Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Towards Ending
Child Marriage
Global trends and
profiles of progress
© UNICEF/UN0358059/Mawa
© United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), Division of ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Data, Analytics, Planning and Monitoring, October 2021 The preparation of this publication was led by Claudia
Cappa (Data and Analytics Section, UNICEF Headquarters),
Permission is required to reproduce any part of this with inputs from Colleen Murray (Data and Analytics
publication. Permission will be freely granted to Section, UNICEF Headquarters), Lisa Fleming (independent
educational or non-profit organizations. consultant) and Nankali Maksud (Child Protection Section,
UNICEF Headquarters). Isabel Jijon (independent
To request permission or for any other information on this consultant) was involved in fact-checking.
publication, please contact:
The report was edited by Lois Jensen and designed by
UNICEF Data and Analytics Section Elwa Design Studio (independent consultants).
Division of Data, Analytics, Planning and Monitoring
3 United Nations Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA
Telephone: +1 212 326 7000
Email: data@unicef.org
07. References 72
05
5
Contents
© UNICEF/UN0281307/Tadesse
6
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
06
7
07
Key messages
Key
• Child marriage is a harmful practice detrimental to girls’ well-
being and in violation of their rights
messages
• It is becoming less common. Still, it affects 650 million girls
and women around the world, and global progress is not fast
enough to achieve the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG)
target of eliminating child marriage by 2030
• The amount of progress has varied substantially across
different contexts
• Progress is possible under the right conditions – with
significant shifts in the well-being of society, the status of
women and the provision of key services over the course of
several decades
• Opportunities for girls are fundamental to success. Child
marriage becomes a less attractive option when productive
alternatives are available to girls
• Reductions in child marriage are possible in a variety of
settings, among countries with both high and low levels.
What’s more, several countries show that progress can be made
equitably, with girls from the poorest households benefiting
alongside those from the richest households
• Gains made must not be lost. Poverty reduction, access to
education and labour force participation are key to ending child
marriage. We can’t afford to lose gains in these areas, especially
given the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic
• The SDGs are deeply interconnected. Progress on target 5.3
(eliminating child marriage) is dependent on progress in other areas,
especially education, employment and poverty reduction
© UNICEF/UN062033/Vishwanathan
08
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Personal profiles
Rima Bera is high-spirited
enough to face threats from
her community for reporting
on and preventing child
marriages. She looks forward
to continuing her good work.
© UNICEF/UN0331600/Das
© UNICEF/UN0212922/Noorani
11
Introduction
01.
Introduction
Child marriage is widely recognized reducing the prevalence of child about what may help prevent early
as a violation of human rights and a marriage has been made over the marriage,4 knowledge in this area is
hindrance to national development. past 25 years, but within the last still largely based on relatively small-
The practice can have lasting decade, progress appears to have scale and time-limited research
deleterious consequences slowed. In Latin America and the studies and programme evaluations.
on the health, well-being and Caribbean, levels of child marriage For the most part, studies point
rights of millions of girls. In fact, today are as high as they were 25 to root causes and exacerbating
evidence suggests that it is closely years ago. In contrast, a girl’s risk factors that contribute to child
associated with lower educational of marrying in childhood in South marriage.5 In addition, research has
attainment, early pregnancies, Asia has declined by more than focused primarily on drivers at the
intimate partner violence, maternal one third, from nearly 50 per cent individual and household levels,6
and child mortality, increased rates a decade ago to 28 per cent today, while the knowledge base of
of sexually transmitted infections, largely driven by rapid progress in macro-level factors at the societal
intergenerational poverty, and the India. Increasingly, however, the level remains fragmented.7
disempowerment of married girls.1 global burden of child marriage is
In committing to the Sustainable shifting from South Asia to sub- The analysis presented in this report
Development Goals (SDGs), the Saharan Africa, where levels of child looks at historical trends, with a
international community has marriage have declined at a modest focus on selected countries that
vowed to end the practice of child rate. Still, progress has been have recorded significant declines
marriage by 2030. observed in parts of the region. in child marriage prevalence. It
In Ethiopia, once among the top offers an overview of changes in
Globally, more than half a billion five countries for child marriage in the practice together with a review
girls and women alive today were sub-Saharan Africa, prevalence has of other shifts that have occurred
married in childhood. The highest dropped by one third since 2006. in these countries in terms of
rates of child marriage are found in girls’ access to education and
sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, Understanding the breadth and employment opportunities, as well
where 34 per cent and 28 per cent depth of the factors that trigger child as economic development and
of young women, respectively, marriage or prevent its occurrence poverty reduction.
were married in childhood. Recent is important to further reducing
data indicate that the prevalence and ultimately ending this harmful The publication features global
of child marriage is generally in practice. Over the past decades, and regional estimates, as well as
decline, but there is substantial a growing body of research has country profiles, spanning a period
heterogeneity in rates of reduction fostered such an understanding.2 of nearly 30 years. Its findings
across and within regions and Empirical and theoretical evidence are intended to raise awareness
countries, with some high- offers explanations for the origins of the conditions that need to be
prevalence areas seeing stagnating and persistence of child marriage,3 in place to promote the societal
progress and even increases. and has informed efforts to end the transformations that would lead to
practice. Despite these advances a rapid drop in the prevalence of
In the Middle East and North in child marriage research, gaps child marriage.
Africa, substantial progress in remain. While evidence is growing
02. Global and regional overview
12
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Approximately 650 million girls and women alive today were married before their 18th birthday
FIGURE 1 Percentage distribution of girls and women of all ages who were first married or in union before age 18
Latin America 9
and the
Caribbean
9
West and
Central Africa
13
Notes: The global estimate is based on a subset of 98 countries covering 79 per cent of the global population of girls and women of all ages. Due to rounding, numbers do not add up to 100.
Brazil, Pakistan 3
and Ethiopia 4
35 India
Bangladesh,
Indonesia 14
and Nigeria
35
Sources: The data on child marriage that appear in all the charts in this chapter are from UNICEF global databases, 2021, based on Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS), Multiple
Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS), and other nationally representative household surveys, 2010-2020. Demographic data are from the United Nations Department of Economic and Social
Affairs, Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2020 revision (DVD Edition). Data on gross national income (GNI) per capita are from World Bank, 2021. Data on the Human
Development Index (HDI) are from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), 2021.
Sub-Saharan Africa stands out as the region with the highest prevalence of child marriage 13
FIGURE 3 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
East Asia and Eastern Europe Middle East and Latin America South Asia Eastern and West and
the Pacific and Central Asia North Africa and the Caribbean Southern Africa Central Africa
Notes: Each dot represents a country. The global estimate is based on a subset of 98 countries covering 79 per cent of the global population of women aged 20 to 24 years. Regional
estimates represent data covering at least 50 per cent of the regional population. Data coverage was insufficient to calculate regional estimates for Western Europe and North America.
Child marriage is most prevalent in low-income countries. Still, high rates can be found in high-income nations
FIGURE 4 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18 and gross national income (GNI) per capita
(current US$)
100
Low income
Lower-middle income
Upper-middle income
High income
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1,045 4,125 12,735 20,000
Notes: Each dot represents a country, with the pink dots representing population-weighted averages. Low-income countries had a GNI per capita in 2020 of $1,045 or less. GNI per
capita was between $1,046 and $4,125 for lower-middle-income countries, between $4,126 and $12,735 for upper-middle-income countries, and $12,736 or more for high-income coun-
tries. Calculations used the World Bank Atlas method. The population-weighted estimates represent data covering at least 50 per cent of the population. Data coverage was insufficient
to calculate an estimate for high-income countries.
14 While child marriage is more common in low-income countries, 86 per cent of the child marriage burden
is found in middle-income countries
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
FIGURE 5 Percentage distribution of girls and women of all ages who were first married or in union before age 18, by national income group
Upper-middle
income
21
High income
1
Notes: Low-income countries had a GNI per capita in 2020 of $1,045 or less. GNI per capita was between $1,046 and $4,125 for lower-middle-income countries, between $4,126 and
$12,735 for upper-middle-income countries, and $12,736 or more for high-income countries. Calculations used the World Bank Atlas method.
