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Lorenzo Bretscher
Towards the Black-Scholes Formula
Cox, Ross and Rubinstein (1979), building on the fundamental idea of Sharpe
I suppose time to maturity is τ
I split up τ into n intervals of length ∆t = τ /n
I calculate option price in n -period binomial model
I let n → ∞, i.e., ∆t → 0
I keep the mean and standard deviation of the underlying asset return per unit
of time constant
I due to the Central Limit Theorem, binomial distributions of asset returns
converge to normal distributions
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The Black-Scholes Formula
with
S
+ r + σ 2 /2 (T − t)
log K
d1 = √
σ T −t
√
d2 = d1 − σ T − t
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The Black-Scholes Formula
Φ (d2 ) is the risk-neutral probability that the call expires in the money
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Advantages of Black-Scholes / Binomial Model
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Disadvantages of Black-Scholes / Binomial Model
You have to keep modifying your replicating portfolio as time evolves and you
move through the tree
Have to make an a priori assumption about what the tree looks like
This assumption can break down when you least want it to
Whereas, with static replication, you trade once and you’re done
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The Black-Scholes formula - Example #1
Consider a call with K = 110 and T − t = 1 year remaining till maturity, and
suppose that S = 100, σ = 20% per year, and rA = 6.18% (annual interest
rate, annually compounded)
The continuously compounded rate r corresponding to rA is log(1 + rA ) = 6%
To find C we follow these steps:
Step 1 Calculate d1 and d2 :
S
+ r + σ 2 /2 (T − t)
log K
d1 = √
σ T −t
100
log 110 + 0.06 + (0.2)2 /2
= = −0.0766
√ 0.2
d2 = d1 − σ T − t
= −0.0766 − 0.2 = −0.2766
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The Black-Scholes formula - Example #1 (Cont’d)
Step 2 Find Φ (d1 ) and Φ (d2 ). We can either use a normal distribution table or
the Excel function NORMSDIST
NORMSDIST(−0.0766) = 0.469
NORMSDIST(−0.2766) = 0.391
= 6.39
Note how cheap the call is relative to the underlying stock. This is due to the
implicit leverage in the call
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The Black-Scholes formula - Extensions
Dividend-Paying Stock
Lumpy dividend payments: say PV(D) is the present value of all dividends between
t and T √
C = [S − PV(D)] Φ (d1∗ ) − e −r (T −t) K Φ d1∗ − σ T − t
where
log ([S − PV(D)] /K ) + r + σ 2 /2 (T − t)
d1∗ = √
σ T −t
Continuous dividend payments: δ is the annualized continuous “dividend yield”
√
C = e −δ(T −t) SΦ (d1∗ ) − e −r (T −t) K Φ d1∗ − σ T − t
where
log e −δ(T −t) S/K + r + σ 2 /2 (T − t)
∗
d1 = √
σ T −t
Apply these formulae to stocks, indices, currencies, commodities ...
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The Black-Scholes formula - Extensions
Currency Options
The underlying is a foreign currency with S as the exchange rate (the price of
the foreign currency in terms of the domestic currency), and the “dividend
yield” is the foreign interest rate, rf :
√
C = e −rf (T −t) SΦ (d1∗ ) − e −r (T −t) K Φ d1∗ − σ T − t
where
log (S/K ) + r − rf + σ 2 /2 (T − t)
d1∗ = √
σ T −t
Example: S = 0.61, K = 0.60, r = 5%, rf = 7%, σ = 12%, T − t = 0.25:
log (0.61/0.60) + 0.05 − 0.07 + 0.122 /2 × 0.25
d1∗ = √ = 0.0222
0.12 0.25
√
C = 0.61e −0.07×0.25 Φ (0.0222) − 0.60e −0.05×0.25 Φ 0.0222 − 0.12 × 0.25
= 0.01796
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The “Greeks”
The Greeks
I measure the sensitivity of the price to these arguments or parameters
I are a useful guideline for hedging a position in the derivative
Unless otherwise said, the graphs are obtained with a strike assumed to be
K = 100, r = 0 = δ.
