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Urban Planning: Methods and Technologies

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DOI: 10.1016/B0-08-043076-7/04435-1

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From Klosterman, R.E., 2015. Urban Planning: Methods and Technologies. In: James D.
Wright (editor-in-chief), International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral
Sciences, 2nd edition, Vol 24. Oxford: Elsevier. pp. 889–893.
ISBN: 9780080970868
Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ltd. unless otherwise stated. All rights reserved.
Elsevier
Author's personal copy

Urban Planning: Methods and Technologies


Richard E Klosterman, What if?, Inc., Hudson, OH, USA
Ó 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Abstract

The collection, analysis, and dissemination of the information needed to improve public and private decision making is one
of the major justifications for urban planning. As a result, planning methods and technologies have played a central role in
planning practice and education since the profession’s inception over 100 years ago. This article reviews the evolution of
planning methods and techniques, considers the most important technologies used in contemporary planning practice, and
speculates on the future of planning methods and technologies.

Evolution of Planning Methods and Technologies transportation access, reducing urban blight, and improving
social and economic conditions at the urban and regional
Three relatively distinct eras can be traced in the evolution of scales. The dominant perception of the field changed from an
planning practice, methods, and techniques. The first era, image of ‘planning as design’ to ‘planning as an applied science’
‘planning as design, characterized planning from its inception as new students, faculties, and departments joined the pro-
until the 1960s. The second, ‘planning as applied science, fession from outside the traditional schools of design. An
characterized the profession in the 1960s and 1970s. The third, increased emphasis on quantitative methods and social science
‘planning as communication, has characterized the profession theory led to the abandonment of the once ubiquitous design
since the 1980s. The following sections examine each of these studio for new courses in research design, statistics, and
eras and their corresponding methods and technologies in turn. quantitative techniques utilizing texts such as Isard’s monu-
mental Methods of Regional Analysis (Isard et al., 1960) and
Krueckeberg and Silvers’ Urban Planning Analysis (Krueckeberg
Planning as Design
and Silvers, 1974). Planners’ professional role was now seen
The planning profession in the United States emerged at the as delivering unbiased, ‘objective, and politically neutral
beginning of the twentieth century in response to the unregu- advice to elected officials and the public and collecting and
lated urban growth and inadequate public facilities of the new disseminating more and better information that could inform
industrial city. Guided by a rather naive form of environmental and improve the policy-making process.
determinism, the early planners assumed a professional Computers first began to be used in planning in the 1960s,
responsibility for improving society through changes in the as part of a general faith in science and technology and the
physical environment and protecting an overarching public emergence of new academic fields such as operations research,
interest from the presumably self-interested and uninformed urban economics, and regional science. The most notable early
actions of elected officials and private citizens. Planners’ attempts to use computers in planning were the ambitious and
methods were largely intuitive methods of manual design highly visible federally funded efforts to build large-scale
adapted from the profession’s institutional homes in architec- metropolitan land use – transportation models and inte-
ture and landscape architecture, taught primarily by planning grated municipal information systems. These efforts were seen
practitioners in the ubiquitous studio workshop. as providing the foundations for a new ‘science’ of planning by
By the 1950s, these largely intuitive methods had evolved helping planners understand and guide the urban development
into a standard land use planning approach codified in process and improve the information base for public and
F. Stuart Chapin’s Urban Land Use Planning (Chapin, 1957) and private decision making (Harris, 1965; Webber, 1965).
T.J. Kent’s The Urban General Plan (Kent, 1964). This model Planners’ optimistic faith in computer technology was
defined planning as the preparation of a formal document severely tested in the 1970s. The pioneering efforts to develop
laying out a long-term, comprehensive, and general vision for large-scale urban models and municipal information systems
a community’s future physical development, including public failed spectacularly, largely as a result of their overly ambitious
and private uses of land and related public facilities. These goals, the limitations of available computer equipment, and
plans included a summary of existing and emerging conditions the lack of required data. Sophisticated analytic tools such as
and needs, a statement of planning goals, a 20- or 30-year mathematical programing which were assumed to provide the
development plan expressed in map form, and policies for foundations for ‘scientific planning’ were found to be largely
implementing the plan. This conception of planning continues inappropriate for planners’ ‘wicked problems’ which are hard
to dominate planning education and practice, as reflected in to define or solve, have outcomes that are difficult to predict,
the fifth edition of Chapin’s text (Berke et al., 2006). and involve considerable uncertainty (Lee, 1973; Rittel and
Webber, 1973).
The practical failure of the early computer-based urban
Planning as an Applied Science
models reflected a more fundamental rejection of the ‘rational
The planning profession’s attention turned in the 1960s from planning’ model that was assumed to underlie all attempts to
the design of the physical city to new concerns with improving use computers in planning. Planning methods and technologies