Overall, countries with higher levels of human development have lower levels of child marriage. Still, low
rates of child marriage can be found even in countries with low human development
FIGURE 6 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18 and countries’ Human Development Index (HDI)
100
Low HDI
Medium HDI
High HDI
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Notes: Each dot represents a country, with the pink dots representing population-weighted averages. Countries are grouped into four categories according to the 2019 HDI, which
links measures of education, health and income. The ranges are: very high (0.800 or greater), high (0.700-0.799), medium (0.550-0.699) and low (less than 0.550). The population-
weighted estimates represent data covering at least 50 per cent of the population. Data coverage was insufficient to calculate an estimate for countries with very high levels of human
development.
Child marriage in situations of fragility is nearly two times higher than the world average 15
FIGURE 7 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, worldwide and in countries with high levels of
Fragile 35
World 19
Notes: According to the Revised Classification of Fragility and Conflict Situations for World Bank Group Engagement, fragile countries are defined as those with one or more of the
following: (a) the weakest institutional and policy environment (as measured using a set of 16 criteria grouped into four clusters: economic management, structural policies, policies
for social inclusion and equity, and public sector management and institutions), (b) the presence of a UN peacekeeping operation, since this reflects a decision by the international
community that a significant investment is needed to maintain peace and stability, or (c) flight across borders of 2,000 or more per 100,000 population, who are internationally regarded
as refugees in need of international protection, as this signals a major political or security crisis.
Child marriage has declined across most regions in the last 25 years, with accelerated progress in certain
high-prevalence regions over the past decade
FIGURE 8 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18
West and Eastern and Latin America Middle East and Eastern Europe East Asia and
South Asia Central Africa Southern Africa and the Caribbean North Africa and Central Asia the Pacific World
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020
Notes: Estimates are based on a subset of 98 countries covering 79 per cent of the global population of women aged 20 to 24 years. Regional estimates represent data covering at least
50 per cent of the regional population. Data coverage was insufficient to calculate regional estimates for Western Europe and North America.
16 The gap in child marriage prevalence between the richest and poorest households has widened in most
parts of the world
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
FIGURE 9 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18
Poorest Richest
West and Eastern and Middle East and Latin America Eastern Europe
South Asia World
Central Africa Southern Africa North Africa and the Caribbean and Central Asia
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1995 2020 1995 2020 1995 2020 1995 2020 1995 2020 1995 2020 1995 2020
Notes: Estimates are based on a subset of 105 countries covering 58 per cent of the global population of women aged 20 to 24 years. Regional aggregates are based on at least
50 per cent population coverage. Data were insufficient to calculate regional averages for East Asia and the Pacific, North America and Western Europe.
While the majority of countries have decreasing rates of child marriage, approximately half have
experienced increasing inequity
FIGURE 10 Percentage change in the overall prevalence of child marriage among women aged 20 to 24 years, and percentage change in the prevalence of
child marriage among women aged 20 to 24 years from the poorest quintile versus women aged 20 to 24 years from the richest quintile over
the past 25 years
0
-100 100
17
03.
Understanding trends
What drives progress in Risk factors for child marriage enable families to invest in their
reducing child marriage? are commonly studied at the daughters’ futures through
Insights can be gleaned individual level, and drivers of education and to cope with shocks
from examining change are often evaluated in terms without resorting to child marriage.
of programmatic effectiveness. These parallels are not surprising,
how child marriage
However, a body of literature also but they do underscore the
patterns correlate with
exists on societal, macro-level magnitude and breadth of gains that
broader demographic,
factors related to the practice, can be made when improvements
legal, economic and
including economic development in these related sectors are
development trends. and poverty reduction, access to achieved at the societal level.
education, and women’s access to
the labour market. These factors While the relationships among these
are closely aligned with established factors and child marriage are largely
risk and protective factors for intuitive, the available data and
child marriage at the individual literature reveal important nuances.
or household level. For example,
evidence shows that individual girls Within the area of economic
with lower educational attainment development, factors that impact
are typically at higher risk of child child marriage are multifaceted.
marriage than their more educated For example, alleviating the most
peers. Similarly, countries with severe levels of poverty may not be
higher levels of education also have sufficient to reduce child marriage,
lower levels of child marriage. since more basic needs are likely to
be addressed before resources are
The links between poverty and child invested in girls’ futures. Inequality
marriage are also well established is also important to consider, since
and can be mutually reinforcing. equitable economic development
Child marriage is most common will do more to reach the portions
among the poorest segments of society most affected by child
of society and its prevalence is marriage than aggregate progress
highest in low-income countries. driven by gains only at the top.
At the same time, high rates of
child marriage negatively affect The relationship between child
a country’s economic growth marriage and labour force
and ability to eradicate poverty participation is also complex. The
through their impact on fertility availability of any type of work for
and population growth, maternal women is not sufficient to reduce
and child health and women’s child marriage, particularly if most
potential earnings and productivity. of the work is in the informal sector.
Conversely, rising national incomes Rather, it is the availability of more
19
Understanding trends
© UNICEF/UN0482314/
stable, often skilled work in the In considering the impact of these is supported by the robust
formal sector that is correlated various socioeconomic factors on relationship found between the
with a reduction in child marriage, child marriage, it is also important prevalence of child marriage and
likely because it provides a more to reflect on the possibility of the adolescent fertility rate. In
promising pathway for girls. interactions between individual and many contexts, child marriage
societal variables. This is evident in is a driver of early pregnancy; in
Keeping girls in school is often the relationship between education others, including in parts of Latin
cited as one of the best ways to and the labour market, for example. America and the Caribbean as
prevent child marriage. Decisions It has been established that well as certain African countries,
about removing a girl from school increases in the perceived value of unintended pregnancies may
and marrying her off at a young age education at the household level drive child marriages. Even in
are often made at the same time. (thus reducing the risk of early such contexts, however, most
This hypothesis is supported by marriage and taking girls out of adolescent pregnancies occur
the relationship we see between school) are more likely when labour within an early union. Looking at
rates of out-of-school girls and child market opportunities are available. the use of modern contraception
marriage prevalence. In countries This relationship is also likely to by unmarried girls aged 15 to 19
with high rates of girls out of play out at the macro level, where can reveal insights into the effect
school, we see correspondingly an increasingly educated population on child marriage of reducing
high rates of child marriage. The can drive innovation and create unintended pregnancies. Increased
effect appears to be strongest entrepreneurial opportunities use of modern contraception
for girls of lower-secondary and as well as draw in opportunities among this demographic group
upper-secondary school age, for skilled work, thus creating shows a modest corresponding
reflecting the fact that most girls productive career pathways for decrease in the rate of child
are married soon after they hit young people. marriage.
puberty or in their later teenage
years. A strong relationship is also Two additional factors that are often Finally, while it is well known
found between child marriage and studied in relation to child marriage that setting the minimum age
school completion rates. However, are adolescent pregnancy and a at marriage at or above 18 can
the data indicate a more robust country’s legal age at marriage. make a crucial difference in
relationship between primary/lower Neither aspect, however, has a progress against child marriage,
secondary completion rates and straightforward association with the existence of loopholes, the
child marriage compared to upper- child marriage, and their ability to absence of sanctions and the
secondary completion rates. This drive the practice has many caveats. fact that many marriages may
may be because upper-secondary still occur illegally weaken the
completion rates are relatively Child marriage is both a cause effectiveness of legislation as a
low across sub-Saharan Africa and and consequence of adolescent driver of change.
