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This year’s United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP27) occurs during a time of
global conflict and severe environmental instability. The Russia–Ukraine war, natural
disasters such as the devastating floods in Pakistan, and humanitarian crises have
exacerbated concerns over energy security, emissions, and long-term sustainability. As
the pernicious effects of climate change become more acute, the world is running out of
time to take meaningful action to address the crisis.
Against this backdrop, heads of state and delegates will meet in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt
from Nov. 6–18 to discuss how to achieve the world’s collective climate goals as stated in
the Paris Agreement. Building on the momentum from COP26, delegates are expected to
implement the Glasgow Climate Pact and unveil a plan to curb methane emissions
pursuant to a joint pledge made at the conference last year.
During the next two weeks, Just Security will highlight COP27’s key moments and trends
to watch. We invite you to regularly check this page for the latest commentary from
COP27 as it is updated to reflect meetings, speeches, expert analyses, and more.
Articles
Climate Change Diplomacy
Loss and Damage at COP27: What’s Been Lost, What Can We Salvage From the
Damage?
Jocelyn Perry (@JocelynGPerry) urges the international community to confront
disparities in historical responsibility for climate change, and current climatic events,
and expand upon mitigation and adaptation measures at COP27.
The Egypt Climate Summit: Four Key Questions to Help Frame COP27
Mark Nevitt (@MarkNevitt) examines questions relevant to the international
negotiations taking place at COP27, including how climate protests and U.S. foreign
relations will impact climate talks.
Good COP, Bad COP: After the Mixed Results of COP26, What’s Next?
Ben Abraham and Jocelyn Perry analyze the “mixed results” of the 2021 United Nations
Climate Change Conference and suggest that implementation of the 2015 Paris
Agreement will depend on countries’ commitment to addressing the threat of climate
change.
Climate Change and National Security
Declaring a Climate Emergency Won’t Save the Planet – Energy Security Could
Emily Holland (@EmilyJHolland) and Morgan Bazilian (@MBazilian) analyze how a
formal declaration of a national climate emergency may hamper policy responses rather
than win political and popular support.
Bringing Climate and Terrorism Together at the UN Security Council – Proceed with
Caution
Jordan Street (@jordan_street07) evaluates the UN Security Council’s first open
thematic debate to explore the links between climate change and terrorism and
emphasizes how investing in climate solutions can help peacebuilding efforts.
Amid Devastating Floods, Pakistan’s Leaders Must Learn from the Past to Avoid
Future Mistakes
Jumaina Siddiqui (@jumainasiddiqui) analyzes the role of the international community
amidst Pakistan’s devastating floods, recommending that they assist in the road to
recovery and bolster mitigation efforts.
Relevant Documents
Reports
2030 Adaptation Outcomes for Human Settlements, UN Climate Change High-Level
Champions and Boston Consulting Group, November 17, 2022
Anticipating Vulnerability Hotspots in the Sahel: A Synthesis Report from the Sahel
Predictive Analytics Project in Support of the United Nations Integrated Strategy for
the Sahel (UNISS), UN Integrated Strategy for the Sahel, November 16, 2022
Sustainable Food Cold Chains: Opportunities, Challenges and the Way Forward, UN
Environment Programme, November 12, 2022
10 New Insights in Climate Science 2022, Future Earth, The Earth League, and
WCRP, November 10, 2022
Making good on the Glasgow Climate Pact: a call to action to achieve one gigaton of
emissions reductions from forests by 2025, UN-REDD Programme, UN Environment
Programme, and the Green Gigaton Challenge, November 7, 2022
Adaptation Gap Report 2022: Too Little, Too Slow – Climate adaptation failure puts
world at risk, UN Environment Programme, November 1, 2022
Emissions Gap Report 2022: The Closing Window – Climate crisis calls for rapid
transformation of societies, UN Environment Programme, October 27, 2022
Key Events
November 20
Notable Events
Negotiations that continued late into the night on Saturday culminated early Sunday
morning in an agreement to establish a loss and damage fund. Most of the key
questions concerning implementation remain to be determined. A committee
comprising 24 countries, ten wealthy nations and fourteen others, will over the next
year hammer out details of how the fund should be structured, which countries will
contribute to it, and how the money will be distributed. The deal represents a
landmark agreement that developing nations had made the cornerstone of their
agenda during COP27–and had been the subject of tense negotiations throughout the
conference. The United States and other wealthy nations had historically opposed the
establishment of the fund. No similar announcement was made regarding talks to cut
greenhouse gas emissions.
