the vic-
tims shocked us deeply. ... Then in December, meeting in Cancun, the
world took the final step to deny the problem of climate change. It
agreed to do nothing to reduce its emissions – at the scale and pace
needed. The question is what is the cacophony adding up to. Where
is it leading us? ... It would not be wrong to say that virtually all infra-
structure and industrial projects – from mining to thermal and hydel
and nuclear power to cement or steel – are under attack today from
local communities who fear loss of livelihoods. These communi-
ties today are at the forefront of India’s environmental movement.
They are its warriors. But for them environment is not a matter of
luxury – fixing the problems of growth, but of survival – fixing
growth itself ... This is what I have called the environmentalism of the
poor. ... The question is where do we go from here? ... This can be done
through the strengthening of all the processes of democracy that
make us ensure that local people have a voice in development. For
instance, the Forest Rights Act demands that the gram sabha (village
assembly) in tribal areas must give its written consent to the project
before it is cleared. ... In most cases you will find the concern raised by
people is pushed aside as projects are rammed through in the name
of industrial development. This must stop. ...
and builds on the premise that the fights for human rights and envi-
ronment are inseparable. From the resistance, new institutions arise.
The successful anti gold-mining movements in Tambogrande, Peru, and
Esquel, Argentina, around 2000 (Urkidi and Walter, 2011), appealed to
local democracy and imposed a new institution, the local referendum
or public consultation, which allows the expression of values that would
otherwise remain hidden.
The environmentalism of the poor relates to actions and concerns
in situations where the environment is a source of livelihood. This is
reinforced by other values, such as the defense of indigenous territorial
rights (appealing to Convention 169 of ILO), or the claim to the sacred-
ness of particular elements of nature (a mountain, a forest, or even a
tree). When livelihood is threatened, those affected will be motivated
to act provided that there is a sufficient degree of democracy and they
are not suffocated by fear as is often the case. Indeed, a clean and safe
environment is a need for all humans rather than a luxury good.
We have always been ready to cope with everything, and now more
than ever, but they want to humiliate us because we are black, because
102 Joan Martínez-Alier
we are poor, but one does not choose the race into which one is born,
nor does one choose not to have anything to eat, not to be ill. But I am
proud of my race and of being conchera because it is my race that gives
me strength to do battle in defence of what my parent were, and my
children will inherit; proud of being conchera because I have never sto-
len anything from anyone, I have never taken anybody’s bread from
his mouth to fill mine, because I have never crawled on my knees
asking anybody for money, and I have always lived standing up. Now
we are struggling for something which is ours, our ecosystem, but not
because we are professional ecologists but because we must remain
alive, because if the mangroves disappear, a whole people disappears,
we all disappear, we shall no longer be part of the history of Muisne,
we shall ourselves exist no longer. ... I do not know what will happen
to us if the mangroves disappear, we shall eat garbage in the outskirts
of the city of Esmeraldas or in Guayaquil, we shall become prostitutes,
I do not know what will happen to us if the mangroves disappear. ...
We think, if the camaroneros who are not the rightful owners never-
theless now prevent us and the carboneros from getting through the
lands they have taken, not allowing us to get across the esteros, shout-
ing and shooting at us, what will happen next, when the government
gives them the lands, will they put up big “Private Property” signs,
will they even kill us with the blessing of the President?
Note that concheras are women who collect shellfish, for selling, but
also for subsistence. Camaroneros are the owners of the shrimp farms
(camarón being the shrimp). Carboneros are charcoal makers. Concheras
get across esteros (the swamps) by boat to get to the mangroves and
collect the shells at low tide. Again, this is a conflict on the HANPP,
the human appropriation of biomass. The shrimp industry destroys the
mangroves at least for some decades.
In many conflicts of resource extraction or waste disposal, the local
poor people (indigenous or not) are often on the side of conservation,
not so much because they are self-conscious environmentalists, but
because of their livelihood needs and their cultural values. I now sum-
marize an account by Valeria Pacheco (for Agence France Press) of a visit
to Rumipampa in Orellana, Ecuador, a few days after the court decision
against Chevron Texaco of 14 February 2011 (Pacheco, 2011). Pacheco
tells her readers that she met Maria Aguinda, who
has no legal training, and doesn’t speak the Spanish that dominates
government in Quito but indigenous villager Maria Aguinda helped
bring a landmark judgment against US oil giant Chevron for polluting
Social Metabolism and Languages of Valuation 103
the rain forest she calls home. The diminutive grandmother whose
modest home sits near marshes clogged for decades in sticky oil has
been at the heart of the David-and-Goliath case, and spoke out after
Chevron was slapped last week with a $9.5-billion fine, among the
heaviest ever handed down for environmental damage. “Before I die
they have to pay me for the dead animals, and for what they did to the
river, and the water and the earth”, the 61-year-old Aguinda told AFP
at her home in Rumipamba. ... Texaco operated in the area between
1964 and 1990, and was bought in 2001 by Chevron, which inher-
ited Texaco’s legal nightmare. “Maria Aguinda et al.” are the open-
ing words of the suit launched in 1993 on behalf of 30,000 residents
of Orellana and Sucumbios provinces, in which they charge Texaco
dumped billions of gallons of toxic crude during its operations, foul-
ing rivers, lakes and soil and causing cancer deaths in indigenous
communities. Aguinda said she believes her husband and two of his
10 children died from effects of the pollution. ... “When Texaco came
we never thought they would leave behind such damage, never. Then
it began to drill a well and set up burn pits”, she said, helped in trans-
lation by her son William Grefa. “It changed our life: hunting, fish-
ing, and other food, it’s all finished”. ... “If someone comes here from
Texaco” he’ll get “pepper in his eyes”, she winced. A strong petroleum
smell permeates Rumipamba, home to nine families, some of whom
complain of headaches. Several areas of Sucumbios are also contami-
nated, according to the plaintiffs, who argue that merely sinking a
shovel into the ground yields a thick layer of crude.
Social metabolism
Conclusion
the American Economic Review (1955), K.W. Kapp complained that the
controversy initiated by Neurath, von Mises and Max Weber became
sidetracked in various attempts to calculate the prices of productive
factors, and in Oskar Lange’s later elaboration of a theoretical model
of competitive socialism in which managers of collectivized factories
would adjust production to the equality of marginal cost and marginal
revenue.
The Socialist Calculation Debate was really about incommensurability
of values. Neurath dismissed methodological individualism in his dis-
cussion of the intergenerational allocation of resources. It is institutions
that articulate values, as Vatn (2005) has more recently explained.
As if anticipating current controversies on the economics of climate
change, K.W. Kapp put it in crystal clear terms when he wrote:
goes simply to compensate for the loss of free resources that are no
longer available because of environmental disruption and sometimes
because of displacement. Successful cost-shifting at zero or low price is
the rule.
Economic growth as measured by GDP often implies the destruction
of ‘natural capital’, human capital (including the many languages which
are being lost), and social capital (as the generalized market system takes
over). Economic growth implies the loss of some capabilities, while oth-
ers are gained. The balance cannot be drawn in monetary terms as in
a profit-and-loss account or a cost-benefit analysis. It would require a
multi-criteria approach able to cope with incommensurable values.
Such issues are rediscovered time and again. In an attempt to calcu-
late the economic cost of various environmental assaults on the poor,
Gundimeda, Kumar and Sukhdev came up with the notion of the GDP
of the poor, later incorporated into the UNEP project The Economics of
Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB) (Kumar, 2010). In national income
accounts, one could introduce valuations of ecosystem and biodiversity
losses either in satellite accounts (physical and monetary) or in adjusted
GDP accounts. But neither method guaranteed an adequate representa-
tion. The valuation of losses might be low compared to the economic
gains from mining or hydroelectric projects that destroy biodiversity, or
it could come in other units of measurement not so visible socially as is
money. However, the most significant beneficiaries of forest biodiver-
sity and ecosystem services are the rural poor and indigenous popula-
tions the world over, and the predominant impact of a loss or denial of
these environmental products and services is on the well-being of the
poor. The poverty of the beneficiaries makes these losses more immedi-
ately acute as a proportion of their livelihood and incomes than is the
case for other populations.
When analyzing socioeconomic history or when tracing scenarios of
future development, the reductionism of neoclassical economics implies
the sacrifice of such other relevant perspectives. There is a common
ground linking social history, economic history and environmental
history, between ecological economics and political ecology, between
sustainability science and environmental sociology. It lies in the rela-
tion between the increasing social metabolism of human economies
pushed by population and economic growth, the resulting ecological
distribution conflicts among human groups, and then the different lan-
guages of valuation deployed historically and currently by such groups
when they reaffirm their rights to use the environmental services and
products in dispute.
Social Metabolism and Languages of Valuation 109
Introduction
For good reasons, many scientists think that the royal road to wisdom
is further specialization and corresponding reduction. Jon Elster (2007,
259), for instance, argued that reduction is at the heart of progress in sci-
ence. But for good reasons also, some think that integration is as impor-
tant as differentiation and reduction (Neurath, 1946; Braudel, 1958;
Piaget, 1970). In the history of economic thought, K. William Kapp was
a powerful voice defending the integration of economics with other sci-
entific disciplines. With Myrdal (1932) and Georgescu-Roegen (1966),
he argued that ‘there are no purely economic problems’ and conse-
quently that ‘there can be no legitimate boundary lines which separate
economic analysis from the allied and related fields of social [and eco-
logical] investigations’ (Kapp 1961, 201). It is this integrative approach –
especially between ecological and critical institutional economics – that
we also follow in the present chapter. Few economists are working along
these lines today but notable exceptions include Bromley (1991), Fischer-
Kowalski (Fischer-Kowalski and Haberl, 2007), Foster (2011), Gowdy
(1994), Hodgson (1993), Hornborg (1998), Jacobs (1994), Krall (Krall and
Klitgaard, 2011), Martínez-Alier (2002), Max-Neef (2005), Naredo (2003),
Norgaard (1994), O’Connor (1998), O’Hara (2006), O’Neill (2007),
Paavola (Paavola and Adger, 2005), Sachs (1997), Söderbaum (2008),
Spash (2011a), Swaney (1990), Tsuru (2000) and Vatn (2005).
Within the open systems approach common to these two schools of
heterodox economics, the economy is always seen as embedded in its
social and ecological context. Our question is: what are the meanings
111
112 Rolf Steppacher and Julien-François Gerber
reproduction, often in great detail: who has the right to use what kind
of resources, with whom, for what purposes, for how long, under which
condition of pollution. They are symbolized by the land and actualized
by the concrete material yield of production.
