Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Post Disaster
Needs Assessment
V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
G o v e r n m e n t o f n e pa l
N at i o na l p l ann i n g c o m m i s s i o n
K at h m a n d u 2 0 1 5
N e pa l E a r t h q u a k e 2 0 1 5
Post Disaster
Needs Assessment
Vo l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
G o v e r n m e n t o f n e pa l
N at i o na l p l ann i n g c o m m i s s i o n
Nepal Earthquake 2015
Post Disaster Needs Assessment
Vol. B: sector reports
Copyright © 2015
Published by
Government of Nepal
National Planning Commission
Singha Durbar, Kathmandu
Tel: (+977)-014211136
Fax: (+977)-014211700
Email: npcs@npc.gov.np
Web: www.npc.gov.np
All rights reserved. No parts of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted, in any form or by
any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without prior permission.
Photos were generously provided by the following: ADB/Samir Jung Thapa; ECHO/Pierre Prakash; WFP/Johnathan Buckingham;
UNICEF/Narendra Shrestha; IOM/Eunhin Jeong; Habitat for Humanity Nepal/Sameer Bhattarai; UNHCR; UNDP/Lesley Wright;
UNDP/Laxmi Prasad Ngakhusi; UNDP; FAO Nepal; FAO/Ann-Marie Wilcock; and UNFPA
Printed in Nepal
kathmandu
The Prime Minister Nepal
Message
This Post Disaster Needs Assessment (PDNA) is the In the wake of this tragedy also comes an opportunity
outcome of an exhaustive participatory exercise led for us and the international community to put the
by the National Planning Commission (NPC) with new Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
generous assistance of national experts and institu- (SFDRR) adopted in March 2015. Three major is-
tions, neighbouring countries and development part- sues highlighted in SFDRR will play a key role: the
ners. As a result of the two major earthquakes that concept of ‘Build Back Better’; a move away from
struck Nepal on 25 April and 12 May 2015, nearly silos to working on integrated model of recovery
9,000 lives and over a half a million homes have been which takes into account environmental factors, un-
destroyed. This is a colossal loss for an impoverished derlying vulnerabilities and community knowledge;
country like ours at a time when we were focused on and recognition of the importance of various stake-
attracting investments to put Nepal on a path of high holders, with particular emphasis on communities
and sustained economic growth. themselves.
Though there has been an acute need to augment While the earthquake has severely shaken the coun-
our capacities, efforts on relief and early recovery try, the people of Nepal are resilient and are already
have gone on undaunted over the past few weeks. finding ways to rebuild their lives. The months and
This PDNA exercise was launched simultaneously years ahead will give shape to our vision of a progres-
to take stock of our damage, loss and needs so far. sive yet eco-sensitive Nepal. I congratulate my col-
This report now equips us with a well rounded view leagues in the National Planning Commission and
of the scale of devastation and an outline recovery line ministries, as well as our development partners
strategy to chart the course for reconstruction and in achieving the mammoth task of carrying out this
rehabilitation. The assessment and recovery planning PDNA in a very short time through a credible, par-
process has paid particular attention to the issue of ticipatory process. I seek and invite durable national
social inclusion of the most marginalised and vulner- and international partnerships to forge ahead with a
able groups, including women, children, the aged, program of swift and effective recovery that will pave
persons with disabilities. the way for national economic rejuvenation.
Sushil Koirala
Prime Minister and Chairman
National Planning Commission
Government of Nepal
National Planning Commission
Vice-Chairman Kathmandu
Preface
The major earthquakes of 25 April and 12 May this sions were held with diverse stakeholders to make the
year devastated parts of central Nepal. While the process transparent and participatory. This began with
country has not faced a disaster of this magnitude for a two day orientation to familiarize stakeholders about
over 80 years, the people are confronting this adver- the use of PDNA techniques. Consultations were also
sity bravely and proving their resilience to the world. held with members of parliament, experts on disaster
Our immediate neighbours and the global commu- management and heritage conservation, development
nity at large stood in solidarity with us by sending partners, private sector, civil society, academics, politi-
unprecedented volumes of technical, financial and cal leaders and the media. The NPC welcomed guid-
humanitarian aid. ance and critical feedback to ensure that the PDNA is
representative and robust. We were clear, however, that
It is now necessary to plan for long-term reconstruc- the PDNA had to be realistic and credible, and that it
tion to restore not only lost assets but also to rebuild ought not evolve into a wish list of long-term wants.
lives. The challenge ahead is to craft and execute a
reconstruction plan that takes into account the aspi- Indeed, we see the PDNA as a living document that
rations of people as well as the constraints posed by will undergo revisions as better data becomes avail-
time and funds. The preparation of a comprehensive able. It is not a final document cast in concrete. The
reconstruction plan needs proper assessment of the report has kept in mind what is desirable and what
damage, loss and recovery needs. The Post Disaster is possible. The objective is to estimate damages and
Needs Assessment (PDNA) is based on an agreed losses and to arrive at estimated needs to mobilize
upon methodology acceptable to the international funds and to launch immediate recovery. The next
community. Conducting PDNA after a disaster is step is to start a detailed damage assessment sector by
never easy, but after two disasters in succession, it was sector with the purpose of reconstruction. It is then
even more daunting. that the more ambitious projects of national signifi-
cance will dovetail with the findings of the PDNA.
The National Planning Commission (NPC) took on
this challenging task with the help of all line min- Nepal has grown from strength to strength after every
istries of the Government, and a core group of de- disaster in the past. I have faith in the hard work,
velopment partners led by the United Nations, the determination and resilience of our people. We have
World Bank, the Asian Development Bank, the Eu- the commitment and persistence, but we will also
ropean Union, and the Japan International Coop- need generous support from friends and institutions
eration Agency. We also benefited immensely from within Nepal and from outside.
the regional and global experiences of senior experts
from neighbouring countries and other development Hundreds of colleagues worked tirelessly to produce
agencies. More than 250 national and foreign experts this PDNA in two volumes. My sincere thanks are
worked round the clock to produce this assessment due to the Members of the National Planning Com-
covering 23 sectors in less than one month. mission (NPC), officials and staff of the NPC Secre-
tariat and line ministries, and national institutions. I
We focused not only on the product, but also on the look forward to their continued support in realizing
process. Several rounds of consultations and discus- the goals identified in this PDNA report.
iv
European Union
asdf
United nations
new York, 2014
Foreword
The earthquakes of 25 April and 12 May 2015 have became an unprecedented exercise with more than 250
been a terrible calamity for Nepal as they affected al- national and international experts participating in it,
most half of its districts, including hard-to-reach iso- and assessing damages and losses. On the basis of these
lated mountainous areas. Approximately 9,000 peo- findings, they identified recovery needs, developed
ple lost their lives and more than 22,000 people were first cost estimates for these needs and recommended
injured. As per the latest estimates, more than half a implementation arrangements. Altogether 23 thematic
million houses collapsed or are damaged. The scale of areas were covered, which were grouped under four
destruction is immense. This catastrophe has tested broad sectors. In terms of richness of data and breadth
the nation in many ways. Nepal has not experienced a of analysis it was a remarkable exercise, steered by a
tragedy on such a scale in close to a century. It was a highly collaborative arrangement between the National
disaster which largely affected rural areas, with the most Planning Commission, the development partners and
poor and vulnerable disproportionately impacted. other stakeholders.
As long-standing development partners, we extended We feel a great sense of satisfaction in presenting the
our complete support to the Government of Nepal. PDNA, which has been organised into two volumes.
Humanitarian assistance was mobilized from all parts The first volume includes the key findings of the
of the world. As a large number of aftershocks were felt, PDNA, while the second volume is a compendium
the people were left shaken. They needed help and a of sector reports. The analysis included in these re-
steady assurance of safety. ports presents a solid foundation for a recovery plan.
It represents an excellent beginning upon which the
Despite the hardships the people had to face, they Government of Nepal in a collective effort with the
showed tremendous resilience and community solidarity. private sector, civil society and international partners
It was as if the people had imbibed the indomitable spirit can undertake the gigantic task of recovery planning
of the Himalayas. They came together to reclaim their and implementation.
life from the extensive destruction. It was time to come
to their assistance for their short and long term recovery. This is just the beginning and we have a long way to
go before the people fully recover. But it is possible.
At the request of the Government of Nepal, a compre- In these trying times, we stand united with the Gov-
hensive assessment of the damages and losses caused by ernment of Nepal in supporting its recovery efforts. A
the earthquake was undertaken as the first step towards special orientation towards the poorest and most vul-
recovery planning. It helps identify recovery needs as well nerable should guide all efforts.
as strategy required for its implementation. The govern-
ment requested development partners to provide tech- To undertake this arduous journey we are committed
nical assistance for conducting such an assessment. In a to continue this collaboration with the Government
short span of one month, the assessment was conducted of Nepal and other stakeholders in all the sectors in-
under the strong leadership of the National Planning cluded in the PDNA. This offers a unique opportu-
Commission with the participation of various ministries nity to build back better a more resilient and inclusive
of the Government of Nepal, the private sector and civil Nepal that can continue progressing on its develop-
society as well as bilateral and international donors and ment pathway towards a more prosperous democratic
agencies, mobilizing a large number of sector experts. It country with better opportunities for all.
Kenichi Yokoyama H.E. RensjeTeerink, Tsutomu Shimizu Jamie McGoldrick Johannes Zutt
Country Director Ambassador, Delegation Chief Representative UN Resident and Country Director
Asian Development Bank of the European Union Japan International Humanitarian World Bank, Nepal
Nepal Resident Mission to Nepal Cooperation Agency, Coordinator, Nepal
Nepal Office
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Acknowledgements
The Post Disaster Needs Assessment (PDNA) convene early discussion on the PDNA process.
of Nepal Earthquake 2015 is prepared by the
National Planning Commission (NPC) of Twenty three sector teams and over 250 experts
the Government of Nepal (GoN) under the from the Government and development partner
overall leadership of the Honourable Vice agencies undertook an intensive exercise of data
Chairman Professor Dr. Govind Raj Pokharel. collection, field visits and verification in just
Honourable Members Professor Dr. Govind three weeks, a tight timeline given the scale and
Nepal, Dr. Chandra Mani Adhikari and Dr. magnitude of the disaster. This was possible only
Swarnim Waglé steered the process of PDNA because of the excellent cooperation between
preparation and provided technical guidance. the Government of Nepal and development
Sectoral assessments were carried out under the partners. The NPC thanks senior officials from
leadership of Honourable Members Dr. Yagya all participating ministries for their immense
Bahadur Karki, Dr. Bhartendu Mishra, contribution to the PDNA process.
Dr. Prem Prasad Dangal and Dr. Bimala Rai
Paudyal. Mr. Lal Shanker Ghimire, Joint Sector teams headed by GoN Joint Secretaries
Secretary at NPC, served as the Lead Focal and experts from lead agencies were guided and
Point. supported by the PDNA Secretariat, led by Mr.
Krishna S. Vatsa (UNDP), Mr. Hemang Karelia
Together with the NPC, the Core Coordination (World Bank) and Mr. S.V. Anil Das (ADB).
Team included Her Excellency Ms. Rensje The Secretariat also comprised experts from the
Teerink, European Union Ambassador to Nepal; European Union (Mr. Ricardo Zapata-Marti and
Mr. Jamie McGoldrick, United Nations Resident Mr. Roberto Jovel), and staff representing the
Coordinator and Resident Representative of United Nations System (Ms. Shairi Mathur, Ms.
United Nations Development Programme; Mr. Cecilia Aipira, and Mr. Julian Schweitzer), the
Renaud Meyer, UNDP Country Director; Mr. World Bank Group (Mr. Sudyumna Dahal and
Kenichi Yokoyama, Country Director, Asian Mr. James Newman), and the Japan International
Development Bank; Mr. Johannes Zutt and Mr. Cooperation Agency (Ms. Maki Tsumagari).
Takuya Kamata, Country Director and Country Mr. Andreas Roettger (European Union) and
Manager, respectively, the World Bank; and Mr. Mr. Rajib Upadhya (World Bank) provided
Tsutomu Shimizu, Country Representative, overall coordination support. The logistics of
Japan International Cooperation Agency. PDNA secretariat and workshops were efficiently
handled by Ms. Alina Thapa (World Bank).
NPC Member Secretary Mr. Sharada Prasad Crucial research inputs were received from Mr.
Trital and Joint Secretaries, Mr. Purushottam Anshu Sharma and Mr. Nisarg Dave, mapping
Ghimire, Mr. Pushpalal Shakya, Mr. Gopi Nath support was provided by Mr. Prabhat Kumar
Mainali, Dr. Teertha Raj Dhakal and Mr. Bishnu (UNDP) and Mr. Abyaya Neopane assisted
Prasad Nepal coordinated and facilitated the with comprehensive data analysis. Ms. Chitra
sectoral assessments. Mr. Suresh Prakash Acharya, Padmanabhan and Ms. Sumitra Srinivasan
Regional Administrator of Eastern Development provided editorial assistance for the PDNA
Region, and Senior NPC Advisors Mr. Kishore report. Special thanks to Mr. Hari Marasini for
Thapa and Dr. Venkatachalam Thiruppugazh layout and design of this report.
provided substantive inputs throughout the
process. His Excellency Mr. Urs Herren, The NPC is grateful to the Global Facility for
Ambassador of Switzerland to Nepal, helped Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR)
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vii
Contents
Executive Summary xi
S o c i a l S e c t o r s 3
Housing and Human Settlements 5
Health and Population 21
Nutrition 39
Education 51
Cultural Heritage 67
P r o d u c t i v e S e c t o r s 79
Agriculture 81
Irrigation 95
Commerce and Industry 103
Tourism 117
Financial Sector 129
I n f r a s t r u c t u r e S e c t o r s 141
Electricity 143
Communications 155
Community Infrastructure 165
Transport 173
Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene 183
C r o ss - C u t i n g S e c t o r s 197
Environment and Forestry 199
Employment and Livelihoods 213
Gender and Social Inclusion 227
Social Protection 241
Governance 255
Disaster Risk Reduction 269
P o v e rt y An d Hu m a n Deve lo p m e n t 287
M a c ro e c o n o m i c Im pa c t A ss e ss m e n t 295
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Executive Summary
±
the epicentre near Mount Everest. To date, there 83°0'0"E 84°0'0"E 85°0'0"E 86°0'0"E 87°0'0"E
Syanja
Tanahu Dhading
Argakhanchi Nuwakot Sindhupalchowk
Nawalparasi Bhaktapur
Chitwan LalitpurKavrepalanchowk Solukhumbu
Makawanpur Ramechhap
Severely Hit
27°0'0"N
Dhankuta
schools and health posts, rural roads, bridges, Crisis Hit
Hit with Heavy Losses
water supply systems, agricultural land, trekking Hit
routes, hydropower plants and sports facilities. Slightly Affected 0 30 60 120 Kilometers
The geodetic network centres including horizontal 83°0'0"E 84°0'0"E 85°0'0"E 86°0'0"E 87°0'0"E
of gendered roles that disproportionately assign rescued by air and 4,689 persons rescued by
indoor chores to women. land.” More than 90 percent of the security
forces were mobilized to focus on SAR. Overall,
The time and day the first earthquake was ex- 22,500 civil servants, 65,059 staff of the Nepal
perienced saved thousands of lives. Being a Sat- Army, 41,776 staff of Nepal Police and 24,775
urday, the weekly holiday, schools across Nepal staff of the Armed Police Force, as well as 4,000
were closed on 25 April. The death toll of young government and private health workers were
people could have been much higher consider- mobilized to aid rescue and relief efforts.
ing that nearly 7,000 schools were completely
or significantly damaged. Similarly, if the earth- Emergency relief and humanitarian assistance
quake had struck at night, and not in the mid- to the affected population was provided with
dle of the day, there would certainly have been the active support of and contribution by over
greater casualties. 60 countries as well as the United Nations and
other international agencies. Fixed wing and
Relief Operations and External rotary aircrafts from friendly countries were en-
Assistance gaged in carrying out numerous sorties to bring
The Government of Nepal (GoN) made an of- relief supplies into the country and to distrib-
ficial request for international assistance within ute them in remote areas. A newly constructed
hours of the 25 April earthquake. Nepal’s Na- humanitarian staging area at the Tribhuvan In-
tional Disaster Response Framework (NDRF) ternational Airport (TIA) facilitated the receipt
served as a key tool for coordination of earth- of cargo by air and by truck immediately after
quake response, facilitating decisions and in- the earthquake so that distribution around the
structions from the central government. The first country could commence.
meeting of the Central Disaster Relief Commit-
tee (CDRC) was held two hours after the first A UN flash appeal for support was launched on
earthquake, with the National Emergency Op- 29 April 2015 for a sum of US$ 422 million to
eration Centre (NEOC) providing an initial meet critical humanitarian needs for the follow-
report to the CDRC recommending a focus on ing three months. Till date, US$ 129.1 million
Search and Rescue (SAR), and lifesaving actions. or 31 percent of the appeal has been met.3
Financial resources from the Prime Minister’s
Disaster Relief Fund were immediately allocat- Transit shelters were established immediately in
ed, and the government’s Cluster mechanisms, Kathmandu with official support in designated
comprising 11 sectors, were instantly activated. public spaces. However, the supply of non-food
items, particularly tarpaulins, proved inadequate
The death toll Several donor meetings were convened to seek as the fear of being trapped drove many fami-
international assistance for search and rescue and lies, including those whose houses had not been
of young people
immediate relief operations. Though Nepal did damaged, to seek temporary shelter in the open.
could have been not have an integrated national search and rescue
much higher capacity formed prior to the event, the trained As is typical in disasters, community members
considering that human resource of the Nepal Army (NA), Nepal particularly youths were galvanized into action,
Police (NP) and Armed Police Force (APF) car- digging out neighbours from the rubble, and
nearly 7,000
ried out effective SAR, despite several limitations. providing whatever assistance they could be-
schools were The Indian National Disaster Response Force fore the arrival of rescue and relief teams. Local
completely or (NDRF), Indian Air Force and Indian Army governments were also hamstrung, having been
significantly Medical Corps were the first foreign contingents under-staffed for years and working without any
to land in Kathmandu within hours of the disas- elected officials. Many local authorities lost fam-
damaged
ter to help launch relief operations. ily members and their houses were destroyed
as well. Furthermore, the remoteness of several
Over time, 134 international SAR teams from villages in the affected areas, coupled with poor
34 countries responded to Nepal’s request for weather, hampered relief operations during the
help. The Ministry of Home Affairs (MoHA) initial days. Many district level offices provid-
reported that “for SAR, 4,236 helicopter flights ing public services were severely damaged or
were used (GoN/private), with 7,558 persons reduced to rubble, as a result of which many of-
xii 3
OCHA (2015)
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
ficials started functioning out of tents and tem- in the open. This put a tremendous demand on
porary shelters. the government and philanthropic associations
for materials to erect makeshift shelters and to
The network of NGOs and local affiliates of supply essentials. More than a month after the
INGOs based in Nepal swiftly rallied to sup- disaster, tens of thousands of people are still
port community rescue and relief efforts. Sev- reported to be living either in temporary or
eral volunteer groups, especially of youth and transitional shelters in spaces presumed to be
professionals like doctors and engineers, were safe from landslide and rain. The distribution
active in treating the wounded, setting up tem- of relief materials proved challenging because
porary shelters, supplying food and attending of the remoteness of many villages, rugged ter-
to vital needs. rain, threat of landslides, and logistical difficul-
ties. In the earliest days, when the coordinating
Disaster Effects authority of the District Administration Offices
The humanitarian challenge became immediate- had yet to be fully asserted, there were also du-
ly apparent as millions of people whose houses plication and imbalance in the supply of relief
were either destroyed and those who were fear- materials benefiting the more accessible villages
ful of imminent aftershocks started camping out disproportionately.
xiii
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Figure 2: share of Disaster Effects across Sectors by natural events of geological origin, whereby
the larger fraction of disaster effects represents
Cross-Cutting the destruction of physical and durable assets.
Issues 7%
Infrastructure
The share of estimated total disaster effects
Sectors among the main sectors of social and economic
10% activity (see Figure 2) reveals that the most af-
fected are social sectors (58 percent of the total
effects), which includes housing. This is fol-
Social Sectors
lowed by productive sectors (25 percent), infra-
Productive 58% structure (10 percent) and cross-cutting issues
Sectors (of which 86% in (7 percent).
25% housing sector)
to revive the social and productive sectors, it is schools. About a quarter of total hydroelectricity
critical to ensure availability of finance through generated in the country is also affected by the
banking and non-banking institutions includ- earthquake.
ing cooperatives for the recovery of the private
sector. The 14 worst-affected districts have a particu-
larly high absentee population, which migrates
With the exception of the Kathmandu Valley, overseas for jobs, and their remittances consti-
the central and western regions that have been tute an important share of household incomes.
affected by the earthquake are essentially rural. Tens of thousands of workers have returned
They are heavily dependent on agriculture for from overseas to help reconstruct their houses
livelihood, which the earthquakes and the en- in the quake-affected areas. The enhancement of
suing landslides have damaged. Furthermore, entrepreneurial skills and physical connectivity
these districts have a generally higher per unit of the affected areas to market centres, within
livestock than the national average, indicating and outside the district headquarters, is critical,
that the widespread loss of livestock, which is considering that the severely affected districts
another main source of income for rural house- together account for 30 percent of the total cot-
holds, will potentially cause a severe income tage industries in the country. Restoration as
shock in the short term. Some of the affected well as rebuilding of earthquake-resistant school
districts such as Gorkha have a skewed female buildings and community centres will also be
population due to male out-migration, which equally important to support both learning in
means women will take on a larger responsibil- a secure environment and to help the local au-
ity of rebuilding sectors like agriculture and live- thorities to efficiently manage resources and re-
stock. These rural districts also face a wide rev- lief operations at times of emergency.
enue-expenditure gap, suggesting the need for
transfer of funds to meet the local development Poverty and Human
and reconstruction tasks in the years ahead. Development
Further, they account for about 20 percent of Consumption based poverty – defined as the
strategic road networks and 23 percent of total percentage of Nepalis living below the national
400
350
300
250
200
in billion NPR
150
100
50
0
Housing and Human Settlements
Health
Education
Cultural Heritage
Agriculture
Irrigation
Commerce
Industry
Tourism
Finance
Electricity
Communications
Community Infrastructure
Transport
Governance
Damages Losses
xv
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The earthquakes poverty line of Rs.19,261 (per person per year) ging status in average income, education and
– stood at 25.2 percent in FY 2010-2011 which health outcomes. The population in the lowest
will end up
represents a spectacular decline from when two income quintiles is likely to be particular-
pushing an poverty was measured using similar data in FY ly affected. The loss of poorly built residential
additional 2.5 1995-1996. However, the earthquake has ex- houses, farmland and livestock will amplify the
to 3.5 percent posed one of the weaker aspects of the poverty income shock and push poor households be-
reduction experience in the country, namely the low the poverty line for an extended period if
Nepalis into
high degree of vulnerability. reconstruction and rehabilitation activities are
poverty in delayed. The geographical disaggregation of di-
2015-2016 Preliminary assessment of incidence and impact saster effects will have negative impacts on in-
which translates suggests that the earthquakes have dispropor- dividual households, decreasing personal capital
tionately affected the poorer, rural locations and incomes. Such impact includes losses in
into at least
relative to the urban and less poor areas. Even equivalent employment and in imputed person-
700,000 within the relatively prosperous areas that have al income to the tune of NPR 17,124 million
additional poor been affected, for example the Kathmandu Val- (see Table 1). Further, an analysis of the data for
ley, households that were already either poor each affected district, in combination with the
or vulnerable have been particularly exposed. data on population, reveals that the average val-
According to the World Bank’s simulations, ues of disaster effects per person range from a
the earthquakes will end up pushing an addi- high of NPR 255,860 per person in Dolakha to
tional 2.5 to 3.5 percent Nepalis into poverty NPR 43,800 in Makawanpur, with an average
in FY 2015-2016 which translates into at least of NPR 130,000 per person across the 14 most-
700,000 additional poor. Roughly 50 to 70 per- affected districts (see Table 2).
cent of the increase in poverty will come from
rural central hills and mountains where overall The pre-disaster HDI in the country was 0.491.
vulnerability prior to the earthquake was already The data included in Table 2 reveals that the
high. Additionally, the deterioration of water poorer population residing in the six lowest-
and sanitation services, disruption of schools HDI districts that witnessed disaster effects
and health services, and the possible increase in above NPR 130,000 per person are in Dolakha,
food insecurity may lead to a bigger impact on Sindhupalchowk, Gorkha, Nuwakot, Rasuwa
multidimensional poverty. and Dhading, which confirms that the poorest
and the most vulnerable people usually sustain
Nine of the 14 severely affected districts have the worst impact of disasters. Further, the in-
human development index (HDI) scores lower habitants in the higher-HDI districts of Kath-
than the national average, indicating their lag- mandu, Lalitpur, Bhaktapur, Kavrepalanchowk
600 24%
517,434
500
in billion NPR
400
Private Public
300 540,362 166,100
200
189,027
100
0
Damages Losses
xvi
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and Makawanpur sustained disaster effects low- Table 2. Per Capita Disaster Effects and Pre-Disaster HDI in Most-
er than the average value of NPR 130,000 per Affected Districts
person. These facts, coupled with the distinction Per capita
between the urban and rural economy of such Disaster
District HDI
Effects, NPR/
districts, need to be taken into consideration in person
the formulation of the recovery and reconstruc- Dolakha 255,860 0.459
tion strategy in view of the differential impact
Sindhupalchowk 233,370 0.455
felt by the population of each district.
Gorkha 209,080 0.481
Gender Equality and Social Nuwakot 204,930 0.466
Inclusion Rasuwa 179,700 0.461
The disadvantaged social groups in the poorer Dhading 149,580 0.461
districts have suffered the largest damage and Kavrepalanchowk 119,200 0.520
loss. The majority of the agricultural and in-
Ramechhap 112,740 0.468
formal sector workers are female due to the low
capital entry requirement of the informal sector Bhaktapur 78,770 0.573
and lack of livelihood options. The widespread Okhaldhunga 74,500 0.468
loss of food stocks, potential loss in crop pro- Sindhuli 57,865 0.440
ductivity and loss of livestock as well as small Lalitpur 52,765 0.601
scale enterprises will likely cause a severe income Kathmandu 49,495 0.632
shock for women who rely on this sector.
Makawanpur 43,760 0.497
Source: Estimations by PDNA Team and UNDP
A narrow asset base, burden of domestic work,
limited access to economic resources combined
with the lack of alternate livelihoods also mean to activities that are compatible with their do-
that recovery for women may take longer than mestic obligations.
for men who have more livelihood options.
Dalits and other marginalized groups, and peo- Families are deploying different coping mecha-
ple living in remote geographical regions who nisms to deal with the disaster, including dis-
are already deprived of access to social services, tress sales of assets and receipt of remittances.
will face similar challenges. However, for vulnerable families, the loss of as-
sets combined with the loss of family protection,
The housing sector, which is the hardest hit, has a and desperation for alternate livelihoods could
bearing on gender equality and social inclusion. have disastrous consequences on women, girls
Women, Dalits and some ethnic groups have and children who may face heightened risk of
limited ownership of land, which could hinder sexual and gender-based violence, human traf-
their participation in the housing recovery pro- ficking, child marriage, and child labour.
gramme and the benefits accruing from them.
Senior citizens, female-headed households and Macroeconomic Impact
people living with disabilities (PLWDs) have After decades of political instability, Nepal had
also been heavily affected as many do not have begun gearing up for a higher trajectory of eco-
the means to reconstruct their houses. nomic growth. The earthquake upsets the nation’s
high aspirations for swifter economic progress in
The destruction of water supply and sanitation the short run.
facilities will have a direct negative impact on
women and girls as they will now have to fetch Real Sector
water from greater distance. The work burden Annual economic growth in FY 2014-2015 is
on women, and the disproportionate cost borne expected to be the lowest in eight years, at 3 per-
by them in the household economy, not only cent (basic prices). The earthquakes suppressed
limits the time they can spend in economic ac- an earlier projection of 4.6 percent by over 1.5
tivities but restricts them spatially and culturally points (see Figure 5). Compared to FY 2013-
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Figure 5: impact on Gdp growth In services, tourism has been adversely affected with
Post-earthquake GDP growth dropped
every nine in ten planned foreign arrivals cancelled
by over 1.5 percentage points from the
estimated 4.6% pre-earthquake
in the aftermath of the quakes which occurred dur-
6 ing the first of the two major seasons of the year.
The main earthquake and prolonged aftershocks
5.1 caused damage to seven out of 10 World Heritage
4.6 4.6 sites in the Kathmandu Valley and affected popular
4.3
trekking routes. Destroyed tourism-related supply
Percent
3.9 3.8
of services and decreased tourist spending are likely
to lead to a loss of NPR 62 billion over the next
two years. Conditional on low or no seismic activ-
ity over the coming months, tourism can rebound
somewhat by the autumn, and strongly by next
spring’s climbing season.
4
The economic impact on GDP, estimated at NPR 31 billion (in basic price), is the difference between the Gross Value Added estimated
just prior to the earthquake on April 22 and the revised projection of June 6.
5
The System of National Accounts (SNA) 1993 defines services of owner-occupied dwellings as “own household unincorporated enter-
prises that produce housing services for their own consumption.” These are included within the production boundary of the SNA.
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ever, about 800 km of distribution lines at dif- mid-July 2015, there will be a shortfall of about
ferent voltage levels and 365 transformers at dif- 8 percent. This sets up a much lower base for FY
ferent capacity are out of service. For generation 2015-2016, where the target now is to raise only
plants under construction, about 1,000 MW of between NPR 460 and NPR 480 billion against a
hydropower projects, owned both by indepen- projection of NPR 512 billion prior to the earth-
dent power producers and the Nepal Electricity quake. Of the five major sources, customs and
Authority, have been partially damaged. those deemed non-tax revenue have seen the larg-
est drop in collection. This is because of reduced
Fiscal and monetary sectors imports, including luxurious items such as mo-
Public revenues have taken a direct hit in the af- torized vehicles. A preliminary debt sustainability
termath of the quake. It is now certain that the analysis indicates that Nepal may be able to main-
target for revenue collection in the current fiscal tain its current low debt distress rating. However,
year, of NPR 423 billion, will not be met. With close monitoring and concessional support will
only NPR 390 billion expected to be raised by be needed to cope with the upward pressure.
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Broad money is not expected to grow by more US$ 6.7 billion (see Table 3) over a number of
than 17.5 percent and inflation is expected to be years depending on the sector. Furthermore, the
contained within single digits during FY 2014- government’s revenue growth has slowed down
2015. However, the differences in sector specific in the short term, as a result of disrupted business
inflation rates will be amplified going forward activities. The slack in aggregate demand coming
as demand for reconstruction inputs increase. from the private sector and the costs to rehabilitate
In FY 2015-2016, as a result of an expansion- and reconstruct public goods such as schools, hos-
ary budget, and, likely supply-side bottlenecks, pitals, heritage monuments, roads, energy projects,
an inflationary pressure is expected to build up and water supply systems, among others, will exert
further. There will also be an upward pressure substantial pressure on public finances as will an-
on wages of both skilled and unskilled workers. nounced subsidies to private home owners. There
are limits to internal borrowing. To finance the
External sector rehabilitation and reconstruction cost, the govern-
As a result of the earthquake, export-oriented ment has set up a National Reconstruction Fund
industries have been damaged. Further, do- of NPR 200 billion, to which it has already com-
mestic consumption of items that are normally mitted NPR 20 billion.
exported have increased, reducing estimated ex-
ports by about 6 percent, as compared with the Towards Resilience
previous year. Imports are likely to expand as a Disaster Risk Reduction and Build Back
result of increased demand for machinery parts, Better
food, medicines, and construction materials. In the recovery and reconstruction phase it is criti-
The fall in the world price of petroleum prod- cal to prevent actions that end up creating disaster
ucts checked the growth in import bills this year. risks by increasing public awareness, and investing
in the principle of Build Back Better (BBB). Noting
There is an expected surge in both international the limited priority and resources given to Disaster
transfers and remittances. However, the trade im- Risk Reduction (DRR) prior to the earthquake, im-
balance will worsen this year and the next. Exports provements are urgently needed in the DRR system
are unlikely to pick up rapidly because of the un- in Nepal in the short (up to one year), medium (two
certain investment climate. Imports are expected to three years), and long (four to five years) term to
to grow by about 18 percent in FY 2015-2016. enhance the resilience of the country.
The recently Overall, the narrative of the Nepali economy Short-term priorities include:
is one that has struggled with the challenge of • reconstruction of damaged DRR assets and
secured political
triggering sustained growth, yet was supported improvements on BBB principle;
consensus to by a reasonably comfortable fiscal space and • measures to improve preparedness, response,
promulgate a balance of payments (BoP). With the need for relief and logistics systems;
new constitution rehabilitation and reconstruction looming large, • measures to strengthen information and
the challenge ahead is to garner resources from communication capacities for relief, response
at the earliest
within and abroad in a manner that does not and recovery; and
adds optimism strain macro-prudential norms and disciplines • measures to enhance multi-hazard risk mon-
towards on internal and external borrowing. The recent- itoring, vulnerability assessment, risk infor-
restoring the ly secured consensus among the largest political mation dissemination and awareness.
parties to promulgate a new constitution at the
trajectory of
earliest adds optimism to efforts aimed at restor- Medium to long term priorities include:
higher economic ing the trajectory of higher economic growth. A • improvements in legal and institutional ar-
growth push towards economic reforms has to continue rangements;
so that the investment climate is friendlier. • measures to mainstream DRR into the de-
velopmental sector, particularly housing, pri-
Financial Requirements vate and public infrastructure, social sectors
The nation will require substantial external assis- (health and education), and livelihood; and
tance to meet the rehabilitation and reconstruction • measures to improve integration of climate
costs, estimated to be at least NPR 669 billion or change adaptation and DRR.
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The government will develop a seismic policy In view of exceptionally huge recovery needs, the Strong political
and set up a network for seismic monitoring government would need to undertake a sustained
will, sustained
throughout the country, and promote seismo- effort to mobilize financial resources. As is the
logical research. The policy will include the case in most recovery programmes, the resources resource
revision of building codes, development of would be pooled through several windows of mobilization
building by-laws for all municipal areas, appli- funding: own resource mobilization including and continuous
cation of Mandatory Rule of Thumb (MRT) in budgetary reallocations, grants from multilat-
dialogue with the
rural areas, and development of risk-sensitive eral and bilateral agencies, contributions from the
land use plans for all the municipalities of the private sector and citizens, loans from IFIs, and affected people,
country. The recovery programme must make reallocations from existing project portfolios. The are among the
Nepal more earthquake-resistant. Along with resources would be pooled in a way that it would most important
seismic policies, the government will implement keep the debt ratio within manageable levels, and
prerequisites
a number of DRR measures targeting second- utilize grants assistance to the extent possible.
ary disasters. It will undertake risk assessment of a recovery
which provides a basis for mitigation measures A recovery programme involves implement- programme
at the community level. As part of the recovery ing a large number of activities in a relatively
programme, the government will support early short period of time, which requires enormous
warning and preparedness measures and sup- preparation in institutional, financial and logis-
port strengthening and retrofitting of schools tical terms to support implementation. It also
and hospitals that are critical to risk reduction calls for relevant technologies, regulations, and
in Nepal. To effectively mainstream DRR in de- innovations to meet the demands arising from
velopment planning, the government will also the extremely dynamic context of the recovery
undertake a number of measures to strengthen programme. The objective is to promote the
disaster risk governance. principle of BBB in recovery and reconstruc-
tion. Given the recurrence of disasters and vul-
Pathways to Recovery nerability of the country, it is only appropriate
As the earthquakes in Nepal have left a large that recovery and reconstruction should be im-
part of the country shaken, the need for re- plemented in a way that it contributes to the re-
covery is immediate and urgent. People have silience of the country, reflected in its economy,
already initiated their efforts for recovery, and social cohesion and governance.
they expect the government to help in the pro-
cess as quickly as possible. As the government There are several aspects of recovery which can be
prepares to develop a large-scale recovery pro- implemented only by developing a national con-
gramme on the basis of the PDNA results, there sensus. Strong political will, sustained resource
is a widely shared realization that it has to be a mobilization and continuous dialogue with the
multi-pronged effort with a strong orientation affected people, are among the most important
towards the poorest and the most vulnerable. prerequisites of a recovery programme. The pro-
While the government would plan, organize vision of income generating activities, skills de-
and facilitate the recovery programme, it has to velopment and community mobilization are cata-
be supported by other sectors of Nepali society lytic for swift recovery and enhanced resilience.
and economy— the private sector, NGOs, and In addition to existing institutional arrangements
international development partners. of the government’s social assistance programme
for vulnerable groups, cash transfers will be es-
The total recovery needs of NPR 669 billion or sential to support vulnerable single women and
US$ 6.7 billion take into account the cost of widows, PLWDs, Dalits, disadvantaged groups,
reconstruction with better specifications, equip- and children from households that have suffered
ment, improved governance and risk reduction. catastrophic economic losses.
While calculating the recovery needs, it does
not consider the replacement value, particularly Women and marginalized groups have unique
with respect to the housing sector. It specifies a capacities to drive resilience building of com-
core house with a minimum area as the recovery munities, given the right support. Overall,
need, and estimates the total needs on the basis women’s dominance in the agricultural and in-
of the cost of construction per square feet. formal sector means that they will play a critical
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role in the recovery and rebuilding of Nepal if including capacity building and upgrading of
Nepal also supported appropriately. Equitable economic skills and knowledge, will have a positive effect
needs to tap growth can lead them out of their disadvantaged on the intangible culture.
unconventional conditions, increase resilience and lead to higher
assets at its rates of economic growth. Post-disaster recovery While the earthquake recovery in Nepal will
will therefore be more effective and sustainable draw upon all the good practices followed in oth-
disposal such if gender equality and social inclusion are ac- er recovery programmes in South Asia and else-
as the growing knowledged as one of the key guiding principles where, it has to be developed and implemented
financial and of implementation. in a way that is uniquely Nepali. The people of
technical clout Nepal have demonstrated considerable resilience
The recovery strategy would have special focus in coping with many adversities. Nepal also has
of the diaspora, on the restoration and reconstruction of all a lot of experience in recovery and reconstruc-
skills of temporary damaged and collapsed historic buildings in- tion following natural disasters and conflicts in
migrants, the spirit cluding refurbishment of cultural institutions the country. The government will draw upon its
of volunteerism of and museums. Expertise is needed in the fields own national experiences and resources to sup-
of structural and seismic engineering, architec- port recovery and develop institutions, pools of
its youth at home ture and conservation as well as other areas re- resources and practices to implement recovery,
and abroad, and lated to preserving cultural heritage. It will be knowing that the challenges of difficult terrain
new sources of imperative to rope in specialists in intangible can be handled by creating strong social capital
philanthropy heritage such as anthropologists, art historians, and effective local governance. Nepal also needs
linguists, ethno-musicologists, among others, to to tap unconventional assets at its disposal such
investigate losses and help communities iden- as the growing financial and technical clout of
tify ways to revitalize their traditions. The im- the diaspora, skills of temporary migrants, the
pact of investing generously in the preservation spirit of volunteerism of its youth at home and
and conservation of Nepal’s cultural heritage, abroad, and new sources of philanthropy.
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6
The PDNA provides informed estimates of the damages, losses and needs in each of the 23 sectors and themes it covers. This is sufficient to
show the approximate overall damages, losses and needs, as well as the relative impact between sectors.
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teams assessed damages, losses and needs in these household impacts in terms of decline in per-
Based on the 14 districts. In respect to the remaining districts, sonal income and access to social services. The
estimation of they have been covered by the sector teams on values assessed by all the sectors have been aggre-
damages and the basis of availability of data, which implies gated, and the total value of damages and losses
losses as well that there are variations in geographical coverage caused by the earthquakes has been arrived at.
across the sectors. The cross-sectoral linkages have made it possible
as qualitative to avoid double or multiple counting in estimat-
impacts, each The sector teams conducted the assessment through: ing the value of effects.
sector has specified • the collection of pre-disaster baseline data to
recovery needs compare with post-disaster conditions; The aggregate value of damages and losses as
• the evaluation of disaster effects and im- well as qualitative information available through
and suggested pacts in each sector to determine the overall a household survey has facilitated the estimation
implementation recovery needs; of economic impact at macro and micro levels,
arrangements • the prioritization of these recovery needs by and on human development. Two independent
way of a recovery strategy; and chapters are devoted to the assessment of these
• a recovery strategy that suggests appropriate impacts.
interventions to meet priority recovery needs.
Furthermore, the national accounts data freshly
Most of the sector teams conducted field visits to released by the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS)
assess the destruction of housing, infrastructure were used as a benchmark to guide the assessment of
and social amenities, and estimate the impact on change in flows across 15 major economic sectors.
production of goods and delivery of services. They
assessed how the disasters affected governance ar- Based on the estimation of damages and losses
rangements and brought out the context of risks as well as qualitative impacts, each sector has
and vulnerabilities in each sector. In the course of specified recovery needs7 and suggested imple-
the assessment, a number of cross-cutting issues mentation arrangements. This includes the cost
such as gender and social inclusion, disaster risk of reconstruction of destroyed assets, provision
reduction and governance have been addressed. of services, improved specifications and risk re-
Each sector has also discussed the impact of the duction measures. The cost of recovery needs
disaster in qualitative terms and outlined the has not been estimated at the replacement value;
emerging issues arising from the disaster. rather, a cost estimate has been provided on the
basis of fiscal prudence and acceptable levels of
Most of the sectors have valued the effects, recovery. The total cost of recovery, which in-
which includes the value of damages to infra- cludes the cost of reconstruction of destroyed
structure and assets, as well as losses due to assets, has been arrived at through aggregation
changes in financial flows, in Nepali Rupees and of the cost of recovery needs of all sectors. An
US dollars. A number of assessments in social overarching strategy has also been suggested for
and productive sectors have also estimated the the recovery programme covering all the sectors.
7
Recovery needs are derived on the basis of disaster effects and disaster impacts in each sector. Recovery needs are determined for four components: (i) the reconstruction of
damaged infrastructure and physical assets; (ii) the resumption of production, service delivery and access to goods and services; (iii) the restoration of governance and decision
making processes; and (iv) the reduction of risks.
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SOCIAL
SECTORS
Nutrition
Education
Cultural Heritage
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4
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Computing Damages and Losses: Damages Recovery and Reconstruction Needs: Based
are defined as the combined replacement cost on the damages and losses, the recovery and re-
of destroyed houses, the repair cost of partially construction needs were estimated to be NPR
damaged houses, the replacement cost of house- 327,762 million. These include the costs of
hold goods destroyed, and damages to the real providing transitional sheltering, permanent
estate sector. Losses are the combined cost of de- housing reconstruction with structural resil-
molition and clearing, costs of provision of tran- ience, demolition and debris clearance, repairs
sitional shelter, rental losses, and losses sustained and retrofitting, clustering of dwellings to safe
by the real estate sector. locations, training and facilitation, and urban
planning, including heritage settlement plan-
The assessment targeted the 31 districts that were ning. Housing and settlements have been re-
declared affected by the Government of Nepal viewed to ensure the disaster resilience of the
(GoN).The 2011 Census provided the base- entire community keeping in mind aspects
line and the Nepal Government Disaster Risk of location-based vulnerability. The data for
8
The damage data on private housing was captured as of May 28, 2015.
5
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clustering of dwellings to safe locations in all struct their houses in the building typology and
the affected districts could not be verified at the size of their choice by adding resources from their
time of preparation of PDNA. Clustering cases own savings or labour provided the construction
require careful and detailed analysis of landslide complies with GoN’s disaster-resistant construc-
risks and socio-economic impacts, along with tion guidelines. From a settlement planning view,
close consultation with impacted communities. reconstruction also presents an opportunity to up-
grade living conditions.
The recovery of the housing sector would be
based on the principles of equity, inclusion and The total number of houses to be reconstructed
community participation through an owner- has been calculated on the basis of number of
driven reconstruction (ODR) approach to build households made homeless. Considering the av-
back better. Depending on the extent of dam- erage number of households per house for each
age, affected families will receive support in district, the total requirement came to 609,938
reconstructing, repairing and retrofitting their houses. This number may change after the much-
houses, in the form of financial assistance, tech- needed household assessment of damages.
nical guidance, social mobilization and skill
upgrade. Financial assistance in tranches will be Pre-Disaster Context and Baseline
based on compliance with disaster-resistant con-
struction guidelines as laid down by GoN. Policies on Housing and Settlements
Several Constitutional Acts and policies are par-
For remote areas, heritage settlements and urban ticularly relevant for the housing and settlements
areas, special assistance packages may be consid- sector. The 2007 Interim Constitution of Nepal
ered over and above the basic recovery package. states the responsibility of the state to provide land
Providing handholding support to owners will to the economically weak and/or landless sections.
require a well-defined human resource set-up of The 2012 National Shelter Policy enunciates the
master artisans, junior and senior engineers, and right to safe and adequate housing for all. The
community organizers, coordinated at the Village 2007 National Urban Policy calls for settlement
Development Committee (VDC), district and na- and economic activities that promote a balanced
tional levels, respectively, and guided by a Techni- national urban structure; development of safe and
cal Committee. This will also help regenerate the prosperous settlement areas by increasing resil-
local economy. Further, clustering of communities ience against environmental shocks and stresses;
should be exercised only in special circumstances. and effective urban management through capacity
House owners will have an opportunity to con- development of local bodies.
The 2012 National Land Use Policy classifies dif- neering practice. However, the current Act does
ferent categories of land, with a focus on optimal not include any liability provision. The National
utilization and enforcement of land use control. Plan of Action for Safer Building Construction
It encourages relocation of settlements from haz- is a comprehensive action plan, which is cur-
ard-prone areas and settlement development in rently in a draft stage.
hazard free, safer locations. The implementation
of this policy is being strengthened with a three- Issues Related to Land Tenure
tier participatory land use planning exercise. The existing land administration in Nepal is parcel
based. The land registration system, introduced in
The 1999 Local Self Governance Act (LSGA) 1965, is based on cadastral maps with a unique real
provides a mandate to local bodies (VDC, Dis- estate identifier or parcel number. Different ten-
trict Development Committee [DDC], Ward ure systems (among them, statutory, customary,
Committee and Municipality [MNC]) mainly religious and informal, urban and rural) co-exist
for development planning and budgeting, build- in Nepal. Almost all cultivable land, 27 percent of
ing local infrastructure, providing basic services, the total land mass comprising about 30 million
maintaining records and protecting public land, parcels, is registered with formal tenure.
and mobilizing and coordinating local develop-
ment partners. Local bodies are also responsible There are three official land tenure systems in
for implementing land use policy, enforcing and Nepal. These includestate-owned land (land
monitoring the building code, and ensuring the owned by government agencies, and public land
construction of disaster-resilient infrastructure owned by local bodies), rural marketplaces, cem-
at the local level. In addition, the 2013 Environ- eteries, temples and playgrounds, among others;
ment Friendly Local Governance (EFLG) Frame- private land, where the ownership certificate or
work seeks to promote voluntary compliance in title ensures formal rights to all owner-registered
the environmental management sector at the lo- land; and Guthi land which is owned by trusts
cal level. It elaborates the process, mechanism and and community groups, which, as a tenure sys-
motivation for achieving and recognizing a set of tem, may be of significance for addressing issues
indicators for VDCs, DDCs and MNCs. of heritage settlements.
The 1999 Building Act promotes safer building In addition to these, there are several religious and
practices covering four types of buildings, namely traditional types of tenure that are not recorded
those that are state of the art; professionally engi- in the land register; informal and squatter settle-
neered; constructed according to the mandatory ments, as well as dual ownership with tenancy.
rule of thumb (MRT); and rural buildings. The
Nepal National Building Code (NBC), too, has The residential and agricultural land of almost
been developed along these lines. The Depart- all earthquake-affected areas is mapped and reg-
ment of Urban Development and Building Con- istered with formal titles. Some land parcels in
struction (DUDBC) is recognized as the central newly settled areas on the periphery of villages
institution for implementation of the building may be unmapped or unregistered and hence
code and monitoring local bodies. may lack formal title.
DUDBC is also the implementing and moni- Men own most of the houses. Less than 20 percent
toring authority for apartments in the country. of land parcels (including houses) are owned by
The 1997 Apartment Act promotes apartment women, the majority of which are in urban areas.
living as one of the ways to solve the increasing
demand for housing. Urban Growth and Current Planning Initia-
tives
The 1999 Nepal Engineers Act provides the
basis for a registration system for engineers Urban Settlements and Population Influx
through the Nepal Engineering Council (NEC), Nepal, a predominantly rural country, has expe-
which has put in place a system of competency- rienced increased urbanization in recent decades,
based registration with periodic renewal in order with a current urbanization level of about 38
to bring a positive change in the current engi- percent and a decadal urban growth rate of 6.4
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percent from 2001 to 2011. In the same period, and semi-rural areas, where there is no building
Kathmandu alone has had a 61 percent decadal permit system or compliance mechanism, local
growth, with a disproportionate influx from rural artisans provide all the necessary technical and
areas. This raises concerns of disaster risks to cit- management support for construction, with the
ies. The 2015 earthquake affected a total of 41 house owner’s family pitching in with labour. The
municipalities and many market areas. house grows incrementally over a period of time.
Urban Planning and Development -- In the urban areas, the role of the house owner
A Case of Kathmandu Valley changes to managing construction materials
Land use change modelling and analysis has and labour, and the whole construction process
shown that the urban morphology of Kathmandu requires a much larger cash flow. Construction
Valley has changed drastically in the past two in urban areas involves petty contractors and,
decades, with a 211 percent increase in built-up sometimes, engineers and architects. Municipal
area between 1992 and 2012. This has occurred areas have mandated building permit and com-
through an equivalent loss of cultivated land and pliance systems.
significant encroachment of open spaces. This,
coupled with significantly increasing density, has Based on the predominant building types in
increased the urban risks in Kathmandu Valley. the affected areas, housing can be categorized
into four main types based on their vertical
The Kathmandu Valley Development Author- and lateral load-bearing systems, in line with
ity (KVDA) is in the process of implementing the 2011 Census:
a 20-year (2015-2035) Strategic Development • Low-strength masonry buildings are con-
Master Plan. Its four major focus areas include structed locally (in available stone, fired brick
infrastructure improvements, environmental and sun-dried brick) in mud mortar. They are
improvements, urban regeneration, and land use typically two-storey buildings excluding the
planning with a focus on risk-sensitive land use attic, with timber or bamboo floors overlaid
planning (RSLUP). with mud. The roofs are mostly of timber
or bamboo covered with tiles, slate, shingles
National Urban Development Strategy or corrugated galvanized iron (CGI) sheets.
The National Urban Development Strategy (at The walls tend to be very thick, depending
present in the approval phase) seeks to promote upon the type of walling units. The seismic
resilience in urban development by means of cli- capacity of these buildings is very low, limit-
mate change adaptation; development in safer lo- ed by the integrity of structural components,
cations; review and enforcement of building codes, strength of walls, and lack of elements tying
regulations, guidelines and planning by-laws; and the structure together (ring beams at wall or
building the capacity of government institutions roof level). Vertical and horizontal wooden
and local bodies. Some immediate proposed pro- elements are sometimes embedded in walls,
grammes for fostering resilience in urban devel- providing some level of earthquake resis-
opment include the following: preparation of tance, but this is very uncommon.
RSLUP; completion of the Kathmandu Urban • Cement-mortared masonry buildings have
Transport Master Plan (KUTMP); revision of walls of fired brick, concrete block or stone
building by-laws; establishment of a hierarchy of in cement-sand mortar and are usually con-
road networks; modification in land readjustment structed up to three storeys. The floors and
regulations; regeneration of traditional agropoli- roofs are made of reinforced concrete or re-
tan settlements; development, conservation and inforced brick concrete. Despite the use of
management of multipurpose open spaces; and high-quality materials, these buildings suffer
institutional and capacity-building of KVDA for from deficient construction practices. Provi-
planning and implementation. sion of earthquake-resistant features is not
commonly found in these buildings.
House Construction Process and Build- • Reinforced concrete frames with masonry
ing Typologies infill consist of cast-in-situ concrete frames
A large majority of houses in Nepal are non- with masonry partition and infill walls
engineered and constructed by owners them- (brick, block or stone masonry) that are not
selves through the non-formal sector. In rural tied to the frame. With floors and roofs of
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reinforced concrete slabs, these buildings are mortar or reinforced concrete; and non-engi-
usually constructed up to four storeys, but neered buildings. Efforts to improve the building
buildings up to even 20 storeys have been stock were mostly concentrated in urban areas,
observed. Despite the use of high quality ma- with little dissemination of knowledge in rural
terials and the fact that seismic detailing has areas where most of the houses are constructed
become more common in recent years, the with traditional materials.
vast majority of these buildings suffer from
deficient construction practices. Additionally, there is a strong culture of extend-
• Wood and bamboo buildings are constructed ing the house both vertically and horizontally,
with wooden planks, thatch or bamboo strip with no consideration given to the structural
walling materials, with flexible floors and strength of the original building. This issue is par-
roof. These suffered less damage from the ticularly relevant for vertical extensions. Further,
earthquake due to their light weight. this problem has been exacerbated by a lack of
maintenance of old buildings.
Post-Disaster Context
Types of Building Damage
Analysis of Building Damage The 498,852 houses that are either fully col-
A large-scale survey by MoHA during the month lapsed or damaged beyond repair as well as the
following the earthquake showed that a total of 256,697 partially damaged houses have been
498,852 houses collapsed fully or were dam- distributed in the three building typologies of
aged beyond repair and 256,697 houses were low-strength masonry, cement-based masonry
partly damaged. However, this rapid assessment and reinforced concrete frame. The extent of
is not a technical assessment and does not cat- physical damage to the three building types
egorize the damage by building type or urban/ was calculated on the basis of vulnerability
rural context. For operationalizing the recovery curves developed by the National Society for
strategy, a more rigorous technical household as- Earthquake Technology (NSET). Based on the
sessment will be undertaken. field observation, the main types of physical
damage were identified as follows:
The catastrophic effects of the earthquake on the
built environment of Nepal was primarily the Main Types of Damage in Masonry Build-
result of the significant seismic vulnerability of ings
unreinforced masonry buildings that predomi- Lack of integrity between different structural mem-
nate throughout the country. There is a general bers and inherent weak properties of the materials
lack of awareness of seismic risk in communities, was the main cause of failures in masonry build-
coupled with a lack of dissemination of improved ings. This resulted in parapet and gable wall top-
construction practices (particularly in rural ar- pling; delamination of low-strength masonry walls;
eas), and a slow mechanism for enforcement of out-of-plane toppling of walls; corner separation of
the relevant building codes. walls; various types of wall failures under in-plane
loading such as diagonal cracks, sliding cracks,
Most of the areas where buildings suffered damage crushing of piers, failure of spandrels; and collapse
were not subject to enforcement of the NBC and of floor and roof due to loss of vertical load-bearing
standards. Even in municipal areas where compli- elements such as walls.
ance with the NBC is required for new buildings,
the implementation mechanism is weak. Most Main Types of Damage in Reinforced Con-
of the buildings that suffered damage were old crete (RC)Buildings
constructions in mud mortar, without adequate Damage to RC buildings was predominantly
seismic-resilient detailing; buildings marked by due to lack of strength and ductility. This re-
deficient construction practices, whether cement sulted in toppling of parapets, infill walls and
Table 1.3: Existing Building Typologies in the 31 Affected Districts (Ref CBS 2011)
Low-strength masonry Cement-based masonry Reinforced concrete frame Wood and bamboo based
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Besides, long-term comprehensive urban recov- pleted. People must be informed of ways to im-
ery planning should keep in mind projections of prove the transitional shelters as they may have
population, urban structures, risk-sensitive land to inhabit them for a couple of years.
use plan, transport plan, and risk assessment.
This requires a review of future seismic hazards Demolition, Debris Clearance and
based on the latest knowledge of seismology and Salvaging Material
geo-tech studies, including an analysis of re- This process needs to be undertaken at the ear-
corded data of the 2015 Nepal earthquake, and liest before owners can go ahead with recon-
seismic specifications for structures as in NBC struction. It provides an opportunity for house
105 and NBC 108, among others. This exercise owners to salvage materials as well. Field obser-
should also take into account other hazards such vations have shown that owners of low-strength
as flooding and landslides. masonry buildings were able to quickly demol-
ish and salvage materials, and that a significant
Within the urban environment, three distinct portion of such houses was, in fact, salvageable.
urban categories are emerging and each one Owners of RC frame buildings are in a more
demands well targeted and specialized inter- difficult situation as damaged buildings that are
ventions. These include the Kathmandu Val- still standing may be in a perilous state and may
ley metropolitan and sub-metropolitan areas, require special skills and tools for demolition.
heritage settlements, and smaller and relatively Moreover, debris disposal will have to be care-
newer municipalities. Settlements with heritage fully planned keeping in mind environmental
importance will require a special focus to ensure considerations, so as to avoid blocking water-
improvement in the housing stock while retain- ways or damaging agricultural lands.
ing their heritage value. Similarly, infrastructural
needs of small and new municipal areas need to Planning for Reconstruction
be identified and planned during reconstruction. A comprehensive, rigorous and transparent
There is an urgent need for balanced growth by household damage assessment and eligibility
developing smaller municipalities on the basis of survey are required to understand the nature and
a regional planning perspective. Housing recon- extent of damage and formulate eligibility crite-
struction should follow this overall framework. ria for the governmentto plan its reconstruction
assistance programme. Detailed policy packages
On the other hand, to mitigate the effect of di- for house reconstruction, repair and retrofitting
sasters on high-rise buildings, a building code will be required for all affected social groups,
regulation on anti-seismic high-rise structures, particularly the poor and vulnerable, tenants,
with regulations covering the height of build- women-headed households, and families liv-
ings, proportion of floor space to the occupied ing in remote areas. Important early activities
ground, along with appropriate development for long-term recovery include large-scale com-
control rules with institutional enforcement and munication of the reconstruction programme,
management capacity, is required. communication of safe construction practices
(since many have already started rebuilding) and
Strategy for Transition and the setting up of a cascading social-technical
Reconstruction Phase facilitation mechanism for recovery (at the na-
tional, district and local level).
Strategy for the Transitional Phase
In the short term, the focus of the recovery Strategy for the Reconstruction Phase
strategy will be: The entire housing reconstruction process is
• on addressing the immediate needs of the af- likely to take up to five years. The reconstruc-
fected people during the transitional phase; and tion process will empower communities and
• on planning, preparing and commencing the households to take charge of their own recovery
reconstruction phase. through the ODR approach wherever possible.
Households will be facilitated with significant
Solutions for transitional shelter are needed so technical assistance to manage reconstruction.
that people can live with a certain degree of Housing reconstruction grants will be provided
comfort and dignity untill permanent recon- in tranches, based on compliance with GoN’s
struction or repair and retrofitting work is com- disaster-resistant construction guidelines. Cas-
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cading training programmes will be needed on a enforcement of building standards; and the lack
large scale to build the necessary pool of trained of high-technical capacities in private engineer-
masons, carpenters and artisans. ing practice, among others.
Specific strategies will be required to address the Overall 609,938 housing units will need to
complex process of recovery of urban environ- be constructed and 256,697 houses will re-
ments, among them the management of demo- quire repair and retrofitting in the course of
lition in dense neighbourhoods, fragmentation the reconstruction programme.
of building ownership, high level of tenancies,
the heterogeneity of community structures and, Implementation Arrangements
particularly, the dynamic migration patterns of The success of the recovery strategy will depend
urban populations. The tools and activities to on its implementation mechanism and modali-
support urban recovery would include monitor- ties. The main components of the strategy are to:
ing systems for urban displacement and migra- • ensure identification of affected households
tion; detailed hazard mapping; participatory through transparent and comprehensive
planning exercises; rapid urban expansion stud- criteria,accompanied by a robust mechanism
ies; facilitated management structures (bringing of vetting and redressing grievances; and
together communities, government and the pri- • empower and facilitate house owners through
vate sector); and rental stock support plans. an owner-led reconstruction mechanism.
Apart from ensuring that all homes are rebuilt to Careful consideration will be required for hous-
hazard-resilient standards, reconstruction aims es accommodating more than one family or
to start addressing underlying processes that cre- comprising absentee members, women-headed
ate vulnerability, going beyond the areas affected households or those belonging to marginalized
by the earthquake. As such, recovery should fos- caste groups. Affected communities in remote
ter reformative rather than restorative processes areas may also require more attention, particu-
by tackling the underlying causes of vulnerabil- larly for transport of material, cash transfers,
ity and risks, based on in-depth studies. Com- technical facilitation, and monitoring.
mon causes of vulnerability include the lack of
dissemination of knowledge, leading to low risk Building Damage and Eligibility Survey
awareness; inadequate training among artisans A household damage assessment and eligibility
and builders in safe construction practices; lax survey is critical for identifying specific damages
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to housing in order to ascertain the eligibility household (through an MoU), committing to the
for housing recovery assistance in a uniform and roles and responsibilities of the household, such as
transparent manner. The survey should be con- abiding by officially approved standards and using
ducted at the earliest, namely before households assistance only for housing construction,opening
commence the process of demolition and follow a bank account to receive assistance, and receiving
it up with the construction of new houses in training on reconstruction practices.
their efforts at self-recovery.
Building Construction Technologies,
The assessment will link a particular aspect of Materials and Labour
damage and building typology to a specific safe
reconstruction activity (such as the repair of a Building Construction Technologies
wall or complete reconstruction of a building Enhancements are required to ensure that re-
of a certain type) and assistance package. In- construction adheres to practices that build
formation gathered from the survey can further back better. Most heavily damaged buildings did
serve as the basis for a powerful management not comply with any of the national building
information system (MIS) to monitor recovery. regulations and guidelines.
Modern GPS-enabled electronic tablets can be
leveraged to streamline the data-gathering pro- Adherence to basic disaster-resistant elements (cor-
cess and mapping of activities and needs. ner stitches, vertical reinforcement, diagonal bracing
and horizontal bands, among others), coupled with
The assessment will also play a key communicat- adherence to proper masonry construction prac-
ing role in appraising households with the steps tices, should be made mandatory. The mandatory
of recovery, among them the signing of a mu- rule of thumb of NBC should be put into practice
tual agreement between the government and the and enforced where applicable. Reinforced concrete
ing compliance with standards and guidelines Management Structure for Recovery
for disaster-resistant construction. A system to The success of any recovery effort hinges on the
certify progress and quality of construction will availability of adequate numbers of trained hu-
be put in place at the local level. Typically, the man resources to provide support and undertake
financial assistance is provided in three or four a variety of tasks. For instance, a socio-technical
stages: The first or initial tranche is given for mo- support team led by a coordinator at the VDC
bilization of construction work, the second, on level, with Junior Engineers/ sub-overseers, mas-
completion of plinth level construction, the third ter artisans, and male and female community
on completion of walls and the fourth and final organizers that can support a certain number
tranche on completion of construction. Usually, of families in the reconstruction process, can
the first three tranches go towards supporting the ensure quality assurance and compliance with
construction work, with the final tranche (the guidelines. The total number of such teams and
smallest in amount) used more as an incentive their work responsibility may be decided on the
to owners for timely completion of construction. basis of the geographic spread of affected house-
For remote areas, heritage settlements and urban holds in the VDCs and MNCs. Further, these
areas, special assistance packages over and above field teams will have to be coordinated at the
the basic recovery package may be defined. district level by socio-technical teams compris-
ing Senior Engineers, information managers,
Socio-technical Facilitation communication staff, and district coordinators.
As recovery efforts are likely to be largely owner-
led, it is critical to provide house owners with The human resources required for the facilita-
on-site guidance and technical assistance in recon- tion of such a large recovery effort will have
struction, repairs and retrofitting to promote safer to be managed by the proposed extraordinary
housing. It is necessary to ensure that this aspect mechanism. The total five-year budget for the
of the recovery programme is not weak. Com- cost of the socio-technical facilitation, includ-
munities will have to be mobilized to undertake ing human resources, training, quality assurance
reconstruction as per the policy and plans put in and other governance functions, is estimated to
place by the government. The entire mechanism be 2.5 percent of total needs.
and modalities will have to be explained to them.
Role of the Technical Committee
A socio-technical facilitation team should be Identification of the causes of heavy damage to
in place to provide interface between the own- buildings (soil profiles, improper design and de-
ers and the government-assisted reconstruction tailing, poor construction practice, among oth-
programme. This mechanism will support the ers) will form the basis for the development of
owners at each stage of construction, making feasible, technical solutions for building back
them aware of the recovery programme and better. Appropriate measures will be identified
their entitlement, handholding them through for reconstruction to cover all the prevalent
the administrative processes to avail assistance building typologies. Similarly, simple methods
as per the modalities defined by government will be evolved to repair and retrofit non-engi-
policy; provide appropriate social and technical neered buildings, along with simple equipment
advice at the time of construction; identify and that can also be used in remote areas.
support owners who require redress of griev-
ances; and assist in certification of stages of con- Considering the complexities of building stock
struction for financial disbursement. in the earthquake- affected areas, a Technical
Committee headed by an earthquake engineer-
About 22,250 houses were identified for the ing advisor could be considered to anchor the
process of clustering due to the likelihood of vast variety of technical issues expected to arise
hazards at their present locations. Any such ef- during the reconstruction programme. The
fort will have to be evolved only with commu- group will reflect a broad range of experience
nity involvement and consensus, as the place of in post-disaster recovery efforts – from an un-
residence is strongly linked to agriculture and derstanding of Nepali building typologies and
other forms of livelihood, beliefs, associations materials, building codes and standards to the
and sentiments. geography of Nepal; from an expertise in geo-
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technical aspects to the socio-cultural landscape Separate trainings on social facilitation for com-
of the country, as well as capacity building. munity organizers will be developed and imple-
mented. These trainings will include simple
The technical committee will formulate: modules on key technical aspects for the techni-
• illustrative guidelines on construction, re- cal orientation of community organizers. Simi-
pair, remediation and seismic improvements larly, the technical trainings would have simple
for each building typology; modules on key aspects of social mobilization
• illustrative training guidelines for trainers for the proper orientation of technical staff.
who will conduct training programmes for
engineers, junior engineers, supervisors and Certification of Trainees
artisans such as stone masons, brick masons Candidates meeting the minimum requirements
and carpenters, among others); would be awarded certificates. Only such arti-
• guidelines on building inspection, also re- sans should be encouraged to work as lead arti-
producing them in an audio-visual format; sans on the construction site. Engineers/junior
and engineers/ sub-engineers/ master masons work-
• methods for dissemination of information. ing on the programme must also be certified
accordingly. This requires instituting a training
Capacity-building of Community Organizers, certification programme at the earliest so that an
Artisans and Engineers adequate number of artisans are trained before
Over 25,000 resource persons including ma- reconstruction takes off.
sons, carpenters, junior engineers, community
organizers, coordinators and higher-level staff Awareness Programme for House Owners
will be involved in providing construction ser- As the recovery effort is going to be largely
vices to house owners. They have to be trained owner-led, it is essential to make them aware
in disaster-resistant construction. A large capac- of need of disaster-resistant construction. They
ity development programme will have to be in- will require guidance on the choice of building
stituted as part of the socio-technical facilitation typologies, materials and costing in addition
mechanism. This will also involve training the to the minimum disaster-resistant features to
trainers (community organizers, engineers and be adopted. To hire artisans and decide on the
master masons) who will conduct the training type of material and construction system, own-
programmes: ers need a degree of awareness. Dissemination of
Tier 1 training will provide engineers, junior required information on reconstruction, repairs
engineers, foremen, and artisans with basic and retrofitting to them is very important
training on assessment, repair, remediation and
seismic improvements. Practical and hands-on Concurrent Monitoring and Quality Assurance
training following MRT should be able to ad- Independent technical monitoring and audit-
dress the concerns of simple and small buildings. ing of house construction as well as repairs and
Tier 2 training will provide structural engineers retrofitting is essential. It is important to ensure
with skills on quantitative assessment and that such quality assurance mechanisms are acti-
strengthening of various categories of small vated during the reconstruction phase for timely
to mid-height buildings. The training should reporting on the progress and quality of work
be practical and hands-on so that it can be achieved so that any redress of deficiency, if pres-
immediately used to give advice on such ent, is addressed. It is necessary to see that in-
buildings during reconstruction. dependent professional institutions are involved
Tier 3 training will provide skills on quantitative in concurrent quality assurance to provide this
assessment and strengthening of complex feedback so that the government mechanism
medium-to-large buildings to limited number can then take appropriate decisions to redress
of senior professionals from the fraternity the issues that come up.
of structural engineers. The training should
be practical and hands-on so that it can be Risk Coverage through Insurance
immediately used to give advice on such Insurance coverage for housing stock is almost
buildings during reconstruction. non-existent in the context of Nepal. Inevitably,
such liabilities end up with the government act-
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ing as guarantor of last resort. Hence the need On the basis of the above mentioned values, the
for some form of direct assistance necessitated total damages were calculated as the replace-
by the lack of insurance cover, scarcity of sav- ment cost of fully destroyed buildings as well as
ings, and higher poverty levels. A beginning can repair cost (return to previous state) of partially
be made by encouraging insurance coverage of damaged buildings estimated at 10 percent of
all the houses that will be rebuilt or retrofitted. replacement cost.
The government will make an effort to identify
an appropriate policy framework and mechanism Damage to Household Goods Calculation
to see that the houses created in the course of re- Damage to household goods was based on an
construction and recovery initiatives are insured. estimated value of household goods by building
type. It was further estimated that in fully dam-
Assessment Methodology aged houses, 60 percent of household goods were
The assessment of damages, losses and recovery destroyed and in partially damaged houses 20
needs is based on overall damage data provided percent of the household goods were destroyed.
by MoHA on the DRR portal. The data, collect-
ed through the District Disaster Relief Commit- Calculation of the Cost of Demolition and
tee (DDRC) from VDCs, categorizes affected Debris Clearance
houses as fully collapsed and partially damaged. Many of the houses categorized as fully damaged
As per the damage data, 498,852 houses col- are still standing in some form and need to be de-
lapsed fully or were damaged beyond repair, and molished at the earliest. It was estimated that in the
256,697 houses sustained partial damage. category of fully damaged residential buildings, 20
percent of the low-strength masonry houses, 40 per-
Field visits were made to Chautara (Sind- cent of cement-based masonry houses, and 80 per-
hupalchowk District), Khokna (Lalitpur Dis- cent of houses with RC frames needed to be demol-
trict); Bhaktapur (Bhaktapur District), Gorkha ished. The demolition costs were put at 5 percent
(Gorkha District), and Gangabhu and Sankhu of replacement costs, while clearance was pegged at
(Kathmandu District), to understand the type NPR8,000, NPR20,000 and NPR250,000, respec-
and extent of damage to houses. Discussions tively, for the three building types.
with government officials involved in damage
data collection at the district level indicated that Calculations of Real Estate Damages and Losses
buildings deemed damaged to the point that Altogether, 10,700 units from 83 high-rise
repair would be too expensive were counted as buildings and 2,881 bungalows from 45 colo-
fully damaged. The same was reflected in the nies suffered varying levels of physical damage.
way the damage data was interpreted. Based on an understanding of the real estate sec-
tor market and prevalent market rates,the dam-
Housing Damage Calculation ages and losses were NPR4,210 million and
Going by the 2011 Census, the building types NPR20,000 million, respectively.
in each district were categorized as low-strength
(mud mortar-based) masonry; cement-based Rental Loss Calculations
masonry; and reinforced concrete frame struc- Data on the number of rented apartments that col-
tures. The extent of physical damage to the three lapsed is not available yet. Therefore, it is difficult
building types was calculated on the basis of vul- to assess the loss of rental income. The most preva-
nerability curves developed by NSET. On the lent conditions that renters are in are as follows:
basis of the Nepal Living Standards Survey 2010- they are being hosted by families and friends; have
2011, the average sizes of the three building returned to their houses in their respective villages;
types were calculated at 600 sq feet (low strength or have found an alternate place on rent; or are
masonry houses); 900 sq ft (cement mortared staying in temporary shelters in camps. The assess-
houses, reflecting more well-to-do households), ment is based on the assumption that the option
and 3,000 sq ft (reinforced concrete buildings, of alternate rented accommodation is minimal and
predominantly urban and multi-storeyed). In there is loss of gross rental income. This will have
the same order, based on prevailing market rates, to be confirmed by a detailed survey. The propor-
the cost per sq ft was NPR700, NPR1,200 and tion of rental versus ownership was obtained from
NPR2,000,respectively. the 2011 Census. Rent scenarios and rates for ur-
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ban and rural areas were obtained based on various that affected households will need to construct such
sources. For partially damaged units, the rental loss houses. Besides, the amount required for construct-
was assumed as half the rent. Annual losses would ing houses in remote areas and heritage settlements
be reduced over time as reconstruction proceeds may be higher, and this aspect would be factored
and rental units are repaired, reconstructed and into the calculations. The government acknowledg-
ready for occupation. es that the house owner will exercise her/his choice
of building type and house size at the time of recon-
Cost Calculation of Transitional Shelters struction, conditional on compliance with seismic-
The number of transitional shelters required is resistant standards. In order to estimate construction
based on the number of households whose houses material needs, it is assumed that the choice of re-
were fully destroyed. As mentioned earlier in this building will shift slightly away from low-strength
chapter, based on the damage data and the num- masonry buildings in favour of cement mortared
ber of households per house, 609,938 households and reinforced concrete buildings.
will need some form of transitional shelter.
A total of 256,697 partially damaged build-
Cost estimations of transitional shelter are based ings need repair and seismic retrofitting. The
on the shelter package guide prepared by the cost for retrofitting is estimated at 30 percent
National Planning Commission (NPC). Ac- of the cost of a core house, and comes to NPR
cordingly, the package should provide approxi- 121,500 per house.
mately 300 sq ft of covered space, roofed by two
bundles of CGI sheets, and leveraging salvage- The recovery needs for clustering houses have
able materials. Allowing for the use of salvaged been calculated on the basis of initial informa-
materials, a cost of NPR 24,540 would be re- tion available from MoUD. Accordingly, about
quired for such a shelter. 22,254 houses require clustering. The costs have
been calculated based on a district-wise average
Needs for Housing Reconstruction and Ret- cost of clustering, shifting, provision of basic ser-
rofitting Calculation vices, settlement planning, as well as the cost of
As mentioned earlier, while the current number land. The estimated costs come to NPR 10,525
for the houses that have to be rebuilt stand at million. The exact figures and costs would need
609,938, this number may change after detailed to be updated by means of a more specific and
information becomes available following the rigorous assessment of ground conditions.
household-level damage assessment.
Training, Facilitation and Quality Assurance
The need for housing recovery is based on a uni- Costs: The total five-year budget for the cost of
form assumed need per household (not based on the socio-technical facilitation, including hu-
pre-existing houses) of a 450 sq ft core house built man resources, training, quality assurance, com-
to seismic-resilient standards. The cost of construc- munication and other governance functions is
tion was estimated at NPR900 per sq ft, equivalent estimated to be 2.5 percent of total needs.
to an increase of approximately 30 percent from the
base replacement cost. The cost per house is, there- The needs for urban planning, including heri-
fore, estimated at NPR. 405,000. This amount is tage settlement planning are estimated at 2 per-
the basis for defining needs, but does not suggest cent of the total needs.
