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Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323

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Journal of Cleaner Production


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jclepro

Analysis of the solar and wind energetic complementarity in Mexico


~ a Gallardo a, *, Aurelio Medina Ríos b, Juan Segundo Ramírez a
Rafael Pen
a
Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Autonoma de San Luis Potosí, Manuel Nava #8, Zona Universitaria, San Luis Potosí, C.P. 78290, Mexico
b
Facultad de Ingeniería El s de Hidalgo, Francisco J. Múgica S/N, Ciudad Universitaria, Morelia, C.P. 78290,
ectrica, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicola
Mexico

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: In this paper, the temporal energetic complementarity between solar and wind resources for Mexico is
Received 15 January 2020 presented. Energetic complementarity studies are useful to assess the feasibility for the combined use of
Received in revised form two or more renewable energy sources with high variability, over a specific interval of time, and help to
12 May 2020
identify potential sites for the installation of new generation systems. The energetic complementarity
Accepted 15 May 2020
Available online 23 May 2020
study carried out in this research is based on the Pearson correlation coefficient. This coefficient lets to
know the correlation between the solar and wind resources, and with the obtained results new maps are
Handling Editor: Pawel Oclon generated showing the monthly and annual energetic complementarity in the country. Besides, for
practical use of the presented maps in the analysis the natural protected areas of the country, the
Keywords: orography, and the location of the transmission system are included. Also, a comparison between the
Energetic complementarity results obtained and the sites where have been already installed generation systems based on solar and
Feasibility study wind energy is presented. The obtained results show that Mexico has many sites with great energetic
Photovoltaic energy complementarity, some of them are being exploited, but still, there are sites from the center to the north
Resource maps
of the country which have not been exploited and where renewable energy generation systems can be
Wind energy
developed.
© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction et al., 2014), to have variable and flexible loads in terms of con-
sumption (Taneja et al., 2013), and use two or more energy sources
Globally, the use of natural renewable resources, such as the sun which complement each other (Ospino-Castro et al., 2017;
and wind, for the generation of electricity is increasing. This because Weschenfelder et al., 2020).
of the obvious advantages that they have, compared to the use of If the use of energy storage systems wants to be avoided, due to
petroleum derivatives (Claudia Rold an et al., 2014). However, it is its high cost, it is necessary to know the amount of the renewable
important to keep in mind that these resources have variable behavior resource available, the regions where it is more feasible to install
and they are not dispatchable, which leads to the problem that they these systems, and above all, to seek that the generation of one type
cannot follow the demand profiles of consumers (Joskow, 2011). of renewable energy complements the generation of another type.
Therefore, when photovoltaic and wind generation systems are That is why energetic complementarity studies are important and
integrated into electrical networks, their variable generation pat- increasingly used today. Energetic complementarity studies allow
terns must be taken into account and should try to minimize the knowing the feasibility of using two or more renewable energy
negative effects that they may cause. Some solutions proposed in sources together, in a specific region and time. These types of
the specialized literature to deal with the problem of variability of studies are increasingly used nowadays.
the renewable resources are: to oversize the generation systems Thus, energetic complementarity can be defined as the ability of
(Kellogg et al., 1998), use energy storage systems (Beaudin et al., two or more energy sources to work together, complementing their
2010), place multiple distributed systems in a wide region generation, and improving their energy performance (Jurasz et al.,
(Orgerie et al., 2014), forecast the demand and generation (Graff 2020; Yan et al., 2020). Typically, the energetic complementarity is
divided into three types (Jurasz et al., 2020): i.e. temporal, spatio,
and spatio-temporal, respectively.
* Corresponding author. Temporal energetic complementarity is the one that is observed
E-mail addresses: rafael.pena@uaslp.mx (R.P. Gallardo), amedinr@gmail.com in the same region and specific period, for example, over a year or a
(A.M. Ríos), juan.segundo@uaslp.mx (J.S. Ramírez).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.122323
0959-6526/© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
2 R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323

Fig. 1. Historical growth of solar and wind installed capacity in Mexico.

