Professional Documents
Culture Documents
India: H1 2022
update
2 Private credit in India: H1 2022 update
Table of
Contents
01 02
Market Analysis of
outlook credit growth
pg 04 pg 06
03 04
New fund setup Private credit India
and deal activity pulse survey
pg 08 pg 10
Over the last six months, since we first published our 2021. Sluggish resolution timelines under IBC have forced
report on the private credit market in India, we have banks/NBFCs to consider resolution options outside the
had several conversations with existing and new players NCLTs, such as sale to ARCs, one-time settlements with
actively seeking to raise India-specific private credit funds. promoters, debt restructuring under RBI’s circular dated
The list of players operating in the Indian market continues 7 June 2019, etc. In addition to the mounting delays in
to increase. During H12022 itself, seven new credit funds IBC timelines, a recent Supreme Court judgement in the
have registered with SEBI1. While there is strong interest in case of India Resurgent ARC Private Limited (‘IRA’) v
the Indian markets, the opportunity landscape is changing. Amit Metaliks (2021) has weakened the rights of secured
Opportunities in the distressed space are drying up, and creditors in IBC. The Supreme Court in this case ruled that
there is an increased pressure on yields. The focus is India Resurgent ARC was not entitled to the value of its
shifting to providing customized and lower cost performing specific security interest even as a dissenter and held that
credit (and in some situation high yield credit) to finance it must share the resolution proceeds in the same ratio as
growth and the new capex cycle. After a peak of distressed other secured creditors3. As we noted in our earlier report
deals, several players are now going slow and are selective on the private credit market in India, protection of creditor
in the distressed asset acquisitions. rights and its effective enforcement are pre-requisites
to a strong credit market in India. Secured creditors’s
In this edition, we also cover insights from a survey
ability to seize their collateral is an essential component
conducted with top private credit fund managers and their
of creditor rights and uncertainty around the same will
outlook on the Indian private credit market.
increase the riskiness for investors looking to participate in
In recent years, asset quality of banks and NBFCs has the Indian private credit market. Despite IBC’s drawbacks,
improved due to improved focus on risk assessment, some success stories (DHFL’s takeover by Piramal, Ruchi
cautious lending, and focus on resolution and recoveries. Soya — exit from IBC followed by an oversubscribed FPO,
The huge NBFC defaults that triggered the financial Jet Airways — a first in aviation in India) deserve special
sector crisis are now largely behind us. Resolutions under mention.
the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, 2016, continue
Measures taken by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), focus
to receive a mixed response from stakeholders. Since
on resolving historical NPAs, and slow credit growth have
inception, until 31 March 2022, against the 5,258 CIRP
led to significant reduction in corporate NPAs throughout
cases admitted under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy
the banking system. SBI reported GNPA at 3.9% in FY22
Code (IBC), 480 cases with an average recovery of ~33%
as against 6.1% in FY20 and 10.9% in FY184. The overall
to financial creditors have been resolved2. The period for
GNPA of scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) declined to
completion of the resolution process has increased to
6.9% as of September 2021 and dropped to 6% as of March
700+ days in FY 2021 to 2022 from 464 days till March
2022 — lowest since 2016. The GNPA ratio of NBFCs has
1
SEBI data and EY analysis
2
IBBI Newsletter – January to March 2022
3
Dilution of Secured Creditor Rights under the Indian Insolvency Regime | Oxford Law Faculty
4
SBI Annual Report FY 2021-22
5
MoSPI, Office of Economic Advisor, GoI
6
RBI Bulletin – June 2022
A comparison of the wholesale credit extended by SCBs to non–PSU and non-financial borrowers by exposure size has been
presented in the chart 1 below.
450
385
377
400
368
357
352
350
300
250
US$ b
200
139
137
132
130
128
150
84 82 76
100 72 81 75 64
56 59 57 57
40 42 42 42 46 47 49 51 51
50
In accounts with exposure between US$12m to US$125m and between US$125m to US$630m, after multiple periods of
outstanding credit de-growth, the half-year period ended 31 March 2022, finally saw an average credit growth of 6% and
12%, respectively. However large borrower segment (> US$630m) remains flat.
