Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Tom May
30 August 2007
MA in Comparative Education
(MMACOM_99 Dissertation)
Institute of Education
University of London
Words:
Abstract
The challenge of the European Union’s Lisbon goal for 2010: ‘to become the
most competitive and dynamic knowledge-based economy in the world, capable
of sustainable economic growth with more and better jobs and greater social
Cohesion’, is to increase economic competitiveness while implementing social
values, so that all may benefit from the prosperity that competitiveness should
bring. Increasing costs of providing social protection and declining labour-force
populations, in the face of global competition, make reaching this balance harder.
This dissertation considers the factors that influence both competitiveness and
social cohesion and the relating theories and seeks evidence of changing policy
emphases.
This is mainly done through critical textual analysis of the main policy
documents at European level from 2000 to 2007. One theme within the
dissertation is on the social model. National reports and Eurostat Structural
Indicators are used as evidence that there are different European social models
which achieve differing emphases between competitiveness and cohesion. As a
third strand of information, and to allow some limited triangulation between
sources, three semi-structured interviews have been conducted to gain the
personal perspectives of professional policymakers/ researchers.
The analysis finds that there has been a definite shift in emphasis towards
competitiveness. However this shift is conceptually blurred. This blurring starts
because social inclusion and social cohesion are not clearly distinguished
between each other within the policy literature and greater levels of social
inclusion are assumed to lead to greater levels of social cohesion. The main
method of increasing inclusion is through increasing employability. Increased
employment leads to both increased levels of competitiveness and social
inclusion. There is an emphasis on lifelong learning to achieve both within the
context of an ageing population. While competitiveness and social cohesion are
regarded as mutually supporting, economic growth is seen as a precondition for
greater social cohesion therefore there is a greater emphasis on the former.
Contents
European Union Abbreviations and Member States Country Codes..............5
SECTION 1: background....................................................................................6
Introduction........................................................................................................6
Approach and methodology................................................................................6
Research questions.........................................................................................7
Methodology...................................................................................................8
Definitions and concepts....................................................................................9
Europe...........................................................................................................10
Globalization.................................................................................................11
Competitiveness............................................................................................15
The knowledge economy and knowledge society........................................16
Social Cohesion............................................................................................17
The European Social Model.........................................................................19
Modernising the European Social Model: The European Social Agenda....22
Flexicurity.....................................................................................................23
Drivers and theories..........................................................................................24
Globalization................................................................................................24
Social Capital theory....................................................................................26
Capability theory..........................................................................................29
Emergence theory.........................................................................................31
The Open Method of Coordination (OMC)..................................................32
Demographic change: ageing population and migration..............................34
The media and European public awareness of social cohesion....................41
Relationships between drivers, competitiveness, social cohesion and
education.......................................................................................................41
3
SECTION 4:........................................................................................................82
Limitations of the study....................................................................................82
Discussion/Analysis..........................................................................................83
Ambiguous terminology and blurred concepts.............................................83
The causal relations between social cohesion and competitiveness.............84
Importance of employment...........................................................................85
The emphasis on competitiveness and social cohesion at EU level.............85
The emphasis on competitiveness and social cohesion at Member State level
......................................................................................................................86
The influence of the Open Method of Coordination....................................87
The role of education and training in increasing competitiveness and social
cohesion........................................................................................................87
Conclusion:.......................................................................................................89
The future for the Lisbon Agenda?...............................................................90
Bibliography........................................................................................................91
4
European Union Abbreviations and Member States
Country Codes
Belgium BE
Bulgaria BG
Czech Republic CZ
Denmark DK
Germany DE
Estonia EE
Ireland IE
Greece EL
Spain ES
France FR
Italy IT
Cyprus CY
Latvia LV
Lithuania LT
Luxembourg LU
Hungary HU
Malta MT
Netherlands NL
Austria AT
Poland PL
Portugal PT
Romania RO
Slovenia SI
Slovakia SK
Finland FI
Sweden SE
United Kingdom UK
Introduction
Of all European policy, the Conclusions of the 2000 European Spring Council in
Lisbon is the most ambitious and probably the most quoted, ‘to become the most
sustainable economic growth with more and better jobs and greater social
Cohesion’ (European Council. 2000, article five) by 2010. This, the Lisbon goal,
implementing social values, so that all may benefit from the prosperity that
face of global competition, make reaching this balance harder. This dissertation
considers the factors that influence both competitiveness and social cohesion. It
looks for evidence of changing policy emphases on the two and how they are
Michael Crossley has observed that comparative research has tended to focus on
While this dissertation is about policy, it tries to draw from theory in order to
help provide the necessary context within with the policy operates. An initial
survey of the main and recent policy documents suggests that the emphasis is
economic rather than social. However, this dissertation seeks to confirm if this
view passes more detailed scrutiny. Patricia Broadfoot notes that, ‘…comparative
(Broadfoot, P. 2001. p. 101). The principle research method used here is a critical
textual analysis of the main policy documents. This is similar to the approach
2001.). This topic is subject to similar conceptual and linguistic problems, though
these have been reduced by concentrating at the European level. While this is
Critical Realism: that our knowledge (model) of reality is imperfect and, while
we can update that model, its application changes the nature of reality and so the
model remains flawed (see for example, the Web Site for Critical Realism. 2007.
knowledge.
Research questions
In approaching and answering the title of this dissertation, this leads to a number
of questions:
How do they sit within the context of the EU, what drivers act on them
7
o How has this changed at European level?
Are there European models on the relations between the two and how do
cohesion?
Methodology
of literature from academic and policy sources is used to set out the definitions
and conceptualisations of the related terms. These look at how terms are defined
and conceptualised generally, at European Union level and for this dissertation.
The drivers on the Lisbon Agenda, competitiveness and social cohesion and the
Having set out the context, the main European policy documents are considered
out through a discourse analysis, principally because the scope and volume of the
documents considered is too great to carry out within the size of this dissertation.
Two other sources of information are considered much more briefly. Though
short they provide a limited means to triangulate the conclusions drawn from the
previous section. They also give an insight into how the policy emphasis within
the Lisbon Agenda compares at the level below the EU level. The first source
8
considers the information that can be drawn from the European Union Structural
grouped in terms of social models. The second draws from the personal
perspectives of three individuals who have been involved over the duration of the
Lisbon Agenda.
personal perspectives). It links these to the drivers discussed earlier and considers
the role of education and training. The conclusion covers also asks briefly what
Europe;
Competitiveness;
Social Cohesion;
The European Social Model – the balance between economic and social
values;
9
o Flexicurity.
Europe
Member States that comprise the European Union (EU). However, such an
There are also the: Candidate (Croatia, Turkey and the Former Yugoslav republic
Liechtenstein and Norway), who are neither in nor out of the EU and participate
within research and higher education. He found that EU membership versus non-
Since I am looking at progress towards the Lisbon goal, for the purpose of this
have grown from the EU15 in 2000 to the EU27 today, which means that the EU
education at the local level. For example, French-speaking Belgium and Wallonia
1
A list of all the countries in Europe and their status with the EU can be found on the Europa
website: http://europa.eu/abc/european_countries/index_en.htm . Last accessed 11 06 07.
10
complete separate national reports to the European Commission. Similarly, much
the regions in Spain. However, while acknowledging the limitations of the nation
state as equating to the national education system, it will remain the unit of
choice (Green, A. 1997.). It remains the easiest unit of comparison when looking
at European issues. It is also the nation state, rather than its regions, that has
signed up to the Lisbon Agenda and sits on the EU’s Council of Ministers.
Globalization
associated suite of secondary effects that makes it so pervasive. These include the
p. 690.). In 2007 he had added that this increasing interdependence isn’t just
also political and cultural dimensions’ (Giddens, A. 2007. p. xii). He cites two
space’, the second is the integration of the world economy – currently, often
11
The idea of globalization is not that new. Sceptics within the globalization debate
note that it is only the ‘intensity of interactions between nations’ (ibid. p. 58) that
differs from the flows and connections of the 19th Century. Perhaps this is why
corporations. Within the first he picks out two things, the political change
associated with the fall of the Berlin Wall and the increasing numbers and
this, cited by David Held et al (Held, D. et al.1999) and Anthony Giddens, is the
information flows, it is not their volume and speed across the world that Anthony
Giddens highlights but attitudinal changes towards a global outlook. This global
globalisation, Anthony Giddens states: ‘Even when TNCs have a clear national
base, they are orientated towards global markets and global profits’ (ibid. p. 57).
