Professional Documents
Culture Documents
whether you desire to express any further interest in the financing of 160 East 48th Street (“The
Buchanan” or the “Property”) This memorandum has been reviewed by representatives of Madison
Realty Capital (the “Sponsor”). It contains selected information pertaining to the Property and does
not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all of the information that prospective investors may
desire. It should be noted that all financial projections are provided for general reference purposes
only in that they are based on assumptions relating to the general economy, competition, and other
factors beyond the control of Sponsor and, therefore, are subject to material variation. Additional
information and an opportunity to inspect the Property and plans will be made available to
interested and qualified investors. Neither Sponsor, Jones Lang LaSalle, nor any of their respective
officers nor employees have made any representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the
accuracy or completeness of this memorandum or any of its contents, and no legal commitments or
obligations shall arise by reason of this memorandum or any of its contents.
Sponsor expressly reserves the right, at its sole discretion, to reject any or all expressions of
interest or offers to invest in the Property and/or to terminate discussions with any entity at any time
with or without notice. Sponsor shall have no legal commitment or obligation to any entity reviewing
this memorandum or making an offer to invest in the Property unless and until a written agreement
satisfactory to Sponsor has been fully executed, delivered, and approved by Sponsor and any
conditions to Sponsor’s obligations thereunder have been satisfied or waived. By receipt of this
memorandum, you agree that this memorandum and its contents are of a confidential nature, that
you will hold and treat it in the strictest confidence, and that you will not disclose this memorandum
or any of its contents to any other entity without the prior written authorization of Sponsor, nor will
you use this memorandum or any of its contents in any fashion or manner detrimental to the interest
of Sponsor or Jones Lang LaSalle. It is essential that all parties to real estate transactions be aware
of the health, liability and economic impact of environmental factors on real estate. Jones Lang
LaSalle does not conduct investigations or analyses of environmental matters and, accordingly,
urges its clients to retain qualified environmental professionals to determine whether hazardous or
toxic wastes or substances (such as asbestos, PCBs, and other contaminants or petrochemical
products stored in underground tanks) or other undesirable materials or conditions are present at
the Property and, if so, whether any health danger or other liability exists. Such substances may
have been used in the construction or operation of buildings or may be present as a result of
previous activities at the Property. Various laws and regulations have been enacted at the federal,
state and local levels dealing with the use, storage, handling, removal, transport, and disposal of
toxic or hazardous wastes and substances. Depending upon past, current, and proposed uses of
the Property, it may be prudent to retain an environmental expert to conduct a site investigation
and/or building inspection. If such substances exist or are contemplated to be used at the Property,
special governmental approvals or permits may be required. In addition, the cost of removal and
disposal of such materials may be substantial. Consequently, legal counsel and technical experts
should be consulted where these substances are or may be present.
No representation or warranty is being made by Sponsor or Jones Lang LaSalle with respect to the
Property’s compliance with any applicable statutes, laws, ordinances, rules, regulations,
requirements and/or codes (collectively, the “Laws”). It is expressly understood that it is the
responsibility of any prospective investor to investigate whether or not the Property is in compliance
with the Laws and such prospective investor will be relying strictly and solely upon its own
inspections and examinations and the advice and counsel of its own consultants, agents, legal
counsel and officers with respect to the condition of the Property and its compliance with the Laws.
