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UK Rural - May 2019

S P OT L I G H T
Viticulture
Savills Research
in the UK

UK wine market Setting up a vineyard Investments and yields Imports and exports
Market update

1997
Sussex vintner Nyetimber
15.6m
Bottles of high quality wine
3x
The area under vine
won gold at the IWSC make 2018 a vintage year has tripled since 2000

A growing industry
In the last 20 years UK wine has been recognised as a serious
business and now offers a flexible way for landowners to diversify
Even the most optimistic person small commitment could appeal to area under vine is dedicated to high
would describe the present economic, those with smaller holdings or those quality grape varieties and that area
political and climatic period as volatile. who want a new enterprise without is growing fast. It has tripled since
Farming is far from insulated from adversely affecting existing rotations. 2000. The national story began when
these events. Short term, the Common Our nation’s talent for wine-making Sussex vintner Nyetimber won gold
Agricultural Policy (CAP) will come to was only recognised around 20 years at the International Wine and Spirits
an end and be replaced by an uncertain ago, but has grown rapidly to meet Challenge in 1997. Since then, UK
system of public money for public an increasing demand for domestic wine has been recognised as a serious
goods. Longer term, climate change vintages (see below). business, producing high quality goods.
will likely increase the frequency of Yields of grapes can vary a great Viticulture is a flexible way to
freak weather events such as floods and deal from year to year because of the diversify and almost any landowner
droughts. Creating multiple income weather. Poor years occurred in 2008 can get involved. Simply growing
streams and tapping into niche areas and 2012 through bad weather and grapes and selling them to another
such as viticulture allows businesses to low light levels. However, the extreme wine-making business may be enough
mitigate risk from this uncertainty. heat of 2018 has been described as for some, but far more can be done.
Growing grapes in Europe is no “the worst summer for decades” by Even if wine is produced off-site on
longer restricted to the Mediterranean. arable farmers, while English wine- a contract basis, the finished article
It is one of the fastest growing areas of makers described the same summer would be an attractive product on
the UK economy and an opportunity as “near perfect”. A high quantity of local shelves or in local restaurants.
for landowners to diversify. Viticulture high quality grapes gave 15.6 million Vineyards themselves are often found
can begin as a small project, bottles of wine. on sunny hills in picturesque parts of
needing only around three hectares Demand for UK wine is currently the country, ideal for hosting tourists
potentially to turn a profit. This ahead of supply. Almost all of the for a day trip or a weekend getaway.

Production and area under vine One of the fastest growing areas of the UK economy

50k 2400

37.5k 1800
Production (hectolitres)

Area (hectares)

25k 1200

12.5k 600

0 0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Production (hectolitres) Area (hectares)

Source UK Vineyard Register: Food Standards Agency

Our nation’s talent for wine-making was only recognised around 20 years ago,
but has grown rapidly to meet an increasing demand for domestic vintages

savills.com/research 2
Market update

Demand for UK wine is currently ahead of supply. Almost


all of the area under vine is dedicated to high quality
grape varieties and that area is growing fast

PREMIUM
Vineyards in the UK High demand for domestic vintages PRODUCE

In 2018, Cornwall’s Camel


Valley was the first UK
vintner to be granted a
Royal Warrant, joining
well-known names such
as Champagne Bollinger
and Moet & Chandon.

French Champagne house


Taittinger planted 40
hectares of vines in Kent
in 2017, the first Grande
Marque Champagne
house to do so.

The Ridgeview Wine


Estate in East Sussex won
international recognition
after winning the
International Wine and
Spirit Competition
Quality Award in 2018.

Source UK Vineyard Register: Food Standards Agency

Who is spending what on wine?

Consumer Modal Market Value Varieties consumed*


age share share Red White Rosé

Beginner 18-24 37% 8% 47% 64% 64%

Occasional 45-54 28% 8% 68% 70% 40%

Regular 45-54 14% 22% 74% 72% 35%


700+
There are
Explorer 55+ 15% 28% 77% 73% 39% over 700
individual
Expert 55+ 6% 35% 100% 86% 50%
vineyards in
* % of respondents Source Accolade Wines the British Isles
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Economic trends

Wine production generates £17.3 billion in


economic activity and contributes £9.1 billion
to the public purse through taxes and duty

Routes to market
How do UK producers
sell their wine

n Trade n Cellar door


n Exports n Online
Source WineGB

The wine economy


The UK’s love of wine is having a beneficial affect on imports and exports
The UK’s appetite for wine of the industry (France and UK export, having risen by 17% and contributes £9.1 billion
is indisputable; it is the sixth Italy) and Australasia, making in value and 23% in volume since to the public purse through
largest market for wine in the UK the second largest 2016. Significant markets exist taxes and duty. Despite being
the world. Domestic supply importer globally. in the Far East with Hong Kong a relatively small presence on
remains limited and each year Though the value of wine generating 34% of the entire the global market, the industry
the UK imports over £3 billion exported from the UK totalled value of UK exports. directly employs 170,000 people
worth of wine, predominantly £574 million in 2017, the sector Wine production generates and a further 100,000 within
from the Mediterranean giants is currently the fastest growing £17.3 billion in economic activity the supply chain.