An analysis of the balance sheets of the listed manufacturing companies also indicates that the leverage levels have
decreased over the last two years (Refer Chart 2).
7
Page 40 Financial stability report (Issue No. 25)
44
42 Other investment grade -5 -6 0
40.8
40
Below investment grade -16 4 1
38
37.1
36 Unrated -6 -10 13
34.6 35
34
Total -4 -7 6
32
30 In terms of sectoral deployment, aviation has witnessed
H2FY20 H1FY21 H2FY21 H1FY22 H2FY22 significant incremental deployment of credit during the
Q4FY22 (1.9x of deployment in Q3FY22), followed by
Additionally, while the new credit cycle takes off, credit tourism, hotels, restaurants, and shipping (1.2x). The
growth for companies with credit rating below AA is much increase in deployment of credit is potentially due to
lower than for those companies with credit rating more Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS),
than AA. This indicates risk aversion persisting in the the scope of which was expanded recently to include
system and is maybe a potential opportunity for private hospitality and related industries. The scheme has now
credit funds. been extended till 31 March 2023.
8
Page 22 of Financial Stability Report Issue No. 25
9
Page 30 of Financial Stability Report Issue No. 25
A. New funds registered (AIF-SEBI) • Edelweiss group has launched India Special Assets Fund –
III, with target size of US$130m and green shoe option of
Seven credit funds have been registered with SEBI under US$260m. The fund intends to make investments in asset
AIF Category -2 during H12022. Further, as on 30 June heavy stressed/ distressed companies with a potential to
2022, at least three private credit funds have applied to turnaround.
SEBI for seeking AIF registration. In January 2022, The • Kotak Investment Advisors has announced its plan to launch
SEBI (Alternative Investment Funds) Regulations, 2012 a dedicated US$130m private credit fund, with green shoe
have been amended to introduce the ‘Special Situation option of another US$130m. The sector-agnostic fund will
Funds’ as a sub-category under Category I AIFs. However, focus on performing credit space to secure mid to high teen
we did not find any registrations under the ‘Special returns. Further, Kotak is likely to launch its next special
Situation Funds’ category. situation fund with a size of more than US$1b in second
half of 2022.
• Bain Capital has raised US$2b for its second APAC special • Certus capital is planning to raise US$130m for secured
situations fund, with US$300m to US$400m earmarked for and performing credit lending and underwriting through its
India. The fund is likely to target a ticket size of US$100m NBFC
with mid-teen US$ IRR and focus on customized solutions • Avendus Structured Credit Fund II has achieved first close
for companies in need of growth capital. of US$57m, with a target corpus of US$130m. The fund
• KKR has raised US$1.1b in its inaugural Asia credit fund is likely to deploy capital in growth-oriented companies and
with themes of senior and unitranche corporate lending, in sectors such as IT services, B2B services, specialized
subordinate corporate lending, and asset-based finance manufacturing, healthcare, etc., with target deal size of
investments US$20-35m.
• Neo Asset Management is likely to raise US$105m, with Overall, based on publicly available information,
a green shoe option of US$160m. The fund will focus on fundraising of more than ~US$1.4b has been announced/
providing customized credit solutions to EBITDA positive undertaken in India during H12022.
companies, with ticket size of US$12m to US$25m
10
VCCircle.com, Privatecircle.co and public information
Apollo Global Adani 750 Airports Performing Refinance existing shorter Senior 20 years
Management Airport Credit maturity loans and new capital secured with option
Holdings expenditure notes to convert
at any time
before 20
years from
date of
issue
CPPIB Eruditus 350 Edtech Performing Fuel M&A as part of global n/a 5 years
Credit growth strategy
SSG and Evangelos 183 Conglomerate High Yield Retire existing high-cost debt NCD 3 years
Farallon Capital Ventures with IRR > 15% and tenure of
(Shapoorji 3 years
Pallonji
Group)
Bain Credit TARC 175 Real estate n/a Special Situations - Retire entire NCD n/a
Deals Limited existing debt with multiple
lenders
Apollo Global Hero Fincorp 125 Financial Performing Provide growth capital to CCPS 3-5 year
Services Credit HeroFinCorp to double its
existing AUM
Kotak Gold Plus 60 Manufacturing High Yield Capex funding for setting up 0.1% n/a
Investment Glass new floating glass and solar Compulsory
Advisors Industry glass manufacturing lines. convertible
Limited Limited debentures
Capri Deepak 48 Auto High Yield Provide exit to select lenders Debt, n/a
Xponentia Fasteners components and growth capital convertible,
Managers Limited and equity
Edelweiss Jupiter 23 Renewable High Yield Capex funding for new solar cell NCD and 4 years
Alternative International energy lines and repayment of dues to OCD
Asset Advisors Limited Phoenix ARC.
