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AFRICAN

OPINIONS ON THE
WAR IN UKRAINE
Interim Report

Ipsos in South Africa


21 June, 2023

© 2023 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may
not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
Opinions about the
Russia-Ukraine war and
expectations from
African leaders

DISCUSSION Red? or Blue and


Yellow?
TOPICS

2 © Ipsos 2023
OPINIONS ABOUT
THE RUSSIA-
UKRAINE WAR
Opinions about the Russia-Ukraine war and expectations
from African leaders

3 © Ipsos 2023
THE CASE FOR
RUSSIA: SOME For historic reasons it
My country should
support Russia, as
QUALIFIED makes sense for my we rely on the import
Russia is not the country to support of grain and fertilizer
SUPPORT aggressor in this war Russia from Russia

23% 23% 33%


Do you strongly disagree, disagree, neither
Senegal 49% 57% 50%
Q disagree nor agree, agree or strongly agree
with each of these statements?
38% 36% 36%
Nigeria 49% 57% 59%

37% 32% 32%


Uganda 49% 60% 59%

24% 28% 31%

Kenya 54% 56% 52%

30% 28% 33%


56% 61% 59%
Zambia

44% 43% 45%


43% 45% 43%
South Africa

AGREE
4 © Ipsos 2023
DISAGREE
THE CASE FOR My own government
should care about
UKRAINE: Russia’s invasion of
Russia’s occupation of
parts of Ukraine and
AFRICA’S POSITIVE Ukraine is against the Russia is guilty of should insist on the
principles of committing war withdrawal of the
SUPPORT international law crimes in Ukraine Russian forces

52% 50% 37%


Do you strongly disagree, disagree, neither
Senegal 32% 17% 48%
Q disagree nor agree, agree or strongly agree
with each of these statements?
66% 63% 55%
Nigeria 24% 25% 36%

62% 65% 51%


Uganda 25% 28% 42%

76% 59% 48%

Kenya 15% 23% 37%

65% 64% 62%


25% 24% 32%
Zambia

56% 61% 51%


33% 26% 37%
South Africa

AGREE
5 © Ipsos 2023
DISAGREE
BUT EXPRESSING
AN OPINION THAT
AFRICA SHOULD
All African countries should not Africa cannot afford to remain
NOT TAKE SIDES take sides in this war neutral in this war

46% 35%
Do you strongly disagree, disagree, neither
Senegal 41% 46%
Q disagree nor agree, agree or strongly agree
with each of these statements?
49% 54%
Nigeria 38% 41%

49% 48%
Uganda 48% 46%

66% 46%

Kenya 28% 35%

59% 44%
37% 52%
Zambia

56% 50%
36% 42%
South Africa

AGREE
6 © Ipsos 2023
DISAGREE
THERE IS IMPLICIT Having lived through
colonialism, conflict and

SUPPORT FOR I am aware that


Ukraine, while it was
forced occupations, we
should not support any
The Russian-
Ukrainian war is bad
a part of the Soviet country in their for my country – we
UKRAINE, BUT Both the Ukrainians
Union, supported
many African
attempts to illegally
annex parts of another
are experiencing food
shortages and high

AFRICAN LEADERS and the Russians are


victims in this war
countries during their
liberation struggles
country without
consequences
energy costs because
of the war

SHOULD SHAPE UP
Do you strongly disagree, disagree, neither
56% 48% 56% 71%
Senegal 19% 19% 25% 16%
Q disagree nor agree, agree or strongly agree
with each of these statements?
76% 55% 75% 71%
Nigeria 18% 21% 20% 26%

76% 54% 70% 73%


Uganda 19% 26% 25% 24%

76% 43% 65% 81%

Kenya 14% 20% 20% 13%

66% 65% 72% 82%


26% 17% 22% 16%
Zambia

61% 62% 67% 75%


28% 19% 24% 19%
South Africa

AGREE
7 © Ipsos 2023
DISAGREE
In an increasingly
AND THE AU It is time for the
global and
complicated world,
SHOULD STICK TO African countries
African Union to
stand on its own
My country supports
the principles of the
Africa stands to lose
the most by doing
THEIR OWN should stick
together when it
and represent the
continent’s best
African Union
guaranteeing
nothing or supporting
the countries

PRINCIPLES AND comes to foreign


policy issues
interests on global
issues
territorial integrity
and country borders
disregarding
international laws

BEDo UNITED
you strongly disagree, disagree, neither
80% 82% 72% 54%
Senegal 8% 6% 16% 21%
Q disagree nor agree, agree or strongly agree
with each of these statements?
88% 92% 85% 72%
Nigeria 10% 6% 10% 32%

85% 87% 77% 56%


Uganda 12% 9% 17% 35%

83% 78% 75% 61%

Kenya 10% 13% 12% 23%

91% 84% 84% 60%


7% 14% 11% 29%
Zambia

82% 85% 74% 57%


13% 8% 17% 33%
South Africa

AGREE
8 © Ipsos 2023
DISAGREE
RED?
OR BLUE AND
YELLOW?

9 © Ipsos 2023
IT IS IN AFRICA’S
INTEREST TO SIT
ON THE FENCE – Support
The solution is
somewhere between Support
SAY MANY Russia the two choices Ukraine

Do you think it is in the best interest of [YOUR


15% 65% 20%
COUNTRY] to support Russia or support Senegal
Q Ukraine or is the solution somewhere between
these two extremes?
10% 76% 14%
Nigeria

16% 62% 21%


Uganda

13% 62% 25%


Kenya

10% 73% 18%


Zambia

18% 59% 23%


South Africa

10 © Ipsos 2023
PERSONAL OPINIONS
ARE IMPLYING
STRONGER SUPPORT I refuse to choose
I will personally between the two I will personally
FOR UKRAINE support Russia countries support Ukraine

30% 28% 42%


If you must choose, will you personally support Senegal
Q Ukraine or will you personally support Russia?

27% 33% 40%


Nigeria

26% 24% 50%


Uganda

21% 25% 54%


Kenya

22% 33% 45%


Zambia

33% 15% 52%


South Africa

11 © Ipsos 2023
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YOU
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