Notable Quotes
Molwyn Joseph, Minister of Health, Wellness, and the Environment, Antigua and
Barbuda
“Today, the international community has restored global faith in this critical
process that is dedicated to ensuring no one is left behind. The agreements made
at COP27 are a win for our entire world. We have shown those who have felt
neglected that we hear you, we see you, and we are giving you the respect and
care you deserve.”
Frans Timmermans (@TimmermansEU), Vice President, European Commission
“Too many parties are not ready to make more progress today in the fight against
the climate crisis. There were too many attempts to roll back what we agreed in
Glasgow. This deal is not enough [on cutting emissions].”
November 19
Notable Events
China and the United States have renewed their partnership to tackle the climate
crisis and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, according to China’s climate envoy Xie
Zhenhua. Xie said he and John Kerry, US envoy for climate, have had “a close and
active dialogue, that was overall very constructive. [We want to] ensure the success of
COP27 and exchange opinions on our differences.”
Notable Quotes
November 18
Notable Events
Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry informed delegates that the climate
negotiations would spill into Saturday. The global talks have been deadlocked as
richer nations have struggled to find common ground with developing countries. “I
remain concerned at the number of outstanding issues,” Shoukry said. Secretary-
General António Guterres said at a joint press conference with Shoukry, “We are at
crunch time in the negotiations. COP27 is scheduled to close in 24 hours – and the
parties remain divided on a number of significant issues. There is clearly a breakdown
in trust between North and South, and between developed and emerging economies.
This is no time for finger pointing. The blame game is a recipe for mutually assured
destruction.”
Similarly, Brazilian Minister of the Environment Joaquim Leite said with regard to
ongoing pressure to establish a loss and damage fund, “Unfortunately, we did not
reach an expected result regarding climate finance. Brazil placed pressure together
with the G77 plus China, but so far, we have no news that the loss and damage fund
will come out.”
European Commission vice president, Frans Timmermans, launched a proposal on
behalf of the European that would see it agree to establish a loss and damage fund.
Notable Quotes
Solutions Day will bring together government representatives, businesses and innovators
to share their experiences and ideas with the aim of spreading awareness, discussing
challenges, and building future collaborations.
Notable Events
Notable Quotes
Biodiversity Day will focus on the impacts of climate change on oceans, endangered
species, coral reefs, impacts of plastic waste on aquatic ecosystems, and ecosystem-based
solutions.
Notable Events
Brazilian President-Elect Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva offered to host UN climate talks in
the Amazon in 2025. He declared, “I’m here in front of all of you to tell you that Brazil
is back. Brazil can’t be isolated as it was in the last four years.” He said the country
will prioritize preserving the rainforest and gave his speech standing among
governors of Brazilian Amazon states. The President-Elect also called for support for
loss and damage.
The UN Children’s Fund (UNICEF) launched the Today and Tomorrow initiative, a
new climate financing scheme to help countries with climate resilience and disaster
preparedness for children and youth, as well as protect this same demographic from
future climate harms. In its initial three-year pilot, the fund will focus on eight
countries in four global cyclone basins: Bangladesh, Comoros, Haiti, Fiji, Madagascar,
Mozambique, Solomon Islands, and Vanuatu. UNICEF plans to raise $30 million for
the initiative.
France and Spain joined a pledge to halt the sale of gasoline-driven vehicles by 2035,
five years earlier than their previous target. The countries are among a group of new
signatories to the Zero Emission Vehicles Declaration (ZEVD), originally launched at
COP26.
Belgium, Colombia, Germany, Ireland, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, the United
Kingdom and the United States announced that they were joining the Global Offshore
Wind Alliance (GOWA), originally founded by Denmark at COP26. The Alliance aims
to accelerate uptake of offshore wind.
U.S. Climate Envoy John Kerry said the United States and China are “fully engaged” at
COP27. He had met with China’s top climate official Xie Zhenhua a day earlier, which
was taken as a sign of thawed relations and potential progress on climate issues.
The Egyptian COP27 Presidency and the International Union for Conservation of
Nature launched the Enhancing Nature-based Solutions for an Accelerated Climate
Transformation (ENACT) program with the goal of protecting at least 1 billion people
and 2.4 billion hectares of healthy ecosystems, while restoring 350 million hectares
of damaged ecosystems.
The EU, along with France, Germany, the Netherlands, Denmark launched an
initiative that will dedicate more than $1 billion in climate funding to help countries
in Africa boost their resilience in the face of the accelerating impact of global
warming. European Commission Vice President Frans Timmermans said the fund will
combine “existing and new programs,” and $50 million will go toward loss and
damage.
Notable Quotes
Ace & Civil Society Day and Energy Day (November 15)
Ace & Civil Society Day will be dedicated to integrating the views and perspectives of
civil society by identifying challenges, networking, and developing multi-stakeholder
partnership opportunities.
Energy Day will consider all aspects of energy and climate change, including renewable
energy and energy transformation, with a specific focus on just transition in the energy
sector and the potential of green hydrogen.
Notable Events
The COP27 presidency released a draft document with the summary of possible
elements proposed by parties for inclusion in the conference’s final outcome. The
document contains items including multilateralism, scaling up of renewable energy
in the energy transition process, adaptation, the need for funding arrangements to
address loss and damage, and climate accountability.
Seven countries pledged new funding for the Least Developed Countries Fund (LDCF)
and Special Climate Change Fund (SCCF). Denmark, Finland, Germany, Ireland,
Slovenia, Sweden, Switzerland, and the Walloon Region of Belgium announced a total
of $105.6 billion in funding combined. They also emphasized the need for even more
financial support for the Global Environment Facility funds targeting the adaptation
needs of low-income and low-lying nations. Belgium, Canada, France, and the United
States expressed political support for both funds. The funding adds to the $413
million that 12 donor countries pledged to the LDCF at COP26. The LDCF supports 46
Least Developed Countries in climate adaptation financing. The SCCF similarly
supports Small Island Development States.
In an address, the ambassador of Antigua and Barbuda to the U.N., Conrad Hunte,
said the island nation won’t leave the summit without a fund for climate-related loss
and damage. “As we see the inaction of many developed countries, the potential to
stall talks and land a devastating blow for us as small island developing states is
looming. Antigua and Barbuda will not leave here without a loss and damage fund.”
The United States, Canada, Japan, and several European countries announced a $20
billion climate financing deal with Indonesia that would aid the country, one of the
world’s largest consumers of coal, in its transition to renewable power. The deal was
announced at the G20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, and involves Indonesia capping its
carbon emissions at 290 million tons and upping its use of wind and solar power by
2030. At COP27, where the deal received great attention, U.S. climate envoy John
Kerry said, “We’ve built a platform for cooperation that can truly transform
Indonesia’s power sector from coal to renewables and support significant economic
growth.”
European Commission Vice President Frans Timmermans said the EU is on track to
exceed its original plan to cut emissions by 55 percent (measured from 1990 levels) by
2030, with a new goal of over 57 percent.
The COP27 Presidency announced the Africa Just & Affordable Energy Transition
Initiative (AJAETI). It has set three primary goals by 2027: (1) to offer technical and
policy support to facilitate affordable energy for at least 300 million people in Africa;
(2) transition 300 million of the 970 million people who do not have access to clean
cooking fuels; and (3) increase the share of renewable electricity generation by 25
percentage points and achieve a power sector based on renewables by 2063.
Notable Quotes
Gender Day will promote gender sensitive and responsive policies, strategies, and actions
while shedding light on the woman’s role in adapting to climate change.
Notable Events
The COP27 Presidency launched the African Women’s Climate Adaptive Priorities
(AWCAP) to highlight the disproportionate toll climate disasters take on women and
children. The initiative “aims to increase opportunities for women in the just
transition to a green economy, as well as to promote gender-sensitive perspectives in
adaptation and mitigation, while also promoting educational and behavioral change
on women and climate change” by linking key ministers from various countries to
one another to capacity-build and to divert more resources to ensuring women secure
economic opportunities in green transition efforts.
Water Day saw the COP27 Presidency launch the Action on Water, Adaptation, and
Resilience (AWARe) initiative. Egypt will host the Pan-African Center for Water
Climate Adaptation in marshaling financing, technology, and knowledge
transfer/outreach to achieve three mains goals: (1) “[d]ecrease water losses
worldwide and improve water supply;” (2) “[p]ropose and support implementing
mutually agreed policy and methods for cooperative water-related adaptation action
and its co-benefits;” and (3) “[p]romote cooperation and interlinkages between water
and climate action in order to achieve Agenda 2030, in particular SDG 6 [ensuring
water for all].”
