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Topic 8: Microeconomics The Supply Relationship

THMN17H – Applied Economics  The correlation between price and how much of
goods or service is supplied to the market is
Macro vs. Micro Economics known as the supply relationship.
Microeconomics  Price, therefore, is a reflection of supply and
demand.
▪ The term Microeconomics is derived from the Greek
word “MIKROS” which means Small. The demand for recreation, leisure and tourism
products
▪ In microeconomics attention is concentrated on a
very small part of individuals ▪ Law of Demand

“ Microeconomics is the study of particular Firms, ▪ As with any product, with everything else held
Particular Household, individual prices, wages, constant. As the Price of that product
incomes, Individual industries, particular increases (a), The Demand for a product
commodities” decreases (b)
– K.E. Boulding
The 4 four basic laws of supply & demand
Notable Quotes: ▪ If demand increases and supply remains
“Anyone who believes exponential growth can go on
unchanged, a shortage will result, leading to a
forever in a finite world is either a madman or an
higher equilibrium price.
economist.”
▪ If demand decreases and supply remains
–Kenneth E. Boulding
unchanged, a surplus will result, thus leads to
Microeconomics a lower equilibrium price.

“ Microeconomics is that Branch of Economics which ▪ If demand remains unchanged and supply
is concerned with individual firms, their output and increases, a surplus will result, leading to a
costs, the production and pricing of single lower equilibrium price.
commodities, wages of Individuals & etc.” – Hansen
▪ If demand remains unchanged and supply
“In Microeconomics we examine the Trees, and not decreases, a shortage will result, leading to a
the Forest. Microeconomics is useful in achieving higher equilibrium price.
worm’s eye view of some very specific component of
our economic system.” Equilibrium Price
– C. McConnell ▪ The market price at which the supply of an
According to the UNWTO World Tourism item equals the quantity demanded.
Barometer, Demand for international tourism grew Law of Supply and Demand
by 3.9% in 2016
▪ In free markets, surpluses and/or shortages
 Up by 46 million tourist arrivals to reach a total of tend to be temporary and obey the law of
1,235 million in 2016, even in the face of global supply and demand, since actions of buyers
economic and security challenges. and sellers tend to match prices back toward
DEMAND their equilibrium levels.

▪ Demand refers to how much (quantity) of a ▪ In tourism and hospitality. This can be seen
product or service is desired by buyers. during peak and lean season pricing of
products. Although tourism and hospitality
▪ The quantity demanded is the amount of a product products are Inelastic, prices are still
people are willing to buy at a certain price. dependent on Demand. (Elasticity will be
discussed in later slides)
▪ The relationship between price and quantity
demanded is known as the demand relationship. Definition of Demand
▪ Supply represents how much the market can offer.  The amount of a product that will be sold at a
certain price for a specified period
▪ The quantity supplied refers to the amount of
certain goods producers are willing to supply when  The higher the price the less bought….the lower
receiving a certain price. the price the more purchased
▪ A decrease in the value of the Philippine Peso
could lead to an increase in the demand for a
The demand for recreation, leisure and tourism
holidays or vacations to the Philippines, Ceritis
products
Paribus (meaning all other things being
Demand and other factors unchanged)

– other prices Motivation and Demand

▪ substitutes and joint demand ▪ Travel facilitators are economic and social factors
combined with influence from suppliers of tourism
– comparative quality/value added products. Facilitators relate to a person’s ability to
travel. Key facilitators are: time and money.
– fashion and tastes
▪ Motivators relate to the reasons why people wish
– advertising
to travel and engage in tourism.
– opportunities for consumption (e.g. leisure
Motivation would depend on:
time)
▪ Physical motivators
– Population
▪ Cultural motivators
– External factors - disposable income, time
availability, change in the demographic ▪ Interpersonal motivators
composition of a society.
▪ Status and prestige motivators
– Basic services intertwined with tourists
Professor H.P. Gray:
motivations
▪ Wanderlust – the desire to exchange the
– Market segments –the categorization of
known for the unknown, to leave familiar
tourists
things and to seek new experiences, places,
– Tourism policy by government organisations people and cultures

– Marketing through promotional campaigns ▪ Sunlust – a desire to travel and enjoy sunny
that lift or create demand places