12
Sceptics of globalization suggest that what we are experiencing is regionalization
empirically flawed:
One can readily see how and why such an idea rose to the level of a
Zeitgeist. Yet as a causal process in its own right, ‘globalization’ had no
momentum of its own. In fact, if the conjunctural analysis developed in
this article is broadly correct, ‘globalization’ did not even exist.
(Rosenberg, J. 2005. p. 65)
He states that the ‘international system itself’ did undergo a major restructuring.
now to be passing away.’ (ibid. p. 4). He cites the problems that international
Criminal Court and the UN, EU and NATO in the launch of the invasion of Iraq)
interests’ (ibid. p. 3). He argues that, ‘An entire academic literature - the
literature of Globalization Theory - has arguably been left high and dry by this
turn of events’ (ibid. p. 4). He explains that the conceptual ‘folly’ started:
13
has become such a feature of today’s world – and it is that
This opposes the view of what Anthony Giddens calls the hyper-globalists who
describe a borderless world. This is based on the premise that nation states can no
longer control their own economies: they are constrained by the flows of capital
and information from below and by the controls imposed by supra national
organisations such as the World Trade Organisation and the European Union. The
‘the global order is becoming transformed, but many of the old patterns still
states are both influenced and influencers, rather than as a one way process of
influence.
important for this dissertation. For without that perception of globalization there
the Lisbon goal and no European Union (as we know it) within which the goal
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Competitiveness
As with many other terms in this dissertation “Competitiveness” does not have
an agreed definition, even within economic thinking, it has many aspects. This is
politics, value systems and of course education (Garrelli, S. 2006.). The World
economy”, where technology and knowledge replace labour and capital as the
key factors of production (ITAG. 1999.). The Economic and Social Research
Council (ESRC) notes that economic success is increasingly based upon the
15
effective utilization of intangible assets such as knowledge, skills and innovative
intensity of economic activities: both have been powered through the rate of
society” (Drucker, P. 1968). He predicted that, ‘The new economy may or may
not materialize, but there is no doubt that the next society will be with us shortly.’
(Drucker, P. 2001.). This society will be: borderless, because knowledge is even
more mobile than money; socio-economically mobile via “easily acquired formal
education”2; and, will be competitive, because anyone can acquire the means of
Andy Green et al. have defined the knowledge economy and knowledge society
by tying them to overall productive and social outcomes. These can be indicated
2
He states that this can only be acquired through formal education and not through
apprenticeship – though doesn’t justify why.
16
and therefore measured in some way through labour productivity, employment
rates, wage equality, skills distribution and socialization. (Green, A. et al. 2006.).
indication of the ‘…death of the Enlightenment as the prime motif for educating
moves from the state to the citizen, individuals’ freedom to exercise choice is
Social Cohesion
Social cohesion has gained in prominence at national and European policy levels
over the past decade. Yet it is an ambiguous concept. It draws from various
societal traits and relations and is a proxy for collective quality of life. Its
provided by Andy Green et al.: ‘To most people it probably signifies, at the
and high levels of civic co-operation and trust’ (Green, A. Preston, J. Janmaat, G.
J. 2006. p. 5.). Anthony Giddens uses the term “social justice”: the reduction of
economic and social inequalities and the equalising of life chances to produce a
17
more socially just society (Giddens, A. 2007. p. 72.). Robert Putnam’s work on
et al. conclude that this does not aggregate up to a societal level. Instead they
explain that a societal approach to social cohesion assumes that there must be not
only bonding and trust within communities or groups but also between them.
This must then connect to shared values and a sense of citizenship. Also it must
concern the distribution of resources and power, the means of conflict resolution
and the institutions, cultures and ideologies that influence these shared values
and citizenship (Green, A. et al. 2006.). Another important point that they make
is that social cohesion might be viewed as a process rather than an end state, as it
There is not a clear operational definition of social cohesion available from the
Website. 2007). While social cohesion forms half of the Lisbon goal and the term
version of the Eurojargon guide – the Europa glossary - does not include social
17.).
18
Andy Green at al. state that unlike social capital (covered in the following
changes in social cohesion can only be seen over much longer periods of time.
They explain that within the period they study and have data for (1960 - 1990)
might be, ‘thought to be insufficiently long’ (Green, A. et al. 2006. P55). If so,
social cohesion may not manifest itself in time, especially given the time lag
involved in data collection and analysis. The concept of social cohesion for the
The European Social Model ‘…is characterised by the indissoluble link between
among European States’ (Giddens, A. 2007. p. 1.). The European Economic and
Social Committee (EESC) has published an opinion paper on this subject: Social
Cohesion: fleshing out a European social model (EESC. 2006.). They explain the
model as a set of values and visions as well as a reality state that its strength
trust. Social policy is seen as a productive factor: within the model economic
19
and economic competitiveness must be in tension with each other, or whether
they are mutually beneficial. The EESC point towards the latter, citing the Nordic
countries.
competitiveness has been explored by Torben Iversen and David Soskice. They
use individual level and country level data to demonstrate that the nature of the
state social security helps to determine the form of the capitalism that operates
(and vice versa). Workers can earn income via skills that can be classed as
occupation or job). Workers with general skills will enjoy a greater probability of
gaining employment. Conversely, the risk of not finding a job is greater for
workers with specific skills. Therefore workers will choose to develop specific
skills over general skills if the levels of social protection (for unemployment,
early retirement etc) are sufficiently high enough to mitigate the risk of a longer
specific skills to compete will benefit from high levels of social protection.
associated costs of social protection and cannot benefit from the supply side
20
with “general skills” countries (Ireland, Britain, New Zealand, Australia, Canada,
USA). They state that, ‘What stands out from this comparison is that all the
specific skills countries have notably higher levels of protection than any of the
This leads to the observation that there must be more than one ESM. Anthony
Giddens states that there are many European Social Models and while some fare
better than others they are all mutually supportive (Giddens, A. 2007. P. xxi).
Andy Green et al. identify three: Anglo-saxon, Germanic and Nordic (Green, A.
2007 P16). There is very little in the literature on the nature of the ESM within
the newer Member States. A European think-tank essay points to an Eastern and
Central European Social Model, based on the observations that flat rate income
tax systems have been introduced and high levels of social protection are
The alternative argument is that the ESM does not exist because there is too
much variety between the Member States to allow for a significant level of
similarity. The EESC reject this by stating that the between-group differences (ie
between the EU and other advanced capitalist countries) are greater than the
within-group differences (between member states). They also say that the
Member States are more integrated, than other groups of countries. They also cite
“social acquis”3 is an artefact. The EESC have identified a set of core elements to
3
A collection of directives in subjects such as individual employment conditions, parental leave,
working time etc.
21
State responsibility for the promotion of social cohesion, including high
wealth;
collective agreements;
(EESC. 2006.)
The achievements of the ESM include a path taken away from ‘belligerent
nationalism’ and the observation that European countries top the world rankings
The European Social Agenda is an acknowledgement that, in its current form, the
ESM is failing, too many remain unemployed and in poverty. National social
Demographic changes are changing the structure of the labour pool while
22
The Agenda states that a key challenge is to change emphasis from reducing
exclusion, and partly because increased employment reduces costs to the state
Flexicurity
This is the balance between flexible labour markets and a high level of
employment and income security thus maintaining both competitiveness and the
ESM (Directorate General Employment & Social Affairs. 2007.). Flexicurity has
four components:
Effective active labour market policies – to help people cope with labour
combine work and personal commitments (ie child care), it also aims to
23
Drivers and theories
Having defined and conceptualised the terms within the title, this section
considers the drivers and their effects on social cohesion and competitiveness.
of: social capital; capability; and, emergence. The second driver considered is the
EU’s policy coordination and monitoring tool, the Open Method of Coordination
and migration, are discussed. The influence of the media as a driver on the
Globalization
academic to policy. Though some have argued that its influence has been
overstated, it still has had a significant effect upon the emphasis on national
education and training as their influence and autonomy has diminished in other
policy areas, (Green, A. 1997.). Education and training is perhaps the one area of
policy where national governments are the most dominant and have the most
control.
