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Reading
33
1-7
2-7
3-7
Main Functions of the Financial Market
¾ Second function: Return Determination
z Determine the rate of return that equates the amount of borrowing with
the amount of lending (saving) in an economy. Low rates of return
increase borrowing but reduce saving (increase current consumption).
z Equilibrium Interest Rate:
9 The rate at which the amount individuals, businesses, and
governments desire to borrow is equal to the amount that
individuals, businesses, and governments desire to lend.
9 Equilibrium rates for different types of borrowing and lending will
differ due to differences in risk, liquidity, and maturity.
4-7
5-7
6-7
Well Functioned Financial Market
¾ Market Regulation
Problems when there are no regulations Objectives of market regulations
Fraud and theft: the potential for theft and Protect unsophisticated investors.
fraud increases because investment managers Require minimum standards of
take advantage of unsophisticated investors. competency to make it easier to
perform valuation.
Insider trading: Investors would exit the market Prevent insiders from exploiting
and thus reduced liquidity if they believe traders other investors.
with inside information will exploit them.
Costly information: If obtaining information is Require common financial reporting
relatively expensive, markets will not be as requirements.
informational efficient and investors will not
invest as much.
Defaults: Parties might not honor their Require minimum levels of capital
obligations in markets. so that participants will honor long-
term commitments.
7-7
Types of Financial
Intermediaries and
Services
1-9
2-9
Intermediaries of Financial Market
¾ Brokers, Dealers and Exchange
z Brokers: Brokers help their clients buy and sell securities by finding
counterparties to trades in a cost efficient manner.
z Block Brokers: Help with the placement of Large trades. Typically, large
trades are difficult to place without moving the market.
z Investment Banks: Help corporations sell common stock, preferred
stock, and debt securities to investors.
3-9
4-9
5-9
Intermediaries of Financial Market
¾ Securitizers
z Securitizers pool large amounts of securities or other assets together
and sell interests in the pool to other investors.
9 By securitizing the assets, the securitizer creates a diversified pool
of assets with more predictable cash flows than the individual
assets in the pool.
9 This creates liquidity in the assets, because the ownership interests
are more easily valued and traded.
9 There are also economies of scale in the management costs of
large pools of assets and potential benefits from the manager’s
selection of assets.
6-9
7-9
8-9
Intermediaries of Financial Market
¾ Arbitrageurs
z Arbitrageurs are intermediaries who seek to gain certain return without
bearing any risk.
z In markets with good information, pure arbitrage is rare because
traders will favor the markets with the best prices.
¾ Clearinghouses and Custodians
z Clearinghouses: Act as buyers when customers want to sell assets and
as sellers when customers want to buy assets, and thus limit
counterparty risk.
z Custodians: Also improve market integrity by holding client securities
and preventing their loss due to fraud or other events that affect the
broker or investment manager.
9-9
Classification of
Assets
1-9
Classification of Assets
¾ Classification of assets (Summary)
z Financial Assets
9 Security
Fixed income vs. Equity securities
Public vs. Private
9 Currency
9 Derivative contracts
Financial derivative contracts
Physical derivative contracts
z Real Assets
9 Commodity
9 Real Estate
2-9
Classification of Assets
¾ Classification of Assets-financial Assets
z Security (Fixed income vs. Equity Securities )
9 Fixed Income Securities: Make sure the borrowed funds can be repaid.
3-9
Classification of Assets
¾ Classification of Assets-financial Assets-security
z Security (Fixed Income vs. Equity Securities )
9 Equity Securities: Represent ownership in a firm.
4-9
Classification of Assets
¾ Classification of Assets-financial Assets-security
z Security
9 Pooled Investment Vehicles:
Individual securities can be combined in pooled investment
vehicles.
The securities created by mutual funds, trusts, depositories, and
hedge fund are respectively called shares, units, depository
receipts, and limited partnership interests.
Include mutual funds, depositories, and hedge funds.
5-9
Classification of Assets
¾ Classification of Assets-financial Assets-security
z Security
9 Pooled Investment Vehicles:
y Investment vehicles that pool money from many investors for
Mutual funds investment in a portfolio of securities;
y May be open-ended or closed-ended.
Exchange-traded
y Open-ended funds: investors can trade in secondary markets;
funds (ETFs) &
y The market price and net asset values of ETFs tend to converge
exchange-traded
by authorized participant’s operation.
notes (ETNs)
Asset-backed y Pooling the asset deriving from assets’ values and income
securities payments, e.g., mortgage bonds, credit card debt, or car loans.
y Organized as limited partnerships( investors Æ limited partners;
fund manager Ægeneral partner);
Hedge funds y Hedge funds often use leverage;
y Funds pay their managers with proportional of their assets and
with a contingent incentive fee.
6-9
Classification of Assets
¾ Classification of Assets-financial Assets-security
z Security (Public vs. Private)
9 Public Securities: trade in liquid markets in which sellers can easily
find buyers for their securities.
9 Private Securities: are not traded in public markets which are often
illiquid and not subject to regulation.
z Currency:
9 Issued by national monetary authorities.
9 Some of these currencies are regarded as reserve currencies.
Reserve currencies are currencies that national central banks and
other monetary authorities hold in significant quantities.
7-9
Classification of Assets
¾ Classification of Assets-financial Assets
z Contract:
9 Are agreements between two parties that require some action in the
future, such as exchanging an asset for cash.
Is an agreement to trade the underlying asset in the future at a
Forward contract
price agreed upon today.
Is a standardized forward contract for which a clearinghouse
Futures contract guarantees the performance of all traders.
Swap contract Is a series of forward contracts.
Allows the holder of the option to buy or sell an underlying
Option contract instrument at a specified price at or before a specified date in
the future.
Insurance contract Pays their beneficiaries a cash benefit if some event occurs.
Credit default Are insurance contracts that promise payment of principal in
swaps the event that a company defaults on its bonds.
8-9
Classification of Assets
¾ Classification of Assets-real Assets
z Commodity:
9 Commodities are goods like precious metals, industrial metals,
agricultural products, energy products, and credits for carbon
reduction that are traded in spot, forward, and futures markets.
9 Note: spot markets are for immediate delivery while forwards,
futures, and options markets are for the future delivery of physical
and financial assets.
z Real Assets:
9 Real assets include such tangible properties as real estate, airplanes,
machinery, or lumber stands.
