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Recalibrating the risk of hamstring strain injury (HSI):
A 2020 systematic review and meta-­analysis of risk
factors for index and recurrent hamstring strain injury
in sport
Brady Green  ‍ ‍,1 Matthew N Bourne  ‍ ‍,1,2 Nicol van Dyk  ‍ ‍,3 Tania Pizzari  ‍ ‍1

►► Additional material is ABSTRACT Prospective studies continue to examine a range of


published online only. To view Objective  To systematically review risk factors for modifiable and non-­modifiable factors to determine
please visit the journal online
(http://d​ x.​doi.o​ rg/​10.​1136/​ hamstring strain injury (HSI). which are most associated with HSI.19–21 Hamstring
bjsports-​2019-​100983). Design  Systematic review update. strength can now be measured using novel field-­based
Data sources  Database searches: (1) inception to 2011 procedures,22 such as the Nordic hamstring exercise
1
La Trobe Sport and Exercise (original), and (2) 2011 to December 2018 (update). (NHE) test.23–25 The relationship between hamstring
Medicine Research Centre, La strength measured by these devices and HSI risk is
Trobe University, Melbourne,
Citation tracking, manual reference and ahead of press
Victoria, Australia searches. not known.16 26 In a 2018 systematic review, isoki-
2
School of Allied Health Eligibility criteria for selecting studies  Studies netic strength testing did not accurately predict risk of
Sciences, Griffith University, presenting prospective data evaluating factors associated HSI.26 Whether an athlete’s training load, including
Gold Coast Campus, with the risk of index and/or recurrent HSI. various measures of running workload and match
Queensland, Australia
3
High Performance Unit, Irish Method  Search result screening and risk of bias exposure, increase HSI risk is of interest.27–30
Rugby Football Union, Dublin, assessment. A best evidence synthesis for each factor and Given the significant body of new research,
Ireland meta-­analysis, where possible, to determine the association we updated our 2013 systematic review16 of risk
with risk of HSI. factors for sport-­ related index and recurrent

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Correspondence to Results  The 78 studies captured 8,319 total HSIs, HSI.31 32.
Brady Green, La Trobe Sport
including 967 recurrences, in 71,324 athletes. Older age
and Exercise Medicine Research
Centre, La Trobe University, (standardised mean difference=1.6, p=0.002), any history Method
Melbourne, VIC 3086, Australia; of HSI (risk ratio (RR)=2.7, p<0.001), a recent HSI (RR=4.8,
​B.​Green2@​latrobe.​edu.a​ u p<0.001), previous anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury Search strategy and selection of studies
(RR=1.7, p=0.002) and previous calf strain injury (RR=1.5, A systematic search was carried out using Medline,
Accepted 28 February 2020 CINAHL, Embase, AMED, AUSPORT, SportDiscus,
Published Online First p<0.001) were significant risk factors for HSI. From the best
16 April 2020 evidence synthesis, factors relating to sports performance PEDro and the Cochrane Library from 2011 to
and match play, running and hamstring strength were most December 2018. Previous searches from the original
consistently associated with HSI risk. The risk of recurrent systematic review captured studies published from
HSI is best evaluated using clinical data and not the MRI database inception to 2011.16 The studies included
characteristics of the index injury. in the original review were included in this update.
Summary/conclusion  Older age and a history of HSI An identical search method was used, including
are the strongest risk factors for HSI. Future research databases searched.16 Keywords derived from the
may be directed towards exploring the interaction of risk research question were used to structure the search
factors and how these relationships fluctuate over time and were mapped to medical subject headings where
given the occurrence of index and recurrent HSI in sport is possible (online supplementary appendix 1). Citation
multifactorial. tracking and manual reference list scanning were
carried out. Ahead of press searching was performed
using key sports medicine journals identified from
database searches (British Journal of Sports Medi-
cine, Scandinavian Journal of Medicine and Science in
Introduction Sports, American Journal of Sports Medicine, Sports
The hamstrings are involved in a host of athletic Medicine). Acquired references were imported and
motions that include running,1–3 jumping4 and duplicates were removed (EndNote V.X3 software,
kicking.5 6 Hamstring function is important to the Thomas Reuters, New York; USA). All reviewers
performance of most sport-­related activities, partic- (BG, MNB, NvD, TP) took part in applying selec-
ularly when fast running is required.2 4–7 Injuries to tion criteria to prospective studies. Consensus was
the hamstring muscles compromise individual perfor- reached by discussion where required.
© Author(s) (or their
employer(s)) 2020. No
mance and team success in many sports.8–13 Awareness
commercial re-­use. See rights of risk factors for hamstring strain injury (HSI) is an Study selection criteria
and permissions. Published important component of athlete load management, Participants/injury
by BMJ. injury prevention and return to play decision-­making Included studies investigated index (ie, a first-­
To cite: Green B, post injury.14 15 Previous reviews of risk factors for time injury within the surveillance period) and/
Bourne MN, van Dyk N, injury have identified that older age and a history of or recurrent HSIs (ie, a second HSI following an
et al. Br J Sports Med HSI are commonly associated with a greater risk of index HSI)31 32 in athletic populations during sport-­
2020;54:1081–1088. future HSI.16–18 related activities. All studies presented discrete data

