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Test bank questions Chapter 3 2019-2022

Econometrics (Trường Đại học Kinh tế Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh)

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Multiple Choice Test Bank Questions No Feedback – Chapter 3

Correct answers denoted by an asterisk.

1. Regression is concerned with describing and evaluating the relationship between


(a) A dependent variable and regressands
(b) An independent variable and regressors
(c)* A dependent variable and regressors
(d) An effect variable and explained variables.

2. What does a positive linear relationship between x and y in a simple regression


imply?
(a) Increases in the independent variable are usually accompanied by increases in the
regressor
(b) The relationship between x and y cannot be explained by a straight line
(c) Decreases in the independent variable is usually accompanied by increases in the
regressors
(d)* Increases in the regressor are usually accompanied by increases in the dependent
variable.

3. Which of these is NOT a reason for adding a disturbance term to a regression


model yt    xt  ut ?
(a) Some determinants of the effect variable may be omitted from the model
(b) Some determinants of the effect variable may be unobservable
(c)* Some determinants of the independent variable may be omitted from the model
(d) There may be errors in the way that the dependent variable is measured which
cannot be modelled.

4. Which of these is not a standard method for estimating econometric models?


(a) Ordinary least squares
(b) The method of moments
(c)* Method of generalised squared moments
(d) Maximum likelihood.

5. The method of estimating econometric models which involves fitting a line to the
data by minimising the sum of squared residuals is the
(a)* Method of ordinary least squares
(b) Method of moments
(c) Method of generalised squared moments
(d) Method of maximum likelihood.

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6. Suppose you have 5-year annual data on the excess returns on a fund manager’s
portfolio (‘fund ABC’) and the excess returns on a market index (where rABC is the
return on fund ABC, rf is the risk-free rate and rM is the return on the market index):
Year t Excess return on fund ABC Excess return on market index
rABC ,t  rf ,t rM ,t  rf ,t
1 14.0 16.0
2 32.0 21.7
3 11.6 6.0
4 21.2 16.2
5 17.4 11.0

What is the estimated alpha ( ̂ ) for Fund ABC?


(a) 2.3
(b)* 3.3
(c) 4.3
(d) 5.3.

7. Given the data in Question 6, what is the estimated beta ( ̂ ) of Fund ABC?
(a) 3.1
(b) 2.1
(c)* 1.1
(d) None of the above.

8. Suppose that the unbiased estimator of the standard deviation of the disturbance (s)
is 5.1. What is the nearest value to the standard errors of the estimated CAPM alpha (
̂ ) of Fund ABC from Question 6?
(a) 3.5
(b) 4.5
(c) 5.5
(d)* 6.5.

9. The estimated alpha ( ̂ ) and beta ( ̂ ) of a rival fund, Fund DEF, are 2.3 and 3.1,
respectively. If the expected market risk premium is 12%, what would we expect the
excess return of Fund DEF to be?
(a)* 39.5%
(b) 30.7%
(c) 5.4%
(d) 64.8%.

10. What is the most appropriate interpretation of the assumption cov  ui , u j  0


concerning the regression disturbance terms?
(a) The errors are nonlinearly independent of one another
(b) The errors are linearly dependent of one another
(c) The covariance of the errors is constant and finite over all its values
(d)* The errors are linearly independent of one another.

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11. The estimators ̂ and ̂ determined by OLS will be the Best Linear Unbiased
Estimators (BLUE) if which of the following assumptions hold?
(I) The errors have zero mean
(II) The variance of the errors is constant and finite over all values of the independent
variable(s)
(III) The errors are linearly independent of one another
(IV)There is no relationship between the error and corresponding independent
variables
(a) I and II only
(b) I, II and III only
(c) II, III and IV only
(d)* I, II, III, and IV.

12. Standard errors


(a) Give us an idea of the deviation of the errors from their mean
(b) Measure the reliability of the independent variables
(c)* Give us an idea of the precision of estimates of  and 
(d) Measure the reliability of the dependent variables.

Suppose you have calculated the following regression results:


yˆ t 1.25  0.64 xt . The standard errors of ̂ and ˆ are 1.22 and 0.58, respectively.

13. Using the test of significance approach, what is the test statistic value of a
hypothesis to test whether the true value of  statistically different from zero?
(a)* 1.10
(b) 0.91
(c) –0.62
(d) Cannot say without more information.

14. Assuming there are 1000 observations in your sample, what are the test statistic
and critical value of a two-sided hypothesis test of whether the true value of 
statistically different from zero be given a 5% significance level?
(a)* 1.10 and 1.96, respectively
(b) 0.91 and 1.65, respectively
(c) –0.62 and 1.96, respectively
(d) Cannot say without more information.

