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Series Analysis
Sudhanshu Kumar Email: onlysudh@gmail.com
The course aims to provide an introduction to modern time series econometrics. The analysis
shall be mostly conducted in the time domain. However, the course includes a brief treatment
of frequency domain approaches. Applications to data are drawn from macroeconomics and the
financial markets. After completion of the course students should be able to select time series
methods appropriate to goals and concisely summarize results of time series analysis in writing.
Prerequisites: An introductory statistics or econometrics course.
Statistical Software: EVIEWS and STATA will be used for computer‐based exercises.
Course Outline:
Module 1: Introduction to time series; organizing data for analysis
Module 2: Seasonal Adjustment, De‐trending, Filtering, Trend‐Cycle decomposition
Module 3: Stationarity, Unit root tests
Module 4: Autoregressive‐Moving Average (ARMA) modeling, Integrated models
Module 5: Volatility modeling
Module 6: Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Models, Impulse responses
Module 7: Cointegration, ARDL, VECM
Module 8: Forecast uncertainty and Forecast Evaluation
Suggested References:
Enders, W. (2010): “Applied Econometric Times Series”, Wiley Press.
Hamilton, James D. (1994): “Time Series Analysis,” Princeton University Press.
Harvey, A.C. (1990): “The Econometric Analysis of Time Series,” MIT Press.