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The International Journal of Cardiovascular Imaging

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10554-018-1398-x

ORIGINAL PAPER

Distinguishing acute from chronic aortic dissections using CT imaging


features
Norman A. Orabi1   · Leslie E. Quint2 · Kuanwong Watcharotone3   · Bin Nan4 · David M. Williams2 · Karen M. Kim5

Received: 28 February 2018 / Accepted: 13 June 2018


© Springer Nature B.V. 2018

Abstract
The aim was to compare computed tomography (CT) features in acute and chronic aortic dissections (AADs and CADs) and
determine if a certain combination of imaging features was reliably predictive of the acute versus chronic nature of disease
in individual patients. Consecutive patients with aortic dissection and a chest CT scan were identified, and 120 CT scans
corresponding to 105 patients were reviewed for a variety of imaging features. Statistical tests assessed for differences in
the frequency of these features. A predictive model was created and tested on an additional 120 CT scans from 115 patients.
Statistically significant features of AAD included periaortic confluent soft tissue opacity, curved dissection flap, and highly
mobile dissection flap, and features of CAD included thick dissection flap, false lumen (FL) outer wall calcification, FL
thrombus, dilated FL, and tear edges curling into the FL. The model predicted the chronicity of a dissection with an area
under the curve of 0.98 (CI 0.98–1.00). AADs and CADs demonstrated significantly different CT imaging features.

Keywords  Aortic dissection · Acute aortic syndromes · Computed tomography · Chronic dissection

Introduction to 2 months; and chronic phase more than 2 months after


onset [3]. However, other definitions specify the subacute
An acute aortic dissection (AAD) is a medical emergency phase as terminating at 6 weeks or 3 months [4, 5].
with reported incidence of about 3–6/100,000/year; peak An AAD must be diagnosed and treated rapidly due to the
incidence occurs in the 60–70 age group [1, 2]. Thoracic high mortality of the untreated condition. Untreated type A
aortic dissections are classified by anatomic extent. A Stan- AAD shows about a 1–2% mortality rate per hour within the
ford type A dissection signifies involvement of the ascend- first 48 h [6], and most patients with a diagnosis of type A
ing aorta, whereas a type B dissection does not involve the AAD are treated emergently with surgery. Acute and chronic
ascending aorta. Regarding chronicity, a dissection may be type B aortic dissections may generally be managed medi-
characterized as acute, subacute, or chronic. According to cally unless there are indications for surgical repair such as
one definition, the acute phase lasts from the onset of symp- false lumen rupture, malperfusion, aortic diameter greater
toms to 2 weeks thereafter; the subacute phase from 2 weeks than 5.5 cm, re-dissection, rapid initial growth, or dilation
greater than 1 cm/year [7]. The mortality rate associated
with open surgical and endovascular repair for chronic aortic
* Norman A. Orabi dissection (CAD) is much lower compared to AAD [7–10],
orabi@med.umich.edu partly due to the elective rather than emergent basis for the
1 procedure. Correctly classifying aortic dissections as acute
University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, USA
or chronic is critical for risk stratification, treatment, and
2
Department of Radiology, Michigan Medicine, Ann Arbor, predicting survival. Occasionally, an aortic dissection may
USA
be clinically missed at initial presentation, and when it is
3
Michigan Institute for Clinical and Health Research, detected later, the acute versus chronic nature of the disease
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA
may be unclear. Clinical decision making may hinge on this
4
Department of Statistics, University of California at Irvine, determination. For example, a chronic dissection would not
Irvine, USA
explain the etiology for acute chest pain, and further diag-
5
Department of Cardiac Surgery, Michigan Medicine, nostic workup would be indicated.
Ann Arbor, USA

