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Unit 1.1-1.3 Basic Introduction To Official Statistics.
Unit 1.1-1.3 Basic Introduction To Official Statistics.
2
Importance of official statistics
Official statistics are used by policy makers, the press and the general
public to assess the government performance
They are used for a great many different purposes, by a great variety of
users
They are the tools used in decision making which are used to reduce
the uncertainty of the future
They help decision maker in addressing the future, to help in making
decision aimed at changing the trend, and for estimations and
projections etc.
3
The overall users of official statistics are listed in the following:
Policy and decision makers in government ministries and agencies,
and semi government bodies
Politicians (such as member of parliament)
Local authorities in provinces, districts etc.
Non government organizations
Researchers and academicians
Private sector operators (business enterprises, associations, trade
unions etc)
International organizations, the media, public
4
United Nations Fundamental Principles of
Official Statistics(FPOS)
The statistical system of a country is guided by the Fundamental
Principles of Official Statistics(FPOS),which is the pillar of the Global
Statistical System
It was adopted by the UN Statistical Commission in 1994
They have become an integral part and common reference in the
statistical systems in global and national level
The ten principles are discussed below:
5
Principle 1-Relevance,impartiality and equal access
Principle 2-Professional standards, professional ethics and scientific
principles
Principle 3-Accountability and transparency
Principle 4-Prevention of misuse
Principle 5-Sources of official statistics
Principle 6-Confidentiality
Principle 7-Legislation
Principle 8-National coordination
Principle 9-Use of international standards
Principle 10-International cooperation
6
Principle 1-Relevance,impartiality and equal
access
Official statistics provide an indispensable element in the information
system of a democratic society, serving government, the economy and
the public with data about the economic,demography,social and
environment situation
To this end, official statistics that meet the test of practical utility are
to be complied and made available on an impartial basis by official
statistical agencies to honor citizens entitlement to public information
7
Principle 2-Professional standards, professional
ethics and scientific principles
To retain trust in official statistics, the statistical agencies need to
decide according to strictly professional considerations, including
scientific principles and professional ethics, on the methods and
procedure for the collection, processing,storge and presentation of
statistical data
8
Principle 3-Accountability and transparency
To facilate a correct interpretation of the data, the statistical agencies
are to present information according to scientific standards on the
sources, methods and procedures of the statistics
9
Principle 4-Prevention of misuse
The statistical agencies are entitled to comment on erroneous
interpretation of the data and misuse of statistics
Statistics can be used and interpreted in many different ways, it is
sometime misused
It is important to maintain trust in, and the credibility of ,official
statistics
Hence, statistical agencies should draw attention to obvious public
incorrect use or interpretation
10
Principle 5-Sources of official statistics
Data for statistical purposes may be drawn from different types of
sources, they may be statistical surveys or administrative records
Statistical agencies are to choose the source with regard to quality,
timeliness, costs and the burden on respondents
11
Principle 6-Confidentiality
Data for statistical purposes may be drawn from different types of
sources, they may be statistical surveys or administrative records
Statistical agencies are to choose the source with regard to quality,
timeliness, costs and the burden on respondents
12
Principle 7-Legislation
The laws, regulations and measures under which the statistical
systems operate are to be made public
It refers to the need for preparing corresponding legal regulations for
statistics
13
Principle 8-National coordination
Coordination among the statistical agencies within countries is
essential to achieve consistency and efficiency in the statistical system
Coordination, here, refers to a situation where statistical agencies
within a country can work together in an efficient and organized way
to strengthen the national statistical system
Coordination also helps to reduce the costs of data collection and to
reduce burden
14
Principle 9-Use of international standards
The use by statistical agencies in each country of international concepts,
classifications and methods promotes the consistency and efficiency of statistical
systems at all official levels
It recommends the use of international standards and best practices by all
statistical agencies
The Central Bureau of Statistics , Nepal has been following most of the
international concepts,definations and classifications and practices for
collection, processing, storage and presentation of statistical data
Statistical concepts,definations and classifications are recommended by the UN
agencies are the main international standards and best practices followed in
Nepal
15
Principle 10-International cooperation
Bilateral and multilateral cooperation in statistics contributes to the
improvement of systems of official statistics in all countries
Often the UN is involved in multilateral cooperation, the principle
states that international cooperation in statistics contributes to the
improvement of systems of official statistics in all countries
16
Concept of evidence based policy
Evidence-based policy (EBP) is an idea in public policy proposing
that policy decisions should be based on, or informed by, rigorously
established objective evidence
Public policy is defined as a goal oriented course of action which deal