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for HSI. Only HSIs were examined; studies examining tendinop- factor measurement, outcome measurement, study confounding,
athy, non-­specific thigh injuries, hamstring origin avulsions and and statistical analysis and reporting (online supplementary
contusion-­type pathologies were excluded. appendix 1). Each area has specific criteria that all studies are
appraised against to identify whether it is a potential source of
Risk factors for HSI bias. Criteria are given a score of either ‘yes’ or ‘no’, and if for
Studies were required to present discrete data for one or more a single category there are less than 75% of ‘yes’ responses, it is
risk factors and their association with HSI. Intrinsic (eg, age, deemed to be a ‘high risk’ of bias for that area of study design.
injury history, physical qualities) and extrinsic (eg, environment, ‘Low risk’ for an area is reached by scoring a ‘yes’ for 75% or
stage of the season, competition schedule) factors were included. more of the criteria for that single category. A study is then given
Studies reporting data that were not directly examined in rela- an overall risk of bias according to the scores of each area. To be
tion to injury risk or the occurrence of HSI were excluded. deemed as a ‘low risk of bias’ study, it must score a ‘yes’ for at
least five categories. It must have also scored a ‘yes’ for the area
Study type relating to outcome measurement (item 4). Studies are otherwise
Systematic reviews and studies involving the analysis of classed as ‘high risk of bias’.
prospectively collected data on non-­ modifiable factors were
included. Intervention studies were excluded to limit potential Data extraction
confounding. All included studies involved human participants, Data were extracted with a focus on factors evaluated for their
were published in English and full-­text versions were available. association with index and/or recurrent HSI. Raw data were
Conference abstracts and unpublished data were excluded. extracted according to outcome measurement and the results
reported. Reviewers extracted data relating to the key results,
Data collection and analysis athletic population, length of tracking, and methods of HSI diag-
Risk of bias assessment nosis and injury classification.
Three reviewers (BG, MNB, NvD) used a modified version of the
Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool to assess the risk of bias Data analysis and best evidence synthesis
of all studies that were not systematic reviews. Risk of bias assess- Non-­blinded reviewers (BG, TP) extracted data independently,
ment using the QUIPS has been previously described33 34 and has including mean values, medians, standard deviations (SDs),
been utilised in recent HSI-­related systematic reviews.26 35 36 The

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risk ratios (RRs), odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs).
QUIPS permits a systematic approach to best evidence synthesis For continuous data, the difference in the injured and unin-
described in detail later. Two of three reviewers were allocated to jured group means were divided by the pooled SD to calculate
each study (BG, MNB, NvD). Discrepancies between authors in standardised mean differences (SMDs) and their accompa-
QUIPS scoring were reassessed and resolved by a third reviewer nying 95% confidence intervals (CIs).37 The SMD indicates
to reach consensus. the magnitude of difference between injured and non-­injured
Six areas of assessment determined the overall risk of bias groups for a continuous variable. Where appropriate the RRs
for each study: study participation, study attrition, prognostic were recalculated from raw data provided. The reported ratios

Figure 1  Flow diagram demonstrating study selection for the analysis of risk factors for index and recurrent hamstring strain injury.

