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December 1, 2021
1 Introduction
A = {HT , TH, TT }
A = {HT , TH}
n(A)
P(A) = (1)
n(Ω)
where
n(A) - Is the number of elements in the event A
n(Ω) - Is the number of elements in the sample space A
P(A) ≥ 0
P(Ω) = 1
0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1
P(B/A)P(A) P(A/B)P(A)
P(A/B) = OR P(B/A) = (5)
P(B) P(A)
We know that
Thus
P(B/A)P(A)
P(A/B) = (6)
P(B/A)P(A) + P(B/A)P(A)
Similarly
P(A/B)P(B)
P(B/A) = (7)
P(A/B)P(B) + P(A/B)P(B)
Equations (6) and (7) are known as Baye’s Rule
In short,
n
X X
P(B) = P(B ∩ Ai ) = = 1n P(B/Ai )P(Ai ) (8)
i i
P(B/Ai )P(Ai )
P(Ai /B) = P (9)
i = 1n P(B/Ai )P(Ai )
Definition (1)
We define the mean of the Stochastic process X as:
( +∞
mx (t) = E {X (t)} = −∞ xfxi dx, When X (t) is a continous
P+∞
i=0 Xi P{X (t)Xi }, When X (t) is a discrete R
(13)
Variance
Definition (2)
It is a measure of the ”randomness” of the Stochastic process X at time t
(designated by X (t)).
Autocorrelation
Definition (3)
We define the autocorrelation function of the Stochastic process X (t) as:
[4]
where
X (t1 ) and X (t2 ) are random variables obtained by observing X (t) at
times t1 and t2 ,respectively.
It is a function of two variables,t1 and t2 ;
It is the measure of the degree to which two time samples of the same
Stochastic process are related
Covariance
Definition (4)
We define the autocorrelation function of the Stochastic process X (t) as: