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Br J Sports Med: first published as 10.1136/bjsports-2019-100983 on 16 April 2020. Downloaded from http://bjsm.bmj.com/ on January 25, 2023 at UFSM - Universidade Federal de Santa
Recalibrating the risk of hamstring strain injury (HSI):
A 2020 systematic review and meta-analysis of risk
factors for index and recurrent hamstring strain injury
in sport
Brady Green ,1 Matthew N Bourne ,1,2 Nicol van Dyk ,3 Tania Pizzari 1
Br J Sports Med: first published as 10.1136/bjsports-2019-100983 on 16 April 2020. Downloaded from http://bjsm.bmj.com/ on January 25, 2023 at UFSM - Universidade Federal de Santa
for HSI. Only HSIs were examined; studies examining tendinop- factor measurement, outcome measurement, study confounding,
athy, non-specific thigh injuries, hamstring origin avulsions and and statistical analysis and reporting (online supplementary
contusion-type pathologies were excluded. appendix 1). Each area has specific criteria that all studies are
appraised against to identify whether it is a potential source of
Risk factors for HSI bias. Criteria are given a score of either ‘yes’ or ‘no’, and if for
Studies were required to present discrete data for one or more a single category there are less than 75% of ‘yes’ responses, it is
risk factors and their association with HSI. Intrinsic (eg, age, deemed to be a ‘high risk’ of bias for that area of study design.
injury history, physical qualities) and extrinsic (eg, environment, ‘Low risk’ for an area is reached by scoring a ‘yes’ for 75% or
stage of the season, competition schedule) factors were included. more of the criteria for that single category. A study is then given
Studies reporting data that were not directly examined in rela- an overall risk of bias according to the scores of each area. To be
tion to injury risk or the occurrence of HSI were excluded. deemed as a ‘low risk of bias’ study, it must score a ‘yes’ for at
least five categories. It must have also scored a ‘yes’ for the area
Study type relating to outcome measurement (item 4). Studies are otherwise
Systematic reviews and studies involving the analysis of classed as ‘high risk of bias’.
prospectively collected data on non- modifiable factors were
included. Intervention studies were excluded to limit potential Data extraction
confounding. All included studies involved human participants, Data were extracted with a focus on factors evaluated for their
were published in English and full-text versions were available. association with index and/or recurrent HSI. Raw data were
Conference abstracts and unpublished data were excluded. extracted according to outcome measurement and the results
reported. Reviewers extracted data relating to the key results,
Data collection and analysis athletic population, length of tracking, and methods of HSI diag-
Risk of bias assessment nosis and injury classification.
Three reviewers (BG, MNB, NvD) used a modified version of the
Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool to assess the risk of bias Data analysis and best evidence synthesis
of all studies that were not systematic reviews. Risk of bias assess- Non-blinded reviewers (BG, TP) extracted data independently,
ment using the QUIPS has been previously described33 34 and has including mean values, medians, standard deviations (SDs),
been utilised in recent HSI-related systematic reviews.26 35 36 The
Figure 1 Flow diagram demonstrating study selection for the analysis of risk factors for index and recurrent hamstring strain injury.
Br J Sports Med: first published as 10.1136/bjsports-2019-100983 on 16 April 2020. Downloaded from http://bjsm.bmj.com/ on January 25, 2023 at UFSM - Universidade Federal de Santa
and the 95% CI were used when the studies did not provide Overview of results of risk of bias assessment (QUIPS)
adequate frequency data. Comprehensive meta-analysis V.2.0 A low risk of bias was found for 28 studies
(Biostat, Englewood, New Jersey, USA) was used to perform (40%).12 20 23–25 27 28 42–62 A high risk of bias was identified in
meta-analyses from data provided in individual studies for the 42 studies (60%)19 21 22 29 30 63–99(table 1). Authors reached full
potential risk factors for HSI. A random effects model was agreement on risk of bias assessment (BG, MNB, NvD). The
used to better account for potential methodological or statis- most common potential source of bias was ‘study confounding
tical heterogeneity. Compared to a fixed effects approach, variables’ (item 5: 64.3%), which was related to whether poten-
a random effects model reduces the likelihood of a type two tial confounders were defined, identified and accounted for in
error by making it more difficult for a result to be determined as the study design and analysis. Other sources of bias included
statistically significant. The random effects model offers more study attrition (item 2: 35.7%), study participation (item 1:
accurate and statistically safer information by generating wider 31.4%), outcome measurement (item 4: 28.4%), prognostic
CIs around pooled effect sizes.37 Heterogeneity was assessed factor measurement (item 3: 25.6%), statistical analysis and
using the I2 statistic.38 Effect sizes were interpreted as small (0 reporting (item 6: 18.3%).(table 1) Systematic reviews18 26 100–105
to 0.20), moderate (0.21 to 0.5) or large (≥0.80). Statistical were not subject to the QUIPS tool.
