Professional Documents
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Introductions
2 A matter of perspective
Jackie Oberst, Ph.D., Science/AAAS
3 Preface
Huifeng Xue, Ph.D., Director, Hsue-Shen Tsien Think Tank
Danny Zhao
Regional Sales Manager, Asia
Contributing Authors (alphabetical order)
dzhao@aaas.org Hsue-Shen Tsien Think Tank Group:
+86-131-4114-0012 Binbin Sun • Bin Zhao • Chenxiao Zhao • Gang Lei • Haining Wang • Han Wang • Hongze Yu • Huifeng Xue
Jingyuan Yu • Jiaxiao Lei • Lei Wang • Linfei Li • Qifu Qu • Ran Tao • Ruodi Han • Wenyu Zhang • Xiaochuan Jing
Xitong Kang • Xue’er Ji • Yonggang Qian • Yuan Chang • Yuan Zhang • Yufeng Gao
A matter of perspective
“The cosmos is within us. We are made of star-stuff. We are a way for the universe to
A
know itself.” —Carl Sagan
s you read the above quote from astrophysicist and author Carl Sagan, you might
find yourself wondering how the universe can be “within us.” After all, aren’t we
part of the universe? In fact, the answer is that both are true. The macroworld
and the microworld are intertwined—and how you see the “big picture” can change your
perspective and open new realms of research and discovery. This idea is central to the
field of systems science, which analyzes systems—elements that have a relationship
with each other, such as stars in the universe or neurons within the brain—and how they
interact internally as well as externally.
Systems science is the quintessential interdisciplinary field. It analyzes seemingly
disparate areas such as nature, society, cognition, engineering, and technology, to
synthesize a set of concepts that are common to all these areas. By means of this
synthesis, or “metasynthesis,” systems scientists provide insights that can be used in
fields as dissimilar as medicine, psychology, business, computer science, engineering,
“The macroworld and politics—to name just a few.
Historically, the scientific method has been reductionist, breaking down a system or
and the structure into various parts to learn about the whole, as illustrated by the work of nuclear
physicists who have “dissected” the atom down to the quark level. By contrast, systems
microworld are science advocates the unification of reductionism and holism—which views the parts of
intertwined— a system as closely interconnected and tries to determine the principles that govern the
whole. In the case of nuclear physics, for example, the holistic outlook gives rise to many
and how you see different and often conflicting interpretations about the behavior of subatomic particles
and even the nature of the universe itself—showing the need for a more unified approach
the ‘big picture’ to scientific thought.
Hsue-Shen Tsien was the founder of systems science. He pioneered the development
can change your and application of systems thought, which began when he formulated systems
engineering principles that were used in China’s aerospace industry, and continued as
perspective and his ideas spread throughout Chinese education, industry, and government. A namesake
open new realms think tank—the focus of this booklet—has emerged, which offers insights into areas as
diverse as environmental management, policy-making, and education. This supplement
of research and introduces key concepts in systems science and discusses how globalization and the
Internet are ushering in a revolution in science and technology that will require the
discovery.” integration of man, machine, and the web—each a system unto itself.
The one constant in science is that it is always changing. As the work of the Hsue-
Shen Tsien Think Tank suggests, perhaps there is a better way to do science—that is, a
way to harmonize reductionist and holistic approaches to solving society’s big problems.
Perhaps the scientific method can evolve to accept the truth that the whole is more than
the sum of its parts and yet is still contained in those parts—that we are a part of the
universe, and the universe is also a part of us.
Preface
T
PHOTO: CALSSE
Systematology as a solution
From the Stone Age to the current Information Age, human exploration has ranged from land to
sea and from the sky to outer space. Previously divided by great distances, the world is now a more
connected, yet more complex place, thanks to tremendous advances in communication. Modern
science and technology have taken shape through the guidance of reductionist philosophy, which
holds that everything can be explained by breaking down systems into their individual components—a
philosophy that has led to many large-scale engineering marvels and emerging industries. At the
same time, the degree of diversity and complexity of the world has increased dramatically, and we
are faced with an increasing number of unavoidable problems. In the political arena, we can see that
the international order of shared responsibility established after World War II is facing a new round of
adjustments, with many countries asserting their own needs over those of others. In the economic
arena, many countries are trying to avoid the “Kindleberger Trap” (a term coined by the late historian
Charles Kindleberger, which refers to the danger of countries becoming too dependent on a single
hegemonic power for their share of resources) by finding new economic solutions. In addition, the
phenomenon of unbalanced development and inequality in many regions of the world is getting
worse, despite globalization. In the scientific arena, physicists have penetrated to the level of the
quark in their research into the structure of matter, but are still unable to answer many of mankind’s
fundamental questions about our universe. Research into human genetics and cancer biology has
made amazing strides, but biologists are still far from conquering cancer completely.
All these problems are related, in that all of them are connected to open (i.e., having external
interactions with their environment through transfer of information, energy, or materials), highly
complex, giant systems with a myriad of diverse characteristics. In systems terminology, these
systems have become nonlinear, random, and self-adaptive, and their intricacy is far beyond what
we currently know in any single discipline. Political scientists look at the world through factors such
as power equilibrium; economists analyze factors such as economic cycles; and scientists try to
use formulas and theorems to objectify the laws of the physical universe. Obviously, these different
methodologies cannot avoid the disadvantage of being limited and one-sided to a certain extent.
In fact, an interdisciplinary, multilevel, metasynthesis approach is required for solving all open
complex giant system problems. This metasynthesis not only serves as the pathway to innovation,
theoretical breakthrough, and optimization of the methodology for solving open complex giant
systems problems, but is also the vehicle for the synthesis of information, knowledge, and wisdom
resulting from these solutions. In summary, it marks an enormous step forward for humanity in its
ability to comprehend the world and to enrich human society. The theory that furnishes us with the
metasynthesis approach is called systematology—and it is more important than ever at this time in
history.
6 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
CHAPTER 1
Source of the Think Tank:
A revolution in scientific theory
created by systematology
CHAPTER 1: SOURCE OF THE THINK TANK 9
According to René Descartes (1596–1650), who is praised as disciplines as our knowledge of the world grew. It permeated
the “Father of Modern Philosophy,” all material (living) things are every field, from physics to chemistry to biology, and even to
like machines and governed by the same mechanical laws, even the social sciences; thus, science entered a period of explosive
the human body. He advocated deconstructing bigger things into progress. There were breakthroughs in biology: Walther
smaller things in order to understand them more easily, a principle Flemming (1843–1905) discovered chromatin and Sir Alexander
which is the foundation of modern reductionism. After Descartes, Fleming (1881–1955) discovered penicillin; Martinus Beijerinck
reductionism gradually moved from the altars of philosophy to the (1851–1931) discovered viruses; and Gregor Mendel (1822–1884)
halls of science (2). discovered the laws of inheritance. There were breakthroughs in
As science continued to move along the path of reductionism, chemistry: John Dalton (1766–1844) developed atomic theory and
many secrets of nature were revealed and many great Amedeo Avogadro (1776–1856) contributed to molecular theory.
achievements recorded. Of particular note, in 1687, Sir Isaac Psychologists such as Wilhelm Wundt (1832–1920) began to use
Newton’s Philosophiae Naturalis Principia Mathematica explained the method of experimental introspection to analyze the content
his three laws of motion and the law of universal gravitation. of conscious experience, in order to discern the laws of various
Thanks to the establishment of Newtonian mechanics, using the psychological processes. For hundreds of years, reductionism
principles of reductionism to study nature and then incorporating has not only been the paradigm of the natural sciences, but also
the results in an axiomatic deductive system to posit theorems or the rational mode of thought pursued in the humanities and
laws became a “standard operation” in modern scientific research social sciences. Fields like these, which are based on qualitative
(3). speculation and description methods, are called “descriptive
Reductionism became increasingly popular in science, sciences,” while the natural sciences, based on quantitative
strengthening the tradition of subdividing scientific research methods, are called the “exact sciences.” Yet even the
research methods used in descriptive sciences
(such as economics and sociology) have gradually
been refined by reductionism (4). We can say with
confidence that the great scientific achievements of
today are still based on this philosophy.
Furthermore, even the current search for a
unified “theory of everything,” which would explain
all physical phenomena in one stroke, is based on
a deterministic and reductionist view. The practical
knowledge gained from reductionism pervades our
daily life, our architecture, and our infrastructure,
and even our teaching methods. Every time
we solve a problem by breaking it down into its
components and coming up with a list of optimal
solutions, every time we analyze a system by
looking at its individual parts, we pay our respects
CHAPTER 1: SOURCE OF THE THINK TANK 11
to reductionism (5). both malleable and uncertain, and not always incontrovertible.