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and the 95% CI were used when the studies did not provide Overview of results of risk of bias assessment (QUIPS)
adequate frequency data. Comprehensive meta-­analysis V.2.0 A low risk of bias was found for 28 studies
(Biostat, Englewood, New Jersey, USA) was used to perform (40%).12 20 23–25 27 28 42–62 A high risk of bias was identified in
meta-­analyses from data provided in individual studies for the 42 studies (60%)19 21 22 29 30 63–99(table 1). Authors reached full
potential risk factors for HSI. A random effects model was agreement on risk of bias assessment (BG, MNB, NvD). The
used to better account for potential methodological or statis- most common potential source of bias was ‘study confounding
tical heterogeneity. Compared to a fixed effects approach, variables’ (item 5: 64.3%), which was related to whether poten-
a random effects model reduces the likelihood of a type two tial confounders were defined, identified and accounted for in
error by making it more difficult for a result to be determined as the study design and analysis. Other sources of bias included
statistically significant. The random effects model offers more study attrition (item 2: 35.7%), study participation (item 1:
accurate and statistically safer information by generating wider 31.4%), outcome measurement (item 4: 28.4%), prognostic
CIs around pooled effect sizes.37 Heterogeneity was assessed factor measurement (item 3: 25.6%), statistical analysis and
using the I2 statistic.38 Effect sizes were interpreted as small (0 reporting (item 6: 18.3%).(table 1) Systematic reviews18 26 100–105
to 0.20), moderate (0.21 to 0.5) or large (≥0.80). Statistical were not subject to the QUIPS tool.
significance was set at p<0.05.39
A best evidence synthesis was used to identify the level of Overview of results from meta-analyses
evidence (LOE) and strength of association between each factor Twenty-­one potential risk factors were evaluated using meta-­
and HSI risk. The best evidence synthesis provided another analysis. From these results, the strongest risk factors for HSI
source of information in conjunction with findings from the were older age (figure 2), history of HSI, previous anterior
meta-­analyses. It was used to clarify the relationship with HSI cruciate ligament (ACL) injury and previous calf strain injury
when heterogeneity or a paucity of raw data did not permit a (figure 3). None of the 13 strength-­related variables were signifi-
cantly associated with risk of HSI (figure 4).
meta-­analysis to be performed.26 35 36 For each risk factor anal-
ysed the LOE is determined according to set criteria that includes
information from the risk of bias assessment.40 41 Listed below Overview of results from the best evidence synthesis
are the four hierarchical levels of evidence: The best evidence synthesis included 179 factors and their asso-
1. Strong evidence: Consistent results in two or more low risk ciation with index (129 factors) and/or recurrent (50 factors)