9 Characteristics:
Provide income, tax advantage, diversification benefits
Entail substantial management costs
Require substantial due diligence before investing
9-9
Classification of
Markets
1-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Classification of markets
z Money vs. Capital markets
z Traditional vs. Alternative markets
z Primary vs. Secondary markets
2-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Classification of markets
z Money vs. Capital markets
9 Money markets: the market for short-term debt instruments (one-
year maturity or less).
9 Capital markets: financial markets that trade securities of longer
duration, such as bonds and equities.
z Traditional vs. Alternative markets
9 Traditional investment markets: markets for traditional
investments, include all publicly traded debts and equities and
shares in pooled investment vehicles that hold publicly traded debts
and/or equities.
9 Alternative markets: market for investments other than traditional
securities investments.
3-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Classification of markets
z Primary vs. Secondary markets
9 Primary market: the market where newly issued securities are sold.
Newly issued securities involve:
IPO (initial public offerings): first-time issues by firms whose
shares are not currently publicly traded.
Seasoned offerings (secondary issues): new shares issued by
firms whose shares are already trading in the marketplace.
4-21
Classification of Markets
¾ How securities are sold through primary market
z Sold Publicly
9 Underwritten Offering (the most common way)
9 Best Efforts
9 Indications of Interest
9 Book building
z Sold Privately
9 Private placement
z Other transaction methods
9 Shelf registration
9 Dividend Reinvestment Plan
9 Rights Offering
5-21
Classification of Markets
¾ How securities are sold through primary market- Sold Publicly :
z Underwritten Offering (the most common way )
9 Investment bank purchases the entire issue at a price that is
negotiated between the issuer and bank.
9 Investment bank bears the risk of buying the unsold portion of
securities if the target number of shares to be issued does not meet.
z Best Efforts
9 Unlike underwriting offering, the investment bank doesn’t purchase
the whole issue.
9 Bank is not obligated to buy the unsold portion if the issue is
undersubscribed.
z Indications of Interest
6-21
Classification of Markets
¾ How securities are sold through primary market- Sold Publicly :
z Difference between underwritten offering and best efforts.
7-21
Classification of Markets
¾ How securities are sold through primary market- Sold Publicly :
z Underwritten Offering
z Best Efforts
z Indications of Interest
9 Indications of interest: the investment bank finds investors who
agree to buy part of the issue.
9 This process of gathering indications of interest is called book
building, and the investment bank during this process is called book
builder or book runner.
9 If securities must be issued quickly, the process is called accelerated
book building.
8-21
Classification of Markets
¾ How securities are sold through primary market- Sold Privately and
Other transaction methods:
z Private Placement
9 Securities are sold directly to qualified investors, typically with the
assistance of an investment bank.
z Shelf Registration
9 Type of public offering that allows the issuer to file a single, all-
encompassing offering circular that covers a series of bond issues.
z Dividend Reinvestment Plan
9 A dividend reinvestment plan (DRP or DRIP) allows existing
shareholders to use their dividends to buy new shares from the firm
at a slight discount.
z Rights Offering
9 In rights offering, existing shareholders are given the right to buy
new shares at a discount to the current market price.
9-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Secondary Capital Markets
z The secondary market is the place where securities are traded after
their initial offerings.
z The secondary market supports the primary market by providing:
9 Liquidity
Investors who buy stocks in the primary markets want to sell
then again to acquire other securities such as risk free bonds
and cash.
9 Price discovery
New issues of stocks and bonds are based on prices in the
secondary markets.
10-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Secondary Capital Markets
z When securities are traded in a secondary market.
9 Call Markets
Trading for individual stocks occurs at specific times.
All bids and asks are gathered and then a negotiated price is
produced to make the demand quantity as close as possible to
the supply quantity.
9 Continuous Markets
Trades occur at any time when market is open.
The price is determined either by an auction process or
through a dealer bid-ask process. There are differences
between dealer markets and an auction market in continuous
markets.
11-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Secondary Capital Markets
z How securities are traded in Secondary Markets
9 Order-Driven Market
9 Quote-Driven Market
9 Brokered Markets
12-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Secondary Capital Markets
z How securities are traded in Secondary Markets
9 Order-Driven Market
In order-driven market, orders are executed using trading rules,
which are necessary because traders are usually anonymous.
Exchanges and automated trading systems are examples of
order-driven markets.
9 Quote-Driven Market
9 Brokered Markets
13-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Secondary Capital Markets
z How securities are traded in Secondary Markets
9 Order-Driven Market
14-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Secondary Capital Markets
z How securities are traded in Secondary Markets- Order-Driven
Market.
z Two sets of rules are used in these markets:
9 Order matching rules: establish an order precedence hierarchy.
Price priority: trades with the highest bid (buy) and lowest
ask (sell) prices are traded first, this is so-called price priority.
Time precedence: if orders are at the same prices, the earliest
arriving orders are traded first.
15-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Secondary Capital Markets
z How securities are traded in Secondary Markets
9 Order-Driven Market
9 Quote-Driven Market
Quote-driven market is also referred to as a dealer market, a
price-driven market or an over-the-counter market.
Individual dealers provide liquidity for investors by buying and
selling the shares of stock for themselves.
Numerous dealers compete against each other to provide the
highest bid prices when investors are selling and the lowest
asking price when investors are buying stock.
9 Brokered Markets
16-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Secondary Capital Markets
z How securities are traded in Secondary Markets
9 Order-Driven Market
9 Quote-Driven Market
9 Brokered Markets
In brokered markets, brokers trade with the counterparty they
find.
This service is especially valuable when the trader has a
security that is unique or illiquid.
Examples are large blocks of stock, real estate, and artwork.
17-21
Classification of Markets
¾ Secondary Capital Markets
z How securities are traded in Secondary Markets
9 Comparison between Quote-Driven Market and Order-Driven
Market.
18-21
Example
¾ A financial intermediary buys a stock and then resells it a few days later
at a higher price. Which intermediary would this most likely describe?
A. Broker.
B. Dealer.
C. Arbitrageur.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ Correct answer: C
19-21
Example
¾ New issues of securities are transactions in:
A. the primary market.
B. the secondary market.
C. the seasoned market.
¾ Correct answer: A
¾ Correct answer: C
20-21
Example
¾ A market is said to be informationally efficient if it features:
A. market prices that reflect all available information about the value
of the securities traded.
B. timely and accurate information about current supply and demand
conditions.