In contrast, property is a historical ‘oddity’ reborn in early modern
England (Brenner, 2009) and exists in addition to possession.2 Property –
whether individual or collective – is characterized by the emission of
property titles which allow a new economic potential: property rights
are de jure claims which entitle their holders to the intangible capaci-
ties of (a) burdening property titles in issuing money against interest;
(b) encumbering titles as collateral for obtaining money as capital; (c)
alienating or exchanging titles, including sale and lease; and (d) enforc-
ing credit obligations by state forces. Property rights are symbolized
by the fence around the land and actualized as the security of a legal
property title enabling the development of modern credit relations. As
much as the sharecropper represents a system based on possession, the
shareholder is a central figure in the property system.
In fact, the modern institution of property entails both potentials:
a possession as well as a property aspect. Both potentials can be actu-
alized in parallel: it is, for instance, possible to inhabit or to rent a
house – which corresponds to the possession aspect of what is usually
referred to as ‘property’ – and at the same time to encumber it as col-
lateral for obtaining money, thereby using the property aspect of this
‘property’. Yet, the fact that both potentials can be actualized at the
same time must not let us overlook that the logics of the two levels are
very different.
As Hernando de Soto (2000, 47–8) points out, property fixes the
economic potential of assets, which means that ‘a formal property
representation such as a title is not a reproduction of “a thing”, like
a photograph, but a representation of our concepts about’ the thing.
‘Specifically, it represents the non-visible qualities that have potential
for producing value.’ Focusing on the title of a house and not on the
house itself means entering an abstract conceptual world. It is concen-
trating ‘on the economic potential ... by filtering out all the confusing
lights and shadows of its physical aspects and its local surroundings’.
This abstraction allows creative thoughts of alternative futures, yet at
the same time implies a Faustian bargain (Binswanger, 1985). Indeed,
from an ecological viewpoint, the economic use of property titles
allows proprietors to view resources, production, waste and pollution
disconnected from the actual ecological and social conditions and to
make them live a disembedded ‘life’ as capital. Property thus entails the
capacity of transforming resources, goods, services and even pollution,
114 Rolf Steppacher and Julien-François Gerber
into commodities and assets subject to sale, rent and other contractual
arrangements. It is this strength of abstraction of many ecological and
social conditions that enables the realm of the financial world.
By allowing accumulation without previous savings, property –
through modern credit relations – represents the core institution of capi-
talism and can be seen as its institutional driving force. Incidentally, the
centrality of credit was also acknowledged by Veblen (1904), Commons
(1924) and Schumpeter ([1911] 1934), all of whom explicitly character-
ized capitalism as being fundamentally a ‘credit economy’. We shall see
next what the related, far-reaching consequences of this are.
Differentiated pressures
It is the property aspect of what is referred to as ‘property rights’ –
that is, the potential to enter into credit relations as a creditor and
as a debtor – that best defines the economic rationality of capitalism.
Once an economic agent has engaged his or her property as collat-
eral in a credit contract, the implications of indebtedness defines the
entire hierarchy of economic decision-making and the valuation proc-
ess associated with it. It is not only that a property-based economy
allows for growth, it also imposes growth as a result of the conditions
of credit (Binswanger, 2006). This idea was already captured by Karl
Marx (1858, 416) – who wrote that ‘the entire credit system ... rests on
the necessity of expanding and leaping over the barrier to circulation
and the sphere of exchange’ – and by Veblen (1904, 96) who pointed
out that ‘under the regime of competitive business whatever is gen-
erally advantageous becomes a necessity for all competitors. Those
who take advantage of the opportunities afforded by credit are in a
position to undersell any others who are similarly placed in all but
this respect’. For this reason, Veblen argued that credit becomes a key
condition for economic survival and growth in a market environment
(Griethuysen, 2010).
Money created in a credit contract is expressed as a money of account,
a standard defined by the creditor. The contract defines the level of
interest to be paid, the time period within which the loan has to be
refunded with interest, and the collateral acceptable as security. The
combined effect of these conditions defines the specific economic
pressures that prevail in property-based economies: (a) the pressure
for exponential growth imposed by interest, (b) the proverbial time
pressure imposed by the period for which the credit is granted, and (c)
the pressure to improve monetary cost-benefit conditions in order to
Meanings and Significance of Property 115
Chronic poverty
Poverty – or, better said, relative poverty – remains globally chronic
despite decades of growth and numerous international programs to
combat it. According to many indicators, poverty is still dramatic for a
very large part of the world population and inequality is continuing to
increase, as it has done in the past: according to the IMF (2008), income
inequality has increased in virtually all regions of the world over the
past two decades. This fact confirms the old institutional economics
proposition that circular causation within asymmetrical structures
results in cumulative effects, including growing inequalities, if left to
its self-organizing principles, particularly markets.
It is often said that in order to ‘develop’, and to ‘overcome poverty’,
informal possession has to be transformed into formal property (Soto,
2000; Steiger, 2006). One can easily agree that the introduction of prop-
erty rights is of fundamental importance for market-oriented develop-
ment (allowing investment without previous savings, the abstraction
from the actualized form of an economic situation, the stabilization of
the monetary system, etc.). Many neoclassical economists would not
hesitate to confirm this point, arguing that it is in conformity with
their standard proposition of privatization (World Bank, 1975). The lat-
ter, as generally understood in economics, means a shift from common
or state ‘property’ – in fact often possession3 – in favor of the private
property rights of already wealthy minorities within the formalized
sector. There can be little doubt that such privatization processes have
been, and can be, an important means to shape and expand the devel-
opment of elites and emerging middle classes by harnessing its capitali-
zation potential (see, e.g., Lastarria-Cornhiel, 1997).
However, what Soto (2000) and Steiger (2006) have suggested is very
different from standard privatization. It is meant to be the stabilization/
protection of the existing possession rights of large numbers of small
producers within the informal sector through formal property rights,
Meanings and Significance of Property 119
Peak oil
Given the specific pressures imposed by property (growth, time pres-
sure, cost efficiency and favorable institutional conditions), how can
economic actors respond to these pressures in real production proc-
esses rather than in abstract thinking? What kinds of technology and
resources best satisfy these economic imperatives? Since the ‘thermo-
industrial revolution’ (Grinevald, 1990), characterized by the combina-
tion of heat engines, machines, fossil fuels and mineral resources, the
economic imperatives of the logic of property can relatively easily be
satisfied. In fact, thermo-industrial technologies are still what our his-
torical situation is all about and this is the reason why today’s peak oil
situation is so crucial.
Peak oil is an abbreviation for ‘maximum worldwide production rate’
of oil. For some decades, exploration yielded easily accessible reserves
that increased more rapidly than the depletion of stocks; but with peak
oil, the situation changes radically. Currently, the average rate of oil
consumption/production is around 85 million barrels per day and
many believe that there is little current surplus capacity – some even
estimate that we have today already reached the peak (Campbell and
Laherrère, 1998; Duncan, 2003; Aleklett, 2006). Given the facts that our
economies are so dependent on oil and that all the alternatives that we
know have essentially low energy-return on investment (EROI; see Hall
et al., 1986), the human economic system is bound to change radically,
or even collapse, during the next few decades (ASPO, 2008).
Mineral resources (the economically most important category of non-
renewable resources), compared with biotic resources (representing all
122 Rolf Steppacher and Julien-François Gerber
Table 5.1 Mineral and biotic resources in relation to property and possession.
Institutional regimes
Property Possession
Conclusion
The potential of property to abstract from reality is one of the deep rea-
sons why credit-based economic activities are so attractive to many peo-
ple: like science or arts, it allows transcending actualized forms of the
124 Rolf Steppacher and Julien-François Gerber
in which alternatives have not been available for decades at the level of
non-capitalist principles guided by the possession aspect of ‘property’.
In order to be sustainable, the latter aspect will necessarily imply some
form of ‘degrowth’ in rich countries (Martínez-Alier et al., 2010; Kallis,
2011).
Mainstream economic theory has neither established the constitutive
importance of the property aspect of ‘property’ nor the entropic nature
of its possession aspect. These two aspects are mixed up in one notion
(‘property’), hiding the fact that there are very different economic prin-
ciples behind them. The general confusion between property and pos-
session, and the rarely understood differences between mineral and
biotic resources, have opened the way for more or less naïve discourses
on ‘sustainable development’. Theoretical alternatives need a garden-
like thinking approach, reflected in terms of complementarities – as
shown in organic farming or industrial ecology – between international
relations and local solutions. Therefore, a new theory integrating eco-
logical and critical institutional economics is badly needed but has no
chance of succeeding without:
Much in the same way as the logic of the garden has been replaced by
monoculture fields, the diversity and complexity of economic think-
ing from different paradigms has gone rare, endangered or extinct. The
time has now come to build a unified alternative paradigm in econom-
ics, yet we are fully aware that generations of critical economists before
us have already hoped this to happen.
126 Rolf Steppacher and Julien-François Gerber
Notes
1. Heinsohn and Steiger are not the first authors to make such a distinction (see
Hegel, 1821; Proudhon, 1840); but they are the first to link it with interest
and money. Soto (2000) develops comparable ideas, while Steppacher (2008;
Steppacher et al., 1999) explores some of its socioecological implications. See
also Griethuysen (2010) and Gerber and Veuthey (2011).
2. Institutions similar to modern property already existed in the ancient Near
Eastern civilizations as well as during the Greek and Roman times.
3. Research on ‘common property’ usually neglects the distinction between
property and possession. In many cases, so-called ‘common property’ is, in
fact, common possession that cannot be encumbered or sold (Gerber and
Veuthey, 2011). Thus, the insights gained from the differentiation between
private, common and state property can be increased by connecting them
with the differentiation between possession and property (Steppacher,
2008).
4. In, for instance, Tanzania – a country that intends to follow Soto’s advice –,
the land seizure of defaulting debtors has been institutionally facilitated in
order to encourage creditors to lend money (Sacerdoti, 2005).
5. When considering the needs of a property-based economy to shift socio-
environmental costs to poor regions and to future generations (by dumping
liquid or solid toxic waste or by using the atmosphere for the disposal of
greenhouse gases), avoiding the application of the polluter-pays principle,
evading liability, and dodging corporate accountability, Joan Martínez-Alier
(personal communication) suggested the parallel notion of ‘accumulation
by contamination’, that we see as closely related to the expansionist logic of
property.
