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Abstract
Purpose – Although the theoretical arguments provide several channels through which innovation affects
export, empirical validation of this relationship is scarce. Further, the impact of the diverse channels of
domestic and foreign research and development (R&D) on export is assessed in isolation by previous studies.
This paper empirically investigates the impact of technological innovation on export capacity and intensity of
industrial enterprises in emerging countries by considering three channels of domestic innovation and foreign
R&D spillovers, namely internal R&D, embodied knowledge and disembodied knowledge in a unified
framework.
Design/methodology/approach – Data on China’s industrial enterprises in the manufacturing sector
are extracted from the China National Bureau of Statistics (NBSC), the Ministry of Science and
Technology of China (MST) and the UN Comtrade database for the period from 1998 to 2020. The
instrumental variables two-stage least squares (IV-2SLS) and three-stage least squares (IV-3SLS)
methods are used to control for the possible endogeneity bias and the problem of cross-equation
correlation between residuals.
Findings – The results show that internal R&D is a critical factor to enhance the export performance of
enterprises in emerging countries, while the effect of embodied spillovers and public–private collaboration on
export capacity and intensity of industrial enterprises is substantial. Further, disembodied knowledge that is
acquired through licensing of technology from advanced countries does not directly contribute to the export
performance of enterprises but requires a threshold level of internal R&D capability. This study’s results also
report a greater effect of embodied knowledge spillovers on export capacity and export intensity than internal
R&D in emerging countries. The results are consistent to changes in the sample period and the estimation
methods. The findings of the paper suggest that developing countries can speed up the process of export
upgrading by relying on both domestic and foreign R&D efforts.
Practical implications – The findings would help policymakers to keep in mind the relative importance of
internal R&D and embodied and disembodied knowledge spillovers for export performance before formulating
a catch-up strategy and the outcome would encourage them to consider prior related knowledge in terms of
internal R&D capability while acquiring external technology.
Originality/value – This study fills the gap in the existing literature by providing empirical validation of the
innovation–export interplay and simultaneously assessing the effect of three diverse channels of technological
innovation on the export performance of industrial enterprises. This paper enunciates important policy lessons
for emerging countries’ smooth transition to a knowledge-based economy.
Keywords Export, Internal R&D, Embodied knowledge, Disembodied knowledge, Manufacturing industries
Paper type Research paper
where EXPC and EXPI are the dependent variables of export capacity and intensity of
enterprises respectively, R&D represents a vector of variables on internal R&D efforts,
including R&D and Patent. The EMB_Knowledge shows a vector of two variables on sources
of embodied knowledge spillovers including FDI and Trade. DIS_Knowledge denotes
disembodied knowledge spillovers from licensing of advanced technology. Other includes an
interaction variable on public and private ownership (State*Private) and two control
variables including the size of an industry (Size) and human capital (HC).
A log-linear functional form may reduce the possibility of heteroscedasticity and provide
direct elasticities of export performance concerning explanatory variables. The empirical
model takes the following form:
lnEXPCit ¼ a1 þ a2 lnR&Dit þ a3 lnPatentit þ a4 lnFDIit þ a5 lnTradeit
þ a6 lnDIS Knowledgeit þ a7 lnR&Dit 3 lnDIS Knowledgeit (3)
þ a8 lnStateit 3 lnPrivateit þ a9 lnSizeit þ a10 lnHC þ νt þ εit
lnEXPIit ¼ a1 þ a2 lnR&Dit þ a3 lnPatentit þ a4 lnFDIit þ a5 lnTradeit
þ a6 lnDIS Knowledgeit þ a7 lnR&Dit 3 lnDIS Knowledgeit (4)
þ a8 lnStateit 3 lnPrivateit þ a9 lnSizeit þ a10 lnHC þ νt þ εit
where νt denotes time-specific effect, and εit is a random error term which is uncorrelated with Domestic vs
any of the industry-specific or time-specific effects and the independent variables. foreign R&D
The paper mainly uses enterprise-level data which is classified into 27 two-digit
manufacturing industries according to the Industrial Classification of the National Economy
and export
(ICNE) for the period from 1998 to 2020. Data is mainly collected from the Ministry of Science
and Technology (MST) of China (MST, 1998–2020), China Statistical Yearbook issued by
NBSC (NBSC, 1998–2020) and the United Nations COMTRADE database (United Nations,
1998–2020). The reported data were presented in nominal RMBs which were converted to real
2005 values using PPI as reported by NBSC. We also use a second panel which covers a
shorter period from 2000 to 2010. The objective is to analyse results from different periods
amid rapid structural transformation in China.
St.
Variables Measurements Obs. Mean Dev
Dependent var.
Export capacity The value of manufactured exports divided by total firms in 621 7.561 1.137
an industry
Export intensity The share of an industry in total manufactured export 621 3.878 1.206
Independent Var.