season. Examples of studies of temporal energetic complemen- the resource is scarce in one area, it can be abundant in another,
tarity have been reported in (Stoyanov et al., 2010; Monforti et al., that is, they complement each other. Studies about spatio energetic
2014; Kunwar, 2014; Jurasz et al., 2016; Aza-Gnandji et al., 2018; complementarity can be found in (Li et al., 2009; François et al.,
Berger et al., 2020; Naeem et al., 2020) for Bulgaria, Italy, Nepal, 2017; Miglietta et al., 2017; Tang et al., 2020) for the regions of
Poland, Benin Republic, France, and Pakistan, respectively. New South Wales (Australia), Eastern Italian Alps, Europe, and
Spatio energetic complementarity refers to when energy sour- China.
ces complement each other in a broad region. This means that the On the other hand, the energetic complementarity can also be
generation sources can be distributed over the region, and when spatio-temporal, that is when the conditions defined above are met

Fig. 2. Maps of solar energy potential in Mexico, months from January to April 2018.
R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323 3

Fig. 3. Maps of solar energy potential in Mexico, months from May to August 2018.

simultaneously, in both space and time. There are studies reported (Schmidt et al., 2016), (da Luz and Moura, 2019), and (Neto et al.,
of this energetic complementarity for the Iberian Peninsula (Jerez 2020); other methods to assess the energetic complementarity
et al., 2013), New Zealand (Suomalainen et al., 2015), Lower Sile- have been used, such as long-term correlations and cross-
sia (Poland) (Jurasz et al., 2017), Australia (Prasad et al., 2017), correlations (Dos Anjos et al., 2015), correlation maps (Cant~ ao
United Kingdom (Sun and Harrison, 2019), and China (Ren et al., et al., 2017), complementarity charts based on distance (Risso and
2019; Cao et al., 2019). Beluco, 2017), and complementarity roses (Risso et al., 2018).
Energetic complementarity studies based on renewable re- In the case of USA, in (Slusarewicz and Cohan, 2018) the solar
sources have been reported for the Americas, where Brazil is the and wind complementarity in Texas has been evaluated using the
country with the most published papers in this area of knowledge, Pearson Correlation Coefficient; in (Li et al., 2011) Oklahoma’s wind
followed by the USA. Other countries of this continent that have and insolation resources are modeled with a focus on their com-
energetic complementarity studies reported are Canada, Colombia, plementary nature; the optimal mix of electricity from wind and
and Mexico. Some examples of studies carried out for Brazil are: in solar resources is investigated in (Nikolakakis and Fthenakis, 2011)
(Silva et al., 2016) the Pearson correlation coefficient is used to for the New York State, and in (Solomon et al., 2016) for the Cali-
assess the energetic complementarity between hydro and offshore fornia State; the spatial and temporal analysis of electric wind
wind power, while in (de Oliveira Costa Souza Rosa et al., 2017) and generation intermittency and its dynamics with other renewable
(de Oliveira Costa Souza Rosa et al., 2020) the same coefficient in sources in California is presented in (Tarroja et al., 2011), while
combination with linear programming is used to comprehend and similar research was reported for the solar generation in (Tarroja
optimize the hydro, photovoltaic, and wind power in Rio de Janeiro; et al., 2013).
in (Beluco et al., 2008) is proposed a new dimensionless index for In Canada, in (Hoicka and Rowlands, 2011) the solar and wind
evaluating the time complementarity between two renewable re- complementarity has been investigated to smooth the effects of
sources, this index has been used in (Eifler Neto et al., 2014) for their power production on the grid, and in (Denault et al., 2009) the
wind and water resources in Northeastern region of the country, in complementarity of hydro and wind power was evaluated to
(de Mourin ~ o et al., 2016) for the regularization of hydroelectric improve the risk profile of energy inflows. For Colombia, the solar
reservoir levels through hydro and solar energy complementarity, and wind energetic complementarity has been assessed in
in (Bagatini et al., 2017) is extended for evaluate three renewable (Ramírez, 2015) to support the hydropower generation of the
resources (hydro, wind and solar), and in (Borba and Brito, 2017) for country, and in (Pen~ a Gallardo et al., 2020) complementarity maps
more than two renewable resources; the optimal mix and opera- are created using an image processing-based method. In (Vega-
tion of renewable power generation plants has been carried out Sanchez et al., 2017) the temporal energetic complementary be-
using energetic complementarity studies in (Ramos et al., 2013), tween solar and wind resources for Mexico is obtained. Finally, in
4 R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323

Fig. 4. Maps of solar energy potential in Mexico, months from September to December 2018.