South Asia. pregnancy. This premise
20 Economic development including household poverty, region saw rapid economic growth,
and poverty reduction are factored in. This implies that with a 3.5-fold increase in GDP
improvements in macroeconomic per capita, with extreme poverty
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Harmful practices are often wealth are indeed associated with dropping to 2 per cent in 2013.
a feature of poor economic reductions in the prevalence of However, from 2015 to 2018 the
development, which is well child marriage. Still, the benefits extreme poverty rate tripled, with
known to produce a cascade of of economic growth are often conflicts in the region largely
social risks for children.8 Typically, experienced unevenly across driving the increase.11
limited wealth is a decisive factor populations, reinforcing the need
in encouraging families to marry for social protection to ensure that Sub-Saharan Africa has seen
their children off at a young age. the most vulnerable are reached. steady economic growth and has
Studies show that the countries succeeded in reducing poverty in
with low gross domestic product Up until the COVID-19 pandemic, recent years. Poverty levels remain
(GDP) per capita are also those in the world had made unprecedented high relative to other regions,
which children are most at risk for progress against poverty, reducing however, with more than 40 per
child marriage.9 At the same time, the number of people living in cent of the population living in
economic development and better extreme poverty by more than extreme poverty, circumstances
infrastructure have been shown to 1.2 billion over the past quarter that often drive parents to marry off
reduce the practice.10 An analysis century. South Asia has made the their daughters during childhood.12
of several South Asian countries most rapid progress, lifting 33 per Additionally, in the last 10 years,
found that regional growth in cent of its population – over 200 given rapid population growth, the
economic activity significantly million people – out of extreme GDP per capita in sub-Saharan
reduced the likelihood of child poverty. The Middle East and North Africa has stagnated and continues
marriage. The effect of growth Africa was the one region that to be low relative to other regions
holds even after other economic experienced an increase in extreme of the world.
and demographic indicators, poverty. From 1990 to 2014, this
© UNICEF/UNI275776/Younis
While most regions have made progress in reducing poverty over the past several decades, per capita 21
GDP has stagnated or declined in sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, and the Middle
Understanding trends
East and North Africa
FIGURE 11.a Percentage of population living on less than $1.90 a day (2011 purchasing power parity)
Eastern Europe Middle East Latin America East Asia and Sub-Saharan Low- and
South Asia middle-income
and Central Asia and North Africa and the Caribbean the Pacific Africa
100 countries
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1990 2000 2010 2018 1990 2000 2010 2018 1990 2000 2010 2018 1990 2000 2010 2018 1990 2000 2010 2018 1990 2000 2010 2018 1990 2000 2010 2018
Latin America Eastern Europe East Asia and Middle East Sub-Saharan Low- and
South Asia middle-income
and the Caribbean and Central Asia the Pacific and North Africa Africa
10,000 countries
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019
Source: World Bank and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), 2021.
22 Access to education and skills they need to become saw significant improvements,
empowered adults. It is widely and its progress is even more
Education is widely recognized acknowledged that the benefits of impressive when considered
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
as the most significant factor secondary education for girls are against the backdrop of its rapid
in delaying the age of marriage significant.16 For example, research population growth.18 Progress
for girls.13 Research suggests suggests that while, in some has, however, been slower at the
schooling may be protective areas, primary school completion secondary level, and the gap in
against early marriage for several can be protective against child female educational achievements
reasons. In many countries, marriage, attending school during between sub-Saharan Africa and
schooling and marriage are viewed early adolescence is significant in other regions remains wide.
as incompatible activities: Girls are reducing the practice.17
often forced to leave school upon Across all regions, the proportion
marriage, and many parents are Regions that have had greater of girls of upper-secondary age
unwilling to delay marriage so their success against child marriage who are out of school remains high
daughters can attain a higher level have also made faster progress and upper-secondary completion
of education.14 Better quality and in improving education for girls. rates are low, particularly in regions
higher education may make the South Asia experienced the most that have a high prevalence of
returns on investment in girls more dramatic progress in increasing child marriage. Approximately half
apparent and justifiable for both female completion rates and of girls in this age group in South
parents and society.15 bringing more girls into the Asia, and two thirds in sub-Saharan
educational system. That region Africa, are out of school. Similarly,
Primary education lays the exceeds the low- and middle- only 38 per cent of girls in South
foundation for a lifetime of learning, income country average for both Asia and 26 per cent of girls in
while secondary education provides primary- and lower-secondary-level sub-Saharan Africa complete upper-
children with the knowledge indicators. Sub-Saharan Africa also secondary school.
1990/2000 2019
Low- and middle-
Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary
income countries
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
South Asia
Eastern Europe and Central Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
South Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
South Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
Primary
Lower secondary
Upper secondary
Notes: Lower-secondary data are only available since 2000. Trend data are not available for upper-secondary education.
Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Eastern Europe and Central Asia
FIGURE 13
East Asia and the Pacific
Primary
Middle East and North Africa
© UNICEF/UNI316614/Bongyereirwe
South Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
Lower secondary
South Asia
1990
Sub-Saharan Africa
2019
Eastern Europe and Central Asia
And more girls are successfully completing primary and secondary education
Middle East and North Africa
Upper secondary
South Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
Primary
Lower secondary
Upper secondary
income countries
Low- and middle-
Understanding trends
23
24 Labour force participation declined across low-and-middle- women are often forced to take
income countries – from 50 per risky and unappealing jobs to
Access to employment and cent to 43 per cent over the past ensure they can satisfy their
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
participation in the labour market three decades. The gender gap, household’s basic needs.
are associated with an increase however, has remained constant,
in women’s empowerment, the with the male employment-to- While female labour force
enhancement of their position in population ratio also decreasing participation is declining globally, on
society and the household, and by 7 per cent over the same average, an increase in the quality
other improved life outcomes, period. In some instances, falling of work has been observed across
including delayed age at marriage.19 participation rates are the result of all regions, with a shift towards
Evidence suggests that improved improved educational attainment wage and salaried jobs. These
employment opportunities may and the ensuing reduction in youth trends may reflect two opposing
raise the cost of dropping out participation rates.25 This is good forces. First, a large proportion
of school, in addition to allowing news, but the positive effect may of women at the bottom of the
young women to build an be limited by the extent to which income distribution, who previously
economic base to lift themselves these countries can create jobs worked in unappealing jobs, are
and future generations out of that leverage these enhanced skill pulling out of the labour market as
poverty, addressing two of the sets, a trend seen in South Asia. their households become more
primary drivers of early marriage.20 On the other hand, higher female affluent. Second, educated women
employment-participation rates, are increasingly accessing more
However, not all types of such as those seen in sub-Saharan lucrative jobs. These jobs reward
employment are equally protective Africa, can be the result of a lack of higher educational attainment
against child marriage, with other livelihood opportunities and and are associated with delayed
participation in the informal labour limited social protection coverage marriage.26 As expected,
sector potentially increasing (such as childcare benefits, social regions with higher rates of
the risk of child marriage.21 To pensions or unemployment female wage and salaried workers
understand this risk, it is important provisions). In the absence of continue to have the lowest rates
to consider not only the proportion decent work and social protection, of child marriage.
of wage and salaried workers
among employed women and
girls, but also the proportion
of those working in vulnerable
jobs. Vulnerable employment is
typically represented by poorly
compensated, time- and labour-
intensive activities, such as
agricultural work, which often lack
sufficient social protections.22
Women tend to work outside the
formal economy since they are
disproportionately responsible
for care and household work.