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tricts and 23 percent are located in the 17 mod- percent of women who are pregnant at pres-
erately affected districts, as summarized in Table ent reside in the highly and moderately affected
2.1 (Department of Health Services, 2014). districts, respectively. The distribution of the
Similarly, there are more than 350 private sector population by age group, including pregnant
health facilities that cater to the health care de- women and expected live births, is presented in
mands of the population, a majority of them be- the Table 2.2 below.
ing in Kathmandu Valley and other urban cities.
Key Macro Indicators
In addition, health services are delivered through Consider Nepal’s on track progress with respect
61 district Ayurvedic health centres, 14 zonal to the targets of health-related millennium de-
Aushadhalayas and 214 Aushadhalayas that velopment goals (MDGs) as of 2013: the under-
come under the central government. five mortality rate was 40 per 1000 live births
(Central Bureau of Statistics, 2014), a 73 per-
MoHP is responsible for the provision and regu- cent decline from the 1990 figure of 142 per
lation of health service delivery. In its latter role, 1000 live births in 1990. The infant mortality
the Ministry regulates the sector through regional rate was 33 per 1000 live births (Central Bu-
Health Directorates, Medical Stores, Training reau of Statistics, 2014), a 63 percent decrease
Centres and Drug Administration Offices; and from the 1990 figure of 99 per 1000 live births.
(Public) Health Offices at the district level. As of 2014 the maternal mortality rate was 190
per 100,000 live births, down from 790 in 1996
Population Profile (WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA, The World Bank
The population profile of the country shows and the United Nations Population Division,
that the highly and moderately affected districts 2014). Moreover, in 2011, the total fertility rate
constitute 20 percent and 17 percent of the to- was 2.6 births per women, a significant decline
tal population (Department of Health Services, from 5 births per women in 1990 (Ministry of
2014/15). Similarly, the population profile of Health and Population, New ERA, and ICF In-
2014-2015 shows that 21.1 percent and 16.6 ternational Inc., 2011).
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The percentage of households staying within 30 kits, surgical kits and reproductive health kits)
minutes of travel time to Health Posts (HPs), were pre-positioned in strategic locations such
Public Health Care Centres (PHCC)/public as the Department of Health Services (DoHS)
hospitals and private clinics/hospitals is 61.8 complex, Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospi-
percent, 33.6 percent and 53.4 percent of the tal (TUTH) and Patan Hospital. MoHP also
total, respectively (Central Bureau of Statistics, engaged in building the capacities of staff with
2011). Similarly, the percentage of consultations regard to Mass Casualty Management (MCM),
taking place for acute illnesses at public facilities Hospital Preparedness for Emergencies.
and private facilities (including pharmacies) is
37 percent and 63 percent of total consultations Similarly, over the last couple of years, MoHP ini-
(Central Bureau of Statistics, 2011).The Popu- tiated structural and non-structural assessment of
lation Census of 2011 also shows that percent- health facilities to minimize the risk of potential
age of disability among males and females is 2.2 disasters. Assessment of all fast track/priority hos-
percent and 1.7 percent, respectively (Central pitals, nine health facilities (one Primary Health
Bureau of Statistics, 2014). Care Centre [PHCC], one Health Post [HP] and
one sub-health post each selected from Kathman-
The exemption of users’ fees at lower tiers of pub- du, Lalitpur and Bhaktapur districts) was also
lic health facilities, including free provision of carried out before the earthquake. Non-structural
delivery services, have contributed to pro-poor mitigation, including retrofitting, was conducted
orientation of public health subsidies in Nepal. in TUTH, Patan Hospital, Bhaktapur Hospital
However, the distribution of Human Resources and Civil Service Hospital.
(HR) has been persistently inequitable. Out of a
32, 809 strong public health workforce in Nepal, Protocols and Guidelines
45 percent are concentrated in the Central Re- In addition, standards for public health emer-
gion whereas only 7 percent are in the Far-West- gency management (mass casualty management
ern Region (Ministry of Health and Population, strategy), protocols, referral and early deployment
2013). Per capita government expenditure on guidelines, and Rapid Response Team guidelines
health was NPR 827 in 2013-2014 (Ministry of were developed. These initiatives contributed to
Finance, 2014) while the per capita total health the overall effectiveness of the health sector re-
expenditure was estimated at US$ 39 for 2013 sponse in the aftermath of the earthquake. The
(World Health Organization, 2015). trauma protocols helped the international and
national medical teams use a common approach
Disaster Preparedness for the treatment of the seriously injured. Further,
In 2013, as part of its disaster preparedness ef- HEOC remained the command centre of MoHP
fort MoHP set up a Health Emergency Opera- during the first few weeks following the earth-
tion Centre (HEOC) in its premises (with sup- quake. At the district level, the DHO represented
port from WHO and development partners), the health sector in the District Disaster Response
which proved to be very helpful in managing Committee (DDRC).
the health sector response in the aftermath
of the earthquake. Post-Disaster Context
23
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immediate response from the health sector for the Hospital and Bir Hospital, both in Kathmandu)
treatment of those injured and resumption of were also severely damaged, causing an interrup-
regular health services. tion in the delivery of health services. A total
of 701 public facility structures and 64 private
The largest number of completely destroyed facilities reported partial damage. The status of
health facilities was in Sindhupalchowk, Nuwa- health facilities is presented in Table 3.
kot and Gorkha districts. The damage status of
public health facilities was reported by the respec- Immediate Response
tive District (Public) Health Offices (DPHOs). Immediately after the earthquake, MoHP or-
This was validated during the assessment team’s ganized a meeting to manage the health sec-
field visit in the course of consultations with the tor response and activated HEOC. A high-
concerned focal persons at the district level. In level committee chaired by the Secretary,
addition to the completely damaged 446 district MoHP, was formed on 25 April to oversee and
and sub-district public health facilities, certain guide the overall health sector response in the
buildings of central hospitals (such as Maternity aftermath of the disaster.
Completely damaged
Partially damaged
Completely damaged
Partially damaged
Completely damaged
Partially damaged
Completely damaged
Partially damaged
Completely damaged
Partially damaged
Bhaktapur 0 1 1 1 6 9 0 0 0 6
Dhading 0 1 1 1 33 12 1 1 3 5
Dolakha 1 1 0 1 33 16 1 0 3 2
Gorkha 0 1 1 2 35 24 6 6 3 3
Kathmandu 0 0 1 7 7 33 0 0 0 24
Kavre 0 1 1 2 32 50 0 1 0 2
Lalitpur 0 0 0 2 9 20 1 0 0 12
Makawanpur 0 0 1 2 14 13 0 0 3 6
Nuwakot 1 0 1 1 43 19 1 1 0 0
Okhaldhunga 0 0 0 0 17 17 0 0 0 0
Ramechhap 1 0 1 1 20 28 0 1 0 0
Rasuwa 1 0 0 1 14 3 1 0 1 2
Sindhuli 0 1 1 3 23 7 0 0 1 2
Sindhupalchowk 1 0 1 2 62 17 1 0 2 0
Total (14 districts) 5 6 10 26 348 268 12 10 16 64
Other districts 0 13 2 28 69 330 0 0 0 0
Central and regional level hospital/ administrative blocks 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 5 39 12 54 417 598 12 10 16 64
Source: Field assessment for 14 districts;D(P)HO reporting for other districts; reporting by individual hospitals
and associations for the private sector.
24
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HEOC, situated in the premises of MoHP, co- trict (Public) Health Offices (D[P]HO), with
ordinated with the affected districts for regular the support of partners, also conducted mobile
updates on the effects of the earthquake and im- health camps, particularly focusing on a set of
mediate needs which helped in making decisions priority life‐saving services. Public and private
on the deployment of medical teams, supply of facilities also extended their health services in
drugs and other logistics. The six emergency hub tents where facilities were completely damaged
hospitals in Kathmandu Valley were activated to or the existing space was not sufficient due to
provide medical services to the injured, includ- the high patient flow. Besides the emphasis on
ing those referred from other districts. The high delivery of routine health services, dignity kits,
level committee mobilized teams at the hubs hygiene kits and reproductive health kits were
and sent officials to the highly-affected districts provided in the severely-affected districts. In ad-
to ensure that the response to immediate needs dition to ensuring regular services at damaged
was properly coordinated. facilities, there is now a demand for other ser-
vices such as psychosocial counselling with ef-
A central Information Management Unit was fective referral linkages.
set up under HEOC to compile health services-
related information and a hospital-based surveil- Provision of Free Treatment
lance system was initiated. A toll free number The Government of Nepal (GoN) made a de-
(1660 01 33 444) was also set up at HEOC cision to bear the cost of treatment of all the
to help people access information about treat- people injured in the earthquake to ensure
ment and address their grievances. Similarly, a timely treatment and save affected households
customs release desk for medicines and equip- the additional financial burden. Hospitals were
ment was established on 1 May 2015 at Tribhu- instructed to provide free treatment to all the in-
van International Airport to facilitate the speedy jured. However, there were some complaints at
release of drugs and medical equipment at the HEOC that some private hospitals were charg-
customs office and channel other health-related ing a fee from earthquake victims. At the time
international support measures. From 1 May of preparation of this assessment, MoHP was
onwards, HEOC started producing situation in the process of collecting data on the patients
update reports on a daily basis. treated by hospitals and reimbursing them for
providing those services free of charge.
Health Services Delivery and Access
Deployment of Medical Teams and Establish-
Assessment of Situation and Medical Needs ment of Field Hospitals
Damage to infrastructure and assets disrupted In addition to public health facilities and desig-
the delivery of services at a time when the de- nated private hospitals, delivery of free services
mand for services increased due to the large was extended through temporarily established
numbers of people getting injured. Eighteen field hospitals as well as national medical teams
health workers and volunteers lost their lives (NMTs) and foreign medical teams (FMTs). By
while 75 sustained injuries, adding to the chal- 2 June, a total of 20 temporary field hospitals, 47
lenges of delivering health services. Public health national medical teams and 133 foreign medi-
and medical officials of MoHP were sent to the cal teams (FMTs) had provided health services
highly-affected districts to help the district of- in the affected districts. As shown in Table 2.4,
fices resume their health services. a total of 2,385 foreign medical personnel, in-
cluding 1,068 doctors, were deployed, many of
Apart from the interruption of some services in them in hard-to-reach areas, with the necessary
severely-affected HPs and PHCCs, basic and logistics. Patients requiring care at a higher level
emergency health services were being delivered. of health facility were air-lifted to Kathmandu.
Public and private health facilities that were not
damaged continued to provide routine health As of 2 June 2015, a total of 25 FMTs were
services even as national and foreign medical providing health care services in the earthquake-
teams provided medical services in different affected districts. Temporary field hospitals es-
locations. In the most-affected districts, Dis- tablished by different foreign teams also played
25
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an important role in delivering inpatient and handled by the six emergency medical hubs of the
outpatient services. Other medical teams mainly Kathmandu Valley and other hospitals.
focused on emergency and outpatient treatment
services and referred the complicated cases to Management of Dead Bodies
the nearby hospitals. Different organizations Of the 8,702 deaths reported by 02 June 2015,
also provided logistics such as tents, medicines 45 percent were male and 55 percent were fe-
and supplies, and health kits (dignity kit, repro- male. This shows that the female population was
ductive health kit, hygiene kit). more affected by the quake than the male popu-
lation. Table 2.6 provides figures of deaths and
Thus, foreign and national medical teams played injuries by gender and district.
an important role in meeting the immediate
health care needs of the injured people. How- Timely identification and handing over the
ever, coordination with DHOs presented a chal- bodily remains to the concerned families was
lenge, particularly for teams in remote areas far immensely important to minimize the stress and
from the district offices. Table 2.5 shows the emotional trauma of affected families. As of 2
cumulative data of health services delivery (out- June, 8,672 dead bodies had been handed over
patient and inpatient services, including surger- to the next of kin.
ies and trauma cases) as reported by the health
facilities monitored in the 14 highly-affected Public Health Governance
districts until 8 June 2015.
District Capacity and Human
Trauma Management Resource Situation
A Casualty Triage Desk was also established at The existing capacity of MoHP in general and
the Tribhuvan International Airport on 29 April that of concerned DHOS were stretched to
2015 to accord priority to critical patients who ensure the resumption of disrupted health ser-
brought by air for the initial and basic symptom- vices delivery, coordinate with concerned part-
atic management before referring them to the ap- ner agencies and stakeholders to manage the
propriate higher-level hospitals. By 2 June 2015, increased flow of patients. DHOs coordinated
a total of 443 casualties had been referred by the closely with DDRCs and Health, Water Sanita-
Casualty Triage Desk. Trauma cases were mainly tion & Hygiene, Nutrition and Protection clus-
26
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ters, as well as FMTs and NMTs. MoHP also gration of people and high numbers of injuries.
provided the necessary budget to the districts to The important health indicators that guide health
procure urgently required items such as medi- service delivery (e.g. expected number of preg-
cines, create power back-ups, and pay rent for nancies/deliveries) are expected to change because
the buildings. of population migration from one catchment area
to another. These aspects will have to be taken
Public health facility staff was instructed to con- into account while planning the implementation
tinue in their work stations and regularize the of activities at the district level.
delivery of health services. However, the assess-
ment team noted that a significant percentage of Risk and Vulnerability
sanctioned posts of health workers are currently
vacant. For instance, out of the 306 sanctioned Hospital-based Post-earthquake
posts for health workers in Sindhuli, only 185 Surveillance System
were filled. This meant that many among the Considering the risk of epidemic and disease
available health workers had to work overtime to outbreak, HEOC established a hospital-based
manage the increased patient flow even though post-earthquake surveillance system to cover
their own shelter was damaged and family mem- public and private hospitals in the 14 highly-af-
bers were directly affected by the earthquake. fected districts. Initially, this surveillance system
Health workers in districts reported that they covered 96 treatment sites, including 66 hospi-
were overworked and sometimes not be able to tals and temporary camps within the Kathman-
sufficiently cater to the surge in the patient flow. du Valley and 30 hospitals and temporary camps
Considering this, MoHP has already sent 58 ad- outside. From 28 May, the number of senti-
ditional medial doctors in the affected districts. nel hospital sites was reduced to 38 in the 14
Motivating health workers possibly through most-affected districts.
financial and incentives in kind, and keeping
their morale high is very crucial for better man- The surveillance system is important to ensure
agement of any disaster. that outbreaks are not missed. The number of
syndromes crossing the threshold level (dou-
Information Management System bling of the average of the previous seven days,
Routine information systems such as the health with a minimum of five cases) gives signals to
management information system (HMIS) were be in an alert position. Four outbreak-prone
affected by the earthquake. Reporting forms and conditions, namely acute respiratory illness,
formats were not to be found at some health watery diarrhoea, bloody diarrhoea, and fever
facilities. Some facilities even lost their service of unknown origin, were been routinely moni-
register, making follow-up difficult, particularly tored by MoHP. No outbreaks were reported
of those with communicable diseases such as tu- as of 2 June 2015.
berculosis. This will also add to the challenges in
effective management of health services in the High-risk Population Groups
affected areas. The pattern of healthcare needs, Access to health facilities has deteriorated in
too, will vary across affected areas due to the mi- remote areas. Pregnant women, women in a
27
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
post-natal condition and newborns are the sin- mountainous areas, which run the risk of losing
gle biggest vulnerable group considering their contact with the district headquarters and even
usual needs of health care services. This assess- from Kathmandu Valley due to road blockades
ment estimated around 30,000 deliveries and a by landslides. Problems are also caused by power
corresponding number of newborns who would cuts (directly affecting the cold chain, among
be directly affected in the three months follow- others); relative lack of safe drinking water and
ing the earthquake. Any barrier in health services hygiene facilities in the affected communities,
delivery exposes the vulnerable people to further which increases the risk of waterborne diseases.
risk. Similarly, those suffering from chronic con- These scenarios imply that district offices and
ditions (TB, HIV, leprosy and non-communica- the centre have to be prepared for rapid response
ble diseases), severely injured persons, and people to manage possible future disasters along with
living with disabilities (PLWD), children, elderly, the maintenance of minimum stock of drugs
and adolescents are also vulnerable to health risks and other supplies in strategic locations.
in such a post-disaster scenario, requiring special
attention in the recovery plan. With 1.94 percent Damages and Losses
of disability (Central Bureau of Statistics, 2014),
total number of people with disability is estimat- Estimating Damages and Losses of Infra-
ed to be above 100,000 in the 14 most-affected structure by Type
districts. The number of disabilities will increase Based on the data reported by district offices
following the earthquake. and field assessment in the 14 most-affected
districts, inventories of physical damage to
Health Facilities at Risk buildings, equipment, instruments, furniture,
As there is a risk of landslides and other threats and drugs and supplies were created. The dam-
such as floods during the monsoon season, ages of health facilities were calculated by apply-
some of the health facilities may also be exposed ing the unit price of each type of health facil-
to risks particularly those located in remote, ity separately for complete and partial damage.
28
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Similarly, the amount of losses was estimated mortality rate of diseases. The negative impact on
under three broad categories, namely treatment health is also expected due to the effect on the
services to the injured, other service provisions nutritional status of the vulnerable population in
for the affected population, and governance and affected districts. The earthquake will cause mor-
risk management. The unit cost was defined in tality rates for the current year to increase and
consultation with respective technical experts life expectancy to decrease. However, the years
based on which the cost of damages and losses lost due to injuries and other longer term socio-
was estimated a shown in Table 2.7. economic impacts of the earthquake in the health
and population sector have not been estimated in
The total value of disaster effects (damages and terms of monetary value.
losses) is estimated to be NPR 7.54 billion, 85.1
percent of which constitutes damages and 14.9 Recovery and Reconstruction
percent amount to losses. The public sector ac- Strategy
counted for 81.5 percent of the disaster effects, MoHP formed a coordination committee for
as there is a greater presence of public health fa- the assessment of needs and planning for re-
cilities as compared to private facilities. covery and reconstruction of the health sector
under the chief of its Policy, Planning and In-
District-wise Estimation of Damages and ternational Cooperation Division. Based on the
Losses information available from the districts, an ini-
An attempt was made to disaggregate the value tial set of necessary activities was defined before
of damages and losses by district, which is sum- the actual PDNA process was initiated. How-
marized in Table 2.8. The districts of Gorkha, ever, a concrete strategy for recovery and recon-
Sindhupalchowk and Dolakha are the hardest struction was worked out following the PDNA
hit in terms of the disaster effects of the earth- process that was carried out together with con-
quake, with a combined share of 20.3 percent of cerned DPHOs.
the damages and losses, following central health
infrastructure which alone accounted for 32.8 While the proper reconstruction of the sector
percent of the total value of the disaster effects. may take many years, the prime concern at pres-
ent is to resume health services to address the
Impact on Development Goals immediate health care needs of the population.
The effect on the health spectrum was quite di- Considering this scenario, MoHP has adopted
verse, leaving many with long-term problems. a three-pillared strategy for recovery and re-
Many people who have undergone major sur- construction for the immediate term (until
geries like amputation or severe spinal injury mid-July 2015); the intermediate term (over FY
will suffer from long- term disability, which 2015-2016) and medium term (FY 2015-2016
holds heavy financial implications for concerned to 2019-2020).
families and larger society. Deaths and rise in
disability will have a detrimental effect on peo- The immediate-term strategy (until mid-July
ple’s health, with many years lost in adjusting 2015) is to furnish the districts with neces-
to conditions of disability. Also, the earthquake, sary logistics and human resources within the
followed by hundreds of aftershocks, has left a current fiscal year to resume essential health ser-
significant proportion of the Nepali population vices, organize health camps and enable district
mentally traumatized to some degree. offices and facilities to deal with imminent risks
and vulnerabilities such as those resulting from
The fact that basic health service like ante-natal the monsoon, landslides and possible disease
check-up, medical care and continuity of services outbreaks.
to those with communicable diseases, child and
neonatal health services and many other pub- This phase also includes a technical assessment
lic health programmes will be affected for some of buildings, demolition of completely damaged
time to come, is bound to have a socio-economic structures and quick repairs so that services can
impact in the longer term. Deteriorating access be resumed. This strategy also includes manag-
to health care may lead to a high morbidity and ing the exit of medical teams and temporary
29
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Table 2.7: Estimates of Damages and Losses by Type amount in npr million
Estimation of damages
Facilities completely destroyed Public Private Total
Hospitals and administrative buildings 2,102 760 2,862
Primary healthcare centres 120 120
Health posts 1,877 1,877
Others 45 45
Sub total 4,144 760 4,904
Facilities partially destroyed -
Hospitals and administrative buildings 198 456 654
Primary healthcare centres 81 81
Health posts 404 404
Others 20 20
Sub total 703 456 1,159
Equipment and logistics
Equipment 284 284
Office equipment and furniture 41 41
Medications and supplies destroyed 13 13
Other medical logistics and supplies( e.g. instruments, HMIS forms) 22 22
Sub total 360 0 360
Total damages 5,206 1,216 6,422
Estimation of Losses
Demolition and removal of debris -
Hospitals 17 16 33
Primary healthcare centres 2 0 2
Health posts 42 0 42
Others 3 0 3
Sub total 63 16 79
Treatment services for injured
Reimbursement for treatment of seriously injured 121 0 121
Transportation for the referral to higher level of facilities 13 0 13
Revenue lost due to waiver of users fees (outpatient treatment) 32 37 69
Payment for treatment services (user fee) 120 125 245
Rehabilitation services for those having disability 155 0 155
Budget allocation by MoHP for management of service delivery 67 0 67
Psychosocial counselling 1 0 1
Referral for those needing rehabilitation services 1 0 1
Sub total 509 162 671
Other service provisions for affected population -
MBBS doctor in highly affected areas 21 0 21
Establish five step down hospital and rehabilitation centres 28 0 28
Subside contribution to affected population for enrolment in health insurance 200 0 200
Establish geriatric ward in highly-affected hospitals 17 0 17
Temporary arrangement for health facility building (e.g. shed & rent) 10 0 10
30
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Estimation of damages
Facilities completely destroyed Public Private Total
Resuming utility services at damaged facilities 10 0 10
Mobile services through mobile camps 10 0 10
Reproductive health and geriatric care 2 0 2
Sub total 297 0 297
Governance and risk management -
Public awareness through media and IEC and BCC activities 5 0 5
Water and sanitation campaigns 7 0 7
Pre-positioning of medicine for monsoons and for outbreaks 3 0 3
Outbreak investigation and response team at the central level 1 0 1
Public health inspector - to monitor the situation and responses 48 0 48
Outbreak prevention and response at the district level 3 0 3
Monitoring and supervision 4 0 4
Information management (HMIS/LMIS tools, data recovery) 0 0 0
Support and mobilize DRRT (in 14+21 districts) 1 0 1
Monitoring and management of information, disease surveillance 2 0 2
Sub total 74 0 74
Total losses 944 178 1,122
Grand total (effects of earthquake) 6,150 1,394 7,544
Table 2.8: Estimates of Damages and Losses by District Amount in NPR million
Districts Infrastructure Medical Office Medicines & Other Others Total Total
equipment equipment supplies logistics losses (%)
Bhaktapur 95 3 0 - 1 16 115 1.5
Dhading 365 2 2 - 0 61 431 5.7
Dolakha 384 7 3 2 1 66 465 6.2
Gorkha 396 16 12 4 3 72 503 6.7
Kathmandu 246 2 5 - 0 42 296 3.9
Kavre 223 8 1 0 2 39 272 3.6
Lalitpur 148 0 1 - 0 25 174 2.3
Makawanpur 275 - - - - 46 320 4.2
Nuwakot 279 2 3 0 1 47 332 4.4
Okhaldhunga 90 0 0 1 0 15 106 1.4
Ramechhap 178 8 1 0 3 32 221 2.9
Rasuwa 178 3 3 1 2 31 218 2.9
Sindhuli 195 0 1 0 0 33 229 3.0
Sindhupalchowk 456 10 6 2 5 80 559 7.4
Total of 14 districts 3,507 62 38 12 19 603 4,241 56.2
Other districts 695 6 4 1 3 118 826 11.0
Central hospitals/ buildings 1,940 216 - - - 322 2,477 32.8
Grand Total 6,357 284 41 13 22 1,043 7,544 100
Source: Estimation by Assessment Team based on data of damages and losses.
31
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field hospitals established in different locations While the first and second strategies aim to ad-
by FMTs to address the urgent needs of the dress the immediate and intermediate needs for
population. Priority will be given for the utiliza- the recovery, the third, medium-term strategy
tion of available local resources and the budget will focus mainly on the reconstruction of the
received for disaster risk reduction (DRR). sector from a longer term perspective. In this pe-
riod (FY 2015-2016 to FY 2019-2020), the exist-
More specifically, the demolition of damaged ing network of health facilities and their capacity
buildings, temporary arrangements for taking will be assessed in terms of the geographic spread
sheds on rent, purchase of medical instruments of needs and population size. Based on this assess-
and office materials, resumption of utility ser- ment, the plan for the medium-term plan will be
vices such as electricity, water, communica- further refined to include the construction of new
tion, and internet are to be accomplished by physical infrastructure for health facilities, along
mid-July 2015. Similarly, doctors would be de- with necessary equipment. Further, a compre-
ployed in needy districts, and medicines would hensive set of activities for disaster preparedness,
be kept in strategic locations for the monsoon, response mechanism and governance structure are
possible disease outbreaks and disasters in the included under this medium-term strategy.
near future.
During this phase, concrete buildings will be
Besides the existing structures and temporary constructed for HPs not constructed in pre-
set-ups, health services will also be delivered fabricated materials, and PHCC and hospitals.
through mobile camps with a special focus Establishment of emergency health centres at the
on reproductive health, psychosocial counsel- zonal level and geriatric-friendly services in hos-
ling and rehabilitation. Provision of treatment, pitals in the affected districts will also be consid-
physiotherapy and peer counselling needs to be ered during this phase. Following the principle of
included into plan and costing. Another imme- building back better, reconstruction plans for the
diate priority is the rehabilitation of birth cen- medium-term will be built into the routine plans
tres most of which were damaged by the earth- and strategies of MoHP including in the five-year
quake. At the central level, strengthening of health sector strategy that is being developed.
surveillance and response system and awareness
campaigns will be carried out. With the increased share of Persons with Dis-
abilities (PLWD) as a result of earthquake, all
The strategy for the intermediate term is to short, medium and long-term infrastructure for
replace the temporary provisions with short- health services will be disability friendly that
term arrangements to ensure the continuity of ensures access of medical services and health
service delivery and address the changing pat- facilities for PLWD.
tern of healthcare needs in the fiscal year 2015-
2015. Continuing the demolition of remaining Post-earthquake recovery also needs to address
damaged buildings, retrofitting and reinstitut- the demand for mental health treatment and
ing health facilities by setting up pre-fabricated psychosocial counselling and therefore needs
structures are some of the key initiatives that to be integrated into all short, medium and
are earmarked for this phase. In specific terms, long-term health strategies.
25 percent of the fully damaged HPs and
PHCCs and hospitals will be constructed with Recovery Plan and Budget
pre-fabricated materials to regularize services. MoHP has developed a comprehensive plan
for immediate resumption of health services by
Based on the technical assessment of the build- reconstructing damaged health facilities and,
ings, the reconstruction process will also be where appropriate, expanding services to new
initiated for concrete infrastructure. Other ac- settlements through mobile camps. It includes
tivities such as purchase of medical equipment, a package of services for targeted vulnerable
management of outbreak prevention and re- population groups, from pregnant mothers
sponse and continuation of service delivery will and newborns to senior citizens, and addition-
be carried out over the fiscal year 2015-2016. al services to meet urgent health needs such as
32
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mental health, and rehabilitation, among oth- tion. Similarly, strengthening institutional ca-
ers. Through this plan the MoHP also seeks to pacity and disaster preparedness for the future
strengthen disease surveillance to protect com- will also result in higher needs for recovery and
munities from risk of outbreaks and disasters. reconstruction. However, reconstruction and
associated activities are based on the prevailing
In the immediate plan, treatment of the injured network of health facilities. Any major resettle-
and resumption of health services are mainly ment of population might have implications
covered. In the intermediate plan, construction for the number of health facilities and their
of prefabricated structure, strengthening of ser- capacity, requiring a change in the estimate of
vices, repair and maintenance and disaster pre- needs.
paredness and governance systems are included.
Finally, the plan for the medium term mainly District-level Recovery and Reconstruction Needs
consists of reconstruction of damaged facilities, The district-level recovery and reconstruc-
setting up of health emergency centres, pur- tion plan and related budget are summarized
chase of land for selected HPs and other mea- in Table 2.9. The total budgetary need for
sures of disaster preparedness and service deliv- district-level activities is estimated to be NPR
ery. Recovery and reconstruction plan consist 8.4 billion out of which the percentage shares
of district and central-level activities, which are of needs for the immediate, intermediate and
summarized in Table 2.9 and Table 2.10. medium terms are 1 percent, 13.7 percent and
85.3 percent, respectively.
The overall budgetary need for recovery and re-
construction is estimated at NPR 14.69 billion Central-level Recovery and Reconstruction Needs
out of which NPR 6.28 billion NPR is needed The Central-level recovery and reconstruc-
for central-level activities and district-level ac- tion plan and associated budget are sum-
tivities require NPR 8.40 billion. The budget- marized in Table 2.10. The total budgetary
ary need estimated for recovery and reconstruc- needs for central-level activities is estimated
tion is almost double the value of damages and at NPR 6.28 billion out of which the shares
losses. This is mainly because of the larger scale for the immediate, intermediate and medium
of infrastructure that is being planned in view term plans are 1.7 percent, 3.1 percent and
of the increased size of the catchment popula- 95.1 percent, respectively.
33
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
Table 2.9: District-level Recovery and Reconstruction Needs Amount in NPR million
Activities Estimated budget
Immediate (until mid-July, 2015)
Demolition of damaged buildings 50
Temporary arrangement of building & rent 10
Arrangement of utility services 10
Medical instruments and office materials 2
Pre-positioning of medicine for monsoons and possible outbreaks 3
Health services through camps 1
Note: Some of the activities reflected in the intermediate plans will also be continued beyond the one year period
Source: Estimation by the assessment team based on district assessment and activity plan
34
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
mon supplies and major human resources will Table 2.11. Recovery and reconstruction activi-
be provided from the centre, the remaining ties have already been initiated. Of the total es-
activities will be accomplished by the districts timated budgetary need of 14.69 billion NPR
based on a guideline to be developed by MoHP. for recovery and reconstruction, the percentage
allocation in successive years starting from the
Year-wise Budget Implications current FY 2014-2015 to 2019-2020 is 1 per-
A tentative timeline of the implementation of cent, 17.3 percent, 22.6 percent, 20.1 percent,
activities over the next five years is presented in 19.6 percent and 19.5 percent, respectively.
Note: Some of the activities reflected in intermediate plans will also be continued beyond one year period
Source: EstimationbyAssessment Team based on district assessment and activity plan
35
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
Table 2.12: Unit Cost for the Estimation of Damages of Infrastructure Amount in NPR
Unit cost Demolition cost Value of building Partial damage
36
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
in other districts in addition to reported data by were refined based on the suggestions received.
the respective districts. Unit price, defined in con- Finally, a draft report was produced, discussed
sultation with technical experts, was applied to and finalized based on the feedback received.
estimate the damages, losses and reconstruction
of buildings (see Table 2.12). References
Central Bureau of Statistics. (2011). Nepal Living Stan-
However there are certain limitations in the es- dard Survey 2010-2011. Kathmandu: Central Bu-
reau of Statistics.
timation of damages, losses and needs. Firstly, Central Bureau of Statistics. (2014). Nepal Multiple
years of life lost due to premature death, socio- Indicator Cluster Survey 2014 Key Findings. Kath-
economic impact of disability and other longer mandu.
term impacts in society have not been included Central Bureau of Statistics. (2014). Population Mono-
in the estimation of losses due to the compli- graph of Nepal 2014, Volume 2. Kathmandu: Cen-
tral Bureau of Statistics.
cated methodology involved. Secondly, losses Department of Health Services. (2014). Annual Report
incurred in terms of health workers not being 2070/71. Kathmandu: Department of Health Ser-
able to work due to the disaster remain unac- vices.
counted for as reliable information was not Department of Health Services. (2014-2015). Estimated
available for such estimation. Thirdly, informa- Target Population Fiscal Year 2071/72 (2014/2015).
Kathmandu: Management Division, Department of
tion on damages as of 9 June 2015 are only Health Services.
captured in the estimation of the damages and Ministry of Finance. (2014). Estimates of Expenditure
losses. Fourthly, the recovery and reconstruc- for FY 2014/15 (Red Book). Kathmandu: Ministry
tion plan covers only the public sector and esti- of Finance.
mates of budgetary need are at current market Ministry of Health and Population. (2013). Human
Resources for Health Nepal Country Profile. Kath-
price without considering inflation in the years mandu.
to come. Due to these limitations, the overall Ministry of Health and Population, New ERA, and ICF
volume of damage and losses and budgetary International Inc. (2011). Nepal Demographic and
needs for recovery and reconstruction may Health Survey.
have been underestimated. Ministry of Home Affairs. (2015). Incident Report.
Kathmandu: Ministry of Home Affairs.
WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA, The World Bank and the
The estimates of the damages and losses as well United Nations Population Division. (2014). Trends
as recovery and reconstruction needs were dis- in Maternal Mortality: 1990 to 2013. Geneva:
cussed within MoHP and with NPC and the WHO.
PDNA secretariat in different rounds. The pre- World Health Organization. (2015). Global Health Ex-
penditure Database. Geneva: WHO.
liminary estimates of damages, losses and needs
37
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
38
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
3. Nutrition
Summary as poor caring practices and disease outbreaks
Undernutrition has been a longstanding prob- inevitably have a gradual impact on the nutri-
lem in Nepal. The key indicators of child un- tional status of a disaster-affected. Hence, the
dernutrition such as stunted growth and wast- immediate concern is to prevent the deterio-
ing currently stand at 37.5 percent and 11.3 ration of nutritional levels among the affected
percent respectively at the national level. The population, with a particular focus on pregnant
most recently available pre-earthquake data col- and lactating women as well as young children
lated from the 2014 Multiple Indicator Cluster as these sections have specific nutritional needs.
Survey (MICS) and the 2014 Small Area Esti-
mation (SAE) indicates a high rate of child un- Recovery and reconstruction activities have been
dernutrition in the affected districts. Infant and proposed to address immediate as well as longer-
Young Child Feeding (IYCF) practices were also term needs. Supplementary food assistance and
found to be sub-optimal in those districts. Multiple Micronutrient Powder (MNP) supple-
mentation has been planned for vulnerable sec-
Given its cross-cutting nature, the nutrition sec- tions in the initial year. These activities will take
tor does not have a separate infrastructure to op- place in conjunction with routine nutrition ser-
erate nutrition programmes. Nutrition-specific vices provided by the health system, homestead
interventions are provided through the health food production, enhanced education and coun-
facilities and community-based extension ser- selling on optimal Maternal Infant and Young
vices provided by Female Community Health Child Nutrition (MIYCN), management of
Volunteers (FCHVs). Nutrition-sensitive inter- severe acute malnutrition (SAM), promotion of
ventions are provided through related sectors efforts to increase production and utilize nutri-
such as education, agriculture, and water, sanita- ent-rich agriculture, including livestock prod-
tion and hygiene. Hence, the damage caused by ucts, and capacity enhancement, all of which will
the earthquake to these sectors is bound to have continue as measures for the medium as well as
an impact on nutrition levels as well. long term. Nutrition assessments to monitor and
guide the interventions have also been planned.
A post-earthquake assessment found that food The total recovery needs are estimated to be NPR
consumption practices have worsened in the 5,036 million (US$ 50.4 million).
affected districts compared with the levels re-
corded in the pre-earthquake assessment data. The overall recovery strategy will be aligned with
This will directly impact the nutritional status Nepal’s Multi-sector Nutrition Plan (MSNP)
of the population, especially children under the through multi-sector, multi-stakeholder and
age of five, and pregnant and lactating women multi-level coordination and collaboration.
who constitute the primary vulnerable groups
as far as undernutrition is concerned. Around Pre-Disaster Context and
250,000 children from the ages of six months to Baseline
59 months, and 135,000 pregnant and lactating
women are estimated to have been affected by A Persistent Problem
the earthquake in the 14 most-affected districts. Undernutrition has been a persistent problem
in Nepal, particularly amongst children under
As of now, there are no first hand statistics on the age of five years, and pregnant and lactat-
the impact of the earthquake on the nutritional ing women. The 2014 MICS provides the lat-
levels of the affected population in Nepal. Expe- est statistics on child undernutrition which put
riences from other countries show that underly- the rates of stunted growth, underweight and
ing factors such as food insecurity, poor quality wasting at37.5 percent, 30.1 percent and 11.3
of drinking water, sanitation and hygiene as well percent, respectively.9
9
Government of Nepal, National Planning Commission (NPC) Secretariat, Central Bureau of Statistics and UNICEF (2015).
Nepal Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey 2014, Key Findings and Tables.
39
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
Figure 3.1 shows a comparison of the findings of A recently released SAE of undernutrition
MICS with the situation five and 10 years ago as (2014)12, based on the 2011 NDHS and the
recorded in the 2011 Nepal Demographic and 2011 Census, fills the paucity of data at dis-
Health Survey (NDHS)10 and 200611. Though
trict and sub-district level. Figures 3.2, 3.3
the prevalence of stunting seems to be declin-
and 3.4 show a comparison of data from the
ing, it is still considered very high according to
the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Cat- two sources for stunting, wasting and severe
egorization of the Public Health Significance of wasting prevailing in the 14 districts that were
Undernutrition Indicators. In the past five years, subsequently most affected by the disaster.
the prevalence of underweight (a Millennium
Development Goal indicator for nutrition) and Overall, the findings of MICS are lower than
wasting have increased. the estimation of SAE except for the indicator
of prevalence of severe wasting. It can be seen
MICS did not collect information on the micro- from the graphs that stunting, which reflects
nutrient or nutrition status of women. However, chronic undernutrition, follows the usual pat-
the high rate of anaemia (48 percent among preg- tern seen in Nepal of being the highest in the
nant women as recorded in the 2011 NDHS) is mountain areas. The three mountain districts of
a pointer to the widespread poor maternal nutri- Dolakha, Rasuwa and Sindhupalchowk have the
tion status in Nepal. The same survey also found highest child stunting rates. Wasting was found
that 46 percent of children from the age of six to be higher than 5 percent in all districts by
months to 59 months were anaemic, the figure the MICS and higher than 7 percent in all dis-
rising to almost 70 percent amongst children tricts by the SAE. Moreover, both studies found
from the ages of six months to 23 months. The the wasting rates above 10 percent in the dis-
survey also shows that nearly a quarter of children tricts of Makawanpur, Nuwakot, Sindhuli and
(24.2 percent) are born with low birth weight. Sindhupalchowk. The MICS found alarmingly
Table 3.1 provides a summary of key nutrition high levels of severe wasting, above or almost 4
indicators taken from MICS as baseline informa- percent in all central hill districts, Okhaldhunga
tion of the situation prior to the earthquake. and Gorkha.
50
40
30
20
10
0
NDHS 2006 NDHS 2011 MICS 2014
10
Nepal Demographic and Health Survey (2011)
11
Nepal Demographic and Health Survey (2006)
12
Haslett, S., Jones, G., Isidro, M., and Sefton, A. (2014) Small Area Estimation of Food Insecurity and Undernutrition in Nepal, Central Bureau of Statistics, National
Planning Commision’s Secretariat, World Food Programme, UNICEF and World Bank, Kathmandu, Nepal, December 2014.
40
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
Table 3.1: Summary of Key Nutrition Indicators in the 14 Severely-affected Districts before the Earthquake,
2014 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS)
S. District Eco-dev Low Anthropometry, children 0-59 months Infant and young child feeding (iycf)
N. region birth (%) (%)
weight
(%)
Stunt- Severe Wasting Severe Initial bf Exclusive Minimum
ing stunt- below wasting within BF acceptable
below ing -2SD below an hour diet
-2SD below -3SD of birth
-3SD
1 Bhaktapur Central 23.7 27.7 11.5 5.9 4.4 45.6 54.3 38.6
Hill
2 Dhading
3 Kathmandu
4 Kavrepalanchowk
5 Lalitpur
6 Makawanpur
7 Nuwakot
8 Ramechhap
9 Sindhuli
10 Dolakha Cental 21.0 36.6 16.4 7.3 1.2 74.6 38.9 20.3
Mountain
11 Rasuwa
12 Sindhupalchowk
13 Okhaldhunga Eastern 26.6 26.9 9.9 10.8 4.2 43.9 35.5 46.8
Hill
14 Gorkha Western 23.3 37.6 12.9 7.4 3.8 45.3 68.9 41.5
Hill
Source: MICS, 2014
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
ur
ing
ot
uli
ha
ur
wa
wk
a
u
ow
ng
rk h
nd
ha
tap
np
litp
dh
lak
ho
su
ad
wa
hu
ch
ma
ch
Go
wa
Sin
Ra
Do
La
ak
alc
Dh
Nu
me
ld
lan
th
ka
Bh
up
ha
Ka
Ra
pa
Ma
Ok
dh
vre
Sin
Ka
41
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
15
10
0
ur
ing
ur
ot
wa
ha
wk
ga
a
uli
pu
ow
rk h
nd
ha
tap
litp
un
lak
ho
su
dh
ad
wa
an
ch
ma
ch
Go
ldh
Ra
Do
La
ak
alc
Dh
Sin
kw
Nu
me
lan
th
Bh
up
ha
Ma
Ka
Ra
pa
Ok
dh
vre
Sin
Ka
0
ur
ing
ur
ot
ha
wa
wk
a
uli
pu
ow
ng
rk h
nd
ha
tap
tp
lak
ho
su
dh
ad
wa
an
hu
ch
ma
ch
li
Go
Ra
Do
La
ak
alc
Dh
Sin
kw
Nu
me
ald
lan
th
Bh
up
Ma
Ka
Ra
h
pa
Ok
dh
vre
Sin
Ka
42
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
Infant and Young Child Feeding (IYCF) prac- spaces where mothers can access safe areas to
tices, as demonstrated by MICS show that half breastfeed, rest, eat and receive skilled counsel-
of the children were initiated into breastfeeding ling and targeted advice about breastfeeding and
within an hour of birth and half of the infants nutrition.
were breastfed exclusively during the first six
months of life. Less than 40 percent of children Many of the water supply systems are affected
were able to meet the recommended minimum and toilets are destroyed at the household lev-
acceptable diet which was even lower at 20 per- el.15 It is estimated that half the population
cent in the case of the three central hill districts in the affected districts need support to meet
of Dolakha, Rasuwa and Sindhupalchowk. their needs for water, sanitation and hygiene. In
areas where the water system was severely dam-
Post-Disaster Context aged, women have had to walk long distances
As mentioned earlier, the nutrition sector does (one hour to three hours away) to collect water
not have a separate infrastructure to operate from alternate sources. The collection of water
nutrition programmes. Nutrition-specific inter- for household purposes and for livestock, incurs
ventions are provided through regular health fa- time, energy and childcare costs. The nutrition-
cilities and community-based extension services al status can be negatively impacted by reduced
provided by FCHVs. According to available fig- access to sanitation, possible increase in open
ures, eight health workers and 10 FCHVs lost defecation, reduced production of vegetables
their lives in the earthquake, 68 health workers and other nutritious food as a result of dam-
and seven FCHVs were injured, and two health aged irrigation systems, and increased energy
workers were reported missing13. Nearly 80 per- expended by walking longer distances for the
cent of public health facilities are damaged and task of water collection.
many of the government offices providing social
services have been destroyed14. While a relatively A majority of schools and Early Childhood De-
small number of FCHVs died or were injured, velopment (ECD) centres, including their water
many of them are under a great deal of stress and and sanitation facilities, have been damaged in
may not be able to function as before. All these the 14 most-affected districts. The effect on the
developments are bound to have a negative im- education sector is likely to have a direct and
pact on nutrition services. Primary health care indirect effect on the nutrition sector as well.
and outreach clinics are still functional in most Damaged water and sanitation facilities may be
of the places. linked to outbreaks of diseases such as diarrhoea
which can negatively impact of the nutritional
There are approximately 73,000 pregnant wom- status of children.
en and 62,000 lactating women in the earth-
quake-affected areas. During the field visit the The provision of mid-day meals supports the nu-
assessment team observed that many of these tritional needs of children in pre-school (three
women are suffering from reduced food intake to five years of age) and primary school (six to
and dietary diversity and the trauma caused by 10 years of age). In addition to supporting the
the earthquake, along with the attendant dis- nutritional needs of school-going children, mid-
ruptions caused in their lives. This is likely to day meals also reduce the food requirement at
affect not only their own nutritional status but the household level, helping retain children in
also impact their ability to continue to exclu- schools. This has a longer-term benefit on nutri-
sively breastfeed their children. Unsolicited dis- tion as well, as there is a direct correlation be-
tribution of infant formula for children under tween education attainment of a mother and her
the age of five years was observed in Gorkha and child’s nutritional status.
Sindhupalchowk districts after the earthquake,
which further threatens breastfeeding practices. Emergency Nutrition Response
In response to this, as an important part of the To prevent malnutrition, District Health Offices
immediate response plan, the Nutrition Clus- (DHOs), with the assistance of the District Level
ter has accorded priority to creating designated Support Agency (DLSA), have already initiated
13
HEOC Report, May 29, 2015
14
HEOC Report, May 29,2015
15
WASH Sector Report, June 2015 43
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
16
Nepal: A report on the food security impact of the 2015 earthquake. Assessment conducted by the Nepal Food Security Monitoring System (NeKSAP).
Food Security Cluster, May 2015.
17
DHS 2011 data and the resulting small area estimation report shows that these 7 districts have a pre-existing global acute malnutrition prevalence of 6.8% (Dolakha),
8.4% (Gorkha), 8.5% (Sindhupalchowk), 9% (Dhading), 9.3% (Rasuwa), 9.6% (Kavre), and 9.9% (Nuwakot).
44
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
Table 3.2: Estimated Number of Affected Children under Five Years, and pregnant and lactating women
SN District Children <2 Children Children< Children Pregnant Lactating
years* 6-23 months 5 years 6-59 months women women
1 Sindhupalchowk 11873 8810 28158 25097 7351 6230
2 Kathmandu 73560 54686 35166 31371 8969 7606
3 Nuwakot 11379 8445 28312 25232 7380 6258
4 Dhading 14452 10723 28859 25705 7517 6375
5 Rasuwa 1850 1372 4199 3737 1113 944
6 Gorkha 11029 8163 22488 19977 6036 5116
7 Bhaktapur 12763 9465 12220 10875 3187 2702
8 Kavrepalanchowk 15499 11496 33449 29796 8765 7432
9 Lalitpur 19264 14315 10635 9485 2729 2314
10 Dolakha 7738 5740 20794 18519 5461 4632
11 Ramechhap 8302 6160 20251 18046 5302 4497
12 Makawanpur 18346 13632 16255 14501 4169 3536
18
Datar A, Liu J, Linnemayr S, Stecher C. The Impact of Natural Disasters on Child Health and Investments in Rural India. Social science & medicine (1982).
2013;76(1):83-91. doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2012.10.008.
19
IZA (2010) Do natural disasters affect human capital? An assessment based on existing empirical evidence. DP No. 5164
20
E. Frankenburg, J. Friedman, N. Ingwersen, & D. Thomas (2013). Child Height After a Natural Disaster.
21
J.K. Antilla – Hughes & S.M. Hsiang (2013). Destruction, Divestment and Death: Economic and Human Losses Following Environmental Disaster.
45
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
more than a third of households in the affected grammes provide an important platform for nutri-
areas (35 percent). Overall loss of income from tion and food security activities but the interven-
lost assets, savings and reduced opportunities to tions are typically short-term and supply-driven,
be paid for daily labour, reduces the purchasing such as therapeutic feeding, general food aid and
power of families to provide quality meals in seed distribution. However, it is important to give
sufficient quantity. Disrupted water systems and greater emphasis to addressing the root causes of
sanitation facilities heighten the risk of disease vulnerability and prevention of malnutrition,
among affected populations. It is also possible which is what recovery programmes should do.
that increased financial strain on households Hence, it is advisable to orient all reconstruction
may promote increased workloads among fam- efforts towards a more sustainable approach that
ily members, including pregnant and lactating addresses both immediate and underlying causes
women, which could negatively impact a wom- of undernutrition through integrated agriculture
an’s health during pregnancy and affect mothers’ and other sectoral activities.
caring practices with regard to their children.
Similarly, longer walks to collect water or other Recovery Needs and Strategy
household needs may have the same effect on Achieving nutrition and food security is a cross-
women’s health and nutritional status, reducing cutting goal that requires action from various sec-
the time available for child care. tors. Recognizing the need for a multi-sectoral
approach and for a strengthened multi-sectoral
Hence, the immediate concern is to prevent policy guidance and coordination, Nepal en-
a deterioration of the nutritional status of the dorsed a Multi-Sector Nutrition Plan (MSNP) in
affected population with a particular focus on 2012. A High Level National Nutrition and Food
pregnant and lactating women, and young chil- Security Steering Committee (HLNFSSC), has
dren as this population has specific nutritional been established at the National Planning Com-
needs. In addition, recovery efforts will also aim mission (NPC), and coordination architecture
to support the rehabilitation of systems and ser- has also been set up. Existing policies on nutri-
vices that address underlying factors contribut- tion specific and nutrition sensitive programmes
ing to both acute and chronic malnutrition. and interventions will be strengthened with the
involvement of all relevant sectors and stakehold-
Research confirms that a child’s first 1,000 days, ers. All nutrition service providers will work with
from conception to the first two years of life, is the existing nutrition architecture at the district
a critical period for growth and development. and national level.
Challenges affecting optimal growth and devel-
opment during this window have lifelong effects Post-earthquake nutrition activities will
on a child’s physical and cognitive growth. In- include the following:
adequate access to nutritious food, safe and hy- 1. Continuation of services to prevent and
gienic environments, quality health services and treat acute malnutrition alongside increased
caring practices may result in an increased risk of efforts to improve systems and services con-
morbidity and mortality in childhood, reduced tributing to longer-term nutritional gains,
learning capacity and school performance, in- focusing on a multi-sectoral approach.
creased risk of obesity and non-communicable 2. External support should be built on local
diseases later in life and overall lower earning food and nutrition practices.
potential and decreased work capacity22. 3. Rural, urban and slum areas need to be cov-
ered by government and non-government
This is a unique opportunity for emergency re- programmes/interventions, and the exist-
sponse and development programmes to work ing nutrition and food security programmes
synergistically to improve nutrition among in the 14 most-affected districts should be
women and children. Emergency response pro- further strengthened.
46
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
47
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
System (HMIS) and Logistic Management • Observation visits to the affected VDCs and
and Information System (LMIS). wards, health facilities and outpatient treat-
• Consultative meetings with the district ment programme centres.
line agencies and health workers, FCHVs • An analysis of secondary data from the 2014
and volunteers. MICS, 2011 NDHS and 2014 SAE and as-
• Focused group discussions with preg- sessments from other sectors provided key
nant, lactating women as well as other information on both the pre and post-disas-
community members. ter contexts related to nutrition.
Table 3.3: Proposed Nutrition Interventions and Tentative Cost Estimates (Short-term Activities for up to One Year)
Intervention Quantity Unit Cost Total Total (US$) Assumptions
Descrip- per Unit (NPR) Exchange
tion (NPR) rate: 1 US$
= 100 NPR
Short-term Activities
Supplementary food assistance
Provide assistance to increase access to sup- Local producers of forti-
plementary food to children aged 6 months fied supplementary food
to 59 months, pregnant and lactating women, will be able to meet the
through health facilities to prevent deteriora- requirements of the target
tion of nutritional status as well as increase population requiring food-
health service utilization, including enhanced based assistance; market
nutrition counselling. The assistance can be assessments and necessary
in the form of cash, vouchers or food (e.g. banking infrastructure will
385 000 Person 8000 3 080 000 000 30 800 000
fortified blended food, locally procured as support cash-based as-
much as possible) and provided for up to one sistance in other affected
year. Assessments such as those produced by areas. Weather or other
or in collaboration with Nepal Food Security environmental factors will
Monitoring System (NeKSAP) on the impact not prevent the delivery of
of earthquake on food security will be used to assistance.
guide the form of assistance provided to the
different affected areas.
Promotion of production and utilization of
local foods
Promote the production and utilization of 400 000 households 100 40 000 000 400 000 Nutrient-rich foods will be
indigenous crops, rich in macro and micronu- available and accessible to
trients, of plant and animal origin * promote for consumption.
Initiate homestead food production includ- 400 000 households 4000 1 600 000 000 16 000 000
ing poultry amongst existing and returnee
households**
Maternal Infant and Young Child Nutrition
(MIYCN)
Promote optimal child development through 279 231 children 100 27 923 100 279 231
implementation of child care activities, in under five
coordination with Ministry of Women Children years
and Social Welfare (MoWCSW)
48
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
Intensify monitoring of compliance and Nepal 14 Districts 1 000 000 14 000 000 140 000
Breast Milk Substitute (BMS) Act & Regulation
to ensure that unsolicited BMS is not distrib-
uted and used
Management of severe acute malnutrition
Establish and maintain management of severe 10 000 children 15 000 150 000 000 1 500 000 Caseload of SAM patients
acute malnutrition (SAM), including preven- under 5 requires ongoing treat-
tive and treatment services years ment services and com-
modities are available to
support this treatment.
Micronutrient supplementation
Replenish the lost stock of micronutrient 5 000 000 50 000 Sufficient supply of stock
supplements (Vitamin A, Iron Folic Acid and is available and able to be
deworming tablets as well as zinc tablets and distributed in the affected
ORS for treatment of diarrhoea) in the health areas.
facilities and provided to FCHVs
Provide Multiple Micronutrient Powder (MNP) 125 000 Child 500 62 500 000 625 000 Sufficient supply of stock is
supplementation during the first year to chil- available for distribution in
dren aged 6-59 months in areas where forti- the affected areas.
fied supplementary food will not be provided.
Training/capacity enhancement
Ensure that nutrition topics are covered in the 14 000 FCHVs 500 7 000 000 70 000 Adequate staffing is avail-
training/on-site coaching of new FCVHs and in able and environmental
refresher training for the existing FCHVs conditions do not inhibit
training or onsite coaching
plans.
Nutrition survey/assessment and monitoring
activities
Conduct a rapid SMART or other nutrition 1 Survey 25 000 25 000 000 250 000 Adequate staffing is avail-
survey to obtain primary district level estimate 000 able and environmental
of nutrition situation in all 14 severely affected conditions do not inhibit
districts completion of the survey.
Regular monitoring of all nutrition activities 5 000 000 50 000 Adequate staffing is avail-
conducted in the affected districts able and environmental
conditions do not inhibit
regular monitoring of ac-
tivities.
Establish a nutrition surveillance mechanism 10 000 000 100 000
in 14 districts through health facilities
Total 5 036 423 100 50 364 231
* Production activities will be budgeted under the agriculture sector. Advocacy and promotional activities will be conducted by the nutrition sector in collaboration with health and other sectors.
** Based on the number of fully destroyed households excluding partially destroyed households. Furthermore, only 50 percent of the households have been taken for the four districts with high proportion of
urban areas (Kathmandu, Lalitpur,Bhaktapur and Kavre)
***Based on the SAM prevalence estimate of 2.6 percent from NDHS 2011 as the ongoing programmatic experience as well as field observations differ from the high Severe Wasting levels from MICS 2014
49
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
50
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
4. Education
Summary structure and physical assets is estimated at NPR
The PDNA for the education sector is part of 28,063.8million (US$ 280.6 million). Further,
the broader PDNA conducted for all sectors un- the sector encountered losses of NPR 3,254.2
der the overall leadership of the National Plan- million (US$ 32.5 million). Overall, the public
ning Commission (NPC). It is a joint exercise of sector suffered more in terms of damages and
the Government of Nepal (GoN) and develop- losses when compared to private sector. Of the
ment partners, and has been led by the Ministry total effect, 92 percent accrues to the public sec-
of Education (MoE). tor and only 8 percent to the private sector.
The overall objective of this assessment is to The total recovery and reconstruction needs
take stock of the damages and losses faced by for the education sector for the next five years
the sector and provide estimates of the recovery (Fiscal Years 2015–2019) using the principle
and reconstruction needs using the principle of of building back better is estimated at NPR
building back better. The assessment covers the 39,705.8 million (US$ 397.1 million), of which
entire sector, which includes early childhood the majority (91 percent) is needed for the re-
education and development (ECED), school covery and reconstruction of the school subsec-
education (grades one to 12), technical and vo- tor. The recovery strategies and specific short,
cational education and training (TVET), higher medium and long-term needs are described in
education, and non-formal education/life-long the main text.
learning. The damages and losses for the sector
are based on the data and information provided Pre-Disaster Context
to the MoE by the various subsectors—Depart- and Baseline
ment of Education (DoE) for ECED and school
education, Council for Technical Education Sector Overview
and Vocational Training (CTEVT) for TVET, Nepal’s education sector is one of the largest
University Grants Commission for higher edu- government departments both in terms of size
cation, and Non-Formal Education Centre for of the population served and the annual govern-
non-formal education/life-long learning (in- ment budgetary allocations. The sector consists
cluding community learning centres). Data on of pre-primary (ECED), school, Technical and
damages and losses to public and institutional Vocational Education and Training (TVET) and
libraries is also included. Additionally, the sec- higher education subsectors. Table 4.1 below
tor assessment team undertook field visits and provides a summary of the size of the various
held consultations with representatives of all subsectors.
central line agencies, including CTEVT and
University Grants Commission, representatives School education comprises at least one year of
of private schools, and various teacher organi- pre-primary/ECED, five years of primary, three
zations to understand the effects of the disaster years of lower secondary, two years of secondary
on the functioning of the education system and and two years of higher secondary education.23
to solicit their suggestions for potential recovery School education is offered through at least two
strategies and interventions. types of schools—public and private. With the
Seventh Amendment to the Education Act 1971
The net value of the total damages and losses in 2001, all public schools are called ‘commu-
to the education sector is estimated at NPR nity’ schools and private schools ‘institutional’
31,317.9 million (US$313.2 million) at pre- schools. The majority of children attend public
disaster prices. Of this, the damage to infra- schools; however, there has been a dramatic in-
23
The ongoing School Sector Reform Programme aims to restructure school education into eight years of basic and four years of secondary schooling.
This will require amendments to the Education Act.
51
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crease in private education institutions in recent Community campuses, which are not for profit,
years. At the secondary school level, about 15 are established through community initiatives
percent of all children attend private schools, and resources and also receive some financial
and their presence increases to almost 27 percent support from the government, although levels of
if higher secondary education is also included. support are significantly lower than for constitu-
ent campuses. Private campuses are established
The vast majority of community schools receive through private investments and receive no pub-
support from the government in the form of lic grants. In 2012-2013, there were 96 constitu-
teachers’ salaries, recurrent grants for school ad- ent, 429 community and 751 private campuses
ministration and management, student grants accounting for about 37 percent, 30 percent and
for textbooks and scholarships, and grants for 33 percent of the total higher education enrol-
construction of classrooms and toilets. However, ment of 569,000, respectively. Tribhuvan Uni-
only very few private schools (those that operate versity, the largest university in the country, ac-
as trusts) are eligible to receive such grants. The counted for nearly 88 percent of this enrolment.
majority of private schools are registered as com-
panies and operate through user fees Making Strides in Education
Nepal has made good progress in enhancing ac-
The TVET subsector includes school-based cess, equity and efficiency in school education,
technical schools (general schools with techni- and remains committed to the achievement of
cal stream) as well as non-school-based techni- the Millennium Development Goals (MDG)
cal institutions overseen by CTEVT, which has and Education for All (EFA) targets.
21 constituent (public) and 400 affiliated (pri-
vate) technical institutions that offer short-term, The percentage of children between the ages of
technical school leaving certificate (TSLC) and three to five years accessing ECED increased
diploma courses. More than 90,000 people to 77.7 percent in 2014-2015, and nearly 60
graduate from these courses annually. percent of the new entrants in grade one have
ECED experience. The net enrolment rate has
Higher education is offered through nine univer- reached 96.1 at primary and 87.6 at the basic
sities and four medical science academies, all of level. Likewise, gender parity in enrolments
which receive public funds in varying degrees. All has been achieved at all levels of schooling. The
universities have constituent and affiliated colleg- share of hitherto marginalized groups such as
es that are spread across the country. While cur- Dalits and Janajatis has also increased in the to-
riculum and examinations for affiliated campuses tal student population. Dalit children account
come under the jurisdiction of the affiliating uni- for more than 20 percent of all children enrolled
versity, affiliated campuses are independent vis-à- in primary education and Janajatis account for
vis financing and administration. more than 36 percent of all enrolled children,
which is more than their proportional represen-
Affiliated campuses are further classi- tation in the total population according to the
fied into community and private campuses. 2011 Census. However, the share of Dalits grad-
ually decreases to 14.6 in lower secondary, 10.5 Sector Financing and Coordination
in secondary and only 6.8 in higher secondary Education is a priority sector for the GoN. The
education, indicating that many Dalit children sector has been receiving the largest share (around
do not progress in the education ladder24. 14 percent) of the government budget allocation
in recent years. Furthermore, public investment
The overall literacy rate for the population aged in education as a fraction of Gross Domestic
five years and above has also increased from Product (GDP) increased from less than 2.9 per-
54.1 percent in 2001 to 65.9 percent in 201125. cent in 1999 to 4.2 percent in 2014. More than
However, there are marked gender disparities in 80 percent of the government’s education budget
literacy rates: 75.1 percent of males are literate is allocated to school education, and within that
as compared with 57.4 percent of females. These about 60 percent goes to basic education. This
differences are expected to narrow down as there is in line with the global commitments made by
is an increasing trend of more girls attending the government to achieve MDG and EFA tar-
and completing basic education. gets. But this has also led to the under-financing
of tertiary education. Foreign aid has been an
While school education has made significant important component of the total government
progress in enhancing access, the system suffers spending in education. On average, develop-
from low quality and relevance of education. ment partners have accounted for more than 22
Further, school education is not completely percent of the total education budget although it
free despite constitutional provisions of free decreased to 13 percent in FY2015.
education up to secondary level, affecting the
full participation of children, particularly from The school subsector demonstrates good evi-
the poorest segments. dence of a sector-wide approach involving the
pooling of government and development part-
In TVET, more than 90,000 people graduate annu- ners’ funds to support a jointly agreed national
ally from various non-degree short-term and long- School Sector Reform Programme (SSRP)
term degree courses (Technical School Leaving Cer- through direct budgetary support.26 In TVET
tificate or TSLC and diploma), which represents a too, there is good evidence of coordination
gradual increase over the years. Mechanisms have also amongst the government and different develop-
been instituted for skills testing of these graduates. ment partners supporting the subsector, albeit in
However, the employability of the TVET graduates project mode. The major development partners
remains low and there are challenges in responding supporting TVET include Asian Development
to market needs. Bank (ADB), Department for International De-
velopment (DfID), the European Union (EU),
In higher education, total student enrolment in- Korea International Cooperation Agency (KO-
creased from 173,546 in 2005 -2006 to 569,665 ICA), Swiss Agency for Development and Co-
in 2012-2013, with an average annual growth operation (SDC), USAID, World Bank (WB),
rate of 14.7 percent. Of this, approximately 40 and Finland, with interagency coordination by
percent are girls. The number of graduates in- SDC. However, development partners’ engage-
creased from 25,900 in 2005-20006 to 63,642 ment in higher education is limited to WB.
during the same period. The gross enrolment
rate reached 17.1 in 2012-2013, which is higher Disaster Risk Reduction
than that of most countries at comparable levels Under SSRP, efforts have been undertaken
of economic development. Despite significant to mainstream disaster risk reduction (DRR)
achievements over the past decade, factors such and safety in school education. In 2012, MoE
as low relevance and quality, internal inefficien- prepared a pilot school safety action plan to
cies, inequity and inadequate financing contin- undertake retrofitting of 260 school build-
ue to pose major challenges in higher education. ings in Kathmandu Valley. It involved training
24
Within Dalits, the share of girls slightly decreases in secondary (49.1%) and higher secondary (48.5%) levels.
25
Central Bureau of Statistics. 2011. Nepal Population and Housing Census 2011: Main Report. Kathmandu: Central Bureau of Statistics.
26
The development partners supporting the SSRP include Australia, ADB, EU, Finland, JICA, Norway, UNICEF and the World Bank, including funds from the Global
Partnership for Education.
53
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
However, the strategy and plan need to be re- Likewise, in the TVET subsector, most of the
visited in the context of the current disaster and reported damage was faced by the Jiri Technical
included in the post-SSRP education sector plan School in Dolakha, which was completely dam-
(School Sector Development Plan or SSDP) that aged. A total of 356 TVET classrooms were fully
is currently being formulated. Elements of DRR destroyed and another 184 were partially dam-
and education in emergencies have been incor- aged. There was significant damage to equip-
porated in the school curriculum and textbooks, ment and other assets. However, as pointed out
and a school emergency contingency plan has in the section on methodology, this may not
also been prepared. There are also dedicated be a true reflection of the actual damages and
courses on disaster risk management (DRM) losses faced by the subsector since complete in-
and earthquake engineering in various institutes formation on the damages and losses faced by
of engineering. CTEVT-affiliated public and private technical
institutions is not available as yet.
Post-Disaster Context
In higher education, 1,292 classrooms were
Disaster Effects and Impacts completely destroyed and another 3,040 were
This section describes the effects, including dam- partially damaged. Likewise, there was a very
ages and losses, of the earthquake on Nepal’s ed- high loss to equipment as a result of damages
ucation sector. It should be noted that the effects to research laboratories. Further, there was ma-
of the earthquake could have been much more jor damage to the administrative buildings of
severe had it not struck on a Saturday afternoon, three major universities – Tribhuvan Univer-
the weekly holiday. Had it struck on a weekday, sity, Kathmandu University, and Nepal Sanskrit
the loss of human lives would have been much University. The cumulative value of damages to
higher, particularly if it had occurred at a time higher education institutions has been estimated
when children and teachers were at school.27 at NPR 28 billion. However, the actual damages
and losses faced by the sector could climb much
It is reported that 584 students (571 studying in school and 13 in higher education) lost their lives. 49 teachers from schools and colleges were killed.
27
54
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higher when complete information from private annual festivals. However, even as the schools
institutions affiliated with the various universi- reopened, it would be a while before regular
ties is made available. teaching-learning can take place. Most schools
in the highly-affected districts will not hold full-
The sector also witnessed losses to community day classes for at least one month, leading to loss
learning centres, public libraries and commu- of learning time.
nity-based ECD centres. Again, however, it
was impossible for the Sector Assessment Team More importantly, the destruction of houses
to reflect the true extent of damages and loss- and displacement of families has had a severely
es faced by such institutions in the absence negative impact on the learning environment
of mechanisms to systematically collect and at home. Children reported that they have lost
supply such information. the motivation and confidence to study as their
learning habits have been disrupted. They are as-
Effects on Teaching and Learning sailed by anxiety that they might have forgotten
While the effects of the quake on infrastructure what they had learnt and so they may find it
and physical assets are relatively easy to estimate difficult to pass their examinations (particularly
in monetary terms, it is more difficult to esti- children in grades 8 and 10 who need to take the
mate the financial implications of the quake on district and national level board examinations).
teaching and learning processes. The earthquake It is, therefore, likely that affected schools might
and its aftershocks led to the complete closure of experience a decline in learning outcomes in the
schools and colleges for more than a month (26 short to medium term.
April–30 May) in the severely-affected districts,
forcing more than two million children and There are other effects to watch out for as well.
youth to stay out of educational institutions for For instance, the effects on enrolment, atten-
a significant period of time at a time when the dance and internal efficiency could lead to an
academic year had just started.28 The standard increase in the number of out-of-school children.
school opening days per year is 220, with 190 There could also be an increase in the number of
days for teaching-learning and the rest for ex- children with disabilities or significant injuries for
aminations, extracurricular activities, and other whom the temporary or transitional learning cen-
non-teaching functions. tres (TLCs) could be less than accessible. With
the demand for additional labour both at home
During meetings with the assessment team, and in the market, it is reasonable to assume that
DEOs and central agencies emphasized that some children, particularly in the higher grades,
the number of days lost would eventually be might be less regular or drop out eventually, and
covered through cuts in summer vacation and there might also be a decrease in their motivation
28
The schools in the affected districts reopened on 31 May and colleges affiliated to Tribhuvan University reopened on 5 June.
55
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
to learn (these implications are discussed sepa- Universities, the Higher Secondary Education
rately in the section on risks and vulnerabilities Board and the Teacher Service Commission post
below). It is, however, impossible at the moment either postponed or rescheduled their examina-
to gauge the effects of the quake on these param- tions. But this is unlikely to affect the schedules
eters and quantify the resulting efficiency losses. planned for next year.
Effects on Teachers and Education Per- It is probable that there will be some effects
sonnel on the normal functioning of school manage-
The total casualties among teachers were report- ment committees, as many experienced loss of
ed to be 49 (including two in higher education). lives and incurred property losses as well. Fur-
While there was no reported casualty among ther, given that education personnel have been
non-teaching personnel, many teachers from the redeployed for structural assessments and relief
affected areas lost their homes and family mem- works, service delivery at central and local levels
bers. The household burden for female teachers is likely to be affected for some time.
increased. In interactions during the team’s field
visits, teachers stated that they would be able to Emerging Risks and Vulnerabilities
resume teaching-learning activities once schools Disasters affect different segments of society in
reopened but, simultaneously, they raised con- disproportionate ways. Nepal is a highly diverse
cerns regarding the availability of housing, need country in terms of geography, demography,
for advance payment, and additional training language and socio-economic status, and certain
to facilitate children’s return to schools, psycho- areas and groups tend to be more vulnerable
social counselling, and their management in to disasters than others. The vulnerabilities are
multi-grade settings. likely to be exacerbated by the internal displace-
ment of people and increased risks of flooding
Effects on Service Delivery and Gover- and landslides in the rainy season.
nance Mechanisms
No major damages to physical infrastructures The assessment uses pre-disaster indicators to
of central-level institutions were reported dur- predict education-related vulnerabilities (out-
ing meetings with the team. Hence, the effect of-school, drop-out, repetition and non-com-
on the functioning of key central-level agencies pletion) in districts categorized as most affected,
was deemed to be minimal. At the district level, major and minor affected districts. It shows that
there was some damage to DEOs, particularly there is relatively lower risk at the primary level
in the most-affected districts. The cumulative and higher risk at the basic level in the most-af-
value of these damages has been estimated at fected districts, whereas there is a reversal of pat-
NPR 79.4 million. There was major damage tern in the major affected districts (Table 4.3).
to the administrative buildings of three major
universities – Tribhuvan University, Kathman- Likewise, analysis of vulnerabilities in the most-
du University, and Nepal Sanskrit University affected districts shows that they have a high
– which affected their day-to-day operations. number of children with disabilities in ECED,
56
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
requiring a special focus on this group and its (US$ 223.8 million) and losses being NPR
transition to the primary level. However, a high- 2,629.1 million (US$ 26.3 million). For the re-
er level of vulnerability at both basic and sec- maining 42 major and minor affected districts
ondary levels is observed in the minor-affected (including the 17 major-affected districts), the
areas, emphasizing the need for a balanced focus total damages and losses are NPR 5,688.7 mil-
that accommodates historic vulnerabilities with lion (US$ 56.9 million) and NPR 625.1 (US$
emerging needs. Given that the internal effi- 6.3 million), respectively.
ciency of the most-affected districts is higher at
primary level compared to the secondary level, However, the damages and losses reported in
special attention needs to be paid to girls’ and this assessment should be viewed as lower bound
minority groups’ drop-out and learning out- estimates of the actual damages and losses expe-
comes of at the secondary level. rienced by the sector. The figures would increase
substantially if the value of community contri-
Damages and Losses butions to classroom construction in the public
The total value of the damages and losses to the (community) schools were to be included (at
education sector is estimated at NPR 31,317.9 around 40 percent on top of the government’s
million (US$ 313.2 million) at pre-disaster contribution).
prices (Table 4.4). Of this, the damage to infra-
structure and physical assets is estimated at NPR Recovery Needs and Strategy
28,063.8 million (US$ 280.6 million). Further, The estimation of needs covers the entire sector
the sector encountered a loss of NPR 3,254.2 and includes the needs of the private sector as
million (US$ 32.5 million), mainly on account well. The total needs for recovery and reconstruc-
of activities associated the establishment of tem- tion is estimated at NPR 39,705.8 million (US$
porary learning centres, child-friendly spaces 397.1 million). Of this amount, the majority (91
and WASH facilities, demolition of destroyed percent) is needed for the recovery and recon-
buildings and removal of debris, and clean-up struction of the school subsector (Table 4.5).
and minor repair costs associated with the use
of ‘intact’ schools as temporary shelters. Over- However, as in the case of damages and losses, the
all, the public sector suffered more damages and estimates of needs should also be viewed as lower
losses compared to private sector, accounting for bound estimates of the actual needs required for
92 percent of the total damages and losses.29 the recovery and reconstruction of the entire sec-
tor, mainly because of the limitations in the dam-
More than 80 percent of the damages and losses age and loss assessment data described in the sec-
were in the 14 most-affected districts, with the tion on methodology. Further, the recovery and
damages amounting to NPR 22,375.1 million reconstruction needs will increase significantly if
Table 4.4: Damages and Losses to the Education Sector (in NPR million)
Disaster effect Distribution by ownership
Subsector components
Damages Losses Total Public Private
ECD 401.8 11.8 413.5 111.6 301.9
School (1-12 grades) 24,642.1 3,190.7 27,832.8 26,670.6 1,162.2
TVET 487.3 6.7 494.0 483.9 10.1
Higher education 2,430.4 42.2 2,472.6 1,581.8 890.8
NFE/LLL 22.8 0.7 23.4 23.4 -
Administrative buildings
79.4 2.2 81.6 81.6 -
(including libraries)
Total (in million NPR) 28,063.8 3,254.3 31,317.9 28,952.9 2,365.0
Total (in million US$) 280.6 32.5 313.2 289.5 23.7
29
Data on damages and losses to the private sector is limited, with the information provided only for 11 districts. Therefore, the value of the actual damages and losses to
private sector is bound to be much higher.
57
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
the needs of private institutions are taken into ac- ensure that education buildings meet higher
count. Given that private education institutions standards and levels of safety than residential
(schools, TVET institutions and university col- buildings. It is important to set up indepen-
leges) are not funded by government resources, dent quality control and inspection require-
it is recommended that they be provided with ac- ments for the construction of school build-
cess to soft loans for reconstruction in return for ings. Policies and guidelines to regulate safety
meeting the requisite safety standards. standards for private schools through certi-
fication, technical and administrative sup-
Table 4.5: Estimates of Recovery and Re- port need to be introduced. Likewise, there
construction Needs (in NPR million) should be adequate provisioning of human
Subsector Cost of needs resources and technical capacity at the na-
tional and district levels to ensure safety and
School sector (includ-
36,105.3 quality at all phases of construction. Higher
ing ECD/PPCs)
TVET 710.0
education institutions could play a crucial
role in these aspects.