Disclaimer JLL 2
THE BUCHANAN
NEW YORK, NY
-
VALUE-ADD JOINT VENTURE EQUITY OPPORTUNITY
IN MANHATTAN’S MIDTOWN EAST NEIGHBORHOOD
Executive Summary 5
Sponsor Overview 14
Property Overview 21
Project Overview 26
Market Overview 33
Property Snapshot
Address: 160 East 48th Street
Midtown East,
Location:
New York, NY
Floors: 16
Commercial Units: 14
Equity Request
Closing Date 2/11/2016
Closing Date Extension Option 3/14/16
Total Costs $316,640,000
Equity Request $99,741,600
Investment Ratio 90% / 10%
Investment Term 5 Years
Hard Costs
General Capex $3,000,000 $10.08 $9,901 0.95%
Renovations $18,000,000 $60.46 $59,406 5.68%
Contingency $1,100,000 $3.69 $3,630 0.35%
Total Hard Costs $22,100,000 $74.24 $72,937 6.98%
Soft Costs
Legal & Prof. Fees $150,000 $0.50 $495.05 0.05%
Architects & Engineering $280,000 $0.95 $924 0.09%
Project Manager $250,000 $0.84 $825 0.08%
General Overhead $100,000 $0.34 $330 0.03%
Inspections & Testing $70,000 $0.24 $231 0.02%
Marketing $100,000 $0.34 $330 0.03%
Interior Design $40,000 $0.12 $132 0.01%
Permits & Fees/Expeditor $110,000 $0.38 $363 0.04%
Developer Fee $1,110,000 $3.71 $3,663 0.35%
Violations $30,000 $0.10 $99 0.01%
Leasing Costs $1,230,000 $4.12 $4,059 0.39%
Contingency $110,000 $0.37 $363 0.03%
Total Soft Costs $3,580,000 $12.01 $11,815 1.13%
0.00%
Buyout Costs $4,175,000 $14.02 $13,779 1.32%
Financing Costs
Lender Legal $150,000 $0.50 $495 0.05%
Title Insurance $410,000 $1.38 $1,353 0.13%
Lender Origination Fee $2,060,000 $6.92 $6,799 0.65%
Debt & Equity Brokerage Fee $2,060,000 $6.92 $6,799 0.65%
Mortgage Recording Tax $4,340,000 $14.58 $14,323 1.37%
Interest Reserve $2,100,000 $7.05 $6,931 0.66%
Total Financing Costs $11,120,000 $37.35 $36,700 3.51%
In Place
Year Ending 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Project Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Number of Buyouts 0 16 17 18 - -
Number of FM Renovations 0 196 2 - - -
Total Units Renovated 0 212 231 249 249 249
Revenues
Residential Rental Income $11,595,135 $10,254,585 $17,676,803 $19,653,385 $21,025,282 $22,272,460
Commercial Rental Income $1,999,819 $1,925,486 $2,036,839 $2,630,436 $3,562,527 $3,747,776
Reimbursable Income $180,678 $180,678 $148,907 $151,485 $202,727 $214,679
Other Income $30,000 $40,000 $154,500 $159,135 $163,909 $168,826
Total Gross Income $13,805,631 $12,400,749 $20,017,050 $22,594,442 $24,954,445 $26,403,742
Residential Vacancy ($276,113) $0 $0 ($308,062) ($56,746) ($445,449)
Commercial Vacancy $0 $0 $0 $0 ($76,959) ($106,066)
Collection Loss $0 ($124,007) ($200,170) ($225,944) ($249,544) ($264,037)
Total Effective Gross Income $13,529,519 $12,276,742 $19,816,879 $22,060,435 $24,571,195 $25,588,189
Operating Expenses
Real Estate Taxes ($2,898,263) ($3,031,960) ($3,131,846) ($3,220,307) ($3,497,269) ($3,781,340)
Insurance ($141,873) ($141,873) ($146,129) ($150,513) ($155,029) ($159,680)
Fuel / Gas / Steam ($307,263) ($307,263) ($316,480) ($325,975) ($335,754) ($345,827)
Electric ($329,981) ($229,981) ($156,880) ($111,586) ($114,934) ($118,382)
Water & Sewer ($208,746) ($208,746) ($215,008) ($221,459) ($228,102) ($234,945)
Payroll & Burden ($1,262,267) ($1,262,267) ($1,300,135) ($821,131) ($459,502) ($473,287)
Repairs & Maintenance ($151,500) ($151,500) ($156,045) ($160,726) ($165,548) ($170,515)
General & Administrative ($37,875) ($37,875) ($39,011) ($40,182) ($41,387) ($42,629)
Reserves ($60,600) ($60,600) ($62,418) ($64,291) ($66,219) ($68,206)
Legal / Professional ($65,000) ($60,600) ($62,418) ($64,291) ($66,219) ($68,206)
Elevator ($75,000) ($75,000) ($77,250) ($79,568) ($81,955) ($84,413)
Other ($37,584) ($37,584) ($38,711) ($39,873) ($41,069) ($42,301)
Management ($202,118) ($202,118) ($594,506) ($661,813) ($737,136) ($767,646)
Total Operating Expenses ($5,778,070) ($5,807,367) ($6,296,840) ($5,961,713) ($5,990,123) ($6,357,376)
Patrick Cotter
Analyst
Capital Markets Group
patrick.cotter@am.jll.com
+1 212 812 5967
+1 240 997 4977
JLL 13
Section 1: Executive summary JLL 13
14
Madison Realty Capital (MRC)
Madison Realty Capital is a leading real estate investment management firm based in Manhattan, New York. Through the firm’s
vertically integrated structure, MRC has closed in excess of $4.0 billion of real estate debt and equity transactions in the multifamily,
retail, office and industrial sectors. The firm was co-founded by Brian Shatz and Joshua Zegen in 2004 to pursue U.S. real estate
investment opportunities in the middle market. MRC aims to provide institutional investors with superior risk-adjusted returns with
downside principal protection.
