Professional Documents
Culture Documents
A G G R E S S I O N:
LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
KYIV 2018
УДК 327.8(470+571)=111
М 12
Co-funding for the publication of this book was provided by The Institute of World Politics
The views and opinions are solely the work of the author and not necessarily
those of Kalamar Publishing House.
Євген Магда.
М 12 Гібридна агресія Росії: уроки для світу—Київ: КАЛАМАР, 2018.—284 с.
ISBN 978-966-97478-6-0
In his new book, Yevhen Mahda identifies the causes of Russia’s hybrid aggression
against Europe, focusing on conflict in Ukraine. He not only conducts historical
analogies and informs the inhabitants of Europe about the dangers that the Kremlin
carries, but also offers options for counteraction.
The book is intended for policy-makers, specialists in the field of international
relations, political scientists, and all who are not indifferent to changes in the modern
world and the fate of Ukraine.
УДК 327.8(470+571)=111
ISBN 978-966-97478-6-0
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Contents
Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Section 1
Introduction to Hybridityy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Section 2
Hybrid Warfare through the Ages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
Section 3
The Ukrainian Challenge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
Section 4
Information—a Key Factor in Hybrid Aggression . . . . . . . . 107
Section 5
Cultural-Ideological Components of Hybrid Aggression . . 145
Section 6
In Search of an Effective Image . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
Section 7
The European Vector of Hybrid Aggression . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219
Section 8
One for All Victory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253
Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263
Glossaryy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271
6
INTRODUCTION
The nightmare of the First World War which was the first war
that publicly revealed in newsreels the horrors that accompanied
the fight against totalitarian regimes in Europe, followed by
the struggles for freedom during the Second World War—all
should have been reliable guarantees against the recurrence of
militaristic madness.
But this did not happen; within the European continent there
was a nation prone to flex its muscles as a tool of foreign policy.
W
While Eur
Whi Europe slowly discusses the consequences of aggression,
territoria expanses of bloodshed continue. Yesterday, a lot of
territorial
people iin our country of Ukraine assumed this situation would
be impo
impossible, but today we are faced with these issues up-close.
The nightmare
Th i of the First World War which was the first war
that publicly revealed in newsreels the horrors that accompanied
the fight against totalitarian regimes in Europe, followed by the
struggles for freedom during the Second World War—all should
have been reliable guarantees against the recurrence of milita-
ristic madness. But this did not happen; within the European
continent there was a nation prone to flex its muscles as a tool
of foreign policy. Unfortunately, not all representatives of the
European elite understand this—many prefer to bet on mutually
beneficial cooperation in economic policies and a tolerant silence
still remains as the possible format of relations with Russia.
The tragedy of this situation lies in the fact that this violator
of international law in the 21st century was a country that was
once part of the Soviet Union, and had made a significant con-
tribution to the victory of defeating Nazism.
It would seem that the Kremlin would have remembered the
price of war, but today Moscow is the aggressor, and the Western
world continues to oscillate between the need to strengthen sanc-
tions against Russia, and the desire to appease it. Unfortunately,
the price of the Second World for the USSR in the tens of mil-
lions of lives, and the impunity of partitions and annexations in
Eastern Europe during the period from September 1, 1939 to
June 22, 1941 has been forgotten. Fighting deadly Nazism was
initially a convenient force for forming an alliance with Russia.
Naturally the hesitation of the Europeans in upsetting Russia is
understandable in wanting to communicate with a government
that boasts not only of being the world's largest territory, but also
having the second-largest nuclear capability. But the principles of
European democracy, by definition, should be more important
than short-term profit.
It is now understood that Ukraine was bound to be in con-
flict with the Russian Federation. The hidden characteristics
13
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
1
The Treaty on Friendship, Cooperation and Partnership between Ukraine and
the Russian Federation is an agreement between Ukraine and the Russian Federation
which consolidates the principle of strategic partnership, recognizes the inviolability
of existing borders, respect for territorial integrity and mutual obligations, and not
to use their territory to the detriment of each other's security. Signed on May 31,
1997 in Kyiv by then Presidents Boris Yeltsin (RF) and Leonid Kuchma (Ukraine).
The contract is still valid (at the time of this writing).
14
INTRODUCTION
2
This is the second Chechen war in 1999–2000.
3
The Russo-Georgian War of 2008 was an armed conflict between Georgia on
the one hand and Russia and the separatist groups of South Ossetia and Abkhazia
on the other. The war began around an armed confrontation in South Ossetia in
August 2008. In military operations against Georgia, in addition to the regular
armed forces of South Ossetia and Russia, the militia from Russia and Abkhazia
took part. On the night of August 8 after the bombing of Georgian villages, the
Georgian armed forces announced their intention to "restore constitutional order"
in the territory of an unrecognized republic, and as a result of the battles took most
of Tskhinvali. On the same day, Russia intervened in a conflict on the side of the
South Ossetian separatists and introduced troops, including the tank brigades, into
Georgian territory, and subjected the bombardment of Georgian cities, ports, and
military facilities. After the occupation of Georgia by Russian troops and ethnic
cleansing of Georgian villages around South Ossetia, a ceasefire was achieved with
the participation of international mediators. According to the agreements reached,
the withdrawal of Russian troops from Georgian territory was due to end by October
1, 2008. Military losses of Georgia: 170 killed, and about 1100 wounded. Losses from
the RF and allies: 155 dead, 354 wounded. Non-military losses: 192,000 refugees,
and about 600 dead and 800 injured on both sides.
4
Viktor Yanukovych—Ukrainian politician. Prime Minister of Ukraine (November
21, 2002–January 5, 2005 and August 4, 2006-December 18, 2007). Former (4th)
President of Ukraine (from February 25, 2010 to February 22, 2014). Accepted by
the Verkhovna Rada as self-abandoned from the exercise of its constitutional pow-
ers, and subsequently deprived of the title of the President of Ukraine by special law.
15
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
16
INTRODUCTION
17
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
5
The Declaration of Independence of Ukraine was held on August 24, 1991 on
the Orange Maidan (Plaza) after protests against falsifications in the presidential
elections of 2000 which elected Yanukovych. The protests lasted from November
to December 2004 ending with Yanukovych’s abandonment of office.
6
Gleb Pavlovsky, a Russian publicist and political scientist, former Soviet dissident,
and spokesman for Ukrainophobic views.
7
Victor Yushchenko—Ukrainian politician and statesman, third President of
Ukraine (2005–2010), Chairman of the National Bank of Ukraine (1993–2000),
Prime Minister of Ukraine (1999–2001), Leader of the Orange Revolution.
8
"Gas Wars"—a series of conflicts in the winters of 2005–2006, 2008–2009, and
2013–2014. The conflicts centered around the supply of gas from Russia through
Ukraine to European countries. Disputes were formally between the corporate levels
of the companies Naftogaz in Ukraine, and Russia’s Gazprom.
18
INTRODUCTION
Russia for the last half dozen years, not only restored its
agents of influence in Western and Central Europe, but also
significantly expanded its arsenal of influence on the political
situation in the Old World.
9
Euromaidan—Also called “The Revolution of Dignity.” Mass political protests in
Ukraine supporting Ukraine’s European orientation, as well as against corruption
and the regime of President Yanukovych. The protests continued from November
21, 2013 to February 22, 2014. As a result of attempts to suppress the massive
protests, more than 100 people were killed, about 2,000 wounded, and among law
enforcement agencies: 16 dead and about 300 wounded.
19
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
a passenger plane was doomed to failure, but that did not stop
the “machine laundering” by the Kremlin. The tragedy for thou-
sands of people was a turning point in the conflict in Donbas,
especially after massive Russian propaganda lost the opportuni-
ty to spread the myth of blaming the local “miners and tractor
drivers” for seizing weapons from the Ukrainian military. The
shock caused many in Europe to look closely at developments
in Eastern Ukraine. The results of the investigation, which con-
firmed that the plane was shot down by a Russian “Buk” missile,
still affects the world's attitude to what is happening in Donbas.
Russian aggression poses a threat beyond Ukraine’s sovereign-
ty and territorial integrity. The confrontation between the two
leading post-Soviet nations cannot remain without the atten-
tion of the entire world. It is an expensive price, but thankfully,
Ukraine has finally emerged from Russia’s shadow. It managed to
survive the summer of 2014 of which the consequences have yet
to be fully comprehended. Ukraine has turned into a ground of
hybrid aggression on which the Kremlin runs the test of Europe's
intimidating technologies. Therefore, the resistance of our coun-
try to counter Russian pressure on all fronts is critical to the se-
curity of the Old World. The decisions of the Warsaw Summit of
NATO 10 was to provide Ukraine with a comprehensive assistance
package—another proof of its importance.
Ukraine has managed to survive under the most terrible blows
both insidious and accentuated in 2014, but continues to fight for
its sovereignty to this day. It is necessary not only to learn from
the mistakes, but also to find channels to promote this country’s
unique experience of opposing Russian hybrid aggression for
other interested nations.
10
NATO Summit in Warsaw, Poland (July 2016) in which European Heads of
State and Heads of Government also called for NATO and EU security cooperation
for monitoring Russia’s hybrid actions.
20
SECTION 1
INTRODUCTION
TO HYBRIDITY
27
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
11
These are the methods used in information warfare (against Poland), which
is support for the political forces with pro-Soviet orientation, as well as attempts
to disassociate the internal political situation in these countries in the interests of
the Soviet Union.
28
SECTION 1 • INTRODUCTION TO HYBRIDITY
29
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
30
SECTION 1 • INTRODUCTION TO HYBRIDITY
15
M.M. Khamzat, “The Influence of the Concept of Seticentric War on the Nature
of Modern Operations,” Military Thought, No. 7, (2006): 13–17.
16
http://www.dtic.mil/doctrine/new_pubs/jp3_13.pdf and http://www.c4i.org/
jp3_13.pdf.
17
7
A.V. Kuzmovich, “Evolution of views on the theory of modern war,” http://cyber-
leninka.ru/article/n/evolyutsiya-vzglyadov-na-teoriyu-sovremennoy-voyny.
31
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
32
SECTION 1 • INTRODUCTION TO HYBRIDITY
33
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
20
Michael Kofman and Matthew Rojansky, “A Closer look at Russia’s ‘Hybrid
War,’” http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/7-KENNAN%20CABLE-
ROJANSKY%20KOFMAN.pdf.
21
William J. Nemeth, “Future War and Chechnya: A Case for Hybrid Warfare,”
http://calhoun.nps.edu/handle/10945/5865.
34
SECTION 1 • INTRODUCTION TO HYBRIDITY
35
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
36
SECTION 1 • INTRODUCTION TO HYBRIDITY
24
Valery Vasilievich Gerasimov (born September 8, 1955, Kazan, the RSFSR,
USSR)—Soviet and Russian military commander, Chief of the General Staff of
the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, First Deputy Minister of Defense
(from November 9, 2012), Army General (2013), granted hero status in the Russian
Federation (2016).
25
http://ru.tsn.ua/ukrayina/oon-obnarodovala-obnovlennye-strashnye-dan-
nye-zhertv-voyny-na-donbasse-602225.html.
37
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
26
Joseph Nye, Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics, (Public
Affairs, 2004).
27
Andrew Monaghan,“Putin’s Way of War. The ‘War’ in Russia’s HybridWarfare,”
http://strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/parameters/issues/Winter_2015–16/9_
Monaghan.pdf.
38
SECTION 1 • INTRODUCTION TO HYBRIDITY
28
V. Gerasimov, “The value of science in prediction,” http://vpk-news.ru/
articles/14632.
39
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
29
Ibid.
30
Ibid.
40
SECTION 1 • INTRODUCTION TO HYBRIDITY
the first decade of the 2000s, even during the global economic
crisis, Russia had received astronomical incomes fueling Putin's
imperial ambitions. With the formation of the regime of per-
sonal power, limited only nominally, the Russian president had
the tools to implement his own nostalgia for the Soviet Union.
Therefore, Russian political discourse increasingly sounded
out the notes and desire to compete with the United States for
leadership in the modern world. The ideological superstructure
of a “sovereign democracy” demanded the practical implemen-
tation in the form of aggression against the nation of Ukraine,
which not only considered itself to be protected by the Budapest
Memorandum, 31 but also in building relations with Russia on
the basis of the Grand Treaty of Amity and Cooperation of
the Kharkiv agreements, 32 along with the extended-stay of the
Russian Black Sea Fleet in Ukrainian ports until 2042. Revenues
from energy exports sat on a gas “needle” which enabled the
most extravagant ideas vital to Russian society to spread over
to the EU and Ukraine since the early 1990s.
Derived from energy export windfalls, the Kremlin formed a
modern system of propaganda known as the TV channel Russia
Today. As only part of the brainwashing system, the export seg-
ment called Russian Lifestyle is translated and inscribed in the
West for news channels as an alternative and generally accepted
31
The Budapest Memorandum is an interstate document that ensures compliance
with the provisions of the CSCE Final Act, the UN Charter, and the Treaty on the Non-
Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons with regard to Ukraine as a non-nuclear-weapon
state party to the NPT. Signed on December 5, 1994 by the leaders of Ukraine, the
United States, Russia, and the United Kingdom.
32
The agreement between Ukraine and the Russian Federation, signed on April
21, 2010 in Kharkiv, Ukraine by the President of Ukraine Viktor Yanukovych, and
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, regarding the terms of stay for the Black Sea
Fleet of the Russian Federation in Sevastopol extended from 2017 to 2042 with an
automatic continuation of 5 years, with a set rental providing none of the parties
objected. Agreement was unilaterally denounced by the State Duma of the Russian
Federation on March 31, 2014.