– The media through either positively endorsing Characteristics of Tourism Demand:


or recommending a destination or tourism
▪ Supply of some tourism facilities (eg:
supplier, or adversely reporting on negative
accommodation) is ‘inelastic’….ie: limited or
aspects of tourism in an area.
restricted.
Substitutes
▪ Accommodation Space/Room cannot be
▪ A substitute, or substitute good, in readily increased when demand also increase.
economics and consumer theory is a product or
▪ When supply is limited competing forces may
service a consumer sees as the same or similar
bid the price up.
to another product. Put simply, a substitute is a
good that can be used in place of another. ▪ In response to higher offers suppliers may be
willing to increase production (extend the
Joint Demand
hotel, release additional rooms, if available).
▪ Joint demand refers to the relationship between
Price Elasticity
two or more commodities or services when they
are demanded together. There is joint demand for ▪ If the %age change in demand is greater than the
cars and petrol, pens and ink, tea and sugar, etc. %age change in price which caused it, then
Jointly demanded goods are complementary. demand is elastic.
▪ A rise in the price of one leads to a fall in the ▪ If the change in demand is less than the %age
demand for the other and vice versa. For example, change in price which caused it, then demand is
a rise in the price of cars will bring a fall in their inelastic.
demand together with the demand for petrol and
lower its price, if the supply of petrol remains
unchanged.
▪ If responsiveness of demand is exactly Country overseas is in Peso, and as the value
proportional to the change in price, then elasticity of the Peso decreases their purchasing power
is unitary. overseas will also decrease.
Price of tourism product is made up of 3 ▪ A strong Peso increases the cost of a
components Philippine holiday and reduces the spending
power of visitors, It does however increase the
1. Price of transport to the destination
purchasing power of the Philippines outside of
2. Rate of exchange between the currency of the the country by increasing its marketing budget
host country and the currency of the in overseas markets.
generating country (international tourism)
Determinants of demand elasticity
3. The price of ground costs (as influenced by
▪ For business travelers the decision of
inflation)
when/where or even whether to go is often
Income Elasticity beyond their control. (attending conferences,
meetings, product launches etc) So business
▪ An individuals income increases their demand for travel is both price and income inelastic.
specific products but reduce their demand for
products previously consumed. ▪ For leisure travelers they have freedom of
choice regarding where/when/how long and
▪ This is because the change in income may allow a even whether to go on holiday at all. Leisure
person to buy a higher-quality product instead of travelers can shop competitively, checking
an inferior product. [Law of Substitution] prices, value for money, special offers etc. So
Definition of ‘demand for tourism’ income and price elasticity's are higher than
for business travelers.
▪ The total number of persons who travel or wish to
travel and use tourist facilities and services at ▪ Tourism demand will continue to grow and
places away from their places of work or residence become increasingly differentiated.
- (Cooper et all. 1993) ▪ There will be greater market specialization and
The demand for recreation, leisure and tourism segmentation with a stronger emphasis on
products more active pastimes rather than passive
holidays.
Demand and other factors
▪ Packaged holidays will be customized to
– Income accommodate greater individual freedom
through a modular product design.
▪ Normal (superior) and inferior goods
Total revenue and elasticity of demand
Air fares elasticity
▪ Drop in price only increases revenue if demand is
▪ Short haul air fares tend to be inelastic as price
high enough and the quantity sold compensates for
elasticity of demand has been calculated to be
lowering of selling price.
inelastic. (doesn’t change demand much)
▪ Promotional Pricing or Lowering of Prices during
▪ Long haul travel tends to be price elastic (ie a
Lean Season could lead to increased demand thus
special air fare reducing $300 of the price of a
increasing revenue.
flight to NZ can create an immediate increase in
demand) whereas low priced are usually price ▪ Increase in price usually leads to drop in demand
inelastic (ie reducing the cost of a Diet Coke but can lead to increase in overall revenue.
from $1.20 to $1.15 is unlikely to cause much