This example raises the question of whether the power of the state has been
24
nation states. It seems to be logically more likely that the state lies between, the
national and the international, and mediates influence from one area to the other;
it both shapes globalization and is shaped by it (Clark, I. 1998.). The idea that
processes and actors are simultaneously influencing and being subject to the
influences of each other is a theme that runs through this dissertation. It also
asserts that globalization, ‘is without doubt a powerful motor of prosperity and
range of macro economic and structural policies’ as well as open markets are
laundering, counterfeiting and piracy, and human trafficking (ibid). However, the
dark side of globalization appears to the OECD to be very different (at least in
this example) to the dark side of globalisation highlighted by Antonia Juhasz who
Globalization emphasizes the need for social cohesion. This is because common
experiences, common culture etc that made high levels of social cohesion more
25
likely are reduced by increased global flows of information and people. One
travel greater distances each day than we used to – we spread ourselves further.
However, time remains fixed therefore we spread ourselves more thinly in terms
of time and attention devoted to each person we interact with. (There is also a
strongly positive correlation with electronic mobility whose growth rate is much
apartheid” between those who have cars and those who don’t and struggle in a
car-orientated world. The increasing gap between the haves and have-nots are
manifested in increasing levels of crime and even higher levels of fear of crime.
heterogeneous. ‘How our societies should react to their new-found cultural and
today. (Giddens, A. 2007. p. 100). This contrasts with Andy Green’s observation
out that while similar products and services can be found worldwide, this mixing
happens at only a superficial level. Global items are taken under more local
ownership and are adapted to meet the local context (Green, A. 1997).
Mentioned earlier under social cohesion, social capital can be divided into three
26
globalization, there isn’t a universally agreed definition. It refers to the
institutions, relationships, and norms that shape the quality and quantity of a
society's social interactions (World Bank 2002.). While individuals may be able
to gain tangible benefits, social capital itself is intangible and cannot be held by
between actors and among actors. It is not lodged either in the actors themselves
Trust is an integral aspect of social capital. Robert Putman proposes: “thick trust”
- between members of a social network who know each other well; and, “thin
Giddens’ concept of “Active trust” and “Passive trust” (which he links to “Social
Solidarity”). The first has to be earned, involves two-way negotiation and must
status (Giddens, A. 2007). Social capital is also classified by Robert Putnam into:
getting by”);
hierarchy.
27
Social bonding is positively regarded, although Alejandro Portes points out that it
can ‘…restrict individual freedoms and bar outsiders from gaining access to [the
same] resources…’ (Portes, A. 1998. p. 22). It is interesting to see that the World
Bank claims Social Capital is equally important for economic and political well
being4:
But how is Social Capital related to competitiveness and social cohesion? The
that greater accumulation and better use of social capital will give a competitive
states that in his ‘…view abundant social capital of the right sort can best be seen
as an intermediate policy target’ to social cohesion (ibid. p. 3). He also states that
the contribution of education in increasing social capital and social cohesion is,
‘the single most important and effective policy lever’ that any government can
Robert Putnam’s work on social cohesion has gained the attention of policy
4
It should also be said that (to fairly represent the World Bank’s position) that it recognises
Social Capital as neutral – it can exert both economically and socially positive and negative
effects (cooperatives versus cartels).
28
Commission. 2005). However, Andy Green et al. note that Social Capital theory
has little to say about how whole societies operate (Green, A. et al. 2006. p. 4).
and social cohesion at the macro-societal level are missing. Working from
individual outcomes (ibid. p. 20) (see emergence theory below). They find strong
income equality and social cohesion. However, ‘average levels of skills show no
Capability theory
While Social Capital refers to the opportunities available through social bonds
(Walker, M. 2006)
The sum of someone’s capabilities forms their capability set, which is that
which Sen calls agency, this is, ‘one’s ability to pursue goals that one values and
that are important for the life an individual wishes to lead’ (Walker, M. 2006. p.
29
3). Therefore, people are valued through the extent to which they are able to
achieve their goals, rather through their financial wealth. Similarly, resources are
not valued intrinsically but for of the opportunities they create (Saito, M. 2003.).
Education, while not directly addressed by Sen, clearly cannot be separated from
own right and a combination of constituent capabilities. Rather than being very
dictatorial, education must be delivered in a way that makes people able to act
capabilities requires capability and functioning in that person as a child, for that
begins with the very young child…’ (Walker, M. 2006. p. 165). ‘In short,
within the Knowledge Economy. Within the network labour market a minimum
enough self-reliance to cope with change. This involves taking advantage of the
2007. p. 99).
30
Emergence theory
It is worth briefly introducing emergence theory as its core informs some of the
other theories and concepts. The basis of this theory is that properties or
behaviours that occur in systems at higher levels cannot be predicted from the
It has been adopted in various academic fields and while it has been recently
popularised (Johnson, S. 2002) its roots are not new. A sociology journal article
argues that Durkheim was an emergent theorist. While he did not use the term
“emergence” the phrase “sui generis” conveys the same meaning and the
constructs that he proposed, such as “social facts”, are emergent phenomena. For
example, in his Rules of Sociological Method, he states that society is not a mere
sum of individuals, yet he also maintains that social things are actualized only
Sawyer argues that the idea of emergence or sui generis – individual actions
result in the independent existence of a social level of analysis - has been picked
The idea that new things will be identified at higher levels that are not apparent
31
emphasises the need to compare between units of education at difference scales/
With the declaration of the Lisbon goal, European governance shifted from
Council. 2000. article 37) The OMC has been used to coordinate Education &
Training since the 2000 Lisbon Spring Council. It consists of four stages:
1. Identifying priorities;
2. Benchmarking;
4. Policy/peer learning.
closely as possible to the citizen. In other words, the Union does not take action
effective than action taken at national, regional or local level (Europa Glossary.
2007).
32
As a soft means of coordination, the OMC cannot be used to force Member
States into specific action, however it does exert a similar force to that of
Thus, while the OMC does not, at least in broad principle, break subsidiarity it
exerts a strong pressure on national policy makers. Antonio Novoa asserts that,
‘In fact, one needs to look at “benchmarking” not as technique or method, but as
Stijn Smismans has argued (regarding employment policy) that the OMC could
is decentred and not dominated by any single policy objective. The OMC does
not define the level of power most appropriate for decision making and therefore
does not priviledge lower decision-making levels: decision making has remained
In contrast, Roger Dale appears to take a more neutral line. While he concludes
that the process of governing is no longer the exclusive preserve of the state he
33
The relationship of subsidiarity and European governance is paradoxical, the EU
reiterates the importance of national decision making and recognizes the need for
2003).
It may be that the OMC has so far received slightly negative judgments because
the focus has been on the benchmarking stage - Anthony Giddens, for example,
P15). This in turn can be used to “name and shame” Member States whose
progress has been poor. This forms the “stick” part of the OMC which can then
rather devise their own. Conversely, the latter two stages of the OMC, identifying
good practice and peer learning, which might form the “carrot” part of the OMC
has been slow in starting and thus, at least until recently, has not enjoyed the
same emphasis as the first two stages. Tom Leney et al note that the move from
the first two stages to the latter two, ‘seems predictably to be a difficult
Demographic change is a major issue for Europe and this is emphasized by the
fact that in 2006 and 2007 the Commission announced biennial European reports
34
fertility; and, migration. Current projections to 2050 predict that the total
Fertilty: women are having fewer children and they are having them at a
later age;
Fertility
The estimated fertility rate required to maintain a static population is 2.1 births
per woman. The European Commission categorizes the Member States’ total
fertility rates (TFRs) as either moderately low (1.6 – 1.9 births per woman) or
low (1.5 births or less). This averaged in 2005 to 1.5 for the EU25 (and 1.29 for
Romania and Bulgaria). It is interesting to note that the EU10 had, in 2005, an
even lower TFR of 1.25. This demonstrates that an ageing European population
2007. Table 2.1.). However, while average fertility rates are below the population
replacement level, the increase in the other two factors (mortality and migration)
mean that the fertility rate would have to be even lower to cause population
decline. Also, the trend and therefore impact of fertility rates is not as clear as
The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is based on age specific rates in a particular year.
women have children at a later age the TFR will initially decrease – the tempo
35
effect. The TFR will then increase when these children are then born – the
quantum effect. The tempo effect is evidenced by the observation that since the
1970s the fertility rates of women aged 30 or younger have declined while since
the 1980s the fertility rates of women aged over 30 have increased. There are
indications that the declining TFR is not just through the tempo effect. In most
incidence of women in their 30s and 40s who do not have children (ibid. p. 20.).