Brian Shatz
Managing Principal, Co-Founder
Mr. Shatz co-founded Madison Realty Capital in 2004 and is responsible for risk and portfolio management, raising institutional
capital, and asset management. Since MRC's inception, Mr. Shatz has closed real estate transactions totaling in excess of $4.0
billion. Mr. Shatz serves on several investment committees related to both the debt and equity platforms. Prior to co-founding MRC,
he established Bluegrass Growth Fund Partners, LLC, a private investment fund which focused on investing in structured equity and
debt investments for U.S. public companies. Mr. Shatz began his career at BlackRock where he worked closely with fixed income
portfolio managers and developed institutional client relationships with some of the country's largest pension funds. Mr. Shatz
graduated cum laude from Brandeis University with a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics.
Joshua Zegen
Managing Principal, Co-Founder
Mr. Zegen co-founded Madison Realty Capital in 2004 and is responsible for overseeing the origination and structuring of all of
MRC's investment activities, as well as raising institutional capital and portfolio management. Since MRC's inception, Mr. Zegen
has closed real estate transactions totaling in excess of $4.0 billion. At the firm, Mr. Zegen serves on several investment
committees related to both the debt and equity platforms. Prior to founding MRC, he founded and was president of Alpine
Commercial Capital, a mortgage advisory firm that successfully closed over $500 million in real estate financings. Prior to forming
Alpine, Mr. Zegen was an investment banker in Salomon Smith Barney's financial sponsors/private equity group where he focused
on leveraged buyouts, equity and debt financings, mergers and acquisitions and private placement transactions. He began his
career as an analyst in Merrill Lynch's debt capital markets division where he executed both mortgage backed and asset backed
debt offerings. He is a co-founder and board member of The New York Private Equity Network ("NYPEN"). Mr. Zegen graduated
cum laude from Brandeis University with a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics.
JLL 15
Section 2: Sponsor
Section overview
1: Executive summary JLL 15
The Sponsor has acquired 35 assets and sold 10 assets throughout New York City since 2011. The acquired
properties have been value-add multi-family opportunities with grade level retail that have required some degree of
renovation in order to drive rents. Assets include both existing buildings and select development opportunities. The
following represents a subset of the most recently acquired assets and realized deals.
247 East 28th Street 157 Suffolk Street 65 North 6th Street
Business Plan
The business plan was to reposition the Property as a premier luxury residential rental building, capture market rents and drive Net
Operating Income by:
• Renovating and reconfiguring units as they turn into high-end apartments.
• Repositioning and re-leasing retail units upon vacancy at market rents to maximize commercial rental income.
• Pursuing tenant buyouts to capture market rents.
• Enhancing the overall marketability of the Property through a vigorous capex program geared toward minimizing
operating costs and improving the common space and overall curb appeal.
• Conducting a feasibility study to assess further the development potential on top of the existing structure.
(1) A combined unit was divided to bring the current residential unit count to 44
Execution
After closing on the acquisition, MRC immediately began executing on its business plan. Since acquiring the asset MRC has;
• Executed buyout agreements with 9 stabilized tenants at an average cost of roughly $38,000. The average in-place
rent for these stabilized tenants was $1,954.