shift in demand) ▪ Increasing price during peak season due to high
demands could help recover losses from low sale
Exchange rate elasticity during lean season
▪ A drop in the value of the Peso is positive for Sensitivity of demand
Philippine TOURISM as it lowers the cost of
visiting the country. Visitor numbers and ▪ Fashion – destinations go in and out of fashion
spending will increase. But the funding that ▪ Socio-political changes – civil unrest can seriously
RP Tourism receives for marketing The affect demand for a destination, or alternatively
increase demand if the country was previously ▪ Tourism resources for tourism supply range from
engaged in war or internal strife and is now natural to man-made.
peaceful.
Tourism Supply
▪ Foreign Exchange.
▪ Infrastructure required includes
Simultaneous consumption of Complementary telecommunications, accommodation and
products and services transport. Below are Infrastructure development in
the Towns of San Vicente, Aborlan, Narra and
▪ Tourism products are often consumed together,
Brooke’s Point in the Province of Palawan to add
such as an air flight and a hotel room along with a
to the Provinces Tourism Development
sightseeing tour.
Tourism Supply
▪ So increase in demand for one product may cause
increase in demand of complementary product. ▪ Tourism services include tour companies, visitor
information offices, transport rental agencies
Competition
Understanding tourism supply
▪ From other tourism products, such as suppliers of
similar products, or suppliers of products to other ▪ 'Tourism supply is a complex phenomenon
destinations. because of both the nature of the product and the
process of delivery.
Seasonality
▪ Principally, it cannot be stored (i.e. it is a
▪ Tourism demand is highly season almost perishable product), it is intangible in that it cannot
worldwide with weather being critical factor in be examined prior to purchase, it is necessary to
choosing a destination travel to consume it, heavy reliance is placed on
both natural and human-made resources and a
▪ School holidays affect seasonality, as do number of components are required, which may be
traditional ‘factory shut-downs’ that require separately of jointly purchased and which are
workforce to take holidays at that time. consumed in sequence.
▪ Key holidays affect seasonality, such as Christmas, ▪ It is a composite product involving transport,
Thanksgiving in USA. accommodation, catering, natural resources,
entertainment, and other facilities and services,
▪ Special events are impacted by seasonality of such as shops and banks, travel agents and tour
demand. The tourism demand is only present for operators.'
the periods of the event. Like Oktoberfest in
Germany Sinclair and Stabler
(1997:58)
▪ Marketing strategies are designed to shift demand
from peak (requires less marketing effort) to off-
peak in order to extend the tourism season Tourism destination planning
Law of Supply ▪ Not all places can be a tourism destination, one
▪ As the price of a product rises, all other things must meet criteria's that would ensure the
being equal , suppliers will offer more for sale. viability and longevity of a particular destination.
[As they will have more to sell since price ▪ The availability of natural resources and
increases can dampen demand] attractions
▪ The availability of investment funds
Law of Supply Definition of tourism supply ▪ A skilled human resource base
▪ The supply of all assets, services and goods to be ▪ Government policy that supports tourism
enjoyed or bought by visitors and occasioned by ▪ Destination accessibility
the journeys of visitors. ▪ The presence of complementary services and
▪ Tourism supply consists of an amalgamation or facilities and infrastructure
mix of attractions. Tourism exists in a fixed geographical
▪ Tourism supply shapes the demand for tourism in location:
a country.
▪ This characteristic of tourism supply impacts on a
Tourism Supply destinations’ ability to grow to meet demand.
(investors can be slow to see the opportunity but Information Needed in Pricing
quick to see the risk)
1. Tour or Accommodation Details - You will need
▪ One purchases the product in one place but to provide information about your business, such
consumes it in another. as the different tour types you offer and the
number of passengers or how many different room
▪ Businesses have to invest in tourism operations at types you have.
the destination with an expectation that the
destination will appeal sufficiently to visitors. 2. Daily Cost (Fixed) - You need to determine the
fixed costs associated with operating your
