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“We warn you that unless you act quickly and decisively, our homeland and others like

it will disappear beneath the rising sea before


the end of this century.”
- Mohamed Nasheed, former president of the Maldives
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 The atmosphere is the thin layer of
gases that surrounds the earth.
 The atmosphere contains four
separate layers with differences in
temperature, density, and
composition.

Earth’s atmosphere and moon. Photo taken


from the International Space Station. 2
 The troposphere contains the air we breathe and every aspect of what we call
weather.
 Temperatures decrease as you move up in altitude until just before the
stratosphere, where they stabilize.

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 The stratosphere is a very dry and less dense layer above the troposphere.
 The ozone layer, which absorbs and scatters ultraviolet radiation, is found here.
 Very little air mixing takes place in the tropopause – the area between the
stratosphere and upper troposphere, due to the similar temperatures.

Nearpod 4
 The atmosphere consists of
permanent gases, that do not
change day-to-day:
 78.1% nitrogen
 21% oxygen
 0.93% argon
 Variable gases change in
amounts depending on the
seasons and other factors.
 Water vapor
 Carbon dioxide
 Methane
 Nitrous oxide
 Ozone
 CFCs

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 When a hemisphere is
facing the sun, about half of
incoming solar radiation
passes through the
atmosphere and warms the
Earth.
 At night, that heat is
radiated from the Earth’s
surface back towards the
atmosphere.

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 Many of the variable gases
have a greenhouse effect on
the Earth, meaning they
trap some of the heat energy
generated by the sun.
 Greenhouse gases that have
this effect include:
 Carbon dioxide
 Methane
 Nitrous oxides
 CFCs
 Water vapor

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 Mars has a much thinner
atmosphere, with no
greenhouse effect.
 A Martian summer
daytime high near the
equator may approach
70°F.
 At night, the same
location would
experience a low of -
100°F.

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 The Earth’s atmosphere has
undergone many changes
throughout its history.
 During the Precambrian Period,
from 4.6 billion to 540 million years
ago, the Earth’s atmosphere was
mostly carbon dioxide and nitrogen.
 The earth was populated by many
species of single-celled prokaryotes.
 A new life form called cyanobacteria
Cyanobacteria bloom, Lake Erie.
evolved the ability to perform Photo by Thomas Archer
photosynthesis, absorbing carbon
dioxide and releasing oxygen.
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 Photosynthesis weakened the
greenhouse effect due to the
removal of carbon dioxide and
oxidation of methane.
 This triggered the first and
longest ice age ever faced by the
Earth.

The “snowball Earth hypothesis” suggests the planet


was mostly covered in ice.

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 An ice age is a period of time where the Earth’s overall surface temperature is
lowered enough that glaciers form at the poles and in mountainous areas.
 The Earth has experienced at least 5 major ice ages.

Average global temperatures over the past 2.4 billion years.


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 Within each ice age, glaciers will expand and shrink.
 During glacial periods, glaciers are growing and advancing.
 During interglacial periods, the overall climate is warmer, leading the glaciers to
retreat.

Nearpod Average Greenland/Antarctic temperatures over the past 450,000 years. 12


 Temperature data
prior to the 19th
century is the result
of proxies, or indirect
measurements.
 The main proxy is ice
cores drilled into the
glaciers in
Antarctica and
Greenland.

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 Ice cores are
formed as more
ice is laid down
each year.
 Similar to how
tree rings grow.
 This Antarctic
core shows a layer
of ash that settled
on the ice sheet
about 21,000
years ago.

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 Two sets of data can be extracted from the bubbles of air trapped in ice cores:
 The temperature can be estimated by studying the relative amounts of oxygen
isotopes present in the water in the ice.
 The concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrogen oxides are
measured directly by sampling the air bubbles.

Photo by Pete Bucktrout,


courtesy British
Antarctic Survey.

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 The last glacial period on Earth ended about 10-20 thousand years ago.
 The overall temperature has been stable since, a few exceptions triggered by
natural phenomena.

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 The Medieval Warm Period lasted
between about 950-1250 C.E., with
warmth in some regions exceeding
the current post-industrial era.
 Historical events partially tied to
this period include:
 Vikings being able to cross ice-free
seas and colonize southern
Greenland and Newfoundland.
 High crop yields and economic
prosperity throughout much of
Europe and Asia.
A reconstructed Viking settlement, L’Anse aux
Meadows, Newfoundland.
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 The Little Ice Age was a period of
cooling that lasted from the 16th-
19th centuries.
 The Viking colonies in
Greenland failed and were
abandoned.
 North American Indian tribes
formed alliances in response to
food shortages.
 The River Thames frequently
froze over in the winter, leading
to frost fairs.
 A straight called the Great Belt
froze over, allowing Sweden to
march across it and invade The Frozen Thames, 1677.
Denmark.

