Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MCA UNIVERSAL
1 PARENTHOOD $55.0 $146.1 $53.6 $43.1 $22.0 $65.8 $60.85 $56.17 $38.5
2 BORN ON THE FOURTH OF JULY 40.5 110.9 40.3 33.1 19.8 $45.7 $38.45 $38.45 28.4
3 FIELD OF DREAMS 33.6 94.1 34.0 31.6 17.6 $34.0 $44.50 $27.84 23.5
4 UNCLE BUCK 33.3 93.6 33.8 30.2 16.5 $35.9 $46.40 $29.85 23.3
5 SEA OF LOVE 31.5 89.0 32.1 32.0 27.5 $19.0 $28.90 $13.18 22.0
6 ALWAYS 22.0 66.1 23.4 28.0 34.1 -$4.7 $2.60 -$8.89 15.4
7 K-9 20.5 62.3 22.0 20.9 13.2 $19.9 $26.70 $15.90 14.3
8 THE ‘BURBS 19.0 58.9 20.7 22.9 18.7 $9.2 $15.60 $5.44 13.3
9 THE DREAM TEAM 15.8 51.1 17.8 19.0 16.5 $8.1 $13.60 $4.87 11.1
10 DO THE RIGHT THING 14.6 48.2 16.7 14.6 7.7 $18.6 $23.80 $15.61 10.2
11 DAD 11.9 41.5 14.2 20.0 20.9 -$6.1 -$1.70 -$8.67 8.3
12 SHOCKER 8.3 32.7 10.9 14.6 6.6 $5.5 $8.90 $3.55 5.8
13 THE WIZARD 5.5 26.1 8.4 9.5 8.8 $2.3 $4.90 $0.78 3.9
14 RENEGADES 4.6 23.9 7.6 13.1 13.2 -$7.8 -$5.40 -$9.12 3.2
$0.0 $0.00
PARAMOUNT PICTURES $0.0 $0.00
15 HARLEM NIGHTS $36.3 $100.8 $36.5 $41.7 $33.0 $14.6 $25.90 $8.02 $25.4
16 PET SEMATARY 29.1 83.2 29.9 27.1 12.1 $33.9 $43.20 $28.55 20.3
17 BLACK RAIN 27.5 79.4 28.5 31.6 33.0 $5.0 $13.80 -$0.14 19.3
18 MAJOR LEAGUE 23.7 70.1 25.0 26.1 13.2 $21.8 $29.50 $17.27 16.6
19 COUSINS 11.0 39.4 13.4 14.4 14.3 $4.1 $8.30 $1.73 7.7
20 WE’RE NO ANGELS 5.5 26.1 8.4 19.9 24.2 -$23.5 -$20.90 -$25.02 3.9
21 LET IT RIDE 2.3 18.3 5.5 10.8 19.8 -$17.2 -$15.50 -$18.19 1.6
22 SHIRLEY VALENTINE 2.3 18.3 5.5 5.6 8.8 -$1.0 $0.70 -$1.99 1.6
23 FAT MAN AND LITTLE BOY 1.5 16.5 4.8 9.2 20.9 -$18.4 -$16.90 -$19.25 1.1
24 THE EXPERTS 0.0 12.7 3.4 0.8 13.2 -$5.7 -$4.70 -$6.36 0.0
$0.0 $0.00
SONY PICTURES ENTERTAINMENTb $0.0 $0.00
25 LOOK WHO’S TALKING (TS) $75.8 $196.5 $72.6 $51.7 $11.0 $114.5 $137.00 $101.48 $53.1
26 WHEN HARRY MET SALLY (C) 46.1 124.5 45.4 38.1 20.9 $52.1 $66.20 $43.95 32.3