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of bias studies, with generally consistent findings in ≥75% HSI. Forty-­nine factors demonstrated evidence for an associa-
tion with increased risk of HSI (index: 41, recurrent: 8). One
of studies.
hundred and twelve factors demonstrated evidence for no asso-
2. Moderate evidence: One low risk of bias study and one or
ciation with increased risk of HSI (index: 73, recurrent: 39).
more high risk of bias studies provide consistent findings, or
Eighteen showed conflicting evidence of an unknown associa-
consistent findings reported in two or more high risk of bias
tion with HSI (index: 15, recurrent: 3) (online supplementary
studies with consistent results in≥75% studies.
appendix 2: tables 2-5).
3. Limited evidence: Single study findings from either a high
risk or low risk of bias study.
Risk factor evaluation according to key areas of risk
4. Conflicting evidence: Multiple studies (of either high risk or
Non-modifiable factors
low risk of bias) that do not provide consistent results, with
Older age was associated with a greater risk of HSI from
consistent results in<75% studies.
meta-­analysis of 19 studies (SMD=1.6, 95% CI 0.6 to 2.6,
p=0.002).20 21 23–25 27 42 45 46 50 55–57 60 61 71 73 90 95 (figure 2). A
Results history of HSI (RR=2.7, p<0.001),23–25 27 47 52 85 88 ACL injury
Search results (RR=1.7, p=0.002),23–25 27 30 knee injury (LOE: moderate),46 95
Initial searches yielded 2759 articles and there were an addi- calf strain injury (RR=1.5, p<0.001)23–25 30 52 and ankle liga-
tional 42 articles from other sources (citation tracking, ahead ment injury (LOE: limited)51 increased the risk of HSI; if the
of press searches, manual reference checking). This yield was previous HSI occurred within the same season the risk was even
reduced to 1685 following removal of duplicates. Screening of greater (ie, recent history: RR=4.8, p<0.001)30 52 59 85 (figure 3,
the titles and abstracts resulted in selection of 138 articles for online supplementary appendix 2: table 2). A history of quad-
analysis in full-­text form, and 44 of these articles were deter- riceps strain injury23–25 49 and previous chronic groin patholo-
mined to meet the requirements for inclusion. Once combined gy/‘osteitis pubis’23–25 95 did not increase the risk of HSI (LOE:
with the yield from the original systematic review,16 a final total strong) (online supplementary appendix 2: table 3).
of 78 studies were included (figure 1).
Architecture and structure
Athlete (weight, body mass index) and muscle (biceps femoris;24
Description of the included studies gluteus maximus, gluteus medius)74 size did not increase the risk
The most represented athletic populations were: football of HSI (figure 2, online supplementary appendix 2: table 3), but
(n=26), Australian Football (n=21), and track and field (n=8); biceps femoris fascicle length24 and hamstring muscle-­tendon
in predominantly male cohorts from the elite level of competi- unit stiffness60 were associated with risk of index HSI (LOE:
tion (elite: 61%, amateur: 23%, mixed: 16%), aged 16–37 years. limited) (online supplementary appendix 2: table 2).
Study populations originated from the United Kingdom (UK),
Australia, France, ‘Europe’, Norway, Iceland, Belgium, Brazil, Strength
Qatar, Japan, the United States of America (USA) and the Reduced hamstring strength qualities, strength endurance
Netherlands. Across all studies 8,319 total HSIs, including 967 (index: single leg hamstring bridge;46 recurrent: eccentric leg
confirmed recurrences, were captured among 71, 324 subjects curl21) and strength (hand held dynamometry; index: eccen-
(online supplementary table 1). tric,22 isometric;22 recurrent: isometric44), were associated with

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Table 1  Risk of bias assessment Table 1  Continued
Potential risk of bias item Potential risk of bias item
Study 1 2 3 4 5 6 Risk of bias Study 1 2 3 4 5 6 Risk of bias
Árnason et al42 + + + + + + Low van Dyk et al20 + + + + + + Low
Bengtsson et al63 + – + + – + High van Dyk et al55 + – + + + + Low
65
Bennell et al + – + + – + High van Dyk et al56 + + + + + + Low
Bennell et al64 + + – + – + High van Dyk et al57 + + + + + + Low
Bourne et al23 + – + + + + Low Venturelli et al94 + + + – – + High
Bradley and Portas66 – + + – – + High Verrall et al58 + + + + – + Low
Brooks et al12 + + + + – + Low Verrall et al95 + + + – – + High
Brooks and Kemp67 + – + + – + High Warren et al59 + + + + – + Low
Cameron et al68 – + + – – + High Watsford et al60 + – + + + + Low
Carling et al69 – + – + – + High Witvrouw et al96 – – – – – – High
Christensen and Wiseman70 – – – – – – High Woods et al97 + – – – – – High
Croisier et al43 + + + + – + Low Yamada and Matsumoto98 – + – – – – High
Dauty et al71 + + – + – – High Yamamoto et al99 – – – – – – High
De Vos et al44 + + + + – + Low Yeung et al61 + + + + – + Low
Duhig et al28 + + + + + + Low Zvijac et al62 + + + + – + Low
Elliott et al72 – – + + – – High 1, study participation, 2, study attrition, 3, prognostic factor measurement, 4,
Engebretsen et al45 + + + + + + Low outcome measurement, 5, study confounding variables, 6, statistical analysis and
Fousekis et al73 + + – – – + High reporting.
Frannetovich-S­ mith et al74 + + + + – – High
Freckleton et al46 + + + + – + Low an increased risk of HSI (LOE: limited) (online supplementary
Gabbe et al76 – + – – – + High appendix 2: tables 2 and 5). Eccentric hamstring strength during

