Professional Documents
Culture Documents
hat kind of a global power will India be?” There are those who argue that India should aspire to be a great
W power and assert its growing power internationally; others argue that India should focus on the uplift of
millions of its people above the poverty line, improve governance and reconcile within the country before
venturing into making a better world. It is a false binary. Notwithstanding the (equally faulty) hyper¬nationalist and
deeply¬pessimistic narratives, the story of the rise of India, and the attendant challenges, must
be proactively and critically engaged — for the kind of power India would become will not only
define the future of the world in important ways, but, most definitely, shape the destiny of its 1.4
billion (and growing) citizens. Ignoring or dismissing the global consequences of a rising India’s
power is unwise, but doing so without being rooted in the realities of the country’s inherent
limitations would be a strategic blunder.
material power that a state can bring to bear in its foreign and security policies. India is also
beset with major infrastructural and governance issues: ease of doing business may have
improved, but starting a business without a bribe is still not easy. A few days of rain brings the
national capital to its knees, year after year. Regional, caste, ethnic and religious divisions run
deep. India’s domestic challenges will continue to distract the attention of its political leaders
from attending to global problems. For the Indian politician, foreign policy is a luxury she/he
cannot afford. One of the most pressing concerns for India’s political class is to reduce poverty
and improve the well¬being of millions of Indians living under the poverty line, a task that is
bound to divert its attention from serious external engagements. When the political class gives
scant attention to the country’s foreign and security policy, as it usually happens in the case of
India, it is managed by career bureaucrats who usually do not diverge from precedents and avoid
taking even remotely risky decisions. Without political will, foreign policy tends to be on
autopilot. The presence of a weak economy also tempers the Indian elite’s appetite for external
engagement. Over time, the appetite has grown, but that does not change the fact that the
political class can only allocate so much attention to foreign and security policies if the country
is economically weak and large sections of the population are living in poverty. More so, a weak domestic economy
prevents politicians from allocating adequate resources for foreign policy objectives. For instance, the Parliamentary
Committee on External Affairs (2022¬23) observed that “despite an increase in the overall budget allocation of the
Government of India, the allocation made to MEA [the Ministry of External Affairs] in percentage terms has witnessed
a downward turn during the last four years and during 2022¬23 it is only 0.44% of the Government of India’s overall
Budget.” The committee further said we “do not find such allocation in consonance with the country’s rising
aspirations and growing global stature”. Perhaps the country is simply unable to do so. The combined effect of such
domestic challenges is likely to be a political elite distracted by more immediate domestic considerations rather than
the grandeur of great power status.
Embrace power
So, should India refrain from shaping the global order until its domestic challenges are resolved, as the pessimists
would have it? Or should India continue to assert its place in the world and aspire to be a great power? Even though
India’s domestic inabilities will continue to moderate its ability to influence the world order befitting of its size and
ambition, being unwilling to engage and shape it would be a strategic blunder. If you are not a rule shaper, you are a
rule taker. India has no choice but to influence and shape the global order to meet its foreign policy objectives which
would have significant impact on its economic growth, security environment and geopolitical and geo economic
interests. Be it debt restructuring, climate change, global trade or non¬proliferation, New Delhi can ill afford to let
someone else make the rules and abide by them. Whether it likes it or not, India’s impact on the world order is a given,
and, in a globalised world, the relationship between a state’s global influence and domestic growth is an unavoidable
one. India’s ability to shape international politics must also be a reflection of its domestic context, and its global
engagement must necessarily be geared towards the well¬being of its people. Neither is strategic autarky an option
nor is India’s assertiveness on the global stage a matter of nationalistic hubris or officious vanity.
fter hitting a record $775 billion in 2022¬ 23, India’s exports are off to a rocky start this year. Outbound
A shipments of goods, that had crossed $450 billion last year, have contracted 15.1% through the April to June
2023 quarter. June’s provisional export tally, just shy of $33 billion, was the lowest figure in eight months and
reflected a 22% drop year¬on¬year, a scale of contraction last seen amid the initial months of the COVID-19
lockdowns. There has been a decline in the import bill as well over the first quarter, albeit at a slower pace than exports.