(Viviescas et al., 2019) is reported a study about the complemen- many valleys; the rest is composed of coastal plains with an
tarity and climate change impacts of wind and solar resources to extension of 9,330 km of coastline (INEGI, 2017).
increase energy security in Latin America. It is a country with one of the greatest diversity of climates in
This paper presents the temporal energetic complementarity of the world, among which the humid-warm climate, semi-humid
the solar and wind resources in Mexico to identify areas in which it warm climate, temperate climate, and dry climate stand out
is feasible to install solar and wind generation systems, and that (INEGI, 2019). The average temperature in the country is 24  C; the
they complement their generation over a year. Besides, it is highest temperatures occur in the country’s north, reaching 43  C,
considered within the analysis factors that are always neglected in and the lowest in the mountainous and northern areas with values
these studies which are considered in the feasibility studies, such as around 0  C (INEGI, 2019).
protected, hard-to-reach areas, and the closeness to transmission According to the latest report published by the Secretariat of
systems. The contribution of this research lies in the fact that for Energy (C amara de Diputados Me xico, 2013), the generation of
Mexico only monthly maps of local complementarity have been electricity in Mexico in the first half of 2018 was mainly based on oil
reported in (Vega-Sanchez et al., 2017), and the energetic derivatives, with 75.88%. The rest is generated with clean energy,
complementarity is not considered over a year, neither the feasi- including hydroelectric energy with 10.31%, nuclear energy with
bility of installation. Therefore, this research improves the previ- 4.02%, wind energy with 3.63%, efficient cogeneration with 2.79%,
ously reported work, and the results obtained are validated with geothermal energy with 1.59%, bagasse with 0.81%, photovoltaic
the current data that the Mexican government has regarding the energy with 0.72%, biogas with 0.23%, and others, such as black
areas identified as feasible, and where renewable generation sys- liquor and regenerative brakes with 0.02%. The goal established in
tems have already been installed. the Energy Transition Law of the country is a minimum share of
clean energy in the generation of electrical energy of 25% for the
2. Description of Mexico, generation, and renewable year 2018, 30% for 2021, and 35% for 2024 (Ca mara de Diputados
resources Me xico, 2013).
Regarding to the growth of the generation of electricity using
Mexico is a country located in the Americas. It has a total area of solar and wind energy, it can be seen in Fig. 1 that the generation
1,964,375 km2, being the thirteenth largest country in the world using wind power has increased since 2011; growth that stag-
(INEGI, 2017). It borders to the north with the United States of nated between 2016 and 2017; while the use of solar energy has
America, to the south with Guatemala and Belize, to the east with maintained a constant growth, having its maximum in 2017, with
the Atlantic Ocean, and to the west with the Pacific Ocean. The a growth of 434.88% compared to 2016. It is important to
country is mostly composed of mountain ranges, plateaus, and mention that the data for the last two years is not shown since
R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323 5

Fig. 5. Maps of wind power potential in Mexico, months from January to April 2018.