with public problems
It is regarded as a government tool to solve social, economic and
environmental problems
It is the approach which helps people make well informed decisions
about policies, programs and projects by putting the best available
evidence at the heart of policy development and implementation 17
Cont…
Decision makers are always confronted with one or more kinds of
uncertainties
From experience they know that uncertainty is an unavoidable fact of
life
They need information(some kind of evidence) to reduce the amount
of uncertainty in their decision making process
The quality,accuracy,reliability and integrity of data and statistics are
essential and useful for evidence based decision making
181
Opportunity and challenges of official statistics
Official statistics are essential inputs to the economic and social
development of any country
The opportunities and challenges of official statistics are discussed
below
19
Opportunities
Authoritative(decision making)
Independent, objective and transparent(trust)
Highest professional standards and ethics(confidentiality)
Fitness for purpose (user oriented quality)
Universal(equal access)
Flexible and resilient (reliable)
Efficient and effective (coordinated)
20
Challenges of official statistics
Trust
Privacy
Social statistics
Economic statistics and globalization
Environmental statistics
21
Open data access
Open Data is research data that is freely available on the internet
permitting any user to download, copy, analyze, re-process, pass to
software or use for any other purpose without financial, legal, or
technical barriers
Open data in this sense is generally understood to mean data that are
made available to the public free of charge, without registration or
restrictive licenses, for any purpose whatsoever (including commercial
purposes), in electronic, machine-readable formats that are easy to
find, download and use
22
Cont…
Open data platforms are becoming popular in recent years which are
defined by their free use
Open data are beneficial in many ways to government, business and
civil society as well
European Data Portal has defined open data as: data that anyone can
access, use and share
Governments, business and individuals can use open data to bring
about social, economic and environment benefits
23
Cont…
"Open data handbook" has defined open data as, "data that can be
freely used, re-used and redistributed by anyone - subject only, at
most, to the requirement to attribute and share alike
The handbook has outlined three characteristics of open data:
availability and access; re-use and redistribution; and universal
participation
Data should be available at a reasonable cost in a convenient
and modifiable form preferably over the internet
24
Cont…
Open data must be available under terms that permit its re-use,
redistribution and intermixing with other data sets
They should be available without any discrimination against fields of
endeavour or against persons or groups
25
Benefits of open data
Open data facilitates greater information sharing within government
and with external stakeholders, increases transparency,
accountability, and citizen participation; provides public insights into a
country progress in a way that allows a variety of stakeholders to
contribute data, expertise, and resources
26
Cont…
Transparency : Open Data supports public oversight of governments
and helps reduce corruption by enabling greater transparency
Public Service Improvement
Innovation and Economic Value
Efficiency
27
Opportunity and challenges of open data access
for official statistics
Opportunities:
Increased uses of data
Reduced cost of data dissemination
Raising profile and influence
Improving data quality
28
Cont…
Challenges:
Privacy and confidentiality
Legal, licensing and policy issues
Implementation and resources
29
Open Data Initiatives in Nepal
Open data concept started in the early 2000s as an initiative aimed at
improving government transparency
Nepal is striving for the emerging trend which have been some
positive moves towards the open data access movement
Creation of an information commission is an example "The National
Information Commission (NIC) was established in A. D. 2008”
The Central Bureau of Statistics, being the nodal agency in the
national statistical system, has become the "hub" of the official
statistics as well as the government open data system
30
Cont…
There are open data forums who are working to improve the condition
of open data access in Nepal
Open Data Nepal website (http://opendatanepal.com/organization)
has listed the government organizations and agencies with the
number of open data sets available
31
Cont…
Central Bureau of Statistics (18 datasets),
Civil Aviation Authority (3 datasets)
Department of Environment (1 dataset),
Department of Foreign Employment (2 data sets),
Department of Health Services (15 datasets)
Department of Hydrology and Meteorology (15 data sets),
Department of Information Technology (1 dataset),
Department of Industry (10 datasets)
32
Department of Roads (12 data sets),
Department of Water Supply and Sewerage (1 dataset)
Department of Water Supply and Sewerage (1 dataset)
Department of National Parks and Wildlife Conservation (4 data sets),
Election Commission Nepal (2 datasets),
Financial Comptroller General Office (1 dataset)
Inland Revenue Department (2 dataset),
Ministry of Agricultural Development (8 datasets)
Ministry of Culture, Tourism and Civil Aviation (8 datasets),
Ministry of Education (22 datasets)
Ministry of Federal Affairs and Local Development (2 datasets)
33
Sample Questions
1) Define "Official Statistics". Describe the importance of official
statistics for policy formulation
2) State and explain Principle 6 of the Fundamental Principles of Official
Statistics
3) What do you mean by evidence-based policy formulation? Describe
its importance in decision making
4) Define the concept of Open Data and Open Data Access system. What
are the benefits of the Open Data Access system?
