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REPORT
Type 2 diabetes is one of the major links between obesity observed in China, Latin America and the Caribbean, and
and other non-communicable diseases the rest of Asia (Figure 3).
The World Health Organization estimated that around
143 million adults were diabetic worldwide in 1997. This
figure is expected to rise to 154 million by the year 2000
and to 300 million by 2025. 2. Prevalence, trends and economics
The likelihood of developing type 2 diabetes rises steeply
with increasing body fatness. Approximately 85% of ‘The prevalence of obesity is increasing worldwide at an
people with diabetes can be classified as type 2, and of alarming rate.’1
these 90% are obese or overweight. Obesity has already reached epidemic proportions in
People with type 2 diabetes are at high risk of a range of many countries and population groups
disabling conditions (eg heart disease, hypertension, A clear relationship exists between average BMI and the
amputation, stroke, renal failure and blindness) and pre- prevalence of obesity in a population. When the average is
mature death. below 23 kg=m2, few individuals are obese. However, for
Duration of obesity, accumulation of abdominal body fat, every single unit increase in average BMI above 23 kg=m2,
and inactivity further increase the risk of diabetes. there is an almost 5% increase in obesity prevalence (Figure
Diabetes is now most frequent in developing countries. 4).
In countries such as the US, UK and Australia, ethnic Obesity rates in adults are increasing rapidly in all parts
minority populations are most at risk, eg American of the world, both in affluent Western countries and in
Indians, Micronesians, Polynesians, Asian Indians, Aus- poorer nations (see Figure 5)
tralian Aborigines, Mexican Americans, African Ameri- Current obesity levels range from below 5% in China,
cans and Hispanics. Japan and certain African nations to over 75% in urban
India, China and the US are the three countries with the Samoa (Table 3).
highest number of adults with diabetes (Table 2).
In 1995, the Established Market Economies had the
highest number of persons with diabetes. If current
60
trends continue, India and the Middle Eastern Crescent r=0.94
b=4.66% per unit BMI
will have taken over by 2025. Large increases will also be 50
Prevalence (%) of obesity
40
Prevalence of
obesity (%)
Africa
Cape Peninsula (Coloured) 1990 15 – 64 8 44
Mauritius 1992 25 – 74 5 15
Rodrigues (Creoles) 1992 25 – 69 10 31
Tanzania 1986=1989 35 – 64 0.6 4
Europe
Even in relatively low prevalence countries such as Czech Republic 1988 20 – 65 16 20
England 1997 16 – 64 17 20
China, levels are almost 20% in some cities. Finland 1997 25 – 64 19 19
In most populations, more women than men are obese. France 1994 25 – 79 10 11
Germany 1990=1991 25 – 69 17 19
Italya 1994 15 þ 7 6
Childhood obesity is already epidemic in some areas, and Netherlands 1995 20 – 59 8 9
Russia 1996 Adults 11 28
on the rise in others Scotland 1995 16 – 64 16 17
Approximately 22 million children under 5 y are over-
Middle East
weight across the world.
Bahrain (U) 1991=1992 20 – 65 10 30
In Thailand, the prevalence of obesity in 6 – 12-y-old Cyprus 1989=1990 35 – 64 19 24
children rose from 12.2 to 15.6% in just 2 y. Jordan (U) 1994 – 1996 25 þ 33 60
In Japan, the percentage of obese children aged 6 – 14 y Kuwait 1994 18 þ 32 44
Saudi Arabia 1990=1993 15 þ 16 24
resident in Izumiohtsu city doubled from 5 to 10%
between 1974 and 1993. North America
In the US, the percentage of obese children aged 6 – 11 y has Canada 1991 18 – 74 15 15
United States
more than doubled since the 1960s. Prevalence rose from Total 1988 – 1994 20 – 74 20 25
5% in 1963 – 1965 to 11% in 1988 – 1991 in both sexes. NHW 1988 – 1994 20 – 74 20 22
Obesity prevalence in youths aged 12 – 17 y has also NHB 1988 – 1994 20 – 74 21 37
increased dramatically — from 5 to 13% in boys, and from MA 1988 – 1994 20 – 74 23 34
5 to 9% in girls, between 1966 – 1970 and 1988 – 1991 South and East Asia
respectively. China 1992 20 – 45 1.2 1.64
India (Delhi mid-class) (U) 1997 40 – 60 3 14
Japan 1993 20 þ 2 3
Kyrgyztan 1993 18 – 59 4 11
Obesity can affect all income levels Malaysia 18 – 60 5 8
Economic growth fosters obesity, particularly in developing Singaporeb 1992 Adults 4 6
and transition countries. 5
Adapted from Antipatis and Gill.
As the socioeconomic conditions of a country improve, U, urban; NHW, non-hispanic whites; NHB, non-hispanic blacks; MA, Mexican
Americans.
the average weight of the population rises and the a
Data are self-reported.
number of people who are obese increases. b
Obesity criterion: BMI 31 kg=m2.