They often have less time to
devote to a job outside the
home, making informal and often
vulnerable employment a more
accessible option.23 Research
shows that participation in this
type of employment, especially
among adolescents, increases the
likelihood of dropping out of school
and, ultimately, child marriage.24
Understanding trends
FIGURE 14 Employment-to-population ratio for girls and women and boys and men aged 15 years and older
Sub-Saharan East Asia and Eastern Europe Latin America South Asia Middle East Low- and middle-
Africa the Pacific and Central Asia and the Caribbean and North Africa income countries
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019
A trend away from vulnerable employment and towards wage and salaried work for women can be seen
in most regions
FIGURE 15 Proportion of vulnerable employment among girls and women aged 15 years and older as a percentage of female employment and proportion
of wage and salaried female workers aged 15 years and older as a percentage of female employment
Vulnerable Wage
Sub-Saharan East Asia and Middle East Latin America Eastern Europe Low- and middle-
South Asia the Pacific and North Africa and the Caribbean and Central Asia
Africa income countries
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019
Delaying childbearing is a crucial fertility and maternal mortality 1,000 girls, reaching the levels
starting point for improving have declined while, at the of East Asia and the Pacific and
maternal health, as well as same time, access to modern Europe and Central Asia today.
improving women’s lives more contraception has increased.
broadly, including delaying the All regions also experienced at
age at marriage. Early pregnancy Regions that experienced the least a 24 per cent increase in
is one of the main drivers of child most significant declines in access to modern contraception
marriage in countries where pre- child marriage also saw the among adolescents from 1995 to
marital sex is common.27 Every most marked reductions in the 2020. However, the adolescent
year, an estimated 21 million adolescent fertility rate. All regions demand for family planning
girls aged 15 to 19 years become saw at least a 30 per cent drop in satisfied by modern methods
pregnant in low- and middle- adolescent fertility, except East did not exceed 75 per cent in
income regions, and approximately Asia and the Pacific, where the any region in 2020. More than
12 million of them give birth.28 fertility rate was already low at half of adolescent demand for
Evidence shows that one of the 30 births per 1,000 girls in 1990. modern contraception is still
most effective ways to prevent By 2018, the fertility rate declined unmet in regions with the highest
unintended pregnancy is to use modestly to 22 births per 1,000 prevalence of child marriage.
modern forms of contraception.29 girls. South Asia saw the most
© UNICEF/UN0388814/Panjwani
All regions have seen a significant reduction in adolescent fertility except East Asia and the Pacific, 27
where the fertility rate was already low
Understanding trends
FIGURE 16 Births per 1,000 girls aged 15 to 19 years
Latin America
and the Caribbean 1990 2018
150 100 50 0
Adolescent demand for family planning satisfied by modern methods has increased in all regions
over the past 25 years
FIGURE 17 Percentage of girls aged 15 to 19 years who have their need for family planning satisfied by modern methods
Sub-Saharan Middle East East Asia and Latin America Eastern Europe Low- and middle-
South Asia Africa and North Africa the Pacific and the Caribbean and Central Asia income countries
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020 1995 2010 2020
© UNICEF/UN0276245/Boro
Understanding trends
that closed that loophole to 67 per that have made child marriage have made child marriage illegal
cent. South Asia also advanced in illegal under all circumstances (13 under general law, the proportion
closing loopholes, but it also has per cent). While all countries in of countries with legal loopholes is
the lowest proportion of countries Latin America and the Caribbean close to rates in South Asia.
Countries across all regions closed legal loopholes that allow marriage of girls under age 18. Still, more
progress is needed
FIGURE 18 Proportion of low- and middle-income countries in which marriage for girls under the age of 18 is illegal under general law, is illegal except with
parental consent, is illegal with exceptions for judicial consent or religious reasons, and with all exceptions considered
Illegal under general law Illegal except with parental consent Illegal with judicial and religious exceptions All exceptions considered
Eastern Europe Middle East Sub-Saharan East Asia and Latin America Low- and middle-
and Central Asia and North Africa South Asia Africa the Pacific and the Caribbean income countries
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1995 2018 1995 2018 1995 2018 1995 2018 1995 2018 1995 2018 1995 2018
Notes: The data presented here cover a subset of 106 low- and middle-income countries. Data for judicial and religious exceptions are only available from 2000.
Source: World Bank, Women, Business and the Law, 2021.
30
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
04.
Profiles of progress
Progress against child Decades ago, child marriage was close to the elimination of child
marriage can be assessed the norm in Bangladesh, Ethiopia marriage. In these countries,
in different ways. Nine and India, with the majority of girls levels have continued to decline,
countries are profiled marrying before the age of 18. with the practice becoming
Today, these countries are among rare. While it is common for
here, each of which has
those that have seen the steepest progress to slow as countries
made strides in reducing
declines in the prevalence of child approach the last mile (since
levels of child marriage.
marriage worldwide, representing this usually entails reaching the
a substantial decrease in the most vulnerable segments of
risk for individual girls as well the population), these countries
as a significant reduction in the show that continued progress
number of girls marrying each year. towards elimination is possible.
Significant progress has also been At the global level, we see that
achieved by Indonesia, where the the most progress against child
practice is half as common today marriage has been enjoyed by
as it was at the beginning of the girls from wealthier backgrounds,
1990s. Prevalence in these four with often minimal benefit to the
countries still remains high. So, poorest girls. These five countries
despite dramatic progress, there is are therefore noteworthy for the
more work to be done before the equitable progress they have
practice is eliminated. made in reducing child marriage,
meaning that levels have declined
Armenia, Eswatini, the Maldives, among not just the richest but also
Rwanda and Tunisia are coming the poorest segments of society.
Profiles of progress
© UNICEF/UNI337373/Tesfaye
Bangladesh
32
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Bangladesh has seen a marked decrease in the practice of child marriage, experiencing one of the
largest absolute declines globally for marriage before age 18. It has also experienced one of the
largest absolute declines in marriage before age 15.
The prevalence of child marriage dropped from close to 80 per cent in 1994 to just over 50 per cent in 2019
FIGURE 19 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18
100
90
79
80
72
69
70 64
57
60
51
50
40
30
20
10
0
1994 1999 2004 2009 2014 2019
Declines in child marriage have been observed across richer and poorer segments of society and are
particularly noteworthy among the least educated
FIGURE 20 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile and education
1994 2019
90 85
83 84 82 83
80 76
70 67
62
60 69 65
63 61 60
50
51
50
40
38
30 26
20
23
10
0
Poorest Poor Middle Richer Richest No education Primary Secondary Higher
Bangladesh has seen a steep decline in extreme poverty and a rise in GPD per capita 33
FIGURE 21 GDP per capita (current US$) and percentage of the population living on less than $1.90 a day (2011 purchasing power parity)
9,000
8,000 40
7,000
6,000 30
5,000
4,000 20
3,000
2,000 10
1,000
0 0
1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 1991 1995 2005 2016 1991 1995 2005 2016
The economic profile of child brides has remained relatively unchanged over time
FIGURE 22 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile
Poorest
Poor
Middle
Richer
Richest 18 19
18
20
1994 2019
22
19
22
21
20
22
FIGURE 23 Percentage of girls out of school and percentage of girls who successfully completed their education, by level
Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary
100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
2006 2019 2006 2019 2006 2019 2000 2019 2000 2019 2000 2019
Note: Values for upper-secondary education are not available for low- and middle-income countries.
The majority of child brides in 1994 had no education; by 2019, the majority had attended at least
secondary school
FIGURE 24 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by highest education level attended
No education
Primary
Secondary
2
Higher
16
5
15
22
1994 2019
51
31
58
The female labour force participation rate has only seen modest increases over the last three decades, but 35
more Bangladeshi women have wage and salaried jobs than ever before
90 90 90
80 80 80
70 70 70
60 60 60
50 50 50
40 40 40
30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019
© UNICEF/UN0482167/Satu
Data sources: The analysis on trends in child marriage is based on the prevalence of the practice as measured in the DHS 1993-1994, 1996-1997, 1999-2000, 2004, 2007, 2011 and
2014, and MICS 2006, 2012-2013 and 2019. Data on GDP per capita are from the World Bank and OECD, 2021. Data on poverty are from the World Bank, 2021. Data on education are
from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020. Data on labour are from the ILO, 2021. Information on legal age at marriage was obtained from the World Bank, 2021. More details on
methods and data sources can be found in the technical notes.