significance was set at p<0.05.39
A best evidence synthesis was used to identify the level of Overview of results from meta-analyses
evidence (LOE) and strength of association between each factor Twenty-one potential risk factors were evaluated using meta-
and HSI risk. The best evidence synthesis provided another analysis. From these results, the strongest risk factors for HSI
source of information in conjunction with findings from the were older age (figure 2), history of HSI, previous anterior
meta-analyses. It was used to clarify the relationship with HSI cruciate ligament (ACL) injury and previous calf strain injury
when heterogeneity or a paucity of raw data did not permit a (figure 3). None of the 13 strength-related variables were signifi-
cantly associated with risk of HSI (figure 4).
meta-analysis to be performed.26 35 36 For each risk factor anal-
ysed the LOE is determined according to set criteria that includes
information from the risk of bias assessment.40 41 Listed below Overview of results from the best evidence synthesis
are the four hierarchical levels of evidence: The best evidence synthesis included 179 factors and their asso-
1. Strong evidence: Consistent results in two or more low risk ciation with index (129 factors) and/or recurrent (50 factors)
Br J Sports Med: first published as 10.1136/bjsports-2019-100983 on 16 April 2020. Downloaded from http://bjsm.bmj.com/ on January 25, 2023 at UFSM - Universidade Federal de Santa
Table 1 Risk of bias assessment Table 1 Continued
Potential risk of bias item Potential risk of bias item
Study 1 2 3 4 5 6 Risk of bias Study 1 2 3 4 5 6 Risk of bias
Árnason et al42 + + + + + + Low van Dyk et al20 + + + + + + Low
Bengtsson et al63 + – + + – + High van Dyk et al55 + – + + + + Low
65
Bennell et al + – + + – + High van Dyk et al56 + + + + + + Low
Bennell et al64 + + – + – + High van Dyk et al57 + + + + + + Low
Bourne et al23 + – + + + + Low Venturelli et al94 + + + – – + High
Bradley and Portas66 – + + – – + High Verrall et al58 + + + + – + Low
Brooks et al12 + + + + – + Low Verrall et al95 + + + – – + High
Brooks and Kemp67 + – + + – + High Warren et al59 + + + + – + Low
Cameron et al68 – + + – – + High Watsford et al60 + – + + + + Low
Carling et al69 – + – + – + High Witvrouw et al96 – – – – – – High
Christensen and Wiseman70 – – – – – – High Woods et al97 + – – – – – High
Croisier et al43 + + + + – + Low Yamada and Matsumoto98 – + – – – – High
Dauty et al71 + + – + – – High Yamamoto et al99 – – – – – – High
De Vos et al44 + + + + – + Low Yeung et al61 + + + + – + Low
Duhig et al28 + + + + + + Low Zvijac et al62 + + + + – + Low
Elliott et al72 – – + + – – High 1, study participation, 2, study attrition, 3, prognostic factor measurement, 4,
Engebretsen et al45 + + + + + + Low outcome measurement, 5, study confounding variables, 6, statistical analysis and
Fousekis et al73 + + – – – + High reporting.
Frannetovich-S mith et al74 + + + + – – High
Freckleton et al46 + + + + – + Low an increased risk of HSI (LOE: limited) (online supplementary
Gabbe et al76 – + – – – + High appendix 2: tables 2 and 5). Eccentric hamstring strength during
Br J Sports Med: first published as 10.1136/bjsports-2019-100983 on 16 April 2020. Downloaded from http://bjsm.bmj.com/ on January 25, 2023 at UFSM - Universidade Federal de Santa
Maria. Protected by copyright.
Figure 2 Meta-analysis for age, height, weight and body mass index. SMD, standardised mean difference.
EMG activity during running (12 km/hour, 15 km/hour) (LOE: a fatiguing eccentric leg curl (LOE: limited)21 and hamstring
limited)74 were associated with risk of index HSI (online movement discrimination (LOE: limited)68 (online supplemen-
supplementary appendix 2: table 2). There were conflicting tary appendix 2: table 2).
findings for gluteus maximus EMG activity while sprinting
and running at a range of submaximal speeds74 90 (online
supplementary appendix 2: table 4). Trunk and hamstring Running-based measurements
motor control were associated with index HSI in three studies: Increases in high-speed running exposure were associated with
muscle recruitment pattern during prone hip extension (LOE: a greater risk of index HSI27 28 (online supplementary appendix
limited),91 dominance of biceps femoris recruitment during 2: table 2). Sprinting kinematics were also associated with index
Figure 3 Meta-analysis for injury history: hamstring strain injury (HSI), ACL injury and calf strain injury. RR, risk ratio.
Br J Sports Med: first published as 10.1136/bjsports-2019-100983 on 16 April 2020. Downloaded from http://bjsm.bmj.com/ on January 25, 2023 at UFSM - Universidade Federal de Santa
Figure 4 Meta-analysis for strength testing: Nordic hamstring exercise (NHE) and isokinetic variables. Abs., absolute; conc, concentric; Conv.,
conventional ratio; ecc, eccentric; HS, hamstrings; Qu, quadriceps; Rel., relative; SMD, standardised mean difference.
