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PitchBook H1 2021 Global Private Debt Report
PitchBook H1 2021 Global Private Debt Report
Global
Private Debt
Report
H1 2021
PRIVATE CREDIT
INVESTING IN AMERICA
From urban to rural and everywhere in between,
private credit is making a positive impact across
America and investing in every community to:
INVESTMENTCOUNCIL.ORG
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pbinstitutionalresearch@pitchbook.com
Performance 13-14
Data
Zane Carmean, CFA Quantitative Research
Analyst
Note on methodology: This edition of the report includes mezzanine
funds as part of the private debt universe. Historical fundraising and
performance figures will differ accordingly. Publishing
Executive summary
Private debt fundraising kept a steady course in the Over the past decade, venture debt has emerged as a
first half of 2021. Low interest rates, subdued default major alternative source of financing for high-growth
rates, and the longer-term pivot toward alternative startups that have traditionally opted to solely finance
strategies aided allocators in committing $72.5 billion through equity VC. More than $20 billion has been
across 81 vehicles. Direct lending continues to stand loaned to VC-backed companies in the US during each
out, accounting for about half of all capital raised. of the past three years. Though interest rates could
Fundraising for distressed debt and special situations potentially rise, it would likely take a significant move to
funds is about on track with 2020, but opportunities for materially affect the market. The nondilutive properties
deploying capital may be few and far between due to of venture debt will continue to benefit companies as
the lack of distress in the market. they grow within the private markets.
3 P I TC H B O O K H 1 2021 G LO B A L P R I VAT E D E B T R E P O R T
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Fundraising
Private debt fundraising activity
312
305 304
289
274
256
225
211
179
139
81
$61.1 $77.4 $89.7 $114.3 $124.0 $154.1 $188.0 $172.6 $170.8 $151.3 $72.5
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021*
Capital raised ($B) Fund count
Source: PitchBook | Geography: Global
*As of June 30, 2021
Following a resilient 2020, private debt fundraising Private debt fund value by fund type
remained on a steady course in the first half of 2021.
100% General debt
The $72.5 billion raised across 81 funds is approximately
on pace with the last few years and may even surpass 90% Venture debt
five-year averages once final data is collected.
80% Infrastructure
Continually low interest rates, subdued default rates, debt
and a broader pivot toward alternatives continue 70%
Real estate
driving investors into private debt strategies. debt
60%
Bridge
Direct lending continues to be the standout strategy 50% financing
within private debt market, accounting for a majority 40% Mezzanine
of capital raised in the space. After a middling 2020 in
30% Credit special
terms of fundraising, direct lenders picked up the pace situta�ons
in the first half of 2021. Managers raised $33.5 billion 20%
Distressed
across 28 vehicles, already more than three-quarters
10% Direct lending
of the amount they raised in the entirety of 2020. Ares
Capital Europe raised its fifth fund totaling €11.0 billion 0%
(about $13.1 billion USD), the largest private debt fund
2017
2021*
2019
2012
2013
2015
2011
2014
2020
2016
2018
4 P I TC H B O O K H 1 2021 G LO B A L P R I VAT E D E B T R E P O R T
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Fundraising
the prior two years. Heavily dependent on other private Private debt capital overhang ($B)
capital strategies and M&A for deal flow, private lenders
$450
$398.2
$394.4
and debt investors have had no shortage of deployment
Total
$355.1
opportunities in the last year. In fact, LP contributions
$343.4
$400 2020
to private debt funds reached a record $172.1 billion
in 2020, having grown at a CAGR of 12.3% since 2010. $350 2019
$289.1
Given the record-setting dealmaking environment 2018
$300
$232.1
across the private capital ecosystem in the first half of
2017
2021, we expect capital deployment from private debt $250
$188.2
$181.6
2016
$158.2
funds to continue its torrential pace.