PATENT Number of domestic patent applications per employee 621 6.242 1.461
R&D The total value of the domestic spending on R&D in an 621 12.976 1.903
industry
FDI Fixed assets share of foreign-owned enterprise in total 621 2.091 0.524
industry assets
Trade The ratio of the sum of exports and imports to the gross 621 1.283 1.059
output value of an industry
Disembodied Expenditures on the licensing of advanced technologies 621 2.646 2.268
Knowledge from foreign markets divided by the total number of firms in
an industry
State Ownership Share of state-owned enterprises in total industry assets 621 1.681 1.047
Private Ownership Share of private-owned enterprises in total industry assets 621 1.716 0.837
Table 1. Size Ratio of sales revenue to total enterprises in an industry 621 10.195 0.858
Definitions and Human Capital Number of S&T personnel in an industry 621 10.657 1.357
summary statistics Note(s): All variables are in natural log form. Values are based on two-digit level industries
of variables Source(s): Authors’ own calculations
variable (Rauf et al., 2021; Tang and Zhang, 2016; Lileeva and Trefler, 2010). In addition, it Domestic vs
may be unrealistic to expect that the cross-equation residuals are uncorrelated in a system foreign R&D
of equations. In this regard, we utilise three-stage least squares (IV-3SLS) method to check
the robustness of our estimates. Moreover, studies in existing literature examine that
and export
occurrence of heteroskedasticity in idiosyncratic error terms is a natural phenomenon,
especially in a panel with relatively more cross sections than time (Wooldridge, 2010). The
bias can be eliminated by calculating robust standard errors. We also compute robust
standard errors to obtain heteroskedasticity-controlled results. Further, as R&D and Patent
denote input and output of the innovation process, respectively, these variables appear
separately in the estimation equation, and we run regressions by including and excluding
these variables.
Main 2000–2010
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
The coefficients of R&D and Patent variables are positive and statistically significant in all
models provided in Tables 2 and 3. It suggests that internal R&D efforts positively affect
export capacity and export intensity of enterprises in the sample periods 1998–2020 and
2000–2010, supporting H1. The result is in line with the economic theory which postulates
that innovation activities affect the development of new products and enhance the
productivity of existing production processes which contribute to remarkable export
performance (Rodil et al., 2015; Aw et al., 2008). In terms of magnitude, model 1 shows that a
one percent increase in R&D spending causes export capacity and export intensity to
increase by 0.09% and 0.25% respectively (see Tables 2 and 3). Similarly, a one percent
increase in patent counts leads to a 0.12% and 0.14% increase in export capacity and export
intensity respectively (see Tables 2 and 3). Our findings substantiate the role of national
scientific and technological development efforts including the Chinese government’s
endeavour to substantially increase industry-level R&D spending in the manufacturing
sector. Our findings are also in line with the results of recent studies (Rauf et al., 2021; Rodil
et al., 2015; Zhu and Fu, 2013). Further, the greater coefficient values of R&D and Patent for
EXPI suggest a stronger impact of domestic R&D on the export intensity of enterprises.
We find support for H2a because the coefficients on FDI and Trade are positive and
significant in models 1–5, suggesting that embodied knowledge spillovers positively affect
the export capacity and export intensity of industrial enterprises in the considered periods.
The result reveals that China’s remarkable manufactured export growth can be attributed to
embodied technological spillovers from FDI and China’s integration into world trade. In terms
of magnitude, model 1 presents that a one percent increase in FDI enhances the export Domestic vs
capacity and export intensity of enterprises by 0.45 and 0.40% respectively. Further, a one foreign R&D
percent increase in trade volume improves export capacity and intensity by 0.58% and 0.24%
respectively (see Tables 2 and 3). The findings are validated in theory which postulates that
and export
embodied knowledge spillovers originating from different activities of foreign enterprises,
firms’ exposure to the international market and the import of machinery and equipment
embodying advanced technologies positively influence export performance (Pierola et al.,
2018; Liu and Buck, 2007). Our results are in line with that of Yu et al. (2022), Wang et al. (2020)
and Anwar and Sun (2018).
Further, it is interesting to note that the coefficients of FDI and Trade variables are either
statistically more significant or have a greater magnitude than R&D and Patent variables
across all the estimated models presented in Tables 2 and 3. It reveals that spillovers
associated with embodied knowledge have a relatively stronger impact on export capacity
and export intensity of enterprises than internal R&D efforts. This result is crucial because a
recent debate in emerging countries seeks to identify the more effective channel of technology
diffusion for efficient resource allocation and a decent catch-up strategy (Krammer, 2014).
