Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PROJECT
Topic:
ANALYZE A FIRM’S FINANCIAL STATEMENT, LONG TERM
FINACIAL PLANNING AND GROWTH, AND STOCK PRICE
1
Vinamilk
I. Overview of the company................................................................................................................3
1. Introduce........................................................................................................................................3
2. Key product....................................................................................................................................3
3. Market.............................................................................................................................................4
4. Wardrobe.......................................................................................................................................4
5. Oriented development (2022-2026)............................................................................................4
II. Balance sheet and income statement during the last three years.............................................6
1. Balance sheet................................................................................................................................6
2. Income Statement...........................................................................................................................7
III. Financial analysis..........................................................................................................................8
1. Short-term solvency......................................................................................................................8
2. Long-term solvency......................................................................................................................9
3. Asset management.....................................................................................................................10
4. Profitable ratio.............................................................................................................................11
5. Market value ratios......................................................................................................................12
IV. Performance Analysis................................................................................................................12
1. Asset analysis..............................................................................................................................12
2. Liabilities and owner equity analysis........................................................................................13
3. Income Statement Analysis.......................................................................................................14
V. Cash flow from Assets during the last 2 years............................................................................14
1. Year 2020.....................................................................................................................................14
2. Year 2021.....................................................................................................................................15
VI. General view about Vinamilk.....................................................................................................16
2
I. Overview of the company
1. Introduce
Vinamilk was founded in 1976
and has since become the leading
company in Vietnam in the processing
and supply of dairy products, ranking
among the Top 10 strong brands in
Vietnam. Operating under the subsidy
mechanism for more than ten years,
Vinamilk, like many other enterprises,
only produced according to plan, but
when entering the market economy,
Vinamilk quickly seized opportunities,
constantly innovated technology,
invested in infrastructure, and diversified
products to preparefor a new journey.
Vinamilk has constantly built a
distribution system to create apremise
for development from three factories
specializing in milk production, namely
Thong Nhat, Truong Tho, and
Dialect.Constantly expanding production and constructing new factories across the
country. Vinamilk has also established a broad and deep distribution network, which it
sees as the foundation of its long-term business strategy. Currently, the company has
over 180 distributors and over 80,000 retail locations across the country(Vinamilk, 2021)
3
Dairy Products Joint Stock
Company, established in 1976.
This is an enterprise specializing
in manufacturing, trading milk
and dairy products as well as
related equipment and
machinery in Vietnam.
Vinamilk is currently a leader of
enterprise in the field of
manufacturing dairy products in
Vietnam. Products of this brand
hold most of the market share
across the country, specifically as
follows:
Vinamilk's full name is Vietnam
Dairy Products Joint Stock
Company, established in 1976.
This is an enterprise specializing
in manufacturing, trading milk
and dairy products as well as
related equipment and
machinery in Vietnam.
Vinamilk is currently a leader of
enterprise in the field of
manufacturing dairy products in
Vietnam. Products of this brand
hold most of the market share
across the country, specifically as
follows
VISION
To become a world grade brand in food and beverage industry, where people put all
their trust in nutrient and health products.
MISSION
To deliver the valuable nutrition to community with our respect, love and responsibility
2. Key product
4
Liquid milk: Vinamilk 100% Flex, ADM.
Yogurt, ice-cream, cheese: Vinamilk yogurt - ice-cream- cheese; Susu, Probi,
and ProBeauty yogurt.
Soy milk and beverage: GoldSoy soy milk, Vfresh, Icy. (Vinamilk - Vươn cao Việt
Nam - Vinamilk, 2021)
3. Market
Domestic market
Product of this brand hold most of the market share across the country,
specifically as follows(2021):
Foreign market
4. Wardrobe
5
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT AND EXPERIENCE FOR CONSUMERS
- Put the consumer experience at the heart of developing Omni channel outreach and
distribution strategies
- Exploiting business opportunities in new markets through M&A, JV, or venture capital
activities
- Support and invest in start-up projects in line with the company's growth strategy
- Application of Internet of Things technology, big data, and automation and robotics,
thereby improving the transparency, exploitation efficiency, and biodiversity study of
farming, ranching, and mining operations
II.
