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Article history: Measuring and characterizing urban form is an important task for planners and policy analysts. This
Received 4 July 2013 paper compares eighteen metrics of urban form for 542 neighborhoods in Salt Lake County, Utah. The
Received in revised form 19 November 2013 comparison was made in the context of characterizing three neighborhood types from different time
Accepted 22 November 2013
periods: pre-suburban (1891–1944), suburban (1945–1990), and late-suburban (1990–2007). We used
correlation analysis, within and across time periods, to assess each metric’s ability to uniquely character-
ize urban form; and we used linear regression to assess the ability to distinguish neighborhood type.
Keywords:
Three of the metrics show redundancy and two did not capture differences in urban form for the case
Urban form
Urban growth policy
study. Based on our findings, we recommend thirteen of the eighteen metrics for planners and policy ana-
Density lysts who want to quantify urban form using spatial data that are commonly available. Furthermore, our
Street pattern case study shows that despite policy efforts to encourage ‘‘smart growth,’’ urban neighborhoods in Salt
Accessibility Lake County continue to exhibit characteristics of ‘‘sprawl.’’ These findings suggest the effectiveness of
Urban sprawl smart growth policies in Salt Lake County have had limited effect.
Ó 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
0198-9715/$ - see front matter Ó 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2013.11.005
60 J.H. Lowry, M.B. Lowry / Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 44 (2014) 59–67
Table 1
Selected spatial metrics that use commonly-available GIS data.
Urban form category Spatial metric (units) GIS data Earlier case studya
Density 1. Median single family residential lot size (acres) Parcels 4, 7
2. Housing density (housing units/sq. km.) Census, Parcels 2, 5, 7
3. Median number of rooms (#) Census 7
4. Population density (pop./sq. km.) Census, Parcels 4, 8
5. Average household size (people/housing unit) Census 7
Centrality 6. Mean distance to commercial zone (km) Streets, Parcels 2, 7
7. Mean distance to public parks (km) Streets, Parcels 7
8. Mean distance to K-12 schools (km) Streets, Parcels
9. Mean distance to transit bus stops (km) Streets, Bus Stops 6, 7
Accessibility 10. Street connectivity (ratio streets to intersections) Streets, Parcels 6, 7
11. Median perimeter of residential blocks (m) Parcels 7
12. Dendritic street pattern (ratio cul-de-sacs to streets) Streets, Parcels 6
13. Median length of cul-de-sacs (m) Streets, Parcels 7
Neighbor-hood mix 14. Land use contiguity (Juxtapose Interspersion Index) Parcels 1
15. Land use richness (Patch Richness) Parcels 8
16. Land use diversity (Simpsons Diversity Index) Parcels 6, 8
17. Pop. working outside city of residence (proportion) Census 4, 3
18. Renter–owner balance (ratio renters to owners) Census 1
a
1 – Torrens and Alberti (2000), 2 – Galster et al. (2001), 3 – Glaser et al. (2001), 4 – Ewing et al. (2002), 5 – Theobald (2002), 6 – Weston (2002), 7 – Song and Knapp (2004),
8 – Frenkel and Ashkenazi (2008).
J.H. Lowry, M.B. Lowry / Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 44 (2014) 59–67 61
3. Study area
5. Discussion
Yi represents the continuous variable for the urban form metric i 5.1. Spatial metrics
and Xi1 and Xi2 are indicator variables (0 or 1) for the pre-suburban
and suburban neighborhood types. The late-suburban neighbor- The density metrics produced the highest correlations of all the
hood type is considered the omitted type, such that for the fitted categories, suggesting not all five may be necessary to characterize
model b0 equals the mean for the late-suburban type when b1 = 0 this dimension of urban form, or that information provided is only
and b2 = 0. It follows that, for the fitted model b0 + b1 equals the marginally different and may therefore be more suitable under
mean for the pre-suburban type and the mean for the suburban specific circumstances depending on the aspect of urban form
type is b0 + b2. one is trying to measure (see Fig. 5). For example, while population
Because inference concerning model parameters (e.g. regression density is a common density metric used in practice, Galster et al.
coefficients, group means) relies on assumptions of independence, (2001) and Theobald (2002) argue that housing density is a better
we employed a spatial form of the linear regression model (Simul- measure of the physical condition of land use, and therefore urban
taneous Autoregressive model (Bailey & Gatrell, 1995; Bivand, form. We concur, and suggest housing density be coupled with aver-
Pebesma, & Gomez-Rubio, 2008)) to account for spatial depen- age household size or median number of rooms to measure both the
dence in model residuals.1 physical condition of land use and living density. In addition, we
Table 2 compares population means of the three neighborhood found that median size of residential lots is useful because it sheds
types for the 18 urban form metrics. Population means are esti- light on societal values and affluence of neighborhoods. For our
mated using the methods described above, and a z-test used to test case study, this metric showed practical and statistical significance
for equality of means. Larger z-scores indicate greater difference when comparing mean differences across the neighborhood types
(Table 2 and Fig. 3).
