Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Can Fiscal Councils Enhance The Role of
Can Fiscal Councils Enhance The Role of
SCHUMAN
CENTRE FOR
ADVANCED
STUDIES
The Euro
Crisis
and the
State
of
European
Democracy
Contributions from the
2012 EUDO DISSEMINATION CONFERENCE
Edited by
Bruno de Witte, Adrienne Héritier & Alexander H. Trechsel
This e.Book has been published by the European University Institute, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European Union Democracy Observatory - EUDO
This eBook includes revised papers which were initially presented at the conference “2012 EUDO Dissemination Conference: The Euro Crisis and the State of European Democracy”, co-funded
by the Lifelong Learning Programme, EACEA decision no. 2012-2718/001-001
The European Union Democracy Observatory (EUDO, www.eudo.eu ) is an independent and interdisciplinary organisation fully-integrated within the Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced
Studies (RSCAS) at the European University Institute. Its declared goals are: to translate scientific and academic research on the key issues of European democracy into policy relevant and
publicly-understandable outputs, to produce a permanent and periodic evaluation of democratic practices within the EU and to develop practical suggestions for improving democratic
performance in the EU. EUDO wants to serve as a forum where research results, experiences, ideas, and good practices can be exchanged between scholars and policy-makers. The mission
of EUDO is above all to gather documentation and data, to provide basic and applied research reports for EU institutions, and to foster dialogue between policy-makers, academics and EU
citizens.
Co-funded by the
Lifelong Learning Programme
of the European Union
The European Commission supports the EUI through the European Union budget. This publi-
cation reflects the views only of the author(s), and the Commission cannot be held responsible
for any use which may be made of the information contained therein.
CONTENTS
Foreword 9. The Euro Crisis, Institutional Change and Political Constraints
Bruno de Witte.......................................................................................................... 4 Francisco Torres..................................................................................................... 193
SECTION I: THE IMPACT OF THE EURO CRISIS ON THE EU’S 10. La prise d’autorité de la Banque centrale européenne et les dangers démocra-
INSTITUTIONAL BALANCE tiques de la nouvelle gouvernance économique dans l’Union européenne
1. The Eurozone Crisis and the Legitimacy of Differentiated Integration Cécile Barbier......................................................................................................... 212
Thomas Beukers......................................................................................................... 7 SECTION IV: THE EURO CRISIS AT THE NATIONAL LEVEL
2. Legal Issues of the ‘Fiscal Compact’. Searching for a Mature Democratic Gov- 11. The Euro Crisis and New Dimensions of Contestation in National Politics
ernance of the Euro Alexia Katsanidou................................................................................................. 242
Roberto Baratta....................................................................................................... 31
12. Can Fiscal Councils Enhance the Role of National Parliaments in the European
3. Contradiction, Circumvention and Conceptual Gymnastics: the Impact of the Union? A Comparative Analysis
Adoption of the ESM Treaty on the State of European Democracy Cristina Fasone & Elena Griglio........................................................................... 264
Jonathan Tomkin..................................................................................................... 64
13. Governing Portugal in Hard Times: Incumbents, Opposition and International
SECTION II: AT THE MARGINS OF THE UNION: INSTITUTIONAL Lenders
EXPERIMENTS IN THE EURO CRISIS Elisabetta De Giorgi, Catherine Moury & João Pedro Ruivo ............................. 306
4. Interstitial Institutional Change in Europe: Implications of the Financial and 14. National Fiscal Responses to the Economic Crisis: Domestic Politics and Inter-
Fiscal Crisis national Organizations
Adrienne Héritier & Yannis Karagiannis............................................................... 83 Klaus Armingeon................................................................................................... 329
5. The Outcomes of Intergovernmentalism: the Euro Crisis and the Transforma- 15. The Discursive Double Game of EMU Reform: the Clash of Titans between
tion of the European Union French White Knight and German Iron Lady
Sergio Fabbrini...................................................................................................... 101 Amandine Crespy &Vivien Schmidt..................................................................... 350
6. Reverse Majority Voting in Comparative Perspective: Implications for Fiscal SECTION V: EUROPEAN CITIZENSHIP IN TIMES OF CRISIS
Governance in the EU
16. EU Citizenship and Intra EU Mobility: a Virtuous Circle Even in Times of Crisis
Wim Van Aken & Lionel Artige............................................................................ 129
Anna Triandafyllidou & Michaela Maroufof ...................................................... 370
7. Unions within the Union: Contested Authority over Regulatory Responses to
the Financial Crisis in Europe 17. Crisis and Trust in the National and European Governmental Institutions
Karolina Zurek....................................................................................................... 162 Felix Roth, Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D. & Thomas Otter ................................ 392
SECTION III: THE EURO CRISIS AND THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK 18. Crumbling or Coping? European Citizenship in (the) Crisis
Ulrike Liebert ........................................................................................................ 408
8. The Crisis of the Euro and the New Role of the European Central Bank
Giulio Peroni.......................................................................................................... 183
FOREWORD
Bruno de Witte
Professor of European Union Law at EUDO – the European Union Democracy Observatory - is an interdisci-
Maastricht University (The plinary academic organization based at the Robert Schuman Centre of the
Netherlands), and co-director of EUI in Florence (www.eudo.eu). It aims at fostering a broad debate among
the Maastricht Centre for European academics and policy makers on current issues relating to the functioning
Law. Part-time Professor at the of democracy in the European Union and in its member states. One of the
Robert Schuman Centre of the instruments for this debate is the organisation of an annual dissemination
European University Institute, conference, bringing together a large number of scholars from various disci-
Florence, and co-director of the EUDO Observatory plines with policy-makers from the European institutions and with represen-
on Institutional Change and Reforms. Previously, tatives of European civil society.
from 2000 to 2010, professor of European Union Law
What better topic could have been chosen for the 2012 Dissemination Con-
at the European University Institute, Florence.
ference, which took place on 22 and 23 November 2012 in Florence, than
Main fields of research: Constitutional reform and
the way in which the Euro crisis has affected the state of European democ-
Treaty revision in the European Union; Relations
racy? The Conference was organised by Alexander Trechsel (the director of
between international, European and national law;
EUDO) and by Adrienne Héritier and Bruno de Witte (the co-directors of
Protection of fundamental rights in Europe; Rights
EUDO’s sub-observatory on Institutional Change and Reforms, which is the
of minorities, language law and cultural diversity
group within EUDO whose work is most directly related to the theme of the
in Europe; Internal market law; Decision-making
2012 conference). The role of Valentina Bettin, the project coordinator of
and legal instruments of EU law.