Higher education 2,417.5
• Building back better: All new education
NFE/CLCs 42.1 institutions should be resilient to future di-
General governance sasters (buildings with safe and adequately
430.9
and administration sized staircases, proper exits, furnishing
Total (in NPR NPR) 39,705.8 and equipment such as to minimize poten-
Total (in US$ million) 397.1 tial harm to school occupants, displays and
equipment for early warning and evacuation
Priorities of Recovery and Strategies arrangements) and ensure the provision of
The overall focus of any recovery and recon- minimum enabling conditions for enhanced
struction strategy in the education sector is to learning (such as clean drinking water supply
ensure uninterrupted education service delivery including the harvesting of rain water where
at all times. This calls for a focus on both the applicable, separate sanitation facilities for
structural and non-structural aspects of the edu- girls and boys, energy and communication
cation system to ensure that all education insti- connectivity, libraries, laboratories and play-
tutions are resilient to multi-hazards and provide grounds). Retrofitting should be continued
an enabling learning environment. The overall for prioritized vulnerable schools. Likewise,
recovery strategy will prioritize the 56 affected thought would be given to a clear policy
districts, but will gradually move to include and plan to replace all school buildings with
all education institutions across the country stone and mud mortar masonry on a priority
through incorporation of the DRR perspective basis. Building back better will be done in
in the subsectoral plans and programmes. The close coordination with the local bodies and
major elements of the strategy include: communities. However, the current model of
• Restructuring the MoE system: Existing building schools through community contri-
institutional arrangements at the central bution should be revisited.
and local levels need to be restructured to • Interventions in non-structural aspects:
respond more effectively to multi-hazards. Enhancing disaster resilience is not only
This would require reviewing and revisiting about building back better from a structural
existing policies related to the organization perspective. It requires interventions in non-
and management of the system. structural aspects of the education system such
• Strengthening systemic capacity to deal as the curriculum and textbooks to ensure that
effectively with post-disaster response and teachers and students internalize safety issues
recovery and reconstruction: These would and can act in times of need. This also re-
include mechanisms to address the immedi- quires strengthened disaster preparedness and
ate needs described above as well as improve response at the school and community level
existing policies, guidelines and systems to through school-based DRM and community-
based DRM training and planning.
58
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The range of specific needs in the short ability of land, cost effectiveness and other
term, the medium term and long terms are factors into account, is important for a timely
described below. reconstruction and rehabilitation of damaged
school buildings. Further assessment of exist-
Short-term Needs (0–1 years) ing steel frame structure classrooms should be
These include the immediate and transitional done to feed into the development of such
needs that are required to resume the delivery of prototypes to see if they could be the most
education services in the various subsectors until cost-effective and resilient structures in case of
reconstruction and rehabilitation of permanent earthquakes and others disasters.
structures is completed. • Revisiting of the existing ‘Strategy for Di-
saster-Resilient Schools’ and mainstream-
In the school subsector, the short-term needs ing of the reconstruction and recovery plan
include the following: in the post-SSRP school sector development
• For the resumption of education services, sector plan that is currently being formulated
it is estimated that nearly 15,000 temporary/ by the government.
transitional learning centres with teaching-
learning and co-curricular and WASH In the TVET and higher education subsectors,
facilities (including separate facilities for there is an immediate need for the following:
girls) need to be established in the affected • Provision of temporary spaces to resume
districts.30 Given that school reconstruction classes and training programmes that were
would require at least two to three years these ongoing prior to the disaster. For this pur-
structures require reinforcement and upgrad- pose, it is necessary that individual institu-
ing to withstand storms, snow, hail and rain tions are instructed and provided with the
to ensure uninterrupted education in a safe requisite resources by UGC, the respective
environment while undergoing reconstruc- universities, and CTEVT.
tion and retrofitting. • Flexible examination dates for missed ex-
• Debris removal and site clearance of aminations.
damaged schools to prepare the sites for • Subsidized credit/loans for affected stu-
set up of transitional classrooms and dents to ensure continuity of their higher
permanent buildings. education.
• Provision of textbooks and teaching-learn- • Provision of construction-oriented trades
ing materials to ensure meaningful resump- in short-term training programmes
tion of teaching-learning processes given the offered by different ongoing TVET-related
massive damage to textbooks and teaching- projects,31 giving particular attention to
learning materials in the affected districts. training people in the affected communi-
• Detailed structural assessment of dam- ties. There is also a need to properly equip
aged school buildings on a building-by- masons and other technicians (electricians,
building basis, and soil tests to ascertain the plumbers, etc.) trained for reconstruc-
true extent of damages and losses as well tion work so that the idea of building back
as feasibility of reconstruction/retrofitting better can be translated into action quickly
in existing sites. and effectively.
• Development of appropriate designs and • Facility-by-facility assessment of damages,
prototypes and institutional arrangements, risks and vulnerabilities through mobiliza-
taking into account geography, climate, avail- tion of engineering students and graduates.
30
The Education Cluster was immediately activated on 26 April and appealed for US$ 24.1 million to enable the set-up of 4,668 TLCs, the provision of essential education-
in-emergencies supplies, and the training of teachers on psychosocial support and life-saving messages relating to disaster preparedness, protection, sanitation and hygiene
promotion, nutrition and health. The Education Cluster is also supporting the DOE with a structural assessment of 7,800 schools to designate them safe or unsafe for the
resumption of learning. The Education Cluster is led by the DOE, under the supervision of the MOE, and co-led by UNICEF and Save the Children. It now consists of
over 70 national and international organizations, including 37 International NGOs, 32 National NGOs and 4 UN Agencies.
31
These include short-term training programs conducted by the government’s Enhanced Vocational Education and Training (EVENT) project, the Skills Development
Project (SDP) and the Employment Fund.
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a considerable part of the available resourc- Current data on children with disabilities
es, they present an opportunity to enhance within the EMIS is limited but suggests
access and retention in schools. Needs-based that they are amongst the most marginalized
redirection of these incentives (in place groups with regard to access, retention and
of the current ‘blanket’ provision) would learning outcomes. It is crucial to strengthen
increase the amount of money available to the the monitoring and evaluation of data on
neediest children and thereby serve the children with disabilities, and the diagnostic
immediate needs of those most vulnerable and referral mechanisms within the affected
and most affected. areas. Also, inclusion should be a core com-
• Health and nutrition programmes: The ponent of the build back better concept to
midday meals programme supported by the ensure that safe schools also are inclusive in
government has demonstrated significant terms of access, acoustics and light.
success in contributing to increased access
and retention, especially among disadvan- Implementation Arrangements
taged groups living in highly food insecure Implementation arrangements for reconstruc-
areas of Nepal in the far and mid-western tion and recovery will vary according to the spe-
hills and mountains. This scheme could be cific subsectors within the education sector. It
extended to the affected districts for a fixed is essential that dedicated mechanisms be insti-
time period to address the nutritional needs tuted within MoE/DoE, CTEVT and universi-
of the children attending schools. Likewise, ties (including third party verification) to ensure
there is a need to also extend the Multi- strict adherence to norms and standards in the
Sector Nutrition Strategy, under which iron design and construction of education facilities.
folic acid and deworming tablets are offered
to students, to the affected areas. In the school subsector, there are a limited num-
• Advocacy and campaigns: The ‘Welcome to ber of engineers and sub-engineers at DoE and
School Campaign’ has been institutionalized DEOs. The damages and losses figures illustrate
as an annual reoccurring event to convince the importance of ensuring safety and quality
parents to enroll their children and ensure by providing technical supervision at the school
that children come to school from the start construction sites, testing materials, inspect-
of the academic year. There is a need to build ing workmanship, and confirming that workers
on established partnerships with national and comply with design drawings during construc-
local media to ensure that the campaign en- tion. The number of design and construction su-
courages affected children to return to school pervision engineers and sub-engineers should be
in the affected areas, as well as alert schools increased by hiring additional human resources
and communities in non-affected areas to ca- and technical inputs for speedy recovery, moni-
ter to the additional needs of children that toring safety and quality. TVET and higher edu-
have migrated from the affected areas. cation subsectors need to establish coordination
• Alternate education: In order to address committees within their respective agencies and
the needs of those who are expected to drop could assign specialized institutions within their
out of formal education, the government’s ambit (such as the Institute of Engineering in the
non-formal education and skill-development case of Tribhuvan University) to manage and
programmes will have to adapt to increased oversee the overall safety of their institutions.
needs based on the projection of increase
of out-of-school children who are unlikely Assessment Methodology
to return to formal education. This will This PDNA for the education sector is part of the
require a need-based expansion of the School broader PDNA conducted for all sectors under
Outreach Programme (SOP), the Flex- the overall leadership of NPC. It is a joint exercise
ible Schooling Programme (FSP), and the of the government and development partners and
Open Schooling Programme (OSP) within in the case of education is led by MoE.
the affected areas.
• Inclusion of children with disabilities: Methods, Tools and Data Sources
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The PDNA of the education sector utilizes a used to understand local perspectives on how the
combination of quantitative and qualitative as- education system can be built back better to re-
sessment tools. The major component of this as- duce multi-hazard risks in the future. For these
sessment is the estimation of damages and losses purposes, a standard questionnaire was developed
for the entire sector, which includes early child- by the Assessment Team to guide the interactions
hood education and development (ECED), with various stakeholders. In each district, vis-
school education (grades 1–12), technical and its were made to ECD centres, general schools,
vocational education and training (TVET), technical schools, and universities/colleges. Dis-
higher education, and non-formal education/ cussions were held with the District Education
life-long learning. The estimation of damages Officers and staff, teachers, school management
and losses are categorized into the following four committee members, parents and children to
dimensions: the extent possible. Further, a series of interac-
• destruction of infrastructure and assets tions were held with representatives of all central
• disruption to service delivery and production line agencies including the CTEVT and UGC,
• disruption of governance representatives of private schools and various
• emerging risks and vulnerabilities teacher organizations on 27 May to understand
the effects of the disaster on the functioning of
The calculation of damages and losses for the the education system and to solicit their sugges-
sector are based on the data and information tions for potential recovery strategies and inter-
provided to MoE by the various subsectors ventions. Further consultations on the recovery
– DoE for ECED and school education, CT- strategies and interventions were carried out with
VET for TVET, UGC for higher education, these agencies and their suggestions have been
and Non-Formal Education Centre for non- incorporated in the report. In addition, the chil-
formal education/life-long learning (including dren’s consultations organized by the Plan Inter-
community learning centres). Data on damages national, Save the Children, UNICEF and World
and losses to public and institutional libraries Vision International, Nepal, from 25 May to 7
has also been included. For the school subsec- June 2015 have informed the PDNA education
tor, the PDNA Team built on the data that was sector report by reflecting the voices of the chil-
compiled through the Nepal Education Cluster, dren from the 14 most-affected districts.
which was activated to undertake the relief and
initial response shortly after the earthquake.32 Key Assumptions and Limitations
Data on damages and losses was obtained from Damages to infrastructure and assets in all sub-
57 districts, including the 14 most-affected dis- sectors have been estimated on the basis of the
tricts. All calculations are based on the pre-di- number of classrooms/rooms damaged (not on
saster unit costs used by the MoE system in the the basis of the number of building units dam-
planning and allocation of resources. aged). As ‘intact’ classrooms in an unusable
building34 have generally not been included in
The Sector Assessment Team undertook field the damage reports from the districts, the total
visits from 26–29 May 2015 in 10 variously af- number of classrooms rendered unusable is most
fected districts33 to gain additional insights into likely higher than the figures used here. Whilst
the extent of damage to physical infrastructure there was complete information on school-based
and assets, and to understand the broader effects ECD centres (which are included under school
of the disaster on: education), information on the extent of dam-
• access and learning environment age to community-based ECD centres was avail-
• teaching and learning processes able only for the 14 most-affected districts. We
• teachers and education personnel have assumed that the damage to ECD centres
• service delivery and governance mechanisms in the remaining affected districts was propor-
• emerging risks and vulnerabilities tionate to the damage to schools and have done
the calculations accordingly.35
More importantly, however, these field visits were
In the case of private education institutions,
32
For details, see www.humantarianrelief.info/operations/nepal/education
33
These included Kathmandu, Lalitpur, Bhaktapur, Lamgjung, Tanahu, Gorkha, Dhading, Sindhupalchowk, Kavrepalanchowk and Sindhuli.
34
A number of such cases were observed during the field visit.
35
We can generally assume that community-based ECD centers are centers are typically located in less structurally sound buildings so this estimate of damages is also highly
likely to be a lower bound estimate. 63
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many of them operate in rented buildings and Following the standard PDNA methodology, we
the damage to classrooms could be therefore have also included in the loss estimates the costs
seen as damage to be included under the hous- of demolition/debris removal and of setting up
ing sector PDNA. This is also the case with many temporary learning spaces.36
community-based ECD centres and community-
learning centres. However, we have included such Given the extremely tight timeline for the assess-
damages as damages to the education sector. We ment, it was not possible to include data from
have applied the same standard unit costs to all the detailed structural assessment that is cur-
classrooms in different subsectors irrespective of rently being undertaken in all affected districts.37
the nature of construction (e.g., mud vs. RCC). It The Team has, therefore, chosen to be conserva-
should be noted that complete data on damages tive in its estimates of damages and losses. More
to assets in many schools and educational institu- specifically, it should be noted that damage and
tions were not available. In such cases, we have loss estimates reported in this assessment should
assumed that total damage to classrooms also be viewed as lower bound estimates of the actual
means total damage to furniture, equipment and damages and losses experienced by the sector for
other assets and estimated the total damages us- the following reasons:
ing average cost figures provided by the respective • Underreporting of damages in educational
subsectoral institutions. In the case of facilities institutions run by the private sector: Not
experiencing partial damage, we have assumed all private education institutions were able
the loss at 50 percent of the value of the furni- to provide damage and loss data. This was
ture, equipment and other assets owned by them. also the case with TVET and higher educa-
36
However, justifications could be made to include some of these ‘losses’ in the ‘needs’ part.
37
However, the preliminary results of these assessments from 4 districts have been used to verify the data on damage that was reported through the District Education Officers.
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tion subsectors that do not have systematic ships and matching contributions from the
mechanisms in place to collect such data un- communities and other organizations.
der a limited time frame. Therefore, a more • Non-inclusion of damages from storms
systematic and comprehensive assessment of following the earthquake: As the PDNA
damaged buildings is needed to ascertain the was being undertaken, a series of highly de-
true extent of damage. structive storms also hit the affected districts,
• Limitations in approach to reporting dam- causing additional damage to the already af-
ages: As damage reports show data on dam- fected schools and communities. Roofing
aged classrooms as opposed to buildings, materials, particularly, were blown away in
‘intact’ classrooms in damaged buildings many schools. However, these damages could
have not been accounted for even though not be included in this analysis. Furthermore,
they are unusable. the monsoon will bring with it torrential rains
• Limited information on damages to com- and increase the risks of flooding and land-
munity-run institutions: Data on damages slides. In particular, five of the most-affected
to many institutions such as community- districts (Rasuwa, Sindhupalchowk, Dhad-
based ECD centres and community learning ing, Dolakha and Gorkha) have suffered from
centres are not available. monsoon-related disasters in the past and it
• Use of conservative unit cost figures: The is highly likely that they will suffer from ad-
unit costs used by the government underesti- ditional damages in the monsoon. Such po-
mate the actual costs of classrooms as most of tential future damages are also not included in
construction in the education sector occurs this PDNA.
through government-community partner-
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5. Cultural Heritage
Summary of high grade materials, seismic-strengthening
In the aftermath of the 2015 earthquake, Ne- structural features. The cost of reconstruction
pal suffered its worst loss of heritage since the has been calculated at the estimated value of
earthquake of 1934. Major monuments in damages plus 20 percent to build back better.
Kathmandu’s seven World Heritage Monument The cost of recovery also includes the profes-
Zones were severely damaged and many col- sional services provided by technical experts,
lapsed completely. In addition, in more than 20 capacity-building support to the Department of
districts, thousands of private residences built Archaeology (DoA), MoCTCA, and initiatives
on traditional lines, historic public buildings, to document and revitalize the wide spectrum
ancient and recently built temples and monas- of crafts and cultural traditions that come under
teries, were affected by the disaster, 25 percent the rubric of intangible cultural heritage (ICH)
of which were destroyed completely. The total by enabling craftspeople and local communities,
estimated damages to tangible heritage is NPR among others.
16.9 billion (US$ 169 million). The earthquake
affected about 2,900 structures with a cultural, Internationally supported restoration pro-
historical and religious heritage value. The list grammes on such a large scale will undoubtedly
of affected structures was collated by the Min- strengthen Nepal’s professional corps and its in-
istry of Culture, Tourism and Civil Aviation stitutions. Based on the principles of building
(MoCTCA), the Pashupati Area Development back better, the restored historic monuments
Trust, and the Buddhist Philosophy Promotion will get a fresh lease of life, captivating Nepali
and Monastery Development Committee. citizens and international visitors alike for years
to come. The fillip provided to tourism, during
The baseline information on the size and nature the reconstruction phase would benefit local
of damage to the buildings, and the effects on its businesses such as hotels, bed and breakfasts,
occupants, varies widely. While detailed docu- restaurants, and crafts stores.
mentation is available on monuments within the
Kathmandu Valley and some major sites in the One objective of this assessment is to provide
districts, there is a lack of precise information on a preliminary description of the damage caused
the condition of buildings in remote areas. to Nepal’s heritage structures. This report pro-
vides an initial assessment of short, medium,
It is estimated that the decline in revenues from and long-term intervention needs in the course
ticket sales at monuments within the Kath- of building resilience.
mandu Valley will amount to losses worth NPR
600 million (US$ 6 million) over the next 12 Pre-Disaster Context and
months. Places of worship such as temples and Baseline
monasteries also provide occasions for revenue MoCTCA accords great importance to the con-
generation, such as during religious festivals and servation of cultural heritage. It is a huge draw
performances when shrines receive substantial for tourism, which occupies a significant place
money offerings. The preliminary monetary loss in Nepal’s economy. DoA, established in 1953,
was set at 10 percent of the physical damage or is the official executing agency for heritage
close to US$ 17 million. conservation and also the custodian of Nepal’s
museums, among them the National Museum
The long-term recovery plan envisages com- and Patan Museum. As per the provision of the
plete restoration of all damaged structures with Ancient Monument Preservation Act (1956),
a view to building back better through the use DoA is mandated to protect and preserve Ne-
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pal’s extensive cultural heritage, maintain inven- curated exhibitions on Hindu and Buddhist Art.
tories and provide technical assistance for con- The National Museum collections include some
servation. Creating new museums, safeguarding exquisite pieces but many exhibits are poorly dis-
moveable cultural property and raising aware- played and labelled. The Hanuman Dhoka Royal
ness for the protection of cultural heritage, also Museum in Kathmandu displays mostly objects
comes within its ambit. related to three erstwhile monarchs of Nepal
(King Tribhuvan, King Mahendra, and King Bi-
The Kathmandu Valley is home to seven World rendra). The National Art Gallery and two small
Heritage Monument Zones, which together neglected museums featuring bronze and wood
have been declared a UNESCO World Heri- carving are located in the town of Bhaktapur. In
tage Site, namely the three town centres of the general, all museums are in serious need of physi-
erstwhile royal cities of Kathmandu, Patan and cal refurbishment and professional curation.
Bhaktapur; the two important Buddhist monu-
ment sites of Boudha and Swayambhu; and the Intangible culture in Nepal, with its incredible
two major Hindu sites of Pashupatinath and richness of over 120 languages and countless
Changu Narayan. In addition, the Government cultural and religious traditions and festivals,
of Nepal (GoN) has listed Panauti, Gorkha and has been widely researched by international
Dakshinkali as nationally protected monument scholars and extensively documented. The rich-
zones. According to DoA there are close to ness of expression in Kathmandu Valley, where
1,000 historic religious sites and heritage build- rituals and processions can be observed on a
ings within the Kathmandu Valley alone, which daily basis, may be unmatched. However, there
need to be inventoried. Moreover, most avail- has been a decline in traditional cultural activity
able records are in Nepali language and are dis- that is without a doubt connected to globaliza-
persed across many locations. tion, migration of people for reasons of liveli-
hood, and compounded by the growing effects
Carl Pruscha’s Kathmandu Valley, The Preservation of consumerism. Nevertheless, the wealth of
of Physical Environment and Cultural Heritage: A intangible cultural activity continues to be an
Protective Inventory, published in 1975, is the aspect of national pride and an attraction for
most comprehensive record available to date and foreign visitors.
continues to serve as the prime source of informa-
tion on the built heritage of the valley. The two Post-Disaster Context
volumes provide location drawings and photo-
graphic documentation of over 800 buildings and Disaster Effects and Impacts
sites of heritage value. This data is important for
future restoration work. Effects on Infrastructure and Physical Assets
DoA, MoCCTA, was the prime source of infor-
Records of heritage structures in Nepal’s districts mation regarding the extent of destruction to
are relatively scarce with the exception of data historic sites, conducting extensive field visits
for major sites such as Lo Mantang, Gorkha, and collecting data through its staff. According
Panauti, and Nuwakot. According to sources to the assessment, the earthquake affected a total
within DoA, there are approximately 1000 sites of 691 buildings of historic value in 16 districts.
in the districts outside Kathmandu Valley that Of these buildings, 131 were fully destroyed and
are classified as being of national, regional and 560 were damaged. DoA’s researchers compiled
local importance. In Nepal, tangible cultural information mostly in the form of handwritten
heritage is inextricably associated with a living notes with some digital photographs to support
culture of daily worship and ancient festivals. their remarks. The compilation of a consoli-
Cultural sites are where people come to pray dated digital database consisting of systematic
daily, interact socially, celebrate, and find solace. description of damage and photographic docu-
mentation is still pending.
The Kathmandu Valley has a number of muse-
ums with a wide range of collections. The in- Several UNESCO teams, including volunteers,
ternationally acclaimed Patan Museum, located conducted independent surveys of historic sites
in a former royal palace, features professionally in the Kathmandu Valley. UNESCO contracted
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Kathmandu Living Labs, a Kathmandu-based quake, with minor damage at most. DoA repre-
private company that makes databases and sentatives took the lead in coordinating security
mapping information available online through and clean-up efforts immediately after the disas-
its open-source software for an interesting ini- ter. The remnants of three completely destroyed
tiative. The idea was to train volunteers with Pagoda temples were secured with the help of
backgrounds in architecture, engineering and hundreds of volunteers, soldiers and police, and
art history to create reports on the condition of brought to safety in an adjacent palace courtyard.
monuments and historic houses in cultural sites The remnants of structures and artefacts are now
quickly and easily using smartphones. securely stored at the Patan Museum where they
will be documented, inventoried and cleaned for
The data collected includes information about future restoration. A team of master carpenters
sites, type of structures, level of damage, photo- is currently engaged in re-assembling doors and
graphs, GPS coordinates, and local contact in- windows that were damaged when the temples
formation. The purpose of this documentation is collapsed. A storage shed is under construction
to start an interactive map and database for the where all timber components and stone elements
benefit of DoA, researchers, the general public, will be securely stored.
and tourists. This recently collected data repre-
sents a follow-up to Pruscha’s 1975 inventory, Progress at Kathmandu’s Durbar Square was less
and will be useful for educational purposes, fun- evident as mounds of debris remained on the
draising and generating public awareness about square more than a month after the earthquake.
the cultural significance of the sites. Access to the The fragile condition of the Royal Palace that
website is currently restricted as sites are being se- houses the collection of the Hanuman Dhoka
cured and inventories are being made of valuable Museum, poses a difficult challenge to heritage
artefacts lying unprotected. Since it is a work in conservationists. The building is yet to be se-
progress, not all the data could be included in this cured to facilitate collection, removal and safe
PDNA (to date, data has been collected on 1,145 storage of items. Similar activities are underway
monuments within the Kathmandu Valley). In at many other sites where temporary shoring and
addition several private religious organizations protection of buildings with tarpaulins need to
provided their own data of damage in remote be completed before the onset of the monsoon.
districts and conveyed their findings to DoA that
close to 1,400 monasteries in remote areas have Effects on Service Delivery and Access to
suffered damage or collapse. Goods and Services
The destruction of buildings has caused institu-
In the Kathmandu Valley, two cultural institu- tions such as libraries, museums and archives as
tions (Nepal Academy and Nepal Academy of well as places of worship to shut down. The lack
Fine Arts) and three museums (National Mu- of data made it difficult to assess the extent and
seum, Chauni; Hanuman Dhoka Palace Muse- duration of physical damage within the brief pe-
um, Kathmandu; and the National Art Gallery, riod of the PDNA. The closure will most likely
Bhaktapur), suffered major damage. All build- be temporary with some noted exceptions like
ings will need extensive restoration works to the National Museum in Chauni and the Hanu-
bring back some semblance of their past glory; man Dhoka Palace Museum, where the extent
however, available data now indicates that the of damage is such that a full recovery will take
collections are unharmed. many years. More in-depth research is needed to
assess the impact on thousands of religious insti-
Emergency response was initiated immediately tutions that are widely distributed, often in re-
after the earthquake and carried out with widely mote areas of affected districts. Pilgrimages have
different results and speed in the seven locations come to an almost complete halt as people are
within the World Heritage Site. preoccupied with the immediate effects of the
disaster on their livelihoods. Many roads and ac-
In Patan, for example, the temple-studded Dur- cess trails to remote pilgrimage sites have been
bar Square with the adjacent Royal Palace suffered cut off. All seven World Heritage Zones in the
considerable damage, but many recently restored Kathmandu Valley have been closed and ticket
palace buildings and temples survived the earth- collection from tourists has been suspended.
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The total financial requirement for a full recov- Recovery Needs and Strategy
ery comes to approximately US$ 205 million. A six-year recovery period (requiring on average
It is estimated that a budget of 20 percent over of US$ 34 million per year) is proposed for the
the damages would cover the substantial invest- restoration and reconstruction of all damaged
ments needed in retrofitting damaged build- and collapsed historic buildings including refur-
ings with earthquake-resilient, strengthening bishment of cultural institutions and museums.
features. For structures that require rebuilding
from ground-up, the costs of construction of The recovery plan would include substantial
proper earthquake-resistant foundations have support to DoA in financing necessary equip-
also been included in the estimate. ment and additional professional staff over the
next six years.
Estimation of Losses to Service Delivery and
Access to Goods and Services International and local experts will be needed in
Losses from reduced revenues from the sale of tour- the fields of structural and seismic engineering,
ist entry tickets to World Heritage Sites and muse- architecture, conservation, curation and museum
ums is estimated at about NPR 600 million (US$ 6 design, as well as in areas of expertise related to
million) over the next 12 months. The calculation is preserving cultural heritage. There will be a need
based on a 75 percent reduction in income due to a for specialists in intangible heritage (among
drastic decline in tourism and the fact that no entry them, anthropologists, art historians, linguists,
fees have been collected since the earthquake and all and ethno-musicologists) to help communities
museums are closed for the time being. identify ways to revitalize their traditions.
There are many people whose livelihoods are de- The recovery plan should include a strong com-
pendent on temples and places of worship. The mitment to conduct extensive training at all
revenues they generate may come in the form of: levels of project planning and restoration imple-
• direct income (salaries) from the shrines; mentation. Educational support also needs to be
• share from the revenues of temples; provided for advanced studies in conservation-
• money offerings during special festivals and related professions.
performance of religious rites; and
• as income for communities during special Response Phase (June – September 2015)
occasions, subsidized by a place of worship During the response phase, the Earthquake Re-
sponse Coordination Office (ERCO), established
While this is something that cannot be quantified by DoA, will remain the coordination centre un-
without a detailed survey, the preliminary mon- til all salvage and stabilization efforts have been
etary loss (allocated as ‘impact on livelihood’) was completed and sites along with valuable art ob-
set at 10 percent of the physical damage, which jects are fully secured and recorded. One of the
amounts to approximately US$ 17 million. most pressing needs is the protection of valuable
rubble which is of immense archaeological value.
Estimation of Governance Losses
Due to the closure of government cultural The Kathmandu site poses the biggest challenge
institutions such as museums, many employees with large parts of the royal palace destroyed or
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threatened by collapse. For instance, the issue The situation in remote areas has not been as-
of removing the large collection of the Hanu- sessed professionally. Until now, the focus was on
man Dhoka Museum, particularly the very humanitarian relief. Collapsed or heavily damaged
heavy 18th century royal thrones, needs to be religious buildings were left for the communities to
addressed as soon as possible and a safe storage look after. A beginning needs to be made on this.
location needs to be found.
First Year Activities
The partial opening of all World Heritage Mon- (starting in August 2015)
ument Zones to the public by June 15, 2015 Creation of an Inventory, Including Reports on
is an ambitious aim announced by the govern- the Condition of Historic Sites and Buildings
ment. Unstable structures will need to be dis- DoA should create an inventory (preferably in dig-
mantled and unsafe areas fenced off in order to ital form) of historic sites and buildings not only
provide a safe environment for visitors. in the disaster-affected districts but from across the
country.
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Table 5.2: Estimated Revenues from Ticket Sales and Museum Admissions in FY 2013-2014
Income of World Heritage sites and museum entrance fees
Visitors for fiscal Current ticket Sub total
Site/ Museum year 2013/14 price NRs. Total NRs. US$
NRs.
Given the large amount of research and data in- past restorations in the face of the earthquake,
puts necessary, additional staff and/or external DoA should seek the advice of international
experts would have to be hired. experts to develop methods for new earthquake
resilient construction.
A clear database establishing baseline information
on each site, from location details (including GPS Immediate Repair
data) to photographic documentation, historical Many important monuments (e.g. Krishna
information, description of damage (if any); and Mandir, Vishveshvara and Bhimsen Temples
a detailed needs assessment to support restoration in Patan, Svayambhu Stupa, Changu Narayan
planning. This database should be linked to other Temple) have been temporarily shored up but
sources of information such as the DoA’s own need immediate major restoration and structural
hand-written archive, Pruscha’s 1975 inventory, interventions to ensure that they will not suffer
and the ‘Living Apps’ online database. more damage or collapse in a future earthquake.
Creation of a Comprehensive Digital Inven- Smaller restoration and repair schemes, which
tory of all Museum Collections do not need much lead-time and large quanti-
Most inventory records of Kathmandu’s muse- ties of materials, should also be initiated im-
ums are handwritten, possibly incomplete and mediately. Many smaller structures, monaster-
difficult to access. Only the Patan Museum pub- ies and temples in outlying districts can often
lishes a printed museum guide book that records be restored with relatively modest amounts of
all objects and texts on display. Hence, it is of funding and with community involvement.
utmost importance to create complete, digitally
accessible museum inventories for all museums Material Procurement
as soon as possible. This will help safeguard the The large volumes of expected construction may
collections and help in evaluation and planning cause bottlenecks in the supply of timber and
professional restoration of all objects. special bricks used for restoration. It would be
prudent to immediately research the feasibility
Master Plan Development and of creating and supporting environmentally-
Project Planning friendly methods of brick production, as future
DoA, with the support of UNESCO and inter- restoration projects will require a ten-fold in-
national experts should develop a master plan/ crease in bricks. Such bricks are unique to the
schedule for the repair, restoration and recon- valley and cannot be procured from anywhere
struction of all collapsed and damaged monu- else. As for the requirements of timber, the gov-
ments and sites. The master plan would be ernment will be sensitive to environmental con-
based on the comprehensive documentation of cerns while addressing this need.
all affected 694 historic structures with detailed
information regarding the type and degree of Preservation of Museum Collections
damage. The master plan needs to state a clear Conservation of artifacts and safeguarding
sequence of and a rationale for implementation. of museum collections should start as soon
Restoration activities should be distributed be- as possible, preferably under the guidance of
tween all districts, cities, and sites as evenly as specialists in the field of metal, wood, ivory and
possible. In general, priority should be given painting restoration.
to repair and restore damaged structures before
tackling ground-up reconstructions. Attention Proposed Capacity-building Workshops and
needs to be paid not only to sites on the World on-the-job Training for New DoA staff
Heritage list but to smaller and significant Workshops on data collection and manage-
monuments as well. ment should be conducted for DoA’s new staff
to accelerate the production of an inventory
Detailed project proposals, customized to the of monuments and detailed condition reports.
requirement of each building, should address Many young professionals will be new to heri-
structural and seismic retrofitting solutions. tage field and will require adequate training to
Based on an analysis of the effectiveness of become familiar with principles and guidelines
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in the conservation of heritage buildings. Dur- Activities from the Second to the Sixth Year
ing the first year (2015-2016) many emergency The activities of this period will be adjusted fol-
repairs and smaller projects that do not require lowing achievements of the first year, the priorities
huge quantities of materials or time-consuming of the master plan and of course will depend on
preparations will provide the perfect opportuni- the financing that is secured.
ty for new professionals to learn and familiarize
themselves with ground realities. Restoration of all structurally threatened monu-
ments will continue and only after this work is
Workshops for Craftspeople and Artisans completed will ground-up reconstruction of fully
DoA, restoration contractors, and private agen- collapsed structures should begin. The activities
cies rely on a network of excellent craftspeople of the first year (inventory, planning, documen-
(carvers, carpenters, masons, metal workers, tation) will lay the foundation for larger scale
etc.) Hence, a comprehensive resource mapping projects. Completed restoration projects must be
of these artisans should be carried out immedi- professionally documented with a comprehensive
ately to ensure the knowledge, techniques and historic structure report produced and shared with
approaches are documented for future refer- other projects. In order to disseminate informa-
ence. It is expected that projects will face a se- tion such data should be available online. An ad-
vere shortage of craftspeople and will have to ditional output would be publication of relevant
rely on less experienced artisans who will require training and conservation manuals.
adequate training before working on major proj-
ects. They should be provided on-the-job train- Training programmes and specialized workshops
ing so as work alongside the best in the trade as described in first-year activities should continue
and learn from them. on a need to basis.
Specialized Training for Structural Analysis, Restoration activities, including volunteer partici-
Seismic Retrofitting and Quake-resistant pation, hands-on restoration training, specialized
Construction workshops and guided tours, could be converted
Reputed structural engineers from within into a special attraction for both foreign and local
and outside Nepal should develop adequate visitors. Several thousands of jobs would be cre-
structural solutions for safer reconstruction ated over the years.
in some projects which could become models
for others to follow. Support to Preserve Intangible Cultural Heritage
While costs associated with losses to ICH are
Design and Engineering Assistance to Com- more difficult to quantify than physical damage,
munities and Public Awareness Campaigns significant immediate and long-term losses are
Even though construction of private residences predicted following the earthquake, particularly
doesn’t fall within the responsibility of the cul- in social practices – rituals, worship, and festivals.
tural heritage sector, it is highly recommended
that lessons learned from cultural preservation MoCTCA should expand its capacity to include
activities be shared with historic towns and vil- professional staff with expertise necessary to prop-
lages. The fabric of urban settlements surround- erly monitor and evaluate losses to ICH. At pres-
ing monuments also needs to be considered. ent there are only three to four technical personnel
Several initiatives of young architects and engi- working on this subject in the ministry number. A
neers have already started this work with com- division dealing with ICH needs to be established,
munities in Sankhu, Bungamati and Bhaktapur. with capacity building workshops and staff train-
A public awareness campaign would help to ing as a follow-up to the three workshops on im-
educate the public on ways in which traditional plementation, inventorying and nomination held
materials too can be used to be resilient provided in Nepal between 2012-2013. Workshops should
there is adequate maintenance. Providing direct be held for different audiences with the partici-
technical and design support coupled with ex- pation of the line ministry, local officers, experts,
tensive training programmes will be important INGOS and community members to enhance
to increase knowledge and capacity. their capacity and knowledge. Community-based
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workshops on ICH should provide hands-on Particular attention should be paid to involving
technical training for conducting an inventory. youth in ICH programmes. As cultural heritage
Data management training is also required at is a living phenomenon that is constantly rec-
central, district and local levels to efficiently reated and transmitted from one generation to
map Nepal’s intangible cultural heritage. the next, there is a risk that the destruction of
so many cultural sites could leave the younger
It is also necessary to create an awareness about generation feeling disconnected from their past
ICH at the local level by working through Vil- and cultural heritage. The strength of a nation’s
lage Development Committees and the district tangible and intangible cultural heritage has a
administration. This will require training of lo- strong connection to cultural identity, continu-
cal facilitators who can engage people of all ages ity of community feeling and overall well-being.
(and youth in particular) in discussing com- It is this strength that will help communities
munity values and identifying key traditions unite to rebuild their cultural sites as they re-
and needs for sustaining these traditions. Fur- build their lives and homes.
thermore, links should be established between
communities and national institutions so that Cultural Industries
the latter are equipped to quantify and respond Artists and craftspeople often depend on a tour-
to these needs. A small grant fund could sup- ist market. The tourist market is likely to decline
port activities such as purchase of musical in- for some time, and local purchases may also de-
struments, digitalization of texts, or creation of cline because of less disposable income. Support
small community museums. will be needed for organizations such as Fair
Trade Group, Nepal, to reach markets overseas
Community Fund for Safeguarding through participation in international trade fairs
Intangible Heritage and folk art markets. A combination of train-
It is important to earmark funds that commu- ing for artisans in skills and product develop-
nities could apply for, as they identify needs, ment as well as market-readiness support can be
to allow worship and festivals to continue. The provided by national and international experts.
funds could be used to temporarily relocate and
safeguard individual cultural objects necessary Gender issues
for worship, or entire festivals, performances, or Cultural activities developed around religion
other cultural events. play an important role in providing support
mechanisms for women and men individu-
National Recognition of Master Craftspeople ally and at the community level. The loss of
Greater national recognition in the form of awards livelihood assets centred around such activities
to master craftspeople, performers or bearers of could have a serious impact on the preservation
traditional knowledge will raise their status and of traditional skills in textile products such as
support the continued use of their skills. the traditional Dhaka cloth weaving, which is
predominantly practised by women, and metal
Educational Outreach work done by men. Indigenous and ethnic com-
A Kathmandu-based ICH conference that invites munities, too, have a strong and unique cultural
national and international scholars and student heritage, which is an important part if their
will encourage sharing of information about tra- identity. Recovery interventions, particularly to
ditions that may be endangered, and methods for do with housing and relocation should preserve
safeguarding and revitalizing them. The confer- rather than undermine these cultural heritages.
ence might also address establishment of an ICH
digital archive, on the model of Digital Himalaya Policy Needs and Recommendations
or other international digital archives. A pro-
gramme should be instituted for scholars wherein Review of restoration and conservation by-laws
they should be encouraged to work with vulner- The massive loss of life caused by collapsing his-
able community groups who have suffered loss toric buildings makes it mandatory to rethink
and seek to revive their heritage. This program existing conservation laws. Restrictions on mod-
could be supported through a programme of one ern materials in conservation work need to be re-
or more of Nepal’s universities.
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PRODUCTIVE
SECTORS
Agriculture
Irrigation
Tourism
Financial Sector
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6. Agriculture
Summary with support from development partners, spe-
Damages and losses in the agriculture sector due cifically those with proven technical expertise and
to the earthquakes were prominent, affecting comparative advantage in the agriculture sector.
around one million already poor small farming Given the urgency of the situation, a ‘fast track’
households in 24 districts.38 Among the affected mechanism with required delegation of authority
farmers, women-headed farm households and within the institutional framework of the Gov-
those managed by the elderly suffered the most. ernment of Nepal will be applied and the activi-
ties under both recovery and reconstruction will
The earthquakes damaged crop lands, physical have to start simultaneously.
infrastructure (mainly small irrigation systems,
poly houses, livestock shelters, agricultural tools, Pre-Disaster Context
equipment and machinery), mills, office build- and Baseline
ings, service centres, laboratories and residential The agriculture sector in the Post Disaster Needs
premises in government installations. Produc- Assessment (PDNA) includes the subsectors
tion losses occurred especially in the agricultural of crop, livestock, fisheries and small irrigation
crop and livestock subsectors, specifically for systems that fall under the jurisdiction of the
animal fodder, fruit, potatoes, mushroom and MoAD. Needs assessment of the forestry sub-
vegetables, livestock, poultry, fish and finger- sector is included under the environment and
lings, cash crops, stock for seed and animal feed, forestry chapter.
egg and honey production, and stored food
grains. The production losses include the value Agriculture is the biggest employer in Nepal,
of production oft he lost crops, increased cost of particularly in rural areas, and is the main con-
production and estimated production losses in tributor to household level food and nutrition
subsequent seasons. security of the rural population. Nearly 80 per-
cent of Nepal’s nearly 28 million inhabitants and
Recovery in the agriculture sector focuses on im- 60 percent of the labour force is dependent on
mediate activities aimed at the restoration of pro- agriculture.39 Male out-migration in large num-
duction levels in crop, livestock and fisheries over bers has left women to perform farm activities
a period of 12 months. Reconstruction will fo- in the villages. Women contribute 60 percent in
cus on replacement of destroyed equipment and crop production and 70 percent in livestock and
machinery and reconstruction/rehabilitation of poultry production.40 The agriculture sector con-
damaged physical infrastructure with improved, tributes approximately one-third of the national
disaster-resilient standards over a period of 36 GDP in a country with low per capita annual in-
months. The agriculture sector recovery strat- come (NPR 72,000, or US$720). Agriculture is
egy and plan will involve different government largely subsistence with low productivity; farmers
agencies and other stakeholders. The executing are small-holders with average farm size of 0.68
agency of the agriculture recovery and recon- hectares. Landholding is not distributed equally
struction plan will be Ministry of Agricultural among different ethnic groups. Ethnic commu-
Development (MoAD) and the implementation nities mostly own land on the hill slopes; the
will be by Department of Agriculture (DoA), Dalit community in particular has smaller size
Department of Livestock Services (DLS) and of landholdings. In value terms, crop production
Nepal Agriculture Research Council (NARC) is dominant– rice, maize, wheat, potatoes and
38
Though the government reports that the earthquakes affected 33 out of 75 districts, this needs assessment of the agriculture sector was conducted in 24 of the most-affected
districts, namely, Okhaldhunga, Ramechhap, Dolakha, Sindhupalchowk, Rasuwa, Dhading, Nuwakot, Kathmandu, Lalitpur, Bhaktapur, Kavre, Makawanpur, Gorkha,
Sindhuli, Gulmi, Lamjung, Solukhumbu, Tanahun, Bhojpur, Kaski, Palpa, Khotang, Chitwan and Syangja.
39
Central Bureau of Statistics, 2014, Population Monograph of Nepal, Vol. III
40
Central Bureau of Statistics, 2014, Population Monograph of Nepal, Vol. III
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vegetables are the main products. Monsoon rice is cabbage, cauliflower, radish, onion, tomato,
the single most important product with an aver- leafy vegetables, cucumber, okra, and aubergine.
age production of 4.62 million tonnes over the Off-season vegetables and mushroom are grown
last five years from a planted area of 1.48 million commercially with many small farmers using
hectares. Wheat production is about 1.78 million poly houses in peri-urban areas. Volume of veg-
tonnes from about 0.75 million hectares. etable and mushroom production has increased
in recent years, which is attributed to increased
Green vegetables are largely grown in districts investments in equipment, machinery and in-
neighbouring major cities like Kathmandu, puts. Though around 54 percent of farmland is
Pokhara and Biratnagar, and the total area cov- irrigated in the country, majority of the small
ered by vegetables is about 0.25 million hect- farmers with marginal land in hill tracts are de-
ares over the last five years. Average vegetable prived of irrigation services. Cultivation of cash
production is 3.24 million tonnes and includes crops, such as tea, coffee, cardamom and ginger
is on the rise, and around 0.06 million hectares Farmers store their farm produce and seed at
of land is occupied by such cash crops. Average home, generally on the top floor of their typi-
area under fruits (including apple and mango) cally two-storey mud-wall houses. Most farmers
during the last five years is 0.15 million hect- store their home-saved seeds in jute or poly-
ares. Over the last decade, due to increased out- thene bags, or earthen pots. Only a few farmers
migration of youth, the agriculture sector has use metal bins for food and seed storage. Seed
experienced severe shortage of labour and has replacement rate in Nepal is only 12 percent,
become increasingly dependent on women, and meaning that farmers on an average change their
other vulnerable and older people. Unattractive seed stock only after 8.5 years. Animal feed is
income from agriculture has pushed majority of stored at home for protection against sun and
rural male members seeking jobs to urban areas rain. Hand tools normally used for farming are
or abroad, which has increased the burden of also generally stored inside the house whereas
farming on women. Due to this ever-increasing bigger farm implements and machinery are kept
trend, 26 percent of rural households are headed close to the house.
by women, who also take care of farm man-
agement in addition to other household work. Despite being an agriculture dominant country,
Moreover, over 70 percent of agricultural labour approximately 15 percent of the population still
is contributed by women.41 Though remittance suffers from inadequacy of food, with female-
flow is rising, it is mainly used for consumption headed households and subsistence farmers as
rather than investment in productive sectors. the most food insecure. Nearly half the districts
in Nepal (31 out of 75) are considered food defi-
The MoA is the mainline ministry responsible cit. Ironically, nearly half the 24 earthquake-af-
for agricultural development. The DoA oversees fected districts surveyed fall within the net food
the crop and fisheries subsectors; the DLS is deficit area. Most farmers in this area depend
responsible for the livestock subsector. MoAD more on coarse grains than the preferred staple
is also responsible for supporting farmers for food, rice. Nearly 20 percent of rice and 60 per-
small, farmer-managed irrigation schemes. cent of maize and millets in Nepal are produced
in this area, which is inhabited by 31 percent of
A diversity of crops is grown in Nepal, rice be- the population.
ing the major staple in low altitude areas and
maize, millet and barley in high altitude areas. Post-Disaster Context
Potato is another important crop widely grown The devastating earthquake of 25 April followed
by rural farmers as a staple crop in mountain by frequent aftershocks and a second quake on
regions. Maize is planted during April and mil- 12 May was the cause of the deaths of thousands
let planting starts in June. Farm households of people. Several more were injured. Key infra-
generally maintain a small kitchen garden in the structure, including agriculture infrastructure,
backyard. Farmers have cowsheds and pens for was either damaged or destroyed. Nearly 3.5
goat and poultry at home. A few livestock like million people were considered vulnerable with
buffaloes, cows, bullocks, yak, goats, sheep and immediate food needs, out of which 1.4 mil-
pigs are raised by most households depending lion people were considered highly vulnerable
on altitude and ethnicity. Yak, goat and sheep requiring immediate food assistance.42
are mainly reared in high altitude areas. The
animals are generally fed with home-made feed Damages and losses in the agriculture sector
and fodder, sometimes also mixed with feed are significant. The estimated number of small
concentrates. Bullocks are the main source of and vulnerable farming households affected in
draft power in hill areas. Some poultry birds are the 24 districts is around 1 million, with fe-
reared in homes. Livestock and poultry not only male headed households outnumbering male.
supplements household level food security and Small and vulnerable farming households, in
nutrition, but also generates some cash for the particular the ones with average landholding of
families through sale of live animals, milk and less than 0.7 hectares and three to five heads of
meat products. Livestock is also used for plough- livestock, and those managed by the elderly and
ing and transportation in mountain areas. women suffered the most.
41
Central Bureau of Statistics, 2011-12, National Sample Census of Agriculture
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Rice and millet grains harvested in November Cheese making, an important activity in a few
and stored inside the house as food stock districts, has also suffered damage to infrastruc-
were largely damaged when houses collapsed. ture and machinery directly affecting produc-
Some maize is being recovered; however it is tion and livelihood opportunities.
not suitable for human consumption. Some
areas with standing wheat and vegetables were Farm power in Nepal mainly comes from hu-
affected by landslides. Losses to wheat were man and animal labour. Loss of labour in the
caused by hailstorms and the crop over-matured agriculture sector was reported due to death
due to lack of attention as households were too and injury of family members, migration, ad-
busy managing family crises. Productivity of ditional burden of survival and safety, and fear
standing maize will also be lower as intercultural of life linked to aftershocks. Increase in male
operations were delayed. Some vegetables crops, labour out-migration is more likely to recover
including those grown in poly houses, were lost losses in income and livelihood caused by the
as the land was cleared to put up temporary earthquakes, which could increase the feminiza-
shelters. In some districts, such as Gorkha and tion of agriculture. Some families under crisis,
Rasuwa, the maize crop has fallen prey to the too traumatized to resume their usual activities,
devastating damage caused by army worms. face difficulty in keeping their animals due to
Apart from big quantities of grain stocks, seeds damage to shelters, lack of feed and no time for
(mainly rice and millet), tools, agricultural caring for the livestock. These factors could not
machinery and some fertilizer stocks were also only decrease food production substantially, but
damaged. There were reports of damage to farm also disrupt the production system if appropri-
machinery and equipment (e.g., water pumps, ate measures are not adopted. Some farmers,
generator, tillers, etc.), milk cans, chilling especially in landslide-prone areas, are currently
vats, mills, bee hives and equipment for fish living with the fear of further landslides during
production. Animals, mainly cattle that were the monsoon. Few are currently displaced, and
tied close to the house, were killed or injured they may wait until the frequency of aftershocks
by the earthquake whereas death or injury of has reduced. Farmers in villages are spending
the small ruminants that had been left free to as high as 30 percent of their time waiting for
graze was less. Commercial farms, mainly for relief, a situation which could continue for a
milk cows and poultry, equally suffered losses while. With frequent aftershocks, people are
and damages. During the field visits, farmers mentally stressed. Meanwhile, majority of the
reported animals were subjected to abortion and staff in the public sector have not been able to
stress syndromes and many were consuming spend time with their families since the disaster,
less feed than usual, directly affecting milk resulting in additional mental stress on them af-
production. Some farmers reported that milk fecting delivery of services.
produced per animal had reduced by up to 50
percent. Damage to poultry farms have also Disaster Effects and Impacts
affected the supply of chicken to local markets. Areas in some of the most-affected districts
More numbers of animals were reported injured, reported cracks in both upland and irrigated
which if not provided with timely veterinary fields. Nearly 1,000 hectares of land have been
care, could die in the coming months due to rendered useless due to landslides and land slips;
weakness and injuries. Along with human these lands will most likely not be recovered.
shelter, damage to animal shelters was a major Internally displaced people from higher land
concern among the farmers. reported huge landslides damaging their maize
crop and killing their livestock; crops and live-
Districts such as Dhading, Rasuwa, Sind- stock were left behind unattended. Damaged ir-
hupalchowk, Nuwakot and Dolakha are well rigation systems pose a threat to standing crops
known for small-scale rainbow trout farming. as well as indicate further risk of losing subse-
Many trout farms suffered direct damage to the quent crops if not immediately repaired. Area
raceways as well as loss of fish and fingerlings. planted under rice is likely to go down and area
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under millet may increase. However, the pro- market systems and lack of labour, exacerbated by
ductivity of rain-fed millet is about three times the frequent aftershocks, and other urgent fam-
less than that of rice. This will substantially de- ily priorities, have significantly affected produc-
crease food production in the affected districts. tion flows. Damaged shelters, lack of food and
Given the tremendous need for managing shel- cash in families and their inability to come out
ter, food and other most essential items, farmers of the state of shock has made the situation des-
are unable to spend time in the field tending to perate. The time to prepare nursery beds for rice
crops or maintaining livestock. Farmers in some and millet is fast approaching; the stored seed is
of the most-affected districts feared production however buried under the rubble. Farmers may
losses as high as 50 percent. The earthquakes either have no money to buy new seed or the seed
have severely affected the vegetable and mush- may not be available locally. Seeds provided by
room production value chain in Kathmandu, external agencies are either not sufficient to cover
Dhading, Gorkha, Nuwakot and Bhaktapur overall needs or they might not be supplied in
districts due to damage to poly houses. time. These factors may hinder the farmers from
accessing required inputs that could pose the risk
Several office buildings and official residences of almost 30 percent of the land area in the hills
of the District Agriculture Development Office remaining uncultivated. This would significantly
(DADO) and District Livestock Service Office reduce production, affecting overall household
(DLSO) are damaged. Damage to agriculture food security and income. Meanwhile, a part of
and livestock service centres that provide di- the standing spring rice and maize crops can still
rect services to farmers have seriously disrupted be harvested; however, farmers have no storage
extension and livestock support services. In facilities. Damages caused by army worm could
addition, damage to a large number of physi- also lower production flows.
cal facilities, such as training halls, laborato-
ries, garages, boundary walls, toilets, livestock Damage to livestock shelters, death and injury
farms, seed stores, water tanks, pump houses, of livestock, malnutrition and the risk of ani-
quarantine offices, cooperatives, milk collec- mal and zoonotic disease epidemics among the
tion centres and chilling centres, both public surviving livestock due to insufficient feed, fod-
and private, have seriously jeopardized crop and der and animal health support could largely af-
livestock production. Damage to access roads in fect productivity of the livestock, which in turn
upland areas by landslides have affected the sale would affect production of meat and milk prod-
of farm produce, particularly perishable vegeta- ucts. Loss of forage seed and damages to pasture
bles and milk. These losses will discourage farm- land could further aggravate the situation.
ers, decreasing their efforts in production, which
could lead to decreased production. Moreover, Damage to district and rural service centres have
already seasonal roads in many villages are affected access to crop and livestock extension
likely to be blocked during the rainy season services. Extension and animal health workers,
aggravating further the problems in farm whose numbers were low to begin with, have
production and marketing. been diverted to relief operations and are busy
caring for their own families. Access roads to
Effects on Production of Goods and remote villages are damaged, and logistics and
Services and Access to Services transportation facilities available with the service
The main drivers in decline are crop production centres are inadequate. Meanwhile, farmers due
and livestock products. Efforts by farmers to sup- to other priorities, are unavailable or unwilling
port other farmer families, collecting relief mate- to access the limited services. Such a situation
rials, construction of temporary shelters and exca- causes decreased access to agricultural extension
vation of personal belongings have diverted their and veterinary services. This is a particular chal-
time away from farm operations, causing delay lenge for women who do most of the agricul-
in or absence of intercultural operations of maize tural work, but receive only 30 percent of the
(particularly weeding, thinning and fertilizer ap- extension services, and Dalits who often live in
plication) and maintaining livestock. Disrupted remote areas and far from district headquarters.
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farms leading to decrease in crop productivity. farms. Achievement of the MDG goals with
sustainable economy and employment growth
Damages and Losses may therefore remain a challenge. An impact
The estimates of the value of damages and losses analysis of the earthquakes is therefore needed
are summarized in Table 6.2. The total damages to find out the extent of dislocation of the prog-
and losses in the agriculture sector amount to ress paths of the country to achieve MDGs and
about NPR 28,366 million. other development goals such as poverty reduc-
tion, food security, economic growth and gradu-
The earthquakes have damaged crop lands; ating from least developed country status to a
stored food grain; seed and feed stocks; physi- developing country.
cal infrastructure, mainly office buildings, ser-
vice centres, mills, laboratories, small irrigation Recovery Needs and Strategy
systems, poly houses, residential premises in The overall recovery and reconstruction of the
government installations, livestock shelters, and agriculture sector is estimated at NPR 15,560
small dairies and cooperatives; and agriculture million out of which NPR 3,579 million (23
tools, equipment and machinery. Based on the percent) is required for immediate recovery
data compiled from the 24 affected districts the in the short-term (next 12 months) and NPR
total damages reported to the agriculture sector 11,981 million (76 percent) is required for
amounts to approximately NPR 16,405 mil- reconstruction of the sector in the medium term
lion. Damages to physical infrastructure are es- (over a period of 36 months). The notion of
timated by using current refurbishment/recon- build back better (BBB) has been taken into ac-
struction costs for the respective types of works count while estimating the reconstruction needs
and replacement/repair costs for infrastructure with the overall aim of enhancing resilience of
and machinery. small, vulnerable farmers. Given the urgency of
the situation, activities under both recovery and
Production losses especially occurred in the agri- reconstruction will have to start simultaneously.
cultural crop and livestock subsectors. Districts
reported loss of production for different crops, The Food Security Cluster appealed for US$
animal fodder, potatoes, mushroom and vege- 98.6 million in the revised Flash Appeal, with
table production, livestock, fish and fingerlings, larger share of the appealed amount for emer-
and cash crops.The total lost value of production gency food assistance. Since there are several
estimated in the affected districts for the agri- food security cluster partners providing emer-
culture sector amounts to nearly NPR 11,962 gency relief food assistance to the affected
million, which also includes value of produc- vulnerable families in the districts, which is
tion ofthe lost crops, higher production cost- expected to continue for some more time, the
sand estimated production loss in subsequent estimated agriculture sector recovery and recon-
seasons. The decline in livestock production in struction needs therefore do not cover humani-
subsequent seasons,such as reduced milk and tarian food assistance needs.
meat supply, egg production and honey, is also
included. Recovery in the agriculture sector focuses on
immediate activities aimed at restoration of pro-
According to the MDG 2013 report, Nepal duction levels in crop, livestock and fisheries.
was on track and likely to achieve most of its Specifically, recovery needs include:
MDGs, including poverty reduction, despite (i) Provision of inputs for crop planting,
the prolonged political instability in the coun- (ii) Provision of inputs for restoration
try. Agriculture is one of the major sectors of of fisheries, and
the economy which was facing the challenges (iii) Provision of inputs and veterinarian
of meeting labour demand due to increasing assistance for livestock.
trend of foreign employment. The sector now
is severely affected by the earthquakes, and this Immediate intervention is needed for supply of
situation could push the sector further into cri- millet seeds along with fertilizer; seed for wheat,
sis resulting in low production and abandoned barley and potatoes for the October-November
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planting season; and seasonal vegetable seeds. crops, livestock and fisheries
Grain bags and metal bins also need to be im- 2. Restocking of lost animal stock
mediately provided to the farmers to store their 3. Reconstruction/rehabilitation of agriculture
currently standing maize and recently harvested infrastructure, such as animal shelters, office
wheat crop. Provision of seedlings needs to be buildings, agriculture and livestock service
made for the revitalization of fruit production. centres, laboratories, collection centres and
markets, chilling vats/centres, poly houses
Priority needs for immediately recovering live- for vegetables and mushroom, and poultry
stock production are proper management of farms
carcasses to prevent possible spread of diseases, 4. Reconstruction/rehabilitation of fish ponds
treatment of injured animals, and supply of feed and raceways
concentrate and vaccinations. Provision of rain- 5. Immediate repair and rehabilitation of small
bow trout and other fish mother stock in fish farmer-managed irrigation systems.
hatcheries, and resumption of fish breeding and Opportunities need to be explored to replace the
fry production is urgently needed. machinery, equipment, poly houses and other
productive assets at subsidized prices. Further-
Reconstruction needs within the next three more, multi-hazard resilient community grain
years will include: storage and animal shelters, and community
1. Replacement of tools and machinery for nurseries for paddy, millets, herbs and fruit trees
C Irrigation
88
Table 6.3: District-wise Summary of Damages and Losses (NPR million)
District Crop subsector Livestock subsector Agriculture total
Damages Losses Total Effect Damages Losses Total Effect Damages Losses Total Effect Private Public
(%) (%)
1 Rasuwa 207.46 21.55 229.01 239.28 21.61 260.90 446.74 43.17 489.91 81.48 18.52
2 Nuwakot 1298.85 1294.68 2593.53 163.77 144.80 308.57 1462.62 1439.48 2902.10 96.33 3.67
3 Gorkha 498.03 752.79 1250.82 353.84 88.71 442.55 851.87 841.51 1693.37 93.24 6.76
4 Dhading 3623.24 2247.71 5870.95 943.46 139.28 1082.73 4566.69 2386.99 6953.68 97.59 2.41
5 Dolakha 334.99 885.40 1220.40 151.42 59.97 211.39 486.41 945.37 1431.78 95.47 4.53
6 Sindhupalchowk 1075.60 1414.82 2490.41 3382.00 106.50 3488.50 4457.60 1521.31 5978.91 99.07 0.93
7 Kathmandu 441.65 176.05 617.70 117.18 163.55 280.73 558.84 339.60 898.44 98.57 1.43
8 Bhaktapur 176.00 185.71 361.70 84.35 55.55 139.90 260.35 241.26 501.61 88.37 11.63
9 Lalitpur 108.63 113.15 221.78 63.71 110.79 174.51 172.35 223.94 396.29 91.44 8.56
10 Kavre 123.89 80.25 204.14 151.29 258.45 409.74 275.17 338.71 613.88 77.05 22.95
11 Ramechhap 215.45 71.07 286.52 55.61 83.29 138.90 271.06 154.36 425.42 78.05 21.95
12 Sindhuli 300.22 451.93 752.15 160.42 93.66 254.08 460.64 545.59 1006.23 80.31 19.69
13 Okhaldhunga 137.00 158.05 295.05 1198.55 70.54 1269.09 1335.55 228.60 1564.15 95.52 4.48
14 Makawanpur 176.85 128.99 305.84 164.77 137.27 302.04 341.62 266.26 607.88 61.32 38.68
Total of 14 districts 8717.84 7982.17 16700.01 7229.67 1533.98 8763.64 15947.51 9516.15 25463.65 94.33 5.67
15 Gulmi 22.10 65.79 87.89 0.15 70.49 70.64 22.25 136.27 158.52 82.02 17.98
16 Lamjung 8.54 97.33 105.87 37.10 60.36 97.46 45.64 157.69 203.33 17.83 82.17
17 Solukhumbu 66.25 23.38 89.63 8.38 49.77 58.15 74.63 73.15 147.78 54.26 45.74
18 Tanahun 11.23 116.87 128.10 3.59 143.11 146.70 14.81 259.99 274.80 29.38 70.62
19 Bhojpur 0.90 99.70 100.60 0.68 68.82 69.50 1.58 168.52 170.10 43.04 56.96
20 Kaski 37.25 188.39 225.64 107.68 172.10 279.79 144.93 360.49 505.43 75.84 24.16
21 Palpa 23.25 81.01 04.25 0.23 105.40 105.63 23.47 186.41 209.88 31.84 68.16
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t
22 Khotang 12.30 131.09 143.39 1.07 86.17 87.24 13.37 217.26 230.62 71.64 28.36
l
23 Chitwan 72.66 260.26 332.92 9.24 248.78 258.02 81.90 509.04 590.94 83.46 16.54
24 Syangja 33.30 167.14 200.44 1.20 178.53 179.73 34.50 345.67 380.17 53.47 46.53
Total of 24 districts 9005.61 9213.12 18218.73 7398.98 2717.51 10116.49 16404.59 11930.63 28335.22 90.82 9.18
Crop loss due to 31.10 31.10 31.10
damage to irrigation
systems
Grand total 9005.61 9244.22 18218.73 7398.98 2717.51 10116.49 16404.59 11961.73 28,366.32
Source: Estimated from data reported by MoAD, DoA, DLS, DADO and DLSO
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will be promoted in the districts. Meanwhile, executing agency will be MoAD and implemen-
policy will be developed to encourage commer- tation will be done by DoA, DLS and NARC
cial livestock farming (dairy, piggery, poultry with support from development partners, spe-
and goat farming) in specific locations away cifically the ones with proven technical expertise
from human settlements adopting Good Agri- and clear comparative advantages in the agricul-
culture Practices (GAP) and Good Veterinary ture sector. Given the urgency of the situation, a
Practices (GVP) to achieve biosecurity and also ‘fast track’ mechanism with required delegation
with a view to exporting the livestock products of authority within the existing institutional
from such farms in the longer run. framework of the Government of Nepal will
be applied. Necessary human resources will be
Overall, their construction needs also include deployed to this institutional set up for imple-
an estimated additional 30 percent BBB cost mentation and monitoring of recovery and re-
and associated management support cost. Better construction activities along with provision of
technologies will be used to reconstruct animal equipment and vehicles. Since women-headed
shelters, irrigation canals, fish ponds and race households may find it difficult to access the ser-
courses. Reconstruction of office buildings will vices, they will be specially targeted while pro-
incorporate concerns of women, elderly and viding support for recovery and reconstruction.
disabled farmers, and employees in addition to Training of women technicians will be empha-
structural strengthening. Opportunities will be sized to better access female farmers.
explored to relocate the office buildings to make
them structurally safer and more resilient. A robust monitoring and evaluation system will
be developed to ensure efficacy, efficiency and
Implementation Arrangements transparency of implementation that gathers
As the agricultural sector recovery plan spans gender disaggregated information. The sector
different agencies in the government, including implementation strategy will align with the gov-
research and extension departments and other ernment’s overall priorities for the agriculture sec-
stakeholders such as farmers, private sector, tor as reflected in the Agriculture Development
scientific communities, local cooperatives, for- Strategy (ADS) as well as the Immediate Plan of
est user groups and CBOs/NGOs, the imple- Action for earthquake recovery, specifically:
mentation will be done in coordination with all • Increased technical and financial support
such relevant stakeholders, as appropriate. The to women farmers, small farmers and agri-
Table 6.4: Recovery and Reconstruction Needsin the Agriculture Sector (NPR million)44
Financial Year (NPR million)
Total
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
The budget needed for recovery and reconstruction is in addition to the usual agricultural budget allocated to MoAD, and the annual increment over that budget.
44
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business with special emphasison cereals, the sector and income of the affected popula-
vegetable and cash crop farming, livestock tion with strong linkages to rehabilitation and
and poultry farming, and aquaculture as per development within the next 12 months. The
the different agro-ecological zones in the interventions will focus on Hyogo Framework
earthquake-affected districts; for Action and Sendai Framework for DRR
• Improved management of farmer-managed with the notion of BBB, and (ii) rehabilitation/
irrigation systems and water use efficiency; reconstruction of building infrastructure, irriga-
• Strengthened marketing of agriculture prod- tion, infrastructure, livestock restocking and re-
ucts with value addition; and pair/replacement of agriculture machinery and
• Increased quality and safety of agricultural equipment coupled with institutional strength-
and agro-processing products. ening and capacity building to sustain ably im-
prove crop, small irrigation, fisheries and live-
The agriculture sector implementation strategy stock within the next 36 months. Cash/voucher
will have special focus on gender specific target- transfer will be encouraged for inputs, including
ing ensuring access of women, ethnic minorities, fertilizer, at subsidized prices as per the policy of
the under-privileged, elderly and other marginal the Government of Nepal in areas where mar-
vulnerable farmers to technology and financial kets have become functional. Rehabilitation/re-
resources, and be based on) recovery interven- construction works will be carried out through
tions, which would immediately address urgent cash-for-work; also to channel the money to the
needs tomaintainand restore productivity in local economy through self-targeting. Special
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attention will have to be paid to the structural will be essential to promote and strengthen local
stability of these structures to better withstand cooperatives as they can play a key role in the de-
earthquakes in the future. velopment of the value chains as well as in wa-
ter management. Restocking of livestock would
Since agriculture in Nepal is highly risk-prone strictly target the most vulnerable households for
due to changes in rainfall patterns, floods and which livestock represents a significant and es-
landslides, earthquakes and other natural and sential source of income, excluding those already
man made disasters, and considering the impera- covered by an insurance scheme. Recovery and
tive for DRR, the recovery strategy emphasizes reconstruction interventions will consider the
investment in technological backups and an ag- special case of gender differences in agriculture.
riculture information system to support produc- To respond to the increasing role of women in
tion and marketing, and improving the resilience farming, drudgery reduction, labour efficient and
of vulnerable farmers against most imminent fu- cost effective technologies such as hand tractors,
ture natural disasters. To that end, research on di- zero tillers and serrated sickles will be introduced.
saster risk and introduction of new and improved Similarly, to reduce vulnerability of women and
varieties of crops and breeds of livestock and fish children at home, interventions will be made to
will be pursued. Standard Operating Procedures attract locally available youth labour force as well
(SOP) for MoAD will be established to enable it as returnee migrant workers by providing them
to be better prepared against similar disasters in job opportunities in the agriculture sector. The
future, including an early warning system aimed strategy emphasizes government-led implemen-
at assisting vulnerable farmers for managing risks tation with support of development partners in
in agriculture production, and food and nutrition close collaboration with local communities in a
security in the country. participatory manner.
Farmers Welfare Fund, under the ADS, will pro- Assessment Methodology
vide assistance to farmers under distress through Data was collected through a variety of methods
access to financial resources as a safety net to and cross-checked. In particular,
overcome temporary losses of income in similar
future disasters. The recovery plan will contrib- a) Available reports were reviewed, including
ute to the establishment and operationalization the draft reports circulated by the Food Secu-
of this new concept. The recovery strategy will rity Cluster, namely, the Nepal Food Security
contribute to bringing the newly initiated crop Monitoring System/World Food Programme
and livestock insurance plan into effect by work- (NekSAP/WFP) household survey report for
ing with the private sector. Similarly, the recov- 11 districts and the rapid agricultural liveli-
ery plan will look at opportunities for strength- hoods assessment report prepared by FAO
ening the food reserve system to cope with for six most-affected districts.
emergencies and to cover suffering vulnerable b) Damages and losses assessment templates
farming households. Building capacities of ex- were developed, sent to 24 earthquake-af-
tension and animal health workers and farmers fected districts, and the data received from
through training, Farmer Field Schools (FFS) the districts were compiled and analyzed.
and technology transfer will be another impor- c) Field visits were made to six most-affected
tant element the strategy will look into over the districts45 in order to meet the authorities and
reconstruction period. affected population and assess the effects of
the earthquakes on agricultural livelihoods.
The medium-term recovery interventions should Meetings were held with District Disaster
aim at strengthening value chains, ensuring the Relief Committees (DDRC) and officials
integration of small-holders, mainstreaming crop from DADO and DLSO. Focus Group Dis-
diversification, good agricultural practices (in- cussions were carried out with some of the
cluding FFS and Integrated Pest Management), affected farming communities.
and climate change adaptation measures that con- d) Data provided by the districts were cross-
tribute to DRR and management. In addition, it checked with official data of the govern-
45
Dhading, Gorkha, Rasuwa, Nuwakot, Sindhupalchowk and Dolakha
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ment.46 Cropped surfaces communicated by ganized on 1 June in which the major find-
the districts were compared against data of ings and recovery strategy was presented.
the 2011 Agriculture Census carried out by Feedback/inputs received from the partici-
the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) and pants were taken into consideration while fi-
area and production of crops, livestock and nalizing data and the sector report.
fisheries were obtained from the 2014 report
published by MoAD. Losses and damages District agriculture and livestock offices did their
reported by the district level offices were tri- best to collect the data and send it to the PDNA
angulated with the baseline data. team. However, due to their limited capacity and
e) Prevalent market unit price was considered the short time frame, the data set received seemed
for estimating losses and damages. Recovery incomplete. Collection of data on damages and
cost was estimated as 30 percent of the total losses in the districts is ongoing, and the situa-
losses, and about 30 percent were added to the tion is expected to become clearer in a few weeks’
damages for estimating reconstruction needs. time. A revision would therefore be necessary in
Total value of damages to livestock was used due course to get a better picture of damages and
for estimating the needs for restocking. losses, and recovery and reconstruction needs.
f ) The team worked with cross-cutting sector
teams, in particular with the environment, Reference
irrigation, community infrastructure and MoAD (in press). Statistical information of Nepalese Ag-
gender teams. riculture. Government of Nepal, Ministry of Agricul-
tural Development, Singhadurbar.
g) A stakeholders’ consultation meeting was or-
46
Data available from the Central Bureau of Statistics, 2014
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7. Irrigation
Summary operation and maintenance into agency-managed
The Post Disaster Needs Assessment (PDNA) irrigation schemes (AMIS), farmer-managed irri-
in the irrigation sector covered 31 districts, in- gation schemes (FMIS) and jointly-managed ir-
cluding the 14 most-affected districts. In these rigation schemes (JMIS).
hilly and mountain districts, an estimated 1877
small- and medium-scale farmer-managed irri- The total area under AMIS surface irriga-
gation schemes irrigated about 121,900 hectares tion was about 749,063 hectares, of which
of land before the earthquakes. The infrastruc- large and major irrigation schemes accounted
ture and functionality of about 290 of these ir- for 325,919 hectares and medium irrigation
rigation schemes was affected to various degrees schemes 424,000 hectares. Large and major ir-
by the earthquakes. Damages to the sector, in- rigation schemes are mainly located in the Tarai
cluding irrigation infrastructure and district of- plains where large areas of productive, irrigable
fices, are estimated at about NPR 382.8 million. land are available. There were about 15,000
Losses in agriculture production due to non- small and medium size FMIS covering 227,077
availability of irrigation water to 10,783 hectares hectares. These are mainly located in the hills
are reported in the chapter on agriculture. Direct and mountains. About 3,000 of them have re-
losses in irrigation fee collection are estimated at ceived external support from the government
NPR 0.4 million. Recovery and reconstruction and development agencies in the past. The rest
of office buildings and irrigation schemes, based were built by farmers and are made of flexible
on the build back better (BBB) principle, is esti- structures and earthen canals with temporary
mated at about NPR 467.2 million. intake that require frequent repair. The ground
water schemes cover about 374,691 hectares of
Pre-Disaster Context irrigated land in the country and the rest of the
and Baseline irrigated land is covered by other minor/micro
The agriculture sector accounted for 34.1 percent irrigation schemes.
of GDP in 2013-2014 and 60 percent of the la-
bour force is dependent on agriculture. A total of Right-to-water-use for agricultural purposes is
2.5 million hectares of the country’s land is ar- mainly attached to land rights. This means those
able, of which 1.77 million hectares is irrigable who own land can enjoy water rights. From the
and 1.35 million hectares has access to irrigation gender perspective, rights to water is discrimina-
water. The irrigation systems are categorized ac- tory as in Nepal there is great disparity in land
cording to their size, operation and management distribution, with women owning only 19.17
responsibility. In the hills, schemes of less than percent of the land and housing. Further, there
10 hectares are considered small, schemes be- is lack of recognition that women are water
tween 10 and 500 hectares are considered me- stakeholders and actors too. There also exists an
dium, schemes between 500 and 1,000 hectares undervaluation of the importance of women’s
are considered large, and schemes above 1,000 skills, knowledge and labour contribution to
hectares are considered major.47 Micro-irrigation water management. Yet, women shoulder most
systems using non-conventional technologies are of the burden of farm work and make the largest
also constructed as independent systems or in contribution to the agricultural economy.
conjunction with small and medium irrigation
systems to increase water efficiency. Schemes are The government through the Ministry of Irri-
also classified based on the entity in-charge of the gation (MoI) and the Department of Irrigation
47
In the Tarai area, classification of irrigation schemes by size uses different thresholds. Schemes < 200 hectares are considered small, schemes of 200 to 2,000 hectares are
considered medium, schemes of 2,000 to 5,000 hectares are large and schemes >5,000 hectares are major.
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(DoI) develops and manages medium to major (DoA) also supports farmers in construction
irrigation systems in the country. The Ministry and management of small to minor irrigation
of Federal Affairs and Local Development (Mo- systems in different districts.