41
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
33
Alexander Dugin—Russian philosopher, translator, political scientist, journalist
for fascist publications; founder of the ideological movement "Neo-Eurasianism."
Dugin's "philosophical" views are a modern eclectic compilation of the old Russian
"Eurasians" and from such well-known European "neoconservatives" and "tradition-
alists" as Carl Schmitt, René Genon and Julius Evola. Also is a figurant in the US
financial sanctions for aggression against Ukraine.
34
Alexander Prokhanov—Soviet and Russian writer, screenwriter, journalist, po-
litical and social activist, and Russian Orthodox nationalist chauvinist. In August
1991, he supported the actions of the GKChP. During the Russo-Ukrainian War, he
maintained close ties with the terrorists of the DPR and LNR.
42
SECTION 1 • INTRODUCTION TO HYBRIDITY
35
Donetsk region locals who obtained important political or public positions and
economic power through ties with other clan members.
36
Dayton Accords—peace agreements signed between England and the United
States and the civil war participants in Bosnia and Herzegovina in November 1995
in Dayton, Ohio. Provisions were made for conflict settlements in those regions.
43
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
37
V. Abarinov, “Terrible fairy tale,” http://www.svoboda.org/content/arti-
cle/25321516.html.
38
L. Vuichik, “Ukrainian hybrid war,” http://inosmi.ru /sngbal-
tia/20140515/220303215.html#ixzz3IrQRtksR.
44
SECTION 1 • INTRODUCTION TO HYBRIDITY
45
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
personages that are coopted by the Russian agitprop will try and
win over to their side their way of thinking while adjusting their
actions under the current political situation.
In the Ukrainian case, it is necessary to view the events on
the Euromaidan as an important part of a hybrid war against
Ukraine, a kind of reconnaissance, which was not carried out
by “green men” 42 but by representatives of Ukrainian law en-
forcement agencies who have been under external control. And
the acceleration of student protests on the nights of November
29–30, 2013, and subsequent clashes on Bankova Street in Kyiv
on December 1 of the same year, followed by the deaths of “The
Heavenly Hundred” 43 establishes in the current environment
the components of a hybrid war.
Hybrid aggression differs constantly by changing the meth-
ods of exposure. Therefore, in today’s Donbas region, Russia
uses army troops against the Ukrainians under the guise of
representatives made up of local criminals or the “patriots from
their native land.” The Kremlin deliberately relies on the tactic
of “ignoring the obvious” while trying to overtake the West’s
speed of decision making. Let us not ignore the factor of nu-
clear weapons, the mention of which is increasingly coming
forth from the lips of the Russian diplomats in the non-public
consultations on the issue of settling the Donbas conflict.
The Orange Maidan, as well as the various colors of the revo-
lutions 44 in Georgia and Kyrgyzstan, scared Russia, forcing it to
seek new instruments of influence in the post-Soviet space. An
important element of testing military plans manifested during
the swift war of August 2008 in Georgia, which ended in a loss
42
Euphemism for Russian soldiers dressed in green camouflage whose presence
on the peninsula is officially denied by the Russian Federation.
43
“Heavenly Hundred” is the collective name given for the dead protesters on the
Euromaidan in January-February 2014.
44
The "Color Revolution" is a term referring to so-called "non-violent revolu-
tions," also some well-known mass non-violent protests. As a result of the color
revolutions, a change of political regimes in a number of post-socialist European
countries and countries of the Arab world took place.
46
SECTION 1 • INTRODUCTION TO HYBRIDITY
45
The Holodomor of 1932–1933 was the genocide of the Ukrainian people, or-
ganized by the Soviet authorities by creating an artificial mass famine, which led
to multimillion human losses in the countryside on the territory of the Ukrainian-
Ruthenian Socialist Republic, and the Kuban, the vast majority of which were
Ukrainians.
47
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
48
SECTION 1 • INTRODUCTION TO HYBRIDITY
RESULTS
A nonlinear (hybrid) war is not an invention of modern times.
At the beginning of the 21st century, a combination of factors
caused the actualization of indirect and non-military actions
during war itself. Recall that its framework and conditional
“rules” were erased, and the war in fact ceased to be a prerogative
of the nation. In addition, the growing informational environ-
ment has made the quality of control factors and network coor-
dination the real armies of a dominant battlefield. The Russian
general’s staff understood the trends of the time, and has adopted
the concept of a hybrid war in which the emphasis is placed on
non-military methods of confrontation.
In recent years, largely due to the conflict between Russia and
Ukraine, the term “hybrid warfare” has gone from marginal to
dominant not only in the public space, but in the program doc-
uments of the strongest army in the world—the US.
A hybrid threat involves the use of various combinations of
the enemy, both military and non-military means of pressure on
the government impacting the national and non-national actors.
49
SECTION 2
HYBRID WARFARE
THROUGH THE AGES
55
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
course of a war’s role and place and its outcome in each case is
determined by the level of aggression based on a society’s level
of development, and the spirit of the era.
The idea of locating an enemy’s weak spot and to fight not
only against his army, but also to destroy the battle formations
from within while undermining communications from the rear
does not appear to be new. Even tribes who had no written lan-
guages used primitive methods to intimidate the enemy and its
impact on morale (via screams, ritual dances, war paint). What
more can one say about the modern world where the rewards
for winning the conflict is a far more serious prize?
The first, albeit mythologized cases of non-standard military
action was the Trojan War. When the traditional method at the
time of military action—the siege and direct collision—came to
no avail, cunning Odysseus suggested a far more creative move.
His army hid inside a huge wooden horse where, in modern
parlance, they took refuge as saboteurs and as a reconnaissance
group. The art of The Odyssey was to convince the exhausted
Trojans that their 10 year old war was over, but it was before the
gates of Troy and in the safety of the horse that the miracle oc-
curred. The military cunning of Odysseus can serve almost as an
encyclopedia of ideas for those who plan to start a hybrid action.
With regard to the territory of modern Ukraine, it is pos-
sible to give an example of the Scythian tribes’ war against the
Persian king Darius in the late 6th century BC. Their tactics of
scorching land and wearing down the enemy was by then very
popular among the military leaders who chose non-conventional
methods of war. It is still emulated by the partisans of all groups.
Another early example of the use of non-standard military
practices was discovered by the Athenians in the Peloponnesian
War 46 with Sparta. They won over the Messenians (inhabitants
of the Messenia region), whose ancestors the Spartans had
46
Peloponnesian War (431–404 BC)—a military conflict in ancient Greece, in
which the Democratic Alliance headed by Athens versus the Peloponnese Union
led by Sparta participated.
56
SECTION 2 • HYBRID WARFARE THROUGH THE AGES
47
7
Williamson Murray and Peter Mansoor, eds., Hybrid Warfare: Fighting Complex
Opponents from the Ancient World to the Presentt (New York, NY: Cambridge
University Press, 2012), 3–4.
48
Ibid., 45–48.
57
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
the expedition with only 7,000 volunteers and two legions (ap-
proximately 10–11,000 people). However, the results exceeded all
expectations with Hannibal imposing a disadvantageous battle
causing a small tactical victory over his cavalry, and with Scipio
forcing Carthage to surrender without a fight. 49
A very successful example of the fight against occupation-
al forces was demonstrated in the 14th century by the French
Commander and warlord Bertrand du Guesclin. 50 Weakened by
the French defeat, he could hardly hope for success in the battle,
so du Guesclin’s strategy consisted of evading the battle with the
British and the parallel creation of all sorts of interference against
the enemy on the occupied territories, and leading them into exile.
Du Guesclin achieved such artistry in the use of mobility and
surprise, that in less than five years he had reduced the huge
British possessions in France to a small strip of land on the
southern coast of the Bay of Biscay. He captured the carriag-
es, trampled individual detachments of the British, inflated the
flames of local unrest to distract the enemy, and secured the
support of the local population 51
An example of the use of not only military measures for the
country’s subordination was the Golden Horde policy in relation
to Kyivan Rus’. The Mongols used the disunity of the princes and
their inability to agree, together with the brutal attacks against
the conquered cities. The Mongols interfered little in the internal
affairs of the conquered kingdoms. In fact they limited their yoke
of dependence by keeping it all under the control of the princes.
49
Ibid., 52–53.
50
Bertrand du Guesclin (1320–1380)—French commander during the Hundred
Years War. Du Guesclin entered history not only as a great military leader, but also as
a model of chivalry. He preferred to fight the forces of mercenaries and not knightly
militia. Introduced rigorous discipline in his units; disliked the great battles, pre-
ferring small clashes and methods of guerrilla warfare, thereby improving France’s
position in the Hundred Years War until the end of the 14th century.
51
Williamson Murray and Peter Mansoor, eds., Hybrid Warfare: Fighting Complex
Opponents from the Ancient World to the Present. (New York, NY: Cambridge
University Press, 2012), 51.
58
SECTION 2 • HYBRID WARFARE THROUGH THE AGES
52
Ibid., 89.
53
Ibid., 103.
59
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
54
Ibid.,123–125
55
Napoleon’s victory under Austerlitz (November 20 (December 2), 1805) is il-
lustrated by the forces of the third anti-Napoleonic coalition. In the history of mil-
itary affairs, the battle entered as a brilliant example of victory over a quantifiably
prevailing opponent. The expression itself is part of Napoleon’s phrase, which he
exclaimed at dawn before the Battle of Borodino, trying to recall a glorious victory.
On September 7, 1812, when he saw the rising sun, Napoleon exclaimed: “Here it
is, the sun of Austerlitz!”
60
SECTION 2 • HYBRID WARFARE THROUGH THE AGES
and momentous victory was won and the Austrian Emperor was
forced to beg for peace. 56
The history of the American Revolution and America’s War of
Independence against Britain became almost a textbook example
of a hybrid war. As Williamson Murray notes in Warfare: Fighting
Complex Opponents from the Ancient World to the Present, the
United States was literally born inside the crucible of a hybrid
war, with American irregulars using guerrilla warfare against
the linear tactics of the British Army. The British Empire, once
the largest conglomeration, was unable to face the challenges of
hybridity in the people’s struggle against colonial rule. This, of
course applied not only in the American War for Independence,
but also in the Anglo-Boer War, and the struggle for indepen-
dence in India and Ireland.
A hybrid war is seen by many as a modern version of the com-
pounding of the war, which started whenever the regular forces
intensified their operations through irregular means. During the
Peninsular War 57 for example, the Duke of Wellington ousted
the French out of Spain while fighting against the Napoleonic
marshals’ conventional war, and at the same time releasing them
in the rear of the Spanish partisans. 58
Not being able to resist Napoleon in the Central European war
theater, the anti-French coalition was able to find a weak spot on
the Iberian Peninsula. The French have always won with regular
Spanish troops, but were powerless against guerrilla warfare. The
elusive network of guerrilla groups replaced the less flexible and
movable regular army. Vigorous guerrilla commanders were vic-
torious over the limited movement commandeered by generals.
56
Williamson Murray and Peter Mansoor, eds., Hybrid Warfare: Fighting Complex
Opponents from the Ancient World to the Present ((New York, NY: Cambridge
University Press, 2012), 137–138.
57
The Peninsular or Iberian War—military conflict on the Iberian Peninsula
during the Napoleonic wars of the early 19th century in which the Napoleonic
Empire opposed the alliance of Spain, Portugal and England.
58
Hon. Robert Wilkie, “Hybrid Warfare Something Old, Not Something New,”
http://www.au.af.mil/au/afri/aspj/airchronicles/apj/apj09/win09/wilkie.html.
61
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
59
B. Liddell-Hart, Strategy of Indirect Actions (Moscow: AST, 1999), 140–143.
62
SECTION 2 • HYBRID WARFARE THROUGH THE AGES
63
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
61
B. Liddell-Hart, Strategy of Indirect Actions (Moscow: AST, 1999), 180.
64
SECTION 2 • HYBRID WARFARE THROUGH THE AGES
65
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
66
SECTION 2 • HYBRID WARFARE THROUGH THE AGES
65
“Hybrid War in Eastern Europe. Non-military dimension. Energy com-
ponent.” http:// geostrategy . org . ua / ua / analitika / item / 619 - gibridna -viy-
na - v - shidniy -evropi - energetichniy - component.
67
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
66
F. B. Davidson, Vietnam at War (Moscow: Isografus Exmo, 2002), 98.
68
SECTION 2 • HYBRID WARFARE THROUGH THE AGES
69
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
67
J.R. Davis, “Defending Future Hybrid Threats,” Military Review, Fort
Leavenworth, September-October, No. 5, (2013): 21–29.
70
SECTION 2 • HYBRID WARFARE THROUGH THE AGES
68
Frank G. Hoffman, “Hybrid Warfare and Challenges,” http://ndupress.ndu.edu/
portals/68/Documents/jfq/jfq-52.pdf.
69
Harry Holbert Turney-High, Primitive Warfare: Its Practice and Concepts,
(Columbia: University of South Carolina Press, 1949).