EUDO, was central both in organising the Dissemination Conference and in
preparing the publication of this book.
7. A Treaty amendment has been initiated using the sim- 8. The unconventional measures of the European Central
plified amendment procedure of article 48(6) TFEU – Bank in the form of new legal practices, such as buying
namely the addition of a new article 136(3) TFEU – but of government bonds on secondary market, although
this new article does not create new competence for a very important element of the European response to
the Union; see also European Court of Justice, Case the Eurozone crisis, are outside the scope of this paper.
C-370-12, Pringle, 27 November 2012, para. 73. The focus here is on the policy responses.
61. See also ‘Charlemagne’, The Economist, 22 December 62. Again, I leave aside here the unconventional measures
2012. of the ECB.
Even though the definition of the Balanced Budget 75. Compare also Brigid Laffan, ‘Testing Times: Respon-
Rule is not identical under the “Six-Pack” and the sibility to the fore in the Euro Crisis’, Paper prepared
for the conference in honour of Peter Mair: Responsive
Fiscal Compact, the differences are not great.74 In
or Responsible, EUI, 26-28 November 2012, p. 1-17 at
general terms, the Fiscal Compact Balanced Bud- p. 12: “If national governments are increasingly drawn
72. The German Bundesverfassungsgericht has recently into budgetary and fiscal cycles within the EU and
decided that the Bundestag must consent to every in- 74. Moreover, the application of the rule is country specif- Euro area, how can national parliaments continue to
dividual disposal and that there must be sufficient par- ic. The Fiscal Compact starts from a more strict 0,5% exercise their traditional prerogatives in domestic pub-
liamentary influence on the way the funds are handled limit of the structural deficit, but giving more leeway lic finances.” But also on same page: “Budgetary and
by the receiving states. BverfG, 2 BvR 1390/12, 12 Sep- (1%) to member states with a relatively low general economic policy falls within the political space of con-
tember 2012. government debt (significantly below 60% of GDP). strained choice, but choice nonetheless. (…) There are
73. See for the Treaty obligation of the European Union The “Six-Pack” starts from a less strict 1%, but can be choices about the balance between spending cuts and
to respect the national constitutional identity of the more strict in its actual application to a specific coun- tax increases and within both categories about where
member states, article 4(2) EU. try. to cut and where to raise taxes.”
1. The views expressed in this paper are strictly personal. This text was completed early
October 2012 and does not consider later developments.
70. A view has been suggested so as to enlarge the role of Article 8 as having a larger scope. This special clause has the plain purpose of in-
the ECJ to adjudicate disputes between the parties con- 72. See the preamble, recital 15 and Article 8(3) of the trea- cluding the dispute settling mechanism of the
cerning the rules of title III of the treaty (A. Viterbo, ty. Likewise, on the basis of Article 273 of the TFEU,
R. Cisotta, La crisi del debito sovrano e gli interventi Article 37 of the ESM treaty attributes the power to ad- fiscal compact within the EU legal framework by
dell’U.E., cit., at 359). This suggestion goes beyond the judicate a dispute arising between member states and dint of Article 273 TFEU. Furthermore, Article 8
intention of the contracting parties, as reflected in Ar- the ESM, or between member states, in connection of aims at �����������������������������������������-
ticle 8. the interpretation or the application of the treaty, if a
member state contests the decision given at first degree ing a dispute before the ECJ concerning the im-
71. Contra J. Ziller, The Reform of the Political and Eco-
nomic Architecture of the Eurozone’s Governance. A by the Board of Governors of the ESM.
Legal Perspective, cit., 131-132, who seems to conceive 73. Article 8(2).
1. A member of Mr Pringle’s legal team in litigation concerning the ESM, the present
paper, though referring to and summarizing the judgment of the Court of Justice,
is oriented towards broader constitutional and democratic implications of the legal
framework governing the establishment and operation of the ESM. I wish to thank Dr.
Floris De Witte, Fellow at the London School of Economics and Political Science for
insightful comments on an earlier draft.
Adrienne Héritier has held a joint and deregulation and re-regulation and new modes
chair with the Social and Political of governance.
Sciences Department since 2003. She
was a Director of the Max Planck Yannis Karagiannis is a political
scientist specializing in the
Project Group (now Max Planck
politics of the European Union,
Institute) for ‘Common Goods: Law,
political economy, and development
Politics, and Economics’ in Bonn
studies. He holds a BSc from
from 1999 to 2003. Before that, from 1995 to 1999,
Science Po Paris (cum laude), an
she held a chair in public policy at the EUI. She
MSc from the London School of
is a member of the Berlin Brandenburg Academy of
Economics, and a PhD from the European University
Sciences and Humanities and a member of the
Institute, Florence. His PhD dissertation won the
Academia Europea. In 1994, she was awarded
EUI’s Best Thesis Award for 2006-2008. Yannis’
(jointly with Helmut Willke) the Gottfried-
work has appeared in various journals/presses,
Wilhelm-Leibniz Prize for research, by the
including the European Law Journal, Europan Union
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft. Prof. Héritier’s
Politics, Global Policy, the Journal of European
research focuses on European policy-making,
Public Policy, and Cambridge University Press.
comparative public policy, European decision
making processes, theories of institutional change
made a step forward in the understanding of cur- Clearly, although both of these theories have prov-
rent EU politics. en their usefulness, it is also very easy to come up
with cases which do not fit the theories well. By
Note that from the point of view of current inter-
putting the bar even lower, we go one step beyond
national relations theory, we are far from stating
this: we make it more difficult to find cases which
the obvious. According to neo-realism, for �������
ex-
truly can question the usefulness of PA and TCE.
ample, absolutely all cases of institutional crea-
tion and change should obey the logic of relative
gains, whereby no country allows its partners to
benefit from a new rule more than it does (e.g.
