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March 2017
This material is based upon work supported by the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) Agricultural Research Service (ARS) and Animal and Plant Health
Inspection Service (APHIS) Agreement No. 59-0202-5-002. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of
the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of USDA–ARS, USDA–APHIS, any other USDA agency, or the USDA.
CAST Issue Paper 57 Task Force Members
Authors Reviewers
P. Stephen Baenziger E. Charles Brummer, Department Richard Flavell, Ceres, Inc., Thou-
(Cochair), Department of of Plant Sciences, University of sand Oaks, California
Agronomy and Horticulture, California–Davis Jan Leach, Plant Pathology, Colorado
University of Nebraska–Lincoln Peter Langridge, School of Agri- State University, Fort Collins
Rita H. Mumm (Cochair), Depart- culture, Food and Wine, University of Don Lee, Department of Agronomy
ment of Crop Sciences, University Adelaide, Glen Osmond SA, Australia and Horticulture, University of
of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign Philipp Simon, USDA–Agricultural Nebraska–Lincoln
Rex Bernardo, Department of Research Service, Department of
CAST Liaison
Agronomy and Plant Genetics, Horticulture, University of Wiscon-
University of Minnesota, St. Paul sin, Madison Wendy Srnic, Research and Devel-
Stephen Smith, Seed Science Center, opment, DuPont Pioneer, Johnston,
Iowa State University, Ames Iowa
enabling genetic technological advance- global population of more than 9 billion Per-unit area yields of the three major
ment and effective realization of food by 2050 is to be fed and nourished. field crops in the United States—corn,
security goals. Aspects and influences to soybean, and wheat—have increased
these empowerments of technological
innovation are discussed in detail. IntroductIon dramatically since the late 1800s or
early 1900s (USDA–ERS n.d.) (Figure
Given the focus and investment Grand Challenges 1). Approximately 50 to 60% of this
devoted to technological innovation Human life depends on plants for increase has been attributed to improved
in crop improvement, it is vital that food, feed, fiber, fuel, aesthetics, and crop cultivars (varieties), with the
maximal value is derived; this often environmental services such as recy- remainder of the yield improvement
means fitting improved cultivars and cling carbon dioxide (CO2). Some of attributable to improved crop
the process to create them with other humanity’s grand challenges are met, at production practices (Fehr 1984).
features of the agricultural production least in part, through improved plants: Despite yearly fluctuations, the total
system and the value chain. Integration feeding and nourishing a growing hu- U.S. acreage (1 acre=0.4047 hectares)
with farmer-implemented agronomic man population, supporting a biobased devoted to these three major crops
practices; delivery options for crop pro- economy, coping with and helping increased from 160 million acres (65
tection; and machinery used for plant- mitigate climate change, and sustaining million hectares) in 1926 to 225 mil-
ing, harvest, and postharvest storage are the environment. Looking pragmati- lion acres (91 million hectares) in 2015
important to realizing the full genetic cally at the past and strategically to the (USDA–ERS n.d.) (Figure 1). Hence,
potential of improved cultivars and de- future, this paper focuses on the role increases in total crop production from
riving maximal value and impact from and critical importance of innovation 1900 to the present have been due to a
innovation. Likewise, further innova- in plant breeding to meet the grand combination of higher yields per acre
tion in production systems and value challenge of being able to provide food as well as more acres cultivated. The
chains will sustain and leverage genetic and nutritional security to humankind amount of U.S. and global arable land,
advancements. in the decades ahead. Improved crops however, is limited and decreasing
Past success in devising innova- are also used for sources of fiber, wood, because of urbanization, salinization,
tive plant breeding solutions to develop and amenity plants such as flowers and limited irrigation water, and soil erosion
improved crop cultivars to nourish, fuel, turf grasses. (Tester and Langridge 2010). Hence
and beautify the world while mitigating future increases in crop production will
climate change and enhancing the envi- Feeding and Nourishing Humanity need to come from increased productiv-
ronment has been impressive. Success The U.S. population has grown ity, often on less desirable land.
to date should provide the motivation from 76 million in 1900 to 321 million Future demands for increased crop
and confidence to sustain and intensify in 2015 (USDA–ERS n.d.) (Figure production will be high because of
efforts in the decades ahead to eliminate 1). Having many more mouths to population increases. The U.S. popula-
human hunger and malnutrition while feed necessitates increases in crop tion is projected to increase to more
preserving our environment. The scale production, which can be achieved than 450 million in 2050. The world
of innovations that needs to be made through higher crop yields per land population is projected to increase from
and broadly implemented globally area unit (increased productivity) or 7.3 billion in 2015 to approximately 9.6
within the next few decades in the many through more land devoted to crop billion in 2050 (Godfray et al. 2010).
and diverse crops that sustain humanity production. In addition, as people Staple crops such as wheat, maize, and
reinforces the urgency and call to action become more prosperous, they eat more rice account for a high proportion of
for innovation in plant breeding if a food and have a more diverse diet. the caloric intake in the human diet
demands for vegetables, fruits, oilseeds,
and nuts (FAO 2009). At the same time,
increasing affluence will lead to a great-
er demand for meat and dairy, which in
turn will drive demand for crops used
as animal feed (e.g., corn, soybean,
alfalfa, and forage grasses). Finally, to
combat the various forms of undernutri-
tion globally, a generally more diverse
and nutritious diet is critical. Improving
nutritive value is a major breeding goal
in many crops.
There is an urgent need to increase
agricultural productivity to meet the
grand challenges facing humanity.
Simply stated, current improvements
in crop production through genetics
Figure 2. Association between a marker (m) and disease-resistance gene (r), and wheat lines with and without the Fhb1 gene
for resistance to Fusarium head blight (see textbox).
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meeting sponsored in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council. ISSN 1070-0021
Additional copies of this Issue Paper are available from CAST. Carol Gostele, Managing Scientific Editor, http://www.cast-science.org.
Citation: Council for Agricultural Science and Technology (CAST). 2017. Plant Breeding and Genetics—A paper in the series on The Need for Agricultural
Innovation to Sustainably Feed the World by 2050. Issue Paper 57. CAST, Ames, Iowa.