71
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
72
SECTION 2 • HYBRID WARFARE THROUGH THE AGES
RESULTS
Conventional wisdom has it that whatever is new—it is good,
and the old approach should be forgotten. A number of princi-
ples and methods of modern hybrid wars have analogies in the
history of warfare. Hybrid war for a long time was seen as a way
to defeat the weakest by the strongest, to beat them from the
concentration of resources needed to win “here and now,” at the
right time in the right place. By and large, hybridity was a way
to fight without fighting openly, thus to succeed with minimal
losses. Therefore, the Achaeans, and the Gauls and Spaniards
in opposition to Napoleon, and the future Americans in the
Revolutionary War, and Germany in World War II, the Soviet
Union, and Vietnamese guerrillas, and Islamic militants have all
used such opposition elements such as irregular armed groups,
information and psychological warfare, communications break-
through, and indirect hostilities.
With multiple analogies, the old effects are well forgotten but
does not deny the very concept of a hybrid aggression. Modern
warfare conditions bring new elements and principles of their
relationship. In the 21st century, the use of hybrid technology
fighting acquires a stable character, affecting the balance of pow-
er in the world. In a multipolar world, one can bet that hybrid
warfare is the desire to maximize and hide a nation’s foreign
policy plans to achieve more with less effort.
73
SECTION 3
THE UKRAINIAN
CHALLENGE
79
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
70
The cassette scandal is a political scandal that exploded in November-December
2000. Linked to the publication of talks in the office of President L. Kuchma, re-
corded by Major General Mykola Melnychenko, the tapes testified to Kuchma’s
involvement in the disappearance and murder of journalist Georgiy Gongadze.
71
Vladimir V. Putin (born October 7, 1952, Leningrad) is a Russian state and
political figure, the second (2000–2008) and the fourth (from May 7, 2012) presi-
dent of the Russian Federation. He worked at the Committee on State Security of
the USSR. In early 1992, he was transferred to the KGB’s “operating reserve” in the
rank of Lieutenant Colonel.
72
The conflict around the island of Kos Tuzla is a Ukrainian-Russian territorial
dispute over the identity of the island and the Russia imposed construction of the
Kerch Strait dam to the island of Kos Tuzla.
80
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
73
The Bucharest Summit of NATO, April 2–4, 2008 in Bucharest, Romania. The
agenda was the recognition of Kosovo, hostilities in Afghanistan, the expansion
of the Alliance with the accession of Croatia, Albania and Macedonia, as well as
accession to the MAP for Ukraine and Georgia.
74
There is a version that Russian special forces, in particular snipers, participated
in the Maidan events during December 2013–January 2014.
75
On January 22, 2014, five protesters were killed in Kyiv as a result of the con-
frontation between the “Berkut” squads and the participants of the Euromaidan
on Hrushevsky Street.
81
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
76
“Green men” (also in the Russian media space known as the “polite people”)—a
humorous and ironic name of the Russian military sans distinctive uniforms and
technology, whose operations were secretly carried out in these special units at the
first stage of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2014, often using often non-military
operations to capture and block the opposition.
77
On the night of February 27, the government buildings of the Verkhovna Rada
of Crimea were captured by armed Russian special forces who installed Russian flags.
According to media reports, the center of Simferopol was blocked by law enforcers
raising anxiety levels, and restricting public transport. Unknown representatives of
the Crimean Council of Ministers said that they were the “defenders of Russian-
speaking citizens,” and the Russian media reported that militants were actually
soldiers of the Sevastopol squad “Berkut” which disbanded on February 25, 2014.
78
The Battle of Ilovaisk, also known as the Ilovaisky Boiler, was deployed from
the city of Ilovaisk in the Donetsk region during the war in eastern Ukraine on
August 2014. On August 18, during the fierce battles, Ukrainian security forces, a
large part of which consisted of volunteer battalions, entered Ilovaisk. They were
able to take control of a portion of the city, but after the arrival on August 23–24 of
significant forces by the regular Russian troops from the Russian Federation, the
Ukrainian forces were surrounded.
79
Mychailo Gonchar is an expert on energy issues, the President of the Center
for Global Studies, and “Strategy XXI” which are “think tanks” located in Kyiv.
80
Mychailo Gonchar, Andriy Chubik, and Oksana Ishchuk, “Kremlin hybrid war
against Ukraine and the EU: Energy Component,” https://dt.ua/energy_market/
gibridna-viyna-kremlya-proti-ukrayini-iyes-energetichniy-komponent-_.html.
82
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
81
“Chronology of the Crimean Crisis (2014),” https://uk.wikipedia.org/wiki.
83
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
84
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
82
“How Ukraine turned into a country with market economy and democracy,”
http://www.ukrainereforms.info/?cat=3.
83
“Documents of the Central Executive Committee of Ukraine on the Anniversary
of the All-Ukrainian Referendum on December 1, 1991,” http://tsdavo.gov.ua/4/
webpages/63470077.html.
85
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
86
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
86
Memorandum on security guarantees in connection with the accession of Ukraine
to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, an international agree-
ment concluded on December 5, 1994 between Ukraine, the USA, Russia, and the
United Kingdom on the non-nuclear status of Ukraine. The agreement contains claus-
es providing guarantees of sovereignty and security of Ukraine.
87
7
Pivdenmash is a state-controlled enterprise also called the Production Association
Southern Machine-Building Plant named after O. M. Makarova, and the leading
Ukrainian company for rocket and space technology production, defense, scientific,
and national economic technologies in the city of Dnipro. Produces the most envi-
ronmentally friendly carrier rockets in the world.
88
The “red directors” were the influential leaders of Soviet industrial enterprises.
87
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
88
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
89
Yevhen Kyrylovych Marchuk (born 1941) is a Ukrainian politician, an em-
ployee of the Soviet and Ukrainian special services, the first head of the Security
Service of Ukraine (1991–1994), the Prime Minister of Ukraine (1995–1996), and
the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council. After leaving politics,
acts as a consultant.
90
The Organization for Democracy and Economic Development (GUAM) is a
regional organization created by Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan, and Moldova (the
organization also included Uzbekistan from 1999 to 2005).
89
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
I do not rule out that the scandal was the first testing methods
of the Russian hybrid war against Ukraine. Accusations of
Kuchma’s address (an attack on freedom of speech, the use
of “death squads”) have focused on the West’s perception and
closed the opportunity for him to build relations with the US
and EU. The “control shots” were the information regarding
the supply of Ukrainian electronic intelligence stations
known as “Chainmail Iraq,” an active phase of a planned
military operation by the United States that was published in
September 2002. 92
91
Georgy Ruslanovych Gongadze (1969–2000) was a Ukrainian journalist, found-
er and first editor-in-chief of the Internet publication Ukrainska Pravda. Gongadze
disappeared and murdered in 2000. The circumstances of his death were a national
scandal and a reason for protests against President Leonid Kuchma.
92
In April 2002, the former Major of the State Security Center, Mykola
Melnychenko, testified to the Grand Jury of San Francisco that his recordings in-
dicate a two-year-old presumption: Ukrainian President Leonid Kuchma and the
head of Ukrspetsectport, a Ukrainian state-owned company, own a monopoly with
rights to export and import products, military, and dual-use services. Maliev sup-
posedly discussed details of a “special operation” regarding possible sales to Iraq
of four “chainmail” stations. On September 24, the United States stated that they
considered Melnychenko’s records to be authentic. Regarding “Kolchug,” –another
name for the “chainmail” stations, Americans did not find evidence of this scandal
in Iraq, but, they say, the aftertaste of scandal remains.
90
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
93
L. Kosikova, “CES. To be or not to be?” http://censor.net.ua/resonance/2636/
eep_byt_ili_ne_byt_ng.
94
Sergey Glazyev (b.1961)—Russian economist, politician, advisor to the
President of the Russian Federation on regional economic integration. Known for
his ultra-nationalistic views.
95
Dmitry Olegovich Rogozin (b.1963)—Russian politician, diplomat, deputy
chairman of the Russian Federation. Known for his ultra-nationalistic views.
96
T. Gunchak, “Empire is difficult at being an equal neighbor,” https://day.kyiv.
ua/uk/article/podrobici/imperiyi-tyazhko-buti-rivnopravnim-susidom.
91
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
97
For example see http://gazeta.zn.ua/POLITICS/pravo_na_silu.html.
92
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
93
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
98
A youth movement, created in 2005 by the Russian President’s Administration,
was reorganized as the youth organization Together. It is considered to be a
pro-Kremlin group that executes any orders by the Kremlin.
99
A Moscow region political and ecological movement for youths.
100
Since 2005, Our (Nashi) holds an annual summer camp at Lake Seliger in the
Tver region, with prominent political figures, analysts, and representatives of Russia’s
executive and legislative powers.
101
Mikhail Borisovich Khodorkovsky (b.1963)—Russian businessman, public fig-
ure, publicist. In October 2003, was the chairman of the board and largest co-owner
of YUKOS; arrested and charged with stealing property and tax evasion. Quoted
as saying he paid for his public criticism of Putin with his freedom and property.
102
Michael Krasnov and Peter Kanaev, “Ukraine will estimate losses and revise
the agreement,” http://www.gazeta.ru/2006/01/06/oa_183871.shtml.
94
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
95
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
the population (the Odesa region could be called the most demon-
strative of this aspect), and the weak position of the central govern-
ment were decisive factors in enhancing the pro-Russian organiza-
tions. Among those that should be emphasized are the Ukrainian
Party Union, the political parties Country, the Progressive Socialist
Party of Ukraine, the Slavic Party (centered in Donetsk), and the
Russian Block (which contains within it the following parties: For a
One Russia, the Russian-Ukrainian Union, the Russian Movement
of Ukraine), and the Slavic People’s Patriotic Union.
The ideology of the organizations mentioned above is an up-
dated version of the Russian Black Hundreds 103 of the early 20th
century. The ideological foundation is the propaganda thesis of:
“we are the only real defenders of Orthodoxy” as the idea behind
Slavic unity along with Russian Slavophilic conservatism and a
sharp denial of any alternatives, and which actually embodies
Ukrainophobia and anti-Semitism. These hysterical attitudes
were observed by the alternative Ukrainian Orthodox Church of
the Moscow Patriarchate, and the Christian denominations: the
Ukrainian Orthodox Church of the Kyiv Patriarchate, and the
Ukrainian Greek Catholic Church. 104
The culmination of the activity of pro-Russian organizations
in southern Ukraine was the restoration in October 2007 of a
103
The Black Hundreds (1905–1914)—collective name for several of Russian
monarchist and ultranationalist organizations that arose in the Russian Empire after
the 1905 revolution. The name was taken from the grassroots Nizhny Novgorod
Militia of Troubles, under the leadership of Kuzma Minin. They favored the pres-
ervation of autocracy on the basis of the Vavrov principles: “Orthodoxy, Self-
determination, Nationalism.”
104
Historically, there were several Christian churches in Ukraine. The Ukrainian
Greek Catholic Church was formed as a result of the conclusion of the Brest Union in
1596, is in communion with the Bishop of Rome and preserves the Constantinople
(Byzantine) liturgical tradition. Another is the Ukrainian Orthodox Church—Kyiv
Patriarchate Orthodox Church in Ukraine with the residence of the Patriarch in
Kyiv. The UOC-KP was created in June 1992 as a result of the unification of two
church groups advocating independence from the Russian Orthodox Church: some
of the faithful and the UOC-MP bishopric, headed by Patriarch Filaret (Denysenko),
the Metropolitan of Kyiv and All Ukraine, and the Ukrainian Autocephalous
Orthodox Church.
96
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
97
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
107
Kommersant, April 2008–7.
108
J. Kuhner, “The next war in Europe—between Russia and Ukraine?” http://
inosmi.ru/world/20081013/244608.html#ixzz3Rn4zaCiU.
98
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
109
“My dear friends”—euphemism for a group of people close to Ukraine’s
President Viktor Yushchenko during his administration.
99
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
110
S. Leshchenko, “Viktor Yanukovych debuted on the European market,” http://
www.pravda.com.ua/articles/2010/03/2/4823824/
111
Kharkiv Addition to the Tymoshenko-Putin Gas Contract. Text of the docu-
ment, http://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/articles/2010/04/22/4956389/.
100
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
Agreements of 2010 would reduce the price for Ukraine to the level
of $268.5 per 1,000 cubic meters. Benefits for the first quarter of this
year are anticipated provided that Kyiv pays off the accumulated
debt in the future.” 112 This only confirms the assumption that the
price of natural gas for Ukraine was solely of a political nature.
From first sight, Moscow had make unobtrusive overtures to
Viktor Yanukovych and provided advisory, organizational, tech-
nical and cultural-ideological assistance in shaping the regime for
his one-man political power mode. On September 30, 2010, the
Constitutional Court increased his presidential powers as part of
the abolition of political reforms due to the passive behavior of the
Ukrainian elite.
The position of Ukraine’s Minister of Defense in February-
December 2012 was retained by Dmytro Salamatin, and the
Security Service was led by Aleksandr Yakimenko from January
2013 to February 2014. These two high-ranking security officials,
as evidenced by their biographies, were not only introduced into
Viktor Yanukovych’s early days’ environment, but also possessed
Russian passports. Yanukovych’s chief guard was a Russian citi-
zen, Vyacheslav Zanevsky, which bewildered many Ukrainian
politicians.
In the summer of 2012, the Verkhovna Rada adopted the On
the State Language Policy law which raises the status of the Russian
language and other languages of national minorities. This ratio-
nale is understandable, since the Russian minority is the largest
in Ukraine. But their position is unlikely to be seen as restrained.