Reductionism has played an important role in promoting Although we may think that a certain research finding is scientific,
the evolution of world civilization. However, its limitations are it is certainly rooted in a culture, thus inevitably influenced by
constantly exposed. It is effective for understanding simple personal interests and prejudices as well as various subjective
systems in fields like physics and chemistry, but it has its speculations and hypotheses. With respect to the limitations
limitations for understanding open complex giant systems, such of reductionism, “the infinite decomposition of science” leads
as biological systems, geographic systems, and social systems. to the separation of man from nature, the separation of man
Open complex giant systems have the following characteristics: from society, and the separation of mind and body, resulting
an enormous number of smaller components (subsystems) of in the mindset of anthropocentrism. It should be noted that
various kinds; many intermediate levels along with multilevel reductionism is not a deliberate attempt to destroy the
self-organization; and dynamic, nonlinear interactions between relationship between man and nature; it just follows the evolution
the smaller components at many different levels. Reductionism is of the internal logic of modern civilization (6).
used to obtain knowledge by dividing things into their component Standing at the crossroads of development and
parts, but when this fragmented knowledge is combined, it transformation, where should man go? Encountering the
sometimes cannot be used to accurately reflect the general difficulties of integrating complex open giant systems with the
properties of things. increasingly refined reductionism of our contemporary world, it is
One of the primary limitations of the reductionist approach lies clear that we must seek new methodology to ensure the further
in the nature of science itself: It is not always a rational, unbiased, progress of science, technology and society.
objective instrument for determining facts; in most cases, it is
Holistic thought is not a product of modern science and Ludwig von Bertalanffy (1901–1972), an Austrian theoretical
technology; it has been around for millenia and is at the root biologist, was a holistic thinker, and in the 1930s and 1940s
of many ancient schools of philosophy. Around 3,000 years became one of the first to recognize the problems with
ago, Chinese philosophers emphasized that all things should reductionism (8). In his opinion, the more we know about biology
be regarded as a whole. One of the richest periods of Chinese at the molecular level, the less we know about biology as a whole.
history and culture, extending from the Zhou Dynasty to the As an objection to the mechanistic methods used in the biological
Spring, Autumn, and Warring States Periods (1046 BCE–221 theories and research of his time, he emphasized that organisms
BCE), saw the emergence of the principles of yin and yang, “the should be viewed systematically (holistically) for the purpose of
five elements” theory, Fu Xi’s “eight diagrams,” Laozi’s Tao Te investigation. By using the method of isomorphological analysis,
Ching, and Sun Tzu’s The Art of War, which carried the seeds of Bertalanffy proposed “patterns, principles, and rules applicable
contemporary Chinese systems engineering thought (7). The to synthetic systems or subsystems,” (9) and with the help
Scientific Revolution (1550–1700) brought many modifications to of mathematical and logical tools, he quantified, refined, and
holistic philosophy. However, no matter how much it has changed, modeled the theoretical factors and levels of systems and the
the core of holism is to consider problems at the macroscopic complex relations between systems, thus establishing “general
level. systems theory.” But the essence of general systems theory is
12 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
SECTION | ARTICLE: TOPIC 13
“ The systematology we
advocate is neither holism
nor reductionism, but the
dialectical unity of holism
and reductionism.
”
—Hsue-Shen Tsien
14 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
A copy of Tsien′s seminal 1978 article, “Technology for Organization and Management: Systems Engineering.”
16 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
disciplines—and laying the theoretical foundation for Tsien’s systems science, and incorporated the principles he had already
development of systems engineering. used successfully in his aerospace work, including the primary
While in the United States, Tsien led the completion of a great principle of “overall coordination and system optimization” and
deal of pioneering work. Well before the 1950s, Tsien was the first his management methodology of “one overall design department
to promote the application of rocket propulsion technology (using [one headquarters], two lines of command [technical and
jet engines) in aviation. In 1941, together with his colleagues at administrative], and the committee system of science and
the California Institute of Technology, he helped develop a motor technology.” All of these elements would become part of the
for rocket-propelled heavy bombers, contributing to the Allied “system of systems science” that Tsien helped bring about.
victory in World War II. He was the first to propose the concept In his later years, Tsien returned to academic research and
of a “rocket airliner,” which together with his 1949 report, “The creatively combined the philosophy of reductionism with that of
Prospect of Rockets as High-Speed Vehicles,” laid the theoretical holism to propose “systematology.” The 1993 publication of “A
foundation for the design of the world’s first space shuttle (that New Discipline of Science—The Study of the Open Complex Giant
same year, he was named a fellow of the American Academy of System and its Methodology” marked the birth of complex giant
Arts and Sciences). He was also the first to propose “physical system theory, and became Tsien’s third milestone in the field of
mechanics,” a new discipline that promoted the development of systems science.
quantum mechanics and applied mechanics, and “engineering As Tsien explained, “The systematology we advocate is neither
cybernetics,” which pioneered the development of modern holism nor reductionism, but the dialectical unity of holism and
systems science. Tsien put forward the concept that a highly reductionism.” In systematology, the emphasis is on looking at
reliable system can be composed of components that are not the object of research as a complete organism and examining
completely predictable, an idea that was far beyond the research an open complex giant system as a complete, dynamic entity, so
scope of automatic control theory at that time and entered the as to combine qualitative and quantitative methods for problem
realm of systematics. This was Tsien’s first milestone in the field of analysis and solving. Systematology provides a set of new
systems science (15). methodological principles and procedures for modern science
When Tsien returned to China in October 1955, he immediately and technology to use. It avoids the contradiction implicit in
started to work, and accomplished many “firsts” in China’s reductionism, which says, “One can only see the parts but not
aerospace industry (12). Thanks to his efforts, thousands of the whole,” and overcomes the disadvantage inherent in holism,
Chinese people were effectively organized to complete a series which maintains that “one can only see the whole but not the
of major space projects despite a poor economy, weak industry, parts.” As pointed out by Derek Hitchins, a famous British systems
and rudimentary scientific research conditions. In the late 1950s, engineering expert, systematology is for the consideration of
Tsien began to consider the direction of missile development from whole problems and the synthesis of integrated solutions; in
the systems perspective and proposed to establish a “research principle, it can overcome the disadvantages of fragmentary
office for missile combat operation.” It was his first attempt to reductionism found in the ideas of Descartes (17).
practice systems engineering in the aerospace industry. This new As stated above, the mission of systematology is to go beyond
office researched the key technologies necessary for the design, reductionism, develop holism, and realize the dialectical unity
testing, and production of missiles, aiming to establish a high- of reductionism and holism. The advantages of reductionism
level advisory body for missile development and defense, the Fifth are as follows: The analysis proceeds downward from higher
Research Academy of the Ministry of National Defense. levels to lower, and research becomes increasingly refined.
After guiding the development of China’s aerospace industry However, reductionism also has the following disadvantages:
for 28 years, Tsien began to perfect the systems engineering It is difficult to progress from the parts to the whole, and high-
concepts that he had started working on in the United States, level and integrality problems cannot be solved. To solve the
and created a set of systems engineering management “bottom-up” problem in complexity research—namely, the
methods and techniques with Chinese characteristics and “emergence” problem—we must open the path from microcosm
global scientific significance (16). The publication of his 1978 to macrocosm and unify the two. This will be the scientific
article “Technology for Organization and Management: Systems revolution guided by systematology. As the emergence and
Engineering” marked the birth of the Chinese school of systems development of systematology shows us, “It will not work if
engineering. This was Tsien’s second milestone in the field of there is no [reductionism] or only reductionism, or if there is no
CHAPTER 1: SOURCE OF THE THINK TANK 19
References
[holism] or only holism. Without reduction to the elementary
1. Z. S. Wang, M. S. Fan, C. F. Chen, eds., History of Greek Philosophy,
level and an understanding of the local fine structure, our Vol. 1, p. 18 (People’s Publishing House, Beijing, 1997).
understanding of the system as a whole can only be intuitive,
2. G. W. Zhao, Journal of Peking University 39, 17 (2002).
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3. Z. Y. Shi, “From ‘Reductionism’ to a ‘Holistic View’: Philosophical
our understanding of things can only be fragmentary, and we Thinking Dealing with a ‘Global High-Risk Society,’” Beijing Daily
cannot grasp things as a whole and solve the problem. The [truly] (November 7, 2011).
scientific attitude is to combine reductionism with holism” (18). 4. X. S. Qian, J. Y. Yu, R. W. Dai, Journal of Nature 1, 3–10 (1990).
The development of systems thought shows us how this synthesis 5. F. Y. Zhu, W. Tao, F. Yang, eds., Systems Engineering: A 21st Century
is gradually taking place: We have evolved from ancient, naive Systems Methodology, Selected Writings of Derek K. Hitchins
(Electronic Industry Press, Beijing, 2017), pp. 5-8.
holism to contemporary reductionism, and from contemporary
6. Y. Z. Chen, Journal of Shandong University of Science and Technology,
reductionism to modern systematology—and it is a spiral 5–8 (2007).
escalation.