the report of the Secretariat of Energy covers until the first In Autumn and the month of December, the solar potential
months of 2018. continues to decrease. This behavior can be observed in Fig. 4.
The rapid growth in the installation of photovoltaic and wind December is the month with the lowest average solar potential in
generation plants is because of the Energy Reform that was the country, with a maximum of 200.0 W/m2 in areas of the center
approved in 2013 (Alpizar-Castro and Rodríguez-Monroy, 2016), of the country, and a minimum of 158.3 W/m2. It can be seen that
and the large number of renewable resources that the country has Mexico is a country with great potential for the installation of
for the generation of electricity. Figs. 2e4 show the solar energy photovoltaic panels throughout the year.
potential of the country throughout the months of the year 2018. Regarding the wind potential of the country, Figs. 5e7 show the
The color scale used in these figures ranges from yellow to red potential maps of this renewable resource for 2018 reported by
colors; where the red color represents the maximum value regis- SIGER (Ubaldo et al., 2003). Fig. 5 shows that in the months of
tered in that month and the yellow color the minimum value. The January to April, the greatest potential of the country is located in
values in this scale vary linearly with the color tone, getting a range the Mexican southeastern, in the region known as La Ventosa (in
of values. The data for the generation of these figures were obtained English “The Windy”), considered as a place with the greatest wind
from the measurements made by the Institute of Electrical Research potential in the world (Jaramillo and Borja, 2004). In this area, the
and which are published in the Geographic Information System for wind energy potential is greater than 800 W/m2. Other important
Renewable Energies in Mexico (by its Spanish acronym SIGER) areas are shown in the northwestern of the country (in the
(Ubaldo et al., 2003). Fig. 2 shows that in the first months of the peninsula of Baja California) with good potential, and also in the
year which correspond to the winter and spring seasons, the po- northeastern region with values between 200 and 400 W/m2.
tential is increasing, especially from the center to the north of the Fig. 6 shows the wind potential from May to August. As the
country, with maximum averages of 212.5 W/m2 in January, months of the year pass, the wind potential in the country de-
245.8 W/m2 in February, 295.8 W/m2 in March, and 316.6 W/m2 in creases, with August being the month with the lowest average wind
May. potential in the whole country, with values between 0 and 200 W/
It can be seen from Fig. 3 that the solar energy potential con- m2. During these months, the most significant potential is located
tinues to increase with the passing of the months, in the spring and in the northeastern areas of the country; even in La Ventosa, the
summer seasons, reaching a maximum of potential in June with a potential decreases.
value of 337.5 W/m2. In May, there is the highest average potential During the months that correspond mainly to the Autumn, the
in the whole country with a minimum average value of 291.6 W/m2 wind potential increases in some regions of the northeastern and
and a maximum of 325.0 W/m2. It is observed that the potential southeastern of the country, mainly in the coastal areas (see Fig. 7).
decreases during the summer, in the months of July and August. This increase occurs mainly in September and October.
6 R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323

Fig. 6. Maps of wind power potential in Mexico, months from May to August 2018.

Subsequently, the wind energy potential decreases in the country efficient generation. This coefficient has been widely used to assess
but increases in La Ventosa. energetic complementarity in (Sahin, 2000; Li et al., 2009; Wide n,
Unlike the solar resource, the wind resource presents more 2011; Liu et al., 2013; Monforti et al., 2014; Suomalainen et al., 2015;
variability in the year and is only available in specific regions of the Jurasz et al., 2016; Jurasz and Piasecki, 2016; Bett and Thornton, 2016;
national territory, hence more detailed studies are needed in re- Miglietta et al., 2017; Vega-Sanchez et al., 2017; Slusarewicz and
gions that are identified with good potential (Hernandez et al., Cohan, 2018; Shaner et al., 2018; Canales et al., 2020).
2013), and that the generation of one type is complemented with The NPCC, defined as rxy, can be calculated from a data set {(x1,
another type of generation. That is why energetic complementarity y1), …,(xn, yn)} as:
studies are valuable in this task of identifying potential sites.
Pn
i¼1 ½ðxi  xÞðyi  yÞ
3. Assessment of the energetic complementarity rxy ¼  qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
Pn (1)
2 Pn 2
i¼1 ðxi  xÞ , i¼1 ðyi  yÞ
The energetic complementarity between several natural re-
sources has been evaluated through the use of indexes or statistical where n is the sample size, xi and yi are the individual measure-
analysis using correlation coefficients. These coefficients measure ments of each variable of the solar and wind resources, and x and y
the linear dependence between two randomly distributed variables are the averages of each variable.
using statistical analysis. The use of the following coefficients for The NCCP measures the relationship between two variables,
the calculation of energetic complementarity has been reported in yields values in a range of 1 to þ1. In energetic complementarity, a
the literature (Jurasz et al., 2020): Canonical Correlation Analysis positive value means that there is a full complementarity between
(CCA), Cross-Correlation (CC), Kendall Correlation Coefficient (KCC), the two resources in a region, a zero value that there is no associ-
Pearson Correlation Coefficient (PCC), and Spearman’s Rank Cor- ation between the resources, and a negative value that both re-
relation Coefficient (SRCC). sources are similar, increasing or decreasing, resulting in low
In this work, the negative of the PCC (NPCC) is used to evaluate the energetic complementarity.
complementarity between solar and wind resources for the genera- Please note that to apply the NPCC the measurements of the
tion of electricity. This coefficient is selected because it allows from solar and wind resources must have the same amount of data. In
the measurements of the solar and wind resources to conduct sta- this case, the daily averages values were used, with which Figs. 2e7
tistical analysis and to determine regions in which both resources were made; this guarantees the same amount of data.
complement each other, and where it is possible to install generation The NCCP was used instead of the CCP because the color scale
systems with both types of technology seeking to have a more selected for the results ranges from blue to red colors, where a
R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323 7