Vadym Kolesnichenko and Serhiy Kivalov, the authors of the law
and members of the faction of the Party of Regions, were well aware
that the sixth convocation of the Rada could not afford to make
changes to the Constitution in the language issue, so they went in
a roundabout way with the support of the president. The adop-
tion of a “language law” would mean that a new division would
occur in Ukraine between the Russian and Ukrainian speakers.
112
T. Ivzhenko, “There was a week before the new gas war,” http://www.ng.ru/
cis/2014-05-22/1_gaswar.html.
101
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
102
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
103
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
104
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
surprising that the Ukrainian army was not too ready to resist an
attack. The territorial principle of manning the armed forces has
generated a decline in professional motivation for many soldiers.
Ukrainian defense enterprises were not able to produce more
than an 8% range of the necessary weapons. Even so, a signifi-
cant part of their production capacity remained idle. Equipment
became obsolete and could not even be exchangeable because
it would not provide profitable returns for weapons exporters.
The high level of dependence on imports was critical—the share
of imported materials accounted for 25%. The Ukrainian Army
continued to suffer from the underfunding of their basic needs
which directly affected their combat ability. Budget allocations for
re-equipment and maintaining technical readiness of their systems
and weapons were still far from being referred to as fiscal policy
priorities. Also, a large part of the money was not guaranteed from
a special financial fund. 116
At the same time, the products of the Ukrainian defense-in-
dustrial complex were supplied to sixty countries in the world,
and Ukraine fought without success to be among the top ten
leading arms exporters. Although the most frequently exported
items were stocks from the Soviet-era armed forces, the Pakistani
tank contract in the 1990s for example, demonstrated a signifi-
cant potential of the Ukrainian defense industry. Unfortunately,
Yanukovych’s team viewed the Ukrainian defense-complex pre-
dominantly as an enrichment tool, rather than a factor enhancing
the country’s defense capability.
In foreign policy, as in sports, the government often acts as
a partner to another country that is also a rival. Under this sort
of strategic partnership, a Russian-Ukrainian competition in the
post-Soviet space arose which had been for a long period masked
under the Kremlin’s neglect. The events of February to March
2014, and the subsequent developments showed the true attitude
of the Russian leadership towards Ukraine.
116
V.M. Begma, “Military-technical and defense-industrial policy of Ukraine in
modern conditions,” Analysis by M. Begma and O. O. Svergun: 2013-112.
105
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
106
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
107
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
108
SECTION 3 • THE UKRAINIAN CHALLENGE
RESULTS
A long-standing dispute between historians centered on the
relationship between accidents and patterns in histories which
may be relevant for the Ukrainian case. How was the Russian
aggression predetermined in 2014? The background relationship
between the two countries since 1991 indicates that, at least for
the Kremlin, 2014 was not a surprise. Several periods of Russian-
Ukrainian relations allowed us to speak of a stable unreceptive
view of the Russian political elite regarding Ukraine’s indepen-
dence and desire to “put Kyiv in its place.”
The main factors of the Russian Federation’s pressure on
Ukraine are the Black Sea Fleet, the Crimea problem and the
Russian-speaking population, gas dependency, and economic
attachment.
Ukraine was not a victim by accident from the aggression by
its northern neighbor. Ukraine was an unreformed country with
a weak civil society and state institutions, which lost its legiti-
macy through mass media and propaganda, both in the interna-
tional and domestic public spaces. At the time of the precarious
equilibrium following the defection of Viktor Yanukovych, it has
become a natural target. The main objective of the Kremlin was
not the conquest of Ukraine, and its transformation into a sat-
ellite state, but to establish control over it while maintaining the
formal attributes of Ukraine’s sovereignty.
109
SECTION 4
INFORMATION—A KEY
FACTOR IN HYBRID
AGGRESSION
115
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
116
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
118
V.O. Sayapin, “Modern Challenges of Virtual Wars,” http://www.gramota.net/
materials/3/2013/12-3/41.html.
119
I. Vasilenko, “Information War as a factor in world politics,” Public Service,
No. 3 (2009): 80-86.
117
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
120
O. A. Ilyashov and N.B. Miesentseva, “The role and place of intelligence in
information confrontation,” Science and Defense, No. 3 (2011).
118
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
121
A.V. Manoylo, State Information Policy in Special Conditions: Monograph
(Moscow: MIFI, 2003), 230.
119
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
122
N.M. Voloshina and V.V Chherevatey, “Informational influence on the pub-
lic opinion of Ukrainian society,” Modern Information Technologies in the Field of
Security and Defense, No. 2 (23) (2015): 144-149.
123
V.O. Sayapin, “Modern Challenges of Virtual Wars,” http://www.gramota.net/
materials/3/2013/12-3/41.html.
124
A. K. Cebrowski, “Implementation of Network-Centric Warfare,” http://www.
iwar.org.uk/rma/resources/ncw/implementation-of-NCW.pdf.
120
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
121
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
125
N.Copeland, Psychology and Soldierr (Moscow:1992), 21.
122
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
123
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
The first stage was the use of primitive verbal and nonverbal
means of spiritual influence. Shouting, dancing, graphic paint-
ings, rumors, rigged predictions and prophecies were falsified in
everything that went on in the course of a society. These days,
the prophecies by evil demons and magicians are now wandering
through the vast expanses of web networks.
The second stage of an information war began with relative
literacy in terms of a wide coverage of various printed materials:
letters, books, newspapers, magazines, etc. During this develop-
ment, there was by and large, a special and effective means of
information warfare. Even today it remains effective but only has
since become a new factor because of technology via the infor-
mation being featured on the screen of a personal computer or
a Smartphone. The main thing is that these texts are written as
“short, strong and scary” and accompanied by illustrations sure
of causing emotional reactions.
The third phase was caused by the invention of photography,
and then with the telegraph, radio, phone, and later followed by
film and television. The data transfer speed has increased signifi-
cantly. As did the dependency. During World War II, and thereaf-
ter the Vietnam War, the importance of broadcasting in military
terms was demonstrated, and which then gave an impetus to the
further development of the means and methods of information
warfare. Even a cursory analysis of the state of broadcasting in
the ATO Zone 126 suggests that it is the Ukrainian side who de-
liberately acts as the aggressor.
The fourth stage continues in our time, and its specificity is
caused by the formation and development of an extensive in-
formation society. The advent of personal computers and public
telecommunication networks brought information warfare to a
new level. It became possible to conceal the influences of personal
information on a specific user of a computer network. Now, the
126
The monitoring mission of the MIP in the ATO zone conducted an anal-
ysis of the state of broadcasting of Ukrainian broadcasts on the territory of the
Denezhnikovsky village council, which is located in the Luhansk region. http://
www.kmu.gov.ua/control/uk/publish/article?art_id=249640702&cat_id=244277212.
124
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
127
Y. O. Gorban, “Information War Against Ukraine and Means of Its
Management,” Bulletin of the National Academy of Public Administration under the
President of Ukraine, No. 1, (2015): 136-141.
128
http://uran.donetsk.ua/~masters/2014/fknt/kebikov/library/article9.pdf.
125
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
d.
130
C. von Clausewitz, Principles of Warfare (Moscow: 2009), 34.
126
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
who led the British by using war propaganda against the enemy
countries.
Lord Northcliffe’s propaganda involved a number of
principles:
– ensuring that the credibility and not the authenticity of
the propaganda content are due to a skillful combination
of false and true messages;
– the massive character of propaganda;
– preventing the propaganda of political actions of one’s own
government;
– propaganda support for the opposition of the governments
of hostile countries;
– conducting propaganda on behalf of the patriotic forces
of the enemy. 131
The scope and consequences of the First World War led to
a sharp increase in interest in the intensification of methods of
psychological influences. A variety of practices of ideological
and propaganda work during the war had created a sufficient
empirical basis for the construction of theoretical models and
the basis for writing scientific papers.
In 1920, a book was published in London by Campbell
Stuart called Secrets of Crewe House, which summarizes the
experience of British propaganda in the First World War. In
the early 1920s, other books were published in Germany—one
by Edgar Stern-Rübarth Propaganda as a Weapon of Politics
and Johann Plenge’s German Propaganda. In 1924 a study was
published by Friedrich Schoemann entitled The Art of Influence
on the Masses in the United States of America. Yet another book
was published in 1927 in London, by the Englishman Harold
Lasswell (later better known in the Russian-language academic
space as “Lassuel”) called Propaganda Technique in the World
War. It outlined the information-psychological sphere of war
for the first time in which propaganda was considered to be
131
A.V. Manoylo, State Information Policy in Special Conditions: Monograph
(Moscow: MIFI, 2003), 236.
127
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
132
G. Laswell, Techniques of Propaganda in World Warr (Moscow: 1929), 139-181.
O. Gorban, “Information war against Ukraine and means of its manage-
ulletin of the National Academy of Public Administration under the President
of Ukraine, No. 1 (2015): 136-141.
128
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129
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
from the private lives of public policy makers which are scandalous
and “under investigation” thereby deliberately falsifying information
while savoring the “spicy” details. The problem is in the human sub-
conscious where activation of the mechanism will be turned to the
manipulation of feelings and emotions which is the foundation of
the psychology of crowd control. Information warfare is fueled by
constant misrepresentation, manipulation of the media, the creation
of virtual and real images of the enemy against the citizens of the state
who have also become victims of information aggression. In this way
by example, the citizens of Ukraine were convinced by the propagan-
da since the end of 2013 when the Russian media began coverage on
the Euromaidan in an aggressively propagandistic manner.
Ukrainian society was vulnerable to phishing attacks.
130
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
131
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
141
Dorosh S. Kazus, “Nadia Savchenko,” http://www.bbc.com/ukrainian/
politics/2016/07/160725_savchenko_political_activities_sd.
142
“A refugee from Slavyansk remembers how she executed a small son and wife
of a militiamen,” http://www.1tv.ru/news/2014-07-12/37175-bezhenka_iz_slavyans-
ka_vspominaet_kak_pri_ney_kaznili_malenkogo_syna_i_zhenu_opolchentsa.
143
The former head of the Moscow bureau of the American based television
channel Cable News Network (CNN).
132
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133
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
and thereby resolve the conflict. He calls the main lines of attack:
– The imposition of views on the inability of the Ukrainian au-
thorities to govern the nation;
– The formation of the currently held opinion that parliamentary
elections are more important for the Ukrainian elite than the
events in the East of Ukraine;
– Proliferation of the negative judgments about the military-po-
litical leadership of Ukraine;
– Dissemination of the views that the Ukrainian army in the
East of Ukraine is demoralized and cannot conduct operations;
– The imposition of the opinion that Ukraine cannot survive the
winter without Russian gas, and Kyiv will find it necessary to
return to Moscow for gas contracts.
Gusarov emphasizes that the Kremlin’s target audience for its
imposition of ideas are currently the population of the Russian
Federation, the Russian-speaking diaspora abroad, the population
of Ukraine including those within the occupied areas of Donbas,
the citizens of Western countries, as well as the BRIC (Brazil, Russia,
India and China) countries and the Customs Union. 147
Psychological pressure is the impact on the human psyche
through intimidation and threats with the aim of prompting par-
ticular planned behaviors.
147
7
V. Gusarov, “The Kremlin launched a new informational attack,” http://sprotyv.
info/en/news/4407-kreml-nachal-novuyu-informacionnuyu-ataku.
148
“Fake: ‘A Ukrainian soldier promises ‘a piece of land and two slaves,’” http://www.
stopfake.org/lozh-ukrainskim-voennym-obeshhayut-kusochek-zemli-i-dva-raba/.
134
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
135
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
neglecting the fact that they may not be experts in this field. 149
In many respects the social networks provide an effective hy-
brid of aggression against the people the Kremlin still likes to
call “fraternal.”
The authoritative Russian political scientist Lilia Shevtsova
convincingly explained the motivation of the Russian leadership
waging unprecedented pressure on its recent strategic partner:
“Ukraine became Russia’s turning point, opening a new page in
Russian history. It dealt a fatal blow to the ‘Russian system’ when it
decided to go to Europe, that is, it was seen as a hostile civilization
by the Moscow vector.” 150
Shevtsova notes that the role and importance of Ukraine for the
Kremlin autocracy was always understood with the particular zeal
of destroying all hints of Ukrainian national consciousness. Stalin
decided to destroy the bud of Ukraine’s desire for its national spirit
with genocide. Without Ukraine, Russia is a neo-empire, if not an
empire at all. Now the Kremlin is aware of this, no matter at what
level, which emotion, or by sheer logic. No wonder Ukraine has
become Putin’s personal project. 151
A number of historical stereotypes continue to define the logic
of Russia’s actions in the international arena. To fight against them
rationally is almost impossible—they were rooted in the mind-set
from the time of the Russian Empire.
The most important principle of imperial thinking was formu-
lated even before the French Revolution. This is the concept of
legitimate influence—the legal right to carry out preventive con-
quests and explaining their idea of national security for the “distant
approaches.” The same concept of legal intervention was based on
the protection and even planting political regimes loyal to Moscow
in the neighboring countries. Of course, Russia was not the only
149
B.V. Kovalevich, “Social networks as a new tool for conducting information
wars in the modern world,” Grani, No. 4, (2014): 118-121.
150
Lilia Shevtsova, “Without Ukraine, Russia is a ‘non-imperial,’ or even an empire
at all,” http://ukrainian.voanews.com/content/shevtsova-russia-kraine/2939347.html.
151
Ibid.