$200
$135.0
$131.5
Overhang 2015
by vintage
Fundraising for distressed debt and special situations $150 2014
funds is about on track with last year, but opportunities
$100 2013
for deploying capital may be few and far between
due to the lack of distress in the market. Despite the $50
lingering effects of the pandemic—especially outside Cumula�ve overhang
the US—a combination of central bank easing (in the $0
form of lower rates and bond buying programs), strong
2017
2020*
2019
2012
2013
2015
2011
2010
2014
2016
2018
fiscal spending, and animal spirits has kept many would-
be-bankrupt companies afloat. More liquid markets
Source: PitchBook | Geography: Global
tell a similar story. High-yield credit spreads have *As of December 31, 2020
tightened to below pre-pandemic levels, suggesting
a more borrower-friendly market. High-yield bond
indices for both the US and Europe are trading above
pre-pandemic levels. The same is true of leveraged
loans, often seen as the closest proxy for private debt.
Combined, these factors suggest a difficult dealmaking
environment for distressed debt managers, which may
only change when central banks let off the gas.
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
-20%
Dec 2010 Dec 2011 Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Dec 2016 Dec 2017 Dec 2018 Dec 2019 Dec 2020
Bloomberg-Barclays US Corp HY TR S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan TR
Bloomberg-Barclays Global HY TR Bloomberg-Barclays Pan-Europe HY TR
Source: Morningstar | Geography: Global
*As of June 30, 2021
5 P I TC H B O O K H 1 2021 G LO B A L P R I VAT E D E B T R E P O R T
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Fundraising
10% $1,000
8% $800
$600
6%
$400
4%
$200
2%
$0
0%
2017
2020*
2019
2012
2013
2015
2011
2010
2014
2016
2018
2017
2021*
2019
2012
2013
2015
2011
2014
2020
2016
2018
Though there is much debate about whether current decade have nudged would-be fixed-income investors
inflation is transitory, there are some signs that we into alternatives. Lower rates have also meant lower
will see a rate hike before the end of 2022. Following debt service for portfolio companies, keeping defaults
higher inflation figures in recent months, St. Louis Fed relatively low. On the other hand, the floating rate
President, James Bullard, recently estimated interest nature of these loans keeps private debt investors
rate hikes could begin as early as the second half of relatively insulated from rate hikes and would increase
2022—before the original expectations of 2023 at yield premiums compared to existing fixed-rate
the earliest. Any change in interest rates presents a debt. Rising rates would also signal an improving
double-edged sword for private debt managers. On economy, thereby benefiting the underlying credits in
the one hand, near-zero rates for much of the last most portfolios.
Kennedy Lewis Capital Partners Master Fund II $2,100.0 General debt New York
6 P I TC H B O O K H 1 2021 G LO B A L P R I VAT E D E B T R E P O R T
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7 P I TC H B O O K H 1 2021 G LO B A L P R I VAT E D E B T R E P O R T
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What are some of the biggest challenges in educating COVID-19 was considered the first real test for the
policymakers on private credit? private debt market, and the consensus is that
it performed excellently. Please expand on the
Private credit is an important lending tool for sturdiness of private debt funds and their future in the
businesses in the main street economy—particularly private markets.
smaller and midsized companies. But many
policymakers are currently not as familiar with private Many predicted a wave of corporate bankruptcies as a
credit as they are with other types of investment result of the COVID-19 crisis. While we are not entirely
vehicles, such as insurance companies or banks. We out of the woods, those predictions of doom never
have to level set efficiently with policymakers who came true. One of the great benefits of private debt is
often handle hundreds of complex and diverse issues the flexible capital solutions it can provide. Private debt
at the same time. When policymakers understand providers were quickly able to assess the needs of their
that private credit is actually quite regulated, helping own borrowers by providing covenant relief, thereby
to fuel the economic recovery and foster the growth giving these borrowers time to ride out the crisis.
of small and midsized businesses, appropriate policy Additionally, private debt providers jumped in to help
choices come into much clearer focus. Additionally, we businesses address their liquidity needs by providing
must combat a deep skepticism of Wall Street that is capital to businesses that faced considerable pressure
expressed by some policymakers as well as the bad as the world shutdown in order to combat the crisis.