Export value 2017 (£m) Import value 2017 (£m)

Hong Kong France


USA Italy
Netherlands New Zealand
France Australia
Ireland Spain
Denmark Chile
Singapore Germany
Germany South Africa
Sweden Argentina
Switzerland Portugal
£0 £225 £450 £675 £900 £0 £225 £450 £675 £900

Source WSTA

savills.com/research 4
Investments and yields

£3bn
UK imports over £3 billion
17%
Increase in export
80
New wineries were
worth of wine each year value in one year launched in 2017

Establishing a vineyard Model of potential returns from a 1 ha vineyard*

20 n Year 1 and 2:
Establishment costs.
No yield
15
n Year 3: 30% yield
n Year 4: 90% yield
10 n Year 5 onwards:
£000 net return per hectare

100% potential yield


n Upper range yield:
5 Based on 2006
performance
n Average yield:
0
Based on previous
10 year average
performance
-5
n Lower range yield:
Based on 2012
performance
-10
n Historic
performance:
-15 Based on 1986-2016
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 performance
Years from establishment

Yield range Average yield Historic performance

*Including establishment costs but excluding capital costs, land and machinery Source Nix Handbook, WineGB, Savills Research

Investing in a vineyard
We look at the initial and long-term costs involved

Yearly breakdown
Cost category
Cost per year Payment period

Capital costs £1,377


Initial
Machinery £2,430 20 Years
investments**
Land £1,998

Materials £7,500
Establishment 2 Years
Labour £6,250

Labour £1,500
Annual cost
Maintenance Materials £6,250 throughout lifetime
of the vineyard
Harvesting £1,600

**Inclusive of interest at 5% annualised over 20 years Source Nix Handbook, Savills Research

In this example we have assumed land costs of around £15,000 per ha,
but prices can range between £13,000 to £20,000. Costs, yields and
returns will vary depending on the business plan and management. For
example, investing in an on-site winery will cost more upfront but it will
reduce transportation needs, processing costs and ensure control of the
wine production process.
The number of UK wineries is increasing with 80 launched in 2017, an
increase on the 64 that opened in 2016. Despite this, supply can outpace
capacity at times, as was shown in 2018. The bumper harvest led to some
estates renting extra equipment to store and process grapes. Owning a
winery will help to mitigate this risk.

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Setting up a vineyard

It took almost 2,000 years before the world finally


woke up to the fact that England can produce
smashing wines Oz Clarke, 2015

Five steps to a successful vineyard


With informed decisions and good management, a profitable business can be developed

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There are many reasons for investing in Business plan Expertise
diversification projects and particularly in Robust interrogation of a vision for The sensitivity of vines to
wine. With potential for funding dedicated to an enterprise will have a significant prevailing conditions requires
development and diversification after Brexit, bearing on all elements of a venture, informed, precise and regular
there are plenty of opportunities to help diversify. from the site selection and choosing the attention to minimise risk
However, both grapes and the financials remain right variety of grape, to growing and marketing and maximise opportunity. Partnering or
at the mercy of external factors from weather to the final product. There are many factors to contracting services from an expert third
politics. But with clear and informed objectives, a consider in setting up a vineyard. Owning an party can deliver the satisfaction of a new
robust business plan and quality management, a on-site processing units, for example, allows finer undertaking, while avoiding mistakes and
successful business can be developed. tuning of the end product, but that comes at a delivering a healthy revenue.

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high initial cost and the employment of specialist
Market vintners may be necessary. Added value

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Any successful business must know its Diversification into wine
customers and whether the price they are Site production often provides
willing to pay delivers a profitable margin Ideal land for viticulture in the UK additional opportunities
to the business above any costs incurred. often means sheltered, south facing including:
Export markets, especially to the Far East, are slopes away from the coast, but no
booming, but needless to say there is a cost that higher than 100m above sea level. The n Public: tastings, tours, fruit picking
must be paid in order to access these areas. A quality of the end product relies heavily upon n Retail: farm shops, cafés and restaurants
demand for a product must first be established the choice of land. Savills offers a GIS-based site n Events: weddings, photography, corporate
in the country concerned, which often requires finding service that considers all aspects of the n Leisure: holiday homes, spa retreats,
strong investment in marketing in order to access land and local climate to ensure the grape growing wellbeing
that country’s wholesale and retail markets. conditions are optimised. n Grazing: poultry, sheep, specialist livestock.