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(2011).
Summary 8. L. V. Bertalanffy, X. C. Wang, Social Sciences Abroad 2, 69–77 (1978).
Tsien’s unique outlook on the world, history, and life gave him 9. J. Y. Yu, Systems Engineering Theory and Practice 36, 2993–3002
the ability to extract value from subtlety and create a vision for (2016).
the future of science. It gave him the wisdom to break away from 10. H. F. Xue, “Ancient Systems Engineering Thought” in History of
the limitations of reductionism and move toward systematic Systems Engineering Thought (Science Press, Beijing, 2014), pp.
28–71.
thinking, and the ability to analyze and solve complex problems.
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To do so, Tsien introduced holistic thought and established Tank Ideology” in Hsue-Shen Tsien’s Think-Tank Ideology (People’s
systematology. The purpose of systematology is to promote Publishing House, Beijing, 2016), pp. 1–12.
the concept of holistic science, and it will certainly lead to a new 12. H. F. Xue, Introduction to Modern Systems Engineering (National
round of reform in scientific thought. Going beyond reductionism, Defense Industry Press, Beijing, 2006), pp. 15–20.
developing holism, and fostering the growth of systematology are 13. S. J. Huang, Journal of Liaodong University 13, 1–8 (2011).
the core principles of the Hsue-Shen Tsien Think Tank. 14. A. P. Zhou, Q. Y. Yang, Physics and Engineering 23, 46–50 (2013).
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(2012).
20 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
CHAPTER 2
Foundation of the Think Tank:
Metasynthesis as the key to researching
complex giant systems
CHAPTER 2: FOUNDATION OF THE THINK TANK 21
In the opinion of Tsien, systems science is the research of systems. Statistics has provided practical and effective tools for
the objective world both as a whole and in parts, both the local the research of such systems. In particular, Prigogine’s theory
and the general, and its hierarchical relations, specifically from of dissipative structure and Haken’s synergetics have furnished
the perspective of systems. Systems are the primary objects of theories and methods for studying both simple systems and
research and application in systems science. The most important simple giant systems.
characteristic of a system is that as a whole, it has properties If a system has numerous subsystems with hierarchical
that are not found in its parts; these properties constitute the structures and complex interrelationships, and these
“integrality” of the system. The integrality of a system is not a relationships are complex and open, the system can be called
simple “mixture” of the properties of its constituent parts, but the an open complex giant system. Such systems include organism
result of the emergence of the whole system. systems, human body systems, human brain systems, social
Tsien’s predecessors made a variety of classifications of systems, geosystems, and galaxy systems. Systems operating
systems from different perspectives. These classifications are at an even higher level are composed of subsystems of massive
relatively intuitional, but concentrate too much on the specific open complex giant systems; these systems include human
connotation of systems, neglecting their essence, which is beings and society, the most complex system of all, which is
essential for the study of systems science. Based on differences called an “open special complex giant system.” An open complex
in the scale, complexity level, and degree of openness of system giant system is vast and has a complex structure. Its elements or
structures, Tsien put forward a new system classification, which subsystems are various and take different forms, having intricate
arranges systems into (1) simple systems, (2) simple giant and changeable relationships. In these systems there are multiple
systems, (3) open complex giant systems, and (4) open special levels of micro-, macro-, and complex correlations among
complex giant systems (4). the different levels. Their mechanism of function is unclear;
A simple system has a small number of constituent therefore, it is impossible to induce their macroscopic behaviors
subsystems, and the interrelationships between its subsystems from microcosmic descriptions by simple statistical synthesis
are simple; for example, a measuring apparatus is a simple methods. In other words, when dealing with open complex giant
system. Such systems can be studied by first analyzing systems, especially social systems, existing theories and methods
the interaction between subsystems, and then from there are not enough, and therefore new methodologies are required.
synthesizing the function of the whole system. If the system In Tsien’s opinion, experience has proved that the only available
has a large number of subsystems (i.e., thousands, millions, methodology that can effectively deal with open complex
or billions, etc.), and yet the relationships between them are giant systems (including social systems) is the “qualitative-to-
simple (e.g., laser systems), these can be called simple giant quantitative metasynthesis” method (5).
CHAPTER 2: FOUNDATION OF THE THINK TANK 23
2.2. Metasynthesis provides effective tools for the research of complex giant
systems
Combining his theories with the development of modern information technology, Tsien proposed
“qualitative-to-quantitative metasynthesis” and an interactive system for its practical development, the
“Hall for the Workshop on Metasynthetic Engineering” (HWME). These functions are collectively called
metasynthesis, and the unit that applies these methods is called the Overall Design Department.
Based on his extensive experience guiding China’s cyclical iteration, and centralized decision-making (7).
aerospace systems engineering, Tsien established a set of The HWME is an experiential format for practicing
system engineering management methods and technologies, metasynthesis and a cooperative working environment centered
incorporating the methodology of “one overall design department on the discussion (or argumentation) process constituting
and two command lines” at its core. In general, the concept qualitative-to-quantitative metasynthesis (8).
involves forming an overall headquarters employing professionals Metasynthesis comprises three processes (9): (1) qualitative
in all fields for the purpose of applying metasynthesis to the metasynthesis, (2) metasynthesis with qualitative and
theory and technology of relevant disciplines; conducting quantitative methods involved, and (3) qualitative-to-quantitative
overall design, coordination, and planning to determine the metasynthesis.
system’s structure, environment, and function; and coordinating 1. Qualitative metasynthesis: Its purpose is to propose and
and unifying the whole, the parts, and the environment, so as develop empirical hypotheses (such as conjectures, concepts,
to provide overall system designs. Then, according to these countermeasures, plans, etc.) for the system problem studied,
established designs, a development system is to be organized for based on existing relevant scientific theories, empirical knowledge,
optimal configuration of resources, so as to produce a reliable, and data, combined with expert judgments (expert knowledge,
high-quality engineering system in a short time, at low cost. wisdom, and creativity). Such empirical hypotheses are usually
Finally, the engineering system and the development system qualitative, and their veracity still needs to be proven by rigorous
are to be combined. This is a dynamic process in which the two scientific methods.
lines of command shall be organized so as to form a technical 2. Metasynthesis with qualitative and quantitative
command chain under the guidance of the Chief Designer and an methods involved: Its purpose is to carry out system simulations
administrative command chain under the guidance of the Chief and experiments supported by data and information systems,
Commander. The two command chains work together. In this way, indicator systems, and model systems, and to conduct system
a set of operable and effective methods and applications have analysis and synthesis by looking at the input and output
been devised. Experience has proved that this set of methods is relationships between the system environment, structure, and
also applicable to social systems (6). function, in order to judge the veracity of empirical hypotheses.
In social systems, to a large extent, the idea of forming an 3. Qualitative-to-quantitative metasynthesis: The purpose
overall design department is to provide support for solving of this expert system is to conduct metasynthesis of the results
decision-making problems. The Overall Design Department of the said system simulations and experiments. This is a crucial
comprises interdisciplinary and multidisciplinary professionals step in raising original empirical hypotheses to quantitative
and senior consultants and leaders with experience in decision- conclusions. The qualitative-to-quantitative metasynthesis will be
making support, with overall design being the basic principle. performed until the results are believed to be reliable according
The department’s purpose is to move a particular system from to human–computer interaction, repeated comparison, and
an “unsatisfied” state to a “satisfied” state. It provides decision- successive approximation.
making consulting services for the growth and reform of politics, Open complex giant system problems are usually unstructured
economy, culture, society, ecology, and humanity, using methods ones. Looking at the above metasynthesis process, we can see
of qualitative-to-quantitative metasynthesis and prototype that successive approximation applies metasynthesis by using a
development, in order to model comprehensive improvement, structured sequence to approach unstructured problems.
while following hierarchical leadership, screening of each step The essence of metasynthesis is to organically combine
from start to finish, multiple classifier fusion, simulation exercises, data from experts, information systems, and computers, so as
24 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
to construct a highly intelligent man–machine combination sources, and upgrade qualitative understanding to quantitative
and integration system. This system has the advantage of understanding by examining a problem from multiple different
incorporating a synthesis approach, a holistic viewpoint, and the angles. By utilizing human–machine networking with a human
intelligence and wisdom of many specialists (10). It can integrate orientation, this method reaches the highest level of intelligence,
human thoughts, experience, and knowledge with data from many wisdom, and creativity.
Executive
Department
Recommendations for
Decision-making Experimental
Interactive Preliminary Multiple
Decision Conclusion
Unit Judgment Verification Iterations
Department
Raise Questions
Model Unit
Decision and
Support
Department Network and
Information Unit
FIGURE 1. Flow chart summarizing the application of metasynthesis in the research of decision-support issues.