• Renovated and reconfigured 28 apartments at an average cost of roughly $68,600 per unit. MRC
was able to add at least one bedroom to each unit.
• Leased up all renovated units at market rents ranging from $78 PSF to $97 PSF.
JLL 17
Section 2: Sponsor
Section overview
1: Executive summary JLL 17
Relevant Transaction Experience:
361 East 50th Street Case Study
The next three slides provide before and after floor plans for 361 East 50th Street. The scale of interior work shown in these floor
plans will be similar to the business plan that will be executed at the Buchanan.
The 16-story building, which totals 297,703 gross square feet was constructed in 1928 and offers generous layouts and ceiling heights at
approximately 9’3’’. Residential unit interiors feature pre-war moldings and hardwood floors, and a portion of the units have recently been
renovated with stainless steel appliances, Silestone Kensho kitchen countertops, brushed chrome Kohler bathroom and kitchen fixtures,
and marble bathrooms. Fireplaces are featured in upper floor residences beginning on the 11th floor and nearly 25% of the units contain
functional wood burning fireplaces. The full cellar is currently underutilized with only a portion allocated to commercial use and the balance
used as a laundry room and storage.
At the two entrance points are doormen stations which allow for the drop-off of deliveries and laundry services. The penthouse units include
private outdoor terraces which look over the courtyard. The Property also has 139,097 square feet of additional unused air rights. The
residential unit mix consists of oversized studios, one-bedroom, two-bedroom, and three-bedroom apartments. The commercial portion of
the property includes a portion of the basement and the first floor and is currently occupied by 10 retail tenants and 4 office tenants. The
retail tenancy includes 2 month-to-month tenants, while all 4 office tenants are currently occupying the space on a month-to-month basis.
The retail space is currently 100% occupied with tenants including a restaurant, nail salon, electronics store, and former Capital One bank
branch which has gone dark. The Capital One space totals 3,825 SF and the tenant is current on all rent. The average in-place retail rent is
$138 PSF, representing a significant discount to market.
Applicability
Generally, most residential units in apartment buildings in New York City with six or more units that were built before February 1,
1974 are subject to rent-stabilization regulations. Residential units in New York City buildings that were built before February
1947 and have been occupied by the same tenant continuously since before July 1, 1971 are subject to the more stringent rent-
control regulations.
Approximately 1.057 million or 48.2% of the rental stock in New York City as of 2014 are subject to rent control or rent
stabilization laws, which is a decrease from the 70 percent subject to restrictions during the early 1990’s. Of this 1.057 million
rental apartments, approximately 27,000 apartments (2014 Housing and Vacancy Survey) remain under the protection of rent
control laws, a 6.55 percent decrease since 2005.
Degradation Threshold
Every rent-stabilized apartment has a "legal rent", which is the maximum rent that the landlord is allowed to charge for the
apartment. The legal rent increases from time to time due to permissible adjustments that are described below. If the
landlord chooses to rent an apartment for less than the legal rent, the legal rent remains in effect and is used as the basis
for future allowable rents (the difference between the legal rent and the actual rent is referred to as "preferential rent").
For the fiscal year of October 1, 2015 through September 30, 2016, the maximum allowable renewal lease rental increases
are as follows:
Section 3: PropertyOverview
Section 3:Location overview JLL
JLL 2424
Allowable Rental Increases on Vacant Unit Leases
Tenants renting a rent-stabilized apartment for the first time have the option of either a one-year or two-year lease. The
maximum allowable legal rent for a new lease on a vacant unit is equal to the last legal rent plus the sum of the following:
• For a two-year lease, a vacancy increase of 20%; for a one-year lease, a vacancy increase equal to 18% less the
difference between the guideline percentages applicable to one-year and two-year renewal leases for the current fiscal
year. For the fiscal year from October 1, 2015 through September 30, 2016, the difference between the applicable
percentages is 2.25% (4.50% - 2.25%); therefore the allowable vacancy increase for a one-year lease is 17.75%.