Fig. 7. Maps of wind power potential in Mexico, months from September to December 2018.

strong blue color is represented by a 1 and an intense red color by 4.1. Monthly energetic complementarity
a þ1. A red or hot color means a better complementarity and a blue
or colder color than there is no energetic complementarity. The solar-wind energetic complementarity is changing.
A computer program was developed in the C language to carry Figs. 8e10 show the monthly evolution of energetic complemen-
out the energetic complementarity study. The program has the tarity in Mexico. Fig. 8 shows the energetic complementarity
following features: computed from January to April. Notice that the zones with yellow to
red colors have the best energetic complementarity between both
 Reads the solar and wind data, checks the data (same amount of resources according to the NCCP, while the green to blue colors
data, missing data), and converts the data in the same units. represents zones with zero to low complementarity. From the center
 Calculates correlation coefficients. to the northeastern and the peninsula of Baja California, located in
 Creates new maps and plots based on the data and the results. the northwestern of the country, have functional complementarity.
 Makes comparisons and calculates statistics of the data and the Also, notice that the Isthmus of Tehuantepec, in La Ventosa in the
results. southeastern of the country, has functional complementarity in
these months. The percentages of the extension of the country with a
positive energetic complementarity are 44.02%, 34.89%, 33.88%, and
4. Results and discussion 28.81% for January, February, March, and April, respectively.
From July to August, the energetic complementarity is decreasing,
The NPCC was computed with the historical daily average values as is shown in Fig. 9, due to changes in the availability of renewable
of the potential solar and wind resources to obtain the energetic resources. The percentages of the total extension of the country with
complementarity along the different regions of Mexico. positive energetic complementarity values are 24.70% in May, 22.76%
The energetic complementarity analysis was conducted through in June, 27.63% in July, and 27.18 in August. August is the month with
six case studies: (1) monthly complementarity, (2) annual the lowest energetic complementarity values throughout the year,
complementarity, (3) with protected areas, (4) with hard-to-reach while June is the month with the lowest percentage in the country’s
areas because of the orography, (5) proximity to the main trans- extension with positive energetic complementarity and can be
mission lines, and (6) comparison against the potential identified in selected as a critical month since it is the one with the least energy
the country by the government and private associations. The study available from both resources.
of these case studies allows discriminating the sites with a real It can be seen from Fig. 10 that the downward trend in the
possibility to install complementary photovoltaic and wind gen- highest energetic complementarity values continues during
eration systems. September, to rise again in the following months. Note that during
8 R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323

Fig. 8. Maps of energetic complementarity in Mexico, months from January to April.