The estimated coefficient of the DIS_Knowledge variable is positive but insignificant in
most of the models provided in Tables 2 and 3, which does not support H2b. The result
suggests that disembodied knowledge does not directly promote export capacity and export
intensity of enterprises in emerging countries. The possible reason is that the adoption of
external technology requires a meaningful internal R&D capability. The literature confirms
that a sizeable absorptive capacity and a variety of types of internal R&D activities are
required to absorb and assimilate the external technology especially acquired from developed
countries (Krammer, 2014; Li, 2011). External technology is complex and difficult to
internalise, while enterprises in developing countries can use less complicated and labour-
using technologies (Wang and Li-Ying, 2014). It highlights the role of the interaction between
internal R&D and foreign knowledge spillovers in export performance. We test the joint effect
of internal R&D and foreign technology licensing by including an interaction variable that
links disembodied knowledge to internal R&D (R&D 3 DIS_Knowledge). A positive and
significant coefficient on the R&D 3 DIS_Knowledge variable is found for the considered
period in all the estimated models (see Tables 2 and 3), confirming that a threshold level of
internal R&D capacity is necessary to adopt foreign technology. The finding suggests that
the decision for licensing external technology should be seen in the context of prior related
knowledge and the innovation capability of domestic enterprises. It is interesting to note that,
DIS_Knowledge shows a positive and significant impact on export intensity in models 1–3 (i.e.
main sample). The possible reason may be that, owing to the scientific and technological
development policies of the Chinese government since the mid-1990s, the innovation
capability of the domestic enterprises has enhanced, the skill to adopt foreign technology has
improved and the gap from the world technological frontier has decreased over years (Rauf
et al., 2021).
The coefficients on the State 3 Private variable are positive and statistically significant,
suggesting that the interaction between public and private partnership in an industry
positively affect the export capacity and export intensity of enterprises. Thus, H3 is
confirmed. The theory reveals that public policy set motivation and incentives for exporting
while private ownership interacts with state ownership to overcome inefficiencies and
undergo efficient allocation of scarce resources (Chen et al., 2021; Yi et al., 2013). It is important
to note that State 3 Private show a positive but insignificant impact in our second panel
which includes a shorter period from 2000 to 2010. The possible reason is that the public–
private collaboration was relatively weak in the early reform period. The positive and
significant results of the main panel which includes the recent period postulate that public–
private collaboration has improved over the years. In this regard, the role of undergoing
IJOEM market-oriented reforms and the policies to reduce inefficiencies associated with SOEs has
been critical (Chen et al., 2021).
Discussing the results of our control variables, we find that the estimated coefficient of the
Size variable is positive and significant in all models except models 1–3 of Table 3 where the
coefficient is also positive but insignificant. It confirms a positive impact of the size of
the industry on export capacity and export intensity of enterprises. The result report that
industrial enterprises may experience economies of scale to better use their comparative
advantage in the world market. Furthermore, the coefficients on the Human Capital variable
are positive for export intensity and negative for export capacity but insignificant and
inconsistent in different models provided in Tables 2 and 3. The possible reason is that we
proxy the variable using high-quality human capital while the share of scientists, engineers
and S&T experts in total employment is still low in the Chinese industrial enterprises. Below a
minimum level, the impact of human capital may be insignificant or even negative (Wang
et al., 2020). The result is in line with (Rauf et al., 2021), among others.
The following points can be discerned easily from the above discussion. First, domestic
and foreign R&D expand the export capacity and export intensity of industrial enterprises,
confirming that R&D activities influence export performance via multiple channels. Second,
our estimates suggest the greater impact of embodied knowledge spillovers from FDI and
trade on export than that of domestic R&D. It reveals that opening up for foreign investment
and integration into world trade is a relatively more significant way of export upgrading in
developing countries lacking domestic R&D capability. Third, we do not find the direct effect
of the licensing of foreign technology on export performance. Instead, the results show that
the effect of disembodied knowledge spillovers on export is contingent upon internal R&D
capacity. It concludes that firms in emerging countries need to conduct meaningful internal
R&D to adopt and internalise the technologies acquired from advanced countries. Fourth, in
general, a comparison of the results in different periods shows that the sign and significance
of the variables on internal R&D and the embodied knowledge channels remain unchanged
while the significance of the disembodied knowledge and public–private collaboration
variables has relatively improved in the main panel which includes the recent period. The
results reveal that the effect of disembodied knowledge and public–private collaboration on
export has been improved. The possible reason is that the innovation capability of Chinese
industrial enterprises has been enhanced over years (Rauf et al., 2021).
enterprises in emerging countries. Also, the results suggest that the acquisition of technology
from advanced countries may not directly benefit the export of domestic enterprises but
requires rich internal innovative capacity.
period from 1998 to 2020. Further, the IV-2SLS regression method is employed to control for
the possible endogeneity bias and the sensitivity of estimates is checked by applying the
IV-3SLS and RE methods. The results are summarised below.