27 STEEL MAGNOLIAS (TS) 44.0 119.4 43.5 35.9 24.2 $46.3 $59.80 $38.49 30.8
28 SEE NO EVIL; HEAR NO EVIL (TS) 22.5 67.1 23.8 23.1 19.8 $15.5 $22.90 $11.21 15.7
29 THE BEAR (TS) 14.9 48.7 16.9 22.5 23.1 -$4.2 $1.10 -$7.20 10.4
30 GLORY (TS) 14.3 47.4 16.4 14.5 23.1 $2.6 $7.70 -$0.35 10.0
31 LOOK UP (TS) 8.8 34.1 11.4 16.1 18.7 -$6.8 -$3.30 -$8.90 6.2
32 CASUALTIES OF WAR (C) 8.1 32.5 10.8 17.1 27.5 -$18.2 -$14.80 -$20.10 5.7
33 CHANCES ARE (TS) 7.2 30.1 9.9 15.4 19.8 -$10.9 -$7.80 -$12.67 5.0
34 FAMILY BUSINESS (TS) 6.6 28.7 9.4 16.5 19.8 -$13.3 -$10.40 -$15.00 4.6
35 SHE’S OUT OF CONTROL (C) 5.7 26.6 8.6 12.2 16.5 -$7.7 -$5.00 -$9.21 4.0
36 WHO’S HARRY CRUMB? (TS) 5.0 24.7 7.9 13.2 15.4 -$9.3 -$6.80 -$10.67 3.5
37 ADVENTURES OF BARON
MUNCHAUSEN (C) 4.3 23.1 7.3 7.8 57.1 -$47.1 -$44.80 -$48.37 3.0
38 TRUE BELIEVER (C) 4.1 22.6 7.1 12.8 15.4 -$10.8 -$8.60 -$12.08 2.9
39 TROOP BEVERLY HILLS (C) 4.0 22.3 7.0 11.5 19.8 -$14.2 -$12.00 -$15.43 2.8
40 TAP (TS) 3.9 22.1 6.9 11.4 16.5 -$10.9 -$8.80 -$12.19 2.7
41 DEEPSTAR SIX (TS) 3.4 21.0 6.5 10.0 8.8 -$2.9 -$0.90 -$4.08 2.4
42 JOHNNY HANDSOME (TS) 2.9 19.7 6.0 9.7 22.0 -$17.0 -$15.10 -$18.05 2.0
43 MUSIC BOX (TS) 2.8 19.4 5.9 8.4 19.8 -$13.7 -$11.90 -$14.80 1.9
44 IMMEDIATE FAMILY (C) 2.3 18.3 5.5 12.1 15.4 -$14.1 -$12.40 -$15.09 1.6
45 LISTEN TO ME (C) 2.0 17.5 5.2 12.0 16.5 -$15.8 -$14.20 -$16.74 1.4
46 PHYSICAL EVIDENCE (C) 1.7 16.7 4.9 9.2 18.7 -$15.9 -$14.40 -$16.80 1.2
47 OLD GRINGO (C) 1.5 16.5 4.8 6.6 37.3 -$32.2 -$30.70 -$33.05 1.1
48 LOVERBOY (TS) 1.5 16.5 4.8 10.5 11.0 -$9.8 -$8.30 -$10.65 1.1
49 SING (TS) 1.0 15.1 4.3 9.0 15.4 -$13.9 -$12.60 -$14.70 0.7
50 WINTER PEOPLE (C) 0.8 14.6 4.1 6.3 17.6 -$13.9 -$12.60 -$14.61 0.5
51 WELCOME HOME (C) 0.4 13.8 3.8 4.9 15.4 -$11.1 -$9.90 -$11.75 0.3
52 ADVENTURES OF MILO AND OTIS (C) 0.1 13.0 3.5 6.0 8.8 -$6.3 -$5.20 -$6.91 0.1
53 THE BIG PICTURE (C) 0.1 13.0 3.5 0.8 8.8 -$1.1 $0.00 -$1.71 0.1
54 SLAVES OF NEW YORK (TS) 0.1 13.0 3.5 1.5 6.6 $0.4 $1.50 -$0.21 0.1
55 EAT A BOWL OF TEA (C) $0.1 $13.0 $3.5 $0.8 $2.2 $5.5 $6.60 $4.89 $0.1
56 TO KILL A PRIEST (C) 0.0 12.7 3.4 0.8 11.0 -$3.5 -$2.50 -$4.16 0.0
57 ME AND HIM (C) 0.0 12.7 3.4 0.8 8.8 -$1.3 -$0.30 -$1.96 0.0
58 BLOODHOUNDS OF BROADWAY (C) 0.0 12.7 3.4 0.8 3.3 $4.2 $5.20 $3.54 0.0
$0.0 $0.00
TWENTIETH CENTURY FOX $0.0 $0.00
59 THE WAR OF THE ROSES $45.6 $123.2 $44.9 $39.1 $27.5 $43.4 $57.30 $35.28 $31.9
60 THE ABYSS 31.6 89.3 32.2 37.2 49.4 -$7.9 $2.10 -$13.67 22.1
61 WEEKEND AT BERNIE’S 15.4 50.1 17.4 16.3 11.0 $15.4 $20.80 $12.26 10.8
62 SAY ANYTHING 9.8 36.5 12.3 15.2 14.3 $0.7 $4.50 -$1.54 6.9
63 SKIN DEEP 9.4 35.4 11.9 15.0 11.0 $3.2 $6.90 $1.06 6.5
64 THE FABULOUS BAKER BOYS 8.8 34.1 11.4 16.1 14.3 -$2.4 $1.10 -$4.50 6.2
65 MILLENNIUM 2.6 19.1 5.8 7.1 16.5 -$9.5 -$7.70 -$10.53 1.8
66 WORTH WINNING 1.7 16.7 4.9 10.5 14.3 -$12.8 -$11.30 -$13.70 1.2
67 GLEAMING THE CUBE 1.2 15.7 4.5 6.5 12.1 -$7.6 -$6.20 -$8.40 0.8
68 HOW I GOT INTO COLLEGE 0.6 14.1 3.9 8.8 13.2 -$12.4 -$11.20 -$13.12 0.4
69 WHEN THE WHALES CAME 0.0 12.7 3.4 1.4 4.4 $2.5 $3.50 $1.84 0.0
$0.0 $0.00
WARNER BROTHERS $0.0 $0.00
70 BATMAN $165.6 $414.2 $154.5 $102.0 $54.9 $220.5 $268.40 $192.77 $115.9
71 DRIVING MISS DAISY 55.6 147.4 54.1 43.3 8.8 $80.0 $96.80 $70.32 38.9
72 TANGO & CASH 33.1 93.0 33.6 40.4 60.4 -$18.7 -$8.30 -$24.75 23.2
73 LEAN ON ME 15.8 51.1 17.8 17.7 16.5 $9.4 $14.90 $6.17 11.1
74 HER ALIBI 10.1 37.3 12.6 16.6 22.0 -$7.7 -$3.80 -$9.98 7.1
75 NEXT OF KIN 7.7 31.4 10.4 14.3 13.2 -$2.0 $1.20 -$3.90 5.4
76 PINK CADILLAC 7.5 30.9 10.2 16.8 20.9 -$12.7 -$9.50 -$14.51 5.2
77 YOUNG EINSTEIN 6.6 28.7 9.4 11.3 4.4 $7.3 $10.20 $5.60 4.6
78 DEAD-BANG 3.9 22.1 6.9 11.4 15.4 -$9.8 -$7.70 -$11.09 2.7