136
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
152
Kyivan Rus—a medieval state on the territory of Eastern Europe with Kyiv as
its center. It existed from the end of 9th to the middle of the 13th centuries and was
an association of principalities under the rule of the Rurik dynasty. At its height of
power, it stretched from the Baltic Sea in the north to the Black Sea in the south, and
from the upper reaches of the Vistula in the west to the Taman Peninsula in the east.
137
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
138
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
154
Yuriy Levada Analytical Center is a Russian non-governmental, independent,
non-profit research organization.
139
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
were for the fact that these regions were independent of Kyiv, but
still part of Ukraine. In addition, the majority of Russians (36%)
were in favor of the need for closed borders and visas between
Russia and Ukraine. 155
It should be noted that for the majority of respondents, the dra-
matic events in the East of Ukraine which is called the Ukrainian
internal political conflict, or in other words—the civil war, only a
quarter of Russians agreed that this is a war between their country
and Ukraine and that Russian troops are truly on the territory
of Ukraine. It is significant that this figure remained unchanged
during the entire period of this war so far.
A characteristic feature of the Russian society’s position con-
cerning Ukraine is a denial of responsibility for what is happening
in our country. Exceptions are a mere 4–5% of the respondents.
The Russians blamed the West, led by the United States. Only 12%
of respondents were willing to admit, at least, the logic of the use
of sanctions as an instrument of containment of Russia’s aggressive
policy. The Russian citizens’ general opinion is: Putin’s policy in
Ukraine is only a reaction to the expansion of NATO (almost
50% believe this), and the threat against the Russian-speaking
population (44%). Clichés abound: “Russia is not to blame…,”
“we were forced to…,” “we defended…,” “we didn’t begin it—that
came from the other side…”
Paradoxically at first glance, the saturation of the information
field reports about Ukraine does not lead to their being better
informed. The reason is the existence of the Kremlin’s public-pri-
vate partnership management in the media field. However, only a
third of Russians believe that they are well or fairly well versed of
the situation. But, as practice shows, the Russians “very well un-
derstand the situation,” but in reality often differ from each other.
On the other hand, if immediately after the annexation of Crimea,
half of the Russians believed such a scenario was acceptable in
Donbas, now the supporters of such a course of events were left at
155
“The attitude of Russians towards Ukraine has improved over the year,” https://
tvrain.ru/news/otnoshenie411443/.
140
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
only 15%. The “hawks” are the 20–25% of Russians who continue,
in spite of it all, to support the deployment of Russian troops in
Donbas, and who are sympathetic (still!) to Viktor Yanukovych
and categorically against Ukraine’s membership in the EU. On the
other hand, about 10% had sympathized with the Euromaidan
from the beginning. 156
Russian propaganda both inside Russia and abroad are based
on old stereotypes, fears, and moods. Although the issue of
Crimea’s annexation by the Russian authorities in 2014 was pub-
licly raised as early as May 1998 when 77% of Russians would like
to see the peninsula “returned to Russia,” and half of them con-
sidered that would be the most appropriate mechanism for this
referendum. In March 2002, the same opinion was held by 80%,
and already 85% in 2008, while 67% admitted the possibility of
putting pressure on Ukraine to “get it back.” It is therefore logical
that 85% supported the annexation one and a half years after its
implementation.
In June 1994, 70% of the respondents believed that Russia
must protect Russian interests in the post-Soviet space. After 20
years, at the end of 2014, 70% of the respondents believed that the
Crimea should join Russia because it is “Russian land,” and the
population of the peninsula must be protected against Ukrainian
nationalists. It turns out that intervention in the affairs of inde-
pendent neighboring states is not necessary and is ugly. But that
will not make for a good argument. 157
141
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
158
V.Shiryaev, “This is a war,” http://www.novayagazeta.ru/politics/74105.htm.
159
The Valdai Discussion Club is an expert-analytical center that was established
in 2004 in Veliky Novgorod, Russia. The Club owes its name to the venue of the
first conference held near Lake Valdai.
142
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
143
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
160
P. Pomerantsev and M.Weiss, “The threat of unreality: information, culture
and money as weapons of the Kremlin,” https://openrussia.org/s/tmp/files/Menace-
of-Unreality_RUS.pdf.
144
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
145
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
146
SECTION 4 • INFORMATION—A KEY FACTOR IN HYBRID AGGRESSION
RESULTS
One of the hallmarks of a modern hybrid of aggression is the
domination of the informational component. Information be-
comes invisible, but a cheap and effective weapon. The Ukrainian
case of recent years confirms this. Information warfare (as well
as the war of images, which will be discussed below) is an intel-
lectual confrontation of concepts, visions, and strategies drawn
up in a short line of messages in the newsfeeds and video images.
Winning the information front is not only done by the domi-
nance of one narrative (point of view) over the other.
The objects to defeat in an information war are: conscious-
ness, the will and feelings of the population of the enemy country
in times of objective and artificially created crises, the system of
government and decision-making, and the information infra-
structure of the enemy country. The main subjects of information
warfare are not only foreign policy ministries and intelligence
services of foreign countries, but also the information and advo-
cacy structures. The objectives of information warfare could be
the decision-makers (the military command, the people, the elite,
social groups) based on advantageous enemy information. They
may relate to different spheres of the life of the nation—whether
it is an offensive towards a certain direction, or at some point, a
decision in choosing an ally or even a “third Maidan.”
The means of confronting information calls may be different,
and their effectiveness will be measured by the differences. But
the most effective way for media literacy’s success is by the pro-
liferation of healthy skepticism in the perception of information
messages, and the creation of an alternative narrative.
147
SECTION 5
CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL
COMPONENTS
OF HYBRID
AGGRESSION
161
T. Bilyak, “Culture as a weapon in a hybrid war,” http://global-ukraine-news.
org/2015/12/20/kultura-yak-zbroya-v-gibrydnij-vijni.
153
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
154
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155
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
165
Banderovshchina, (Moscow: Izmo “Exmo,” Publishing House “Algorithm”
2005), 304 pages.
166
M. Kalashnikov and S. Buntovsky, Independent Ukraine: The Collapsed Project
(Moscow: 2009).
156
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
157
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
168
Vitaliy Y. Zakharchenko (January 20, 1963)—Ukrainian civil servant, busi-
nessman, former head of the State Tax Service and Minister of Internal Affairs of
Ukraine; suspected of crimes against humanity during the events of the Euromaidan.
Zakharchenko’s resignation from the post of Minister for the Interior and the in-
vestigation of his activities were some of the main demands of the Euromaidan
opposition political parties. He is wanted by the SBU since February 26, 2014.
Hiding from justice in Russia.
158
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
169
Sergei Loiko (b. 1953, Mikkeli, Finland)—journalist, writer, photographer,
translator. The author of numerous reports from areas of military-political conflicts,
including the former USSR.
170
Yevgeny V. Polozhy (b.1968)—Ukrainian writer, journalist, editor-in-chief of
several magazines, assaulted by thugs. https://www.theatlantic.com/international/
archive/2014/04/the-disturbing-tally-of-activists-and-journalists-tortured-or-killed-
in-ukraine/361246/. ATLANTIC Apr. 25, 2014.
159
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
160
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
171
A. Moskvichova, “Ministry of Culture wants to take on anti-Ukrainian liter-
ature,” http://www.radiosvoboda.mobi/a/27652953.html.
172
The Guards—the 2014-2015 Ukrainian military-drama television series aired
on Ukrainian television channel 2 + 2 and filmed at the Vasylkiv aircraft base, in
the Kyiv region. The program was aired in Ukraine and Poland.
161
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
173
Ivan I Danilovich Kalita—Prince of Moscow from 1325 to 1340, Grand Duke
of Volodymyr until 1340, Prince of Novgorod from 1328 to 1337.
162
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
Black Sea coast of Kyiv where early Christianity first began. From the
point of view of St. Petersburg, it is here, in Chersonesos—the city of
Russian princes—where Russia again finds its faith and its history.
But the first large-scale celebrations in honor of St. Volodymyr
took place only in 1888 in honor of the 900th anniversary of the
Baptism of Russia. The day of his memory on July 15th turned into
one of the most important Russian religious holidays for it was spe-
cially decreed by the Russian Orthodox Church Synod. Already, in
the 21stt century, after the annexation of Crimea, Russia once again
elevated him to the status of the main patron saint in Russian history.
It is significant that the Kremlin’s “privatization” of Volodymyr
the Baptist began in preparation before the start of the aggression
against Ukraine. On July 31, 2013, after large-scale celebrations in
Kyiv and Sevastopol for the 1,025th anniversary of the Baptism of
Rus’, the President of Russia had established a special working group
for the preparation of events dedicated to the millennium of Prince
Volodymyr’s repose. 174 In Russia, the reactions were rather nervous
towards the decree by Ukraine’s President Petro Poroshenko had
declaring the celebration of the 1,000th anniversary of the death of
Volodymyr the Great. 175 These facts indirectly confirm that Russia
was preparing for the “subjugation of Ukraine” before the events
on the Euromaidan.
The precise role of Ukraine’s history is extremely important to
Russia’s imperial past. According to the well-known political scien-
tist Lilia Shevtsova, “Ukraine, upon leaving for the West takes with
it the legitimacy of the Russian nation, and we remain only as the
Muscovy who were inhabited by unknown people. Then Russia will
have to start counting its stories not beginning with the thousand
years of the history of Christianity and the Baptism of Rus,’ and St.
174
Alexey Kopyatok, “The project ‘The Baptist’: how Russia ‘appropriates’ itself
of Prince Volodymyr the Great,” http://sprotyv.info/en/news/13846-proekt-kresti-
tel-kak-rossiya-prisvaivaet-sebe-knyazya-vladimira-velikogo.
175
“Poroshenko has signed a decree on the commemoration of Prince Volodymyr
the founder of the state of Rus-Ukraine,” http://censor.net.ua/news/326291/poros-
henko_podpisal_ukaz_o_chestvovanii_pamyati_knyazya_vladimira_sozdatelya_go-
sudarstva_rusiukrainy.
163
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
176
Lilia Shevtsova, “Putin is looking for new ways to strangulate Ukraine, http://
news.liga.net/interview/politics/3329055-liliya_shevtsova_putin_ishchet_novye_
sposoby_udusheniya_ukrainy_.htm.
164
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
The myth of imperial Russia was not born yesterday, nor to-
day. Russia’s myth is skillfully and persistently supported by all
available means for one simple reason: the nostalgia for past
imperial greatness makes it possible for millions to find and
165
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
166
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
are made up of mostly young people who have not yet gained
access to the levers of public policy. Accordingly, a considerable
part of the population of Ukraine and Belarus are still the car-
riers of historical stereotypes that were initially shared with the
Russians.
It is interesting to note that this was a fact of discord during
the All-Ukrainian Referendum of December 1, 1991 178 when in-
dependence was voted in by 90% of the voters. Of course, at the
time, it was not possible in schools to comprehend another story
except the Soviet one. Before that, there were only three years of
freedom of speech with respect to the Ukrainian “national issues”
and the surge of social activism was in effect. But the idea of
Ukraine as something self-sufficient however, had to rely on its
non-randomness, naturalness, antiquity, duration in space and
time—in other words, its “separate” history. Unfortunately, in
2014, after 20 years of independence, part of Ukrainian society
in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions have not supported inde-
pendence, opting instead for an artificially created theme of being
its own “independent Donbas.” Their choice is not affected even
by the fact that in the period from 2010 to 2013 the notions of
“Donbas Feeds Ukraine,” and “Ukraine will disappear without
Donbas,” formed the basis of its national information policy.
In an effort to find an answer to the question about the causes
of aggressive behavior of Russia based on the historical past, it is
necessary to analyze the historical message of the broadcasts from
Russia to Ukraine during the years 2000–2014 in the ways it was
delivered, and the reasons for the relative successes/failures. The
main ones were:
“General History.” The essence of this idea is a postulate of the
“common destiny” of Eastern Slavic peoples over the centuries, the
178
All-Ukrainian Referendum in 1991 was regarding the territory of the former
USSR on the proclamation of Ukraine’s independence. It was held on December
1, 1991. One question was on the referendum: “Do you confirm the Declaration
of Independence of Ukraine?” The referendum was voted by 31,891,742 citi-
zens—84.18% of the population of Ukraine. Of these, 28,804,071 people (90,32%)
voted “for” Ukraine’s independence.
167
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
fate of which was not interrupted until 1991. The collapse of the
Soviet Union in this context is considered an historical mistake, or,
according to Vladimir Putin, “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe
of the 20th century.” 179 Despite all the contradictions of the Soviet
period, all his negatives are offset by the common victory over
Nazism in 1945. However, on this issue the Russian President has
a dissenting private opinion, which has already been mentioned.
A retrospective of this idea confirms the postulate that all the
achievements of Ukrainians in the past could only have taken
place with the participation of Russia, but when isolated from
Russia, the Ukrainian people then suffered the most painful
historical periods of foreign domination. Ukraine’s joining the
Russian nation could not be done by seizure or occupation, but
only when exclusively exempted from foreign domination or
reunification.
Holodomorr 180 denial and an apology for Stalin’s moderniza-
tion. It is reasonable to raise the questions about the initiators,
inspirers, and performers of how the Ukrainian perspective of
the Holodomor of 1932–1933 was perceived as a genocide against
the Ukrainian people. In Ukraine, it was perceived because of the
culprit party leadership of the Soviet regime in Moscow and in
Kharkiv (then the capital of the Ukrainian SSR). Such an assump-
tion, according to Russian historians, “blackens” the era that began
in Russia for rehabilitation and glorification. 181 (An example that
is widely used in Russian scholarship is the portrayal of Stalin as
an effective manager).