International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences, 2nd edition, Volume 24 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-08-097086-8.74056-6 889

International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences, Second Edition, 2015, 889–893
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890 Urban Planning: Methods and Technologies

that were once assumed to be ‘objective’ and politically neutral and related information and communication technologies
were found inevitably to increase the power of administrators (ICTs). The following section briefly reviews the technologies
and technical experts at the expense of those who lacked the that are most widely used by today’s planners.
expertise to use them effectively. Information that appeared to
be more accurate, credible, and objective simply because it had
Geographic Information Systems
been generated by a computer was found to reflect politically
important choices in the selection of data, the application of GIS are computer systems for capturing, storing, querying,
computational procedures, and the distribution of results analyzing, and displaying information about natural and built
(Wachs, 1982). By the decade’s end, most planners had no access entities and activities that can be displayed on a map. GIS are
to – or perceived need for – the expensive, fragile, and hard-to-use particularly powerful analysis tools because they
mainframe computers of the era and continued to rely on consider cartographic, attribute, and topological data about
manual computational techniques that had changed little since spatially related entities and activities. The cartographic data
the 1950s. describe where things are, that is, their location relative to
a reference system, and provide the information needed to
prepare a map. For example, the cartographic data for the lines
Planning as Communication
on a map include their location (beginning and ending points),
Planners’ faith in computing technology was reborn in the 1980s shape (straight or curved), type (solid, dotted, or dashed), and
with the arrival of microcomputers which made computer-based color. Attribute data describe what things are, such as, their
methods and techniques readily available to planners the world magnitude, classification, and ownership. For example, the
over. By the century’s end, planners routinely used computers attribute data for a tax assessor’s map would contain infor-
for general-purpose office functions such as processing docu- mation on the street address, use, ownership, and assessed
ments, monitoring budgets, and maintaining records. By 2010, value for land parcels. Topological data describe spatial rela-
planners around the world routinely used geographic informa- tionships, that is, where things are located relative to other things.
tion systems (GIS; to be discussed below) to process permits, Topological relationships include: (1) adjacency, for example,
maintain land-related information, and prepare thematic maps. the fact that France and Poland are both next to Germany but
Equally important, the increased availability of information are not next to each other; and (2) containment, for example,
from municipal information systems and the Internet allowed that Paris is located in France, not Germany.
planners to quickly and easily process increasingly large quanti- GIS have proven extremely useful for a wide range of
ties of spatially-related information. planning applications such as analyzing and displaying
Underlying these developments were new images of ‘plan- spatially related information, maintaining land-based inven-
ning as communication’ (Innes, 1995). Planners increasingly tories, and administering permitting processes. Unfortunately
realized that planning involves not only the collection and today’s GIS only consider the present and past and cannot
distribution of numerical data and formal documents but, support planners’ particular concerns with projecting future
more importantly, face-to-face communication with colleagues conditions, evaluating the long-term implications of alternative
and clients involving less traditional types of ‘information’: public choices, and considering public policy goals, benefits,
stories, advice, and personal experiences. As a result, planners and costs.
began to recognize that the ways in which they transmit
information are often more important than what they say. For
Planning Support Systems
example, planning forecasts could be described either as the
result of highly sophisticated computer-based procedures that In response to the limitations of the current generation of GIS,
exclude nonexperts or as implementing easily understood the last decade has witnessed a rebirth in the development of
models and assumptions that invite public comment. planning models that use the tremendous analysis and display
power of GIS and the increased availability of spatially-related
data to develop customized planning support systems (PSS)
Today’s Planning Technologies that meet the needs of planners (see, e.g., Brail and Klosterman,
2001; Brail, 2008). The following approaches have dominated
Before the advent of computers, planning data were available efforts in this area: (1) large-scale urban models, (2) cellular
only in voluminous printed volumes and paper maps that were automata (CA) models, (3) agent-based models, and (4) rule-
incomplete, inconsistent, and could only be updated manually. based models. (Other modeling approaches are reviewed in
Planning analysis and communication required manually Trianstakonstantis and Mountrakis (2012)).
copying data from printed documents, laborious and error-
prone hand computations, and preparing text, tables, maps Large-Scale Urban Models
and figures by hand. Large-scale urban models for studying the interaction between
Today all of this has changed. A wealth of spatially-related land uses and spatial interaction first attracted planners’ atten-
data is readily available in digital form from public and tion to computer-based models in the 1960s (see, e.g., Harris,
private data providers. Planners’ computer-based tools allow 1965). These models project future land uses, housing and
them to analyze these data quickly and use them to produce employment for zones within a metropolitan area, and the
attractive documents, charts, and maps that they can easily travel by transportation mode between these zones (Miller
distribute to clients and other professionals. As a result, it is et al., 1999; Hunt, 2005). More sophisticated models attempt
almost impossible to conceive of planning without computers to represent the complex interactions between land uses and