There are various hypotheses as to why women are having fewer children and at
a later age. These will not be covered here except to note that there is a drive to
market.
Mortality
While fertility has reduced, mortality rates have decreased and so life expectancy
has increased. In 1969/64 life expectancy for men in the EU-25 countries was
67.3, for women this was 73.0. This increased in 2004 to 75.6 for men and for
81.8 women. and is projected in 2050 to be 81.8 for men and 86.9 for women. To
put this into context, at present a man of 60 still has 20% of his total lifespan and
a woman of 60 still has 25% of hers. The trend of increasing life span continues,
since 1980 there has been an annual increase of nearly two and a half months of
life expectancy at birth in the EU-25. This increase is mostly due to declining
mortality at higher ages, though there has also been a significant decline in
36
Migration
In 2005 the United Nations estimated there to be about 40 million migrants in the
EU27, out of a total population of about 728 million (ibid. p. 28.). Social and
labour market integration are the main factors that govern the impact of
skills they possess, this means that donor countries lose high-skilled workers
while EU countries fail to make use of these skills that could increase
productivity. Migrants also have lower employment rates than native workers.
(ibid. p. 109). With regards to social cohesion it is worth noting that these lower
Portugal, Finland and Sweden did more than 50% of the respondents feel that
One way to consider the impact of these three drivers is to consider one dominant
group of the population. This group is a large cohort that forms a “bulge” within
the population structure known as the baby boomers. The Commission defines
the baby boomers as those born between 1945 and 1965 (ibid. p. 32.). As this
group reaches retirement age it will cause the working age population (15 to 64)
37
four (people of working age) to one (person aged 65 or over). However, after
2010 the effect of the baby boomers retiring will cause the working age
population to decrease annually by one million. The median age in the EU will
also increase by ten years from 39 in 2004 to 49 in 2050. This ageing population
will change the old-age dependency rate to two to one. In short, the baby
boomers will change from being net contributors (ie an asset) to the social
protection systems to being net receivers from social protection systems (ie a
burden). This effect will be so large that increased migration cannot prevent
population ageing; though it can help in reducing labour market bottlenecks. The
constitute a major challenge for public finances and social cohesion’ (ibid. p.
61.).
After 2010 the European population is also projected to decline from 331 million
to 268 million in 2050. This has important implications for the achievement of
the Lisbon goal because while the EU will remain the region with the third
biggest population (after China and India), it is the only one whose total
population is predicted to decline in the next four decades (ibid. 2007. p. 44). The
baby boomer retirement should reduce the employment rate. However, this is
expected to increase from 63% in 2004 to 70% in 2020 (ibid. p. 49.). This is due
2025) and employment rates for older workers (from 40% in 2004 to 59% in
2025).
38
To meet the challenges of demographic change the EU needs to increase the
labour market pool. Since most of the future members of this pool are already
here, much of this increase must come from higher levels of female (and older
participation in the labour market and higher rates of fertility, flexible and
attractive child care and family-friendly measures are vital. Another issue that
reduces the attractiveness of employment for women is the gender gap in pay. In
2004 the difference across the EU equated to 15% lower gross hourly earnings
compared to men (though this ranged from 4% in Malta to 25% in Cyprus) (ibid.
p. 83). Anthony Giddens cites the promotion of family friendly policies as being
crucial for the adaption to change and part of the reason that the Nordic countries
have been as successful as they have. He also asserts that family friendly policies
time work engenders much of the status and privileges of full time work. Women
he says, ‘emerge as the lynch pin of any new equilibrium between households
and the economy. The knowledge/ service economy has the household as its hub’
As they are the dominant population group, increasing the employment rates of
older workers is perhaps even more important. Recently, older workers have
accounted for three-quarters of all employment growth. This has come about
through making remaining in work more attractive, including pension reform and
39
While increasing employment is regarded as a means of increasing social
declines with age and that older workers are less likely to engage with innovation
attribute, hence stocks of human and social capital are more important than
individuals’ ages per se. Educational attainment is another important factor which
(European Commission. 2007. p. 55.). In fact the same source states that,
question is how to adapt education and lifelong learning policies in the context of
the ageing society.’ (ibid. p. 59). Yet, Tom Leney at al. conclude that:
notes that young labour forces tend to have high job turnover, something that an
older workforce need not have. Therefore, industrial restructuring and matching
of labour to jobs are likely to be more important than the age profile of the labour
force for productivity. At the other end of the age scale, Tom Leney et al. point
out that for many young people the transition from education and initial training
into the labour market is difficult. This is evidenced by the fact that youth
unemployment has been more than double that of those aged over 25.
40
The media and European public awareness of social cohesion
This fourth driver will be introduced rather than considered as fully as the others,
but it is worth mentioning as it directly highlights the human costs when social
cohesion disintegrates. There have been, since 2000, graphic examples of the
break down of social cohesion. These grab the attention of citizens and the
concerns of their politicians who are obliged to do what they can to rectify the
politician Pim Fortuyn (May 2002) and the film maker Theo van Gogh
(November 2004);
The July 7th suicide bombings in London carried out by British Citizens
education.
The preceding pages show that education and training has a key role in
41
Globalization and migration can lead to greater societal heterogeneity within
All of the drivers and the subjects (competitiveness, social cohesion and
education) are dynamic and interlinked. An OECD published brief states that
countries that invest heavily in education and skills benefit most in both
economic and social terms (Schleicher, A. 2006.). Education plays a vital role in
preventing poverty but as Anthony Giddens states, ‘it does not automatically act
to equalise life chances’ (Giddens, Anthony. 2007. p. 78). Also the population in
poverty changes, therefore those who are at risk of poverty need to be targeted in
benefit from, rather than loose out to, is increasingly important (ibid. P84.).
increase social cohesion isn’t quite so clear. Andy Green et al. state that while the
…what matters most however, and what best explains the variations
countries in how education impacts on society, is how education and
skills are distributed and the values that children and adults learn in
education.
(Green, A. et al. 2006. p. 4)
through socialization. They state that, ‘those who are at the top of the
the bottom are increasingly disaffected and marginalized’ (ibid. p. 57). Secondly,
42
income. This means countries that have education systems that produce more
qualifications and skills - are more likely to have a more equal distribution of
income. It is this that will promote greater social cohesion at a societal level.
Conversely, while higher levels of migration would logically lead to lower levels
whatever the level of development, is not clearly supported by the data (ibid. p.
100).
43
SECTION 2: the policy literature
This section scrutinises the Lisbon policy literature to compare the emphasis on
social cohesion and competitiveness. It considers the links made to, and
expectations placed on, education and training. This section is organised into
three chronological parts: the launch and initial period (2000 - 2003); the point at
which Lisbon stalls (2004) including the Mid-term review; and, the latest period
- 2004 to 2007. References to the full titles of documents are italicised in order to
The “launch” document for the Lisbon goal is the Presidency Conclusions from
the Lisbon European Council 23 and 24 March 2000 (European Council. 2000),
Council. 2000. p. 2). It is notable that the term “social cohesion” is used
generally or to refer to the overall goal. Details on the relationships between the
social aspects use the terms “inclusion” or “exclusion”. The three terms are not
inclusion). Within these two paragraphs the role of employment is spelt out, ‘the
best safeguard against social exclusion is a job’(ibid. p. 10. Paragraph 32). The
Social Policy Agenda states that nearly two thirds of those unemployed are at
risk of poverty (European Commission. 2000. p. 12). This means that social
mentioned earlier in this dissertation, the Social Policy Agenda sees social policy
Commission. 2000. p. 6). This needs to happen because the labour force must be
central to the economic policy agenda by the Amsterdam Treaty (Euopean Union.
social inclusion.