October, the lowest complementarity is in the southeastern of the regions of the country, there is only a good complementarity be-
country, illustrated by the blue colors. The areas from the center to tween resources in specific regions near to the coastal areas. At the
the north of the country continue with functional energetic same time, from the center to the northeastern, there are vast re-
complementarity over the months. In these months, the percent- gions from good to an excellent energetic complementarity, espe-
ages of the total extension of the country with positive energetic cially near to the USA. In the peninsula of Yucatan, which lies
complementarity values increases, with 34.73% in September, between the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, there is no good
34.71% in October, 52.22% in November, and 57.81% in December. complementarity, since the solar resource is constant throughout
the year and therefore there is no variation that can complement
variations in the wind resource; only on the coastline there is a low
4.2. Annual energetic complementarity
energetic complementarity. Regarding the most of the regions of
the southwestern, central and northwestern, an NPCC value of zero
As observed in the previous case study, the energetic comple-
is observed, which indicates that they are not suitable areas for the
mentarity varies over the months due to the variations in the
installation of power plants that complement their generation,
available solar and wind resources. Thus, it is necessary to assess
without this meaning that there is no potential for the installation
the annual energetic complementarity in the country. It is worth
of a single technology. The total extension of the country with a
mentioning that for the correct calculation of the annual energetic
positive energetic complementarity value is 36.72%.
complementarity, the average of the monthly energetic comple-
The map shown in Fig. 11, and complemented with the maps of
mentarity should not be taken, but that from Equation (1) the
Figs. 8e10, is important since it allows to visualize specific areas in
variables x and y, which represent the monthly average of the solar
which generation systems based on renewable energies can be
and wind resources, respectively, must be replaced by the annual
installed and whose generation is complemented. These maps
average of the data to recalculate the NCCP.
should be complemented with subsequent studies of local power
Fig. 11 shows the annual energetic complementarity obtained
generation and balance with the electric consumption to establish
for Mexico. The places where there is the best potential for the
full feasibility of installation; studies that are not considered in this
combined use of solar and wind systems are marked in the map
research and are left for further studies.
with a star. It is shown that in the northwestern and southeastern
R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323 9

Fig. 9. Maps of energetic complementarity in Mexico, months from May to August.

4.3. Annual energetic complementarity with natural protected which reduces the percentage of the total extension of the
areas country usable with solar and wind energy jointly from 36.72% to
32.21%.
Although the results previously obtained show that there are
multiple regions with good energetic complementarity, it should be
considered that not all of them are suitable for the construction of
electric power plants. One reason is that care must be taken of the 4.4. Annual energetic complementarity considering the orography
environment and the ecosystems that inhabit the region, therefore
in this case study are considered the natural protected areas that Similarly, the orography of a specific region may limit the
the country has. installation of generation systems because of the difficulty of ac-
Fig. 12 (a) shows the map of the natural protected areas of cess. In the particular case of Mexico, four main mountain ranges
Mexico. There are 182 protected areas as of June 2019, covering a cross it, which are: the Sierra Madre Oriental, the Sierra Madre
total area of 90,839,521.55 ha, representing 11.2% of the land area Occidental, the Sierra Madre del Sur, and the Neovolcanic Axis,
and 22.05% of the sea surface (CONANP, 2019). These areas include respectively.
reserves of the biosphere of Mexico, national parks, national The map of the orography of the country is shown in Fig. 13 (a).
monuments, areas of protection of natural resources, areas of From this map, the information of the mountains with greater
protection of flora and fauna, and sanctuaries. height was extracted and included in the map of annual comple-
Fig. 12 (b) shows the map of annual complementarity mentarity, shown in Fig. 13 (b). Here, the areas with good energetic
including the natural protected areas in black. Areas with good complementarity are not as limited as in the case of natural pro-
energetic complementarity in the peninsula of Baja California, tected areas; this is because the mountain ranges that cross the
and in the northwestern, are in protected areas, so they are not country are located in central and southwestern areas, in which the
suitable for the construction of generation systems. The same energetic complementarity is low. However, it is important to take
happens in the northern part of the country and the southeastern into account the orography, since in high areas (such as in the
in the coastal strip. This shows that in practice, the number of mountains), the wind potential is higher, and that is reflected as
suitable areas with good energetic complementarity is dimin- areas of good complementarity within the map of annual energetic
ished to preserve the environment, which is a vital issue when complementarity in yellow color. The reduction in the total areas
building new facilities. 12.28% of the areas with a positive value with a positive energetic complementarity value is approximately
of energetic complementarity fall in natural protected areas, 0.78%, passing from 36.72% to 35.94%.
10 R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323

Fig. 10. Maps of energetic complementarity in Mexico, months from September to December.