CHAPTER 2: FOUNDATION OF THE THINK TANK 25
As pointed out by Professor Huifeng Xue, a representative sources, thus precisely mapping from the “physical space” of
of Chinese systems engineering research, the interdependence collaborative analysis to the “data space” of reliable, quantitative
and integration of humans, machines, and networks are information.
constantly increasing with the continuous development of various The Model Unit is the Think Tank’s “left brain.” It is patterned
technologies. This process has evolved from a “man–machine– after human logical processes. According to different applications,
web combination” to a “man–machine–web integration.” In other this system can provide models for schematic design and
words, the linking of man and machine with a human orientation evaluation, and it can perform prediction and evaluation of
that was proposed by Tsien has gradually become an integration application scenarios utilizing simulation technology.
of man, machine, and the web, also with a human orientation (11). The Expert Database Unit is the Think Tank’s “right brain” and
The Tsien Think Tank is centered on open complex giant is modeled on the human imagination. This system comprises
systems. The process for addressing problems in different fields experts from all branches of academia, industry, and government,
is as follows: First, metasynthesis is used to examine relevant and from all geographic regions of China. It offers strong
theories, methods, technologies, and current knowledge. Then, intelligence support through the integration of many levels of
using systematic thought as a guide, man–machine integration knowledge.
and man–web integration with a human orientation as the The Interactive Unit is the “muscle” of the Think Tank. It builds
implementation method, and metasynthesis as the foundation, bridges between the virtual world and the real world, and between
six units (the Top Design Unit, the Big Data and Intelligence Unit, the “decision-demand department” and the “decision-support
the Expert Database Unit, the Network and Information Unit, department.”
the Model Unit, and the Interactive Unit) and two platforms (the The Overall Design Department, based on six units and two
Machine Platform and the Command and Control Platform) are platforms, uses qualitative-to-quantitative metasynthesis to
implemented based on a system combining experts, data, and synthesize data and human knowledge and experience, in order
knowledge, and a set of plans is established for using the HWME to provide the insights necessary for effective, science-based
to solve complex problems (see Figure 1). decision support.
The Top Design Unit is the “soul” of the Think Tank. It provides By means of the HWME, the Think Tank has developed feasible
philosophical and theoretical guidance for the analysis of complex ways to solve open complex giant systems problems and to bring
problems, with systematology as its foundation. It is a repository Tsien’s concepts of an Overall Design Department and qualitative-
of the highest levels of human thought from around the world and to-quantitative metasynthesis out of the realm of theory to the
throughout history. level of practical application. The Think Tank and its systematic
The Big Data and Intelligence Unit serves as “the five sense principles have played an important role in the proposal for
organs” of the Think Tank. It provides rapid, up-to-date, precise, China’s manned spaceflight program, and in the formulation of
accurate, and complete data for simulation through different China’s National Civil Space Infrastructure Development Plan (for
channels and through analysis and processing. space systems, ground systems, and related supporting facilities),
The Network and Information Unit is the “nerve center” of the White Paper on China’s Space Activities (2016), and multiple
the Think Tank. It can create a situational awareness system Five-Year Plans for the growth of China’s space program, and
and realize “space-air-ground integration” by establishing a have also provided critical decision support for China’s social and
cyberspace information superhighway to connect different data economic development (12).
26 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
”
giant systems.
—Hsue-Shen Tsien
Other
Scientific Other Basic
Sciences
Categories
Mathematics
Mathematical
Science Catastrophe
Theory
Science of
Understanding
the Subjective and
Objective Word
Physics Other Technological Sciences
Natural
Science
Biology
Systems
Science Systematology Systematics Cybernetics Automation Technology
principles, rules, and methods that are universally applicable concrete embodiment of Tsien’s systems science ideas at the
in engineering technology. Its focus is on how to apply basic philosophical level.
science to engineering accurately and efficiently. Technological The structure of systems science can be divided into four
science is the key to harnessing science and technology for social levels: philosophy, basic science, technological science, and
productivity. applied technology (see Figure 2).
Level III: Applied technology. It refers to the knowledge that
directly reconstructs the objective world. Applied technology Summary
centers on the application of basic science and technological The establishment of systematology and the structure of
science in practice as well as the creation of new engineering systems science has transformed systematic thought from a
technologies and practices, in order to quickly transform science philosophy into a scientific system. The structure of systems
and technology into a force for social progress. The development science is the embodiment of systems science thought at
of applied technology will surely enrich and improve technological different levels, ranging from philosophy to engineering,
science and basic science, and is the driving force behind their technology, and natural science. It gives systematic thought a
development. basis in science, unifying philosophy and science as well as theory
Basing his theories on this three-level structure of natural and practice.
science, Tsien believed that systems science also has a three-level
structure (comprising basic science, technological science, and References
applied technology). Specifically, at the level of basic science, 1. J. Y. Yu, Scientific Decision-Making 12, 1–18 (2017).
the study of systematics and complex giant systems reveals the 2. X. M. Qian, “The View of Open Complex Giant Systems from Qian
objective laws of systems; at the level of technological science, Xuesen” in The Research of Qian Xuesen’s Scientific Ideology (Xi’an
Jiaotong University Press, Xi’an, 2010), pp. 195–203.
operations research, cybernetics, information theory, and other
3. S. J. Huang, Journal of Liaodong University 13, 1–8 (2011).
concepts have provided postulates and methods for systems
4. X. S. Qian, Systems Engineering Theory and Practice 1, 1–2 (1995).
engineering; and at the level of applied technology, systems
5. S. J. Huang, Journal of Liaodong University 12, 1–39 (2010).
engineering is a “technology” directly used to reconstruct the
objective world. But unlike other applied technologies, it is meant 6. H. F. Xue, Aerospace Information Integration (Science Decision,
Beijing, 2014).
for an organizational management system that is applicable to all
7. C. B. Wang, Z. S. Liu, “An Overview of the General Design Department”
systems (15). in The First Exploration of the Ideology of Qian Xuesen’s General
Remarkable achievements have been made by applying Design Department (China Astronautics Publishing House, Beijing,
systems science at the level of applied technology and 2011), p. 56.
technological science. However, at the level of basic science, the 8. J. Y. Yu, Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and
Information 1, 3–10 (2005).
emerging discipline of systematics, first proposed by Tsien, is
9. J. Y. Yu, Beijing Institute of Information and Control 3, 11, 267–275
still being established. As pointed out by Tsien, we should extract
(2001).
what is necessary from systems engineering, operations research,
10. J. Y. Yu, Journal of Xi’an Jiaotong University 6, 40–47 (2006).
and cybernetics, and assimilate the latest research on general
11. H. F. Xue, China Aerospace 8, 13–17 (2018).
systems theory, the theory of dissipative structure, synergetics,
12. J. Y. Yu, Scientific Decision-Making 12, 1–22 (2014).
hypercycle theory, and other related systems theories in order to
13. J. Y. Yu, Journal of Learning Times 6, 1 (2014).
advance the basic theory of systematics. The establishment of
14. X. S. Qian, Systems Engineering Theory and Practice 1, 2–4 (1981).
systematics helps to define the concept of systems, and namely,
15. J. Y. Yu, Systems Engineering Theory and Practice 1, 68–74 (1988).
the system of systems science. The formation of systematology
complements and develops scientific methodology, and is the
30 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
—Hsue-Shen Tsien
”
SECTION | ARTICLE: TOPIC 31
32 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
CHAPTER 3
Rules of the Think Tank: Theoretical
exploration of systems science ideas in
complex giant systems
CHAPTER 3: RULES OF THE THINK TANK 33
Natural science is the research of the objective, physical structure of modern science and technology (see Figure 3).
world from the perspective of matter, energy, and their Tsien divided the entire human knowledge system into two
interrelationships. Social science is the research of the objective categories: “pre-science” and “science” (3). “Pre-science”
world from the perspective of human society and its development. represents our intuitive methods for understanding the
And systems science is the research of the objective world that world, which can be introduced into science through gradual
examines the interrelationships between the whole and the observation, analysis, and experimentation. He divided modern
parts, between the local and the general, and between different science and technology into 11 different fields: natural science,
levels of systems. Systems are the basic objects of research and social science, mathematical science, systems science, thought
application in systems science. Using systems science, problems science (epistemology), somatic science (the study of mind–body
in fields like natural science and social science can be connected interaction), geographical science, military science, behavioral
and studied in a comprehensive way. science, building science (architecture), and aesthetics (art). Each
The traditional division of science and technology departments of these 11 fields can be approached according to the four levels
has not only limited our scientific vision and research scope, Tsien used to delineate the structure of systems science, that
but also caused the separation of related disciplines, artificially is, philosophy, basic science, technological science, and applied
dividing our knowledge—which should be based on the technology (excluding the theory of literature and art).