Within this context, the 2000 Spring Presidency Conclusions firmly link the role
‘Europe’s education and training systems need to adapt both to the demands of
the knowledge society and to the need for an improved level and quality of
education and training will improve cohesion by improving the skills of the
labour force, which will lead to greater employment and therefore inclusion. The
45
assumption being that inclusion leads to cohesion – though how this works is not
higher priority, ‘as a basic component of the European Social Model’ (ibid. p. 9.
argues that lifelong learning should equally promote active citizenship and
employability, goes further stating that, ‘it [lifelong learning] must become the
guiding principle [their emphasis] for provision and participation across the full
notes that, ‘a noticeable shift towards more integrated policies that combine
social and cultural objectives with the economic rationale for lifelong learning is
taking place’ (ibid. p. 9), though the social side of what it discusses concerns
2001
the report from the Education Council to the European Council (European
rhetoric which concerns employability and social inclusion rather than social
cohesion. Even though it aims to, ‘reach out to everyone in society’ this is to be
done ‘with ways of developing their skills and making best use of them’
(European Commission. 2001. p. 15. Paragraph 36). This report states, albeit
briefly, that as well as reaching out to all individuals, the content must be adapted
46
to the requirements of different groups and that, ‘the picture of society which it
society itself would wish’ (ibid. p. 8. Paragraph 17). The emphasis however,
“rising tide” approach to the provision of skills - providing more and better
social inclusion action programme and sets out a list of Structural Indicators. The
lifelong learning which are vital for employability and therefore inclusion.
47
The 2001 Draft Detailed Work Programme for the follow-up of the Report on the
Concrete Objectives of Education and Training Systems sets out the objectives,
Lisbon Agenda. In section 41 it raises the issue of equity within education and
(European Commission. 2001b. p. 12) Within the final version of the work
Council. 2002. P13). This work programme became known as the Education &
Training 2010 Programme; the objectives are listed in the table below. Though
only objective 2.3 explicitly mentions social cohesion, the rest cannot be easily
48
3.5 Strengthening the European co-operation
Source: European Council. 2002.
2002
Barcelona (European Commission. 2002), like the previous one, has a focus on
raises three priority areas: employment policies and active labour market
concrete measures have been agreed to fight poverty, discrimination and social
between education, competitiveness and cohesion are also spelt out with the
communication:
covers the social aspects and only one (inequality of income distribution) details
49
equity of distribution, none cover equity of the distribution of educational
outcomes. (which as noted in section 1, Andy Green at al. described as the main
way in which education effects national levels of social cohesion). The 2002
protect against social exclusion, it also affirms that, ‘The European social model
education and social dialogue.’ And that. ‘The Lisbon goals can only be
Also published in 2002 was the first Joint report on social inclusion, it identified,
in the national action plans against poverty and social exclusion, a number of risk
factors for poverty and social exclusion. Education and training clearly has a role
in reducing some of the risk factors shown in the table below, through raising
50
2003
previous years. It notes that a lack of data hampers the monitoring of progress for
the social cohesion aspects (something mentioned in the previous year). This
suggests that if there is little to benchmark - use of the OMC here must be
limited. The 2003 Spring Council Presidency Conclusions note that many
structural things have been achieved (such as agreeing a Community patent) but
much remains. They state that, ‘We reaffirm our strong personal commitment to
the timely and effective delivery of reforms across the three pillars of the Lisbon
growth and the creation of more and better jobs must remain firmly at the top of
before enlargement on 1st May 2004, marks the formation of a watershed within
the Lisbon Agenda. It confirms that progress is not being made quickly enough.
This includes: employment and productivity rates; reform of the internal markets
51
The March 2004 Presidency Conclusions agree with the Commission
policy into concrete measures, state that, ‘The most important policy issues that
2004. p. 4). While it declares that ‘Social cohesion is central’ this is not until
The Joint interim report of the Council and the Commission on the
process and that it needs time for reforms to take effect (a point raised in the
previous section). Even so, it states that the available information leads to the
conclusion that the pace of reform must be accelerated for the objectives in
The report raises three priority areas. The first is for higher levels of investment
(both public and private – which is much lower compared to the United States).
resources and involves mainly higher education and adult education/ Vocational
Education Training (VET). It states that higher education is, ‘at the crossroads of
research, education and innovation’ (ibid. p. 12) and is therefore integral to the
market whose demands for skills can quickly evolve. Complementing this is the
52
development of principles for the validation of non-formal and informal
certificates across Europe, which is, ‘essential for the development of a European
labour market and European citizenship’ (ibid. p. 5). The validation of non-
formal and informal learning and the third priority are important for both an
The logical causal relationship is also restated within the report, namely that:
The message here is clear, the social aims of Lisbon are important but cannot be
achieved in order to afford the means of achieving greater social cohesion (or
inclusion).
In November 2004 the independent, Mid-term review was published by the High
Level Group chaired by the former Prime Minister of the Netherlands Wim Kok
– known as the “Kok” report (High Level Group. 2004). The Kok report offers a
53
blunt assessment of progress, while acknowledging the global events and trends
have not helped, it states that the European Union and Member States have failed
to act with, ‘sufficient urgency’ (ibid. p. 6). This is due to, ‘an overloaded
determined political action’ (ibid. p. 6). Though they agree that the direction of
The problem is, however, that the Lisbon strategy has become too broad
to be understood as an interconnected narrative. Lisbon is about
everything and thus about nothing. Everybody is responsible and thus no
one. The end result of the strategy has sometimes been lost.
(ibid. p. 16)
While there has been, ‘incoherence and inconsistency, both between participants
and policies’(ibid p. 40), the gap between the EU and the US and Asian
needed in order to provide the means to sustain the social aspects and the
European Social Model. As the report emphasizes, ‘Europe, in short, must focus
16). However, what is new about the Kok report is that it appears to be the first
time in a major policy document that the social aspects are explicitly described as
(ibid. p. 6). This happens through helping to reduce levels of poverty and helping
to increase labour supply. Thus social cohesion can be, ‘a means of growth rather
than a claim on it’ (ibid. p. 39). The theme of economic growth coming first but
54
It [Lisbon] wants to embed Europe’s commitment to social cohesion and
the environment in the core of the growth and jobs generation process so
they are part of Europe’s competitive advantage. This cannot be done
against a background of stagnating or slowly rising demand. The wider
macroeconomic framework, both the pursuit of monetary and fiscal
policy, must be as supportive of growth as possible.
(ibid. p. 16)
The most important policy issues that deliver higher growth and
employment must be prioritised. Accordingly, this year's Spring European
Council focuses on two issues: sustainable growth and more and better
jobs.
(ibid. p. 4)
Yet, later within the same conclusions it states that, ‘social cohesion must be
2005
The Council (Education, Youth and Culture) conclusions, submitted to the 2005
Spring European Council, maintains this emphasis, asserting that, ‘education and
training is therefore essential, as they provide the indispensable skills base and
increase levels of social cohesion, they conclude that this happens through
55
young people as well as people with special needs into society’ (ibid. p. 4). This
articulates, for the first time at this level, how education increases social
cohesion.
together. It also notes that the Social Agenda should lead towards improving
human and social capital. Rather than “cohesion”, “solidarity” is the leading term
The Communication also explicitly recognizes the ‘cost of the lack of social
excludes from full participation in society, ‘…is socially and economically not
employment must come first in order to resource the social aspects. Yet it seems
almost contradictory to place growth and employment as the two priorities and
keep social cohesion as central to the strategy. The March 2005 Presidency
56
In July 2005 the Commission issued a communication on Cohesion Policy in
and,
(ibid. p. 12)
The November 2005 communication from the Commission on the Draft 2006
progress report on the implementation of the Education & Training 2010 work
growth (and social cohesion) message, expands on how education and training
increases economic growth while increasing social cohesion. It states that the
57
that, (with the exception of the increasing the numbers of mathematics, science
and technology graduates), there has been little progress against the benchmarks
most closely related to social cohesion (ibid. p. 10). It highlights equity and
for Lisbon:
According to the communication this, ‘…implies that the outcomes and benefits
and other factors that may lead to educational disadvantage’ (ibid. p. 11).
targeted on areas where the social and economic returns are highest, thereby
The communication also gives an insight into the progress of the Education &
Training 2010 work programme through the OMC process. For the first time peer
from benchmarking.