International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences, Second Edition, 2015, 889–893
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Urban Planning: Methods and Technologies 891

transportation demand, the market for land and space, and the communication and information dissemination. The Internet
location of households and firms over time and space. Models has been extremely useful in providing planners and the public
of this type that have been widely implemented in practice with anytime, anyplace access to large databases such as the
include DRAM/EMPAL (Putman, 1983), MEPLAN (Bertuglia entire contents of the national census and interactive audio
et al., 1990), TRANUS (de la Barra, 2001), and UrbanSim and video displays. It also allows plans and proposals to be
(Waddell, 2002). distributed quickly and easily, allowing people with different
skills and viewpoints to participate in the public policy-making
CA Models process, independent of time and place. The recent develop-
CA models of urban growth have received a tremendous amount ment of powerful Web services promises to make a new
of academic attention in recent years (Trianstakonstantis generation of online models and methods readily available to
and Mountrakis, 2012). CA models represent an urban area planners around the world.
with a lattice of cells, each of which exists in one of a finite
set of states; for example, ‘developed’ and ‘undeveloped. The
progression of time is modeled as a series of discrete steps with Today’s Planning Methods
future patterns determined by transition rules that specify the
behavior of cells over time (e.g., whether a cell switches from Continued advances in the power and capabilities of modern
undeveloped to developed), as a function of conditions at each GIS and the availability of high-quality spatial data have stim-
cell and its neighboring cells at each time step. A widely used ulated a revolution in the area of spatial analysis. Important
CA model, SLEUTH, which stands for the input requirements issues such as spatial autocorrelation and the modifiable area
of the models – slope, land cover, exclusion, urbanization, problem which had been largely ignored in the past are
transportation, and hill shade – uses information on land uses now being addressed thoroughly, and exciting new tools
at two points of time to calibrate a statistical model that projects and techniques for analyzing and describing spatially related
future land use changes (Clarke, 2008). phenomena are being developed and refined (Fotheringham
and Rogerson, 2009). Unfortunately, these developments have
Agent-Based Models had little impact on planning practice and education. A host
As their name suggests, agent-based systems attempt to model of planning methods texts were published in the 1970s, but
the behavior of complex systems by representing the behavior only two (Klosterman, 1990; Wang and Hofe, 2007) have
of the various agents that make up the system. Thus, for been published since then. A new textbook demonstrating
example, an agent-based urban model would represent the how current GIS technology and traditional planning can be
actions of a region’s households, firms, and land developers used to address the realities of today’s planning is being
who interact to buy and sell land via a simulated market. The prepared.
behavior of each of these agents is modeled, along with their
interactions with other agents and with the environment,
which together determine future urban development patterns The Future of Planning Methods and Technologies
(Heppenstall et al., 2012).
Planning methods and technologies have changed dramatically
Rule-Based Models over the last 50 years, due largely to the incredible advances in
Rule-based models first became popular in planning with the ICT that have occurred since the birth of computer-aided
publication of John Landis’s landmark California Urban planning in the 1960s. Fragile and expensive room-sized
Futures (CUF) model, the first GIS-based urban development computers and paper ‘punch cards’ have been replaced by