6
II. Balance sheet and income statement during the last three years
1. Balance sheet
7
2. Income Statement
Earning before interest & tax 12,904,535 13,662,354 13,011,034 22.88% 22.88% 21.33%
Income tax expense - current 2,238,366 2,310,674 2,320,982 3.97% 3.87% 3.80%
Income tax benefit - deferred 3,012 -27,870 -31,282 0.01% -0.05% -0.05%
Net profit after tax 10,554,332 11,235,732 10,632,536 18.71% 18.81% 17.43%
Attributable to:
Equity holders of the
-26,844 136,795 100,059 -0.05% 0.23% 0.16%
Company
Non-controlling interest 10,581,176 11,098,937 10,532,477 18.76% 18.58% 17.26%
Basic earning per share 5,478 4,770 4,517 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
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III. Financial analysis
1. Short-term solvency
Liquidity ratios
2019 2020 2021
Current ratio 1.71 2.09 2.12
Quick ratio Times 1.37 1.74 1.72
Cash ratio 0.18 0.15 0.14
Current ratio
The current ratio measures a company’s ability to pay off short-term liabilities
with current assets. During the analysis period from 2019 to 2021, the current ratio of
the company is quite high, at more than 2 times. Specifically, this ratio has increased
over the above analysis period, from 1.71 times in 2009 to 2.12 times in 2021. With this
data, the bank can assured when making short-term loans to the company to
supplement working capital for the Company's operations.
Quick ratio
The quick ratio measures a company’s ability to pay off short-term liabilities with
quick assets. Vinamilk's quick ratio at the end of 2021 was 1.72 times, so if we remove
inventories, Vinamilk's ability to pay short-term debts is still very good. This ratio of the
company was all higher than 1 during the analysis period from 2019 to 2021, and the
lowest was 1.37 times in 2019. Vinamilk's quick ratio has decreased significantly
compared to the ratio. Compared with the industry average, Vinamilk's quick solvency is
also in the top group and tends to be stable for a long time.
Cash ratio
The cash ratio measures a company’s ability to pay off short-term liabilities with
cash and cash equivalents. This ratio of Vinamilk in a period from 2019 to 2021 was
0.18, 0.15, 0.14, respectively. Compared with the data on the industry average instant
ratio at the end of 2021, it can be said that Vinamilk has a very good loan balance,
enough to pay all short-term debts immediately. The company's instant solvency has
remained stable and good over the years.
In general, the company's short and long-term solvency are at a very good level
compared to the market and with the company's current debts (current ratio is above 2
in 2020 and 2021, quick ratio is always above 1) so that the company's ability to pay its
debts is well guaranteed. Although the company's debt is large, there is always a
surplus to meet debt repayment obligations when due, thereby reducing liquidity risk of
current and future liabilities. The financial position of the company is quite good.
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2. Long-term solvency
Long-term solvency
2019 2020 2021
Total debt ratio 33.49 30.53 32.78
Equity multiplier 150.35 143.94 148.76
Percent
Debt-equity ratio 50.35 43.94 48.76
Long-term debt ratio 1.74 1.67 1.14
Times interest earned 117.5806111 93.99752465 145.5223032
ratio
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In general, Vinamilk has a strategy of using its own capital in investment
activities rather than borrowing from banks. The company's short-term debt is also
mainly payable to suppliers. Vinamilk's financial capacity is very good and the company
has very little risk of leverage. But the excessive use of equity will affect the company's
ability to increase profits and distribute to shareholders. It is very safe to provide credit
to Vinamilk.
3. Asset management
Efficiency ratios
2019 2020 2021
Inventory turnover Times 5.66 6.47 5.93
Days of inventory on hand Days 64.48 56.45 61.52
Receivables turnover Times 16.43 15.6 14.26
Days of sales outstanding Days 22.21 23.4 25.59
NWC turnover Times 5.48 3.86 3.20
Inventory turnover
Vinamilk's inventory turnover in 2020 increased much compared to 2019, 6.47
compared to 5.66, but in 2021 it decreased slightly at 5.93. This shows that Vinamilk's
product consumption rate is showing signs of slowing down compared to the company's
production rate. But this did not have much impact on the company's operations, and
was mainly caused by a sharp increase in ending inventory, as the company stockpiled
goods to meet production needs. This can be explained by the fact that Vinamilk has
invested in a new factory system under the ecological farm system in 2021 in Thanh
Hoa, Quang Ngai, Tay Ninh and thus increase milk production compared to previous
years at the same time as well as many orders at the end of the year. The frequent
change of inventory turnover over the years may be due to the Company's lack of good
management of its sales and production. However, the inventory turnover rate reported
and increased in the period 2008-2011 also shows that the Company is having a good
sales speed.