Br J Sports Med: first published as 10.1136/bjsports-2019-100983 on 16 April 2020. Downloaded from http://bjsm.bmj.com/ on January 25, 2023 at UFSM - Universidade Federal de Santa
baseline screening16 and when employed regularly as part of the
clinical management of an index HSI to avoid a recurrence.108 109
What is already known
This could be especially relevant for susceptible athletes, such
►► Older age and a history of hamstring strain injury (HSI) are
as those who are older, have a history of HSI and a hamstring
strong risk factors for HSI.
strength deficit.24 25 110
Running exposure is another modifiable risk factor for
HSI.27 28 The risk of subsequent HSI is elevated in athletes
exposed to greater high-speed running loads, especially with
What are the new findings
sudden increases (ie, within the previous 7–14 days).27 28 These
athletes may be predisposed to HSI due to the fatigue and eccen- ►► Older age and injury history (HSI, ACL injury, calf strain injury)
trically induced muscle damage associated with fast running are associated with an increased risk of subsequent HSI.
activities.111 Graduated exposure may also be advantageous for ►► Key areas to evaluate athletes for information about risk
resilience to injury mechanisms such as sprinting.112 113 A balance of HSI are sports performance and match play, hamstring
must be found between inducing positive adaptations that are strength, and running.
protective against HSI and excessive exposure that increases ►► Clinical examination findings best evaluate the risk of
susceptibility to HSI.113 114 recurrent HSI.
►► Future research should consider examining the interactions
between risk factors for HSI, along with how these
Non-modifiable risk factors relationships fluctuate over time, such as over the course of a
Athletes who are older and have an injury history are often at competition season.
greater risk of a future injury.10 16 49 52 115 ‘Old’ is difficult to
define, as age can influence HSI risk in athletes as young as 24
years.52 Age could impact HSI risk because it correlates with
exposure: over time (ie, with older age) athletes are exposed Implications/future directions
to greater mechanical loads and the likelihood of encountering Awareness of risk factors may be useful for athlete management
injury mechanisms increases. Small differences in age likely to mitigate HSI risk. The identification of modifiable risk factors
represent large differences in exposure in elite sport. Age- is an important component of injury prevention models.137 138
Br J Sports Med: first published as 10.1136/bjsports-2019-100983 on 16 April 2020. Downloaded from http://bjsm.bmj.com/ on January 25, 2023 at UFSM - Universidade Federal de Santa
Correction notice This article has been corrected since it published Online First. 23 Bourne MN, Opar DA, Williams MD, et al. Eccentric Knee Flexor Strength and
The title has been amended. Risk of Hamstring Injuries in Rugby Union: A Prospective Study. Am J Sports Med
2015;43:2663–70.
Twitter Brady Green @BradyDGreen, Matthew N Bourne @mbourne5, Nicol van
24 Timmins RG, Bourne MN, Shield AJ, et al. Short biceps femoris fascicles and eccentric
Dyk @NicolvanDyk and Tania Pizzari @DrTaniaPizzari
knee flexor weakness increase the risk of hamstring injury in elite football (soccer): a
Contributors All authors made equal contributions to the work. All authors prospective cohort study. Br J Sports Med 2016;50:1524–35.
provided permission for the submission and publication of this version of the review. 25 Opar DA, Williams MD, Timmins RG, et al. Eccentric hamstring strength
and hamstring injury risk in Australian footballers. Med Sci Sports Exerc
Funding The authors have not declared a specific grant for this research from any
2015;47:857–65.
funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.
26 Green B, Bourne MN, Pizzari T. Isokinetic strength assessment offers limited
Competing interests None declared. predictive validity for detecting risk of future hamstring strain in sport: a systematic
Patient consent for publication Not required. review and meta-analysis. Br J Sports Med 2018;52:329–36.
27 Ruddy JD, Pollard CW, Timmins RG, et al. Running exposure is associated with
Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed. the risk of hamstring strain injury in elite Australian footballers. Br J Sports Med
2018;52:919–28.
ORCID iDs 28 Duhig S, Shield AJ, Opar D, et al. Effect of high-speed running on hamstring strain
Brady Green http://o rcid.org/0000-0003-1135-0033 injury risk. Br J Sports Med 2016;50:1536–40.
Matthew N Bourne http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3374-4669 29 Orchard JW, Seward H, Orchard JJ, et al. The speed-fatigue trade off in hamstring
Nicol van Dyk http://o rcid.org/0000-0002-0 724-5997 aetiology: Analysis of 2011 AFL injury data. Sport Health 2012;30:53–7.
Tania Pizzari http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8 804-0095 30 Orchard JW, Driscoll T, Seward H, et al. Relationship between interchange usage
and risk of hamstring injuries in the Australian Football League. J Sci Med Sport
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