C. many buyers and sellers that are willing to trade at prices above
and below the prevailing market price.
¾ Correct answer: A
¾ Correct answer: A
21-21
Positions and
Leverage
1-11
Positions in an Asset
¾ Positions an investor can take in an asset
z Long Position
z Short Position
z Leveraged Position
¾ Long Position
z An investor who owns an asset, or has the right or obligation under a
contract to purchase an asset, is said to have a long position.
z Benefit form an increase in the price
2-11
Positions in an Asset
¾ Short Position
z For a short-sale, the procedure is as below:
9 Borrow the stock through your broker and simultaneously sell it in
the market.
9 Return the stocks upon your brokers request
9 Maintain the proceeds of short-sales as collateral.
z Benefit from a decrease in the price
z Unlike a long position, the potential loss of a short sale is unlimited
3-11
Positions in an Asset
¾ Short Position
z Payment-in-lieu: the received dividends and interests must be paid
back to the investor who lent the stock
Stock
Markets
4-11
Positions in an Asset
¾ Short Position
z Short Rebate Rate
9 The short seller must deposit the proceeds of the short sale as
collateral.
9 The broker earns interest on these funds and may return a portion
of this interest to the short seller at a rate referred to as the short
rebate rate.
9 If the security is difficult to borrow, short rebate rate may be lower
or negative.
5-11
Positions in an Asset
¾ Leveraged Positions
z Definition: An investor is said to be take leveraged positions if he
borrowed funds to purchase an asset.
z Buy on margin: Investors who use leverage to buy securities by
borrowing from their brokers are said to buy on margin and the
borrowed funds are referred to as a margin loan.
z The interest rate paid on the funds is the call money rate.
z Leverage ratio:
9 The leverage ratio of a margin investment is the value of the asset
divided by the value of the equity position.
6-11
Positions in an Asset
¾ Leveraged Positions
z Margin Requirement: the required equity position is called the margin
requirement.
9 Initial Margin: a minimum amount of equity at the time of a new
margin purchase.
9 Maintenance Margin: the investor’s required equity position in
the account.
9 Margin Call: if an investor’s margin account balance falls below the
maintenance margin, the investor will receive a margin call and will
be required to either liquidate the position or bring the account
back to its maintenance (minimum) margin requirement.
7-11
Positions in an Asset
¾ Leveraged Positions
z Computation of the Price Triggering a Margin Call.
9 Margin Call Price for a Leverage Position.
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8-11
Example
¾ If an investor purchases a stock for $40 per share with an initial margin
requirement of 50% and the maintenance margin requirement is 25%,
at what price will the investor get a margin call?
¾ Answer:
ሺ െ Ǥ ሻ
ൌ Ǥ ૠ
െ Ǥ
z A margin call is triggered at a price below $26.67.
9-11
Example
¾ An investor buys 1,000 shares of a stock on margin at a price of $50 per
share. The initial margin requirement is 40% and the margin lending
rate is 3%. The investor’s broker charges a commission of $0.01 per
share on purchases and sales. The stock pays an annual dividend of
$0.30 per share. One year later, the investor sells the 1,000 shares at a
price of $56 per share. The investor’s rate of return is closest to:
A. 12%.
B. 27%.
C. 36%.
10-11
Example
¾ Correct answer: B
z The total purchase price is 1,000 Ø $50 = $50,000. The investor
must post initial margin of 40% Ø $50,000 = $20,000. The
remaining $30,000 is borrowed. The commission on the purchase is
1,000 Ø $0.01 = $10. Thus, the initial equity investment is $20,010.
In one year, the sales price is 1,000 Ø $56 = $56,000. Dividends
received are 1,000 Ø $0.30 = $300. Interest paid is $30,000 Ø 3% =
$900. The commission on the sale is 1,000 Ø $0.01 = $10. Thus, the
profit is $56,000 − $50,000 + $300 − $900 − $20 = $5380. The
return on the equity investment is $5380 / $20,010 = 26.89%.
11-11
Order
Execution and
Validity
1-10
2-10
3-10
Instructions of Transaction Processes
¾ Execution Instructions
z Instructions concern the volume of the trade:
9 All-or-nothing orders execute only if the whole order can be filled.
z Instructions concern the visibility of the trade:
9 Hidden orders are those for which only the broker or exchange
knows the trade size.
9 Iceberg orders are orders that traders can also specify certain
aspects of the trade so that only part of the trade is visible to the
market.
4-10
5-10
6-10
Instructions of Transaction Processes
¾ Validity Instructions:
z Validity instructions specify when an order should be executed.
9 Stop orders: are those that are not executed unless the stop price
has been met. They are often referred to as stop loss orders because
they can be used to prevent losses or to protect profits.
Stop-sell order: If the investor wants to sell out of the position
if the price falls 10% to $45, he can enter a stop-sell order at
$45. If the stock trades down to $45 or lower, this triggers a
market order to sell.
Stop-buy: is entered with at stop (trigger) above the current
market price. Two primary reasons are: (1) A trader with short
position; (2)an investor who believes a stock is undervalued, but
does not wish to own it until there are signs.
Stop orders reinforce market momentum.
7-10
8-10
Example
¾ A stock is selling at $50. An investor’s valuation model estimates its
intrinsic value to be $40. Based on her estimate, she would most likely
place:
A. a short-sale order.
B. a stop order to buy.
C. a market order to buy.
¾ Correct answer: A
¾ Which of the following limit buy orders would be the most likely to go
unexecuted?
A. A marketable order.
B. An order behind the market.
C. An order making a new market.
¾ Correct answer: B
9-10
Example
¾ In which of the following types of markets do stocks trade any time the
market is open?
A. Exchange markets.
B. Call markets.
C. Continuous markets.
¾ Correct answer: C
10-10
Reading
34
1-3
2-3
3-3
Price Weighting
and
Equal Weighting
1-4
2-4
3-4
Methods of Index Construction
¾ Weighting schemes for stock indexes: Equal-Weighted Index
z The arithmetic average return of the index stocks for a given time
period. Places an equal weight on the returns of all index stock,
regardless of their price or market value.
z Two averaging methodologies to the calculation of an un-weighted
index:
9 Arithmetic mean: Xi is the return on each stock
n
9 Geometric mean: Xi=1+HPRi
4-4
Market Capitalization
Weighting and
Fundamental Weighting
1-9
2-9
Methods of Index Construction
¾ Weighting schemes for stock indexes: A Float-Adjusted Market
Capitalization-Weighted Index
z The construction method is just like a market capitalization-weighted
index.
z The weight on each constituent security is determined by adjusting its
market capitalization for the number of shares of the constituent
security that are available to the investing public.
