Item 64/23 - Annexure - 18 MDIZ003 ‘Advanced Predictive Analytics LTP se 3/0/2 0/4 Pre-requisite | Nil Syllabus version 1.0 Course Objectives: 1. To learn, how to develop models to predict categorical and continuous outcomes, using techniques such as decision trees, logistic regression, neural networks, and Bayesian models. 2. To advice on when and how to use each model. Also learn how to combine two or more models to improve prediction, Course Outcome: 1. Understand the process of formulating objectives, data _selection/collection, preparation and process to successfully design the model 2. Able to prepare and process data for the models, 3. Gain the insights from the data through Exploratory Data Analysis for feature engineering 4, Compare the underlying predictive modeling techniques. Analyze on the performance of the model and the quality of the results. 5. Explore Hybrid models to enhance the prediction performance. 6. Compare time series models and apply predictive modeling approaches using a suitable python package. Module:1 | Introduction ‘@hours Overview of Predictive Analytics — Business Intelligence - Statistics ~ Challenges — Data , Modelling Obstacles — Processing Steps: CRISP-DM Module:2 | Problem Understanding and Data Preparation hours Understanding Business problem — Prediction Variable — Data Requirement — Access to Data ~ Solution Method - Key Metrics - Model Performance - Diamond prices - Case Study - Data Collection - Preparation - Numerical features - Encoding Categorical Features - Low Variance Features - Near Collinearity One-hot Encoding, Module:3 | Feature Engineering hours Dataset Understanding - Exploratory Data Analysis - Univariate — Bivariate — Multivariate — Encoding Categorical Predictors - Engineering Numeric Predictors - Feature Selection — Methodologies — Irrelevant Feature Effect - Overftting - Greedy Search ~ Global Search, Module:4 | Predictive Modeling T hours: Decision Trees — Logistic Regression — Neural Networks — ENN — Naive Bayes - Linear Regression. Module:5 | Model Assessment and Ensembles Thours ‘Approaches - Batch Assessment - Rank-Ordered — Assessing Regression Models ~ Model Ensembles ~ Bagging ~ Boosting - Random Forests ~ Heterogeneous Ensembles. Module:6 | Time Series Prediction Thours Statistical Models — Autoregressive Models — Moving Average Models — Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models ~ Statespace Models — Hidden Markov Models ~ Deep Learning Models ~ Recurrent Neural Networks. Module:7 | Python Stack and Case Studies 6 hours, ‘Anaconda — Jupyter ~ NumPy - pandas - Matplollib - Seaborn - Scikitlearn - TensorFlow = Keras - Dash - Case Studies ~ Diamond Prices ~ Credit Card Defaults Module: | Contemporary Issues hours I Total Lecture hours:| a5 hours, Proceedings of the 64th Academic Council (16.12.2021) 305Item 64/23 - Annexure - 18 Text Book(s) 1. | Feature Engineering and Selection: A Practical Approach for Predictive Models — edition, Max Kuhn and Kjell Johnson, 2019, Taylor and Francis. Reference Books 1. | Applied Predictive Analytics: Principles and Techniques for the Professional Data Analyst — 1° edition, Dean Abbott, Wiley, 2014 2, [Hands-On Predictive Analytics with Python: Master the Complete Predictive Analytics Process, from Problem Definition to Model Deployment -1* edition, Alvaro Fuentes, Birmingham: Packet Publishing, 2018. 3_| Practical Time Series Analysis, Aileen Nielsen - 1 edition, 2019, O'Reilly Media Mode of Evaluation: CAT / Assignment / Quiz / FAT Project / Seminar List of Experiments 1__| House rent prediction using linear regression Shours 2.__| Medical diagnosis for disease classification using decision trees ‘3 hours 3.__[ Automate email classification and response using k-NN classifiers Zhours 4. [Customer segmentation in business model based on their) 3hours demographic, psychographic and behavior data using Naive Bayes Classifiers .__| Analysis of tweet_data to predict the sentiments on a product Zhours 6._| Analyze crime data using AR and ARIMA time series techniques on | ___2 hours reported incidents of crime based on time and location 7. [Construct a recommendation system based on the customer) 2 hours transaction data using Random Forest method & [Prediction on power consumption data to suggest for minimizing | __2 hours the usage 9_ | Buying prediction of customers for any online product purchase. 3 hours 10 | Agricultural data analysis for yield prediction and crop selection on| __3 hours Indian terrain data set 71, | Develop a recommender system for any real-workd problem (when @ | 3 pours user queries to find the good hospital for Covid-19 treatment) 72, | Develop a business model to predict the trend in Investment and hours Funding Total Laboratory Hours | __30 hours Mode of Evaluation: Projec/Activit Recommended by Board of Studies | 25-10-2021 Approved by Academic Council No. 64 [Date [25-11-2027 Proceedings of the 64th Academic Council (16.12.2021) 306