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Understand the mechanics and Quote FX bid/offer rates and Differentiate between the
purposes of foreign exchange (FX) calculate cross rates different types of FX products,
their uses, and payoff structures
CorporateFinance
Corporate Finance Institute®
Institute®
Foreign Exchange Fundamentals
Exchange Rate
Non-Convertible
Currency
Currency which
Floating Fixed (Pegged) Crawling Peg cannot be freely
Non-Deliverable
Exchange Rate Exchange Rate traded outside
Forwards of
(NDFs)
the nation
• Adopted by most • The central bank uses • Allows small amount • For trades in
nations open market of fluctuation within a countries without a
operations to buy/sell currency band freely convertible
its currency domestic currency
• From holiday travel to • FX markets are very deep and • Many central banks will try to
facilitating global trade liquid markets. smooth the fluctuations in
their domestic currencies.
• “Imagine if you didn’t have FX” • By definition, one can trade in
practically every currency on
the planet.
01
Freedom of Entry and Exit
02
Product Homogeneity
03
Perfect Market
Profit Maximization
04
Freedom of Information
FX market is the deepest and the most liquid market in the world.
Source: Bank for International Settlement. (2019). Triennial Central Bank Survey - Global foreign exchange market turnover in 2019. Retrieved from
https://www.bis.org/statistics/rpfx19_fx_annex.pdf
AUD 446 7%
CAD 332 5%
CHF 327 5%
CNY 285 4%
*Because two currencies are involved in
each transaction, the sum of the Others 1,894 29%
percentage shares of individual currencies
Total 6,595 200%*
totals 200% instead of 100%.
Source: Bank for International Settlement. (2019). Triennial Central Bank Survey - Global foreign exchange market turnover in 2019. Retrieved from
https://www.bis.org/statistics/rpfx19_fx_annex.pdf
Source: Bank for International Settlement. (2019). Triennial Central Bank Survey - Global foreign exchange market turnover in 2019. Retrieved from
https://www.bis.org/statistics/rpfx19_fx_annex.pdf
Exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another, also known as an FX pair.
FX that trades for T+2 (trade date plus two) settlement is called “spot”.
Example:
A trade of $1 million USD/JPY at 110.15 means that in two days’ time:
The buyer of JPY will remit The seller of JPY will remit
$1,000,000 USD. ¥110,150,000.
Currency codes fall under ISO code 4217. They are three letters long and comprised of:
US D
GBP CAD THB
Country Currency
Base Quote
Currency Currency
USD / SEK
USD / JPY
Base Quote
Currency Currency
Historically, we used the stronger currency as the base currency, but there are exceptions.
Higher Priority
Euro
Pound Sterling
Australian Dollar
Why is…
Remember that the “0.” is also considered a sig fig so NZDUSD is 0.6593.
The market quotes prices using the last two digits in a price.
EUR/USD = 1.1009-14
Bid/offer spread
of 5 pips (points)
Market-makers show both bid and offer prices (two-ways). To avoid confusion on the direction,
traders and clients may use simple one word to deal on a trade.
A typical conversation may go:
Clients view tighter bid/offer spreads as how aggressive the market-maker is in trading.
Market-makers may also reserve the tightest spreads for the best clients and who has wider
levels on multi-dealer e-trading platforms or to the brokers.
More spot FX trades have moved to electronic platforms for smaller ticket sizes or less profitable clients.
• In 2019, 56% of FX trading was done on electronic platforms vs. 44% voice trading.
Cross rate is a foreign exchange market price made in two currencies not involving the US dollar.
Triangular
Arbitrage
Cost of trading
Cost of trading
via USD or some
cross rate
other currency
Banks will quote for cross rates in the major currencies. For minor and exotic currencies, the transaction
will be done via the USD.
Every FX quote could potentially be a direct one or an indirect one at the same time, depending on your
perspective.
• When you get a value of X units of the • When you get a value of X units of your
quote currency for one unit of your base base currency for one unit of the quote
currency. currency (i.e. 1/direct quote).
• Base currency sits on the left-hand side • Base currency sits on the right-hand
of the pair. side of the pair.
An indirect quotation expresses the amount of base currency needed to buy a unit of the ONE UNIT of
the quote currency. To calculate the cross rate from two indirect quotations, the two exchange rates
must be cross divided.