FALD) through its Department of Local Infra-
structure Development and Agriculture Roads The irrigation PDNA focuses on 31 earthquake-
(DoLIDAR) supports farmers in construction affected districts totalling an estimated 121,900
and rehabilitation of small irrigation systems. hectares that were irrigated prior to the earth-
The Ministry of Agriculture Development quakes. Irrigation in these hilly and mountain
(MoAD) through its Department of Agriculture districts is provided by small- and medium-scale
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Table 7.2 irrigation Systems in Earthquake-affected Districts with Damages and Losses
S.No. Districts Number of Total cost Cost of dam- Total cost Total loss in Total loss in
affected of damage age to office of damages CA (ha) ISF collec-
schemes on irrigation buildings in (offices tion in NPR
scheme in NPR NPR million +irrigation million @ 20%
million schemes) in collection rate
NPR million
1. Bhaktapur 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0
2. Dhading 26 50.6 9.5 60.1 944 0.05
3. Dolkha 38 9.2 15 24.2 874 0.05
4. Gorkha 111 70.9 0.9 71.8 2,848 0.107
5. Kathmandu 0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0
6. Kavrepalanchowk 8 17.8 1.5 19.2 202 0.01
7. Lalitpur 1 0.5 0.0 0.5 25 0.001
8. Makawanpur 19 25.8 3.3 29.2 497 0.03
9. Nuwakot 13 41.6 0.9 42.5 870 0.05
10. Okhaldhunga 14 12.8 1.5 14.3 271 0.01
11. Ramechhap 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0
12. Rasuwa 5 16.2 10 26.2 196 0.01
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of pilot testing the feasibility of various options retrofitting damaged ones is estimated at 20 per-
in the Nepalese context. However, improvement cent of the estimated repair/reconstruction cost.
can be brought by enhancing the quality of con- Table 7.3 provides a breakdown of reconstruc-
struction. Substantial damage observed during tion and recovery costs.
the field visits were a result of faulty construc-
tion, particularly the installation of rubber seals. The strategy for reconstruction and recovery will
This can be improved by enhancing capacity of follow a three-stage approach, including:
DoI/DoLIDAR and Water Users’ Associations (i) Short-term recovery activities (2015-2016):
(WUAs) in construction supervision. Cost for It is believed that some level of functional-
piloting and preparing retrofitting/new design ity can be restored and maintained during
guidelines as well as capacity building in con- the monsoon in many irrigation schemes
struction supervision is estimated at 10 percent through provision of emergency assistance
of the cost to repair/rebuild the damaged irriga- to WUAs. With DoI technical guidance
tion schemes. and provision of tools and materials, farm-
ers will be able to clean obstructed canals,
As irrigation is an integral part of agriculture, repair small and medium cracks, consolidate
it is imperative that women become more in- landslide prone areas or even install tempo-
volved in irrigation and related activities. The rary pipes in most damaged areas. Material
post-disaster recovery frameworks should pur- may include PVC pipes, cement bags, high
sue interventions that engage more women. The grade plastic sheets, plastic piping, etc. This
long-term reconstruction activities proposed would help save part of the monsoon paddy
under irrigation should take into account wom- crop. Precise inventory of the damage must
en’s needs and priorities by involving them in wait for after the monsoon as further dam-
planning and designing of reconstruction activi- age is expected to occur during that season.
ties. Further, consideration of women’s WUAs is Such inventory should be completed in four
necessary. Their inputs will be useful and their months. Preparation of detailed design and
capacity will also need to be enhanced for man- costing should start immediately after and
agement of irrigation schemes. be completed in five months. The cost of
undertaking the detailed damages inventory
There is enough regional and national experi- and preparing detailed designs was estimated
ence on retrofitting or constructing earthquake- at 1 percent of the cost of reconstruction.
resilient administrative buildings. Based on (ii) Medium-term reconstruction activities (FY
available guidelines and bibliography, the cost 2016-2018): Physical reconstruction should
of building new earthquake-resilient offices and not take more than one to 1.3 years as it is
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planned to contract these directly to WUAs. PMUs of IWRMP, CMIASP and WRPPF may
Reconstruction and retrofitting of office recruit individual consultants to undertake nec-
buildings will take up to 2.5 years, including essary detailed damages inventory in all 31 dis-
six months for survey and detailed designs, tricts and produce detailed designs of severely
eight months for tendering and awarding damaged schemes and office buildings. Under
contracts, and 12 months for construction. Nepal government procurement rules, works up
(iii) Long-term reconstruction activities (up to to NPR 6 million can be directly contracted to
FY 2018-2019): These will consist of iden- WUAs. Most, if not all, repair/reconstruction
tifying possible options for building/retro- works are not expected to exceed this thresh-
fitting more earthquake-resilient small- and old. In most cases, WUAs will be contracted to
medium-scale irrigation schemes from the undertake repair/reconstruction with technical
international literature, particularly from support and guidance from DoI and DoLIDAR
the Himalayan region of India as the geo- engineers. In doing so, a substantial amount of
logic and economic setting might be simi- time and effort required for preparing tender
lar. Experience of the International Water documents and procuring works through na-
Management Institute with post-earthquake tional competitive bidding (NCB) will be saved.
canal restoration in Pakistan may be a good Quality control and overall supervision must be
example to follow. The most promising op- ensured by experts employed under the donor
tions will then be tested through pilots in funded projects. Office building repair and re-
earthquake-prone/affected hill districts. construction works will be procured through
Based on the results of the pilot irrigation NCB by CMIASP and IWRMP PMUs.
schemes, design guidelines will be updated
and retrofitting guidelines will be produced. Similarly, PMU of WRPPF will recruit an in-
It is estimated that completion of these tasks dividual consultant to (i) explore possible op-
should take at least four years. tions for retrofitting and enhancing earthquake
resilience in DoI design guidelines, (ii) identify
Implementation Arrangements and design pilots, and (iii) assess suitability and
In view of the limited budget required for re- update design guidelines. Most suitable options
construction and recovery, it is proposed to will be pilot tested in FMIS to be constructed or
absorb the cost of reconstruction through do- reconstructed under CMIASP, IWRMP or MIP.
nor funded and government projects currently
under implementation, including (i) ADB- Assessment Methodology
funded Community Managed Irrigated Agri- The irrigation sector assessment was conducted
culture Sector Project (CMIASP) and Water following the terms of reference for PDNA in
Resource Project Preparation Facility (WRPPF), May 2015 of the Nepal PDNA Secretariat, led
(ii) World Bank-financed Irrigation and Water by the National Planning Commission, and the
Resource Management Project (IWRMP), or guidelines for PDNA prepared jointly by the
(iii) government-financed Medium Irrigation European Commission, the United Nations De-
Project (MIP). If required, the geographical velopment Group and the World Bank in 2013.
scope of these projects may be extended to cover The approach focused on (i) identifying the dam-
all 31 districts. ages and losses of the 25 April 2015 earthquake
and subsequent aftershocks, and (ii) defining and
During the monsoon season, stocks of materials costing a recovery strategy, including the cost for
and tools will be purchased and dispatched to rehabilitation and reconstruction of irrigation in-
districts, which need them to support WUA-led frastructure and office buildings while ensuring
emergency repairs. Irrigation and DoLIDAR dis- resilient recovery based on the BBB principle.
trict engineers will assess the needs and provide
technical support to the WUAs. The project man- The baseline information was collected from
agement units (PMUs) of IWRMP and CMIASP secondary sources, including the Central Bu-
will procure materials and tools using shopping reau of Statistics supported Census Survey
procurement mode to ensure fast delivery. 2011, past reports and records of DoI, DoA
and DoLIDAR, the report on the develop-
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Table 8.1: Earthquake Effects and Recovery and Reconstruction Needs for Commerce and Industry
Earthquake effects Recovery and reconstruction needs
Damages Losses Recovery needs Reconstruction needs
(NPR million) (NPR million) (Npr million) (Npr million)
14 Districts 15,613 16,874 6,624 17,955
31 Districts* 17,408 18,815 7,386 20,019
*11.5% is used as a basis for extrapolation from 14 to 31 districts
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sustainability and resilience. The estimated cost employment opportunities. A large share of the
of implementing the recovery component of the enterprises – especially micro and small-scale
strategy is NPR 6,624 million for 17 districts enterprises including household-based enter-
and NPR 7,386 million for 31 districts, while prises – operating in these sectors are informal;
reconstruction needs amount to NPR 17,955 it is estimated that only one-fifth of all enterpris-
million for 17 districts and NPR 20,019 million es are formally registered. Location determines
for 31 districts. the types of activity that enterprises are involved
in, with trade being dominant in urban areas
Pre-Disaster Context and manufacturing in rural areas. While sex-
and Baseline disaggregated data is scant, indications are that
Nepal is ranked as one of the least developed women are most heavily represented among mi-
countries in the world. Services make up over cro entrepreneurs (including as heads of house-
half of GDP, with wholesale and retail trade con- holds); their representation among managers
tributing 14.95 percent to GDP in 2013-2014. and workers in industry is significantly more
The contribution of industry to GDP is declin- limited than men. In the industrial estates sur-
ing and stood at 14.4 percent in 2012-2013 as veyed, women accounted, on average, between
compared to 17.5 percent in 2001-2002. 10 to 15 percent of the workforce.
For the purposes of this assessment: The pre-earthquake baseline data of the com-
• Industry refers to manufacturing, construc- merce and industry sectors is provided in Table
tion, minerals and agro- and forest enterprises 8.3 by size and type of enterprise. It should be
• Commerce refers to services, businesses noted that both the baseline as well as the as-
and traders. sessment of post-disaster effects could not fully
capture the situation of informal enterprises, on
Prior to the earthquakes, the commerce and which data is scant.
industry sectors played a key role in providing
Micro enterprises in the commerce and in-
dustry sectors represent a significant share of
the Nepali economy. In terms of employment
Box 8.1: Manufacturing: A Key Subsector in creation, they employ, on average, four persons
Decline per enterprise. In the 14 affected districts, the
Manufacturing establishments are the backbone of the Nepalese number of micro enterprises surveyed through
industrial sector. They dominate in numbers and generate more Household Survey 2011 totals 174,823, of
employment opportunities than other categories. The results of the which 23,180 are classified under industry (cot-
National Census of Manufacturing Establishments survey conduct- tage industries) and 151,643 under commerce
ed in 2011-2012 by the Central Bureau of Statistics are summarised (including business, service and other subsec-
in Table 8.2. tors such as beauty parlours, computer cafes,
or photo studios). The PDNA housing sector
Table 8.2: Summary of Principal Indicators of Manufactur- data (based on Ministry of Home Affairs data)
ing Industries (all Nepal) indicates that over 90 percent of the households
Principal indicators 2011-12 with micro enterprises may have been destroyed
Total number of establishments 4076
in Sindhupalchok, Gorkha, Dolakha, Nuwakot
and Rasuwa.
Total number of persons engaged 204,360
Total number of employees 194,989 Cottage and small industries play a pivotal role
Average number of employee per establishment 48 in income generation and employment promo-
Source: National Census of Manufacturing Industries 2011-12, Central Bureau of Statistics, June 2014. tion in Nepal. Recognizing their contribution
Employment promotion is one of the key objectives of promoting industrial enterprises in Nepal. to job creation, the government has established
However, as exhibited in the table, employment creation in manufacturing industries is not encour- cottage and small industry development offices
aging. This could be due to various reasons such as focus on capital intensive technologies or practices
in each district. Based on information provided
of hiring employees on a temporary basis.
by Department of Cottage and Small Industries,
The contribution of the manufacturing industrial sector to GDP has diminished from 9.03 229,309 cottage and small industries are regis-
percent in FY 2000-2001 to 6.08 percent in 2013-2014. tered in different districts as of FY 2013-2014.
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Of these, 57,308 small and cottage industries registered enterprises in 75 districts. The types
(32,949 in commerce and 24,359 in industry) of businesses registered in the commerce and
are registered in districts classified as highly af- industry sectors in the 14 affected districts are
fected, which is almost 25 percent of the total given in Table 8.4.
Table 8.3: Pre-Earthquake Commerce and Industry Data by Size and Type of Enterprise
Industry Commerce
District
Cottage industry Business Service Other Total commerce
Bhaktapur 3066 6735 5089 1495 13319
Table 8.4: Types of Businesses Registered in the Commerce and Industry Sector in 14 Affected Districts
Districts Manufacturing Construction Agri & Forest Mineral Service Only Industry Commerce Total
Bhaktapur 1615 78 208 0 1208 1901 1208 3109
Dhading 316 163 353 7 1463 839 1463 2302
Dolakha 169 25 196 3 648 393 648 1041
Gorkha 210 22 137 7 751 376 751 1127
Kathmandu 9634 86 523 0 17405 10243 17405 27648
Kavre 633 0 741 0 1643 1374 1643 3017
Lalitpur 5106 43 292 0 4374 5441 4374 9815
Makawanpur 1080 0 283 0 2028 1363 2028 3391
Nuwakot 460 2 430 7 776 899 776 1675
Okhaldhunga 59 0 64 0 346 123 346 469
Ramechhap 187 1 167 9 508 364 508 872
Rasuwa 63 15 116 1 213 195 213 408
Sindhuli 170 2 127 4 599 303 599 902
Sindhupalchowk 157 154 202 32 987 545 987 1532
Total 19859 591 3839 70 32949 24359 32949 57308
Source: Department of Cottage and Small Industries, 2014
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Table 8.7: Firms Registered with the Ministry of Commerce and Supplies (2013-2014)
District Registered commercial firms Investment ( NPR million)
Gorkha 1266 365.73
Dhading 2450 380
Nuwakot 2011 355.50
Rasuwa 298 118.20
Kathmandu, Lalitpur, Bhaktapur 102142 51,000
Makawanpur 5063 1,500
Dolakha 1788 1,470
Kavre 3026
Sindhupalchowk 1841 262.32
Sindhuli 235 173.10
Ramechhap 843 261.50
Okhaldhunga 1063 210
Total 122026 56,096.35
Source: Ministry of Commerce and Supplies, 2014
90 percent of workers have not returned to • Reduced demand: Demand in general has
work after the earthquakes.48 The lack of fallen for a number of reasons, including
demand for labour translates into increase in lower domestic consumption as a result of
workers’ rates. In the construction sector, for lower purchasing power of consumers (due
example, the daily rate of workers has gone to property damage and other losses), a phe-
up by 100 percent, from NPR 500 before the nomenon of guilt leading to reduced desire
quake to NPR 1000.49 to purchase non-essential goods and services,
48
It should be noted, however, that there is also an inverse trend occurring at the same time, albeit on a more restricted scale: in some cases where production has been inter-
rupted because of infrastructure damage or reduced demand, workers who would be willing to work have in been either given leave (with 50-100% of pay, in the case of
hired staff), or asked not to come to work (in the case of day labourers). See: The Himalayan, ‘Labour shortage hits businesses’, 5 June 2015.
49
The Himalayan, ‘Labour shortage hits businesses’, 5 June 2015
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and a drastic reduction in tourist arrivals enue for two months, 75 percent for the third
(affecting enterprises beyond the tourism month, 50 percent for the fourth month and 25
sector). It should be noted, however, that it percent for the fifth month, with revenue be-
is expected that demand for certain products, ing restored to normal levels after six months, if
such as those related to construction, will support is provided.
increase due to the earthquakes.
• Damage to trade-related infrastructure: While financial losses are larger for larger
Roads, bridges and customs points have industries, the almost complete destruction of
been severely affected, with significant the premises of smaller businesses (especially
implications for trade in both merchandise household-based micro enterprises) combined
and services. with their lower capacity to deal with such
As a result of the damages and losses suffered, shocks (lower reserve capital availability,
it is estimated (based on assessments by private lack of insurance, etc.) means that medium,
sector stakeholders) that all enterprises in the in- small and micro enterprises (MSMEs) are
dustry and commerce sectors in all districts will, disproportionately affected and require special
on average, lose 100 percent of their normal rev- attention in recovery efforts.
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It should be noted that while the damages and Valley and affected districts has led to a slow-
losses are most significant in the affected dis- down in production as well as shortage of labour
tricts, and while non-affected districts do not in the Tarai. Unless recovery activities in Kath-
face the challenge of physical damages, limita- mandu Valley and major district towns are un-
tions in the availability of labour and reduced dertaken quickly, overall industrial demand will
demand has negative effects even in the non- continue to be subdued till the medium term.
earthquake affected districts.
While the disaster has created a short-term lack
Damages and Losses of labour (resulting in high demand for labour)
Based on the PDNA carried out, the damages and will boost the construction sector, leading to
for the commerce and industry sectors in 14 af- new employment opportunities, the net impact
fected districts amounts to NPR 15,611 million on overall employment in the medium and long
(US$156.11 million), while losses amount to term is likely to be negative due to the challenges
NPR 16,873 million (Table 8.8). that enterprises face. Small-scale enterprises and
those run by women and youth who have more
Extrapolating with a multiplier of 11.5 percent, limited assets and lower disaster resilience will
the total damages for both sectors combined for be more severely affected. The possible employ-
the country overall amounts to NPR 17,408 mil- ment losses, in turn, could translate into reduc-
lion, while losses amount to NPR 18,815 million. tion in individual and household income levels
and increase in poverty and vulnerability levels.
Disaster Effects and Impacts
While an accurate estimate of impacts is difficult to The negative impact that the disaster will have
obtain given limitations in the baseline and post- on the survival and performance of enterprises
earthquake data that could be obtained and in the in the commerce and industry sectors is also
absence of a detailed survey, impacts that have a likely to lead to a reduction in government
relatively high likelihood of occurring are outlined, revenue due to a shrinkage in corporate tax
calling for a recovery strategy that mitigates nega- contributions. This, in turn, will negatively
tive impacts and supports recovery of the sectors. affect the government’s capacity to provide
much-needed social services.
It is expected that the damages and losses ex-
perienced by enterprises in the commerce and In terms of access to goods, the earthquake and
industry sectors will lead to a number of changes its negative impact on enterprises will most
within the sectors themselves, including: likely also lead to a reduction in supplies, thus
• The possible collapse of some of the most increase in imports as well as increased prices for
hard-hit micro enterprises; consumers. Depending on the extent to which
• Reduced levels of business activity, perfor- imports exceed exports, balance of payments
mance and profit in a number of subsectors, challenges could also emerge.
including agribusiness, and commerce and
trade. Given the strong backward and for- A short- and medium-term liquidity crunch
ward linkages in agro-processing, the impact is likely to occur in the financial sector, as re-
on the supply of intermediate as well as final quests for loans from affected enterprises will
goods and opportunities for small and me- increase. Investment overall is likely to decrease,
dium industries will be negative; and the stock exchange may be negatively
• The strengthening of a limited number of affected as a result.
subsectors linked to reconstruction, such as
construction materials. To mitigate the risks in terms of these impacts,
it is critical that needs-based support is chan-
As most goods are produced (and consumed) in neled to the commerce and industry sectors and
the Tarai and Kathmandu Valley, the reduced enterprises within them, in both the immediate
demand for goods and services in Kathmandu future as well as in the medium and long term.
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• Infrastructure-related measures (e.g., road overall as well as for specific geographical areas
construction for linkages to neighbouring and sub-groups of enterprises within it, there
countries) and trade financing mechanisms is need for more detailed information on the
to boost trade. structure of specific subsectors and value chains,
business development service markets, and the
Practical Assistance to supply and demand of labour.
Affected MSMEs
Larger industries will most likely be able to cope The proposed strategy is thus be based on pre-
with the effects of the disaster if helped by the liminary analyses of these factors, which in turn
policy measures outlined above, in particular loan will inform intervention design.
rescheduling provisions and subsidies for imports
to replace damaged equipment and raw materials. The strategy is built on the following pillars:
• Immediate support for responding to chal-
In addition to the policy level measures outlined lenges arising from the earthquake for earth-
above, MSMEs – more affected by the earth- quake-affected MSMEs, including demoli-
quakes and with a lower capacity to respond as tion and rubble removal from premises and
compared to larger establishments –will require restoration of working capital;.
targeted practical assistance, both in the imme- • Identification of additional needs (e.g.,
diate and longer term, to enable them to cope through area-based district level MSME
with losses and rebound; contribute to overall studies, subsector or value chain analyses)
recovery and reconstruction efforts; and improve for building back better enterprises in terms
their performance and long-term resilience. of sustainability and resilience, management
capacity, working conditions, practices and
MSMEs are facing a range of challenges follow- productivity, and contributions to green and
ing the earthquakes, including: socially inclusive growth.
• Damage to premises, stock and equipment, • Capacity building of service providers, such
resulting in interruptions to or reduction in as microfinance organizations or business de-
production; velopment service providers, to provide the
• A short-term lack of labour due to worker required services.
absenteeism due to fear after the quakes, giv- • Additional service delivery by service provid-
en the property damage, and long-term limi- ers to earthquake-affected MSMEs in areas
tations on the availability of skilled workers; such as skills upgrading (e.g., technical or
• Reduced demand due to lower domestic managerial training, including in-business
spending and reduction in flow of tourists, continuity management), market access
resulting in reduced sales and income. (e.g., business linkages services), and finan-
cial services (e.g., micro insurance).
These challenges are compounded by pre-ex-
isting limitations such as the quality of human While districts themselves should identify their
capital, both in terms of managers and workers. own priorities, it is recommended that they se-
lect a limited number of subsectors (building
The practical assistance component of the pro- construction, for instance) or value chains to
posed strategy comprises (i) immediate support work with, based on potential impact, and focus
for demolition/rubble removal and restoration on these. The potential of MSMEs in building
of working capital to the affected MSMEs, and construction has been harnessed in other con-
(ii) the provision of additional needs-based sup- texts, such as in Haiti where MSMEs were sup-
port for accessing finance and markets, upgrad- ported to play a key role in post-disaster recon-
ing the technical and business management struction efforts while providing much needed
skills of entrepreneurs and their employees, and employment opportunties.
other measures as required.
Special attention should be given to women,
While the nature and extent of damages and youth and returning migrant workers in the
losses can be roughly estimated for the sector MSME sector both for the assessment of needs
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Figure 8.1: Immediate Support for Demolition/rubble Removal and Restoration of Working Capital
Immedidate
needs identification Setting up loan, grant, or Channeling restoration
(damages registration) in-kind restoration mechanism support to MSMEs
• District level MSME situ- Support to local organizations in: Additional support to MSMEs in:
ational analyses • Financial services provision • Access to finance (including
micro insurance)
• Intervention area and sub- • Business development
• Market access
sector selection services • Management skills (including
• Subsector analysis business continuity management)
• BDS market assessment • Technical skills
and channeling financial and technical assis- • The Ministry of Commerce and Supplies and
tance. For the latter, it is proposed that at least 65 Ministry of Industry will be responsible for
percent of the proposed budget in the strategy be overall coordination and monitoring.
allocated to activities targeting these groups. • At district level, Business Recovery Centres
(BRC) composed of public and private stake-
Recovery and Reconstruction holders will be set up. The BRCs will identify
Initiatives and Costs district-level needs and priorities; channel di-
Overall, recovery needs of 31 districts for com- rect recovery assistance to earthquake-affect-
merce and industry are estimated to amount to ed MSMEs through a loan, grant, or in-kind
NPR 7,386 million, while the same estimate for restoration mechanism; coordinate capacity
reconstruction needs is NPR 20,019 million. building of local business development ser-
vice providers; and connect MSMEs to ser-
The individual recovery and reconstruction ac- vice providers.
tivities proposed in the strategy, their costs, and • Local business service providers (organiza-
proposed implementation timing are detailed tions such as district chambers of commerce,
for the 14 districts in Tables 8.11 and 8.12 for financial institutions, NGOs, or others) will
the commerce and industry sectors separately. be capacitated to provide additional services
to earthquake-affected MSMEs based on
Implementation Arrangements their needs in areas such as access to finance,
It is proposed that recovery and reconstruction market access, or technical or managerial
be implemented through the following strategy: skills development.
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Table 8.11: Recovery and Reconstruction Activities, Costs and Proposed Implementation in Industry
Financial Year (NPR million) Total
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
Recovery Needs 2,035 1,124 112 49 33 3,353
Demolition and rubble removal costs 202 50 - - - 252
Working capital 1,764 950 - - - 2,714
Additional services needs assessment (value 2 6 1 - - 9
chain analysis)
Capacity building for providers of non-finan- 11 20 13 - - 45
cial and financial services
Table 8.12: Recovery and Reconstruction Activities, Costs and Proposed Implementation in Commerce
Financial Year (NPR million) Total
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
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Ministry of Industry
District Level Business Service MSMEs
and
BRC (x 14) Providers
Supplies Ministry of Commerce
The practical assistance component of the • A survey of four industrial estates located
strategy will target the 14 affected districts as at Balaju, Patan, Bhaktapur and Hetauda
a priority, but may gradually be expanded to was carried out to assess damage to struc-
cover all districts. tures and plants.
• Field visits to selected districts to validate
Assessment Methodology quantitative data provided by sector stake-
The methodology used for assessing the holders and to gather additional qualitative
impact of the earthquakes on the commerce data. Field visits were conducted in Makawa-
and industry sectors and developing npur, Chitwan and Dhading districts and
recommendations included: consisted of interactions with district level
• The establishment of a baseline based on docu- chambers of commerce and industry, Dis-
mentation and secondary data obtained from trict Cottage and Small Industries Office,
the Ministry of Industry (MoI), Ministry of Industrial Area Development Management
Commerce and Supplies (MoCS) and private Office, District Administration Office, pro-
sector stakeholders (Chamber of Nepalese In- ducers’ associations and other stakeholders.
dustries, Federation of Nepalese Chambers of • Stakeholder meetings in Kathmandu with
Commerce and Industry, Federation of Nepal the relevant ministries and departments and
Cottage and Small Industries, local chambers industry associations (Chamber of Nepalese
of commerce and industry, and local officials). Industries, Federation of Nepalese Cham-
• The calculation of post-earthquake damages bers of Commerce and Industry, Federation
and losses data based on the baselines pro- of Nepal Cottage and Small Industries,) to
vided from different sources, including MoI, obtain qualitative overall assessments of
MoCS, various departments, Central Bureau damages and losses and their
of Statistics, National Planning Commis- recommendations for recovery.
sion, and others.
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9. Tourism
Summary component of the Nepali economy with steadily
The tourism sector has sustained significant increasing numbers of visitors till the earth-
physical damages in the affected districts but quakes struck. In 2013, Nepal received nearly
more importantly is expected to suffer major 800,000 tourists. While the exact contribution
economic losses over the next two to three years of tourism to the GDP is not available due to
as a result of the earthquakes. It is important to absence of tourism satellite account, the World
note that the overall impact of the earthquakes Tourism and Travel Council (WTTC) report
on the tourism sector goes beyond the 14 af- 2015 mentions direct contribution of 4.3 per-
fected districts and well-known tourism desti- cent to GDP in 2014. Hotels and restaurants
nations like Chitwan and Pokhara in terms of may contribute about 75 to 80 percent of the
sharp fall in tourists. The negative repercussions tourism sector’s revenue to GDP (including
of the disaster are likely to result in a reduced domestic tourism).50 With hotels and restau-
number of tourist arrivals over the next couple rants contributing about 1.9 percent to GDP in
of years and reduction in tourist spend per day 2012, international tourism contributed about
from $43 to $35 as per industry sources, which two percent to GDP. This is more or less similar
will significantly affect tourism revenue. Other to estimates of other developing countries.
nations which have experienced a similar disas-
ter, have generally taken several years to recover However, domestic tourism is not accounted for
fully with regard to tourist arrivals. and no national survey to understand its contri-
bution had been carried out so far. Aggregating
It is estimated that the overall impact on the Ne- the contribution of domestic tourism and that
pali tourism industry will be a reduction in tour- of other subsectors, which are not accounted for,
ists’ arrival annually of about 40 percent, on aver- to the tourism sector, total contribution of hotels
age, over the next 12 months, and a 20 percent and restaurants to GDP according to the World
reduction in the following 12 to 24 months. Tourism and Travel Council (WTTC) 2015 re-
port was 8.9 percent in 2014.
Despite the overall estimated damages and losses,
the tourism sector remains resilient and opti- Employment Generation
mistic in turning around in the medium to long The Tourism Employment Survey, 2014 of the
term. With concerted efforts from all relevant Ministry of Culture, Tourism & Civil Aviation
stakeholders and support from the government, (MoCTCA) indicates that approximately 138,148
the sector is poised to build back better (BBB). persons were engaged in the tourism sector.51
However, these efforts need to target the global Based on the National Living Standards Survey
tourism market and convince (potential) visitors (NLSS) 2011, more women than men are engaged
to come to Nepal, as well as provide assistance in the tourism sector. Analysis of the hotel and
to affected rural and urban tourism entrepre- restaurant survey indicates that 52 percent of the
neurs. The recovery strategy should be carried people employed in this sector are women. The
out in a phased manner with actionable items as WTTC 2015 report, based on pre-earthquake
suggested in this chapter. data, indicates that in 2014 travel and tourism in
Nepal directly supported 487,500 jobs (3.5 per-
Pre-Disaster Context and Baseline cent of total employment). The number of jobs
was expected to rise by 4 percent in 2015 and by 3
Impact of Tourism on Gross percent per annum to 681,000 jobs in 2025. Fol-
Domestic Product lowing the earthquakes, these numbers will need
The tourism sector constitutes an important to be revisited.
50
Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) estimates
51
There is a caveat that the survey findings were based on only 10 districts and some 193 enterprises and therefore the estimate is associated with some uncertainty.
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Table 9.2: Some Indicators on the Tourism Sector's Contribution to the Government's Fiscal Revenue
Year 2010 2011 2012
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Table 9.3: Registered Hotel Accommodation in Nepal by Category and Capacity, 2013
Hotel standard Number No. of rooms No. of beds
Five star 10 1,818 3,461
Four star 2 190 362
Three star 27 796 1,707
Two star 35 1,513 3,096
One star 31 964 2,374
Tourist standard 625 9,985 23,382
Total 730 15,266 34,382
Source: Ministry of Culture, Tourism & Civil Aviation, Tourism Industry Division, 2070 B.S.
52
Nepal Tourism Board (NTB), 2011, Tourist Accommodation Facilities in the Major Tourist Areas of Nepal
53
UNWTO, 2013, World Tourism Barometer, Volume 12, April 2013, Annexure
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and Thailand, and around a quarter of and heritage attractions have been
the receipts per arrival in India. As per reduced to rubble.
MoCTCA figures for 2013, a total of 10.42 • Portions of tourism infrastructure have been
million tourist days were spent resulting in destroyed, e.g., 150 kilometers of trekking
an average length of stay of 12.51 nights per trails have significant damage and 200 ki-
tourist. This leads to a daily spend per visitor lometers require maintenance and repair,
of only NPR 4,280. which also impedes access to rural areas.
• A further implication is on jobs that the sec-
Post-Disaster Context tor has provided to the country over the years
and revenue losses.
Disaster Effects • Recovering and rebuilding destinations
The immediate damages and losses on the tour- and visitors’ confidence stands at billions
ism sector as a result of the earthquakes are: of Nepali rupees.
• Tourist numbers are down by about 90 per-
cent between May and July 2015. Effects on Infrastructure and Assets
• About NPR 16 billion worth of hotel prop- The tourism sector has sustained damages of ap-
erties are fully or partially damaged in the proximately NPR 18,862.8 million, majority of
affected areas. which (86 percent) comes from hotel accommo-
• Domestic airline operators reported total dations and homestays (9 percent). Trails in the
monthly income losses of about NPR 400 mil- current form have sustained damages of about
lion for the month following the earthquake. NPR 426.1 million.
• Tourist accommodations of different types
were either fully or partially damaged in Effects on Production of Goods and
the Langtang, Gorkha-Manaslu, Khumbu, Services and Access to Services
Charikot, Kalinchok, Jiri and Rolwaling ar- The decreased tourism arrivals will affect tour-
eas and in Dhanding district. A few hotels in ist spending and subsequently lead to a rev-
the Kathmandu Valley (including Nagarkot) enue loss of NPR 21,300 million between
were completely damaged with a majority May and December 2015. This is estimated
having minor cracks. to decrease by about half (to NPR 12,800
• A portion of key tourism monuments million) in the next six-month period. Simi-
larly, there are losses to revenue streams like
Table 9.4: Other Tourism Related Firms and Service Providers
Subsector 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Tourist guides 1,900 2,001 2,071 2,149 2,202 2,271 2,343 2,458 2,548 2,661 2,835 2,935 3102
Trekking guides 2,745 3,094 3,457 3,930 4,395 4,663 5,098 5,356 5,987 6,747 7,303 8,163 9076
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permit fees (national parks), tourist service fees trekking routes exists to date. Trail sections
(Nepal Tourism Board), taxation revenue (to the are declared insecure based on assessments
government), etc. (Table 9.6). by trekking companies and individual com-
panies make their own assessment of use.
Effects on Governance Functions and • The protected area system in Nepal (national
Systems parks and conservation areas) do not have an
The decline in public sector revenue flows from inventory system in place that assesses the safe-
tourism will affect the promotion, maintenance ty of their areas with respect to natural disasters.
and upkeep of the tourism sector. There will be • Mountain communities and residents rely-
increased costs to respond to market slackness ing on tourism are particularly at risk. As
both to Nepal Tourism Board (NTB) and for the residents they are exposed to the general in-
industry as a whole. The NPR 400 million annu- creased risk of landslides, rockfall, floods, etc.
al marketing spend of NTB under normal situ- associated with mountain settings. As em-
ations and the approximate NPR 1,800 million ployees and entrepreneurs they are exposed
aggregated total marketing and promotion spend to the dangers of trekking and mountaineer-
of the private sector may have to be increased ing and as families they are highly vulner-
multiple-fold to recover and revive the market. able to changes in visitor numbers and travel
patterns that directly affect their incomes. If
The information provision function at the re- no alternative income sources are available to
gional and district levels will require strengthen- the households, their condition is likely to
ing through well-managed information centres become severe in the near future.
to provide up-to-date information to tourists • A clear and present risk is the sustained loss
related to weather or information on trekking of income due to the absence of visitors in
trails. Some of these functions can be carried out the aftermath of the earthquakes. This risk
jointly with the private sector. is not limited to actual earthquake-affected
areas but to the whole of Nepal.
Increased Risks and Vulnerabilities • The capital value of tourism in Nepal is found
After the earthquakes, Nepal must now be pre- in the accommodation and transport sectors.
pared for secondary disasters like rockfall, slope Physical damage to hotels, lodges and resorts
failures, glacial lake outburst floods and ava-
lanches, particularly during the coming mon-
Table 9.5: Damages and Losses to the Tourism Sector
soon season. Safety has now surfaced as a critical
issue; hazards may arise from visitors to monu- Particulars Million NPR
ments/buildings at heritage sites. Hotels, other accommodations 16,294.5
(Source: DoT/HAN/TAAN)
There is an increased need to invest in an early Homestays (Report under housing sector) 1,720.0
warning system to ensure safe tourist experi- Eco-Lodges in conservation Areas (Source: NTNC) 415.3
ences for all market segments. This will mean Trekking trails (Source: TAAN) 426.1
additional costs over and above the calculated Tour operators 6.9
reconstruction costs. (Source: NATO)
Total 24,573.70
General Observations on Risks to Tour-
ism in Nepal
• Mountain tourism is in general more vulner- Particulars Million NPR
able to calamities due to geophysical chal- Hotels, other accommodations 16,294.5
lenges, weather conditions, climate change (Source: DoT/HAN/TAAN)
and inappropriate human behavior. Mitigat- Homestays (Report under housing sector) 1,720.0
ing measures to date have been based on en- Eco-lodges in conservation areas (Source: NTNC) 415.3
terprise and industry practices and guided by Trekking trails (Source: TAAN) 426.1
the experience and skills of the trekking and Tour operators (Source: NATO) 6.9
tourism industry.
Total 18,862.81
• No inventory/assessment/classification of
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incurs high financial costs compounded by the stay physical damage is reported in the housing
loss of income due to the absence of guests. chapter. However, it is worth noting that 57
Existing loans are in danger of defaulting in percent of all homestays are owned by women
the absence of sufficient income, making (re) and as such damages in this subsector are likely
financing of repairs and retrofitting difficult. to affect women more adversely.
Staff lay-offs are expected, combined with in-
creased labour migration to other Asian coun- Physical damages for the hotel subsector could
tries and the Gulf States. More women than not be calculated as the data on damages to rooms
men, however, are likely to be laid off first but and beds was not available from the districts.
have limited options (such as migration) for
alternative livelihoods. A total of NPR 62.4 billion of revenue losses is
estimated due to a combination of destruction
Demand Side and non-availability of tourism facilities and the
The arrivals numbers to Nepal have drastically drastic decline in foreign tourist arrivals post the
declined by 90 percent compared to May 2014. disaster. The revenue losses result from losses in
It is expected that this downturn will remain for tourism revenues, air transport revenues, tour
the next couple of months. The industry expects operator revenues, trekking revenues and restau-
visitor numbers to be 40 percent lower in the rant revenues. The losses in revenue will cascade
fiscal year 2015-2016 following the earthquake for several years starting from May 2015 till
compared to 2014-2015. Whilst new travel in- June 2017. Losses will stop when all destroyed
surance products are widely available, the ma- assets have been rebuilt and when the number of
jority exclude claims made where a government foreign tourists recovers to normal levels.
has advised against travel to Nepal and/or claims
directly or indirectly relating to the reason the Impacts of the Disaster
government advised against travel to that coun- It is important to note that the overall impact
try, i.e., claims related to the earthquakes. of the earthquakes on the tourism sector goes
beyond the 14 most-affected districts. The nega-
The Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO), tive repercussions of the disaster are likely to
Government of UK communication advising mean a reduced number of tourist arrivals over
visitors to remain in Nepal only if absolutely es- the next two to three years and reduction in
sential is seen as a major constraint for adventure spend per day to about NPR 3,500 from NPR
travel insurance providers. There are other travel 4,300.54 Other nations that have experienced a
advisories from other countries as well. It is un- similar disaster have generally taken several years
likely that this will change during the monsoon to recover fully with regard to tourist arrivals.
season which influences the ‘booking’ for upcom-
ing peak season September to November severely. It is estimated that the overall impact on the Ne-
pali tourism industry will be a reduction of tour-
The tourism sector has sustained damages to as- ists’ arrival annually of about 40 percent, on av-
sets worth NPR 18,862.8 million (full destruc- erage, over the next 12 months and a 20 per cent
tion damages of NPR 5,053.5 million and NPR reduction in the following 12 to 24 months.
13,809.3 million of partial damages) , which
includes hotel and restaurant facilities and fur- However, the impact on tourist arrivals is not
niture, homestays, eco-lodges, trails, etc. Home- expected to be uniform across the three market
Table 9.6: Impact on Tourism Subsector Revenues
Subsector May-Dec 2015 Jan-Jun 2016 Jul 2016-Jun 2017
(NPR million ) (NPR million ) (NPR million)
Domestic airlines loss of revenue (Source: AOAN) 2,000.0 1,280.0 1,440.0
Revenue losses – Tour operators 1,851.7 1,228.9 1,843.4
Income losses – Trekking 5,711.3 0.0 0.0
Income losses – Restaurants in Kathmandu alone 11.1 0.0 0.0
Source: NATO
54
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segments. High-end cultural/leisure tourism is tor employs more women than men, it can also
likely to suffer relatively more than the other be assumed that more women have lost jobs
segments. At least 55 to 60 percent reduction than men, particularly when one considers that
in number of groups over the next 12 months women occupy less skilled jobs such as house-
is expected. As only minor damage has been keeping which can be easily taken over by men.
reported from Chitwan and the tourism infra-
structure in Lumbini has not been affected at all, A sustained absence of visitors from highly-
it is expected that religious tourism to Lumbini affected areas (due to destroyed infrastructure,
will recover in 12 months. For trekking, visitors enterprises and geophysical dangers) is likely to
in the higher end segment are more likely to lead to a (permanent) relocation of residents to
cancel their visits and the impact is expected to other areas, resulting in their livelihoods getting
be a 70 percent reduction over a 12 month pe- disconnected from their place of origin.
riod. The number of lower-end trekking groups
is expected to recover quickly, with an estimated Recovery Needs and Strategy
reduction of 20 percent over a 12 month period. The Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and recov-
ery process of the tourism sector is modelled on
Trekking Association of Nepal reports that the following needs which have been identified:
40,000 employees (guides, porters, cooks, etc.) • Cost of demolition and rubble removal
engaged in the trekking subsector (combin- • Cost of promotion campaign abroad to at-
ing all the major trekking destinations) have tract tourists
no jobs between May and July 2015 and were • Rescheduling of previous loans to hotel and
sent home. Similarly Nepal’s Tour Guides Asso- restaurant owners
ciation has reported that 228 tour guides are no • Temporary tax holidays, perhaps over one year
longer employed as a result of the earthquakes
as there are hardly any tourists to take around As for reconstruction needs, the total amount
in Durbar Square in Kathmandu, Bhaktapur required for reconstruction is NPR 22.6 billion
and Patan. Restaurants in Kathmandu reported
a total of 335 contractual workers who lost their Total promotion costs includes two elements:
jobs. Taking into account that the tourism sec- (i) the estimated regular annual budget for pro-
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motion allocated by the Government of Nepal Immediate relief through soft loans and loan re-
through Nepal Tourism Board, which is as- structuring is a need for the tourism industry (in
sumed to remain the same as 2014, and (ii) the particular hotels and restaurants) to recover. More
total cost of promotion by the tourism industry details are reported in the financial sector chapter.
as a whole through sales calls, web marketing,
print marketing, e-newsletters, sales missions, Phase 2: CREATE A SAFE TREKKING SYSTEM
roadshows/trade shows, and other media which Standards are to be formulated for all elements of
is roughly at least five times higher than the gov- a Safe Trekking System, including communication
ernment’s annual budget (using historical data). coverage throughout the areas/trails, a monitor-
ing system that captures movement of visitors and
Implementation Arrangements staff along a trail, rescue procedures and manage-
The earthquakes are likely to have a sustained ment, shelter provision at each daily section of a
negative impact on the tourism sector in Nepal trail, enterprises built and operating according to
and the wider economy, and mountain liveli- safety standards and infrastructure, and resources
hoods unless a number of mitigating initiatives built and operated according to safety standards.
are pursued. These efforts need to target the These improved products should be supported by
global tourism market and convince (potential) an appropriate management system that provides
visitors to come to Nepal as well as provide as- a grading system for trails and climbs, promotes
sistance to the affected rural and urban tour- trails and climbs, incorporates a revenue collection
ism entrepreneurs. The recovery strategy has system able to cover the costs of safety monitor-
four distinct phases: [1] identify and assess ing and management, maintenance of trails as per
unaffected and safe destinations and enterprises management plan, investment in infrastructure
where tourism can start quickly; [2] create a upkeep and expansion, and staff skills and training.
Safe Trekking System for mountain tourism in
Nepal, [3] rebuild and redevelop damaged ar- Phase 3: Rebuild and Redevelop Damaged
eas and enterprises following improved guide- Areas and Enterprises
lines and regulations as per the new Safe Trek- Assess and design financial and technical relief
king System and [4] identify and develop new packages (e.g., credit lines and ‘soft loans’ through
tourist products and services. Some of these local commercial banks) for hotels, restaurants
phases can be sequential or run in parallel and other tourism enterprises for reconstruc-
depending on needs. tion and rebuilding with earthquake-resistant
technologies and according to the Safe Trekking
Phase 1: Short-term Arrangements System guidelines (where applicable) to enable
Conduct a rapid post-earthquake assessment accommodation facilities to sustain at a basic
of Annapurna and Khumbu (Everest) regions operational level. The financial relief package re-
through a specialized ATC-20 audit (earthquake quires more detailed discussion with Nepal Rastra
damage assessment) to prove the safety of these Bank and Nepal Bankers Association when being
areas and enable visitors to return (to selected ar- formulated. In order to assist tourism enterprises
eas). Accommodation establishments in rural and to revive their business, the government could
urban areas should obtain a similar assessment come up with training schemes/interventions
certificate enabling them to be used by visitors. for newly recruited workforce, as many of the
Package tours to unaffected areas can be offered. old workers have left for their home districts. At-
tention should also be paid to women who own
An appropriate marketing and promotion plan for hospitality establishments, especially homestays,
the upcoming peak season (September-November who may find it difficult to recover quickly due
2015) should be created with all stakeholders. A to limited access to financial resources.
special effort should be made to attract visitors
from India, which is close and forms a resilient Selected trekking areas are to be rehabilitated and
market driven by pilgrimage and religious objec- the option to open areas for trekking which have
tives. Cultural heritage sites assessed as safe should earlier been restricted, such as Upper Mustang,
be opened for visitors in Kathmandu Valley. should be assessed as this would both generate
attention and also entice trekkers to return. To-
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Do tourists and tourism • % of tourism areas where forecasts/warning Creation of an early warning system and
staff have access to information is made available to tourists communication system
forecasts and warnings • % of communication coverage across
to common hazards destination areas
(floods, landslides, Implementation of the Safe Trekking System
avalanches etc.)?
Are there disaster • % sites and areas with facilities for Formulation of business plans and visitor
preparedness systems emergency communication of warnings/ management plans
and other protective forecasts and arrival tracking/monitoring
Creation of certified training course on
and safety measures • #appropriate operational plans for national appropriate mountain tourism behaviour and
for tourism? Are there parks & conservation areas conducting of training
appropriate policies
and plans in place • # appropriate operational visitor Creation of a template for a disaster preparedness
by the government management plans for heritage sites plan and business continuity plan
for responding • #staff trained and certified in appropriate
to emergencies, behaviour in mountain environments Assessment of insurance appropriateness and
preparedness and long- possible enhancement measures
• % of hotels/tourist facilities with disaster
term resilience of the preparedness plans in place based on risk Implementation of the Safe Trekking System
sector? assessments, including business continuity plans
What is tourism doing • % of workers insured Assessment and adaptation of insurance scheme
in terms of worker • Employment standard available Formulation of employment standards
safety and insurance?
• # enterprises following employment standards
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gether with communities and local operators, a suming that reconstruction and rebuilding will
selection of small-scale repair/recovery projects be completed by then. Hence, significant effort
that can be developed quickly should be drawn and resources and coordination among key stake-
up. Donations can be channeled into this area. holders are required to ensure that foreign tourists
All reconstruction will follow a labour intensive perceive Nepal as a safe destination.
approach and work guarantee scheme. In close
cooperation and collaboration with relevant or- Assessment Methodology
ganizations like UNESCO, repair and rebuilding To assess the damage to infrastructure and physi-
of priority heritage sites of cultural importance cal assets, the team consulted government coun-
is to be undertaken to allow income-generating terparts led by MoCTCA and sought active sup-
tourism usage. port from the Department of Tourism and the
NTB. Other agencies who supported with infor-
As part of the national rebuilding effort, the re- mation include Department of National Parks
cently completed National Tourism Strategy Plan and Wildlife Conservation (DNPWC) and Ne-
(NTSP) with a 10 year horizon and a detailed five pal Trust for Nature and Conservation (NTNC).
year action plan is to be re-examined in the light
of the earthquakes and their aftermath to identify The key source of information on damages
new challenges and re-prioritize important tasks and losses were the private sector business asso-
so that the tourism industry recovers quickly. ciations such as the Hotel Association of Nepal
(HAN), Trekking Agencies’ Association of Ne-
Finally, there is a need to rebuild and re-brand the pal (TAAN), Nepal Mountaineering Association
image of tourism in Nepal, including announce- (NMA), Nepal Association of Tour Operators
ment of 2017 or 2018 as ‘Visit Nepal Year’, as- (NATO), Nepal Association of Tour and Travel
2015-16 2016-17
Recovery needs 10,866 5,209 16,075
Demolition and rubble removal 3,018 755 3,773
Promotion campaign costs 2,730 2,520 5,250
Loan rescheduling 5,118 1,934 7,052
Reconstruction 18,571 4,064 22,635
Hotels 15,643 3,911 19,553
Homestays 2,064 - 2,064
Eco-Lodges in conservation areas 498 - 498
Trekking trails 358 153 511
Tour operators Office 8 - 8
Total 29,437 9,273 38,710
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Table 9.10: Proposed Activities for Safe Trekking and Trails Reconstruction
Activity Cost Coverage Duration
Creation of a Nepal Safe Trekking System
Design of standards and criteria for product TBD Samarth-NMDP October 2015
Reconstruction, repair of trekking trails TBD ILO, WBG, WFP, TAAN, NMA
Agents (NATTA), Tour Guide Association of Ne- Post-disaster average spend per day is estimat-
pal (TURGAN) and others. The assessment was ed at 82 percent, 89 percent and 93 percent
based on the number of physical assets damaged of normal average spend for May to December
and the estimates provided by these organisations. 2015, Jan to June 2016 and July 2016 to June
2017 respectively.
In order to estimate the impact on overall rev-
enues, the team calculated the normal or pre- The Recovery Needs Estimation includes the
disaster revenue forecast and the post-disaster total annual expenditure of promotion cam-
revenue forecast; the difference of the two gave paigns (comprising both government and
the estimated post-disaster losses. The following private sector contributions) and the working
calculations were used to arrive at the figures: capital (line of credit) requirements. Resched-
Revenue forecast = Arrival of tourists*Average tour- uling of previous loans to hotel and restaurant
ist expenditure/visit owners are roughly estimated at 25 percent of
revenue losses. Cost of demolition and rubble
The normal average tourist expenditure/visit was removal has been calculated at 20 percent of
calculated as follows, where the estimates were the cost of destroyed buildings.
based on the National Tourism Strategy Plan,
2015-2024: The Reconstruction Needs Estimation includes
Average length stay (days)*Average spend per day the need for tourist accommodations including
hotels, homestays, lodges in conservation areas,
For homestay, it is assumed that total revenue trekking trails, physical assets of tour operators,
losses will be around NPR 495 million, assum- reconstruction, rebuilding and retrofitting. These
ing a loss of NPR 1,000 per night for a total have been estimated at 1.2 times of the damage
of six months. estimation under the build back better concept.
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55
Potential losses could increase by 30 percent as per information being received.
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the provision of financial services remain. The ing the capacity of SACCOs and the regulator
financial sector has been growing rapidly (driven remains to be done.
in part by the increasing volume of remittances),
with deposits, credit and number of branches Similarly, access to finance is a major constraint
and ATMs (heavily concentrated in the Kath- for firms, especially for small- and medium-sized
mandu Valley and urban areas) increasing over enterprises (SMSEs). Administrative measures
the past few years. Deposit mobilization and have been taken to channel funds to deprived
credit to the private sector exceeds the South sectors via MFIs (now representing about 4.5
Asian average. Accessibility in general has im- percent of total BFI loans), promote the flow
proved: the number of BFI branches has dou- of credit to productive sectors, lower the inter-
bled in eight years. Nonetheless, an urban-rural mediation cost and to address what is perceived
and gender gap persists, only partially remedied as excessive profitability in the banking sector.
by the growth of MFIs, FINGOs and SACCOs. Comparatively little progress has however been
made in strengthening the enabling environ-
Key Pre-Earthquake Challenges and ment, with important gaps in credit reporting
Strengths systems, secured transactions, creditor rights
and insolvency frameworks, retail payment sys-
Access to Finance tem development, and consumer protection and
Several SACCOs have become problematic in financial literacy.
the absence of adequate supervisory and regula-
tory frameworks. This adversely affects the repu- At the micro level, access to formal finance by
tation of the sector and its capacity to function rural communities, especially women, is also a
as a reliable first point of entry into the financial major challenge. Their lack of collateral forces
system for poorer people. Work to address the them to rely on informal microcredit structures
risks in the non-bank financial sector has begun, that charge exorbitant interest rates, thereby
but wholesale reform of the regulatory and su- constraining their ability to grow their micro
pervisory frameworks for SACCOs, and build- enterprises.
1 As of Mid-January 2015
2 As of Mid-May 2015
3 As of Mid-July 2014
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Progress in modernization of the payments sys- months compared to NPR 9.4 billion in the cor-
tem has been slow and consequently the use of responding period of the previous year. Average
electronic payments remains limited, reducing ROE is estimated to be above 15 percent.
the efficiency, safety and reach of the payment
infrastructure. A comprehensive National Pay- Low Rate of Reported non-performing Loans
ments Systems Development strategy has been The level of non-performing loans (NPLs) re-
developed and action plans are now being pre- ported for the banking sector stood at around
pared, but out of 541 Village Development 2.7 percent of the total loan portfolio as of
Committees (VDCs) in 10 most impacted dis- Q2FY15 compared to 3.1 percent reported a
tricts (excluding Kathmandu, Lalitpur, Bhakta- year ago. NPL levels have been hovering be-
pur and Kavre), there are only 86 VDCs with tween 2.5 percent and 3.5 percent since FY10.
some form of financial services touch points.56 Average NPLs for all class of banks (A, B and C)
is reported to be 3.9 percent in Q1FY15 com-
Excessive Number of BFIs with Low Capital pared to 4.1 percent in Q1FY14. While NPLs
Base and sub-optimal Financial Intermediation are adequately covered by loan loss provisions,
At face value, the Nepali banking sector appears the special inspection report indicates under-
highly profitable, reasonably well capitalized reporting of impaired assets.
and asset quality appears good, but reported fi-
nancial ratios do not necessarily reflect the true Ample Liquidity in the Banking System
financial condition of BFIs. There are too many The banking sector continues to have surplus li-
small BFIs with limited capital base, weak risk quidity despite significant growth in loan disburse-
management systems and governance. Given ment in the first two quarters of FY15. Excess
these weaknesses, the financial system is vulner- liquidity is being mopped up by NRB through de-
able to shocks and does not adequately fulfill its posit auction and reverse repos on a periodic basis.
purpose of intermediating resources to finance The weighted average 91-days Treasury-bill (T-bill)
Nepal’s infrastructure investment and develop- as of Q2FY15 was 0.1151 percent compared to
ment needs. In response, NRB has imposed a 0.47 percent a year ago. Similarly, interbank rate
moratorium on new licenses for BFIs, promoted was 0.15 percent compared to 0.21 percent a year
mergers, and in 2014 started in-depth special ago. However, interbank rates amongst other fi-
inspections of 54 banks. As a result, NRB has nancial institutions (other than commercial banks)
successfully identified and taken action against declined only slightly to 2.51 percent from 2.62
weaker institutions and seen improvements in percent a year ago.
the overall quality of financial reporting, while
the number of BFIs has also fallen rapidly. In- Post-Disaster Context
termediation cost (net spread) has decreased to
more acceptable levels. In parallel, NRB is work- Disaster Effects
ing to build up and modernize its supervisory Financial Infrastructure
capacity, while the government is working to Operational disturbances in financial infrastruc-
reform the legal framework for bank supervision ture caused by the earthquakes were short-lived
and regulation and strengthen the deposit guar- outside the affected areas, minimizing disruptions
antee system to bolster depositor confidence and in the availability of payment services. However,
reduce liquidity risks. damage to the physical infrastructure of banks
in the affected areas has been high, with 408
Banking Sector Profits are Sound branches and 652 ATMs owned by Class A, B
Profits of the banking sector are considered and C BFIs damaged. Cost of damages is esti-
sound with commercial banks registering prof- mated at about NPR 864 million. Despite this,
its in the second quarter of FY 2014-2015 at a most depositors have regained access to their ac-
record high – a total of NPR 14.4 billion in six counts, which has been key in maintaining pub-
56
This data is sourced from the research department of NRB. It was collected in an interaction post the earthquakes between United Nations Capital Development Fund
(UNCDF) and NRB.
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lic confidence in the banking system. Outside 53,457 livestock lost). Similarly, it is estimated
the most heavily affected areas, payment systems that about 31 percent of FINGO members
were quickly resumed, remittances could again be (about 155,000 people) have been impacted.
received (and are reported to have increased sig- Out of the total 1,049 MFI branches across the
nificantly), and domestic and international trade country, 156 branches (14.9 percent) have been
flows are restored. NRB has also moved quickly damaged (partly and fully). Most of the affected
to relax restrictions on the ability of BFIs to open MFIs have also lost all or some of their records.
new service points and to reduce documentation The cost of reconstruction and data recovery is
requirements for earthquake victims. expected to hamper the sustainability of MFIs
and, in addition, they will be unable to operate
The restoration of services has been a remarkable for months.
achievement, given the serious physical damage
to NRB’s headquarters (including its main cash As most of the affected borrowers do not have
distribution facilities) and the lack of an NRB alternative income generating activities and
DRS, which means that its core banking systems sources of repayment, MFIs will face both li-
– which lie at the centre of the domestic pay- quidity and solvency issues, impacting their ca-
ments and settlement system and management pacity to assist their communities in a time of
of monetary and liquidity facilities – remain need. The sector is especially vulnerable due to
vulnerable to destruction by a new disaster. The the lack of diversification of its funding, weak
cost of replacing the two damaged NRB build- or non-existent IT systems, and low connectiv-
ings with a well-equipped modern central bank ity. Some MFIs may be susceptible to rapid loss
is estimated at NPR 3.1 billion. of liquidity as members withdraw their funds
to pay for immediate expenses and there are no
Banks and Financial Institutions central liquidity facilities available to supply ad-
Deterioration in the quality of loan portfolios ditional funds. Little is known about the condi-
of BFIs resulting from the disaster could occur tion and portfolio composition of the 17,000 or
as a result of earthquake damage and disruption so SACCOs, which are particularly susceptible
in three main ways: (i) as a result of damage or to rapid loss of liquidity as members withdraw
disruption to otherwise viable businesses (e.g., their funds to pay for immediate expenses. SAC-
hydro power and tourism), which may need to COs too have no central liquidity facilities avail-
restructure their debts and will need additional able to supply additional funds. Table 10.2 il-
finance to repair damage; (ii) damage to unin- lustrates the impact on SACCOs.
sured real estate collateral; and (iii) losses on de-
prived sector lending in the affected areas where Table 10.2: SACCOs Affected by the Earth-
borrowers are unlikely to be able to repay their quakes
loans. If the impact of these factors is significant, Particulars Damages
it would lead to de-leveraging and constricting Number of affected SACCOs 502
the flow of credit needed to support reconstruc-
Amount of affected loans NPR 4.9 billion
tion and development of the economy.
Physical damage to the assets NPR 622 million
level of NPLs will increase steeply and the Replacing these two buildings with RTGS is ex-
Portfolio at Risk (PAR) could reach unac- pected to cost an additional NPR 1.4 billion.
ceptable magnitude for future sustainability
of already fragile balance sheets/operations. Sources of Potential Losses
• Falling liquidity leading to a contraction
or cessation of lending and inability to Losses from Deterioration in Asset Quality
repay deposits: MFIs and FINGOs receive Deterioration in the quality of loan portfolios of
credit mostly through mandatory deprived BFIs could occur as a result of earthquake dam-
sector lending from Class A, B and C BFIs age and economic disruption in three main ways:
and this borrowing is the most critical com- (i) As a result of damage or disruption to oth-
ponent of funding, representing about 70 erwise viable businesses (e.g., hydro power
percent of total resource mobilization. As and tourism) which may need to restructure
MFIs and FINGOs in the affected areas are their debts and will need additional finance
likely to default on existing loans, this source to repair damage. Some of these losses may
of funding is also likely to dry up. This loss of be mitigated by regulatory forbearance, but
liquidity is likely to be reinforced by falling this also carries considerable risk of simply
deposits as people withdraw savings to fund storing up problems – by restructuring unvi-
emergency costs. SACCOs are thought to be able debts – for later.
particularly vulnerable to liquidity risks be- (ii) Damage to uninsured real estate collateral. All
cause they lack any central funding back-up real estate used for collateral by BFIs is required
or access to borrowed funds. to be insured against earthquake damage – which
would pass on any BFI losses due to damaged
Damages and Losses collateral to the insurance sector – but under-in-
Table 10.3 provides an estimate of the total surance is considered widespread, and weaknesses
damages and potential losses suffered by the in credit administration at some BFIs may mean
banking and insurance sectors. that insurance policies may not have been perfect-
ed (e.g., due to failure to secure building comple-
Sources of Damages tion certificates) or renewed, allowing claims to be
(Infrastructure Damage) denied. A lax approach by some BFIs to requir-
BFIs and the microfinance sector have suffered ing borrowers to renew their insurance on time
significant losses due to damage to their physical has been specifically identified by insurers as a
infrastructure and ATM networks in the affect- potential source of disputed claims, meaning that
ed areas. In addition, NRB has suffered about some coverage could be invalidated for BFIs with
NPR 1.8 billion of damage to its two buildings. poor loan administration.
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of mid-March 2015, the banks had an exposure their livelihoods; the MFIs will then be unable
to the microfinance sector of NPR 34.5 billion to repay the loans they have received from BFIs.
under deprived sector lending. MFIs receive 60
percent of their funds through such lending. If Capital Markets
funds are reduced or no longer available due to Other than the loss of fees to Securities Board
the liquidity crisis in the financial sector, MFIs of Nepal (SEBON), Nepal Stock Exchange
will suffer. For MFDBs, borrowing is the most (NEPSE) and brokerage houses from no trad-
critical component of financing. It covers about ing for nearly a month, NEPSE has experienced
70 percent of total resource mobilization. Mem- limited impact since it began operations after the
bers’ savings comes next, followed by equity. If earthquake. Two weeks after trading resumed on
the recovery process for MFIs is slow and not NEPSE, market capitalization was reaching pre-
supported, the crisis might further impact the earthquake levels. Immediately before the first
banking sector given their exposure (of around earthquake, market capitalization stood at NPR
4.5 percent) to the microfinance sector. 963.53 million. As of 3 June 2015, market capi-
talization was NPR 951.18 million. The market
Clients Withdrawing their Savings remains bullish and Nepal Stock Broker’s Asso-
Though in the balance sheets of MFIs savings are ciation is confident the market will reach pre-
not the most important source of funding, some earthquake levels in the coming weeks.
of them rely heavily on it. People are withdraw-
ing their savings to cope with the disaster and Remittance Networks
they will continue withdrawing. This increases There remain challenges in the availability of
the risk of the liquidity crisis. In particular, the connectivity (telecommunications), transporta-
cooperative system could be adversely affected. tion and cash (as unsafe buildings enhance the
risk of holding significant amounts of cash).
Many borrowers have seen their income streams While some remittance agents have begun oper-
disrupted due to the earthquakes, and many ations, several are still non-operational and may
will require a loan to rebuild their livelihoods. relocate or cease operations altogether.
However, the lack of a stable source of income
may be grounds for credit providers not to ex- Infrastructure damage has also disrupted remit-
tend loans. As a consequence, such borrowers tance networks. Roads and telecommunications
face a Catch-22 situation. With their income connectivity are basic infrastructure required by
stream disrupted due to the earthquakes, they an agent to operate. With many roads damaged,
need loans to recover livelihoods, but are denied optic fibre connectivity down in parts of affected
the loan precisely because they have no income districts and telecom data services intermittent,
stream. Borrowers that do not have spare, unen- reestablishing remittance agents and networks
cumbered real estate that can be pledged to take will be challenging.
out a new loan and whose source of income has
dried up as a consequence of the earthquakes are Recovery and
particularly vulnerable. This is, for instance, the Reconstruction Strategy
case for MSMEs that have pledged their only Based on the build back better (BBB) prin-
property (which often serves as their place of ciple, the recovery and reconstruction strategy
business) as collateral for a loan. will be a three-pronged approach: (i) financial
sector stability, (ii) access to finance, and
Contagion of BFIs by Losses in the Micro- (iii) economic recovery.
finance Sector
Deprived sector lending by BFIs to MFIs (4.5 Financial Sector Stability
percent of total loans) will result in substantial Diagnostic of the Impact of Damage to
losses for Class A, B and C banks, which have Real Estate in Affected Areas on BFIs and
lent to MFIs within the affected areas. The con- Insurance Companies
tagion could spread from an expected high rate Diagnostics are needed to allow accurate assess-
of default to MFIs by borrowers who have lost ment of the impact of the earthquakes on the
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linkages, long and trusted presence in the af- mote micro-risk management products post ca-
fected rural areas and can be an effective deliv- lamity, such as insurance and pension. Technical
ery mechanism and channel. There is need for assistance to develop and launch household level
specific support schemes for rebuilding liveli- micro-risk management products would also be
hoods in affected communities, to be chan- helpful. These activities will have to be comple-
nelled through eligible MFIs and cooperatives, mented by financial awareness raising and cus-
targeted specifically at micro entrepreneurs. In tomer protection programmes to ensure that
addition, MFIs could play a supplementary these complex products are offered responsibly
role as delivery channels with outreach in the and in a transparent manner.
affected rural communities to support house
reconstruction and repair. Insurance Product Development and
Education Technical Assistance
Rebuilding Infrastructural Assets, Recovering The earthquakes have highlighted the lack of
Data and Enhancing MIS/IT Structure insurance to provide protection from the dev-
MFIs need technical assistance to rebuild physi- astating impacts of natural disasters for the vast
cal infrastructure and recover data (in the short majority of people – only about 15,000 of the
term) and to enhance/introduce MIS systems 500,000 homes damaged by the earthquake are
(in the long term). Assistance will be required so insured, and most of those insured are under-in-
that appropriate parameters/conditions are set sured (meaning insurance will cover only debt,
(e.g., assessment of physical damage, manage- not the cost of rebuilding). Technical assistance
ment structure, basic business plan). In the long is needed to support the development of insur-
term, financial support and technical assistance ance products which provide protection from
are needed to enhance/introduce IT infrastruc- natural disasters and to provide financial educa-
ture and MIS systems to instill best practices tion to promote their use.
and to equip MFIs for post-emergency action
and sustainability. Recapitalization Fund for MFIs,
FINGOs and SACCOs
Capacity-building at Sectoral and This fund would provide financial resources
Institutional Level with which to recapitalize non-bank financial
Strengthening the sector and providing support institutions in affected areas, based on the re-
in the areas identified as major constraints be- sults of the diagnostics. The need for the fund
fore the earthquakes is imperative to enhance reflects the inability of BFIs to provide deprived
resilience and equip the sector in the long sector loans to MFIs and FINGOs while they
term. Tremendous capacity building of the sec- are insolvent (cutting them off from 70 percent
tor will be required to cope with the changed of their funding) and the fact that deposits in
circumstances after the earthquakes. Similarly, non-bank financial institutions are not guar-
regulatory support will also be required to make anteed, exposing poor and rural depositors to
short-term regulatory adjustments to provide heavy losses if the institutions are not restored
flexibility to enable MFIs to be back in business, to solvency.
and medium- to long-term regulatory changes
to enhance resilience of the sector. In order to Effective Regulation and Supervision
support recovery of the microfinance sector, a of SACCOs
programme to identify key areas such as risk There are thousands of SACCOs operating in
management, loan recovery, and loan origina- the country; most of them are registered with the
tion and approval processes will be required. government through the Department of Coop-
Technical assistance will accordingly need to eratives. Unlike banks and other financial institu-
be provided for targeted MFIs and FINGOs to tions, including licensed MFDBs and FINGOs,
guide them to instill best practices based on the SACCOs not licensed by NRB are not regulated
country context, and to equip them for post- or supervised by NRB. However, the outreach of
emergency action. In addition, a programme these SACCOs is widespread and they have been
will also be required to develop, test and pro- providing financial services to a large number of
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members across Nepal. Given the volume of fi- funding of repair/reconstruction of damaged
nancial services business being managed by SAC- homes. Funds would be provided through an
COs, there is need for a strong regulator and a NRB refinancing window at a concessional rate.
major upgrade of the regulatory and supervisory The financing would be provided at a conces-
regime, with a view to raising safety and sound- sional rate for 10 years for housing reconstruc-
ness in the sector to the direct benefit of its us- tion to rebuild destroyed uninsured homes.
ers. Regulating SACCOs on the one hand will
ensure the financial services they are carrying out Insurance
are fully accounted for in the overall financial sec- Capacity-building to Expand Coverage
tor portfolio and national payment transmission Building capacity to streamline and accelerate
mechanism. On the other hand, it will ensure the claims settlement process can send positive
a level playing field for similar smaller financial signals to expand insurance coverage.
institutions, including the licensed MFDBs and
FINGOs that are currently subject to NRB regu- Enhancing Legal and Regulatory Framework
lation and supervision. There is also need to strengthen insurance
regulation and supervision to ensure
Economic Recovery and Finance effective enforcement.
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mitigate risks to the financial sector, which have • Providing concessionary financing and ex-
been amplified by the impact of the earthquakes. panded use of credit lines to facilitate the re-
These include strengthening the financial crisis structuring of viable corporates and SMES,
management architecture, establishment of di- and to support housing reconstruction. The
saster recovery centres by NRB and BFIs, and emergency facilities established by NRB will
expanded diagnostic work to assess the impact be complemented by on-budget facilities and
of the earthquakes on banks and insurance com- the distribution channels will be designed to
pany solvency. ensure transparency and accountability.
• It may be important to impose a moratorium
The recovery strategy will encompass: on the increase in lending rates by BFIs at
• Physically reconstructing NRB with built- pre-earthquake levels for at least a quarter.
to-purpose facilities, establishing a disaster • Allow full deduction of financial contribu-
recovery centre, re-equipping staff, and tions made by all incorporated BFIs to the
providing adequate information systems to Prime Minister’s Relief Fund.
support supervision. • Investments in financial education/aware-
• Financial support provided by development ness and new product design to encourage
partners for reforms. This will provide sup- and enable the more widespread use of in-
port for putting in place a legal framework for surance as a disaster mitigation mechanism,
financial crisis management, strengthening especially by poor and rural communities.
risk-based supervision of BFIs, reforms to the • Establish a Bailout Fund for concessions and
legal and regulatory frameworks for insurance recapitalization with appropriate mechanism
companies and SACCOs, further steps to in consultation with relevant stakeholders
strengthen the payments system, and in-depth and development partners.
diagnostics of insurance companies and SAC-
COs. These actions will also be supported Assessment Methodology
by capacity building grants from DFID and This financial sector needs assessment is based
FIRST Initiative of the World Bank. on a wide range of inputs and data from di-
• The use of carefully designed regulatory for- verse sources. The assessment was led by NRB
bearance to allow BFIs to restructure the in collaboration with the World Bank, ADB,
debts of viable borrowers. This could in- UNCDF, ILO, USAID, IOM and DFID. How-
clude, among others, deferring of loan loss ever, it will take time for the full impact of the
provisioning requirement by one notch on earthquakes to become apparent. The team also
the incremental NPA. However, the BFIs carried out a field visit to Nuwakot and met af-
should disclose such ‘gains’ and dividend fected BFIs and MFIs; consulted various asso-
payout should be restricted to the extent of ciations of BFIs, MFIs and insurance sector; the
forbearance exercised. Department of Cooperatives; and the Insurance
Board; and used expert opinions and secondary
data where possible.
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INFRASTRUCTURE
SECTORS
Electricity
Communications
Community Infrastructure
Transport
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11. Electricity
Summary damaged, and 60 MW were partially damaged.
The PDNA pertaining to the electricity sector For generation under construction, about 1,000
covers generation, transmission and distribu- MW of hydropower projects owned both by
tion facilities in on-grid and off-grid system. IPPs and NEA have been partially damaged.
It covers the generation, transmission and dis- Regarding the transmission system under op-
tribution systems owned by the public utility eration, seven substations were damaged. The
company Nepal Electricity Authority (NEA) boundary wall of eight substations, cracks in
and the hydropower generation facilities owned control room buildings of nine substations, and
by Independent Power Producers (IPPs). The damage to staff quarters and office buildings at
distribution system above also includes commu- 14 locations were observed. Damages were also
nity-managed and operated rural electrification noticed in five transmission lines. Despite this,
entities. It also covers community-based micro all the affected transmission substations were
hydropower projects (MHP), solar home sys- restored within a short period of time with the
assistance of PGCIL officials. At the time of as-
tems (SHS), small solar home systems (SSHS)
sessment all 42 substations and 57 transmission
and institutional solar PV systems (ISPS) owned
lines were in operation.However confirmation
by local communities and individual households
about the risks of tower foundation damage,
and promoted by Alternative Energy Promotion
vulnerability of towers due to landslide/soil ero-
Centre (AEPC). The assessment covers the en-
sion and structural damage would be confirmed
tire country, with a focus on the 14 districts that
only after a walk-through check for all towers in
have been severely affected by the earthquake.
the transmission line in the earthquake-affected
areas.
The PDNA was carried out based on the data
collected and verified by NEA as well as repre-
Regarding distribution, about 800 km of distri-
sentatives of the Power Grid Corporation of In-
bution lines at different voltage levels (33 kV, 11
dia Ltd (PGCIL), Independent Power Producers
kV and 400 V) and 365 transformers at different
Association, Nepal ([PPAN] for on-grid facili-
capacity (from 15 to 300 kVA) were damaged
ties) and AEPC (for off-grid facilities) under the
and non-operational. As for off-grid electricity
leadership of the Ministry of Energy (MoE) and services, about 262 MHP facilities and 115,438
Ministry of Science, Technology and Environ- SHS or small SHS, and 156 ISPS were damaged
ment (MoEST). The World Bank, as the leading and non-operational.
agency for PDNA for the electricity sector, has
provided support to MoE and MoEST in data The total costs of physical damage are about
processing, damage assessment and preparation NPR 17,807 million, including NPR 5,575
of the recovery and reconstruction strategy and million in the public sector and NPR 12,231
plan with the active participation of and con- million in the private sector. For out-of-service
tributions from Japan International Coopera- operational facilities, during the estimated dura-
tion Agency (JICA), Asian Development Bank tion of recovery and reconstruction period, the
(ADB), United Nations Development Pro- loss of revenues amounts to NPR 3,338 million
gramme (UNDP), and the Norwegian Embassy. for IPPs in power sales revenues and about NPR
97 million for the government in royalty pay-
Electricity generation facilities, both on-grid ments by NEA and IPPs, and no loss of revenue
and off-grid, and distribution networks were for NEA since cost of purchase of electricity is
damaged in a big way. For generation under higher than retail tariff. The cost of recovery and
operation, about 115 MW hydropower facili- building back better is estimated to be NPR
ties out of the 787 MW total installed capacity 18,586, with NPR 5,693 million and NPR
in the country (grid and off-grid) were severely 12,893 for public and private assets.
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About 603,000 households have lost access to generation assets are owned by NEA as well as pri-
electricity, including 91,200 households for vate power companies,whereas transmission and
grid electricity and the rest for off-grid electric- distribution assets are fully owned and managed
ity, either due to house collapse or damage to by NEA. A brief description of generation, trans-
electricity supply facilities. Assuming that new mission and distribution system is described below.
houses will be built on time, it will take12 to 24
months for electricity services to be restored to On-grid Generation
the affected households. The total existing installed generation capacity in
the pre-disaster period was reported to be 787 MW
Pre-Disaster Context and of which 782.5 MW is on grid. Of the total grid
Baseline capacity 729.1 MW is provided from hydropower
plants, whereas 53.4 MW consists of thermal gen-
Access to Electricity Services eration. IPPs own 255.6 MW of generation capacity
According to the national census published in and the rest (473.4MW) is owned by NEA. Table
2013, about 75 percent of the total population 11.1 gives a summary of generation capacity.
in Nepal (27.5 million) is estimated to have con-
nections to grid (about 50 percent) and off-grid Transmission Network
(about 25 percent) electricity. Although off-grid The existing transmission system consists of 66
connections provide relatively reliable electricity kV and 132 kV transmission lines and associ-
supply in the rural areas, access to the grid in ated grid substation, as well as a Load Dispatch
rural and urban areas does not necessarily mean Centre. NEA has a transmission system with
access to electricity due to continuing load shed- 42 substations (28 at 132 kV level and 14 at 66
ding, up to 14 hours per day, in grid-covered kV level) with a total transformation capacity of
areas in the dry season. Lack of access to reliable 2,159.6 MVA (1722 MVA at 132 kV and 438
grid-supplied electricity is one of the key obsta- MVA at 66 kV). There are a total of 57 lines in
cles to lifting sections below the poverty line out the transmission segment of which 36 lines are
of poverty. While Nepal has achieved remark- at 132 kV level and 21 lines at 66 kV level. It is
able progress in off-grid electrification, coordi- reported that there are 2,129.7 circuit km of 132
nation with grid extension needs to be enhanced kV transmission lines and 511.16 circuit km of
through planning future rural electrification to 66 kV transmission line. The route length of the
avoid stranded off-grid assets when the grid is transmission line is 1,948 km with 6,093 towers.
extended to the off-grid areas.