179
“Putin’s imperial cry for the lost union: ‘Speed and Conditions’ of the
Movement to Democracy—the Case of Russia,” http://censor.net.ua/news/48590/
imperskiyi_plach_putina_po_utrachennomu_soyuzu_quotskorost_i_usloviya-
quot_dvijeniya_k_demokratii__delo.
180
The Holodomor of 1932-1933—the genocide of the Ukrainian people, orga-
nized by the leadership of the All-Russian Communist Party (Bolsheviks) and the
government of the USSR in 1932-1933 by creating an artificial mass famine which
led to multimillion human losses in the countryside on the territory of the Ukrainian
SSR and Kuban, the overwhelming majority of these populations were Ukrainians.
181
“Glorifitsirovat”—to
t praise to excess.
168
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
182
Grain procurements—seizure of grain crops from peasants for state needs.
rainization—the promotion of the Ukrainian language and culture process
ormation and strengthening of Soviet power in Ukraine during the 1920s
and early 1930s.
184
Collaboration in the legal interpretation of international law—a conscious,
voluntary and deliberate collaboration with the enemy to his advantage and to the
detriment of the state.
169
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
185
“Ukrainians ‘champions’ on collaboration with Nazi Germany?” http://likbez.
org.ua/ukrainians-champions-for-collaborationism-with-nazi-germany.html.
186
“Putin explained in figures of Ukraine’s role in the victory in the Great Patriotic
War,” http://delo.ua/world/putin-v-cifrah-o-roli-v-pobede149005/
170
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
171
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
190
Z. Brzezinski, “Putin’s motivation is historical nostalgia,” The Ukrainian Week,
No. 1, (2012).
172
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
191
“Putin has actually recognized that society is encoded in Russia,” http://www.
depo.ua/rus/svit/putin-fakticheski-priznal-chto-obshchestvo-v-rossii-zakodirova-
no05112014150500.
192
“Putin’s Letter to the Poles—Full Version,” http://google.com/news/
1,114881,6983945
173
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
193
Yaroslav Volodymyrovych also called “Yaroslav the Wise” (978?-1054), son
of Volodymyr the Great, was a Rus’ prince from the Rurik dynasty, also Grand
Duke of Kyiv (1015-1018, 1019-1054), Prince of Rostov (988-1010) and Novgorod
(1010-1034).
194
T. Melikyan, “Putin at a meeting with historians condemns Yaroslav Mudrogo:
wrong with successors,” http://www.mk.ru/politics/2014/11/05/putin-na-vstre-
che-s-istorikami-osudil-yaroslava-mudrogo-oshibsya-s-preemnikami.html.
195
Chersonesos (Kherson during the Middle Ages, and as Korsun in ancient
sources) is an ancient Greek city-state in the southwestern part of Crimea (within
the framework of modern Sevastopol). On June 23, 2013, Chersonesos was included
in the list of UNESCO World Heritage sites.
174
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
196
T. Melikyan, “Putin at a meeting with historians condemns Yaroslav Mudrogo:
wrong with successors,” http://www.mk.ru/politics/2014/11/05/putin-na-vstre-
che-s-istorikami-osudil-yaroslava-mudrogo-oshibsya-s-preemnikami.html.
1977
Viktor Brekhunenko, “At first, consciousness, then the weapon,” The Ukrainian
Week, No.52, (2014): 52-56.
175
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
176
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
gei Gromenko. “Why Ukraine loses the war history with its neighbors,”
zhden.ua/History/117885.
rylo Halushko, “Historical myth about the ‘Ukrainians-poor,’” http://www.
a.com.ua/articles/2011/11/30/63438.
The meaning here is that the Moscow state has absorbed the tradition of
managing the Golden Horde.
201
P. Kazarin, “Abduction of Rus. Kyiv can take its true name in Moscow,” http://
www.istpravda.com.ua/columns/2013/09/27/136919/view_print.
177
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
202
Lydia Sycheva, “Russian language, Russian culture, and Russian world, Russian
Federation Todayy No. 4. (2007), http://archive.russia-today.ru/2007/no_14/14_look.
htm/.
178
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
203
Migranyan Andranik, “In orbit, the state language,” Russian Strategy, No.7,
(2007), http://sr.fondedin.ru/new/fullnews_arch_to.php?subaction=showfull&
id=1185274576&archive=1185275035.
204
V. Vasilenko, “Genesis and purpose of special operations against the Ukrainian
language,” http://tyzhden.ua/Politics/82032.
179
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
205
Ibid.
essage from Russian President Vladimir Putin to the Federal Assembly, on
2007,” http://www.rg.ru/2007/04/27/poslanie.html.
207
P. Okhotin, ‘“Russian world’ as technology,” http://tyzhden.ua/World/29591.
180
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
208
Archimandrite Kyrill (born as Sergei Nikolayevich Govorun, January 28, 1974,
Zolotonosha, Ukraine) is an Archimandrite and senior lecturer at the Stockholm
School of Theology, also holds a Ph.D and is senior researcher at the Center for
Religious Studies at the Faculty of Philosophy Education and Science, National
Pedagogical University named after M.P. Drahomaniv, and publicist and research
associate at Columbia University (USA).
igious Directory, http://risu.org.ua/ua/index/reference.
Zdioruk, V. M. Yablonsky, V. V. Tokman et al, Ukraine and the Project of
the “Russian World,” V. M. Yablonsky and S. I. Zdiorok, eds., (Kyiv: NISS, 2014).
181
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
211
His Beatitude, Volodymyr, Metropolitan of Kyiv and All Ukraine (born
Viktor Markianovich Sabodan, November 23, 1935-July 5, 2014), the Bishop
of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church since 1966, Metropolitan of Kyiv and all
Ukraine 1992-2014. Chairman and Permanent Member of the Holy Synod of
the Ukrainian Orthodox Church. Permanent Member of the Holy Synod of the
Russian Orthodox Church. Hero of Ukraine (2011). One of the most influential
bishops of the Russian Orthodox Church.
212
Onufriy (Orest Vladimirovich Berezovsky (b.1944)—Ukrainian church
figure. Metropolitan of Kyiv and All Ukraine, head of the UOC-MP (August
17, 2014). Permanent Member of the Holy Synod of the Russian Orthodox
Church.
213
“Metropolitan Onufriy refused to stand up for the Heroes,” https://www.pra-
vda.com.ua/news/2015/05/9/7067252/.
214
“The church and national press are most trusted among Ukrainians,” http://
tsn.ua/ukrayina/naybilshoyu-doviroyu-sered-ukrayinciv-koristuyutsya-cerk-
va-i-vitchiznyana-presa 281811.html.
182
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
215
“Religion, church, society and state: two years after the Maidan” (Informational
Materials), http://www.razumkov.org.ua/upload/Religiya_200516_A4.compressed.pdf.
216
“The religious procession of the UOC (the Moscow Patriarchate): without a
fight, but surrounded by the police,” https://www.radiosvoboda.org/a/27884911.
html.
217
“The resolution of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine on the appeal of the
Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine to His Holiness the Bartholomew, the Archbishop
of Constantinople and New Rome, the Ecumenical Patriarch for the granting of
autocephaly to the Orthodox Church in Ukraine,” http://zakon4.rada.gov.ua/laws/
show/1422-19?test=4/UMfPEGznhh.EG.ZiipjOq1HI4/Us80msh8Ie6.
183
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
184
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
220
The Razumkov Center is a leading non-governmental analytical center of
Ukraine conducting state policy research. Founded, August 19, 1994.
221
“National Security and Defense,” No. 8-9.(2015). http://razumkov.org.ua/up-
load/Identi2016.pdf.
222
Ibid.
185
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
186
SECTION 5 • CULTURAL-IDEOLOGICAL COMPONENTS OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
RESULTS
The cultural-ideological components of a hybrid war include:
emphasizing the theme of “infringement” of the Russian language
and Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine, “the battle for history”
(the substitution of meanings of historical events, the delegitimi-
zation of the traditions of Ukrainian nationhood, and the essence
of the Ukrainian nation), flooding bookstores with products of
dubious quality along with a clear anti-Ukrainian premise, the “ap-
propriation” of historical and cultural figures (very indicative is
the situation with Volodymyr the Great), and the game of internal
divisions in Ukrainian society (for example, the memory of the
Second World War).
The common term for these complex influences is “soft power.”
The concept is not new, but in the Russian version the use of soft
power turns into serious consequences. Propaganda’s own narrative
through the concept of the “Russian world” has continued since the
beginning of the 2000s and has taken rather deep roots in Ukraine
by using the NGO networks, the political forces of the state and
regional levels, and control of the media and the “experts.”
187
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
188
SECTION 6
IN SEARCH OF AN
EFFECTIVE IMAGE
223
Jack Matlock (b. 1929) - American diplomat, the US ambassador to the Soviet
Union 1987-1991.
2244
Abraham Brumberg (1926–2008 pp.)—American writer and editor, a specialist
in the history of the USSR and Eastern Europe, Jewish studies.
195
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
225
Pavlo Ivanovych Lazarenko (b. 23 January 1953) is a former Ukrainian politi-
cian and former Prime Minister who in August 2006 was convicted and sentenced
to prison in the United States for money laundering, wire fraud, and extortion.
According to the United Nations, approximately US $200 million was embezzled
by Lazarenko during 1996–97 from the government of Ukraine.
226
“cassette scandal” (also called “Kuchmagate” or the Melnychenko tapes)—a
political scandal in Ukraine that broke out after the release of cassette recordings
from President Leonid Kuchma’s office in the fall of 2000 testifying to the involve-
ment of then-President of Ukraine Kuchma and a number of other high-ranking
officials and politicians in the murder of journalist G. Gongadze.
227
On November 23, 2002, the US Ambassador to Ukraine stated that there
is no doubt in the United States about the authenticity of the records made by
Melnychenko in the office of President Leonid Kuchma. The Ambassador also
noted that, in an attempt to cast doubt on the authenticity of these records, there
was a desire to divert attention from President Kuchma’s agreement to sell Iraq the
Kolchuga Radiotechnical Intelligence stations. Earlier, in September 2002, the US
Department of State and Western media uncovered the sale of 4 “Kolchuga” com-
plexes by Ukraine to Jordan’s armed forces to Iraq, bypassing the sanctions imposed
on the Republic of Iraq. This information has led to the “chainmail scandal,” and
subsequently confirmed.
196
SECTION 6 • IN SEARCH OF AN EFFECTIVE IMAGE
228
“Document on the portal of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine,” http://zakon0.
rada.gov.ua/laws/show/1609-2003-%D0%BF.
197
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
229
P. Rozumnaya, “Optimization of strengthening the cultural presence of
in Europe, Analytical notes,” http://www.niss.gov.ua/articles/1522.
Z.S. Lyulchak, A.A. Lipantsev, and Yu.I. Galoshchak, “National brand and
branding in the context of international events,” http://ena.lp.edu.ua:8080/bitstream/
ntb/16023/1/19-Lyulchak-127-136.pdf.
231
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pigu8RijfXk.
198
SECTION 6 • IN SEARCH OF AN EFFECTIVE IMAGE
232
O. V. Antonyuk, “Current state of the strategy of promoting the brand of the
Ukraine,” www.economy.in.ua/pdf/8_2011/20.pdf.
ps://www.unian.ua/politics/1836526-uchasnitsi-evrobachenn-
ya-vid-rosiji-samoyloviy-zaboronili-vjizd-v-ukrajinu.html.
199
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
234
Since May 2010, the Prosecutor General’s Office of Ukraine had launched a
series of criminal cases against former Prime Minister of Ukraine, and leader of
the “united opposition” against Viktor Yanukovych, Yulia Tymoshenko. Basically,
the cases were based on charges of “excessive official authority.” On October 11,
2011, Yulia Tymoshenko was sentenced to 7 years in “the case of a gas contract
with Russia.” This case was considered political persecution by the power of Viktor
Yanukovych. Officials from the West have said that Tymoshenko’s sentence is unfair
and politically motivated. Tymoshenko’s trial and verdict caused an avalanche of
feedback from leading world politicians. In particular, after the Tymoshenko verdict,
official statements came from all G8 countries (except Japan), and from European
countries and neighboring countries of Ukraine.
200
SECTION 6 • IN SEARCH OF AN EFFECTIVE IMAGE
235
http://uacrisis.org/ru/about.
201
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
236
S.G. Denisyuk, “The image of modern Ukraine: structural components and
key indicators,” http://oaji.net/articles/2014/797-1400183027.pdf.
237
O.V. Yalova, “The Image of Ukraine on the Western and Russian Vectors of
Foreign Policy” (Dissertation, Kyiv National University—Taras Shevchenko 2006).
202
SECTION 6 • IN SEARCH OF AN EFFECTIVE IMAGE
203
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
239
M. Ryabchuk, “Two Ukraines: the end of ambivalence?” http://krytyka.com/u/
articles/dvi-ukrayiny-kinets-ambivalentnosty.
204
SECTION 6 • IN SEARCH OF AN EFFECTIVE IMAGE
240
K. Dombs, “Vaclav Klaus: It is absolutely clear that Crimea has never belonged
to Ukraine,” http://inosmi.ru/world/20150127/225864244.html#ixzz3T49A6lkF.