How does supply change to meet demand?
business, such as fuel, labor etc...
▪ Changes airlines have made to meet demand with 3. Daily Cost (Variable) - You need to determine
changing routes (cancelling some, introducing the costs associated with taking passengers on tour
others, adding or deleting capacity to meet the or letting out rooms, such as meals, third party
market). Increasing or decreasing the aircraft size activities, linen and room cleaning
and capacity in conjunction with demand and sales
4. Annual Business Costs (Fixed) - You need to
▪ Cruise ships – flood of new Mega Cruise Ships calculate the total costs associated with operating
being built (additional supply) to meet the growing your business. These costs occur whether you have
demand for cruising. tours operating or not, this is why they are called
▪ Advent of high-end luxury cruising with fixed. For example costs that are fixed include
balconies/windows and incredible array of insurance, marketing, lease payments, bank fees,
amenities to suit demand by more discerning accounting fees, salaries etc...
consumers
5. Annual Capacity - If you have been trading for a
▪ Expansion of conference facilities to meet growth number of years you should know your average
in conferences and events market. capacity. If you are new to the industry you will
Changes in quantity of a product or have to estimate your future capacity based on
service occur due to: factors such as visitation to the region, competitor
analysis and customer feedback.
▪ Capacity and technology
▪ Cost structure
▪ Prices of substitutes and complements
Topic 8: Macroeconomics
▪ Perceptions of future prices
A. Investment in Public Sector
▪ Income
SOURCES OF PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
▪ Preferences
National Level
Pricing Factors to Consider
▪ government channels leisure and tourism
The average price you sell your product for can investment through government departments
vary, some of the factors that influence pricing are: and public corporations
1. Seasonality - You may vary your price depending Local Government Units
on high or low season.
▪ Cities and municipalities
2. Operating Cost - The higher your operating costs,
the more expensive your prices will need to be so that Supranational Level
you cover all expenses.
▪ such as ASEAN, Asian Development Bank
3. Competition - There is no point pricing your (ADB)
product out of the marketplace, you need to stay
competitive or be able to justify the high price.
TYPES OF PUBLIC SECTOR INVESTMENTS
4. Demand - People will pay more if there is a high
Building and Land
demand in a region; similarly they will pay less if there
is an abundance of choice. ▪ Parks, leisure centres and museums.
▪ Roads, railways and airports, water and
Social costs Social Benefits
sewerage, power and telecommunications.
Inconvenience to local Transport of Goods
Plant and Machinery residents due to right of Link CAR to other
way issues and closure destination nationwide
▪ Playground apparatus, computerized booking of runway to vehicular New jobs created by the
systems traffic project
Research and Development
INFRASTRUCTURE
Airport Terminals
▪ International, Domestic and Community airports
Airport Expressway
▪ NAIA Skyway  elevated expressway system which
links Metro Manila Skyway to the Ninoy Aquino
GOVERNMENT INVESTMENT INCENTIVES
International Airport (NAIA) and Entertainment
City. To encourage
Incentives can include
investment
AIMS and METHODS of PUBLIC SECTOR
▪ in areas of high
INVESTMENT unemployment
▪ matched funding
• projects are wholly public sector-financed ▪ where there are clear
social benefits ▪ tax relief
• projects are jointly financed by the public and offered by a scheme
private sectors • where structural
changes in the
• private sector investments which are eligible economy have led to • subsidized loans
for public sector investment incentive grants. geographic areas of • simplified planning
economic decline (for procedures
• provision of goods and services which have
example inner city
significant public benefits, but which might not decline, rural decline
be profitable enough to attract private sector etc.)
investment.
• economic development or regeneration of a
particular area. SOURCES OF FUNDS FOR PUBLIC
Public-funded restoration projects on Baluarte de INVESTMENT
San Diego in the Intramuros, Manila ▪ OPERATING PROFITS – BUDGET
AIMS ALLOCATION
▪ NATIONAL LOTTERIES – LOTTO
• Preservation of cultural capital ▪ TAXATION
▪ PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP
• Economic regeneration
(PPP) –
• Provision of jobs Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT)