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Gabbe et al47 + + + + – + Low the NHE was not associated with risk of HSI from the meta-­
Gabbe et al75 – – + + – + High analysis (SMDabsolute=−0.31, 95% CI −0.97 to 0.4, p=0.13;
Gibbs et al77 + + – + – – High SMDrelative=−0.34, 95% CI −1.1 to 0.4, p=0.14);23–25 55 the best
Goossens et al22 – – – + + + High evidence synthesis identified conflicting evidence of an unknown
Hägglund et al48 + + + + + + Low association (figure 4, online supplementary appendix 2: table 4).
Hägglund et al49 + + + + – + Low In 11 meta-­analyses isokinetic testing was unrelated to HSI risk
Henderson et al50 + + + + + + Low (figure 4).
Iguchi et al78 + + + – – + High
Koulouris et al79 – + – – – – High Power and ballistic function
Lawrence et al80 – + – + – + High Reduced single leg hop for distance22 and the percentage differ-
Lee et al81 – – + + + + High ence between non-­countermovement jump and countermove-
Malliaropoulos et al82 + + – – – – High ment jump94 were associated with risk of index HSI (LOE:
Malliaropoulos et al51 + + + + + + Low
limited) (online supplementary appendix 2: table 2). Other
countermovement jump measures were not associated with
Opar et al83 + + + – – + High
index HSI, such as height (LOE: strong)42 50 78 84 94 and power
Opar et al25 + + + + + + Low
output (LOE: moderate)42 78 (online supplementary appendix 2:
Orchard et al84 + – + + – + High
table 3).
Orchard et al52 + – + + + + Low
Orchard et al29 – – + + – + High
Flexibility, mobility and range of motion
Orchard et al30 – – + + + + High
85
No factor related to flexibility, mobility and range of motion
Orchard et al – + + + – + High
showed a clear relationship with risk of index HSI, including
Pollock et al86 – + + + + – High common hamstring tests: passive knee extension (LOE:
Reurink et al87 – + + – – + High strong),42 45 56 89 91 active knee extension (LOE: strong),47 56 75 76 89 91
Roe et al88 – – + + – + High passive straight leg raise (LOE: strong)50 61 75 89 96 and slump
Rolls and George89 – + + – – + High (LOE: moderate)47 75 76 (online supplementary appendix 2: table
Ruddy et al27 + + + + + + Low 3). A greater active knee extension deficit just after return to
Schuermans et al21 + – – + – – High play increased the risk of recurrent HSI (LOE: limited)44 (online
Schuermans et al90 + – – + + + High supplementary appendix 2: table 5). The relationships between
Schuermans et al91 + – + – – + High reduced hip extension (modified Thomas test)47 75 76 91 and
Schuermans et al92 + – + – – + High ankle dorsiflexion (lunge)46 47 56 75 76 and risk of index HSI were
Sugiura et al53 + + – + + + Low conflicting (online supplementary appendix 2: table 4).
Timmins et al24 + + + + + + Low
van der Made et al93 – – + + + + High Electromyography and motor control
van der Made et al 54
+ + + + + + Low Reduced trunk muscle (cluster of: internal oblique, external
van Doormaal et al 19
+ – + – + + High oblique, thoracic erector spinae, lumbar erector spinae) elec-
tromyographic (EMG) activity during the backswing phase
Continued
of sprinting (LOE: limited)90 and increased gluteus medius

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Figure 2  Meta-­analysis for age, height, weight and body mass index. SMD, standardised mean difference.