Ethiopia
36
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Ethiopia’s progress in reducing the prevalence of child marriage is one of the strongest among
countries in Eastern and Southern Africa. Levels have declined in the past 25 years, with accelerating
progress since 2006.
Four in 10 young women were married in childhood in 2016 compared with 7 in 10 in 1991
FIGURE 26 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18
100
90
80
69
70 63 61
59
60
49
50
40
40
30
20
10
0
1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
Progress in child marriage has mostly benefited the richest and more educated girls
FIGURE 27 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile and education
1991 2016
90
80 77
74
71 71
69
70
60 57 68 58
58
50 53
50
40
43
30 35
20
20
19
10
13
(6)
0
Poorest Poor Middle Richer Richest No education Primary Secondary Higher
Notes: The value for ‘higher education’ for 1991 was suppressed because of the small number of observations. Values in parentheses are based on 25 to 49 observations.
While many Ethiopians still live in extreme poverty, the share has dropped significantly, and the 37
country’s GDP per capita has nearly tripled in the last three decades
9,000 90
8,000 80
7,000 70
6,000 60
5,000 50
4,000 40
3,000 30
2,000 20
1,000 10
0 0
1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 1995 2004 2010 2015 1995 2004 2010 2015
Poorest
Poor
Middle
Richer
16
Richest 20
13
24
16
1991 2016
21
25 25
21
19
FIGURE 30 Percentage of girls out of school and percentage of girls who successfully completed their education, by level
Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary
100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
2000 2016 2000 2016 2000 2016 2000 2016 2000 2016 2000 2016
Note: Values for upper-secondary education are not available for low- and middle-income countries.
Less than half of child brides in 2016 had no education compared with 84 per cent 25 years ago
FIGURE 31 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by highest education level attended
No education
Primary
1
Secondary
14
Higher
2
6
46
1991 2016
46
84
90 90 90
80 80 80
70 70 70
60 60 60
50 50 50
40 40 40
30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019
© UNICEF/UN0281305/Tadesse
Data sources: The analysis on trends in child marriage is based on the prevalence of the practice as measured in the DHS 2000, 2005, 2011 and 2016. Data on GDP per capita are
from the World Bank and OECD, 2021. Data on poverty are from the World Bank, 2021. Data on education are from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020. Data on labour are
from the ILO, 2021. Information on legal age at marriage was obtained from the World Bank, 2021. More details on methods and data sources can be found in the technical notes.
India
40
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
The biggest decline in the number and percentage of young women married in childhood in the last
10 years has occurred in South Asia, mainly due to progress in India. Given its large population, India’s
progress has had a substantial impact in reducing the global number of girls subjected to the practice.
One in 4 young women were married in childhood in 2016 compared with 6 in 10 in 1991
FIGURE 33 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18
100
90
80
70
61
58
60
50
50
47
40 37
30
27
20
10
0
1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
While the prevalence of child marriage has declined across all population groups, progress has been fastest
among the wealthiest; as a result, gaps in prevalence have widened
FIGURE 34 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile and education
1991 2016
90
80 74
73 72
70 65 62
60 56
50
51
46 47 38
40
34
30 37
29 29
20
20
10 7
10 4
0
Poorest Poor Middle Richer Richest No education Primary Secondary Higher
India has succeeded in decreasing extreme poverty and increasing its GDP per capita 41
FIGURE 35 GDP per capita (current US$) and percentage of the population living on less than $1.90 a day (2011 purchasing power parity)
9,000
8,000 40
7,000
6,000 30
5,000
4,000 20
3,000
2,000 10
1,000
0 0
1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 1987 1993 2004 2011 1987 1993 2004 2011
Poorest
Poor
Middle
13
Richer
Richest 22
7
16 26
20
1991 2016
23
23 27
23
FIGURE 37 Percentage of girls out of school and percentage of girls who successfully completed their education, by level
Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary
100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
2006 2016 2006 2016 2006 2016 2006 2016 2006 2016 2006 2016
Note: Values for upper-secondary education are not available for low- and middle-income countries.
No education
Primary
Secondary
1
Higher
16
3
25
16 1991 2016
53
67 18
90 90 90
80 80 80
70 70 70
60 60 60
50 50 50
40 40 40
30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019
© UNICEF/UN061982/Vishwanathan
Data sources: The analysis on trends in child marriage is based on the prevalence of the practice as measured in the National Family Health Survey (NFHS) of 1992-1993, 1998-
1999, 2005-2006 and 2015-2016. Data on GDP per capita are from the World Bank and OECD, 2021. Data on poverty are from the World Bank, 2021. Data on education are from
the UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020. Data on labour are from the ILO, 2021. Information on legal age at marriage was obtained from the World Bank, 2021. More details on
methods and data sources can be found in the technical notes.
Indonesia
44
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
The practice of child marriage has declined steadily in Indonesia, with prevalence halved in the
past 25 years. Progress has not been limited to the richest: Since the 1990s, the prevalence of
child marriage has also declined among the poorest girls, though less dramatically.
100
90
80
70
60
50
40 35
30
30 26
22
20 17 16
10
0
1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
The prevalence of child marriage has declined across all wealth quintiles
FIGURE 41 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile and education
1992 2017
90
80
70
59
60
50
50 45
40
40 37 46
32
30
33 33 20
20 25 18
10 17 18
10 4 1
0 1
Poorest Poor Middle Richer Richest No education Primary Secondary Higher
Indonesia has seen a dramatic decrease in extreme poverty over the last three decades; at the same time, 45
growth in GDP per capita has kept pace with the low- and middle-income country average
9,000
50
8,000
7,000
40
6,000
5,000 30
4,000
20
3,000
2,000
10
1,000
0 0
1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2017 1990 2000 2010 2017
Sixty per cent of child brides were poor in 2017 compared with almost half 25 years earlier
FIGURE 43 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile
Poorest
Poor
Middle
Richer 11
Richest 25
5
13
31
21
1992 2017
22
24 29
20
Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary
100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
2003 2017 2003 2017 2003 2017 2000 2017 2000 2017 2000 2017
Note: Values for upper-secondary education are not available for low- and middle-income countries.
The proportion of child brides with a secondary education rose from 17 per cent in 1992 to 67 per cent in 2017
FIGURE 45 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by highest education level attended
No education
Primary
Secondary
Higher 9
17
11
31
1992 2017
67
75
FIGURE 46 Proportion of vulnerable employment as a percentage of female employment, proportion of wage and salaried female workers as a percentage
90 90 90
80 80 80
70 70 70
60 60 60
50 50 50
40 40 40
30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019
© UNICEF/UNI229679/Ijazah
Data sources: The analysis on trends in child marriage is based on the prevalence of the practice as measured in the DHS 1991, 1994, 1997, 2002-2003, 2007, 2012 and 2017. Data
on GDP per capita are from the World Bank and OECD, 2021. Data on poverty are from the World Bank, 2021. Data on education are from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics,
2020. Data on labour are from the ILO, 2021. Information on legal age at marriage was obtained from the World Bank, 2021. More details on methods and data sources can be
found in the technical notes.
Armenia
48
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Armenia ranks among the top 10 countries worldwide in terms of the rate of decline in the
prevalence of child marriage since 2001. While it has nearly ended the practice, some acceleration
of progress will still be required to reach the 2030 target. Efforts are particularly needed to reach
populations where the practice remains most common, namely among the poorest and least
educated segments of society.
50
40
30
23
20
19
16
10
10 7
5
0
1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
The gap in child marriage prevalence between the poorest and richest women has been shrinking
FIGURE 48 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile and education
2001 2016
40
34
30
26
(19) 20
20
15 14
12
10 12
11
4
5 5 2
0
3 3
Poorest Poor Middle Richer Richest Primary Secondary Higher
Note: The value for ‘primary education’ for 2001 was suppressed because of the small number of observations. Values in parentheses are based on 25 to 49 observations.