Distribution
Electricity service in Nepal is provided mostly Electricity services to the end-consumer are pro-
through the grid system and in some part through vided through a distribution system of 33 kV, 11
isolated instances of the off-grid system. The grid kV and 400 V distribution lines and associated
system consists of vertically integrated generation, distribution substations. NEA provides electric-
transmission and distribution systems. NEA, a ful- ity services to more than 2.7 million consumers
ly government owned power utility, is responsible through its 90 distribution centres spread across
for the operation and management of the grid. The the country. The total number of consumers in
the 14 earthquake-affected districts accounts
Table 11.1: On-grid Generation Capacity of Nepal for 23 percent of total NEA customers, whereas
these affected districts contribute 72 percent of
Source of generation Installed capacity
(MW) the total sales and 73 percent of sales revenues
Total hydro (NEA) 477.9 of NEA. The baseline information of physical
Infrastructure is provided in Table 11.2.
Total small hydro isolated (NEA) 4.5
Total hydro, in grid system (NEA) 473.4
Off-grid Electricity Services
Total hydro (IPP) 255.7 As of July 2013, there were 1152 community-
Total hydro (Nepal) 729.0 owned MHPs with a total installed capacity
Total thermal (NEA) 53.4 of 22,830 kW. Similarly, about 600,000 (July
Total installed capacity in Nepal 782.4 2014) SHS/SSHS with a total capacity of about
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10 MW have been installed by individual house- Table 11.2: Distribution System Baseline Information
holds for lighting purposes. S.N. Description 33 kV
1 33 kV distribution line (km) 3,823
Post-Disaster Context
2 11 kV distribution line (km) 32,393
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Teku substation. Action has already been taken Table 11.4: Substations with Equipment Damage
for procurement of the damaged equipment re- Name of Substations Voltage level
quired for restoration of the transformer at the 1 Balaju 66 kV
Lainchaur substation.
2 Lainchour 66 kV
3 Teku 66 kV
Similarly, one transformer at the Lamosangu
substation which is in service, jumped off the 4 Panchkhal 66 kV
rails and had to be put back at the earliest pos- 5 Suichatar 66 kV
sible opportunity to prevent damage to the 6 New Chabahil 66 kV
foundation with every aftershock. Substation 7 Lamosangu 132 kV
bay equipment that also got damaged was re-
placed either from inventory, materials received Table 11.5: Damage to Transmission Lines (Preliminary Survey)
from India or after cannibalizing from bays al-
Name of transmission lines
ready installed in new transmission system or
1 Khimti-Lamusanghu transmission line 132 kV
bay charged bypassing the equipment due to
non-availability of the same in inventory. Cracks 2 Lamusangu-Bhaktapur line 132 kV
developed in the control room building wall, 3 Suichatar-Marsyangdi line 132 kV
column as well as in the beams in some substa- 4 Chilime-Trihuli transmission line 66 kV
tions. Some of the damaged walls of control 5 Devighat-New chabel 66 kV
room building are load bearing walls. Cracks
also developed in the control room floor and ley were damaged. However, supply to the con-
foundation settlement also observed but none sumer is being restored. Distribution networks
of the control room buildings collapsed. The were significantly damaged in the 14 districts in-
boundary walls of eight substations were dam- cluding three districts of Kathmandu. As per pre-
aged or collapsed. liminary estimates of the director, NEA Distribu-
tion and Consumer Services, the total damage to
It may be noted that a majority of transmission distribution networks is shown in Table 11.7.
lines pass through difficult hilly terrain and deep
forest. During an earthquake there is every pos- With the help of PGCIL, NEA managed to
sibility of tower foundations getting damaged at fix the four affected substations in Kathmandu
some location, or of stress developing on them and electricity supply was restored within four
due to disproportionate shifting of their base days. At this stage the Government of India is
as a result of movement of earth. This might supporting NEA/MoE by providing poles and
weaken the tower structure. The route length distribution transformers. Untill now about 37-
of transmission lines for 6,093 towers is 1,948 100 percent electricity supply has been resumed
km.The actual quantity of damage to the trans- in all the 14 badly-affected districts.
mission lines can be assessed only after thorough
checking of all these 6,093 towers along the to- Off-grid Micro-hydro Plants
tal route length but this would take considerable It was reported that 262 MHPs with 3.7 MW in-
time. A walk-through survey of transmission stalled capacity and 115,438 SHS and 156 ISPS
lines is in progress and as per preliminary report are damaged. This has affected more than 81,000
received from NEA transmission team on May households. A summary of MHP damage in 14
31 2015, tower damage reported in 3 no. 132 districts is presented in Table 11.8. AEPC is try-
kV lines and 2 no. 66 kV lines. The Foundation ing to assess the exact nature of damage and to
was damaged in around 20 locations. Protec- come up with the cost estimate to repair the dam-
tion walls need to be erected due to soil erosion. age, including strategy and action plan.
However all transmission lines are in service as it
was prior to earthquake. Estimates of Financial Losses Due to
Physical Damage
Distribution A technical (engineering) assessment of damage
It is reported that four major substations in Kath- is a prerequisite for calculating the value of loss
mandu Valley and one substation outside the val- from physical damage in power plants under
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operation as well as those that are under con- NEA Revenue Losses: The NEA system is ver-
struction. Since such an engineering assessment tically integrated and sales revenuesare realized
is yet to be done, the estimate of financial losses in the distribution subsector. Therefore, finan-
of physical damage in on-grid generation, trans- cial losses of this system are accounted for in the
mission and distribution systems and associated distribution system. However, NEA is better off
civil structures, and off-grid electricity services in terms of net revenues as a result of reduction
are indicative and preliminary in nature. Based in sales due to IPPs’ power plant outages. The
on the preliminary information of physical reason behind this is that the cost of service
damage provided by NEA, IPPAN and AEPC, from IPP purchase is higher in comparison to
the estimated financial loss resulting from dam- sales revenues from the same (mismatch of cost
age to physical infrastructure in generation is of service versus retail tariff). As a result, energy
given in Table 11.9. In the absence of a detailed unavailable for sale from IPP resulted in a re-
assessment of damage to hydropower plants and duction in power purchase expenses, leading to
transmission line, a provisional figure of NPR a positive impact in the net revenues of NEA.
2,000 million as a contingency sum is used. One Hence, net change in revenue of NEA is not
of the objectives of the PDNA is to ascertain considered for total change in change in eco-
the reconstruction requirement and its associ- nomic flows or losses.
ated cost to identify the resource implication.
This contingency amount is also reflected in the IPP Revenue Losses: Loss of generation is cal-
reconstruction cost for building back better in culated on the basis of the outage period, from
this sector, which gives rise to a figure of NPR the date of interruption of supply due to earth-
17,807 million for physical damage to assets, in- quake to the date of resumption of supply by the
clusive of NPR 2,000 million as a contingency plant. In general,a six month outage is assumed
sum. A summary of details of resource implica- for all affected power plants. However, in case
tions for reconstruction is given in Table7. of plants such as Bhotekoshi, an assumption
of 12 months of outage is made. The total loss
The estimation of change in economic flows of sales is calculated on the basis of estimated
(CEF) or losses is carried out to assess the impact time for restoration of generation from existing
of the disaster in the sector. It is ascertained by power plants and their average monthly energy
estimating the loss to three sub sectors: namely sales to NEA. The losses are calculated assum-
public sector entities such as NEA, private com- ing the associated loss of energy sales during the
panies such as IPP, and the government.The outage time of generation multiplied by the PPA
change in loss of net revenues is taken as the ba- rate. The change in IPP net revenues is estimat-
sis for calculating the CEF. ed as NPR 3,338.0 million. The calculation of
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financial loss of CEF in IPP generation is pre- Loss of power has also had a negative impact on
sented in Table 11.10. women who use electricity for household work and
productive activities. Women interviewed in Kavre
GoN Royalty Revenue Loss: Royalty is appli- indicated that their burden of work has increased
cable in capacity and energy generation from now that they are compelled to allocate as much as
power plants and is the source of government three hours to fetch firewood in the absence of elec-
revenue from the electricity sector. Change in tricity. Furthermore, lighting works as a deterrent to
royalty from the affected projects is estimated to violence, and in the absence of a steady power sup-
be at around NPR 97 million. A summary of ply, women may face an added risk of violence.
this calculation is presented in Table 11.11.
The disruption in the power supply will further
Estimates of Damages and Losses: The total pose challenges to the government’s avowed goal of
loss of revenues is the sum of revenue losses of universal access to modern energy services by 2030
IPPs and loss of GoN revenues through royalty. in Nepal. It should be noted that the decrease in
This calculation is presented in Table 11.12. electricity supply is due to the loss of generation
from hydropower plants. As import from India is
Disaster Effects and Impacts limited to available transmission capacity and lim-
Major impacts: About 600,000 households were ited thermal plants, NEA has resorted to increasing
directly affected by the earthquake in the form of load-shedding hours for consumers. Consequent-
loss of electricity services. This impact was either ly, there has been an increase in electricity genera-
through damage to electricity facilities, on-grid tion from captive diesel generator (DG) sets. The
and off-grid, or due to house collapse. Loss of ac- total loss of generation from damaged hydropower
cess to electricity has a direct bearing on people’s plants and corresponding increase in generation
ability to derive their livelihoods and generate from DG sets would be about 428 GWh. The
income, particularly so for rural communities typical cost of generation from DG sets is about
engaged in small- and medium-scale enterprises. 30 UScent/kWh including capital and fuel costs.
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Note: Basic cost estimates are prepared in US$ and exchange rate 100 NPR to US$ 1 has been used.
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schools; biogas; rapid assessment of Photo Vol- power stations, substations and transmission
taic Pump Set (PVPS) and micro-hydro proj- lines, among others.
ects; income generation activities; and activities • Design of early warning systems in hydropow-
for micro, small and medium-sized enterprises er projects.
(MSME) activities. This relief package will be • Policy for selection of hydropower projects
implemented up to December 2015. in various river basins to reduce the impact
• The second phase involves reconstruction, of natural disaster.
rehabilitation and medium-term relief solu- • Adoption of appropriate insurance policy by
tions. The focus will be on delivering solutions public utilities.
which will include repair, maintenance and • Preparation of guidelines for safety and evac-
installation of new solar systems for schools; uation of electrical equipment and personnel
installation of solar mini/micro grids; repair, in the event of a disaster.
maintenance and installation of new solar • Policy guidelines and procedures for
systems for health posts; repair, maintenance disaster management in restoration of power
and installation of new biogas systems; repair, at the earliest.
maintenance, re-construction and commer- • Policy guideline for asset as well as
cial operation of micro-hydro plants; repair, inventory management
maintenance and re-construction of damaged
micro, small and medium enterprises, and re- Implementation Arrangements
vival of income generating activities. This phase
is expected to be completed before December Overall Planning
2016. However, re-construction of micro- A Master Plan for Rural Electrification, a
hydro plants may extend up to June 2017. Transmission System Master Plan, and an In-
tegrated River Basin Development Planning
Policy Gaps in Electricity Sector related that includes a Hydropower Generation Master
to Earthquake Risk and Vulnerability in Plan, will be initiated soon to ensure a coordi-
Nepal nated approach for generation, transmission
It is a well-established fact that Nepal lies in one of and distribution system development and rural
the most earthquake-vulnerable zones, which puts electrification programmes.
its infrastructure at considerable risk. However, to
date there is no policy in place to address the cru- On-grid Facilities
cial issue of resilience to natural disasters. In this NEA and IPPs will be responsible for assessment,
context, it is imperative to initiate and adopt the planning and implementation of recovery for
following policies in the electricity sector: their respectively hydropower facilities that were
• Formulation and implementation of a pol- damaged due to the earthquake. For the recovery
icy addressing the issue of dam safety and of grid electricity facilities including generation,
security in public and private sector hydro- transmission and distribution, international stan-
power projects with regard to existing as well as dards will be applied and systems planning will
future projects. be followed to ensure better quality of facilities,
• Standardization of parameters for seismic- safety and earthquake-resilience of dams, and im-
safety features in the design of electricity proved optimization of distribution system. The
infrastructure such as dams, waterways, recovery process will include the following steps:
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• Generation: Carry out a rapid dam safety verifications and intensive discussions with the
assessment of all major hydropower dams in NEA, MoE, DoED, IPPAN and the PDNA
the earthquake-affected area to ensure full re- electricity sector team.
covery or increased dam safety and resilience
to future earthquake disasters and to inform As electricity is supplied through on-grid and
the recovery investment plan accordingly. off-grid systems, the damages, losses and needs
• Transmission: To avoid potential risks of in- have been calculated separately for them. The as-
terruption due to earthquake effects, NEA will sessment of damage of physical assets for genera-
conduct a walk-through inspection along the tion, transmission and distribution in the grid
transmission line in earthquake-affected areas system was accomplished with the help of infor-
to check foundation stability, structure defects mation provided by NEA and IPPAN, whereas
and landslide risks, and prepare and implement information about damaged assets in the off-
the investment programme as needed. In the grid system was provided by AEPC.
process of restoration of substation equipment,
available spare parts already consumed, atten- The effects of damages to electrical installations
tion should be paid to procuring and main- and supplies resulted in financial loss (change in
taining adequate spares to take care of future economic flows [CEF]). The value of financial
contingencies. Emergency restoration systems losses due to physical damage of electricity in-
(ERS) for transmission lines may be thought frastructure is estimated in accordance with the
of as a part of disaster management of trans- existing cost structure. Financial losses are attrib-
mission lines in the event of future disasters so uted to decline in demand due to interruption in
that transmission lines are restored quickly with supply or loss of sales to electricity customers, loss
ERS minimizing the loss of revenues. of revenue of IPP, and loss of government revenue
• Distribution: In accordance with the Distri- in the form of royalties from the electricity sector.
bution Master Plan and international stan-
dards for the distribution system, plan new Considering the load-shedding situation prevailing
feeders in close coordination with housing in Nepal, reduction in sales due to loss of connec-
sector activities to ensure recovery of electric- tion is not considered. The reason is that as a result
ity services in new settlement areas as soon as of loss in demand in earthquake-affected area, the
new houses are rebuilt. available energy is being supplied to other areas,
hence preventing any reduction in sales. However,
Off-grid Facilities outages in power plants cause a decrease the power
AEPC will be responsible for implementation supply, which leads to a reduction in sales. Accord-
of the recovery and reconstruction with respect ingly, the loss of revenue is estimated on the basis
to off-grid electricity services. Community and of an estimated decrease in sales due to the genera-
individual households should be encouraged tion lost, multiplied by the current average revenue
to play an active role in restoring or rebuilding rate of NEA. For this purpose, the loss of sales is
the affected schemes. The off-grid initiatives for calculated from the lost generation after making an
recovery and reconstruction will adopt interna- adjustment for a system lost factor of 25.5 per-
tional technical standards for design and instal- cent. In the case of IPP, the change in economic
lation of specific MHPs and Solar Systems and flows or losses is estimated on the basis of loss
follow the Master Plan to ensure optimization of of generation multiplied by sales price of power.
site and size selection of MHPs and better coor- The change in economic flows to government
dination with the grid extension plan. is established as per the change in government
royalty from this sector.
Assessment Methodology
This assessment has been conducted in accor- MHPs are run on the lines of community own-
dance with the guidance provided by the PDNA ership and management, with no saving from
Secretariat of the Government of Nepal. It is sales of electricity service. Accordingly, it is as-
primarily dependent on the initial assessment sumed that there will be no financial loss in the
data provided by the government, which has off-grid system. Hence, the total financial loss in
been refined and re-categorized in accordance the electricity sector is calculated by considering
with PDNA Guidelines through selected field only the financial effects on the grid system.
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12. Communications
Summary financial resources, including the existing Ru-
The PDNA for the communications sector ral Telecommunications Development Fund
covers the strategic public and private (RTDF). Broadband wireless internet services
telecommunications networks (both fixed will also be provided in the worst-hit districts
and mobile), internet service providers, postal so that affected communities have access. These
services, print and broadcast media (newsprint, initiatives will be led by NTA in close coordina-
radio, television) and cable television operators. tion with MoIC and service providers.
It also includes the Ministry of Information and
Communications (MoIC) responsible for the Pre-Disaster Context
sectors of information and communications, and and Baseline
its associated agencies including the Department Prior to the earthquake, Nepal’s communications
of Information, Department of Printing, sector was characterized by competition and
Press Council, National News Agency, Film growth in market size and coverage. In particular,
Development Board, Radio Service Broadcast there was impressive growth in the cellular mar-
Development Committee (Radio Nepal), ket, a well-developed community and FM radio
and Nepal Television. The MoIC and Nepal ecosystem, a large number of print and broadcast
Telecommunications Authority (NTA) have media players, and a competitive cable television
policy and regulatory oversight of the sector. market. The postal network extended to every
Village Development Committee (VDC) across
The total damages and losses in economic the country. Table 12.1 below provides a sum-
flows are estimated at NPR 3,610.2 million mary of the communications sector and market
(US$36.10 million) and NPR 5084.6 million structure prior to the earthquake.
(US$50.85 million), respectively. The estimated
cost of recovery and reconstruction is estimated Nepal’s telecommunications market comprises
at NPR 4,938.8 million (US$49.39 million). two major operators with almost equal market
share, Nepal Telecom and Ncell, and four other
The long-term recovery goal for the commu- small operators. With mobile services providing
nications sector is to rebuild and put in place a greater mobility, and with close to full popu-
future-proof communications infrastructure and lation coverage achieved nationwide, mobile
services sector that will serve the needs of a digital services will continue to dominate the market.
Nepal. In line with this vision, the reconstruction While Nepal’s mobile communications sector is
effort should be anchored in a future-proofed ap- well developed and all districts and VDCs have
proach, that ensures increased investments in the access to mobile services, Nepal’s internet pen-
telecommunications sector, the establishment of etration is still less than 40 percent. The chart
below57 indicates growth in access (percentage
a resilient public service broadcast sector, and the
of population with access to various services).
convergence of the Information and Communi-
cations Technology (ICT) sector that will allow
Telecommunications is a major source of tax
Nepal to take advantage of the opportunities pro-
and royalty revenues for the Government of
vided by technological developments.
Nepal (GoN). As such, overall sector revenues
for 2014 were estimated at NPR 85,900 million
In the short term, communications infrastruc-
(US$859 million) and GoN received approxi-
ture in the worst-affected districts will be reha-
mately NPR 3,450 million (US$34.5 million)
bilitated as quickly as possible using available
in royalties. The two major telecommunications
57
Source: Nepal Telecommunications Authority (July 2014)
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operators are some of the largest taxpayers in the provision of many public and private sec-
Nepal. One of the largest foreign direct investors tor services, among them banking and financial
in Nepal has been the telecommunications oper- services, public sector financial management,
ator Ncell. Before the earthquake, the telecom- agriculture, health, education, social protec-
munications sector faced a number of policy and tion, transport, energy, and rural development.
regulatory challenges including: The government has invested in cross-sectoral
• a need for revisions in the policy and regula- ICT infrastructure (government integrated data
tory framework, given the significant tech- centre) and service frameworks (Nepal eGov-
nological developments in the sector; ernment Interoperability Framework (NeGIF)).
• lack of an emergency and disaster commu- The National Identification Management Cen-
nications strategy, plan and network infra- tre (NIDMC) of MoHA was also in the pro-
structure; cess of implementing a pilot project to establish
• large unutilized amounts accumulated (ap- a digital national identification infrastructure
proximately NPR 10,000 million) in the based on biometric data.
RTDF funds; and
• limited mobile Value Added Services and Post-Disaster Context
Applications designed to serve economic
and social sectors,particularly with respect to Damages and Losses
mobile financial services which lacks a clear The Communications sector was significantly
regulatory framework for mobile network damagedby the earthquake. The telecommuni-
operators (MNOs). cation networks were affected, as mobile base
transceiver stations (BTS) were damaged, and
Despite potential challenges, ICTs have been power disruptions and lack of fuel supply im-
adopted across the public and private sectors pacted service provision. All operators reported
inNepal. ICTs have been extensively used in damage to some of their sites, including build-
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ings. This resulted in significant network conges- Figure 12.1: Communications Market Access
tion and downtime in the immediate time frame 90%
of a week. It has been reported that some house
owners, on whose rooftop BTSs were installed, 80%
are hesitant to continue renting space, given 70%
the additional loading factors on their rooftop
Penetration (% percentage)
premises. While the international gateways, 60%
which enable international communications, 50%
were not affected, network back haul infrastruc-
ture (both aerially installed fiber optic cables and 40%
microwave links) were damaged in a number of 30%
areas. The fixed line network in Kathmandu sus-
tained damage as well. 20%
10%
To cope with the effects on network coverage
and congestion in the Kathmandu Valley, NTA 0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
made additional frequency available for GSM
Mobile 19.73% 27.27% 40.59% 57.60% 71.46% 83.23%
operators on request for a one month period.
Ncell utilized its additional spectrum, while Internet 1.87 % 4.85% 10.89% 18.94% 26.10% 33.15%
Nepal Telecom did not. Operators provided free LMS & GMPCS 0.28% 1.61% 2.52% 4.15% 5.84% 6.32%
voice, data and SMS services. The services have Fixed 2.93% 2.97% 2.93% 3.15% 3.21% 3.13%
been largely restored. In the worst-affected dis-
tricts, mobile communication services are avail- (Source Nepal Telecommunications Authority July 2014)
able, but the quality is being impacted by the
low reliability of power supply and dead spots tinued broadcasting round the clock, despite
in the network. Internet services, too, were dis- challenges. It also lost revenues from advertis-
rupted but have been restored. However, erratic ing and time slot sales. Although the buildings
power supply remains a challenge. At the post and some equipment of print media agencies
offices, damage was limited to physical build- were affected, their operations continued. The
ings at 32 locations. Postal services continue building of the Department of Information was
to be provided, albeit with delays due to road seriously damaged; so too the office premises
blockages, among others. of the Press Council of Nepal, National News
Agency and Radio Service Broadcast Develop-
As for the broadcast media, both television ment Committee (Radio Nepal). The Film De-
and radio broadcasters were affected. The As- velopment Board reported that 57 private cin-
sociation of Community Radio Broadcasters ema halls were also physically impacted by the
(ACoRAB) reported damage to community earthquake. Their own office premises were also
radio equipment and buildings at 60 locations affected. NTA was forced to move to another
across 19 affected districts. Approximately 50 location as their rented office space of NTA were
FM radio stations were impacted by the earth- damaged, forcing a move to another location.
quakes. Twenty of the 50 FM stations were off-
air for approximately three days after 25 April. Effects on Sector Investments
The state-owned Radio Nepal, which continued While MoIC and NTA provided all regulatory
its broadcast for 24 hours for a few days after support to service providers, the earthquake will
the disaster, halted all advertising and focused likely impact future investments in the telecom-
on public service announcements. Corporate munications sectors. As such, the cost of insur-
clients of FM broadcasters cancelled advertising, ance for private operators is likely to increase.
which impacted their financial position.
Effects on Government Functions and
The buildings and equipment of television Systems
broadcasters were physically damaged. Nepal The communications sector is crucial to ensur-
Television, the state-owned broadcaster, con- ing that the government is able to communicate
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and manage its disaster response, relief and reha- tional locations where a large number of Nepali
bilitation efforts. While initial network conges- residents are based. Finally, media broadcasters
tion and lack of coverage was experienced, there accumulated revenue losses due to the non-car-
has been no visible adverse effect on governance riage of commercial advertising and time slots.
and key decision-making processes. However,
in the event that the networks had failed and The overall cost of damages and losses in the
could not be restored in time, the government communications sector is estimated at NPR
would have been impacted by the development. 3610.2 million (US$36.10million) and NPR
Following the earthquake, as the government 5084.6 million (US$ 50.85 million), respective-
seeks to make cash transfers to severely affected ly, as summarized in Table 12.2 below.
constituencies and individuals, the adoption of
mobile financial services would have been very Disaster Effects and Impacts
effective and would have greatly facilitated the The total population of the most-affected 14 dis-
process of service delivery at such a critical time. tricts is about 5.37 million. Most of them live in
remote rural communities and face challenges in
Effects on Risks and Vulnerabilities accessing social and economic services. An under-
As Nepal does not yet have a National Emergen- developed mobile money ecosystem in Nepal has
cy Telecommunications Plan, the sector faces an impacted their access to finance, and an underde-
increasing vulnerability to network downtime. veloped broadband ecosystem has impacted their
A lack of power supply and damage to road access to public services. Moreover, the lack of a
networks in rural Nepal implies that operators digital National Identification System is likely to
need to rely on back-up power solutions such hamper public service delivery.
as diesel engine generators and solar power for
their rural networks. This increases the risk of The ability of government agencies and people to
network downtime, as it is a challenge to get fuel communicate and receive information following
to remote sites. Further, communication towers the disaster, demonstrated the need for a robust
located in earthquake-affected and landslide- and resilient communications infrastructure in
prone areas are at risk of collapse. Nepal. While operators provided coverage to all
districts and VDCs and were in the process of
Damage costs are estimated on initial assess- increasing coverage of mobile broadband net-
ments by MoIC, based on information58 pro- works, in the short term, their focus will be on
vided by public and private operators, print and restoring coverage to pre-disaster status. As a
media broadcasters, the post office and other result, the expansion of mobile broadband net-
agencies. These estimates have not been verified works will likely be delayed.
through detailed engineering assessments. The
loss figures mainly consist of damage to physi- ICT and telecommunications in particular con-
cal premises, network equipment and additional stitutes a crucial economic infrastructure and
maintenance costs (largely for fuel supply for its early recovery and restoration is important
sites where commercial power is unavailable to support economic and public service deliv-
and/or erratic) and immediate rehabilitation/ ery activities in Nepal. Post-disaster relief efforts
reconstruction works. relied heavily on telecommunications, internet
and broadcast media.
As telecommunication networks were impacted
immediately after the earthquake, significant The GoN has invested in a number of cross-sec-
revenue losses were borne by operators due to toral ICT infrastructure (governmentintegrated
network outages (mainly the two large mobile data centre) and service frameworks (NeGIF
network operators) and the fact that they pro- and NEA). The adoption and mainstreaming of
vided free airtime and SMS services. The op- these across all government agencies will enable
erators also reduced call charges to key interna- faster and cheaper deployment of ICT solutions
Qualification: Information provided is preliminary and subject to more details on ground assessment (including engineering and technical) by providers of the information.
58
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and applications across government; reduce the and verifying affected persons based on
cost of providing public services using ICT; and biometric information.
support government in the business process re-
engineering process and allow for data sharing Recovery Needs and Strategy
among agencies. Reconstruction needs resulting directly from
the earthquake in the Communications sector
The government’s disaster risk reduction (DRR) is estimated at NPR 4938.8 million (US$49.4
strategy includes the use of monitoring and early million) over a 24-month period.
warning systems some of which rely on telecom-
munication networks. Further, geo-mapping The key priorities are to ensure that:
activities (e.g., OpenStreetMap) rely on avail- • the most-affected districts receive both tele-
ability of internet access. communications and internet services as
quickly as possible;
Lack of reliable power and insufficient supply • displaced communities are provided access to
of fuel for diesel engine generators caused sig- internet services;
nificant network downtime. A large number • towers are constructed at critical sites both
of subscribers were inaccessible as they were within Kathmandu Valley, in the 14 districts
unable to charge their mobile phones or use and in other places to ensure that service
their computers due to a lack of power. On the interruptions are minimized in the event of
other hand, fibre optic cables for network back- another disaster;
haul that were ducted and buried underground • NRB finalizes its mobile financial services
were not adversely affected, as opposed to aerial regulations on a fast track basis;
cables. There is thus a need to coordinate with • an emergency public service broadcasting
the Department of Roads and urban authorities studio infrastructure is built and Radio Ne-
in order to facilitate the development of under- pal and Nepal Television are merged into a
ground ducts to enable underground fibre net- single public service broadcasting agency;
works. As telecom and internet providers start • the construction of the disaster recovery inte-
using optical-fibre ground wire (OPGW) on grated data centre commences immediately; and
power transmission networks, the linkage be- • fuel and power supply to the telecommuni-
tween the ICT and the power sector will only cations sector is prioritized.
become stronger.
The objective is to pursue the development of
The earthquake response has demonstrated a future-ready communications infrastructure
the challenges faced in correctly identifying and service industry that meets the country’s
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Digital convergence of telecommunications, IT, consumer electronics and media.
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2. Provide high speed broadband connec- 2. Use RTDF to support development of wireless broadband
tivity in the worst-affected districts. networks in worst affected districts
3. Lease government land, where available, 3. Use government resource and RTDF to finance the early
within Kathmandu Valley to operators to build out of community information centers in every VDC in
build towers rural Nepal.
2. National Identification System to be 2. Complete ADB pilot for national identification program as a
deployed priority and scale up initiative across the country.
Creation of a 1. Implement the National Broadband 1. Approve and adopt the National Broadband Action Plan cur-
favourable envi- policy rently under preparation.
ronment for good
sectoral gover- 2. Review and revise licensing regime; and 2. Merge ICT function under one Ministry –with IT function
nance telecom sector taxation regime moved to MoIC from Ministry of Environment, Science and
Technology.
3. Develop a spectrum roadmap
3. Approve and implement the integrated National ICT policy
4. Convergence approach to ICT sector currently under preparation
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The damage, loss and recovery assessments are with PDNA guidelines through discussions with
highly dependent on data provided by operators, the government and the PDNA Communica-
service providers and government agencies to tions sector team, led by the MoIC and World
the MoIC. This data was reviewed in accordance Bank, and supported by Asia Foundation.
Building resilience to • Create system of redundant repositories of 1. Establish government disaster recovery data centers.
loss of critical data data for critical government information
across sectors 2. Pilot and adopt the concept of “cloud computing”
systems
Urban planning and • Integrate ICT into urban planning in Kath- 1. Integrate deployment of fiber optic networks into the
transport mandu and road construction reconstruction of Kathmandu’s urban infrastructure
2. Include ducts for telecom infrastructure in roads, as well
as in buildings (both new and rebuilt)
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Government polices defines community infra- In line with this vision, the reconstruction ef-
structure as covering seven sectors: rural trans- fort should be anchored in a highly participative
port; water supply and sanitation; irrigation; approach characterized by explicit mechanisms
electricity; community buildings; social infra- to involve the poor and marginalized sections of
structure; and solid waste infrastructure. Howev- the population, and women. There should be a
er, in order to avoid duplication, the damages and streamlined approval, implementation, moni-
losses relating to rural roads, irrigation, electricity toring and reporting process for rapid funds dis-
and drinking water are covered in separate sector bursements in the interests of accountability and
reports. The damage and losses to the remaining transparency. There should also be improved
components – trails bridges, footpaths, com- institutional mechanisms for operations and
munity buildings and micro communal works, maintenance, including sustainable cost recov-
amount to NPR 3.3 billion (US$ 33.5million). ery. Priority is to be accorded to areas that are at
risk from landslides and floods, and economic
Community infrastructure was substantially opportunities should be created for popula-
damaged in the affected districts. Roads, bridges tions to relocate to safer places. Efforts should
and trails were damaged or swept away by the be made to promote suitable technologies, light-
earthquake and landslides; irrigation, micro- weight construction material, local materials
hydro and drinking water schemes were impact- and earthquake-resistant designs, and to incor-
ed, becoming completely non-operational due to porate the role of the private sector. Reconstruc-
changes in the hydrological regime in some cases; tion and recovery costs based on these enhanced
electricity networks that connected houses as well criteria have been estimated at NPR 4,450 mil-
as solar installations were damaged; community lion (US$44.5 million). This is in addition to
buildings used for meetings, social events and the costs estimated for community-level projects
child care collapsed; and many of the micro in- in the sectoral reports on transport, irrigation,
frastructure facilities such as ponds, dug-wells or drinking water and electricity.
threshing/drying areas were broken.
The Government of Nepal (GoN) has a
The long-term recovery goal for community in- longstanding experience of developing
frastructure is to rebuild to better and more resil- community infrastructure. At present there are
ient standards and expand in a way as to improve a number of ongoing major projects and pro-
the access of poor and marginalized groups to its grammes that aim to address the challenges of
various facilities. Several lessons can be learnt building back better, with NGOs and develop-
from the damage caused by the earthquake; ment partners working with the government in
moreover, issues of design and maintenance of a spirit of collaboration aimed at resilient recon-
rural community structures have widened the struction and rehabilitation.
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The existing system of governance and imple- and 70,000 solar installations; and over 2,000
mentation needs to be strengthened. Planning community buildings . In addition, most settle-
and prioritizing for rehabilitation needs to be ments and villages have a range of micro facili-
accomplished in a participative manner, for- ties which serve small groups of 15-20 house-
malizing community platforms alongside as- holds. These structures usually consist of small
sessment by local bodies (Village Development ponds or tanks to capture rainwater; small solar
Committee/District Development Committees/ pumps for drawing water for humans, livestock
Municipalities (VDC/DDC/MNC). Local bod- or kitchen gardens; sheds for storage and to pro-
ies should lead community infrastructure recon- vide shelter for livestock; and areas for drying
struction, supported by the Ministry of Federal and threshing crops such as rice. These small mi-
Affairs and Local Development (MoFALD). cro-infrastructure facilities are valued at almost
Technical support should be provided by the NPRs 4,000 million (US$40 million).
Department of Local Infrastructure Develop-
ment and Agricultural Roads (DoLIDAR) and Infrastructure services such as irrigation, elec-
the District Technical Offices (DTOs), which tricity and drinking water substantially improve
need to be strengthened. productivity and quality of life in the commu-
nity. The transport network, though limited,
Pre-Disaster Context provides a critical linkage to markets and social
and Baseline services such as schools, health centres and hos-
Most communities in the earthquake-affected pitals. Local bodies are responsible for imple-
districts live in scattered settlements usually con- mentation, oversight and maintenance support.
sisting of households belonging to the same caste
or ethnic group, clan or even one large extended Over several years efforts have been launched to
family. This sector report covers the 14 affected empower community-level organizations to op-
districts that have been severely affected, which erate local services/infrastructure, creating an in-
together account for 741 VDCs and municipali- terface with beneficiaries. Likewise, local NGOs
ties. Most of the villages are located in hilly or have partnered with ongoing programmes such
mountainous areas; a few are situated in valleys as the Rural Community Infrastructure Works
and in the inner Tarai area. In most of the affected (RCIW) programme and the Poverty Allevia-
areas existing infrastructure in most of these ar- tion Fund (PAF) programme to mobilize peo-
eas is limited to largely labour-based traditional ple to form Users Group (UG) or Community
design and technology, dependent on the use of Organizations (COs). Often cash-for-work or
local materials. Both the quantity and quality of food-for-work modalities are employed to build
local infrastructure varies with the topography community infrastructure, particularly when
and is vulnerable to disasters and extreme weather the works are technically simple.
events, particularly due to weak maintenance.
Generally, COs tend to be small and only cov-
Much of the smaller community infrastructure, er one or few settlements. As a result projects
including footpaths, trails, drinking water sup- and programmes prepared and implemented
plies and small hydro or solar electricity produc- through them tend to be small and focus on
ing schemes, are built with the involvement of very local needs. Regular operations and main-
local communities. Public infrastructure, such as tenance could be challenging, particularly if
an irrigation scheme, a bridge or a road linking to substantial cash outlays are needed for repairs.
a highway or district road, may be built by one
or several villages but this tends to be rare for it Infrastructure is subject to the risks of inclem-
requires substantial community mobilization. ent weather, climatic and geological changes and
little effort has been made to ensure that they are
In all the affected districts have about 13,000 km resilient. The fragility of community-level infra-
of village roads, 1,000 trail bridges and 11,000 structure is exacerbated by the consequences of
km of foot trails; small scale irrigation facilities a harsh environment; low level technology; and
covering 130,000 ha of land; 800 drinking wa- limited funds for good quality construction and
ter schemes; 260 small hydroelectricity schemes maintenance. Hence, most community infra-
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structure is vulnerable to rapid deterioration in cessitated new paths. The damages are estimated
the face of heavy monsoon rains or landslides, to be NPR 469 million (US$ 4.7 million) for
among others. this component of community infrastructure.
Village, district and municipal roads were also
Post-Disaster Context affected which, along with losses, are detailed in
the sectoral report on transport.
Disaster Effects and Impacts
The damage to community infrastructure was Community Irrigation
greatest around the epicentre of the earthquake In the mountainous and hilly areas, marked by
area and in the 14 severely-affected districts. steep slopes and fast flowing streams, intake
Damage to community infrastructure has a structures of irrigation canals as well as canals
negative social impact on villagers, particu- themselves, which often run along the contours
larly women who are responsible for household for 0.5 km to 2 km, were affected. In the less
chores and looking after livestock as well. Fur- hilly areas and valleys, the damage was less, with
ther, with the monsoon, heavy rains, landslides the problems mainly relating to water stor-
and high water levels in streams and rivers, there age, diversion structures and channels. Of the
is likely to be further damage to community in- 130,000 ha of community irrigated lands in the
frastructure. 14 most-affected districts, 44,000 ha are farmer-
managed irrigation schemes under the purview
The damage to local infrastructure has had a of the Irrigation Department, and 87,000 ha are
negative economic, social and quality-of-life im- community irrigated areas that farmers do not
pact – reducing productivity and access to key pay charges for. The damage will have an impact
services such as electricity and drinking water. In on the summer crops, and local water shortage
addition, the damage to community infrastruc- may lead to a substitution of rice with maize.
ture has increased the isolation of many com- The impact of the damage will be higher in the
munities living in mountain areas, to a great case of winter crops which require irrigation
extent cutting them off from trade, commerce, owing to low rainfall. The damages for small-
education and medical facilities that can have se- scale community irrigation schemes, as well as
vere cultural and social impacts. In many cases, the quantification of losses, are provided in the
the loss of community facilities has reduced the PDNA sector report on irrigation.
interaction of people for cooperative economic
and social activities which, if not addressed Micro Electricity
quickly, could significantly erode social capital. At the community level, a number of hydropow-
er and solar powered electricity generation facili-
Rural Transport ties have been damaged or destroyed. Similarly,
Rapid and safe transportation remains a major some of the local distribution systems that draw
challenge in Nepal with many rural communi- from the national grids and provide electricity to
ties located hours away from the nearest arterial households and settlements have also been dam-
road or district headquarters where essential so- aged. The estimates of damages in small-scale
cial and economics services are available. Com- electricity generation and distribution, as well as
munity roads continue to be the weakest link in the quantification of losses, are provided in the
the transport network, particularly trail bridges PDNA’s sectoral report on electricity.
and walking tracks that link households and
settlements, and village roads – typically 10-15 Community Drinking Water
km long - that link the village to the district road Many of the settlements and villages in the
network. District-level reports have detailed mountains and higher hills rely on streams
the damage to various trail bridges comprising and springs for their domestic water supply.
mainly of cracks, breakages and movements in However, those at lower altitudes pump water
the foundations and associated structures. Vil- from streams or wells into local storage tanks.
lage walking trails were mainly damaged due to Although a high proportion (60 percent to 80
landslides caused by the earthquake. Some walk- percent), theoretically, has access to drinking
ing trails only needed clearing while others ne- water, many schemes were in poor condition
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Table 13.1: Damages to Trail Bridges, Community Buildings and Micro Facilities
Description Unit Damage Cost
Trail bridge 85 Nos. NPR 118.8 m US$ 1.2 m
Foot trail 500 km NPR 350 m US$ 3.5 m
Community buildings 1667 Nos. NPR 2501.9 m US$ 25 m
Others (Micro community structure) Lumpsum NPR 378.6 m US$ 3.8 m
Total NPR. 3349.3 m US$ 33.5 m
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14. Transport
Summary However, LRN is crucial for access to remote ar-
The PDNA for the transport sector covers the eas and hence the urgency to make it functional
strategic road network, the local road network again at the soonest.
(which includes the district road core network
as well as the village road core network), and air Recovery needs cover the short term (up to six
transport subsectors. The Department of Roads months), medium term (up to 24 months),
(DoR), Department of Local Infrastructure De- and the long term (up to 60 months). Short-
velopment and Agriculture Roads (DoLIDAR) term activities include the immediate opening
and Civil Aviation Authority of Nepal (CAAN) up of blocked roads, repair of minor damages
are the government agencies responsible for to prevent the monsoon from inflicting fur-
these subsectors. ther damage, and repair of non-structural and
minor structural cracks in the office and work-
This assessment was carried out according to the shop buildings of DoR, DoLIDAR and CAAN.
guidelines discussed during a two-day workshop Medium-term activities include rehabilitation
organized by the PDNA secretariat. It is based or reconstruction of relatively small infrastruc-
on the initial assessment provided by CAAN, ture on the principle of build back better (BBB),
DoLIDAR and DOR, which have been re- based on risk assessment to the extent possible.
viewed by the PDNA team. Relatively large projects for rehabilitation, re-
construction or improvement aimed at build-
The total damages and losses in economic flows ing back better, which would be built over 24
are estimated at NPR 17188 million (US$171.88 months, are categorized as long-term work.
million) and NPR 4930 million (US$49.30 mil-
lion), respectively. The total recovery need is esti- Ultimately, the underlying aim is to use the op-
mated at NPR 28200 million (US$282 million). portunity to build disaster-resilient infrastructure.
About 68 percent of the estimated total needs
are in the local roads network (LRN), which is a Pre-Disaster Context and
lifeline infrastructure for rural communities. The Baseline
share of strategic roads network (SRN) is about Roads are the predominant mode of transport
32 percent of the total needs. in the country, and the development and ad-
equate maintenance of road networks is criti-
Airports experienced minor damages to some cal for achieving regionally-balanced economic
structures but these did not affect air transport growth as well as promoting inclusive growth
operations in any way. Damage to the civil avia- by enabling people to access public services and
tion sector was NPR 110 million (US$1.1 mil- opportunities for advancement. Moreover, roads
lion) and the losses amounted to NPR 130 mil- are vital for rapidly responding with support
lion (US$ 1.3 million). services in the event of a disaster. At another
level, domestic air transport has also been on the
Recovery needs in the transport sector are es- rise, with the Tribhuvan International Airport
timated at NPR 28,185 million (US$282 mil- (TIA) in Kathmandu, Nepal’s sole international
lion) for 60 months from 25 April 2015. This airport, as the hub.
estimate is based on the damages and costs data
provided by DoR, DoLIDAR and CAAN. A Nepal has the lowest road density in the region.
majority of the recovery needs pertain to LRN Even today, 22 percent of the population lacks
because considerations of resilience have not road accessibility. Nepal has about 14,902 km
been integral to the design of this network long SRN, which constitutes the core network
which experiences relatively low traffic volumes. of national highways and feeder roads connect-
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ing district headquarters. About 51 percent of the provisions of the financial agreements. The
SRN is paved, 13 percent is gravelled and 36 procurement process under the Public Procure-
percent is earthen. Ten percent of SRN is in a ment Act (PPA), 2063, tends to be slow and
good condition, 74 percent is in fair condition, cumbersome.
while 16 percent requires urgent repair.
DoLIDAR has a strength of 79 staff including 44
Nepal also has about 50,944 km of LRN. About engineers and, in addition, 578 engineering staff
3 percent of the network is black-topped, 29 assigned to DTOs. Its technical services to LRN
percent is gravelled, and about 68 percent is are provided through DTOs located in all 75 dis-
earthen.60 LRN comprises two types of road net- tricts, to assist the DDCs to implement the con-
works: the district road core network (DRCN) struction and maintenance of local infrastructure.
and the village road core network (VRCN). The key characteristic of LRN is that it is partici-
patory and low cost in nature, with a high level of
In the 31 affected districts, SRN extends across community participation in decision making but
5,140 km while LRN, which is crucial for rural a low level of engineering inputs in their devel-
communities, covers about 29,443 km. Vehicles opment. This often results in significant portions
in Nepal numbered 1.63 million at the end of of the network being un-engineered, low quality,
first quarter of 2014, which is a two-fold increase earthen roads. For example, the absence of essen-
over the last five years. Seventy-seven percent of tial retaining and drainage structures and poorly
the total registered vehicles are motorcycles. maintained cut-and-fill slopes are very common
in LRN, exposing them to damage even during
Two central government departments are in- normal rainfall and traffic conditions. Motor-
volved in road network development and opera- able bridges in LRN are few even though they
tions. DoR (Ministry of Physical Infrastructure are needed. Consequently, a significant portion
and Transport [MPIT]) is in charge of developing of VRCN and some part of DRCN roads require
and maintaining SRN, and DoLIDAR (Ministry heavy investment to make them accessible or us-
of Federal Affairs and Local Development [Mo- able for safe public transport. All these factors
FALD]) directly develops and maintains SRN. contributed to the limited accessibility of LRN
However, DoLIDAR manages LRN in a decen- even before the earthquake. The disaster exacer-
tralized manner, providing technical support bated the situation to a greater extent.
through the District Technical Offices (DTOs)
within the District Development Committees Procurement for local infrastructure projects is
(DDCs), a local government body. With regard carried out under the provisions of local body
to air transport, CAAN plays the role of regulator financial rules guided by the prevailing Local
and operator of all airports in Nepal. Its revenue Self Governance Act 2055, and PPA. The proj-
comes mainly from TIA (90 percent). ects are either undertaken by Users Committees
(UCs) or by local contractors through competi-
DoR is a technical organization comprising 428 tive bidding process, depending on the nature
engineers under MPIT. It has 34 divisional offic- and volume of the work.
es, five regional offices, seven heavy equipment
divisions, and 10 mechanical divisions for the Post-Disaster Context
construction and maintenance of strategic roads
all over the country. Major projects financed by Damages and Losses
development partners are implemented under A very small percentage of SRN was completely
separate project management offices. Consul- damaged/washed out or sank due to the earth-
tants are engaged for the design and supervision quake. In hill/mountain roads, landslides caused
of such projects. Procurement of work, goods a partial blockage of road traffic for a few days in
and services are done under the prevailing Pub- limited sections of SRN. A major disruption of
lic Procurement Act except for projects financed traffic has been experienced in the entire 26 km
by development partners, which are guided by Arniko Rajmarg section adjacent to the Chinese
DoLIDAR. 2012. Summary of Rural Roads Record, 2069, Department of Local Infrastructure Development Agricultural Roads, Lalitpur
60
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border, causing interruption of trade flows be- ucts and health services, among others, due to
tween the two countries. the blockage of roads.
The estimated damage costs (damages plus loss- In the airports, TIA and 13 domestic airports
es) are based on the initial assessment of DOR. experienced only minor damage to both the air-
Damages refer to the cost of specific repair and side and landside facilities, which did not affect
reconstruction cost. The losses mainly include air transport operations. Although airport oper-
the cost of equipment operation to get the road ations were not suspended after the earthquake,
opened after the quake (NPR 15 million or US$ TIA incurred revenue losses during rescue and
0.15 million); an additional cost (30 percent of relief operations due to waivers of landing and
the damage cost) for monsoon risks and infla- cargo charges, airport terminal fees, reduced
tion, and losses of vehicle operating cost (NPR passenger traffic on regular flights, and addition-
12.6 million or US$ 0.12 million). There has al operational expenses for 24-hour operations
been no loss in tolls since there are no toll roads immediately following the earthquake. The esti-
in the affected areas. The total estimated dam- mated damages and losses on airports are NPR
ages and losses on SRN are NPR 4,589 mil- 114 million (US$1.1 million) and NRs130 mil-
lion (US$45.9 million) and NPR 526 million lion (US$1.3 million) respectively.
(US$5.26 million), respectively.
The overall damages and losses of the trans-
Similarly, the estimated damages and losses on port sector amount to NPR 17,188 million
LRN are NPR 12,485 million (US$ 124.85 (US$171.9 million) and NPR 4,930 mil-
million) and NPR 4,274 million (US$42.74 lion (US$49.30 million), respectively, as
million), respectively. The recovery cost of LRN summarized in Table 14.1.
is the damage cost plus an additional 50 percent
of the damage cost (for monsoon risks and infla- Effects on Decision Making
tion). On LRN extensive road blockages were In Kathmandu, which is home to 25 million
reported in DRCN for a number of days, while people, no significant reduction in transporta-
VRCN, most of which was non-motorable even tion services has been observed. No major de-
before the earthquake, suffered further block- struction of public transportation vehicles has
ages, becoming inaccessible. The obstructions been reported either. Thus, no adverse effect of
were mainly due to landslides. Some road sec- transport sector damage has been observed on
tions were completely destabilized and dam- governance or decision-making processes.
aged. DTOs have received reports of persisting
instability in fragile areas with visible cracks and Risks and Vulnerabilities
fissures noted above the road sections. How- Due to the mountainous terrain and climate of
ever, the impacts and the severity vary widely Nepal, road networks are prone to damages and
across districts. For example, the damages to blockages due to landslides, and road formation
LRN in Dolakha and Sindhupalchowk districts washouts during monsoon seasons. The earth-
have been observed throughout the districts, quake increased the risk of landslides by further
while serious damage is mostly concentrated in loosening mountain slopes and damaging moun-
the northern sections of Gorkha and Dhading tain slope protections wherever they are provided.
districts. In the case of LRN, losses in trans- Damage to drainage structures further increase
portation cost due to road closure have been the risk of floods. The already-poor pavement of
estimated on the assumption that demand does TIA may have been weakened by the earthquake,
not change and transportation refers mainly which will further deteriorate during the com-
to non-motorized transport. This gives a loss ing monsoon season. It is necessary to carefully
to the economy of about NPR 3,986 million evaluate the pavement strength and initiate the
(US$39.86 million) over the recovery period. required rehabilitation work at the earliest.
This amount is an indicative loss which is not
included in the transport sector loss because this Disaster Effects and Impacts
may overlap with other sectoral assessment dur- For the 5.37 million population of largely rural
ing the calculation of loss of agricultural prod- communities living in the most-affected dis-
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Table 14.1: Summary of Damages and Losses in Transport Sector (NPR million)
Subsectors Component Estimated damage Estimated loss
Strategic road network (SRN) Highways and feeder roads 1,660 526
Bridges 2,676 0
Government buildings 253 0
Subtotal 4,589 526
Local Road Network (LRN) District road core network (DRCN) 8,858 2,674
Village road core network (LRCN) 3,627 1,600
Subtotal 12,485 4,274
Civil aviation Airports 95 130
CAAN HQ, Academy, Safety, Fire Building 19 0
Subtotal 114 130
Total for transport sector 17,188 4,930
Note: Strategic urban roads are included in SRN and the remaining municipal roads are in LRN.
tricts, the existing lack of access to social and ment of the social sector such as health and edu-
economic services has been compounded fur- cation, by providing rural communities easier
ther by the earthquake. The losses in economic access to social amenities (hospitals and schools).
flow due to being cut off are to be accounted Losses due to blockages in LRN arises more in
for in the respective sectors, such as agriculture, agriculture, education and health sectors than in
health and education, among others. the transport sector. On the other hand, SRN
represents crucial economic infrastructure and
The damages to LRN and the consequent in- its early recovery will spell early recovery for eco-
terruption of traffic from earthquake-affected nomic activities in the country. Closure of SRN
areas have severely impacted the more vulner- and airports is expected to cause losses to the
able members among the communities. The tourism sector development, but there was no
proportion of women and children were higher serious damage to SRN and airports this time.
among those who lost their lives or were se-
verely injured. The damage to LRN at various Recovery Needs and Strategy
places meant that many women, children and The long-term aim of recovery is to restore pre-
those from disadvantaged groups, including disaster services provided by the various net-
Dalits, were not able to access necessary treat- works in disaster-affected areas. In doing so,
ment or relief support. When support services fully-damaged and partially-damaged structures
are limited due to road blockages, they are often are rehabilitated/reconstructed on the principle
cornered by the more influential and stronger of building back better. There are four stages
members of the community. While this situa- of recovery needs, namely preparing to mini-
tion has improved with the temporary opening mize damage to infrastructure by the monsoon,
of blocked LRN sections, it is important that including identifying emergency transport or
LRN rehabilitation as well as the reconstruction evacuation routes; repairing minor damages
process is designed with sensitivity keeping the of affected structures to hark back to original
needs of vulnerable groups in mind. Priority standards, including retrofitting of undamaged
should be accorded to women and vulnerable structures, where necessary, depending upon the
communities for employment in the repair and importance of the structure; rehabilitating the
rehabilitation work concerning LRN. fully-damaged elements of the main structures
with improved standards to make them resilient
LRN contributes to the economic activities of to the monsoon and future disasters; and recon-
rural communities and helps promote agricul- structing the fully damaged sections of the linear
tural production and technology transfers from infrastructure such as roads and airports to
urban areas. It also contributes to the develop- design standards that can withstand the impacts
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of rainfall, flood and future earthquakes of a se- the PPA, 2063, and under the provisions in the
rious magnitude. bilateral or multilateral agreement as per Article
67 (1)(kha) for foreign financed projects, may
The recovery strategies involve short term, me- be used as references.
dium-term, and long-term work. Short-term
work would be completed within six months, Urban roads in Kathmandu are to be a part of
which includes immediate measures for opening urban recovery planning of Kathmandu metro-
the traffic in landslide-blocked and washed out politan area. Long-term comprehensive urban
sections of the road; repair of damages such as recovery planning on Kathmandu metropolitan
clearing landslide debris, clearing drains, filling area, based on the future population forecast,
potholes, sealing the cracks, protecting the out- future urban structure, land use plan, transpor-
falls, and repairing partial damages; and work tation plan, BBB based on risk assessment, in-
relating to monsoon preparedness. Medium- cluding several kinds of recovery projects, such
term work should be completed in 24 months, as evacuation routes, evacuation place like parks,
which includes rehabilitation or reconstruction land readjustment project, among others, are to
of relatively small infrastructure. BBB principles be addressed in the Housing and Settlements
would be applied for these rehabilitation and re- Sector of the PDNA.
construction activities. Relatively large work for
rehabilitation, reconstructions or improvement Design for LRN will be consistent with equip-
with BBB features, which need over 24 months, ment supported labour-based environmental
is categorized as long-term work. friendly approach of the Government of Nepal.
The designs of roads in the mountainous regions
The design philosophy, procurement modalities should generally follow Mountain Risk Engi-
and implementation strategies would be differ- neering (MRE) approaches developed by the
ent for short-, medium- and long-term work International Centre for Integrated Mountain
and would also depend on the type of trans- DeveIopment (ICIMOD) with special attention
port infrastructure. Short-term work should be to earthquake risks. LRN could be constructed
completed with existing government resources, using community-based approaches but the
including the utilization of existing contractors shortage of labour due to the chaotic situation
of government projects. Variation orders or di- in rural communities requires the utilization of
rect contracting should be considered for these more equipment, which will be more costly than
projects. Labour-based approaches using local under normal circumstances.
workers would be considered for repair work
and earthworks in rehabilitation. Approaches for VCRN shall be different be-
cause these roads are mostly non-engineered,
Medium-term activities require the recruitment non-climate resilient roads requiring significant
of fresh consultants for designs and contractors improvements to meet the traffic demand. These
for civil work, but fast track procurement should roads are typically for low volume of traffic, but
be considered in the interests of speedy conclu- those which serve as lifeline transport infrastruc-
sion. Long-term work needs more cautious de- ture to communities, may be built back better to
signing and procurement of large contracts and have climate resilience designs. This may include
would follow the standard procedure. Design construction of water management facilities such
philosophy for medium-term and long-term as side drains, pipe culverts or gravelling and
work would be based on assessments of risks. black topping of the weak subgrade sections and
However, due to the nature of disaster recovery wet areas, additional retaining structures, slope
work, executing agencies should establish the stabilization measures, and landslide stabilization.
most efficient implementation arrangement.
Special provisions shall be considered by the In sum, the guiding principles are:
government for the purpose. GoN Cabinet de- • fast track repairs of minor damages and
cisions for procurement under special circum- opening blocked roads in the short term
stances under the provisions of Article 41 (1) (within 6 months);
(gha 3) of amended PPA 2063 and Article 66 of • speedy and efficient construction or reha-
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bilitation of various components of the road ects (to be completed within 60 months).
using the BBB principle, employing relaxed This would also include the urban develop-
procurement regulations in the medium ment plan in the Kathmandu metropolitan
term (within 24 months); area on the principle of building back better.
• speedy and effective procurements for long- • Comprehensive surveys of all existing roads
term work to build back better; and im- and bridges to assess their vulnerability to
provement of the reliability of highways, future earthquakes of similar degree and to
feeder roads, district roads and village roads plan and prioritize the necessary retrofitting
that may not have been affected by earth- work to be accomplished.
quakes but would constitute a basic access to • Risk mitigation planning with regard to po-
the more damaged and populated areas. tential landslides on lifeline roads through
risk assessment, hazard mapping and evacu-
Table 14.2 shows that of the total recovery of ation planning, to be reflected in long-term
NPR 28,185 million (US$282 million), 68 per- recovery work. Procurement and mobiliza-
cent is found in LRN subsector. The SRN and tion of contractors for large rehabilitation/
Air Transport comprise 32 percent and 1 per- reconstruction projects concerning LRN and
cent of the total recovery costs, respectively. SRN.
• Full-fledged rehabilitation of TIA runway
Short-term Actions (up to 6 months) pavement.
This work should be conducted through varia- • A total of NPR 11,521 million (US$115.21
tion orders to existing contractors of govern- million) will be needed for this phase. The
ment projects or through the mobilization of lo- cost of rehabilitating the runway of TIA is
cal communities to avoid the lead time required not included in this cost.
for procurement. The following constitute the
required immediate actions: Long-term Recovery (up to 60 months)
• Removal of landslide debris and opening the Long-term work includes planning, design
roads to traffic. and reconstruction of the fully damaged/
• Minimum restoration of roads and bridges rerouting sections of SRN and LRN on the
including repair of highly vulnerable sec- principle of building back better. The estimated
tions, construction of temporary bailey cost of this phase is NPR 14,729 million
bridges securing the lifeline access to com- (US$147.29 million).
munities, and temporary repair work to
avoid secondary disasters. Implementation Arrangements
• Stabilization of road embankment and vul- Given the high level of investment and the
nerable bridges to withstand the monsoon. enormous amount of work to be delivered in a
• Comprehensive condition surveys and risk limited period, especially in the first 24 months,
assessments of all damaged roads to plan and it becomes necessary to be vigilant about the
prioritize rehabilitation, reconstruction and increased risk of fraudulent practices, corruption
recovery work. and serious compromises in the quality of work,
• Repairs of minor damages in all affected as has been observed in other countries in similar
airports. circumstances. Since government resources are
• Minimum repairs of the TIA runway pavement. also finite, careful planning of implementation
• A total of NPR 1,935 million (US$19.35 arrangements is required to enable efficient
million) will be needed for this phase. implementation. Creating additional layers of
decision making for close monitoring purposes
Medium-term Recovery usually does more harm than good, delaying the
(up to 24 months) achievement of intended outputs through the
• Rehabilitation of SRN and LRN in accor- recovery operations. Direct monitoring by the
dance with BBB concept. office of decision makers at the top is a good
• Planning and engineering design of large re- practice for quick and appropriate decision
habilitation projects (construction period up making and implementation.
to 24 months) as well as reconstruction proj-
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The implementing capacity of DOR (for SRN) requirements for SRN and LRN will be NPR
is sound, based on extensive experience in 183 million, NPR 7,744 million, NPR 8,010
implementing projects financed by development million, NPR 6,641 million, and NPR 5,493
partners. However, the capacities of DDCs, million, respectively.
which would be responsible for implementing
local and rural road projects, vary across Assessment Methodology
districts. DoLIDAR’s staff base is already The damages and effects assessment method
overstretched with a large number of scattered has been conducted in accordance with the
projects in a number of districts. The additional guidelines provided by PDNA Secretariat under
volume of design and supervision needed for the overall leadership of the Nepal Planning
recovery work is a heavy burden on it. Hence, Commission. It is primarily dependent on the
it is recommended that additional resources, government’s initial assessment data, which has
including consultants, be allocated to DoLIDAR been refined and re-categorized in accordance
for project management. Also, women, Dalits with PDNA Guidelines through selected field
and other disadvantaged sections most affected verifications and intensive discussions with the
by the earthquake, should participate in suitable government and PDNA transport sector team.
activities related to the reconstruction of rural However, we need to note here that the estimate
roads. In such cases, coordination will be needed of assessed needs, especially in the medium
with concerned agencies in accessing crèche and long term, is still rough due to the nature
facilities for children to enable women with of rapid assessment, which would be further
children to participate in recovery activities. refined through detailed surveys at the early
stage of recovery work. The assessment team
In the area of civil aviation, since the recovery included the cost for detailed survey needs in
needs are minor, CAAN can issue variation the short- and medium-terms efforts.
orders to existing contractors. Additional
burden for these activities is not expected. The PDNA transport sector team, led by
ADB, comprised representatives from DOR,
Annual budget needs for the five years (FY2014- DoLIDAR and CAAN, team members from
015 to FY 2018-2019) has been assessed in DfID, World Bank, JICA, ILO, and UNOPS,
Tables 14.3A, 14.3B, and 14.3C. The budget as well as from Switzerland and India.
Table 14.2: Summary of Short, Medium and Long Term Needs (NPR million)
Subsector Short term Medium term Long term Total needs
amount
Strategic road network (SRN) Highways and feeder roads 691 1,859 3,442 5,992
Local road network (LRN) District road core network 252 5,951 7,336 13,539
(DRCN)
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Table 14.3B: Budget Plan for LRN and DRCN (NPR million)
S.N. Term Recovery needs FY FY FY FY FY FY
2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
1 Short - Removal of debris, 25 227 - - - -
term
- Minor repairs to drains, culverts, walls,
bridges
- Minor back cutting & filling
- Temporary bridges/crossing
- Reopening of traffic
- Condition survey and risk
assessments
- Procurement method: force account,
variation, quotation
2 Medium - Designs based on BBB and type of road - 2,400 2,951 600 -
Term
- Procurement planning and award of
projects
- Construction
- Procurement Method:
Direct contract, request for quotation,
variation, LT/LIB
3 Long - Designs based on BBB and type of road 730 730 2,938 2,938
term
- Procurement planning and award of
projects
- Construction
- Procurement method: Contract, NCB, ICB,
LT/LIB
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Table 14.3C: Budget Plan for LRN and VRCN (NPR million)
S.N. Term Recovery FY FY FY FY FY FY
needs 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
1 Short - Removal of debris, 8 67 - - - -
term
- Minor repairs to drains, culverts, walls, bridges
- Minor back cutting & filling
- Temporary bridges/crossing
- Reopening of traffic
- Condition survey and risk assessments
-Procurement method: force account, variation,
quotation
2 Medium -Designs based on BBB and type of road - 600 750 139 -
term
-Procurement planning and award of projects
-Construction
-Procurement method:
Direct contract, request for quotation, varia-
tion, LT/LIB
3 Long - Designs based on BBB and type of road - 400 851 1,350 1,350
term
- Procurement planning and award of projects
- Construction
- Procurement method: Contract, NCB, ICB, LT/
LIB
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182
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183
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NMIP/DWSS estimate for water supply coverage is 85 percent and for sanitation is 70 percent
61
184
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ter systems, however, remains a priority concern With ongoing rural to urban migration coupled
for the sector. According to DWSS/NMIP data with newly demarcated municipalities, the urban
for 2012, only 25 percent of water schemes were population in Nepal today stands at 38 percent,
functioning well; 36 percent need minor repair, up from 17 percent in 2014. This requires a
9 percent need major repair, 20 percent need re- more in-depth planning in new urban areas so as
habilitation, 9 percent need reconstruction, and to provide appropriate levels of water supply and
1 percent of the schemes are non-functional. sanitation and also to assure compliance with the
The underlying causes of the low rates of func- Urban Water Supply and Sanitation Policy, 2009.
tionality can be attributed in part to inadequate
management of operation and maintenance. The safety of the drinking water is another issue
Just 31.5 percent of schemes have a Water Sup- that must be addressed. The 2014 MICS includ-
ply and Sanitation Technician (WSST), only ed water quality testing and found that 71 per-
38 percent of the schemes have registered Wa- cent of drinking water sources and 82 percent of
ter and Sanitation Users Committees (WSUC), household stored water were contaminated with
and less than 5 percent have an operation and E.coli(≥ 1 cfu/100ml). This requires interven-
maintenance (O&M) fund. Considering the tions at the technical and social levels.
overall functionality of schemes, effective cover-
age of water supply is only 40 percent without Equity of access to water and sanitation services
even accounting for water quality. Nepal needs is an important concern, as access varies signifi-
to significantly increase its performance to real- cantly according to location, wealth quintile, eth-
ize the national target of universal access to basic nicity, and level of education. For example, the
water supply by 2017. 2014 MICS finds that access to piped water in
the household or yard touches 55 percent in the
The recent Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey wealthiest population quintile compared with 16
(2014 MICS) and the DWSS database suggest percent in the poorest quintile; open defecation is
that there has been a significant acceleration in practiced by 39 percent households with no edu-
sanitation progress both in terms of access to im- cation versus 8 percent of households with the
proved sanitation and, very importantly, a sub- highest level of education, and open defecation is
stantial decrease in open defecation. So far 21 dis- much more widespread in rural areas (31 percent)
tricts have been declared ODF, and a further 21 than urban areas (6 percent). Access to improved
districts have reached more than 50 percent ODF drinking water in the Mid-Western Mountain
status. The main challenge lies in accelerating the and Mid-Western Hill regions lags behind other
sanitation movement nationwide, ensuring equi- regions by around 15 percent; with regard to im-
table targeting, and achieving total sanitation and proved sanitation, least progress has been made in
sustaining sanitation outcomes and behaviour. the Eastern Tarai and Central Tarai regions.
185
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186
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In places where serious damage to the water less available for the recovery process due to the
system has occurred, women have reported that demands of managing their personal and fam-
they are trudging anywhere between one and ily needs. In order to deliver on the build back
three hours to collect water from alternate sourc- better principle in the recovery strategy, capacity
es. Water collection is often for both household building of staff will be required especially in the
members and livestock, and it has a time, energy area of risk reduction and disaster preparedness.
and child care cost attached to it. In addition,
women in focus group discussions observed that Increased Risks and Vulnerabilities
disruption to water supply and loss of sanitation The disruption to water supply and sanitation
facilities has compromised personal hygiene, services is not only inconvenient; it presents sev-
including menstrual hygiene management. The eral increased risks and vulnerabilities. Foremost
impact to women’s dignity through loss of access among these is the public health risk and the
to sanitation is not yet measurable. Neither is it prospect of diarrheal disease outbreaks. The dif-
feasible to quantify the quality of life impacts on ficulties in maintaining good personal hygiene
children, the elderly, infirm and disabled popu- practices, the reduced access to sanitation and
lation through the disruption to water supply thereby increase in open defecation, and the de-
and sanitation services. terioration in water quality all combine to sub-
stantially increase the risk of faecal-oral disease.
Effects on Sector Governance Functions The water-related impacts on livelihoods leaves
and Systems people more vulnerable to disease through a re-
As mentioned above, there was significant dam- luctance to spend scarce financial resources on
age to DWSS and WSUC offices, furnishings medical treatment, and may subsequently lead
and equipment. In some cases the staff has had to reduced household productivity. Infants and
to move into temporary office space or operate young children under the age of five years are
from tents. System records, work plans, and particularly vulnerable to diseases associated
other essential documents have also been lost with poor hygiene practices, unsanitary condi-
in some districts. In order to support the assess- tions and unsafe drinking water as these further
ment and recovery process, DWSS has tempo- undermine their health and nutrition status.
rarily moved its staff from non-affected districts, Girls and women may face additional risks of vi-
resulting in reduced service capacity in those olence and sexual abuse due to the lack of access
districts. Given the scale of the disaster, indi- to gender separated and safe toilets in schools,
viduals involved in water supply and sanitation or by having to walk long distances to alter-
administration, operation and maintenance, nate water sources, or when seeking privacy to
and governance, such as members of WSUC are defecate in the open.
187
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Name of district Water damages (NPR) Sanitation damages (NPR) Losses (NPR)
188
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189
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Table 15.5: Short-term Activities in Sanitation and Hygiene (June 2015- December 2015)
Priority recovery Interventions Expected outputs Intended outcomes
needs
Reconstruction of • Incentivize households to rebuild • No. of (in thousands) toilets and • No. of (in thousands)
toilets and hand- toilets and hand-washing facilities hand-washing facilities re-built people have access to sani-
washing facilities through cash or materials support tation and hand-washing
facilities
Provision of • Build toilets and hand-washing facili- • No. of (in hundreds) toilets and
temporary toilets ties in temporary shelters for earth- hand-washing facilities built • Reduced risk of diarrhoeal
and hand-washing quake- and/or monsoon-affected disease outbreak
facilities population
• Dignity and safety of girls,
women, elderly and infirm
enhanced
Resume CLTS pro- • Follow-up activities to sustain ODF • No. of (in hundreds) VDCs • As above, and
gramme behaviour declared ODF
• Restored sense of normality
• Refresher triggering and business as usual
Disaster prepared- • Develop user-friendly operational • No. of districts prepared to • No. of (in thousands) people
ness manual to address preparedness and respond to emergency water can potentially receive
response. supply, sanitation and hygiene emergency water supply
needs and sanitation
• Identify frequent landslide locations
• Pre-position emergency supplies
• Establish and train rapid response
teams
Restore governance • Provide logistics support to DWSS, • No. of rented offices, vehicles, • No. of water and sanitation
capacity WSUC, among others furnishings, tools, equipment, institutions have capacity to
and budget deliver short-term recovery
• Capacity--building on objectives and outputs
approaches to short-term recovery • No. of water/sanitation staff
trained
Develop build back • Conduct a consultative review of op- • Guidelines developed for me- • Key sector actors ‘own’ build
better guidelines tions for build back better water and dium to long term recovery back better guidelines
sanitation services.
Establish coordina- • Undertake consultation with key sec- • Roles and responsibilities • Key sector actors adopt
tion and monitoring tor and community actors agreed results-based management
mechanisms approach
• Undertake consultation with other • Short-term recovery targets
sectors such as housing, and health established
• Monitoring mechanism
developed
Develop detailed • Undertake consultation with key sec- • Detailed medium to long-term • Key sector actors ‘own’ me-
medium to long- tor actors recovery plan dium to long term recovery
term recovery plan plan
• Task team develops medium to long-
term recovery plan
190
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Urban sludge • Implement faecal sludge management • No. of medium-large towns have • Public health risks and
management projects faecal sludge management services environmental degradation
mitigated
• Waste water treatment facilities of
KUKL rehabilitated and capacity
increased
Water supply • Rehabilitate damaged water supply • No. of water systems that incorpo- • No. of resilient water sys-
systems rate resilience qualities tems delivering improved
water quality
• Construct new water systems with water • No. of water systems with im-
conservation features proved water treatment capacity
Water supply • Develop water safety plans • No. of water safety plans • No. of service providers
management with effective management
• Train WSUC and other service providers • No. of service providers trained in capacity
O&M, DRR, administration
• Register service providers • No. of service providers
• No. of service providers registered brought into regulatory
and certified system
Advocacy/Capacity • Train WSUC and other service providers • No. of service providers trained in • No. of service providers put
building in DRM in DRM DRM in place DRM measures
Equity guidelines • Undertake consultation on enhancing • Equity guidelines developed • Enhanced equity in access
equity in development and delivery of to water and sanitation
services • Monitoring protocol revised to services
include equity indicators
• Task teams develop equity guidelines
• Revise sector monitoring protocol
revised to incorporate equity indicators
Sector Develop- • Prepare financing strategy • Finalized Sector Development Plan • Strengthened sector ef-
ment Plan ficiency and effectiveness
• Consult with key sector actors
• Improve Sector Governance – regulation,
compliance with service standards over
extraction and waste water management
191
192
Table 15.7: Recovery and Reconstruction Initiatives and Costs (Based on needs, DRM/BBB and recovery and reconstruction strategy)
District/ Sanitation Water Systems Build Back Better (NPR) Total Cost (NPR) Total Cost, Budget allocation, US$
Buildings (NPR) (NPR) US$
WSP/ Upgrad- Infrastructure Institutional 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
ing water capacity devel- (25%) (40%) (35%)
quality opment
A. Severely affected districts (14 districts)
Okhaldhunga 54,500,000.0 29,430,000.0 2,943,000.0 4,414,500.0 1,258,950.0 92,546,450.0 925,464.5 231,366.1 370,185.8 323,912.6
Ramechhap 136,250,000.0 931,489,475.0 93,148,947.5 139,723,421.3 16,016,092.1 1,316,627,935.9 13,166,279.4 3,291,569.8 5,266,511.7 4,608,197.8
Sindhuli 32,700,000.0 17,467,250.0 1,746,725.0 2,620,087.5 752,508.8 55,286,571.3 552,865.7 138,216.4 221,146.3 193,503.0
Kavre 141,700,000.0 344,870,039.0 34,487,003.9 51,730,505.9 7,298,550.6 580,086,099.3 5,800,861.0 1,450,215.2 2,320,344.4 2,030,301.3
Dolakha 114,450,000.0 1,095,678,900.0 109,567,890.0 164,351,835.0 18,151,933.5 1,502,200,558.5 15,022,005.6 3,755,501.4 6,008,802.2 5,257,702.0
Sindhupalchowk 125,350,000.0 838,114,080.0 83,811,408.0 125,717,112.0 14,451,961.2 1,187,444,561.2 11,874,445.6 2,968,611.4 4,749,778.2 4,156,056.0
Kathmandu 68,277,600.0 67,852,500.0 6,785,250.0 10,177,875.0 2,041,951.5 155,135,176.5 1,551,351.8 387,837.9 620,540.7 542,973.1
Lalitpur 61,590,450.0 131,422,857.0 13,142,285.7 19,713,428.6 2,895,199.6 228,764,220.9 2,287,642.2 571,910.6 915,056.9 800,674.8
Bhaktapur 93,522,000.0 191,295,000.0 19,129,500.0 28,694,250.0 4,272,255.0 336,913,005.0 3,369,130.1 842,282.5 1,347,652.0 1,179,195.5
Rasuwa 38,150,000.0 65,400,000.0 6,540,000.0 9,810,000.0 1,553,250.0 121,453,250.0 1,214,532.5 303,633.1 485,813.0 425,086.4
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t
l
Nuwakot 119,900,000.0 426,920,300.0 42,692,030.0 64,038,045.0 8,202,304.5 661,752,679.5 6,617,526.8 1,654,381.7 2,647,010.7 2,316,134.4
Dhading 26,781,300.0 588,835,817.0 58,883,581.7 88,325,372.6 9,234,256.8 772,060,328.0 7,720,603.3 1,930,150.8 3,088,241.3 2,702,211.1
Makawanpur 62,675,000.0 426,918,938.0 42,691,893.8 64,037,840.7 7,343,909.1 603,667,581.6 6,036,675.8 1,509,169.0 2,414,670.3 2,112,836.5
Gorkha 119,900,000.0 416,107,500.0 41,610,750.0 62,416,125.0 8,040,112.5 648,074,487.5 6,480,744.9 1,620,186.2 2,592,298.0 2,268,260.7
Sub-total of 14 1,195,746,350.0 5,571,802,656.0 557,180,265.6 835,770,398.4 101,513,235.1 8,262,012,905.1 82,620,129.1 20,655,032.3 33,048,051.6 28,917,045.2
districts
B. Other moderately affected districts (17 districts)
Dhankuta 41,001,440.0 155,652,000.0 15,565,200.0 23,347,800.0 2,949,801.6 238,516,241.6 2,385,162.4 596,290.6 954,065.0 834,806.8
V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
Khotang 29,448,393.2 212,877,000.0 21,287,700.0 31,931,550.0 3,634,880.9 299,179,524.1 2,991,795.2 747,948.8 1,196,718.1 1,047,128.3
Solukhumbu 11,083,582.2 85,837,500.0 8,583,750.0 12,875,625.0 1,453,816.2 119,834,273.4 1,198,342.7 299,585.7 479,337.1 419,420.0
Tanahu 85,331,740.0 262,090,500.0 26,209,050.0 39,313,575.0 5,211,333.6 418,156,198.6 4,181,562.0 1,045,390.5 1,672,624.8 1,463,546.7
Baglung 67,015,380.0 199,143,000.0 19,914,300.0 29,871,450.0 3,992,375.7 319,936,505.7 3,199,365.1 799,841.3 1,279,746.0 1,119,777.8
Gulmi 63,767,309.9 230,044,500.0 23,004,450.0 34,506,675.0 4,407,177.1 355,730,112.1 3,557,301.1 889,325.3 1,422,920.4 1,245,055.4
Parwat 38,910,820.0 149,929,500.0 14,992,950.0 22,489,425.0 2,832,604.8 229,155,299.8 2,291,553.0 572,888.2 916,621.2 802,043.5
District/ Sanitation Water Systems Build Back Better (NPR) Total Cost (NPR) Total Cost, Budget allocation, US$
Buildings (NPR) (NPR) US$
WSP/ Upgrad- Infrastructure Institutional 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
ing water capacity devel- (25%) (40%) (35%)
quality opment
Palpa 46,701,028.2 254,079,000.0 25,407,900.0 38,111,850.0 4,511,700.4 368,811,478.6 3,688,114.8 922,028.7 1,475,245.9 1,290,840.2
Nawalparasi 63,437,476.8 62,947,500.0 6,294,750.0 9,442,125.0 1,895,774.7 144,017,626.5 1,440,176.3 360,044.1 576,070.5 504,061.7
Myagdi 30,222,430.0 76,681,500.0 7,668,150.0 11,502,225.0 1,603,559.0 127,677,864.0 1,276,778.6 319,194.7 510,711.5 446,872.5
Chitwan 72,128,025.0 43,491,000.0 4,349,100.0 6,523,650.0 1,734,285.4 128,226,060.4 1,282,260.6 320,565.2 512,904.2 448,791.2
Lamjung 45,832,320.0 135,051,000.0 13,505,100.0 20,257,650.0 2,713,249.8 217,359,319.8 2,173,593.2 543,398.3 869,437.3 760,757.6
Kaski 136,750,310.0 171,675,000.0 17,167,500.0 25,751,250.0 4,626,379.7 355,970,439.7 3,559,704.4 889,926.1 1,423,881.8 1,245,896.5
Syangja 73,927,244.4 252,934,500.0 25,293,450.0 37,940,175.0 4,902,926.2 394,998,295.6 3,949,983.0 987,495.7 1,579,993.2 1,382,494.0
Bhojpur 28,940,461.4 180,831,000.0 18,083,100.0 27,124,650.0 3,146,571.9 258,125,783.3 2,581,257.8 645,314.5 1,032,503.1 903,440.2
Sankhuwa Sabha 30,297,471.1 137,340,000.0 13,734,000.0 20,601,000.0 2,514,562.1 204,487,033.1 2,044,870.3 511,217.6 817,948.1 715,704.6
Arghakhanchi 51,040,340.0 211,732,500.0 21,173,250.0 31,759,875.0 3,941,592.6 319,647,557.6 3,196,475.6 799,118.9 1,278,590.2 1,118,766.5
Sub-Total for other 915,835,772.1 2,822,337,000.0 282,233,700.0 423,350,550.0 56,072,591.6 4,499,829,613.7 44,998,296.1 11,249,574.0 17,999,318.5 15,749,403.6
17 moderately af-
fected districts
Total (A+B) 2,111,582,122.1 8,394,139,656.0 839,413,965.6 1,259,120,948.4 157,585,826.7 12,761,842,518.8 127,618,425.2 31,904,606.3 51,047,370.1 44,666,448.8
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N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
Implementation Arrangements
The implementation of the recovery strategy
should be through existing sectoral policies and
institutional arrangements, with coordination
and strategic leadership provided by the MoUD.