EMG activity during running (12 km/hour, 15 km/hour) (LOE: a fatiguing eccentric leg curl (LOE: limited)21 and hamstring
limited)74 were associated with risk of index HSI (online movement discrimination (LOE: limited)68 (online supplemen-
supplementary appendix 2: table 2). There were conflicting tary appendix 2: table 2).
findings for gluteus maximus EMG activity while sprinting
and running at a range of submaximal speeds74 90 (online
supplementary appendix 2: table 4). Trunk and hamstring Running-based measurements
motor control were associated with index HSI in three studies: Increases in high-­speed running exposure were associated with
muscle recruitment pattern during prone hip extension (LOE: a greater risk of index HSI27 28 (online supplementary appendix
limited),91 dominance of biceps femoris recruitment during 2: table 2). Sprinting kinematics were also associated with index

Figure 3  Meta-­analysis for injury history: hamstring strain injury (HSI), ACL injury and calf strain injury. RR, risk ratio.

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Figure 4  Meta-­analysis for strength testing: Nordic hamstring exercise (NHE) and isokinetic variables. Abs., absolute; conc, concentric; Conv.,
conventional ratio; ecc, eccentric; HS, hamstrings; Qu, quadriceps; Rel., relative; SMD, standardised mean difference.

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HSI risk in cases of increased thoracic side-­bending during front Environmental factors
swing (LOE: limited)92 and increased anterior pelvic tilt during International travel prior to a cricket match was associated with
backswing (LOE: limited)92 (online supplementary appendix 2: HSI (LOE: limited).85 Other environmental factors were unre-
table 2). Aerobic (VO2 max) (LOE: moderate),42 84 intermittent lated to risk of HSI (online supplementary appendix 2: tables 2
running (YoYo) (LOE: moderate),50 94 sprinting (40 m sprint and 3).
characteristics) (LOE: moderate)45 84 and agility (LOE: limited)50
test results were not associated with risk of index HSI (online
supplementary appendix 2: table 3). Discussion
We investigated 179 potential risk factors in a data set of
8,319 HSIs, including 967 recurrences, in over 71,000
Sports performance and match play
athletes. Older age and previous injury were the strongest
Playing position impacted the risk of index HSI in football
risk factors for HSI from meta-­analysis. Athletes who have
(LOE: strong),19 20 45 49 55–57 71 94 97 American football (LOE:
any history of HSI are 2.7 times more likely to sustain a HSI
moderate),62 72 rugby (LOE: moderate),12 67 Gaelic football
than those without, and they are at an even greater risk if the
(LOE: limited)88 and cricket (LOE: limited)85 (online supple-
previous HSI occurred in the same season (≈5 times). The
mentary appendix 2: table 2). Positions that can have larger
influence of these non-­modifiable factors was not consistent
running demands resulted in a greater risk of index HSI in foot-
across studies, highlighting the potential modulation of risk by
ball (midfielders, defenders and forwards vs goalkeepers),49 56
other factors such as the physical characteristics of the athlete
American football (receivers, defensive backs, running backs vs
(eg, strength qualities),22 25 46 106 exposure to load (eg, high-­
linemen)72 and cricket (fast bowlers vs spin bowlers).85 Reduced
speed27 28 and match29 30 running workload) and mechanical
between match recovery and/or increased schedule conges-
function when performing sport-­related activities (eg, running
tion29 63 69 and the level of competition45 83 97 showed conflicting
kinematics).92 107 In the best evidence synthesis, factors related
relationships with HSI risk (online supplementary appendix 2:
to sports performance and match play, running and strength
table 4).
were most consistently associated with HSI.
Clinical and imaging examination of the index HSI
Clinical examination findings of the index HSI at baseline (the Modifiable risk factors
number of previous HSIs;44 reduced strength endurance)21 and Strength and flexibility qualities were the most investigated
just after return to play (strength; range of motion; tenderness modifiable risk factors for HSI. While baseline strength defi-
to palpation)44 were associated with greater risk of recurrent cits were associated with a greater risk of HSI in a number
HSI (LOE: limited) (online supplementary appendix 2: table of studies,21 22 44 46 flexibility, mobility and range of motion
5). None of the MRI findings of the index HSI were clearly provided limited value as stand-­alone risk factors. Strength and
associated with greater risk of recurrent HSI whether taken flexibility qualities change over time and fluctuate in response to
at baseline or return to play, including conflicting evidence exposure (ie, fatigue).14 108 It may not be valid to use data from a
of an unknown association for intratendinous injury/intramus- single occasion of baseline assessment to prospectively evaluate
cular tendon disruption54 105 (online supplementary appendix associations with subsequent HSI. Testing procedures may be
2: table 5). better implemented as part of ongoing monitoring rather than