interrelationships between disciplines—into disconnected parts Modern science and technology constitute a complex dynamic
(2). However, contemporary science and technology is not only network system that develops in the process of understanding and
concerned with isolated structures and phenomena, but also with reconstructing the objective world. Concurrent with the changes
their growth, change, and interrelationships with other structures taking place in science and society, the structure of this system
and phenomena. Today, modern science and technology have is constantly changing as well, and new scientific disciplines will
developed into a rigorous, integrated system. For the purpose continue to emerge from it (4).
of aiding this integration, Tsien proposed his conception of the
CHAPTER 3: RULES OF THE THINK TANK 35
Natural
Natural Science
Dialectic
Historical
Social Science
Materialism
Mathematical
Mathematical Science
Philosophy
Systema-
Systems Science
tology
Quantitative
Intelligence
Epistemology Thought Science
Intuitive
Anthropic Experience
Somatic Science and
Principle
Philosophical
Geographic Thinking
Geographical Science
Philosophy
Military
Military Science
Philosophy
Architectural
Building Science
Philosophy
Literary Artistic
Aesthetics
Qualitative Theory Creation
Intelligence
Literary and Artistic Activity
FIGURE 3. Tsien’s conception of the structure of modern science and technology. Xuesen Qian (unpublished).
36 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
We can learn about the objective world through studying the Thought science aims to study the principles and forms of
interaction between humans and that world. The human body intellectual processes, for the purpose of developing the brain’s
exchanges material, energy, and information with its surrounding potential, adding to mankind’s capacity for wisdom and right
environment; it absorbs ordered energy from the environment moral actions, and helping us to address the major issues facing
and discharges disordered energy into the environment, produced humanity today. Thought science distinguishes three kind of
by systems involved in metabolic processes. When the ordered thought processes: logical, imaginative, and innovative. No
energy in living systems reaches a critical level, those systems brain activity is the result of just one kind of thought process,
will spontaneously change into an ordered state in respect but usually the fusion of two or even three processes. The
to their time, space, and function to generate a new, ordered establishment and development of thought science involves a
structure. This process is known as the self-organization of life wide range of science and technology, in fact requiring knowledge
(6). In order to explain the self-organization of life, we need to use from every discipline along with extensive practical experience;
metasynthesis to integrate multiple disciplines. Metasynthesis in other words, it aims to be a repository of all human wisdom.
must include the achievements made in basic sciences (such as This comprehensive body of knowledge is combined with modern
anatomy, physiology, histology, embryology, and so on), natural information technology and networks to form a man–machine
sciences (such as genetics, microbiology, biochemistry, organic integrated system, which quickly and effectively pools data from
chemistry, and so on), and medical sciences (such as pathology, both ancient and modern sources worldwide to scientifically
pharmacology, toxicology, immunology, parasitology, and so on) and creatively solve various complexity problems—this is the
as well as applied technology developed in various preventive essence of metasynthesis. Its ultimate goal is the development of
medicine disciplines. This fusion of knowledge will lead to a new character; it aims to cultivate intelligence, wisdom, and innovation,
breakthrough in human self-understanding. so that complex and unpredictable situations can be handled
quickly, efficiently, rationally, and creatively (7).
CHAPTER 3: RULES OF THE THINK TANK 37
According to Tsien, social systems include economic social influenced by the theories of relativity and quantum mechanics
systems, political social systems, and cultural social systems. as well as many new advanced technologies (nuclear, laser,
These three systems are interconnected, mutually restrictive, aerospace, bioengineering, etc.). During this revolution, the fourth
and interactive, thus comprising the organic whole of society (9). industry (including information technology, consulting, and all
The three social systems develop in tandem with geographical related industries) came into being. Based on this fifth revolution,
systems, and along with science and technology, have provided Tsien projected the coming of the sixth and seventh industrial
the driving force for the rapid, sustainable, and stable growth of revolutions (12).
society. The sixth industrial revolution: It will begin in the 21st
As Tsien said, “Science is the knowledge of understanding the century and is marked by the rapid development of bioscience
objective world and technology is the knowledge of reconstructing and bioengineering technology achievements, for example,
the objective world.” We can say that society moves forward in a the harnessing of microorganisms for many purposes: food
circular, feedback cycle of four revolutions: (1) Advancements in production and wastewater treatment, the creation of biofuels
understanding the objective world spur a scientific revolution, and many chemicals and enzymes, treating diseases, fighting
while (2) advancements in reconstructing the objective world pollution, and much more. This revolution will harness sunlight
give birth to a technological revolution. Because of these two as a major source of energy and will see the development of a
revolutions, productivity is increased, which brings about (3) production system that integrates biology and environmental
yet another technological revolution, characterized by further science and affects many areas, including agriculture, forestry,
strides in production and economic structure, which in turn fishery, oceanography, and biomedicine. The primary industry
leads to changes in the societal superstructure (defined as law, for food production, traditional extensive-farming agriculture,
politics, art, culture, religion, etc.), thus bringing about (4) a social will gradually be replaced by “secondary,” knowledge-intensive
revolution (10). industries, as different forms of technology are increasingly being
Developing this idea further, Tsien proposed the concept of the used in agriculture. The boundaries between different industries
“seven industrial revolutions,” five of which have happened already will become less obvious. And the differences between urban and
(one partially) and two of which are still to happen. rural areas will gradually disappear, as economic development and
The first four industrial revolutions: After the first industrial lifestyle changes bring greater opportunities (13).
revolution, the primary industry represented by increased The seventh industrial revolution: It will begin in the second
agricultural output and improved animal husbandry appeared; half of the 21st century. In this revolution, somatic science
after the second industrial revolution, the exchange of goods (including medical science and bioscience) will dominate, driving
appeared; after the third industrial revolution, the secondary the rapid development of many new disciplines and multiple
industry represented by industrial manufacturing and the textile technologies. By that time, the physical and mental capabilities
industry appeared; and after the fourth industrial revolution, the of human beings will have greatly improved, and advanced
international market and the tertiary industry represented by science and technology will cause a revolution in organizational
banks, finance, and trade were formed (11). management, creating a new era of global cooperation and
The fifth industrial revolution: It began after World War II harmony for mankind (14).
and has not ended yet. It is an information technology revolution
38 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
systematology, thus greatly increasing man’s ability to reconstruct 2. X. S. Qian, Statistics 12, 4–5 (1987).
the objective world. Starting with the fifth industrial revolution, 3. X. S. Qian, X. Chen, Medicine and Philosophy Magazine 10, 56 (1989).
the two trends of high differentiation and high integration in 4. X. S. Qian, Journal of Shanghai University of Technology 33, 6, 542
(2011).
science and technology, especially the emergence of complexity
science and interdisciplinary collaboration, have promoted the 5. X. S. Qian, Friends of Creation 3, 20–22 (1984).
development of systems science (15). According to Tsien, the main 6. J. Y. Yu, Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University 3, 26–33 (2005).
characteristics of the sixth industrial revolution will be synthesis 7. J. Y. Yu, Y. Liu, Scientific Research 5, 449–453 (2002).
and a systematic approach, combined with complexity; systems 8. J. Y. Yu, Journal for Party and Administrative Cadres 11, 3–8 (2011).
science will play a critical role in this revolution. The development 9. J. Y. Yu, China Society of Systems Engineering 1, 1-8 (1994).
of systems science will promote the continuous, deepening 10. J. Y. Yu, Journal of Shanghai University of Technology 33, 548–561
development of the fifth, sixth, and seventh industrial revolutions, (2011).
changing the entire structure of human society (16). 11. J. Y. Yu, Systems Engineering Theory and Practice 5, 8–12 (1992).
12. H. F. Xue, J. Yang, Qian Xuesen, China Aerospace 3, 38–42 (2018).
Summary 13. H. F. Xue, Complexity Theory and Application in Urban Systems
Engineering (Northwest Polytechnical University Press, Xi’an, 2007),
Under the guidance of systems science and metasynthesis,
pp. 27–34.
and with a strategic vision surpassing that of his predecessors,
14. M. S. Yu, Medicine and Philosophy 34, 1–5 (2013).
Tsien explored the basic characteristics and general rules of
15. Q. Wang, “Research on Qian Xuesen’s Strategic Thoughts on Science
knowledge systems, human body systems, and social systems, and Technology,” Master’s thesis, Kunming University of Science and
formulating new concepts for establishing scientific systems in Technology (2014).
various disciplines, new methods for the integrated development 16. J. Xie, “The Philosophical Value of Qian Xuesen’s Letters,” Master’s
of modern science and technology, and new theories to help thesis, Guangxi Normal University (2010).
society solve the problems of open complex giant systems (17). 17. J. Q. Wu, “Qian Xuesen’s Research on Engineering Management
Thought,” Master’s thesis, Zhejiang Gongshang University (2007).