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The “Greeks”
Delta
The delta of a derivative tells us how much the value of the derivative will
change with a small change in the price of the underlying stock, other things
being equal:
∂V
∆=
∂S
∆ is also a hedge-ratio. In the B-S world
∆ (S, t) = Φ (d1 (S, t))
∆ can be identified directly from the B-S formula: to hedge one call, sell
Φ(d1 (S, t)) units of the underlying stock
Selling ∆ shares for every call gives us a position delta of 0. This is a
delta-neutral position
By put-call parity:
∆call = ∆put + 1
0 ≤ ∆call ≤ 1, −1 ≤ ∆put ≤ 0
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The “Greeks”
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The “Greeks”
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The “Greeks”
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The “Greeks”
Gamma
The gamma of a derivative measures by how much the delta will change for a
small change in the stock price, other things being equal:
∂∆
Γ=
∂S
∂2V
=
∂S 2
So if a call option has a gamma of .12, that means that if the underlying
stock moves by $1, the trader replicating the call needs to adjust his hedge
by buying or selling 12 shares for every option contract (assuming 100 shares
per option contract)
In the B-S world
1
Γ (S, t) = √ φ (d1 (S, t))
Sσ T − t
where φ is the standard normal density, φ(x) = Φ0 (x)
Γcall = Γput by put-call parity
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The “Greeks”
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The “Greeks”
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The “Greeks”
Vega
Vega, or V is the partial derivative of the option price with respect to the
volatility parameter, σ
In B-S, we have √
V = Sφ (d1 (S, t)) T −t
for both calls and puts, by put-call parity
Thus, V > 0. Hence, all else equal, there is a monotonic relationship between
σ and the B-S call price. In fact, option prices are typically quoted in terms
of “vol” rather than the cash price
For vanilla calls and puts, vega is a lot like gamma. Both are positive, highest
ATM, and very small for deep ITM or OTM options
I It is highest for ATM options as a small move in the underlying might decide
whether or not it is optimal to exercise the option.
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The “Greeks”
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The “Greeks”
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The “Greeks”
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The “Greeks”
Theta
Even if the stock price remains unchanged, as the maturity date approaches, the
mere passing of time creates profits or losses on option positions
We define an option’s theta as
∂V ∂V
Θ= =−
∂t ∂(T − t)
For calls in the B-S world, we have
Sσ
Θ = −re −r (T −t) K Φ (d2 ) − √ φ (d1 ) < 0
2 T −t
discount effect: The shorter the time to maturity, the less K is discounted. Hence,
more has to be paid to get the stock, and the call is worth less
volatility effect: The shorter the time to maturity, the lower is the variance of ST
given St , and hence the lower is the upside potential. This implies a lower value of
the call
For calls, theta is negative and highest (in absolute value) ATM. For puts, theta is
typically negative but can occasionally be positive
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The “Greeks”
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The “Greeks”
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The “Greeks”
Rho
Rho measures the sensitivity of the B-S option price to a small change in the
interest rate, assumed to stay constant and known until the option’s maturity
The rho for a call and put in the B-S world are
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The “Greeks” - Summary
∂V
∆= ∂S
Positive Negative
∂2V
Γ= ∂S 2
Positive Positive
∂V
V= ∂σ
Positive Positive
∂V
Θ= ∂t
Negative +/−
∂V
ρ= ∂r
Positive Negative
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Conclusion
When the number of periods goes to infinity, the binomial model converges to the
famous Black-Scholes formula
In a Black-Scholes world, call prices depend on five quantities
I The current stock price
I The strike price
I The time to maturity
I The continuously-compounded riskless rate
I The stock’s volatility
The Black-Scholes model can easily be extended to deal with the underlying
stock paying dividends
The Black-Scholes model can also be used to price derivatives other than
calls and puts on stocks
The Greeks provide useful intuition about the underlying economics of option
pricing. They also allow derivatives traders to carefully immunize their
portfolio against changes in the key inputs to Black-Scholes
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