• If the landlord did not collect a permanent vacancy increase within eight years of the new vacancy lease, in addition to
the vacancy increase described in Item 1, the landlord is entitled to an additional vacancy increase equal to 0.6%
multiplied by the number of years since the collection of the last permanent increase.
• If the previous legal rent was less then $300 per month, in addition to the vacancy increases described in Items 1 and
2, the landlord is entitled to increase the rent an additional $100 per month.
• If the previous legal rent was between $300 and $500 per month, the landlord is entitled to collect a vacancy increase
equal to the greater of: (a) the combined vacancy increases described in Items 1 and 2 or (b) $100 per month.
Section 3: PropertyOverview
Section 3:Location overview JLL
JLL 2525
26
The chart summarizes the in-place unit count, in-place rents, proforma unit count post renovation/buyout, and un-trended proforma
rents post renovation/buyout.
Rent Stabilized
0 BR 454 3,176 7 2.42% $1,585 4 1.38% $1,665 5.1%
1 BR 758 35,633 47 16.26% $1,931 17 5.88% $2,029 5.1%
1.5 BR 0 0 0 0.00% $0 0 0.00% $0 0.0%
2 BR 1,225 23,266 19 6.57% $2,470 1 0.35% $2,596 5.1%
2.5 BR 0 0 0 0.00% $0 0 0.00% $0 0.0%
3 BR 0 0 0 0.00% $0 0 0.00% $0 0.0%
Subtotal 917 62,075 73 25.26% $2,115 22 7.61% $2,223 5.1%
Rent Controlled
0 BR 435 435 1 0.35% $1,645 1 0.35% $1,729 5.1%
1 BR 715 10,008 14 4.84% $2,018 14 4.84% $2,121 5.1%
1.5 BR 0 0 0 0.00% $0 0 0.00% $0 0.0%
2 BR 1,216 3,647 3 1.04% $3,013 3 1.04% $3,167 5.1%
2.5 BR 0 0 0 0.00% $0 0 0.00% $0 0.0%
3 BR 0 0 0 0.00% $0 0 0.00% $0 0.0%
Subtotal 836 14,090 18 6.23% $2,264 18 6.23% $2,379 5.1%
Total / WAV 878 235,465 289 100.00% $3,541 289 100.00% $4,538 28.2%
Commercial
Office 631 2,524 4 28.57% $7,792 4 28.57% $31,550 304.9%
Retail 1,365 13,648 10 71.43% $156,860 10 71.43% $303,179 93.3%
*Assumed 1.00% growth for Rent Stabilized and Rent Controlled units through exit
* Excludes units 8LM & 13CD. No bedrooms will be added to these units
* Some units have already been renovated and will not need full renovation cost
Quarterly
Expiration Total Vacant Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017
Units Expiring 198 37 0 9 71 75 4 0 1 1
% Expiring 100.00% 18.69% 0.00% 4.55% 35.86% 37.88% 2.02% 0.00% 0.51% 0.51%
Cum % Expiring 18.69% 18.69% 23.23% 59.09% 96.97% 98.99% 98.99% 99.49% 100.00%
0.0 BR 23 6 0 1 6 10 0 0 0 0
1.0 BR 136 23 0 6 52 50 4 0 1 0
2.0 BR 38 7 0 2 13 15 0 0 0 1
3.0 BR 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Semi Annual
Expiration Total Vacant 7/31/2015 1/31/2016 7/31/2016 1/31/2017 7/31/2017
Units Expiring 198 37 0 80 79 1 1
% Expiring 100.00% 18.69% 0.00% 40.40% 39.90% 0.51% 0.51%
Cum % Expiring 18.69% 18.69% 59.09% 98.99% 99.49% 100.00%
0.0 BR 23 6 0 7 10 0 0
1.0 BR 136 23 0 58 54 1 0
2.0 BR 38 7 0 15 15 0 1
3.0 BR 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Office
Current Current Current Market Market Market
Lease Extension Total Monthly Annual Rent Monthly Annual Rent
Tenant Expiration Option SF Rent Rent PSF Rent Rent PSF
SHUM CC MD &
11/30/2016 None 663 $3,000 $36,000 $54 $8,288 $99,450 $150
LAUCHANGO
RAUL CACERES 11/30/2016 None 718 $2,192 $59,856 $86 $8,975 $107,700 $150
MABLE MERCER
11/30/2016 None 718 $2,600 $48,000 $69 $8,975 $107,700 $150
FOUNDATION
VACANT - None 425 - - - $5,313 $63,750 $150