40 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
CHAPTER 4
Merits of the Think Tank: Engineering
practice of systems science ideas in
complex giant systems
CHAPTER 4: MERITS OF THE THINK TANK 41
4.1. The Tsien Think Tank drives the fifth industrial revolution
The fifth industrial revolution, which began at the end of World War II and continues today, is (as mentioned
previously) an information technology revolution modeled on the theories of relativity, quantum
mechanics, and other breakthroughs in scientific thought, which has generated many new technologies
(nuclear, laser, aerospace, biological engineering, etc.) (6). The Tsien Think Tank, based on Tsien’s systems
engineering methods, using man–machine integration, man–web integration, and human orientation as
the implementation model, and “six units and two platforms” (see Figure 1, page 24) as its core interactive
system, has played an important role in national economic management and technological innovation in
China’s new era (7).
The following are three examples of the Think Tank’s role in the transmission protocols; and multidimensional, global coverage of
application of metasynthetic principles: space, air, and ground systems. Its goal is to synthesize space–
air–ground systems, communication–navigation–remote-sensing
I. The Satellite Metasynthesized Network systems, and military–civil–commercial functions, and finally to
It is clear to see that mankind is embracing the transformation create a global community of cyberspace with a shared future of
from a geocentric (Earth-centered) view to that of an “interstellar “co-construction, sharing, co-management and co-governance”
society,” where people can live and work in space. In order to keep (9).
up with the inevitable trend toward increased space exploration,
it is a must to create a ubiquitous network connecting earth and Specifically, the Satellite Metasynthesized Network aims to
space. Specifically, our goal is to build a cyberspace network that achieve three primary objectives:
will integrate ground, air, and space systems; communication,
navigation, and remote- sensing systems; and civil, military, and 1. To construct a global governance framework for cyberspace.
commercial engineering programs. Huifeng Xue first proposed the At present, in the field of cyberspace, especially in space
development of the “Satellite Metasynthesized Network” (8). networks, there is a lack of credible global leaders; no
This concept aims to eliminate the three predicaments of centralized management system and mechanism have
network space at present: (1) The current “Space–Air–Ground” been established; and international rules are decentralized.
Network System operates independently; there is no integration To coordinate global space, air, and ground networks, all
design for intersatellite, satellite–ground, and ground- countries should work together with enthusiasm and optimism
transmission protocols; and system reliability and operations to establish a governance framework, promoting network
and maintenance efficiency are not at desirable levels. (2) The development at the international level (e.g., under the United
“Communication–Navigation–Remote Sensing” Satellite System Nations framework). They should merge all levels of space–
is independent; its functions are one-dimensional, its structure air–ground network resources to achieve integrated treatment
is divided, and its operation relies solely on ground systems; and maximum utilization of complex time–space networks;
the existing satellite systems that are isolated from each other bring together a multitude of military–civil–commercial
have limited coverage; system coordination is impossible; and resources to realize unified, efficient management of space
the capacity for integrated sharing and distribution of space resources; and consolidate communication–navigation–
information resources is insufficient. (3) The “Military–Civil– remote sensing constellation resources to develop efficient,
Commercial” constellation of resources is independent, which integrated satellite service capability. All these goals will
is not conducive to unified management, efficient sharing, and be accomplished through successful scientific planning of
comprehensive utilization of basic space resources. networks, well-designed construction of facilities, effective
The Satellite Metasynthesized Network is an autonomic, allocation of resources, and fair utilization of information, thus
controllable information network system, with a space-based building the management and control foundation for a global
network as its core. Its main features are the integration of space- cyberspace community with a shared future (10).
based, air-based, and ground-based networks; the ubiquitous 2. To conclude an interconnected network agreement.
interconnection of intersatellite, satellite–ground, and ground Different networks have different physical communication
CHAPTER 4: MERITS OF THE THINK TANK 43
environments. The network protocol system for space– China’s technological innovation has passed through four stages,
ground integration information networks mainly includes each lasting about 10 years (14).
the transmission control protocol/Internet protocol (TCP/ The period from 1978 to 1988 was a “learning, introduction,
IP) generally used for ground networks and Consultative and reinforcement” period. During this time, the three main
Committee for Space Data Systems (CCSDS) and delay- characteristics of domestic technological innovation were as
tolerant networking (DTN) protocols used for space follows: (1) Studying foreign business concepts. Government
networks (11). However, the TCP/IP protocol is not suitable leaders at all levels, heads of enterprises, and scientific and
for space-link characteristics and has the problems of high technological personnel went abroad to investigate business
latency (long delays), intermittent connection, and high practices. (2) Bringing in foreign technologies. In this period,
bit error rates. CCSDS cannot interoperate directly with Chinese domestic governments and enterprises used the
ground networks and involves protocol conversion, limiting concepts learned from foreign market economies to meet the
the application of the existing protocols in the deep-space extreme demand of Chinese businesses for introducing advanced
communication environment. DTN is still in the research foreign technologies. (3) Increasing production of domestic
phase and has no specific routing algorithm. Therefore, goods. Overseas-funded companies discovered China’s fast-
it is necessary to construct a space–ground integration growing market and actively cooperated with Chinese enterprises
network protocol system to address many special challenges, to set up joint ventures or factories in China, actively producing
including asymmetric links, dynamic topological relations, domestically produced new products suitable for China.
a heterogeneous network environment, highly restricted The period from 1988 to 1998 was an “introduction, imitation,
intersatellite resources, and poor security (12). and improvement” period, characterized by the production of
new products through continuous introduction, imitation, and
3. To build a resource sharing platform. Facing the demand improvement, and the repeated promotion of foreign technologies
for applications in many fields, the Satellite Metasynthesized after “Chinization.” More precisely, we are not speaking simply of
Network hopes to build a decision command platform for imitation, but of the research and development of better products
space–air–ground–sea integration. The platform will be through the improvement of foreign technologies introduced on
extremely useful for social governance; one of its main the basis of imitation. In particular, the policy of “using market
purposes is to coordinate monitoring and management of share to exchange technology” implemented in this period had
conditions of urban residents; management of government accelerated the introduction of technologies and deepened
affairs, traffic, environmental affairs, energy, water resources, imitation and improvement.
and other resources; and especially all aspects of emergency The period from 1998 to 2008 was an “integration, promotion,
management systems, including forecasting and early and innovation” period, which involved integrating domestic
warning, prevention and control, monitoring, command and and foreign technologies to promote “independently integrated
dispatch, and simulation drills—thus ensuring rapid and innovation” based on improving the application of typical foreign
effective responses to emergencies (13). innovations in China. In this period, innovation was practiced as
follows: (1) Three forms of innovation were actively promoted,
II. Technological innovation in open complex giant namely, original innovation, integrated innovation, and absorptive
systems innovation. (2) Considering that China still lagged behind in
The “National Innovation System” is an open complex giant fundamental research, independently integrated innovation based
system that includes the three pillars of scientific innovation, on foreign technology was the main form of modernization, and
technological innovation, and engineering innovation—with technology integration was adopted to promote innovation in
metasynthesis innovation being a result of the combination of relevant applications, for example, mobile phones, computers,
these three. From the perspective of China’s reform and opening stored program control (SPC) exchange, automobiles, high-power
up (from 1978 to the present), it is technological innovation generators, high-speed trains, and related large electromechanical
that has played the most critical role and directly promoted the systems.
enormous strides in the recent development of China’s economy. The period from 2008 to 2018 was an “innovation, iteration,
According to Jiasu Lei of Tsinghua University, a key member and promotion” period, in which more extensive independent
of the Tsien Think Tank, in the 40-year period from 1978 to 2018, research and development was carried out, and high-level foreign
44 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
“ Systems science is a
scientific revolution in the
middle of the 20th century,
and the practice of systems
engineering will bring about
a technological revolution.
The scientific revolution
and technological revolution
will certainly arouse
organizational management
revolutions in the 21st
century.