Armenia has seen a seven-fold increase in GDP per capita over the last 30 years and has reduced the share 49
of its population in extreme poverty to just 1 per cent
9,000
8,000 40
7,000
6,000 30
5,000
4,000 20
3,000
2,000 10
1,000
0 0
1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 2001 2005 2010 2017 2001 2005 2010 2017
Sixty-one per cent of child brides in 2016 were poor, compared with 56 per cent in 2001
FIGURE 50 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile
Poorest
Poor
Middle 14
Richer
Richest
30
8 17
11 40
2001 2016
11
22 21
26
50 Armenia has maintained high completion rates across all school levels
FIGURE 51 Percentage of girls out of school and percentage of girls who successfully completed their education, by level
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary
100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
2001 2016 2001 2016 2001 2016 2001 2016 2001 2016 2001 2016
Note: Values for upper-secondary education are not available for low- and middle-income countries.
The proportion of child brides who attended only primary education decreased after 2001
FIGURE 52 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by highest education level attended
Primary
Secondary
Higher
14
19
12
22
2001 2016
67
67
90 90 90
80 80 80
70 70 70
60 60 60
50 50 50
40 40 40
30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019
© UNICEF/UNI363755/Babajanyan/VII Photo
Data sources: The analysis on trends in child marriage is based on the prevalence of the practice as measured in the DHS 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015-2016. Data on GDP per capita
are from the World Bank and OECD, 2021. Data on poverty are from the World Bank, 2021. Data on education are from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020. Data on labour are
from the ILO, 2021. Information on the legal age at marriage was obtained from the World Bank, 2021. More details on methods and data sources can be found in the technical notes.
Eswatini
52
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Eswatini has seen a steady decline in the prevalence of child marriage. Today it has one of the
lowest rates in sub-Saharan Africa. However, acceleration of progress will be required to reach the
2030 target of eliminating child marriage.
One in 20 young women were married in childhood in 2014 compared with nearly 1 in 5 in 1989
FIGURE 54 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18
50
40
30
18
20
13
10
8 7
10 5
0
1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Progress in reducing child marriage has benefited the poorest quintiles; as a result, the gap in the
prevalence of child marriage has been closed
FIGURE 55 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile and education
1989 2014
40
30 28
24 23
22
20 16
19
10
10 6 7 6
7 7
5 6 5
0 3 1
Note: The value for ‘no education’ for 2014 was suppressed because of the small number of observations.
Eswatini has seen a dramatic reduction in extreme poverty 53
FIGURE 56 GDP per capita (current US$) and percentage of the population living on less than $1.90 a day (2011 purchasing power parity)
9,000 90
8,000 80
7,000 70
6,000 60
5,000 50
4,000 40
3,000 30
2,000 20
1,000 10
0 0
1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 1994 2000 2009 2016 1994 2000 2009 2016
Two in three child brides came from the poorest 40 per cent of households in 1989 compared with
approximately half in 2014
FIGURE 57 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile
Poorest
Poor
Middle
Richer 12
Richest
29
7
(7)
(16) (26)
1989 2014
17
(23)
(27)
35
Notes: Due to rounding, numbers for 2014 do not add up to 100. Values in parentheses are based on 25 to 49 observations.
54 Eswatini has made notable progress in education
FIGURE 58 Percentage of girls out of school and percentage of girls who successfully completed their education, by level
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary
100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
2006 2014 2006 2014 2006 2014 2006 2014 2006 2014 2006 2014
Note: Values for upper-secondary education are not available for low- and middle-income countries.
Nine in 10 child brides in 2014 attended at least primary school compared with nearly 8 in 10 in 1989
FIGURE 59 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by highest education level attended
No education
Primary
Secondary
Higher
6
23
(5) (9)
22
(29)
1989 2014
(58)
49
90 90 90
80 80 80
70 70 70
60 60 60
50 50 50
40 40 40
30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019
© UNICEF/UNI175048/Markisz
Data sources: The analysis on trends in child marriage is based on the prevalence of the practice as measured in the DHS 2006-2007 and the MICS 2010 and 2014. Data on GDP per
capita are from the World Bank and OECD, 2021. Data on poverty are from the World Bank, 2021. Data on education are from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020. Data on labour
are from the ILO, 2021. Information on legal age at marriage was obtained from the World Bank, 2021. More details on methods and data sources can be found in the technical notes.
Maldives
56
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
The Maldives has experienced one of the most dramatic declines in child marriage globally, with
a prevalence 25 times lower in 2017 than in 1992. The country is on track to eliminate the practice
by 2030.
Only 2 per cent of young women were married in childhood in 2017 compared with nearly 60 per cent in 1992
FIGURE 61 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18
100
90
80
70
60
57
50 45
40
30
30
20 16
7
10
2
0
1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
The practice of child marriage is now rare across all population groups
FIGURE 62 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile and education
1992 2017
100
90
79
80
70
56 59 58
60 53
48
50 42
40
33
30
20
20
10
2 3 1 3 2 3 2 3
0
Poorest Poor Middle Richer Richest No education Primary Secondary Higher
Note: The value for ‘no education’ for 2017 was suppressed because of the small number of observations.
The country’s GDP per capita increased dramatically in the past three decades, significantly outpacing the 57
low- and middle-income country average
11,000 50
10,000
9,000
40
8,000
7,000
30
6,000
5,000
20
4,000
3,000
10
2,000
1,000
0 0
1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 2002 2009 2016 2002 2009 2016
Poorest
Poor
Middle
13
Richer
Richest 22
(22) (16)
23
18
Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary
100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
2009 2017 2009 2017 2009 2017 2009 2017 2009 2017 2009 2017
Note: Values for upper-secondary education are not available for low- and middle-income countries.
Nine in 10 child brides in 2017 attended at least secondary school, compared with about 1 in 10 in 1992
FIGURE 66 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by highest education level attended
No education
Primary
Secondary 8
Higher
4
37 (3) (2)
50
Notes: Due to rounding, numbers for 1992 do not add up to 100. Values in parentheses are based on 25 to 49 observations.
Although female labour force participation in the Maldives is lower than the low- and middle-income 59
country average, it is one of the few countries that saw more women enter the workforce over the past
90 90 90
80 80 80
70 70 70
60 60 60
50 50 50
40 40 40
30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
1991 2019 1991 2021 1991 2021
© UNICEF/UNI306720
Data sources: The analysis on trends in child marriage is based on the prevalence of the practice as measured in the DHS 2009 and 2016-2017. Data on GDP per capita are from the
World Bank and OECD, 2021. Data on poverty are from the World Bank, 2021. Data on education are from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020. Data on labour are from the ILO,
2021. Information on legal age at marriage was obtained from the World Bank, 2021. More details on methods and data sources can be found in the technical notes.
Rwanda
60
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Rwanda’s rate of decline in child marriage is one of the fastest in Eastern and Southern Africa,
with rates today that are 2.5 times lower than in 1995.
One in 6 young women were married in childhood in 1995 compared with 1 in 17 in 2020
FIGURE 68 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18
50
40
30
20 17
16
11
10 7
6 6
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
The prevalence of child marriage has declined across all population groups
FIGURE 69 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile and education
1995 2020
40
30
25
21
20 17 18
14
12
11
(13) 9
10
10
7 8
6
5 3 0
0 2 (0)
Poorest Poor Middle Richer Richest No education Primary Secondary Higher
9,000 90
8,000 80
7,000 70
6,000 60
5,000 50
4,000 40
3,000 30
2,000 20
1,000 10
0 0
1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 2000 2005 2010 2016 2000 2005 2010 2016
Poorest
Poor
Middle
12
Richer
Richest
28 10
16 32
17
1995 2020
21 21
22
22
FIGURE 72 Percentage of girls out of school and percentage of girls who successfully completed their education, by level
Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary
100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
2000 2015 2000 2015 2000 2015 2000 2015 2000 2015 2000 2015
Note: Values for upper-secondary education are not available for low- and middle-income countries.