It should be noted that centrality metrics measure characteris-
1
With spatial data, model residuals are frequently spatially autocorrelated. In our tics of urban form in the present-day for neighborhoods developed
study, for example, we could expect two adjacent neighbourhoods to be similar, even at different time periods in the past. For example, mean distance to
after accounting for a particular measure, such as housing density. These additional commercial zones is the mean distance of neighborhoods to pres-
forms of dependence often manifest themselves in the model residuals, thus violating
a key assumption of the conventional independent error model (i.e. Ordinary Least
ent-day commercial areas. This type of metric, while not a measure
Squares) resulting in a biased estimation of regression coefficients (Bivand et al., of how the neighborhood was developed, is useful because it pro-
2008). vides an assessment of urban form across the landscape as it is
J.H. Lowry, M.B. Lowry / Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 44 (2014) 59–67 63
Table 2
Mean values and statistical comparison of means by neighborhood type.
7.0
No. Housing Units/Km2
0.30
Number of Rooms
Lot Size (Acres)
40
6.5
6.0
30
0.20
5.5
20
5.0
0.10
10
Distance in Meters
3.0
70
50
2.6
30
2.2
500 600
Distance in Meters
Distance in Meters
Distance in Meters
800
2600
700
1800
500
today, and in the case of mean distance to commercial zones, tells types. In fact, mean distance to public parks showed no statistically
us how much travel is required of people living in older pre-subur- significant difference across any of the neighborhood types
ban neighborhoods as opposed to suburban neighborhoods. (Table 2 and Fig. 3). Mean distance to transit bus stops did show
What is striking about the centrality metrics is that we did not slight differences across neighborhoods; however it also exhibits
see major differences in mean values between neighborhood high correlation with mean distance to commercial zones which
64 J.H. Lowry, M.B. Lowry / Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 44 (2014) 59–67
Streets:Cul-de-sacs
25
2.3
600
20
2.1
500
15
400
10
1.9
5
300
1.7
55
5.8
85
50
5.4
75
45
5.0
65
Proportion of Pop.
Renters:Owners
3
0.75
2
0.52
0.65
1
0.48
0
0.55
seemed to capture differences better. The observed correlation pre-suburban era, yet there are approximately three times as many
between these two metrics might be because there is often a high cul-de-sacs.
concentration of bus stops in commercial zones. For this reason, Neighborhood mix metrics tell us about the spatial and demo-
the metric mean distance to transit bus stops might be improved, graphic fabric of our urban landscape. All five neighborhood mix
and therefore more worthwhile, if it were to measure only the metrics showed low correlation within and across neighborhood
distance to bus stops located within a certain walkable radius. types, suggesting the ability to uniquely quantify different aspects
Another possible explanation could be that measures, such as of neighborhood heterogeneity. However, land use diversity (Simp-
mean distance to transit bus stops, are much more malleable once sons Diversity Index) did not convey differences in neighborhood
the neighborhood has been established. While some of the other type. It should be noted that this metric, like the other land use
measures, in contrast, are less subject to changes by governments metrics, does not take into consideration land use quality. In other
or businesses once the main ‘‘shell’’ of the neighborhood has been words, land use heterogeneity in one neighborhood is not qualita-
put in place. tively the same as the heterogeneity observed in another neighbor-
Our new metric for centrality, mean distance to K-12 schools, is hood. Therefore although land use diversity, which measures spatial
not one that we found previously in the literature, but it proved evenness of land uses, is not statistically different across neighbor-
to be very effective and easy to calculate. It exhibits low correlation hood types, this might be due to an interspersion of vacant or agri-
with the other metrics, and demonstrates the ability to capture cultural land.
(with statistical significance) the trend toward longer school com- Finally, the two metrics for demographic heterogeneity showed
mute distances, a reality that has been well documented in the lit- a statistically significant distinction between neighborhood types
erature (McDonald, 2007). Therefore, we recommend two (Table 2 and Fig. 4) and effectively measure different aspects of
centrality metrics: mean distance to commercial zones and mean dis- the urban landscape. Proportion of people working outside their city
tance to K-12 schools. of residence provides a measure of job decentralization while the
Accessibility metrics provide information about residential de- ratio of renters to owners characterizes social and demographic het-
sign and street connectivity. Smart growth advocates argue that erogeneity. Consequently, we recommend all four neighborhood
these qualities determine neighborhood ‘‘walkability’’ and ‘‘bike- mix metrics: land use contiguity, land use richness, population
ability’’ (Lwin & Murayama, 2011). We found low correlation percentage working outside the city, and renter–owner balance.
among all four accessibility metrics and each proved useful for
quantifying urban form (Fig 5). For this reason, we recommend 5.2. Case study findings
all four accessibility metrics in order to capture different dimen-
sions of street design and connectivity. For example, median cul- The findings of this case study are interesting and instructive for
de-sac length in the late-suburban era is about the same as the the broader debate on the natural and ‘‘planned’’ dynamics of
J.H. Lowry, M.B. Lowry / Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 44 (2014) 59–67 65
Fig. 5. Pearson’s moment correlation for spatial metrics within and across neighborhood types. Note: The metric number 1–18 is shown; see Table 1 for metric names, units, and
GIS data required.