3-9
4-9
Example
¾ Use the information in the following table
5-9
Example
¾ Correct answer: A
z (22+40+34)/3=32
z (28+50+30)/3=36
z 36/32-1=0.125
6-9
Example
¾ The 1-year return on an equal-weighted index of these three stocks is
closest to:
A. 12.0%.
B. 12.5%.
C. 13.5%.
¾ Correct answer: C
(28/22−1)+(50/40−1)+(30/34−1)
z =13.5%
3
7-9
Example
¾ The 1-year return on a market capitalization-weighted index of these
stocks is closest to:
A. 12.5%.
B. 13.5%.
C. 18.0%.
¾ Correct answer: C
z Total portfolio value January 1:
22 ൈ (1,500)+40 ൈ (10,000)+34 ൈ (3,000) = 535,000
z Total portfolio value December 31:
28 ൈ (1,500)+50 ൈ (10,000)+30 ൈ (3,000) = 632,000
632/535-1=0.18
z From a base value of 100, the December 31 index value would be
632/535*100=118.13
8-9
Example
¾ Market float of a stock is best described as its:
A. total outstanding shares.
B. shares that are available to domestic investors.
C. outstanding shares, excluding those held by controlling
shareholders.
¾ Correct answer: C
9-9
Rebalancing and
Reconstitution of an
index
1-3
2-3
Uses of Security-Market Indexes
¾ Uses of Security-Market Indexes
z Reflection of investor confidence.
z Benchmark of manager performance.
z Proxies for measure of market return and risk.
z Proxies for measure of beta and risk-adjusted return.
z Model portfolio for index funds.
3-3
Other Investment
Indexes
1-9
2-9
Other Investment Indexes
¾ Broad Market Index
z Provides a measure of a market’s overall performance and usually
contains more than 90% of the market’s total value.
¾ Multi-market Index
z Typically constructed from the indexes of markets in several countries
and is used to measure the equity returns of a geographic region,
markets based on their stage of economic development, or the entire
world.
¾ Multi-market Index with Fundamental weighting
z Uses market capitalization weighting for the country indexes, and uses
fundamental factor (e.g., GDP) to weights the country index returns in
the global index.
¾ Sector Index
¾ Style Index
3-9
4-9
5-9
Other Investment Indexes
¾ Alternative Investment Indexes- Commodity Indexes
z Commodity indexes represent futures contracts on commodities such
as grains, livestock, metals, and energy.
z There are several issues relevant to commodity indexes:
9 A variety of weighting schemes.
9 Based on futures contracts
9 Compositions are changed over time,
¾ Alternative Investment Indexes- Real Estate Indexes
z Real estate indexes can be constructed using returns based on
appraisals of properties, repeat property sales, or the performance of
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).
¾ Alternative Investment Indexes- Hedge Fund Indexes
z Underlying assets are usually nontraditional assets with high leverage.
z Hedge funds are largely unregulated.
z Performance of different indexes are vary substantially.
6-9
Example
¾ For which of the following indexes will rebalancing occur most
frequently?
A. A price-weighted index.
B. An equal-weighted index.
C. A market capitalization-weighted index.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ Correct answer: C
7-9
Example
¾ Which of the following would most likely represent an inappropriate
use of an index?
A. As a reflection of market sentiment.
B. Comparing a small-cap manager against a broad market.
C. Using the CAPM to determine the expected return and beta.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ Correct answer: A
8-9
Example
¾ Which of the following is least accurate regarding fixed-income indexes?
A. Replicating the return on a fixed-income security index is difficult for
investors.
B. There is a great deal of heterogeneity in the composition of fixed
income security indexes.
C. Due to the large universe of fixed-income security issues, data for
fixed-income securities are relatively easy to obtain.
¾ Correct answer: C
¾ Correct answer: B
9-9
Reading
35
Market Efficiency
1-4
2-4
3-4
Factors Affect the Degree of Market Efficiency
¾ Factors affect the degree of market efficiency
Number of market • The larger the number of investors, analysts, and
participation traders who follow an asset market, the more
efficient market.
4-4
Contrast weak
form,semi-strong form,
strong form market
efficiency
1-4
2-4
Tests, Implications and Conclusions of EMH
¾ Test of EMH
z Abnormal profit (or risk-adjusted returns) calculations are often used
to test market efficiency. If returns are ,on average, greater than
equilibrium expected returns, we can reject the hypothesis of efficient
prices with respect to the information on which the strategy is based.
9 Technical analysis seeks to earn positive risk-adjusted returns by
using historical price and volume data.
9 Fundamental analysis is base on public information such as
earnings, dividends, and various accounting rations and estimates.
9 One method of testing the semi-strong form is an event study,
examining abnormal returns before and after the release of new
information that affects intrinsic value.
3-4
4-4
Market Anomalies
1-6
Market Anomalies
¾ Market Anomalies
z Definition: something deviates and helps to disprove the EMH
z Most evidence suggests anomalies are not violations of market
efficiency but are due to the methodologies used in anomaly research,
such as data mining or failing to adjust adequately for risk.
2-6
Market Anomalies
¾ Market Anomalies-Anomalies in Time-series data
z Calendar anomalies
9 The January effect is the finding that during the first five days of
January, stock returns, especially for small firms, significantly higher
than the rest of the year.
9 Explanations for January effect are
Tax-loss selling, as investors sell losing positions in December
to realize losses for tax purposes and repurchase stocks in
January; and
Window dressing, as portfolio managers sell risky stocks in
December to remove them from year-end statements and
repurchase them in January.
3-6
Market Anomalies
¾ Market Anomalies-Anomalies in Time-series data
z The overreaction effect: refers to the finding that firms with poor
stock returns over the previous three or five years (losers) have better
subsequent returns than firms that had high stock returns over the prior
period.
z Momentum anomalies: High short-term returns are followed by
continued high returns
z Both the overreaction effect and momentum effects violate the weak
form of market efficiency.
4-6
Market Anomalies
¾ Anomalies in cross-sectional data
z Size effect: This test indicates that stocks of small-sized firms tend to
outperform stocks of large-sized firms.
z Value effect: refers to the finding that value stocks [those with lower
price-to-earnings (P/E), lower market-to-book (M/B), and higher
dividend yields] have outperformed growth stocks (those with higher
P/E, higher M/B, and lower dividend yields).
