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Amabeoku 2005
Amabeoku 2005
A = {z, µ A | z ∈ Z }......................................(3)
representative set of training examples. Most artificial neural
networks use multi-layer back-propagation architecture to
apply knowledge gained from training experiences, which
allows the network to make new decisions, classifications, and where µA(z) is called the membership function of z in A. The
predictions. Helle et al6 used ANN to predict permeability membership function maps each element of Z to a membership
which they considered to be sufficiently accurate for their value between 0 and 1. A membership function associated
purpose in a North Sea field, given the spatial resolution of the with a given fuzzy set maps an input value to its appropriate
logging tools and the range covered by the permeability membership value. The membership function maps each
values. element of Z to a membership value between 0 and 1. In this
Coates et al7 have written extensively on the application of example, the clay-volume corresponds to the Z set. The
nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) log to calculate gamma ray values to element z, and the membership function
permeability. Amabeoku et al8 illustrated how calibration of could be represented by the curve in Figure 2. Gamma Ray
NMR data to core can significantly improve NMR-derived value equal to 55 API units may correspond to an average of
permeability. Multi-linear regression is also a common
IPTC 10152 3
0.65 for the clay-volume membership function, with some during the late Jurassic on an extensive carbonate platform
degree of uncertainty. with the basin center (Samin Intra-shelf Basin) towards the
A logging tool to determine porosity may respond to south and south-west. A shallow water ramp crest developed
mineralogy, fluids, and drilling fluid invasion. These effects during C time and extended NW-SE over the North Dome
could introduce errors in the measurement. Conventional where the reservoir is characterized by coarse, clean limestone
techniques try to minimize or ignore the error. Fuzzy logic (grainstone) with subordinate dolomites developed at
asserts that there is useful information in this error. Cuddy and consistent stratigraphic horizons. The distal ramp extends
Glover11 showed that the error information can be used to south, over what is now structurally the South Dome area,
provide a powerful predictive tool for the geoscientist to where the Reservoir C is also dominantly limestone, but
complement conventional techniques. contains more lime mud characterizing wackestone and
packstone facies. The C reservoir is divided into seven
Mathematical Expression of Permeability Prediction reservoir zones on the basis of sequence stratigraphy and
by Fuzzy Logic diagenesis.
The normal distribution is given by: The D reservoir was deposited along the margins of the
same basin. The north-northeastern part of the field
e − ( x − µ ) / 2σ
2 2
represented sediments of a major shoal complex trending NW-
P( x) = ............................................ (4) SE. The mudstones which were deposited within the middle
σ 2π interval record deposition under low energy conditions. The D
can be broken down stratigraphically into three main
P(x) is the probability density that an observation x is components, upper, middle and lower. The upper interval
measured in the data-set described by a mean µ and standard comprises multi-layers of carbonate stringers inter-layered
deviation σ. with evaporites. The carbonate layers are three to 10 feet thick
In conventional statistics, the area under the curve and dolomitized in variable amounts. These form laterally
described by the normal distribution represents the probability extensive sheet-like geometries. The Middle Interval is
of a variable x falling into a range, say between x1 and x2. approximately 85-95 feet thick and represents the principal
The curve itself represents the relative probability of variable x reservoir interval within the D reservoir. This interval has
occurring in the distribution. That is to say, the mean value is been divided into seven layers which showed substantial
more likely to occur than values 1 or 2 standard deviations lateral facies changes from north to south (designated B1 to
from it. This curve is used to estimate the relative probability B7). These layers are dominated by grainstones in the north
or “fuzzy possibility” that a data value belongs to a particular which pass southward laterally into generally mud-dominated
data set. If a permeability value has a porosity distribution lithologies, except the top layer (B1) which is grain-dominated
with a mean µ and standard deviation σ the fuzzy possibility throughout. The mud-rich lithologies can be extensively
that a well log porosity value x is measured in this dolomitized. Layers B2 and B3 tend to form laterally
permeability value can be estimated using Equation 4. The extensive tight intervals, especially in the southern half of the
mean and standard deviation are simply derived from the field. From the sequence stratigraphic point of view the
calibrating or conditioning data set, usually core data. grainstones represent highstand deposits which were
Where there are several permeability values in a well, the developed as high energy shoal deposits along the margins of
porosity value x may belong to any of these permeability an intra-shelf basin. The mudstones in the south correspond to
ranges but some are more likely than others. Each of these the basinal facies of the intra-shelf basin. The lower interval is
permeabilities has its own mean and standard deviation such 120-150 feet thick, and is divided into three laterally extensive
that for f permeabilities there are f pairs of µ and σ. If the sub-layers (C1 to C3). The lowest two layers are dominated by
porosity measurement is assumed to belong to permeability f, lime mudstones of outer ramp origin. The upper layer is
the fuzzy possibility that porosity x is measured (logged) can dominated by mudstones and wackestones in the south and
be calculated using Equation 4 by substituting µf and σf. packestones and grainstones in the north. These deposits
Similarly the fuzzy possibilities can be computed for all f correspond to transgressive to early highstand deposits of the
permeabilities. main Reservoir D sequence.