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Because patients with AAD may present in a nonspe- scan (farthest from the onset of symptoms) without opera-
cific fashion, diagnostic imaging is generally necessary to tive intervention was evaluated. Patients who presented with
confirm the diagnosis. Computed tomography (CT) is the an incidental, asymptomatic dissection that was deemed
preferred and most frequently used imaging modality due chronic by the treating cardiothoracic surgeon, cardiologist,
to its widespread availability, non-invasive quality, ability to or interventional radiologist were included in the chronic
assess the distal extent of the dissection, and similar sensi- group.
tivity and specificity as compared to aortography, magnetic Following the assessment of these 120 CT scans, a pre-
resonance imaging, and transesophageal echocardiography dictive model was created from this initial set of patient
[3, 11]. The purpose of our study was to assess and compare data using five predictors (see “Statistical analysis” section,
a variety of CT imaging features in AAD and CAD and below). Subsequently, 60 acute and 60 chronic scans from
to determine if some combination of imaging features was additional patients in our database (the test population) were
reliably predictive of the acute versus chronic nature of the evaluated in a similar fashion in order to test the model. This
disease in individual patients. resulted in a test data set of 120 CT scans corresponding to
115 patients.
A flow diagram of the patient selection process is pre-
Methods sented in Fig. 1.

Institutional review board approval, with waiver of informed Imaging features evaluated
consent, was obtained for this HIPAA-compliant, retrospec-
tive study. Each CT scan was evaluated for a variety of imaging features
by a medical student who was trained to evaluate each fea-
Study population ture by a faculty cardiothoracic radiologist. The first 10 CT
scans were evaluated simultaneously by the medical student
All patients seen in adult Cardiology and Cardiac Surgery and cardiothoracic radiologist to ensure competency. The
clinics between 1/1/2010 and 1/1/2015 with a clinical diag- cardiothoracic radiologist remained available throughout
nosis of aortic dissection and a chest CT with intravenous the subsequent data collection to assist with any difficult
(IV) contrast were identified via data abstraction from hos- features. Regarding intra-observer variability, a random set
pital information systems. of 10 CT scans was re-evaluated for the categorical variables
Patients were sorted in reverse chronological order to generate a correct classification rate.
based on the date of the initial CT scan (newest to oldest). The categorical variables included the following (present
Patients were excluded from further analysis if they had on at least one cross sectional image): regions of high attenu-
already undergone open aortic surgery or endograft place- ation (60–70 HU) in the false lumen (FL) on pre-contrast
ment prior to the initial CT scan or if any of the following images; calcification on the FL side of the flap; calcification
findings were present at CT: focal dissection flap (arbitrar- in the outer wall of the FL; non-occlusive FL thrombus;
ily defined as less than 10 cm in length), acute dissection periaortic fat infiltration; pericardial effusion; and pleu-
superimposed on known chronic dissection, and/or very poor ral effusion. FL thrombus was coded as present, absent or
vascular opacification with contrast material. In addition, for indeterminate (the latter due to the difficulty in distinguish-
the test population only (see below), we excluded patients ing thrombus from poor/incomplete opacification on some
if the scans could not be evaluated for flap mobility due to scans). Fat infiltration was defined as the presence of soft
lack of either retrospectively ECG gated or non-gated images tissue density opacities in the periaortic fat; this was further
because measurement of flap mobility was required to test codified as (1) confluent soft tissue opacity (coalescent soft
our predictive model. tissue density), (2) soft tissue stranding (irregular linear soft
After these exclusions, the first 60 patients with scans tissue streaks), or (3) absent. Flap shape was assessed at the
during the acute phase of the dissection and the first 60 axial cross section where the aortic diameter was largest
patients with scans during the chronic phase of the dissec- and classified as either predominantly straight or curved.
tion were selected for further evaluation. Because 15 patients Intimal tear edges were classified as visible or non-visible;
had scans in both the acute and the chronic phases of the dis- if visible, the tear edges were assessed to determine if they
ease, a total of 120 scans from 105 patients were evaluated. curled towards the FL like a blunted funnel.
The acute phase of the dissection was defined as within The continuous variables included the size or amplitude
2  weeks of the start of symptoms, and the scan closest of the following features on one or more axial CT images:
to the onset of symptoms was evaluated. Conversely, the maximum flap thickness, FL maximum diameter, size ratio
chronic phase of the dissection was defined as greater than of the FL to true lumen (TL), and flap mobility. The follow-
2 months from the onset of symptoms, and the most recent ing definitions were used.

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Fig. 1  Patient selection criteria.


Consort diagram showing
inclusion criteria for this study.
Asterisk includes acute on
chronic aortic dissections and
subacute aortic dissections.
AAD acute aortic dissection,
CAD chronic aortic dissection

• Maximum flap thickness: the largest edge-to-edge Diameters, distances and flap thickness were measured
measurement perpendicular to the plane of the flap. using electronic calipers. Luminal areas were measured
• FL maximum diameter: the largest luminal measure- using a freehand, electronic region of interest.
ment perpendicular to the plane of the flap from the
flap edge bordering the FL to the inner edge of the FL CT imaging techniques
outer wall.
• Size ratio of the FL to the TL: the ratio of the axial cross- CT examinations were obtained on a variety of CT scan-
sectional area of the FL to the TL. The size ratios were ners using a variety of techniques, although all utilized IV
recorded at four separate anatomical positions, if the dis- contrast material. In addition, 45/120 scans from the first set
section involved these aortic regions: middle ascending of data also included pre-contrast images through the aorta.
aorta, immediately distal to the left subclavian artery 126/240 CT scans were performed at outside institutions
(LSA), midway between the LSA and celiac trunk, and and 114/240 CT scans were performed at our institution.
immediately proximal to the celiac trunk. 157/240 CT scans were non-ECG gated. 83/240 CT scans
• Flap mobility: the maximum amplitude of flap move- were ECG gated, with 18 using prospective cardiac gating
ment, measured perpendicular to the plane of the flap. On and 65 using retrospective cardiac gating. All of the scans
scans performed using retrospective electrocardiographic that utilized retrospective cardiac gating were performed at
(ECG) gating, this measurement was made by comparing our institution. 203/240 CT scans included the chest and
images at the same anatomic level obtained during dif- abdomen and 37/240 included the chest only. Chest slice
ferent phases of the cardiac cycle. On scans performed thickness ranged from 0.5 to 5 mm (except for two out-
without ECG gating, the amplitude of flap movement side scans with 7–7.5 mm thick sections) (mean 1.94 mm,
was measured as the maximum perpendicular distance median 1.25 mm). Abdomen slice thickness ranged from 0.5
between corresponding flap edges on consecutive axial to 5 mm (except for two outside scans with 7–7.5 mm thick
sections. sections) (mean 2.03 mm, median 1.25 mm).

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Statistical analysis was used for continuous variables, depending on whether or


not the normality assumption was met. A χ2 test or Fisher’s
Descriptive statistics of the first data set are summarized exact test was used for categorical variables, depending on
in Table 1. A two-sample t test or Wilcoxon rank sums test if the observations were sparse in each category. Multiple

Table 1  Imaging features in acute and chronic aortic dissections


Variable Acute (N = 60 ­patientsa) Chronic (N = 60 ­patientsa) P-value*

Flap thickness (mm) 2.90 ± 0.87 4.01 ± 1.15 < 0.0001**S


FL maximum diameter (mm) 26.05 ± 9.89 32.07 ± 10.2 0.0005**S
FL/TL area ratio
 Mid ascending aorta 3.57 ± 3.93 (N = 26b) 2.05 ± 1.31 (N = 5) 0.28**
 Distal LSA 2.09 ± 1.25 (N = 55) 3.45 ± 2.44 (N = 45) 0.01**S
 At celiac trunk 3.21 ± 3.78 (N = 51) 3.48 ± 4.87 (N = 50) 0.051**
 Halfway between LSA and celiac trunk 2.61 ± 1.88 (N = 56) 3.93 ± 2.12 (N = 50) 0.0003**S
Pre-contrast scan available 0.09
 Yes 18 (30%) 27 (45%)
If yes, high attenuation in FL 3 (16.7%) 0 0.06**
 No 42 (70%) 33 (55%)
Pericardial effusion 0.51
 Yes 6 (10%) 4 (6.7%)
 No 54 (90%) 56 (93.3%)
Pleural effusion 0.75
 Yes 5 (8.3%) 6 (10%)
 No 55 (91.7%) 54 (90%)
FL-side flap calcification 0.36**
 Yes 1 (1.7%) 4 (6.7%)
 No 59 (98.3%) 56 (93.3%)
FL outer wall calcification < 0.0001**S
 Yes 0 17 (28.3%)
 No 60 (100%) 43 (71.7%)
FL thrombus < 0.0001S
 Yes 6 (10%) 41 (68.3%)
 Indeterminate 21 (35%) 1 (1.7%)
 No 33 (55%) 18 (30%)
Fat infiltration 0.0046**S
 Soft tissue stranding 13 (21.7%) 5 (8.3%)
 Confluent soft tissue opacity 5 (8.3%) 0
 No 42 (70%) 55 (91.7%)
Visible tear edges < 0.0001S
 Yes 29 (48.3%) 53 (88.3%)
If yes, tear edges curled into FL 6 (20.7%) 24 (45.3%) 0.03S
 No 31 (51.7%) 7 (11.7%)
Flap shape < 0.0001*S
 Straight 4 (6.7%) 49 (81.7%)
 Curved 56 (93.3%) 11 (18.3%)
Flap motion (mm) 6.62 ± 4.94 (n = 53) 1.69 ± 1.84 (n = 52) < 0.0001**S
a
 N = 60 patients for all values unless otherwise indicated in the associated box
b
 One of the 27 acute type A dissections did not extend to the mid ascending aorta
*Two-sample t test for continuous variables and χ2 test for categorical variables
**Wilcoxon rank sums test for continuous variables and Fisher’s exact test for categorical variables
S
 Significant at 5% level of significance

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Table 2  Odds ratios using multiple logistic regression analysis on the chronic dissection ranged from 81 to 4632 days (mean 1775,
presence of a CAD adjusted for imaging features median 1800).
Effect Odds ratio (95%CI) P-value Using bivariate statistical analysis in the initial data set,
there were significant differences in CT imaging charac-
FL maximum diameter 1.140 (1.032, 1.301) 0.0140
teristics between acute and chronic dissections, as shown
Visible tear edges 6.847 (1.345, 55.602) 0.0312
in Table 1. All variables were assessed for all 60 scans in
Straight flap shape 22.501 (4.589, 200.968) 0.0004
each category unless indicated otherwise in the table by
Flap motion 0.774 (0.602, 0.936) 0.0162
an N < 60. The intra-observer correct classification rate
FL thrombus: present versus 7.967 (1.479, 58.544) 0.0199
for the categorical variables was 95.5%. FL outer wall cal-
indeterminate/absent
cification was only present in chronic dissections (17/60,
28.3%) (P < 0.05) (Fig. 2); 2 were less than one-year-old,
10 had an average age of 1803 days, and the remaining 5
logistic regression with Firth’s penalized maximum likeli- were incidentally found (exact age unknown). FL throm-
hood estimation was fitted on acute/CAD using the first data bus was more frequently present in chronic dissections
set, and the fitted model is provided in Table 2. Five predic- (41/60, 68.3%) as opposed to acute dissections (6/60, 10%)
tors were selected for the model: FL maximum diameter, FL (P < 0.05) (Fig. 2). However, substantially more acute dis-
thrombus, visible tear edges, flap shape, and flap motion. sections (21/60, 35%) showed indeterminate FL thrombus
Two potential predictors, FL outer wall calcification and due to poor contrast enhancement compared to chronic
confluent soft tissue opacity were excluded due to the exist- dissections (1/60, 1.7%) (P < 0.05). Periaortic soft tissue
ence of zero observations in a certain category. The back- stranding was more frequently present in acute dissections
ward elimination was used for the model selection. Then, (13/60, 21.7%) compared to chronic dissections (5/60,
the fitted model was applied to the second (test) data set to 8.3%), and confluent soft tissue opacity was only seen in
compute the predicted probability and calculate sensitivity, acute dissections (P < 0.05) (Figs. 3, 4). Tear edges were
specificity, positive predicted values (PPV), and negative visible in 53/60 (88.3%) chronic dissections and 29/60
predicted values (NPV), where the observations with posi- (48.3%) acute dissections (P < 0.05). Of those scans that
tive linear predictors were classified as chronic cases. A 5% showed visible tear edges, curling of tear edges into the
level of significance was used to evaluate statistical signifi- FL was seen more frequently in chronic dissections (24/53,
cance in all analyses. Statistical analyses were performed 45.3%) compared to acute dissections (6/29, 20.7%)
using SAS software, Version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, (P < 0.05) (Fig.  5). Almost all of the acute dissections
NC, USA). (56/60, 93.3%) had a predominantly curved flap shape
whereas the majority of chronic dissections (49/60, 81.7%)

Results

For the initial data set, the average patient ages


were 57.38 ± 14.33  years for acute dissections and
58.32 ± 12.27 years for chronic dissections. 41/60 (68.3%)
patients with an acute dissection and 44/60 (73.3%) patients
with a chronic dissection were male. 27/60 (45%) acute dis-
sections were type A and 5/60 (8.3%) chronic dissections
were type A. With day 0 defined by symptom onset, the
age of acute dissections ranged from 0 to 6 days (mean 0.5,
median 0), whereas the age of a chronic dissection ranged
from 64 to 5326 days (mean 818, median 615).
For the test data set, the average patient ages
were 58.13 ± 12.53  years for acute dissections and
62.82 ± 11.68 years for chronic dissections. 47/60 (76.7%)
patients with an acute dissection and 37/60 (61.7%) patients
with a chronic dissection were male. 34/60 (56.7%) acute
Fig. 2  61 year-old male with an approximately 11 year-old chronic
dissections were type A and 8/60 (13.3%) chronic dissec-
type B aortic dissection. CT scan at the level of the proximal
tions were type A. The age of acute dissections ranged from descending thoracic aorta shows a straight flap (arrowhead), FL
0 to 7 days (mean 0.83, median 0), whereas the age of a thrombus (star), and FL outer wall calcification (arrows)

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Fig. 5  57 year-old male with a chronic, 100 day-old type B aortic dis-


section. CT scan near the level of the diaphragm shows a dissection
flap tear edge (arrow) that is thickened and curled into the FL
Fig. 3  57 year-old male with a chronic, 105 day-old type B aortic dis-
section. CT scan at level of aortic arch shows peri-aortic soft tissue
stranding (arrows)

The frequencies of FL-side flap calcification, pericardial


effusions, and pleural effusions did not show significant
differences between acute and chronic dissections.
With regard to the continuous variables, chronic
dissections tended to have thicker dissection f laps
(mean 4.01 ± 1.15  mm) compared to acute dissec-
tions (2.90 ± 0.87  mm) (P < 0.05). Likewise, the FL
maximum diameter was larger for chronic dissections
(mean 32.07 ± 10.2 mm) compared to acute dissections
(26.05 ± 9.89  mm) (P < 0.05). The FL/TL area ratios
showed significant differences at only two anatomic
locations: at the LSA and midway between the LSA and
celiac trunk, the FL/TL ratios were significantly larger for
chronic dissections (3.45 ± 2.44 and 3.93 ± 2.12, respec-
tively) compared to acute dissections (2.09 ± 1.25 and
2.61 ± 1.88, respectively) (P < 0.05). The dissection flap
was more mobile in the acute dissections (6.62 ± 4.94 mm)
compared to chronic dissections (1.69 ± 1.84  mm)
(P < 0.05) (Fig. 6).
Multiple logistic regression showed a positive associa-
Fig. 4  68 year-old male with an acute type B aortic dissection. CT tion between increasing flap thickness, visible tear edges,
scan at the level of the aortic arch exhibits confluent soft tissue opac- and a straight flap shape with chronic aortic dissections
ity (arrows)
(P < 0.05). Conversely, there was a positive association
between the presence of indeterminate FL thrombus and
had a predominantly straight flap (P < 0.05) (Fig. 2). Of increasing flap mobility with AADs (P < 0.05) (Table 2).
those CT scans with pre-contrast images, high attenuation The predictive model fit the test data set well show-
in the FL was only seen in acute dissections (3/18, 16.7%), ing high sensitivity (0.95), specificity (0.97), PPV (0.97),
although the difference was not statistically significant. and NPV (0.95) with an area under the receiver operating
characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.98 (Fig. 7).