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baseline screening16 and when employed regularly as part of the
clinical management of an index HSI to avoid a recurrence.108 109
What is already known
This could be especially relevant for susceptible athletes, such
►► Older age and a history of hamstring strain injury (HSI) are
as those who are older, have a history of HSI and a hamstring
strong risk factors for HSI.
strength deficit.24 25 110
Running exposure is another modifiable risk factor for
HSI.27 28 The risk of subsequent HSI is elevated in athletes
exposed to greater high-­speed running loads, especially with
What are the new findings
sudden increases (ie, within the previous 7–14 days).27 28 These
athletes may be predisposed to HSI due to the fatigue and eccen- ►► Older age and injury history (HSI, ACL injury, calf strain injury)
trically induced muscle damage associated with fast running are associated with an increased risk of subsequent HSI.
activities.111 Graduated exposure may also be advantageous for ►► Key areas to evaluate athletes for information about risk
resilience to injury mechanisms such as sprinting.112 113 A balance of HSI are sports performance and match play, hamstring
must be found between inducing positive adaptations that are strength, and running.
protective against HSI and excessive exposure that increases ►► Clinical examination findings best evaluate the risk of
susceptibility to HSI.113 114 recurrent HSI.
►► Future research should consider examining the interactions
between risk factors for HSI, along with how these
Non-modifiable risk factors relationships fluctuate over time, such as over the course of a
Athletes who are older and have an injury history are often at competition season.
greater risk of a future injury.10 16 49 52 115 ‘Old’ is difficult to
define, as age can influence HSI risk in athletes as young as 24
years.52 Age could impact HSI risk because it correlates with
exposure: over time (ie, with older age) athletes are exposed Implications/future directions
to greater mechanical loads and the likelihood of encountering Awareness of risk factors may be useful for athlete management
injury mechanisms increases. Small differences in age likely to mitigate HSI risk. The identification of modifiable risk factors
represent large differences in exposure in elite sport. Age-­ is an important component of injury prevention models.137 138

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related physical changes may also predispose older athletes to Identifying single risk factors provides some direction for clini-
HSI116 by affecting structural (eg, altered architecture,117 118fibre cians, but fails to account for the complex and fluctuating interac-
type populations,119 120cross-­sectional area,120 121 stiffness122) tions between risk factors.139 The interactions between potential
and neurological (eg, denervation of high-­ threshold motor risk factors for HSI is accounted for in some investigations,24 140
units123–125) qualities. but further research is needed to fully understand these relation-
Previous muscle injury can also result in structural (reduced ships and how they may influence injury risk.139 Such investiga-
biceps femoris fascicle length,118 atrophy,126 scar tissue127) and tions may be especially important to guide clinical practice since
neurological (reduced voluntary activation128) maladaptation HSIs (index or recurrent) unlikely occur because of any isolated
within the injured muscle. This may explain reduced hamstring factor.109 110 129
strength129 130 and a shift towards peak knee flexor torque gener-
ation at shorter muscle-­tendon unit lengths131 following a HSI. Limitations
Persistent deficits may reduce the ability of the hamstrings to As with any systematic review or meta-­analysis, the strength of
tolerate high degrees of stress and strain, contributing to an these results relies on the quality of the studies included. A lack
elevated risk of recurrence. of consistency in injury definitions and variable study methods
A novel finding is that athletes with a history of ACL injury (see online supplementary table 1), as well as limited consid-
have a 70% increase in risk of HSI, and a previous calf strain eration between injury types (eg, index vs recurrent HSI) and
injury increases the risk by 50%. The mechanisms responsible mechanisms (acute vs gradual onset injuries),16–18 are limita-
for the increased risk following ACL injury are unclear, but tions of the included studies. Distinctions between index and
reduced proprioception, strength deficits and altered gait recurrent HSI are not always clearly described. Even when this
could contribute.132–134 Susceptibility to HSI following an ACL is defined, the classification of a recurrent HSI often relied on
reconstruction may also be associated with ongoing hamstring participant memory, subject to recall bias. Some recurrences
deficits due to the graft used.135 136 Athletes may be more may have been erroneously recorded as an index HSI despite
likely to sustain a HSI following a calf strain injury because the the presence of an injury history. Given the exclusion of inter-
hamstrings become less conditioned to tolerate injury mech- vention studies, data derived from the control groups in these
anisms and high-­speed running workloads after a period of studies are not included here. Another shortcoming of the
reduced exposure.28 This highlights the importance of holistic available evidence is that the sample size and number of HSIs
rehabilitation and greater consideration for the risk of subse- are often too small to meet the methodological requirements
quent HSI when athletes return to play from these injuries. when investigating these relationships.141 Publication and
language biases are other potential limitations of this review.