58
2006
(European Commission. 2006b) differs from previous versions. It is the first one
consists of three volumes and it analyses the Member States’ national reform
competitiveness issues, where social aspects are mentioned, it is under the topic
of ageing population and the requirements for flexicurity and the European
Social Agenda. The role of education and training within this concerns research
and innovation – with a focus on higher education. These emphases are reiterated
by the March 2006 Presidency Conclusions (European Council. 2006). The roots
of these emphases can be seen in the Hampton Court Agenda which was
launched in October 2005 and chose similar themes (work streams), to be main-
The extremely ambitious nature of the aims of the Spring 2005 communication
from the Commission to the Council– to balance the varying influences of socio-
such as housing and social security. The document also notes that free access to
higher education alone is not sufficient to ensure equity, because earlier socio-
59
demonstrate an emphasis (albeit a lesser one compared to employability) on
2007
The Commission Communication to the 2007 Spring Council notes that the, ‘…
renewed Strategy for Growth and Jobs is beginning to deliver results’ (European
competitiveness that has the focus, with social cohesion not addressed until
paragraphs 18 and 19. These concentrate on the European social model and
flexicurity.
Summary
draw a small number of points these are expanded within the discussion that
follows in Section 4:
The terms Social cohesion, social inclusion and social exclusion are used
ambiguously;
60
Education and training – particularly lifelong learning – are seen as key to
61
SECTION 3: alternative sources and perspectives on Lisbon
Having drawn some conclusions from the emphasis at European level this
section considers, more briefly, what may be happening below this level.
around half of the national responses (AT, BE(-Wallonia), DK, FI, FR, DE, EL,
IE, PT) agree with lifelong learning policies - equally favouring employability
and active citizenship. Interestingly, the majority of the remainder put greater
emphasis on active citizenship (BE (-French speaking), IS, IT, LU, NO, ES, SE).
The reports from The Netherlands and the United Kingdom appear to place a
There was also criticism that there wasn’t more explicit emphasis on social
cohesion and that there seemed to be too little social responsibility for provision
In 2005, the National Reform Programmes for Growth and Employment (NRPs)
were produced by the Member States5. The NRPs were produced to the
directly cover social cohesion6. However, some countries refer to the social
5
Available on the EU Growth and Jobs website. http://ec.europa.eu/growthandjobs/key/nrp2005-
2008_en.htm
6
This is most likely because the social inclusion aspects of the Renewed Lisbon Agenda are
expected to be covered by the National Action Plans Against Poverty and Social Exclusion.
Available at: http://ec.europa.eu/employment_social/social_inclusion/naps_en.htm . While these
dimension and the role of education. This can be used as an indication that
capital and therefore employment. This in turn should reform the labour market
and increase competitiveness (for example, PL, CZ, LV) (Poland. 2005. Czech
means to increase levels of inclusion (for example, CZ, LT, SK) (Slovak
Republic 2005). Spain describes increasing human capital levels not only to
2005. p. 73). Slovenia not only aims to increase levels of cohesion but regards
the role of cohesion policy as providing conditions for economic growth and
While some countries emphasize competitiveness (for example, LT, LV, EE)
others appear to see competitiveness and cohesion almost in tension with each
other; and are trying to achieve economic reforms while maintaining social
protection and social cohesion (BE, PT) (Belgium. 2005. Portugal. 2005. Estonia.
2005.). Some countries are more positive. Germany sees knowledge and skills as
7). Austria aims to safeguard its prosperity, which will be done via education for
competitiveness (Austria. 2005.) .The Greek report sees that, ‘The effective
operation of the labour market - at individual and corporate level - is both the
are available via the Growth and Jobs website they are not as prominent as the NRPs.
63
outcome and a requirement for the success of all economic and social
The specific messages from these reports should be considered tentatively – they
are only one source. However, they show that the Member States prioritise
surprising, all the Member States have signed up to the common aims of Lisbon,
all are subjected to the common drivers described earlier in this dissertation.
However, there are differences, perhaps the most obvious are their social models.
compared to the EU in 2000 is not the same and missing data is an issue. Also,
subtle, then it will be difficult to identify them amongst the “noise” caused by
other factors. However, they should capture the effect of the different European
social models. If we accept that the European social model(s) is central to the
Lisbon Agenda, then the indicators should reflect the priorities the different
The table below compares the EU27 using a selection of Structural Indicators,
some from the short-list of 14. Where the columns are shaded blue this indicates
64
that the lower the value the better the performance, conversely for those in green,
the higher the value the better the performance. Years have been chosen as a
and indicators, despite missing data. They are grouped into six models: Core;
Anglo; Nordic; Baltic; Mediterranean; and, Central. There are some countries
that do not appear to fit in any, and the Central and Mediterranean countries
exhibit more range than the others. Some are difficult to assign to just one group,
for example, the Netherlands shares characteristics with the Nordic Countries
(such as a low poverty rate) it has also followed some Anglo-Saxon ideas.
While these groups are orientated geographically, their groupings are based on
their social, economic and cultural characteristics. The indicators below show the
range and common characteristics between the groups. The Baltics, for example,
are characterised by a relatively high level of early school leavers, but also by
65
Selected structural indicators on competitiveness and cohesion grouped by social model
Inequality At risk-of- Long- Jobless Early Employm Youth Lifelong Science Real GDP Labour
of income poverty term household school ent rate – education Learnin and growth product
distributio rate after unemploy s – total4 leavers total6 attainment g– technolog rate10 ivity per
n1 social ment rate – total5 level – total7 total8 y hour
transfers – total3 graduates worked1
– total2 – total9 2
Code sc010 sc022 sc061 sc072 sc051 em011 ir091 em051 ir041 eb012 eb022
Year 2005 2005 2006 2006 2006 2006 2006 2006 2005 2006 2004
EU27 16 3.6 15.3 64.4 77.8 9.6 13.2 3
EU25 4.9 3.6 9.8 15.1 64.7 77.7 10.1 13.4 3 91.6
Core
Be 4.1 15 4.2 14.3 12.6 61 82.4 7.5 10.9 3.2 130
De 4.1 13 4.7 10.6 13.8 67.5 71.6 7.5 9.7 2.8 110.7
Fr 4 13 4 10.9 13.1 63 82.1 7.5 22.5 2 116.5
At 3.8 12 1.3 8.8 9.6 70.2 85.8 13.1 9.8 3.3 99.5
Lu 3.8 13 1.4 6.7 17.4 63.6 69.3 8.2 6.2 156
Nl 4 11 1.7 7.4 12.9 74.3 74.7 15.6 8.6 2.9 119.8
Mean 4.0 12.8 2.9 9.8 13.2 66.6 77.7 9.9 12.3 3.4 122.1
Anglo
Ie 5 20 1.4 7.9 12.3 68.6 85.4 7.5 24.5 6 119.3
Uk 5.5 18 1.2 10.7 13 71.5 78.8 26.6 18.4 2.8 92.2
Mean 5.3 19.0 1.3 9.3 12.7 70.1 82.1 17.1 21.5 4.4 105.8
Nordic
Dk 3.5 12 0.8 7.7 10.9 77.4 77.4 29.2 14.7 3.5 101.8
Fi 3.6 12 1.9 10.5 8.3 69.3 84.7 23.1 17.7 5.5 96.3
Se 3.3 9 1.1 12 73.1 86.5 : 14.4 4.2 102.7
Mean 3.5 11.0 1.3 9.1 10.4 73.3 82.9 26.2 15.6 4.4 100.3
Baltic
Lv 6.7 19 2.5 6.8 19 66.3 81 6.9 9.8 11.9 35.7
Lt 6.9 21 2.5 7 10.3 63.6 88.2 4.9 18.9 7.5 44.1
Ee 5.9 18 2.8 6 13.2 68.1 82 6.5 12.1 11.4 41.4
Mean 6.5 19.3 2.6 6.6 14.2 66.0 83.7 6.1 13.6 10.3 40.4
Mediterr
anean
Es 5.4 20 1.8 6.3 29.9 64.8 61.6 10.4 11.8 3.9 89.2
Pt 8.2 20 3.8 5.8 39.2 67.9 49.6 3.8 12 1.3 56.7
Gr 5.8 20 4.8 8.1 15.9 61 81 1.9 10.1 4.3 72.2
It 5.7 19 3.4 9.2 20.8 58.4 75.5 6.1 11.6 1.9 91.6
Mean 6.3 19.8 3.5 7.4 26.5 63.0 66.9 5.6 11.4 2.9 77.4
Mt 4.1 15 2.9 6.7 41.7 54.8 50.4 5.5 3.4 3.3 73.5
Cy 4.3 16 0.9 4.9 16 69.6 83.7 7.1 3.6 3.8 67.8
Central
Hu 4 13 3.4 11.6 12.4 57.3 82.9 3.8 5.1 3.9 54.1
Pl 6.6 21 7.8 13.5 5.6 54.5 91.7 4.7 11.1 6.1 46
Cz 3.7 10 3.9 7.3 5.5 65.3 91.8 5.6 8.2 6.1 52.2
Sk 3.9 13 10.2 9.6 6.4 59.4 91.5 4.3 10.2 8.3 56.3
Si 3.4 12 2.9 7.2 5.2 66.6 89.4 15 9.8 5.2 68.3
Mean 4.3 13.8 5.6 9.8 7.0 60.6 89.5 6.7 8.9 5.9 55.4
67
1
Income quintile share ratio. Ratio of the total income of the highest earning 20% compared to the lowest earning 20%. The higher the ratio the greater the
inequality in income distribution.