Since the bank is on the other side of the price: Spot: CHF/JPY 112.45–112.51
A direct quotation expresses the amount of quote currency needed to buy a unit of the ONE UNIT of the
base currency. To calculate the cross rate from two direct quotations, the two exchange rates must be
cross divided.
Since the bank is on the other side of the price: Spot: GBP/AUD 1.9411–1.9417
To calculate the cross rate using an indirect quote and a direct quote, the same side of each exchange rate
must be multiplied.
Client can buy CHF and sell GBP at: GBP/USD (bid) x USD/CHF (bid) = 1.2990 x 0.9654 = 1.2541
Client can sell CHF and buy GBP at: GBP/USD (offer) x USD/CHF (offer) = 1.2991 x 0.9658 = 1.2547
Since the bank is on the other side of the price: Spot: GBP/CHF 1.2541–1.2547
Spot
30%
FX Swaps
29%
Forwards
15%
A U.S. construction company Buildco signed a JPY 500 million contract to buy elevators from Liftco, a
Japanese company. The contract will be paid in a year’s time. The USD/JPY spot rate is 110.00.
iUSD = 1.50%
USD $4.55MM $4.62MM
Forward price is the relationship between exchange rates and interest rates.
1 + i𝒒𝒒 ⋅ t
F=S
1 + i𝒃𝒃 ⋅ t
Where:
F = Forward rate
S = Spot rate
iUSD = 1.50%
USD $4.54MM $4.61MM
1 + 0.001⋅ 1
USD/JPY Spot USD/JPY Forward F = 110.00
= 110.00 =?
1 + 0.015⋅ 1
= 108.48
Forward differentials, or forward points, is the difference between the spot rate and the forward rate.
=
=
=
Forward rates 1.3033-1.3038 Forward rates 1.3011-1.3014
5 pips 3 pips
A client needs to sell forward USD $100 million for British pound sterling on January 3, 2021.
Forward Value Date January 3, 2021 275 6-Month Forward Points 32.5-34.5
A client needs to sell forward USD $100 million for British pound sterling on January 3, 2021.
An FX swap is an agreement to simultaneously sell one currency for another currency at an initial date, and
then swap these amounts at a later date.
Date 1 Date 2
Spot Forward
USD
EUR
USD
EUR
Rate Rate
Works when both
counterparties need the
Company B Company B
currency that the other owns
A UK client has a forward contract in place to hedge an overseas US supplier payment of USD $10 million.
However, the payment has been delayed by six months.
UK Client
GBP
USD
Swap Dealer
Six Months
GBP
USD
Six Months
GBP
USD
GBP
USD
Swap Dealer Swap Dealer Swap Dealer
30 Forward
Points
USD $10MM
@ 1.3030
GBP
USD
Swap Dealer
USD $10MM
@ 1.3000
Interest lost:
Rates GBP (000s) Interest rate Interest earned
Forwards Swaps
• Physically settled OTC • Same as FX forwards BUT
derivative contracts
• Reverse exchange (swap) of
• Involve the exchange of two the two currencies at a later
different currencies on a date
specific future date
• The future FX rate also agreed
• Fixed rate for the exchange upon on the trade date of the
agreed upon on the trade contract
date of the contract
B B B
S: FX Spot Rate
• Two parties exchange principal in two different currencies at the FX spot rate.
• Each party uses the repayment obligation of its counterparty as collateral and pays interest on the
currency they are borrowing while receiving interest on the currency they are lending.
• Interest rates can be fixed, floating, or one party pays floating while the other pays fixed.
Currency X Currency Y
Fixed Fixed
Cross-Currency
Fixed Floating
Interest Rate Swaps
Floating Fixed
Basis Swap (or
Floating Floating Differential Swap)
LIBOR is the banks’ borrowing costs from each other over that same term in a particular currency.
1.8% -0.4%
Basis
If, due to a dollar shortage, the counterparty quotes:
-50bps
Company A wishes to raise Euros to fund an expansion into Europe. The company is well-known in the US
debt markets but less well-known overseas.
• Strategy: raise finance in USD and swap into EUR to reduce funding costs
• Finance required: EUR 100MM, spot EUR/USD FX rate is 1.10
USD $110MM
EUR £100MM
USD $110MM
Bond Company A Swap Dealer
USD 2%
EUR 4%
USD 2%
Bond Swap
Receive USD $110MM Pay USD $110MM Receive EUR £100MM
Carry trades are a strategy where one borrows in a currency with lower interest rates and converts this
amount into another currency with higher rates of return and deploying it there, often with leverage.