Child brides in 2020 were more educated than their peers 25 years earlier
FIGURE 73 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by highest education level attended
No education
Primary
Secondary 4
25
39
1995 2020
57
71
Rwanda has seen a marked increase in the percentage of women in wage and salaried jobs; still, 8 in 10 63
employed women work in jobs classified as vulnerable
90 90 90
80 80 80
70 70 70
60 60 60
50 50 50
40 40 40
30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019
© UNICEF/UNI343975/Saleh
Data sources: The analysis on trends in child marriage is based on the prevalence of the practice as measured in the DHS 1992, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2014-2015 and 2019-2020. Data
on GDP per capita are from the World Bank and OECD, 2021. Data on poverty are from the World Bank, 2021. Data on education are from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020.
Data on labour are from the ILO, 2021. Information on legal age at marriage was obtained from the World Bank, 2021. More details on methods and data sources can be found in the
technical notes.
Tunisia
64
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Tunisia’s rate of decline in child marriage ranks among the top five in the world, setting it on track
to eliminate the practice by 2030.
Nearly 1 in 10 young women were married in childhood in 1993 compared with 1 in 100 in 2018
FIGURE 75 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18
50
40
30
20
9
10 7
3 2 2 1
0
1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018
The prevalence of child marriage has declined across all population groups
FIGURE 76 Percentage of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile and education
1993 2018
40
30
20
12
10
8 8
10 7
6
3 4
2
1 4 5 2
0 1 1 1 0
Note: The value for ‘no education’ for 2018 was suppressed because of the small number of observations.
Extreme poverty declined to less than 1 per cent by 2015 65
FIGURE 77 GDP per capita (current US$) and percentage of the population living on less than $1.90 a day (2011 purchasing power parity)
10,000 50
9,000
8,000 40
7,000
6,000 30
5,000
4,000 20
3,000
2,000 10
1,000
0 0
1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2019 1990 2000 2010 2015 1990 2000 2010 2015
Overall, the economic profile of child brides has remained relatively unchanged over time
FIGURE 78 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by wealth quintile
Poorest
Poor
Middle 10
Richer
Richest 23
22 (4) (13)
(32)
1993 2018
(31)
(21)
28
17
Notes: Due to rounding, numbers for 2018 do not add up to 100. Values in parentheses are based on 25 to 49 observations.
66 Tunisian girls have experienced significant improvements in education
FIGURE 79 Percentage of girls out of school and percentage of girls who successfully completed their education, by level
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary Primary Lower secondary Upper secondary
100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
2012 2018 2012 2018 2012 2018 2012 2018 2012 2018 2012 2018
Note: Values for upper-secondary education are not available for low- and middle-income countries.
The latest generation of child brides are educated, and most of them have attended secondary school
FIGURE 80 Percentage distribution of women aged 20 to 24 years who were first married or in union before age 18, by highest education level attended
No education
Primary
Secondary 4
Higher
17
(2)
42
(34)
1993 2018
(64)
37
90 90 90
80 80 80
70 70 70
60 60 60
50 50 50
40 40 40
30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
1991 2019 1991 2019 1991 2019
© UNICEF/UN0212680/Noorani
Data sources: The analysis on trends in child marriage is based on the prevalence of the practice as measured in MICS 2011-2012 and 2018. Data on GDP per capita are from the World
Bank and OECD, 2021. Data on poverty are from the World Bank, 2021. Data on education are from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics, 2020. Data on labour are from the ILO, 2021.
Information on legal age at marriage was obtained from the World Bank, 2021. More details on methods and data sources can be found in the technical notes.
68
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
05.
Towards ending child marriage
Ending child marriage Over the past decade, the levels of child marriage across the
is now a global proportion of young women who population. Looking beyond the
priority. Thanks to were married as children decreased individual and considering factors
increased evidence by 15 per cent, from 1 in 4 to about outside of each girl and her family
1 in 5. However, while the global are necessary for a more complete
and advocacy, it is
reduction in child marriage is to understanding of the context in which
well embedded in not
be celebrated, no region is yet on decisions about marriage are made.
only the SDGs but
track to meet the SDG target of
also in the national
eliminating this harmful practice The analysis presented in this
agendas, policies and by 2030. For child marriage to report touches on this broader
commitments of a end globally by this date, the rate context in a subset of countries
growing number of progress would need to be 15 that have made impressive strides
of countries. This times faster than the pace recorded in reducing child marriage. In
increased attention over the last decade. What’s more, addition to progress against child
has been accompanied over the next 10 years, up to 10 marriage at the societal level,
by accelerating million more girls will be at risk of these countries, typically, have also
declines in prevalence. child marriage as a result of the seen improvements in economic
COVID-19 pandemic. development and poverty
reduction, access to employment
Even as commitments and and educational attainment.
interventions on child marriage
are proliferating, few programmes While the relationship between
are operating at scale, and the child marriage and socioeconomic
evidence on successful strategies development is intuitive, important
that have been scaled up remains nuances can be found by delving
limited.36 Furthermore, it is not clear deeper into the data. For example,
whether programmes are always for greater national wealth to
reaching the most vulnerable translate into reduced rates of
girls or the areas that have the child marriage, economic growth
highest prevalence or burden of must be inclusive and its benefits
child marriage. Rigorous empirical equitably shared. The tax revenues
evidence on what drives large- such growth generates must also
scale population-level changes in be invested in programmes and
child marriage is also lacking. The services that make a difference for
factors that contribute to a girl’s children, particularly in education
risk of child marriage have been and social protection.
studied extensively when it comes
to influences at the individual and Labour force participation is
household level. Yet there are also another area where its general
societal factors at play that affect relationship with child marriage is
69
less meaningful than the detailed decades; secondary-school The analysis in this report is not
findings. Both the literature on this completion is now emerging as meant to establish causal links but
subject and the analysis in this a more strongly correlated factor. to foster a deeper understanding of
report indicate that the availability Greater improvements at the the association between shifts in
of any type of work for women upper-secondary level could mean child marriage rates and key macro-
is not sufficient to reduce child continued declines in levels of level factors. Its findings are also
marriage, particularly if it is in the child marriage across all regions, intended to inform the research
informal sector. It is the availability as more girls achieve the higher agenda, by highlighting patterns
of more reliable, often skilled educational attainment typically in trends and dynamics of change
work in the formal sector that is associated with delayed marriage. that warrant further investigation. A
correlated with a reduction in child The analysis, however, also shows promising area for future research,
marriage, likely because it provides that increasing access to education for example, is the relationship
a more promising pathway for girls. alone is not enough. Rather, between macro-level factors and
improved access needs to go programmatic interventions already
Similar distinctions can be found hand in hand with opportunities for known to influence child marriage.
in the domain of education. reliable and skilled employment.
At the individual level, the Child marriage becomes a less Although improvements in
literature suggests that the attractive option as other (and more economic development, education
level of educational attainment lucrative) alternatives become and the labour market imply
that is protective against child available. Countries in which large and sustained investments
marriage varies by context. At the advances in girls’ education have nationally, action at this level is
population level, primary-school not been accompanied by improved essential, and should complement
completion is protective against access to earnings through female programmatic efforts targeting
child marriage, but this relationship employment have been able to girls at risk, if the promise to end
appears to have weakened with delay the age at marriage for some child marriage in this decade is to
rising education levels in recent girls, but not for all. be realized.
70
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
06.
Technical notes
Technical notes
© UNICEF/UN0213010/Noorani
72
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
07.