2
The share of persons with an equivalised disposable income below the risk-of-poverty threshold, which is set at 60 % of the national median equivalised
disposable income (after social transfers).
3
Long-term unemployed (12 months and more) as a percentage of the total active population.
4
Share of persons aged 18 - 59 who are living in households where no-one works.
5
Percentage of the population aged 18-24 with at most lower secondary education and not in further education or training.
6
The employment rate is calculated by dividing the number of persons aged 15 to 64 in employment by the total population of the same age group.
7
The number of young people aged 20-24 years having attained at least upper secondary education attainment level, i.e. with an education level ISCED 3a, 3b or
3c long minimum as a percentage of the total population of the same age group.
8
Persons aged 25 to 64 who stated that they received education or training in the four weeks preceding the survey as a percentage of the total population of the
same age group.
9
Tertiary graduates in science and technology per 1 000 of population aged 20-29 years.
10
Growth rate of GDP volume - percentage change on previous year.
11
GDP in Purchasing Power Standards (PPS) per hour worked relative to EU-15 (EU15 = 100)
12
Eurostat Structural Indicator code
68
The following tables compare the means between models, using independent
samples T-tests, for eight of the variables listed in the table above. The values
within the shaded cells are the P values. Those cells that are shaded a light grey
have p values which show that the means of the two groups compared are not
significantly different at 95% confidence. The cells shaded light yellow indicate
that the two groups compared have means that are significantly different at 95%
confidence.
Difference of means between social models for Labour productivity per hour
worked (GDP per hour in PPS)
Models Core Anglo Nordic Baltic Mediterranean Central
Means 114.40 105.75 100.27 40.40 77.43 52.15
Core 114.40
Anglo 105.75 0.69
Nordic 100.27 0.408 0.635
Baltic 40.40 0.002 0.009 0.000
Mediterranean 77.43 0.036 0.128 0.067 0.013
Central 52.15 0.002 0.004 0.000 0.17 0.024
Difference of means between social models for Real GDP growth rate
Models Core Anglo Nordic Baltic Mediterranean Central
Means 3.66 4.40 4.40 10.27 2.85 6.10
Core 3.66
Anglo 4.40 0.585
Nordic 4.40 0.459 1.000
Baltic 10.27 0.001 0.072 0.018
Mediterranean 2.85 0.407 0.353 0.183 0.004
Central 6.10 0.037 0.365 0.206 0.046 0.031
Difference of means between social models for early school leaving rates
Models Core Anglo Nordic Baltic Mediterranean Central
Means 12.09 12.65 10.40 14.17 26.45 7.48
Core 12.09
Anglo 12.65 0.847
Nordic 10.40 0.496 0.216
Baltic 14.17 0.469 0.678 0.247
Mediterranean 26.45 0.008 0.148 0.048 0.115
Central 7.48 0.074 0.106 0.234 0.069 0.013
Rather than use prose, the best way to summarise the significant characteristics
70
Relative characteristics of the six identified European social models
Core Baltic
Low inequality of income distribution High inequality of income distribution
Relatively low real GDP growth rate High real GDP growth rate
High productivity per hour worked Low productivity per hour worked
Low risk of poverty after social transfers High long term unemployment
Anglo Mediterranean
High risk of poverty after social transfers High risk of poverty after social transfers
Relatively high productivity per hour worked High inequality of income distribution
High inequality of income distribution High number of early school leavers
Nordic Central
Low inequality of income distribution High long term unemployment
Low risk of poverty after social transfers Relatively low rate of early school leavers
High employment rate Low employment rate
Low long-term unemployment High real GDP growth rate
High lifelong learning rate Low productivity per hour worked
Low lifelong learning rate
Source: table above.
The table above brings out some interesting points particularly, about the Baltic
and Central groups both of which have low productivity per employee but have
The four charts below show the distribution of both Member States and these
well as similarities and differences listed in the tables above. The Baltic countries
are closely clustered – often more so than the Nordics; who tend to score most
favourably (though they are not as productive as the Core countries). The Central
countries have a wide distribution; this might indicate that they form more than
one social model. It is notable that the distribution showing rates of poverty after
transfers (third chart) shows the six models are equally divided between low and
between high risk of poverty and high income inequality. Data is from the table
above.
71
72
Comparison between indicators for productivity and economic growth
LV
11.5 EE
Baltic
9.5
Real GDP growth rate
SK
7.5 LT
PL CZ LU
Central IE
5.5 FI
SI
EL Nordic Anglo
HU CY ES SE
3.5 DK Core
MT AT BE
Mediterranean UK DE NL
IT FR
1.5
30 50 70 90 110 130 150 170
GDP per hour in PPS
74
Comparison between indicators for employment and long-term unemployment
10.5
SK
9.5
8.5
PL
7.5
Longterm unemployment rate
6.5
5.5 Central
BG
EL DE
4.5
RO BE
FR CZ PT
3.5 HU IT Mediterranean
SI
MT Core EE
2.5 LT Baltic
LV
ES FI
Anglo NL
1.5 LU IE SE
AT UK
CY Nordic DK
0.5
54 59 64 69 74
Employment rate
75
Comparison between indicators for poverty and income inequality
PL LT
20.5
IE ES EL PT
Mediterranean
Anglo IT LV
Baltic
18.5
RO UK EE
Risk rate of poverty after social transfers
16.5
CY
BE MT
14.5
Central
AT HU
LU DE
12.5 DK SKFR
Core
SI FI
Nordic NL
10.5
CZ
SE
8.5
3 4 5 6 7 8
Income inequality
76
Comparison between indicators for lifelong learning and early school leaving
MT
39.5 PT
34.5
29.5 ES
Early school leavers rate
Mediterranean
24.5
IT
19.5 RO LV
BG
LU
EL CY
14.5 Baltic Anglo
SE DE Core
EE FR NL UK
HU IE BE
DK
LT
9.5 AT
Nordic
FI
Central SI
SK
PL CZ
4.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Lifelong learning rate
77
Conclusions from the Structural Indicators
some of the evidence for the emphasis on social cohesion and competitiveness
below EU level. This shows that there are contrasts with the emphasis at
European level, it also shows that there are significant differences between
similar groups of Member States. This may illustrate variations in the European
I have collected a third source of information (in addition to the policy literature
have been either directly or indirectly involved in the Lisbon Agenda since 2000.
Three people, from the European Training Foundation (A), Cedefop (B) and
from the UK’s Joint International Unit7 (C) were asked from their personal
perspective:
Has the policy emphasis (mainly at European level) been equally placed,
from the beginning, on achieving greater levels of competitiveness and
social cohesion, or has one been favoured over the other? Has this
emphasis changed since 2000 and if so, when and why?
While these are personal, rather than official views, their perspectives provide a
third source of information. These three sources then allow for some
7
Until recent government reforms, in June 2007, the Joint International Unit reported to the
Department for Education and Skills and to the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP), it
now reports to DWP, the Department for Innovation Universities and Skills and the Department
for Business, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform.