Subtotal / WAV 2,524 $7,792 $143,856 $58 $31,550 $378,600 $150
Retail
Current Current Current Market Market Market
Lease Extension Total Monthly Annual Rent Monthly Annual Rent
Tenant Expiration Option SF Rent Rent PSF Rent Rent PSF
(1) 5-year
AP & SS RESTAURANT
10/30/2026 option after 3,450 $25,000 $300,000 $87 $71,875 $862,500 $250
GROUP LLC
2026
FLORA LOUIS INC 7/31/2017 None 660 $15,988 $191,860 $291 $16,500 $198,000 $300
762 FOOD CORPORATION 4/30/2018 None 1,850 $19,467 $233,603 $126 $38,542 $462,500 $250
STAY CONNECTED, INC 4/30/2022 None 850 $11,935 $143,222 $168 $21,250 $255,000 $300
JIN PANG SHON MTM None 1,050 $7,000 $84,000 $80 $26,250 $315,000 $300
(2) 5-year
CAPITAL
9/30/2017 options after 3,825 $40,396 $484,750 $127 $79,688 $956,250 $250
ONE\GREENPOINT BANK
2017
Subtotal / WAV 13,648 $156,860 $1,882,319 $138 $303,179 $3,638,150 $267
6,000 $250
$232
$214
$230
5,000
$210
$190
4,000 $168
$170
$152
3,000 $150
$126
$130
2,000
$110
$90
1,000
$70
0 $50
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Phase I:
At closing, the Sponsor will generate $1.8 million in cost savings through improved property management oversight. The initial
costs savings will be partially offset by a planned increase in management fees, which will be set to a market rate of 3.0% of EGI
(currently 1.8% of EGI).
OpEx Savings
In-Place EGI $13,529,519
Fuel / Gas / Steam: Adjusted to reflect boiler conversion and update (market est. at ~$1,000 per unit)
Adjusted, reflects 2014 Water Sewer Charge less $117K savings from RPZ backflow preventer installation which
Water & Sewer:
should be complete by January 2016
Repairs & Maintenance: Actual includes unit renovation costs and other expenses which are part of capex (interior painting, etc.)
Legal / Professional: Excludes leasing commissions and local law 11 work, which is non-recurring and below the line
Phase II:
Electricity: The Sponsor will submeter each of the units in order to pass through electrical costs to tenants. Work on the
electrical systems will begin upon acquisition and phase in over 4 years as units become renovated. Full cost savings for
electricity are expected to be achieved in Year 4.
Payroll & Burden: Payroll & burden expenses are inflated due to a union labor contract that expires in 2018. Following the
contract expiration in April 2018, the Sponsor anticipates converting the building to a non-union building, reducing headcount and
resetting wages.
Located on one of the world’s largest natural harbors, New Manhattan is regarded as the commercial, economic and cultural
York City is the most populous city in the United States with center of the United States and is home to numerous famous
approximately 8.2 million residents and is also the most landmarks and cultural attractions, such as the Metropolitan
densely populated major city with a land area of just over Museum of Art, Times Square and the United Nations. Various
300 square miles. With almost 800 languages spoken by its colleges and universities are located within the borough,
residents, New York is truly a global city and the most including Columbia University and New York University both of
linguistically diverse city in the world. Known as a global which rank among the top 50 universities in the world, according
financial center, New York City combines the offices of 168 to the Times Higher Education World University Rankings.