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 The Earth periodically
undergoes a series of 3
changes called Milankovitch
Cycles that affect the amount
of global solar radiation
received and influence
glacial-interglacial cycles.
 Shape of its orbit around the
sun (~100,000 years)
 Tilt of the Earth’s axis
(~41,000 years)
 Wobbling of the Earth’s axis
(~23,000 years)
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 Volcanic eruptions release sulfur dioxide and particulates that scatter solar
radiation, causing a cooling effect.
 In 1816, Mount Tambora in Indonesia erupted, causing snow to fall in June in
North America, resulting in crop losses and food shortages.

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 Sunspots are darker areas on the sun’s
surface created by intense magnetic
fields.
 The sun emits slightly more radiation
when more sunspots are present.
 The sun emits slightly less radiation
when fewer sunspots are present.
 The number of sunspots cycles an
average of every 11 years.
 Last cycle was 2008-2019.
 Next maximum predicted around 2025.

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 The Great Ocean Conveyor
Belt is an underwater
current fueled by the
mixing of warm and cold
salt water.
 An influx of cold
freshwater
from melting land ice
could disrupt this
flow.
 The release of heat by this
system keeps Western
Europe warmer than other
areas at the same latitude.

Nearpod 24
 The El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle is a periodic warming and cooling of
surface ocean temperatures in the Pacific Ocean.
 This warm water affects evaporation rates, influencing temperatures and
precipitation levels throughout the world.

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 Since 1958, daily
measurements of
atmospheric carbon
dioxide levels have
been taken at an
observatory on
Hawaii.
 Hawaii was chosen
to avoid the
influences of large
forests or cities.

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 Carbon dioxide levels
fluctuate within each
year.
 CO2 increases Oct-Apr
 CO2 decreases May-Sept

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 The CO2 seasons correspond
to seasonal changes in the
Northern Hemisphere,
where most of the Earth’s
land mass is located.
 Summer: More
photosynthesis, more CO2
absorption
 Winter: Less
photosynthesis, more CO2
release

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 In 1988, the United Nations set up the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) to assess climate change:

 Gathering evidence that it is taking place

 Assessing impacts and future risks

 Providing options for adapting and mitigating to its effects

 According to the IPCC 2014 report:


“Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from
observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures,
widespread melting of snow and ice and rising global average sea level.”
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 Both land and ocean
surface temperatures
have increased since
the industrial
revolution.
 There has been a
0.9°C increase in
average surface
temperatures.
 17 out of 18 of the
warmest years since
1880 have occurred
since 2001.
 The area of greatest
warming has been in
the Arctic.

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 Sea ice is frozen
seawater that
floats on the
ocean’s surface.
 The minimum sea
ice extent in the
Arctic is measured
every September.
 This has
decreased
steadily, with an
ice-free Arctic
expected by
2030-2040.

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 Ice sheets are any
permanent layers of
ice covering a tract of
land, especially in the
polar regions.
 Antarctic ice sheets
are losing 127
Gigatonnes(Gt) of
ice per year.
 Greenland ice sheets
are losing
286Gt/year.

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 Sea level worldwide is
increasing, primarily
due to two factors:
 Water flowing in from
melting ice sheets.
 Thermal expansion,
the tendency of water
to expand in volume
as it warms.

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 The increase in surface temperature has many aspects of plant growing
seasons.

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 Warmer temperatures
have increased the
range of many pest
insects.
 Mosquitoes that
spread diseases like
malaria and West Nile
Virus have expanded
ranges.
 Pine bark beetles have
begun infesting boreal
forests east of the
Rocky Mountains.

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 Coral bleaching occurs when coral polyps eject the symbiotic algae that live
with them under stressful environmental conditions.
 Ocean water is becoming more acidic as it absorbs carbon dioxide.
 Ocean water overall is becoming warmer.

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 Hurricane frequency
and intensity has
increased since
1980.
 The exact link
between
hurricanes and
climate change is
uncertain.

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 Scientists fear the Great
Ocean Conveyor may
weaken or be stopped as
cold water flows in from
Greenland.
 This would cause rapid
cooling throughout
Western Europe.

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 Melting of ice sheets into ocean water has lowered the overall albedo of
the Arctic.
 Albedo is a measurement of how reflective a surface is.
 Range is from 0 (black, no reflection), to 1 (white, all reflected).

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 A lower albedo in the
Arctic causes warming
to take place even faster,
creating a positive
feedback loop.

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 The loss of sea ice
has diminished
the ability of polar
bears to hunt and
fatten up during
the Arctic winter.
 Seals must come
up through sea
ice to breathe,
allowing polar
bears to ambush
them.

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 The polar bear population is expected to decline by two-thirds by 2050,
reaching numbers less than 10,000.

