ae —Felaceenafe_yora_dutatsik dengan fetecrst error fer? analy don tuedv eon Carenyy, — pense deen dn shen ne sess a gerhinngan ee doon _antnco. a con OT hacys galing bocca: Gebinbibn bea re Rerwcrtoon member) tive rales, akerasi forecast. Conte don Lore ecia> —__Yorg_Simer Cis Servicer aol, MSE dibitrng dewgar cara_meojumbhiear __ ee nee ates Rit ae eee ae ee amati er Shrats EY 4 = io $i j SF, = Forces: geste ‘ 4 10 = Pomel ¢oriod + 1. Mean Absoluzo Devietion( MAD) MAO morvptan tata~ cata dari devas _abseluh une Semva amos7 Stendardevies; dar. redo Yomgongn derapn ra istribyse mAQ,= 12 A dim Ags \Eef re he tina fae VEel 2 [WACO Jott bate dalam meyucue ecto dared Moe Jika £eror ferecs Aros _memiliy dudes Simons. — C._Mean Absolyre Qorcartege Hero (MARE) MACE_monRaten apr agree OF NAGE daz utcon dong bai¥ dart terecasterror saat forwoatt mecriliel tmusimon gana STBnifzont- don denood bervnninse memporsimbomakon dan: sate gotiade, @) ) Scanned with CamScannerETrocvieg_Guk_CTS,) Ts merwtakan _Cesie dart bias dengen. AO. = Sms WE \ Mea TS._dr serine geriode -diluac fangje +L, nT monpataa » Srapet bees den ynder Focecasinns, (TS <= 4) atpy orerforecestng (157 +6) Fecteatuyatule manbrot- Leecast ‘fede Case mi= |» Cycnortatic! -anaanonernotihomend un devel sds) —__nata_demanA _Selorvh gerrode. = Single Moving Averode —__ftn =, o = ge a D; = domanh pio penzde 1 a = Weatted Movitg Wuerno R — ‘Sagat regatur metode MA semarin medevati fluetesicery Hak WAA.> Zio; diwara= Wy = bovor ecwde 1 (o~lee) _ Ew; =\ . Scanned with CamScanner2. TA Sm Es _memgertimbeniean data terlary’ aon iam gentiag_darigada, Vermst dota Drea fee & Det +(e) Fy BR i Beet wine ane, hai ar b Recbedaan Movies Piueroge & Faemnenti Fetera [| Mowieg Average Exeorentiak Smoothing DMerghitung clesgan Tata-cato, Meghitveg degen memberi bebot | Merete \demced history uoietv torenty. | Wag besa Padla_cheter yong tobi bev, Boor | Data tovtors chibecibobet | Que galg baru ayaa _mremoliter | Sauna, botpot besar, Yomger/ | Lesh cedechatr barena haw. _Lebih tumity teaneng mererivan feermiten | megliturs porva-cotn, bobo ectivmbong Rewnsarss| Kuro ostontve vaca ___| __Labilr_tesgonsive teclndoe geri natan | bob: dan itoris fem Veadaat kena dats bv syle: blot | AaxGo > Yorabor | Membutheor data yng | Daeet Ingiing diguratan bora choo | —doda__| Crue atev boy te | beer ee olga _C._Morieg_ Averoge don Begenertint smoothing eter baie eigunefar Rho“ verdsi _Sobagai borieve= : C : t back deter WstoOS tha menertentasien vendisi Saat ini seperti” odarsa Qreterasi customer Jety ae 2. Rrodue_bary_yerg_dibeynehng, = 3, Date hitters sae stabil atey Flvebasi goa Sgarfites— j om Scanned with CamScanner3. Estimate Oomand for the Nexe 4wedve ysing I-Veee M on Wd “Deed Level Fonense fine Abie MSE, oar, tr Pt BT es Ex GAL t 108 2. 