34
1.2 Statistical system of Nepal
The Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) is the central statistical authority for
the government and provider of statistical services to the central as well as
the state-governments
However, the CBS has no mandate and no resources to meet the needs of
all users
Some line ministries and their agencies (and some in private sector also)
collect statistics
Some examples are: the Ministry of Education, the Ministry of Health, the
Ministry of Finance, the Nepal Rastra Bank, the Trade and Export
Promotion Centre, etc.
35
Cont…
The CBS is legally authorized to ensure co-ordination of the statistical
operations of other agencies
In summary: A national statistical system is defined by a legal
framework, infrastructure and institutional arrangement for
collection, management, dissemination and utilization of official
statistics in a country
36
Legal Framework
An appropriate and up to date legislation is important in "providing
the underpinning for what the statistical agencies can and cannot do
and giving them the necessary authority, legitimacy and
credibility"(Khawaja, S. & Morrison 2002 as cited in Edmunds, 2005,
para. 7)
Legal frameworks comprise a set of documents that include the
constitution, legislation, regulations in a country
Legal contracts also form a part of the legal framework
Legislation is a law or act, or a set of laws
37
Cont…
Regulations contain implementing rules created by government t
legislation practical
Contracts are written official agreements between two or more
parties
A legal framework can possibly comprise the statistical law as well as
other influencing factors in the jurisdiction of the country ,including
conventions and or social norms
The framework is necessary for laying own duties and responsibilities
of the data collectors and the obligations and rights of the
respondents 38
Cont…
The following are the key elements of statistical legislation
Functions of statistical system
Power to collect statistical information
Professional independence of statistical system
Confidentiality of data
Coordination in statistical organization
39
Statistical Legislations in Nepal
Statistics Act 2015 (AD 1958) is a vintage statistical act of Nepal
This act was created "to facilitate the collection of statistics" in Nepal
The act was promulgated because the government for its business
required "realistic basis and, to acquire such basis, it was expedient to
make provision to facilitate the collection of statistics and to establish a
Central Bureau for collection, consolidation, publication and analysis of
statistics
The act has envisaged the national statistical system as a centralized
one
40
Cont…
Statistics Regulation, 2041 (AD 1984), created under the provision laid
down in the Statistics Act 2015 (1958), contains rules and regulations
governing the statistical activities of the Central Bureau of Statistics
(CBS)
Besides, Guidelines of the Central Organization, 2054 (1997) has
specified the objectives and the main functions of the bureau
The overall management and operation of the activities in the bureau
are based on the Civil Service Act, 1993 AD and Civil Service
Regulation, 1993 AD
41
Cont…
Constitution of Nepal 2072 (AD 2015) also deserves consideration
The Constitution has made it mandatory to conduct a national
population census in the country (Article 84, 259, 281, and several
other Articles)
42
Role of CBS and other institutions
As mentioned earlier, the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) in Nepal
was established by virtue of the Statistics Act 1958
The Bureau had replaced the then existing Department of Statistics
In the beginning, the CBS was administratively under the Ministry of
Finance
During a short period of time, the Bureau came under the Ministry of
Finance and economic Affairs, then under the Ministry of Economic
Affairs, and then under the Ministry of Planning
Finally it came under the National Planning Commission (NPC)
Secretariat and is under the same secretariat to date. 43