Although the recovery strategy is clearly focused
on addressing the needs of affected districts, this
should not be at the cost of slowing the develop-
ment of water and sanitation services in other
parts of the country. Indeed the principles of
risk reduction and build back better should be
incorporated into sector development nation-
wide. There should be continued progress to-
wards SDP as this will facilitate a more effective
and efficient delivery of the recovery strategy.
Assessment Methodology
The sector assessment was led by DWSS with
significant contributions from development
partners. At a very early stage a comprehensive
assessment format to record the extent of dam-
age to the component parts of water systems
and sanitation was developed and disseminated
across district offices of DWSS. Through a com-
bination of site visits, and information received
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from WSUCs and VDCs, assessment of indi- quence of disruption to water supply and sani-
vidual water systems was undertaken. Standard tation services, and also for quality assurance.
costs were estimated for repair and reconstruc- Field missions were undertaken in nine districts.
tion of both rural and urban systems, and sanita- Site visits were made to visually inspect water
tion facilities. Information was collated for each systems and sanitation facilities, consultations
district and transferred to the central level to with community members took place and fo-
produce an overall summary of damage to assets cus group discussions with women were held
and the costs of repair or reconstruction. to better understand the gender dimensions of
the disaster. Stakeholder meetings took place at
To supplement the DWSS assessment, a vali- district headquarters and with DWSS and other
dation exercise was organized for the purposes water and sanitation actors to discuss views on
of collecting qualitative information about the DRR and approaches and needs to actualize the
impacts on the affected population as a conse- principle of build back better.
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CROSS-CUTTING
SECTORS
Social Protection
Governance
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62
(Nepal’s Readiness Preparation Proposal REDD 2010 – 2013, Ministry of Forest and Soil Conservation, 2010; Understanding drivers and causes of deforestation and forest
degradation in Nepal: potential policies and measures for REDD+; Ministry of Forest and Soil Conservation, 2014)
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ests. The 31 earthquake-affected districts con- cal dams are also situated in the region. In ad-
tain around 41 percent (2,393,535 hectares) of dition, three buffer zones adjacent to PAs have
all forest area. Around 48 percent of this area is been affected, covering 152,500 hectares.
community forests managed by 11,554 CFUGs
and involve more than 55 percent of the house- Landslides and Glacial Lakes
holds in these districts. Another 48 percent is Intense monsoon rainfall triggers floods, land-
government managed forests, including Pro- slides, debris flow and other hazards. Landslides
tected Areas (PAs). The rest includes leasehold cause considerable soil erosion and sedimenta-
forests (LHF) (0.73 percent), private forests and tion, polluting waters and blocking waterways as
other categories (Table 16.1). well as destroying agricultural fields and threat-
ening settlements. The recent extensive road
Biodiversity and Protected Areas opening with poorly designed and constructed
Nepal occupies only 0.1 percent of global land roads has resulted in landslides in many parts
area but harbours 3.2 percent and 1.1 percent of of the mid-hills and mountains. More intense
the world’s known flora and fauna, with many rainfall due to increased climate variability may
endemic and threatened species. With its great also be a contributing factor.
altitudinal range, it contains a wide variety of
ecosystems and habitat types. Protected areas are An inventory of glaciers and glacial lakes by
cornerstones of biodiversity conservation, cover- ICIMOD (in 1999; repeated in 2009) iden-
ing 23.23 percent of the country and protecting tified as many as 3,252 glaciers in Nepal.
flagship species such as tiger, rhino, red panda As glaciers melt and retreat due to climate
and snow leopard. Four national parks (Sagar- change, glacial lakes form and rapidly fill up
matha National Park is a world heritage site) behind natural moraine or ice dams. These
and three conservation areas covering around dams can breach suddenly, leading to down-
1,598,800 hectares have been affected by the stream floods.63 The National Adaptation Pro-
earthquakes. There are a total of 1,156 lakes grammes of Action (NAPA) defined six of these
in the 31 districts including two Ramsar sites lakes as the most critical.64 Three are located
located in Langtang and Sagarmatha national in the earthquake-affected areas: Tsho Rolpa,
parks. Some major river systems and hydrologi- Imja and Thulagi lakes.
Glacial Lakes and Glacial Lake Outburst Floods in Nepal, ICIMOD, 2011
63
National Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA) to Climate Change, Ministry of Environment, 2010
64
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Hazardous Substances and Waste Man- implementation and monitoring, and penalties
agement for transgressions are too low. There is lack of
Management of solid waste is a growing concern citizen awareness about development and envi-
in Nepal, particularly in urban centres. Applica- ronment and application of environmental im-
tion of modern waste management techniques, pact assessment tools is currently limited. Com-
such as source separated door-to-door collec- munity-based forest governance and institutions
tion systems, material recovery and recycling is very strong while institutional capacity within
facilities, sanitary landfilling, and private sector concerned government institutions requires
participation are limited in most municipalities. further strengthening. The Ministry of Science,
Poor management of healthcare waste (HCW) Technology and Environment (MoSTE) is man-
exposes healthcare workers, waste handlers, dated to ensure environmental safeguards, main-
the community, livestock and wildlife to infec- tain environmental quality and promote renew-
tions, toxic effects and injuries. Most healthcare able energy. It has developed several guidelines
facilities do not implement safe practices such and environmental standards for various sectors.
as onsite safe and separate collection, transport, These need to be enforced properly. The man-
storage, treatment and final disposal in secure date for the management and governance of
landfill sites; most healthcare waste is dumped forests and PAs is with the Ministry of Forest
together with other wastes. and Soil Conservation (MoFSC). Community
forests are managed locally by CFUGs; buffer
Air Pollution zone management councils manage forests in
The predominant source of air pollution in the the buffer zones; and leasehold forestry groups
Kathmandu Valley is from the operation of a manage degraded and marginalized forestlands
large number of polluting and inefficient brick to restore them.
kilns. There are 429 officially registered brick
kilns in Nepal while the Federation of Nepal- Disaster Effects
ese Brick Industries (FNBI) estimates more than
700 in total, with 103 being operated within Effects on Infrastructure and Assets
the Kathmandu Valley. Coal is the major fuel Damage to Forest Area
for brick firing; annual coal consumption by Several landslides, crevices, soil liquefactions
the sector is estimated at 449,358 tonnes. With and local floods following the earthquakes re-
anticipated increase in demand for bricks for re- sulted in large-scale destruction of forest areas.
construction of damaged buildings and houses, To ascertain forest loss, The Food and Agricul-
rise in air pollution is a concern. ture Organization (FAO) carried out a system-
atic analysis of pre- and post-earthquake satellite
Existing Arrangements and Performance imagery. Based on this, a forest loss rate of 2.2
of Environmental and percent was estimated for six earthquake-affect-
Forestry Governance ed districts. The impacts on forests are largely ex-
Nepal has good environmental and forestry pected to be similar in 14 other severely-affected
policies and legislation. The implementation of districts (with the exception of Kathmandu,
these policies, however, requires improvement. Bhaktapur and Lalitpur which have very limited
In many cases there is inadequate capacity for forest cover). Applied to the baseline forest area,
the total damage and forest loss is estimated at There was no damage reported to the wetlands.
23,375 hectares. However, sedimentation, landslides and other
changes are likely to have an impact on the
The value of damages and losses as a result of wetlands. These may include eutrophication
destruction of these forests has been computed of lakes and damage to the habitat of aquatic
using an economic valuation study of the goods flora and fauna, which will ultimately impact
and services of forests carried out by MoFSC in livelihoods of the poor, marginalized and other
2005.65 The direct use values have been taken rural communities. Further, if landslides block
as damages, and total damages of NPR 29,258.7 the Trishuli/Narayani or Koshi rivers during the
million is estimated. monsoon season and result in large floods, this
will impact endangered wildlife species and their
Effects on Biodiversity and Protected Areas habitats downstream in Chitwan National Park
Seven PAs were affected by the earthquakes. and Koshi Tappu Wildlife Reserve.
Among these were Sagarmantha National Park,
a sacred landscape and world heritage site, as well Damage to Office Buildings, Equipment
as two Ramsar sites (Gosaikunda and Gokyo). and Furniture
These PAs provide refuge to several endangered Analysis of damage to government and commu-
fauna of global significance such as red panda, nity-based institutions reveals that of the 894
snow leopard and musk deer. Damages to the government office buildings (district and sector/
habitats of these key species are expected. In field level offices) of MoFSC in the 31 earth-
addition, earthquake impacts in adjacent areas quake-affected districts, 569 have reported dam-
and on local communities will have a significant ages with severe damage to office equipment
bearing on management of PAs. Pressures on PA and furniture. A total of 740 CFUGs reported
resources are likely to increase. Localized illicit destruction of their office buildings while a fur-
activities, including poaching of wildlife and il- ther 407 CFUGs reported partial damage; 222
legal wildlife trade, may also likely increase as CFUGs reported cracks and damage. Almost all
several security posts are damaged and vigilance the affected CFUGs reported loss of important
and monitoring activities hampered. official documents such as Forest Operational
Plans and files. Total damages of around NPR
In addition, there were reports of extensive 1,263.3 million are estimated for government
damage to eco-tourism infrastructure, including buildings and equipment, and NPR 780 mil-
walking trails, bridges and hotels. Access to sev- lion for CFUG buildings and equipment.
eral nature-based tourism sites has been disrupt-
ed. This will significantly impact income from Damage to Environment friendly Technologies
tourism – endangering the financial sustainabil- Renewable Energy Technology solutions such as
ity of the PAs and severely affecting the income improved cooking stoves (ICS) and biogas in-
of local communities and private business op- stallations promoted in the country through the
erators in the area. Several PAs (e.g., Sagarman- Alternative Energy Promotion Center (AEPC)
tha National Park and Annapurna Conservation has led to improvements in household health
Area (ACA) are world-renowned nature tourist and livelihood conditions, while also delivering
destinations. Nature tourism contributes sub- significant positive environmental outcomes.
stantial revenue to the national economy. For For example, ICS installations can lead to en-
example, during FY 2013-2014, of the 797,616 ergy savings of up to 80 percent and significant
tourists visiting Nepal, nearly 551,680 tourists reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions,
visited different PAs. Thus, tourists visiting PAs indoor pollution and deforestation. A rapid
accounted for close to 70 percent of all tourists assessment by AEPC and its partner network
visiting the country. It is thereby pertinent that reveals that 146,767 ICS units, 16,721 domes-
recovery efforts under the tourism sector inte- tic biogas installations and 70,000 solar instal-
grate measures to revitalize nature tourism in lations have been destroyed. These need to be
PAs as a driver of economic growth in Nepal replaced to prevent environmental impacts, in-
so as to continue to make positive contributions cluding CO2 emissions. The value of damages
towards PA sustainability in the long run. estimated at NPR 1,573.3 million has been in-
Economic Valuation of Ecological Goods and Services (ESE), Ministry of Forest and Soil Conservation 2005
65
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corporated under the housing sector. The loss to increased manifold, resulting in considerable
environment and forests as a result is estimated plastic waste. MoSTE has banned the produc-
at NPR 181.4 million. tion, use, sale and transportation of plastic bags
within Kathmandu and initiated promotion
Effects on Production of Goods and of environment friendly alternative bags made
Services and Access to Services of cloth, fibre and paper. However, following
the earthquakes, the increased use of plastics,
Loss of Ecosystem Goods and Services including plastic bags, is of concern.
Natural forest ecosystems, including wetlands,
provide several important ecosystem services that Disaster Impacts
people benefit from. In addition to timber and
firewood, non-timber forest products (NTFPs) Need for Debris and Rubble Management
such as fruits, flowers, bark, dyes, fibers, gums With almost 750,000 buildings either com-
and resins, and medicinal and aromatic plants pletely or partially damaged, the earthquakes
(MAPs) are important products. Most NTFPs, have generated a large amount of rubble. The
including MAPs, have a higher commercial val- total estimated volume of rubble is 18.854 mil-
ue than those of wood products. Income from lion cubic metres. Of this, estimates for rubble
environmental resources is particularly impor- that can be recycled or reused range between
tant for the rural poor. It can decrease rural in- 60 percent and 80 percent. The remaining
come inequalities and serve to reduce the preva- debris and rubble will need to be transported
lence, depth and severity of poverty. In addition, and disposed safely. Such a large amount of de-
forests provide many other ecosystem services, bris and rubble poses a threat to community
including absorbing carbon dioxide and buffer- health in several ways. Building waste from 31
ing from floods and landslides. They maintain affected districts is expected to contain up to
hydrological processes and conserve soil and wa- 2.7 million litres of paint. Lead in paint may
ter, enable nutrient cycling and host pollinators. escape into the environment through paint
Ecosystem services from forests are particularly dust and contaminate soil, which can lead to
important for rural communities, especially in- lead poisoning. Similarly, mercury from dam-
digenous people, poor men and women, and aged buildings (e.g., in light bulbs and hospital
other forest dependent communities. Using the equipment) may be contaminating the envi-
2005 MoFSC study, the total loss of ecosystem ronment. Other hazardous materials include
services is estimated at NPR 34,715.3 million. asbestos in roofing and hazardous chemicals
in electronic waste. All potentially hazardous
Increased Generation and Management De- waste, e.g. healthcare waste, asbestos waste and
mands for Solid and Hazardous Waste building rubble contaminated with toxic lead
The earthquakes have significantly worsened paint and mercury, as well as electrical and
waste management, particularly in camp sites electronic items, should be treated separately.
where affected communities have been resid- Specifically, no burning technology should
ing. Whereas household waste generation was be used for this waste management. Environ-
somehow managed and most rural waste is mentally-sound health-care waste management
recycled or composted, the current concentra- practices need to be promoted and scaled up, as
tion of people in camps has led to considerable part of building back better.
generation of waste without a proper waste
management system in place. Waste generation Increased Pollution from Brick Manufacture
per camp is estimated to be around 37.66 ki- According to the calculations by the housing
lograms, on average, per day. Waste collection sector, more than a billion bricks will be re-
is done using small bins with very little segre- quired for r econstruction. Manufacture
gation at source and in some cases no effort is of these many bricks will require coal imports of
made to collect waste. Only around 40 percent 1.58 million tonnes, which will lead to around
of the camps have proper sanitation facilities; 39,000 tonnes of CO2 emissions. In addition,
the majority are at best being served through brick firing to generate the required bricks will
pit latrines. Drinking water is available in half emit around 2,800 tonnes of suspended particu-
the camps while the supply of bottled water has late matter. The total cost of air pollution for
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the 1.12 billion bricks that will be required for bio-engineering techniques are required to re-
reconstruction is calculated to be around NPR duce this risk. With millions of people affected
737 million. In addition, brick making will also and their houses damaged, there is tremendous
deplete and pollute top soil in areas around the pressure on forests for land and timber to build
brick kilns, affecting agricultural productivity temporary shelters. Data from five District For-
and health of local communities. Chimneys of est Offices (DFOs) reveal that 88 hectares of
many brick kilns were damaged. Production of forests have been encroached upon while nearly
a large number of bricks in brick kilns without 206 hectares have already been illegally felled.
adequate pollution control mechanisms such as This trend is expected to increase in future and
chimneys may significantly increase air pollu- will, if not monitored, lead to significant land
tion and lead to health impacts. Mercury emis- use changes and forest area conversions.
sion from burning coal in brick kilns will also
impact human health and the environment. Impacts on Gender and
Social Inclusion
Increased Risks and Vulnerabilities Many women and socially excluded groups depen-
dent on natural resources have been particularly
Increased Risks from GLOF and Landslides affected by the earthquakes. There is need to build
The most significant environmental hazards is women’s capacity for active participation in com-
the threat of GLOF. While no major damage has munity forests, especially in light of out-migration
been reported to moraine dams of the three larg- of men. Forests and conservation areas are key
est and dangerous lakes, small cracks have been sources of livelihood building for local communi-
observed on the moraine dam of the Tsho Rolpa ties, especially of rural women, indigenous peoples,
Lake. Previously constructed man-made channels Dalits, poor men and women, and other people
to siphon out water may be blocked or damaged. living around forests. Loss of forests due to land-
A recent outburst following the earthquakes was slides triggered by the earthquakes means loss of
reported in one of the supra glacial lakes located livelihood assets for people living in earthquake-af-
above Imja Lake, causing a temporary increase in fected districts. In addition, with the loss of nearby
water flow in the river. These indicate serious risks forests, women, responsible for taking care of live-
of GLOF in future. This risk may further be exac- stock, will have to spend more time in collecting
erbated by the impacts of climate change. Close animal feed from forests that are further away. Nev-
monitoring of these lakes, including further study ertheless, forests also provide food and income for
on the effects of the earthquakes on the stabil- households in times of stress and they will become
ity of the moraine dam, is required. In addition, an important resource for coping with food short-
equipment and infrastructure such as gauge read- ages. In addition, community forest users in 14 af-
ers (at Tsho Rolpa), the meteorological stations fected districts have reported earthquake damage
at Langtang and Beding, and the base house at to water resources. Likewise, many energy efficient
Kyangjing were destroyed. and alternative energy installations have been dam-
aged.This has direct implications for women and
More than 25 hydro-meteorological stations un- girls, exacerbating their workloads since they now
der the Department of Hydrology and Meteo- have to collect more water and firewood from for-
rology have also been damaged. Likewise, field ests. The increased workload for women will have
reports and analysis of post-earthquake GIS/ a negative impact on their capacity to engage in
remote sensing imagery reveal that there were community leadership, natural resource manage-
numerous landslides. Numerous cracks have ment and earthquake recovery in their households,
formed in the hillsides. In the sloping hillsides, communities and forests.
disturbances to soil structure and stability post-
earthquake will increase the risks of fresh land- Impacts on Sector Governance Func-
slide significantly, in particular during the up- tions and Systems
coming monsoon season. Landslides can cause
huge losses to lives and property. Monitoring Forest and Environmental Governance Per-
and geotechnical assessment together with mea- formance and Issues
sures such as watershed management, including The earthquakes greatly reduced the capacity of
afforestation, land and soil conservation, and government and local communities in the af-
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Recovery Needs and Strategy Natural hazards such as floods, including GLOF,
The total estimated reconstruction and recov- avalanches, drought and storms, are exacerbated
ery needs for the environment and forestry sector by climate change, which is expected to increase
is NPR 25,197 million. This estimate is based on the severity and frequency of these hazards. They
wide consultations among sector experts, repre- pose a serious threat to poor farmers and rural
sentatives of the two ministries, NGOs and de- communities who live in remote, marginal,
velopment partners. Of this, the total estimated mountain and hill areas with limited resources,
cost of reconstruction is NPR 6,773 million. The communications and transportation networks.
reconstruction activities will build back the envi- In addition, the natural resources that these
ronment and forestry infrastructure and assets that people depend on to cope with the impacts of
were damaged. The total recovery costs estimated such hazards are also highly climate sensitive
is NPR 18,424 million. – agriculture, forest products, water resources,
etc. Given this, future recovery investments will
The overall aim of the reconstruction and recov- need to explore ways to integrate climate risks
ery programme for the environment and forestry and strengthen the resiliency of ecosystems and
sector is to increase the resilience of ecosystems, communities, including using the potential of
the environment and vulnerable communities to Ecosystem-Based Adaptation (EBA) options
future anthropogenic and natural shocks from and nature-based mitigation measures.
earthquakes and climate change by enhancing
their management, and working with other sec- The reconstruction and recovery activities have
tors to promote sound development and reduce been designed to address the short-, medium-
unsustainable impacts in order to build back bet- and long-term needs of the sector. In the short
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Public sector
1 Forestry related infrastructure 2,043,318,400 2,043,318,400
GON offices 894 No. 1,257,650,400 0 1,257,650,400
GON equipment and furniture n/a 5,718,000 0 5,718,000
CFUG offices 11,520 No. 694,630,000 0 694,630,000
CFUG equipment and furniture n/a 85,320,000 0 85,320,000
2 Impact on forestry, watershed, biodiversity, NTFP 29,343,674,341 142,601,520 29,486,275,861
Forest area loss 1,101,523 Hectare 29,258,769,601 0*1 29,258,769,601
Encroachment and illicit felling 0 104,339,520 104,339,520
NFTP collection loss 4,618,031 kg 84,904,740 38,262,000 123,166,740
3 Environment 1,573,332,200 918,404,300 2,491,736,500
Air pollution due to brick industry 0 737,000,000 737,000,000
Private sector 3
term, priority is given to respond to immedi- the threats of landslides and help implement mea-
ate and urgent reconstruction needs. In the sures that reduces these risks. Damage analysis in-
medium term, measures to restore ecosystem dicates that large forest areas were destroyed by the
functionality, ensure safe management and use earthquakes. Removal and salvage operations in the
of environmental hazards, including solid waste damaged forests and supply of timber and firewood
management, and promotion of sustainable resulting from the salvage operations to the market
practices will be prioritized. Long-term activi- will be undertaken as short-term priorities. Mea-
ties are geared towards improving the resilience sures to enhance surveillance and monitoring of
and sustainability of ecosystems and the sound incidences of forest land encroachments will also be
management of environment hazards and risks. implemented in the short term.
It is strongly recommended that during recon-
struction and recovery, the important principles Recovery
given in Box 16.1 are applied by all sectors. Building institutional capacities to address pres-
sures and threats to forests more systematically
Government-managed Forests and Wa- will be done in the medium term. Measures to
tershed Management promote and implement bio-engineering and
soil conservation/agro-forestry will be imple-
Reconstruction mented in the short term to reduce threats of
In the short term, reconstruction activities that landslides. Integrated watershed management
include nursery and plantations, and repair and approaches will be promoted in the medium to
maintenance of damaged renewable energy schemes long term. Watersheds will be restored with the
will be implemented. Short-term interventions will aim of promoting water infiltration, regulating
also include geo-stability assessments of cracked and stream flows, protecting against mass movement
disturbed land masses in selected areas to identify and buffering against climate related hazards.
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In this regard, sustainable land management (52.17 percent) and men (43.83 percent) in the
practices in all forms of land uses will be encour- 14 most-affected districts actively participate in
aged through effective implementation of land community forestry programmes both as users
use policies for sustainable landscape manage- and managers of forest products. Their partici-
ment that balances competing land uses while pation in forestry management will be critical
reducing negative impacts on forests and ecosys- for sustainable management of these resources
tems. Roles for various stakeholders will also be and will be proactively ensured. In addition,
explored, including creating opportunities for most of the high hill districts affected are rich
private sector investments in sustainable forestry in forest/herbal products. Skills development
and forest product management, and ensuring and training for women in sustainable harvest-
technologies for improved, seasoned or treated ing of NTFPs and marketing forest products to
wood products for reconstruction of building expand their livelihood base will also be consid-
and infrastructure are adopted. Activities that ered as part of the recovery strategy. Similarly,
will ensure the restoration of ecological func- participation of ethnic minorities who depend
tions and ecosystem services will be implement- the most on these resources will be critical for
ed in the medium term and long term. In the their livelihoods as well as sustainable manage-
long term, this recovery programme, by employ- ment of forest resources.
ing proven approaches of EBA and mitigation,
should also lead to improvements in sustainable Timber Availability and Production
forest management that increase the resilience
of forest landscapes and ecosystems to climate Reconstruction
change and other threats. Given the huge number of private and public
houses that were damaged, MoFSC is concerned
Community Forests about how to source timber and other construc-
tion material required for reconstruction. Initial
Reconstruction assessment of inventory data and analysis of
Immediate support to restore the services pro- growing stock confirms the availability of timber
vided by CFUGs and their federated bodies at volume totalling 18,552,263 cubic feet – this
district and national levels will be needed to includes 2,477,163 cubic feet from the Tarai
deal with physical and material losses. In the region and 16,075,100 cft cubic feet from the
short term, direct institutional support and 24 earthquake-hit districts. These will be made
cash transfers to support livelihoods and re- available for reconstruction of both public and
place capacities to manage forests will be criti- private buildings. Where possible, use of locally
cal. CFUGs will also require support to carry available timber and poles from community
out detailed assessments to identify and account forests and/or government managed forests will
for losses. Technical support will be required to be encouraged. To ease the timber harvest and
plan and implement measures to restore com- distribution process, existing policy and regula-
munity forests. These may include reforestation tory provisions will require revision, such as re-
or creating conditions for expedited regenera- laxing legal restrictions on harvest and transport
tion. Livelihood support is critical both in the of timber including the overall ban on timber
short term and medium term. These can include harvest during the period 15 June to 15 October
sustainable alternative livelihood development (by the Forest Regulations of 1995).
to reduce pressure on forests.
Biodiversity and Protected Areas
Recovery
In the long term, community capacity to man- Recovery
age forests to increase resilience of community Short-term activities may include identification
forests will be supported. Such an aspiration of impacts of the earthquakes on critical habi-
may be incorporated into the revised manage- tats and key species and future risks (e.g., flood-
ment plans of community forests under the ing in downstream PAs). To deter violations of
medium term. Support should also be provided rules and to control illegal wildlife poaching and
to restore damaged ICS and biogas installations trade, regular patrolling, and anti-poaching and
to reduce pressure on forests. Many women monitoring activities will be given priority in the
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will be supported; promotion of technological treaties and accords; (ii) ensure promotion of land-
improvements in the brick industry through fis- scape and basin level approach, strategy and activ-
cal measures such as subsidies are also important ity planning to recognize the integrated nature of
medium-term needs. Fiscal incentives should also environmental/natural resources issues; and (iii)
be given to support import of climate smart, en- will continue to build and expand the strategy of
vironmentally friendly (green) technology in the forestry for prosperity, low carbon growth, avoid-
construction industry. Another short- to medi- ing deforestation and deforestation. In addition,
um-term need is to establish and operate mobile MoSTE will also lead a Rapid Environmental As-
and stationary stations to monitor air pollution, sessment (REA) of recent earthquakes to identify,
noise pollution, water pollution and soil pollu- map and prioritize environmental impacts, hazards
tion. The technical and institutional capacity of and risks resulting from the earthquakes itself and
DoE to conduct assessments, document, analyse from subsequent recovery/reconstruction. It will
and disseminate information regarding environ- also ensure that negative environmental impacts be
mental hazards should be improved in the me- reduced while measures to build back better in a
dium term while long-term needs include policy more resilient and environmentally sensitive way
oriented research to lead to adoption of climate is integrated across sectors. This REA report will
smart green technologies and promotion of sus- build on and validate the PDNA findings.
tainable consumption patterns.
A Post Disaster Recovery and Reconstruc-
Implementation Arrangements tion Management Coordination Committee
The reconstruction and recovery programme for (DRRMCC) will be formed under the Secretary
the environment and forestry sector will be im- of the respective ministries to coordinate imple-
plemented in a phased approach. The recovery mentation management. Respective departmen-
and reconstruction programme for the forestry tal projects will be aligned, coordinated and im-
sector will be coordinated by MoFSC and for plemented through the Implementation Working
the environment sector by MoSTE. Group chaired by the Director General of each
department. This committee will manage the
The ministry and its respective departments, overall planning and decision making process, in-
such as Department of Forests, National Park cluding putting in place an effective monitoring
and Wildlife Conservation, Soil Conservation and evaluation system. All recovery and recon-
and Watershed Management, will be responsible struction work at district level will be coordinated
for coordinating recovery of the forestry, biodi- through the District Disaster Relief Committees
versity and watershed management subsectors in (DDRCs). Field level implementation will be ex-
close collaboration with local community groups. ecuted through district offices and through mobi-
Likewise, MoSTE’s Department of Environment lizing local forestry groups and multi-stakeholder
will be responsible to coordinate waste manage- institutions such as District Forestry Sector Coor-
ment and pollution issues while the Department dination Committee (DFSCC) and Agriculture
of Hydrology and Meteorology will coordinate all Environment and Forest Committee.
activities related to environmental hazards such as
GLOF. AEPC will coordinate the recovery activi- Assessment Methodology
ties related to environmentally-friendly technolo- The environment and forestry sector PDNA was
gies (ICS and biogas installations). completed by 25 members drawn from govern-
ment, donors, international NGOs, federations
Each ministry will coordinate closely with other and academia. In its first meeting, the group
lead ministries and sectors for developing detailed identified major issues facing the sector, direct
plans of implementation for other sectors. Both impacts from the earthquakes, and existing indi-
ministries will also participate actively in any fu- rect and future potential impacts from responses
ture national recovery coordination body that may to the earthquakes by other sectors. The group
be set up, and work with other sectors to ensure further organized into subgroups as per the pri-
green principles and resilient practices are adopted, ority sub-themes for data collection and analysis,
and to promote sustainable development. The which were later validated and compiled.
recovery strategy will: (i) be clearly aligned with • Forest loss: GIS analysis was undertaken by
the Government of Nepal’s existing plans and en- FAO to estimate areas of forest loss due to
vironmental conditions specified in international landslides, using a sampling methodology
209
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Table 16.3: Summary Reconstruction and Recovery Needs (NPR million)
SN Major Recovery Activities Short Medium Long Reconstruction Recovery Total
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-25
1 Forestry related infrastructure 900 700 600 300 0 0 2400 100 2500
1.1 Temporary shelter to district offices and service centre 100 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 100
1.2 Furniture and forestry equipment 100 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 100
1.3 Repair/retrofit and reconstruction of offices (GoN + LFUG) 700 700 600 200 0 0 2200 0 2200
1.4 Risk assessment and management of GoN and LFUGs 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 100 100
2 Restoration forestry, watershed, biodiversity, NTFP 3040 2280 2280 2280 2280 3040 2800 12400 15200
2.1 Forest management [(i) detailed impact assessment; ii) preparation of 440 330 330 330 330 440 880 1320 2200
management plans; iii) plan implementation; iv) surveillance; v) monitor-
ing; vi) technology development etc.)]
2.2 Forest restoration [i) rubble removal; ii) afforestation/ reforestation (18,000 480 360 360 360 360 480 1920 480 2400
ha); iii) grazing control and plantation protection; iv) salvage felling and
clearing etc.]
2.3 Watershed Management and Landslide Risk Mitigation [(i) hazard map- 1120 840 840 840 840 1120 0 5600 5600
ping; ii) prepare WS plans; iii) landslide treatment (bio-engineering, gabi-
ons, masonry); iv) sustainable soil management)]
2.4 Biodiversity Conservation and PA management [(i) habitat restoration plan; 460 345 345 345 345 460 0 2300 2300
ii) habitat management (7000 ha); iii) anti-poaching and illicit activities; iv)
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t
2.5 Resumption of community-based forest management livelihood support 440 330 330 330 330 440 0 2200 2200
capacity development [(i) 2300 OP revision; ii) direct support to 1650
LFUGs; iii) livelihood improvement plan support to 20000 HHs; iv) NTFP
promotion; v)capacity development of LFUGs and staffs
2.6 Gender and Social Inclusion [(i) empowerment; ii) training; iii) education; 100 75 75 75 75 100 0 500 500
iv) livelihood support)]
3 Environment restoration 1876.9 2721.2 1648.9 750 500 0 1573 5924 7497
3.1 Repair and install ICS and biogas units/replacement 471.9 629.2 471.9 0 0 1573 1573
3.2 Promotion of environment friendly technology 20 30 0 0 0 0 0 50 50
V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
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cally-active individuals in the rural districts hit income countries, Nepal could be argued to be a
by the earthquake are more likely to be unedu- case of ‘premature de-industrialization’.
cated: 66 percent of them have no education
compared to 31 percent in Kathmandu Valley. According to the Department of Industries
(DoI), a limited number of registered small,
In light of these significant long-term and struc- medium and large enterprises (5,274 in all) pro-
tural challenges, job creation and employment vided employment to 458,000 people in 2013.
have been prioritized by the Government of Ne- However, only a fifth of all enterprises in Nepal
pal as reflected by the two preceding Three Year are formally registered and hence the major-
Plans (2007- 2010 and 2010-2013). In February ity of non-farm employment opportunities are
2015, the Government of Nepal adopted the Na- generated by informally-operating, household-
tional Employment Policy, outlining a compre- based and micro enterprises. According to the
hensive and coordinated commitment to making 2011 NLSS, 35 percent of households operate
employment a key development objective and a non-farm enterprise. Of this, 36 percent are
improving implementation of related activities. in trade, 35 percent in manufacturing, 17 per-
cent in services and the remaining 12 percent in
Agriculture other types of industries. In urban areas, non-
Most Nepalis are dependent on agriculture for a farm enterprises are primarily engaged in trade
living. Although agriculture contributes around and services, such as operating petty shops and
a third of GDP, majority of workers in agricul- tea stalls, while manufacturing, such as produc-
ture are subsistence farmers and generate a mod- ing handicrafts and weaving, is dominant in
est personal income. A district-wise breakdown rural areas. The wealth of a household appears
reveals that the population (10 years and above) to determine the kind of business activities con-
engaged in agriculture varies from 5 percent in ducted: Households from the poorest consump-
Kathmandu to 61 percent in Solukhumbu. It tion quintile have a disproportionately higher
is estimated that a farmer spends around 182 share of manufacturing enterprises while those
days per annum on direct agriculture related ac- from the richest quintile are primarily engaged
tivities, which includes land preparation, tilling, in trade and services.
sowing, weeding and harvesting.
Tourism
The agricultural sector is highly dominated by Despite a modest direct contribution of 4.3
women, largely due to a ‘feminization of agri- percent to GDP in 2014 according to World
culture’ as more and more men migrate to urban Tourism and Travel Council (WTTC) report
centres and abroad. According to the 2008 LFS, 2015, tourism is increasingly recognized as an
84.3 percent of working women are employed important contributor to job creation in Nepal.
in agriculture, compared to only 62.1 percent Reliable data on the total employment gener-
for men. The great majority of working chil- ated by the tourist sector remain scant: whilst
dren, 82.1 percent, are engaged in agricultural the Economic Survey 2013 states that 178,000
activities and predominately support the subsis- jobs are directly created by tourism, the World
tence farming activities of their households. Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) estimates
that 504,000 jobs were directly supported by the
Commerce and Industry tourism sector in 2013, along with an additional
Although majority of the Nepali population con- 608,000 indirect jobs.
tinues to depend on agriculture for a living, Ne-
pal’s labour market contributions to the economy Tourist activity in Nepal stimulates employment
have shifted over the past decade and are increas- among a number of formal businesses includ-
ingly driven by the non-agricultural sector. In ing international and domestic airlines, hotels,
the period from 2001-2002 to 2013-2014 the homestays and travel agencies which multiply
contribution of services to GDP has increased income generating opportunities in the infor-
from 45.1 to 52.2 percent. At the same time, mal economy through value chains, e.g., por-
GDP contribution of industry has declined from ters, minibus/taxi operators as well as vendors
17.1 to 14.4 percent. As seen in many other low- that sell handicrafts and other goods to tourists.
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According to the Ministry of Tourism, Culture household incomes in Nepal and continue to
and Civil Aviation (MoCTA), employment in fuel their home economy with one of the high-
tourism is marked by a number of gender dis- est global remittance flows. According to DoFE
parities. About four out of five (80 percent) statistics, a professional Nepali worker in the
workers in tourism are male. Likewise the pro- Gulf countries earns an average monthly income
portion of male workers is higher than female of US$868 compared to only US$320 at home.
workers in all types of tourist businesses, except However, most migrant workers are unskilled
in homestays, which employs more women (57 and earn far less. In 2013, Nepal ranked third
percent). Stark discrepancies also exist in em- among countries receiving the highest propor-
ployment status: the proportion of women is tion of remittances in terms of GDP. During the
higher among the self-employed (26 percent) first eight months of FY 2013-2014, remittanc-
than among employees (19 percent). es amounted to US$5.87 billion, representing
29.1 percent of GDP.
Migration and Overseas Employment
Over the past five years, the number of Nepali The 2011 Nepal Living Standards Survey
seeking foreign employment has increased steadi- (NLSS) reveals that there is a striking difference
ly. According to the Department of Foreign Em- between the per capita remittance received by an
ployment (DoFE), in 2013-2014, 521,878 Ne- individual in the poorest and richest consump-
pali received official approval to seek employment tion quintiles. In per capita terms, the poorest
abroad, representing an increase of 177 percent consumption quintile receives one-twelfth of
over 2009-2010. The International Organization what the richest quintile receives.
for Migration (IOM) estimates, as of 2015, a to-
tal of 4.06 million Nepali are abroad. Disaster Effects and Impacts
The disaster effects on employment and liveli-
Records of the DoFE reveal that overseas employ- hoods has been estimated based upon sectoral
ment is male dominated; about 95 percent of all output losses in the productive sectors, namely,
labour permits were granted to men. The actual agriculture, commerce, industry and tourism. A
number of female overseas workers is however complementary analysis was done by the World
likely to be somewhat higher as the National Bank that took additional secondary sources as
Population and Housing Census (NPHC) 2011 well as 75 (instead of 31) districts into consider-
documents a female absentee population of 12 ation. Due to differences in data and scope, the
percent. This omission can be partly explained World Bank study derives a higher estimate of
through irregular overseas migration and un- lost work days and income.
documented border migration to India, which
is not captured by the DoFE and accounts for The earthquakes have affected the livelihoods of
approximately 37.6 percent of total migration 2.29 million households and 5.6 million work-
in Nepal. The increase in labour migration has ers across 31 districts, of which 51 percent are
been accompanied by various problems, includ- women. This resulted in the loss of 94 million
ing labour exploitation sometimes amounting to work days and NPR 17 billion) of personal in-
forced labour and trafficking. Many Nepali mi- come in FY 2015-2016 (Table 17.1).
grant workers pay high fees to recruitment agen-
cies, taking on loans from families and friends, Analyzing geographical coverage, the highest
which places them in a state of indebtedness and losses are expected to occur in Kathmandu (12
in turn can compel them to continue to work in million work days lost, NPR 2,195 million per-
abusive, exploitative and unsafe working envi- sonal income losses), followed by Sindhupal-
ronments in order to repay the loans. Many of chowk (8.5 million work days lost, NPR 1,540
them face severely exploitative conditions that million personal income losses) and Nuwakot
can include withholding of passports, restriction (7.2 million work days lost, NPR 1311 million
on movements and non-payment of wages. personal income losses). The lowest losses are
expected to occur in Rasuwa (995,447 work
Despite many challenging work conditions, Ne- days lost and NPR 179.8 million personal
pali overseas workers contribute significantly to income losses).
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Table 17.1: Employment and Livelihoods Sector: Work Days Lost and Income Lost per District
District Lost work days Losses in personal income (In millions)
NPR USD
Bhaktapur 3,288,619 594.0 5.9
Dhading 6,466,268 1,167.9 11.7
Dolkha 6,011,318 1,085.7 10.9
Gorkha 6,859,487 1,238.9 12.4
Kathmandu 12,153,573 2,195.1 22.0
Kavrepalanchowk 5,855,575 1,057.6 10.6
Lalitpur 3,399,321 614.0 6.1
Makawanpur 2,410,099 435.3 4.4
Nuwakot 7,260,420 1,311.3 13.1
Okhaldhunga 1,400,633 253.0 2.5
Ramechhap 2,909,959 525.6 5.3
Rasuwa 995,447 179.8 1.8
Sindhuli 2,201,064 397.5 4.0
Sindhupalchowk 8,528,389 1,540.4 15.4
Sub - total (14 districts) 69,740,172 12,596 126.0
Other (17 districts) 25,074,666 4,529 45
Total (31 districts) 94,814,838 17,125.1 171.3
*Note: 2010 NPR values inflated to 2015 NPR values by multiplying by 1.41, based on the national CPI series.
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Kathmandu is the largest urban economic cen- It is estimated that in the 31 districts at least
tre in Nepal, accounting for one-third of the 84,000 workers in the tourism sector (of which
country’s economic activity. A large number 52 percent are women) have been affected by
of workers have left major urban economic the earthquakes, losing 29 million work days
centres in the country, including Kathman- over the next 24 months, and resulting in per-
du, to provide relief and recovery support to sonal income losses of NPR 6,200 million. As
their families and communities in the villages. women tend to occupy less skilled jobs such
Workers who have left for their settlements will as housekeeping and waitressing, they are often
experience significant personal income losses. the first to be laid off, while managerial posi-
Remaining workers in urban centres will also tions primarily held by men are maintained. It
suffer significant personal income losses due a is thus expected that women will account for
steep decline in consumer and labour demand 15 million lost work days in the tourism sector.
in the short term. It is estimated that at least
860,000 workers in commerce and industry, of Whilst a quantitative analysis of work days lost
which approximately 33.9 percent are women, and personal income losses provides important
have been affected by the earthquakes. Seven information on the effect of the disaster on em-
million work days are expected to be lost in the ployment and livelihoods, it should be noted
commerce sector and 10 million in the indus- that income levels in Nepal are extremely low
try sector, resulting in a personal income loss and that many Nepali, especially in rural areas,
of NPR 2,667 million and NPR 3,654 million do not regularly participate in the cash economy.
respectively over the next 12 months. A cautious interpretation of the above numbers
is, therefore, needed as many poor households
Effects on Tourism did not have a high income prior to the earth-
The destruction of and damage to cultural heri- quakes and even small income losses may trans-
tage sites will likely discourage cultural tourism late into a significant increase in poverty (see the
in the short and medium terms. Ecotourism Human Development Impact Sector).
and adventure travel have also been affected
due to loss of tourism infrastructure and ser- Conducting an analysis on the impact of a disas-
vices in affected mountainous areas. Nepal has ter on the well-being of households and workers
two high tourism periods over the year and the in contexts where economic activity is primarily
earthquakes hit in the middle of the first. The undertaken through the informal sector, sub-
impending rainy season is a low tourism peri- sistence farming and unpaid family work is a
od. The second high tourism period is after the challenging task, and in this regard this PDNA
rainy season, between September and Novem- provides an indicative, rather than exact, quan-
ber. The tourism industry is expected to recover tification of the impact of the earthquakes of 25
somewhat for the next season and substantially April and 12 May 2015 in Nepal. The analysis
by the April-June 2016 season, although full of the disaster’s impact on employment and live-
recovery is expected to take longer. lihoods, therefore, outlines the anticipated im-
Table 17.2: Employment and Livelihoods Sector: Workdays Lost and Income Loss per Sector
Losses in personal income
Lost work days
Sector (in millions)
Total Women Men NPR USD
Agriculture 46,431,436 28,137,450 18,293,986 4,603.3 46.0
Commerce 7,898,324 2,796,371.97 5,101,952 2,667.1 26.7
Industry 10,822,634 4,270,250.29 6,552,384 3,654.5 36.5
Tourism 29,662,443 15,424,470.46 14,237,973 6,200.2 62.0
Total 94,814,838 50,628,543 44,186,295 17,125 171
*Note: 2010 NPR values inflated to 2015 NPR values by multiplying by 1.41, based on the national CPI series.
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pact in the short term (FY 2015-2016), medium In the aftermath of the earthquakes, the inflow
term (FY 2016-2017 to 2017-2018), and long of tourists is expected to remain low for many
term (FY 2018-2019 to 2019-2020). The actual months to come, which will have a prolonged
impact of the disaster will vary according to the impact on enterprises and workers dependent
pace and effectiveness of the reconstruction and on this once-rapidly growing sector. The im-
recovery process. pending monsoon period is normally the low
season for tourist arrivals; therefore, the impact
Short-term Impacts (FY 2015-2016) on workers in this sector will depend on whether
It is unlikely that small agricultural households tourists return for the main season between Sep-
and home-based enterprises, notably in rural ar- tember and November 2015. Projections made
eas, will be able to reconstruct and fully repair in this report (see Tourism Sector), however,
their dwellings and places of work before the suggest that a deficit in arrivals and spending is
onset of the monsoon. The subsequent coping likely to continue over 2016-17.
strategies of households will depend on their lo-
cation and sector of work. Overall, unless support measures as outlined later
in this chapter are provided, households will have
For households dependent on agriculture, the loss to seek alternative sources of income, which is
of income and livelihoods is likely to result in dis- likely to precipitate greater internal and external
tress sale of assets along with own consumption migration in the coming months. As migration is
of livestock. This will in particular affect women primarily a male phenomenon in Nepal, women
who tend to own and control smaller livestock, will typically stay at home to attend to childcare
particularly goats, pigs and chickens, which are and household duties. The overall workload for
most likely to be sold first. The damage to stored women in extended economic activities is there-
grains, seeds and tools will hinder the resumption fore expected to increase significantly.
of agricultural activity, resulting in the failure to
plant the monsoon crop. Some rural households The immediate response of households to the
will therefore be unable to sustain their subsis- earthquakes resulted in many people leaving
tence existence in the short term and instead need their residence to return to their villages to assist
to purchase products they would otherwise have with relief efforts. Based on data from NCELL
produced themselves. A surge in child labour may (the country’s leading mobile service provider),
occur, as younger household members might be figures provided by flowminder.org and World
forced to interrupt their education and take up in- Pop indicate that approximately 340,000 per-
come generating activities to support their families. sons left their homes in the Kathmandu Valley
The risk of increased child labour is especially high (Kathmandu, Bhaktapur and Lalitpur districts)
in districts where a large number of schools and after the 25 April earthquake and temporarily
classrooms have been destroyed, such as Dhading, relocated to other districts as of 27 May 2015.
Dolakha, Gorkha, Kathmandu, Kavre, Nuwakot
and Sindhupalchowk. (see the Education Sector). The short-term impact on overseas migration
is constrained by the lack of precise figures on
Due to the destruction of dwellings, household- the number of persons leaving Nepal for foreign
based and micro enterprises are facing pro- employment after the earthquakes. However,
longed business interruptions until workplaces some sources estimate that the number in May
are repaired and equipment, tools and machin- 2015 has reduced by 20 to 25 percent and is
ery replenished. In comparison, the number of likely to stay at this level for one or two months
affected workers in larger enterprises is expected before it gradually increases. How the migration
to be smaller, though many of them are absent flows from Nepal will develop over the next few
from their jobs, having returned to their home month depends on several factors, including:
rural districts. Qualitative observations suggest (i) how quickly District Administration Offices
that large enterprises are making an effort to respond to passport applications, including the
keep their workers on the payroll, whilst small extent to which ID and other personal docu-
to medium sized enterprises are more likely to ments have been destroyed/lost; (ii) access to re-
have stopped paying wages. sources to finance migration; and (iii) the avail-
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ability of local employment opportunities and mand for skilled workers in construction, which
wage developments that can offer an alternative represent some 40 percent of the needed work-
to employment abroad. Cross-border migration force (See Community Infrastructure Sector and
to India might increase further as it does not re- Housing Sector). The industry relies heavily on
quire a long preparatory process or high costs as- Indian sources for skilled construction workers,
sociated with recruitment and travel. Typically, and their availability is far less certain. The hous-
migration outflows from Nepal are relatively low ing sector alone may need 17,500 masons who
in the months before Dashain (the national fes- are often part-time workers, or migrating between
tival in late September/early October) and picks Nepal, India and the Middle East. This sector of
up after that. It is likely that this pattern will the labour market will have to be augmented by
be seen this year as well. In general, remittances a rapid input of skills training. The increased de-
are expected to be higher in the short term as mand for construction workers, especially skilled
Nepali migrant workers are likely to send higher ones, will create new employment opportunities
amounts of remittances back home. Remit- while pushing up wages in some occupations
tances to the 31 affected districts are expected to such as masonry. Finally, in the short term it is
amount to NPR 3.72 billion in 2015. also possible that hunger, sickness, despair and
distress may take a toll on affected people’s lives
According to a rapid assessment conducted by and ability to work and cope.
the Centre for the Study of Labour and Mobility
in four severely-affected sites (Kathmandu Val- Medium-term Impacts
ley, Dhading, Kavrepalanchowk and Sindhupal- (FY2016-2017 to 2017-2018)
chowk), a large number of external migrants did Over the medium term, employment and liveli-
try to return but were unable to due to: (i) not hoods will continue to be impacted by the de-
receiving permission from the employer; (ii) not struction of buildings and infrastructure, while
having the money to buy a ticket at the time; and migration will remain one of the key coping
(iii) being told by families not to return since the mechanisms for households.
migrant’s earnings had become more important
in the post-disaster situation. The assessment also Agricultural production will continue to be
revealed that, in the short run, there is a prefer- negatively impacted if households are unable to
ence for migrating within the country rather than access inputs and re-engage in farming activities.
abroad. However, in the long run, foreign em- Similarly, micro enterprises will require restora-
ployment is likely to increase. tion of work places and access to inputs in order
return to and maintain their economic activi-
Increased migration later in the year implies that ties. Even if economic activity is restored, there
a downward pressure on wages in the local la- is likely to be a negative impact on productivity,
bour market is unlikely to occur. Nonetheless, unless households are able to access productive
there may be increased pressure on households inputs and benefit from improved infrastructure
to send previously inactive members out to and other facilities. Tourist arrivals will remain
work, including children and the elderly. Special subdued over the medium term if restoration of
consideration should be given to women who cultural sites, trekking routes and other relevant
may struggle to access employment opportuni- infrastructure is slow paced.
ties, as they are likely to dedicate more time to
childcare and other caring responsibilities while Housing reconstruction is likely to generate 322
social infrastructure such as health centres and million workdays of employment over the next
schools remain destroyed and/or damaged. five years (see Housing Sector). Most of this will
occur in rural areas, reconstructing mud/stone
The construction sector, though initially dis- structures and utilizing significant amounts of
rupted, will experience a surge in demand for salvaged materials. Assuming that the majority of
workers to carry out demolitions, clearing, site reconstruction will occur in the first three years,
preparation and reconstruction of destroyed and it is estimated that the labour demand will peak
damaged buildings and other physical infrastruc- at 0.54 million workers, which is a significant
ture. The main challenge will be meeting the de- number compared to the current estimates of one
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million workers already involved in the housing mand for construction workers following the
sector. However, as noted elsewhere, a significant earthquakes, is unlikely to result in a more sus-
quantum of the unskilled work will be undertak- tainable path of structural transformation. For
en by existing family members currently outside this reason, it is critical that suppliers of manu-
the sector, so this may not be a major problem. factured goods are supported to take advantage
of the increased demand in the construction
The main concern is the skilled workforce, sector. Otherwise, the reconstruction efforts
which constitutes around 46 percent of the will contribute to higher imports of such goods,
needed workforce. The industry relies heavily mainly from China and India, subduing the im-
on Indian sources for skilled construction work- pact on job creation in manufacturing.
ers, and their availability is far less certain. The
housing sector alone may need 17,500 masons Recovery Needs and Strategy
who are often part-time workers, or migrating Enabling households and workers to recover
between Nepal, India and the Middle East. This their productive and income-generating
sector of the labour market will definitely have activities whilst also increasing their livelihoods’
to be augmented by rapid training. The recom- resilience towards future shocks must be a key
mendations therefore include a significant train- component of the reconstruction and recovery
ing element to upgrade the skills of local crafts- process. This challenge can only be met through
men in combination with the introduction of a joint effort of authorities at national and
improved earthquake-resistant technologies. district levels, the private sector, including
financial service providers, workers’ and
Prior to the 25 April and 12 May earthquakes, employers’ organizations, civil society
the number of labour migrants from Nepal was organizations and international agencies in
increasing every year; the number of labour per- order to address immediate, short-term and
mits issued between 2008-2009 and 2013-2014 medium- to long-term recovery priorities.
increased by a staggering 137 percent. Thus, the
likely medium-term scenario for the affected Recognizing that recovery paths in the differ-
districts is that migration will continue to in- ent productive sectors may differ, and that of
crease, resulting in a corresponding increase in Kathmandu may be faster than other affected
remittances to these districts. districts, this section attempts to focus mostly
on ensuring a strong employment and liveli-
Long-term Impacts hoods recovery for the largest number of poor
(FY2018-2019 to 2019-2020) people, with a focus on areas where the imme-
The long-term impact of the earthquakes on diate earthquake effects have been largest on
employment and livelihoods will depend on income and earnings – agriculture and micro
both macroeconomic factors, such as the ability enterprises. In addition to the recommenda-
of Nepal to grow more robustly and attract in- tions and activities proposed below, the Social
vestments, and constraints at the micro level, in- Protection Sector chapter provides complemen-
cluding the pace and extent of the restoration of tary recovery needs.
dwellings and infrastructure. The changes in la-
bour demand, which will eventuate over the short In order to guide prospective interventions, a
and medium terms, may further induce struc- comprehensive Working Out of Disaster, Build-
tural changes to the economy and labour market. ing Resilient Livelihoods Strategy is proposed.
In this regard, the Nepali economy was already The strategy consists of a package of interrelated
distorted by the significant inflow of remittances, downstream and upstream activities to bridge
which resulted in a service-led growth path. At the continuum from immediate income genera-
the same time, manufacturing was stagnating and tion activities to medium- and long-term em-
the share of workers in this sector stood at just 6.6 ployment recovery. It requires a comprehensive
percent according to the 2008 LFS. institutional framework, which builds on exist-
ing policies and programmes, including the Na-
The likely increase in migration of workers and tional Employment Policy in March 2015, and
inflow of remittances, along with sustained de- instils decent work values.
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Three key considerations around gender Remittance Flows and Nepali Diaspora
appropriate strategies have also been made: • Extend the waiver of remittance transfer fees
first, that informal sector and all types of work in the affected districts.
need to be counted; second, recognizing micro • Implement the Working Procedure for
enterprises where many women are engaged; Domestic Workers - 2015 approved by the
and third, recognizing women’s contribution Cabinet as part of the promotion of safe
as migrants and remittance providers in the and legal mechanisms for domestic work for
country’s path to recovery (while seeking to women migrants.
improve protection against their trafficking and • Engage the Nepali diaspora and facilitate
exploitation as migrant workers). their investment (e.g., through bonds) in
the recovery.
It will be critical that the policy environment for
recovery be supportive of opportunities for af- Poor and Vulnerable Households
fected people to rebuild their livelihoods. As such, • Improve access to homes and workplaces for
several policies and mechanisms related to con- the poor, particularly in urban areas, to pro-
struction employment opportunities, skills devel- mote sustainable livelihoods.
opment, overseas employment, and financial sup- • Provide soft loans/zero collateral loans to en-
port to micro enterprises and small farmers will able micro entrepreneurs and smallholder
be key to the success of the activities proposed. In households to replenish their assets and to
addition, there will also be a need for people in re-start their livelihoods.
Kathmandu or those moving back and building • Target workers engaged in the informal
in Kathmandu to be incentivized to reconstruct economy to ensure that the most vulnerable
according to the building codes. The policy rec- households receive livelihoods support.
ommendations given below are suggestions that • Promote partnerships with community level
will allow and support building back of people’s organizations.
livelihoods in all the affected districts.
Gender Equality and Social Inclusion
Relief, Reconstruction and Recovery • Target female workers in agriculture and
• Mainstream labour-intensive and climate- ensure access to extension services and
resilient reconstruction in earthquake- farm inputs.
affected areas. • Reduce the feminization of agriculture by
• Restore access to markets to revive supply providing skills development for women in
chains and to stabilize the local economy. entrepreneurship and masonry skills.
• Establish employment/skills services coor- • Ensure the participation and benefit of wom-
dination mechanisms/arrangements. en and Dalit communities in labour inten-
• Integrate concerns, issues and responses to sive and cash-for-work programmes.
address child labour, particularly its worst • Provide access to soft credit or non-collateral
forms, with special consideration to vulner- loans for women whose homestays are less
abilities of children and youth, drawing on likely to be insured and have limited resource
guidance provided in the Child Protection base for reconstructing their hotels.
Minimum Standard 19: Economic Recov-
ery and Child Protection and gender con- Specific Recovery Needs/Activities
siderations. Short Term (FY 2015-2016): Providing Income
• Monitor delivery of relief goods during Opportunities and Attending Immediate Liveli-
the monsoon season and ensure that the hood Recovery Needs
provision of humanitarian aid does not distort
local markets. The short-term phase (FY 2015) aims to attend
• Procure goods and services locally, to immediate needs of people and institutions
whenever possible, during the relief and re- in disaster-affected areas. The main focus in this
construction process. phase is to help people restore their livelihoods.
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It will mainly target individuals and micro-, migrant workers (e.g., through matching
small-, and medium-size enterprises. Activities job seekers with labour needed for public
suggested include: works for infrastructure recovery). These
a. Creating emergency employment opportuni- centres will need to be institutionalized at
ties through labour-intensive infrastructure the district level in the form of employment
and rehabilitation activities in disaster-affected information and facilitation centres. Crucial
areas/cash for work: Labour-intensive infra- to this will be working with both men and
structure rehabilitation not only provides in- women as well as recognizing opportunities
come for people engaged in the rehabilitation which are appropriate to their needs.
work but also provides access to social service d. Supporting the recovery of micro and small
facilities. Debris and landslide clearance ac- enterprises: Enterprise development train-
tivities will accelerate recovery and recon- ing will be provided to help disaster-affected
struction activities as well as economic activi- micro and small businesses survive and even
ties by re-establishing strategic roads. Under prosper in what is currently a very difficult
the labour-intensive infrastructure activities, business environment. Specific attention
workers will be provided with short-term, on- should be given to informal micro entre-
the-job training on basic skills required for re- preneurs, preparing for a gradual transition
habilitation and construction work. There will into the formal economy. Stimulating entre-
also be a need to recognize that some people preneurship will include improving access to
will not be in a situation to avail such services, microfinance by working with micro-finance
due to family situation such as having young institutions and facilitating partnerships
children to care for or being a female-headed with national banks.
households with an absent spouse. e. Preventing child labour: Mainstreaming of
b. Providing rapid skills development training child labour issues and concerns in pro-
for the rehabilitation and construction of gramme activities is critical, with a focus on:
housing and other infrastructure: Construc- community-based mechanisms to ensure no
tion of housing is one of the most urgent child labour is involved; integration in train-
issues. The lack of skilled workers poses a ing and monitoring/evaluation; mechanism
major risk in delaying the process. Most of for referring vulnerable children and/or those
the work will be carried out by household- identified as child labour for rehabilitation;
ers themselves who were not involved in and awareness raising among families and
construction before. Short-term, intensive concerned functionaries, including officials
skills development training on constructing of the districts, municipalities, Village Devel-
housing will therefore need to be provided opment Committees (VDCs) and teachers.
to householders who are expected to engage
in building their own houses, as well as job Medium Term (FY 2016-2017 to 2017-2018):
seekers who wish to enter the housing con- Promoting Employment Recovery by
struction sector. In addition, coordination means of Building the Capacities of
of skills provision across skill providers, skill People and Institutions
types and trainees will be critical to ensure The post-earthquake labour market is expected
opportunities are maximized. Skills related to evolve dramatically because of emerging
to entrepreneurship as well as safe migration needs for reconstruction activities in various sec-
will also be needed. tors. To create a recovery process that provides
c. Establishing employment services: Demand sustainable job opportunities for disaster-affect-
and supply in the post-earthquake labour ed people and preparing them with usable skills
market is rapidly changing. In this context, is crucial. Enterprise development and support
functional employment services are indis- for small, medium and micro enterprises will be
pensable in order to match job seekers and another focus to sustain job-rich recovery. The
potential employers, especially in the context medium-term strategy therefore consists of the
of reconstruction efforts. The centres can following activities:
also match potential workers with training. a. Establishing a labour market information
Special attention will be given to returning system: A labour market information system
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enables a more accurate identification of la- tion behaviours. Enhancing the skill levels of
bour supply and demand trends, while also prospective migrant workers so that they can
providing the basis for a more effective as- apply for better paid, higher skilled positions,
sessment of shocks to the Nepali labour mar- thereby increasing future remittances to the
ket in the wake of such disasters. affected districts, is crucial. Focusing on offer-
b. Further strengthening employment ser- ing women skills outside of the domestic work
vice centres: The emergency employment sector needs to be part of the strategy.
centres established during the short-term d. Providing skills development training for
phase can be further strengthened to under-skilled and vulnerable workers: Dur-
continue providing services to match job ing the second phase of the recovery process,
seekers and employers. job seekers will be equipped with skills de-
c. Expanding migrant resource centres and manded in the evolving labour market. For
skills training for migrants: Establishing mi- instance, in the construction sector, disaster
grant resource centres at the district level that risk reduction (DRR) related skills such as
provide information on safe migration, pre- retrofitting and building earthquake-resilient
departure training and financial education to infrastructure will most likely be in high
migrant workers and their family members is demand in the coming years. Skills train-
crucial in ensuring safe and productive migra- ing based on actual demand in the labour
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market should be offered to low-skilled job Long Term (FY 2018-2019 to 2019-2020): Sus-
seekers. It is indispensable to ensure that taining Job-rich Recovery and Promoting
certificates issued at the completion of skills Resilient Livelihoods
development trainings are accredited by the In the long term, there will be a need for continu-
national technical and vocational education ation of the earlier years’ support to ensure affect-
and training (TVET) institution. Training- ed people are able to sustain their recovery and
of-trainers programmes should be enhanced. livelihoods. This will include ensuring that the
Coordination of these additional skills being systems built up in the earlier years and the sup-
provided will need to be a priority. port these systems provide to people in sustaining
e. Continue labour-intensive infrastructure their employment and livelihoods are continued.
and rehabilitation activities in disaster-affect-
ed areas: The creation of employment op- Assessment Methodology
portunities would need to continue during The analysis of the disaster effects on the employ-
this period, but is likely to be on a smaller ment and livelihoods sector is based upon a cross-
scale. Labour intensive reconstruction could cutting analysis and takes into consideration the
gradually expand into employment intensive estimated sectoral output losses in other sectors,
investment programmes (EIIP) contributing in particular the productive sectors of agriculture,
through community contractors to local de- commerce, industry and tourism. Through com-
velopment, especially in rural areas. paring the estimated reduction in sectoral GDP
in FY 2015-2016 to 2016-2017 with the sectoral
224
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
GDP contribution in FY 2013-2014, the em- and Housing Census 2011. CBS, Kathmandu.
ployment and livelihoods effect is calculated and Central Bureau of Statistics (2013). National Account
Statistics of Nepal 2013-2014. CBS, Kathmandu.
expressed as ‘work days lost’ and ‘income loss’.
Central Bureau of Statistics (2014). Annual Household
Survey 2012-2013. CBS, Kathmandu.
Secondary data sources such as the 2011 Nation- Flowminder (2015) Nepal Population Estimates as of
al Population and Housing Census (NPHC), 27 May 2015, available online: https://data.hdx.
the 2010-2011 Nepal Living Standards Survey rwlabs.org/dataset/population-movements-after-
the-nepal-earthquake-v-2-up-to-27-may-2015/re-
(NLSS) and the 2008 Nepal Labour Force Sur-
source_download/3a626e22-c94c-42f8-b207-
vey (NLFS) were used to construct the baseline 612f41ae8b36 (accessed 5 June 2015).
scenario, including a basic employment and Giri, B. (2009). ‘The Bonded Labour System in Nepal:
earnings profile before the April/May earth- Perspectives of Haliya and Kamaiya Child Work-
quakes. Complementary qualitative insights, ers’, Journal of Asian and African Studies, 12/2009,
44(6):599-623.
gathered during field visits and consultations
ILO (2013). Updating Research on Informal Sector of
with key stakeholders, informed the impact the Construction Industry in Nepal. ILO, Kath-
analysis of the earthquakes in the short, medium mandu
and long term. ILO (2014). Nepal Decent Work Country Programme
2013-2017. ILO, Kathmandu.
ILO (2014). Nepal Labour Market Update.
Under the authority and overall guidance of the
ILO, Kathmandu.
Ministry of Employment and Labour (MoLE) International Dalit Solidarity Network (IDNS). Caste-
and the National Planning Commission (NPC), based Slavery in Nepal, available online: http://idsn.
the employment and livelihoods sector assess- org/key-issues/caste-based-slavery/dalit-women-in-
ment team was co-led by the World Bank and nepal/(accessed 5 June 2015).
Islam, R. (2014). Nepal: Addressing the Employment
the International Labour Organization (ILO)
Challenge through the Sectoral Pattern of Growth.
with support from the Asian Development Bank ILO, Kathmandu.
(ADB), International Centre for Integrated Ministry of Finance (MoF) (2014). Economic Survey.
Mountain Development (ICIMOD), Interna- MoF, Kathmandu.
tional Organization for Migration (IOM), Swiss Ministry of Labour and Employment (MoLE). 2014. La-
bour Migration for Employment: A Status Report for
Development Cooperation (SDC), United Na-
Nepal, 2013/2014. MoLE/DoFE, Kathmandu.
tions Development Programme (UNDP) and Sijapati, B. (2014). Enhancing Employment-centric
World Food Programme (WFP). Contributions Growth in Nepal. ILO, Kathmandu.
were also made by the Ministry of Federal Af- World Bank (2014) Press release online: http://www.
fairs and Local Development (MoFALD). worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2014/04/11/
remittances-developing-countries-deportations-mi-
grant-workers-wb (accessed 5 June 2015).
References World Travel and Tourism Council. (2014). Travel &
Central Bureau of Statistics (2008). National Labour Tourism: Economic Impact 2014Nepal. Available
Force Survey. CBS, Kathmandu. online: http://www.wttc.org/-/media/files/reports/
Central Bureau of Statistics (2011). Ne- economic%20impact%20research/country%20re-
pal Living Standards Survey 2010-2011. ports/nepal2014.pdf (accessed on 5 June 2015).
CBS, Kathmandu.
Central Bureau of Statistics (2012). National Population
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226
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Women, who make up the largest disadvan- Equitable post-disaster recovery could help to
taged population (more than half the popula- reduce their disadvantaged condition and in-
tion), have been the most negatively affected crease their overall resilience. It is crucial that
across the key sectors of housing, agriculture, there is no discrimination based on sex, age, sex-
water and sanitation, and tourism. A high ual orientation, gender, class, ethnicity or ability
number of female-headed households (FHHH) at all stages of recovery. This includes the dis-
have lost their homes and yet as per official data cussions and decision-making processes that de-
only 19.7 percent of the women own homes or termine the shape of recovery activities, as well
land. Lack of house and land ownership among as in the mechanisms to monitor how effective
women and Dalits, compounded by constrained these activities are. In this sense, it is very im-
access to economic resources, means that these portant to orient the recovery resources towards
groups could be marginalized by the post-disas- vulnerable groups and to strengthen the capaci-
ter house reconstruction programmes. Another ties and skills that they are already using to cope
sector worth noting is agriculture, on which a with the disaster. Women, men and vulnerable
large proportion of Nepali women and other groups must have access to reconstruction and
disadvantaged groups such as Dalits and Janjatis rehabilitation jobs as well as public works, in-
depend for their livelihood. Loss of food stocks, vestment funds and income-generating projects
potentially reduced agricultural productivity and to support their long-term economic recovery.
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It is difficult to ascertain the level of participation and influence that women have in these fora
66
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of Nepal recently took the forward-looking valuables.68 Similarly, it is likely that more men
decision to constitute a GRBC in all sectoral and boys were injured than women and girls, be-
ministries and in all District Development cause they were able to escape death.
Committees (DDC).
Disaster Impacts
Based on the 2011 national census, the 14 most-af-
fected districts include the following social groups: Social Sectors
All social groups have been hugely affected by
Table 18.1: Social Groups loss of homes and shelter. For women, however,
and Population Size homes can also be places for income generation
Social group Population size and their loss is also one of home-based eco-
(based on % of nomic resources and assets for their livelihood
total population) and well-being. Some social groups may face
Total affected population 5.7 million difficulties in rebuilding their homes due to the
Total population of af- 2.8 million fact they have limited resources to respond to
fected women and girls the disaster. It is estimated that 123,937 house-
(50.5%)
holds in the 14 affected districts are female-
Senior citizens (over 60 0.163 million headed (26 percent of all affected households).
years) (women only)
However, it can be anticipated that this figure
Dalit population (16.3%) 0.929 million
will increase given households who have lost
Female headed house- 0.123 million husbands. Likewise, an increase in single male
holds (26.6%)
households can also be expected due to higher
No. of elderly households 0.104 million fatality rates among women.
No. of children out of 1.399 million
school
Among the different marginalized groups, FH-
People living with dis- 0.322 million HHs have sustained the largest damage and loss
abilities
of approximately NPR 85.28 billion in the 14
Girls under the age of 14 0.794 million most affected districts (see Table 18.2 below).
years
The Adivasi Janajatis households have suffered
Pregnant and lactating 0.092 million
mothers
damage and loss of NPR 80.56 billion rupees,
followed by senior citizens at NPR 75.01 billion,
Post-Disaster Context and the Dalits at NPR 53.16 billion rupees.
67
Based on data from the Nepal Disaster Risk Reduction Portal: http://drrportal.gov.np/ as of 11 June 2015
68
Based on inputs from the Nepal Humanitarian Gender Task Force
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Within FHHHs, households headed by widows, There is already a lower enrolment of girls in
divorced women, separated women and single schools in comparison with boys; this gap may
(unmarried) women are at a greater risk of living increase because there is an added risk of girls
in poverty. Furthermore, women living in their being pulled out of school to help with house-
homes may not be the house owners. Women’s hold work. Another imminent risk to girls in
land and house ownership only stands at 19.17 school is child and early marriage, which is still
percent due to discriminatory ownership rights. common in Nepal. Okhaldhunga, Dhading,
FHHHs will therefore need targeted housing re- Gorkha and Rasuwa have the highest risk of
construction interventions. Based on ownership early marriage for girls as more than 70 percent
patterns observed in the 2011 Census, it can marry before the age of 19. Parents could resort
be assumed that damage and losses incurred by to marrying their daughters young as a coping
women and marginalised groups are very high, mechanism against the impacts of the disaster
especially considering that the housing quality on household expenditure. For the family of the
of marginalised groups tends to be poor. groom bringing a new member in family would
mean adding working hands, particularly in the
Considering the high levels of FHHHs, it is rec- rural agricultural contexts.
ommended that at least 25 to 30 percent of the
house reconstruction and rehabilitation funds Reconstruction of segregated and disabil-
should be allocated to them. Care should be ity friendly school toilets should be prioritised,
taken that this assistance reaches single women, even where children are in temporary schools, to
divorced women and widows who are the poorest provide privacy for menstruating girls. Further-
groups within the FHHHs, PLWD, older people, more, sustained monitoring by the MoWCSA
and ethnic/caste-based minorities. Furthermore, for the next 12 months of school attendance
considering that only 19.17 percent of women rates for boys and girls will be critical to monitor
own land and houses, access to new homes or the potential of children dropping out of school
home building finance should be made on condi- to support household work, income generation
tion of joint spouse ownership and full owner- through child labour and early marriage.
ship to female heads and single women. Recovery
should enforce the rights ordained by the Interim The UN estimates that there are approximately
Constitution, National Shelter Policy, which 1,408,189 females of reproductive age in the 14
requires the state to avail land and housing to districts and approximately 138,367 of the female
people from economically weak sections as well population are or will be pregnant in the next 12
as those residing in unsafe settlements. months. Of this figure, 18,600 will need obstetric
care in the same period. It is also estimated that
The earthquake has had a disastrous effect on 10,327 babies are born every month in the 14
education as almost 1.4 million children are out affected districts without access to basic health-
school (699,100 girls and 699,937 boys) in the 14 care 69. Damage sustained by local hospitals and
most affected districts. Toilets in public schools health centres will further limit women’s access
have also been damaged and inadequate access to to sexual and reproductive health services. It was
safe, hygienic and private sanitation facilities can noted in Nuwakot, for example, that all 27 birth-
be a source of shame, physical discomfort and in- ing centres have been destroyed. The approaching
security for school going adolescent girls. monsoon rains, compounded by displaced people
Table 18.2: Damages and Losses Sustained by Different Vulnerable Social Groups
Total damage and loss Female Senior citizen Dalits Janajati
(NPR million) HHHs HHHs HHHs HHHs
Ownership rate 26% 23% 16% 25%
Total effect per social group 326,169.00 85,279.21 75,018.87 53,165.55 80,563.74
(NPR million)
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sleeping outdoors, could promote an increase of and men’s ability to engage in economic activi-
vector borne diseases such as malaria, which may ties. They can also impede access to social capital
affect children and pregnant mothers more nega- and increase household work burden. Disrup-
tively. Additionally, potential disease outbreaks tion in water supply and electricity has had a
could add an additional work burden on women disproportionate negative effect on women and
who are the normal caretakers of the sick. girls who are traditionally responsible for 75
percent of all household water management and
The impact of the disaster on the mental health for collecting firewood. For example women in
of the affected population is not well document- Dhadhing, Lamjung, and Gorkha are spending
ed. But interviews with women and children as much as three hours collecting water70. This
show that they live in constant fear of buildings has increased the work load of women and girls
collapsing and of another big earthquake. In Ka- considerably. The earthquake has also resulted in
vre, women reported that they are afraid to let an estimated loss of more than 180,000 house-
their children out of sight, the main reason be- hold toilets. Destruction of toilets compound-
ing that children are constantly wandering into ed by lack of water and poor living conditions,
condemned homes as they don’t understand the which do not offer privacy for women and girls,
dangers a damaged house presents. The women have had a serious impact on the personal and
reported sleeping while holding their children to menstrual hygiene of women and adolescent
prevent separation should another earthquake girls. Collapse of women cooperative buildings
occur in the middle of the night. and possibilities of displacement of members to
new places may also create disruptions to future
The earthquakes have led to changes in food women development programmes.
consumption patterns ahead of the monsoon
and this will have implications on the nutrition- It is imperative that both men and women
al status of individuals. Protein consumption is should equally participate and benefit from re-
reported to have decreased in 10 out of 18 sur- construction programmes around infrastructure,
veyed VDCs in Gorkha, Sindhupalchowk, Nu- such as rehabilitation of rural roads, community
wakot, Dhading, Rasuwa and Dolakha, where buildings, irrigation systems etc. A percentage of
people are eating less meat, milk and eggs due the funds should also be targetted towards dis-
to loss of livestock and market disruption. This advantaged Dalit communities and other ethnic
situation may be worse for Dalit communities, minorities. In readiness for the monsoon, water
whose food sufficiency level is the lowest among purification awareness programmes targetting
all major caste and ethnic groups. Malnutrition women and school children in the most-affected
among Dalit children is as high as 33.9 percent. areas should be undertaken. Rehabilitation of
The combination of cultural norms (women water supply is urgently needed before the mon-
and girls eat last) and the impact of the disaster soon season begins, which will ease the burden
on food security and nutrition could be detri- of work on women and will also act as a disease
mental to women, particularly pregnant and prevention measure. Construction of public and
lactating mothers. Sustained support on food private toilets with proper lighting as part of the
supplements and nutrition for children and housing programme will alleviate the problems
pregnant women is essential. Targeted nutrition that women and girls face regarding privacy.
programmes for Dalit children, pregnant and
lactating mothers and senior citizens are also im- Productive Sectors
portant. The continuing food distribution pro- Due to significant male emigration, women
grammes should provide for older people who have crossed all ‘traditional’ boundaries of gen-
have specific food requirements. der division of labour and socio-cultural norms.