6 3 We 4 4 Nes = 36 NZT Mees DOs oS AIO IC oT 236 tH doer te 6 US Nae Ne Ie KA 2626 HA AO? MG TB z 96 875 4 as. (Gis War 2619 kot g lol 0397 togas 69 GAT 207,98 12g OA 3 WE toh | gga 8 Rar ea Gael tar lo lot to3, loth Oe sor hg Gk FI gy orb u Su [or 103 u u (5o6l 79% tay ats (1 3) S3ar u Mn 1465 731-135 ne ws 8 3 4495 4 98,95. is. 55,78. « Bu Rombshasan = —t Level be eae ero a br ot arte t Owes) IN ® Focwonst: Fx vo fermuto, Fen Sle don Fern zbe gogmona Epa Fy = by > 9a + Gree Ee, meeraginaees formwla Gey 2 Rego Den, MSE meng guratean formule MSE 4 2 * MAQE, merggrccin “forey la MAO, = +2 Ay » TARE, manggaicen MARE = Hoare [Fi/ve[ wo oT Ce oe ee oa Scanned with CamScannerDarat_divetherion babwa nitar dari TS CTmeeng Sqral) yong cibosidtn, ~ drlugc eomecta +6 Corge menruir Suni cheer, vatue forecase weer® _li don weer 0. Sobigga mpcaniei Eritetta Ovecferecastin) yong mena forecast, Tai _menrie, _Sénoyil bras. MAO, z iA W,08%o Mong mone adlaz 005 fowcast etter menggutaton 4 fetiod Mevag hwerage adalah |.15%4,31=9/195, Tibia nie hana ngle Hoanaell “ceedang ko TR daze, pe Baath ee ee ee + & oO oe (og fob S106 Wb bt 2,78 oe LY ey ~b =1 2 Ab dota oor Sb) SB BND Gap WF 2 3 ug lo3c1 oF,ar ors sy Gay 7A 94 O22 A -5 A tA Hoss 18 65 rs mw 93 IT 3H ey HF 5 496 IBss oor or 4052S AAMT SAL -234u ~tay bs Ag loys oats -lo se tas Ape tet GF eh Bet -4, 06 > 3b (o§32 07MM OL I 982-19 ~ 84 g to}. longs ASH ys tg BE Bn 130 4 uz ler AB 4m 42 og OE =F 10 Wr lore Gir 10S GG G48 9) 10 tl GL oro os TW 478 BS Ong PB 2 Bi lay Nt MT Mg Zl 4d Ge Bre 184 B Aas 4 WAs c (A, 6 Has Pombahasoan = + lo = Pata-cota domend gertode | -e12 = 106,33 + Le, teenagucoieen forwle, acer (ED by Ey mpnggenaee fore Fa tht don Eyre She, Yog wer Fs2Fiqe Fis = fe =by > 104s 1 MSE mengauatron for vwle. + MAO, , mergguraten focousy tit 2 Ba he Scanned with CamScanner+ NACE, meragnaeon formule, i, = salt : US, mengaune ten focmula AD Vidarareon deren ewlas’ nilai TS (Tracey Syal) memtlier trae dass - 4 hiepa 164 dengon metodo Crov@le exenencak SMmeothg deem o32, |. | dicareaten mesih diddam range $6, Serxaga tidak ada rodibas bie es) Sisnifiecn Noun _memikie?. Atle MAQ,2 Sebesatlo,21 dan MACE 2 Sebesar 3,844 Beng casero; pestimas; Sterder deveSi yous dihaslken Sebesac [ar x02) 12762, ___Swingga_Stardar devias dari forecast Fror fueuerwogi selatit devon vevtgn foceoase. 9 Wlach of 4Wo method dovou gactert? TS¢ = bese made Frror Toeimate yotric Hot R224 Ficecasting Methed MAD MAE (% ) TS eroe Gras __ Fog Qoriad Moving Aerase #31 08% 138 “Ges __Swrile Engengorat fyneothirg, (ort 534%. 47184 a0 Das _Eriteria molar MAO, MAPA), don TS ETraceing Signal) taney) Menyiméyhton biasata tidaknga, Maca, Saya menililh metode Simele Exenertiat a tet Ober Ph) dba T. bib, bad __tiddtada inditasi ries, emicaga, derson metode Sieple Txeenentral smooth 0g mentiet aruesi yas lebth bit Yorn mana forcast yotue geciode ve 13, KAS don Wb addlah Sema Scvosar 1AAG, Scanned with CamScanner