Day’s sale inventory
As inventory turnover of Vinamilk increased markedly in 2020 at 6.47 and then
fell to 5.93 in 2021, the Vinamilk’s day sale inventory was fluctuated over the period
from 2019 to 2021 at 64.48 days, 56.45 days, 61.52 days, respectively.
Receivables turnover
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The average debt does not exceed 30 days, specifically in 2021 the receivables turnover
reached 14 rounds with 28 days of receivables turnover, which was slower than in 2019 of
16.43 rounds with 22 days of receivables turnover. The company boosted sales to reach the
revenue target of 60000 billion VND. It can be seen from Vinamilk's very good revenue growth
over the years while there is strong competition from domestic and foreign dairy firms. The
management of Vinamilk's receivables in comparison with other companies in the industry and
companies on the Vietnam stock exchange is evaluated at a good level.
NWC turnover
The efficiency of using fixed assets on revenue or asset turnover of the company
increased steadily in the period from 2019 to 2021. This shows that Vinamilk manages and
invests its fixed assets very closely with a clear plan and calculates the benefits to the company
when making the investment. Comparing with the fixed asset utilization efficiency of another
dairy company in Vietnam, Hanoimilk in the period 2020-2021, which is 2.66 times in 2020 and
3.78 times in 2021, Vinamilk shows very good investment efficiency compared to other
companies in the industry.
4. Profitable ratio
Profitability ratios
2019 2020 2021
Gross profit margin % 47.18 46.4 43.14
ROE % 37.79 35.02 30.31
ROA % 25.79 23.83 20.7
Profit margin
The company's core business has a very positive profit-to-net sales ratio, ranging from
43-47% in the period 2019-2021. Profit from business activities is always above 40% of
Vinamilk compared to other enterprises in the industry, which is very high. Although in the
period of 2019-2021, Vinamilk milk scandals about ingredients used to produce milk have
"problems", but revenue and profit from Vinamilk's business activities still grow very well. This
shows Vinamilk's solid position in the domestic dairy market and consumers' trust in the
company. In addition, a high profit rate like Vinamilk is very difficult to obtain in the current
difficult period of Vietnam.
ROE
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The ratio of profit after tax on equity of Vinamilk decreased markedly from 37.8% in 2019
to 30.3% in 2021. However, compared with the overall coefficient of the whole industry and
listed companies on Vietnam's stock exchange. , Vinamilk's profitability was still quite good.
ROA
The ratio of profit after tax to total assets of Vinamilk in the period 2019-2021 was over
20% and in 2019 it was nearly 26%. This is a very impressive indicator even for Vietnamese
and international businesses, not to mention the company's long-term sustainability. Compared
to many businesses in the dairy and food business in Vietnam, this is an impressive return on
assets ratio. This shows that the Company has used its assets very well in bringing profits to the
Company.
Profitability ratios
2019 2020 2021
P/E Times 19.17 17.8 17.14
P/B Times 6.82 6.76 5.04
Price-earning ratio
Earning per share measures the net income earned on each share of common stock.
The company's P/E ratio at the end of 2011 was 17.11 and during 2019-2021 was always above
17.0, the company's EPS in 2021 was VND 5,000 which was lower than 2020 with 6,110.
Vinamilk's P/E ratio is currently at a very high level compared to other companies. This is
because investors expect the company's growth in the future with its impressive profitability and
many ongoing investment projects.
Vinamilk's P/B ratio for the period 2019-2021 was at 5 - 6.8. Compared to the current
companies on the Vietnamese stock market, Vinamilk's P/B ratio is high for the reasons
mentioned above.
In general, the market is currently valuing Vinamilk's stock at a high level compared to
its current value as well as other companies in the market. The reason is the market's
expectations about the company's good development ability. The investment in Vinamilk shares
at this time is safe, but the return from dividends to investors is not high. However, the market
currently evaluates Vinamilk very well and the stock price has increased sharply over the years,
so the profit margin of Vinamilk shares is still quite good.