Involves currency pairs that Invest the higher-yielding The funding currency cannot
have a large interest rate currency, making the strengthen vs. the carry
differential and borrowing, difference between their currency, otherwise the
then selling the lower- funding cost and the investors might not realize
yielding currency (funding investment returns their expected profit.
currency)
Japan Australia
01 02 Deposit in AUD
03If the exchange rate
04 If FX rate moves
Borrow JPY ¥750MM
$10MM becomes AUD remains at 75, the against JPY (JPY
and convert to AUD
$10.5MM, while loan profit is JPY weakens against
$10MM to invest in a
for JPY ¥750MM ¥33.75MM or AUD AUD), profit increases
1-year AUD deposit.
becomes JPY $450,000. and vice versa.
753.75MM.
An option contract is an OTC derivative which gives one party the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell
an underlying asset at a specific price by or at a specific date.
If the party that has the right to buy or sell chooses to exercise their option, the counterparty to the
contract must deliver. The two basic options include:
Call Option
Options can be bought and sold (i.e., you can buy or sell a call option, also known as being long or
short a call option).
The money you receive for selling an option or pay for buying an option is call the ”premium”.
Moneyness refers to whether an option has intrinsic value by comparing the strike and spot prices.
Profit/Loss
K Spot Price K Spot Price
Option Premium
(OpPrem)
Here we can see the profit/loss diagrams for a long position and short position on a call option:
$55
Profit/Loss
Profit/Loss
Here we can see the profit/loss diagrams for a long position and short position on a put option:
Profit/Loss
Profit/Loss
Profit = $5 - $1 = $4 $1
K
Traders rely on models to determine the FX option premiums. There are only a few variables that determine
these premiums and each of these variables have Greeks associated with them that measures the rate of
change of the premium for each unit move of the variable.
The change of the option price with respect to the price of the underlying
δ Delta asset.
Call option: between 0 and 1 Put option: between -1 and 0
The change of an option’s delta with respect to the price of the underlying
γ Gamma
asset (second order partial derivative).
ν
The change of the value of the option with respect to the volatility of the
Vega
underlying asset.
θ Theta
The change of the value of the option with respect to the passage of time with
all else remaining the same (time decay).
A UK client has a payment to make to one of its US suppliers in three months’ time. There is some uncertainty
about the size of this payment. We know that the payment will be at least USD $50MM but up to USD $66.25MM.
Obligation:
USD $50MM –
$66.25MM
Today 3 Months
GBP/USD 3-Month GBP/USD
Spot Rate: 1.3000 Forward Points: Forward Rate:1.3030
30 pips
FX Forward
Obligation in 3 USD $50MM
Months
USD $50MM –
$66.25MM FX Options
USD $16.25MM
FX Options
Scenario 1 Scenario 2
If GBP strengthens to GBP/USD of 1.40: If GBP weakens to GBP/USD of 1.20:
Scenario 3 Scenario 4
If they didn’t hedge, the cost would be: If they use FX forward instead of options:
Non-deliverable forwards are used in emerging markets where markets are illiquid or inaccessible to
foreigners. NDFs differ from conventional FX markets, as no settlement occurs in the local currency.
NDF Terminology
Notional Amount Face value of the NDF in the non-deliverable currency, though this
amount will not be exchanged.
Fixing Date The date where the NDF rate will be compared with the spot rate.
Contracted NDF Rate The forward FX rate agreed upon on the transaction date.
Fixing Spot Rate The spot rate used on the fixing date.
02
= USD $1,418,439 = USD $1,398,601
Since CNY is non-convertible, Company A enters
an NDF, which guarantees a USD/CNY FX rate of FX spot rate moved in FX spot rate moved
7.10 in 1 year. Company A’s favor. against Company A.
Special drawing rights (SDRs) are a supplementary international reserve asset created by the
International Monetary Fund (“IMF”). SDRs serve as a unit of account for the IMF.
A currency
Not a currency that central
or a claim banks and
against the other
IMF government
agencies hold
Technical analysis (“technicals” or “TA”) is defined as the study of historical price movements, primarily
using charts, for the purpose of forecasting future price trends.
Each currency has their own fundamental drivers and may change over time and the business cycle.
Themes may also come in and fade out of the forefront or can remain persistent.