6. Obviously, productivity has been improved in agriculture by achieving bet-
ter control over limiting factors, such as irrigation. Yet, there is an upper
limit, and the high productivity of some of today’s agricultural systems is
due to an exogenous support of mineral resources (Giampietro and Mayumi,
2009).
7. Yet, while there is a strong path-dependency in property-based econo-
mies between mineral resources and growth, agricultural possession-based
regimes are today plagued by another path-dependency, namely the problem
of exponential population growth that cannot be solved with the help of
renewable resources alone.
8. In the following quote, James Scott (1976, 94) neatly captures the shift from
possession to property in Southeast Asia at the beginning of the twentieth
century: ‘The decisive advantage of the colonial apparatus lays as much in
paperwork as in rifles. To follow the development of the colonial regime is
to follow the inexorable progress of cadastral surveys, settlement reports for
land revenue, censuses, the issuance of land titles ... and a growing body of
regulations and procedures’.
6
An Institutional and Evolutionary
Critique of Natural Capital
Lisi Krall and John M. Gowdy
Introduction
127
128 Lisi Krall and John M. Gowdy
Hicks, 1946) – the flow of income that can be sustained without depreci-
ating capital and this must include natural capital. Preserving nature is
a commendable policy goal but using the Hicksian approach to natural
capital and income has several major shortcomings (a) it sidesteps the
institutional context of the economy and reduces the economic ques-
tions of natural capital to matters of economic accounting; (b) it has the
practical effect of reducing human well-being to income as measured
by traditional income and product accounts (adjusted for depreciation
of all kinds of capital); (c) it has all the measurement problems and
logical inconsistencies of traditional capital. Ecological economists, by
using the Fisher-Hicks definition of capital and income, have reduced
the discussion about our historical moment (with all of the complex
questions about the relationship of the economy) to the biophysical
health and limits of the planet to discussions about the substitutability
of natural and manufactured capital, the existence of ‘critical’ natural
capital and the determination of the ‘proper price’ of features of the
natural world.
The adoption of this conventional use of capital by ecological
economists is perplexing because capital has had a problematic and
controversial, if not contentious, history in economic analysis and
theory. As Cohen and Harcourt (2003, 210–11) noted in their discus-
sion of the Cambridge capital controversies between Piero Sraffa, Joan
Robinson, and so forth, on one side of the Atlantic and Robert Solow,
Paul Samuelson, and so forth on the other: ‘The Cambridge controver-
sies were the last of three great twentieth-century capital theory con-
troversies. Earlier controversies occurred at the turn of that century
among Böhm-Bawerk, J.B. Clark, Irving Fisher and Veblen and then in
the l930s among Knight, Hayek and Kaldor. Similar issues occurred in
all three controversies ... ’. And in none of the debates was the contro-
versy resolved in favor of the neoclassical wing. Even within the tradi-
tion of hedonistic economics3 there has been significant ambiguity
and confusion about capital. More importantly, the analytical bound-
ary of ecological economics has been, perhaps unwittingly, limited
by the hedonistic concept of natural capital. In the pages that follow
we argue that, had ecological economics followed the lead of evolu-
tionary and institutional economists, including, in the first instance,
Thorstein Veblen and Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen, the outcome would
have been a more revealing understanding of the complex relation-
ship between economic organization and the natural world, an under-
standing that would be more illuminating of our present biophysical
moment.4
130 Lisi Krall and John M. Gowdy
house repair was income to the account of the carpenter and his tools
and an equal outgo to the account of the house. But Fisher did not
trace the series of cancelling accounts backward to any “uncancelled
fringe” at the beginning, which would be the ultimate uncancelled
cost. ... [I]f we do this we come to the unpaid inputs from nature.
(Daly, 1977, 33)
capitalist societies; (b) the fact that equilibrium is not an outcome of the
economic process and is not a satisfactory starting point for analysis;
and (c) the role of ideology in legitimizing forms of economic analysis
(Cohen and Harcourt, 2003). All of these issues lead us to consideration
of the importance of time and institutional context in assessing the
present use of ‘natural capital’ as an analytical category.
may have on the relations of men who live by or under this cultural
situation.
The problem is even worse because everyone knows that one can lose
capital (as wealth) without losing any physical factor of production. Just
think about the amount of wealth that was lost as a result of the 2008
financial meltdown, but not a bit of physical capital was lost. When a
business goes belly-up it is not the case that any physical thing in terms
of machines and so forth has necessarily changed, rather it is the busi-
ness prospect that has changed, and this has changed the assessment of
their value. Veblen (1908a, 164) is unequivocal:
[I]t is plain that, if the concept of capital were elaborated from obser-
vation of current business practice, it would be found that “capital”
is a pecuniary fact, not a mechanical one: that it is an outcome of a
valuation, depending immediately on the state of mind of the valu-
ers; and that the specific marks of capital, by which it is distinguish-
able from other facts, are of an immaterial character. This would, of
course, lead, directly, to the admission of intangible assets; and this,
in turn, would upset the law of the “natural” remuneration of labor
and capital to which Mr. Clark’s argument looks forward from the
start.
Veblen (1908a, 163) was very clear: ‘The continuum in which the “abid-
ing entity” of capital resides is a continuity of ownership, not a physical
A Critique of Natural Capital 139
Notes
1. By the term ‘neoclassical’ we mean Walrasian general equilibrium econom-
ics, with its assumption of independent actors, marginal analysis and equi-
librium (see Gowdy et al., 2010b).
2. We define Ecological Economics broadly to include neoclassical environmen-
tal economists like Partha Dasgupta and Karl-Gören Mäler (2000), who call
themselves ecological economists although they are not necessarily mem-
bers of the International Society of Ecological Economics. Many ecological
economists, perhaps the majority, have strong reservations about pricing
nature (see the discussion in Holt and Spash, 2009).
3. Hedonistic economics, a term coined by Veblen, is the term used for the
marginalist school of economic thought of which neoclassical economics is
derivative.
4. In his seminal essay ‘Energy and Economic Myths’ Georgescu-Roegen (1976c,
10) points out that one of the most enduring myths of economists (and oth-
ers) is ‘the myth that the price mechanism can offset any shortages, whether
of land, energy or materials’.
5. As Daly points out the traditional factors of production have all been reduced
to different kinds of capital.
6. Marginal productivity theory was formulated as an answer to Marx’s labor
theory of value. Marx, like Veblen, had a broad institutional perspective on
capital. It was the expression of a particular historical moment and the social
relations that surrounded it. Marx makes the comment: ‘Nature does not
produce on the one side owners of money or commodities, and on the other
men possessing nothing but their own labour-power. This relation has no
natural basis, neither is its social basis one that is common to all historical
periods. It is clearly the result of a past historical development, the prod-
uct of many economic revolutions, of the extinction of a whole series of
older forms of social production’. Clearly, there are similarities on this matter
between Veblen and Marx. Capitalism is an arrangement, not universal but
146 Lisi Krall and John M. Gowdy
Global warming is one of the most urgent and serious problems facing
humankind.1 Yet, in no other area are the deficiencies of utilitarian-
ism and neoclassical welfare economics so serious and dramatic. Any
welfare approach based on the presumption that individuals are always
the best judges of their own interest falls at the first hurdle: many peo-
ple neither understand nor accept the conclusions of the science of cli-
mate change. For example, climate change skeptics are prominent in
the United States, with only 49 percent saying, in a 2008 Gallup poll,
that rising temperatures were a result of human activities. Only 44 per-
cent of the US population think that their government should make
the problem the highest priority, according to a 2009 survey. Similar
percentages can be found in some other developed countries. 2
Against this, despite many important differences of opinion on
details, the scientific community is overwhelmingly of the opinion
that human activity is very likely the cause for the rapid increase in
global average temperatures over the past century (IPCC, 2007). Yet, a
large number of educated people in developed countries do not accept
this conclusion and would oppose costly measures to deal with it.
Consequently, such measures would be Pareto suboptimal. Generally,
standard utilitarianism gives low priority to human needs that are low-
ranked in individual utility functions. Many people oppose, or give low
147
148 Geoffrey M. Hodgson
prioritization to, the radical measures that are needed to deal with cli-
mate change. The problem here is of reconciling subjective utility with
policies that address environmental problems. The aim of this chapter
is to move beyond such narrow and self-interested considerations and
help prepare the foundations of an approach more suitable to dealing
with environmental issues, including impending climatic disruption.
Darwinism is not only compatible with the entropy approach but, also,
it adds two further extensions. First, by addressing all evolving systems,
Darwinism offers an explanatory framework that not only covers popu-
lations of natural organisms, but also applies to sets of social entities,
including human institutions. Second, by establishing the importance
of morality for the survival of human groups Darwinism provides a
basis for developing universal ethical principles.
Regarding the first extension, Darwin (1859; 1871) hinted that his
evolutionary principles would apply to social phenomena, such as the
From Utilitarianism to Evolution 157
Conclusion
Notes
1. The author wishes to thank Julien-François Gerber, Clive Spash, Rolf
Steppacher and many others for discussions and helpful comments.
2. See: http://www.gallup.com/poll/117772/Awareness-Opinions-Global-Warming-
Vary-Worldwide.aspx#2 and http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2009/
jul/29/climate-change. All retrieved 23 December 2010.
3. See Ostrom (1990; 2009), Bromley (1991), Jacobs (1994), Bromley and Paavola
(2002), Paavola and Adger (2005) and Vatn (2005) for applications of various
versions of institutional economics to environmental problems.
4. For example, Block (1989) proposes the fencing of the atmosphere with laser
beams to establish and enforce property rights, just as the American range
was fenced by barbed wire in the nineteenth century.
5. These issues are discussed widely in the conventional environmental eco-
nomics literature (Baumol and Oates, 1988; Pearce and Turner, 1990; Helm
and Pearce, 1991; Cropper and Oates, 1992). See also Sagoff (2004) and Vatn
(2005).
6. The assignment of monetary values to environmental attributes in welfare
calculations has been widely criticized by Martínez-Alier (1987; 1991), Sagoff
(1988a; 1988b; 2004), Norgaard (1990), Christensen (1991), Jacobs (1991;
1994), Page (1991), Söderbaum (1992), Bergström (1993), Bowers (1993),
O’Neill (1993) and Spash (2000a; 2002).