INVESTMENT APPEAL COSTS BENEFITS


Cost funded by private sector
Private Costs
Cost–benefit analysis Private Benefits
Construction Cost of
- all the costs and benefits of a project are identified Revenue from project
project
and weighed up, including social as well as private
ones. Enhance tourism and
Material
Cost-Benefit Analysis of Baguio Airport industry
Restoration
Link to other
Labor
destination

Encourage potential
Fees
carriers
▪ BORROWING FROM FOREIGN ▪ Or may not be able to undertake the finance or
FUNDERS – risk for very large projects.
(ADB, JICA)
Review of Key Terms
FUNDING PROJECTS
 Infrastructure =
▪ Rehabilitation of Boracay Island at Malay, construction needed to support economic
Aklan financed by the National Government development.
through the Department of Environment and  Cost–benefit analysis =
Natural Resources (DENR) full analysis of public and private costs and
benefits of project.
Conceptualized in 1981 as the Main theatre for the  Opportunity costs of public sector investment
First Manila International Film Festival =
alternative uses the funds could have been used
• The Film Center opened in 1982 costing an for
estimate of $25 million.  Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) =
• Damaged by the 1990 earthquake. where governments contract a private company
to finance, design, construct, operate and
• Rehabilitation cost of the building in 2001 was maintain a project in return for future income.
approximately Php300 million
Public Sector Investments: Cons TOPIC: MACRO ECONOMICS

▪ Not a good interpreter of people’s wants and Balance of Payment and Exchange Rates
thus often invests in ‘white elephants’.
“ Every man lives by exchanging.”
▪ Not good at ensuring efficient use of funds and
— Adam Smith
tends to allow waste.
▪ Causes an increase in taxation or public
borrowing.
▪ ‘Crowds out’ private sector investment. David Ricardo
Opportunity Cost of Public Sector Investment  Classical Economist who promoted the idea of
comparative advantage as the basis for trade.
▪ An increase in public sector investment means
either:  Addressed specialization on a global,
▪ A reduction of other expenditure (BC) macroeconomic level to explain Specialize and
▪ Or an increase in taxes (YZ) Trade based on the concept of Opportunity Cost.
 Opportunity cost the cost of the next best
WHITE ELEPHANTS alternative, or what you are giving up to do what
▪ a possession which the owner cannot dispose of you are currently doing.
Adam Smith
and whose cost, particularly that of
 The Father of Modern Economics he focused on
maintenance, is out of proportion to its
describing the benefits of one type of
usefulness
specializing in labor, division of labor, which is
PUBLIC SECTOR INVESTMENT vs PRIVATE when cooperating individuals perform
INVESTMENTS specialized tasks.
Specialization
Public Sector  Is when a nation or individual concentrates its
productive efforts on producing a limited variety
▪ Can help regenerate parts of the economy of goods.
which have suffered from restructuring.  It oftentimes has to forgo producing
▪ Can generate jobs when unemployment is high. other goods and relies on obtaining
those other goods through trade.
Private Sector
▪ insufficient incentive to invest in public goods. COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
▪ under invests in goods which have mainly  An economic term referring to an economy's
social benefits. ability to produce goods and services at a lower
opportunity cost than that of trade partners. It
provides a company the ability to sell goods and Established on January 1948 until 1994 and was
services at a lower price than its competitors and replaced by WTO.
realize stronger sales margins.
General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS )
ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE the treaty that seeks to operationalize this aim.
 an economic term referring to an economy's ability Free trade liberalization under WTO is based on
to produce goods and services: three specific pillars:
– of a greater total for the same quantity of
MARKET ACCESS
inputs.
– with fewer resources are needed to produce the  Foreign owned companies have free access to
same amount of goods and there will be lower domestic markets
costs than other economies
MOST FAVORED NATION STATUS:
BENEFITS from SPECIALIZATION and TRADE
 Concessions granted to any one country must be
▪ increase productivity and standard of living within made available on a non-discriminatory basis to all
a nation. other signatories of the agreement
▪ there will be a larger global output of goods and
services. NATIONAL TREATMENT
▪ Once countries specialize their production in  Foreign investors must be treated on an equal basis
particular area, additional benefits of economies of with domestic investors, domestic investors must
scale are likely to arise. Everyone can benefit from not receive any favourable treatment that could be
trading with one another. They can enjoy a greater conceived as protectionist.
quantity and greater variety of goods and services.
LIMITS TO Trade BENEFITS
COST OF SPECIALIZATION AND TRADE
- Extra costs involved in currency conversion and
– Domestic jobs are lost. risk.
- Domestic income is lost - Transport costs can add to production cost.
- Extra costs are involved in adopting goods and
– National security.
services for local markets.
– Nations “dumping” goods trying to drive out
domestic competition - Many countries seek to protect their home markets
– Other nations don’t treat their workers fairly by protectionist policies

INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS - Most countries wish to maintain some balance of


production in key strategic goods and services so
WTO (World Trade Organization) as not to expose to over-dependence on foreign
the international agency that promotes free trade. countries

Established in 1994 and replaced GATT. - Although overall there are significant gains to be
made from trade, which particular countries
Composed of three main treaty agreements that benefit most will depend on the terms of trade.
summarize the rules of free trade. These are:
TERMS OF TRADE
- General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)
which covers trade in goods. Measures the relative prices of what a country exports
in relation to the prices of its imports. It is expressed
- General Agreement on Trade in by the formula:
Services (GATS) which covers trade in services. (the average price of exports ÷ the average price of
imports)
- WTO’s intellectual property agreement which
covers trade and investment in ideas and creativity. A persistent argument put forward by developing
countries is that they face unfavorable terms of trade in
General Agreement on Tariff and Trade World Trade
comparison with developed countries.
Organization (GATT ) a legal agreement between
many countries, whose overall purpose was to promote
international trade by reducing or eliminating trade
barriers such as tariffs or quotas.
BALANCE OF PAYMENT (BOP) Non-
-a Sales of financial
an account Capital
current Purchase Non- assests such
which It records Transfers
- a capital produced as
shows a inflows(-)
has four a copyrights
country’s and
main financial
financial outflows
components account
transactions (+) of
- net
with the currency. 3. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT
errors &
rest of the
omissions records money flows under the following sections:
world
Direct Portfolio Other Reserve
Investment Investment Investment Assets are
BOP COMPONENT s the direct s s those
NET purchase of the covers trade foreign
FINANCI firms of purchase of credits, financial
ERRORS
CURREN AL land or securities or loans and assets that
CAPITAL &
T ACCOUN buildings shares deposits. are
OMISSIO
T abroad. abroad. an controlled
NS
item which example, a by the
mainly measures loan to an monetary
arises
measures financial overseas authorities
because,
the value measures transaction company such as the
due to
of goods flows of s involving central
inaccurate
and capital, for the claims bank.
data
services example, on, and
collection,
traded, investment liabilities
figures do
income and s to, non-
not always
transfers residents
add up as GOVERNMENT POLICY
they should
An acute long-term current account deficit will require
government intervention.
BOP COMPONENT AND DIFFERENCE
This may take the form of:
1. CURRENT ACCOUNT
– devaluation or currency depreciation
mainly measures the value of traded goods and
services. Divided into four parts – deflation

Visibles – protectionism
Income
represent Current
Invisibles Earned by DEVALUATION OR CURRENCY
s exports Transfers
represents domestic DEPRECIATION
& represent
trade in residents
imports sums to - a policy of allowing a country’s currency to fall in
services or from non-
in goods approximat value or depreciate under a system of floating
intangibles & residents
or e the value
typically and vice exchange rates, or moving to a lower rate under a
tangibles of
organized versa fixed exchange rate system.
and resources
into: which - Aimed to stimulate exports by making foreign
typically given or
transportatio include currency price cheaper and to curb imports by
divided received
n, travel, workers increasing the price in the domestic currency
into: overseas
personal, earning
food, where no
cultural, and DEFLATION
beverage money has
recreation investmen
s and changed - A policy involves the government to reduce the
t
basic hands . spending power in the economy.
income
materials - The rationale is that, imports form a significant
2. CAPITAL ACCOUNT Consist of proportion of consumer expenditure, a reduction in
spending power will in turn reduce imports.
- Deflation is achieved through increasing interest
rates or increasing taxes. If deflationary policy
reduced consumer expenditure, then import exchange rate is left free to be determined in the
spending would fall foreign exchange market by the forces of supply and
demand.
PROTECTIONISM
In this, Central Bank allows the exchange rate to adjust
▪ This entails direct controls on imported goods,
to equate to the supply and demand for FOREX
including taxes on imports (tariffs) and limits on
import volumes and values (quotas). 2. FIXED RATING SYSTEM
▪ The threat of retaliation and the rules of
exchange rate is fixed by the Central Bank of the
international treaties such as the EU and GATT
country
(which exists to reduce protectionism) make
protectionism a difficult option - by official action
BALANCE OF LEISURE and TOURISM - stands ready to buy and sell FOREX at fixed price
PAYMENT over other currency
▪ Tourism is an important foreign currency earner - Devaluation and Revaluation rest on the country
for many countries
DEMAND FOR USD$ (Supply OF Ph Peso)
▪ What impact has the closure of Boracay Island had
on the Philippines Balance of Payments? What factors cause demand for USD$?