¾ Other identified anomalies
z Closed-end investment funds: The shares of closed-end investment
funds trade at prices that sometimes deviate from the net asset value
(NAV) of the fund shares, often trading at large discounts to NAV.
5-6
Market Anomalies
¾ Market Anomalies-Anomalies in time-series data
¾ Anomalies in cross-sectional data
¾ Other identified anomalies
z Earnings announcements: The anomaly is that the adjustment
process does not occur entirely on the announcement day.
z Initial public offerings: the long-term performance of IPO shares as a
group is below average.
z Economic fundamentals: Research has found that stock returns are
related to known economic fundamentals such as dividend yields, stock
volatility, and interest rates. However, we would expect stock returns to
be related to economic fundamentals in efficient markets.
¾ The majority of the evidence suggests that reported anomalies are not
violations of market efficiency but are due to the methodologies used in
the tests of market efficiency.
¾ Investment management based solely on anomalies has no sound
economic basis.
6-6
Behavior Finance
1-7
Behavioral Finance
¾ Behavioral finance:
z Concerns about to what extent the psychological characteristics affect
investments either by individuals or groups.
¾ Behavioral biases that have been identified include
z Loss aversion: refers to the tendency for investors to be more risk
averse when faced with potential losses and less risk averse when faced
with potential gains.
z Overconfidence: explains that investors or analysts are overconfident
in their earning forecasts which result in the overestimation of growth,
good news.
z Herding: trading that occurs in clusters and is not necessarily driven by
information.
z Information Cascades: is the transmission of information from those
participants who act first and whose decisions influence the decisions of
others.
2-7
Behavioral Finance
¾ Rational vs. Irrational
z Efficient market hypothesis that only market is rational.
z Behavioral finance is used to explain some of the market anomalies as
irrational decisions.
¾ Behavioral biases that have been identified include
z Representativeness: Investors assume good companies or good
markets are good investments.
z Mental accounting: Investors classify different investments into
separate mental accounts instead of viewing them as a total portfolio.
z Conservatism: Investors react slowly to changes.
z Narrow framing: Investors view events in isolation.
3-7
Example
¾ In an informationally efficient capital market:
A. active managers can generate abnormal profits.
B. security prices quickly reflect new information.
C. investors react to all information releases rapidly.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ Correct answer: A
4-7
Example
¾ In terms of market efficiency, short selling most likely:
A. leads to excess volatility, which reduces market efficiency.
B. promotes market efficiency by making assets less likely to become
overvalued.
C. has little effect on market efficiency because short sellers face the
risk of unlimited losses.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ The weak-form EMH asserts that stock prices fully reflect which of the
following types of information?
A. Market only.
B. Market and public.
C. Public and private.
¾ Correct answer: A
5-7
Example
¾ Research has revealed that the performance of professional portfolio
managers tends to be:
A. equal to the performance of a passive investment strategy.
B. inferior to the performance of a passive investment strategy.
C. superior to the performance of a passive investment strategy.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ Correct answer: C
6-7
Example
¾ Investors who exhibit loss aversion most likely:
A. have symmetric risk preferences.
B. are highly risk averse.
C. dislike losses more than they like equal gains.
¾ Correct answer: C
7-7
Reading
36
Types of Equity
Investments
1-10
Classification of Public Equity Securities
¾ Classification of Equity Securities
z Common Shares:
9 Common shares are the most common form of equity and
represent an ownership interest. Common shareholders have a
residual claim (after the claims of debt holders and preferred
stockholders) on firm assets if the firm is liquidated and govern the
corporation through voting rights.
9 Common stockholders are able to vote for the board of directors,
on merger decisions, and on the selection of auditors.
In a statutory voting system, each share held is assigned one
vote in the election of each member of the board of directors.
Under cumulative voting, shareholders can allocate their votes
to one or more candidates as they choose. Cumulative voting
makes it possible for a minority shareholder to have more
proportional representation on the board.
2-10
3-10
4-10
Classification of Public Equity Securities
¾ Classification of Equity Securities
z Cumulative preference shares
9 Usually promised fixed dividends and any dividends that are not
paid must be made up before common shareholders can receive
dividends.
z Investors in participating preference shares receive extra dividends if
firm profits exceed a predetermined level.
5-10
6-10
7-10
Private Equity Securities
¾ The three main types of private equity investments are:
• The capital provided to firms early in their life
Venture capital cycles to fund their development and growth.
• Venture capital financing at various stages of a
firm’s development is referred to as seed or start-
up, early stage, or mezzanine financing.
8-10
Example
¾ The advantage of participating preferred shares versus non-
participating preferred shares is that participating preferred shares can:
A. obtain voting rights.
B. receive extra dividends.
C. be converted into common stock.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ Correct answer: A
9-10
Example
¾ Compared to public equity, which of the following is least likely to
characterize private equity?
A. Lower reporting costs.
B. Potentially weaker corporate governance.
C. Lower returns because of its less liquid market.
¾ Correct answer: C
10-10
Investment in
non-domestic equity
securities
1-5
2-5
3-5
Non-domestic Equity Securities
¾ Depository receipts
z Depository receipts (DRs) represent ownership in a foreign firm and are
traded in the markets of other countries in local market currencies.
z A bank deposits shares of the foreign firm and then issues receipts
representing ownership of a specific number of the foreign shares. The
depository bank acts as a custodian and manages dividends, stock
splits, and other events.
9 Sponsored DR: the firm is involved with the issue. A sponsored DR
provides the investor voting rights.
9 Unsponsored DR: the firm is not involved with the issue. The
depository bank retains the voting rights.
4-5
5-5
1-7
Risk and Return of Equity Securities
¾ Equity returns:
z Dividends
9 Gains from dividends and the reinvestment of dividends have been
an important part equity investors’ long-term returns.
z Capital gains or losses from changes in share prices
z Foreign exchange gains or losses.
9 For investors who purchase depository receipts or foreign shares
directly also subject foreign exchange gains (or losses)
2-7
3-7
4-7
Risk and Return of Equity Securities
¾ The book value of equity
z The book value is shareholders’ equity on a company’s balance sheet.
¾ The market value of equity
z The market value of equity reflects the collective and differing
expectations of investors concerning the amount, timing, and
uncertainty of the company’s future cash flows.
