Professional Documents
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Michael J. Brown
Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico
1. Introduction
Most emergency response dispersion models
There is renewed interest in urban dispersion
currently in use have little or no building
modeling due to the need for tools that can be
"awareness" and could be misused for urban
used for responding to, planning for, and
applications in a way that could lead to fatal
assessing the consequences of an airborne
consequences. Fast response models will
release of toxic materials. Although not an
actually get more use day in and day out
everyday phenomenon, releases of hazardous
performing vulnerability studies or in training
gases and aerosols have occurred in populated
applications. Fast response models are needed
urban environments and are potentially
for planning and assessment, where many CB
threatening to human life. These releases may
agent attack scenarios must be run. They could
stem from on-site accidents as in the case of
be used in next-generation training with
industrial chemical releases, may result during
unscripted table-top exercises and provide
transport of hazardous chemicals as in tanker
immediate feedback. Fast response models
truck or railroad spills, or may be premeditated
could be run around the clock at a military base
as in a chemical, biological, or radiological
or high-profile target (e.g., the DC Mall)
(CBR) agent terrorist attack.
ingesting local wind measurements in real-time.
Fast response urban dispersion codes have also
Transport and dispersion in urban environments be used for determining the optimal placement
is extremely complicated. Buildings alter the of CBR agent sensors around building
flow fields and deflect the wind, causing updrafts complexes (e.g., Streit et al., 2004). A fast
and downdrafts, channeling between buildings, model is needed because thousands of cases
areas of calm winds adjacent to strong winds, need to be run in order to determine where to
and horizontally and vertically rotating-eddies place sensors around a building complex to
between buildings, at street corners, and other maximize the probability of detecting a CB agent
places within the urban canopy (see review by attack.
Hosker, 1984). Trees, moving vehicles, and
exhaust vents among other things further There is a great need - and opportunity - to
complicate matters. The distance over which develop fast running urban dispersion models
chemical, biological, or radiological releases can that explicitly account for the effects of buildings
be harmful varies from tens of meters to many on transport and dispersion. These models
kilometers depending on the amount released, would fill a significant void between fast, but low
the toxicity of the agent, and the atmospheric fidelity conventional plume dispersion models
conditions. As we will show later, accounting for and high fidelity, but slow, computational fluid
the impacts of buildings on the transport and dynamics models. However, due to the
dispersion is crucial in estimating the travel complexities of flow in urban areas, there are
direction, the areal extent, and the toxicity levels also significant challenges in developing a
of the contaminant plume, and ultimately for simplified fast running model that can
calculating exposures to the population. adequately account for the impacts of buildings.
In this paper, we present an overview of
i) Why fast urban dispersion modeling? challenges for fast response urban dispersion
Fast running models are essential for modeling based on our team’s experience in this
vulnerability studies where many cases must be field. This review is not comprehensive, but is
simulated in a limited amount of time or for meant to inform the reader of some of the key
emergency response scenarios when an answer issues with respect to successful implementation
is needed quickly. of dispersion models in urban areas.
westerly flow
g) Deep-canyon mixing.
Computational fluid dynamics modeling (e.g.,
Mestayer et al., 1995; Baik and Kim, 2000) and
laboratory experiments (e.g., Baik et al., 2000)
suggest that there may be counter-rotating
vertically-stacked vortices in deep street
canyons. The stacked vortices alter the nature
Figure 6. Time series of wind direction measured in
of vertical transport and dispersion. However,
a street canyon illustrating periods of rapid variation
in flow direction. to date, there has been no confirmatory
evidence of this in real street canyons. Several
presentations at this meeting may address this
f) Conditions of in-canyon vortex formation. issue (e.g., Eliasson et al., 2004).
Many studies have confirmed the existence of a
mean flow in-canyon vortex when the ambient h) Real cities vs. idealized building geometries.
wind is close to perpendicular to the street
canyon axis (Fig. 7). The in-canyon vortex Most of our understanding of flow and dispersion
rotates vertically with an axis parallel to the in and around building complexes comes from
street canyon and has been found to influence wind-tunnel experiments where the inflow wind
is constant and building arrangements are
generally idealized. For example, the ideas we
have regarding the in-canyon vortex for
skimming flow (H/W < 1) and counter-rotating
vortices for wake interference flow (H/W ~ 2/3)
originate from wind-tunnel experiments of wide
buildings that are of equal height and the mean
flow is more-or-less two-dimensional. For a real
city, with buildings of different heights and
shapes, and spacing between buildings varying
in space (see Fig. 8, for example), it may be
hard to find regions where simple straight-
forward in-canyon vortex flow exists. That is,
the flow field will most likely be a complex
combination of 2D and 3D vortices (both
horizontally and vertically rotating) and Figure 9. Snapshot of smoke mixing upwards on the
channelized flow. backside of the building. The smoke release is at
street-level in the canyon and the prevailing wind is
coming out of the picture perpendicular to the building
face. This intermittent mixing phenomenon is thought
to occur due to intermittent spiral vortices that develop
on the downwind-side of the building. Photo from the
USEPA Meteorological Wind Tunnel courtesy of Bob
Lawson.
o) Tree effects.