Recurrent HSI Conclusion


Clinical data about the history of HSI and persistent hamstring Older age, and a history of HSI, ACL injury and calf strain injury
deficits best evaluate risk of recurrent HSI. Strength deficits, were significant risk factors for HSI. Factors related to sports
reduced hamstring flexibility and palpation tenderness at return performance and match play, running and hamstring strength
to play may indicate an increased risk of recurrent HSI. MRI are likely important for evaluating the risk profile of athletes,
descriptors of the index HSI at baseline and return to play do not which reflects the multifactorial nature of index and recurrent
accurately predict risk of recurrence. HSIs.

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Correction notice  This article has been corrected since it published Online First. 23 Bourne MN, Opar DA, Williams MD, et al. Eccentric Knee Flexor Strength and
The title has been amended. Risk of Hamstring Injuries in Rugby Union: A Prospective Study. Am J Sports Med
2015;43:2663–70.
Twitter Brady Green @BradyDGreen, Matthew N Bourne @mbourne5, Nicol van
24 Timmins RG, Bourne MN, Shield AJ, et al. Short biceps femoris fascicles and eccentric
Dyk @NicolvanDyk and Tania Pizzari @DrTaniaPizzari
knee flexor weakness increase the risk of hamstring injury in elite football (soccer): a
Contributors  All authors made equal contributions to the work. All authors prospective cohort study. Br J Sports Med 2016;50:1524–35.
provided permission for the submission and publication of this version of the review. 25 Opar DA, Williams MD, Timmins RG, et al. Eccentric hamstring strength
and hamstring injury risk in Australian footballers. Med Sci Sports Exerc
Funding  The authors have not declared a specific grant for this research from any
2015;47:857–65.
funding agency in the public, commercial or not-­for-­profit sectors.
26 Green B, Bourne MN, Pizzari T. Isokinetic strength assessment offers limited
Competing interests  None declared. predictive validity for detecting risk of future hamstring strain in sport: a systematic
Patient consent for publication  Not required. review and meta-­analysis. Br J Sports Med 2018;52:329–36.
27 Ruddy JD, Pollard CW, Timmins RG, et al. Running exposure is associated with
Provenance and peer review  Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed. the risk of hamstring strain injury in elite Australian footballers. Br J Sports Med
2018;52:919–28.
ORCID iDs 28 Duhig S, Shield AJ, Opar D, et al. Effect of high-­speed running on hamstring strain
Brady Green http://o​ rcid.​org/​0000-​0003-​1135-​0033 injury risk. Br J Sports Med 2016;50:1536–40.
Matthew N Bourne http://​orcid.​org/​0000-​0002-​3374-​4669 29 Orchard JW, Seward H, Orchard JJ, et al. The speed-­fatigue trade off in hamstring
Nicol van Dyk http://o​ rcid.​org/​0000-​0002-0​ 724-​5997 aetiology: Analysis of 2011 AFL injury data. Sport Health 2012;30:53–7.
Tania Pizzari http://​orcid.​org/​0000-​0002-8​ 804-​0095 30 Orchard JW, Driscoll T, Seward H, et al. Relationship between interchange usage
and risk of hamstring injuries in the Australian Football League. J Sci Med Sport
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