¾ Return on Equity
z Return on equity is the primary measure that equity investors use to
determine whether the management of a company is effectively and
efficiently using the capital they have provided to generate profits.
NI t NI t
ROEt = =
average BV BVt +BVt-1 /2
୲
୲ ൌ
୲ିଵ
5-7
6-7
Example
¾ Global depository receipts are most often denominated in:
A. the currency of the country where they trade and issued outside
the United States.
B. U.S. dollars and issued in the United States.
C. U.S. dollars and issued outside the United States.
¾ Correct answer: C
¾ Which of the following types of preferred shares has the most risk for
investors?
A. Putable shares.
B. Callable shares.
C. Non-putable, non-callable shares.
¾ Correct answer: B
7-7
Reading
37
1. Industry Analysis
Framework • The Uses of Industry Analysis
Current industry
classification
systems
1-10
The Uses of Industry Analysis
¾ Understanding a company’s business and business environment
z Industry analysis is often a critical early step in stock selection and
valuation because it provides insights into the issuer’s growth
opportunities, competitive dynamics, and business risks .
¾ Identifying active equity investment opportunities
z Industry valuation can be used in an active management strategy to
determine which industries to overweight or underweight in a portfolio.
Some investors engage in industry rotation, which is overweighting or
underweighting industries based on the current phase of the business
cycle.
¾ Portfolio performance attribution.
z Performance attribution, which addresses the sources of a portfolio’s
returns, usually in relation to the portfolios benchmark, includes
industry or sector selection. Industry classifications chemes play a role
in such performance attribution.
2-10
Industry Classification
¾ The major approaches to industry classification
z Products and services they offer;
z Sensitivity to business cycles;
z Statistical methods, such as cluster analysis;
z Commercial industry classification;
z Peer group;
3-10
Industry Classification
¾ One way to group companies into an industry is by the products and
services they offer.
z Systems that are grouped by products and services usually use a firm’s
principal business activity (the largest source of sales or earnings)
to classify firms.
z Examples of these systems are discussed in the following and include
the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) and Industry
Classification Benchmark (ICB).
4-10
Industry Classification
¾ Firms can also be classified by their sensitivity to business cycles. This
system has two main classifications: cyclical and non-cyclical firms.
z Cyclical firm: highly dependent on the stage of the business cycle.
9 High earnings volatility
9 high operating leverage
9 Includes: basic materials and processing, consumer discretionary,
energy, financial services, industrial and producer durables, and
technology.
9 A cyclical company is one whose profits are strongly correlated with
the strength of the overall economy.
5-10
Industry Classification
¾ Firms can also be classified by their sensitivity to business cycles. This
system has two main classifications: cyclical and non-cyclical firms.
z Non-cyclical firm: demand is relatively stable over the business cycle.
9 Examples include: Health care, utilities, telecommunications, and
consumer staples.
9 Defensive industries: least affected by the stage of the business
cycle and include utilities, consumer staples (such as food
producers), and basic services (such as drug stores).
9 Growth industries: demand so strong they are largely unaffected
by the stage of the business cycle.
6-10
Industry Classification
¾ Statistical methods, such as cluster analysis, can also be used.
z This method groups firms that historically have had highly correlated
returns. The groups (i.e., industries) formed will then have lower returns
correlations between groups.
z This method has several limitations:
9 Historical correlations may not be the same as future correlations.
9 The groupings of firms may differ over time and across countries.
9 The grouping of firms is sometimes non-intuitive.
9 The method is susceptible to statistical error (i.e., firms can be
grouped by a relationship that occurs by chance, or not grouped
together when they should be).
7-10
Industry Classification
¾ Commercial industry classification system
z Global Industry Classification StandardͧGICSͨ
9 Designed to facilitate global comparisons of industries. It classifies
companies in both developed and developing economies.
9 GICS classification structure comprised four levels of detail
consisting of 11 sectors, 24 industry groups, 69 industries, and 158
sub-industries.
z Industry Classification Benchmark (ICB)
9 The Industry Classification Benchmark uses a four-tier structure to
categorize companies globally on the basis of the source from
which a company derives the majority of its revenue.
8-10
Industry Classification
¾ Strengths and Weaknesses of Current Systems (Commercial vs.
Governmental)
z Unlike commercial classification systems, most government systems do
not disclose information about a specific business or company, so an
analyst cannot know all of the constituents of a particular category.
z Generally, commercial classification systems are adjusted more
frequently than government classification systems, which may be
updated only every five years or so.
z Government classification systems generally do not distinguish between
small and large businesses, between for-profit and not-for-profit
organizations, or between public and private companies.
z Many commercial classification systems have the ability to distinguish
between large and small companies by virtue of association with a
particular equity index, and these systems include only for-profit and
publicly traded organizations.
9-10
Industry Classification
¾ Peer Group
z A peer group is a set of similar companies an analyst will use for valuation
comparisons.
z The following are steps an analyst would use to form a peer group:
9 Examine commercial classification systems if available. These systems
often provide a useful starting point for identifying companies
operating in the same industry.
9 Review the subject company’s annual report for a discussion of the
competitive environment. Companies frequently cite specific
competitors.
9 Review competitors’ annual reports to identify other potential
comparables.
9 Review industry trade publications to identify additional peer
companies.
9 Confirm that each comparable or peer company derives a significant
portion of its revenue and operating profit from a business activity
similar to that of the subject company.
10-10
Industry life cycle
models
1-8
Industry Classification
¾ Industry Classification System (Cont.)
z Industry Life Cycle
9 Embryonic stage
9 Growth stage
9 Shakeout stage
9 Mature stage
9 Decline stage
2-8
Industry Classification
¾ Industry Classification System (Cont.)
z Industry Life Cycle
9 Embryonic stage: the industry has just started
Slow growth: customers are unfamiliar with the product.
High prices: the volume necessary for economies of scale has
not been reached.
Large investment required. to develop the product.
High risk of failure: most embryonic firms fail.
3-8
Industry Classification
¾ Industry Classification System (Cont.)
z Industry Life Cycle
9 Growth stage (industry growth is rapid )
Rapid growth: new consumers discover the product.
Limited competitive pressures: The threat of new firms coming
into the market peaks during the growth phase, but rapid
growth allows firms to grow without competing on price.
Falling prices: economies of scale are reached and distribution
channels increase.
Increasing profitability: due to economies of scale.