The impact on the productive sectors has there-
Infrastructure Sectors fore meant that women have suffered signifi-
Destruction of critical infrastructure such as cant losses, especially in the agriculture sector.
water sources, roads, electricity and community Agriculture is highly dominated by women,
buildings can have a profound effect on women’s largely due to feminization of agriculture as men
70
Based on data from the PDNA water supply and sanitation field visit report by the Finish Embassy.
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increasingly migrate to cities within Nepal and and private sector, which means there are very
abroad. Agricultural labour is comprised of 60 few professional women who could help ensure
percent women and 40 percent men. Women provision of gender-responsive information and
have an even larger share in the livestock sec- services to rural women farmers. With regard to
tor. As a consequence, the disaster has had a resettlement, land ownership certificates will be
disproportionate effect on women (see Figure issued jointly in the name of both husband and
18.2 below71). Women have lost approximately wife, while prioritizing land to Dalits and land-
NPR 15 billion to men, who have lost NPR 10 less ethnic minorities to ensure equal access.
billion. The loss of seed stocks will mean that
women will struggle to find good seeds for Beyond agriculture, manufacturing, commerce,
planting, which could affect subsequent yields. and personal and community services provide
In addition, the combination of loss of home, significant employment in Nepal. However,
food stocks and disruptions in essential services women’s economic activity in these non-agri-
will mean that women face an increased work culture sectors is traditionally low. Non-farm
burden in household and agricultural work. The household-based and micro enterprises in the
expected increase in animal diseases due to lack industry and commerce sectors represent an im-
of fodder and adequate shelter, combined with portant segment of Nepal’s economy. Most micro
potential distress sale of assets, will affect wom- enterprises in the rural affected areas are agro- or
en the most. Women own and control smaller forest-based, comprising mainly of food process-
livestock, particularly goats, pigs and chickens, ing, artisanal work and handicrafts, and carpentry
which are more likely to be sold first, thereby and metalwork. Damage to premises has affected
eroding their livelihoods. Agriculture will also assets that women and men use for their liveli-
be negatively affected due to lack of inputs. Al- hoods, such as looms and tools for metalwork.
though women provide most of the labour, their The damage is further compounded by reduced
lack of ownership also means that they have no demand for crafts due to depressed tourist num-
collateral for accessing inputs on credit. bers and disruptions in transport and marketing.
Overall, it is expected that men have suffered
Long-term training of female extension workers more as they are employed in larger numbers in
is needed to ensure that women, who contribute this sector. It is estimated that about 50 percent
the most to the sector and are excluded from ex- of all household-based and micro enterprises lo-
tension services, are able to access such services. cated in the 31 districts have sustained complete
Currently, only 31 percent of women farmers or partial damage to premises, machinery, tools
receive extension in comparison to 69 percent and equipment, which will affect their ability to
men. The number of women professionals in re-engage in economic activities.
the agriculture and natural resource manage-
ment sectors is very low, both in the government Based on the NLSS 2011, more women than
men are engaged in the tourism sector. Analy-
Figure 18.2: Agricultural Damage and Loss by Gender sis of the hotel and restaurant survey indicates
that 52 percent of those employed in this sector
are women. However, despite this high number,
Men 10,185,200,000 women tend to occupy less skilled jobs such as
housekeeping and waitressing. The tourism sec-
tor analysis shows that tourist numbers are down
Women 15,277,800,000
by 90 percent, some of the hotels and homestays
have been extensively damaged, all of which
25,463,000,000 have an implication on income and job losses.
Total Effect
The tourism sector estimates that 200,000 peo-
-
ple have lost their jobs. Women, who often oc-
10,000,000,000 20,000,000,000 30,000,000,000
cupy less skilled jobs, are often the first to be laid
The calculation uses women’s contribution to the sector as proxy of the damage and loss they have suffered as a result of the earthquake, the table above shows that women
71
suffered 60 percent of the effect. This figure is probably higher taking into account for women’s even higher contribution to livestock sector.
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off, while managerial positions held by men are they face in accessing economic resources, ef-
maintained. forts should be made to ensure that recov-
ery programmes do not contribute to greater
According to the Tourism Survey 2014, 57 per- inequalities. Targeted investment in women
cent of homestay owners are women. Women should be an integral part of the agricultural re-
therefore have incurred the largest loss within covery strategy. This should include the provi-
the homestay accommodation. Men on the other sion of extension services and farm inputs. Skills
hand have been most affected in the trekking sec- development for women in entrepreneurship,
tor and tour operations. Table 18.3 table below masonry skills, accompanied by market devel-
shows that women engaged in the accommoda- opment will be important in reducing women’s
tion subsector72 have lost approximately NPR dependence on agriculture and build their resil-
3.6 billion. Men, however, will bear a higher will ience against future disasters. There should be
bear a higher loss of about NPR 14.3 billion. affirmative action in ensuring the participation
of and benefits to women and Dalit commu-
Recovery efforts should focus on facilitating ac- nities in cash-for-work programmes, such as
cess to soft credit and low interest rates for fe- building of community infrastructure, rural
male owners of hospitality establishments. This road rehabilitation etc. At least 40 percent of
is particularly needed for female-owned home- the labour force should be women. Soft-credit
stays, who may struggle more than their male or non-collateral loans should be made acces-
counterparts to recover. Skill development and sible to women and men whose homestays are
direct access to external markets is needed for less likely to be insured and who have limited
women entrepreneurs to reduce their reliance on resources base for reconstructing their hotels.
local tourist markets and to enhance their resil-
ience against future disasters. Given the gender disparities in time use and
the unequal distribution of unpaid work be-
An analysis of the impact on employment and tween women and men, analysis of disaster
livelihoods indicates that more women than men impact on time use for women and men is
(50.63 million and 44.19 million work days re- critical. Disasters tend to increase the time al-
spectively) lost a high number of work days in located to productive, reproductive and com-
commerce, tourism and agriculture, except for in- munity work for women, more than for men.
dustry (see the tourism chapter for more details). A quick time-use survey in Sindhulpachowk
This is more pronounced in the agriculture sector, and Kavre indicated that women are spending
which employs more women than men. The high an additional four to five hours per day clear-
loss of work days also corresponds to a high time ing debris, salvaging of household items buried
poverty being experienced by women. Women’s under the rubble and salvaging home construc-
dependence on the sector compounded by lim- tion materials for shelter construction (see An-
ited access to economic resources means that they nex C). Women also indicated that they are go-
will struggle the most to recover from the disaster. ing to sleep later than normal at around 10:00
pm instead of 8:00 pm. Men are also allocat-
Taking into account women’s large contribution ing similar hours for home rebuilding. Caring
to the Nepali labour force and the constraints for children is also said to have increased due
72
It was not possible to calculate loss on the whole tourism sector due to lack data on male and female ownership in restaurants.
233
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to children being out of school, and it is done benefit equally from the resources made avail-
concurrently with other chores. Women also in- able for post-disaster recovery. Various women
dicated that the constant need to check on chil- development groups, committees, women-led
dren, out of concern for their safety, is limiting cooperatives and watch groups are operate at
their mobility beyond their homes. Fetching local level. Women’s cooperatives and mothers’
time of water has increased up to three hours, groups are important means for income genera-
which has also increased the work load of wom- tion, social awareness and collective action es-
en considerably than for men. The approaching pecially and safety nets for women. It also acts
planting season, compounded by the absence of a platform for women to influence community
working males, will also put an additional work decision making process.
burden on women and girls. Table 18.4 below73
shows the economic quantification of emergen- Access to courts and functioning of family pro-
cy and rehabilitation tasks that women are now tection units have been compromised by the
engaging in as a result of the earthquake. This earthquake. District courts are prioritizing serious
is the time women would have used for income crimes, which means cases of sexual and gender-
generating activities, socializing and resting based violence (SGBV) would not be a priority.
under normal circumstances. All of the above could impact women’s access
to justice, especially if they have to travel away
Governance Issues from home. Other areas of concern are the loss of
Gender inequality and other social inequalities citizen identity cards, particularly for women and
are a governance failure. Limited participation men under social protection, such as people with
of women in politics and insignificant numbers disabilities and senior citizens.
of women in the professional and civil service
categories compared to men reflects the ex- Protection Issues
clusion of women from decision-making and Although all interviewed district officers recog-
control over resources. The share of women’s nized the need to give special attention to the
representation in CA is 29.41 percent and as of needs of women and girls, PLWD, Dalits, older
January 2015, and Nepal only has 16.8 percent people and excluded ethnic and caste-based mi-
of women in the civil service overall. Participa- norities, they indicated that this was not strictly
tion and representation of women is the low- observed in the distribution of relief items. The
est amongst Dalit and indigenous women. Low main reason for this was the need to maintain
representation of women in decision-making community cohesiveness over meeting special
processes has an implication on women’s ability needs of marginalised social groups. One such
to influence how and where the reconstruction group is the newly widowed males who may sud-
and rehabilitation resources are allocated and denly have to take on the sole responsibility of
utilized. Furthermore, women’s limited voice parenting, childcare and household work. In ad-
also means that women may not be able to dition, very little is known of how people living
Although child care is done concurrently with other household chores, it is calculated separately and wholly because of the intensity of constant oversight over
73
children and because under normal circumstances a nanny or relative would take care of the children.
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with HIV/AIDS and LGBTI communities have lins. In addition, poor lighting, lack of segre-
been affected. This will require detailed investiga- gated toilets and wash facilities in temporary
tion to ensure that their needs are not overlooked shelters can contribute to an increase in sexual
during recovery. There is also a potential increase violence against women and girls. Reports from
of SGBV, human trafficking, early marriage and the shelter cluster indicate that overcrowding is
child labour as families strive to cope with the di- one of the challenges facing communities stay-
saster as a result of break down in security. ing in shelters and camps.
74
Based on PDNA field assessment done in Kavre, Sindhupalchowk and Nuwakot
75
Based on information gathered from the Gender Equality Bulletin No. 1 - Response to the Nepal Earthquake –20 May 2015
235
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14 districts; however, in Sindhupalchowk, it was around, but also in accessing relief items. Access to
reported that 89 children had lost their mothers. temporary shelters, toilets, etc., could be another
Increased child marriage is also a real risk, con- challenge which needs to be addressed in the de-
sidering the already high current 41percent rate sign of community shelters. Furthermore, there
of child marriage by the age of 18; and one in will be a great many needs in the next 12 months
10 girls being married before the age of 15. Dalit for physiotherapy services for people who are re-
women marrying age is below 16 years. There covering from their injuries. Effort should be made
is concern that the underlying vulnerability that to reach women with injuries who may not be seek
girls face in terms of early marriage could be ex- these services or family members may not see the
acerbated as families marry off their daughters at need to support them in seeking medical help.
an early age as an economic survival strategy to Many PLWD are taken care of by their household
reduce their economic burden. Similarly, fami- members who are often female. Disasters can lead
lies may force their children to support house- to loss of caretakers and or additional burden on
hold income and household work. Of particular the caretakers. In addition, women with disabilities
concern are girls who may be asked to drop out often experience multiple discriminations and are
of school to help with household work. more exposed to GBV.
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Recovery Needs and Strategy in women and vulnerable social groups at the
Institutional participation and representation micro level can contribute to the poorest sectors
of discriminated social groups through Dis- staying in below the poverty line.
trict Disaster Relief Committee (DDRC)in
all recovery programmes is essential to ensure National plans, policies, institutions and budgets
they benefit equally but also to ensure that re- reflect how governments translate commitments
covery programmes do not further marginalize to gender equality into results for women. The
them. Furthermore, measures to support and post-disaster recovery presents an opportunity to
promote attainment of ownership rights and start redressing inequalities and at the very least
tenure rights are essential to ensure that post- not perpetuate unequal access to power and re-
disaster recovery programmes do not re-enforce sources through the allocation of recovery finan-
the inequalities faced by women and vulnerable cial and human resources. It is recommended,
social groups. Similarly, mechanism to support therefore, that budget allocation under the gov-
certification and registration of women, which ernment’s institutionalized gender responsive
could facilitate ownership of land and homes budgeting framework should be increased in ad-
and women and children who have lost their dition to the specific recovery needs identified in
spouses and their parents respectively should this sector. Post-disaster recovery strategies and
be in place. Monitoring mechanism to ensure resources must strive to safeguard, restore, and
issues measures mentioned above are addressed promote economic engagement of disadvantages
should also be established. The table below out- groups, such as women and caste-based groups.
lines the recovery needs to support protection These efforts must also seek to redress inequalities
issues. Gender-related recovery needs for sectors and at the very least not perpetuate unequal ac-
are captured in respective sector chapters. cess to power and resources. Women’s economic
recovery under the post-disaster recovery pro-
From a macroeconomic recovery perspective, grammes must therefore be protected and accord-
women play a major role on the agricultural ed the same status and importance as that of men.
economy and the informal sector in addition
to reproductive work. It goes without saying Integrated Recovery Needs for Child
that women will also will play a critical role in Protection, SGBV and Human Trafficking:
rebuilding Nepal’s household and macro-econ- The government has taken the following mea-
omy. Yet, their contribution and that of other sures to strengthen child protection. These
disadvantaged social groups, to the national ac- include a ban on inter-country adoption for
counting system often remains invisible. How- the next three months starting from 26 April
ever, equitable economic growth and investment 2015, no new registrations of new child welfare
in women can lead to a reduction in their dis- homes, and a ban on transfer of children from
advantaged condition, increase overall resilience one district to another without approval from
and higher rates of economic growth. On the the District Child Welfare Board of the govern-
other hand, lack of specific recovery investment ment. However, more measures are still needed.
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Ministry of Labour; Ministry of Women, Children and Social Welfare, Nepal Police and other justice counter-parts.
76
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239
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240
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the Employees Provident Fund on a voluntary insecure areas of Western and Far Western Re-
basis, while all enterprises may join the retire- gions to provide benefits to poor communities.
ment plan under the Citizen Investment Trust.
However, there is no mandatory social insurance Social Assistance
provision for the private sector. The government runs a wide variety of social as-
sistance programmes. They include the universal
In June 2011, the government established the old-age pension for all citizens above a certain
Social Security Fund (SSF) which has approxi- age; the child protection grant for children under
mately one million declared members, both five among disadvantaged castes or those living
from the public and private sectors. Howev- in particularly deprived regions; a disability al-
er, the SSF has not yet rolled out any benefit lowance; education-related social transfers such
scheme to its members. as caste-based stipends, school meals in govern-
ment schools, cash transfers to endangered ethnic
The Budget Speech of 2014-2015 mentions that communities, support to the families of martyrs
‘the Unified Social Security Act will be enacted and victims of conflicts; and a birthing grant to
for the effective implementation of social secu- financially subsidize the cost of access to health
rity programmes’. In accordance with the ILO facilities for women in remote areas.
Social Security (Minimum Standards) Conven-
tion, 1952 (No. 102), the following nine social The current portfolio of social assistance pro-
security schemes are currently under consider- grammes is intended to address vulnerabilities
ation: (i) medical care, (ii) sickness benefits, (iii) across the life-cycle.77 However, significant over-
unemployment benefits, (iv) old-age benefits, laps and coverage gaps persist.
(v) employment injury benefits, (vi) family
benefits, (vii) maternity benefits, (viii) invalid- For example, the child grant, which is intended
ity benefits, and (ix) survivors’ benefits. It is to help improve the nutrition of young children,
currently planned that these nine branches of is presently limited to households in the Karnali
social security will be implemented in a phased area and only Dalits in the rest of the country.
manner, starting with schemes for unemploy- In addition, the scheme is limited to two chil-
ment benefits, maternity benefits, medical care, dren per household, thus leaving a number of
sickness cash benefits and employment injury children in poor households with no coverage.
benefits through the SSF. The level of benefits provided under different so-
cial assistance schemes are small and not indexed
Employmen-Related Social to inflation. As a consequence, they have little
Transfer Programmes impact in reducing poverty or other intended
In terms of its coverage and public expenditure, outcomes, such as food security or improved
the labour market-based social protection system child nutrition. In short, despite the existence
is by far the most underdeveloped area in Nepal. of a wide range of programmes that seemingly
Food or cash-for-work programmes aimed at address most life-cycle contingencies, many of
food security at the local level, through the con- these programmes are inadequate in fully and ef-
struction of public infrastructure such as roads, ficiently addressing these contingencies.
schools or health centres, have been in place for
many years. They have the common objective of Baseline Profile of Households
improving rural infrastructure and generating in Affected Areas
employment for the poor, which are self-target- Data from National Living Standard Survey
ted. An employment related social transfer pro- (NLSS) 2010-2011 and Population and Hous-
gramme, the Karnali Employment Programme, ing Census 2011 was used to sketch a general
was introduced in 2006 as a labour market-based profile of the households in the affected areas.
social protection programme. In addition, the The NLSS data does not allow district-level esti-
Rural Community Infrastructure Works (RCIW) mates because the survey is designed to be rep-
is under implementation from 1990 in the food resentative at 14 analytical domains, where each
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domain includes multiple districts or specific of total income for households in all regions.
areas of a district (urban areas, for example). From a high of 22 percent in rural Western
For the purposes of this PDNA, it is sufficient hills to 10 percent in Kathmandu Valley, re-
to select the analytical domains that correspond mittances from internal or external migrants
closely to the 14 most-affected districts. are important lifelines for households in the af-
fected areas. Other sources of income, includ-
Labour Income ing returns on investment, private pension,
Households in the mountainous districts rely and social insurance and social assistance pro-
predominantly on the agriculture sector. Farm grammes form a relatively small share (2 to 6
income is approximately 39 percent of total in- percent) of total income in these areas.
come in the mountains and agriculture is the
primary sector of employment for 60 percent Vulnerability Profile
of household heads. Farm income constitutes a On average, the share of households with at least
small proportion of total income in urban hills one PWD member, single woman, children aged
(17 percent) and is smaller still in Kathmandu 0-5 and elderly (aged 65 or older) is 8.3 percent,
Valley (1 percent). Corresponding to the income 10 percent, 21 percent and 41 percent, respec-
shares, the share of household heads employed tively. However, there is a lot of variation across
in agriculture is 3 percent in Kathmandu Valley districts and across earthquake-affected areas. Ta-
and 34 percent in urban hills. The share of non- ble 19.1 shows the percentage share of vulnerable
farm wage income is the highest in Kathmandu households across earthquake-affected districts.
Valley (41 percent) and it forms roughly a quar- The share of households with children in affected
ter of total income in other areas. Household districts is relatively higher than the overall aver-
heads are predominantly wage- or self-employed age, while the share of households with elderly
in non-agriculture sectors in urban areas. is relatively lower in affected districts. About 60
percent of households have a household member
Non-labour Income from at least one vulnerable group.
The primary source of non-labour income is
housing rent. On average, almost two-fifths of Framework of Analysis
total income of households in Kathmandu Valley A rapid welfare analysis was conducted by the
comes from renting out houses. Housing rent is a team to measure the effects and impacts of the
less important source of income for households in earthquakes. Consumption is used as the proxy
the mountain region or other rural areas. for welfare, since the primary aim of social pro-
tection is to ensure that household consump-
Transfer income/other Sources of Income tion does not fall below some minimum thresh-
Remittances constitute an important share old. Baseline consumption levels are estimated
Source: World Bank calculation based on Housing and Population Census 2011
Notes: * This includes those with the following: physical disability, blindness and low vision, deafness, speech problem, mental Illness and intellectual disability; ** This includes widows,
divorced and separated but excludes never married.
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from NLSS 2010-2011 and post-earthquake the agriculture sector, wage employment in non-
consumption is simulated using reasonable as- agricultural sectors, and income from enterprises.
sumptions on the severity of the earthquakes The largest share of non-labour income is rent
and the size and direction of shocks on various from dwellings. Finally, private remittances from
income sources. household members residing inside or outside the
country dominate transfer income. Table 19.2
Households face negative income and con- outlines the framework to analyze the effects and
sumption shocks due to the earthquakes for a impact of the earthquakes on income and, con-
number of reasons. Many households have lost sequently, consumption. The magnitude of in-
their primary bread winner while others have come losses depends on the intensity of the earth-
incurred catastrophic health expenditure on quake in the district, source of labour income, if
medical treatment of the injured. Household a household rents out part of a dwelling, and if
labour has been diverted from productive ac- it receives remittances from household members
tivities to caring for the injured, clearing rubble, residing inside and/or outside the country.78
making alternative arrangements for shelter, and
rebuilding damaged houses. Along with their Disaster Effects and Impacts
dwellings, many agricultural households have In the assessment model used, it is assumed that
lost seeds, fertilizers, cattle, draught animals and the impact of the earthquakes was more severe
agricultural equipment, inputs that they rely on. on the agriculture sector. The earthquakes oc-
Households with enterprises have lost places of curred just before the main planting season. At a
business and physical assets. Homeowners who time when farmers should have been busy mak-
rented out part of their dwelling and whose ing preparations for transplanting paddy, they
house was damaged stand to lose rent income, lost household labour due to the death of family
an issue particularly relevant in urban areas. In members, found themselves injured or caring for
the aftermath of the earthquakes, there has been the injured, and busy clearing rubble. The loss
a large outflow of migrants from Kathmandu of agricultural inputs may cause severe decline
and other urban areas. This includes those who in agricultural productivity in the coming sea-
have returned temporarily to help in relief and son. Some households have been displaced from
rebuilding and those who are considering never their area of residence because their settlements
to return to areas of seismic risk. The time mi- have been deemed unsafe due to continuing risk
grants spend away from their economic activity of landslides. Such households have lost access
cause earnings losses. to their plots of land for cultivation. To the ex-
tent that households derive a significant share of
To model the impact of the earthquakes on total calories from home-produced food, poor
household welfare, three sources of income are harvests will cause severe food deprivation. Net
identified: labour, non-labour and transfer in- food buying households will suffer further due
come. Labour income constitutes income from to loss of purchasing power.
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through the secular economy-wide effect. Sec- Welfare Losses for All Households
ond, the shortfall is 20 percent or more in the Table 19.4 shows the estimated total welfare
most-affected districts of Ramechhap, Dolakha, losses for all households in all districts, all house-
Sindhupalchowk, Kavrepalanchowk, Dhading, holds in the 31 affected districts, or all house-
Nuwakot and Rasuwa. Third, despite the prox- holds in the 14 most-affected districts. The es-
imity of Lalitpur, Bhaktapur and Kathmandu timated losses in welfare in the entire country
districts to the epicentres, the districts fare better due to the earthquake is over a hundred billion
because of proportionately fewer damaged houses rupees, a loss of approximately 7 percent. As ex-
and low reliance on agricultural income. pected, the proportion of losses is higher in the
31 affected districts and 14 most-affected dis-
While the results of the simulation presented tricts – 8.6 percent and 10.2 percent respectively
here apply for all households, some households – for a value of NPR 63 billion and 47.5 billion.
are more vulnerable than others. Loss of labour
income is likely to be higher in households with There is a strong correlation between the
elderly, disabled and young children because of proportion of losses in welfare and the
the need for extra care. The incidence of men- severity of the earthquakes (Figure 19.2).
tal and physical health problems is likely to be Nuwakot, Dolakha and Sindhupalchowk dis-
higher among the elderly, disabled and children. tricts, each with a severity index of more than 90
Female-headed households (FHHH) may have percent, experience welfare losses of 20
weaker access to formal and informal safety net percent or higher. The next cluster of districts,
systems to fall back on. Households with young with severity between 60 to 80 percent include
children may cope with the shock by withdraw- Dhading, Ramechhap, Rasuwa, Gorkha and
ing older siblings to look after younger ones, Kavrepalanchowk and face welfare losses of 15
leading to these children missing school and to 20 percent. Dhading and Nuwakot districts
potentially dropping out. fare worse than expected given the severity of the
earthquakes because, among the most-affected
The needs assessment is done under two scenar- districts, their reliance on agricultural income is
ios: (i) all households are targeted, and (ii) only relatively high – 68 and 66 percent respectively.
the most vulnerable households are targeted. For
present purposes, we define vulnerable house- Compared to the correlation between the pro-
holds as one with an elderly (aged 65 or above), portion of loss and severity, the correlation
single woman (widowed, divorced, or separated), between the level of loss and severity is weaker
disabled, or with children 5 years old or younger. (Figure 19.2) because some hardest-hit districts
0.3
.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
Taplejung
Ilam
Morang
Dhankuta
Sankhuwasabha
Solukhumbu
Khotang
Saptari
Dhanusa
Sarlahi
Ramechhap
Sindhupalchok
Lalitpur
Kathmandu
Rasuwa
Makwanpur
Bara
Chitawan
Lamjung
Syangja
Manang
Myagdi
Baglung
Palpa
Rupandehi
Arghakhanchi
Rolpa
Salyan
Banke
Surkhet
Jajarkot
Jumla
Mugu
Bajura
Achham
Kailali
Dadeldhura
Darchula
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have lower baseline levels. Of the eight districts districts respectively, compared to 8.3 and 10
with severity of 60 percent or higher, five have percent for all households.
average welfare losses less than would be expect-
ed, evidenced by their position below the line of Although vulnerable households do not appear to
best fit. In contrast, loss levels in Kathmandu, suffer disproportionately from the earthquakes,
Bhaktapur and Lalitpur are far above the line of there are reasons to think they will have a slower
best fit as they start from a higher baseline level. path to recovery and are vulnerable to irreversible
damages. First, if the earthquakes resulted in dis-
From the social protection perspective, the ability among any of the household members, then
amount necessary to restore the welfare of the household’s earning capacity may be temporar-
households is the level of welfare losses. For ily or, at worse, permanently affected. Second, able
this purpose, the relevant measure is the aver- members may also reallocate a portion of their
age welfare loss of directly affected households, working hours as well as their monetary resources
as the state cannot be expected to lessen the to care for disabled family members. This holds
burden of households resulting from a general true for households with elderly members. Third,
contraction of the economy. children in these households are at risk of child la-
bour, dropping out from school and higher rates
The necessary level of transfer in the districts of malnutrition. This may have irreversible damage
in Kathmandu Valley ranges from NPR 78000 on these children’s human capital.
in Lalitpur to about NPR 1,50,000 in Kath-
mandu. In comparison, in districts like Sindhu- This analytical approach is subject to a num-
palchowk, Dolakha, Ramechhap, Rasuwa and ber of limitations. First, the estimates for loss-
Dhading, the necessary transfer amount to fully es do not account for an increasing need to
restore the lost household welfare of affected consume more goods and services to address
households ranges from NPR 40,000 – NPR earthquake-related health problems and to
50,000 because of the lower baseline level of rebuild damaged properties. Second, the model
welfare in the districts. does not account for no-income transmission
mechanisms that affect welfare. For example, it does
Welfare Losses for Vulnerable not account for the possible impact of higher prices
Households (induced by supply shocks) on welfare. This may
The losses experienced by vulnerable house- be marginal because prices have not noticeably in-
holds in the 31 affected and 14 most-affected creased one month after the disaster. Lastly, the num-
districts (Table 19.5 below) represent a slightly ber of vulnerable households is fixed in the model.
larger share of household welfare compared to As such, the calculated losses and amount of social
the average. Vulnerable households experience protection needed to restore welfare can be inter-
losses of 8.5 and 10.5 percent in the 31 and 14 preted as lower bounds.
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Figure 19.2: Proportion of Consumption Shortfall and Correlation between Severity of Shock and Average
Welfare Loss
Nuwakot
60000 80000
25
Dolakha
Dhading
Bhaktapur Dolakha
Rasuwa
% Shortfall
Gorkha Kavrepalanchok
40000
Ramechhap
Kavrepalanchok Gorkha
15
20000
Sindhuli Kaski Sindhuli
Mugu
Chitwan Makwanpur
.1
Bhaktapur Sahkhuwasabha
Nawal parais
Okhaldhunga
Makwanpur Rupandehi
Morang
Terathum
Kapilvastu
Khotang Lamjung
Tamghas
Chitwan
Morang
Chitwan
Sankhuwasabha Arghakhanchi
Mugi
Dang
Dhakuta Lamjung
Kathmandu
Salyann
Salya
Arghakhanchi
Salyan
Arghakhanchi
.05
.05
0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00
Severity Severity
Underlying Risks and Vulnerabilities earnings. On the other hand, it is usually wom-
en who will be out of a job in case of any losses
Malnutrition in the informal economy. Social protection mea-
Malnutrition rates in children in Nepal are sures applied in the employment sector usually
among the highest in the world; 41 percent of protect workers in the formal sector and tend
children under five are stunted. Poor infant- and to exclude women working in the informal sec-
child-feeding practices are prevalent – only 24.4 tor. The situation makes women of earthquake-
percent of children between six and 24 months affected districts more vulnerable and inhibits
are fed adequately and 13.4 percent of babies are their ability to recover from damages as a result
born with low birth weights to mothers below of the earthquakes.
20 years of age. Almost half (48 percent) of the
pregnant women are anaemic and chronic en- Education
ergy deficiency in women remains high, at 23.9 The Ministry of Education (MoE) provides four
percent in the Far Western region and 19.3 per- types of basic education (grades 1-8) scholar-
cent in the Mid-Western region.79 ships for girls, Dalits, the disabled and marginal-
ized ethnic groups. These scholarships are aimed
Gender at enhancing gender equity and inclusion.
Women continue to experience greater vulner- The MoE also provides a secondary education
ability to poverty and score lower in other areas (grades 9-10) scholarship for the same groups.
of human development because of gender‐based Other scholarships are targeted at various cat-
discriminatory practices, unequal access to ser- egories: martyrs’ children, the conflict-affected,
vices like health and education, and inequitable freed Kamalaris (victims of bonded labour or
control over resources such as property. In terms domestic slavery as young girls), and students in
of employment, males dominate in formal sec- model schools and feeder hostels. The second-
tor employment and majority of informal sector ary scholarship for Dalits is NPR 500 per year,
workers are female. Female workers account for while for the disabled it is NPR 1700 per year.
only about 3.5 per cent of the non-agricultural Similarly, the secondary scholarship for martyrs’
formal sector, while the agricultural sector is children is NPR 18,000 per year, while for the
fully female dominated. Women in the informal conflict-affected it is NPR 14,000. The extent of
sector have job insecurity, low wages, long work- overlap among the scholarships or the impact of
ing hours, no fringe benefits and no incentive each has not been fully analysed.80
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81
ILO, 2012
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affected districts will be initiated. It is expected to therapeutic to deal with traumatic events. Equally
take a couple of months to identify and register important is to build the capacities of children,
all children under the age of five years. This will since their ability to take action can enhance
allow the government to scale-up and universal- information delivery, assessments and consulta-
ize the child grant to all 14 districts most severely tion processes. Child-friendly local governance
affected by the earthquake. This intervention (CFLG), therefore, provides a platform for local
would have a triple effect: (i) it would signal to bodies to support issues related to children.
the population that the government is doing what
is in its capacity to help them; (ii) it would serve Strengthening Social Protection: MIS-linking
as an immediate response to the economic needs with Vital Registration
of the affected population; (iii) it would main- In order to realize gains in efficiency and effec-
tain coherence in the system of social protection, tiveness, significant investments are necessary to
while at the same time contributing to the vision modernize and upgrade the current administra-
of a consolidated system under the planned social tive systems for social protection, in particular
protection framework. the cash transfer system. The disaster provides
an opportunity to turn the administrative sys-
School Feeding Programme tem into a paperless one. The introduction of
There is a need to address the issue of vulner- an effective MIS would reduce human error as
ability of children, which will affect their nu- well as undue discretionary power of officials
tritional status and/or those potentially at risk and decision-makers. The establishment of a
of dropping out from schools. To address the comprehensive household registry with fam-
situation, it is suggested to introduce a mid-day ily folders, which is unified across districts and
meal programme (school feeding programme) accessible online, could ensure timely updating
as assistance to all children affected by the of critical information such as registration of
earthquakes, at least for a period of six months. new beneficiaries, updating of vital event data
This is expected to have the following posi- and verification of payments to individual ben-
tive effects: (i) improved school enrollment, eficiaries. The MoFALD has already developed
(ii) improved school attendance and retention an MIS for cash transfers and is rolling out its
through the day, (iii) socialization to overcome use across select 14 districts to facilitate digiti-
caste and gender prejudices, and (iv) in-kind zation of beneficiary data. The roll-out of this
support to poor families. MIS across another 14 districts could similarly
ensure better record-keeping, transparency and
Identification of Beneficiaries transfer delivery. The MIS of the SSF for the
All eligible beneficiaries can be identified as per design and delivery of the five selected social
the government list of social assistance available security schemes and for other labour market-
in VDCs and municipalities. Given the urgency, based social protection schemes also needs to be
this is the best option for the identification of strengthened. In the context of Nepal, it is to
beneficiaries in the emergency phase. Targeting be expected that establishing a robust MIS will
would require some three to four months while have cross-sectoral external effects on strength-
identifying beneficiaries. This delay would not ening policy implementation as well.
be helpful in the immediate recovery phase of
a disaster that has affected large numbers of the Costing of the MIS Roll-out
population. Children of the pre-primary level Rolling out the MIS system in the affected dis-
and students up to secondary level who have lost tricts needs both institutional capacity building
their parents in the earthquakes can be identi- and technology support. Thus, some equipment
fied as new beneficiaries. These children can be and human resource support will be needed to
assisted through the school feeding programme. make the MIS functional. The tentative cost for
rolling out the MIS system in 14 affected dis-
Child-friendly Local Governance tricts would amount to around US$275,000.
From a social accountability perspective, it is very
important that duty bearers are informed of the Strengthening the Capacity of Service Providers
vulnerability of children. Children’s participation Implementation and monitoring of social assis-
in relief recovery and rehabilitation is considered tance and social insurance programmes rely on
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the existing administrative structure at the local could be introduced, which is a one-stop shop for
level, such as VDCs for MoFALD cash trans- the delivery of social protection programmes and
fers, schools for MoE scholarships and SSF for employment services at the local level. Families
rolling out different social security schemes. To register in a single office at the district level. A
overcome the capacity constraint of these service social worker takes charge of them and evalu-
providers, significant investments of human and ates their needs. Based on the identified needs,
financial resources is required. To supplement the social worker proposes an integrated package
existing monitoring and evaluation systems, of programmes and services (social assistance,
with specific focus on tracking potentially last- skills and employment support) provided by the
ing impacts of the earthquakes among affected government, development partners and NGOs.
households, it would be advisable to carry out Thus, the SWS performs the following tasks on
waves of household surveys with a sample large behalf of service providers: (i) information desk,
enough to be representative at the district level, (ii) registration of households, (iii) collection of
at least over the next few years. information, (iv) vulnerability assessment and
skills assessment, (v) up-dation of database, (vi)
Medium-term Perspective (FY 2016-2017 to enrollment of families under the appropriate
FY 2017-2018) services and programmes, and (vii) collection of
contributions. The SWS goes hand-in-hand with
Finalization of the National Framework for an integrated MIS.
Social Protection
The NPC is currently preparing a properly costed Enactment of the Unified Social Security Act
National Framework for Social Protection (2012- Following the Budget Speech of 2014-2015,
2022) under an effort led by the National Steering by enacting Unified Social Security Act,nine
Committee on Social Protection Framework. This branches of social security will be implemented
is a crucial process, since one important effect of in a phased manner, starting with the schemes
the completed Framework would be to provide a for unemployment benefits, maternity benefits,
common strategy, such as one based on a life-cycle medical care, sickness cash benefits and employ-
approach. The document would provide the con- ment injury benefits through the SSF. Poor and
ceptual framework for building a nationally deter- vulnerable households will be provided with cash
mined social protection floor on the basis of which and other labour market-based social protection
policy and operational coherence and harmoniza- based on the Poor Household Identification Sur-
tion of different social protection provisions could vey of the 14 most-affected districts by the Minis-
be ensured, and adequate levels of social protec- try of Cooperatives and Poverty Alleviation. Cov-
tion could be provided to all members of society erage of schemes will be progressively extended to
throughout their life-cycle. The Framework should all workers and their families in Nepal.
also emphasise the value of social protection
schemes for disaster preparedness. This would pave Long-term Perspective (FY 2018-2019
the way for envisaged long-term interventions. to 2019-2020)
Strengthening the Administrative Systems Goal: Addressing the coverage gaps in the cur-
through Electronic Payments System rent social protection system, and developing an
An electronic payments system would help en- integrated system across all social protection pro-
sure payments to beneficiaries are processed on grammes addressing different kinds of contingen-
time, in the right amount, and generally in a cies and risks.
more accessible manner. The MoFALD started
a branchless banking pilot in five districts in FY Enhancing the poverty impact of current mix of
2013-2014. The use of biometrics by banks to social protection schemes by the extension of social
verify the identity of the individual beneficiaries protection measures to provide a basic income to
helps ensure that the cash allowance is received by all in need of such protection and comprehensive
the intended beneficiary. In the context of build- medical care through an efficient administrative
ing back better, a Single Window Service (SWS) system and prudent fiscal management.
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As per the Article 18 of the Interim Constitu- pension system should be an inherent part of
tion, National Framework for Social Protection long-term social protection strategy.
and the ILO’s Social Protection Floors Recom-
mendation No. 202, the coverage gaps should Social assistance should be extended to all the
be closed through appropriate and effectively poor and vulnerable households identified by
coordinated social protection schemes, whether the Poor Household Identification Survey by the
contributory or non-contributory, or both, in- Ministry of Cooperatives and Poverty Alleviation.
cluding through the extension of existing con-
tributory schemes to all concerned persons with Recognizing constitutional provision of social
contributory capacity. Considering the fiscal protection as a human right and a socio-eco-
sustainability of existing non-contributory so- nomic necessity in the presence of recurring
cial insurance schemes, there is an urgent need natural and non-natural disasters, it is recom-
to design and implement contributory pension mended that social protection should main-
products in the country. Raising public aware- streamed in the overall disaster management
ness about the benefits of such contributory strategy of the country.
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82
Severity of earthquake is the share of fully-damaged houses in the district. A severity level of 1 implies all the houses in the district were fully damaged.
The information is available from http://drrportal.gov.np.
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20. Governance
Summary es of delivering government services, namely,
The ability of the government to lead the post- the capacity and functioning of local bodies. To
earthquake recovery work has been severely af- date, these challenges include strengthening ac-
fected by damage to government infrastructure, countability, ensuring staff are present in their
the loss and damage to equipment and materials current positions and trying to reduce the high
in government offices, and the loss of vital gov- turnover of staff.
ernment records. The governance sector for the
purpose of this PDNA covers: local government Pre-Disaster Context
and non-service delivery, national-level institu- and Baseline
tions concentrating on administrative and rule of The governance sector of the PDNA is subject to
law-related service delivery, as well as civil society. a number of relevant legislation, including the
Natural Calamity Relief Act 1982, which man-
The Government of Nepal (GoN) urgently dates MoHA as the lead agency for immediate
needs to restore functionality to the 1,711 build- rescue and relief works as well as disaster pre-
ings destroyed or damaged in the most-affected paredness activities. The enactment of the Local
districts as well as those damaged or destroyed Self-Governance Act (LSGA) in 1999 expanded
at the central level (including army buildings). the mandates of local bodies, devolving the pow-
Temporary accommodation will be needed to ers, responsibilities and resources required to al-
ensure the efficient resumption of administra- low local governments to meet the basic infra-
tive services and to ensure that local govern- structure needs of the locality. The LSGA was a
ments can coordinate the recovery. The cost of landmark legislation in the devolution of power
damage to the governance sector is estimated at and resources in that it established an important
NPR 18,575 million, with a reconstruction cost foundation for the provision of socially inclusive
of NPR 15, 413 million and a recovery cost of services to the citizenry through grassroots de-
NPR 3,028 million based on self-reported data mocracy. The Act not only makes arrangements
and information provided to the Ministry of for ensuring that local bodies are accountable
Federal Affairs and Local Development (Mo- to their citizens, but also works towards active
FALD), Ministry of General Administration, citizenship involvement in local democratic pro-
Ministry of Home Affairs (MoHA), the Su- cesses, including integrated planning processes
preme Court, the Office of the Attorney Gen- and social audits.
eral, the Nepal Army and the Financial Comp-
troller-General. Fourteen-Step Planning Process
The government planning process begins with
The GoN will work to strengthen governance (1) directives on the budget ceiling for the com-
systems more broadly in line with the Good ing year sent by the National Planning Com-
Governance Act of 2006. This will include mission (NPC) and the ministries. District
strengthening accountability processes, working Development Committee (DDC) officials (2)
collaboratively with civil society, strengthening review the ceilings and (3) plan formulation
citizen service centres and rule of law processes, workshops in the local bodies. These workshops
and ensuring the participation of the most vul- discuss policies, goals and resource availability,
nerable, affected populations in decision-mak- including estimates for each Village Develop-
ing processes. To achieve this, the staffing and ment Committee (VDC). VDCs then convene
financial management capacities of the govern- (4) meetings on programmes to be implement-
ment need to be augmented at the district, mu- ed at the ward/settlement level. The selection
nicipal and village levels. To best serve recovery of programmes occurs at settlement level (5)
needs of the local population, the government involving the villagers, user committees and
will look to overcome one of the main challeng- other community level organizations. The ward
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committees meet (6) to discuss local grant re- growth, social transformation, sustainable peace
quests. VDCs then meet (7) to prioritize pro- and good governance as its major objectives,
grammes, prepare resource estimates and select along with an emphasis on devolution, decen-
programmes that can be funded with the VDC tralization and development of local governance.
budget. Those that would need external support
are separated for further referral. The next step The Good Governance Act (GGA) formalizes
(8) involves the Village Council. The Council this good governance intent by transforming the
approves the programmes and submits them to system’s administrative structures into service
the Ilaka-level planning workshop (9). These providers and facilitators with responsibility for
workshops prioritize sectoral programmes re- upholding rule of law, promoting human rights,
quested by VDCs and municipalities, which ensuring government accountability, and en-
are then forwarded to DDCs. Sectoral commit- couraging financially prudent and corruption-
tees in the DDCs review the recommendations free public administration.
of the Ilakas83 (10), identify those that can be
funded at the district level and those that would The powers relating to justice are exercised by
need central support, and send their recom- courts and other judicial institutions in Nepal in
mendations to the Integrated Plan Formulation accordance with the provisions of the constitu-
Committee. This committee reviews the recom- tion and other legislation. There are three tiers of
mendations, prioritizes and submits a draft dis- courts: (i) Supreme Court, (ii) appellate courts,
trict development plan to the DDC (11). The and (iii) district courts. There are altogether 16
DDC meeting discusses the draft plan along appellate courts, 75 districts courts and one Su-
with the guidelines from NPC and other gov- preme Court, which function as an apex court.
ernment agencies and identifies programmes
that can be implemented with local resources This PDNA pays particularly close attention
and those that need central government sup- to local authorities in the 14 most-affected
port. This draft plan is sent to the DDC Coun- districts. The administrative structure of
cil (12). The DDC Council approves the final Nepal is currently divided into three levels:
document (13). The plan and programmes ap- central, district and local (municipalities
proved by the DDC Council are sent to the and villages). In terms of build back better,
NPC, MoFALD and sectoral ministries. (14) Nepal’s new federal structure will have to be
The approved programmes are included in the considered when making final decisions on re-
Red Book, the official allocation register. construction to ensure greater efficiencies and
effectiveness. Overall, the local government
Specifically, the Local Body Resource Mobili- structure has limited capacities.
zation and Management Operation Guidelines
(LBRMMOG) approved by the Cabinet in There are 75 districts across the country. Each
2012 includes a number of procedures to pro- district has a DDC headed by the Local De-
mote accountability and transparency at the velopment Officer (LDO), who reports to
local level. These require local bodies (VDCs, MoFALD, and a District Administration Of-
municipalities and DDCs) to: fice headed by the Chief District Officer, who
• publically display on notice boards and over reports to MoHA. The Chief District Officer
radio full details of all programmes or proj- is responsible for law and order and security.
ects with cost estimates of NPR 200,000 and As elections to local bodies in Nepal have not
NPR 500,000 or above; been held for more than 13 years, the DDCs are
• make public their income and expenditures headed by LDOs pending elections. LDOs are
on quarterly and annual basis; responsible for coordination with all line depart-
• audit completed projects before a final instal- ments for development activities such as health,
ment is paid; and education, forestry and environment.
• conduct social audits at least once a year.
In 2014, the government announced the cre-
This is in line with Nepal’s 13th Three Year ation of 133 new municipalities (prior to which
Plan that includes poverty alleviation, inclusive there were only 58 municipalities) through a
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two-round process. Municipalities are cities that participation and representation in local gov-
meet minimum criteria in terms of population ernance processes. An interim arrangement was
and infrastructure. Each municipality has a dif- established by MoFALD in 2008 and rolled out
ferent structure based upon needs and available in 2010 where 25 members are selected to the
revenues. Many of the newest municipalities are WCF to undertake many of the functions nor-
not yet fully staffed and have not received the mally undertaken by the elected Ward Council.
requisite budgets to fulfil their legal mandates. Members are selected with attention to gender
balance and ethnic diversity, including disad-
There are currently 3,276 VDCs in the country. vantaged groups. This lack of electoral represen-
Usually around 10 percent of the VDC Secre- tation disconnects government from the popula-
tary posts are vacant at any given point. There tion during the present planning and delivery of
are only 81 women Secretaries. Political and ad- relief goods and provision of other local services.
ministrative commitments have been made by
the GoN to significantly increase the number of Post-Disaster Context
women and diversity candidates within the civil Central government infrastructure damaged by
service. Challenges remain in ensuring presence the earthquakes includes the prime minister’s
of the VDC Secretary, of staffing the VDC as- office, the NPC, the Election Commission, the
sistants’ position, and in ensuring they have Supreme Court and the personnel records depart-
the ability to undertake prime functions that ment of the Ministry of General Administration.
include issuing vital documents (certificates of
births, deaths and marriages) and, in conjunc- The Ministry of General Administration has been
tion with the Ward Citizenship Forum (WCF), working to ensure that the required staff for dam-
prioritise development plans and monitor ac- age assessment and relief work is available, and
tivities of line ministries. the government has set up an assessment process
for damages at the district and sub-district level.
The GoN has acknowledged an accountability Over 2,500 civil servants are currently part of the
gap at the local level due to a number of factors, assessment process, which is made up of 200 vol-
including limited GoN staffing at the VDC lev- unteer engineers and 1,300 permanent civil ser-
el, no local elections since 1997, administrative vants from different districts and the central level.
weaknesses identified in the previous All-Party In total, 14 Secretaries, 57 Joint Secretaries, and
Mechanism and lack of official audits of VDC 60 Under Secretaries were also deployed from the
expenditures. Currently, audits are carried out central government to the affected areas for pe-
but by contracting private firms. There remain riods of one week to a month in order to help
political challenges to holding elections until af- supervise the setting up of the relief effort.
ter the new constitution has been finalized. Pro-
cedural requirements imposed on local govern- Daily operations of treasury functions were re-
ment bodies with limited capacity and resources, stored within one week of the first earthquake
compounded by political influence on public with no major effect on fund release or payment
finance allocation decisions and other develop- transactions. The main building of the Finan-
mental activities, have resulted in an ‘informal- cial Comptroller-General’s Office has several
ization of the processes and procedures of local cracks and, whilst habitable, may require retro-
governance’, making it difficult for the mecha- fitting, according to engineering estimates. The
nism to ensure accountability in public services. main server in the building, which houses the
financial management information system is op-
While local elections can be a remedy for the erational. Of the five affected District Treasury
lack of representation and accountability at the Comptroller Offices, daily operations are being
local level, given the uncertainty of such dates, carried out in available space in other offices.
the government, through its Local Governance Where information flow is affected due to col-
and Community Development Programme lapse of buildings, information is still available
(LGCDP), is working with WCFs and Citi- in the central server and hence further transac-
zen Awareness Centres (CACs) to strengthen tions are still being managed.
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corpus, serious crimes and any criminal cases severe damage and is no longer habitable. The
with a looming statute of limitations issue. In loss of this building is impeding the functioning
the more heavily-affected districts, courts are of- of the commission, which is a constitutionally
fering even more limited services out of tents. In established body with central and regional of-
several districts where the court buildings col- fices responsible for ensuring the respect, protec-
lapsed, court records have been destroyed/lost. tion and promotion of human rights. There are
Lack of appropriate office facilities for the Attor- numerous files that are at risk of damage or de-
ney General will impede the work of prosecutors struction due to the condition of the building.
and could create additional backlogs. The commission is expected to have a significant
role in monitoring the situation in earthquake-
Beyond structural damage to buildings, the jus- affected districts and overseeing the human
tice sector is facing enormous challenges due rights approach to ensure equitable recovery
to the fact that the administration of justice in planning and implementation.
Nepal is largely still paper based. In the 14 most-
affected districts, records and files have suffered Several prisons in Nepal were also affected by
varying degrees of damage and loss. the earthquakes. In particular, the central prison
in Kathmandu, Bhadra Bandi Griha, suffered
The National Women’s Commission and the severe damage. Buildings collapsed, killing 16
National Dalit Commission structures have inmates and injuring another 23. In Sindhupal-
suffered damages. To ensure that these national chowk, the prison collapsed, allowing more than
GoN institutions are able to perform their es- 200 prisoners to escape. Similarly, in Dolakha
sential work protecting some of the most vul- district, a prisoner housing block has collapsed.
nerable populations, their buildings should be
assessed and supported. The cost of damages to the buildings is NPR
18,757 million, calculated from data available
The Nepal Police is also reporting significant at the time of the assessment. The data in this
damage to police stations and posts in vari- PDNA is from government sources as of 10 June
ous locations (16 different districts). A total of 2015. This includes data from the Nepal Army
92 police facilities have suffered some level of that estimated damages for the entire country.
damage. It is not clear how many of these in-
stallations are rented and how many are actually Data gaps remain (e.g., the Ministry of Urban
owned by Nepal Police. Even without static fa- Development is awaiting more formal estimates of
cilities, police continue to provide law and order rebuilding/renovation costs for central-level build-
and, where needed, the Armed Police Force have ings such as the Election Commission building,
deployed troops in tents. the Office of the Auditor General, the Department
of Personnel of the Ministry of General Adminis-
The Nepal Bar Association (NBA) plays an inte- tration, etc.). The GoN is carrying out assessments
gral role in ensuring access to justice along with of damages to the institutions in each of the vil-
the Ministry of Law and Justice. In a large num- lages within the 14 most-affected districts. Five
ber of districts, the Supreme Court allocates hundred teams have been deployed for this exer-
land within the district court’s property for the cise, each team comprising five civil servants. The
NBA. It is then that the bar association collects results are expected to be ready in mid-June and
money from its members to build an office. It is will give more detailed information.
clear that members of the bar will face difficulty
in raising money at this critical time to fund the As governance is a cross-cutting sector, losses to
reconstruction themselves. The NBA has lost revenue and staffing costs will be considered in
two buildings, with four others partially dam- the needs assessment of all other sectors.
aged. Without these premises, services to the lo-
cally affected communities will likely suffer. Disaster Impacts
Before the earthquakes, filling all positions at mu-
The National Human Rights Commission nicipal, district and village levels was challenging.
(NHRC) building in Kathmandu has suffered At the district level, most DDCs had gaps in of-
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ficer level positions and there were frequent staff larly needed – may become even more difficult
transfers of LDOs, with the standard two-year to fill. In some cases, the VDC Secretaries also
term often cut short due to personal preferences feel personally insecure as they are unable to de-
or upon requests from political parties. liver the needed relief. Much of the civil service
housing has been destroyed so until this is re-
Challenges are exacerbated at the village level, built, the posts are even less attractive. Restor-
where civil servants are often reluctant to be ing infrastructure at the VDC level, along with
posted, particularly in remote areas. With the enforcement of GoN policies mandating staff to
bulk of the response and expectations of the remain in such posts for a minimum period of
population resting firmly on the VDC Secretary, time, will strengthen government services and
these posts – at a time when they are particu- relations with local communities. The GoN In-
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tegrated Action Plan 2015 states that the Min- ability to gender-based violence. These vulner-
istry of General Administration should ensure able communities need to be initially prioritized
all deputed staff return to their positions in the within the recovery planning framework as the
earthquake-affected areas, which should increase most-affected areas are the more remote regions
the number of VDC Secretaries on the ground. which have been historically marginalized.
While there is no doubt that every institution Dalits represent 10 to 17 percent of the popu-
and its personnel concerned did their best to lation and are often among the poorest, sepa-
cope with the unimaginable level of challenges, rated from other caste/ethnic communities in
the response to the disaster showed the need for a settlements. As Dalits were traditionally not
coordinating body with the overriding authority permitted to own land, they often still lack any
to mobilize resources, both human and capital, landholdings and rely on the local cash economy
at the central level. These lessons will be reflect- to support their families. If the GoN requires
ed in engineering an intergovernmental system land title for resettlement, this presents a bar-
that builds back better. This coordination body rier to those without land title. Also, nearly
should be governed by a new law on disaster risk 100,000 Nepali citizens, often Tamang, Gurung
management that sets out the roles of the differ- or Ghale, live in the northern VDCs along the
ent institutions, including ministries such as the Chinese border. Often these communities lack
Ministry of Women, Children and Social Welfare political influence in the district centres or cen-
and the different district level institutions. tral GoN due to language, religion and ethnic
distinctions, and isolated geographical locations.
Concerted actions will need to be taken by the Given the high Himalayan environment and
government to ensure transparency and ac- harsh winters, families in these remote VDCs
countability during the post-disaster period. should receive priority for early housing support
This is especially important for financial re- – preferably before the snows of 2015 set in.
sources, and systems and procedures that al-
ready exist, such as the central treasury system The monsoon will further compound the impact
for government resources which should be used of the earthquakes. Waterproof temporary office
rather than creating new ones. space needs to be provided to districts, munici-
palities and villages to ensure that administra-
The district plans for the next fiscal year (2015- tive services can continue to be provided. On a
2016) have already been completed and these practical level, where some paper-based records
will need to be reprioritized. Due to the tight have been salvaged, temporary storage is critical
timeline, the participatory planning process to save these from further deterioration during
set up by the MoFALD may not be fully uti- the monsoon. In addition, physical access to
lized for this reprioritization exercise. Social certain areas will be reduced due to landslides
mobilizers can be used to ensure participation and this will compound the already difficult
of local communities. situation for the civil servants and population in
these areas. In addition, this period will be when
The impact on the more vulnerable populations the district plans need to be revised; the mon-
will be particularly severe due to their lack of soon will prevent access to more remote areas
access to services and economic opportunities. for consultation on priorities. Alternative con-
Caste, ethnicity, language and religion remain sultation methods will be used such as phone
the major sources of cultural identity. The coun- communication with WCF members.
try is struggling hard to reduce, if not eliminate,
gender-based, caste-based, ethnicity-based and Recovery Needs and Strategy
spatial exclusions created by socio-economic and
geo-political structures. For instance, women Recovery and Reconstruction for Gover-
and girls lag behind men and boys because of dis- nance Sector
parities in education, lack of fair representation Reconstruction should take into account fac-
in decision making, low access to employment tors, which would mitigate future hazards and
opportunities, limited access to and utilization risks. The new designs for government build-
of essential healthcare services, and high vulner- ings should include considerations for more
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responsive service delivery, electricity provision nally Displaced Persons (IDPs). This will also
through solar power and earthquake resilience. improve public trust towards the capacities of
Recovery should be carried out in a participato- the state to play its role in protecting all citi-
ry manner with improved accountability mech- zens, including the most vulnerable. There is an
anisms, planning and basic service delivery. This opportunity to address underlying institutional
includes both coordination amongst the differ- weaknesses and imbalances, and ensure that the
ent ministries and with different development governance systems for recovery are built back
actors, including non-governmental organiza- better. The strategy aims to strengthen the pro-
tions and, most importantly, the people. cesses that the government needs in order to
deliver recovery and reconstruction in a secure
The total cost of reconstruction is estimated at environment, whilst recognizing the current dis-
NPR 15,413 million. The recovery plan for the course on state restructuring
governance sector will ensure capacity for service
delivery at a total cost of NPR 3,029 million. The post-disaster recovery presents an opportu-
nity to further redress inequalities through the
Key recovery needs are as follows: allocation of financial and human resources.
• Staffing, both numerically and in terms of The GoN’s long-established and institutional-
new technical capacities, to strengthen exist- ized principles and practices in gender-respon-
ing institutions. Priority could focus on re- sive budgeting (GRB) will be applied to all the
cruiting locally from affected communities. recovery strategies. It is therefore recommended
• Fiduciary risk mitigation at all levels, espe- that budget allocations under the government’s
cially local levels. GRB framework should be increased.
• Service delivery through participatory
governance. As gender and inclusion are cross-cutting issues,
• Expansion of effective patrolling and security it is important that the district women, chil-
provisions, in collaboration with local stake- dren and social welfare officers participate in all
holders, to address the issues of violence against DRCC committees/clusters. This will help en-
children and women, especially to control traf- sure that the specific needs of women, children,
ficking, sexual violence and child labour. PLWD, and senior citizen are identified and
• Strengthening coordination, participation addressed in a coordinated and comprehensive
as well as equitable distribution of resources manner. Therefore, the capacity of the district of-
and opportunities among different groups of fice of women, children and social welfare needs
the population. to be strengthened immediately with additional
human resources and logistics, particularly with
These need to be applied specifically to the 14 respect to vehicles and office equipment.
most-affected districts as a first priority and then
to the other 17 districts, while policy frameworks Also, given the widespread response of civil so-
and coordinative mechanisms are being strength- ciety to the crisis, it is vital to strengthen the
ened at the central level. Following the principles capacity of both GoN as well as civil society in-
of BBB, the goal will be that these districts can stitutions. Nepali civil society has evidenced an
serve as local governance and disaster risk reduc- immediate self-organizing capacity to the earth-
tion (DRR) models once the reconstruction and quakes. A broader governance strategy will seek
state restructuring has been completed. to tie the official responsibilities of GoN closer to
this vibrant civil society that has responded with
Broader Governance Strategy to such generosity and dedication to the national
Support Recovery disaster. In this regard, as much as possible, new
Support to governance functions in the post-di- capacity building activities should be planned in
saster period is critical for timely reconstruction a way that strengthens Nepali civil society orga-
and economic recovery, but equally for the con- nizations, both the established agencies as well
tinuous delivery of social security entitlements as newly established professional associations,
and other public services to local communities, volunteer associations and community leaders
including more marginalized groups and Inter- for whom these skills, trainings and curricula will
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further strengthen their relationship with GoN in government, and the appropriate mechanisms
order to respond to future natural disasters. for financing repair or reconstruction. It will
also be necessary to examine the in-depth analy-
Based on the initial qualitative impact assess- sis produced by the government assessments
ment, the governance sector needs multidimen- team at the district and village levels.
sional support as follows:
• Restoration of infrastructure and assets as Ensuring Capacity for Service Delivery
needed to sustain their operations.
• Policy guidance for recovery strategy Human Resource Management in Local Bodies
and planning.
• Accountability mechanisms such as social au- Short Term
dit, public audit and public hearing, including The VDC structure needs to be urgently
Right to Information (RTI), strengthened at strengthened with additional human resources.
the district, VDC and municipality levels. The two key positions that are needed are an ac-
• Inclusion of women, youth, historically countant/book-keeper and an engineer/overseer.
marginalized communities and vulnerable These positions should be recruited initially on
groups in decision making, especially those a temporary basis within the short term, with
adversely affected by the earthquakes. a process for permanent recruitment following.
• Capacity development for crisis response co- These positions could be placed at the Ilaka level
ordination, horizontally and vertically. to cover a cluster of VDCs.
• Expansion of awareness, security/patrol-
ling and community-based monitoring to For the 14 most-affected districts covering 580
respond to the issues of violence against VDCs, 116 engineers and 116 accountants will
women, girls and children, such as traffick- be needed. Specific measures should also be
ing, sexual violence and child labour. undertaken to provide additional incentives or
bonuses for the work of the VDC Secretary in
Specifically the strategy will be to strengthen co- coordinating the relief.
ordination, participation and equitable distribu-
tion of resources and opportunities. While the debate regarding the restructuring of
the State of Nepal and federalism is ongoing, the
The total cost for reconstruction and recovery is district level should be strengthened on a tem-
NPR 18,442 million. porary basis for recovery planning and imple-
mentation. Once it becomes clear how this will
Implementation Arrangements dovetail into the potential provincial level, then
The strategy for recovery of the governance permanent appointments can be made.
sector is set out in three areas: (i) Rebuilding
and repair of government infrastructure, (ii) Medium/Long term
Ensuring capacity for service delivery, and (iii) At the municipal level, planning and technical
Strengthened coordination and participation. officers, and accounting personnel should be
prioritized for recruitment within the 37 new
Rebuilding and Repairing municipalities in the 14 most-affected districts.
Government Infrastructure
An immediate priority is to repair or rebuild Financial Management
damaged or destroyed buildings. This assess- Financial management needs to be strengthened
ment estimates government buildings in need at the village and municipal levels, including: (i)
of repair or rebuilding at a cost of NPR 15,413 setting up a guideline and template for expendi-
million. These figures are estimates and govern- ture reporting at this level; (ii) training the new
ment engineers will develop detailed structural accountant/book-keeper; and (iii) making this a
assessments and designs. As the assessment is requirement for funding tranches for recovery.
deepened, it will be necessary to differentiate –
particularly for police and VDCs – which build- Short term: The GoN has authorized the trea-
ings were owned by government and rented by sury to utilize all available budgets for relief and
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Functions Description of initiatives Year one Year two Year three Estimated cost
(NPR)
Support the coordination of recovery through techni- x x x
cal assistance to the central body responsible for
recovery
After cabinet approval, accountability mechanism x
used across each institution at the district and sub-
district levels - Local Body Resource Mobilization and
Management Operation Guidelines (LBRMMOG)
Review district recovery plan every four months x x
through public hearings
Strengthen the Office of the Auditor General to carry x x
out audits in all 14 most-affected districts with ad-
ditional temporary staff
Public audit systems strengthened with technical x x
audit from DTO and capacity-building of WCFs
Set up a permanent secretariat for DDMC and a x x
contingency fund
Sub Total 1,530,000,000 870,600,000 627,900,000 3,028,500,000
reconstruction. In the 14 most-affected districts, clude using the WCFs to assist in confirming
unspent budgets from the present fiscal year the identity of individuals; additional temporary
should not be recouped and considered as un- staff to assess land documents and provide new
spent capital budgets, but be utilized for relief documentation; and working with the district
expenses up to the end of the fiscal year. Any re- technical officer as the arbitration/grievance
maining monies can be allocated to relief activi- mechanism for the process.
ties in the coming fiscal year. Clear yet succinct
GoN guidelines should be written and approved Medium/Long Term
before the close of the financial year to allow for These records should be put on databases in a
this VDC-level reprogramming, including the comprehensive manner and backed up at the pro-
use of the 35 percent block grant for women, vincial and central levels. A citizen service centre
children and disadvantaged groups, to ensure should also be set up at the district level with mo-
that such funds benefit all earthquake-affected bile units at the village level to make it easier for
persons, including marginalized groups. people to procure relevant identity documents.
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of the Attorney General to digitally archive closed and quickly by civil society organizations and
cases at the central level. This programme could international non-governmental organizations.
be accelerated and expanded to include open cas- The GoN will continue to work in collaboration
es and those at the districts to mitigate any future with these and other civic organisations at the
issues with loss of files and documents. local and national levels to ensure they have the
required support and guidance to provide relief
Building Code and reconstruction to the nation’s citizens.
Short term: Infrastructure projects at the DDC
are supported by the District Technical Office Medium/Long term: The District Disaster
(DTO), but they normally do not have the ca- Management Committee (DDMC) will be
pacity to provide technical support to VDCs and strengthened through a secretariat to ensure
only serve the largest infrastructure projects in that it is able to function as the main coordi-
municipalities. With the injection of engineering nating body for the response; this secretariat
skills to the district and village, there will be more can also serve the DDRCs during the relief
capacity to share information about building phases of any possible future crises. Technical
codes. The capacity of the municipalities and dis- assistance will be provided for recovery plan-
tricts, specifically the District Technical Officer, ning, budgeting and implementation.
will be built in terms of understanding the code
and how to apply it. A tax break for the housing Accountability
tax can be explored as an incentive to ensure that Short term: Detailed expenditure reporting from
the building code is followed. An information the VDCs is currently not a requirement for
campaign should be set up to ensure the popula- funding disbursement (from DDCs) within cur-
tion knows the building code and the main char- rent GoN regulations. As they become the focus
acteristics of a safe building. Under the GoN’s for recovery, transparent systems of reporting on
Integrated Action Plan, MoUD and MoFALD financial resources will need to be strengthened.
are responsible for this action. Legal enforcement The Planning and Administration Officer in the
of the building code will in all likelihood ensure DDC has also been appointed as the Grievance
greater compliance with the code. Officer, although it remains unclear how effec-
tive this has been in the aftermath of the im-
Strengthened Coordination mediate emergency, nor their pro-active role in
and Participation handing any grievances or complaints.
Coordination at the Central Level To tackle the issue of accountability at the local
Short term: A priority is to identify the gaps in level, the GoN, as a matter of priority, needs
the existing mandates and authorities granted to to pass legislation which, for the first time,
the Central Natural Disaster Relief Committee would permit the Office of the Auditor Gen-
(CNDRC) so that they can respond in a timely eral to carry out audits at the municipality and
and effective manner to the unfolding situation VDC levels. Audits are currently carried out at
on the ground. Coordination will be needed the district level, and to promote district level
across a multi-stakeholder platform for possible transparency and accountability the results of
engagement in emergency operations, and media these district audits should be published locally
to ensure broad communication. The GoN has and form the basis of three-yearly public hear-
developed an Integrated Action Plan that sets out ings within the district. In addition, MoFALD
the different roles of government ministries and is will give priority to implementing existing in-
in the process of defining an appropriate structure ternal control mechanisms.
to lead the earthquake response. Once this is de-
cided, the institution should be strengthened for At the national and local levels, more public
implementation and data management. information should be provided to the local
population, including through the internet and
Coordination at the District Level community radio, on how citizens can use griev-
Short term: A lot of the immediate response to ance management mechanisms so they can have
the earthquakes has been carried out efficiently their say on issues related to transparency and
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inclusion, as well as the specific priorities and nerable communities. The GoN will commit to
means of implementation of recovery. The Citi- greater gender and social inclusion in the provi-
zen Awareness Centres can be strengthened to sion of these new positions, promoting women
deliver these campaigns. These Right To Infor- and marginal groups to increase representation
mation campaigns will be supported by the Na- in the civil service. This guideline will look at
tional Information Commission. The Right to the role of social mobilizers and the WCF; it will
Information Act has been used more extensively attempt to rationalize the different mobilizers
at the central level to promote greater transpar- and combine them where possible.
ency. Similar promotion of this agenda at the
district level will increase both the supply of and The following assistance will be provided at the
demand for transparency. district level: (i) planning, (ii) finance, (iii) pro-
curement, and (iv) engineering. They will also
Medium/Long term: The MoFALD Local Body coordinate with the DDMC and the newly es-
Resource Mobilisation and Management Op- tablished units of book-keepers and engineers at
eration Guidelines (LBRMMOG) approved the ilaka level. The GoN will ensure that new
by the Cabinet in 2012 includes a number of local staffing opportunities will recruit a broad
critical procedures that have proven effective to mix of citizens, including women.
promote accountability and transparency at the
local level. The GoN is committed to imple- Assessment Methodology
menting these mechanisms across the local bod- Data has been collected through secondary
ies and devolved line departments to ensure that sources from the central government through
the earthquake recovery delivery is perceived as the questionnaire developed jointly by GoN,
transparent and participatory. UNDP and other development partners. The
data on damaged buildings was received from
Recovery Planning GoN. This data is not in every instance bro-
Short term: The introduction of the WCF has ken down by district. The data from MoFALD
allowed for a participatory planning process in and the Financial Comptroller’s Office covers
Nepal. The detailed description of procedures the 14 most-affected districts. The data for
are to be found in the LBRMMOG. This in- the MoHA and the justice sector cover the
cludes holding a ward gathering to obtain de- 31 districts ascribed by the PDNA. The data
mand for projects from the wider community from the Nepal Army has a figure that covers
and holding Integrated Planning and Formu- damages (both minor and major damage) for
lation Committee (IPFC) meetings, including the whole country. For the purpose of this as-
members from WCFs as well as local political sessment, all buildings are considered partially
leaders to recommend projects within the bud- damaged. Three district visits were undertaken
get provisions to the local body council. Given to assess the effect of the earthquakes on gov-
that the FY 2015-2016 participatory planning ernment structures at the district and village
process was concluded for the next fiscal year levels. Government counterparts from major
prior to the earthquakes, it needs to be repri- governance-related departments have also been
oritized and re-budgeted to reflect new, more consulted at the central level to gain informa-
urgent priorities. tion on recovery needs and the effects of the
earthquakes on governance processes. The cost
In order to set up a recovery plan and ensure of reconstruction is based upon prices given
its implementation, technical assistance would for buildings by the GoN. This includes equip-
be provided at the district level to support the ment for the buildings, such as search and res-
District Planning Officer to reprioritize the dis- cue equipment for the police, computers and
trict plan by the end of August and to assist in furniture, amongst other items. The damage
its implementation. The GoN will develop a cost is considered 15 percent less than the re-
guideline based on the 14-step planning process construction cost. Partially damaged buildings
to ensure the timeliness of the recovery planning are considered to be 40 percent of the recon-
process as well as participation of the popula- struction cost. All costs include equipment as
tion, including women, Dalits and other vul- well as building costs.
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8
7.5
7
Magnitude Number %
6.5 Major (7-7.9) 1 0.31%
Magnitude ML
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85
Nepal in figures, 2012, CBS
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86
National Strategy for Disaster Risk Management, 2009
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earthquake which led to liquefaction and severe and information sharing among DRR actors in
impacts in Kathmandu Valley. Nepal. The Disaster Preparedness Network (DP-
Net) comprising of most NGOs, international
Disaster Risk Reduction NGOs, international organizations, and UN
System in Nepal agencies involved in DRM serves as the secre-
The status of the DRR system is elaborated tariat to the national DRR platform.
under the five priority actions as envisaged per
the National Strategy for Disaster Risk Manage- Identification, Assessment and Monitoring of
ment (NSDRM), 2009. Disaster Risks and Early Warning Systems
Earthquakes, floods and precipitation events are
Institutional, Legislative and Policy Systems monitored through networks managed by Na-
for DRR as National and Local Priority tional Seismological Centre of the Department
The Central Natural Disaster Relief Committee of Mines and Geology (DMG) under Ministry
(CNDRC) and the District Disaster Relief Com- of Industry, and the Department of Hydrol-
mittees (DDRCs) coordinate all post-disaster res- ogy and Meteorology (DHM) under Ministry
cue, relief and response activities at the national of Science, Technology and Environment. The
and district levels respectively. MoHA is the na- seismic network comprises 21 short-period seis-
tional focal agency for disaster management. The mic stations, seven accelerometer stations and
Department for Fire Service and Disaster Man- 29 GPS stations. The Birendranagar Regional
agement, recently established under the Ministry Seismological Centre at Surkhet records data
of Federal Affairs and Local Development (Mo- from nine seismic stations in mid-western and
FALD), needs to develop its capacity for effective far-western Nepal, while the National Seismo-
fire response. Success of integrating DRM into logical Centre at Kathmandu records data from
national and sectoral plans, led by the NPC, is 12 stations located from Pyuthan to Taplejung.
still below expectation and suffers from not hav-
ing a system of providing coherence guidance to Early warning systems (EWS) for floods in 12
other sectors for DRM budget allocations. high-risk areas of the Tarai are largely com-
munity-based, while flood warning with a few
The overarching legal instrument is the pre- hours’ lead time is provided by DHM based
dominantly relief and response oriented Natural on upstream real-time gauge and precipitation
Calamity Relief Act, 1982 (amended in 1989 measurements at 16 locations in six river basins
and 1992). National Climate Change Policy, (Karnali, Babai, West Rapti, Narayani, Bagmati
National Adaptation Programmes of Action and Koshi). EWS for Glacial Lake Outburst
(NAPA) and Local Adaptation Plan of Action Floods (GLOF) were put in place for two of the
(LAPA) articulate the integration of Climate highest risk locations (Tsho Rolpa and Imja),
Change Adaptation (CCA) into development which need further strengthening and better
processes at national and local levels. The Local linkages with the community.