15. Consider a bivariate regression model with coefficient standard errors calculated
using the usual formulae. Which of the following statements is/are correct regarding
the standard error estimator for the slope coefficient?
(i) It varies positively with the square root of the residual variance (s)
(ii) It varies positively with the spread of X about its mean value
(iii) It varies positively with the spread of X about zero
(iv) It varies positively with the sample size T

(a) * (i) only


(b) (i) and (iv) only
(c) (i), (ii) and (iv) only
(d) (i), (ii), (iii) and (iv).

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16. In a time-series regression of the excess return of a mutual fund on a constant and
the excess return on a market index, which of the following statements should be true
for the fund manager to be considered to have ‘beaten the market’ in a statistical
sense?
(a) * The estimate for  should be positive and statistically significant
(b) The estimate for  should be positive and statistically significantly greater than
the risk-free rate of return
(c) The estimate for  should be positive and statistically significant
(d) The estimate for  should be negative and statistically significant.

17. What result is proved by the Gauss–Markov theorem?


(a) That OLS gives unbiased coefficient estimates
(b) That OLS gives minimum variance coefficient estimates
(c) * That OLS gives minimum variance coefficient estimates only among the class of
linear unbiased estimators
(d) That OLS ensures that the errors are distributed normally.

18. The type I error associated with testing a hypothesis is equal to


(a) One minus the type II error
(b) The confidence level
(c) * The size of the test
(d) The size of the sample.

19. Which of the following is a correct interpretation of a ‘95% confidence interval’


for a regression parameter?
(a) * We are 95% sure that the interval contains the true value of the parameter
(b) We are 95% sure that our estimate of the coefficient is correct
(c) We are 95% sure that the interval contains our estimate of the coefficient
(d) In repeated samples, we would derive the same estimate for the coefficient 95% of
the time.

20. Which of the following statements is correct concerning the conditions required
for OLS to be a usable estimation technique?
(a) * The model must be linear in the parameters
(b) The model must be linear in the variables
(c) The model must be linear in the variables and the parameters
(d) The model must be linear in the residuals.

21. Which of the following is NOT a good reason for including a disturbance term in
a regression equation?
(a) It captures omitted determinants of the dependent variable
(b) * To allow for the non-zero mean of the dependent variable
(c) To allow for errors in the measurement of the dependent variable
(d) To allow for random influences on the dependent variable.

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22. Which of the following is NOT correct with regard to the p-value attached to a test
statistic?
(a) * p-values can only be used for two-sided tests
(b) It is the marginal significance level where we would be indifferent between
rejecting and not rejecting the null hypothesis
(c) It is the exact significance level for the test
(d) Given the p-value, we can make inferences without referring to statistical tables.

23. Which one of the following is NOT an assumption of the classical linear
regression model?
(a) The explanatory variables are uncorrelated with the error terms.
(b) The disturbance terms have zero mean
(c) * The dependent variable is not correlated with the disturbance terms
(d) The disturbance terms are independent of one another.

24. Which of the following is the most accurate definition of the term ‘the OLS
estimator’?
(a) It comprises the numerical values obtained from OLS estimation
(b) * It is a formula that, when applied to the data, will yield the parameter estimates
(c) It is equivalent to the term ‘the OLS estimate’
(d) It is a collection of all of the data used to estimate a linear regression model.

25. Two researchers have identical models, data, coefficients and standard error
estimates. They test the same hypothesis using a two-sided alternative, but researcher
1 uses a 5% size of test while researcher 2 uses a 10% test. Which one of the
following statements is correct?
(a) Researcher 2 will use a larger critical value from the t-tables
(b) * Researcher 2 will have a higher probability of type I error
(c) Researcher 1 will be more likely to reject the null hypothesis
(d) Both researchers will always reach the same conclusion.

26. Consider an increase in the size of the test used to examine a hypothesis from 5%
to 10%. Which one of the following would be an implication?
(a) * The probability of a Type I error is increased
(b) The probability of a Type II error is increased
(c) The rejection criterion has become more strict
(d) The null hypothesis will be rejected less often.

27. What is the relationship, if any, between the normal and t-distributions?
(a) A t-distribution with zero degrees of freedom is a normal
(b) A t-distribution with one degree of freedom is a normal
(c) * A t-distribution with infinite degrees of freedom is a normal
(d) There is no relationship between the two distributions.

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