4-8
Industry Classification
¾ Industry Classification System (Cont.)
z Industry Life Cycle
9 Shakeout stage : industry growth and profitability are slowing due
to strong competition.
Growth has slowed: demand reaches saturation level with few
new customers to be found.
Intense competition: industry growth has slowed, so firm
growth must come at the expense of competitors.
Increasing industry overcapacity: firm investment exceeds
increases in demand.
Declining profitability: due to overcapacity.
Increased cost cutting: firms restructure to survive and attempt
to build brand loyalty.
Increased failures: weaker firms liquidate or are acquired.
5-8
Industry Classification
¾ Industry Classification System (Cont.)
z Industry Life Cycle
9 Mature stage: there is little industry growth and firms begin to
consolidate
Slow growth: market is saturated and demand is only for
replacement.
Consolidation: market evolves to an oligopoly,
High barriers to entry: surviving firms have brand loyalty and
low cost structures.
Stable pricing: firms try to avoid price wars, although periodic
price wars may occur during recessions.
Superior firms gain market share: the firms with better
products may grow faster than the industry average.
6-8
Industry Classification
¾ Industry Classification System (Cont.)
z Industry Life Cycle
9 Decline stage: industry growth is negative.
Negative growth: due to development of substitute products,
societal changes, or global competition.
Declining prices: competition is intense and there are price
wars due to overcapacity.
Consolidation: failing firms exit or merge.
7-8
Industry Classification
¾ Industry Classification System (Cont.)
z Industry Life Cycle
Time
Embryonic Growth Shakeout Mature Decline
8-8
Strategic analysis of
an industry
1-6
Strategic Analysis of an Industry
¾ Competitive Advantage
z Analysis framework developed by Michael Porter delineates five
forces that determine industry competition:
9 Rivalry among existing competitors. Rivalry increases when many
firms of relatively equal size compete within an industry.
9 Threat of new entrants. Industries that have significant barriers to
entry will find it easier to maintain premium pricing.
9 Threat of substitute products. Substitute products limit the profit
potential of an industry.
9 Bargaining power of buyers. Buyers’ ability to bargain for lower
prices or higher quality influences industry profitability.
9 Bargaining power of suppliers. Suppliers’ ability to raise prices or
limit supply influences industry profitability.
2-6
3-6
Example
¾ Firms and industries are most appropriately classified as cyclical or non-
cyclical based on:
A. their stock price fluctuations relative to the market.
B. the sensitivity of their earnings to the business cycle.
C. the volatility of their earnings relative to a peer group.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ An analyst should most likely include two firms in the same peer group
for analysis if the firms:
A. are both grouped in the same industry classification.
B. are similar in size, industry life-cycle stage, and cyclicality.
C. derive their revenue and earnings from similar business activities.
¾ Correct answer: C
4-6
Example
¾ Two of the five competitive forces in the Porter framework are:
A. threat of entry and barriers to exit.
B. power of suppliers and threat of substitutes.
C. rivalry among competitors and power of regulators.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ Correct answer: C
5-6
Example
¾ Industry overcapacity and increased cost cutting characterize which
stage of the industry life cycle?
A. Growth.
B. Shakeout.
C. Maturity.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ Correct answer: C
6-6
External Influences
and Company
Analysis
External Influences
¾ The external influences on industry growth, profitability, and risk
z Macroeconomic factors
9 Can be cyclical or structural (longer-term) trends, most notably
economic output as measured by GDP or some other measure,
such as interest rates, inflation and education level.
z Technology
9 Change an industry dramatically through the introduction of new
or improved products.
z Demographics
9 The demographics includes not only the population growth and
the age distributions, but also the geographical distribution of
people, the changing ethnic mix in a society, and changes in
income distribution.
External Influences
¾ The external influences on industry growth, profitability, and risk
z Governments
9 Today’s social trend may be tomorrow’s law, regulation, or tax
z Social influence
9 How people work, play, spend their money, and conduct their lives.
z Environmental influences
9 Consumer perception for certain brands, products, and services
9 Increased government regulations and protections
9 Potential disruptions to supply chains and the ability to operate,
such as an increase in natural disasters or resource shortages in
water or energy
Company Analysis
¾ A company analysis should include the following elements
z Firm overview, including information on operations, governance, and
strengths and weaknesses.
z Industry characteristics.
z Product demand.
z A product costs.
z Pricing environment.
z A financial ratios, with comparisons to other firms and over time.
z Projected financial statements and firm valuation.
3-6
Company Analysis
¾ Three generic competitive strategies
z Cost leadership: With the same product, the firm seeks to a lower cost.
z Differentiation: With the same cost, the firm seeks to provide product
benefits that other firms do no provide.
z Focus: The firm targets a niche with either a cost or a differentiation
focus.
4-6
Company Analysis
¾ Analysts often use spreadsheet modeling to analyze and forecast company
fundamentals.
¾ The problem with this method is that the models’ complexity can make their
conclusions seem precise, and the estimation is performed with error that
can compound over time.
5-6
Example
¾ Which of the following is least likely a significant external influence on
industry growth?
A. Social influences.
B. Macroeconomic factors.
C. Supplier bargaining power.
¾ Correct answer: C
6-6
Reading
38
Equity valuation
models
1-6
Evaluate a Security
¾ Intrinsic value vs. Market price
z Analysts use valuation models to estimate the intrinsic values of stocks
and compare them to the stocks’ market prices to determine whether
individual stocks are overvalued, undervalued, or fairly valued.
z Market price is assumed to move toward intrinsic value.
z Things to consider when deciding whether to invest based on estimated
intrinsic value:
9 Percentage difference between market prices and estimated values.
9 Confidence of the appropriateness of the valuation model.
9 Confidence of the inputs used in the valuation model.
9 Reasons why stock is mispriced.
9 Assume that market price will actually move toward estimated
intrinsic value and that it will do so to a significant extent within
the investment time horizon.
2-6
3-6
4-6
Background for DDM: Share Repurchase
¾ Definition
z A share repurchase is a transaction in which a company uses cash to buy
back its own shares.
z Shares that have been repurchased are not considered for dividends,
voting, or computing earnings per share.
¾ Key reasons for engaging in share repurchases
z Signaling a belief that their shares are undervalued;
z Flexibility in the amount and timing of distributing cash to shareholders;
z Tax efficiency in markets where tax rates on dividends exceed tax rates
on capital gains;
z The ability to absorb increase in outstanding shares because of the
exercise of employee stock options.