Fig. 6. Pearson’s moment correlation across all metrics. Note: The metric number 1–18 is shown; see Table 1 for metric names, units, and GIS data required.
urban form. A comparison of pre-suburban and suburban neigh- size increased from nearly a tenth of an acre to a full quarter acre,
borhoods lends empirical evidence to the hypothesis that the spa- housing density decreased drastically from 41 units/square km to
tial structure of urban neighborhoods experienced significant only 16 units/square km, and dendritic street pattern nearly dou-
changes following World War II. Historians have documented that bled. The neighborhood mix metrics showed more homogenous
for almost five decades, economic conditions, societal values, and land uses in the suburban neighborhoods. Again, this metric is
inexpensive automobiles pushed Americans into sprawling, low- based on present-day land uses, so the more heterogeneous nature
density suburbs with segregated land uses and dendritic street net- of pre-suburban neighborhoods may be a relict of how the neigh-
works (Jackson, 1985). We found 11 of the 18 urban form metrics borhoods were developed (i.e. non-residential land uses juxta-
confirmed this story with statistically significant differences in posed to residential land uses) or current zoning policies in older
mean values. neighborhoods allowing mixed uses, or a combination of the two.
To highlight a few prominent differences between pre-subur- The lower value for land use contiguity suggests less even intersper-
ban and suburban neighborhoods, we note median residential lot sion and juxtaposition, or ‘‘clumping.’’ In other words, the
66 J.H. Lowry, M.B. Lowry / Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 44 (2014) 59–67
suburban neighborhoods exhibit more discontinuous residential Portland’s growth management program to their observations of
development, also known as ‘‘leap-frog’’ sprawl (Ji, Ma, Twibell, & an urban form more characteristic of Smart Growth, they suggest
Underhill, 2006). that the changes observed after 1990 could very well be a result
Furthermore, compared to the pre-suburban neighborhoods, of such policies.
10% more of the people living in neighborhoods built during the Our findings suggest that Salt Lake County is not doing as well
suburban period commute to work outside of their city of resi- in the battle against sprawling urban growth. Many factors might
dence. They are also three times more likely to be homeowners explain the lack of shift toward ‘‘smarter growth.’’ Geographically
in the suburbs compared to those living in neighborhoods built the county has room to grow. As of 2006, 65 square miles
during the pre-suburban period. (165 km2) or 20% of the valley bottom was still in agricultural pro-
Equally informative is the comparison between suburban and duction (GIS calculation with UDWR (2006) data) and in prime po-
late-suburban neighborhoods, which were built during a period sition for residential expansion. Utah’s population is young and
of active efforts to reverse, or at least decelerate, urban sprawl. growing, fueling demand for additional homes (U.S. Dept. of
However, despite efforts toward ‘‘smart growth,’’ it seems many HUD, 2009). Generally the political climate is conservative, favor-
of the same trends continued, albeit not nearly as drastically – ing local control of land use planning rather than planning on a re-
median lot size increased from a quarter to a third of an acre, hous- gional scale (Envision Utah, 2009). The strategies employed by
ing density decreased again, but not nearly as much, from 16 units/ Envision Utah are not enforceable regulations, but are rather guid-
square km to 13 units/square km, and street patterns showed even ing principles, offered to local decision makers based on informa-
more dendritic qualities. Concerning urban sprawl in the 1990s Lo- tion obtained from the public through informal workshops.
pez and Hynes (2003) found that continued sprawling growth was Finally, Utah experienced high economic growth during the
not a universal phenomenon across the U.S. and in fact some 1990s and early 2000s (U.S. Dept. of HUD, 2009) as did much of
metropolitan areas became more densely populated. However, the nation. These combined factors greatly influence the spatial
they suggest that increased density is more likely to occur in cities and demographic pattern of residential neighborhoods observed
where low-density growth is not an option, such as where there in this study.
are physical barriers to suburban expansion.
Finally, considering that the ‘‘New Urbanist’’ philosophy seeks Acknowledgements
to shape development toward an urban form reminiscent of pre-
World War II, it is constructive to compare pre-suburban and This research was funded by the Intermountain Digital Image
late-suburban neighborhoods. However, and perhaps lamentably Archive Center, Utah State University under a grant from NASA
for New Urbanists, our results show that across nearly all metrics (NNX06AF56G). We gratefully acknowledge Dr. Douglas Ramsey
urban form the late-suburban neighborhoods do not resemble (Utah State University) and Dr. Mevin Hooten (formerly of Utah
pre-suburban neighborhoods. On the other hand, it should be State University, now Colorado State University) for their insightful
noted that our analysis compared differences in neighborhoods contributions. We also acknowledge the helpful critique of earlier
types ‘‘on average,’’ so it is all together possible that a few specific drafts by two anonymous reviewers.
neighborhoods built during the late-suburban period may have
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