The CBS is the national statistical agency of Nepal, providing official
statistics on a wide range of economic, social and environmental
matters of importance to the country
The role of CBS and other institutions are discussed below
44
1. To produce and provide reliable socioeconomic data to the
government for plan and policy making
2. To maintain coordination among all the governmental and non-
governmental organization that conduct economic and social data
collection, processing, analysis, and publication activities
3. To provide appropriate condition for the development of standardized
Statistical System in Nepal
4. To provide training and develop statistical manpower in the country
45
Statistical Plans and Policies of Nepal
Official statistics contribute to evidence based development planning
Good, reliable statistics are essential for good, efficient and effective
planning
Good, reliable statistics are product of a strong, sustainable national
statistical system
Nepal's first five-year plan was introduced in AD 1956
Currently, Nepal is on its 14th development Plan
46
Cont…
All of these plans formulated so far have highlighted the importance
of statistics
During a period of more than 60 years, there has been some
development in the field of the national statistical system of Nepal
The pace of development, however, has been sluggish and not up to
the level of expectation
The objectives set out in the successive plans have not been fully
achieved
47
Relationship between the national statistical
system and the international statistical system
Relationship between the national statistical system and the
international statistical system can be described in terms of the role of
development partners in Nepal, particularly in statistics
Over the years, the cooperation between the national statistical
system and the development partners has accelerated
For example, the CBS has received technical assistances in various
forms from the development partners
48
Cont…
The major technical assistance received through development
partners over the last ten years includes the following: UNDP, UNFPA,
UNICEF, UN Women, FAO, UNIDO, DfID, WB, DANIDA, ADB, USAID, and
JAICA
In some cases, assistance has been provided at the request of the
government
In some other instances, development partners have shown interest
and taken initiative to assist statistical development projects
49
Cont…
Assistance is received in several forms: in kind, expert services, and
direct payments, etc.
Capacity building activities including training, technical assistance and
even sponsorship of surveys have certainly helped the government in
improving its functioning
50
Major Sources of Official Statistics
Data for statistical purposes may be drawn from all types of sources,
be they statistical surveys or administrative records
Statistical agencies are to choose the source with regard to quality,
timeliness, costs and the burden on respondents
Censuses and surveys are the conventional sources of official statistics
of a country
Administrative data are collected primarily for non-statistical
purposes and adapted for producing official statistics
51
Cont…
Administrative data are collected primarily for non-statistical purposes
and adapted for producing official statistics
Data sources are mentioned in different ways in the texts on "sources
of official statistics“
For example, the sources are broadly divided into two: primary and
secondary sources
Primary sources consist of surveys and censuses
Examples of secondary sources are: administrative data, Big data, and
Geospatial data
52
Cont…
The four main data collection systems used by any National Statistical
System (NSS) are: administrative records, censuses, sample surveys and
participatory assessments
The following is a brief description of the more common sources of
official statistics:
53
Administrative records
Administrative records are data collected for the purpose of carrying
out various non-statistical programs
Using administrative records presents a number of advantages to a
statistical agency and to analysts.
