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4%)
Market Price : IDR 925 (Per 5/8/2022) Potential Upside : +20.5% Risk:Reward : 1:3
FUNDAMENTAL VIEW
2021 Performance
Figure 1.1 Big Caps in Property Sector PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk (BSDE) recorded a profit growth for the year
of 378.74% to IDR 1.35 trillion throughout 2021. High consumer interest
Market Cap
and property sector incentives provided by the government are positive
BSDE Rp19.37T catalysts for BSDE's business revenue growth throughout 2021. As
additional information, the previous year, BSDE posted a net profit of only
PWON Rp22.15T
IDR 281.70 billion.
CTRA Rp17.17T
Performance in 2021 will certainly have a positive impact on BSDE, which
SMRA Rp10.24T
will be allocated to strengthen the capital structure for project development
Source: RTI Business and investment in the future.
Q1 2022 Performance
In the first three months of 2022 BSDE recorded operating revenues of IDR
2.03 trillion. This revenue is equivalent to a growth of 21.43% when
compared to the same period in 2021, which is IDR 1.67 trillion.
In the same period, the asset value of Bumi Serpong Damai jumped from
IDR 61.47 trillion to IDR 63.13 trillion. The company's liabilities increased
from IDR 25.575 trillion to IDR 26.903 trillion. The company's equity
increased from IDR 35.893 trillion to IDR 36.229 trillion.
Q2 2022 Performance
BSDE recorded revenue of IDR 3.83 trillion in the first half of 2022. This
figure increased by 17.85% compared to the same period the previous year,
IDR 3.25 trillion. However, the significant increase in cost of goods made
profit growth limited.
Ongoing Innovation/Projection
Until the end of 2021, BSDE has land under development worth IDR 11.85
trillion, the largest of which is in BSD City which is currently in “Phase III”
development with a value of IDR 4.61 trillion. In addition, BSDE also has
land reserves of 3,867 ha throughout Indonesia. Of course, this is a
provision for BSDE to continuously improve its performance.
Valuation
Figure 1.2 PBV Big Caps Property Sector Using relative valuation, comparison of PBV with another companies in
one industry such as PWON, CTRA, and SMRA. Relative valuation is used
PBV
to find “undervalued stocks” based on indicator used -> PBV (Price Book
BSDE 0.61x Value).
PWON 1.38x
Based on PBV, BSDE is the undervalued stock compared to PWON,
CTRA 0.98x CTRA, and SMRA. The order of the cheapest stock based on PBV are:
• BSDE
SMRA 1.15x
• CTRA
Source: Investing, Bloomberg Terminal • SMRA
• PWON
Figure 1.3 PBV BSDE vs Industry
BSDE Industry Compared with Industry’s PBV (Property Sector), BSDE's PBV lower than
Industry’s PBV. It means, compared to other property companies, BSDE is
PBV 0.61x 0.90x undervalued and very interesting to buy.
On weekly timeframe, since January 11, 2021 until the close of last Friday
(5/8/2022), BSDE tends to consolidate and has the potential to form a
triangle pattern. We estimate that the triangle pattern is the secondary trend
of the primary (bullish) trend.
Source: investing.com
Lampiran 2: Balance Sheet
Source: investing.com
Lampiran 3: Cash Flow Statement
Source: investing.com
*Disclaimer On