Grieco 1988). Similarly, according to liberal insti-
tutionalism (e.g. Keohane 2005) and liberal inter-
governmentalism (Moravcsik 1998), although
some countries may sometimes focus on absolute
rather than relative gains, all cases of institutional
creation and change should either be consensual
or otherwise follow predetermined procedures.
Case 1: The Regulation on the question. The legislators must explicitly define the A recent instance of such a conflict over the choice
objective, content, scope and duration of this dele- of either Art. 290 or Art. 291 in recent legislation2
Prevention and Correction of
gation. They also can choose the mechanism(s) in is precisely the adoption of the Regulation on the
Macroeconomic imbalances (EU 1176, prevention and correction of macro-economic
order to control the Commission when it applies
2011) these delegated powers, revocation and objection. imbalances. When deciding how to flesh out the
The first case refers to a new institutional rule in In the case of revocation, either the Council or the scoreboard regime, i.e. the indicators used to
the application of delegated and implementing Parliament may revoke a delegation. Similarly, an measure and monitor macroeconomic and mac-
acts under the “six-pack” regulations revising the objection on the part of either the Council or the rofinancial imbalances, the Commission and the
EU’s Stability and Growth Pact of 1997 as revised. Parliament would prevent an individual “delegat- Parliament favoured “delegated acts” (Art. 290)
The Regulation on the Prevention and Correction ed act” from entering into force (see also Blom- whilst the Council wished to use an implement-
of Macroeconomic Imbalances contained a num- Hansen 2011). ing act (Art. 291) for the reasons described above.
ber of vague provisions whose specification and A deadlock ensued which after a round of nego-
The new provisions of the Lisbon Treaty leave
implementation required the passing of delegated tiations led to the use of an informal new type of
open many questions as to how delegated acts
legislation. The Treaty on the Functioning of the procedure which is neither Art. 290 nor Art. 291,
(Art. 290) and implementing acts (Art. 291)
European Union (TFEU 2009) distinguished, for the “compromise”. The respective recital 12 of the
should be applied. In other words the provisions
the first time, between legislative delegation and Regulation stipulates
constitute an incomplete contract. As a rule, when
executive delegation, and provided for two sepa- the Commission proposes a “delegated act” a con- “The Commission should closely cooperate
rate procedures for “delegated acts” and “imple- flict ensues between the Parliament, the Council with the European Parliament and the Coun-
menting acts’ (Ponzano 2010). Under “delegated and the Commission. The Council seeks to oppose
acts” (Art. 290 TFEU), the Commission – by leg- it entirely or to reduce its scope, or to translate it 2. Other recent instances of a conflict between the
islation – may be delegated the power to adopt into an implementing act. Frequently, in order to Council, the Parliament and the Commission
acts of general scope supplementing or amending reach an agreement linkages are performed across about the selection of a delegated or implement-
certain non-essential elements of the legislation in ing act are the Cross-Border Health Care Direc-
various issues as to whether to use “delegating” or tive and the Novel Food Directive.
Rideau, J. (ed.) (2000), De la Communauté de Williamson, O.E. (1975), Markets and Hierarchies:
Droit à l’ Union de Droit. Continuité et Avatars Analysis and Antitrust Implications. New York:
Européens. Paris: LGDJ. Free Press.
Riesenhuber, K. (ed.) (2010), Europäische Metho- Winkler, B. (1999), ‘Is Maastricht a Good Con-
den Lehre: Handbuch für Ausbildung und Praxis. tract?’ Journal of Common Market Studies 37(1):
Berlin: Walter de Gruyter. 39-58.
Council
and those unwilling to downsizing the powers of as voluntary coordination between member states’
Maastricht Treaty that institutionalized a compro-
national governments in those policy’s realms. governments, with minor if not insignificant role
mise between those asserting the need to promote
The compromise consisted, on one side, in inte- of the supranational institutions. Indeed, for dis-
integration also in policy’s areas historically at the
grating at the Union’s level also those policies and, tinguishing between different models of integra-
centre of national sovereignty, as monetary and
on the other side, in interpreting this integration tion, the Maastricht Treaty set up three distinct
economic policy or foreign and security policy,
Legend: averages as a % of total annual public anti-dumping votes with opposing votes in 2002 calculated as the sum of negative votes and abstentions. Supporting votes for ‘04-‘07 calculated
as the sum of positive votes and abstentions. Note: data for 2003 are not public. Source: All acts on which a vote was recorded (except confirmatory replies) from the Council minutes (1999-
2010) and the Council press releases (1995-2010) of all individual Council sessions between the 1826th Council meeting for Agriculture (23 January 1995) and the 3061st Council meeting for
Environment (20 December 2010). They were triangulated with the data from the monthly summaries of Council acts (1999-2010) and the Council Secretariat summary statistics (1996-2010).
release, 09/03/2004). If the Council decides against munity’s decision-making process without chang- the EU’s membership grew from 15 to 27 Member
a Commission proposal it must clearly indicate its ing the respective roles of the Commission and the States potentially upsetting the political balance in
motivation. The voting procedure and the new Council in the application of the Basic Regulations, the Council on anti-dumping policy once more.