241
Sergei Mikhailovich Shahray (b. 1956)—Russian politician, Deputy Prime
Minister of Russia (1991–1994).
242
Aleksandr Petrovich Pochinok (1958–2014)—Russian politician, Minister
of Taxes and Duties (1999-2000), Minister of Labor and Social Development
(2000-2004).
205
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
243
“Poroshenko: ‘More than 60% of the fighters ATO forces speak in Russian,’”
http://www.ostro.org/general/society/news/463078/.
206
SECTION 6 • IN SEARCH OF AN EFFECTIVE IMAGE
207
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
244
V.A., Manzhola and M.G. Kapitonenko, Ukraine in the Post-bipolar System of
International Relations (Kiev, 2008), 16.
245
K.Galushko, “Ukraine on the Map Europe,” https://upload.wikimedia.org/
wikipedia/commons/3/34/Ukraina_na_karti_Europi.pdf.
246
Pereiaslav Council of 1654—(Also called the Treaty of Pereiaslav). The Cossack
council in Pereiaslav, Ukraine that Hetman B. Khmelnytskyi summoned on January
18 (8), 1654, to declare his Zaporozhian primacy to join forces with the Russian
Tsar, Alexei Mikhailovich against the Polish-Lithuanian commonwealth; one of
the episodes of Ukrainian-Russian history designed for processing military and
political unifications.
208
SECTION 6 • IN SEARCH OF AN EFFECTIVE IMAGE
2477
Valuev Circular1863—The order issued in July 1863 by the Minister of Internal
Affairs of the Russian Empire P.Valuev on the prohibition of teaching or printing
science and religious books in the Ukrainian language which was considered to be
an artificial language.
248
Ems Act 1876—Secret decree on the complete prohibition of Ukrainian
writings, signed by Tsar Alexander II in the resort city of Ems (now Bad Ems,
Germany) in May 1876. The decree forbade printing Ukrainian original and trans-
lated books (even note texts), and importing Ukrainian books and brochures,
printed abroad, or in Ukraine. Also forbidden were Ukrainian performances, con-
certs, songs and declamations. Also led to the prohibition of nationally conscious
and intellectual activities and organizations and the center of Ukrainianophilia of
the Russian Geographical Society. The Kiev Telegraph was subjected to repression
by the royal authorities, and some professors from the University of Kyiv were
censured as well.
249
O. Pagir and Andreas Kappeler, “About why Ukraine remains a white spot on
the mental map of Europe,” http://tyzhden.ua/Politics/63189/PrintView.
209
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
250
Symon Vasylyovych Petliura (1879-1926)—Ukrainian state, military and
political figure, publicist, literary and theater critic. Organizer of the Ukrainian
armed forces. Member of the General Secretariat of the Ukrainian Central Rada
as Secretary General for Military Affairs. The Main Ataman of the troops of the
Ukrainian People’s Republic (UPR) from November 1918. Head of the Directory
of the UPR (May 9, 1919—November 10, 1920). On May 25, 1926 tragically died
in Paris from the gunshot of the Bolshevik agent Sh. Schwartzbard, who in a later
court trial testified that he allegedly sought revenge for the victims of the pogroms
against the Jewish people for which he said Petliura bears responsibility. Petliura is
buried at the Paris Montparnasse Cemetery.
251
Shalom-Shmuel Isaakovich Schwartzbard (or Shvartsburd), (1886-1938)—
Russian-Jewish poet, anarchist, murderer of Symon Petliura.
252
O. Pagir and Andreas Kappeler, “About why Ukraine remains a white spot on
the mental map of Europe,” http://tyzhden.ua/Politics/63189/PrintView.
210
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253
Ibid.
211
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
212
SECTION 6 • IN SEARCH OF AN EFFECTIVE IMAGE
213
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
254
A. Hetmanchuk, “‘So what was it?’ Europeans ponder about events in Donbas,”
http://iwp.org.ua/ukr/public/1794.html.
255
A. Hetmanchuk, “France and Italy are our weak links,” http://iwp.org.ua/ukr/
public/1640.html.
214
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215
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
259
“Merkel sees no grounds for abolishing EU sanctions against Russia,” https://
www.rbc.ua/eng/news/merkel-vidit-osnovaniy-otmeny-sanktsiy-es1471591558.html.
216
SECTION 6 • IN SEARCH OF AN EFFECTIVE IMAGE
260
O.V. Petkova, “Methodical aspect of research of the image of the country
(on the example of research of the image of Ukraine), Political Management, Kyiv,
Ukrainian Center for Political Management, No. 5 (32) (2008): 168-175.
261
Agreement on the Association of Ukraine with the EU—an agreement between
Ukraine and the European Union which replaces the Partnership and Cooperation
Agreement between the European Communities and Ukraine, and which allows the
transition from partnership and cooperation to political association and economic
integration.
262
“Announcment of the final results of the referendum in the Netherlands in
Ukraine,” http://www.interfax.ru/world/503397.
217
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
218
SECTION 6 • IN SEARCH OF AN EFFECTIVE IMAGE
219
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
RESULTS
In the context of a hybrid aggression, unexpected factors often
are crucial to the survival of the nation. The international image
of Ukraine is just such a factor. The perceptions of our country’s
leading international actors will determine the quality of assis-
tance and the ability to withstand Russian aggression.
The image of Ukraine is formed in parallel with its indepen-
dence in international relations, and in its space for maneuvering
both concepts in how they intersect. Understanding of Ukraine
by our compatriots in the modern West was largely formed by
the stereotypes of previous eras, which imposed those projections.
Ukraine has gone from a surprise appearance as a nation, followed
by its rejection, and then to admiration. The considered reference
points of this process are the attainment of independence, the
renunciation of nuclear weapons and the signing of the Budapest
Memorandum (1994), the basis of the GUAM 265 in 1997, the “cas-
sette scandal” and the “Kolchuga scandal,” the Orange Revolution
in 2004, Euro 2012, and of course, events of the Euromaidan.
It should be noted that in creating the image of Ukraine in the
world, Ukraine itself has not played an active role which led to
the inefficient formation of the nation’s own self-image.
The current state of Ukraine’s image is a strange mixture that
combines its orientation towards democratic change, its natural
resources, and its unique transit potential, along with bureaucracy
and corruption, the struggle for European values, and confron-
tation with Russia.
265
Organization for Democracy and Economic Development (GUAM)—a region-
al association of four states: Georgia, Ukraine, the Republic of Azerbaijan and the
Republic of Moldova. The basis for the formation of cooperation lies in the unity
in the positions of these countries with similar political and economic external
orientations. The organization was established in 1997 to counter Russia’s influence
in the region and was supported by the United States. The headquarters are located
in Kyiv on Independence Square.
220
SECTION 6 • IN SEARCH OF AN EFFECTIVE IMAGE
221
SECTION 7
THE EUROPEAN
VECTOR OF HYBRID
AGGRESSION
from
rrenntly, Europe is going through, perhaps, not the best of
times. Terrorist attacks, the United Kingdom’s withdrawal
m tthe EU, the growing strength of marginal political
forces—all are exacerbated by the reluctance of the European
forces—
elites
lit tto seek answers to the challenges of a changing, modern
world. Now is the perfect time for populists and those who
want to take advantage of the weaknesses of the Old World.
Russia teaches a lesson on how to achieve this.
The instruments of influence on the political situation
in the world’s largest space for the rights, freedoms, and the
market economy can be quite varied. Most notable among
them are:
– The sponsorship of political forces having an impact
on the political life of the countries and the European
Union’s strength as a whole.
– Support for non-governmental organizations to provide
tools targeted for an effect on the public mood.
– Intensive and pragmatic use of opinion leaders such
as retired politicians, intellectuals, journalists, etc. in
exchange for a moment of glory when not called on at
the height of a crisis, or with any guarantee of utilizing
their expertise in the near future, they are nevertheless
still ready for involvement.
– The desire to use “the refugee factor” for the loosening
of social and political ties within the EU states.
– The placement of “jeans” (paid media coverage not
marked as advertising) which allows for the creation of
the illusion of an authoritative opinion and thus will
influence public opinion and the people’s mood.
– Economic leverage that provides the opportunity to
strike at the pockets of the various strata of the European
Union.
– The formation of dependence on the supply of hydro-
carbon raw materials, which is presented as an element
of stability for the usual way of life.
227
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
266
V. Putin, “Russia and the changing world,” http://mn.ru/poli-
tics/20120227/312306749.html.
228
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
229
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
269
“Presentations and discussions at the Munich security policy conference
[electronic resource],” - http://archive.kremlin.ru/appears/2007/02/10/1737_type-
63374type63376type63377type63381type82634_118097.shtml.
270
Boris Yefimovich Nemtsov (1959-2015)—Russian politician and statesman,
one of the founders and UDM “Solidarity” leaders, co-chairman of the political
party “RPR-Parnassus,” member of the Coordination Council of Russian opposition.
Known for publishing a series of reports on corruption and criticizing Vladimir
Putin, as well as one of the organizers and participants of the “Dissenters’ March”
(2007), “Strategii31” and protest rallies “For Fair Elections” (2011-2013).
271
Vladimir Stanislavovich Milov (b.1972) - Russian politician, chairman of the
Russian political party “Democratic Choice.” Author of critical analytical materials
on Putin’s political and economic decisions.
230
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
272
http://www.vedomosti.ru/newspaper/article.shtml?2009/01/22/178046.
231
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
274
http://ria.ru/economy/20140826/1021449457.html.
232
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
233
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
275
Dmitry Ofitserov-Belskiy, “The boundaries of Eastern Europe’s energy depen-
dence,” http://intertrends.ru/userfiles/img/files/Ofitserov-belskiy20.pdf.
234
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
276
http://ru.krymr.com/a/27802473.html.
p://www.ieras.ru/pub/analitlka/5.pdf.
p://glavred.info/politika/referendum-v-krymu-opublikovan-spisok-inos-
trannyh-nablyudateley274175.html.
235
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
of right-wing parties that went to the polls with the slogan “less
Europe, less European bureaucracy” and promising to fight
against the “dictation from Brussels,” received impressive support.
“The coup between the parliamentary groups has not oc-
curred. The largest number of votes gained by the European
People’s Party were the Socialists. The results of the liberals, the
far left, and the “greens” were much more modest. The real sur-
prise, though what many had expected, became an indisputable
breakthrough of nationalist, extreme right-wing, populist, and
anti-European parties. The biggest successes were achieved in
France and the UK, where Marine Le Pen and Naydzhel Faradzh
finished first. “ 279
A sufficiently high turnout (over 43%) is not indicative of
the growing number of supporters of the European project as a
whole. Voters supported the far-right in France, Greece, Great
Britain, Hungary and even Germany. In the year 2014, and for
the first time in its history, the neo-Nazi National Democratic
Party of Germany won a place in the European Parliament. It was
supported by 100,000,000 voters. If this claim was with absolute
certainty, that this is indeed disturbing for the Europeans, then
the Kremlin and Vladimir Putin’s allies in the Old World heard
the sound of the death knell with joy.
“People said it loud and clear: they do not want to be led by
those who live beyond our borders, by the commissioners and
technocrats whom they did not choose,” said Marine Le Pen,
leader of The National Front, which was supported by 4.1 mil-
lion voters. The National Front for the first time came ahead of
their competitors, the Socialist Party and the Union for a Popular
Movement during the national vote. In the UK, 27% of the vote
in May 2014 was received by the United Kingdom Independence
Party (UKIP) who were speaking for the country’s withdrawal
from the European Union, the creation of jobs for the British,
tightening immigration policies in the UK, and in Europe as
a whole. This result also shook the traditional British system
279
http://ru.euronews.com/2014/12/19/poll-for-europe.
236
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
280
http://gazeta.dt.ua/international/yevroparlament-vibori-zakinchilisya-ale-bit-
va-tilki-pochalasya-sered-yevrodeputativ-upershe-gromadyanka-ukrayini-_.html.
237
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
238
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
284
Jean-Luc Mélenchon (b. 1951, Tangier)—French statesman and political leader
and left-wing journalist. French Minister of Vocational Education in the government
of Lionel Jospin from 2000 to 2002. A member of the French Senate of the Eson
(1986-2000; 2004-2010). European Parliament Member since 2009 (faction of the
European United Left/Left-Green North). One of the founders and chairman of the
“Left Party.” He participated in the 2012 presidential election, in which he received
11.1% of votes, fourth place.
285
Lazareva, “The Labyrinth of Responsibilities,” https://tyzhden.ua/
47085.
286
http://russian.rt.com/article/73131.
239
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
2877
H. Tregub, “Galina Ackerman: ‘The war in Europe still seems to its inhabitants
absolutely impossible,’” http://tyzhden.ua/World/128239.
p://ru.rfi.fr/frantsiya/20141122-mediapart-kak-marin-le-pen-poluchi-
skie-milliony.
289
http://www.vz.ru/news/2014/3/17/677511.html.
240
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
290
A. Lazareva, “Donetsk Jihad of the French radicals,” http://tyzhden.ua/
World/137351.
291
p://www.svoboda.org/a/27149009.html.
p://korrespondent.net/ukraine/3724511-v-krym-pryletely-frantsu-
zskye-deputaty.
241
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
ps://meduza.io/feature/2016/08/26/frantsiya-dlya-frantsuzov.
Hetmanchuk, “Ukraine in France: there is interest, but they announce fa-
tigue,” http://iwp.org.ua/ukr/public/1868.html.