Cuddy12 showed that the relative fuzzy possibility R(xf) of
a porosity x belonging to permeability value f compared to the Application of Fuzzy Logic to Predict Permeability
fuzzy possibility of measuring the mean value µ f is: Fuzzy logic attempts to uncover the relationship between log
signatures and formation attributes. In the case of permeability
−(x−µ )2 /2σ 2
R(x f ) = e f f
........................(5) prediction, the relationship sought is that between open-hole
logs (i.e., resistivity and porosity logs) and core permeability.
Any number of curves (RHOB, DT, NPHI, RT, etc.) can Quality controlled core data from several wells were used to
be used by the technique. The fuzzy possibilities are combined calibrate open-hole logs from the same wells. The resulting
harmonically to give a composite fuzzy possibility. calibration database, herein referred to as the model, was
validated and then used to predict permeability in both cored
Geology of the Study Field and uncored wells.
The reservoir units in the study field comprise the C and D Figure 3 illustrates predicted permeabilities in Well 4X
members of the Arab Formation. The C reservoir was formed using fuzzy logic. The predicted permeability (KMODEL) in
Track 5 is comparable with the core permeability in
4 IPTC 10152
Reservoirs C and D. The fuzzy logic permeability model was compared with the fuzzy logic KH mD-ft. This is illustrated in
able to capture both the high and low extremes of the core Figure 8. There is remarkable agreement across the field. This
permeability. Other techniques, by their nature, regress further validates the fuzzy logic approach for permeability
towards their mean values and, hence, perform poorly at the prediction. Synthetic production log using the predicted
extremes. permeability compared very favorably with production log
The input open-hole logs are shown in Tracks 1, 3, and 4. (flowmeter) data.
It should be noted that the prediction was performed with a
model developed by multi-well calibration and not specifically Case Study of Fuzzy Logic Permeability in History
for an individual well. In the interval X385 to X405 feet, the Matching
core porosity is lower than the log-derived porosity. If the core As discussed earlier the 3-D geocellular model was
porosity is considered to be wrong, then the core permeability constructed and populated with the generated permeability and
could be wrong also. Still, the model predicts reasonably used in the reservoir simulation of the complex C and D
accurate permeability because it uses the log responses, not reservoirs. Cokriging the log of permeability with porosity
the core porosity. was used to distribute permeability in the 3-D model. For
Figure 4 shows permeability prediction in Well 3X. This brevity, one the C reservoir case is discussed here.
well is located 8 kilometers southwest of Well 4X. There is In the reservoir simulation, only two parameters were
quite a bit of divergence between the core measured porosity considered during the history match process: aquifer size and
and the log porosity in Reservoir C. Based on the log the continuity of tar. Aquifer support in the C reservoir is not
signatures, the predicted permeability is deemed to be strong. In the very first simulation run, model pressure did not
sufficiently accurate for engineering calculations. There is match the most recent pressure data. This is shown in Figure
limited core permeability data in Reservoir D, even though 9. A match of the latest pressure was achieved by simply
there is ample core porosity. The reason is, possibly, that flow adjusting aquifer size in the model.