7. See, for instance, Daly and Cobb (1990), Meadows et al. (1992) and Sagoff
(2004).
8. Similar themes are prominent in a special issue of the Journal of Institutional
Economics on institutions and ecosystems (Janssen, 2006). Ostrom (2009)
proposes a polycentric governance approach to deal with climate change.
9. Although he rightly focuses on the importance of morality, Sagoff (2004)
poses an untenable separation between moral motivation, on the one hand,
and willingness to pay to protect an environmental resource, on the other.
To some degree, pecuniary transactions also depend upon moral values
and commitments. The market is not, and cannot be, a morality-free zone
(Schultz, 2001; Minkler, 2008; Henrich et al., 2010).
8
Economics: The Dismal Science?
Stephen A. Marglin
164
Economics: The Dismal Science? 165
But we’re not done with the problems. Once we step out of the strait-
jacket of efficiency, we have to consider issues of distribution of wealth
and income – equality and fairness. Economists do not deny that mar-
ket outcomes may be highly unequal and unfair. Instead, they deny
that in order to remedy distributional shortcomings it may be necessary
to intervene in the market.
Mainstream economists rely on the Second Welfare Theorem to
carve out a sphere for the market independent of equity considera-
tions. The Second Welfare Theorem states that every possible efficient
outcome, every Pareto optimal configuration, can be achieved by a
competitive market equilibrium, provided that there are no market
failures and provided as well that the starting point in terms of agents’
endowments of productive resources can be modified at will. In other
words, if you do not like the distribution associated with any particular
market outcome, change the endowments and the markets will settle
at a different equilibrium with a different distribution of income and
wealth. And, market failures apart, every one of these equilibria will be
efficient. The consequence is supposedly that we can separate the hard,
objective desideratum of efficiency from the soft, subjective desidera-
tum of equity. The first is for economists to worry about, the second
for philosophers.
The problem lies in the seemingly anodyne phrase ‘modified at will’.
Whose will? If we are speaking of the will of people acting in histori-
cal time, then distribution becomes subject to all kinds of political
constraints, not to mention the so-called deadweight losses associated
with any systematic transfer of income or wealth from one individual
to another. Income and wealth cannot be redistributed without some
loss of efficiency, and there are real limits as to how much redistribu-
tion is politically feasible. Under these circumstances, to salvage the
theoretical possibility of achieving both efficiency and equity envi-
sioned in the Second Welfare Theorem we would have to be able to
rewind the movie of history to start at a different place in terms of the
original configuration of resource endowments, a place which then
evolves on its own to the desired present distribution of endowments.
The Second Welfare Theorem may prove that all efficient outcomes are
compatible with one competitive equilibrium or another, but the range
of equilibria exists only in the mind of a God who can run the movie
of history any which way.
The reality is that, however we look at it, the distribution of income
and wealth is a cause for concern. Worldwide, the gap between the
rich countries and the poor countries remains wide and in some cases,
168 Stephen A. Marglin
improving upon the market with regard to ecology. By the same token,
economics as a discipline is absolved from complicity in the undermin-
ing of ecology or community. If the foundational assumptions about
people and society derive from human nature, thinking like an econo-
mist becomes thinking like a human being, perhaps more clearly and
acutely, but not different in kind from the way people are hardwired to
think. Nothing much is left of my book, The Dismal Science, as reflected
in the subtitle, How Thinking Like an Economist Undermines Community.
Of course I do not believe this, or I would not have written the book in
the first place. My counter-argument is that economics is not grounded
in human nature but on assumptions derived, instead, from the culture
of modernity forged in the crucible of the history of Europe and North
America in the last 400 years and subsequently globalized, at least to
‘Westernized’ elites. And an economics based on that metaphysics, the
mainstream economics that is distilled today in the economics taught
from the first-year college introductory course to graduate-theory
courses, is indeed an accessory to the undermining of community, both
in legitimizing the market (via the First and Second Welfare Theorems)
and, more insidiously, in fostering the construction of a market system
in the image of mainstream economic theory.
Evidently I cannot go into much detail here. I should make it clear,
however, that I do not condemn either the market or economics out of
hand. Both have brought real benefits in the form of the material gains
from four centuries of economic growth in the West. We live longer,
in better health and physical comfort, than our ancestors a century
ago, not to mention our more distant pre-modern forbears. No little
part of these gains is due to the market and to the economics which
has defended and promoted the market. (Though I argue in The Dismal
Science that the reasons for the success of the market are very different
from the mainstream argument based on efficiency.)
The problem is that, at least in the rich countries of the West, growth
has long since gone beyond the point that the economy provides the
basis for a life of human dignity; we are well into what economics
would term the region of decreasing returns. Moreover, there are seri-
ous questions about the sustainability of growth in light of the limits of
the ecosystem to absorb the detritus of growth and to provide the raw
materials necessary for further expansion of the economy (or for that
matter even to maintain current levels of output).
At the same time, economists have difficulty even recognizing that
there are costs to growth. Only grudgingly and belatedly has the eco-
logical crisis entered into economists’ thinking, and even when it does,
170 Stephen A. Marglin
increasingly present and important in our lives over the last 400 years,
but other communities are important for connection and identity.
In short, the question is one of balance. As Rabbi Hillel, the great sage
of 2,000 years ago put it, ‘If I am not for me, who will be? And if I am
only for me, what am I?’ Mainstream economics highlights one part
of the complex psychology and sociology of living in the twenty-first
century but argues as if this were the whole of being. My complaint
is not that the assumptions of economics are entirely false, but that
these assumptions, in confusing the part for the whole, are bound to
mislead.
Let me illustrate this general point with one aspect of the imbalance
that characterizes mainstream economics, its theory (or rather what
I would call its ideology) of knowledge. The mainstream view is that
knowledge is defined by, and limited by, what can be known through
logical deduction from self-evident first principles, à la Euclid or
Descartes, what in The Dismal Science I call algorithmic knowledge. All
else is mere belief, superstition. In contrast I argue that people deploy
multiple systems of knowledge, that what I have previously referred to
as experiential knowledge plays an essential role, along with algorithm,
in what we know and how we act. Moreover the one-sided insistence
on the claims of algorithm in mainstream economics, reflecting its ori-
gins in modernity, has had a deleterious effect on economists’ ability to
make sense of the economy, and worse, as evidenced by the following
example. The Dismal Science gives several examples, but here I wish to
give an example that has become particularly timely in the last couple
of years, namely securitization, particularly the practice of bundling
home mortgages into ‘mortgage-backed securities’.
In point of fact, an early draft of my chapters on knowledge, writ-
ten just as securitization was taking hold at the end of the 1980s, lists
securitization as one example of algorithm gone wild. But I dropped the
example from later versions of these chapters, in the belief that secu-
ritization was too arcane for a general audience. Little did I know that
the economic crisis of ‘08 would make securitization a term of general
currency.
Securitization, as is now generally known, is a way of transforming
loans into bonds, particularly, but not only, residential mortgage loans.
The idea was to put mortgages on many properties into a security that
could be offered for sale to a wide body of potential investors. In its sim-
plest form, a mortgage-backed security would simply pool a number of
individual mortgages together and then divide up the pool among the
investors. Suppose, for example, the pool contained 100 mortgages of
172 Stephen A. Marglin
$300,000 each, and the resulting $30 million pool was divided into 100
pieces, 100 separate bonds. In this simple case, the investor putting up
$300,000 for a single bond would in effect own 1/100 of 100 separate
mortgages instead of 100 percent of a single mortgage.
The benefit of combining mortgages in this way was the pooling, and
thus the mitigating, of the uncertainties, or at least some of the uncer-
tainties, of mortgage lending. Any individual mortgagor might default
for any number of reasons, loss of a job due to illness, divorce, and so
forth, but for a large enough group of people such uncertainties could
be reduced by the law of averages. Individuals and institutions with
money to invest need not even know the individual borrowers.
In addition to pooling, securitization allowed a shifting of uncertainty
according to agents’ varying appetites for taking a chance. The trick was
to replace the equal sharing of returns from the underlying asset pool by
a hierarchy of claims on the cash flows of the underlying investments.
This made the more senior pieces of the security (tranches, in the jargon),
that is, the ones that stood at the head of the line when it came to claims
on the cash flow of the investment, much less uncertain. The owners
of senior tranches would typically receive a lower return in exchange
for greater certainty, and those with more appetite for the vagaries of
chance would receive a higher average return. More important, the more
senior tranches received AAA ratings from the major agencies, Standard
& Poor, Moody’s, and Fitch, the AAA imprimatur being necessary for
institutions like pension funds to invest in these securities.
The result of pooling and tranching, it was argued, would be to
enlarge the set of potential investors, lower the portion of the interest
rate charged to cover default risk, increase liquidity in the mortgage
market and reduce geographical spreads, particularly between urban
and rural areas.
There were also political benefits. Indeed both sides of the aisle per-
ceived that securitization would advance their own agendas. For the
left, securitization had the potential to end the discriminatory prac-
tice known as ‘redlining’, in which whole areas of American cities,
often areas that were home to blacks and other poor minorities, were
‘redlined’ to mark on maps them out of bounds for writing mortgages.
Arms-length investors in securitized mortgages need neither know nor
be concerned about the color of the people whose mortgages were rolled
into their securities. The right saw the extension of mortgage lending as
a way to further their goal of a property-owning democracy. The pro-
motion of home-owning was seen as a way of establishing and extend-
ing a beachhead for the right among minority voters.
Economics: The Dismal Science? 173
And it all turned out well. For a while anyway. But as mainstream
economists are fond of repeating, free lunches are few and far between.
As we learned in September of 2008 when Lehman Brothers collapsed,
if not sooner, there were many downsides to securitization. Some of the
most important can be lumped together in what mainstream econom-
ics calls the principal-agent problem, the potential conflict of interest
between ‘principals’ whose resources are being deployed to some eco-
nomic end and ‘agents’ who act on behalf of principals to carry out
the deployment. The most important of the principal-agent problems
was that securitization made the banks, brokers and bandits (not always
distinguishable from one another) who originated loans separate and
distinct from the investors who put up the money for the loans, the
first group becoming in economic parlance the agents of the second,
the principals.
As distinct from previous practice, in which agents and principals were
one and the same entity, there was now a difference in incentives with
far-reaching consequences. Investors’ returns depended critically on the
capacity of borrowers to repay their loans, but loan originators had little
reason to be concerned with what happened after the loans were sold
to investors, and in particular had little incentive to scrutinize borrow-
ers’ repayment capacity. On the contrary: their incentive was to write as
many loans for as much money as possible, since the loan originator’s
compensation invariably depended on the volume of loans.