Tourism a key earner for the Philippines but – demand for foreign visible exports
expenditure leaks out of the economy by allowing – –demand for foreign invisible exports
foreign brands in the local to satisfy international – –demand for funds for direct and portfolio
tourist investment in dollars
– demand for funds for overseas deposits in dollar
accounts
TOURISM LEAKAGE – speculation
– government intervention
– The purchase of imported equipment is an outflow
of currency to the Philippines current account in SUPPLY OF USD$ (Demand for Ph
goods (visibles) to satisfy the demands of Peso)
international standard and tourists. What factors cause for USD$ to be supplied to the
CURRENCY Ph?

- a medium of exchange for trading for goods and – demand for Philippine visible exports
services. It is in the form of paper or coins, – demand for Philippine invisible exports
usually issued by a government and generally – demand for funds for direct and portfolio
accepted at its face value as a method of payment. investment in dollars
- In the 21st century, a new form of currency was – demand for funds for dollar denominated loans
introduced, the virtual currency. Virtual currencies – speculation
such as bitcoins have no physical existence or – government intervention
government backing and are traded and stored in
SPOT AND FORWARD MARKETS
electronic form.
SPOT MARKET
EXCHANGE RATES
• the immediate market in foreign currency and
Significance of exchange rates:
represents the current market rate.
– How does a rise in a country’s exchange rate affect
• Payment is made today and the transaction takes
leisure and tourism?
place today at today’s rate.
– makes imports cheaper *e.g clothes, equipment)
FORWARD MARKET
– makes exports expensive (e.g. discourage inbound
• exists to satisfy demand for a guaranteed future
tourists)
exchange rate.
EXHANGE RATES SYSTEM
• Payment is made today but the transaction is made
1. FLOATING RATING SYSTEM in the future (e.g. 3 months) at a rate agreed today
EXCHANGE RATE and GOVERNMENT Filipinos permanently Inbound tourism ranked
POLICY residing abroad) within third among the biggest
the Philippines, declined export items in 2018,
- Governments may attempt to influence the by 1.6% in 2018, after miscellaneous
exchange rate amounting to PhP 441.4 services at 31.5% and
- Policy instruments to affect the exchange rate billion from PhP 448.6 semiconductors at 22.8
consist of billion in 2017.
- –interest rates and –direct buying and selling of Shares to Gross Value Employment in tourism
currency by the Central Bank. Added of the following: characteristic industries
- Raising interest rates will generally increase Transportation - 21.9% was estimated at 5.4
demand for a currency as savings are moved from F&B Services - 21.3% million in 2018, higher
overseas banks to domestic banks to benefit from Entertainment and by 1.8 percent compared
higher interest rates. Recreation Services - to 5.3 million in the
19.9%. previous year.
HIGH or LOW RATES Share of employment in
tourism industries to
The exchange rate policy of the Government is usually total employment in the
challenged in cases such as: country was recorded
at 13.0 percent in 2018.
LOWER EXCHANGE RATES
makes export prices competitive and discourages GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)
imports The market value for produced within a given period
HIGHER EXCHANGE RATES by factors of production located WITHIN THE
COUNTRY.
cutting import prices, helps to combat inflation.
a. Is concerned only with NEW & CURRENT
TOURISM CONTRIBUTION TO THE PRODUCTION.
ECONOMY
b. Also EXCLUDES OUTPUT PRODUCED
The TDGVA graph This includes the ABROAD by domestically owned factors of
representing the following information production
contribution of tourism on tourism expenditure,
to the GDP of the transportation & c. INTERMEDIATE GOODS PRODUCED
country. employment in 2018: ABROAD (goods that are produced by one firm for
The contribution of A decent increase use in further processing by another firm) are not
tourism to the Philippine despite the six-month counted in the GDP.
economy in 2018 stood closure of Boracay
at 12.7%, or 0.5 Island from April 26- GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP)
percentage point higher October 26, 2018 and
The total market value of ALL FINAL GOODS &
from 12.2% in 2017, the slower global
[but] slower than the 1.5 economic growth in SERVICES produced within a given period by factors
percentage points 2018 due to the lingering of production owned by a country’s citizens regardless
