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Journal of Environment & Development
Rikard Warlenius1
Abstract
A central concept raised by the climate justice movement is climate debt. Here, the
claims and warrants of the movement support for climate debt is identified through
an argumentation analysis of their central manifestos. It is found that the climate debt
claim is understood as primarily restorative, in the sense that the environmental
space of the developing countries must be returned, ‘‘decolonized.’’ The damage
caused by climate change also gives rise to a compensatory adaptation debt.
The result is compared with an earlier study on ecological debt. Both concepts are
framed within an unjust power relation between North and South, but there
are differences. Ecological debt is mainly analyzed in terms of an unjust economic
exploitation, which is congenial with its use as an argument for cancellation of
Southern external debts; climate debt is rather seen as a violation of communal
rights and territories, an argument for climate justice.
Keywords
environmental justice, climate justice movements, ecological debt, climate debt,
sustainable development
Since about 2005, the climate change debate in and around the negotiations of
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
has been increasingly politicized. Through the formation of the climate justice
movement (CJM), the scope of the discourse has widened from mainly
technomanagerial concerns over the Kyoto mechanisms to an array of social,
economic, and environmental justice issues, ranging from economic distribution,
1
Human Ecology Division, Lund University, Sweden
Corresponding Author:
Rikard Warlenius, Human Ecology Division, Lund University, Sölvegatan 10, 22362 Lund, Sweden.
Email: rikard.warlenius@hek.lu.se
Methodological Approach
In the field of argumentation analysis, the Toulmin model (2003) is one of the most
commonly used. It disentangles an argument into six dimensions. The claims, data,
and warrants are the central components. The claim is the manifest standpoint that
the sender wants the recipient to agree with. It is almost always based on some data
or facts. Responding to a question on how the data lead to the claim, the sender
needs to refer to some principles, generalizations, or premises. These are the war-
rants, which are presumed but not always expressed in the argument. If a warrant
is supported by further data, this is called backing. The qualifier articulates the
strength and probability of the claim, whereas a reservation indicates the conditions
under which the claim does not hold.
In the following, a modified version of Toulmin’s model will be used.
The claims, data, and warrants will be identified, but I have refrained from
including the other three dimensions. The main reason is that I believe that to
meet my aims, a focus on the core argument is sufficient, and little is gained by
deconstructing the argument into their elements. In one case, however, I con-
sider a qualification as central for understanding the claim, and it is therefore
described in the text.
Here is an example of an analysis using the three components:
Industrialized countries have emitted most of the carbon emissions, while develop-
ing countries are most affected by climate change (data). Since the one who has
messed up the climate system also should clean it up (warrant), industrialized
countries owe developing countries a climate debt (claim).
Nine central CJM manifestos will be analyzed, a few main claims that are
common to all or most of them are identified, and a synthesized definition
is carved out. It should be noted that the Toulmin model is not an exact
methodology. For instance, it would be cumbersome to discuss all possible
claims in the documents analyzed, and which to choose is ultimately dependent
on individual choices and interpretation (Boréus, 2017). To be able to discuss
both similarities and differences, and for the reader to follow the process of
synthesizing, I quote and refer generously to the primary sources.
In summary, the aims of this article are explorative rather than derived from
theory, and the method is therefore mainly empirical and inductive. Yet, theories
and principles are used to explain and contextualize the arguments and will be
introduced as they appear.
Primary Sources
The CJM is considered a convergence of several movements with varied
approaches to climate justice and climate debt (Garrelts & Dietz, 2014).
The movements forming part of it include environmental NGOs, aid organiza-
tions, external debt cancellation networks, indigenous movements, some trade
unions, and small-farmer’s movements. Other important members are Southern
think tanks, of which, for instance, the Third World Network (TWN) tends to
rather uncritically back Southern states within UNFCCC (Chatterton,
Featherstone, and Routledge, 2013). Autonomous leftist groups in the North,
such as the Climate Justice Alliance, represent a further component of the move-
ment (Russel, 2012). On some occasions, configurations of parts or all of these
movements have united behind manifestos on climate justice and climate debt.
In the analysis, I will focus on these documents.
In the sampling strategy, two selection criteria are applied: first, their impor-
tance in the CJM, which is based on a historical analysis of the academic literature
or on whether a significant amount of relevant organizations have signed them.