savills.com/research 6
Setting up a vineyard

16p
The amount spent on wine
8-10m
Sparkling wine bottles
1.2%
Any wine with more than
production of a £5 bottle produced in next 10 years 1.2% ABV needs a licence

Rules and regulations


OUTLOOK
The low-down on the legislation governing viticulture
Land regulations 28% since 2010 and was singled out 1.2% ABV needs a licence, as does
Converting farmland into vines in the Autumn Budget as the only turning still wine into sparkling.
should not be an issue, but smaller
sites that have not been cultivated
alcoholic beverage not frozen at
the present rate. If alcohol content
Commercial growers or lessees
who sell wine still require a licence Sparkling
are protected by Environmental
Impact Assessment (EIA)
exceeds 22% ABV duty must be paid
at the same rate as spirits.
even if the wine production is
handled by a third party. future
regulations. Changing the use of Land used to grow grapes is A licence must be obtained
Production of English
such land to viticulture will require now defined as agricultural land by for each site where wine will be sparkling wine is predicted
permission from Natural England HMRC. This means the value of produced to sell. Plans of the to more than double in the
through an EIA screening decision. the land might be up to 100 per premises, the location of wine- next 10 years to between
All vineyards exceeding 0.1 cent free of inheritance tax as part making equipment on the premises eight and 10 million bottles.
hectares must be registered with of an estate. and any identifiable markings UK production would then
Wine Standards within six months on the equipment must also be meet a little more than a
of planting. They will then be Licensing sent with the application. Once third of the 27.7 million
included in the UK Vineyards Wine can only be produced obtained, a producer must keep bottles of Champagne that
were shipped to the UK in
Register, produced by the Food without a licence if it is not sold. records, calculate duty and make
2017. As more vines mature
Standards Agency. Producing wine with more than monthly returns and payments.
across the area under vine,
Both European and UK wine it is likely that competition
laws are presently applicable, will increase.
which are predominantly outlined Opportunity lies in
in Regulation (EU) No 1308/2013 Breakdown of the cost per bottle of wine exporting. Exports are
and The Wine Regulations 2011 expected to grow to 25%
SI No 2936. Note that planning of production by 2025,
regulations will also apply for any 24% whereas only 5% of present
26% 27% 27%
production is leaving UK
new build or building conversions
£5 £10 £20 £30 shores. Though ambitious,
and advice should be taken.
11% 7% this target is achievable as
22% long as the nation keeps
Tax and duty 45% 17%
17%
its reputation for producing
Duty is applied as a flat rate on wines 3% a quality product. The
between 5.5% alcohol by volume 17% 4%
benefits of this approach
(ABV) and 15% ABV, irrespective 6% is shown by the Tasmanian
of price or quality. An additional 17% wine industry where
46%
20% VAT applicable to the value of 42% prioritising quality over
29%
goods plus any duties and naturally 12% quantity has kept prices
at a premium.
increases with the number on the 3%
With appropriate
price tag. Wine duty has increased
investment and allied
in line with inflation in 2019 Total Cost of
trading income
margin Duty VAT Logistics production
amounting to a 3.1% rise. opportunities, viticulture
For the cheapest (£5) bottles offers an attractive idea for
Source Savills Research
of wine, it costs only 16 pence to UK landowners looking for
produce the wine. Unsurprisingly, Variation in tax rates a new diversification idea.
merchants encourage spending
double on the bottle to increase
Type Strength (ABV) Duty rate
the quality of the wine by more
(pence per litre)
than 18 times. As a proportion of
the total value of a bottle, margins
Still More than 1.2%, up to 4% 91.68
remain relatively flat. However,
quality should still be sought as UK
Still More than 4%, up to 5.5% 126.08
land yields less than its continental
counterpart. A quality product will
command a higher price.
While applied as a flat rate,
Still More than 5.5%, up to 15% 297.57
25%
duty does vary according to ABV
Still More than 15%, up to 22% 396.72 Exports of English
and whether the wine is still or
Sparkling More than 5.5%, less than 8.5% 288.10
sparkling wine
sparkling. Generally, more duty are expected to
must be paid on sparkling varieties
and with increasing alcoholic
Sparkling More than 8.5%, up to 15% 381.15 grow to 25% of
content. Wine duty has increased Source HMRC production by 2025
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Savills Rural Research
We provide bespoke services for landowners, developers, occupiers and investors across the
lifecycle of residential, commercial or mixed-use projects. We add value by providing our clients
with research-backed advice and consultancy through our market-leading global research team

Emily Norton Joe Lloyd Christopher Spofforth Adrian Matthews


Rural Research Rural Research Savills Viticulture Food and Farming
020 7016 3786 020 7299 3016 01444 446 064 01722 426 832
emily.norton@savills.com joe.lloyd@savills.com cspofforth@savills.com amatthews@savills.com

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