From the end of 2019, within just 2 years, the company's total assets increased by
nearly 10,000 billion VND. This is a huge growth for a company that has been operating for
many years and has a large scale like Vinamilk. This increase is due to the fact that the
company's short-term assets have grow dramatically, while long-term assets witnessed a
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gradual decline of 2000 billion VND . In its total assets structure, short-term assets accounted
for 67.71% at the end of 2021, a clear increase from 55.31%% of total assets in 2019.
Notably, short-term assets increased by 60% in 2011, with a total value of more than
35,000 billion VND, of which mainly short-term investment increased, reaching more than
20,000 billion VND. This means Vinamilk's investments are highly effective and bring great
profits to the company. Besides, the company's receivables and inventories also increased by
nearly 3,500 billion in 2021. This could be due to the fact that Vinamilk expand their market. The
increase in inventory and short-term receivables, along with the company's receivables forecast
as analyzed above,
Regarding the company's long-term assets, Vinamilk was declined slightly by 2,000
billion VND due to depreciation and the company virtually disn’t invest in new long-term assets.
The company's fixed assets, accounting for more than 75%%, long-term assets, have also fell
steadily and continuously over the years. In 2020, fixed assets fell by 1000 billion VND and in
2011 it was 1100 billion VND The decrease of fixed assets, mainly machinery and equipment,
shows that the company is in the stage of Vinamilk is in the stage of slowing down and there is
no need to boost production because there will be a surplus of goods.
The company's liabilities almost unchaged in 2020 and went up by nearly 3,000 bllion
dong in 2021. The proportion of long-term debt only accounts for nearly 4% of the company's
total liabilities, and accounts for a negligible proportion of the total capital because the company
mainly financed the project with equity. Current liabilities mainly include trade and other
payables and no debt. With this capital structure, interest expense is insignificant compared to
the company's size and revenue
Between 2019 and 2021, the company's equity accounted for more than 65% of total
capital, and increased steadily through the period. Compared to the end of 2019, the company's
equity increased by 6,000 billion VND. The company's equity ratio has always been above
200% of total debt in the period 20019-2021, showing that the company's ability to repay debt
and self-financing is very good. In 2020, the company issued new shares, increasing its capital
to nearly 4,000 billion VND. This capital increase will help the company have more resources to
carry out major development projects in the future, accelerate the growth of the company in the
coming time and ensure the company's operations against market risks. market during the
economic crisis. However, the retained earnings of Vinamilk almost unchanged at around 7,000
to 7,500 billion VND. From the analysis of the company's cash flow statement, it shows that
Vinamilk tends to self-finance the company's development rather than borrow from outside
sources, so the increase in equity Ownership is a good basis for the company to continue to
grow strongly as in the past period.
In general, the large proportion of equity in total capital together with insignificant debt
ratio shows that the stability of the capital used by the company is high and safe. At the same
time, the low financial leverage ratio shows that the company has not made good use of the tax
shield to increase profits for the company. The company's financial capacity is assessed as very
strong, there is no risk of lack of capital and can face very good liquidity risk.
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3. Income Statement Analysis
Net revenue from business activities in 2011 was VND 60,919 billion VND, up
8.17% compared to 2009. Revenue from business activities has always growth but not
significantly. Revenue from operating activities accounted for 80% of total revenue in
2021, and remained above 80% throughout 2019-2021. The company's financial and
other revenue is always lower, only nearly 20% in 2021 and 18% in 2020. This shows
that the company mainly focuses on its main business line and generates real profit
from the business. business rather than investing outside the industry much to seek
profit.
Accompanying the revenue growth is the growth in company profits. Profit before
tax in 2021 increased by just 1% compared to 2019. This due to the fact that the cost of
good sales and other expenses increased slightly. Note that in 2021, earning after tax
of Vinamilk even have a negative growth by 5.37%, from 11,325 billion VND in 2020 to
10,642 billion VND in 2021 . The increase in COGS significantly reduces the profit of the
enterprise in the period. The increase in the ratio of COGS to revenue proves that the
company is weakening in control of its production process when increasing the cost of
goods sold. These number prove that Vinamilk’s business got worse from 2020 to 2021
and they are having difficulty in growing it’s revenue and on a downward trend. In the
coming years, the company needs to have a new strategy and expand its market share
to foreign countries.