mandatory time limits were also adopted for and without implying any changes for the decision-
other key steps in the procedures such as reviews, making procedures in other areas of the common
reinvestigation, circumvention and suspension of commercial policy or other sectors’ (WTO, 2004, p.
measures. The procedural reform was considered 2). Coincidentally, the reformed Basic Regulation
to be expedient in order to ‘facilitate the Com- entered into force just before 1 May 2004 when
Go to Contents
Nice Lisbon Pop
01/11/2014* (000,0)
AT 10 1 8,404,252
BE 12 1 10,951,665
DE 29 1 81,751,602
DK 7 1 5,560,628
ES 27 1 46,152,926
FI 7 1 5,375,276
FR 29 1 65,048,412
GR 12 1 11,309,885
IE 7 1 4,480,858
IT 29 1 60,626,442
LU 4 1 511,840
NL 13 1 16,655,799
PT 12 1 10,636,979
SE 10 1 9,415,570
UK 29 1 62,435,709
CY 4 1 804,435
CZ 12 1 10,532,770
EE 4 1 1,340,194
HU 12 1 9,985,722
LT 4 1 3,244,601
LV 7 1 2,229,641
MT 3 1 417,617
PL 27 1 38,200,037
SK 7 1 5,435,273
SL 4 1 2,050,189
BG 10 1 7,504,868
RO 14 1 21,413,815
Qualified 255/345 15/27 (55% votes) 502,477,005.000
Majority** and and
14 MS 62% (311,535,740,00)
62 % pop. 65% pop. 65%(326,610,050.00)
Qualified 255/345 20/27MS (72%)
Majority*** 18/27MS 65%pop.
Blocking 91
Minority 35% of the pop. of the
participating MS+1MS 35%(175,866,951.80)
RQMV**** 91/345 13/27
and
>35% pop. 35%(175,866,951.80)
Notes: *transition period from 01/11/2014 until 31/03/2017: a Member state can request that the voting rule
The Euro Crisis & the State of European Democracy
for a particular decision will be reverted to the rules under the Nice Treaty. ** QMV for an act proposed by
the Commission; *** QMV for an act not proposed by the Commission; **** abstentions are counted as votes
in favour Source: population data from Eurostat (2011)
150
against, the countries concerned could not par- dumping policy illustrates, the majority thresh- cedure the Commission recommendations could
ticipate in the vote and only members of the euro old becomes dynamic depending on the effective not have been blocked nor altered at the time. In
area could vote on decisions concerning euro area number of abstentions. For example, in the ex- contrast, when we apply the voting weights of the
countries. treme case Malta with 3 weighted votes in favour Lisbon Treaty the Commission recommendations
of a Commission recommendation could pass a would have been adopted but the Council would
With the entry into force of the Six Pack in Decem-
decision against a majority of Member States vot- have had the opportunity to change the text of the
ber 2011 the balance of decision-making power
ing against as long as an equally strong group of recommendation. In other words, under the Lis-
leans towards the Commission, but only margin-
Member states would abstain. bon Treaty voting rules and weights the discretion
ally. The approval of a Commission recommenda-
is likely to veer back in the direction of the Coun-
tion in the preventive and corrective arm of the Unexpectedly, the reformed SGP cancels out the
cil (see Table 4).
Pact requires the approval with an RQMV in the nearly automatic adoption of a Commission rec-
Council for two key steps in the EDP procedure ommendation under RQMV as it allows the Coun- The Fiscal Compact addresses these weaknesses
with strict time limits. The countries concerned cil to change the text of the recommendation with of the Six Pack and eliminates the possibility of
are not allowed to participate and for decisions a qualified majority (at least 73.91% of the Mem- the Council to change a Commission recommen-
concerning euro area countries only members of ber States’ weighted votes under the Nice Treaty dation for euro area countries. The Fiscal Com-
the euro area are allowed to vote. This means that voting rules)4. That is a significant weakening of pact introduces RQMV in all the key steps of the
on paper at least the Council continues to take the the enforcement mechanism considering the 2003 EDP procedure under strict deadlines. Approval of
final decisions but informally the RQMV shift the EDP procedure on France and Germany. If we a Commission proposal is virtually automatic re-
discretion towards the Commission because a rec- apply the new voting rules and follow the voting quiring only just over 26% of the weighted votes
ommendation only requires just over 26% of the weights of the Nice Treaty to the 2003 EDP pro- (Nice Treaty) or at least 4 Member States repre-
Council’s weighted votes for approval. senting 35% of the population of the participating
4. The proposal also requires the support of a majority
countries (Lisbon Treaty)5. Countries that abstain
Moreover, abstentions play an important role for of the Member States (14 Member States out of 27)
and a Member State can always request verification
the approval of Commission recommendations
that the majority represent at least 62% of the total EU 5. The rule on the four countries is designed to prevent
because they lower the threshold to pass a pro- population. The proposal is not adopted if a blocking three of the four larger Member States (France, Ger-
posal under RQMV even further. As our analysis minority of Member States represents at least 90 out of many, Italy and the UK) from being able to block a
345 weighted votes. Note that abstentions under QMV Commission proposal with a QMV. They need to draw
of reverse majority voting in the area of EU-anti
are counted as votes against. in at least a fourth Member State to block a proposal.
1. I wish to thank Bruno De Witte, Adrienne Héritier, Felix Roth and other participants
in the EUDO conference for valuable comments and discussions.
Hodson, Dermot (2009), “EMU and Political Un- per B-16, University of Bonn, 23-37. Sachs, Jeffrey (2012), The Price of Civilization,
ion: What if anything, have we learned from the Pelkmans, Jacques (2006), European Integration: London: Vintage Books, Random House Group
euro’s first decade?”, Journal of European Public Methods and Economic Analysis, Essex: Prentice Ltd.