Self Governance Act, 1999, (LSGA) empowers
local bodies to take charge of disaster mitigation Risk assessments have been carried out in a frag-
and recovery planning and mitigation, while the mented manner covering parts of the country
Building Act (1998), amended in 2007, makes and addressing particular sectors or hazards,
implementation of the National Building Code except for the nation-wide Multi-Hazard Risk
(NBC) mandatory in all municipalities. The NS- Assessment completed in 2010. Landslide risks
DRM, 2009 outlines over 29 activities and builds are assessed by agencies under three different
on the Hyogo Framework of Action (HFA), but ministries –the Department of Mines and Geol-
its translation into concrete action has been weak. ogy, the Department of Soil Conservation and
Watershed Management and the Department
The Nepal Risk Reduction Consortium (NRRC) of Water Induced Disaster Prevention. A three-
was set up in 2009, bringing together key nation- phase process was initiated to conduct a nation-
al agencies and international partners to prioritize wide risk assessment through the NRRC, and
and implement key activities of the NSDRM in is currently in the first (stock-taking) phase.
a coordinated manner. A national DRR platform Moreover, 265 schools in the Kathmandu Val-
was established in 2009 for better coordination ley and 60 hospitals have also been assessed for
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safety. MoHA maintains a database of disaster relief, civil and military assets; and international
events through its SAHANA Disaster Informa- military assistance. The NDRF has specified the
tion Management System (SAHANA DIMS). roles and responsibilities of different line minis-
tries and government agencies. The positioning of
Enhanced Preparedness for relief and response stocks is limited to some agen-
Effective Response cies like NRCS, some international non-govern-
The Nepal Army, Nepal Police and the Armed mental organizations and the UN. Methodologies
Police Force comprise the first responders to any and capacities exist for Initial Rapid Assessment
emergency in the country. They have personnel (IRA), multi-cluster/sector IRA and detailed clus-
for search and rescue (SAR) and limited sets for ter-specific assessments, and the contextualization
collapsed structures and water SAR. The three of post-disaster needs assessment methodologies
security forces have separate divisions for SAR. and related training is planned.
In case of a large-scale disaster, the government
has mechanisms to seek assistance from neigh- Reduction of Underlying Risk Factors
bouring countries and the international com- and Policies for Mitigation
munity for SAR, in which case the international The vulnerability of the population in Nepal is great-
teams work under the lead of the national forces. ly linked to higher incidence of poverty and majority
of the population living in rural areas in scattered
MoHA has set up the National Emergency Oper- settlements. This is compounded by the fragile
ation Centre (NEOC) and regional, district and mountainous terrain. This trend however is rapidly
municipal EOCs, which are currently active in 46 changing with a dramatic increase in urban risk with
districts. The MoHA’s Guidance Note on Disas- consequent impact on vulnerability patterns.
ter Preparedness and Response Planning, 2011,
forms the basis for disaster preparedness and re- Legislation, policies and plans for environmental
sponse plans formulated in all 75 districts. The management exist through the Environment Pro-
Prime Minister’s Disaster Relief Fund and Mo- tection Act, 1996, Rules, 1997 and Environment
HA’s regular Central Disaster Relief Fund finance Impact Assessment (EIA) Guidelines. The Na-
disaster response activities, with the provision for tional Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA)
establishing similar funds in districts. Prepared- offers opportunities for integrating DRR. Like-
ness programmes encompass critical areas like wise, sound forest management, soil conservation
education and health. Security forces, humani- and watershed management practices contribute
tarian clusters and communities living in disaster to DRR but integration of climate risks into for-
prone districts actively participate in response co- est and watershed management planning has still
ordinated by District Disaster Relief Committees not been fully realized and the underlying risks
(DDRCs). Simulations/mock exercises have been are not addressed during implementation. Despite
conducted in some districts in 2013, but the na- agriculture being a national priority, prioritization
tional simulation has not yet been conducted. of strategies and actions in agriculture is not ad-
equately informed by comprehensive assessment
The National Disaster Response Framework, of climate/disaster risks and impacts, availability of
2013 (NDRF) outlines the roles and respon- specific weather-based agro-advisories and needed
sibilities for an effective response involving a resources. CCA and DRR have not been sufficient-
range of stakeholders from ministries, depart- ly integrated into sectoral plans and budgets.
ments, security forces, diplomatic missions, UN
and international agencies, Nepal Red Cross So- Structural vulnerability is addressed through the
ciety (NRCS), non-governmental organizations National Building Code, 1994 and Building Act,
and professional bodies. It also identifies 49 key 2007, but its implementation is restricted to only
actions to be initiated by relevant lead agencies few municipalities because of limited enforce-
to operationalize the NDRF. Whilst its imple- ment capacities of local bodies and low awareness
mentation is noted to be moving well in some among the population. A retrofitting guideline
areas, it is also lagging behind in others. MoHA drafted for the most common construction ty-
has also formulated several related guidelines for pologies is pending approval. Safety standards for
disaster response, e.g., dead body management; infrastructure for multi-hazard risks do not exist.
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Implementation of the existing national land from the central government were based on the
use policy, is quite weak. A risk-sensitive land objectives and scope of NDRF. The first meet-
use planning process has been recently initiated ing of the Central Disaster Relief Committee
for the Kathmandu Valley by the Kathmandu (CNDRC) was held two hours after the earth-
Valley Development Authority. quake on 25 April, with the NEOC providing
an initial report to the CNDRC, recommending
Information and Knowledge Management: focus on SAR, life-saving actions and declaration
Building a Culture of Safety and Resilience of a state of national calamity. Financial resources
MoHA maintains a database of disaster events from the Prime Minister’s Relief Fund were al-
through its SAHANA DIMS and through the located, an appeal for international assistance was
DRR portal, while DesInventar has records of di- made and the government’s cluster mechanisms,
sasters from 1971. Disaster information is shared comprising 11 sectors and co-led by international
through the mass media (television, radio), social and UN agencies, was activated.
media, websites and with the districts through
the NEOC. Regular awareness campaigns are Critical decisions and activation of response
held annually, on Earthquake Safety Day (com- measures were taken under seven hours of the
memorating the 1934 earthquake) and the Inter- stipulated response time, indicating that NEOC
national Day for Disaster Risk Reduction. and CNDRC performed their coordination
functions well within the timeframe during the
Integration of DRR into curricula of pri- first critical hours. Subsequent CNDRC meet-
mary and secondary schools and universities ings, held regularly on 27 April, 30 April, 3
is advanced and specific DRR education pro- May, 10 May and 12 May, focused on plans for
grammes are offered in a few universities. Train- effective search, rescue and relief related activi-
ing conducted for government officials by the ties such as transit shelters, facilitation of entry
Nepal Administrative Staff College and the of humanitarian assistance into the country and
Local Development Training Academy also in- customs clearance procedures.
tegrate disaster/climate risk management. The
security forces (Army, Police and Armed Po- Key respondents consulted felt that some of the ac-
lice Force) conduct specific training on disaster tions undertaken at the national level would have
management for their personnel. been smoother if the national simulation, planned
since 2014, had been conducted. The scenario for
Although the DRR system is still relatively new, the planned simulation though envisages maxi-
several milestones have been achieved such as mum impact in the Kathmandu Valley, includ-
formulation of the NSDRM and NDRF, and ing on vital services and lifelines. This disaster has
setting up of the NRRC. Yet, political instabil- wreaked much greater impact in other rural areas.
ity and other pressing priorities have resulted in
a number of set-backs – legislation is yet to be District-level Coordination and Response
enacted, and lack of technical, financial and hu- District authorities were overwhelmed with nu-
man resources hinder implementation of initia- merous overlapping and changing versions of
tives, which are seen in isolation. The NSDRM reports demanded by various central ministries
and the NRRC were attempts to address these and international humanitarian agencies. Due to
lacunae, but have yielded limited success. systemic capacity gaps existing at the local level to
respond to large-scale disasters, Chief District Of-
Overall Assessment of DRR system Per- ficers (CDOs) exercised their crisis management
formance roles using their own experience and judgement.
The DDRC mechanism started functioning
National-level Coordination and Response from the second day. DDRCs are the operational
Overall response to the current disaster can be mechanism for local coordination, updating on
taken as a real test of the coordination and re- damages and needs, prioritization of response and
sponse capacity of the government at national discussions, and follow-up with various agencies.
and local levels and effectiveness of the tools and District consultations revealed that disaster pre-
systems built for that. NDRF served as a key paredness and response plans were not effectively
tool for coordination. Decisions and instructions utilized in the response.
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The use of the humanitarian cluster system was Search and Rescue
highly uneven by the sub-national stakeholders The trained human resources of the Nepal Army,
due to unfamiliarity with the procedures. Al- Nepal Police and Armed Police Force carried out
though under-resourced, the Village Develop- effective SAR operations and saved many lives.
ment Committee (VDC) Secretaries were very Four people trapped under collapsed structures
active and the Ward Citizen Forum (ACF) and in Kathmandu were rescued by Nepal Police and
social mobilizers played important roles in op- lives of 16 people were saved by international
erational coordination at the village level. SAR teams. Execution of 4,236 helicopter flights
(by government and private) resulted in rescue of
Multiple sources of information coming in 7,558 persons by air; 4,689 persons were rescued
from the districts to the centre in the beginning by land. MoHA reported that 22,500 civil ser-
made the damage analysis more complex and vants, 65,059 staff of Nepal Army, 41,776 staff
decision-making difficult. Field observations of Nepal Police, 24,775 staff of the Armed Police
indicate confusion over mechanics for selection Force, and 4,000 government health workers and
of recipients for relief and compensation, par- private health workers were mobilized for life-
ticularly of those whose houses were damaged saving actions.
by the earthquakes.
Challenges faced were lack of necessary equip-
Emergency Operation Centres ment for location, extrication and initial medi-
The communication network of the EOCs is cal stabilization of victims. SAR assets were also
very important, and it was functional, connect- trapped and personnel deployed had to contend
ing the central command system to the districts. with a high number of aftershocks in the imme-
Where they are established and operational, diate seven days while SAR was ongoing. The ar-
district EOCs provided the much needed com- rival of international SAR teams, even after the
munication system, especially in the immediate ‘golden 24-hour mark’ where the survival rate
aftermath. In the districts where physical loca- of those buried under debris, was questionable.
tions of the EOCs were impacted because of The earthquake highlighted need for a profes-
the earthquakes, alternative arrangements were sional and integrated national SAR capacity to
made using local police offices to serve as the be formed in accordance with the National Stra-
hub for disaster related information. The effec- tegic Action Plan for Search and Rescue, 2014.
tiveness of the district EOC in terms of com-
munication was limited by turnover of trained Relief and Humanitarian Assistance
staff (police), unfamiliarity with SAHANA Emergency relief and humanitarian assistance
DIMS and lack of reporting templates. The to the affected population was provided with
district EOC’s potential for serving as a coor- active support and contribution from over 60
dination platform at the lower level was further countries, UN and international agencies. Fixed
constrained by limited attention given to infor- wing and rotary aircraft were also engaged from
mation management. Districts visited lack basic friendly countries in carrying out numerous
systems for information management, including sorties to bring relief into the country and to
display of crisis management information and distribute it to the most affected, remote areas.
public information. From the field visits it was A newly constructed humanitarian staging area,
found that there was limited operational rela- established through WFP with support from
tionship between district EOCs and VDCs. UK Aid, at Tribhuvan International Airport
(TIA) facilitated the receipt of cargo by air and
Information flow between NEOC and district by truck immediately after the earthquake and
EOCs needs substantial improvement in terms distribution around the country could com-
of data quality, effectiveness in providing timely mence quickly. If such a facility had not been
information, and the basis for appropriate crisis in place, it would have taken weeks to improvize
management decisions at national and sub-na- a logistics hub. The measures undertaken as
tional levels. The SAHANA DIMS, tailor-made part of the Getting Airports Ready for Disas-
for such situations, was not utilized. However, ters (GARD) programme in 2011 facilitated the
the DRR portal was used for dissemination of continued functioning of TIA.
damage and loss related data.
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The flash appeal in support of response to the the highest cost reported for SAR-related as-
earthquake was launched on 29 April 2015 sets (NPR 95.63 million). Damages to hydro-
for an estimated US$415 million (later revised meteorological stations were NPR 41.8 mil-
to US$422 million) to meet critical humani- lion and damages to the Department of Water
tarian needs for next three months. Till date, Induced Disaster Prevention were NPR 14.16
US$130.9 million or 31 percent of the appeal million. District level EOCs reported damages
has been mobilized. of NPR 3.3 million, whereas very limited to no
damage to the seismological observation net-
Transit shelters were established immediately with work infrastructure was reported.
official support in Kathmandu, using designated
open spaces. Non-food items, particularly tar- The damages and losses data were provided by
paulins, were inadequate with a surge in demand the relevant government organizations: MoHA,
even from those families whose houses were not DHM under Ministry of Science, Technology
damaged due to fear of being trapped. Outside and Environment, Nepal Police, Armed Police
Kathmandu, in the initial days, almost all re- Force, and National Seismological Centre (NSC)
sponse efforts were based on self-help with many under the Department of Mines and Geology.
affected families staying close to their damaged
houses. Prior investments in warehousing and lo- The most-affected districts in terms of DRR as-
gistics and prepositioning of relief items was very sets are Kathmandu, Sindhupalchowk, Chitwan,
limited. The ‘one door’ system for receipt of aid Nuwakot, Dolakha and Rasuwa. The highest
and relief distribution via DDRC was adopted, damage was recorded in Kathmandu district,
but in many instances this was not followed. At which delivers services to the largest populated
the sub-national level, demand was articulated as area of the country.
a priority for access to ‘normal’ government ser-
vices, restoration of livelihoods and cash grants Damages to DRR assets mostly include damage to
for self-help transitional shelters. CDOs outside EOC office buildings, hydro-meteorological sta-
of Kathmandu and MoHA believe that challeng- tions, field offices of the Department of Water In-
ing topography, limited road networks and risks duced Disaster Prevention, police stations dedicat-
of secondary disasters strongly influenced their ed for DRM, and fire stations in Kathmandu and
ability to respond on time. other earthquake-affected districts. The majority
of hydro-meteorological stations along critical riv-
Disaster Effects ers are manual, the presence of a person to record
observations. Due to the earthquakes, many of
Damages and losses to DRR system assets these stations are not functional, as observers have
Prior to the earthquake, investment in DRR abandoned their homes and relocated elsewhere.
assets was relatively low to respond effectively Observations from these stations are crucial for
to potential disasters and to have sufficient DHM to provide uninterrupted services on flood
disaster preparedness capacity. Total damages warnings and potential landslide information.
to DRR assets is NPR 154.88 million, with
Table 20.1: Estimates of Damages and Losses to DRR Assets and Reconstruction Needs
Category Damage and loss
(NPR million)
Emergency Operation Centres 3.30
Hydro-meteorological observation networks 41.80
Field office buildings of the Department of Water Induced Disaster Prevention 14.16
Seismic network of National Seismic Centre 0
Total 154.89
Source: Internal reports of MoHA, DHM, Nepal Police, APF and NSC
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rural areas have stone with mud mortar as the ited hospital and school safety assessments and
most common housing typology. follow-up in addressing structural vulnerabilities
is manifested in the damage to over 7,000 schools
National Building Code (NBC) implementa- and 500 health facilities. The actual application
tion, approved in 2005, is mandatory in all mu- of risk assessment studies remains low and, when
nicipalities as per amendment to Building Act used, it is for prioritizing response, relief and re-
in 2007, but its enforcement is weak due to lim- covery, not for planning risk reducing measures.
ited governance capacities, technical and finan- Coordination among the ministries still needs
cial resources, shortage of skilled workers and improvement on integration of DRR, CRM into
a lack of political commitment. NBC compli- critical sectors in practical terms.
ant buildings even in severely-affected districts
and retrofitted schools were found undamaged, Preparedness and Response to Address Mon-
which needs to inform the reconstruction pro- soon Related Risks
gramme. However, NBC implementation has The on-going initiatives to stabilize slopes and
not addressed common rural housing typologies reduce landslide risks have not been sufficient in
in rural areas. Rural vulnerability is associated coverage or scope to address the increased risk of
with socio-economic factors, NBC guidance, landslides after the April 25 earthquake. Cracks
low-skill manpower etc. Unless the reconstruc- have been observed along slopes in several dis-
tion is regulated through risk-sensitive land use tricts indicating occurrence of landslides even by
planning, NBC, governed by well-resourced a lower threshold of rainfall intensity. This situa-
local governments and a skilled workforce, the tion is compounded by a declining trend of forest
vulnerabilities could increase, creating a perfect cover and high annual soil erosion rates, ranging
breeding ground for future earthquake disasters. from 2,700 to 57,000 tonnes per sq. kilometre in
the middle mountains. Anticipated El Niño con-
Land Use and Settlement Planning ditions could result in increased variability and
The post-earthquake reconstruction in both ur- higher risk due to high dependence on agricul-
ban and rural areas could lead to tremendous ture and other climate-sensitive natural resources.
pressure on land and natural resources. In addi-
tion to a staggering increase in built-up areas in Possible Relocation of Populations Most At
already dense urban centres, it can also acceler- Risk to Other Regions
ate the conversion of agricultural land to built- Many of the people living in temporary sites
up in the peripheral region of Kathmandu Valley would need to be permanently relocated to new
and the newly declared municipalities; and un- sites. This process needs proper consideration
planned settlements along the transport network. of multi-hazard risks along with availability
This scenario will further increase the exposure of suitable livelihoods in new locations. The
of the population and assets to different hazards relocation process should also consider socio-
and decrease the capacity of emergency services in economic vulnerabilities related to land and
case of a disaster. Rural areas that do not consider population needs with special attention to most
risk-sensitive land use planning effectively will be vulnerable households.
at even higher flood and landslide risks.
Recovery Needs and Strategy
Hazard and Risk Mapping and Application Due to the multi-hazard risks that confronts
Risk assessments appear to be fragmented and Nepal, it is crucial to rebuild a better, safer and
methodology are not unified that suits a particu- more resilient society by mainstreaming DRR
lar demand for application, i.e., for contingency into recovery strategy and encouraging DRR
planning and preparedness as well as in main- investment with a BBB approach.
streaming DRR into development sectors. Lim-
ited studies exist for areas outside Kathmandu. The affected communities’ current living condi-
The need for studies about emerging risks such tions and unsafe environment exacerbate their
as landslides and the onset of monsoon was exposure to hazards and increase their vulnerabili-
not anticipated and many districts rely on local ties. They can be affected by the monsoon and
knowledge and reports from security forces. Lim- these accumulated impacts can further diminish
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any existing coping mechanism. Urban and rural these, the Government of Nepal has identified
communities will be both impacted, but those the following priorities:
already living in poverty and living in marginal
areas will suffer the most. In addressing their im- Short term:
mediate recovery needs if recovery programmes • Reconstruction of damaged DRR assets and
ignore the importance of incorporating DRR, improvements
gains can be negated and pre-disaster vulnerabili- • Improving preparedness, response, relief and
ties can be recreated or worsened. logistics systems
• Strengthening information and communica-
As a cross-cutting theme, strengthening the tion capacities for relief, response and recovery
DRR system necessary for resilient recovery is • Enhancing multi-hazard risk monitoring,
an imperative. Damaged assets, such as early vulnerability assessment, risk information
warning systems, EOCs, SAR, logistics and oth- dissemination and awareness
er public infrastructure for efficient and timely
emergency response associated with the mon- Medium to long term:
soon and potential major earthquakes, need to • Improving legal and institutional arrange-
be restored urgently. Existing DRR assets need ments
to be up-scaled, performance of the system im- • Mainstreaming DRM into development sec-
proved, and coherence and coordination en- tors, particularly housing and private and
hanced to prepare sufficiently for future crisis public infrastructure, social sectors (health
events. Restoration of livelihoods, particularly and education) and livelihoods
those that are climate sensitive, need to be risk- • Improving integration of CCA and DRR
informed, such as the application of seasonal into policy guidelines and institutional de-
variability forecast to agriculture and water re- velopment.
source management.
The total estimated reconstruction needs for the
The post-earthquake recovery should also be DRR affected sector is NPR 504.44 million.
used as an opportunity to promote strategic Based on the BBB concept to further build re-
changes in how DRM is planned, organized, silience, a total additional recovery cost of NPR
coordinated, implemented, scaled-up and sus- 7,699.57 million is estimated. Consultations
tained in Nepal. With a focus on earthquake- among sector experts, representatives of govern-
affected areas, the necessary enhancement and ments, civil society and development partners
clarification of policies and institutional set-up informed this estimate.
must be supported. There is urgency to conduct
multi-hazard risk assessment that can guide The estimate of reconstruction needs is NPR
construction of safer housing and infrastructure, 504.44 million, with the highest cost of needs in
and identification of safer settlements. With hydro-meteorological stations (NPR 343.43 mil-
danger still lingering in people’s mind, genera- lion). Other needs are as follows: NPR 139.76
tion of science-based risk information and its million for SAR; NPR 14.16 million for field of-
dissemination through public awareness and fices of the Department of Water Induced Disas-
community-based approaches is crucial, par- ter Prevention, and NPR 7.1 million for EOCs.
ticularly in rural communities. Development
sectors at risk should be guided by appropriate The immediate replacement of lost and dam-
tools and methodology to plan and apply risk aged assets and scaling-up to a minimum level
reduction measures. required for SAR and hydro-meteorological
related systems (such as flood forecasting and
For all this to happen, the enhancement of risk early warning systems) are urgent, particularly
governance, i.e., policy and institutional capaci- given the probability of continued seismic ac-
ties at all levels of governance, is important both tivities and high possibility of floods and land-
in the short and long term. Tied up with ef- slides with onset of the monsoon. During the
forts in the governance sector, risk management recovery phase, by incorporating BBB principles
capacities must be improved and vertical and through automation/telemetry of damaged sta-
horizontal integration be promoted. Based on tions, DHM could also contribute to improved
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ness, resulting in improved surveillance, and a co- drills and are trained so that they have the
ordination and command system. Key activities capacity to reduce the impact of the disaster.
and result areas will include: • Standardizing cable and wireless communi-
cations (CWC) and use of common messag-
Preparedness for Response es as part of preparedness and response and
• Strengthening and expansion of EOCs to all the need for a sustained (five year) commu-
districts and enhancing community outreach nications campaigns for risk reduction to all
for better preparedness. communities, including migrants.
• Conducting periodic monsoon forums as a
regular forum, integrating scientific informa- Logistics Systems and Relief
tion providers such as DHM with the cli- • Enhanced effectiveness of emergency relief
mate sensitive user sectors, to improve pre- through logistics hubs for food stocks, prepo-
paredness at national and district levels. sitioned emergency response supplies, emer-
• Creation of sustainable national SAR capac- gency telecommunications, stacking ship-
ity with the Nepal Army, Armed Police Force ping containers, and temperature-controlled
and Nepal Police through the implementation environment to store special nutritious food,
of programmes designed as per the National medicines and vaccines to cater to vulner-
Strategic Action Plan on SAR. A gap identi- able groups such as pregnant women, elderly
fied is a lack of air rescue capacity at regional citizens, infants and children. It will also
levels across the country so that SAR action strengthen the four existing government ware-
is immediate, prompt and effective. This houses to become disaster resistant and be able
could be achieved through provisioning of to deliver during an emergency. Two major
an MI-8 helicopter at the regional level with hubs spread across the Tarai region should
its required level of operation management also be set up to cover the five development
structure. Provisioning budgets for helicop- zones. Ten additional smaller hubs spread in
ters may require considerable resources. This hilly and mountainous regions can also be set
could be achieved by embedding it within the up in a hub-and-spoke configuration.
SAR strategic plan, managed under the Nepal • Development of logistics management ca-
Army annual budgeting system, or by provi- pacity at district, region and national levels.
sioning a standby contract with some air ser- • Provisioning of life-saving relief materials
vice provider company/ies for emergency air such as shelter kits and NFRIs in the hubs.
SAR that could be activated through MoHA • Provisioning of a system of having virtual
(or a regional administration office) in the stock of life-saving relief materials.
event of a disaster.
• Strengthening preparedness/response effec- Strengthening Information and Commu-
tiveness and information coordination in nication Capacities for Relief, Response
districts and communities by leveraging ex- and Recovery
isting technologies such as mobile SMS and At a cost of NPR 423.25 million, priority needs
local radio stations to engage with communi- should focus on strengthening and harmonizing
ties and facilitate their active participation in the existing DRR portal and SAHANA DMIS
response and recovery. with associated disaster databases like DesIn-
• Community-based disaster preparedness ventar; and capacity building and training for
programmes are designed and implemented communications personnel at the national level,
with the participation and engagement of including the designated recovery agency.
the community, including women and oth- • Capacity building and trainings on Big Data
er disadvantaged groups. Women must be mining for major events, engaging with lead-
given the opportunity to assume leadership ing specialized institutions to create national
positions in the process. capacities for mining data from social forums
• Disaster preparedness and contingency plans to create and validate data points, and effec-
are prepared or reviewed at community and tiveness of various activities and gauge trajec-
district levels in consultation with the com- tory of on-going relief and response initia-
munity, including women and other disad- tives to make any mid-course corrections.
vantaged groups. They participate in mock • Establish more direct, simple, community-
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the agency in terms of technical, logistics and building codes will be ensured through imple-
administrative aspects, both at national and lo- menting code compliant manuals, standardiza-
cal levels. After the establishment of the agency, tion of systems, tools and human resources in-
a wide range of development policies and guide- volved in the construction business (engineers,
lines related to mainstreaming DRM issues may architects, mid-level technicians, masons, etc.),
be needed. The initiatives in improving risk and expanding the electronic building permit
governance involve the formulation of legisla- system. Compliance will be further strength-
tion and establishment of institutional arrange- ened by implementing a Municipal Information
ments required to address the current recovery System (MIS). In order to address the existing
needs as part of the globally agreed Post-2015 vulnerabilities of building stock, retrofitting
MDG commitment on Sustainable Develop- guidelines will be implemented. To implement
ment Goals. These identified recovery needs will the above initiatives an amount of NPR 340
require NPR 210 million. million has been proposed.
One of the key areas under DRR is implemen- To address gaps in risk governance, standard
tation of safer building construction practices. operating procedures will be developed and,
The appropriate building by-laws will be formu- subsequently, human resources involved will be
lated to implement the Risk Sensitive Land Use trained and the capacity of stakeholders will be
Plan (RSLUP) in settlements. Compliance to enhanced on DRM. Local government (DDCs,
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municipalities, VDCs and line agencies) are the be developed and implemented.
key implementing hands that will be capacitated
with the appropriate skills, tools and techniques All above sectoral initiatives will be comple-
to implement recovery needs. National training mented by a series of capacity development
institutes such as Nepal Administration Staff activities at national, local and community lev-
College, Local Development Training Acad- els. Technical skills will be enhanced through
emy and Council for Technical Education and existing training institutes as well as proposed
Vocational Training will be mobilized to train institutions such as an Engineering Staff Col-
government officials. Involvement of the private lege, Building Research Centres and a dedicated
sector on current recovery needs as well as on agency for DRM.
DRM is key, and a national strategy on public-
private partnership will be developed. Improving Integration of Climate Change Ad-
aptation and DRR Policy Guidelines in Institu-
Mainstreaming DRM into Development tional Development
Sector, Particularly Buildings (private and
public) and Livelihoods It is critical to address the felt need to integrate
One of the broader areas of the recovery needs CAA and DRR into policy guidelines to ensure
is mainstreaming DRR into development sec- climate resilient recovery and reconstruction.
tors with the BBB approach. This is estimated to This will cost NPR 300 million. The following
cost NPR 615 million. The National Building actions are recommended:
Code is one such tool that incorporates earth- • To improve climate change modelling in the
quake-resistant design of buildings. This existing country to define future trends, vulnerabil-
building code is however 20 years old and needs ity indices, and institutionalize climate risk
to be revised. Similarly, appropriate guidelines management and adaptation measures. The
related to risk sensitive infrastructure design dissemination of climate change risk infor-
and construction processes will be developed. A mation will be highly important at national
common methodology for preparing RSLUPs and local levels to inform planning and sus-
to be used in all the settlements will be devel- tainable investments in preparedness, pre-
oped. The RSLUP will be integrated with the vention and mitigation.
land management policy. A building research • To operationalize integration of CCA and
institute will be set up and institutionalized to DRR in sectoral programming at national
address the technological gap with regard to the and district levels. Support district and lo-
appropriate technology and building materials cal bodies to contextualize their needs and
required to address the needs of the diverse geo- priorities for implementation of measures
graphical and ethnic population in Nepal. such as watershed-based approach to address
DRR and CCA through planning cycle, es-
DRR mainstreaming initiatives in health and pecially the District Risk Management Plans
educational buildings will be implemented by and District Disaster Response Plans as well
integration of DRR into health and education as annual and periodic sectoral plans.
development policies, based on which relevant • To demonstrate the benefits of integrated
strategies and action plans will be developed. To and unified CCA and DRR in at least five
implement the above action plans, the institu- demonstration projects at national and com-
tional framework of the agencies will be reviewed munity levels. These will be designed and
and gaps addressed. As part of the livelihoods implemented in various sectors (energy, ag-
sector, a risk profile of the communities will be riculture, flood and landslides risk manage-
prepared and appropriate mitigation measures ment) to generate evidence for scaling-up of
will be implemented. Further, multi-livelihood future integrated interventions.
options in areas such as building construction,
agriculture, tourism and micro enterprises will Assessment Methodology
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cent in the urban hills to 22 percent in urban This trend is driven mainly by remittances.
Tarai. Within rural hills, poverty ranges from 16
percent in the Eastern region to 37 percent in Inequality has been a cause of concern in Nepal
the mid and Far Western region. Within rural – among other things, due to its implications for
Tarai, poverty ranges from 21 percent in the social cohesion, which is an important aspect of
Eastern region to 31 percent in the mid and Far HD. The trends in consumption inequality in
Western region. Within each of the develop- Nepal over the three rounds of household surveys
ment regions except the Eastern, the hills have conducted in 1996, 2005 and 2011 show that the
higher poverty rates than the Tarai. Gini coefficient based on per capita consumption
returned to its 1996 value after a temporary rise
According to World Bank estimates, “poverty in 2003. Urban inequality rose moderately but
in the districts that have been hardest hit range fell more sharply, although it is higher than rural
from among the lowest in the country in urban inequality. The shares of the top and bottom 20
Kathmandu to among the highest in the moun- percent also remain more or less unchanged be-
tainous VDCs of Gorkha, closer to the epicentre. tween 1996 and 2011. One can conclude that the
Overall, the poverty rate is around 9.7 percent trend towards rising inequality witnessed during
in the urban parts of the affected areas and 26.5 1996-2003 was somewhat reversed subsequently,
percent in the rural parts. Poverty is deeper – that during 2003-2011. Having gone through a de-
is, those below the poverty line are further away cade-long conflict, these are remarkable achieve-
from the poverty line – in the rural parts of the ments in poverty and consumption-based in-
affected regions than the average poverty depths equality reduction. The massive destruction of
in the other parts of the country. Using a slightly livelihoods in the affected districts, disruption of
moderate definition of poverty (twice the poverty basic services, limited access to facilities including
line) to take into account the larger concentration relief, are likely to increase inequality, given that
of households that are vulnerable to falling back the poorer sections of the population have been
into poverty, 51.7 percent of the population in more severely affected.
the urban areas and 66.8 percent in rural areas
within the earthquake-affected region are either Multi-dimensional Poverty Index
already poor or at risk of falling into poverty.” The Multi-Dimensional Poverty Index (MPI)
identifies deprivations across income, education
Between 1990 and 2004, the ‘below US$1.25’ and health, showing the number of people who
poverty rate declined at an annualized rate of are multi-dimensionally poor and the number
5.11 percent, while the ‘below US$2’ poverty of deprivations that poor households typically
rate fell at the rate of 0.9 percent. But, if we have to endure. The latest MPI (.217) showed
take the more recent sub-period of 2004-2011, that 44.2 percent of Nepalis live in acute multi-
the numbers are very different: Poverty below dimensional poverty. But Nepal’s MPI is now
the US$1.25 line declined at 2.8 percent, while below that of India, Pakistan or Bangladesh.87
poverty below the US$2 declined at 4.2 percent. Thus, over five years, Nepal reduced the percent-
The MPI in 2010, based on data collected in 2006 was 0.35, significantly higher than the latest figure.
87
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age of MPI poor people by 20.5 percent and the national level may not alter much, regional
reduced the intensity by 5 percent. At the na- variances will widen.
tional level, Nepal’s progress with MPI is driven
by three sub-components: electricity, assets and Millennium Development Goals
nutrition. It is widely believed that remittances Nepal is known as a success story in MDGs. The
received from abroad are the primary factor as following table summarizes the achievements in
far as asset accumulation and nutrition status Goals 1-7, according to the latest report pub-
are concerned. Assets have been destroyed by the lished by the United Nations Economic and So-
earthquake and nutrition status is also at risk at cial Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UN-
the moment. The MPI in the affected districts ESCAP).
could seriously deteriorate.
There is outstanding progress in most of the in-
However, within Nepal, the fastest reduction dicators at the national level, although it should
in MPI has been in the western Tarai, where be borne in mind that there are spatial and
the total number of poor went down from 67 socio-economic group-based disparities. Nepal
percent to 33 percent in five years. The far- achieved its poverty reduction target well before
western Tarai also saw a dramatic drop from the deadline. There are, however, concerns with
81 percent poverty to 50 percent. These are not gender parity, especially women’s enrolment in
among the areas that were most severely affect- tertiary education. The disruption of schooling,
ed by the earthquake. Therefore, while MPI at and the loss of motivation of students to study,
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may affect the ‘reaching final grade’ percentage, as ‘fair’. Nearly 90 percent were back to their
which is already on the lower side. Due to the normal occupation (which is mainly subsis-
destruction of health facilities and disruption tence farming). This is in sharp contrast to the
of health services, maternal mortality rate – an response received in Kathmandu district, where
area where Nepal made outstanding strides, only 20 percent described relief distribution as
could be affected negatively. fair and 43.8 percent were able to return to their
normal occupation. Lalitpur and Bhaktapur
Findings on Immediate HD Effect from responded similarly to Kathmandu. In Sindhu-
Primary Surveys palchowk, only 25 percent of the people were
The immediate effect of an earthquake on hu- able to return to their normal occupation. Only
man development is that it makes families around 20 percent of the people “did not want”
homeless, jobless or without a livelihood, vul- to go back to their village of origin.
nerable to food insecurity and diseases, and dis-
rupt the normal education schedule. All of these Households that are still unable to return to
add up to immense psychological stress, which their original occupation are compelled to
no scale can measure, but leads to job abandon- adopt different kinds of coping mechanisms
ment and productivity, and income losses. after the earthquake. The households of each
district are adopting a particular type of coping
A primary survey of 408 displaced households mechanism which differs by district. The fol-
was conducted in six severely-affected districts, lowing chart summarizes coping mechanisms.
a month after the April 25 earthquake: Sind- The ‘other’ category includes drawing mainly
hupalchowk, Sindhuli, Gorkha, Kathmandu, on personal savings, reflected in significant
Bhaktapur and Lalitpur.88 Half the respondents cash demand from banks.
were women. The main message that comes
through is one of extreme uncertainty about Nearly 44 percent of the surveyed HHs are
what lies ahead, captured by the diverse nature coping with relief support, while 31 percent
of responses to all the questions asked. The un- have acquired new debt. HHs in Gorkha, as
certainty is about life (possibility of the disaster noted before, have resumed their normal live-
repeating itself ), and livelihood. This state of lihoods, but the income generated from them
mind is in itself a serious negative effect on one’s is clearly insufficient to meet their needs: as a
perception of well-being. result, they are incurring new debt. The loss
due to the earthquakes (house, livestock and
Overall, 95 percent of the people surveyed re- other productive assets) differs by district.
ceived relief, 68.8 percent perceived them as fair, These numbers should be interpreted jointly
61 percent went back to their normal occupation, with the per capita incomes of the districts. For
82 percent wanted to return to their original vil- example, Kathmandu has one of the highest
lage (of those who did, only 38.3 percent wanted per capita incomes, and the reported average
to settle in a new location in the old village), 19.8 loss due to collapsed/damaged house is NPR
percent received remittances before the quake (of 2,574,413, which is several times higher than
which only 26.6 percent did so after the event), that in Gorkha (NPR 895,600).
13.2 percent of migrants returned from their
jobs abroad, and the average loss of annual in- Gender
come predicted was 32.8 percent. Sindhupalchowk, with nearly 95 percent toilet
coverage before the earthquake, was about to be
Ninety nine per cent of households in Gorkha declared an ODF (Open Defecation Free) dis-
received relief and 95 percent perceived them trict. But, about 80 percent of the toilets have
88
The questions focused on the (a) damage/loss of house, livestock and other assets (b) HH Income (without remittance) (c) migration and remittance (do they receive remit-
tance, if yes, what is the monthly average remittance received, if they received remittance after the earthquake, did the family member who was abroad for employment
return after the earthquake, if s/he has returned, how long will s/he stay back: one month, 1-3 months, 3-6 months, > 6 months) (e) relief (food, shelter, others; how long
will it sustain them, is the distribution fair or up to their expectations) (f ) coping mechanism (resumed normal work or not, if not how are they surviving – relief, debt,
community support if any, how much longer before they anticipate going back to their original livelihood) (g) relocation/resettlement (if they wish to go back to their
original village/home, if not, what could be the reasons, if yes, would they want to be relocated if such opportunity is provided).
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now collapsed. Women’s and girls’ health and and Kavre) to 37.2 percent (Gorkha). As the
safety will negatively suffer. Likewise, the existing number of single-headed households and FHHs
475 drinking water schemes have collapsed. This are likely to rise in the aftermath of the earth-
will have a direct negative impact on women’s quake, there should be a special support system
and girls’ work in the form of increased drudg- to promote their survival and social resilience.
ery as they will have to walk much farther to
fetch water. Similarly, in Kavrepalanchowk, 22 The effect on children has been significant. Four
VDCs were already designated ODF. The DDC child-focused agencies, Plan International, Save
was preparing to declare the entire district as the Children, United Nations Children’s Fund,
ODF by December 2015. But now most of the and World Vision International Nepal, are cur-
drinking water schemes have been damaged. An rently undertaking a children’s consultation in
important dimension of poverty is time poverty, the 14 most affected districts. Their preliminary
which can be broadly understood in the context findings from Focus Group discussions (FGDs)
of the burden of competing claims on individu- reveal several effects on children, ranging from
als’ time that reduce their ability to make uncon- concerns like shelter, education, food, hygiene,
strained choices on how they allocate their time, and access to drinking water, and other issues
leading, in many instances, to increased work (unfair distribution, psychosocial support).
intensity and to tradeoffs among various tasks.
Time poverty can exacerbate income poverty in In 16 out of 24 FGDs, children groups identi-
poor households in several ways, and many of fied shelter as the first priority issue in the cur-
these particularly affect women. rent context and children in five FGDs said it
was the second most important issue for them.
Poverty and food insecurity will increase in the Major problems relating to shelter listed by
aftermath of the earthquake. Dalits, the landless, children are as follows:
and female-headed households (FHHs) will face a. Houses have collapsed and they do not
a severe crisis as their coping capacity and scale know when new ones will be built;
of resilience are usually very low. It is important b. Houses have developed cracks and they are
to note that in 14 hard-hit districts, the share of unable to live inside them;
FHHs ranges between 21.3 percent (Nuwakot
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‘Inclusive Economic Growth in Nepal’ by Chandan Sapkota, Journal of Poverty Alleviation and International Development, 5(2)
89
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Human Assets and Economic Vulnerabil- Thus, while all the pre-existing components will
ity Indices reflect the effect of the earthquakes, an addition-
There is a likely impact on the human asset and al channel has been created through which the
economic vulnerability indexes (HAI, EVI, re- impact of the earthquakes will have long-term
spectively), two of the three criteria required implications for HAI as well as the outcome of
for graduation from being a Least Developed the next triennial review scheduled for 2018. It
Country and also closely connected to HD. could be useful to identify affected women at
The 17th session (March 23-27, 2015) of the different stages of their pregnancies and ensure
Committee for Development Policy in UN- that they receive adequate care to give safe birth.
DESA, announced that for the first time Nepal
has met the criteria for graduation, possibly by The earthquakes also have implications for the
2022. Nepal made it to the list mainly due to Economic Vulnerability Index (EVI). Nepal had
its remarkable progress in HAI and EVI. The achieved the benchmark level according to the
composition of HAI used for the 2015 review is March 2015 review. The EVI comprises two sub-
an equally weighted index of percentage of the indices, namely exposure and shock. The shock
population undernourished, mortality rate of sub-index, in turn, includes three components,
children under five years of age, gross secondary namely export instability, victims of natural di-
school enrolment ratio, and adult literacy. For sasters, and instability of agriculture. All three are
the next triennial, maternal mortality rate will likely to receive at least a temporary setback.
be added as an additional criterion.
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90
At market prices, GDP growth in FY2014 was 5.4 percent and 4.1 percent in FY2013. Pre-earthquake GDP growth at market prices was projected at 5 percent, which was
revised down to 3.4 percent after the earthquakes.
91
An estimated 1.2 million people have moved to safer areas and/or to rebuild their houses in affected areas immediately after the earthquakes.
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(FY2015 post-
FY2015 FY2016
FY2014 (actual) quake revised
(pre-quake) (projected)
estimate)
GDP growth rate (percent) (basic prices) 5.05 4.58 3.04 5.50
Fiscal indicators
48,190
Non tax revenue (NPR million) 45,040 (US$459.59) 41,000 (US$416.24) 48,500 (US$485)
(US$489.23)
618,000 494,000
Expenditures (NPR million) 434,420 (US$443.06) 840,000 (US$8400)
(US$6274.11) (US$5015.23)
External sector
100,960
Exports (million NPR) 94,900 (US$963.45) 95,850 (US$958.50)
(US$1030.20)
696,370 752,710
Imports (NPR million) 889,960 (US$8899.60)
(US$7105.82) (US$7641.73)
Grants and loans (NPR million) 69,650 (US$710.71) 62,860 (US$638.17) 108,730 (US$1087.30)
589,470
Remittances (NPR million) 543,300 (US$554.39) 627,790 (US$6277.90)
(US$5984.47)
127,130
Balance of Payments (NPR million) 71,380 (US$724.67) 35,260 (US$352.60)
(US$1297.24)
Exchange rate used in this section is as follows: US$1=NPR98 for FY2014; US$1= NPR98.47 for FY2015 and US$1=NPR100 for FY2016
92
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5.5
5
5.1
4.6
4 4.3
3.9 3.8
3
3.0
0
FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014R FY2015P FY2016f
Source: CBS;
Note 1: R (Revised); P (Projected); f (forecast)
93
The Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model under development at the National Planning Commission (NPC) is titled General Equilibrium Model for Nepal and the
World (GEMNW).
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economic growth. The timing and adequacy of of the projected growth in agriculture from 2.2
monsoon rains and agricultural inputs, includ- percent to 1.9 percent this year. The estimated
ing fertilizers, determine agricultural output. Its gross value added (GVA)94 losses in the agricul-
growth averaged 3 percent in the last five years. ture sector in the final quarter of this fiscal year
In the first half of FY2015, agricultural output are NPR2334.45 million (US$23.7 million).
was affected by the delayed as well as subnormal Damages in this sector have affected at least one
(winter) monsoon and flooding in various parts million households, those managed by elderly
of the country. Paddy production contracted by people and women suffering the most. Addition-
5.1 percent compared to 2014 and wheat output ally, women who produce 60 percent of the crops
faced a similar fate. Maize output was reduced by and manage 75 percent of the livestock will be
6 percent, which further dampened the already the hardest hit.
poor performance of the agriculture sector. As a
result, agriculture growth was expected to be re- With the El Niño shadow over South Asia, de-
duced to 2.2 percent in FY2015, compared to 2.9 stroyed cultivatable land and displaced rural
percent in FY2014. workforce, slow replacement rate of livestock and
no other subsectors (within the agriculture sector)
Post-earthquake that can quickly fill the loss in the short run, con-
The agriculture sector, especially livestock, has tribution from the agriculture sector is expected
taken a direct hit. Several factors had already to be below its potential going into FY2016.
brought down the agriculture sector’s perfor-
mance, but it is the loss of livestock that has Industry
further lowered overall growth in the sector after
the earthquakes. Livestock accounts for over 23 Pre-earthquake
percent of value-added in agriculture. The loss Industrial sector growth rate in FY2014 had
of over 17,000 cattle and about 40,000 smaller, signalled hope of this sector’s rebound and con-
domesticated animals has resulted in the revision tribution to the economy.Performance of thein-
3.3
3
2.9 1.6 2.5
2.9
2.1 3.2
2
0.6 0.4
0.9
1 0.7
0.6 0.4
0.4
0.7 1.7 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.7
0 0.4
FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014R FY2015 post- FY2015 pre-
earthquake earthquake
Source: CBS
94
Gross output is the total value of all goods and services produced during the accountancy period (at basic prices). Intermediate consumption is the total value of goods and
services consumed as inputs by production processes (at purchasers’ prices). Gross value added (GVA) is the difference between gross output and intermediate consumption.
Finally, GDP is equal to GVA, plus taxes, minus subsidies.
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dustry sector – which accounts for about 15.2 sion by the NRB, boosted residential lending
percent of GDP –has been lackluster due to and higher levels of public capital expenditure,
the persistent, binding supply-side constraints. thereby contributing to the recovery in infra-
However, in FY2014, industrial sector growth structure construction. However, in the imme-
rate was 6.2 percent and much of this encour- diate aftermath of the earthquakes, private con-
aging upswing was channelled from three sub- struction has slowed down drastically. Though
sectors – mining and quarry (growth rate of 5.3 large public programmes at the districts are un-
percent), manufacturing (growth rate of 6.3 affected by the earthquake, overall construction
percent), and construction (growth rate of 7.1 is expected to slow down. The cessation of con-
percent). Improving investment climate and struction activities in 14 districts has lowered
political stability, investments in hydro power this sector’s growth rate to 3.6 percent from
starting to translate into expanded construction the projected estimate of 5.9 percent growth
activities and growing consumption helped in- (pre-earthquake). Compared to the growth rate
crease manufacturing output. of 7.1 percent achieved in FY2014, the sector’s
deceleration is significant. In the following year
Post-earthquake (FY2016), however, labour demand for demo-
Industrial sector recovery has been halted. The lition, clearing of debris, and reconstruction of
earthquakes have shaken industrial sector out- destroyed and damaged dwellings and other
put, which is expected to grow by only 2.6 per- physical infrastructure will grow. This will in-
cent in the remaining fiscal year. The estimated crease demand for and earnings of skilled and
GVA losses (in the last quarter of FY2015) are unskilled labour in ancillary industries such as
NPR6195.65 million (US$62.9 million) – of manufacturing and transport. Recovery also
which manufacturing sector GVA losses are represents a short-term opportunity to kick-
NPR2649.65 million (US$26.9 million), and start and restore rural livelihoods as well as
of the construction subsector NPR3142.15 mil- promote women’s economic empowerment.
lion (US$31.9 million).
The electricity subsector will face a signifi-
Although no overall heavy damage to the coun- cant challenge in the medium term, though
try’s manufacturing base was reported, the sud- there has been no notable drop in produc-
den leave of absence by workers going home to tion of power in the short term. Nearly 115
affected districts, contraction in consumption MW of hydro power facilities have sustained
and general move of population to saving mode damage but increased generation from un-
from earlier conspicuous consumption, dispro- damaged power plants assisted in filling the
portionately high production during the fourth gap. All transmission facilities, including 42
quarter and its cessation leading to income loss substations and 57 transmission lines, are in
were factors that have led to the slowdown in operation with little disruption of services.
the manufacturing sector. In addition, many About 800 kilometres of distribution lines at
manufacturing units, other than those produc- different voltage levels and 365 transformers of
ing Corrugated Galvanized Iron (CGI) sheets different capacity (from 15 to 300 kVA) have
and steel rods, have reported under-utilization been damaged and are out of service. Losses are
of capacity. Moreover, in the 14 most-affected estimated to be more than NPR2955 million
districts, a large share of micro enterprises are (US$30 million) in power sales revenues for in-
households which that suffered significant dam- dependent power producers (IPPs) and about
age or have collapsed completely. NPR95.55 million (US$0.97 million) for the
government in royalty payments by Nepal
In the construction subsector, the govern- Electricity Authority(NEA). More important-
ment’s moratorium on housing construction, ly, increase in load shedding is almost certain
till further notice, contributed to the subsec- as a result of significant delays in the comple-
tor’s contraction. Construction had started to tion of power projects, because approximately
pick up in FY2014 after two consecutive years 1,000 MW of hydro power projects under con-
of weak performance. Renewed financial sec- struction owned by IPPs and NEA have been
tor health, together with strengthened supervi- partially damaged.
299
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Figure 23.3: Estimated Gross Value Added Loss in Industry to 6.3 percent in FY2014). Losses in three sub-
Sector (US$ million) sectors (wholesale and retail; real estate, renting
and business activities; and transport, storage
Mining and quarrying and communications) account for 83 percent
Electricity gas and water
4.1 0.0 of service sector losses. The total GVA losses are
estimated to be NPR22753.5 million (US$231
million) for the rest of FY2015.
95
The System of National Accounts (SNA) 1993 defines services of owner-occupied dwellings as ‘own household unincorporated enterprises that produce housing services
for their own consumption.’ These are included within the production boundary of the SNA.
300
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12
FY 2014R FY 2015 pre-earthquake FY 2015 post-earthquake
10
0
Wholesale and retail trade
Financial Intermediation
Education
Figure 23.5: Estimated Gross Value Added Loss in Services Sector (US$ million)
Construction
31.9 Real estate, renting and
business activities
71.7
Wholesale and
retail trade
58.8
Transport, storage and
communications
60.9
Source: CBS
301
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slowdown in land and air transport. Mechanized FY2015 in the education subsector is estimated
as well as non-mechanized transport activities to be more than NPR30830.5 million (US$313
slowed down drastically due to the exodus of million). As the public sector accounts for 80
drivers and passengers from the main demand percent of these damages and losses, it will cer-
centres, including Kathmandu Valley. The fre- tainly put significant fiscal pressure on the gov-
quency of air transport, both domestic and for- ernment in the medium term.
eign, is also reduced. The estimated GVA losses
are NPR5998.65 million (US$60.9 million). Financial intermediation loss is lower than
expected for now, though its full impact will
The hotel and restaurant subsector is expected unfold over time.The disruptions to banking
to rebound partially by the next tourist season. and insurance transactions in the affected dis-
Hotel and restaurant business growth is project- tricts will likely lower financial intermediation
ed to decline by 2.8 percentage points to 4 per- growth by 2.3 percentage points to 1.4 percent
cent following the earthquakes as tourist arrivals in FY2015.98 The operational disturbances in
have drastically reduced, domestic tourism has financial infrastructure were short-lived in the
receded, and some hotels and restaurants have earthquake-affected areas. However, the port-
reported partial or full shut down of operations folios of micro-finance institutions (MFIs) and
due to physical damage. With relief personnel cooperatives are likely to be most severely im-
temporarily filling empty hotel rooms, the im- pacted as low income people in rural areas have
pact on the subsector has somewhat lessened.96 lost lives and livelihoods. Many borrowers are
However, given that the tourism sector has sus- likely to face a Catch-22 situation: they have
tained significant physical damages in the affect- lost livelihoods and their income stream has
ed districts, it is expected to suffer major eco- been disrupted; they require loans to rebuild
nomic losses over the next two to three years. It livelihoods; but their lack of stable source of in-
is also important to note that the overall impact come may be grounds for credit providers not
of the earthquakes on the tourism sector goes to extend loans. Additionally, the damages and
beyond the 14 affected districts and has affected economic disruption could deteriorate the as-
well-known tourism destinations like Chitwan set quality of the loan portfolios of banks and
and Pokhara. Other nations which have expe- financial institutions (BFIs) through: (i) dam-
rienced a similar disaster, have generally taken age or disruption to otherwise viable businesses,
several years to recover fully with regards to especially medium, small and micro enterprises
tourist arrivals. As a result, in the medium term, (MSMEs), which may need to restructure their
the tourism sector is expected to suffer losses of debts and will need additional finance to repair
about NPR59100 million (US$600 million). damages; (ii) damage to uninsured real estate
collateral (under-insurance is widespread and
Losses in the education subsector are more psy- weak administration is leading to claims being
chological than financial, but damages are sub- denied); and (iii) contagion to BFIs from losses
stantial. Most children are out of school and in the microfinance sector. Therefore, the likely
with the monsoon, the disruption to schooling losses are expected to be much higher, in the
and its impact on development is expected to range of NPR25610 million (US$260 million),
be far-reaching. Disruptions to educational in the medium term.
services provided by government, corporations
and non-profit institutions, and physical dam- Per capita Income
age to their assets will likely lower education Per capita GDP decreased by NPR2319
subsector growth by 1.2 percentage points to 5 (US$23) compared to the no-earthquake sce-
percent in FY2015. The estimated GVA losses nario (in which case per capita income would
are NPR1881.35 million (US$19.1 million).97 have been NPR77311 (US$785)). Accordingly,
However, the total damages and losses beyond real per capita income increased by 3.6 percent.99
96
The estimated GVA loss is US$10.4 million for the final quarter of FY2015.
97
This also factors in the agreement reached between the government and private schools to charge only half a month’s fee.
98
The estimated GVA losses are US$4.7 million.
99
Growth rate of real per capita income in local currency unit
302
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
900
785
800 762
714 702 708 717
700
610
600
491 497
500
410
400
300
200
100
0 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014R FY2015 FY2015
post- EQ pre- EQ
Source: CBS
12
9.6 9.9
9.6
10 9.1
8.3
8
0
FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
Food and beverage Non-food and services Nepal-CPI
Source: NRB
303
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
Figure 23.8: Current Account Balance (share of GDP) (equivalent to 32.7 percent of GDP) and almost
on a par with the trade deficit of NPR600.85 bil-
lion (US$6.1 billion) (equivalent to 30.9 percent
10.00
of GDP). As a result, gross official reserves grew
8.00 by 23.6 percent in FY2014 to reach NPT679.65
6.00 billion (US$6.9 billion), enough to cover some
8.2 months of imports of goods and services.
4.00
100
The scope and pace of rehabilitation and reconstruction will also influence the rate of out-migration.
304
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
foreign aid is expected to continue to increase households has been now been parked in the
for reconstruction activities. Nevertheless, there commercial banks for safety reasons. Domestic
also exists a possibility of CA balance being neg- credit is expected to slow down significantly
ative if the rate of increase of trade deficit is high in the short term. Without clarity on the bal-
on account of increased import of construction ance sheets of banks and increased risk after the
materials and if the rate of increase of net trans- earthquakes, banks will be reluctant to lend in
fers is low in the medium term. Should such a the short term.
situation arise, it is expected to be manageable.
Fiscal sector
Monetary sector
Pre-earthquake
Pre-earthquake While domestic revenue mobilization has contin-
Monetary policy continued to be expansionary ued to perform exceptionally well over the years,
to support economic activity and financial sector structural bottlenecks to spending, particularly
stability. Broad money (M2) supply increased by capital budget, have been a problem. Though pub-
19.1 percent in FY2014 (up from 16.4 percent lic spending picked up significantly in FY2014, it
in FY2013), resulting in very low interest rates. remained low (particularly investment) compared
The Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) maintained a to both needs and the space afforded by healthy
relatively loose monetary policy and minimal fiscal balances. Nepal registered a budget surplus
sterilization of remittance inflows to stimulate in FY2013 (0.7 percent of GDP) and marginal
private sector lending while also allowing banks deficit in FY2014 (-0.1 percent of GDP), re-
to rebuild balance sheet strength by keeping in- flecting, among other things, continued robust
terest rates low. In the nine months of FY2015 revenue growth but a persistent shortcoming in
(before the earthquakes), money supply (M2) capital budget execution. A similar trend was ob-
growth stood at 16.1 percent (year-on-year), re- served in FY2015 prior to the earthquakes – the
flecting a decline in growth of net foreign assets budget was under-executed. Domestic revenue
(NFA) on the back of weaker remittances and mobilization on the other hand has continued to
lower foreign grants receipts. perform well. The government managed to meet
the ambitious targets it had set for itself, with to-
In the last few years, high deposit growth cou- tal revenue growth of 19.8 percent in FY2014 and
pled with slower credit off-take kept the cost of 21.1 percent in FY2013. Total revenue as a share
borrowing low, which was starting to change of GDP reached 18.4 percent in FY2014 (from
from FY2015. The weighted average Treasury- 14.7 percent four years ago). Before the disaster,
bill (T-bill) (91 days) and interbank rates for domestic revenue mobilization in FY2015 (despite
FY2014 were 0.13 percent and 0.22 percent the trimester targets missed) was expected to reach
respectively. Likewise, the average base rate of NPR416.66 billion (US$4.23 billion),101 with
commercial banks stood at 8.36 percent. This overall revenue growth reaching 19.3 percent.
trend was partly reversed in the first nine months
of FY2015 (before the earthquakes), with credit Post-earthquake
to the private sector from BFIs increasing by The combination of a decline in tax revenues and
19.8 percent in mid-April 2015. This outpaced an increase in spending will put pressure on the
deposits (deposits at BFIs expanded by 16.5 per- fiscal balance in the medium term. Public rev-
cent), resulting in a significant decrease of excess enues have taken a direct hit in the aftermath
liquidity in the system. of the disaster. It is now increasingly likely that
the target for revenue collection of NPR416.66
Post-earthquake billion (US$4.23 billion) in the current fiscal
After the earthquakes, broad money is expected year will not be met. With only NPR384.15
to increase by 16 percent in FY2015 (year-on- billion (US$3.90 billion) expected to be raised
year). The deposit rate is expected to increase by the end of FY2015, there will be a shortfall
significantly, partly also because money in of about 8 percent (approximately NPR29550
101
Netting out NPR 18.5 billion of cash balance of FY2014
305
N e pa l E a rt h q u a k e 2 0 1 5 : P o s t D i s a s t e r N e e d s A s s e s s m e n t l V o l . B : s e c to r r e p o rt s
102
This will be 80 percent of planned outlay
103
Preliminary estimates put total damages and losses at about US$7 billon
306
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ficiency, transparency and accountability. An Ex- efforts aimed at restoring the trajectory of higher
tra-ordinary Mechanism (EOM) that is informed economic growth. A push towards economic re-
by international best practice, but is grounded in forms has to continue so that the investment
past Nepali successes, will be necessary. Successes climate is friendlier. Nepal also needs to tap
include the rebuilding after the 1988 earthquake, unconventional assets at its disposal, such as
the reconstruction of Myanglung Bazaar in Teh- the growing financial and technical clout of the
rathum after the fire of 2002, and the integra- diaspora, the spirit of volunteerism of its youth
tion of Maoist combatants after the 2006 peace and new sources of philanthropy.
process. Under the oversight of elected represen-
tatives in government and parliament, as well as Assessment Methodology
development partners and civil society, an EOM This chapter was led by the NPC on and was
staffed by professionals who can exercise legal written based on the inputs and data provided
authority, from procurement to land acquisition, by the CBS, NRB and MoF from the Govern-
embedded in several acts will be required to ex- ment side. On the Development partners side,
ecute reconstruction. it was led by the WB and ADB and the inputs
were provided by the UNDP, DFID and EU.
Third, there are macroeconomic vulnerabilities Loss and damage figures from the sector assess-
that will need to be monitored closely. With the ment was used for the macro-analysis.
surge in import of construction materials, and
reconstruction attracting resources away from References
the tradable (export) sector, the trade deficit will Sarah Bradshaw and Maureen Fordham 2013: Women,
widen further. If the flow of remittances is tepid Girls and Disasters; A review for DFID
National Commission 2013: Nepal Thirteenth Periodic
as a result of unforeseen shocks, BOP could spiral Plan 2013
out of control. Similarly, controlling inflation will UNDP 2014: Human Development Report
require vigilance on the part of regulatory insti- International Centre for Research on Women 2015:
tutions. Calls to exempt reconstruction-related Child Marriage Facts and Figures: http://www.icrw.
imports from customs and value-added taxes at org/child-marriage-facts-and-figures
FAO 2015: Field assessment Report on 22/05/2015.
the border could also dampen revenue collection. Dalit Civil Society Organizations’ Coalition for UPR,
Nepal And International Dalit Solidarity Network
Fourth, the management of public expecta- (IDSN) 2015: Human Rights Situation of the Dalits
tions with regard to the scale and intensity of Community
‘new’ construction has to be deft. The discourse NMIP 2014; WASH Status Report 2014
Nepal Demographic and Health Survey 2011
in the country already conflates recovery needs UNFPA, UN Women and UK Aid 2013:Tracking Cases
with ambitious projects of national significance for Gender-Based Violence in Nepal: Individual, in-
not directly related to the earthquakes. While a stitutional, legal and policy analyses
national campaign of new building and renewal Chiai Uraguchi 2010: Current Trends of Human Traf-
can use post-earthquake recovery as a point of ficking in Nepal
Reuter News 2015: http://www.reuters.com/ar-
departure, it would be useful not to mix the two ticle/2015/05/26/us-quake-nepal-trafficking-idUSK-
at early stages of recovery to encourage prioriti- BN0OB12Z20150526
zation and economic use of scarce resources. UNICEF 2015: State of World Children: http://www.
unicef.org/publications/files/SOWC_2015_Sum-
Fifth, the recently secured consensus among mary_and_Tables.pdf
Dalit Civil Society Organizations’ Coalition for
the largest political parties to promulgate a new UPR, Nepal And International Dalit Solidarity Net-
constitution and to hold elections for local gov- work (IDSN) 2015: Human Rights Situation of the
ernment as early as possible adds optimism to Dalits Community
307
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Annex 1:
Nutrition
Hon’ble Member NPC Dr. Yagya Bahadur Karki Ms. Preeti Kudesia (WB); Ms. Allison Prather (WFP) ,Ms. Sara Bau-
mann, Ms.Ilaria Schibba, Mr. Debendra Adhikari (USAID);Mr. Ashok
Focal Point (NPC) Mr. Bishnu Prasad Nepal, Mr. Radhakrishna Bhurtyal (WHO); Ms. Shweta Rawal (FAO); Mr. Mim Hamal (EU); Mr.
Pradhan, Mr. Sanjay Kumar Khanal Min Raj Gyawali, Ms. Savita Malla, Mr.Kshitij Yadav, Ms. Sophiya
Focal Point (Ministry) Mr. Giri Raj Subedi, Ms. Basundhara Sharma Uprety (NNFSS)
(MoHP); Mr. Ishwar Raj Paudel, Mr. Tula Raj
Sunuwar (MoFALD); Ms. Jyotsna Shrestha,
Mr. Kanchan Raj Pandey (MoAD); Mr. Anil
Mishra, Mr. Chet Nath Sharma (MoE); Mr.
Hari Prasad Parajuli (MoUD); Ms. Bishwa
Maya Neupane, Ms. Sabitri Paudel (MoW-
CSW)
Education
Hon’ble Member NPC Dr. Yagya Bahadur Karki Mr. Sanjay Kumar Khanal (NPC), Mr. Jum Prasad Rai (MoE); Dr. Dilli
Ram Rimal (DoE), Mr. Rajendra Kuram Paudel, Mr. Jhapper Singh
Focal Point (NPC) Mr. Bishnu Prasad Nepal Vishwokarma, Mr. Youbraj Paudyal, Mr. Narayan Krishna Shrestha
(DoE); Mr. Surya Acharya (NSET)
Focal Point (Ministry) Dr. Lava Deo Awasthi, Dr. Mukunda Mani
Khanal, Mr. Saurav Dev Bhatta, Mr. Ram Krishna Rijal (WB); Mr. Tap Raj Pant,
Ms. Serena Rossignoli,Mr.Aagat Awasthi (UNESCO); Ms. Sarah Bern-
DP lead agency Mr. Parviz Abduvahobov, Mr. Jimi Oostrum hardt (EU); Ms.Jannie Kwok (USAID); Mr. Yasumasa Nagaoka,
(UNICEF); Ms. Smita Gyawali, Mr. Pramod Mr. Ang Sherpa (JICA); Ms. Mamta Gurung, Ms. Nikhila Gill (WFP)
Bhatta, Ms. Shanti Jagannathan, (ADB)
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Cultural Heritage
Hon’ble Member NPC Dr. Chandra Mani Adhikari Mr Romel Singh Jamwal (ASI, GOI); Mr. Naomichi Murooka (JICA)
Focal Point (NPC) Mr. Pushpalal Shakya
Focal Point (Ministry) Mr. Mohan Krishna Sapkota (MoTCA)
DP lead agency Mr. Christian Manhart, Mr. Thomas Schrom
(UNESCO)
Irrigation
Hon’ble Member NPC Dr. Chandra Mani Adhikari Mr. Purna Chettri (WB); Mr.Pushpa Khanal (FAO); Mr. Deepak Singh
(ADB)
Focal Point (NPC) Mr. Pushpalal Shakya
Focal Point (Ministry) Mr. Kaushal Kumar Jha (MoIrr)
DP lead agency Mr. Arnaud Cauchois (ADB)
Tourism
Hon’ble Member NPC Dr. Chandra Mani Adhikari Mr. Thomas Schrom (UNESCO); Mr. Thomas Kring, Mr. Saloman
Rajbanshi, Mr. Prakash Sharma (ILO); Mr. Suhyon Oh (UNDP); Mr.
Focal Point (NPC) Mr. Lal Shanker Ghimire Wouter Shalken, Mr. Sumit Baral (DFID)
Focal Point (Ministry) Mr. Mohan Krishna Sapkota (MoTCA)
DP lead agency Mr. Taneem Ahad (WB/IFC)
Financial Sector
Hon’ble Member NPC Dr. Chandra Mani Adhikari & Dr. Swarnim Mr. Suresh Pradhan (MoCPA); Mr. Miquel Dijkman, Ms. Gabi G.
Waglé Afram, Mr. Niraj Verma, Mr. Sudyumna Dahal, Mr. Santosh Pandey,
Mr. Saurav Rana,Mr. Asim Nepal (WB/IFC);Mr. Andrew Lovegrove
Focal Point (NPC) Mr. Lal Shanker Ghimire (DFID); Mr. Giuseppe Savino (IOM); Mr. Rajeeb Shakya, Ms.Anita
Focal Point (Ministry) Mr. Min Bahadur Shrestha, Dr. Ram Sharan Mahat, Mr. R.Coleman (USAID); Ms.Niyama Rai (ILO); Mr. Mayumi
Kharel (NRB); Mr. Surya Acharya (MoF) Ozaki (ADB); Mr. Jaspreet Singh,Mr. Ujjwal Pokhrel (UNCDF)
DP lead agency Sabin Raj Shrestha (WB)
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Electricity
Hon’ble Member NPC Dr. Govind Nepal Mr. Ram Prasad Dhital, Mandal (AEPC), Mr. Raju Maharjan (MoEn),
Mr. Pravin Aryal (DoED), Mr. Lila Nath Bhattarai, Mr. Surendra
Focal Point (NPC) Mr. Gopi Nath Mainali Rajbhandari (NEA); Mr. Tika Limbu,Mr. Pushkar Manandhar (ADB);
Focal Point (Ministry) Mr. Samir Ratna Shakya (MoEn); Mr. Yutaro Mizuhashi, Mr. Gopal Gurung (JICA);Mr. Olivier Drieu
(EIB);Mr. Bibek Chapagain (Norwegian Embassy); Mr Jeebanandra
DP lead agency Mr. Jie Tang, Mr. Rabin Shreshtha (WB) Mazumdar (PGCIL, India); Mr. Khadga Bisht (IPPAN), Mr. Shanker
Khagi (USAID), Mr. Niraj Subedi (KfW), Mr. Bart Jan Van (GIZ),
Mr. Jeebananda Mazumder (PGCIL), Mr. Jayandra Shrestha, Ms.
Namrata Tusuju Shrestha (WB)
Communication
Hon’ble Member NPC Dr. Prem Prasad Dangal Mr. Digambar Jha, Mr. Ananda Khanal (NTA); Ms.Namrata Tusuju
Shrestha (WB)
Focal Point (NPC) Mr. Gopi Nath Mainali
Focal Point (Ministry) Mr. Kabiraj Khanal (MoIC)
DP lead agency Mr. Jie Tang; Ms. Tenzin Dolma Norbhu (WB)
Community Infrastructure
Hon’ble Member NPC Dr. Prem Prasad Dangal Mr. Rabin Shrestha, Ms. Mio Takada (WB); Ms. Meenu Hada,
Ms.Sumana Shrestha (WFP); Mr. Anup Poudel (IOM); Mr. San-
Focal Point (NPC) Mr. Pushpalal Shakya tosh Nepal (PAF); Ms. Pooja Sharma,Mr. Rajendra Pradhananga
Focal Point (Ministry) Mr. Gokarna Mani Duwadee, Suman (GIZ); Mr. Shanker Khagi (USAID); Mr. Rupesh Malla,Mr. Subash
Ghimire,Mr. Prakash Dahal, Mr. Bed Raj Adhikari (MMDC); Mr. Vivek Rawal (UNDP)
Phuyel (MoFALD); Mr. Jeevan Shrestha, Mr.
Jeevan Guragain (DoLIDAR)
DP lead agency Mr. Daud Khan (WFP)
Transport
Hon’ble Member NPC Dr. Govind Nepal Mr. Tsuneyuki Sakai, Mr. Bhupendra Bhatt, Mr. Birendra Deoja, Mr.
Shuva Sharma, Mr. Kamal Pande (ADB); Mr. Farhad Ahmed, Mr.
Focal Point (NPC) Mr. Gopi Nath Mainali Chandra Bahadur Shrestha, (WB); Mr. Sourab Rana, Mr. Madan
Focal Point (Ministry) Mr. Keshav Sharma (DoR); Mr. Purna Chandra Maleku, Mr. Hiroyasu Shigai, Dr. Shigeki Unjoh (JICA); Mr. David
Bhattarai (MoFALD); Mr. Devendra Karki (Mo- Steidl, Mr. Shailendra Jha, Mr. Raju Shrestha, Mr. Arun Yadav (ILO);
PIT); Mr. Keshab Sharma (DoR); Mr. Baburam Mr. Akhilesh. K. Dikshit (BRO, India); Mr. Sunil Pant (UNOPS); Josef
Paudel, Mr. Nal Thapa (CAAN); Mr. Jeevan Zimmermann, Mr. Aman Jonchhe, Ms. Jun Hada (SDC); Mr. Suman
Shrestha, Mr. Maheshwar Ghimire (DoLIDAR) Vaidya, Mr. Manoj Shreshtha (DFID)
DP lead agency Mr. Govinda Gewali (ADB)
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Governance
Hon’ble member NPC Dr. Prem Prasad Dangal Mr. Siddhanta Vikram, Ms. Rachana Shrestha (ADB); Mr. Thomas
Hockley (EU); Mr. Yam Nath Sharma, Mr. Anil Chandrika, Ms.
Focal Point(NPC) Mr. Purushottam Ghimire Bandana Risal, Mr. Tek Tamata (UNDP); Mr. Bruce Pollock (SPIP);
Focal Point (Min/Govt) Mr. Shankar Prasad Koirala, Mr. Khomaraj Mr. Filep Decorte (UN HABITAT); Mr. Keith Leslie (WB/PRAN); Dr.
Koirala (OPMCM); Mr. Reshmi Raj Pandey Maki Tsumagari (JICA);Mr. Rune Qvale, Ms. Pia Haenni (SDC); Ms.
(MoFALD) Cecile Fradot, Mr. Luma Singh Bishowkarma (UNHCR); Mr. Bigyan
Pradhan (WB); Mr. Khoraraj Koirala (OPMCM); Mr. Bishnu Adhikari,
DP lead agency Ms. Amy Gill, Mr. D. Christopher Deck- Mr. Ed Bell (DFID);Mr. Ramesh Adhikari (USAID); Dr. Bhola Prasad
er (UNDP) Dahal (Norwegian Embassy)
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Social Protection
Hon’ble Member NPC Dr. Bimala Rai Paudyal Ms. Jasmine Rajbhandary, Mr. Dhiraj Sharma, Mr. Keith O Leslie, Mr.
Yasuhiko Matsuda, Ms. Sheryll Namingit (WB); Mr. Arun Rana (ADB);
Focal Point (NPC) Mr. Teertharaj Dhakal Mr. Daud Khan, Ms. Mamata Gurung, Mr. Gregory Munene (WFP);
Focal Point (Ministry) Mr. Reshmi Raj Pandey, Mr. Ramesh K.C. Mr. Thakur DhakaL, Ms. An Rai (UNICEF); Mr. Tek Tamata (UNDP); Mr.
(MoFALD); Mr. Shankar Pathak, Mr. Bharat Ms. Maria Barron (USAID); Ms. Bina Pokharel (UNAIDS); Ms. Luma
Sharma (MoWCSW) Singh Bishowkarma (UNHCR); Mr. Ben Powis (DFID)
DP lead agency Mr. Jose Assalino, Mr. Markus Ruck, Dr. Lok
Nath Bhusal, Ms. Bipina Sharma,
Mr. Narayan Bhattarai (ILO)
A number of reviewers provided comments and Maria Castaldi (EU), Mr. Vincent Little (FAO),
feedback on sector reports at a very short notice Mr. Jitendra Bothara, (Miamoto Int.), Mr. Ka-
and helped enhance the quality of sector reports. mal Kishore (NDMA, India), Dr. Venkatacha-
Several colleagues provided technical and ad- lam Thiruppugazh (Senior Advisor, NPC), Mr.
ministrative support to the PDNA exercise. We Anshu Sharma (Advisor, NPC), Mr. Ananda Raj
gratefully acknowledge the assistance of the fol- Khanal (Nepal Telecommunications Authority),
lowing experts for their support to PDNA: Mr. Mr. Giovanni Bocardi (UNESCO), Ms. Sophie
Anil Motwani, Ms. Vivian Castro-Wooldridge, Kemkhadze, Ms. Angelika Planitz, Mr. Koh
Mr. Tika Limbu, Mr. Chandan Sapkota (ADB), Miyaoi, Mr. Henrik Larsen, Mr. Taimur Kh-
Mr. Ravindra Vasavada (CEPT University, In- ilji, Mr. Owen Shumba, Mr. Dharma Swarna-
dia), Ms. Maggie Stephenson, Ms. Yasemin kar (UNDP), Mr. Muralee Thummarukudy
Aysan, Mr. Nick Maddock, Mr. Manohar K. (UNEP), Ms. Lisa Bender (UNICEF), Ms. Art-
Bhattarai (Independent Consultants), Mr. Peter essa Saldivar-Sali, Mr. Raja Rehan Arshad, Mr.
Maher, Mr. Peter Burgess, Ms. Ekaterina Yakov- Sudyumna Dahal, Ms. Margaret Arnold, Mr.
leva, Mr. Marco Capurro, Mr. Robert Hynder- Marc Forni, Mr. Ignacio Urrutia, Ms. Sulochana
ick, Mr. Tom Hockley, Ms. Wendy Fisher, Ms. Nepali (World Bank).
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Annex 2:
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The Millennium Development Goals Re
PD N A c o r e PART N ER S
European Union
asdf
United nations
new York, 2014
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G o v e r n m e n t o f n e pa l
N at i o na l p l ann i n g c o m m i s s i o n
K at h m a n d u
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