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 Mountain glaciers, like land ice, are shrinking worldwide.

A 1870 postcard of the Rhone glacier in Switzerland contrasted with a 2006 view.
Source: New York Times
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 The Himalayan glaciers are expected to decline by 70% or more by 2100,
endangering irrigation, drinking water, and hydropower throughout
Southeast Asia.

Nearpod 44
 The hydrologic cycle
describes the movement of
water through evaporation,
precipitation, runoff, and
infiltration.
 The phase changes of water
in this cycle are driven by
heat.
 More heat in the atmosphere
leads to…
 A higher rate of evaporation
(from land and sea both).
 A greater capacity of the
atmosphere for holding
moisture.
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 Climate change has the paradoxical effect of increasing the rate of both
drought and heavy precipitation events.

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 The increase in atmospheric moisture can also fuel blizzards during the
winter months.

A 2010 political attack ad published during a major blizzard in Virginia.


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 As the ocean level rises, coastal cities become more at risk of:
 Increased erosion of beaches and shorelines.
 Flooding from intrusion of ocean water.
 Increased risk of damage from storm surges.

Sea wall,
Malé ,
Maldives.

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 Determining our impact on climate change
revolves around the idea of anthropogenic
greenhouse gases – ones that were released
by human activity.
 This can be established by comparing the
three isotopes of carbon present in
molecules of carbon dioxide.
 Plants only use carbon-12 in photosynthesis.
 Fossil fuels are plant or algae derived, so
burning them releases carbon dioxide that
only contains carbon-12.
 The ratio of carbon-12 to carbon-13 has
increased since the industrial revolution.
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 There is near-unanimous
consensus (97%) amongst
scientists that climate change is
occurring and that humans are at
least partially responsible for it.
 Most scientific organizations
have also endorsed this position:
 American Association for the Advancement of
Science (AAAS)
 American Chemical Society (ACS)
 American Geophysical Union (AGU)
 American Medical Association (AMA)
 American Meteorological Society
 American Physical Society
 Geological Society of America
 U.S. National Academy of Sciences
Temperature data from four international science institutions.
 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(United Nations)
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 Responding to climate change involves two different approaches:
 Mitigation strategies are designed to reduce emissions and stabilize the levels of
greenhouse gases already in the atmosphere.
 Adaptation involves adjusting our lives and society to the expected future
climate.

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 The ocean, forests, and soil
can be used as carbon sinks,
meaning they absorb and
retain carbon dioxide from
the atmosphere.
 Reforestation of areas that
have been clear cut.
 Fertilizing areas of the
ocean to promote algae
growth.
 Protecting and restoring
wetlands. Experimental reforestation of the Ashio copper mine, Japan.
Photo by Robert Stolz, japanfocus.org

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 Reducing greenhouse gas emission requires major societal changes:
 Switching from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources.
 Consuming less beef, as cows release large amounts of methane.
 Finding alternatives to ammonium fertilizer, which can be converted into
nitrogen oxides.

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 Geoengineering is the study of
intentionally and artificially changing
natural processes of the Earth.
 Solar radiation management uses
reflective surface materials to reflect
more back into space.
 Stratospheric aerosols are reflective
molecules that would be injected into
the stratosphere.
 Carbon capture and storage is the
process of capturing carbon dioxide Schwarze Pumpe power station and carbon
produced from large point sources, such capture facility, Spremburg, Germany.
as coal-burning power plants and
depositing it underground.

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 In 2009, the U.S. House of Representatives voted in favor of a carbon dioxide
cap-and-trade bill.
 A cap would be set on the maximum amount of carbon pollution that can be
produced by a single facility.
 Companies could trade carbon credits in exchange for money, creating an
economic incentive.
 This bill was defeated in the Senate, due to concerns about increased energy
costs and its effect on the economy.
 Subsequent action has relied on the EPA and executive branch.

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 Under the Obama
administration, the EPA, began
publishing restrictions on
carbon pollution that can be
released from power plants.
 The agency is using authority
granted by the Clean Air Act to
treat carbon dioxide as a
pollutant.
 These restrictions were rolled
back under the Trump
administration, then largely
restored by the Biden
administration.
 Permanent regulations must
originate from Congress.
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 Many local governments,
especially in South Florida,
are already actively spending
money on climate change
adaptation, including:
 Sea wall construction
 Erosion barriers to protect
beaches
 Raised roadways
 Stormwater pumps

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 Other levels of
government ignore or
actively deny climate
change.
 In 2011, Florida’s
governor instituted
an unwritten ban on
the use of “climate
change” in all state-
level
communications.

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 The source of this conflict is similar to the one outlined in Tragedy of the
Commons – the exploitation of a shared resource for individual benefit.

Image from An Inconvenient Truth book, by Al Gore. 59

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