Policy, 16, 4, 508-526. Hall, 3rd Ed. Salines, Marion, Gabriel Glöckler, Zbigniew
Jabko, Nicolas (2009), “Transparency and Ac- Risse, Thomas and Mareike Kleine (2007), “As- Truchlewski and Paola del Favero (2011), “Be-
countability”, Ch. 18 in K. Dyson and M. Marcus- sessing the legitimacy of European treaty revi- yond the Economics of the Euro – Analysing the
sen (eds), Central banks in the Age of the Euro. sions”, Journal of common market studies, 45 (1), Institutional Evolution of EMU: 1999-2010”, ECB
Europeanization, Convergence and Power, Oxford: 69-80. Occasional Paper 127, September.
Oxford University Press.
Cécile Barbier holds a Masters in tion. She also coordinates the new series of «OSE
Public and International Affairs Papers» as well as the contribution of Ose, «Os-
and Special Diploma of the Insti- servatorio Europa», the Italian magazine «La Riv-
tute for the Study of Developing ista delle Politiche sociali» Her areas of re-
Countries (UCL). She is a political search focus on institutional development of the
scientist at the OSE. Since 1992, European Union, the institutional challenges of
she follows the institutional de- enlargement and issues related to citizenship and
bates and social consequences of European integra- immigration.
de l’indépendance à En la présence d’un taux de chômage élevé, la priorité devrait être de rendre les salaires réactifs (flexi-
bles) aux conditions du marché du travail, de manière à faciliter la nécessaire réallocation sectorielle de
l’ingérence l’emploi, fondement des créations d’emplois et de la réduction du chômage.
(…) En outre, dans un contexte de déséquilibre croissant sur le marché du travail, une différenciation
Depuis l’exportation de la crise des subprimes en accrue des salaires entre les différents types de travailleurs et d’emplois est nécessaire pour contribuer à
Europe, la BCE a mené des interventions dites non une bonne adéquation entre l’offre et la demande de travail, et serait de plus particulièrement bénéfique
conventionelles pour soutenir le secteur bancaire. à certains des groupes les plus touchés par la crise.
Par la suite, elle a conduit des interventions de
(…) Les politiques actives de lutte contre le chômage (active labour market policies, ALMPs) devraient
rachats de dettes souveraines sur le marché secon-
faciliter le retour au travail des jeunes et des salariés les moins qualifiés, y compris au moyen de poli-
daire. Rien n’interdit à la BCE d’intervenir sur le
tiques de formation, de combler le fossé entre les compétences des chômeurs et celles demandées par
«marché secondaire» de la dette mais la Bundes-
les entreprises, en particulier dans les pays les plus touchés par des baisses irréversibles d’effectifs dans
bank s’y oppose en ce que cela violerait la «clause
certains secteurs.
de non-renflouement» introduite par le traité de
Maastricht. Cette clause, l’article 125 du traité, De telles politiques devraient également contribuer à accroître la pression à la baisse sur les salaires
interdit à l’Union et ses États membres de garan- exercée par les chômeurs et à limiter la baisse de la production potentielle qui résulterait d’une hausse
tir les engagements publics des États membres. Il du chômage structurel».
faut préciser que les achats de dettes ou des prêts
aux autres États membres par les États membres
ne sont pas interdits. Telle est la philosophie de la
Facilité de stabilité financière européenne (EFSF,
European financial stability facility selon l’acro-
1. Cf. Note 35, p. 9 et 10.
nyme anglais souvent appelé fonds européen de
Selon l’article 16 du traité budgétaire, «Dans un Selon la résolution du Parlement, «Les États membres adoptent des règles budgétaires chiffrées, qui
délai de cinq ans maximum à compter de la date inscrivent dans le processus budgétaire national l’objectif budgétaire à moyen terme au sens de l’article
48. “Applications for the issue of temporary injunctions 1. «Les États membres adoptent des règles budgétaires chiffrées concernant le solde budgétaire, qui inscrivent dans
to prevent the ratification of the ESM Treaty and le processus budgétaire national l’objectif budgétaire à moyen terme au sens de l’article 2 bis du règlement (CE) n°
the Fiscal Compact unsuccessful for the most 1466/97. Ces règles s’appliquent aux administrations publiques dans leur ensemble et revêtent un caractère contraig-
part”, Federal Constitutional Court, Press release nant, de préférence constitutionnel», article 4 premier alinéa, COM (2011) 821, 23 novembre 2011.
no. 67/2012 of 12 September 2012, http://www. 2. Le Procès-verbal de signature du traité sur la stabilité, la coordination et la gouvernance au sein de l’Union
bundesverfassungsgericht.de/en/press/bvg12-067en. économique et monétaire, 2 mars 2012.
html
Face à la poursuite de la dégradation des condi- 4. Amendement 46 Proposition de règlement Article 6 – paragraphe 4, «Amendements du Parlement européen,
tions d’accès aux marchés de plusieurs pays tels adoptés le 13 juin 2012, à la proposition de règlement relatif au renforcement de la surveillance économique et
l’Espagne et l’Italie y compris après le Conseil budgétaire des États membres connaissant ou risquant de connaître de sérieuses difficultés du point de vue de
leur stabilité financière au sein de la zone euro», http://www.europarl.europa.eu/sides/getDoc.do?type=TA&la
européen de juin 2012, nombreux sont ceux qui nguage=FR&reference=P7-TA-2012-242
parient sur la disparition de l’euro en dépit de la 5. Dans son avis sur le Two Pack, la Banque centrale européenne considère que «l’article 6, paragraphe 5 du rè-
multiplication des discours sur «l’irréversibilité de glement proposé relatif au procédure de surveillance, constitue un cas critique dans lequel il est recommandé
d’employer la règle du vote à la majorité qualifiée inversée», Avis de la Banque centrale européenne du 7 mars
2012 sur le renforcement de la gouvernance économique dans la zone euro, Journal officiel de l’Union europée-
50. Andreas Fischer-Lescano : «Le Traité Fiscal et le droit nne, C 141, 17 mai 2012, p. 11, http://www.ecb.int/ecb/legal/pdf/c_14120120517fr00070024.pdf
européen», Avis juridique. Bremen, 7 septembre 2012.