growth in 2017. Th US-China trade war of where the output is produced.
since July 2018.
INFLATION
Domestic tourism This represents 24.9% of
expenditure grew Household Final  the long term rise in the prices of goods and
by 21.0% or PhP 2.6 Consumption services caused by the devaluation of currency.
trillion in 2017 to PhP Expenditure (HFCE) in  Problems arise when unexpected inflation is
3.2 trillion in 2018. 2018.
experienced which is not adequately matched by a
This includes domestic
tourism expenditure of rise in people’s incomes.
resident visitors within  The purchasing power has been effectively
the country either as reduced, which can in turn lead to a slowing or
domestic trip or part of stagnant economy. 
an international trip
HOW IS INFLATION MEASURED
Inbound Tourism Compared to the
Expenditure or the country’s total exports, – Statisticians measure inflation by looking at a
Expenditure of Non- the share of inbound "basket of goods" which "contain" what the typical
Resident Visitors tourism expenditure
Filipino consumes on a regular basis. 
(foreign visitors and was 8.0 percent.
– This long list of goods and their prices comprise - An increasingly global economy, exchange rates
the consumer price index (CPI). are one of the most important factors in
– The annual percentage change in the CPI is then determining the rate of inflation.
used to measure inflation. - Foreign commodities and goods become more
 Food and non-alcoholic beverages expensive to local consumers while
 Alcoholic beverages and tobacco simultaneously making local goods, services, and
 Clothing and footwear exports become cheaper to consumers overseas.
 Housing, water, electricity, gas and HOW DOES INFLATION AFFECTS YOU?
other fuels
 Furnishing, household equipment, and Inflation may be driven either by:
routine house maintenance - Inflation means you need to pay more for the
 Health same goods and services.
 Transport - One could also think of inflation as a reduction
 Communication of the value of money, as consumers are able
 Recreation and culture to purchase less than before.
 Education - As inflation rises, the value of the
 Restaurants and miscellaneous goods and peso diminishes more quickly. 
services
- Elevated prices of goods hit hardest those
WHAT CAUSES INFLATION? consumers who have not received salary
increases over time. In effect, people have to
Inflation may be driven either by: constantly get a raise to keep up with the
SUPPLY-DRIVEN or COST-PUSH inflation prices of goods.
happens when the cost of producing goods, the prices - High inflation is also not good for people who
of raw materials, and wages go up. have long-term investments in banks, as it may
In this scenario, there are fewer goods being produced erode the value of money.
due to the high costs of production, yet demand IS INFLATION ALL BAD? NO
remains consistent.
 In fact, the government wants inflation, but only
DEMAND-PULL inflation occurs when people's within an acceptable range.
demand outpace the ability of industries to supply  For instance, Philippines economic managers want
goods. inflation for 2018 to 2020 to settle between 2%
WHAT CAUSES INFLATION? and 4%. The problem, however, is that inflation in
2018 continues to shoot up beyond the target
MONEY SUPPLY range. 
- Inflation is primarily caused by an increase in the  Revising monetary and trade policies, as well as
money supply that is in circulation. providing subsidies to the poor, are only some of
- The less currency that is in circulation, the more the ways by which the government can restrain
valuable the currency will be. inflation within the acceptable range.
- If government decides to print new currency, it is
essentially devaluing the money already in  Inflation, especially when it is demand-driven, is
circulation.  an indicator that people have more money to spend
and reflects a growing economy.
NATIONAL DEBT
 The government is also avoiding deflation, or the
- The country’s debt drives inflation and the decline of prices of goods.
government has two option to counter the effect  While it may sound good, deflation is an indicator
either by: of anemic or poor economic activity.
1. Raising taxes  Low consumption slows down the economy,
which would then lead to fewer jobs and
2. Print more money to pay off the debt. opportunities. 
EXCHANGE RATES CURRENCY MOVEMENT AND PRICES
- Inflation can be made worse by the increasing
exposure to foreign marketplaces.

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