References
1. Hogan, M. C., et al., ‘Maternal Mortality for 181 Marriage’; Lee-Rife et al., ‘What Works to Prevent Child
Countries, 1980-2008: A systematic analysis of progress Marriage’; Chae and Ngo, ‘The Global State of Evidence’.
towards Millennium Development Goal 5’, The Lancet,
5. United Nations Children’s Fund and United Nations
vol. 375, no. 9726, 2010, pp. 1609-1623; Olamijuwon,
Population Fund, Key Drivers of the Changing Prevalence
E. O., V. H. Chisumpa and J. O. Akinyemi, ‘Unveiling
of Child Marriage in Three Countries in South Asia: Working
the Realities of Marrying Too Young: Implications of
paper, UNICEF, Kathmandu, 2018.
child marriage on sexual and reproductive health of
girls and infant survival in sub-Sahara Africa’, African 6. Malhotra and Elnakib, ‘20 Years of the Evidence Base’;
Population Studies, vol. 31, no. 1, 2017; Raj, A., ‘When Key Drivers of the Changing Prevalence of Child Marriage;
the Mother Is a Child: The impact of child marriage on Svanemyr et al., ‘Research Priorities on Ending Child
the health and human rights of girls’, Archives of Disease Marriage’.
in Childhood, vol. 95, no. 11, 2010, pp. 931-935; Raj, A.,
7. Svanemyr et al., ‘Research Priorities on Ending Child
and U. Boehmer, ‘Girl Child Marriage and its Association
Marriage’.
with National Rates of HIV, Maternal Health, and Infant
Mortality across 97 Countries’, Violence against Women, 8. Tzemach Lemmon, G. and L. S. ElHarake, High Stakes for
vol. 19, no. 4, 2013, pp. 536-551. Young Lives: Examining strategies to stop child marriage,
Council on Foreign Relations, New York, 2014, p. s3.
2. Malhotra, A., and S. Elnakib, ‘20 Years of the Evidence
Base on What Works to Prevent Child Marriage: A 9. Jain and Kurz, New Insights on Preventing Child Marriage.
systematic review’, The Journal of Adolescent Health, 10. Key Drivers of the Changing Prevalence of Child
vol. 68, no. 5, 2021, pp. 847-862; Jain, S., and K. Kurz, Marriage.
New Insights on Preventing Child Marriage: A global
analysis of factors and programs, International Center for 11. World Bank, Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2020:
Research on Women, New Delhi, 2007; Kalamar, A. M., S. Reversals of fortune, World Bank, Washington, DC, 2020.
Lee-Rife and M. J. Hindin, ‘Interventions to Prevent Child 12. World Bank, ‘World Development Indicators’, World Bank,
Marriage among Young People in Low- and Middle-Income Washington, DC, <https://databank.worldbank.org/source/
Countries: A systematic review of the published and gray world-development-indicators>, accessed 7 June 2021.
literature’, The Journal of Adolescent Health, vol. 59, no. Latest years available. Extreme poverty is defined as living
3, 2016, pp. S16-S21; Lee-Rife, S., et al., ‘What Works to on less than $1.90 per person per day in 2011 purchasing
Prevent Child Marriage: A review of the evidence’, Studies power parity. The percentage of the population living in
in Family Planning, vol. 43, no. 4, 2012, pp. 287-303; extreme poverty is 1 per cent in East Asia and the Pacific
Chae, S., and T. D. Ngo, ‘The Global State of Evidence and 3.7 per cent in Latin America and the Caribbean.
on Interventions to Prevent Child Marriage’, GIRL Center
Research Brief No. 1, Population Council, New York, 2017. 13. Malhotra and Elnakib, ‘20 Years of the Evidence Base’.
3. Svanemyr, J., et al., ‘Research Priorities on Ending Child 14. Jain and Kurz, New Insights on Preventing Child
Marriage and Supporting Married Girls’, Reproductive Marriage.
Health, vol. 12, no. 1, 2015, p. 80. 15. Raj, A., et al., ‘Cross-Sectional Time Series Analysis of
4. Malhotra and Elnakib, ‘20 Years of the Evidence Associations between Education and Girl Child Marriage
Base’; Jain and Kurz, ‘New Insights on Preventing Child in Bangladesh, India, Nepal and Pakistan, 1991-2011’, PLoS
Marriage’; Kalamar et al., ‘Interventions to Prevent Child One, vol. 9, no. 9, 2014, pp. 1-9.
73
References
16. Key Drivers of the Changing Prevalence of Child 27. United Nations Population Fund, Girlhood, Not
Marriage; Lee-Rife et al., ‘What Works to Prevent Child Motherhood: Preventing adolescent pregnancy, UNFPA,
Marriage’. New York, 2015.
17. Marphatia, A. A., et al., ‘How Much Education is Needed 28. World Health Organization, ‘Adolescent Pregnancy’,
to Delay Women’s Age at Marriage and First Pregnancy?’, WHO, Geneva, 2020, <www.who.int/news-room/fact-
Frontiers in Public Health, vol. 7, no. 396, 2020, pp. 1-17. sheets/detail/adolescent-pregnancy>, accessed 22 June
2021.
18. Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and Institute for Health
Metrics and Evaluation, Goalkeepers: The stories behind the 29. Darroch, J. E., et al., Adding It Up: Costs and benefits
data 2018, 2018. of meeting the contraceptive needs of adolescents,
Guttmacher Institute, New York, 2016.
19. Malhotra and Elnakib, ‘20 Years of the Evidence Base’;
Heath, R., and A. Mushfiq Mobarak, ‘Manufacturing 30. Malhotra, A., et al., Solutions to End Child Marriage:
Growth and the Lives of Bangladeshi Women’, Journal of What the evidence shows, International Center for
Development Economics, vol. 115, 2015, pp. 1-15. Research on Women, Washington, DC, 2011.
20. Malhotra and Elnakib, ‘20 Years of the Evidence Base’. 31. Arthur, M., et al., ‘Child Marriage Laws around the
World: Minimum marriage age, legal exceptions, and
21. Jensen, R., ‘Do Labor Market Opportunities Affect
gender disparities’, Journal of Women, Politics and Policy,
Young Women’s Work and Family Decisions? Experimental
vol. 39, no. 1, 2018, pp. 51-74.
evidence from India’, The Quarterly Journal of Economics,
vol. 127, no. 2, 2012, pp. 753-792. 32. Maswikwa, B., et al., ‘Minimum Marriage Age Laws
and the Prevalence of Child Marriage and Adolescent
22. International Labour Organization, World Employment
Birth: Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa’, International
and Social Outlook: Trends 2021, ILO, Geneva, 2021.
Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health, vol. 41,
23. International Labour Organization and UN Women, no. 2, 2015, pp. 58-68.
The Impact of Marriage and Children on Labour Market
33. Arthur et al., ‘Child Marriage Laws around the World’.
Participation, ILO, Geneva, 2020.
34. Wodon, Q., et al., Ending Child Marriage: Legal age
24. Roest, J., ‘Child Marriage and Early Child-Bearing in
for marriage, illegal child marriages, and the need for
India: Risk factors and policy implications’, Policy Paper 10,
interventions, Save the Children and The World Bank,
Young Lives, Oxford, UK, 2016; Pankhurst, A., A. Tiumelissan
New York and Washington, DC, 2017.
and N. Chuta, ‘The Interplay between Community,
Household and Child-level Influences on Trajectories to Early 35. Arthur et al., ‘Child Marriage Laws around the World’;
Marriage in Ethiopia: Evidence from Young Lives’, Working Maswikwa et al., ‘Minimum Marriage Age Laws’.
Paper 162, Young Lives, Oxford, UK, 2016.
36. Malhotra and Elnakib, ‘20 Years of the Evidence
25. International Labour Organization, World Employment Base’.
and Social Outlook: Trends 2015, ILO, Geneva, 2015.
26. Heath and Mobarak, ‘Manufacturing Growth and the Lives of
Bangladeshi Women’; Jensen, ‘Do Labor Market Opportunities
Affect Young Women’s Work and Family Decisions?’; Malhotra
and Elnakib, ‘20 Years of the Evidence Base’.
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress
74
© UNICEF/UN0281307/Tadesse
75
© UNICEF/UN0410890/Ayene
76
Towards Ending Child Marriage: Global trends and profiles of progress