Separately, the G7 countries launched a “Global Shield” program with more than
$200 million in initial funding. The aim is to rapidly deploy funds toward insurance
and disaster protection following floods, droughts, and hurricanes in vulnerable
countries.
Notable Quotes
Adaptation & Agriculture Day will focus on the devastating climate impacts endured by
various countries and point out the fact that the world is not prepared to endure extreme
weather events.
Notable Events
The COP27 Egyptian Presidency announced the Food and Agriculture for Sustainable
Transformation (FAST) initiative to improve climate finance contributions toward
transforming food systems by 2030. Speaking about the initiative, COP27 President
Sameh Shoukry said, “As we reach a milestone in human development, we must
ensure that our food systems are equipped to provide communities around the world
with food that is produced in an inclusive, responsible, and sustainable way. With 43
million people suffering of hunger each year, this is a wake-up call for
implementation. Initiatives such as FAST are critical in today’s world, where
geopolitical shifts and extreme weather events can cause massive disruption to food
supply chains that hurt the world’s poorest and exacerbate hunger and malnutrition.”
The UN Food and Agriculture Organization will facilitate the voluntary collaboration
among stakeholder groups.
COP27 President Sameh Shoukry met with indigenous peoples to discuss their
inclusion in the conference’s outcomes. Zé Bajaga Apurinã, chief of the Apurinã, an
indigenous community in a southern Amazon state in Brazil, said in an interview,
“Climate change has affected the lives of indigenous people seriously. We lost a lot of
lives and lands because of floods and forest fires, all caused by climate change.” He
asserted that loss and damage “should have had been included years ago [in COP
agendas], but it is good it is now on the agenda in COP27.”
Mexico pledged to cut its emissions by 35 percent by 2030, which is higher than its
previous target of 22 percent. It is one of the few countries at COP27 to have
announced an improvement in its targets thus far.
U.S. Special Presidential Envoy for Climate John Kerry said the United States is
“totally supportive” of plans to address loss and damage.
The COP27 Presidency announced the Climate Responses for Sustaining Peace
(CRSP) initiative to address the intersection of climate and peacebuilding which over
the next five years seeks to aid in the realization of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable
Development, Agenda 2063: The Africa We Want, the Africa’s Silencing the Guns
initiative, and the African Climate Change and Resilient Development Strategy and
Action Plan (2022-2032). COP27 President Sameh Shoukry said of the initiative,
“Africa contributes the least to the climate crisis but is disproportionately affected in
terms of how it unfolds and hurts communities. The devastating impact of climate
change combined with conflict has far-reaching implications across the continent.
CRSP will help deliver action on this critical issue as it addresses the potential risks
posed by climate change for sustainable peace and development.”
Notable Quotes
Qu Dongyu (@FAODG), Director-General, Food and Agriculture Organization of the
UN
“Sustainable food cold chains can make an important difference in our collective
efforts to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals. All stakeholders can help
implement the findings of this report, to transform agrifood systems to be more
efficient, more inclusive, more resilient and more sustainable – for better
production, better nutrition, a better environment and a better life for all, leaving
no one behind.”
Notable Events
The United States doubled its pledge to the Adaptation Fund to $100 million and
announced over $150 million in additional funds to accelerate the President’s
Emergency Plan for Adaptation and Resilience (PREPARE) efforts across Africa.
U.S. President Joe Biden gave an address at COP27, casting the United States as a
climate leader and touting the climate commitments in the Inflation Reduction Act.
He emphasized that the United States immediately rejoined the Paris Agreement
during his administration and will continue to take bold action. He also announced
that the United States, the EU, and Germany would provide $500 million to Egypt to
finance its transition to green energy.
Under the Breakthrough Agenda originally launched at COP26, countries
representing more than half of global GDP and emissions pledged during
Decarbonization Day to accomplish by COP28 a set of 25 steps to accelerate
decarbonization across five sectors (power, road transport, steel, hydrogen, and
agriculture), including, for example, agreeing to a date to phase out gasoline-powered
vehicles.
Notable Quotes
Youth & Future Generations Day and Science Day (November 10)
Youth & Future Generations Day will provide an opportunity to ensure that youth
perspectives are reflected across all areas of the climate agenda, and to showcase youth
success stories and challenges.
Science Day consisted of panel discussions and events to engage with the science
community and academia to ensure that climate conversations and actions are based on
solid and credible science, and to further discuss roles of academia in support for global
action to tackle climate change.