This 12.7% dip is largely driven by the prevalence of lower commodity prices this year compared to the same quarter
last year, when the import bill had shot up 44.5% after the Russia-Ukraine conflict erupted. Excluding gold and oil
imports, the value of shipments coming into the country is down 10.5% in the first quarter. Sequentially, the decline
in non¬oil, non-gold imports has accelerated from 2% in May to 16.7% in June, indicating that domestic demand
Head Office: 127, Zone II, MP Nagar, Bhopal |+91-7676564400| https://www.toprankers.com
4
triggers are also ebbing. While this implies the goods trade deficit may not widen as it had last year, it does not augur
well for domestic growth impulses that form India’s key armour against the gathering global slowdown. Services
exports are still growing but at a far more sombre pace. That IT majors, who drive most of these intangible exports,
have been tentative and decidedly downcast about their earnings guidance for this year, indicates the tide may get
worse. Frail global demand may not just impact trade flows but also hurt foreign direct investments even as tightening
monetary policies could exacerbate financial market volatility. As the Finance Ministry noted recently, if these trends
deepen, the 6.5% growth hopes for the year could wobble. But retail sales in the U.K. have improved in June, although
fractionally. The U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has exuded confidence that a recession in the world’s largest
economy may be averted after all. Inflation numbers have eased in Europe and the U.S., triggering hopes of interest
rate pauses instead of further tightening to throttle demand and activity. While driving on the hills, one has to prioritise
the movement of vehicles climbing up, even if that means reversing a descending automobile up to a point of safe
passage. Within the overall downhill trend of exports, the few bright spots such as rising shipments of electronic goods
must flourish while trade curbs or obstacles affecting other products must be reviewed. Indian policymakers should
redouble efforts to improve competitiveness vis-à-vis rivals such as Vietnam, and keep a closer watch on divergent
trends in different markets to help exporters capture incremental, even if fractional, global demand.
A
rtificial Intelligence (AI) chatbots are having a seminal moment. Large Language Models (LLMs) are fuelling
chatbots that converse like human experts, sometimes doing a better job than the best of us in summarising a
complex idea or writing an essay. ChatGPT’s bulleted response reminds us of examination answers by
A¬grade students. While Internet search required us to learn the art of keywords, LLMs require us to master prompts.
Prompts are archetype user¬generated questions as well as instructions by software
programmers which elicit a desired response from the algorithm. Prompt engineering is
becoming a sought¬after job to train Chatbots to act more like efficient human beings.
Computer scientist Alan Turing had proposed an imitation game to test a machine’s ability
to demonstrate intelligent behaviour that is indistinguishable from that of a human. In our
willing suspension of disbelief, will we forget that we are conversing with a machine? Yes,
on some occasions, we will anthropomorphise the model. On other occasions, we will simply
not know, and the machine would have passed the Turing test. Even if we do not fall into an
emotional or financial trap, anthropomorphous chatbots will muddy our sense of reality.
Giving AI a gender
Lawmakers are divided over the question of attributing a legal personhood to AI. This
becomes more complicated with autonomous machines. But there is consensus that
misrepresentation of identity by AI feels like manipulation. Experts suggest that restricting AI from using first person
pronouns as well as other human pronouns may reduce cases of AI’s mistaken identity. This way, it would be easier
to identify text entirely produced by a machine. This is important because pronouns have everything to do with identity
today. Writers like me struggle with using pronouns for AI in their writing. I tend to use the inanimate pronoun ‘it’,
even as ‘it’ is no longer strictly used for inanimate nouns. Fiction writers lean on conventional gender¬based pronouns
for AI characters that are scripted as self¬aware. Yet, in the real world, AI is no sentient being. Therefore, AI can
easily avoid using ‘I’ in the fi•rst person. Even ChatGPT believes that ‘giving AI a distinct identity can help clarify
its role and prevent it from being confused with human beings’. We also need to avoid attributing gender¬based second
and third person pronouns to AI. Apple typecast Siri in a feminine sounding voice. Although Siri has alternative
masculine and gender-neutral voices, the default is feminine. We give AI a gender to foster an emotional connection
with users. In the long run, this would reap the benefits of greater engagement, and hence, a robust revenue stream.