Limited
11
MCA filings, News Articles, Credit Rating Reports
About the survey markets and indicating a pivot in strategy from several
investors. A revival in the capex cycle is also leading to
We have initiated a periodic survey of private credit market higher deal flow towards private credit.
in India. The survey aims to capture the pulse of the
Global monetary tightening is also having its impact on
market and identify any pivots in overall direction of the
sourcing of funds to invest in India numerous market
key players.
participants are finding it difficult to raise funds.
This survey was conducted in July 2022. Senior leaders
Amidst, tightening supply of dry powder due to global
of large Indian and global, high yield and performing credit
monetary tightening and reduced stress in Indian
funds participated in the survey.
credit markets, and as new funds set up shop in India,
competition for deals has increased. This may put pressure
Summary of survey on yields and potentially lead to mis-pricing of risk.
From a sector perspective, manufacturing, retail, and Lastly, our Private Credit Senti-meter, indicates that
real estate still constitute the largest share of deal flow private credit investors are more cautious in the near
witnessed by the private credit investors. Interestingly, term (next one to two years) as compared to the longer
stress related deal flow has given way to bridge funding time horizon of two to five years. None of the survey
to IPO transactions, driven by lower credit stress in credit participants are bearish in either time horizon.
Q How did fund managers rank the sectors in order of deal flow?
(Rank 1 indicates maximum deal flow)
30
25 1
# of fund managers
6 6
20
2
15 9
10
7
5 11
0
3
Manufacturing & Retail Real estate Financial services Roads Energy, renewabls etc Metals
Most fund managers ranked manufacturing and retail followed by real estate as sectors with the highest deal flow.
Financial services and energy renewables were sectors ranked lowest in terms of deal flow by fund managers.
Q How did fund managers rank the drivers of demand for private credit, in the current deal flow?
(Rank 1 indicates the most significant driver)
30
25
20
15
10
0
Rank 1 Rank 2 Rank 3
Stress related Bridge to IPO Capex financing Other special situation PE exits
Most fund managers stated that in the current deal flow, the are the most popular drivers for private credit demand:
• Stress related financing;
• Bridge to IPO
30
25
20
15
10
0
Rank 1 Rank 2 Rank 3
Bridge to IPO Stress related Other special situation Capex financing PE exits
Most fund managers stated that stress and bridge to IPO will continue to dominate the private credit demand over next
the 12 to24 months.
Q How do fund managers perceive the impact of ongoing monetary tightening on the availability of funds over
next 12 months, for private credit investing in India?
16%
28%
Adequate funds available for India
Difficult to raise funds
Most fund managers believe that given the current monetary tightening, it will be difficult to raise funds over the
next 12 months
120%
100%
20% 24%
80%
60% 48%
40% 64%
20% 32%
12%
0%
1-2 years 2-5 years
Cautious Bullish Very Bullish
~70% managers are positive (bullish and very bullish) on private credit investment for the next one to two years; the
corresponding number is ~90% over two to five years.
Q Has the level of competitiveness in private credit deals, over last 12 months, increase/decreased or
remained the same?
60% 32% 8%
60% of investors believe that competition in private credit deal has increased over the last 12 months
E: abhishek.dasgupta@in.ey.com E: Suyog.Karmarkar@in.ey.com
Editorial
Bharat Gupta Rohit Somani Yash Punwani
Partner, Turnaround and Director, Turnaround and Senior Associate, Turnaround and
Restructuring Strategy Restructuring Strategy Restructuring Strategy
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