Principals attempted to protect themselves from both information
asymmetries (the borrowers may have more information about their
repayment capacity than the lenders) and moral hazard (a loan may
make some borrowers careless and lazy) by collecting an array of sta-
tistics about potential borrowers and classifying borrowers according
to how well they performed on various tests based on these statis-
tics. Various markers played a role in assigning loan applicants to one
class or another. Higher interest rates imposed on classes of so-called
subprime borrowers were supposed to compensate lenders for higher
default risks.
In this process, borrowers John Jones and Sally Smith must be reduced
to a set of statistical characteristics: age, income, debt, credit history
and the like. The implicit assumption is that all that is important can be
reduced to a set of numbers and converted – literally by an algorithm –
to a quantifiable default risk. Not an unnatural assumption where all
knowledge worthy of the name is what I have called algorithmic.
But statistics have their limit. Sixty years ago, George Bailey, the com-
munity banker of the movie It’s a Wonderful Life, held your loan until
174 Stephen A. Marglin
you paid it off. To keep the bank solvent and profitable, Bailey had to
be able to distinguish the trustworthy borrower from the likely dead-
beat, and to do so he had to know his customer, not just his customer’s
statistics. George Bailey relied on experiential as well as algorithmic
knowledge.
So securitization would have been problematic even if it did not open
the door to corruption by casting principals and agents in separate roles.
Even when the agent is good (’ole George Bailey, honest as the day is long),
securitization artificially limits the information that can be brought to
bear on the lending decision. Today’s securitization leaves no room for
knowing your customer and other intangibles, no room for experience.
Contrast the fundamental principle of microfinance as pioneered by
Nobel Laureate Muhammad Yunus and his colleagues at the Grameen
Bank in Bangladesh. The kind of monitoring that George Bailey put
into practice is not only present, but present in spades: loans are made
to individuals only when they belong to groups who are mutually
responsible for repayment of each other’s loans. Individuals naturally
prefer to be part of a group composed of reliable ‘cosigners’, so groups
tend to sort themselves out by matching more reliable borrowers with
each other. And the basis of this matching can only be the villagers’
experience of each other.
Such assortative matching can be criticized on the grounds that it
is likely to marginalize further the more marginal members of a com-
munity: the poorest and most vulnerable villagers are not likely to be
the most reliable financially. But it can be seen that the element of
experience introduced by peer monitoring has important potential to
combat problems of asymmetric information and moral hazard that
plague lending.
Securitization is just one example of how the assumptions of econom-
ics have undermined community and how weakening the foundations
of the economy in community have in turn made the economy more
vulnerable. Part of the solution to the present crisis of the economy is
a new economics, one which takes account of the other side of human
nature, the human nature that Homo economicus obscures: the impor-
tance of human connection, of non-rational knowledge, of measures
of human worth that allow us to escape the endless quest for evermore
consumption. A renewal of economics must include an awareness of
what is being sacrificed on the altar of endless growth: the environ-
ment, community, the possibility of a spiritual life.
It is more than possible that the present crisis will stimulate bold
thinking about new directions for economics. Whether the seeds of
Economics: The Dismal Science? 175
Note
1. Based on The Emilio Fontela Lecture, given at the Eighth International
Meeting on Ethics, Finance, and Responsibility, on the theme, ‘The Crisis:
Wasted Opportunities?’ The meeting was held under the auspices of
l’Observatoire de la Finance, in Geneva, Switzerland, 22–3 October 2009.
9
Moving From a Failed Growth
Economy to a Steady-State Economy
Herman E. Daly
176
From a Growth Economy to a Steady-State Economy 177
But I find that without a dark background the light of my little candles
is not visible in the false dawn projected by the economists, whose cam-
paigning optimism never gives hope a chance to shine.
We have many problems (poverty, unemployment, environmental
destruction, budget deficit, trade deficit, bailouts, bankruptcy, foreclos-
ures and so forth), but apparently only one solution: economic growth,
or as the pundits now like to say, ‘to grow the economy’ – as if it were
a potted plant.
But let us stop right there and ask two questions that all students
should put to their economics professors.
First, there is a deep theorem in mathematics that says when some-
thing grows it gets bigger! So, when the economy grows it too gets big-
ger. How big can the economy be, Professor? How big is it now? How
big should it be? Have economists ever considered these questions? And
most pointedly, what makes them think that growth (that is, physical
expansion of the economic subsystem into the finite containing bio-
sphere), is not already increasing environmental and social costs faster
than production benefits, thereby becoming uneconomic growth, mak-
ing us poorer, not richer? After all, real GDP – the measure of so-called
economic growth – does not separate costs from benefits, but conflates
them as ‘economic’ activity. How would we know when growth became
uneconomic? Remedial and defensive activity becomes ever greater
as we grow from an ‘empty-world’ to a ‘full-world’, (a world full of us
and our stuff) characterized by congestion, interference, displacement,
depletion and pollution. The defensive expenditures induced by these
negatives are all added to GDP, not subtracted. Be prepared, students,
for some hand-waving, throat-clearing, and subject-changing. But do
not be bluffed.
We must recognize that many developing countries are still in the
phase of truly economic growth – their marginal benefits of growth
are still greater than their marginal costs. Yet, the world as a whole
is ‘full’. Therefore the duty of limiting growth, and the policies dis-
cussed below, apply first to the richer countries where, in fact, growth
has become uneconomic. The rich must free up ecological space for the
poor to grow into, leading to a process of convergence to a common
level of resource use that is sufficient for a good (not luxurious) life,
and sustainable for a long (not infinite) future. Some worry that slow-
ing growth in rich countries will hurt poor countries by reducing their
export markets. That just means that developing countries will have to
shift from the export-led model back towards the import-substitution
model, developing their own internal markets. Nor can rich countries
178 Herman E. Daly
continue to offshore production and jobs in the face of their own high
unemployment rates.
Second question: do you then, Professor, see growth as a continuing
process, desirable in itself, or as a temporary process required to reach a
sufficient level of wealth, that would thereafter be maintained more or
less in a steady state? At least 99 percent of modern neoclassical econo-
mists hold the growth-forever view. We have to go back to John Stuart
Mill and the earlier classical economists to find serious treatment of
the idea of a nongrowing economy, the Stationary State. What makes
modern economists so sure that the classical economists were wrong?
Just dropping history of economic thought from the curriculum is not
a refutation!
Here are some reasons to think that the classical economists are
right.
A long-run norm of continuous growth could make sense, only if one
of the three following conditions were true:
(a) the economy were not an open subsystem of a finite and nongrow-
ing biophysical system,
(b) the economy were growing in a nonphysical dimension, or
(c) the laws of thermodynamics did not hold.
Let us consider each of these three logical alternatives. (If you can
think of a fourth one let me know.)
2. Ecological tax reform: Shift the tax base from value-added (labor
and capital) to ‘that to which value is added’, namely the entro-
pic throughput of resources extracted from nature (depletion), and
returned to nature (pollution). This internalizes external costs as
well as raises revenue more equitably. It prices the scarce but previ-
ously unpriced contribution of nature. Value-added is something we
want to encourage, so stop taxing it. Depletion and pollution are
things we want to discourage, so tax them. Ecological tax reform
can be an alternative or a supplement to cap-auction-trade systems.
182 Herman E. Daly
limit the range to, say, 100, and see how it works? This might mean
a minimum of 20 thousand dollars and a maximum of two mil-
lion. Is that not more than enough to compensate real differences?
People who have reached the limit could either work for nothing at
the margin if they enjoy their work, or devote their extra time to
hobbies or public service. The demand left unmet by those at the
top will be filled by those who are below the maximum. A sense of
community, necessary for democracy, is hard to maintain across the
vast income differences current in the United States. Rich and poor
separated by a factor of 500 become almost different species, hav-
ing few experiences or interests in common. The main justification
for such differences has been that they stimulate growth, which
will one day make everyone rich. This may have had superficial
plausibility in an empty world, but in our full world it is a fairy tale.
I have advocated a maximum income as well as a minimum income
for a long time. The maximum part has been very unpopular, but
thanks to the banksters and their bonuses it is now becoming more
acceptable.
4. Free up the length of the working day, week and year: Allow more options
for part-time or personal work. Full-time external employment for all
is hard to provide without growth. Other industrial countries have
much longer vacations and maternity leaves than the United States.
For the classical economists, the length of the working day was a
key variable by which the worker (self-employed yeoman or artisan)
balanced the marginal disutility of labor with the marginal utility
of income and of leisure so as to maximize enjoyment of life. Under
industrialism, the length of the working day became a parameter
rather than a variable (and for Karl Marx was the key determinant
of the rate of exploitation). We need to make it more of a variable
subject to choice by the worker. Milton Friedman wanted ‘Freedom
to Choose’ – okay, here is an important choice most of us are not
allowed to make! And we should stop biasing the labor-leisure choice
by advertising to stimulate more consumption and more labor to
pay for it. At a minimum, advertising should no longer be treated as
a tax-deductible ordinary expense of production. Is it really a good
thing to subsidize the expenditure of billions of dollars to convince
people to buy things they do not need, with money they do not
have, to impress people they do not know?
The IMF preaches free trade based on comparative advantage, and has
done so for a long time. More recently the WTO-WB-IMF have started
preaching the gospel of globalization, which, in addition to free trade,
From a Growth Economy to a Steady-State Economy 185
7. Move away from fractional reserve banking towards a system of 100 per-
cent reserve requirements: This would put control of the money sup-
ply and seigniorage (profit made by the issuer of fiat money) in the
hands of the government rather than private banks, which would no
longer be able to live the alchemist’s dream of creating money out of
nothing and lending it at interest. All quasi-bank financial institu-
tions should be brought under this rule, and regulated as commer-
cial banks subject to 100 percent reserve requirements. Banks would
earn their profit by financial intermediation only, lending savers’
money for them (charging a loan rate higher than the rate paid to
savings or ‘time-account’ depositors) and charging for checking,
safekeeping and other services. With 100 percent reserves every dol-
lar loaned to a borrower would be a dollar previously saved by a
depositor (and not available to him during the period of the loan),
thereby reestablishing the classical balance between abstinence and
investment. With credit limited by saving (abstinence from con-
sumption) there will be less lending and borrowing and it will be
done more carefully – no more easy credit to finance the massive
purchase of ‘assets’ that are nothing but bets on dodgy debts. To
make up for the decline in bank-created, interest-bearing money,
the government can pay some of its expenses by issuing more non-
interest-bearing fiat money. However, it can only do this up to a
strict limit imposed by inflation. If the government issues more
money than the public voluntarily wants to hold, the public will
trade it for goods, driving the price level up. As soon as the price
index begins to rise the government must print less and tax more.