Historically, the pronoun ‘he’ was loosely attributed to any student, which tended to create a mental image of a male
student. The initial version of Siri in its default mode betrayed our gender assumptions about a preference for a more
submissive feminine assistant. Nevertheless, technology companies are cautious with pronouns. Google’s Smart
Compose technology, which autocompletes sentences on Gmail, is careful not to predict pronouns, to avoid exposing
unconscious gender biases in the AI model. Google dismissed an employee who famously claimed that his AI model
had become sentient and had preferred pronouns. AI need not have gender. Some argue that AI
should use a gender¬neutral pronoun such as ‘it’ or ‘they’. This will depersonalise AI. Yet, a
non¬binary identity may be construed as non-inclusive. Giving AI a contemporary pronoun
would trigger popular demand for more diversity in chatbots, as was the case with avatars and
emojis. Besides, AI requires pronouns to establish an identity that is distinct from that of
humans. Presumably, for ethical and security reasons, it is our right to know that we are indeed
conversing with a bot. In the English language, pronouns have evolved based on changes in
cultural norms. ‘You’ started to be used for singular and plural second person pronouns from
the early modern period, when social interactions became less formal. In literature, the first
known use of ‘they” as a singular gender¬neutral pronoun was in a 14th century French poem.
Historically, we were not entirely satisfied with the pronouns used at the time. There have been
brief attempts at inventing and using a gender¬neutral third-person singular pronoun such as
‘thon’ in the 1880s — meaning ‘that one’. Kelly Ann Sippell’s thesis in 1991 has a long list of
gender¬neutral pronouns in singular third person that were proposed in the past 150 years.
These include hes, hiser, hem, ons, e, heer, he’er, hesh, se, heesh, herim, co, tey, per, na, en,
herm, em, hir, and shey. This is not even a complete list.
n the parliamentary elections in May, Thai voters sent a clear message to the country’s conservative military
I establishment, which had wrested power from an elected government in 2014. The reformist Move Forward and
the pro¬democracy Pheu Thai parties emerged as the largest parties, while all the pro¬establishment parties did
poorly. Yet, the Thai military went after the architect of the Opposition victory, the 42¬ year¬old Pita Limjaroenrat.
During the campaign, he had promised to end the “cycle of coups”, scrap the military¬drafted constitution and amend
the controversial lèse¬majesté law, which criminalises any public criticism of the monarchy. His reformist views
helped him connect with the masses and lead his party to victory, but also made him a target of the military. After the
elections, eight Opposition parties, including the Move Forward and Pheu Thai, came together to form a bloc, which
had a majority in the 500¬ member elected House. The bloc nominated Mr. Pita as their prime ministerial candidate.
But in Thailand’s 750-member bicameral Parliament (500 elected MPs and 250 Senators appointed by the military), a
candidate needs the support of 376 lawmakers to form the government. In Mr. Pita’s first attempt, he got only 13 votes
from the Senate. Thailand’s Constitutional Court also suspended him from Parliament in a case involving allegations
that he had violated electoral laws by not disclosing his shares in a media company. This is not the first time the
establishment is going after popular parties. In 2019, the reformist Future Forward Party, which emerged as the third
largest bloc, was dissolved and its leaders banned from politics. What the generals fail to understand is that the
crackdown on pro¬democracy parties has not helped sway public mood. The Move Forward emerged from this
vacuum and became the largest party in Parliament in four years. Thailand has also seen widespread pro¬democracy
protests; though crushed by the junta, the embers of public resentment still burn. The May election results were an
opportunity for the junta to cede power to a legitimate government. But by blocking the winner from forming the
government and suspending him from Parliament, the generals have made it clear that they will not tolerate any call
for reforms. This is a dangerous move that has taken Thailand a step closer to the Myanmar model, where the military
Head Office: 127, Zone II, MP Nagar, Bhopal |+91-7676564400| https://www.toprankers.com
6
coup in 2021 saw the arrest of democratically elected leaders, and civil war. The Thai Opposition should stay united
in the face of the military’s pressure tactics and continue to push the Senate to support the candidate who has the
backing of the most elected lawmakers.
I
n a major setback to Tamil Nadu Minister V. Senthilbalaji, the Madras High Court on July 14 upheld the legality
of his arrest by the Enforcement Directorate (ED) and his subsequent remand in judicial custody in a
money¬laundering case linked to a cash¬for¬jobs scam. Justice C.V. Karthikeyan, in his order as the third judge
after a two¬member Bench gave a split verdict, ruled that the ED can subject any person accused in a case booked
under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA), 2002, to custodial
interrogation and that the Minister can be taken into custody even after the
expiry of 15 days from his arrest. Mr. Balaji and his wife have since then
moved the Supreme Court to challenge the HC verdict upholding his arrest.
of money- laundering, but also to provide measures for prevention of money¬ laundering. ... This Act is also to compel
the banking companies, financial institutions, and intermediaries to maintain records of the transactions and to furnish
information of such transactions within the prescribed time in terms of Chapter IV of the 2002 Act. Considering the
above, it is unfathomable as to how the authorities referred to in Section 48 can be described as police officer.’
Furthermore, in P. Chidambaram versus Directorate of Enforcement (2019), the Supreme Court rejected a prayer for
anticipatory bail with respect to an offence of money¬laundering and proceeded to grant custody to the ED. The court
reasoned that in a case of money¬laundering which involves many stages of placement and layering of funds, a
‘systematic and analysed’ investigation is required which would be frustrated if pre¬arrest bail is granted. The court
also cautioned that it must only exercise its inherent powers under Section 482 of the CrPC to interfere in an
investigation into a cognisable offence if it is convinced that the power of the investigating officer is exercised mala
fide or where there is an abuse of power and non-compliance with the provisions of the CrPC. “It is not the function
of the court to monitor the investigation process so long as the investigation does not violate any provision of law. It
must be left to the discretion of the investigating agency to decide the course of investigation,” the court added.
B
edaquiline has now become the cornerstone to cure drug¬resistant tuberculosis (DR¬TB). Last week, a major
barrier for drug resistant TB care ended, when Johnson & Johnson’s patent on bedaquiline expired on July 18.
This long¬awaited expiry will allow generic manufacturers to supply the drug, but J&J appears intent on
maintaining its monopoly over the bedaquiline market.
document the safety, efficacy and optimal use of bedaquiline in DR¬TB regimens. The recent WHO recommendation
of bedaquiline being a core drug for the treatment of DR-TB is largely based on the evidence produced through these
collective efforts. However, J&J has claimed sole ownership of it, protected by its aggressive patenting strategies.
t’s alive! It’s alive!” These lines by actor Colin Clive’s character, seeing his creation coming alive, from the 1931
I film Frankenstein, are so iconic that they are regarded as one of Hollywood’s greatest quotes by the American
Film Institute. Contrary to what many believe, Frankenstein was not the name of the monster created by the
scientist, but is the name of the creator himself. Terminology matters because until 1834, a scientist was usually known
as a ‘cultivator of science’, ‘natural philosopher’ or the prejudicial ‘man of science’. Modelled after ‘artist’, the term
‘scientist’ was borrowed from the Latin word scientia (“knowledge”). No wonder they are often compared with the
Greek god Prometheus who defied the Olympian gods by stealing
fire from them and giving it to humanity in the form of technology,
knowledge, and more generally, civilisation. Interestingly,
Frankenstein is based on the novel The Modern Prometheus, while
Christopher Nolan’s latest film Oppenheimer is based on a
biography titled American Prometheus. With the recent release of
Oppenheimer, we look at scientists and their portrayal in cinema.
Invisible Man, Bride of Frankenstein, Doctor X and Dr.Cyclops. During World War II, the development of the atomic
bomb increased interest in science fiction. Coincidentally, Oppenheimer is based on J. Robert Oppenheimer, the
theoretical physicist who helped develop the first nuclear weapons as part of the Manhattan Project during this time.
While sci¬fi literature flourished between 1938 to 1946, in films, until the 60s, the genre consisted mainly of low-
budget B movies. This is also when the sci¬fi genre added space and alien films to its list; it took Stanley Kubrick’s
2001: A Space Odyssey (1968) for the genre to be taken seriously, and the success of Star Wars (1977) made it
mainstream.
recollect has to be Doc Brown from The Back to the Future franchise. Scientists playing the lead role is a phenomenon
that has been seen more abundantly and frequently in recent times. While we’ve had Star Trek’s Spock and Alan Grant
in Jurassic Park, only recently have we got characters like Robert Neville in I Am Legend, Chiwetel Ejiofor in 2012,
and the primary characters of The Big Bang Theory. We also have the entourage from the superhero world like
Professor Xavier and Dr McCoy in X¬Men, Bruce Banner in The Incredible Hulk, and Reed Richards and Sue Storm
in The Fantastic Four.