242
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
295
http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/eb/eb83/eb83_publ_en.pdf.
243
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
296
Elena Babakov, “More important than Ukraine. Europe flooded the refugees,”
http://nv.ua/opinion/babakova/vazhnee-chem-ukraina-evropu-zahlestyvajut-be-
zhentsy62184.html.
297
http://censor.net.ua/n377113.
ps://russian.rt.com/inotv/2016-02-15/Makkejn-Putin-sobiraetsya-sdelat-iz.
p://www.bbc.com/russian/international/2016/02/160219_migrant_cri-
sis_charts.
244
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
300
“Premier of Poland: We have hosted a million Ukrainians whom nobody want-
ed to help,” www.pravda.com.ua/news/2016/01/19/7095970/.
301
Deshchitsa has denied Szydło’’s statement,” http://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-
politycs/1948341-desica-polskomu-premeru-u-polsi-nemae-bizenciv-z-ukraini.
html.
245
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
246
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
to their own beliefs. These ideological allies are the most consistent,
but the emphasis is of course, not only having to do with them.
As was true during Soviet times, the Russian leadership has
adopted a strong tradition of sowing Russophilia among European
intellectual and artistic elites. Even the Soviet secret service worked
intensively among Western intellectuals and the European politi-
cal establishment by skillfully playing on the differences between
the US and the leading countries of Europe during the Cold War.
The restructuring has given rise to many in the West to think
about the possibility of Socialism with a human face. Although
the collapse of the USSR had buried these illusions, it has on the
other hand, generated confidence in Russia as an alternative to
the Western world.
The Russian propaganda machine works by taking advan-
tage of and being taken for granted in the Western world via the
pluralism of opinions and deftly putting it into Russia’s service.
Meanwhile, the Kremlin’s propagandists are trying to beat the
hated West with its own weapons of “soft power” by playing on
the European and American media through powerful public re-
lations firms.
Many influential European cohorts somehow support both
Russia and its policy. A classic “example of a supporter for the
Russian authorities’ personal and economic needs and interests is
the former Chancellor of Germany Gerhard Schröder. He always
sympathized with Russia, and when he ceased to be Chancellor
of Germany, he received a warm position as the head of Nord
Stream AG, the operator of the Nord Stream gas pipeline. In that
capacity, the ex-Chancellor began to urge the EU to increase pur-
chases of natural gas from Russia and declared Moscow to be a
reliable supplier. In the current circumstances, Schröder at every
opportunity was pushing the West to start a new dialogue with
the Kremlin despite the occupation of Crimea and the War in
Donbas.” 305
305
“Agents of the Kremlin: Russian spends millions to create a strong network of
lobbyists in the West,” http://nv.ua/publications/agenty-kremlya14929.html
247
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
306
Romano Prodi (b. 1939)—Italian center-left politician, Prime Minister (1996–
1998, 2006–2008). Between the two premierships was the President of the European
Commission (1999-2004).
vio Berlusconi (b.1936)—Italian statesman and political figure, served four
Prime Minister of Italy (1994–1995, 2001–2005, 2005–2006, 2008–2011).
308
http://russian.rt.com/article/65198.
248
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
309
South Stream—a previously planned Russian-Italian gas pipeline project that
was to pass through the bottom of the Black Sea from Novorossiysk to the Bulgarian
port of Varna (or to Romania), and further through the Balkan Peninsula to Italy
and Austria. In the spring of 2014, after Crimea was annexed by Russia, European
politicians called the gas pipeline project “dead,” and on April 17, 2014 the European
Parliament passed a resolution referring to the refusal of constructing a “South
Stream.” In mid-April 2014, the section of the South Stream gas pipeline was dis-
ed in Bulgaria.
p://www.vz.ru/news/2014/9/7/704466.html.
311
http://ria.ru/world/20150112/1042205030.html.
249
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
p://www.bbc.com/russian/international/2015/12/151210_latvia_russian_in-
e_activity_antonenko.
p://www.szona.org/set-lobbistov.
p://www.eurointegration.com.ua/rus/news/2014/07/9/7024043/.
315
Ibid.
250
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
In the fall of 2014, Zeman said he did not see the point for
Western countries to economically support Ukraine: “In my
opinion, the most important thing we need to understand is
that only a civil war is happening in Ukraine. We have to deal
not with some dreams of support, including economic support
for Ukraine because of this civil strife, and as for economic
support—that is complete nonsense.” 316 In a fit of loyalty to
Russia, Mr. Zeman participated on January 2015 in the first
organized celebration of the 70th anniversary of the liberation
of the concentration camp of Terezin at the same time activities
were occurring in honor of the 70th anniversary of the libera-
tion of Auschwitz (Oswiecim) where the Polish authorities have
not invited Vladimir Putin. However, the Russian President did
not come to the Czech Republic.
A tandem curiosity exists within the Hungarian political
elite. Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who controls a constitu-
tional majority in the Parliament, does not hesitate to show his
public sympathy for Vladimir Putin. The most recent manifes-
tation of that took place on February 2015 during the visit of
the Russian President in Budapest. Not without reason is Orban
called one of the main lobbyists for the Russian interests in the
European Union, and it continues to confirm the image of his
public statements. However, Budapest has not yet decided to go
into a direct confrontation with the EU. This is evidenced by
the referendum that was declared invalid on October 2, 2016,
when the question was raised about the agreement by the cit-
izens of Hungary regarding the EU quotas for admission of
refugees.
In the meantime, a key role in Eurosceptic manifestations
is played by the Jobbik Party. They do not even try to mask
their servile attitude towards the Russian leader. “Its own leader
Gábo Vona considers Russia a strategic partner for Europe, and
the March referendum in Crimea is for them a role model.” 317
p://ukranews.com/ru/article/2014/12/11/660.
317
http://nv.ua/publications/Agenty-Kremlya.
251
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
252
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
253
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
254
SECTION 7 • THE EUROPEAN VECTOR OF HYBRID AGGRESSION
RESULTS
The targeted treatment of the European public, the creation of
a “warm bath” for Russia, Russian companies and the protection
of their interests is as important a part of a hybrid of aggression
as the confrontation with Ukraine. The entire arsenal of means
used by the Russian Federation in Europe due to excess funds
from the sale of hydrocarbon raw materials is intended not only
to deprive our country of support, but also to ensure that a “busi-
ness as usual” approach occurs in a mutually beneficial format.
The instruments of influence on the EU by the Russian
Federation are very diverse. Here are some of them:
– Sponsorships of political forces having an impact on the
political lives of the countries and the European Union’s
strength as a whole;
– Support of non-governmental organizations which operates
as tools of influence on public attitudes;
– The use of opinion leaders—retired politicians, intellectuals,
journalists, etc. to create favorable background information;
– Promoting terrorism that is contrary to international law
and the principles of humanism in order to aggravate ten-
sion in the world, and in some regions create pressure on
the major international actors;
– Economic levers that allow the Russian Federation to influ-
ence foreign policy with Russia’s trade partners in the EU;
– The formation of an energy that is dependent on the hydro-
carbon raw materials.
Confrontation is complex at this stage—it is hardly possi-
ble, but in some aspects, overcoming the Russian influence is
still real. However, this will depend on each country’s political
situation.
255
SECTION 8
261
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
The Kharkiv Agreements, also called the Kharkiv Pact, or the Yanukovych-
Medvedev Agreement—An agreement between Ukraine and the Russian Federation
regarding the presence of the RF’s Black Sea Fleet on the territory of Ukraine signed
on April 21, 2010 in Kharkiv, Ukraine by President Viktor Yanukovych and Russian
President Dmitry Medvedev, regarding the extended term of stay of the RF’s Black
Sea Fleet in Sevastopol from 2017 to 2042 with an automatic extension of five years
if there are no objections and the rental is stable. The agreements stated terms for
the fleet’s increased stay in exchange for cheaper Russian gas for Ukraine via custom
duties cancellations. Ratified by the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine and the State Duma
of the Russian Federation on April 27, 2010. Denounced unilaterally by the State
Duma of the Russian Federation on March 31, 2014.
262
SECTION 8 • ONE FOR ALL VICTORY
319
Political language surrounding Viktor Yanukovych’s election campaign in 2004
for dividing Ukraine’s map into three parts: western as “grade 1,” central as “grade
2,” and eastern as “grade 3.”
263
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
264
SECTION 8 • ONE FOR ALL VICTORY
265
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
266
SECTION 8 • ONE FOR ALL VICTORY
267
CONCLUSION
The 21st century was not a long period of general welfare. The
contradictions between the leading powers of the world have
not disappeared, rather the thesis that democracies do not
fight among themselves have acquired a modern tone: they
do not fight by conventional methods, but use other very di-
verse opportunities to spit at each other. Ukraine, paying little
attention to either its own development or the formation of its
positive image in the world while living with the illusions of
a Ukrainian-centric environment of the world, is now paying
the expensive price for the mistakes made.
BBut
ut th
immed
manag
here is a fact that requires both critical thinking and an
diate response from today’s Ukrainian society. Ukraine has
naged to survive through the first months of Russian aggres-
sion evven when its national machinery resembled a termite-eat-
en piece
i of furniture, and despite Ukraine not having sufficient
military combat experience to face the audacious acts of well-
trained saboteurs of direct Russian aggression. Perhaps this is not
a David and Goliath story, rather, it is more of a modern version
of the biblical story of Cain and Abel. Ukraine lost Crimea and
part of Donbas in addition to the destruction in the order of
20% of the national economy. These are major factors of desta-
bilization, but Russia still plans to build a barrier of so-called
“people’s republics,” to cut off Ukraine from the Black Sea ports
and destroy the export potential of the country—plans which
have not yet been implemented.
Ukrainians are surprising. They have become, perhaps, the
first on the continent, to lay down their lives for the values of the
European Union under the European flag, even without having
the prospect of membership in this international association.
Such altruism is hard to imagine considering the living standard
norms of Europe and its circle. It appears that no one dies for a
dream. But it was the citizens of Ukraine who were able to spend
millions of dollars to better equip and feed their armed forces
and helping them during the most difficult period. In Ukraine,
this applicable and well-known truth is literally understood:
“Whoever does not want to feed their army, will feed someone
else’s.” The Ministry of Defense’s decision to organize volunteer
troops appears to be unprecedented, but it was the only possible
solution when the previous army, afflicted with corruption, was
challenged.
An interesting situation emerged in Ukraine where the citi-
zens and informal groups began without government backing to
replace the cumbersome state-issued military machinery. It was a
question of necessity against the opposition’s information aggres-
sion for supplying the army with imports (often single-handedly)
of military equipment that was needed for years—having been
273
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
274
CONCLUSION
are still noteworthy for several reasons. The first and foremost
is that their achievement made it possible to sharply reduce the
level of losses and ultimately to direct the spotlight on the true
aggressor. Even the representatives of the special monitoring
missions in Donbas, who are characterized by their alertness,
increasingly point to the Russian separatists and those looming
behind their backs.
The so-called “Minsk 2” does become an example of hybrid
diplomacy since this document to which no signatures have been
signed by the official representatives of the states, have not been
ratified by any parliament, but still received the support of the
UN Security Council as a blueprint for resolving the conflict in
Donbas.
But these diplomatic innovations should not overshadow the
main thing: Russia violated the established post-World War II
world order, and strives to gain a foothold as one of the poles of
power. Its desire of pursuance is not only supported by significant
financial resources and rearmament of its army, but also by the
consolidation of the population around the idea of a “rebirth of
Russia.” But foreign policy goals are subordinate to domestic pol-
icies. Vladimir Putin and his entourage are deliberately forcing
the establishment of having Russia appear as a “besieged fortress”
inside the country in order to achieve the strengthening of his
presidential power.
European politicians who have intensively flirted with Putin
before the annexation of Crimea did not seem to realize how
dangerous the Russian game is. Armed with the idea of restoring
its influence and the restoration of the bipolar world, the Kremlin
is trying to smear Ukraine and destabilize the situation in the
European Union.
The number of disturbing “alarm bells” that have been heard
over the past few years have been ringing in the minds of every-
one who is worried about the new geopolitical reality and the
rapid divorce from the world’s anchors of stability and well-being.
Ukraine has been a hard nut to crack. Its resistance to Russian
expansion forced Putin to revise his plans and a timetable that
275
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
276
CONCLUSION
In any case, Ukraine should not wait out its fate according to
the outside players. At first glance, the recipe to repel aggression
and strengthening foreign policy subjectivity can be very sim-
ple: effective economic reforms must be implemented in parallel
with the strengthening of the defense capability of our country.
Creating an attractive image of a modern nation while support-
ing its allies in Europe are not problems, but opportunities. The
potential formation of a modern national idea is the unique rec-
ipe for building a successful nation through the development of
horizontal ties with neighboring countries. Ukraine will receive
the main dividends from the realization of these intentions, but
Europe, America, and the world will also not lose out.
277
GLOSSARY
GLOSSARY
281
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
282
GLOSSARY
283
Yevhen Mahda • RUSSIA’S HYBRID AGGRESSION: LESSONS FOR THE WORLD
284
GLOSSARY
who do not enjoy any preferential treatment under any other pro-
visions of international law.
6. The population of the unoccupied territory, which, when
approaching the enemy spontaneously of his own accord, takes
up arms to fight the coming troops, having not managed to form
regular troops, if it is openly armed and adheres to the laws and
customs of war.
285
Євген МАГДА
Англійською мовою