” —Hsue-Shen Tsien
CHAPTER 4: MERITS OF THE THINK TANK 45
46 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
innovations were studied in order to rapidly refine and encourage more common; this kind of innovation is conducive to the rapid
the independently innovative results achieved in the previous refinement of technology and the accelerated growth of industry.
period. The primary innovation practices during this period
were as follows: (1) Enterprises and industries accelerated the III. Decision-support function of the Social and
refinement and promotion of previous independent innovations Economic System Dynamic Simulation Model
(especially independent integrated innovations) based on The Social and Economic System Dynamic Simulation Model
extensive independent research and development, through (SED Model) is another typical application of metasynthesis
studying advanced foreign innovations. (2) Researchers were for assisting economic decision-making. With the SED Model,
increasingly active in developing innovations based on China’s modern economic theories are combined with the tremendous
Internet Plus initiative, artificial intelligence, green technology, computing power of supercomputers to establish a virtual
new materials, and new energy. (3) Fintech (financial technology) socioeconomic system that resembles a modern commodity-
innovation became particularly prominent. During this period, based economy. The system can provide economic decision-
the number of domestic invention patent applications and making support for governments, enterprises, and citizens, by
authorizations increased dramatically, and the number of annual simulating the operation of a real economy, and analyze factors
invention patents granted also increased. including government policy, industry, enterprise, product, price,
A typical case of innovation involved high-speed trains. In profit, national income, and resident employment rate as well as
2004, foreign high-speed train technology was brought into China, changes in daily logistics, capital flow, and personnel flow related
and in 2007—after three years of “independent innovation based to every economic object. The SED Model adopts computer
on technology integration”—high-speed trains were put into simulation technology and is an economic model integrating
operation. In that year, three scientific research projects related to microeconomics and macroeconomics. The accuracy of main
high-speed trains (namely, rail safety research, high-performance indicators in the simulation process of the model exceeds 95%.
bearing research, and basic mechanics research) were funded In the consulting research project for the development of the
through the National Basic Research Program (973 Program), 13th Five-Year Plan proposed by the National Development and
which played an important role in the development of high- Reform Commission of China, the Tsien Think Tank was the leading
speed train technology. In 2008, the National Natural Science organization. The Think Tank combined economics experts,
Foundation of China (NSFC) began to significantly fund research systems engineering experts, government officials, entrepreneurs
on high-speed trains, aiming to overcome technical bottlenecks and multispecialty, multifield, multidepartment personnel to
in the industry. In 2010, the number of NSFC-funded research gather China’s collective wisdom, and it successfully used the SED
programs focused on high-speed trains reached 26; these Model to analyze the influences of the central government and
programs were critical in accelerating the refinement of previous some local governments on China’s gross domestic product (GDP)
innovations in the sector. (15). In addition, it provided specific policy recommendations for
It can be said that the 40-year history of China’s technological “adjusting the proportion of fiscal expenditure and increasing
innovation is a history of achieving “system emergence” through the subsidies for science and technology investment and
the process of metasynthesis. In the last 20 years, China has seen [advanced] and new products without increasing [total] fiscal
major developments in many important technologies because expenditure”—recommendations that have effectively supported
of metasynthesis. At present, the main driver of China’s key top-level planning for China’s strategic emerging industries. Due
technologies is integration. Technologies that are not integrated to the quality of the research, this model had been designated
can neither flourish nor have disruptive impacts. Currently, many by the National Development and Reform Commission as a
technologies are becoming intertwined in more and more fields, long-term model for a major Chinese scientific research project,
and many disciplines are intersecting. This trend indicates that the Cultivation and Development Plan for Strategic Emerging
technological innovation through metasynthesis will become Industries.
CHAPTER 4: MERITS OF THE THINK TANK 47
4.2. The Tsien Think Tank boosts the sixth industrial revolution
According to Tsien, the sixth industrial revolution will involve breaking with traditional extensive farming
methods; researching and innovating various advanced technologies and making full use of solar energy;
and gradually establishing knowledge-intensive agricultural industries, while continuing to improve forestry,
fishery, the grassland industry, and the sand-extraction industry (16). Focusing on knowledge-intensive,
large-scale agriculture and hoping to be the catalyst for the “space-farming revolution,” the Tsien Think Tank
is exploring powerful technical means for solving some of the major problems facing mankind today, in
areas such as food production, health care, energy, natural resources, and the environment (17).
Since 1987, China has conducted more than 20 space carrying 3.3 million hectares, the increase in crop yield would be
tests on more than 100 kinds of crops and thousands of varieties, 1 billion kg–1.5 billion kg. If this goal is reached, it will not only
using recoverable satellites. As a result, significant progress has provide a steady driving force for industry-driven poverty
been made in research on key space-breeding technologies, and alleviation, but also create a brighter future for Chinese
a series of new crop varieties, new strains, and new germplasms agriculture.
that are high yield, high quality, and multiresistant to disease Under the leadership of the Tsien Think Tank, through original
have been cultivated by mutagenesis of rice, wheat, corn, cotton, innovation and scientific accumulation in research on space-
and other crops. More than 30 new varieties or combinations of farming methods, many new cutting-edge agricultural crops
crops have received national or provincial approval. The objective and space-farming technologies have been developed with
of China’s space-breeding program is to cultivate a number of independent intellectual property rights, and a groundbreaking
major new high-yield, high-quality crop varieties, so that the yield method utilizing “seed selection, space mutation, and ground
per unit of mainly planted varieties can increase by about 10%; fertilization” has gradually been devised.
specifically, if the annual harvest area is 2 million hectares–
Knowledge-intensive agricultural methods are producing very high yields in China, despite a changing climate and extreme weather events.
CHAPTER 4: MERITS OF THE THINK TANK 49
4.3. The Tsien Think Tank accelerates the seventh industrial revolution
In the 2050s, there will be a seventh industrial revolution in the optimization of human physical fitness
caused by the expansive medical reform in China, leading to a revolution in economic productivity. Based on
somatic science (including medical science, bioscience, etc.), major improvements can be made in human
physique, function, and intelligence.
The improvement of human physique and function will be plateau environments have been discovered, and the optimal
mainly reflected in the increased ability to regulate the body’s means of adaptation have been preliminarily explored (18). As
functional states. further proved by the breakthrough in plateau health problems,
Systematics research has proved that open complex giant Tsien’s systems science methodology is very effective in solving
systems may have multiple, relatively stable functional states and problems in an open complex giant system such as the human
can promote the change of the system function state through body. In respect to the improvement of human intelligence and
external actions. The human body system differs from general morality, Tsien proposed “the education of metasynthetic wisdom”
systems. The thinking activities of the human brain can influence with a focus on “integration and wisdom” (19).
the nervous system to make slight adjustments to the human In July 2005, Tsien visited Jiabao Wen, who was the Premier
body, which is a highly complex giant system, or even cause it to of the Chinese State Council at that time, and said to him, “China
enter into another functional state from its current state via the has not fully developed, and one important reason is that there
function of consciousness. In other words, the human body, as is no university that can educate talent by following the mode of
an open complex giant system, has the basic function of self- training them for scientific and technological innovation. The lack
organization and self-adaptive regulation required for maintaining of these features and no major increase in outstanding talent is a
itself in a steady state under certain conditions; it can also recover serious problem.” Only a few years later, Tsien died, but the issues
from a “sick” state to a healthy functional state, or even adjust to he raised have continued to sound a warning to Chinese society.
an optimal functional state. By using Tsien’s educational ideas and applying them to
It has been stated that “since humans are open complex China’s current situation, Huifeng Xue formulated three steps
giant systems, we should apply ‘qualitative-to-quantitative with which to address Tsien’s concerns: “starting from the ‘age
metasynthesis’ to study human body science. This is a basic of zero,’ introducing ‘man–machine integration,’ and shortening
standpoint and methodology.” Specifically, systematology is the period of schooling.” These three concepts are the foundation
required to integrate and apply knowledge and experience in fields for dispelling the inertia that prevents Chinese education from
like traditional Chinese medicine, Western medicine, folk medicine, moving forward, and for promoting the acquisition of innovative
and psychological therapy, and to synthesize fragmentary, talent (20).
qualitative, and incomplete studies so as to form mathematical
models. It is also necessary to include the boundary conditions I. “Starting from the ‘age of zero’”: Create the
necessary for quantitative calculation, so as to draw the correct “innovation gene”
conclusions. Yuan Chang and other leaders in the Chinese school The training of outstanding, innovative talent should begin in the
of systems engineering have long been engaged in somatic womb. Its purpose is to achieve the goals of being well educated
science research related to laws, policies, and social issues using and of making valuable contributions to civilization, through
this theory. obtaining the best education at an early age, which will facilitate
Mengsun Yu, an academician of the Chinese Academy of social interaction and full personality development. In the
Engineering, used systematics theory to discover the laws of gestation period, prenatal education can have a decisive effect on
altitude stress, and the methodology of the HWME to classify and brain size and intelligence level. From infancy to age 3, children
analyze the health problems of people living on plateaus. He also are developing their capacity to perceive the outside world. From
established a systems model showing the adaptation process of the ages of 4 to 11, they are learning to understand the world, and
human bodies to plateau environments. Based on this process, building skills that will determine if a scientific way of thinking can
many parameters of the human body in adapting to low-oxygen be formed. From the ages of 12 to 17, through the absorption of a
50 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
large amount of knowledge and training in various skills, people therefore we can focus on the development of creative thinking.
will grow into individuals who can live independently and acquire Following Tsien’s concept of “man–machine integration, man–web
the ability to impact the world. integration, and human orientation,” the emergence of creative
and leading talent can be achieved—this emergence cannot rely
II. “Man–machine integration”: Break the solely on training but must also depend on spontaneity.
constraints of outmoded educational methods
The current educational system is marked by a tendency toward III. “Shortening the period of schooling”: Make
rote mechanical learning and regurgitation of facts, which conspicuous emergence of talent possible
occupies a young person’s most important growth period. With As mentioned, the period of schooling for young people can
vast improvements in science and technology, however, especially be greatly shortened by liberating them from rote educational
in information technology and network technology, the need for methods via “man–machine integration,” so that top experts can
this kind of learning is decreasing. The nature of human labor has develop earlier and faster. According to Tsien, children should
changed greatly as the synergy between humans and computers enter school earlier and even finish higher education before the
has increased. The mode of “man–machine integration” can age of 17. These ideas are based on the latest findings in brain
already liberate us from manual data storage and calculation, and science, psychology, and cognitive science. Tsien’s proposal is a
Opening ceremony of Chinese schools that are incorporating Tsien’s educational concept of metasynthetic wisdom.