banks from 50 countries, and 18 of the top 20 foreign
branches of international banks have their U.S. headquarters Tourism
in New York City. New York is also the most visited city in Both domestic and international tourism generate significant
the United States for both domestic and international income for New York City and particularly the borough of
travelers, with 56 million visitors totaling $41.3 billion of Manhattan. New York was ranked 7th amongst the “20 Most
direct spending in 2014. Over the past ten years, the number Visited Cities in the World” by Forbes magazine in 2014, with
of total visitors in New York City has increased by more than major tourist destinations in New York City including Times
50% and direct visitor spending has increased by more than Square, the Empire State Building, Rockefeller Center and
100%. Central Park. The number of both domestic and international
visitors to New York City increased in nine of the past 10 years,
Manhattan overview with only 2009 experiencing a drop during the deepest part of the
The borough of Manhattan, or New York County, forms the recession. The number of visitors and total direct spending
central political, financial and cultural core of New York City and increased by more than 50% and 100%, respectively, over the
is the economic engine for the Greater New York region. With a past ten years to 55.8 million in 2014, meeting the visitors targets
population of more than 1.6 million and a land area of 23 square initialed outlined by Mayor Bloomberg in 2006.
miles, Manhattan is New York City’s most densely populated
borough with nearly 70,000 residents per square mile. More than Although international tourists account for less than 22% of
75 percent of New York City’s employees work in Manhattan visitors and spend slightly less on average than domestic visitors
home to the Midtown and Downtown business districts. ($210 per day versus $230), the longer average length of stay of
Manhattan is the wealthiest county in the United States with per international tourists (7 nights versus 2.7 nights for domestic
capita personal income of $62,498 versus the national average of visitors) increases their spending share.
$32,283, and its median household income of $69,659 exceeds
the national median by more than $11,000.
Section 5: Market overview JLL 34
Employment and Economic Overview
The overall New York City economy is recovering strongly with While the financial, insurance, health care and real estate
2.7% employment growth year-over-year as of December 2014, industries form the backbone of New York City’s economy, the
led by the professional and business services sector, which city is an important center for mass media, journalism and
averaged year-over-year employment growth of 4.7% – which publishing as well as the preeminent arts center in country, with
exceeds the 3.7% growth reached during the peak of the last creative industries such as advertising, new media, fashion and
expansion. Although the financial services have had to adapt to design representing a rapidly increasing number of jobs in the
increased regulatory scrutiny and changing markets, the city.
accounting, consulting and technology sectors are still expected
to grow over the next year. Unemployment in New York City has One of the world’s leading commercial centers, Midtown is home
dropped from a high of 9.6% in 2010, to 6.4% as of January to corporate headquarters across multiple industries, including
2015, with Manhattan holding the lowest unemployment rate of fashion (Saks Incorporated, Calvin Klein, Polo Ralph Lauren and
the five boroughs at 5.2% nearly 40 bps below the national Ann Taylor), communications (Viacom and Univision
average. Much of the decline in unemployment was due to the Communications), publishing (Simon & Schuster and McGraw-
strong growth in the private sector which has seen six straight Hill) and media (CBS Corporation, NBC Universal, The New York
years of employment gains. Times Company and Thomson Reuters).
With a gross domestic product of $1.38 trillion in 2013, New York New York City has also received a strong boost with the
City has the largest regional economy in the United States by and emergence of “Silicon Alley,” named for the emergence and
the second largest city economy in the world after Tokyo, Japan. concentration of internet and media companies in Manhattan.
New York City is a premier headquarters location for leading Over the past two years, Midtown South has diversified an
global financial services companies as well as a diversified base already solid base of tenancy to become New York’s defacto
of service sector firms including law, accounting, advertising and home of internet giants and tech start-ups. Heavyweights such as
management. Google and Apple, alongside hundreds of new tech start-ups,
have received billions of dollars in funding. This story is proven
New York City is home to more corporate headquarters than any not only by the quality of firms who have chosen to do business in
other city in the country, with the vast majority located in New York City, but also by their ambitious plans for growth.
Manhattan. Midtown Manhattan is the largest central business
district in the United States and holds the nation’s greatest
concentration of Fortune 500 companies, including J.P. Morgan
Chase, Citigroup, MetLife, Pfizer and Morgan Stanley.