Two of the texts (Number 5 and 8 later) are included because they are elaborations
particularly on climate debt; they are not themselves historically important but are
clearly rooted in the CJM. The second criterion is simply whether ecological debt
or climate debt is mentioned. Three documents selected by the first criterion are
thus disqualified for not fulfilling the second criterion. The selected (and deselected)
documents are listed in Table 1.
In the analysis, I will refer to these documents as (1), (2), and so forth. Two
of them are short, and the concepts ecological/climate debt are mentioned only
very briefly (2 and 3); four are general statements on climate justice that devote
some sentences or paragraphs to ecological/climate debt (1, 6, 7, and 9), while
three are elaborations specifically on climate debt originating from the CJM (4,
5, and 7). The last included paper (9) stands out for not being a movement
paper but for being adopted by a state. It is included because it is directly
based on the outcome of the People’s World Conference in 2010 and because
Bolivia’s positions at this point coincided with those of the global movement,
even though it tended to emphasize the right to development more strongly
and was probably involved in the exclusion, from the Cochabamba statement,
of the recurring climate justice demand of keeping existing fossil fuels in the
ground (cf. Fabricant & Hicks, 2013; Mueller, 2012).
Mentions
Text Title Historical importance ED/CD
1 The Bali Principles of Climate High. Adopted by 14 relevant organizations that formed the Yes (ED)
Justice (International International Climate Justice Network. Mentioned in climate
Climate Justice Network, justice historiographies such as Roberts and Parks (2009),
2002) Russel (2012, pp. 135–136), Chatterton et al. (2013), Tokar
(2013), Bedall and Görg (2014), Schlosberg and Collins
(2014), and Ciplet et al. (2015, p. 169).
2 The Climate Justice Declaration High. Adopted by a conference of the U.S. Environmental Yes
(Climate Justice Justice movement and signed by a large number of both
Declaration, 2004) academics and activists from environmental justice and
indigenous organizations. Referenced in Dorsey (2007),
Roberts and Parks (2009), and Dawson (2010).
3 Climate Justice Now! Founding High. The first written expression of the international climate Yes
Statement (Climate Justice justice movement (cf. Harlan et al., 2015). The founding of
Now, 2007) the CJN! Network is mentioned in Roberts and Parks
135
(continued)
Table 1. Continued
136
Mentions
Text Title Historical importance ED/CD
5 Climate Debt: A Primer Low. This is a more technical elaboration of (4), published by Yes
(Stilwell, 2009) Third World Network and reproduced in Hällström (2012),
but not formally adopted by the signatories of (4). (4)
and (5) are collectively referred to as the TWN documents.
6 People’s Declaration—System High. This declaration was processed within the Klimaforum09 Yes
Change—Not Climate alternative summit in Copenhagen and signed by over 300
Change (KlimaForum, organizations. Klimaforum09 or its final declaration is
2009) referred to in Mueller (2012), Chatterton et al. (2013),
Bond (2012, p. 190), Russel (2012, p. 149), Tokar (2013), and
Schlosberg and Collins (2014).
7 People’s Agreement (PWCCC, High. The People’s World Conference on Climate Change and Yes
2010a) the Rights of Mother Earth, PWCCC, in Cochabamba in
April 2010, is the biggest and most influential gathering of
the climate justice movement so far. Overall, 35,000 activists
of which 10,000 from abroad joined it (Bond, 2014, p. 133).
Mentions
Text Title Historical importance ED/CD
9 Submission by the Plurinational Soon after PWCCC, Bolivia submitted a proposal on climate Yes
State of Bolivia to the Ad Hoc justice and climate debt repayment to the UNFCCC based
Working Group on Long-term on the outcome of the People’s conference. While formu-
Cooperative Action lated by a state, it reflects the movement’s standpoints
(UNFCCC, 2010) (Bond, 2014, p. 134). It is mentioned in Bond (2014) and
Russel, Pusey, and Sealey-Huggins (2012).
10 Greenhouse Gangsters vs. High. Probably the first movement use of climate justice. No
Climate Justice (Bruno, Mentioned in Dorsey (2007), Roberts and Parks (2009),
Karliner, & Brotsky, 1999) Russel (2012, p. 135), Bond (2014, p. 133), Tokar (2013), and
Schlosberg and Collins (2014).
11 The Durban Declaration on High. A stepping stone in the formation of an international No
Carbon Trading (Durban climate justice movement, prefiguring CJN! (3), entirely
137
138 Journal of Environment & Development 27(2)
Analysis
Claim 1. Acknowledge Climate Debt
One set of claims in the analyzed documents is centered on the basic demand
that the ecological debt or climate debt should be recognized and acknowledged.
The central message is that industrialized countries, and sometimes also inter-
national organizations and transnational corporations, should recognize their
climate debt as a first step to also repaying it (Claim 2).
Although precise definitions are rare, a rather uniform description of the
concept can be synthesized from the documents. The very first declaration
from 2002 defines the debt as what ‘‘industrialized governments and transna-
tional corporations owe the rest of the world as a result of their appropriation of
the planet’s capacity to absorb greenhouse gases’’ (1).
The definition is valid also for later manifestos except for two aspects. First,
climate debt is generally attributed to countries—Northern governments (1, 2,
and 8), ‘‘developed countries’’ (4 to 9), or ‘‘North’’ (3). Only in two cases (1 and
2) are corporations pointed out as responsible for climate debt. The claimants of
the debt are referred to as ‘‘South’’ (3 and 6) or ‘‘developing countries’’ (4 to 9)
but also ‘‘the victims of climate change’’ (1 and 2), ‘‘communities’’ (4, 5, and 8),
‘‘our children’s children and all living beings’’ (8), or ‘‘Mother Earth’’ (8, 9).
Only two documents regard climate debt as exclusively bilateral (6 and 7), yet all
texts except the first two seem to regard climate debt as primarily a country-to-
country affair. In the claim as defined in Figure 1, corporations as debtors and
future generations as claimants are put within brackets since they are not con-
sensual parts of the claim.1
Data Claim 1.
Figure 1. Claim 1. The first claim and the data and warrants supporting it.
The other main deviation from the first definition of climate debt in the Bali
Principles is that another component has been added. Besides the ‘‘appro-
priation of the planet’s capacity to absorb greenhouse gases’’ (1), which in this
article will be called the emissions debt, it has become increasingly clear that
climate change cannot be fully reverted and therefore will require adaptation.
The additional part of the climate debt is referred to as the adaptation debt.
Thus, TWN defines climate debt as follows:
treated with care. The frightening data on the state of the planet must therefore
be acted upon. The texts are anthropocentric in the sense that their focus is on
how people are affected by the adverse effects of climate change, yet several also
have a tendency toward ecocentrism, as when referring to Mother Earth (1, 2, 6,
7, 8, and 9), sometimes as sacred (1) or as a living being (7 and 8).2
The remaining two warrants are used to link data on unequal contribution to
climate change and inverse vulnerability to the claim that industrialized coun-
tries owe a climate debt. This is the principle of historical responsibility, which is
closely related to the UNFCCC concept of common but differentiated respon-
sibility. According to this principle, the one who has caused damage is also
morally responsible for it. It incorporates strict liability: Causing damage is a
sufficient criterion for responsibility, independent of premeditation. Direct refer-
ences are made to both historical responsibility (3, 4, 5, 7, 8, and 9) and common
but differentiated responsibility (1, 2, 7, 8, and 9).
Finally, there is the idea that the climate system is a common, belonging to all
and to be shared equally. A problem with the conventional global economic
model is that ‘‘[t]his system is premised on the appropriation of local, national,
and planetary commons by local and global elites’’ (6). In this context, the data
on the ‘‘atmospheric space’’ being colonized, occupied, or disproportionately
consumed make sense. It is assumed that the ‘‘excessive consumption, lifestyles
and emissions’’ in the developed countries ‘‘are turning the Earth’s capacity to
absorb greenhouse gases into a scarce and limited resource’’ (8). According to
this principle, everyone has the right to an equal share of the atmospheric
common. But the ‘‘excessive historical and current per person emissions’’ of
the developed countries means ‘‘denying developing countries their fair [equi-
table (9)] share of atmospheric space,’’ and therefore, ‘‘they have run up an
‘emissions debt’’’ (5).3
Data Claim 2.
1, 2 Repay the climate debt
Warrants
1, 2a-b
2c. Contributor pays principle
Figure 2. Claim 2. The second claim and supporting data and warrants.
understood as the restitution of integrity to our Mother Earth and all its beings’’
(7, cf. 9).
Thus, I understand a restorative debt as the obligation to repay historical
overuse of the carbon commons by freeing up the equivalent amount of sink
capacity for the future use of the debtors through the reduction of creditor
emissions to levels below their momentary per capita share of total sustainable
emissions. It is physical because it is measured in a physical unit such as tons of
greenhouse gases. The adaptation debt equals the needs of the affected countries
for adaptation to climate change and catching-up development. It is mainly a
compensatory debt measured in monetary value. It is compensatory because it
likely cannot restore the damage done by climate change but can compensate for
it and mitigate some of the problems.
The data supporting the repayment claims are largely the same as that for the
recognition of the climate debt. If a debt exists, it is presumed that it should be
settled. The dominant warrant reminds of the recognized Polluters Pay Principle
or what is called Contributor Pays Principle within climate ethics (cf. Page,
2012): Developed countries should pay ‘‘[f]or their disproportionate contribu-
tion’’ (4) because they are ‘‘the main cause’’ (7).
Another important warrant motivating the acknowledgment of both the eco-
logical and climate debt is a strive for global equality and a belief that economic
and social development in poor countries and communities have been blocked
by industrialized countries through different means—colonialism, imperialism,
unjust trade policies, and now also refusal to take responsibility for climate
change. I refer to this warrant as ‘‘the right to sustainable development.’’ In
the texts analyzed, this effort to maintain or enhance welfare, yet with respect to
Poor countries and communities are unlikely to sit by while a wealthy minority
continues to consume an excessive proportion of the Earth’s limited environmental
space. Nor are they likely to ignore the wealthy’s historical responsibility for the
causes and consequences of climate change. (5)
Repaying the debt is thus the most expedient way to reach an agreement.
Very low emissions would have to be maintained for perhaps hundreds of years
before those of the developing countries could catch up. This slow restoration of
the global sinks would be an obstacle to development in the South. Therefore, it
would seem more practical to swap parts of the restorative debt into a compen-
satory debt. As defined earlier, a restorative debt means the obligation of the
creditor to cut current emissions to below its per capita share of sustainable
emissions to free up space for debtor emissions. A compensatory debt repayment
would mean to transfer finance or technology that enables the same degree of
‘‘development’’ that the restorative debt repayment would amount to, but with-
out the emissions normally attached to it (‘‘leap frog development’’ in UNFCCC
lingo). The result of such a debt swap would, ideally, be a faster development in
debtor countries and an easier transition path for creditor countries.4 If the
emission debt repayment claim is understood as a right to equally large per
capita emissions, the proposed swap represents a deviation. But there are
good reasons to instead focus on, for example, energy rights or development
rights (cf. Shue, 2013). In practice, this pragmatic stance is taken by TWN:
While it mentions only two parts of the debt (emission debt and adaptation
debt), both to be repaid fully, also a third kind of debt repayment is proposed:
‘‘the financing and technology required to cover the additional costs of mitigat-
ing and adapting to climate change’’ (4, 5). To consider this a debt repayment
does not make sense—the debt is already fully repaid—unless TWN assumes
that the other debt repayments will be incomplete, presumably that the emission
debt is impossible or impractical to pay back only through physical restoration.
One of the Cochabamba documents is more frank about this. It assumes that
‘‘[e]ven in the case of the deepest possible emissions reductions and removals by
rich countries, poor countries will face climate-related challenges to their devel-
opment’’ (8). Thereby, the responsibility emerges to compensate this injustice.
Honoring the emission debt is seen not only as returning atmospheric space but
also as ‘‘reflecting the loss of development opportunities due to the costs and
technological demands to developing countries to live within a restricted atmo-
spheric space’’ (8). Actually, besides demands for drastic cuts in emissions, there
are wide calls for compensation in the form of the global North financing
mitigation efforts in the South (3 to 8). Note that this is not similar to carbon
trading, where the financing of mitigation actions abroad compensates for con-
tinued emissions domestically, but an additional duty in excess of domestic
reductions.
The conclusion is that the claim to repay the emission debt in full needs a
qualification: The part of the emission debt that is not possible or practical to
restore through emission cuts should be paid for by other means such as
compensation for mitigation costs. Although the emission debt is physical, its
repayment needs to be divided into a restorative physical part and a compensa-
tory monetary part. Although TWN is ambiguous, I consider it appropriate to
include the compensation qualification in the general claim in Figure 3.
Figure 3. Claim 2a. Part A of the second claim and supporting data and warrants.
The data supporting the repayment of the emission debt are that the historical
overuse of the atmosphere has turned ‘‘Earth’s capacity to absorb greenhouse
gases into a scarce and limited resource’’ (8). This forces developing countries
to ‘‘live within a restricted atmospheric space’’ (7 and 8) and to cope with the
‘‘two-fold barrier to their development – mitigating and adapting to climate
change – which were not present for developed countries during the course of
their development’’ (4). Thus, ‘‘the twin constraints of a more hostile climate and
restricted atmospheric space’’ must be honored by the obligation of the devel-
oped countries to provide ‘‘the full incremental costs of emission reductions
undertaken in developing countries’’ (5).
Warrants supporting emissions debt repayment are the same as earlier, but
additionally, a right to emit greenhouse gases is mobilized.5 This right is some-
times outspoken, as when repayment of the emission debt is motivated by
restoring ‘‘the environmental space needed’’ to develop (5) and ‘‘the need for
adequate development space’’ (8); it is nothing less than ‘‘an inalienable fun-
damental right of all nations and peoples’’ (9). It is also indicated by the fact
that the manifestos rarely demand a full phase out of fossil fuels (only 1 and 6
do) but focus on an overall reduction and redistribution of emissions, from
North to South. This is clearly stated in Bolivia’s submission: A ‘‘just, fair and
equitable right of developing country Parties to achieve development in har-
mony with nature making use of the atmospheric space and resources’’ (9, my
emphasis).
Given the urgency of acting on climate change, the right-to-emit warrant is
contested, however. The Bali Principles state ‘‘the need to reduce with an aim to
eliminate the production of greenhouse gases’’ (1), and KlimaForum09 demands
‘‘[a] complete abandonment of fossil fuels within the next 30 years’’ (6), which
can be seen as contradicting the ‘‘right to emit’’ warrant. Therefore, it is put
within brackets. It should also be noted that although cumulative emissions
Figure 4. Claim 2b. Part B of the second claim and supporting data and warrants.
should be distributed equally, they should not in total exceed what can be
considered a sustainable limit; ‘‘equilibrium with Mother Earth’’ should also
be considered (8).
[a]ssume responsibility for the hundreds of millions of people that will be forced to
migrate due to the climate change caused by these countries, and eliminate their
restrictive immigration policies, offering migrants a decent life with full human
rights guarantees in their countries. (7, cf. 8 and 9)
Data Claim 3.
5. Ecological footprint calculations Climate debt is part of a wider
show the unsustainability of ecological debt
countries in the global North.
Climate debt is but a component
of a larger ecological debt, owed
to developing countries and
‘Mother Earth.’ Repaying the
climate debt is only a part of the
ecological debt payment, and
any effort to solve the climate
Warrants crisis must be rooted in a
broader effort to promote
5. Laconic references to socially environmental and social justice
radical, sometimes socialist, between rich and poor peoples
egalitarian, ecological and and countries.
indigenous political traditions.
Figure 5. Claim 3. The third claim and supporting data and warrants.
The idea of a Carbon Debt is based upon the same theory as that of the Ecological
Debt. That is, those countries that are using more than their fair share of carbon
allocation are running up a debt to those countries that are using less than their fair
allocation. (Rice, 2009)
Interestingly, the phenomenon that CJM refers to as the emission debt is here
seen as backing data of a warrant or principle (appropriation of environmental
space) legitimizing the claim of a socio-ecological subsidy. So even if the con-
ceptualization of an emission debt existed within the ecological debt discourse, it
was still peripheral. A major shift in how to evaluate the importance of climate
debt thus seems to have occurred during the 2000s. The adaptation debt, the
other part of the climate debt claim, is entirely absent in Rice’s analysis and
therefore appears to be of a later date.
Since carbon or climate debt is often regarded as integral to ecological debt, it is
reasonable to assume that the four claims identified by Rice on ecological debt also
appear in documents on climate debt. The four claims are quoted and analyzed later.
As mentioned, this key claim is defined as the underpayment or, sometimes, the
explicit looting of Southern countries’ resources; as the ‘‘unequal and under-
valued exchange of natural resources and labor power’’ (Rice, 2009). While
‘‘underpayment’’ and ‘‘undervalued exchange’’ refer to trade within the eco-
nomic process, although biased and exploitative, ‘‘explicit looting’’ refers to extra-
economic processes such as of colonial violence. This division is reminiscent of the
dual character of accumulation as either economic or expropriative (Luxemburg,
2003, p. 432). Ecological debt is accrued through both forms but mainly the first,
which is indicated by the term socioecological subsidy that brings to mind an
unjust economic relation, but not direct expropriation. For climate debt, however,
the latter form is in focus. It accrues through appropriation (1 and 5) or occupa-
tion (4, 7, 8, and 9) of the common atmospheric space. Thus, while both concepts
are framed within the notion of unjust power relations between North and South,
there are differences in how this power inequality is played out. The discursive
shift—from intra- to extraeconomic emphasis—is likely the result of conceptual
differences, where ecological debt is mainly (but not only) the result of unfair trade
between countries, while climate debt is the nontraded result of overuse of the
carbon commons, imprecating adverse effects of climate change. From this per-
spective, the economic lingo of ‘‘debt’’ and ‘‘subsidy’’ arguably fits better within
the first, exploitative-economic form, while the result of an expropriation of com-
mons could just as well be termed calls for indemnity or reparation.
Claim 2. The Southern external financial debt should be cancelled because it pro-
motes the socioecological subsidy.
The claim to cancel the Southern external financial debt is present in only two of
the analyzed texts on climate debt and not very emphasized in either. In Climate
Justice Now!, debt cancellation is listed as one of several ways to finance the
‘‘huge financial transfers from North to South’’ (3). In a rather long list of debt
repayment measures, ‘‘immediately cancelling external debt’’ is also one of the
demands in (8). This indicates that the claim to cancel external debt has largely
been lost when the focus changed from ecological debt to climate debt. This is
interesting because the demand for external debt relief was one of the ‘‘cradles’’
of the ecological debt claim and a decisive reason for the development and
coining of the ecological debt notion (Warlenius et al., 2015). Perhaps this
development is a result of the decreasing activity of the movement for debt
relief after its heroic mobilization to the 2000 UN Millenium Summit.
In the climate justice argument for climate debt, what is primarily considered as
unsustainable are the emissions of developed countries, while the mechanisms
behind these excess emissions are less emphasized. Therefore, claims for low-
ering the levels of production and consumption in Northern countries are lar-
gely, although not entirely, absent. There are references to ‘‘unsustainable
production, consumption and lifestyles’’ (1), ‘‘excessive consumption, lifestyles
and emissions’’ (8), and ‘‘unsustainable patterns of consumption and produc-
tion’’ (9). Note, however, that only in (8) are the actual levels of consumption
questioned, while in the other cases, it is their sustainability. The tendency in the
ecological debt context that ‘‘levels of Northern production and consumption’’
are criticized for being unsustainable has been substituted, in the climate debt
discourse, by references to sustainable production/consumption and excess emis-
sions. This shift may be interpreted as a political shift from a degrowth narrative
to an ecological modernization one, likely to focus directly on emissions rather
than on questioning the very system of rising production and consumption.
Yet, such an interpretation is contradicted by the framing of climate debt as a
question of power relations and by the identification of capitalism as the root
cause of climate change (7 to 9). I therefore interpret it as mainly a rhetorical
shift. The link between emissions and climate change is so obvious that it might
seem unnecessary to challenge the levels of production and consumption
directly. The fundamental argument, that it is the North that must adjust and
adapt rather than the South, prevails anyway.
Rice’s fourth claim of a repayment duty is clearly transferred from the ecological
debt discourse to the climate debt claim. In both cases, the equity argument for
both present and future generations is emphasized. One notable difference is that
in Rice’s analysis of ecological debt claims, the only concrete form of repayment
mentioned is the cancellation of external debts, while in the climate debt
discourse, sophisticated distinctions between restorative and compensatory
measures as well as mitigative and adaptive measures can be derived.
justice: To push for a ‘‘recognition that the historical responsibility for the vast
majority of greenhouse gas emissions lies with the industrialized countries of the
global north’’ (Petermann, 2009). As discussed in the previous section, the eco-
nomic context surrounding ecological debt was largely lost since the accrual of
climate debt is conceptualized as expropriative, rather than exploitative.
Even though this shift of context makes the concept of climate debt partly
misleading, I would argue that the analysis—summarized in Figures 1 through
5—shows that CJM clearly has the ambition to make climate debt a concrete,
well-defined, thought-through, and usable concept. The climate debt is seen as
twofold, where the emissions debt is mainly biophysical and the adaption debt
mainly pecuniary. The conceptualization is quite complex but follows logically
from the standard division of climate change politics in mitigation and adapta-
tion. Remaining problems are not, I believe, mainly conceptual but related to the
application of the model on the real world.