4.5. Annual energetic complementarity and proximity to with a positive energetic complementarity, in those where both
transmission lines resources complement each other. It can be seen that many areas
with good complementarity are located near the transmission
Photovoltaic and wind generation systems can operate as stand- system, especially from the center to the north of the country.
alone systems to meet needs in remote locations or without access 56.32% of the areas with a positive energetic complementarity are
to the main transmission system. However, because of its vari- at least 75 km near to the transmission system. Notice from Fig. 14
ability, it is necessary to have backup systems to guarantee the (b) and 14 (d) that zones of excellent complementarity in the
correct and constant supply of electric power to the end-users. That northeast are wasted since there are not enough nearby trans-
is why access to transmission systems represents an essential mission lines to interconnect these resources.
aspect of the planning of the electric power system.
Fig. 14 (a) shows the map that illustrates the National Electric 4.6. Comparison between the annual energetic complementarity
System. It is a highly interconnected system, which transfers the and the areas identified with potential
electric power practically from the south to the north; the penin-
sula of Baja California is disconnected from the transmission sys- To validate the results obtained, a comparison between the
tem. In Fig. 14 (b), the transmission system is superimposed with annual energetic complementarity obtained and the places in
the map of annual energetic complementarity to illustrate the areas which generation systems based on photovoltaic and wind tech-
with high complementarity and close to the transmission system. It nologies have been installed in the country was carried out, also
is important to mention that at present, there is a very high cost of with zones already identify with good potential for each renewable
building new transmission lines; hence, existing ones are used to energy resource. Fig. 15 shows this comparison. The data used for
the maximum. For a better appreciation of the results, Fig. 14 (c) the creation of these maps were taken from the SIGER, the
shows the areas close to the transmission lines, with a distance of Renewable Energy Data Explorer (REexplorer, 2020), and the latest
up to 75 km. For the calculation of the distance on the map, an reports published in 2019 by the Mexican Association of Solar En-
algorithm of nearest neighbors was used. From this figure, it can be ergy (ASOLMEX, 2019), and the Wind and Electric Vehicle Magazine
seen that there is large coverage in the country by the transmission (REVE, 2019).
system; 64.66% of the country is covered by the transmission sys- Fig. 15 (a) shows the map of annual energetic complementarity
tem considering a distance of 75 km. On the other hand, in Fig. 14 superimposed with the areas where generation systems based on
(d) the map of Fig. 14 (c) is shown, but only leaving the areas solar are currently installed, while Fig. 15 (b) shows the areas where
R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323 11

Fig. 11. Map of annual energetic complementarity in Mexico.

Fig. 12. Maps of (a) natural protected areas, (b) annual energetic complementarity including the natural protected areas.

wind power plants are in operation. From Fig. 15 (a), it can be seen energetic complementarity superimposed with the maps of the
that the photovoltaic generation plants are installed mainly from areas with good solar and wind potential already identified for
the center to northwestern regions of the country; 81.81% of the power generation in the country, respectively. These regions are
photovoltaic plants are installed in zones with a positive energetic considered for future developent of renewable generation pro-
complementarity according to the obtained complementarity map. jects. It can be seen that there is a good concordance between the
In the same way, there are some wind power plants installed across maps. There is a 42.71% of concordance with the solar resource
the country, with a high concentration of plants in the Isthmus of and 59.85% for the wind resource. If both potential maps are
Tehuantepec in the southeastern region of the country (see Fig. 15 combined and compared with the energetic complementarity
(b)); 83.33% of the wind power plants are installed in zones marked map, there is a concordance of 46.54%. Please bear in mind that
with a good energetic complementarity. The obtained concordance we calculated the energetic potential for the combined use of
suggests that the used method gives adequate results in finding both resources and the solar and wind potential maps were
places with good energetic complementarity. calculated individually, and this explains why the concordance is
On the other hand, Fig. 15 (c) and (d) show the map of annual not higher.
12 R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323

Fig. 13. Maps of (a) orography, (b) annual energetic complementarity including the orography.

Fig. 14. Maps of (a) location of transmission lines, (b) annual energetic complementarity including the transmission lines, (c) places near the transmission lines, (d) places near
transmission lines with good energetic complementarity.