Market Forces
The reasons for the Manhattan market’s upward trend, despite the national housing market’s sluggish growth, are as follows:
1. Land constraints: Unlike virtually every other metropolitan or suburban market in America, Manhattan remains severely land-
constrained. New construction starts relative to existing housing stock has remained at relatively low levels, despite ever-growing
demand. This stability in new supply helps to keep inventory in check. Nationally, housing starts rose 33% from 1.5 million units in 2000
to 2.0 million by 2005 and have since declined significantly to approximately 1,174,000 in 2015, which is reflective of the dislocation in the
for-sale housing market since the economic downturn. This is in direct contrast to Manhattan’s residential inventory levels, particularly in
the high-end market, where demand continues to outstrip supply.
2. Strong demand: Manhattan continues to experience greater demand than all other residential markets in the country. This is due in
part to the strength of the Manhattan economy, particularly at the high-end with strong bonuses on Wall Street and record high-income
job creation. Additionally, Wall Street is posting record earnings and there is stable growth in the hedge fund and private equity markets.
Market demand is also driven in part by a strong demand for Manhattan real estate from national and international buyers. Manhattan is
perceived as a “winner take all” city within the global economy, which is reflected in the continually strong demand exhibited both
nationally and internationally for Manhattan condominiums.
Section
Section
4: Market
5: Market
overview
overview JLL 41
Section 1: Executive summary JLL 41
1 2 3 4 5 6
The Buchanan Monterey at Park The Nash Murray Hill Tower The Metropolis River Tower
Address 160 East 48th Street 30 Park Avenue 222 East 39th Street 245 East 40th Street 150 East 44th Street 420 East 54th Street
Floors 15 20 25 36 52 37
FAR 15 10 10 10 12 10
In another top-tier market along Madison Avenue, (from East 57th to East 72nd Streets), asking rents averaged $1,584 per square
foot, up moderately from $1,466 per square foot, an 8.0% rise from last year. Of note, the average asking rent has increased in
each of the last six quarters, however the average asking rent dipped slightly from year-end 2014 when it registered $1,602 psf.
The availability rate remained unchanged at 13.0% at the close of the first quarter 2015 from year-end 2014. New commitments
were announced including high-end fashion brand Brioni which leased 5,200 sf at the Carlton House redevelopment, 680 Madison
Avenue. Additionally, British woman’s designer L.K. Bennett leased 2,562 sf for its first Manhattan store at 655 Madison Avenue in
the former Brian Atwood sublease space. New space additions included the Nespresso store at 761 Madison Avenue and Frey
Wille’s sublease space at 624 Madison Avenue.
Section
Section
4: Market
5: Market
overview
overview JLL 44
Section 1: Executive summary JLL 44
Midtown East Retail Market Comparables
• Midtown asking rents have increased at a rate of 7.6% per annum over the past 3-years and increased 7.3% over the past 12
months. This trend is expected by many to accelerate.
• The Taking Rent Index has hit 97% (from 89% 12 months ago) indicating that landlords are getting their asking rents and are
going to make large increases shortly.
• Leasing activity over the 12 months of 17 million square feet is the second highest over the past decade and is outpacing last
year’s activity by 20%.
• Availability rate is at its lowest point since 2007 and is continuing to fall.
• Absorption over the past 12 months was a positive 3.71 million square feet, second highest in the past 10 years only to 2010.
• All of these metrics point in the right direction – indicating a strengthening Midtown leasing market.
Section
Section
5: 4:
Market
Market
overview
overview JLL 47
Section 1: Executive summary JLL 47
The offering to invest in the Property is being distributed exclusively by JLL to a select group of qualified institutional investors. The
prospective investor(s) will be selected by the Sponsor in consultation with JLL at its sole discretion. For more information on this
transaction, please contact:
Patrick Cotter
Analyst
Capital Markets Group
patrick.cotter@am.jll.com
+1 212 812 5967
+1 240 997 4977
JLL 48
Section 1: Executive summary JLL 48
49
Section 6: Appendix: floor plans JLL 50
Section 1: Executive summary JLL 50
Section 6: Appendix: floor plans JLL 51
Section 1: Executive summary JLL 51
Section 6: Appendix: floor plans JLL 52
Section 1: Executive summary JLL 52
Section 6: Appendix: floor plans JLL 53
Section 1: Executive summary JLL 53