In many cities, trees account for a large fraction
of the canopy cover and can alter the heat and
moisture budget (e.g., Oke, 1989). In addition,
trees can slow down winds through drag, trap
contaminants below leaf level, etc. Tree trunks
may actually increase turbulence intensity near
the ground (Gayev and Savory, 1999). An
outdoor dispersion experiment around an
isolated building could only be replicated by a
CFD model when the drag from a row of
Eucalyptus trees were accounted for in the
Figure 12. Snapshots of concentration contours from simulation (Calhoun et al., 2000). In some
large eddy simulation of plume dispersal in street instances, fast response models may need to
canyons. Release is in the 1st canyon near the back- account for trees to improve urban dispersion
wall and winds are from the left. Material is intermit- prediction capabilities.
tently ejected and injected into street canyons by large
building-induced eddies. From Smith et al. (2002). p) Traffic effects.
Moving vehicles create turbulence and may alter
urban canopy (e.g., Roth, 2000), but much less the near-surface winds. Wind-tunnel experi-
has been accomplished within the canopy layer. ments by Kastner-Klein et al. (2003) have shown
Exceptions include, for example, the work by that traffic can significantly impact ground-level
Christen et al. (2002), Kastner-Klein and Rotach and near-wall concentrations within a street
(2004), and Nelson et al. (2004). Further studies canyon. Gaussian dispersion models were
are needed in this area in order to advance the developed to account for vehicle-induced mixing
next generation of urban dispersion models. through an initial vehicle wake plume spread
parameter (e.g., Benson, 1992). As discussed
n) Gradient-mixing vs. non-local mixing. in Kastner-Klein and Clark (2004), the scheme
Many fast-response dispersion models utilize of Di Sabatino et al. (2003) is being
the concepts of gradient mixing, either implicitly implemented into the QUIC urban dispersion
or explicitly. For transport and dispersion model. Although in principal it may be possible
around buildings, large eddies can act to to approximate the effects of traffic on
physically transport contaminants from one point dispersion, it will be difficult to obtain data on
in space to another. For example, in the lee of a traffic density and average vehicle speed for
building, a cavity develops that intermittently specific streets in a city of interest.
flops laterally from side-to-side, resulting in
significant mixing of materials released in the q) Real-time behavior.
downwind cavity. Or, for a release in a street As alluded to in prior sections, the real-time
canyon, material intermittently is ejected out of nature of the flow around buildings is less
the canyon resulting in periods of low and high
understood (and more difficult to model) than the plume location, explicitly accounting for the
steady-state behavior. For many airborne effects of buildings is important. The complex
hazardous release scenarios, intermittent flows that develop in and around buildings
phenomena (e.g., peak concentrations) may be presents a serious challenge for fast response
extremely important due to the health, lethality, model developers, i.e., having a simplified model
or flammability properties of particular agents. with enough fidelity to account for the
complexities of transport and dispersion in cities.
r) Atmospheric stability and heating of building Specific challenges and difficulties were
surfaces. highlighted in this paper, including issues
regarding turbulent mixing, mean flow prediction,
Another key issue is atmospheric stability.
and building geometry effects. There are
Although cities have been shown to minimize
certainly other challenging issues for successful
stability effects, dispersion measurements show
urban dispersion modeling (e.g., indoor-outdoor
that plume spread is dependent on stability (e.g.,
modeling, porosity of parking structures,
McElroy, 1997). It is not clear whether this is a
interaction with meteorological scales, impact of
mesoscale feature due to the upstream air
moisture and rain). A number of groups are
advected into and above the city, or if this is
making progress in this area, but much work
microscale feature resulting from different rates
remains to be done.
of heating (and cooling) of urban surfaces.
CFD modeling studies have shown that heating
Acknowledgements. This work was supported
of individual building walls radically changes the
under the Department of Homeland Security’s
vertical structure of the flow within a street
Biological Countermeasures program.
canyon (e.g., Mestayer et al., 1995; Kim and
Baik, 1998) and around an isolated building
(Smith et al., 2000). Large eddy simulations by
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LA-UR-04-
Los Alamos National Laboratory is operated by the University of California for the United States Department of Energy under contract W-7405-ENG-36.
TITLE:
URBAN DISPERSION – CHALLENGES FOR FAST RESPONSE
MODELING
SUBMITTED TO:
5th AMS Symposium on the Urban Environment
Vancouver, B.C., August 2004
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