Besides, it can be seen from Fig. 15 that there are still regions in 5. Conclusions
the center of the country, marked mainly in yellow colors, which
have not yet been exploited, and in this area, there is high elec- This paper presented the current state of the energetic
tricity consumption. The north region of the country is the best in complementarity between solar and wind resources for Mexico.
terms of the energetic complementarity, and the maps show that The Pearson coefficient was used to calculate the complementarity
still is unexploited. However, from Fig. 14 (d) and comparing with since it is a statistical measure of the correlation between two
Fig. 15, it can be observed that the places near to transmission lines variables.
in the country’s north are fully exploited, while in the center, the The daily average measurements data of solar irradiation and
areas with good complementarity are not near to the transmission wind speed, previously converted into average electrical power
lines, which indicates that new infrastructure is needed in these data, were used to calculate the monthly and annual complemen-
areas. tarity in the country.
In conclusion, the annual energetic complementarity map can Six case studies were carried out to give a better overview of the
be valuable in the identification of specific sites not yet exploited practical application of the maps generated of energetic comple-
and where it should conduct more detailed local studies to estab- mentarity in the location of sites with good potential for the
lish full feasibility. installation of new generation plants.
R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323 13

Fig. 15. Maps of the annual energetic complementarity superimposed with (a) solar generation plants, (b) wind power plants, (c) solar potential already identified in the country,
(d) wind potential already identified in the country.

In the first case, the monthly energetic complementarity was complementarity map. Besides, there is a good concordance with
calculated, obtaining that although this varies along the year, there the regions already identified with good energetic potential, for the
is a good energetic complementarity from the center to the north solar resource the similarity is 42.71% and for the wind resource is
and in specific regions of the southeastern of the country. This in- 59.85%. It was also found that there are areas from the center to the
formation was corroborated with the map of annual energetic north of the country that have not yet been exploited and that have
complementarity obtained in the second case study; 36.72% of the good potential.
country has a positive energetic complementarity.
Although areas with a good degree of energetic complemen- Funding
tarity can be observed in the maps presented, not all are suitable for
the installation of new generation plants, since they are in areas This work was supported by the CONACYT (National Council of
protected by the country or difficult to access, for example, in Science and Technology of Mexico) [grant number 740599].
mountainous areas. Therefore, two additional case studies were
generated in which the location of the natural protected areas and Declaration of competing interest
the orography of the country was indicated, to discard these areas
from the map of annual energetic complementarity. The results The authors declare that they have no known competing
obtained show a reduction in the areas with a positive energetic financial interests or personal relationships that could have
complementarity; 32.21% is usable in the natural protected areas appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
case and 35.94% for the orography case.
Another important aspect considered is the proximity of areas CRediT authorship contribution statement
with good energetic complementarity with the transmission sys-
tems, because of the high cost of the construction and installation Rafael Pen~ a Gallardo: Conceptualization, Methodology, Soft-
of new transmission lines. The results show that the country is ware, Validation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Resources, Data
widely interconnected and with wide coverage; 56.32% of the main curation, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing,
areas in which there is an adequate energetic complementarity are Visualization, Supervision, Project administration, Funding acqui-
covered. sition. Aurelio Medina Ríos: Conceptualization, Formal analysis,
Finally, a comparative analysis of the current situation for gen- Data curation, Writing - review & editing. Juan Segundo Ramírez:
eration plants based on photovoltaic panels and wind turbines Conceptualization, Methodology, Formal analysis, Data curation,
already installed and in operation and the energetic potential Writing - review & editing.
already identified, and their similarity in a location with the areas
identified in this study with good energetic complementarity was Acknowledgments
presented. A good similarity in the location of the renewable power
plants was obtained, 81.81% of the photovoltaic plants and 83.33% The authors want to acknowledge the Universidad Auto noma de
of the wind power plants are installed in zones with a positive San Luis Potosí and the Universidad Michoacana de San Nicola s de
energetic complementarity according to the obtained annual Hidalgo for the facilities granted to carry out this research. Rafael
14 R.P. Gallardo et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 268 (2020) 122323

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