Notable Events
UN Development Programme chief Achim Steiner warned that more than fifty of the
poorest developing countries are in danger of defaulting on their debt and becoming
bankrupt unless wealthy nations offer assistance. “If we have more shocks – interest
rates go up further, borrowing becomes more expensive, energy prices, food prices – it
becomes almost inevitable that we will see a number of these economies unable to
pay,” he said.
The UN Race to Resilience Initiative launched the Insurance Adaptation Acceleration
Campaign, which aims to mobilize 3,000 insurance companies by next year’s COP. Its
objective is to scale the industry’s ability to put forward meaningful climate risk
reduction and pursue innovative, public-private partnerships that pursue the
protection of vulnerable populations. The campaign also launched a data explorer to
track progress of adaptation implementation.
Global Mangrove Alliance, in collaboration with the UN Climate Change High-level
Champions, called for signatories to the “Mangrove Breakthrough” which supports
the Sharm El Sheikh Adaptation Agenda in recognizing the need to sustainably
protect 15 million hectares of mangroves by 2030.
Notable Quotes
Finance Day will address several aspects of the climate finance ecosystem, including
innovative financial instruments, tools and policies that have potential to enhance
access, and contributions to the energy transition.
Notable Events
In discussions regarding climate finance and justice, the United Kingdom said it
would allow some debt payment deferrals for countries hit by climate disasters, and
Austria and New Zealand offered funding for loss and damage.
U.S. climate envoy John Kerry announced a new global carbon credit trading
initiative, called the “energy transition accelerator,” that will assist developing
countries in adopting cleaner forms of energy. The initiative will deliver trillions of
dollars of investment to poorer nations in an effort to cut fossil fuel emissions and
reduce the severity of climate disasters.
UN Climate Change High-Level Champions called for action across three Sharm el-
Sheikh Adaptation Outcomes for Finance: for public finance actors to increase the
volume and share of adaptation and resilience finance, for private finance actors to
help mobilize the $140 billion to $300 billion needed annually by 2030, and for
insurers to institutionalize a longer-term industry approach to adaptation and
resilience.
China climate envoy Xie Zhenhua remarked that it is “the responsibility of the US” to
“clear the barriers” in reconciliation and have productive climate talks. Zhenhua also
said that China would potentially participate in contributing funds to developing
countries and assist with climate-related loss and damage.
Leaders from Western Indian nations shared progress on the Great Blue Wall, which
had been officially launched at COP26 in Glasgow. Two seascapes (Quirimbas
Seascape in Mozambique and Tanga Pemba Seascape in Tanzania) were officially
designated.
Notable Quotes
The Implementation Summit will include an official opening ceremony, round tables and
high-level side events and delivery of national statements.
The Government of Egypt will convene three high-level round tables to be attended by
Heads of State and Governments, Heads of observer organizations and specially invited
guests. Discussions will pertain to climate adaptation and mitigation, transitioning to
hydrogen energy sources, and water security.
At the Investing in the Future of Energy: Green Hydrogen roundtable, Egypt and
Belgium announced the launch of the Global Renewable Hydrogen Forum to foster
dialogue between hydrogen-producing countries and hydrogen-consuming ones—as
well as with the private sector and other key organizations. Egypt and Norway also
announced a joint green hydrogen project, whose first phase includes the
establishment of a major plant in Egypt.
At the Climate Change and the Sustainability of Vulnerable Communities roundtable,
the devastating floods in Pakistan were held up as an example of the need for
adaptation. Private sector groups called upon governments to assist in supporting
adaptation efforts.
At the Water Security roundtable, focus turned to Sustainable Development Goal 6, to
“[e]nsure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all.”
Parties showcased examples of projects to this end, and the issue of scalability was
discussed.
Xie Zhenhua, President Xi Jinping’s Special Representative; and Special Envoy for
Climate Change, China
“No matter how much the external environment changes, and no matter how
many challenges we face, China has firm determination to achieve this vision of
carbon neutrality.”
The Government of Egypt will convene three high-level round tables to be attended by
Heads of State and Governments, Heads of observer organizations and specially invited
guests. Discussions will pertain to the integration of sustainable social and economic
development with climate change responses, resilience in agricultural productivity, and
bridging the climate finance gap.
Katherine Fang
Katherine Fang (@fang_kath) is a Student Staff Editor at Just Security. She is a graduate of Yale Law
School, where she was a Paul & Daisy Soros Fellow for New Americans. Prior to law school, she was a
Fulbright Scholar in Jordan and worked in economics research at Harvard Business School.