could not be established through the core plugs. Therefore, It can also be observed that the model pressure between
permeability was not recorded. The fuzzy logic model, initial date and the last date was a lot higher than that in the
nevertheless, ameliorates that situation and provides a field. This necessitated a review of the tar distribution in the
continuous depth trace of permeability. geological model. It was discovered that the tar was modeled
The fuzzy logic model was blind-tested in Well 27X, as discontinuous in the 3-D geocellular model. In reality, the
shown in Figure 5. Whereas Wells 3X and 4X were among the tar is more continuous than it was described in the model. In
wells used in the development of the model, the data for Well one test the tar was made to be completely sealing around the
27X were withheld from the modeling group. At the time of reservoir. In this case, illustrated by the blue curve in Figure
testing, only the logs were made available and the resulting 10, the modeled reservoir pressure became lower than that of
permeability trace was delivered for comparison with the core the field pressure. The tar is known to be patchy in some
permeability. As can be seen, the prediction is very good. sectors of the field. After a minor adjustment for the tar, the
Based on the success of the blind test, the model was applied model pressure matched the field data as shown in Figure 11.
to the rest of the wells in the field. The 55-year production history was matched with high
Further visualization of the conformance of the fuzzy logic accuracy in only two weeks. A reduction of 80 percent of the
permeability is provided in Figures 6 and 7. In the first graph project duration was achieved, and this is attributed to the
(Figure 6), the core porosity-permeability plot of several cored accurate permeability models.
wells is shown on Cartesian plot to show the full
uncompressed range of the permeability data for the C2 Conclusions
interval in the C reservoir. Fuzzy logic predicted permeability Fuzzy logic was successfully used to predict permeability in
is superimposed on the core data and this is shown in Figure 7. this complex carbonate reservoir.
As is evident, the fuzzy logic permeability covers the full The predicted permeabilities using fuzzy logic compare
spectrum of the core permeability. This shows that the very well with the core derived permeabilities. The
statistical pattern of the distribution of permeability in non- predictions are very good at the high and low permeability
cored wells would be preserved, as is the case in the cored extremes. The extreme values are often the main conduits to
wells. flow and barriers to production.
As noted by Cuddy13, knowledge of extreme values is Fuzzy permeability covers the full spectrum of the core
important as these are often the main conduits to flow and permeability. This shows that the statistical pattern of the
barriers to production. In other words, the technique retains distribution of permeability in non-cored wells would be
the natural heterogeneity of the measured system, compared to preserved, as is the case in the cored wells.
other techniques which tend to artificially homogenize the The fuzzy logic KH in Reservoir C accurately reflected
data, which amounts to a scale change, bearing in mind that pressure build-up KH. This and the blind test validation of the
some of the parameters we want to extract such as fuzzy permeability model make fuzzy logic a powerful tool for
permeability are not scale invariant. prediction in this field.
A reduction of 80 percent of the project duration was
Comparison Between Fuzzy Logic Permeability KH achieved. The permeability was never modified and yet the
and Pressure Build-up KH Data 55-year production history was matched with high accuracy
Pressure build-up data were available for 16 wells in this field. tolerance, in only two weeks. This success is attributed to the
The well test KH mD-ft in Reservoir C were calculated and use of fuzzy-derived permeability.
IPTC 10152 5
Simulation can again be leveraged as an effective reservoir 8. Amabeoku, Maclean. O., Funk, James J., Al-Dossary, Saleh M.,
planning tool because of the much reduced cycle time and Al-Ali, Hussein A.: “Calibration of Permeability Derived
resulting from improved permeability prediction. from NMR Logs in Carbonate Reservoirs,” SPE Paper 68085
Having established a reasonably accurate permeability presented at Middle East Oil Show (2001).
9. Zadeh, L.: “Fuzzy Sets,” Information and Control (1965).
model for this field, the emphasis of the simulation effort is 10. Ohen, H., Soto, R.B., and Ajufo A.: “Development Of New
directed towards understanding the distribution of the tar and Permeability Model For Berri Field,” Report Prepared by PSI
the strength of aquifer support. for Saudi Aramco, 2002.
11. Cuddy, S.J. and Glover, P.W.J. 2000. The application of fuzzy
Acknowledgments logic and genetic algorithms to oil exploration. In Developments
The authors thank the management of Saudi Aramco for their in Soft Computing, Physica Verlag, 167-174.
support and permission to publish this paper. 12. Cuddy, S. J.: “Litho-Facies and Permeability Prediction from
Electrical Logs using Fuzzy Logic,” paper SPE 65411 presented
at 8th Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and
Nomenclature
Conference.