V. Cash flow from Assets during the last 2 years
1. Year 2020
Operating Cash Flow = EBIT + Depreciation – Tax = 13,662,354 + 14,320,328 –
(2,310,674-27,870) = 25,699,878 (million VND)
Net Capital Expenditure = Ending Net Fixed Assets – Beginning net Fixed Assets +
Depreciation = 12,717,307– 13,743,910 + 14,320,328)) = 13,293,725 (million VND)
Change in Net Working Capital = Ending NWC – Beginning NWC = (Current assets
2020 – Current liabilities 2020) - (Current assets 2019 – Current liabilities 2019) =
(29,665,726 - 14,212,646) – (24,721,565 - 14,442,852) = 5,174,367 (million VND)
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Cash Flow from Assets = OCF - NCE - Change in NWC = 25,699,878 - 13,293,725 -
5,174,367 = 7,231,786 (million VND)
Cash flow to creditors = Interest paid – Net new borrowing = 143,818 – (572,712 -
525,766) = 96,872 (million VND)
Cash flow to stockholders = Dividends paid – Net new equity = 136,795 –
(26,737,396 - 21,855,793) = -4,744,808 (million VND)
2. Year 2021
Operating Cash Flow = EBIT + Depreciation – Tax = 13,011,034 + 16,025,248 -
(2,320,982 + (-31,282)) = 26,746,582 (million VND)
Net Capital Expenditure = Ending Net Fixed Assets – Beginning net Fixed Assets +
Depreciation = 12,706,599 - 13,853,808 + 16,025,248 = 14,928,036 (million VND)
Change in Net Working Capital = Ending NWC – Beginning NWC = (Current assets
2021 – Current liabilities 2021) - (Current assets 2020 – Current liabilities 2020) =
(36,109,911 - 17,068,417) – (29,665,726 - 14,212,646) = 3,588,414 (million VND)
Cash Flow from Assets = OCF - NCE - Change in NWC = 8,230,132 (million VND)
Cash flow to creditors = Interest paid – Net new borrowing = 88,799 – (413,872 -
572,712) = 247,639
Cash flow to stockholders = Dividends paid – Net new equity = 100,059 –
(28,255,854 - 26,737,396) = -1,418,399 (million VND)
In general,
- Operating cash flow: From the number in 2020 and 2021, the OCF of Vinamilk
was almost unchanged. The reason of this situation could be a slowdown in
market development of Vinamilk in VietNam. In the next five years, Vinamilk
need to expand their market to foreign market in order to raise their EBIT.
- Net Capital Expenditure: Since Vinamilk is a company specializing in the
production of dairy products, they need to invest a large amount of money on
fixed assets than spending on R&D such as dairy farm, production machinery
and equipment,… In 2020 and 2021, the company spent more than 13,500 billion
VND in Capital.
- Change in net working capital: The change in net working capital of Vinamilk
decreased markedly from 5,174,367 to 3,588,414 million VND. However ,this
number was still very good and the business of the enterprise is stable, the
financial obligations of the company have been met and it is possible to invest in
other activities. Since the change in net working capital decreased, it means that
change in current assets is less than a change in current liabilities. This due to
the fact that Vinamilk was expanding therefore they have increased their short
term liabilities to meet the demand.
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- Cash flow from Asset: Vinamilk always have positive cash flow on asset and
stable. This shows Vinamilk's excellent financial management ability
- Cash flow to creditors increased markedly to 247 billion VND in 2021, which was
2.5 times higher than 2020. Cash flow to stockholders was 3 times decrease
from 4700 billion VND to 1400 billion VND. This means Vinamilk is gradually
reducing debt from shareholders and using cash and cash equivalent.
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Citation
1. Vinamilk(2021)_Annual Report
2. Vinamilk(2019),(2020),(2021)_Financial Report
3. Vinamilk(2021) Trang thông tin điện tử tổng hợp CafeF
4. Vinamilk(2021)_VietStock
5. CFI Team(2022)_Financial Ratios_CFI Education
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