Results of the study show that internal R&D efforts and embodied knowledge spillovers
from FDI and trade have positively affected the export capacity and export intensity of
enterprises during the considered period. Particularly, we report that embodied knowledge
spillovers have a relatively stronger impact on export than internal R&D efforts, suggesting a
relatively significant effect of external technology spillovers on export performance in
emerging countries. Further, disembodied knowledge that is acquired through licensing of
technology from advanced countries does not directly contribute to exporting and requires a
threshold level of internal R&D capability. This result reports that enterprises in developing
countries should cautiously select technologies when acquiring as well as they should
conduct meaningful internal R&D to adopt and internalise the external technology.
Moreover, the public–private collaboration has a positive effect on export performance and
the impact has improved in recent years.
The findings of the paper suggest some policy lessons. Internal R&D activities are critical
for the astounding export performance of industrial enterprises in emerging countries. These
countries can achieve a competitive advantage for their products through a variety of types of
R&D efforts. An increase in R&D share to GDP is crucial for a strong innovation capability
and export competitiveness. In this regard, “National Innovation-Driven Development
Strategy Outline” which aims at enhancing endogenous innovation by spending as high as
Main 2000–2010
Domestic vs
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) foreign R&D
and export
Constant 3.621*** 5.040*** 3.734*** 3.633*** 4.411***
(0.677) (0.688) (0.734) (0.904) (0.931)
R&D 0.100** 0.156*** 0.164**
(0.047) (0.052) (0.079)
Patent 0.098*** 0.095*** 0.102**
(0.029) (0.029) (0.051)
FDI 0.391*** 0.437*** 0.398*** 0.330** 0.415***
(0.061) (0.060) (0.060) (0.149) (0.129)
Trade 0.559*** 0.529*** 0.563*** 0.499*** 0.548***
(0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.154) (0.142)
DIS_Knowledge 0.001 0.018 0.021 0.006 0.043*
(0.015) (0.017) (0.017) (0.019) (0.024)
State 3 Private 0.082*** 0.072*** 0.095***
(0.023) (0.023) (0.035)
R&D 3 DIS_Knowledge 0.014* 0.023*** 0.030*
(0.008) (0.009) (0.016)
Size 0.475*** 0.491*** 0.488*** 0.473*** 0.461***
(0.065) (0.063) (0.064) (0.071) (0.079)
Human Capital 0.128*** 0.087** 0.151*** 0.094
(0.047) (0.035) (0.048) (0.087)
Period effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
No. of Obs. 621 621 621 297 297
Overall R-Squared 0.767 0.771 0.791 0.706 0.734
Note(s): Standard errors are in parenthesis Table 6.
* Significance level of 10% Panel RE estimates
** Significance level of 5% (dependent variable:
*** Significance level of 1% export capacity)
2.8% of GDP on R&D by 2030 and accelerating foreign technology transfer is a useful
strategy. Further, embodied and disembodied knowledge spillovers are critical for
developing countries to narrow down the technology gap with advanced countries and
accelerate export performance. The acquisition of external technology may provide a
conducive environment to speed up the formation of a competitive outward pattern of
economic development. However, the selection of the appropriate technology to be acquired is
critical in this regard. Developing countries are capable of learning from labour-using
technologies because they possess relatively abundant labour. Thus, the decision of
importing or licensing technology from advanced countries should be seen in the light of prior
related knowledge and internal R&D capability. In this regard, the role of the complementary
between domestic and foreign R&D efforts in export is required to be discussed in
development agendas. Further, the “China 2030” plan which focuses on further reforms of
SOEs and the development of private sector may encourage export performance via
extending the public–private collaboration.
The study has some limitations. We have investigated the impact of the different channels
of technology on export, but we have not studied the impact of these channels on overall
imports. Assessing the determinants of imports are particularly important in emerging
countries. Further, the study examines the effect of overall R&D on the export performance of
enterprises, however, future studies may explore the effect of different kinds of R&D
including basic research, applied research and experimental development on industrial
export separately. This is critical to separate the “research” and “development” components
of R&D and to explore their unique impact on trade. Studies can also assess the impact of the
IJOEM Main 2000–2010
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Note
1. This paper assesses the direct effect of public–private collaboration on export performance. It can
also be noted that the state-owned and private enterprises may have different R&D patterns and
innovation activities in them may have different repercussions for export. The studies in future may
explore the indirect effect of ownership structure of firms on their export performance via its
interaction with technological innovation. We are thankful to the anonymous reviewer for
highlighting this relationship.
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Corresponding author
Abdul Rauf can be contacted at: araufrao@gmail.com, arauf@ndu.edu.pk
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