Administrative sources of data traditionally have been defined as
collection of data held by the other parts of government
They are collected and used for the purposes other than statistical
purposes
Border records, pensions, taxation, and vital records like births and
deaths are examples of administrative data 54
1.3 Survey and Census systems
Survey
The term survey refers to "an investigation involving the collection of
elaborate information”
Surveys are conducted involving complete enumeration and/or
sampling
A simple definition of a survey is: “A method of measuring some
characteristics or set of characteristics of a population through the
use of scientific sampling techniques“
Inferences are made about the entire population based upon a
representative sample of a portion of the population 55
Importance of Statistical Surveys
56
Importance of Statistical Surveys
Limited funds
Saving time
Infinite population
Controlling non sampling error
Small area data
Concentration on particular cases
57
Limited funds
58
Saving time
A sample survey is a good option when data are desired more quickly
than would be possible with a complete census
Sampling is also used for time series data
Information may be required for a time series when data are available
only for particular periods of time and results are needed promptly
59
Infinite population
Sampling from an Infinite population make valid statistical inferences
about the population from which the sample is taken
For infinite population, a sample can play important role for drawing
inference about the population
60
Controlling non sampling error
Non sampling errors are easier to control in small scale operations
As such, a sample survey may give better results than a complete
census where non sampling errors are necessarily large
61
Concepts of Survey Design and Sample Design
Survey design is the process of creating surveys with the goal of
receiving maximum insights from survey research
It includes using an online survey tool to design a survey from scratch
or using ready-made survey templates
Sample design methods generally refer to the technique used to select
sample units for measurement (e.g., select individuals from a
population or locations to sample within a study area)
Sample design as a art of survey design comprises of the following
62
Cont…
Selection methods and procedures
Sampling units: choice, designation and identification
Allocation of sample sizes to stages of sampling units
Stratification and allocation(sizes, rates) to strata
63
Household and Enterprise/Establishment
Surveys
Household Survey
A household survey is a survey that is conducted at the household
level
Household surveys are questionnaires that are given to a sample
of households in a population
It collects information about household and the individuals living in
those households
The concept of “household” is based on the arrangements made by
persons, individually or in groups, for providing themselves with food
and other essential for living 64
Cont…
Housing Survey
A housing survey collects information relating to the number and
condition of housing units
The purpose of the housing survey is to describe housing conditions of
households and their housing expenditure
It provides information on rents, charges, financing plans, income, and
many other features of people's quality of housing (especially the
most poorly housed) which are covered in detail in the housing survey
65
Cont…
Establishment Surveys
An establishment survey is a survey that collects information pertain
into an enterprise or part of an enterprise
An establishment survey is a survey that seeks to measure the
behavior, structure, or output of organizations rather than individuals
Establishment surveys include surveys of business that are critical to
our understanding of trends in the economy, such as the Economic
Census
66
Census
A census is an official survey of the population of a country that is
carried out in order to find out how many people live there and
to obtain details of such things as people's ages, jobs etc.
A census is a statistical survey conducted on the full set of units
belonging to a given population or universe
It is the complete enumeration of a population or groups at a point in
time with respect to well defined characteristics
67
Importance of Population Census
A Knowing the size of the population:
The population census is helpful in obtaining a number of people who
live in the country and the structure of the society
Determining the taxable adults:
Population census helps in the determining the number of people who
can pay taxes which helps to estimate the amount of revenue that can be
obtained from the sector
Forecasting the possible economic needs:
Population census helps to forecast the country’s economic needs, for
example, electricity, housing, food, etc 68
Cont…
A Knowing the size of the population:
The population census is helpful in obtaining a number of people who
live in the country and the structure of the society
Determining the number of unemployed and the standard of living of
the citizens in the country
Revealing the level of manpower:
Population census helps to reveal the level of manpower, that is, people
who are working
Formulating economic policies
69
Cont…
Estimating the number of emigrants and immigrants
Determining the population density, literacy, life expectancy etc
Providing social amenities:
Population census data gives an idea of what kind of social amenities
should be provided to the particular families and areas, for example,
hospitals, housing, water, electricity and others
Giving of aids:
Population census assists the government and international agencies in
helping the country
70
Concept of Census design
A census is the procedure of systematically calculating, acquiring and
recording information about the members of a given population
A census design is the framework, or roadmap ,that serves as the basis
for conducting the census
Most of the basic steps for census design:
711
Cont…
Determine the overall strategy for the census
Defining the objectives of census
Develop a work plan and budget for developing and carrying out the
census
Prepare frames and maps for census field operations
Design and test questionnaires
Design and test the computer system, including data entry, editing and
tabulation
72
Cont…
Develop the field system, recruit and trained filed staff
Conduct census enumeration
Perform data processing, tabulate and analyze the data
Prepare census report and disseminate results
73
Types of Census
Population census
Housing census
Census of agriculture
Census of economic enterprises
Census of manufacturing establishment
74
Population census
A census is an official survey of the population of a country that is
carried out in order to find out how many people live there and
to obtain details of such things as people's ages, jobs etc.