Respondent A:
Their view was that the emphasis has been economic since the start and that this
was increased after the Mid-term review. The emphasis on equity in the
the policy literature, their view was that the best means of identifying priorities is
through tracking where the money is spent, in particular the European Structural
Funds.
Respondent B:
They believe that this equal emphasis has had an impact in the “Objectives
process” from 2001 and the Copenhagen process. He notes that convergence into
the Education and Training 2010 programme, ‘…hasn’t really changed this
emphasis very much, you will see that there’s quite a lot of continuity in terms of
issues and objective’ (ibid). They confirm that since the mid-term review, there is
..the direct impact on the internal Education and training 2010 agenda is
limited…In budgetary terms education and training has been
strengthened (LLL [Lifelong learning] Programme). This is probably the
most important indicator signalling that a balanced education and
training policy has not been sacrificed…
79
Respondent C:
They noted first that the Lisbon Agenda marks a huge change in the direction of
EU policy from structural issues towards policies that directly target, and appear
They confirmed that different countries have differing views on the relationship
2007). They contrasted this with some of the Core and Southern European
countries who see the two as being in tension. They confirmed that the UK and
Nordic countries had a big influence in the change in emphasis in the renewed
Lisbon Agenda.
Another aspect they raised related to coordination both at national level and at
European level. They noted that because Lisbon is so broad it often spans more
than one government department - usually the ministry for education and the
ministry for labour. In a few countries coordination between the two may not
only be poor but subject to active competition and rivalry between them. These
differences also extend to the European level. The Employment and the
Economic and Financial Affairs Committees have been dominated by the Anglo
and Nordic countries – who have an applied view of education and training. This
explained that this is the reason why the emphasis within the Education and
80
Training Programme has not changed to the jobs and growth mantra (as observed
by Respondent B).
emphasis on citizenship, though this has also been emphasised by concern about
levels of racism within the EU10.When asked about equity and efficiency within
81
SECTION 4:
While the methodology and approach to answering the title of this dissertation
that many studies in Comparative Education research face. The main difficulties
in tackling this project concern the size of the Lisbon Agenda. It is difficult to
balance breadth against depth and in many aspects of the study, such lifelong
learning, detail has been limited to maintain breadth. Each aspect of this topic is
broad: from the range of overlapping terms and concepts; to the number of
programmes, policies and groups, reports and indicators; and the number of
countries involved. One topic that deserves further attention is the European
Social Agenda and the different social models across the Member States. There is
While an effort to achieve some triangulation on the topic has been made, the
scope of the literature covered within Section 2 has necessitated a much more
limited use of both the available statistical information and other qualitative
sources. Sources such as the World Values Survey – which provides information
on aspects of social cohesion such as tolerance have been left out. In a larger
studies these would be used and the next logical step is to properly extent this
observed. Yet this cycle also appears to have been worked at a high rate and there
is much information through which to sort. For example, there are already three
cycles of PISA, though the wait for the results from PISA 2006 illustrates the
time lag between data collection and dissemination of analysis and results.
Discussion/Analysis
This subsection takes and builds on the conclusions drawn from Section 2 by
Most of the detail on the social aspects tends to concern inclusion rather than
cohesion. There is an assumption that greater social inclusion will lead to greater
social cohesion, though how this happens is not explained until later on in the
process – even then it is not clearly articulated. It is not until later on in the
process that more complex aspects of social cohesion, notably tolerance are
83
This blurring extends to the policymaking and coordination itself. In terms of
is a clear group of structural indicators on social cohesion and there are now
strategic guidelines on cohesion policy (2007 - 2013). Yet at national level there
are national inclusion and social protection strategies rather than cohesion
strategies.
order to generate the economic growth and therefore prosperity. This prosperity
is required in order to finance the social protection systems, these in turn help to
protect people from poverty (through redistribution of wealth) and therefore help
competitiveness that is more interesting and which takes more time (until the
social cohesion help to reduce levels of poverty and therefore reduce costs to
social protection systems, they also help to increase labour supply. The Kok
report appears to be the first major policy document to move from stating social
contributing to economic growth (rather than through just reducing the costs to
the state).
84
Importance of employment
A constant theme throughout the literature is that the most effective means of
increases competitiveness.
emphasis between competitiveness and the social aspects of the Lisbon Agenda.
By 2003 this emphasis has started to shift towards the economic and
competitiveness side and is confirmed after the Kok report. This direction is
much closer to the Nordic and Anglo social models than to the Core and
linked and the distinction between them is not as clear as might be expected.
Within the policy literature this is mainly because employment is the principle
means to increase levels of both competitiveness and cohesion. There are also
The first is that social policy has been, from the start, seen as a productive factor
- economically as well as socially. Indeed, the social policy side has been clearly
driven by the economic pressures on Member States, via ageing population and
85
outlined in the European Social Agenda) is an economic imperative. Secondly,
modernising the European social model and hence increasing social cohesion. It
is also likely that there has been increased prominence of the economic side
because Lisbon was launched just as there was a global slowdown in economic
growth.
The review of a small amount of the policy literature at national level indicates
the related policy making and implementation for Lisbon. Because they are all
subject to common drivers this suggests that one of the principle reasons must be
Broadly, the Nordic and Anglo models view education (and training) as an
This contrasts with a Mediterranean (and to an extent) a Core model view that
the two are in tension and social protection must support those who do not have a
job (rather than to get them into employment). The Central and Baltic models
86
The influence of the Open Method of Coordination.
The OMC relies on metrics to compare, benchmark and therefore exert peer
pressure for change. This works better for factors relating to competitiveness,
have been available sooner than the social ones. This is because some aspects of
others (such as tolerance) are hard to even quantify. Delays in the earlier stages
of the OMC may have slowed the start of the peer learning stage.
cohesion
Achieving the Lisbon goal is clearly impossible without the role of education and
training; which supports both the economic and social elements. For the social
side, the list of risk factors for poverty and social exclusion (listed in the previous
reducing exclusion. This may be directly, such as early school leaving, or from
the indirect or wider benefits from learning such as improved health or increased
aspects of the education and training programme has been lifelong learning; with
an ageing population, this is the only way to re-skill an ageing labour market
pool. Though the commission suggests that lifelong learning can support social
87
With the re-launch of the Lisbon Agenda there is an increased emphasis on the
role of higher education, not only in producing skilled workers but as centres for
much of the reform of HE lies within the domain of the Bologna process, which
predates 2000 and is outside the Education & Training 2010 programme.
emphasis on this is limited, perhaps because this is most likely to happen only in
initial education and training and because growth and jobs are confirmed as the
two priorities.
At the start of the process, and later on, the issue of equity within and efficiency
is highlighted by Andy Green et al. and is one of the reasons why a Nordic
whose education provision is highly selective. While this issue is discussed later
on in the process it appears to be slow to ‘take off’; it is not until 2005 that its
importance is highlighted and interest in it may lie more on the efficiency side.
88
Conclusion:
competitiveness can be framed through the European Social Agenda and the
European social models. The policy emphasis within the Lisbon Agenda at EU
level has changed since 2000; it has also blurred. It starts through the conceptual
through this dual role that employment plays within Lisbon that emphasis
between the two becomes blurred. There is not a clear distinction on increasing
mid-term review onwards there has been a clear change, at least in terms of
The limited considerations in this dissertation at Member State level indicate that
the pattern at EU level is not necessarily replicated. While the Nordic and Anglo
countries may have pushed for the growth and jobs direction the reality in the
the significant policy differences in the Central and Baltic models and while they
rates suggest that they are catching up. The Central model countries already have
89
The future for the Lisbon Agenda?
The Lisbon Agenda will not meet its original goal by 2010 - but it does not mean
that it has failed. The Agenda marks a fundamental change in the orientation of
policy making at EU towards its citizens. Yet for what is hailed as such a vital
goal, if we take the advice two of the expert individuals to follow the funding,
then this does not compare favourably with the 33.75% of the 2007 EU budget to
overall budget for 2007 – 2014 has already been agreed – but on the condition
that the entire EU budget spending (including the Common Agricultural Policy)
is reviewed for 2014 onwards. There have also been calls, that with enlargement
the EU15 should no longer be in receipt of ESF money but that it should be spent
If this happens then perhaps this is a more realistic indication of the success of
the Lisbon Agenda. Once this happens, the original goal may be within closer
reach.
90
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