τ = tortuosity 13. Cuddy, S.J., “The Application of Fuzzy Logic to Petrophysics,”
φ = porosity, fraction Presented at the 38th Annual Logging Symposium of the
φz = pore volume to grain volume ratio Society of Professional Well Log Analysts, June 1997.
A = fuzzy set representation
Fs = shape factor 1000
Fs τ2 = Kozeny constant, kz
FZI = flow zone indicator
100
K = permeability, cm2, mD
Permeability (mD)
nf = expected occurrence of x in litho-facies f
P (x) = fuzzy possibility density of an observation x 10
Sitz. Ber. Akad. Wiss, Wien, Math. Nat, (Abt. ha) (1927) 136,
271-306.
2. Carman, P.C.: Fluid flow through granular beds, Trans.
Inst.Chem. Eng, 15 (1937) 150.
3. Amaefule, Jude O., Altunbay Mehmet, Tiab Djebbar, Kersey,
David G., and Keelan, Dare K.: “Enhanced Reservoir
Description : Using Core and Log Data to Identify Hydraulic
(Flow) Units and Predict Permeability in Uncored
Intervals/Wells,” SPE Paper 26436, prepared for presentation at
the 68th Annual SPE Conference and Exhibition held in
Houston, Texas, October 3-6, 1993.
4. Amabeoku, Maclean O.: “Optimal Sample Selection for
Petrophysical Properties Measurements,” Presented at RDD
Petrophysical Workshop, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, Dec. 2004.
5. Soto, R.B. and Holditch, S.A.: “Development of reservoir
Characterization Models Using Core, Well Log, and 3D Seismic
Data and Intelligent Software,” SPE Paper 57457, prepared for
presentation at the 1999 Eastern Regional Conference and
Exhibition held in Charleston, WV, October 21-22, 1999.
Figure 2. Representation of clay volume membership function.
6. Helle, Hans B., Bhatt, Alpana and Ursin, Bjùrn: “Porosity and
Permeability Prediction from Wireline Logs Using Artificial
Neural Networks: A North Sea Case Study,” Geophysical
Prospecting, 2001, 49, 431-444.
7. Coates, G.R., Xiao, L., and Prammer, M.G.: NMR logging:
Principles and Applications, Halliburton Energy Services,
Houston (1999) 234.
6 IPTC 10152
DEPTH DT
US/F
PHIE NPHI KMODEL
FEET
V/V V/V MD
ILD CORE POROSITY RHOB COREPERM
OHMM V/V G/C3 MD
X300
X400
X500
X600
Figure 3. Comparison of fuzzy logic predicted permeability with core permeability in Well 4X.
IPTC 10152 7
DT
DEPTH
US/F
FEET
PHIE NPHI KMODEL
V/V V/V MD
ILD CORE POROSITY RHOB COREPERM
OHMM V/V G/C3 MD
X300
X400
X500
Figure 4. Comparison of fuzzy logic predicted permeability with core permeability in Well 3X.
8 IPTC 10152
DT
DEPTH
US/F
PHIE NPHI KMODEL
FEET
V/V V/V MD
RT CORE POROSITY RHOB COREPERM
OHMM V/V G/C3 MD
X000
X100
X200
1500
1200
600
300
0
0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45
Porosity
Figure 6. Core porosity-permeability pattern in several cored wells in the C2 interval of reservoir C.
1500
Core and Model Permeability Data
1200
600
300
0
0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45
Porosity
Figure 7. Superposition of fuzzy permeability on core porosity-permeability data in several cored wells
in the C2 interval to show that distribution pattern is maintained.
KH, mD-ft
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Well
KH from Permeability Model KH from Pressure Build-up
Figure 8. Comparison of KH from fuzzy logic predicted permeability with pressure build-up KH in 16 wells.
10 IPTC 10152
Figure 9. Match of the last Pressure by adjusting aquifer Size in Cell Boundary; tar in the geological model is not continuous.
Figure 10. Model pressure is lower than the field pressure when the tar in the model is 100% sealing around the C reservoir.
Start-up
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Time (years)
Figure 11. Model pressure matches the field data with proper adjustment to tar distribution in the C reservoir.