Thus a policy of maintaining a constant price index would govern
the internal value of the dollar. The external value of the dollar
186 Herman E. Daly
How would the 100 percent reserve system serve the steady-state
economy?
First, as just mentioned it would restrict borrowing for new invest-
ment to existing savings, greatly reducing speculative growth ventures –
for example the leveraging of stock purchases with huge amounts of
borrowed money (created by banks ex nihilo rather than saved out of
past earnings) would be severely limited. Down payments on houses
would be much higher, and consumer credit would be greatly dimin-
ished. Credit cards would become debit cards. Growth economists will
scream, but a steady-state economy does not aim to grow.
Second, the money supply no longer has to grow in order for people
to pay back the principal plus the interest required by the loan respon-
sible for the money’s very existence in the first place. The repayment
of old loans with interest continually threatens to diminish the money
supply unless new loans compensate. With 100 percent reserves money
becomes neutral with respect to growth rather than biasing the system
towards growth by requiring more loans just to keep the money supply
from shrinking.
Third, the financial sector will no longer be able to capture such a
large share of the nation’s profits (around 40 percent!), freeing some
smart people for more productive, less parasitic, activity.
Fourth, the money supply would no longer expand during a boom
(when banks like to loan lots of money) and contract during a recession
(when banks try to collect outstanding debts) thereby reinforcing the
cyclical tendency of the economy.
Fifth, with 100 percent reserves there is no danger of a run on the
bank leading to failure, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
could be abolished, along with its consequent moral hazard. The danger
of cascading collapse of the whole credit pyramid due to the failure of
one or two ‘too-big-to-fail’ banks would be eliminated. Congress then
could not be frightened into giving huge bailouts to some banks to
avoid the ‘contagion’ of failure.
Sixth, the explicit policy of a constant price index would reduce fears
of inflation and the resultant quest to accumulate more as a protection
against inflation.
Seventh, a regime of fluctuating exchange rates (or Keynes’s clearing
union) automatically balances international trade accounts, eliminating
From a Growth Economy to a Steady-State Economy 187
10. Reform national accounts: Separate GDP into a cost account and a
benefits account. Natural capital consumption and ‘regrettably nec-
essary defensive expenditures’ belong in the cost account. Compare
costs and benefits of a growing throughput at the margin, stop
throughput growth when marginal costs equal marginal benefits.
In addition to this objective approach, recognize the importance of
the subjective studies that show that, beyond a threshold, further
GDP growth does not increase self-evaluated happiness. Beyond a
level already reached in many countries, GDP growth delivers no
more happiness, but continues to generate depletion and pollution.
At a minimum we must not just assume that GDP growth is eco-
nomic growth, but prove that it is not uneconomic growth.
* * *
The conceptual change in vision from the norm of a growth economy
to that of a steady-state economy is radical, but the policies advocated
From a Growth Economy to a Steady-State Economy 189
Note
1. The epigraph from Whitehead is respectfully repeated from K. William
Kapp’s prescient book of 1950, The Social Costs of Private Enterprise. That the
same quotation (as well as Kapp’s arguments) should be as relevant in 2011 as
it was in 1950, is a sad reflection on economists’ predilection for the role of
obstructive nuisance.
10
Global Poverty and Financial Crisis:
Are We Trapped in an Obsolete
Economic Order?
Daniel W. Bromley
The setting
190
Are We Trapped in an Obsolete Economic Order? 191
There are many accounts of the ‘cause’ of the current financial crisis.
Among the usual suspects are greed, illegal behavior, failure of top
financial managers to understand the exotic instruments conjured
by young quantitative wizards in their employ, perverse incentives in
home-mortgage markets, ignorance, and regulatory vacuums or incom-
petence. One of the more curious explanations, popular among a few
economists, is that it was our fault. By teaching generations of students
about the wonders of the ‘free market’ the economics profession has
created a class of citizens who actually believe the happy stories from
Econ. 101 about equilibrium, self-correcting tendencies, and alert con-
sumers and producers perched on a knife’s-edge of productive or con-
sumptive bliss. When the crisis began, conferences were held and letters
were written to important political leaders gratuitously accepting the
blame. Promises were made that we would – we must – reform ourselves
so that this would never again occur.
This self-criticism is quite implausible. For one thing, the number of
individuals who have been exposed to the standard market catechism
is unlikely to exceed 6 to 10 percent of the adult population in the
advanced market economies where the crisis began. Very few people
‘know the model’. In response it might be said that of course this may
be true, but the vast majority of the political elite in the West surely
know the catechism, and it is the elite who create policy. But here again,
this cannot be a sufficient explanation. Economists flatter ourselves if
194 Daniel W. Bromley
their Western neighbors that these two ideas are distinct and must
never be mixed up. Is the freedom to denounce your government really
in the same category as the freedom to buy bananas and broccoli?
Classic Marxist analysis suggested that capitalism would fall under
the weight of impoverished workers finally refusing to be exploited by
the owners of capital. The irony of the current financial crisis is that
workers and Wall Street bankers were competing with each other to see
who could become the more highly leveraged. In addition, the finan-
cial sector was eagerly bankrolling the excessive consumerist urges of
the working class. Over the previous decades our mailboxes overflowed
with pre-approved credit cards literally begging us to leverage our cur-
rent income. American consumers began to view their homes as akin
to shares in a stock market – hoping to sell them so as to keep climbing
up to ever-larger dwellings. Boats, fancy oversized cars, home entertain-
ment centers, and other conspicuous consumption fueled not only our
own excesses, but provided China with the necessary justification to
build a post-communist economy on the backs of relentless American
consumerism.
For its part the financial sector seems to have viewed its job as an
opportunity to create ever-more bizarre financial instruments. The
standard story about wage labor in a market economy is that wages for
workers must be kept low in order for firms to remain competitive. If
wages get too high then firms will move to places where labor costs are
lower. However, as we now see, when it comes to the millionaires at
the very top of these firms, the story changes. In these circumstances,
compensation for such individuals must remain high in order for firms
to attract the most talented individuals and thus remain competitive.3
In sum, paying more to those at the bottom of the income scale is a bad
idea because it would make firms less competitive. At the same time,
paying less to those at the very top of the income scale is a bad idea
because it would make firms less competitive. In this sort of market
economy, it is impossible to pay those at the bottom too little, while it
is impossible to pay those at the top too much. We are now getting close
to the reasons for the current financial crisis. But one more considera-
tion is necessary.
Why were the Americans and the British so susceptible to the idea of
unbridled acquisitiveness that pervaded the financial crisis? The rea-
sons are ready at hand. In 1879, commenting on the industrial revo-
lution, Matthew Arnold wrote that: ‘Inequality has the natural and
necessary effect, under the present circumstances, of materializing our
upper class, vulgarizing our middle class, and brutalizing our lower
196 Daniel W. Bromley
class’ (Arnold, 1879). The upper class was ‘materialized’ by its unend-
ing pursuit of yet more conspicuous consumption – the acquisition of
material goods. The middle class, always measuring its living standards
against the rich, were vulgarized by their mindless imitation of the con-
sumption patterns of the rich. And, of course, the lower class was bru-
talized by their hunger and misery as they worked long difficult hours
to allow the middle class to continue its hopeless pursuit of the fashions
and habits of the rich. In today’s world economic system, the brutalized
lower class is to be found in the sweatshops of Vietnam, Cambodia, and
southeast China.
Following in Arnold’s footsteps, the English historian R.H. Tawney
wrote that England had become a grotesque acquisitive society (1920).
The origins of English individualism can be traced as far back as the
fourteenth century (Macfarlane, 1978). These enduring strands of indi-
vidualism, acquisitiveness, and vulgar materialism were woven together
in 1964 by the political philosopher C.B. Macpherson, who coined the
phrase possessive individualism (Macpherson, 1962). Indeed, Macpherson
suggests that possessive individualism comprised the dominant unify-
ing assumption – the primary organizing idea – of English society in
the seventeenth through the nineteenth centuries (Macpherson, 1962).
And where does one look for the animating ideas and principles of post-
independence America? That would be England in the seventeenth
through the nineteenth centuries.
So, as we ponder the current financial crisis, the issue turns not so
much on how we characterize contemporary American or British soci-
ety. Rather, we must broaden our scope to situate the contemporary
individual in all industrialized societies. This is necessary because while
America deserves the blame for carrying possessive individualism to its
grotesque extremes, all highly developed economies are now infected
by the disease. Macpherson suggests that the dilemma for contemporary
political thought concerns working out the inevitable tension between
a theory of individual rights so central to the utilitarianism of Hobbes
and Locke, and the notion of obligation of the individual to the modern
state. Restated, the problem concerns whether or not we can reconcile
the individual embedded in a ‘possessive market society’ with the indi-
vidual as the beneficiary of the modern political state that guarantees
to each of us some constellation of protections and privileges.
Macpherson’s answer is that a theory of political obligation that
will stand alongside a theory of political rights must be able to ‘pos-
tulate that the individuals of whom the society is composed see them-
selves, or are capable of seeing themselves, as equal in some respect
Are We Trapped in an Obsolete Economic Order? 197
more fundamental than all the respects in which they are unequal’
(Macpherson, 1962). In practical terms, the emergence of the idea of
political obligation requires a degree of commitment by all to the com-
munity – such commitment being animated by the acceptance of a
shared history and the hope for a shared future. Possessive individual-
ism and the alleged ‘freedoms’ it authorizes are parasitic to the idea of
political obligation.
Macpherson suggests that in the early days of the possessive market
society this condition of obligation was fulfilled since all individuals
were subject to the same forces of a competitive market – individuals
saw themselves as equally subjected to competitive pressures. These cir-
cumstances were therefore seen as inevitable – natural. Obviously this
is not the same as suggesting universal beneficence, only universally
endured. Low prices for things being sold, high prices for things being
purchased, and hungry times from drought, pestilential crop failure,
disease, marauding soldiers, and cold wet winters wreaked havoc on
one and all in equal measure. That was life, and it was hard all around.