79 DEAD CALM 3.6 21.5 6.7 10.1 9.9 -$3.7 -$1.60 -$4.87 2.5
80 SECOND SIGHT 2.8 19.4 5.9 9.7 11.0 -$6.2 -$4.40 -$7.30 1.9
81 SEE YOU IN THE MORNING 2.4 18.6 5.6 9.6 18.7 -$14.6 -$12.90 -$15.64 1.7
82 IN COUNTRY 1.8 17.0 5.0 9.3 19.8 -$16.9 -$15.30 -$17.75 1.2
83 COOKIE 1.1 15.4 4.4 5.1 14.3 -$8.7 -$7.30 -$9.45 0.8
84 HOW TO GET AHEAD IN ADVERTISING 0.2 13.3 3.6 0.9 5.5 $2.4 $3.50 $1.74 0.2
85 POWWOW HIGHWAY 0.1 13.0 3.5 0.8 4.4 $3.3 $4.40 $2.69 0.1
86 BERT RIGBY, YOU’RE A FOOL 0.0 12.7 3.4 1.4 14.3 -$7.4 -$6.40 -$8.06 0.0
87 PENN & TELLER GET KILLED 0.0 12.7 3.4 0.8 8.8 -$1.3 -$0.30 -$1.96 0.0
88 CHECKING OUT 0.0 12.7 3.4 0.8 5.5 $2.0 $3.00 $1.34 0.0
$0.0 $0.00
THE WALT DISNEY COMPANYb $0.0 $0.00
89 HONEY, I SHRUNK THE KIDS (W) $80.0 $206.7 $76.4 $58.6 $24.2 $103.8 $127.50 $90.10 $56.0
90 DEAD POETS SOCIETY (T) 53.3 141.8 52.0 46.2 22.0 $58.8 $74.90 $49.45 37.3
91 THE LITTLE MERMAID (W) 44.2 120.0 43.7 38.6 22.0 $46.3 $59.90 $38.48 31.0
92 TURNER & HOOTCH (T) 38.8 106.9 38.8 32.5 19.8 $42.6 $54.60 $35.60 27.2
93 THREE FUGITIVES (T) 20.4 62.1 21.9 22.2 18.7 $12.9 $19.70 $8.94 14.3
94 AN INNOCENT MAN (T) 11.6 40.7 13.9 17.2 18.7 -$1.8 $2.50 -$4.32 8.1
95 BLAZE (T) 9.9 36.7 12.4 17.8 19.8 -$7.2 -$3.40 -$9.48 6.9
96 NEW YORK STORIES (T) 5.2 25.3 8.1 10.7 20.9 -$11.7 -$9.20 -$13.18 3.6
97 GROSS ANATOMY (T) 5.1 25.0 8.0 13.2 13.2 -$6.8 -$4.30 -$8.23 3.5
98 DISORGANIZED CRIME (T) 4.4 23.4 7.4 11.7 12.1 -$5.7 -$3.40 -$7.03 3.1
99 CHEETAH (W) 4.4 23.4 7.4 10.4 7.7 $0.0 $2.30 -$1.33 3.1
AVERAGES $14.9 $48.8 $16.9 $17.4 $17.6 $6.5 $11.80 $3.49 $10.4
a
Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer and Orion are excluded. Fees assume films were financed by an independent producer. Costs exclude gross participations and interest charges.
b
C=Columbia Pictures; TS=Tri-Star. W=Walt Disney; T=Touchstone.
Sum $11.35
91 $)
9%
Hypothetical Sequel Discount Rate 12%
Distributi NPV of
Other Distributi on Negative NPV at Hypothetical
Revenue on Fees Expense Cost 9% Sequel(12%) NPV at 15% 15%
PV of
PV of Net Negative
Inflows at Cost at Year One-Year NPV Year NPV Year
Studio/Movie Title Year 4a 3 Return 3 0
MCA UNIVERSAL
1 PARENTHOOD $76.8 $28.2 1.72 $40.37 $28.70 25.65677 Option
2 BORN ON THE FOURTH OF JULY 56.8 25.4 1.24 $25.31 17.99 16.08769 S0=
3 FIELD OF DREAMS 47.3 22.6 1.1 $19.63 13.97 12.47658 K=
4 UNCLE BUCK 47.0 21.2 1.22 $20.76 14.79 13.19608 V=
5 SEA OF LOVE 44.4 35.3 0.26 $4.34 3.08 T=
7 K-9 29.3 16.9 0.73 $9.26 6.55
8 THE ‘BURBS 27.3 24.0 0.14 $0.38 0.26
10 DO THE RIGHT THING 21.2 9.9 1.15 $9.03 6.43 Option valuation
12 SHOCKER 12.4 8.5 0.47 $2.57 1.85 Time tomaturity (yrs
PARAMOUNT PICTURES Risk free rate
15 HARLEM NIGHTS $51.1 $42.3 0.21 $3.33 2.31 Volatility
16 PET SEMATARY 41.1 15.5 1.65 $21.20 15.06 d1
18 MAJOR LEAGUE 33.7 16.9 0.99 $13.19 9.35 N(d1)
SONY PICTURES ENTERTAINMENTc d2
25 LOOK WHO’S TALKING (TS) $105.5 $14.1 6.48 $80.10 56.99 N(d2)
26 WHEN HARRY MET SALLY (C) 64.6 26.8 1.41 $30.88 21.82 Call value
27 STEEL MAGNOLIAS (TS) 61.7 31.0 0.99 $24.09 17.09
28 SEE NO EVIL; HEAR NO EVIL (TS) 32.0 25.4 0.26 $3.17 2.24
TWENTIETH CENTURY FOX
59 THE WAR OF THE ROSES $63.8 $35.3 0.81 $21.66 15.41
61 WEEKEND AT BERNIE’S 22.3 14.1 0.58 $5.81 4.12
WARNER BROTHERS
70 BATMAN $229.1 $70.5 2.25 $134.05 95.41
71 DRIVING MISS DAISY 77.6 11.3 5.87 $57.99 41.27
77 YOUNG EINSTEIN 10.2 5.6 0.80 $3.51 2.46
THE WALT DISNEY COMPANY
89 HONEY, I SHRUNK THE KIDS (W) 111.2 31 2.58 68.28571 48.55
90 DEAD POETS SOCIETY (T) 74.4 28.2 1.64 $38.23 27.17
91 THE LITTLE MERMAID (W) 62.0 28.2 1.20 $27.16 19.29
92 TURNER & HOOTCH (T) 54.6 25.4 1.15 $23.35 16.59
93 THREE FUGITIVES (T) 29.1 24.0 0.21 $1.98 1.39
Average: $57.2 $24.5 1.43 $26.52 $18.85 40.69467
Median: $49.2 $24.7 1.13 $20.98
Standard deviation: $43.4 $13.0 1.53 $30.23
First Quartile: $29.98 $15.85 0.62 $4.71
Third Quartile: $64.4 $28.2 1.58 $29.9
Interquartile Range: $34.4 $12.4 0.97 $25.2
NPV (26 Profitable $490.14
NPV (73 nonprofitabl 0
Total NPV $490.14
Total # of Films 99
Value Per Film $4.95
a
Net inflows consist of all revenues minus associated distribution fees and expenses.
b
One-year return is defined as: [PV of net inflows minus PV of negative cost] divided by [PV of negative cost].
c
C=Columbia Pictures; TS=Tri-Star. W=Walt Disney; T=Touchstone.
40.69
24.5
70%
3
3
6.00%
70%
1.173100893088
0.879622325789
-0.03933467221
0.484311781785
25.88
Exhibit 9 Summary Statistics for Samples of Films Released in 1987 and 1988 a (dollar figures in millions)
PV of PV of
PV of Net Negative PV of Net Negative
Inflows Cost at One-Year Inflows Cost at One-Year
at Year 1 Year 0 Returna at Year 4 Year 3 Returna
Average (in 1991 $): $19.7 $60.5 $21.3 $20.5 $24.4 $13.8 $46.1 $15.9 $16.7 $29.2
a
One-year return is defined as: [PV of net inflows minus PV of negative cost] divided by [PV of negative cost].
45.411579810496
d2 -0.2142204211 d2 -0.20284
N(d2) 0.415187586 N(d2) 0.419631
Call value 26.46 Call value 25.00