CHAPTER 4: MERITS OF THE THINK TANK 51
and ways of thinking, such as the systems view of the structure 7. H. F. Xu, S. G. Gu, Q. Shi, J. Q. Liu, Journal of Xinjiang University 35,
258–263 (2018).
of modern science and technology, and the systems view of open
8. H. F. Xue, Civil-Military Integration on Cyberspace 9, 17–19 (2018).
complex giant systems. These and other basic elements integrate
9. H. F. Xue, Civil-Military Integration on Cyberspace 1, 26–29 (2018).
with one another to form an organic whole. This level is the most
10. H. F. Xue, Civil-Military Integration on Cyberspace 9, 3 (2018).
profound, complex, and philosophical of the human thought
structure. 11. H. F. Xue, Civil-Military Integration on Cyberspace 7, 18–19 (2017).
As the education system is an open complex giant system, 12. H. F. Xue, Civil-Military Integration on Cyberspace 5, 33–35 (2017).
reasonable scientific methodologies are required for the training 13. H. F. Xue, Civil-Military Integration on Cyberspace 12, 5 (2018).
of innovative talents. In other words, systems thinking, theories, 14. J. S. Lei, Y. Liu, Y. Y, Qi, Q. Z. Zhang, Scientific and Technological
Progress and Countermeasure 36, 152–160 (2019).
and methods are required to create educational concepts, refine
teaching methods, reform educational systems, and develop an 15. H. F. Xue, M. Tang, Y. G. Qian, Journal of Beihua University 19, 115–120
(2018).
education system based completely on metasynthetic wisdom, in
16. S. Liu, Future and Development 35, 2–6 (2012).
order to systematically improve human intelligence and morality.
17. H. F. Xue, Y. Cao, China Aerospace 9, 80–83 (2018).
In recent years, the Tsien Think Tank has actively practiced
18. M. S. Yu, Journal of Medical Graduate Students 27, 6 (2014).
Tsien’s educational concept of metasynthetic wisdom. In the
19. F. Qiao, “The College’s Metasynthetic Wisdom Education: Making
process, by focusing on breaking disciplinary boundaries and
Possible the Goal of Hsue-Shen Tsien,” Master’s thesis, Central China
realizing interdisciplinary integration in educational reform, it Normal University (2014).
has constructed “Tsien colleges,” “Tsien schools,” and “Tsien 20. J. Z. Li, “A Study of Qian Xuesen’s Thoughts on Innovative Talent
classes” relying on famous Chinese universities and primary Cultivation,” Master’s thesis, China University of Petroleum (2016).
and secondary schools, and has actively explored the training of 21. F. C. Zhuang, Journal of College of Equipment Command Technology
outstanding innovative talents. 23, 1–4 (2012).
52 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
Conclusion
In the context of the world’s changing economy and an increasingly multicultural and integrated
society, new developments and new problems are constantly emerging; these changes have had the
effect of moving the emphasis of scientific methodology from reductionism to holism, and now to
systematology.
The systematic thought promoted by the Hsue-Shen Tsien Think Tank has had an enormous effect
on the development of systems science, which can be characterized as the quintessence of integrated
human wisdom. The Tsien Think Tank has transformed systematic thought from a philosophy into
a systematic science, and provided the key to researching open complex giant systems. With the
advent of systems science, systematic thought is now a discipline in which philosophy and science are
unified, thus also unifying theory and practice.
In addition, the Think Tank has driven the integrated development of China’s modern science and
technology. With its interdisciplinary, multilevel characteristics, systematology has become a bridge
for the integration of fields such as natural science, social science, and somatic science, and the
catalyst for the further growth of science and technology.
Moreover, the Think Tank has played a groundbreaking role in solving the problems of open
complex giant systems. The goal of human beings in understanding the world is first to reconstruct
it and then to promote the development of human society. Qualitative-to-quantitative metasynthesis
and the Hall for the Workshop on Metasynthetic Engineering, which were created by the Tsien Think
Tank, have helped to do just that. These methods are rooted in engineering practices, yet have
transcended those practices, and have now developed into organizational management technologies
applicable to all social practices. In particular, they have greatly improved the science, rationality, and
effectiveness of decision-making.
In order to face the future, humanity needs fresh wisdom, and in order to deal with the enormous
changes taking place everywhere, it requires new approaches. More than 40 years ago, in the context
of rapid globalization and the quiet arrival of the “information society,” Hsue-Shen Tsien formulated
the structure of systems science, which would point the way toward solving the problems of open
complex giant systems. Today, the Tsien Think Tank has inherited and enhanced Tsien’s systematic
thought and has carried out advanced research that has helped society to deal with the issues of the
current fifth industrial revolution, and will undoubtedly help to address those of the coming sixth and
seventh industrial revolutions.
We believe that the work of the Tsien Think Tank will lead to a tremendous increase in the growth of
science, technology, engineering, industry, and management and control systems, and promote the
construction of a shared global community. As Tsien said, “Systems science is a scientific revolution
. . . and the practice of systems engineering will bring about a technological revolution. The scientific
revolution and technological revolution will certainly arouse organizational management revolutions in
the 21st century.”
SECTION | ARTICLE: TOPIC 53
”
—Hsue-Shen Tsien
SECTION | ARTICLE: TOPIC 55
Tsien at the California Institute of Technology in 1949.
56 CHINA AEROSPACE LABORATORY OF SOCIAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING
Epilogue
Systems science, which can also be described simply as “improvement theory,” describes the process by
which ideas, theories, methods, technologies, and practical experiences are integrated and synthesized
in order to optimize a particular system under study. The need for systems science is greater than ever,
as globalization and our evolving information-based society have exponentially increased the complexity
of our world. Professor Huifeng Xue, academician of the International Academy of Astronautics (IAA) and
director of the Hsue-Shen Tsien Think Tank, has been devoting himself to the comprehensive research of
systems science, including all aspects of its history, development, and application. As one of the major
leaders of systems science research in China, he has made brilliant achievement in this field.
Therefore, I am truly pleased that the “Satellite Metasynthesized Network” engineering project was
launched at the IAA’s Spring Conference, held in Paris in March, 2019. As the general initiator of this
project—which is based on systems science and aims to establish a worldwide data-sharing platform
that will link every corner of the earth—Professor Xue is helping to promote sustainable development
by creating a ubiquitous network unifying space, air, and ground systems, which is able to eliminate
the obstacles to global data-sharing caused by geographical restrictions, lack of international policy
coordination, and limited international cooperation, among other factors. During a conference sponsored
by the United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs, entitled “United Nations/China Forum on Space
Solutions: Realizing the Sustainable Development Goals,” which took place in Changsha, China in
April 2019, the Satellite Metasynthesized Network was also introduced in detail by Professor Xue. His
presentation was favorably received by various organizations from around the world. The potential
benefits of this project will surely provide a positive impetus for achieving the United Nation’s 2030
Agenda for Sustainable Development. I believe that under the guidance of the Hsue-Shen Tsien Think Tank,
with its strong systems science foundation, the Satellite Metasynthesized Network will be established
successfully and play a crucial role in developing a community of common interest for mankind.
Furthermore, it is a great honor for me—and also for the IAA—to read this special supplement
published by one of the world’s top academic journals, Science magazine, which provides cutting-edge
research, commentary, and insights that make an invaluable contribution to scientific progress. On behalf
of the IAA, I hope that readers of this booklet will be inspired by the work of Professor Xue and others, who
are using the concepts of systems science to help solve the pressing issues facing the world today.
AAAS.ORG/COMMUNITY