model (Landis, 1994). CUF and other rule-based models do low cost and more powerful machines that fit into our hands.
not attempt to duplicate the complex spatial interaction and Today’s GIS provide tools for high-quality cartography, three-
market clearing processes that underlie the large-scale urban dimensional visualization, and spatial analysis that could not
models. Instead, they incorporate explicit decision rules that be imagined a generation ago. A wealth of spatially related data
allow model users to specify how the model will behave. Thus, is currently available from government and commercial data
for example, rule-based urban growth models such as CUF and sources, increasingly via the Web. Free and easy-to-use online
What if? (Klosterman, 1999) incorporate user-specified rules mapping and route-finding tools have made spatially refer-
for determining the relative suitability of different locations, enced information and services a routine part of people’s lives.
projecting future land use demands, and allocating projected The rapid development of more powerful Web services prom-
land use demands to suitable sites. Similarly, rule-based impact ises to make digital data and advanced computing tools
assessment models such as CommunityViz (Walker and readily available to planners around the world. Perhaps most
Daniels, 2011) and INDEX (Allen, 2008) specify rules that importantly, the grand challenges of climate change, resource
determine the impacts that proposed actions will have on depletion, and environmental degradation increasingly require
future development patterns, public infrastructure, and the like. computer-based analysis, forecasting, and evaluation. Together
these trends are encouraging academic institutions, innovative
government agencies, and entrepreneurial organizations
The Internet
around the world to develop and apply a new generation of
The Internet and the World Wide Web (or ‘Web’) provide Web-based models and methods.
a ‘network of networks’ that connect millions of computer Nevertheless, experience has demonstrated that progress in
users around the world into a seamless web of electronic the field of computer-aided planning will not be quick or easy.

International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences, Second Edition, 2015, 889–893
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892 Urban Planning: Methods and Technologies

A vast body of academic literature on computer-aided models widespread concern with issues such as climate change and
and methods has accumulated since computers entered plan- resource scarcity, and a growing demand for more meaningful
ning in the 1960s (see e.g., Harris, 1985; Klosterman, 1992; public participation. These demands will only increase with
Trianstakonstantis and Mountrakis, 2012). Complex and expen- the growing interdependence, complexity and uncertainty of
sive integrated land use/transportation models are used a rapidly urbanizing world. Dramatic advances in ICTs may
increasingly in practice, but only by well-funded academic insti- provide the technological foundations a rejuvenated profession
tutions and regional transportation planning agencies. An over- that will once again claim its traditional role as a source of
whelming array of GIS-based PSS models is being developed inspiration about what the future might – and should – be and
around the world but most of them are academic prototypes or promote more meaningful citizen involvement. Only time and
‘one off’ professional applications that have not been adopted professional practice will tell whether this potential is achieved.
elsewhere. A number of commercial off-the-shelf PSS have been
developed but these systems have been adopted only by a small
number of agencies and are rarely used on a routine basis. See also: Finance, Geography of; Geographic Information
Important obstacles can be identified that have limited the Systems and Remote Sensing.
adoption of computer-based planning models and methods
(Vonk et al., 2005; Vonk and Geertman, 2008). Academic
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