Little wonder that Thomas Hobbes, in 1651, would judge life to be ‘soli-
tary, poor, nasty, brutish, and short’.
Not only were all subjected to the same ubiquitous discomfort,
Macpherson also reminds us of a certain ‘cohesion of self-interests’ in
which the inherent centrifugal forces of a competitive market society
could be meliorated and constrained. At the height of possessive indi-
vidualism in England, this condition was met by the fact that political
voice was restricted to what he calls the possessing class. This small class
possessed most of the material wealth, and it also possessed exclusive
control over the selection of a succession of rather unpleasant sovereign
authorities. These ruling elites perceived their material and political
entitlements as reciprocated in their political obligations. Notice the
nexus between rights and obligations. By the middle of the nineteenth
century this historic convergence began to dissipate under the assault of
an advancing liberal state in which the franchise began to spread down-
wards. The emergence of a distinct class consciousness so central to
Marx was profoundly corrosive of both the political as well as the mate-
rial cohesion of English society. The historical inevitability and ‘nor-
malcy’ of competitive market relations – along with the emerging bitter
awareness of their unequal outcomes – added weight to this gradual
disintegration. The old order began to rot from within. Once a newly
enfranchised working class became aware of plausible alternatives, the
former tight cohesion was destroyed forever. Democracy delivered what
democracy is – voice to all. With the spread of political voice, the old
198 Daniel W. Bromley
supplier and you will be stuck with buildings and unemployed workers
who are now your problem – and of no interest to the Gap, Banana
Republic, or Abercrombie & Fitch.
Indeed the profound problems of economic migrants surging into
southern Europe must be understood as precisely of these origins.
Capital no longer has national boundaries. Labor, on the other hand,
requires a passport and a visa. The economic logic of trade, in the inter-
est of pursuing comparative advantage, has been destroyed by the
overbearing force of the current world economic order. There is no eco-
nomic space for countries such as Benin, Togo, Mali, Niger, Chad, the
Central African Republic, Malawi, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Even South
Africa, the powerhouse of Africa, is blocked by the ability of investment
capital to flee at the slightest hint of domestic policies that interna-
tional money managers find troublesome. South Africa, as with all of its
neighbors, is held hostage by the global financial system.
And so here we are, 125 years after the Congress of Berlin and the par-
tition of Africa. The per capita income of a typical citizen of Luxembourg,
said to be the richest country in the world, is approximately €75,000.
The per capita income of a typical citizen of Burundi (the poorest coun-
try) is approximately €92. The average citizen of Luxembourg has 820
times the income of the average citizen of Burundi. The per capita
income of Germany is approximately €30,000 (19th on the list), and if
we go up 19 places from the bottom we encounter, ironically, Burundi’s
neighbor, and sometime enemy, Rwanda at €311. The typical citizen of
Germany has 96 times the income of the typical citizen of Rwanda.
It would be easy to dismiss these comparisons as meaningless – it
might be said that the poor countries deserve what they do not have
because of corruption, incompetence, laziness or primitive behaviors.
Such talk is nothing but apologetics for our wealth and their poverty.
It is difficult to find good reasons to justify this degree of inequality
in the world. These disparities cannot possibly be rationalized. Yet,
they are accepted by the triumph of banker capitalism and the associ-
ated possessive individualism that now defines America, and to a lesser
extent Britain.
There are two issues here: Is the current economic order obsolete? And
are we trapped in that order? I shall address the matter of obsolescence
first.
Emerging obsolescence
As we saw above, Commons traces the defining traits of three main
phases in the evolution of capitalism – first came the merchants, then
the industrialists, and more recently the bankers. The transition has
been from shopkeepers (traders) to manufacturers (builders) to accu-
mulators of money (gamblers). And as Commons notes, it was the mis-
behavior of the gamblers that explains the stock market crash of 1929,
and the subsequent Great Depression of the 1930s. Were he alive today,
Commons would not be surprised.
The central role of finance in modern capitalism is of a special kind.
In merchant capitalism the activities of the central players were close at
hand and easy to observe. Merchants were just down the street, and they
were judged by the quality of their wares and the prices they charged.
In addition, merchants often were the locus of civic activity and pro-
bity. With the emergence of centralized power sources and the rise of
mass consumerism, the center of gravity of capitalism switched to the
manufacturers. Soon it was the large industrialists who held the strong
hand. Industrial capitalism fueled the wrath of laborers, and the ensuing
strikes and struggles – so central to the writings of Commons, Marx, and
even Charles Dickens – virtually defined economic life in the latter years
of the nineteenth century, and the first half of the twentieth century.
But this gradual accretion of great wealth in the hands of the few
attracted the attention of an even smaller group of men who sought
to gain control of the income streams and attendant wealth associated
with manufacturing (Commons, [1950] 1970). In this third phase of
capitalism we see that the primary emphasis was no longer concerned
with the making of things. Rather, the main chance became the quest
to control those who made things. Commons tells the story of the emer-
gence of the large holding companies – J.P. Morgan wrangling to gain
control of the Carnegie steel empire (Commons, [1950] 1970). The game
was motivated not by a desire on the part of the house of Morgan to
make steel. Rather, the point was to attract investors who wished to
become rich – at a comfortable distance – from the making of steel.
Veblen talks of the transition from making things to making money.
And when economies are dominated by those who make money there
202 Daniel W. Bromley
called this the “instituted personality.” And this brings us to the idea
that the purposes and expectations toward which problem-solving
thought will be directed are instances of what Commons called insti-
tutional causation. In different words, prevailing institutions are the
plausible cause of the emergent problem, and therefore new institu-
tions will become the plausible cause of the solution to those emer-
gent problems.
Precisely because individual choice is shaped by current working
rules (by the extant institutional setup), and because current market
forces and processes are themselves reflections of (predicated upon)
these volitionally created working rules, it becomes incoherent for
individuals thus shaped (thus instituted) to object to institutional
change by the courts or the legislature on the grounds that such
change would be coercive, or that it would interfere with their exer-
cise of “free will,” or that it would somehow inhibit their “freedom.”
Such claims are bogus precisely because their customary action
against which change is now to be gauged was itself not an exercise
of free will or freedom. The human mind, by habituating itself to the
evolving institutional setup, had already been shaped by the proc-
esses of socialization. ...
It seems that we are trapped twice. First by the very process of being
‘crafted’ by the institutional setup within which we are embedded,
and then again by our belief that any changes in that system of rules
and customs somehow interferes with our freedom and autonomy. The
first problem is that the goals to which specific desires give rise are
rooted in habituated practices (customs) to which the individual has
become accustomed. In practical terms this means that our individual
‘will’ cannot be the actual source of our wants and desires. The source
of our wants – the explanation for those desires – is what Max Weber
referred to as the webs of significance in which we are entangled. This is
problematic for economists who still believe that rational choice models
offer useful insights into human action.
The second problem arises from the fact that the current economic
order is an artifact of our own design, and thus we alone have the abil-
ity to redesign it. Two barriers stand in our way. The first barrier is the
poverty of our own imagination. The second barrier is our weakness of
will. Of the two, it seems reasonable to suggest that we are more willing
than able. Simply put, even if we would try to extricate ourselves, we do
not know how to imagine an alternative to the system within which we
are embedded. This follows from the realization that the formulation of
204 Daniel W. Bromley
over time, the well-being of first the merchants, then the industrial-
ists, and now the financiers. The design of the capitalist model is not
informed by a quest for efficiency, for efficacious resource allocation,
or for maximizing social welfare. Rather, the privilege and honor of
system design rests with those who have controlled the dominant
income and wealth positions in society. Norwegian capitalism differs
in so many profound ways from American capitalism that they are, in
fact, two distinct economic systems. Yet, they are both ‘capitalist’. The
practical significance of this is that if regulations are weak or absent,
do not blame how economics is taught. If workers are mistreated and
prevented from combining in the interest of compensation and work
conditions, do not blame how economics is taught. If income distribu-
tion in the United States is now the most extreme among industrial
countries, do not blame how economics is taught. If African economies
remain politically incoherent and stuck in low-level poverty, do not
blame how economics is taught.
There are many things wrong with mainstream economics. But those
flaws are quite incidental to the universal political commitment to glo-
bal capitalism. Economists are helpless in the face of political head-
winds that justify the widest possible scope for what they wish to call
‘free markets’. The insidious part emerges when we realize that much
mainstream economics is nothing but apologetics for the reigning
political Zeitgeist. Economists who challenge that spirit of the day find
it hard to get competitive grants. Invitations to conferences discussing
public policies stop arriving, and they soon find that conformity pays
large dividends.
As financial capitalism offers up the second worldwide catastrophe
in less than 80 years, individuals have a right to ask whether or not
this is reasonable. They also are justified in asking whether or not it is
necessary. As most of Africa remains stuck in poverty and economic
incoherence, individuals have a right to ask if this is reasonable – and is
it necessary. The answer, of course, is that both outcomes are unreason-
able and unnecessary.
Financial capitalism has shown itself to be as flawed as industrial
capitalism before it, and merchant capitalism before that. Notice that
the progression from merchants to industrialists to bankers represents
a process of accumulation of financial power in fewer and fewer hands.
Now that the financiers rule the world, the obvious question becomes:
who will be next? It shall not be the meek.
Are We Trapped in an Obsolete Economic Order? 207
Notes
1. An earlier version was presented as the Helmholtz Lecture at Humboldt
University-Berlin, November 2009, and at the University of Geneva,
December 2009. I am grateful to Tyler DesRoches for discussions on an ear-
lier draft.
2. Europeans have a difficult time understanding the ruthless capitalism of the
United States. Citizens of the United States find European capitalism, with
its high taxes, universal health care, heavily subsidized university education,
and excellent mass transport, to be a puzzle. Both are ‘capitalist’ yet each
seems anomalous to citizens of the other.
3. These extremely talented and highly paid financial officials appear to have
presided over the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. Could
they have done any worse at half their current level of compensation?