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Fig. 7  ROC curve for predicting the chronicity of an aortic dissec-


tion generated from the application of our predictive model to our test
data set with 95% CI. The ROC curve yielded an area under the curve
(AUC) of 0.98 (CI 0.98–1.00) with an associated sensitivity of 0.95
(58/61, CI 0.90–1.00), specificity of 0.97 (57/59, CI 0.92–1.00), PPV
of 0.97 (58/60, CI 0.92–1.00), and NPV of 0.95 (57/60, CI 0.89–1.00)

dissections, medical management is preferred over endovas-


cular intervention [12, 13]. Most often, the age of the dis-
section is known due to the classic presentation of an acute
dissection consisting of intense, tearing pain that radiates to
the back. However, atypical presentations occur and it can
be confounding for the physician to determine if an atypical
presentation represents an acute dissection or an incidental
finding of a chronic dissection that went previously undi-
agnosed. Although CT commonly used to evaluate aortic
dissections, the literature is lacking in a comprehensive
study that assesses for any significant differences in imag-
ing features between acute and chronic dissections. A better
understanding of CT imaging characteristics associated with
Fig. 6  A 45 year-old male with an acute type A dissection. Retro- acute versus chronic aortic dissections would complement
spectively-gated CT scan at the level of the proximal descending the clinical history of a patient with an aortic dissection and
aorta demonstrates flap movement (arrows) of 5.5  mm in amplitude
during different phases of the cardiac cycle aid management decisions.
Our study demonstrated that there were several CT
imaging features helpful in differentiating between acute
Discussion and chronic aortic dissections. FL outer wall calcification
was only seen in chronic dissections, especially those that
An aortic dissection is a life-threatening condition with were particularly longstanding. This observation has been
significant morbidity and mortality. The appropriate treat- reported in other studies, and is likely due to the long time
ment must be selected to provide a desirable outcome while needed for the FL to endothelialize and subsequently calcify
minimizing mortality and morbidity, and treatment differs [14, 15].
based on the chronicity of the dissection. For example, emer- Several features were related to the thickening and
gent surgical intervention is the standard of care for acute shortening of the dissection flap as it matures secondary
Type A dissections whereas for uncomplicated acute type B to elastic recoil, fibrosis, and neointima formation [14,

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16]. Our results indicated that a straight, thicker, and less Several studies have reported that FL thrombus occurs
mobile flap is highly suggestive of a chronic dissection significantly more frequently in chronic dissections due
and this observation agrees with multiple reported studies to the increased stasis in the FL secondary to aneurysmal
[14, 17–19]. degeneration and atheromatous changes of neointima [14,
Tear edges of the dissection flap were significantly more 24]; our results agreed with this finding.
frequently seen with chronic dissection. Although, to our The rapid early growth rate of the aorta following a dis-
knowledge, this observation has not been previously reported section likely contributes to the early mortality of the dis-
in the literature, it is likely that the thickening, shortening, ease [18, 22]. Rupture of the aorta may occur during the
and decreased mobility of the dissection flap mentioned acute phase due to unstable growth of the aneurysm and
above underlies this finding. For acute dissection, the curl- may be predicted by the presence of periaortic fat infiltra-
ing of the tear edges into the FL was occasionally present, tion [25–27]. Some degree of fat infiltration may be physi-
as reported in the literature [20]. Chronic dissections had a ologic, so we distinguished between soft tissue stranding and
much higher frequency of tear edge curling, which could be confluent soft tissue opacity in the hope of distinguishing
the result of the elastic recoil of the elastin rich media layer between a physiologic and a pathologic process. Our results
and the subsequent fibrosis as the flap matures. showed that confluent soft tissue opacity, presumably due
The size ratio of the FL to TL was significantly higher in to mediastinal hematoma from a leaking false lumen, was
chronic dissections due to a relatively stable TL size in con- only seen in acute dissections, and all such cases proceeded
junction with the FL aneurysmal degeneration that occurs to emergent surgical repair in our study. On the other hand,
following a dissection [21, 22]. The difference was signifi- soft tissue stranding was present in both acute and chronic
cant just distal to the LSA and at the midway point between dissections.
the LSA and celiac trunk, which is consistent with existing The predictive model created from our initial set of
literature that suggests FL dilation is greatest in the proxi- patients include five statistically significant predictors
mal descending aorta [21, 23]. Likewise, the FL maximum (Table 2), which could be used to determine the likelihood
diameter was shown to be significantly greater in chronic that a dissection was acute or chronic using the equation in
dissections. Fig. 8. Moreover, the test population demonstrated that our