In the early stages of transition, undernutrition remains the
main problem in the poor whilst the more affluent tend to
among affluent women in ethnic minority populations.
show an increase in people with a high BMI. As transition
Risks for men may increase when jobs no longer require
proceeds, overweight and obesity also begin to increase
manual labour.
among the poor, especially among women (Figure 6).
In affluent societies, obesity levels tend to be highest in Obesity is an extremely costly health problem
the lower socio-economic classes — again, especially Obesity accounts for 2 – 6% of total health care costs in
among women. However, obesity sometimes persists several developed countries (Table 4). The true costs are
Figure 9 Societal policies and processes with direct and indirect influences on the prevalence of obesity and under-nutrition. Vertical and horizontal links
will vary between different societies and populations.
6. Tracking outcomes
Process outcomes related to food intake and physical activity.
Process outcomes related to food intake and physical activity ‘Systematic assessment and evaluation should be a rou-
patterns are critical for ensuring that efforts to prevent obesity tine part of all interventions aimed at preventing and
are on course. These guide short-term progress towards managing obesity.’1
achievement of the long-term impact targets.
In setting process outcomes, it is recommended that each
country consider the following population-based guidelines.
These are common to national nutrition and health policies The need for monitoring and evaluation
in a range of countries where chronic disease risk reduction Evaluation is an essential tool for providing information
is a priority. They should also promote energy balance about, and strengthening, obesity prevention programs. It
whereby energy intake from food and drink is balanced helps to:
with energy output through physical activity. identify sub-groups of the population with particularly
high or rising obesity prevalence;
Food intake. provide information about the implementation and
effect of the programme;
1. Food-based dietary guidelines: eat lots of fruit, vegetables,
track progress in accomplishing goals and objectives;
fish and starchy carbohydrate foods. Limit fatty, sugary
and salty foods. provide feedback to those involved in project planning to
determine which parts of the programme are working
2. Nutrient-based dietary guidelines: aim for about 10%
energy from protein, 15 – 30% energy from fat, more well and which are not;
make improvements or adjustments in the process of
than 50% energy from complex carbohydrates. Limit
implementation;
salt and alcohol intakes.
value the efforts of those involved;
Physical activity. document experience gained from the project so it can be
shared with others.
1. Active living: for adults who are currently inactive or not
regularly active, aim to accumulate 30 min or more of
moderate intensity physical activity on most days of the
Evaluation and monitoring principles
week.
Evaluation should be considered from the outset and
2. Regular exercise: for adults who are already doing regular
remain ongoing. It can be conducted on an intermediate-
moderate activities, aim to include three bouts per week
term as well as a long-term basis.
of vigorous intensity activity which lasts for at least
For many countries with limited resources, intermediate-
20 min.
term process evaluation may be more feasible than
For countries where obesity levels and chronic disease are long-term outcome evaluation, which can be costly and
not yet high, it may be more appropriate to focus on complex.
1. National government Integrate nutrition, physical activity and obesity prevention objectives into
eg food and nutrition, transport, education, health, welfare relevant policies and programmes, eg, conduct obesity impact assessments
for all new and existing policies
Increase ability of low income populations to buy foods that are rich in
micronutrients but low in fat and sugar, eg, provide price support for
healthy food
Reduce dependence on sugary soft drinks, eg, provide a safe, palatable
and affordable water supply for all
Improve general food supply, eg, provide economic incentives for supply
of ‘healthy’ foods and disincentives for supply of ‘unhealthy’ foods
Increase cycling and walking for short journeys and leisure, especially in
urban areas, eg, develop and implement sustainable transport policies
2. Food supply Improve nutrition quality of food served in catering outlets, eg, introduce
eg manufacture, marketing, distribution, retail, catering award or accreditation schemes for preparation, provision and promotion
of healthy food options in catering outlets
Improve nutrition quality of general food supply, eg, develop, produce,
distribute and promote food products that are low in dietary fat and energy
Help consumers to make informed food purchase choices, eg, introduce new
and improved food labeling schemes (covering fat, energy and salt) which
do not mislead the consumer
4. Non-governmental=international organizations Support action on diet, physical activity and obesity, eg, develop and implement
healthy eating, physical activity and obesity prevention programmes; advocate
action on diet, physical activity and obesity
5. Healthcare services Promote healthcare intervention before obesity develops, eg, provide training
in obesity prevention and management for doctors and other healthcare workers
Promote adoption of healthy activity and dietary habits by patients, eg, Provide
physical activity and=or nutrition and cooking skills programmes for patients
6. Education sites Improve nutrition quality of foods available, eg, introduce nutrition standards
eg pre-school, school, further education for school meals
Encourage choice of healthy foods, eg, introduce reward schemes for choice
of healthy foods
Empower students to prepare healthy meals, eg, provide classes in practical
food preparation and cooking
Encourage uptake of physical activities, eg, increase range of enjoyable, non-
competitive physical activities on offer at school
Encourage integration of walking or cycling into daily routine, eg, develop and
implement ‘safe-routes-to-school’ programmes
7. Worksites Improve nutrition quality of foods available, eg, provide appetizing healthy food
and drink options in staff restaurants
Encourage choice of healthy foods, eg, subsidize healthy options in staff restaurants
Empower employees to integrate physical activity into work day, eg, provide
exercise and change facilities
Encourage integration of walking or cycling into daily routine, eg, provide
incentive schemes for walking and cycling to work
Empower employees to integrate physical activity into work day and reduce
reliance on convenience pre-processed food, eg, implement flexible work hours
8. Neighbourhoods, homes and families Increase access of low income groups to healthy food, eg, set up community
garden programmes and food co-operatives
Increase access to safe exercise and recreation facilities, eg, set up walking
programmes in shopping malls, parks etc
Promote walking (and cycling), eg, pedestrianize city centres
Increase access to, and consumption of, fruit and vegetables (and encourage
physical activity), eg, home gardening projects
Box 2 Outcome evaluation: example obesity-related Box 4 Process evaluation: example indicators for assess-
indicators ment of impact on societal factors
International
Obesity prevalence
Average population BMI Budget spent by international corporations on pro-
Prevalence of obesity-related non-communicable dis- moting and marketing healthy foods
eases and health problems Provision of funding by international agencies for
obesity prevention initiatives
NB. More than one indicator may be used for evaluation.
National=state
The time required to achieve an improvement in obesity
Integration of obesity prevention into health and
levels is likely to be slow.
environmental impact assessments
Implementation of an integrated nutrition policy
Implementation of an integrated transport policy to
Intermediate-term process evaluation promote sustainable forms of transport and reduce
Process evaluation is needed to track the progress that is dependence on motorised transport
being made towards achieving the overall goals. It can be Percentage investment in public transport vs private
split into three main areas. car ownership
Regulation of food advertising to children
Disability adjusted life years (DALY). A comprehensive assess- Target outcome. The intended change in a characteristic of an
ment of health status based on both disability and premature individual, group or population which is attributable to a
death data. One DALY is one lost year of healthy life. planned intervention or series of interventions. Impact out-
comes relate to changes in obesity levels. Process outcomes
relate to changes in the determinants of obesity levels, ie
Disease burden. See Disability Adjusted Life Years. food intake and physical activity patterns.
Economic costs of obesity. These can be broadly divided into Transitional country. A previously low-income country which
direct and indirect costs. Direct costs relate to the medical is now undergoing rapid economic, nutritional and epide-
costs of obesity within the health care system. They are miological transition. Examples include China, Brazil, Chile,
usually calculated as the sum of the proportion of medical Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia.
costs of co-morbidities that are attributable to obesity. Indir-
ect costs are the value of lost output because of cessation or Undernutrition. BMI less than or equal to 18.5 kg=m2.
reduction of productivity caused by morbidity and mortality.
Vigorous-intensity physical activity. Activity which increases a
Indicator. A characteristic of an individual, population, or person’s heart rate substantially (around 70 – 80% of max-
environment which is subject to measurement (directly or imum heart rate) and makes them breath heavily. Examples
indirectly) and can be used to describe one or more aspects of include brisk hillwalking, running, cross-country skiing,
the health of an individual or population. football (soccer), and fast cycling.
Intersectoral collaboration. A recognized relationship between 8. Key References and further reading
part or parts of different sectors of society which has been References
formed to take action to prevent obesity in a way that is 1 World Health Organization. Obesity: preventing and managing the
more effective, efficient or sustainable than might be global epidemic. Report of a WHO Consultation. WHO Technical
Report Series 894: Geneva; 2000.
achieved by any one sector acting alone. 2 Posner BM, Quatromoni PA, Franz M. Nutrition policies and
interventions for chronic disease risk reduction in international
Moderate-intensity physical activity. Activity which increases a settings: the INTERHEALTH nutrition initiative. Nutr Rev 1994; 52:
person’s heart rate slightly and makes them feel warm, but 179 – 187.
3 King H, Aubert RE, Herman WH. Global burden of diabetes, 1995 –
does not make them get out of breath. Examples include 2025: prevalence, numerical estimates, and projections. Diabetes
brisk walking, cycling, dancing, swimming, washing the car, Care 1998; 21: 1414 – 1431.
heavy housework and gardening. 4 Rose G. Population distributions of risk and disease. Nutr Metab
Cardiovasc Dis 1991; 1: 37 – 40.
5 Antipatis VJ, Gill TP. Obesity as a global problem. In: Bjorntorp P
Obesity prevalence. The proportion of a population that is (ed). International textbook of obesity. Wiley: Chichester; 2001. pp
obese, ie with a BMI > 30 kg=m2. 3 – 22.
6 Grol ME, Eimers JM, Alberts JF, Bouter LM, Gerstenbluth I, Halabi
Y, van Sonderen E, van den Heuvel WJ. Alarmingly high preva-
Obesity. BMI greater than or equal to 30 kg=m2.
lence of obesity in Curacao: data from an interview survey strati-
fied for socioeconomic status. Int J Obes Relat Metab Disord 1997;
Overweight. BMI greater than or equal to 25 kg=m2. 21: 1002 – 1009.