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Index
accumulation by dispossession, China, 48, 52, 78, 88, 184, 187, 190,
119–20 195, 196, 204
Africa, 23, 109, 168, 192–4, Clark, John Bates, 129, 134, 137–8
199–200, 206 classical institutional economics, see
Agarwal, Bina, 101 critical institutional economics
agriculture, 32, 52, 55–6, 58, 82, Clausius, Rudolf, 7
86–7, 98, 106, 122–3, 124, 126, 178, climate change, 7, 17, 21, 23, 54–5,
see also agriculture, organic; biofuel 65, 88–91, 95, 98, 100, 106, 107,
agriculture, organic, 123, 124, 125 123, 130, 145, 147–8, 153, 159, 160,
alternative economics, see heterodox 162, 163, 170
economics Coase, Ronald, 4, 25, 148
American institutional economics, see co-evolution, 2, 8, 13, 14, 20, 31, 32,
critical institutional economics 98, 161, see also evolution
analogy, as an integrative approach, colonialism, 2, 109, 120, 126,
30–3 192, 199
Anthropocene, 7, 123 common property, 56, 126, 136, 187
anthropology, 2, 13, 38, 39, 106 Commons, John, 114, 193, 198–9,
Arnold, Matthew, 195–6 201–3
Ayres, Robert, 16, 110 community, and the economy, 4, 13,
14, 21–2, 25, 101, 118, 136, 168–70,
behavioral economics, 148, see also 173–5, 183, 197
experimental economics conflict, socio-environmental, 17–18,
Berger, Sebastian, 25 80, 95–7, 99, 101–2, 104–5, 108,
biodiversity, 91, 95, 98, 99, 106, 110, see also environmentalism
108, 160 consumerism, 29, 151, 161, 195, 201
biofuel (agrofuel), 83–8, 95, 99 contamination, see pollution
biosphere, 7, 14, 19, 176, 177, 178 Costanza, Robert, 28, 127–8
Boulding, Kenneth, 64, 182 cost-benefit analysis, 8, 14, 52, 107,
Brazil, 97, 204 108, 114–15, 117, 124, 148–9, 152,
Bromley, Daniel, 23–4, 111, 163 177, 188–9
costs, social and environmental, 4,
capital, 16, 17, 19–20, 29, 51, 53, 54, 10–12, 25, 94–6, 107, 108, 119, 120,
56–61, 63, 69, 72, 113, 116, 119, 125, 126, 148, 177, 181, 184, 189, see
127–46, 179, 181–2, 183, 184, 185, also externalities
195, 199–200, see also capitalism; credit, 18–19, 22, 49, 51, 66–71, 79,
natural capital 80, 104, 113–26, 173–4, 180, 185,
capitalism, 4, 10, 17, 18, 23–4, 56, 186, 195, see also debt
69, 104, 112, 114, 125, 136–7, 139, critical institutional economics, 2,
141–2, 144–5, 190–207, see also 5, 6, 7–9, 10–13, 14, 20, 24, 25,
capital; natural capital 111–12, 118, 119, 125, compare new
Carnap, Rudolf, 33–4 institutional economics
Carnot, Sadi, 7 Crutzen, Paul, 123
229
230 Index
Daly, Herman, 23, 27–8, 117, 128, enclosure process, 56, 97, 163, 187
131–2, 140–1, 145, 163 energy, 7, 8, 16–17, 19, 20, 23, 27,
Darwin, Charles, 20–1, 32, 155–61 38, 41, 52, 55–63, 64–6, 68, 70–2,
Darwinism, 20–1, 32, 155–9, see also 74–83, 85–6, 88, 91–2, 94, 95–6,
Darwin, Charles; evolution 98, 104–6, 109, 112, 115, 117, 121,
Dasgupta, Partha, 145, 150–1 123, 124, 130, 133, 142, 145, 155,
Dawkins, Richard, 150 165, 179
De Waal, Frans, 150 Engels, Friedrich, 191
debt, 15, 48–50, 66–7, 70–4, 79–80, entropy, 3, 7, 8, 11, 23, 123, 124, 125,
89, 92, 95, 114–21, 126, 173, 180, 155–6, 179, 180, 181
184, 185, 186, 187, see also credit environmental economics
deforestation, 97–8, 110, 150, see also (neoclassical), 8, 28, 43, 44,
forest 145, 149–53, 162, 163, compare
degrowth, 14, 23, 29, 106, 125 ecological economics
‘dematerialization’ thesis, 13, 95, environmentalism, varieties of,
122, 178 96–101, 102, 110, see also conflict,
democracy, 18, 24, 100, 101, 104, 106, socio-environmental
110, 151, 153, 162, 172, 180, 183, equilibrium, in economics, 1, 2, 3, 7,
188, 197–8 9, 14, 16, 17, 23, 31, 52–3, 58, 128,
developing countries, 15, 23, 50, 73, 132, 134, 145, 148, 164, 166–7, 193
89, 96–9, 109, 120, 167–8, 177, 204, ethics in economics, see moral values
see also development in economics
development, socioeconomic, 1, 2, Europe, western, 48, 50, 66, 81–6, 105,
4, 8, 14–15, 16, 18, 21, 32, 39, 56, 106, 109, 168–9, 192, 199, 200, 207
64, 70, 75, 87, 90, 99, 100, 104, 108, evolution, 2, 5, 6, 7–9, 11, 13–14, 18,
118, 120–1, 123, 125, 144, 179, 187, 20–1, 32–3, 40, 46, 118, 125, 129,
193, see also developing countries 133, 135, 142, 144, 150, 155–63,
Dewey, John, 34, 162 201, see also co-evolution; Darwin,
Dickens, Charles, 201 Charles
evolutionary economics, 5, 6, 8, 9, 11,
ecological crisis, see biodiversity; 20, 32, 135, 142, 144, 156–63
climate change; forest; pollution experimental economics, 3, 39, 53
ecological debt, 98 externalities, 14, 52, 54, 94, 96, 103,
ecological economics, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7–8, 119, 142, 148, 165, 166, 168, see also
10–11, 13–14, 15–16, 17–18, 19, costs, social and environmental
20, 22, 24, 26–32, 34–5, 37, 40–6,
94–6, 106, 108, 110, 111–12, 119, Federal Reserve, 49, 50, 116
125, 127–34, 139–45, 154, 158, feminist economics, 4, 5, 6
162–3, compare environmental financial crisis, 4, 7, 18–19, 22, 23,
economics 48–50, 73, 74, 112, 115, 116–18,
ecologically unequal exchange, 17, 138, 176, 185–7, 192, 193–9, 207
98, 109 firm, 24, 51–3, 60, 158, 181, 184, 195
Economics of Ecosystems and Fischer-Kowalski, Marina, 16, 106,
Biodiversity environmentalism, The 110, 111
(TEEB), 108, 128 Fisher, Irving, 128–9, 131–4, 187
Ecuador, 95, 96, 101–2 forest, 31, 58, 81, 98, 100, 101, 103,
El Serafy, Salah, 140–1 108, 178, 181
Elster, Jon, 111 fossil fuels, 29, 55, 59, 61, 63, 66, 70,
employment, 23, 48, 57, 89, 178, 72, 75–7, 79, 80, 86, 95, 104, 110,
183, 205 120–2, 130, 131, 140, 144, 181
Index 231
O’Neill, John, 46, 110, 111, 163 private property, 14, 47, 51, 69, 70,
Obama, Barack, 49, 175 102, 118, 119, 126, 187, 189
Odum, Howard, 16 privatization, 10, 118
old institutional economics, see property, 13, 14, 18–20, 69–70, 104,
critical institutional economics 105, 111–26, 135–43, 148, 163, 172,
open system approach, 2, 6, 11, 12, 187, 191, compare possession, see
14, 94, 96, 111, 178 also private property
original institutional economics, see psychology, 2, 31, 32, 36, 38–9, 42,
critical institutional economics 43, 44, 171
orthodox economics, see neoclassical
economics Quesnay, François, 5
Ostrom, Elinor, 159, 163
Ostwald, Wilhelm, 110 radical economics, 5, see also critical
institutional economics; ecological
Paavola, Jouni, 111, 163 economics; feminist economics;
paradigm change in economics, 1–7, Marxian economics
11, 14, 17, 21, 24, 125 Rae, John, 2
Pareto optimality, 4, 14, 147, 164, Rand, Ayn, 47–8, 51, 56
166–7 Ravetz, Jerome, 22
peak oil, 7, 16, 17, 18, 23, 73–80, 83, Rawls, John, 21
88, 112, 115, 121–3, 124, 130, 145 resources, biotic (or living, organic),
Pigou, Arthur, 148, 204 20, 121–3, 125, see also resources,
planning, economic, 26, 106, 110 renewable
plantation, 96, 98, 120 resources, mineral, 15, 18, 20, 99, 109,
Polanyi, Karl, 3, 144 110, 112, 121–3, 125, 126, 130, 140,
political ecology, 17, 40, 94, see also resources, nonrenewable
96–7, 108 resources, natural (or environmental),
political science, 38, 42, 43, 98 19–20, 29, 30, 40–4, 51, 59–61,
pollution, 7, 20, 23, 54, 88, 94, 95, 98, 64, 66–74, 80, 93–6, 102, 104,
101, 103, 110, 113, 117, 126, 148, 107–10, 112–13, 117, 120–3, 132–3,
152, 154, 165, 166, 177, 180–1, 188 140, 142, 148, 149, 152, 158, 163,
population growth, 23, 54, 55, 63, 168, 177, 178–82, 187, 192, see
64–5, 68, 76–7, 103–4, 108, 126, also resources, biotic; resources,
133, 145, 179, 188, 204 mineral; resources, nonrenewable;
possession, 13, 14, 18–19, 20, 69–70, resources, renewable
112–26, compare property resources, nonrenewable (or
possessive individualism, 24, 196–8, exhaustible), 15, 20, 25, 29,
200, 202 121–3, 131, 133, 140, 181, see also
post Keynesian economics, 5, 6, see resources, mineral
also Keynesian economics resources, renewable, 15, 20, 71, 85,
post-normal science, 35, 42 121–2, 126, 131, 141, 181, see also
poverty, 2, 7, 8, 17, 18, 23, 29, 47, 51, resources, biotic
79, 88, 89, 94, 96–102, 105, 107–8, Ricardo, David, 54
112, 115, 116–17, 118–21, 124, 126, Robbins, Lionel, 46, 164
172, 174, 176–7, 179, 182–3, 190, Robinson, Joan, 129, 132
192, 193, 194, 199–200, 203, 206,
see also developing countries Sachs, Ignacy, 111
Pratkanis, Anthony, 83 Sagoff, Mark, 152, 163
Prigogine, Ilya, 7 Samuelson, Paul, 129
234 Index