Twitter owner Elon Musk hinted late on Saturday night that he may ditch the social media network’s blue cartoon bird
branding — and soon — for an edgier logo based on an “everything app” he has long alluded to called ‘X’. “Soon we
shall bid adieu to the twitter brand and, gradually, all the birds,” he tweeted around midnight, implying an end to the
imagery from where the very word “tweet” stems. “Like this but X,” the billionaire SpaceX boss said, above a picture
of the Twitter bird over a black and white marbled background. “To embody the imperfections in us all that make us
unique,” he replied to the post. Twitter, founded in 2006 and whose name is a play on the sound of birds chattering,
has used avian branding since its early days, when the company bought a stock symbol of a light blue bird for $15,
according to the design website Creative Bloq. The 52¬year¬old Tesla founder has previously said that his rocky
takeover of Twitter last year was “an accelerant to creating X, the everything app”, a reference to the X.com company
he founded in 1999, a later version of which went on to become PayPal. Such an app could still function as a social
media platform, and also include messaging and mobile payments. Mr. Musk has already named Twitter’s parent
company the X Corporation. “If a good enough X logo is posted tonight, we’ll make (it) go live worldwide tomorrow,”
he said. Mr. Musk went on to make several other X¬related comments, saying a new emblem should be “of course,
Art Deco” style and that under the site’s new identity a post would be called “an X.” Twitter is thought to have around
200 million daily active users, but it has suffered repeated technical failures since the tycoon bought the so¬called bird
app for $44 billion in 2022 and sacked much of its staff. Since then, many users and advertisers alike have soured on
the social media site thanks to the charges introduced for previously free services, changes to content moderation and
the return of the previously banne
T he 1.5 degrees Celsius warming target has received considerable press along with the El Niño this year. Reports
claim that the planet could soon cross this temperature threshold due to this natural climate phenomenon. But
even if the world’s average surface temperature warms by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius for a year, nothing
dramatically different may happen – other than the heatwaves, floods, droughts, and similar events that are already
happening. The bigger question is: where is all the end¬of¬the-world messaging coming from? Humankind might do
well with less hyperbole about the climate crisis. It is a serious challenge today, yes, but a constant drumbeat of alarmist
messages may only exacerbate climate anxiety and leave people feeling helpless – especially the young ones, who
should be dreaming about saving the planet (or space travel) instead.
A questionable target
The target agreed to in the Paris Agreement, to keep the planet’s surface from warming by 2 degrees Celsius by the
end of this century, has been touted as a monumental achievement, and it may well be if we actually manage to achieve
this goal by 2100. But we must bear two things in mind. First, despite negotiations among the representatives of the
world’s countries for more than two decades, global carbon emissions have shown no signs of slowing down. Second,
the 2 degrees Celsius target was not derived scientifically. The economics Nobel laureate William Nordhaus cautiously
noted in the 1970s that a warming of 2 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level could render the planet warmer
than it has ever been in several hundred-thousand years. He followed this claim up with a model of the socioeconomic
impacts of crossing this threshold. Some European politicians found this round number to be appealing as something
to aim for in the 1990s, followed by climate scientists retrofi•tting their projected climate impacts to this warming
India in front
More importantly, India should continue its leadership role by demanding that the community centred on the U.N.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) be prepared to improve projections that quantify impacts at local
scales. The IPCC and India must also track climate change and its consequences continuously at the socially relevant
timescale of a few years. There is a real threat here of India ‘agreeing’ to colonise the future with imperfect models
and unrealistic scenarios – especially when the paths to certain outcomes are based on technical and economic
feasibilities and dubious concepts like “negative emission technologies”. The country must consider non¬market
goods such as equity, well¬being, and biodiversity more deliberately. As things stand today, reducing emissions as a
paradigm for tackling climate change has essentially failed. Decarbonising the system is more likely to save us from
ourselves. India can cash in on these opportunities and grow its economy by focusing on green technologies to
decarbonise the future. Raghu Murtugudde is a visiting professor at IIT Bombay and an emeritus professor at the
University of Maryland.