In the real world, cumulative emissions are so large that the acute mission is
to drastically reduce all emissions. This makes it almost impossible to expect a
full repayment of the emission debts in biophysical terms, which have given rise
to ideas of compensatory measures. Yet, in the analyzed documents, this
dilemma is not fully acknowledged or solved. Here, more work by both activists
and scholars would be useful.
In the real world, further, cumulative emissions are so unequally distributed
that a full recognition of the climate debt claims would have radical conse-
quences: massive investments in mitigation and massive transfers of resources
from North to South. This is a paradox. Climate debt is, at first sight, not very
radical. It is simply asking the one who caused the mess to clean it up—a
principle that is easily derived from commonsense ethics and is well established
in environmental politics. Yet, that it would be a consensual principle is delu-
sory: Because of the magnitude of the mess and the skewness of responsibility, it
would have drastic effects. The industrialized countries are of course aware of
this and have therefore resisted it forcefully. Despite massive mobilization of
both movements and Southern governments, the results, in terms of influencing
the UNFCCC negotiations, are bleak. There are no references to climate debt or
historical liabilities in the agreements.
Yet, this delusion is also the concept’s major asset. Climate debt provides
radical redistributive measures with a strong legitimacy that makes them difficult
to oppose, at least intellectually. Perhaps, the proponents of climate debt
have therefore mistaken it for an innocent proposal and underestimated the
resistance it would provoke. That would be a mistake. Because in the real
world, it is a bomb.
Acknowledgments
I take the opportunity to thank my PhD supervisors prof. Alf Hornborg and prof. Anne
Jerneck, both Lund University, for valuable comments. Prof. Kristina Boréus, Uppsala
University, also kindly read and commented on the methodological framework. I have
also benefitted from the comments of two anonymous reviewers.
Funding
The author disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, author-
ship, and/or publication of this article: The author acknowledges support from FP7
Science in Society (266642).
Notes
1. Privileging the responsibility of nation-states over corporations is not self-evident
because the latter are important drivers of carbon emissions. Yet, corporate activities
are at least formally subordinated to national legislation, and because climate debt
claims are often raised in relation to the international climate negotiations, where
states are the primary actors, it does make sense.
2. The documents do not, however, expand justice to explicitly include nonhuman spe-
cies, which is a tendency criticized in Critical Environmental Justice studies (Pellow,
2016; Pellow & Brulle, 2005).
3. I understand ‘‘fair share’’ as a cumulative, equal per capita approach. The ‘‘atmo-
spheric space’’ is probably a misnomer because what seems to be signified is all carbon
sinks—which implies that the oceans and possibly growing forests should be included
besides the atmosphere.
4. In Warlenius (2017, paper 5), I have formalized and calculated the climate debt of 154
countries, and there the need for ‘‘debt swaps’’ becomes apparent. According to it,
3,000 MtCO2 per year can be emitted sustainably in the whole world. The United
States alone has an emission debt of 344,000 MtCO2 (in 2011). Its sustainable emission
(basically its per capita share of global sustainable emissions) is about 138 MtCO2 per
year. Thus, even with zero emissions, it would take the United States some 2,500 years
to repay its debt in physical terms. The climate creditors are unlikely to have that kind
of patience.
5. It could be argued that the right-to-emit warrant is integral to warrant 2d, the right
to sustainable development, because development will, within the foreseeable future,
result in higher emissions. But there is a difference. In 2d, the right referred to
regards development, which at least in theory could be achieved without emissions.
Warrant 4, however, regards the specific right of a country to emit greenhouse
gases. The right-to-emit warrant could, alternatively, be regarded as implicit in
the very definition of climate debt (as in Claim 1) where it is stated that the
‘‘appropriation of the planet’s capacity to absorb greenhouse gases above their
fair share’’ constitutes the ‘‘emissions debt’’ part of the climate debt. Yet, in this
article, the accrual of the debt is distinguished from the repayment of the debt. As
explained earlier, although the emission debt is derived physically from
emissions above a certain rate, its repayment is not automatically translated into
a proportional repayment claim but can also be partly compensatory. Thus, neither
the right to development nor the holding of an emissions debt necessarily translates
into a proportional emission right.
6. Those of Rice’s sources that are dated are from 1999, 2000, 2000, and 2006 (four are
undated). The median of the dates of this article’s sources are 2009.
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Author Biography
Rikard Warlenius is a PhD and lecturer in human ecology at Lund University,
Sweden. His main research interest is climate justice.