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  • WC2 Simulation and Modelling

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    Edwin Frank
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    The document calculates the probability that exactly two telephone calls will arrive during each of the first five minutes of an hour. It states that calls arrive according to a Poisson process at a rate of 2 calls per minute. It then calculates the probability of receiving exactly 2 calls in a 1-minute period as 2e-2. Finally, it determines that the probability of exactly 2 calls arriving in each of the 5 minutes is 0.00145, or 0.145%, by modeling the number of minutes with this outcome as a binomial distribution with n=5 and p=2e-2.

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    The document calculates the probability that exactly two telephone calls will arrive during each of the first five minutes of an hour. It states that calls arrive according to a Poisson process at a rate of 2 calls per minute. It then calculates the probability of receiving exactly 2 calls in a 1-minute period as 2e-2. Finally, it determines that the probability of exactly 2 calls arriving in each of the 5 minutes is 0.00145, or 0.145%, by modeling the number of minutes with this outcome as a binomial distribution with n=5 and p=2e-2.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    7 views1 page

    WC2 Simulation and Modelling

    Uploaded by

    Edwin Frank
    The document calculates the probability that exactly two telephone calls will arrive during each of the first five minutes of an hour. It states that calls arrive according to a Poisson process at a rate of 2 calls per minute. It then calculates the probability of receiving exactly 2 calls in a 1-minute period as 2e-2. Finally, it determines that the probability of exactly 2 calls arriving in each of the 5 minutes is 0.00145, or 0.145%, by modeling the number of minutes with this outcome as a binomial distribution with n=5 and p=2e-2.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    Telephone calls arrive at an exchange according to the Poisson

    process at a rate λ= 2/min. Calculate the probability that exactly two


    calls will be received during each of the first 5 minutes of the hour.
    Assuming that “N” be the number of calls received during a 1-minute period.

    Therefore,

    P (N= 2) = (e-2. 22)/2

    P(N=2) = 2e-2.

    Where “e” is a constant, which is approximately equal to 2.718. 

    Now, “M” be the number of minutes among 5 minutes considered, during which exactly 2 calls

    will be received.

    Thus “M” follows a binomial distribution with parameters n=5 and p= 2e-2.

    P(M=5) = 32 x e-10

    P (M =5) = 0.00145, or 0.145%

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