51. Dans un article publié dans la presse allemande (Die 52. «Clarifier la vision» de l’avenir de l’Euro ? La Libre 6. Europolitique, 10 juillet 2012.
Zeit), le 29 août 2012. Belgique, 31 mai 2012.
on the basis of a large stimulus package (Gemenis the strong focus on national identity of the newly ments changed once New Democracy became the
2012), ended up going against its ideology and its elected leader, Samaras, (Nezi, Sotiropoulos and first party in the parliament after the June 2012
programmatic positions. Toka 2010) and the strategic consideration of not elections, allowing Samaras to become prime
get the blame for the government choice. As retro- minister leading a tripartite coalition. This change
The main opposition party, New Democracy,
spective evaluations of the economy are expected brought the party closer to its expected liberal po-
came from the Christian Democratic/ Conserva-
to negatively impact the electoral performance of sition on the economic left-right scale.
tive traditions. In economic left-right terms lib-
the incumbent (Nezi 2012) Samaras avoided as-
eral reforms were not undesirable by the party. The main parties of the left pole, KKE and SYRI-
sociating his party with unpopular government
However, what dominated was, on the one hand ZA, remained true to their left wing positions by
choices. This approach towards the bailout agree-
ND
LAOS the Greens, LAOS, Dem. Left and Social Pact
Ind. Greeks (short-lived PASOK splinter group). Crossing to
2
Soc. Pact
KKE
In order for this dimension to be an evolution of
Greens Dem. Left
SYRIZA the pre-existing ethno-centric vs. cosmopolitan
-4
-2 -1 0 1 2
Position on the European Unification
-2 means European Unification has gone too far and +2 means European Unification should be strengthened
Dem. Alliance
Democratic Alliance). Additional parties to the
Rec. Greece Golden Dawn
cluster are the new entries Social Pact (short-lived
DRASSI
PASOK splinter group) and Reconstruct Greece
0
PASOK
(short-lived liberal party), and LAOS that now
has switched sides on the EU issue. LAOS is in
2011 member of the Papademos government and
-2
Soc. Pact
KKE
Dem. Left
is trying to present itself as a trustworthy govern-
Greens ment partner. It has put its office-seeking consid-
SYRIZA
erations ahead of its vote-seeking considerations.
-4
ANTARSYA
0
Position on the Left-Right Dimension
EU Profiler data offer a question on whether the
ND
EU has helped Greece to achieve its foreign policy
-.5
goals. We expect this question to be a mixture of
a pro-anti EU indicator and a ethno-centric/cos-
mopolitan indicator. Indeed in Figure 6 there is a
-1
similar pattern as in the other 2009 EU position
Greens
Figure (3). We find PASOK and the Greens clus- PASOK
tered on the positive extreme of the scale (EU has
-1.5
helped Greece to achieve its foreign policy goals).
SYRIZA
New Democracy follows on the positive side of KKE
the scale but closer to the centre. SYRIZA is am-
bivalent in the middle of the scale (neither/nor) -2 1 2 3 4 5
demonstrating perhaps the ideological struggle Foreign Policy Dimension
between its two fractions that came to split into 1 means EU has not helped Greece and 5 means EU has helped Greece achive its foreign polic goals
Rec. Greece
Cristina Fasone holds a Doctorate Her main fields of research concern national and
in Comparative Public Law at the regional parliaments in the European decision-
University of Siena and is Post- making process (on which she has recently
Doctorate Researcher and Teaching authored: “Interparliamentary Cooperation and
Fellow in Public law and European Democratic Representation in the European Union,in
Institutions at the LUISS Guido S. Kröger, D. Friedrich (eds.), Democracy and
Carli University in Rome Representation in the EU, London, Palgrave
(Department of Political Science and School of MacMillan, 2012, p. 41-58), transnational
Government). Moreover, she works as Research judicial “dialogue”, and parliaments and forms of
Fellow at the Center for studies on Parliament government in comparative perspective. On this
(Centro di studi sul Parlamento) in the same latter topic, in particular on the relationship
University. between parliamentary committee systems and
forms of government, she wrote her Ph.D. thesis
1. Although this is the result of a joint work of the two authors, Cristina Fasone drafted
Sections 1, 3 and 4, while Elena Griglio drafted Sections 2, 5 and the figures. The con- and then her monograph (Sistemi di commissioni
clusions have been jointly drafted by the two authors. We would like to thank Giacomo parlamentari e forme di governo, Padova, Cedam,
Delledonne, Prof. Sergio Fabbrini, Prof. Nicola Lupo, Dr. Aleksandra Maatsch, Prof. 2012). In order to broaden her knowledge about
Andrea Manzella, Prof. Yves Mény, and Dr. Riccardo Pelizzo for their comments. The
usual disclaimers apply. parliaments she was intern at the European
Nature of the parliamentary oversight of budget Criteria for assessing the Council’s independence (firewalls)
Type of parliamentary Extension of Council’s members Formal influence of the Council’s funding Accountability rules
oversight of budget parliamentary oversight appointment and staffing Council in the budget and (in face of the
of budget fiscal process Government - of the
Parliament)
UK - Office Parliamentary oversight Intense and consolidated HoC’s Treasury The government is The Office depends from Collective accountability
for Budget of budget carried out parliamentary scrutiny Committee must constantly under the both the Treasury and assessed:
Responsibility by the Public Account give its consent on Councils’ trial the Parliament for its a) by institutional bodies
Committee together with the appointment (and Aptitude of the Office revenues as well as for (the Treasury; the
National Audit Office termination of mandate) for serving as a source the certification of its parliament) every year,
of of information and accounts (subject also b) by an external
three members of the analytical studies to to the validation of the reviewer (person or body
Office parliamentary committees Controller and Auditor appointed by the non-
General) executive committee
at least once in every
relevant 5-year period
Belgium – The parliamentary Low-Medium NAI and HIC as - NAO intervenes mainly NAI is financed by an Both agencies, as public
National oversight of budget development of budgetary ‘government-oriented’ in the ex ante stage; annual grant from the institutions, have
Accounts involves both the Budget oversight agencies: relationship with HCF’s contribution is Federation, inscribed ministers overseeing
Institute and and Finance committee both the Federal and the focused both on the ex within the budget section their activity and budget;
High Council and the Assembly Regional governments) ante and on the ex post of the Ministry for this does not prevent
on Finance of the Chamber of (plurality of institutional stage. economic affairs (art. 118 them from enjoying
representatives interlocutors) of the law 21st December full independence (they
1994) respond to government
According to art. 13 of requests, but at the same
the Arrêté royal of the 3rd time can also act on their
April 2006, HIC adopts own initiative).