memories of the financial crisis, which was in no way One of the important attributes of private credit is the
caused by private debt. Unlike banks, private credit speed with which it can fund transactions. For example,
funds are not backstopped by the federal government Apollo Global Management, an AIC member firm,
and in most cases, managers need to have some “skin in managed to deploy nearly $50 billion—mostly private
the game.” These managers must thoroughly evaluate debt—during the first quarter of 2020 to businesses
their investments given the financial and reputational that faced liquidity shocks as a result of the crisis.
risks involved. We believe the more policymakers learn During the COVID-19 crisis, AIC members have played
about private credit, the more they will appreciate an incredible role in fueling the economic recovery and
how our industry is supporting businesses and jobs in helping businesses keep their doors open and their
communities across America. workers employed.
8 P I TC H B O O K H 1 2021 G LO B A L P R I VAT E D E B T R E P O R T
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20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
2017
2017
2021*
2021*
2019
2019
2012
2013
2012
2015
2013
2015
2011
2011
2014
2020
2014
2020
2016
2016
2018
2018
Source: PitchBook | Geography: Global Source: PitchBook | Geography: Global
*As of June 30, 2021 *As of June 30, 2021
Private debt fund value by region Private debt fund count by region
100% North 100% North
America America
90% 90%
Europe Europe
80% 80%
Asia Asia
70% Oceania 70% Oceania
60% Middle 60% Middle
East East
50% 50%
Africa Africa
40% 40%
Rest of Rest of
30% world 30% world
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
2017
2017
2021*
2021*
2019
2019
2012
2013
2012
2015
2013
2015
2011
2011
2014
2020
2014
2020
2016
2016
2018
2018
9 P I TC H B O O K H 1 2021 G LO B A L P R I VAT E D E B T R E P O R T
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2,027
1,631
1,537
1,361
1,066
$4.2 $7.5 $7.9 $12.0 $17.1 $15.0 $15.3 $25.0 $31.4 $33.4 $13.3
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021*
Deal value ($B) Deal count
Source: PitchBook | Geography: US
*As of June 30, 2021
Kyle Stanford, CAIA Senior Analyst, VC than where the venture debt market was just a decade
kyle.stanford@pitchbook.com ago—in 2011 just 1,066 debt financings contributed $4.3
billion to the US market.
A version of this spotlight was originally published in the
PitchBook Analyst Note: Venture Debt a Maturing Market in While our venture debt methodology encompasses
VC on March 22, 2021. The charts used in this spotlight include many different debt products, including bank loans,
updated data. lines of credit, and equipment leasing, we can see the
overall usage of debt in the venture capital stack has
played an increasing role in today’s market. Much of the
Over the past decade, venture debt has emerged as a dollar amount of venture loans derives from those to
major alternative source of financing for high-growth late-stage companies, but early-stage and seed-stage
startups that have traditionally opted to solely finance companies have seen increasing debt financing counts
through equity venture capital. More than $20 billion in recent years. Together these earliest stages have
has been loaned to VC-backed companies in the US accounted for an average of 64.5% of the completed
during each of the past three years, and the number of loans to VC-backed companies.