A census is a statistical survey conducted on the full set of units
belonging to a given population or universe
It is the complete enumeration of a population or groups at a point in
time with respect to well defined characteristics
75
Housing census
A housing census collects information relating to the number and
condition of housing units
The purpose of the housing survey is to describe housing conditions of
households and their housing expenditure
It provides information on rents, charges, financing plans, income, and
many other features of people's quality of housing (especially the
most poorly housed) which are covered in detail in the housing survey
76
Census of agriculture
Census of Agriculture is a source of community-level data
on agriculture
By drawing on these data, decision makers will act in the interest of
farm operators, farm communities and agricultural sectors
The World Program me for Census of Agriculture defines a census of
agriculture as “ a statistical operation for collecting, processing and
disseminating data on the structure of agriculture, covering the whole
or a significant art of a country”
77
Census of economic enterprises
The economic census is an important activity carried out by many
statistical offices with the aim of improving availability and quality of
existing basic economic statistics and establishing or improving their
survey frames
An economic census is a valuable source of benchmark information on
total employment, employment by economic activity, hours of work,
and earnings, among others
78
Census of Manufacturing establishment
An establishment survey covers all establishments that were engaged
at any time during the inquiry period (the reference period to which
the data relate) in the production goods for sales or exchange
It is a survey that seeks to measure the behavior, structure, or output
of organizations rather than individuals
79
Survey and Census taking practices in Nepal
The Central Bureau of Statistics(CBS) is the major data producer in the
country
Other main data producers include: the line ministries, the public
sector institutes like the Nepal Rastra Bank, the research and training
institutions, and the NGOs
CBS has been conducting large scale national census and survey
The following are the main statistical activities of the CBS:
80
Cont…
a) Periodic censuses: Decennial population census, decennial
agricultural census, quinquennial manufacturing establishment
census, and decennial economic census
b) Regular surveys: Nepal living standards survey, Nepal labour force
survey, and Annual
c) Ad hoc surveys: Crop and livestock survey, vegetables survey,
distributive trade Survey, freight margin survey, land transport survey,
Nepal multiple indicators cluster survey, and surveys related to the
international comparison programme
81
Cont…
d) Quarterly/Annual price surveys
e) Several other surveys of service activities
f) Compilation of national accounts statistics, prices indices, and other
indicators
82
Cont…
a) Food crop area and production statistics: are compiled and published
annually by the Ministry of Agricultural and Livestock Development
b) Education statistics: data on schools, students and teachers are
collected by the Ministry of Education
c) Health statistics: health related data are compiled and published by the
Ministry of Health and Population
d) Money and banking statistics: these fall under the responsibility of the
Nepal Rastra Bank
e) Export and import statistics: There are multiple sources - the Customs
Department, the Nepal Rastra Bank, and the Trade and Export
83
Promotion Centre
Costing of Survey and Census
Budgeting is one of the functions necessary for successfully planning and
carrying out a survey or a census
Workload estimates and production rates are prerequisites for budgeting
Workload is estimated for measurable units such as preparation of
enumeration maps, units to be enumerated, record to be keyed, and
result to be published
84
Cont…
Census costs in Nepal
In the 1952/54 census one paisa was given to the enumerator for each
filled in individual slip (questionnaire)
The total estimated cost of the census operation was around 1300 to
1400 thousand rupees
In the 1971 census, enumerators were aid on a piece base (5 paisa for
each person counted)
The total cost,however,is not available
Similarly, the latest census 2011 budget was more than one billion
85
Cont…
The cost of enumerating one sample household in surveys like Neal living
standards survey and Nepal labor force survey are not available
However, it is most likely that the unit cost would be certainly higher
than that of the census
86
Sample Questions
Why statistical surveys are important? Explain
Describe the different types of surveys
Describe, in brief, the survey and census practices in Nepal
What is a survey? Describe the importance of surveys
Describe the advantages of a census
Describe the importance of a census in a developing country like
Nepal
87