its own internal financial
regulation, which is
approved by the Ministry
of finances.
304
Germany - Parliamentary scrutiny of Medium development of The five members of The Council’s main The Council is endowed The government-centered
Council for budget mainly carried out budgetary oversight the Council are selected duty is to compile the with financial autonomy nature of the body makes
Economic by the Budget committee among specialists in the Annual Economic and its remuneration the Council responsible
Experts of the Bundestag (and in field of economic theory Report, presented to the and expenses are borne only in face of the
particular by Auditing and policy and appointed Federal Government by directly by the Federal government. The role of
subcommittee) - by the Federal President November 15th, which government political advisor prevails
on the recommendation in its turn submits it to over that of scientific
of the government. legislative bodies. Within advisor, thus supporting
eight weeks the Federal the idea of the Council
government presents its of experts as a ‘parallel
comments on the report government’.
to the legislative bodies.
Figure 2 - A comparison between the degree of the national Parliaments’ involvement in the budgetary oversight (ex post scrutiny) and their relationship with Fiscal councils
Country Parliamentary involvement in the Reference institution of the Fiscal Council Interaction Fiscal council -Parliament**
budgetary oversight (ex post scrutiny)
UK parliament
High involvement Intense
(Office for budget responsibility) government
Germany
Medium involvement Federal government Absent (mediated by the government)
(Council of economic experts)
Belgium
(High Council of Finance – National Weak involvement Federal and regional governments Extremely weak
Accounts Institute)
Italy Extremely intense (the Fiscal Council is
Weak involvement parliament
(Parliamentary Budget Office)* created by the two Houses)
** The interaction Fiscal Council-parliament has been analysed considering as relevant the following elements: the role exercised by the parliament in the appointing procedures; the capacity of
the Fiscal Council to interact with the legislative process carried out at parliamentary level and the procedures accompanying the submission and discussion of the agency’s fiscal reports within
the representative assemblies; the dependence of the Council’s funding on a decision to be taken at parliamentary level; the accountability rules assuring an evaluation of elected assemblies over
the Council’s activity
305
13. GOVERNING PORTUGAL IN HARD TIMES:
INCUMBENTS, OPPOSITION AND
INTERNATIONAL LENDERS
Elisabetta De Giorgi, Catherine Moury & João Pedro Ruivo
Note: we excluded the bills presented exclusively by the opposition party groups from the analysis; in parenthesis important bills
only (N=1009 and 116).
1. We initially codified the two groups PCP and PEV separately, but we present them together for the sake of clarity, as their
voting behaviour is almost identical.
Yes Abst. Yes Abst. Yes Abst. Yes Abst. Yes Abst. Yes Abst.
B (B) B (B) B (B) B (B) B (B) B (B)
(sig.) (sig.) (sig.) (sig.) (sig.) (sig.) (sig.) (sig.) (sig.) (sig.) (sig.) (sig.)
.42 -.40 .93** -.20 .79** .01 -.11 -.73* -.13 -.76** -.19 -1.26***
Intercept
(.341) (.437) (.003) (.586) (.008) (.974) (.622) (.006) (.556) (0.04) (.473) (.001)
Majority 1.19*** .95*** .80*** 1.42*** 1.09*** 1.42*** 1.13*** .38 .29
- - .71*** (.001)
government (.000) (.000) (.001) (.000) (.000) (.000) (.000) (.27) (.503)
Simple bills
.60 .00 -.03 -.15 -.00 .05 -.09 -.17 -.07 -.20 .16 .20
(Less than one
(.173) (1.000) (.907) (.655) (.993) (.881) (.682) (.504) (.759) (.434) (.526) (.58)
committee)
Socio-economic -2.03*** .-65 -.91 -.89*** -.13 -1.00*** -.96*** -.91*** -.89*** -.93*** -1.52***
.03 (.901)
bill (.000) (.199) (.000)*** (.000) (.625) (.000) (.000) (.000) (.001) (.000) (.000)
1.16* .18 .90*** .58** -.69* 1.34*** .30 1.39*** .39 1.52*** .31
Multi-party bills -.40 (.198)
(.016) (.774) (.000) (.010) (.016) (.000) (.208) (.000) (.107) (.000) (.331)
.31 .54* -.49 .31 -.23 .24 -.38* .10 .15 .66*
Crisis - -
(.218) (0.06) (.831) (.23) (.266) (.325) (.057) (.659) (.515) (.021)
.72 1.04* -.85* -.09 -.54 .02 -.41 -.21
IMF - - - -
(.130) (.046) (0.032) (.82) (.15) (.953) (.24) (.609)
1. This is the pre-peer-reviewed version of the following article: “The Politics of Fiscal
Responses to the Crisis of 2008-2009,” which has been published in final form at http://
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-0491.2012.01594.x/abstract
Column 2 and 3: Unadjusted /structurally adjusted deficits 2008 and 2009 minus unadjusted/structurally adjusted deficits 2006 and 2007, divided by 2. Since deficits are indicated by a negative
sign, the increase has a negative sign as well.
Source: Deficits: OECD Economic Outlook May 2010; Eurostat (downloaded June 11, 2010). Fiscal Package OECD: (OECD, 2009b), Slovenia: IMF Source http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/
pn/2009/pn0965.htm; limited comparability to OECD operationalization of fiscal package.
368
SECTION V:
EUROPEAN CITIZENSHIP
IN TIMES OF CRISIS
Felix Roth works as a research sociology at the London School of Economics. Since
fellow at the Centre for European 2009, he is co-editor of Intereconomics.
Policy Studies in Brussels and is a
His current research focuses on the effect of
post-doctoral lecturer at the
intangible capital on economic performance
faculty of economics at the
(amongst others in Review of Income and Wealth)
University of Göttingen. From 1997
and connected to that the EU’s competitiveness
to 2003 he studied sociology,
in international perspective, as well as the
economics and European law at the University of
effects of the financial and eurozone crises
Munich and the University of Nancy, France and
on citizens’ systemic trust and their support
received in 2003 a diploma in sociology from the
for the euro. His research has been funded by
University of Munich. In 2007 he received his PhD
the German Science Foundation, the European
in economics from the University of Göttingen
Commission (FP7 Projects), the Austrian Ministry
within the framework of the post-graduate program
of Finance and Federal Chancellery, as well as the
on “The future of the European Social Model”. His
Bertelsmann Foundation and Foundation Mercator.
dissertation on the topic of Trust and Economic
Growth (published in Kyklos) was jointly
supervised by the faculty of economics at the
University of Göttingen and the faculty of
Notes: Modified version of Figure 1 in Roth et al (2013). NG = national government, EC = European Commission. Values are
population weighted for the respective country samples. In Jan./Feb. 2009, the special Standard EB 71.1 was utilised. As the sur-
vey item concerning trust in the NG was not included in Standard EBs 52, 53, 54 or 58, the data for these four observation points
respectively are missing. The dashed line represents the start of the crisis in September 2008 and differentiates the pre-crisis and
crisis periods. From autumn 2004 to autumn 2006, the EU-27 country sample consists of EU-25 countries excluding Romania
and Bulgaria. From spring 2007 onwards, Romania and Bulgaria are included. As the figure depicts net trust, all values above
0 indicate trust by a majority of the respondents and all values below 0 a lack of trust by the majority.
4. All single time trends are depicted in Figures A2 and Sources: Standard EBs 51-77 and Special EB 71.1.
A4 in the appendix.
Table 1 depicts the values for the changes in net EA-12 NG/NP -25/-16 -34/-31 -9/-15
trust from spring 2008 to spring 2012 for the EU- EU-15 NG/NP -28/-17 -36/-31 -8/-14
EU-27 NG/NP -31/-25 -39/-37 -8/-12
15/27 and EA-12 country samples. As can be ob-
EA-12 EC/EP 21/27 -11/-7 -32/-34
served, all three samples follow the same pattern.
EU-15 EC/EP 14/19 -15/-12 -29/-31
Trust in the EC and EP declined significantly by
EU-27 EC/EP 19/23 -9/-6 -28/-29
around 30 percentage points, while trust in the
NG and NP declined by around 10 and 15 per-
centage points, respectively. Taking this similar Notes: Modified version of Table 1 in Roth et al (2013). EA = euro area, NG = national government, NP = national parliament,
pattern into consideration, it seems sound to con- EC = European Commission, EP = European Parliament. Values are population weighted for the respective country samples. As
clude that countries in the EA-12 country sample the table presents data on net trust, all values above 0 indicate trust by a majority of the respondents and all values below 0 a
lack of trust by the majority. The periods still reflecting trust by a majority of citizens are shaded in grey.
appear to be determining the overall trend.5
Sources: Standard EBs 69 and 77.
2014.
Figure A1. Net trust in the national government, by EU-27 country (1999–2012)
(EB 62), even for Romania and Bulgaria. Data for EBs 52-
0
2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010
below 0 indicate a lack of trust by the majority of respondents.
Year In the case of Great Britain, data from EBs 51-69 are for Great
Britain, whereas data from EB 70 onwards are for the UK.
Sources: Standard EBs 51-77 and Special EB 71.1.
axis displays a range from -100 to +50. For the EU-15 coun-
-50
tries, the data commence in spring 1999 (EB 51). For the 12
-100
2000 2005 2010 new member states, the data commence in autumn 2004 (EB
Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden 62), even for Romania and Bulgaria. Data for EBs 52-53 and
EB 58 are missing and have been automatically been interpo-
50
lated by Stata. As the figure depicts net trust, all values below
0
the case of Great Britain, data from EBs 51-69 are for Great
-100
2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010
Britain, whereas data from EB 70 onwards are for the UK.
Year
Sources: Standard EBs 51-77 and Special EB 71.1.
2000 2005 2010 axis displays a range from -50 to +50. For the EU-15 coun-
Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden tries, the data commence in spring 1999 (EB 51). For the 12
new member states, the data commence in autumn 2004 (EB
50
62), even for Romania and Bulgaria. As the figure depicts net
trust, all values below 0 indicate a lack of trust by the majority
0
2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010
69 are for Great Britain, whereas data from EB 70 onwards
Year are for the UK.
2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010
are for the UK.
Year
Sources: Standard EBs 51-77 and Special EB 71.1.
DOI 10.2870/68622
QM-32-13-069-EN-N
978-92-9084-134-0