Fig. 8  Algorithm to determine
the chronicity of a dissection.
Key for variables in equation:
D = FL maximum diameter
(mm); V = 1 if tear edges vis-
ible, 0 if not visible; S = 1 if
flap is straight, 0 if curved;
M = flap motion (mm); T = 1 if
FL thrombus present, 0 if absent
or indeterminate. Asterisk does
not exclude the possibility of a
co-existing dissection

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model has a high specificity, sensitivity, PPV, and NPV, all that a patient would be asymptomatic during the acute phase
with a value of 0.95 or greater with relatively narrow 95% but then present during the narrow interval of 14 days to
confidence intervals (CI). The AUC of 0.98 indicates that 2 months from the acute event. Moreover, the management
this prediction can be made with a high level of accuracy and risks of a subacute dissection are less defined so the
(Fig. 7). Also, we attempted to use two additional predic- comparison would have had less utility compared to acute
tors, FL outer wall calcification and fat infiltration, for the and chronic dissections.
model but they were incompatible due to their separation In conclusion, acute and chronic aortic dissections
(see “Statistical analysis section”); FL outer wall calcifica- showed significantly different CT imaging features that
tion was only seen in chronic dissections, and confluent soft accurately distinguished between these two states in a test
tissue opacity was only seen in acute dissections for both the population. Acute dissections were more likely to show peri-
initial and test populations. However, these two predictors aortic confluent soft tissue opacity, a curved dissection flap,
could be used alongside the model because they each have and a highly mobile dissection flap, whereas chronic dis-
a PPV value of 1 for their associated groups. sections were more likely to demonstrate a thick dissection
flap, FL outer wall calcification, FL thrombus, a dilated FL,
and visible tear edges curling into the FL. This information
Study limitations may supplement the treating clinician’s judgment when con-
fronted with an atypical clinical presentation.
One of the limitations of our study was the heterogeneity of
our population. We included both type A and B dissections Funding  Norman Orabi received funding from the Summer Biomedi-
cal Research Program at the University of Michigan Medical School.
in our analysis despite their tendency to undergo slightly All other authors indicate that they have no other relevant sources of
different histopathological changes over time [18]. The funding.
small number chronic type A dissections prevented a sepa-
rate analysis of type A disease; this is unavoidable because Compliance with ethical standards 
acute type A dissections are generally surgical emergencies
and only very rarely allowed to proceed to the chronic phase. Conflict of interest  Dr. David Williams serves on the medical advisor
Nonetheless, the majority of our imaging features have been board at Boston Scientific and is a consultant for W. L. Gore & As-
sociates. All other authors indicate that they have no relevant conflicts
previously reported in the literature for both type A and B of interest.
dissections, therefore supporting a combined analysis [14,
15, 17–20, 23–27]. Our study’s inclusion of type A dissec-
tions may be particularly useful when deciding whether to
pursue emergent or elective repair for patients with a type References
A dissection on imaging and atypical or inconclusive clini-
cal findings. Another limitation was the heterogeneity of 1. Howard D, Banerjee A, Fairhead J, Perkins J, Silver L, Rothwell P
CT protocols from outside institutions. Homogeneity was (2013) Population-based study of incidence and outcome of acute
aortic dissection and premorbid risk factor control: 10-year results
sacrificed in order to achieve an adequate population size
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