5-6
¾ Ex-dividend date is normally set for stocks one or two business days
before the record date.
6-6
DCF models
1-17
Discounted Cash Flow Models
¾ Equity valuation key principle: discounted future cash flow
Equity valuation
2-17
Dp Dp Dp Dp
Vp = + +}+ =
1+r 1+r
p p
2
1+r
p
N
rp
3-17
Ӯ㔗ؓେࠆֹ יࠝӮ۲ࢻࠆֹ
Constant dividend growth model Multistage dividend discount model
4-17
Discounted Cash Flow Models
¾ Valuing common stock –Dividend discount model (DDM)
z One-year holding period
D1 Pj1 p0 D1 p1
Vj= +
1+r 1+r 0 1
D1 D2 Pj2 p0 D1 D2 p2
Vj= + + t
1+r 1+r 2 1+r 2 0 1 2
5-17
D1 D2 Dn Pn
V0 = + +}+ +
1+re 1+re 2
1+re 1+re
n n
Dn+1
Pn= p0 D1 D2 Dp
re -gc … t t
tÆ∞
0 1 2 … t
D1 D2 Df n
Dt
f ¦
Vj= + +}+ =
1+r 1+r 2
1+r t=1 1+r
t
6-17
V0 = + + + 0
1+re 1+re
2
1+re
f
D0 1+gc D1
V0 = =
re -gc re -gc
7-17
Discounted Cash Flow Models
¾ Valuing Common Stock –Dividend discount Model (DDM)
z Gordon growth model (Constant growth model)
9 Limitations
Very sensitive to estimates of r and g
Difficult with non-dividend stocks
Difficult with unpredictable growth patterns (use multi-stage
model)
9 Important Conclusion
The wider is the difference between r and g, the smaller the
value of the stocks.
Small changes in the difference between r and g will cause
large changes in the stocks’ value
8-17
¾ Distribution of EPS
D0 1 RR u EPS
Dividend D0 1 g c
EPS p0 gc ROE u RR
re g c
Retention Rate
re RFR E Rmkt RFR
9-17
10-17
Discounted Cash Flow Models
¾ Valuing Common Stock –Dividend discount Model (DDM)
z Two-stage DDM
9 the growth rate starts at a high level for a relatively short period of
time, then reverts to a long-run perpetual level.
15%
3%
Stage 1 Stage 2
Time
Year 4
11-17
25%
15%
3%
Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3
Time
Year 3 Year 8
12-17
13-17
Example
¾ The constant growth model requires which of the following?
A. g < r.
B. g > r.
C. g ≠ r.
¾ Correct answer: A
¾ What would an investor be willing to pay for a share of preferred stock that
pays an annual $7 dividend if the required return is 7.75%?
A. $77.50.
B. $87.50.
C. $90.32.
¾ Correct answer: C
14-17
Example
¾ An analyst estimates that a stock will pay a $2 dividend next year and that
it will sell for $40 at year-end. If the required rate of return is 15%, what is
the value of the stock?
A. $33.54.
B. $36.52.
C. $43.95.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ Correct answer: B
15-17
Example
¾ Assume that a stock is expected to pay dividends at the end of Year 1
and Year 2 of $1.25 and $1.56, respectively. Dividends are expected to
grow at a 5% rate thereafter. Assuming that Re is 11%, the value of the
stock is closest to:
A. $22.30.
B. $23.42.
C. $24.55.
16-17
Example
¾ Correct answer: C
ଵǤହ ൈଵǤହ
z V2 ൌ ǤଵଵିǤହ
ൌ ʹǤ͵
$1.25 $ଵǤହା$ଶǤଷ
z V0 = = $24.55
1.11 ଵǤଵଵమ
17-17
Price multiples
1-6
2-6
Price Multiple Approach
¾ Two main ways to apply these price multiples
z Price multiples based on fundamentals:
9 The value justified by (based on) fundamentals or a set of cash flow
predictions (intrinsic value) therefore are independent of the
current market prices.
z Price multiples based on comparables:
9 Compare relative values between one firm to another using price
multiples with market price.
3-6
P0 D0 E0 (1-b)(1+g)
= 1+g=
E0 r-g r-g
4-6
5-6
Price Multiple Approach
¾ Multiples based on comparables
z Price multiples are widely used because:
9 Can be calculated easily.
9 Can be used both cross-sectional (versus the market or another
comparable) and in time series.
z Disadvantages of using price multiples
9 The conclusion drawn under the comparable and fundamental
method may be reverse.
9 Price multiples may lose validity when firms use different
accounting methods.
9 Price multiples for cyclical firms may be highly influenced by
current economic conditions.
6-6
Enterprise value
multiples
1-3
2-3
Example
¾ Enterprise value is defined as the market value of equity plus:
A. the face value of debt minus cash and short-term investments.
B. the market value of debt minus cash and short-term investments.
C. cash and short-term investments minus the market value of debt.
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ Correct answer: B
3-3
Asset-based models
1-7
Asset-Based Valuation
¾ An asset-based valuation of a company uses estimates of the market or
fair value of the company’s assets and liabilities. Because market values
of the firm assets are usually difficult to obtain, the analyst typically starts
with the balance sheet to determine the values of assets and liabilities.
¾ The asset-based valuation approach is not applicable when:
z Intangible assets or “off the books” assets take up a large proportion.
z Under a hyper-inflationary condition.
z Companies with assets don’t readily determinable market (fair) value—
—such as those with significant property, plant, and equipment.
¾ The asset-based valuation approach is most applicable when:
z Financial companies, natural resource companies, and formerly going-
concerns that are being liquidated.
¾ Asset-based models are frequently used for valuation of private companies.
2-7
Comparison of The Three Valuation Methods
¾ Discounted Cash Flow Models
Advantages Disadvantages
• Will grounded in finance theory. • Their inputs must be estimated.
• Widely accepted in the analyst • Value estimates are sensitive to
community. inputs.
3-7
4-7
¾ Correct answer: B
¾ Correct answer: B
6-7
Example
¾ Which of the following firms would most appropriately be valued using
an asset based model?
A. An energy exploration firm in financial distress that owns drilling
rights for offshore areas.
B. A paper firm located in a country that is experiencing high inflation.
C. A software firm that invests heavily in research and development
and frequently introduces new products.
¾ Correct answer: A
7-7