debt financings for VC-backed companies has grown at
a higher rate than the VC market overall. The overall growth the venture debt market has realized
is due to several factors. First, this market has largely
Through H1 2021, more than 1,500 debt financings have followed patterns of the broader venture capital
been completed to US VC-backed companies. With market, increasing the demand for debt as a non-
those products equating to just over $13 billion in debt dilutive capital base to fund growth. Second, venture
financings, this year is currently on track to surpass $25 debt opportunities have increased substantially. No
billion in loans to become the fourth consecutive year longer is debt provided solely by banks, as venture
that has occurred, while also being the third straight debt funds have taken a place in the venture lending
year to exceed 3,000 financings. Though those levels arena to provide capital into areas of the market that
can be seen as arbitrary, they are significantly higher banks have left. We must also take into account the
10 P I TC H B O O K H 1 2021 G LO B A L P R I VAT E D E B T R E P O R T
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low interest rate environment that the US has been in US venture debt count by stage
during the past decade. Low rates have driven down the
reference rates that these loans are tied to (often PRIME
100% Late VC
or LIBOR), which has increased the attractiveness 90% Early VC
of both raising debt and of investing in debt funds,
80% Angel
which typically have strong risk-adjusted returns while & seed
providing exposure to fixed-income securities for LPs. 70%
60%
The bulk of venture loans are financed to tech and life
sciences-focused companies, increasing the mirror 50%
effect of the venture market as these two segments 40%
account for a large portion of the industry. Roughly
79% of the venture loans in 2021 have gone to tech 30%
companies, as the SaaS and other recurring revenue 20%
products within the industry help model out loan
10%
payback schedules and decrease financing risks
associated with the low-revenue companies that are 0%
found at the early stages of venture.
2017
2021*
2019
2012
2013
2015
2011
2014
2020
2016
2018
We expect the venture debt market in the US to
Source: PitchBook | Geography: US
continue following equity financing trends and continue *As of June 30, 2021
its growth overall. Though there is the potential for
interest rates to rise, it would likely take a significant
move to materially impact the venture debt market as
US venture debt value by stage
the non-dilutive properties will continue to provide 100% Late VC
benefits to companies as they continue growth within
90% Early VC
the private markets.
80% Angel
& seed
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2017
2021*
2019
2012
2013
2015
2011
2014
2020
2016
2018
11 P I TC H B O O K H 1 2021 G LO B A L P R I VAT E D E B T R E P O R T
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Performance
Private debt quarterly pooled IRR
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
-8%
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Source: PitchBook | Geography: Global
As of March 31, 2021 (preliminary figure)
At the outset of the pandemic, private debt funds a one-year horizon IRR of 10.2% in Q3 2020. On the
experienced their worst quarter in the last decade. The other hand, substrategies that tend to invest lower in
quarterly pooled IRR—which includes both realized and the capital structure, including mezzanine, distressed
unrealized changes to portfolio valuations—dropped to debt, and special situations funds, have lagged for the
-7.0% in Q1 2020. But portfolios have recovered rather last year. Performance will continue to fluctuate with
quickly alongside an improving economy, surging liquid the broader economy as the pandemic causes real
credit markets, and low default rates. QoQ performance disruption for some portfolio companies (and their
has been positive for each of the last four quarters, but associated credits) but opportunities for others.
preliminary data from Q1 2021 suggests the advances
won’t be as large as they were in the second half of Default rates for middle-market loans continue to
2020. fall, indicating strength, especially in direct lending
portfolios. The Proskauer Private Credit Default Index
The performance of most substrategies within private indicates that the default rate for companies with
debt track with each other over the longer run, but at least $50 million in EBITDA fell to just 1.0% in Q1
meaningful differences sometimes emerge. Real assets 2021, compared to a high of 5.3% in Q2 2020. There
funds, including both real estate and infrastructure is a similar trend for smaller companies (less than $50
debt, have seen the most pronounced recovery since million in EBITDA), with the most recent default rates
the pandemic began. Real assets debt funds posted falling to 1.4%, compared to a peak of 6.7%.
13 P I TC H B O O K H 1 2021 G LO B A L P R I VAT E D E B T R E P O R T
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Per formance
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021
$25M-$49.9M EBITDA $50M+ EBITDA
Source: Proskauer Private Credit Default Index | Geography: Global
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Mezzanine & bridge Real assets debt Distressed & CSS Direct lending
Source: PitchBook | Geography: Global
As of December 31, 2020
14 P I TC H B O O K H 1 2021 G LO B A L P R I VAT E D E B T R E P O R T
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relied upon as such or used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment.